1 00:00:00,880 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 1: And now The Money Show with Stephen Crutis live on 2 00:00:05,400 --> 00:00:08,640 Speaker 1: ninety two point seven and one six at them streaming 3 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:12,879 Speaker 1: on the Prime Media Plus and DStv channel eight five six. 4 00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:16,000 Speaker 2: The Money Show with Stephen Curtis is brought to you 5 00:00:16,040 --> 00:00:18,959 Speaker 2: by ABS of Corporate and Investment Banking of Pan African 6 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 2: Bank that's invested in your story because your story matters. 7 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 2: Good evening, I'm Stephen Curtis, ten minutes after six. Good 8 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 2: to have you along tonight. One of those days where 9 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:31,479 Speaker 2: things are getting moving and I'm sure if like mine, 10 00:00:31,560 --> 00:00:36,120 Speaker 2: your trip this morning to work was well carmageddon, you 11 00:00:36,159 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 2: weren't the only one. You do get a sense of 12 00:00:38,120 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 2: things getting to their kind of mannic normal. I know 13 00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:43,279 Speaker 2: things do calm down a bit. That's the kind of 14 00:00:43,479 --> 00:00:46,200 Speaker 2: the next two or three weeks probably among the worst 15 00:00:46,200 --> 00:00:48,720 Speaker 2: weeks in the morning traffic, but we'll see how it 16 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 2: all goes. Lots of conversations around around the prime interest rate, 17 00:00:53,320 --> 00:00:56,880 Speaker 2: and from twenty four reporting that the Competition Commission actually 18 00:00:56,920 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 2: confirming it's been investigating the idea of the interest rate 19 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:04,760 Speaker 2: for a couple of years. To my mind, though it's 20 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 2: really a convention, and I'm not really sure the Competition 21 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:11,800 Speaker 2: Commission would be investigating. You might lend money to Stephen 22 00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:15,920 Speaker 2: at prime plus two and a table at prime minus one, 23 00:01:16,360 --> 00:01:18,479 Speaker 2: but you're not lending to both of us at prime 24 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 2: because prime exists. You're judging each of us on our 25 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:28,160 Speaker 2: own merits as lenders, as borrows, rather yes as borrows. 26 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:30,920 Speaker 2: So I'm not really sure what the investigation would be. 27 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:34,160 Speaker 2: We'll talk more about it. From everything that I can see, 28 00:01:34,240 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 2: I can't see any way that this results in you 29 00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:40,000 Speaker 2: paying lower interest rate on your debt Beta Adolt Montalto 30 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 2: from Grutham Hill Burn your radio. In a moment. I 31 00:01:43,240 --> 00:01:47,400 Speaker 2: was surprised, but not surprised to see that our Reserve 32 00:01:47,480 --> 00:01:51,600 Speaker 2: Bank governor Eto was among the central bank governors who 33 00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:56,400 Speaker 2: lent his name to that public statement backing the Jerome Powell, 34 00:01:56,400 --> 00:01:59,160 Speaker 2: the chair of the US Federal Reserve. I was not 35 00:01:59,280 --> 00:02:03,160 Speaker 2: surprised because I think it's something that independence of central 36 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:07,480 Speaker 2: banks is something that Kaniaco believes in passionately. I think 37 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:09,600 Speaker 2: he also, to my mind at least, is a very 38 00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:11,720 Speaker 2: keen sense of justice, and I think you would see 39 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:14,720 Speaker 2: what's happening around powerful what it is that Trump administration 40 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:16,960 Speaker 2: wants lower interest rates, and it's as simple as that. 41 00:02:17,600 --> 00:02:20,840 Speaker 2: I was surprised though, that central bank governors felt they 42 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 2: had to do this. I've never seen anything like this before. 43 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 2: And you'll speak to Senezia Bakwazami about this in just 44 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:29,600 Speaker 2: a moment. She's at momentum because it's just extraordinary where 45 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:32,680 Speaker 2: we are. There's a bigger question if the independence of 46 00:02:32,720 --> 00:02:36,080 Speaker 2: the federal reserves weakened, does that maybe lead to the 47 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 2: weakening of the independence of other central banks because of 48 00:02:38,600 --> 00:02:42,600 Speaker 2: the example of the US sorts of sets. The World 49 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:46,560 Speaker 2: Economic Forum releasing their risk report today ahead of the 50 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:49,440 Speaker 2: meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos next week, 51 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:53,280 Speaker 2: and you'll speak to a Spirospaturus here from him about that. 52 00:02:53,360 --> 00:02:57,440 Speaker 2: He was involved in drawing up that report. Geoeconomic confrontation 53 00:02:57,600 --> 00:03:00,519 Speaker 2: one of the big risks, but the biggest risk un certainty, 54 00:03:00,800 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 2: and that would kind of make sense. And then also 55 00:03:03,600 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 2: George Bennett's the CEO of Rainbow Rare Earth. They received 56 00:03:06,560 --> 00:03:09,640 Speaker 2: money from the US government financing rather and they've started 57 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:13,360 Speaker 2: that big Rare Earth's extraction pilot project at Palabora. I 58 00:03:13,400 --> 00:03:16,400 Speaker 2: do find that fascinating looking forward to that conversation. Oh 59 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:18,560 Speaker 2: double one, double a three oh seven O two two 60 00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:20,520 Speaker 2: one four four six O five six seven of course, 61 00:03:20,600 --> 00:03:23,280 Speaker 2: Voice notes tonight on seven two seven oh two one 62 00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:24,799 Speaker 2: seven oh two The. 63 00:03:24,919 --> 00:03:29,440 Speaker 3: Money Show on seven O Monday till Friday, six to 64 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 3: a pm. 65 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:33,200 Speaker 2: Confirmation as we go to air from the Independent Development 66 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:36,720 Speaker 2: Trust saying that to Bojo Malaca has resigned as CEO. 67 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:38,480 Speaker 2: And if you've got to scratch your head, because it 68 00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:41,880 Speaker 2: happened last year, to Boho Malaca is the person who 69 00:03:41,880 --> 00:03:46,520 Speaker 2: offered a bribe to the Daily Maverick journalist Peter Louis Meiberg. 70 00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:49,640 Speaker 2: Of course I see him as a colleague. And I mean, 71 00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:52,120 Speaker 2: there's so many things that are sort of extraordinary about it. 72 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:54,560 Speaker 2: Why is she still technically in the position? I know 73 00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:57,640 Speaker 2: she had been suspended. What happens to the investigations that 74 00:03:57,680 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 2: were underwear? And I'm a little bit disappointed that the 75 00:04:00,640 --> 00:04:05,280 Speaker 2: IDP statement says that, in line with standard governance and 76 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:09,720 Speaker 2: employment practice, the terms of her departure remain confidential. They 77 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:11,680 Speaker 2: go on to say no comment will be made at 78 00:04:11,680 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 2: the stage. They'll cooperate fully with any ongoing investigations. I 79 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 2: don't know if anyone could say anything against you if 80 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:22,279 Speaker 2: someone you employed does what is so obviously the wrong 81 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:25,120 Speaker 2: thing breaks the law so obviously and publicly, and you 82 00:04:25,160 --> 00:04:27,719 Speaker 2: stand up and you say we fired them, and dare 83 00:04:27,800 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 2: them to take you to the labor court. I mean, really, 84 00:04:29,920 --> 00:04:32,359 Speaker 2: if the labor court finds against you, we have bigger problems. 85 00:04:32,360 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 2: But that's the one thing. Just say you fired her 86 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 2: and why, and then the idea that you know you 87 00:04:36,760 --> 00:04:38,480 Speaker 2: have to keep it all secret. Look at what she did. 88 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:41,440 Speaker 2: I mean, it's so obvious. And then the second thing 89 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:44,560 Speaker 2: is to say no further comment will be made. I 90 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 2: don't know if I would choose that attack if I 91 00:04:46,839 --> 00:04:49,120 Speaker 2: work for the Independent Development Trust. This is issued by 92 00:04:49,480 --> 00:04:52,120 Speaker 2: Zimbini Hill, who's the chair of the board of trustees 93 00:04:52,200 --> 00:04:54,960 Speaker 2: of the Independent Development Trust. I think you might find 94 00:04:55,000 --> 00:04:59,120 Speaker 2: that the pressure becomes unbearable because people want to know 95 00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:02,320 Speaker 2: what happened and why. So I think you might just 96 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:03,880 Speaker 2: that were I don't know if that was a very 97 00:05:03,920 --> 00:05:05,680 Speaker 2: wise thing to say at the end of the statement. 98 00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:07,960 Speaker 2: Don't say it even if you mean it. But I 99 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:10,239 Speaker 2: wouldn't have said it your view. I mean, I'm always 100 00:05:10,240 --> 00:05:13,200 Speaker 2: amazed when people liked to Borjomolaka or caught on tape 101 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:17,120 Speaker 2: doing what she did, offering a massive bribe and there 102 00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:19,560 Speaker 2: doesn't seem to be any sense of regret. Oh seven two, 103 00:05:19,600 --> 00:05:20,920 Speaker 2: seven oh two one, seven oh two. 104 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:25,800 Speaker 1: What's up, Stephen on seven two seven oh two one 105 00:05:26,040 --> 00:05:26,800 Speaker 1: seven oh two. 106 00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:31,000 Speaker 2: Well confirmation today that our Reserve Bank Governor Erro Kanajo 107 00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:34,559 Speaker 2: joining thirteen other central bank governors and issuing a joint 108 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:36,760 Speaker 2: statement showing their support for the Chair of the US 109 00:05:36,760 --> 00:05:39,600 Speaker 2: Federal Reserve to Rome Powell. Pal said on Sunday night 110 00:05:40,080 --> 00:05:44,000 Speaker 2: investigations by US federal investigators into his conduct were just 111 00:05:44,040 --> 00:05:46,560 Speaker 2: an attempt by the Trump administration to force them to 112 00:05:46,600 --> 00:05:50,360 Speaker 2: lower interest rates. Senisha Pakarasami is the chief economist of 113 00:05:50,400 --> 00:05:54,080 Speaker 2: Momentum Investment SANISHA. Good evening to see our governor, the 114 00:05:54,120 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 2: governors of the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, 115 00:05:56,960 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 2: even the Bank of New Zealand all signing the same 116 00:06:00,040 --> 00:06:03,240 Speaker 2: statement of support for someone. We really are living in 117 00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:05,000 Speaker 2: extraordinary times. 118 00:06:05,839 --> 00:06:08,159 Speaker 4: Good evening, Stephen, and lovely to chat to you in 119 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:11,200 Speaker 4: the new year. Indeed, you know, we haven't seen something 120 00:06:11,279 --> 00:06:16,279 Speaker 4: like this in living memory. But I think if we 121 00:06:16,360 --> 00:06:21,159 Speaker 4: look at the reasons behind the support for power, it 122 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:25,600 Speaker 4: really shows that they are trying to preserve institutional independence. 123 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:28,400 Speaker 4: And you made in your opening remarks it is something 124 00:06:28,440 --> 00:06:32,920 Speaker 4: that our own central bank governor stands firmly behind that 125 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:37,039 Speaker 4: monetary policy should be driven by data outcomes and the 126 00:06:37,120 --> 00:06:41,000 Speaker 4: outlook for things like inflation and the employment mandate in 127 00:06:41,040 --> 00:06:45,600 Speaker 4: the United States, and not be driven by electoral political cycles. 128 00:06:46,000 --> 00:06:48,600 Speaker 4: I think it also helps to create an element of 129 00:06:48,839 --> 00:06:52,520 Speaker 4: global market stability, because as we know, the US dollar 130 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:56,640 Speaker 4: is still the world's reserve currency. It also provides a 131 00:06:56,680 --> 00:07:01,359 Speaker 4: little bit more credibility into monetary policy making, and so 132 00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:04,599 Speaker 4: I think it also helps to kind of deter you know, 133 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:08,400 Speaker 4: any kind of precedent it may set if the fair 134 00:07:08,480 --> 00:07:12,280 Speaker 4: chair can be removed or prosecuted over such a disagreement. 135 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:14,760 Speaker 2: I mean, in a way, this isn't just about the FED. 136 00:07:15,000 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 2: It's not just about the US economy. It may well 137 00:07:17,920 --> 00:07:22,640 Speaker 2: be about central bank independence everywhere indeed. 138 00:07:22,240 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 4: And so you know, we need to look at this 139 00:07:24,200 --> 00:07:29,760 Speaker 4: as a threat to the independence of the institution around 140 00:07:29,840 --> 00:07:33,720 Speaker 4: monetary policy. Now, I would not necessarily say that it's 141 00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:36,920 Speaker 4: a direct risk to those other central banks, but it 142 00:07:37,040 --> 00:07:40,320 Speaker 4: is more of an indi risk, indirect risk to institutions 143 00:07:40,400 --> 00:07:44,480 Speaker 4: because the FED does full set that global benchmark for 144 00:07:44,640 --> 00:07:48,320 Speaker 4: credibility for central banks, and that's largely because the DOLLARSIBUL 145 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:53,280 Speaker 4: anchors international manetary system. There is also an element of 146 00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:58,360 Speaker 4: full over into global financial conditions, and so if credibility 147 00:07:58,440 --> 00:08:02,280 Speaker 4: is questioned, that could raise risk premiere around the world. 148 00:08:02,360 --> 00:08:05,680 Speaker 4: We could see higher global bondiles elsewhere, We could see 149 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:08,960 Speaker 4: a threat to inflation elsewhere. And then I think, thirdly, 150 00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 4: you know, it also starts to reshape the global norms. 151 00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:16,080 Speaker 4: So I think, you know, central bank independence has become 152 00:08:16,280 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 4: a norm in global society, and if that then starts 153 00:08:20,120 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 4: to become threatened, it is starting to see that, you know, 154 00:08:23,400 --> 00:08:25,720 Speaker 4: the central bank in itself is starting to bend to 155 00:08:25,760 --> 00:08:27,000 Speaker 4: those political cycles. 156 00:08:27,920 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 2: Would it be as simple to say there would probably 157 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:34,600 Speaker 2: be a clear line from Trump sacking Jerome power and 158 00:08:34,679 --> 00:08:38,040 Speaker 2: beginning to impinge on the independence of the US Federal 159 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:42,000 Speaker 2: Reserve and inflation in South Africa. I realized we're in 160 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:44,840 Speaker 2: a low inflation environment at the moment, but it would 161 00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:46,840 Speaker 2: seem to me, I mean, it would take a little while, 162 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:49,360 Speaker 2: but there probably would be an impact on South African 163 00:08:49,360 --> 00:08:50,920 Speaker 2: inflation eventually. 164 00:08:52,280 --> 00:08:56,040 Speaker 4: We ultimately, because we are a small open economy, we 165 00:08:56,200 --> 00:08:59,720 Speaker 4: do have a freely floating exchange rate, and you know 166 00:08:59,800 --> 00:09:03,680 Speaker 4: that link into financial conditions and the rise in risk 167 00:09:03,760 --> 00:09:06,800 Speaker 4: premiere could then affect emerging markets. And of course we 168 00:09:06,880 --> 00:09:09,120 Speaker 4: know that South Africa seems to be what we call 169 00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:12,360 Speaker 4: a high beta play on emerging markets. So when emerging 170 00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:15,640 Speaker 4: markets do well, South Africa teams to do reasonably while 171 00:09:15,720 --> 00:09:19,760 Speaker 4: as well, and when emerging markets do badly, South Africa 172 00:09:19,800 --> 00:09:23,040 Speaker 4: tends to take the hit in a bigger disproportionate way. 173 00:09:23,400 --> 00:09:26,120 Speaker 2: Sanisia, thank you so much. Saniesia Pakarasami as the chief 174 00:09:26,160 --> 00:09:30,000 Speaker 2: economist at Momentum Investments. Nineteen minutes after six. 175 00:09:32,320 --> 00:09:35,920 Speaker 1: Stephen Gone acts at at Stephen Kreutz. 176 00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:39,720 Speaker 2: Several reports around at the moment based suggesting that the 177 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 2: Reserve Bank is looking at changing or reviewing the prime 178 00:09:43,120 --> 00:09:46,880 Speaker 2: interest rate. It's three hundred and fifty basis points above 179 00:09:46,920 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 2: the REPO rate from twenty four reporting this afternoon, The 180 00:09:50,200 --> 00:09:54,360 Speaker 2: Competition Commission now says it's investigating whether banks have engaged 181 00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:57,960 Speaker 2: in cartel like behavior by following prime. I must just 182 00:09:58,040 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 2: point out that whatever happens, I can't see it having 183 00:10:00,880 --> 00:10:03,559 Speaker 2: an impact on the interest that you pay. Peter ed 184 00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:07,600 Speaker 2: Old Montalto is the managing director of Peter Good Evening Okay, 185 00:10:08,000 --> 00:10:10,640 Speaker 2: prime is three hundred and fifty basis points above the 186 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:15,960 Speaker 2: repo rate. It's not a regulation. What is prime really. 187 00:10:17,880 --> 00:10:18,640 Speaker 5: Good afternoon? 188 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 6: This is actually a surprisingly hard question to answer. The 189 00:10:24,080 --> 00:10:28,280 Speaker 6: market in general assumes that the SALV sets the prime 190 00:10:28,360 --> 00:10:32,640 Speaker 6: rate and has kept it unchanged basically now since two 191 00:10:32,640 --> 00:10:35,560 Speaker 6: thousand and one, at three hundred and fifty basis points 192 00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 6: over the policy rate. However, if you look back in history, 193 00:10:40,120 --> 00:10:43,200 Speaker 6: the SALV often treats it as sort of an externality, 194 00:10:43,240 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 6: as something that just sort of gets delivered to them 195 00:10:46,800 --> 00:10:49,000 Speaker 6: from God, if you like. And it seems to have 196 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:51,600 Speaker 6: fallen between the gap who actually sort of owns or 197 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:53,880 Speaker 6: sets with things, And so I think it's actually be 198 00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:57,200 Speaker 6: very interesting if the Competition Commission is actually able to 199 00:10:57,240 --> 00:11:00,839 Speaker 6: tease out whether this thing really comes from. But what 200 00:11:01,000 --> 00:11:04,240 Speaker 6: is certainly the case is that this thing has a 201 00:11:04,360 --> 00:11:07,559 Speaker 6: very strong amount of Sarab oversight. The last time someone 202 00:11:07,640 --> 00:11:10,920 Speaker 6: tried to deviate from a particular bank setting it, the 203 00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 6: Star brang them up to tell them off. And in general, 204 00:11:15,240 --> 00:11:17,560 Speaker 6: I think the Saab is very conscious that the market 205 00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:19,760 Speaker 6: believes it has some control over it, and that's why 206 00:11:19,800 --> 00:11:22,560 Speaker 6: there is now a review of what to do about 207 00:11:22,559 --> 00:11:25,000 Speaker 6: it in the context of a much broader range of 208 00:11:25,040 --> 00:11:29,280 Speaker 6: reforms that the SARABA is doing, including to the way 209 00:11:29,280 --> 00:11:32,040 Speaker 6: it implements multi policy they did two years ago and 210 00:11:32,080 --> 00:11:34,560 Speaker 6: the change in the inflation target that happened in November. 211 00:11:35,480 --> 00:11:39,280 Speaker 2: At its simplest, prime is something that if I go 212 00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 2: as Stephen to a bank and I say to the bank, 213 00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:44,720 Speaker 2: I want to borrow money to buy a house. They 214 00:11:44,760 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 2: will offer me prime plus or prime minus. They might 215 00:11:50,160 --> 00:11:52,840 Speaker 2: offer me prime, but it's more likely to be on 216 00:11:52,960 --> 00:11:55,800 Speaker 2: one side of prime or the other. So if it 217 00:11:55,840 --> 00:12:01,800 Speaker 2: disappeared tomorrow, would it matter, because wouldn't they then simply say, Stephen, 218 00:12:02,040 --> 00:12:06,160 Speaker 2: instead of prime plus one, we will offer you repo 219 00:12:06,840 --> 00:12:09,840 Speaker 2: plus four hundred and fifty basis points above. 220 00:12:11,559 --> 00:12:12,040 Speaker 7: Exactly. 221 00:12:12,200 --> 00:12:16,040 Speaker 6: And that was what a review done in now fifteen 222 00:12:16,080 --> 00:12:20,080 Speaker 6: years ago so by the SAAB showed as well as 223 00:12:20,080 --> 00:12:22,880 Speaker 6: well as more recent thinking from them as well, and 224 00:12:22,920 --> 00:12:25,720 Speaker 6: that banks basically build credit profiles. They would have a 225 00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:28,640 Speaker 6: profile on you, on the risk around you, and make 226 00:12:28,679 --> 00:12:31,920 Speaker 6: a decision first. They would then use the prime rate 227 00:12:31,960 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 6: as a communication tool with you, and that that's basically 228 00:12:35,960 --> 00:12:37,840 Speaker 6: all it is now. I think there are some more 229 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:42,240 Speaker 6: complexities on top of that. The consumers are likely given 230 00:12:42,520 --> 00:12:45,680 Speaker 6: behavioral finance and the framing concept. They are likely to 231 00:12:46,720 --> 00:12:51,680 Speaker 6: maybe think about larger numbers and spreads above repostslightly differently 232 00:12:52,320 --> 00:12:56,000 Speaker 6: to spreads around prime. It's also somewhat better from Marchi 233 00:12:56,040 --> 00:12:59,760 Speaker 6: policy transmission for your average person in the economy to 234 00:12:59,760 --> 00:13:01,560 Speaker 6: our you think about the repro rate which is currently 235 00:13:01,600 --> 00:13:03,920 Speaker 6: six seventy five as opposed to as much higher rate 236 00:13:04,520 --> 00:13:06,960 Speaker 6: of ten twenty five, which often gets discussed more in 237 00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:11,720 Speaker 6: consumer media and in biostate agents and stuff like that. 238 00:13:12,160 --> 00:13:14,960 Speaker 6: So there are some marginal benefits maybe from shifting, but 239 00:13:15,000 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 6: I think the whole point in it is a tiding 240 00:13:16,880 --> 00:13:19,760 Speaker 6: up exercise we're talking about here. We're not talking about 241 00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:22,079 Speaker 6: some fundamental, massive structure or form, or, as you say 242 00:13:22,080 --> 00:13:26,640 Speaker 6: at the start, any dramatic impact certainly on rates that 243 00:13:26,679 --> 00:13:27,640 Speaker 6: people already pay. 244 00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:31,200 Speaker 2: Okay, so if you and I go to the same lender, 245 00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:34,920 Speaker 2: and let's just say prime still exists as it does now, 246 00:13:35,160 --> 00:13:37,600 Speaker 2: and they offer me prime plus one and you prime 247 00:13:37,720 --> 00:13:41,360 Speaker 2: minus one, I'm not really sure the Competition Commission would 248 00:13:41,400 --> 00:13:45,000 Speaker 2: investigate because prime is just used as a kind of 249 00:13:45,120 --> 00:13:48,000 Speaker 2: convention or a reference point. It doesn't really mean anything 250 00:13:48,040 --> 00:13:52,280 Speaker 2: they're not saying. I mean, the main two factors the 251 00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:55,000 Speaker 2: main two variables to how much you and I each 252 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:58,920 Speaker 2: get offered is how the risk profile of you and 253 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:01,720 Speaker 2: ila where the repo rate is. 254 00:14:03,840 --> 00:14:07,439 Speaker 6: Indeed, and I think that's what the Competition Commission will 255 00:14:07,440 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 6: probably end up saying eventually. Now they might say other 256 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:13,000 Speaker 6: things in the interim. They Competition Commission, I think have 257 00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:16,480 Speaker 6: been itching for quite a while to look at the 258 00:14:16,600 --> 00:14:18,960 Speaker 6: sort of core of banks, if you like, around you know, 259 00:14:19,040 --> 00:14:22,240 Speaker 6: big things like mortgage lending, et cetera. And maybe he 260 00:14:22,320 --> 00:14:23,680 Speaker 6: is using this a little bit of a hook on 261 00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 6: that as well. But I think certainly if you were 262 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:29,760 Speaker 6: to take this to the Competition Appeals Pale, let's say 263 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:32,560 Speaker 6: the initial decision went against it, all the evidence presented 264 00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:36,040 Speaker 6: by banks et cetera, would would convince them that there 265 00:14:36,080 --> 00:14:38,600 Speaker 6: is there is not collusion going on here, but the 266 00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:42,000 Speaker 6: commounts of confusion that's caused certainly, and the debate and 267 00:14:42,040 --> 00:14:45,120 Speaker 6: the confusion and debate in the last you know, thirty 268 00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:48,960 Speaker 6: six hours, I think really does show that actually, everyone, 269 00:14:49,120 --> 00:14:52,040 Speaker 6: including the Salve you know, it, will be well served 270 00:14:52,040 --> 00:14:55,600 Speaker 6: by this review that Salv's undertaking in actually just laying 271 00:14:55,600 --> 00:14:59,040 Speaker 6: out a much cleaner and more simplistic view going forwards, 272 00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:01,480 Speaker 6: which is just to use one rate, which is the 273 00:15:01,520 --> 00:15:02,080 Speaker 6: repair rate. 274 00:15:02,680 --> 00:15:04,960 Speaker 2: I was fascinated to see that many other countries have 275 00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:07,720 Speaker 2: a prime interest rate too, or something like it, and 276 00:15:07,800 --> 00:15:09,880 Speaker 2: most of them are most of them are in the 277 00:15:09,880 --> 00:15:13,080 Speaker 2: same range as ours, But it doesn't help me understand 278 00:15:13,080 --> 00:15:15,320 Speaker 2: why ours is three hundred and fifty points just because 279 00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:17,360 Speaker 2: other countries is also in the same range. 280 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:21,280 Speaker 6: Well one the two other countries do. I mean, in 281 00:15:21,360 --> 00:15:26,360 Speaker 6: many countries you simply compete on the absolute interest rate. 282 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:32,080 Speaker 6: And so you know, perusing around various European UK banks 283 00:15:32,080 --> 00:15:36,720 Speaker 6: today and their websites that you talk about individual rates 284 00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:40,920 Speaker 6: and maybe you have more homogeneous borrowers. You have things 285 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:42,960 Speaker 6: like income thresholds and now things, and the market's work 286 00:15:42,960 --> 00:15:45,360 Speaker 6: in slightly different ways. But these markets generally work more 287 00:15:45,360 --> 00:15:48,840 Speaker 6: on absolute rates, and so they'll talk about the absolute 288 00:15:48,920 --> 00:15:52,720 Speaker 6: level that you're going to be borrowing at. And that's 289 00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:55,320 Speaker 6: an even simpler method in the sense of its one 290 00:15:55,440 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 6: number number actually equates obviously to the amount of interest 291 00:15:58,680 --> 00:16:02,880 Speaker 6: youal then paying on a monthly basis. But I think 292 00:16:02,960 --> 00:16:05,840 Speaker 6: ultimately what the Stalva's going to have to decide, as 293 00:16:05,840 --> 00:16:08,040 Speaker 6: they've done in previous reviews, is what is the cost 294 00:16:08,080 --> 00:16:13,000 Speaker 6: benefit balance of doing this, you can you transition to 295 00:16:13,160 --> 00:16:15,840 Speaker 6: a much simpler model. I think the answer is probably yes. 296 00:16:16,000 --> 00:16:18,000 Speaker 6: You can set it in perpetuity at three hundred and 297 00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:21,680 Speaker 6: fifty basis points and then mandate banks going forward to 298 00:16:22,320 --> 00:16:25,760 Speaker 6: benchmark of the repro rate. And I think maybe when 299 00:16:25,760 --> 00:16:27,680 Speaker 6: we get the end of this this reviews on age 300 00:16:27,680 --> 00:16:29,360 Speaker 6: just starting, we'll probably all look back at this and 301 00:16:29,400 --> 00:16:32,560 Speaker 6: slightly scratch our heads that there was so much drama. 302 00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:36,400 Speaker 2: Peter et Old Montozo, thanks very much, indeed, managing director 303 00:16:36,440 --> 00:16:41,680 Speaker 2: at Cruthen The Money Show, twenty six minutes after six 304 00:16:41,760 --> 00:16:45,320 Speaker 2: Chris Stewart's portfolio manager at ninety one, Chris Good evening, Well, 305 00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:48,440 Speaker 2: come back, a nice update from Northern. They've been able 306 00:16:48,480 --> 00:16:52,200 Speaker 2: to increase their platinum production, and obviously everyone in the 307 00:16:52,200 --> 00:16:54,120 Speaker 2: platinum game will want to produce as much as they 308 00:16:54,120 --> 00:16:55,160 Speaker 2: can at the moment. 309 00:16:56,760 --> 00:17:01,800 Speaker 8: In this environment, Stephen Good, evening. Platinum continues to fly, 310 00:17:02,440 --> 00:17:06,120 Speaker 8: emulating the trend through much of twenty twenty five into 311 00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:09,479 Speaker 8: twenty twenty six. We're seeing sort of platinum price up 312 00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:12,720 Speaker 8: eighteen percent year today, to palladium price up fifteen percent 313 00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:15,320 Speaker 8: and the roodium price up ten percent year to date. 314 00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:19,239 Speaker 8: So it is a very benign and favorable period for 315 00:17:19,320 --> 00:17:23,400 Speaker 8: platinum producers, and Northern managing to increase. 316 00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:25,679 Speaker 9: Their first half twenty twenty six production. 317 00:17:25,760 --> 00:17:29,000 Speaker 8: Remember they've got a junior end, increasing their production to 318 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:32,600 Speaker 8: four hundred and sixty seven point eight thousand answers of 319 00:17:32,680 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 8: platinum equivalent material and that's up three point seven percent 320 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:39,479 Speaker 8: year on year, and you know, the market receiving that 321 00:17:39,720 --> 00:17:42,719 Speaker 8: relatively well. And indeed, all of the platinum stocks again 322 00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:45,600 Speaker 8: today going well. And I mean if you look at 323 00:17:45,640 --> 00:17:48,480 Speaker 8: the year today performance for the platinum stock Sebunya up 324 00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:51,800 Speaker 8: twenty percent, having done three hundred percent last year, in 325 00:17:51,880 --> 00:17:54,440 Speaker 8: part of platinum up another nearly twenty percent as well, 326 00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:57,160 Speaker 8: So you know, it's a good environment for the platinum stocks. 327 00:17:57,280 --> 00:17:59,800 Speaker 8: It's a good environment for the platinum price, and you 328 00:17:59,800 --> 00:18:01,360 Speaker 8: know they continue to go well. 329 00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:04,560 Speaker 2: And I mean gold as well, and particularly this year's silver. 330 00:18:06,600 --> 00:18:09,320 Speaker 8: Yeah, silver, I mean, not a very easy way to 331 00:18:09,320 --> 00:18:12,159 Speaker 8: get exposure to the silver price in the you know 332 00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:16,080 Speaker 8: South African listed context, but silver up today I think 333 00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:18,919 Speaker 8: another five and a half percent and all me a 334 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:21,560 Speaker 8: liar up nearly thirty percent year to date, and I 335 00:18:21,560 --> 00:18:25,639 Speaker 8: think that is another all time high for silver. So 336 00:18:25,680 --> 00:18:28,159 Speaker 8: if you've got any old photographic equipment in the garage, 337 00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:29,560 Speaker 8: to go dig it out and see if you can 338 00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:31,680 Speaker 8: get some silver out of that, because worth a lot 339 00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:32,520 Speaker 8: more than it used to be. 340 00:18:33,920 --> 00:18:36,840 Speaker 2: Oil prices we've just been going up steadily through the week, 341 00:18:36,960 --> 00:18:38,800 Speaker 2: sort of a dollar a day at some point, come 342 00:18:38,800 --> 00:18:40,600 Speaker 2: off a little bit in the last sort of hour 343 00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:44,320 Speaker 2: and a half. I'm presuming that's mostly Iran. No one 344 00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:46,400 Speaker 2: really knows how this is going to end, and all 345 00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:48,600 Speaker 2: of the reports I see suggest that this is actually 346 00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:51,399 Speaker 2: becoming a lot more serious for the government in charge 347 00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:53,680 Speaker 2: than any other threat for quite some time. 348 00:18:55,240 --> 00:18:57,960 Speaker 8: Yeah, you know, there's a bit of a media blackout, 349 00:18:58,040 --> 00:19:00,560 Speaker 8: so we're we're only hearing slippets in this, but we're 350 00:19:00,560 --> 00:19:07,560 Speaker 8: hearing our horrendous from a humanitarian perspective, and you know, 351 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:11,840 Speaker 8: that's certainly driving the oil price up. Luckily, I guess 352 00:19:11,840 --> 00:19:14,320 Speaker 8: from a South African perspective, what we are losing on 353 00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:16,800 Speaker 8: the oil roundabouts, we're gaining on the rand dollar swings. 354 00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:22,160 Speaker 8: So the you know, rand oil price still behaving, okay, 355 00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:25,720 Speaker 8: but you know, certainly something to keep an eye on. 356 00:19:25,840 --> 00:19:27,959 Speaker 8: I don't think it's what anything to do with Venezuela. 357 00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:30,639 Speaker 8: I think associating Venezuela and the actions in it in 358 00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:35,359 Speaker 8: Venezuela to the oil market is possibly expedient for Prisent Trump, 359 00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:38,200 Speaker 8: but not particularly close to the truth. 360 00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:42,040 Speaker 2: Christian, thanks very much, indeed, portfolio manager at ninety one 361 00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:44,600 Speaker 2: do appreciate it. And sort of to tack onto the 362 00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:47,120 Speaker 2: end of that, will be hearing from the World Economic 363 00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:50,640 Speaker 2: from their Global Risks Report in a little while and 364 00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:52,840 Speaker 2: pretty much I think, and to be following on the 365 00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:56,760 Speaker 2: same theme, very worried about uncertainty, and the other issue 366 00:19:56,760 --> 00:20:00,600 Speaker 2: is geoeconomic competition. As to the big things I think 367 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:03,840 Speaker 2: are going to be included in that conversation you're with 368 00:20:03,880 --> 00:20:05,399 Speaker 2: the Money Show just gone six thirty. 369 00:20:05,560 --> 00:20:09,880 Speaker 1: What have Stephen on seven two seven o two one, 370 00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:10,880 Speaker 1: seven oh two. 371 00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:13,920 Speaker 2: Well, I saw confirmation today that the US President Donald 372 00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:15,840 Speaker 2: Trump is going to go to the World Economic for 373 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:19,120 Speaker 2: a meeting in Davos. And you might think to yourself, well, 374 00:20:19,119 --> 00:20:20,879 Speaker 2: why would he go to Davos. It's kind of the 375 00:20:20,920 --> 00:20:24,399 Speaker 2: epitome of everything he hates. Everybody's sort of working together 376 00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:26,000 Speaker 2: in a room. And I think it's pretty clear to 377 00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:28,880 Speaker 2: me why he's going. He's gonna make it all about him. 378 00:20:29,240 --> 00:20:31,600 Speaker 2: He's gonna walk into the room. It's gonna swagger a 379 00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:33,879 Speaker 2: little bit. He's gonna sort of show himself to be, 380 00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:36,920 Speaker 2: you know, the big man. Choose my words very carefully 381 00:20:36,960 --> 00:20:39,600 Speaker 2: here in the room. I think that's what he's gonna do. 382 00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:42,080 Speaker 2: He just loves the attention. And this is the thing 383 00:20:42,119 --> 00:20:45,119 Speaker 2: about Trump. More than anyone I've ever met, and I 384 00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:49,280 Speaker 2: work in radio, more than anyone I've ever met. He 385 00:20:49,480 --> 00:20:52,040 Speaker 2: craves the attention. I think he just can't he just 386 00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:55,360 Speaker 2: can't leave it alone. And he'll do what he sort 387 00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:57,560 Speaker 2: of does, you know, the strange things that he says 388 00:20:57,560 --> 00:21:00,840 Speaker 2: and all the rest. But I think it's just simple attention. 389 00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:03,840 Speaker 2: Sort of watching when he answers questions and when he 390 00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:07,400 Speaker 2: walks away afterwards, you can see loves it. I think 391 00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:10,800 Speaker 2: it's as simple as that. He just loves it. Shame 392 00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:12,879 Speaker 2: All The Lonely Show. 393 00:21:12,800 --> 00:21:16,560 Speaker 3: With Stephen Krut's Live on ninety two point seven and 394 00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:19,639 Speaker 3: one six FM, streaming on the Prime Media. 395 00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:22,679 Speaker 1: Plus NAP and TSTV channel eight five six. 396 00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:25,560 Speaker 2: The South African story of the last year has been 397 00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:27,640 Speaker 2: the huge increase in the gold price. In the fact, 398 00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:29,760 Speaker 2: gold just seems to be being rated as more and 399 00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:34,240 Speaker 2: more valuable today. The World Economic Forum releasing its Global 400 00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:38,840 Speaker 2: Risks Reports, showing uncertainty is the biggest risk many people 401 00:21:38,920 --> 00:21:42,120 Speaker 2: see and that would probably appear to explain why gold 402 00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:45,960 Speaker 2: is behaving as it is. Spiros Phertaorus is the CEO 403 00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:48,399 Speaker 2: of Marsh Africa, one of the people who helped compile 404 00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:51,280 Speaker 2: this report. Spiros, a good evening. I do appreciate the time. 405 00:21:51,320 --> 00:21:53,600 Speaker 2: Thank you the people you spoke to. What did they 406 00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:57,520 Speaker 2: say about the risk, particularly of uncertainty as they see it? 407 00:21:58,760 --> 00:21:59,479 Speaker 10: Stephen, thank you. 408 00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:00,560 Speaker 9: Yes. 409 00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,919 Speaker 10: So, the World Economic Forum publishes the Global Risk Report 410 00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:07,600 Speaker 10: and every year it's known it's some twenty first edition 411 00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:09,800 Speaker 10: and maybe just to give you a listener some context, 412 00:22:10,320 --> 00:22:14,399 Speaker 10: I think it serve as about thirteen hundred experts worldwide 413 00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:17,720 Speaker 10: and gets input from about eleven thousand business leaders, and 414 00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:20,639 Speaker 10: it's really as a pre course precursor. 415 00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:21,840 Speaker 5: To doubles every year. 416 00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:24,960 Speaker 10: So to answer your question, I mean, I think what's 417 00:22:25,000 --> 00:22:29,240 Speaker 10: really driving uncertainty is I think there's really been a 418 00:22:29,280 --> 00:22:36,680 Speaker 10: fundamental shift globally from an era of international cooperation to 419 00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:40,320 Speaker 10: one now mark pas sort of rivalry and fragmentation. I 420 00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:45,480 Speaker 10: think the global multipolar landscape has really changed, and he's 421 00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:49,960 Speaker 10: now been characterized more by declining trust amongst nations, and 422 00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:54,960 Speaker 10: it's quite a significant retreat from multilateral frameworks. And really 423 00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:59,320 Speaker 10: what this plays art is, as you know, as these 424 00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:03,960 Speaker 10: correct operative mechanisms erode, it undermines the ability of the 425 00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:07,720 Speaker 10: sort of international community to I think, really address the 426 00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:10,879 Speaker 10: share challenges that we face as a globe, you know, 427 00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:15,240 Speaker 10: particularly climate change, global health, and economic resilience. And I 428 00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:20,240 Speaker 10: think this really drives the uncertainty of business leaders and 429 00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:22,080 Speaker 10: global leaders in the new world order. 430 00:23:22,680 --> 00:23:25,440 Speaker 2: I mean, they're also huge concerns. The phrase that the 431 00:23:26,160 --> 00:23:31,120 Speaker 2: report uses is geoeconomic confrontation, and I mean immediately think 432 00:23:31,280 --> 00:23:33,480 Speaker 2: you think of sort of the US and China, But 433 00:23:33,640 --> 00:23:36,160 Speaker 2: what you also think is of the Trump tariffs last 434 00:23:36,280 --> 00:23:39,440 Speaker 2: year and it's uncertain whether they come back or not. 435 00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:42,720 Speaker 10: Correct, and I mean I think it's it's in a 436 00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:47,439 Speaker 10: geoeconomic confrontation is the number one risk in the short term, 437 00:23:48,119 --> 00:23:51,520 Speaker 10: and it's seen a massive increase from the prior. I 438 00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:54,080 Speaker 10: think it's up over eight points. I mean last year 439 00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:59,560 Speaker 10: the report highlighted and AI misinformation disinformation is the top risk. 440 00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:04,080 Speaker 10: But really what's happened in the world is is this 441 00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 10: issue now around you know, Middle powers and global powers 442 00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:11,800 Speaker 10: really looking inwards and trying to focus on what's important 443 00:24:11,800 --> 00:24:14,600 Speaker 10: for them and really, as I said before, you know, 444 00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:18,520 Speaker 10: really putting at risk some of these global multilateral organizations. 445 00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:23,240 Speaker 2: You talk about AI and sort of misinformation and disinformation, 446 00:24:23,400 --> 00:24:25,879 Speaker 2: And yes, they might have slid down the level in 447 00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:28,040 Speaker 2: terms of what is the thing I'm most scared of 448 00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:31,080 Speaker 2: right now, but they haven't gone away as risks surely. 449 00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:33,560 Speaker 2: I mean, they seem to have the power to shape 450 00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:35,640 Speaker 2: narratives and all sorts of things. 451 00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:38,000 Speaker 11: Correct, they still I mean, the report really. 452 00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,520 Speaker 10: Breaks the risks into three horizons. You know, what we 453 00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:43,360 Speaker 10: expect in twenty six what we expect in the next 454 00:24:43,400 --> 00:24:45,720 Speaker 10: two years, and what we expect in the next ten years. 455 00:24:46,080 --> 00:24:48,960 Speaker 10: But the risks they pretty stable for twenty sixth and 456 00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:53,200 Speaker 10: in the next two years. And as you've said, you know, AI, cybersecurity, 457 00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:57,359 Speaker 10: and really economic concerns are really in the top five, 458 00:24:58,119 --> 00:25:01,160 Speaker 10: with the fifth one really being INTE popping up there. 459 00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:03,840 Speaker 10: But as you shift to the tenure horizon, you know, 460 00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:07,320 Speaker 10: the top five risks are all dominated by environmental concerns. 461 00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:12,640 Speaker 10: So the ar is there. And what's interesting as well 462 00:25:12,760 --> 00:25:17,800 Speaker 10: is the report does highlight sort of adverse outcomes of 463 00:25:17,960 --> 00:25:22,720 Speaker 10: AAR has seen actually the biggest risk in moving from 464 00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:25,719 Speaker 10: the two year horizon to the ten year horizon without 465 00:25:25,720 --> 00:25:29,080 Speaker 10: shifting up over sort of thirty points in a ranking perspective. 466 00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:33,160 Speaker 10: So it articulates that, you know, business leaders and the 467 00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:37,240 Speaker 10: server respondents don't really know what AR will bring us 468 00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:41,240 Speaker 10: as you extend the horizon to five and ten years. 469 00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:45,040 Speaker 2: I mean, so every year you do, the risk remportant 470 00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:47,720 Speaker 2: and there's always you know, a greater risk or something 471 00:25:47,760 --> 00:25:50,440 Speaker 2: that's come in or something that's receded as a risk. 472 00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:54,560 Speaker 2: It's slightly harder to ask is the world facing more 473 00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:57,159 Speaker 2: risk or more intensified risk or is the world a 474 00:25:57,240 --> 00:26:00,199 Speaker 2: risky at place now than it was last year? I 475 00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:03,080 Speaker 2: have to say, though my guts to that question, the 476 00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:06,359 Speaker 2: gut answer would be absolutely, it's riskier now than it 477 00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:09,239 Speaker 2: was a year ago, and riskier now than it was 478 00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:11,920 Speaker 2: kind of anytime, perhaps before the pandemic. 479 00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:17,439 Speaker 10: There's definitely been a trend year on here where you know, 480 00:26:17,560 --> 00:26:21,520 Speaker 10: risks are spiral in intensity, And what the report does 481 00:26:21,560 --> 00:26:25,680 Speaker 10: really try harlight is the interconnected nature of risks from 482 00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:27,800 Speaker 10: a short term perspective and a long term perspective, and 483 00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:32,880 Speaker 10: the two most interconnected risks where everything plays into is 484 00:26:33,240 --> 00:26:39,879 Speaker 10: not surprisingly social inequality and sort of economic downturn, and 485 00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:42,280 Speaker 10: those are the two most interconnected risks that you can 486 00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:44,920 Speaker 10: see how it really feeds into them. But there's no 487 00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:49,440 Speaker 10: doubt that if we look here on here, there's definitely 488 00:26:49,600 --> 00:26:54,600 Speaker 10: pessimism that's moved in from a respondent perspective. Over fifty 489 00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:57,320 Speaker 10: seven percent of the respondents think that the next ten 490 00:26:57,400 --> 00:27:00,320 Speaker 10: years are going to be way more turbulent than seen 491 00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:00,760 Speaker 10: in the past. 492 00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:03,760 Speaker 2: Sure, that's a that's a big figure. I mean, it's 493 00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:06,639 Speaker 2: interesting what you talk about with inequality, because inequality we 494 00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:08,920 Speaker 2: often think of as a sort of South African conversation, 495 00:27:09,280 --> 00:27:11,600 Speaker 2: but more and more people in other parts of the 496 00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:13,640 Speaker 2: world are beginning to worry about it where they are 497 00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:15,159 Speaker 2: and globally. 498 00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:19,440 Speaker 10: Correct, I mean, it's definitely become as there Stevens, Sorry, 499 00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:22,320 Speaker 10: yes we are for us. Sorry, Yes, I think you're right. 500 00:27:22,359 --> 00:27:25,840 Speaker 10: I think globally it has become an issue and it's 501 00:27:25,920 --> 00:27:29,439 Speaker 10: not sort of confined to South Africa or Africa. You know, 502 00:27:29,480 --> 00:27:34,320 Speaker 10: there's a real the report highlights there's real sort of 503 00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:38,240 Speaker 10: trend of you know, streets versus elise and you know 504 00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:41,040 Speaker 10: we see that playing out, you know, politically you see 505 00:27:41,040 --> 00:27:43,399 Speaker 10: that play out from a protest perspective. We see that 506 00:27:43,440 --> 00:27:44,080 Speaker 10: all over the world. 507 00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:48,200 Speaker 2: Spiros, thanks very much. Indeed, Spirits for Tourists is the 508 00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:50,280 Speaker 2: CEO of Marsh Africa. 509 00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:53,400 Speaker 12: The Money Show with Stephen Curtis is brought to you 510 00:27:53,440 --> 00:27:57,200 Speaker 12: by absce cib a Pan African bank invested in your 511 00:27:57,240 --> 00:28:01,800 Speaker 12: story and the potential it can unlock because your story matters. 512 00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:05,400 Speaker 2: How does the rased FSP eight minutes now to seven. 513 00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:09,680 Speaker 2: You heard the conversation there about global economic risks or 514 00:28:09,760 --> 00:28:14,760 Speaker 2: risks of the global economy and the phrase geoeconomic competition 515 00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:19,520 Speaker 2: or confrontation rather. And one company in South Africa that 516 00:28:19,600 --> 00:28:22,640 Speaker 2: may be benefiting from the kind of rivalry that would 517 00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:28,080 Speaker 2: lead to geoeconomic confrontation is Rainbow Rare Earths. They've received 518 00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:31,480 Speaker 2: over eight hundred million round in financing from the US 519 00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:34,879 Speaker 2: International Development Finance Corporation. They're now starting operations at a 520 00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:38,600 Speaker 2: pilot plant near joe Burg. George Burnett is the CEO 521 00:28:38,640 --> 00:28:40,760 Speaker 2: of Rainbow Rare Earth. George, good evening. I know it's 522 00:28:40,800 --> 00:28:43,240 Speaker 2: a big week for you, so thank you. What kind 523 00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:45,560 Speaker 2: of rare earths are you looking at producing? If it 524 00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:46,680 Speaker 2: all goes according to plan? 525 00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:51,600 Speaker 5: Good evening to your listeners, thanks for that. So we 526 00:28:51,800 --> 00:28:54,959 Speaker 5: are going to be producing what's known as separated near 527 00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:59,880 Speaker 5: dymium and presidinium, which your key two key elements ago 528 00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:03,840 Speaker 5: what's known as permanent magnets, as well as an seg 529 00:29:04,000 --> 00:29:07,440 Speaker 5: plus which is samarium, europeum and gandelium and all the 530 00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:10,400 Speaker 5: other heavy road elements that sit in a basket similar 531 00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:13,360 Speaker 5: to a platinum group metal's basket. When your mind reverse, 532 00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:15,520 Speaker 5: you get all your rese in a basket. We will 533 00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:18,160 Speaker 5: be separating tubo vers out of the basket. The rest 534 00:29:18,160 --> 00:29:20,600 Speaker 5: of the basket will create a one basket and that 535 00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:24,000 Speaker 5: will be sent to off take you for further separation. 536 00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:27,800 Speaker 5: But in that basket we've got very very valuable disprosium 537 00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:32,560 Speaker 5: and terbium, which are also critical res required for permanent magnets. 538 00:29:33,040 --> 00:29:36,360 Speaker 5: They're known as heavies and these these those two root 539 00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:40,280 Speaker 5: elements are also very key in defense applications as well 540 00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:44,240 Speaker 5: as the trium, another Q reord that's required in defense applications. 541 00:29:44,600 --> 00:29:47,520 Speaker 5: So rus that become a very powerful political tool, as 542 00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:50,800 Speaker 5: you quite rightly point out, and they critical for all 543 00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:54,680 Speaker 5: modern technology. Every bit of modern techt can think of 544 00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:58,440 Speaker 5: requires realth elements in some form as well as defense applications. 545 00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:03,600 Speaker 2: Are they difficult to mind? The deposits that you're looking at. 546 00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:09,480 Speaker 5: Well, we're extracting nerves out of waste product called phosphogypsum, 547 00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:12,560 Speaker 5: which was created as a results of phosphoric acid production. 548 00:30:12,640 --> 00:30:17,840 Speaker 5: Then Plobora by Cecil the big chemical conglomerates. So when 549 00:30:17,880 --> 00:30:20,840 Speaker 5: they produce phosphoric acid, they use the feat stocks with 550 00:30:21,000 --> 00:30:25,360 Speaker 5: a feat stock known as the phosphate hydrock slurry. Theres 551 00:30:25,360 --> 00:30:27,360 Speaker 5: are presents in the phosphate hard rock, but not in 552 00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:31,120 Speaker 5: economic quantities. But because you concentrate that slurry, put it 553 00:30:31,200 --> 00:30:34,440 Speaker 5: through a phosphoric acid production process and created gyps and 554 00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:37,680 Speaker 5: waste residue, there is now the port with the waste 555 00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:41,760 Speaker 5: gyps and weights into these two stacks at Paliboa and 556 00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:44,760 Speaker 5: the rors who are upgraded in this process and announce 557 00:30:44,840 --> 00:30:47,880 Speaker 5: its a very economic quantities in the gypsum waste stacks. 558 00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:50,720 Speaker 5: Rares are actually not that rare, but they're very rare 559 00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:53,920 Speaker 5: economic quantities, and they're very difficult. Not so much to mind, 560 00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:57,120 Speaker 5: but they're difficult to process and to extract. And that's 561 00:30:57,160 --> 00:31:00,520 Speaker 5: the key that Rainber has cracked with phosphogypsum and we've 562 00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:03,760 Speaker 5: done it successfully and we're now doing our last stage 563 00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:06,960 Speaker 5: or piloting before we go into commercial production where we 564 00:31:07,040 --> 00:31:08,520 Speaker 5: target to twenty twenty eight. 565 00:31:09,080 --> 00:31:11,560 Speaker 2: Okay, so the way this has been produced in the 566 00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:13,440 Speaker 2: history of it, I mean, what does this mean? This 567 00:31:13,560 --> 00:31:15,960 Speaker 2: is really a sort of unique opportunity. There's nothing out there. 568 00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:19,280 Speaker 2: There's no other economically viable deposits of this stuff in 569 00:31:19,320 --> 00:31:23,000 Speaker 2: South Africa, unfortunately, was what our takeaway from that. 570 00:31:24,280 --> 00:31:30,000 Speaker 5: Not really. There is a small waste residue in Richard's 571 00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:32,960 Speaker 5: Bay and it's almost depleted that it was owned by Fossall. 572 00:31:33,520 --> 00:31:36,200 Speaker 5: And we have a project in Brazil where there's a 573 00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:41,560 Speaker 5: global socilizer business called Mosaic. We are also we're also 574 00:31:41,600 --> 00:31:44,880 Speaker 5: producing the gyps and Waste Residuy POSPI gyps and Waiste 575 00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:49,280 Speaker 5: residue from NEPOS podcasts production facilities in Brazil. But the 576 00:31:49,320 --> 00:31:52,000 Speaker 5: beauty about that project gets a live stack, so it's 577 00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:55,360 Speaker 5: got another forty years of love. And we have a 578 00:31:55,400 --> 00:32:00,000 Speaker 5: similar project running in Brazil with a partnership with most. 579 00:32:00,600 --> 00:32:02,800 Speaker 5: So we did two very key opportunities. 580 00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:06,760 Speaker 2: I pointed out that the US International Development Finance Corporation 581 00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:10,600 Speaker 2: had given you quite a lot of finance Georgia. I 582 00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:12,479 Speaker 2: hate to be so blunt, but does that mean that 583 00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:14,960 Speaker 2: what you produce you have to sell to the US first? 584 00:32:16,080 --> 00:32:20,680 Speaker 5: No. Basically, the basis of that finance on the DMC 585 00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:24,959 Speaker 5: is that it's fifty million dollars committed for in when 586 00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:28,600 Speaker 5: we go to full commercial production, So fifty million dollars 587 00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:31,800 Speaker 5: of equity I don't have to raise at that point 588 00:32:31,840 --> 00:32:35,640 Speaker 5: in time. And the only thing is that we cannot 589 00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:37,800 Speaker 5: sell to non what they call non A lane countries 590 00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:41,880 Speaker 5: that's Russia around China or North Korea. But we can 591 00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:46,560 Speaker 5: sell to Australia, Japan, South Korea, Europe and the US 592 00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:48,120 Speaker 5: or North America. 593 00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:52,600 Speaker 2: So I mean the things that you're I want to 594 00:32:52,640 --> 00:32:55,280 Speaker 2: said mining, but maybe processing is a better word. 595 00:32:55,880 --> 00:32:57,600 Speaker 5: It's a chemical processing facility. 596 00:32:57,640 --> 00:33:00,360 Speaker 2: Correct, Okay. Does the price sort of go up and 597 00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:03,640 Speaker 2: down as other sort of minerals do, and particularly sort 598 00:33:03,640 --> 00:33:06,200 Speaker 2: of raarer minerals, or does it stay within a kind 599 00:33:06,240 --> 00:33:08,280 Speaker 2: of fixed band? And I imagine it sort of depends 600 00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:10,640 Speaker 2: on what's happening in the relationship between the Earth and China, 601 00:33:10,720 --> 00:33:13,240 Speaker 2: and China is generally one of the bigger producers of 602 00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:13,800 Speaker 2: things like this. 603 00:33:14,800 --> 00:33:18,760 Speaker 5: No, rare prices have been quite volatile because the Chinese 604 00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:22,400 Speaker 5: manipulate the passing you know, for the last couple of years, 605 00:33:22,440 --> 00:33:25,440 Speaker 5: they've pushed the passing way down to a sort of 606 00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:30,360 Speaker 5: a centgrical low to prevent REarth projects in the waste 607 00:33:30,360 --> 00:33:34,680 Speaker 5: coming on stream. Rainbow. Fortunately, because we're not a mining project, 608 00:33:34,720 --> 00:33:38,240 Speaker 5: we treating waste residue, we've got a much lower cost. 609 00:33:38,600 --> 00:33:41,800 Speaker 5: So our catics and opics is significantly lower than the 610 00:33:41,800 --> 00:33:45,160 Speaker 5: typical REarth project. And with that we all got one 611 00:33:45,160 --> 00:33:47,920 Speaker 5: of the highest margins of any project and development in 612 00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:50,520 Speaker 5: the world today. So because seventy five percent everydom margin, 613 00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:53,160 Speaker 5: and with that we can withstand the low point in 614 00:33:53,200 --> 00:33:56,240 Speaker 5: the past. So the low points in the passing cycle, 615 00:33:56,680 --> 00:33:59,560 Speaker 5: which was sort of during twenty twenty five, even though 616 00:33:59,600 --> 00:34:02,200 Speaker 5: they'd low point that we were in production, we still 617 00:34:02,200 --> 00:34:04,760 Speaker 5: would have made a significant amount of money. And then 618 00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:08,880 Speaker 5: that facilitated the deal between the Department of Defense in 619 00:34:08,960 --> 00:34:12,760 Speaker 5: America and Empty Materials in America, the biggest earth producer 620 00:34:13,120 --> 00:34:17,040 Speaker 5: of primary rooth concentrate outside of China, to do a 621 00:34:17,080 --> 00:34:19,080 Speaker 5: deal with They set the four prices for neargineum and 622 00:34:19,160 --> 00:34:22,440 Speaker 5: presidenium and one hundred and ten dollars a kilogram, so 623 00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:25,920 Speaker 5: that was a significant game changer for the market, and 624 00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:28,920 Speaker 5: since then we've seen the price of new geneum and 625 00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:31,920 Speaker 5: presidentium in China, which is the two key root elements 626 00:34:31,920 --> 00:34:35,200 Speaker 5: for perman magnets brass, to over one hundred dollars a 627 00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:38,600 Speaker 5: kilogram now, so it's basically aligned with that benchmark price 628 00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:42,120 Speaker 5: set by the DoD last year in the US. 629 00:34:42,480 --> 00:34:45,400 Speaker 2: I presume there must be a worldwide hunt on for 630 00:34:45,560 --> 00:34:48,319 Speaker 2: other sources of this stuff, other sources like the one 631 00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:49,600 Speaker 2: that you now control. 632 00:34:51,160 --> 00:34:55,200 Speaker 5: There are a couple other people who are looking at it, 633 00:34:55,239 --> 00:34:57,960 Speaker 5: but most people are approaching us because we've developed the 634 00:34:58,040 --> 00:35:02,400 Speaker 5: RP to expect looked at extracting various other postil gypsum 635 00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:06,120 Speaker 5: for petio years, but none of it's ever been done 636 00:35:06,160 --> 00:35:09,200 Speaker 5: on an economic basis. So there are lots of academic 637 00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:14,000 Speaker 5: papers there've been done and sort of the university laboratories, 638 00:35:14,040 --> 00:35:17,520 Speaker 5: but it's never been done on a large scale commercial scale. 639 00:35:17,560 --> 00:35:20,719 Speaker 5: And our pilot point rerunning is probably about sixty ten 640 00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:23,880 Speaker 5: times larger than a typical minerals process in pilot plant, 641 00:35:24,160 --> 00:35:26,479 Speaker 5: So it's a large scale pilot plant just to prove 642 00:35:26,520 --> 00:35:28,799 Speaker 5: if we can scale this up, and we're not using 643 00:35:28,800 --> 00:35:32,080 Speaker 5: any significant technology at our pie sits and the reagents, 644 00:35:32,160 --> 00:35:37,360 Speaker 5: your reason you're dosing, and the various concentrations, and then 645 00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:41,760 Speaker 5: how combined all these elements to extecut yours on the fosterogypsum. 646 00:35:41,920 --> 00:35:44,080 Speaker 5: And we've been able to do that successfully at Rainbow. 647 00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:47,200 Speaker 2: Thanks very much. Indeed, George Burnett is the CEO of 648 00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:50,920 Speaker 2: Rainbow Rares. Fascinating business to be in. Fascinating opportunity that's 649 00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:54,360 Speaker 2: been spotted and obviously being taken advantage of. Don't forget 650 00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:58,160 Speaker 2: our shape shift tonight. The chair of the Commissioner rather 651 00:35:58,360 --> 00:36:02,399 Speaker 2: of the International Trade Hainsation Commission, Iabanga Kawe. I think 652 00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:04,400 Speaker 2: it's going to be a very interesting conversation. You used 653 00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:07,120 Speaker 2: to work in radio. You have The Money Show seven o'clock. 654 00:36:08,040 --> 00:36:12,320 Speaker 1: And now The Money Show with Stephen Sridis on seven 655 00:36:12,360 --> 00:36:14,200 Speaker 1: oh two. Let's walk little. 656 00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:16,480 Speaker 2: The Money Show with Stephen Curtis has brought to you 657 00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:19,600 Speaker 2: by ABS of Corporate and Investment Banking, a Pan African 658 00:36:19,600 --> 00:36:23,320 Speaker 2: bank that's invested in your story because your story matters. 659 00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:26,920 Speaker 2: Good evening, it's seven minutes after seven. I'm Stephen Critis 660 00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:30,040 Speaker 2: for lots to come. Don't forget Ayabuga Kawe as your 661 00:36:30,080 --> 00:36:32,480 Speaker 2: shape shifter, someone who has had a very sort of 662 00:36:32,480 --> 00:36:35,280 Speaker 2: interesting life from the Eastern Cape. If I remember correctly, 663 00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:39,000 Speaker 2: we'll ask him. But also once described himself in a 664 00:36:39,040 --> 00:36:43,040 Speaker 2: newspaper article as the grandchild of peasants, and I think, 665 00:36:43,120 --> 00:36:45,600 Speaker 2: like so many people in our country, comes from a 666 00:36:45,640 --> 00:36:48,520 Speaker 2: background that's changed very very quickly. So I think there 667 00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:52,479 Speaker 2: are stories there. And then also the complexities of international trade. 668 00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:54,840 Speaker 2: I think that's why he likes it. I find trade 669 00:36:54,920 --> 00:36:56,680 Speaker 2: can sort of blow your mind, if you you know, 670 00:36:56,719 --> 00:36:59,960 Speaker 2: because there's so many consequences to literally everything we do. 671 00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:03,439 Speaker 2: So looking forward to that conversation. Well here from Wendy Nola, 672 00:37:03,520 --> 00:37:07,440 Speaker 2: your consumer Ninja. She is talking tonight about credit records 673 00:37:07,719 --> 00:37:11,719 Speaker 2: and Superior Moyo in a moment the organizational behavior specialist. 674 00:37:12,080 --> 00:37:16,600 Speaker 2: He is talking about positivity and why it's not toxic 675 00:37:17,000 --> 00:37:19,440 Speaker 2: if you do it correctly. There are some people and 676 00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:22,880 Speaker 2: some times I'll see something on social media or wherever. 677 00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:26,080 Speaker 2: I'll get the odd email from someone and I'm just like, no, 678 00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:29,759 Speaker 2: take the positivity away. I mean I first thought that 679 00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:32,360 Speaker 2: it was me and not them, and that I was 680 00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:36,880 Speaker 2: just getting old, but then I was like seriously, like seriously, no, 681 00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:40,239 Speaker 2: that kind of positivity is toxic. It's quite a strange thing, 682 00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:43,280 Speaker 2: toxic positivity. How to do positivity well? 683 00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:48,640 Speaker 1: In just a moment The Money Show with Stephen on 684 00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:50,400 Speaker 1: two seven. 685 00:37:50,120 --> 00:37:54,200 Speaker 2: O two, John Cenhayesen speaking as the Agricultural Minister today, 686 00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:57,480 Speaker 2: saying he's going to ask cabinets to declare foot and 687 00:37:57,520 --> 00:38:01,000 Speaker 2: mouth disease a disaster. Essentially, he wants the police to 688 00:38:01,000 --> 00:38:03,680 Speaker 2: play a more active role in stopping the movement of livestock. 689 00:38:03,920 --> 00:38:07,640 Speaker 2: It's very difficult to actually do. In some cases in 690 00:38:07,680 --> 00:38:10,839 Speaker 2: the Eastern Cape, for example, over hills, people will walk 691 00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:14,439 Speaker 2: animals to their brother or their sister's family, as they've 692 00:38:14,440 --> 00:38:16,320 Speaker 2: done for generations, and I think it's very hard to 693 00:38:16,320 --> 00:38:18,799 Speaker 2: stop that. What you can do is stop the large 694 00:38:18,840 --> 00:38:23,319 Speaker 2: scale movement, which usually involves vehicles of some kind. But 695 00:38:23,640 --> 00:38:26,279 Speaker 2: I was also interested, and he says he's going to 696 00:38:26,280 --> 00:38:28,480 Speaker 2: try and make South Africa sort of FMD three in 697 00:38:28,560 --> 00:38:32,359 Speaker 2: ten years. What I still don't quite understand is why 698 00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:34,880 Speaker 2: we were no longer producing vaccine doses for foot and 699 00:38:34,960 --> 00:38:37,480 Speaker 2: mouth disease. In fact, we had to import the first ones, 700 00:38:37,520 --> 00:38:40,280 Speaker 2: I think from Botswana. If memory serves, we're not allowed 701 00:38:40,320 --> 00:38:42,680 Speaker 2: to take our vegetables into Botswana. But we can buy 702 00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:45,920 Speaker 2: their vaccines. It's a strange world sometimes. And someone I 703 00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:49,239 Speaker 2: bumped into the holidays from Botswana was telling me that, 704 00:38:49,280 --> 00:38:51,480 Speaker 2: in fact, he's been x ray to make sure he 705 00:38:51,520 --> 00:38:55,319 Speaker 2: wasn't bringing vegetables into the country. I mean seriously, but 706 00:38:56,120 --> 00:38:58,759 Speaker 2: I still don't quite understand and I don't have it 707 00:38:58,840 --> 00:39:00,480 Speaker 2: set in my own head as to why it is 708 00:39:00,480 --> 00:39:03,080 Speaker 2: we were not producing foot in mouth vaccines. This, by 709 00:39:03,120 --> 00:39:05,320 Speaker 2: the way, is not something one can blame John Stenna's 710 00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:07,920 Speaker 2: and for. This is something that will go back sometime. 711 00:39:07,960 --> 00:39:12,240 Speaker 2: And I know that we've seen also something Clobar speaking 712 00:39:12,239 --> 00:39:15,040 Speaker 2: about it over the years and saying that we need 713 00:39:15,080 --> 00:39:17,040 Speaker 2: to sort of bring this back. What I hope is 714 00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:19,960 Speaker 2: that it does lead to sort of a better kind 715 00:39:20,000 --> 00:39:24,040 Speaker 2: of long term response in you know, two foot in mouth. 716 00:39:24,120 --> 00:39:24,560 Speaker 9: It is a. 717 00:39:24,480 --> 00:39:27,200 Speaker 2: Difficult disease to deal with. It does cost farmers money. 718 00:39:27,760 --> 00:39:31,720 Speaker 2: It also distresses the animals. But surely having vaccine doses 719 00:39:31,760 --> 00:39:33,920 Speaker 2: would be the right way to go. Could hear from 720 00:39:33,960 --> 00:39:35,680 Speaker 2: you tonight? By the way, oh double one double A 721 00:39:35,760 --> 00:39:38,040 Speaker 2: three seven two two one four for six oh five 722 00:39:38,120 --> 00:39:40,920 Speaker 2: six seven and voice notes on seven two seven oh 723 00:39:40,920 --> 00:39:45,280 Speaker 2: two one seven oh two. Who's the most positively toxic person. 724 00:39:45,320 --> 00:39:47,759 Speaker 2: You can imagine be very interested to hear your voice 725 00:39:47,800 --> 00:39:48,839 Speaker 2: notes Tonight. 726 00:39:49,960 --> 00:39:51,839 Speaker 1: Show Business unusual. 727 00:39:52,000 --> 00:39:55,799 Speaker 2: So bare Moil is the organizational behavior specialist and he 728 00:39:55,920 --> 00:39:59,960 Speaker 2: joins us now so bway good evening. Positivity and toxicity. 729 00:40:00,040 --> 00:40:02,600 Speaker 2: And at first when I first heard the phrase toxic 730 00:40:02,960 --> 00:40:07,719 Speaker 2: posit toxic positivity, I kind of couldn't quite understand it. 731 00:40:08,200 --> 00:40:10,920 Speaker 2: And yet I think many people sort of talk about 732 00:40:11,160 --> 00:40:14,360 Speaker 2: positivity almost in a sort of negative way, kind of 733 00:40:14,400 --> 00:40:16,440 Speaker 2: can be quite irritating if it's done badly. 734 00:40:18,000 --> 00:40:21,360 Speaker 11: It's such a tricky thing stiven to have because I 735 00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:24,120 Speaker 11: think there's nothing wrong with positivity. It's not a problem 736 00:40:24,160 --> 00:40:27,279 Speaker 11: at all. But I think we're having this performative or 737 00:40:27,320 --> 00:40:30,880 Speaker 11: shallow positivity right when you're trying to tell your boss 738 00:40:30,920 --> 00:40:34,040 Speaker 11: something that is not going right and they say you're 739 00:40:34,080 --> 00:40:36,360 Speaker 11: always complaining, You never look at the bright side. You 740 00:40:36,360 --> 00:40:39,239 Speaker 11: feel dismissed, you feel like someone is not listening. So 741 00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:42,680 Speaker 11: I think the main thing is when people feel like 742 00:40:42,719 --> 00:40:45,640 Speaker 11: they're being dismissed, when people feel like we're not facing 743 00:40:45,680 --> 00:40:50,399 Speaker 11: their reality that we have head on, as if positivity 744 00:40:50,440 --> 00:40:54,000 Speaker 11: wants to ignore the facts or it's a contextual I 745 00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:57,839 Speaker 11: think we're having situations where now there are people who 746 00:40:57,840 --> 00:41:00,600 Speaker 11: are really really pushing back around positivity. But I think 747 00:41:00,640 --> 00:41:04,279 Speaker 11: for me, it's not really about pretending that things are 748 00:41:05,280 --> 00:41:07,839 Speaker 11: not bad, but it's about broadening our perspective. One of 749 00:41:07,840 --> 00:41:11,160 Speaker 11: the key elements of positivity is that it broad into 750 00:41:11,160 --> 00:41:14,240 Speaker 11: your perspective. It allows you to see whether that different 751 00:41:14,320 --> 00:41:17,080 Speaker 11: other paths that you can look at, you know where, 752 00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:19,239 Speaker 11: or pathway that you can look at. One of the 753 00:41:19,280 --> 00:41:23,120 Speaker 11: problems with negativity, and shall we call it toxic as well, 754 00:41:23,400 --> 00:41:26,560 Speaker 11: is that it blocks any paths of thinking, so it 755 00:41:26,600 --> 00:41:29,359 Speaker 11: doesn't broad in your your thinking. And that's the main 756 00:41:29,400 --> 00:41:30,200 Speaker 11: problem that we have. 757 00:41:31,360 --> 00:41:33,839 Speaker 2: I mean, the one thing I don't know why it is, 758 00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:37,840 Speaker 2: but the form of communication that I think toxic positivity 759 00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:41,000 Speaker 2: comes through most and is email. And that's because it's 760 00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:44,480 Speaker 2: managers speaking to workers or bosses or CEOs or whatever. 761 00:41:45,320 --> 00:41:48,040 Speaker 2: And I know I've watched in international media, actually people 762 00:41:48,080 --> 00:41:50,200 Speaker 2: have started taking this off, you know, they've started ripping 763 00:41:50,200 --> 00:41:52,520 Speaker 2: this off. And it's always in the form of an emails. 764 00:41:53,239 --> 00:41:56,080 Speaker 2: It's actually, you can it's something that almost happens in 765 00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:59,759 Speaker 2: written form. It's quite hard to be toxically positive face 766 00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:02,719 Speaker 2: to face with someone exactly. 767 00:42:02,800 --> 00:42:06,000 Speaker 11: And that reason form the main reason it does not 768 00:42:06,120 --> 00:42:08,320 Speaker 11: work is that we're not looking each other and the eye. 769 00:42:08,560 --> 00:42:12,480 Speaker 11: There's no benefit of oxytoxin as you look some people 770 00:42:12,520 --> 00:42:15,000 Speaker 11: in the eye and it doesn't acknowledge the pain. You 771 00:42:15,040 --> 00:42:17,879 Speaker 11: don't really see whether the person can acknowledge and really 772 00:42:17,920 --> 00:42:18,839 Speaker 11: see some of. 773 00:42:18,800 --> 00:42:20,640 Speaker 9: The struggles that you are having at work. 774 00:42:21,200 --> 00:42:24,400 Speaker 11: So it feels like nobody's listening to me. There's some 775 00:42:24,560 --> 00:42:27,799 Speaker 11: ivory tower email that is coming through, so it does 776 00:42:27,840 --> 00:42:30,600 Speaker 11: not really give you space. And the main thing around 777 00:42:30,719 --> 00:42:35,879 Speaker 11: what separates suffage positivity or what people call toxic positivity 778 00:42:35,880 --> 00:42:39,200 Speaker 11: with genuine one is the ability to hear people out. 779 00:42:39,640 --> 00:42:43,239 Speaker 11: Is the ability to feel like someone is acknowledging my feelings, 780 00:42:43,440 --> 00:42:47,640 Speaker 11: acknowledging that I mean, there's really is tough times that 781 00:42:47,680 --> 00:42:51,960 Speaker 11: I'm going through and then nudge me towards positivity eventually. 782 00:42:52,000 --> 00:42:55,560 Speaker 11: But the main thing is just that containing and understanding 783 00:42:55,600 --> 00:42:59,240 Speaker 11: and hearing people out most of the time. Seeing people 784 00:43:00,040 --> 00:43:05,480 Speaker 11: would nudge themselves towards positivity anyway once they feel like 785 00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:08,799 Speaker 11: you have had them. Most of the time, it's the 786 00:43:08,920 --> 00:43:12,200 Speaker 11: dismissal when people feel they're not being had that is 787 00:43:12,239 --> 00:43:14,480 Speaker 11: often called genuine positivity. 788 00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:17,239 Speaker 2: How do you be toxic? Yeah, so then how do 789 00:43:17,280 --> 00:43:19,680 Speaker 2: you be positive without the toxicity. I mean, you've got 790 00:43:19,680 --> 00:43:23,000 Speaker 2: to be You've got to take into account reality, you've 791 00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:27,040 Speaker 2: got to be looking speaking to people. I suppose you've 792 00:43:27,120 --> 00:43:30,480 Speaker 2: also got to really kind of make sure you know 793 00:43:30,520 --> 00:43:31,799 Speaker 2: what the real situation is. 794 00:43:33,400 --> 00:43:36,240 Speaker 11: Yeah, it's just a matter of listening. They didn't listen 795 00:43:36,280 --> 00:43:40,399 Speaker 11: to people understand where they're coming from and and hear 796 00:43:40,440 --> 00:43:43,040 Speaker 11: them where they're coming from. It's just that interesting balance 797 00:43:43,400 --> 00:43:47,400 Speaker 11: where once people feel their head, they're able to reframe. 798 00:43:47,520 --> 00:43:52,799 Speaker 11: So we're definitely not saying that people should wallow in negativity, 799 00:43:52,840 --> 00:43:56,480 Speaker 11: but once you listen to people and then afterwards you 800 00:43:56,520 --> 00:44:00,239 Speaker 11: can face reality head on with them. So if you 801 00:44:00,239 --> 00:44:03,320 Speaker 11: look at the science of languishing, for example, as opposed 802 00:44:03,320 --> 00:44:07,640 Speaker 11: to flourishing, So sometimes when you're having that feeling of math, 803 00:44:07,800 --> 00:44:10,640 Speaker 11: that feeling that I'm tired, that something is just not 804 00:44:10,760 --> 00:44:13,960 Speaker 11: making sense. Most of the time, what can move you 805 00:44:14,320 --> 00:44:18,840 Speaker 11: from that feeling of languishing and towards flourishing is just 806 00:44:19,239 --> 00:44:22,800 Speaker 11: someone being able to listen to you, someone being able 807 00:44:22,840 --> 00:44:26,440 Speaker 11: to hear you contain your feeling. And because most of 808 00:44:26,480 --> 00:44:29,600 Speaker 11: the time people have thoughts, people have feelings they want 809 00:44:29,600 --> 00:44:33,080 Speaker 11: to be had, and people sometimes have these big feelings 810 00:44:33,080 --> 00:44:36,319 Speaker 11: that they just want somebody to listen to. So when 811 00:44:36,360 --> 00:44:39,799 Speaker 11: we can listen to people, and then eventually we can 812 00:44:39,880 --> 00:44:43,040 Speaker 11: reframe and we can start looking at the evidence. And 813 00:44:43,160 --> 00:44:45,080 Speaker 11: for example, when you look at the noise that is 814 00:44:45,120 --> 00:44:48,560 Speaker 11: coming out of twenty twenty six stiven in the global events, 815 00:44:48,600 --> 00:44:52,120 Speaker 11: and you look at that noise, you realize that actually 816 00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:54,480 Speaker 11: negativity is not going to help us at all. We 817 00:44:54,640 --> 00:44:59,000 Speaker 11: definitely do need positivity. But once you do not acknowledge 818 00:44:59,040 --> 00:45:01,640 Speaker 11: that there is so much noise in the cool environment 819 00:45:01,680 --> 00:45:04,120 Speaker 11: as well, you just look like a dismissing and you 820 00:45:04,200 --> 00:45:07,720 Speaker 11: look like a person who is definitely toxically positive. 821 00:45:08,040 --> 00:45:18,400 Speaker 2: Sapi Moya, thanks so much, really appreciated, the organizational behavior specialist. 822 00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:18,360 Speaker 1: On the Money Shows six to eight pm. 823 00:45:18,600 --> 00:45:21,160 Speaker 2: Well, I made a comment a moment ago about the 824 00:45:21,160 --> 00:45:24,160 Speaker 2: fact that I don't quite understand why we were not 825 00:45:24,200 --> 00:45:26,680 Speaker 2: able to produce our own vaccines at the start of 826 00:45:26,719 --> 00:45:29,640 Speaker 2: the put In Mouth outbreak, and as luck would have it, 827 00:45:29,920 --> 00:45:33,640 Speaker 2: the Pepening Saraje, who's the Deputy Director General responsible for 828 00:45:33,680 --> 00:45:37,320 Speaker 2: biosecurity at the Department of Agriculture, has called in and 829 00:45:37,680 --> 00:45:40,680 Speaker 2: presume deep Pepening to put me right. Good evening. Thanks 830 00:45:40,680 --> 00:45:49,400 Speaker 2: for the call. Particulars right, Deepepening. I'm just going to 831 00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:51,400 Speaker 2: put you back to our producer to try and improve 832 00:45:51,480 --> 00:45:55,239 Speaker 2: the reception on that cell phone. Might require a call back, 833 00:45:55,360 --> 00:45:58,000 Speaker 2: just to make sure that we're able to hear you properly. 834 00:45:58,280 --> 00:46:00,080 Speaker 2: I would hate to lose the opportunity for you to 835 00:46:00,120 --> 00:46:03,840 Speaker 2: respond to what I said, because I do think clearly 836 00:46:03,880 --> 00:46:07,560 Speaker 2: you felt that it was important to respond to obviously 837 00:46:07,560 --> 00:46:09,640 Speaker 2: as well. Of course, this is an issue that's affected 838 00:46:09,680 --> 00:46:13,560 Speaker 2: so many farmers and something that people have been very 839 00:46:13,719 --> 00:46:19,160 Speaker 2: very concerned about as well. So yeah, obviously very important issue. 840 00:46:19,239 --> 00:46:21,640 Speaker 2: I think. Also we must just remember that if you 841 00:46:21,680 --> 00:46:24,640 Speaker 2: get these things wrong, the consequences I mean, and look 842 00:46:24,640 --> 00:46:27,440 Speaker 2: at what's been happening for inflation, for example, all of 843 00:46:27,480 --> 00:46:30,719 Speaker 2: those things start to become more and more important. So, 844 00:46:31,520 --> 00:46:34,200 Speaker 2: you know, certainly important to try and understand what the 845 00:46:34,239 --> 00:46:37,600 Speaker 2: Agriculture Department has done and why we are where we are. 846 00:46:37,640 --> 00:46:41,360 Speaker 2: That's also the other issue that sometimes is very important 847 00:46:41,400 --> 00:46:43,799 Speaker 2: to try and understand is why it is that we're 848 00:46:43,840 --> 00:46:46,680 Speaker 2: actually in a position where we find that we were 849 00:46:46,719 --> 00:46:50,200 Speaker 2: not it seemed to me as properly prepared as we 850 00:46:50,520 --> 00:46:53,520 Speaker 2: needed to be. We'll try and get deep pippeninser Rachaback 851 00:46:53,640 --> 00:46:56,800 Speaker 2: on the radio for you. It's seventeen minutes now after 852 00:46:56,840 --> 00:46:59,120 Speaker 2: seven The Money Show. 853 00:46:59,000 --> 00:47:02,799 Speaker 3: With Stephen Krute Live on ninety two point seven and 854 00:47:02,920 --> 00:47:06,080 Speaker 3: one six. Have them streaming on the Prime Media Plus. 855 00:47:05,920 --> 00:47:09,279 Speaker 1: NAP and DStv channel eight five six. 856 00:47:09,600 --> 00:47:13,200 Speaker 2: The Money Show Consumer Ninja. Well, I don't know if 857 00:47:13,320 --> 00:47:15,640 Speaker 2: you've spent much time looking at your credit record. I 858 00:47:15,680 --> 00:47:17,440 Speaker 2: was trying to remember when was the last time I 859 00:47:17,480 --> 00:47:19,360 Speaker 2: checked my credit record? And I'm sorry to tell you, 860 00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:22,040 Speaker 2: I don't know if I can answer that question. Well, 861 00:47:22,400 --> 00:47:25,160 Speaker 2: it suddenly starts to become quite important. In fact, this 862 00:47:25,239 --> 00:47:27,759 Speaker 2: time last year, the credit bureau trans Union said one 863 00:47:27,800 --> 00:47:30,760 Speaker 2: in three people check their credit records on a monthly basis. 864 00:47:31,280 --> 00:47:35,520 Speaker 2: That's quite a big improvement and a but it's still 865 00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:38,400 Speaker 2: only about a third of people who actually have credit 866 00:47:38,440 --> 00:47:41,160 Speaker 2: what you would call credit active South African, so still 867 00:47:41,160 --> 00:47:43,719 Speaker 2: a lot of room to go. Wendy Knowler's your consumer Ninja, 868 00:47:43,760 --> 00:47:46,200 Speaker 2: she joins us. Now, Wendy, good evening. Remind us why 869 00:47:46,320 --> 00:47:48,359 Speaker 2: is it so important to check our credit record? Why 870 00:47:48,360 --> 00:47:49,279 Speaker 2: have I been a bad boy? 871 00:47:50,520 --> 00:47:54,439 Speaker 13: Okay, lots of reasons really to verify that? What there 872 00:47:54,520 --> 00:47:57,560 Speaker 13: is accurate, So from simple things like your personal details 873 00:47:57,560 --> 00:48:00,680 Speaker 13: when I checked man the addresses were, you know, twenty 874 00:48:00,760 --> 00:48:03,680 Speaker 13: years old, that kind of thing. And also to check 875 00:48:03,800 --> 00:48:07,840 Speaker 13: that the listings there good and bad are correct. So 876 00:48:07,920 --> 00:48:09,799 Speaker 13: there's a huge number of people who are sitting with 877 00:48:09,920 --> 00:48:13,720 Speaker 13: prescribed debt on their credit records, which is actually illegal. 878 00:48:13,920 --> 00:48:15,600 Speaker 14: The credit provider's cannuntal list. 879 00:48:15,760 --> 00:48:18,440 Speaker 13: Prescribe debt there, so you might have a lower score 880 00:48:18,560 --> 00:48:23,600 Speaker 13: be rejected for a credit application because of something that 881 00:48:23,640 --> 00:48:26,440 Speaker 13: shouldn't be sitting on your record is very very old debt. 882 00:48:26,800 --> 00:48:28,759 Speaker 13: And then big one to see if you've been the 883 00:48:28,800 --> 00:48:32,839 Speaker 13: victim of id impersonation, in which case you must immediately 884 00:48:34,000 --> 00:48:38,640 Speaker 13: get protective registration from the African Fraud Prevention Service. Very 885 00:48:38,680 --> 00:48:40,960 Speaker 13: important that and then also to work on getting your 886 00:48:41,040 --> 00:48:43,680 Speaker 13: qudit score upright. That's the number between zero and nine 887 00:48:43,719 --> 00:48:46,919 Speaker 13: hundred and ninety nine, because the higher that number, the 888 00:48:46,960 --> 00:48:49,480 Speaker 13: better the interest rate you're going to be offered. And 889 00:48:49,560 --> 00:48:52,520 Speaker 13: also it looks good for perspective. If you're applying to 890 00:48:52,600 --> 00:48:54,200 Speaker 13: rent somewhere or. 891 00:48:54,200 --> 00:48:56,760 Speaker 14: You're appaying for a job, they do look at that score. 892 00:48:56,840 --> 00:48:59,160 Speaker 13: So there's lots of reasons to kind of have a 893 00:48:59,200 --> 00:49:01,960 Speaker 13: look check and I know what you're about. 894 00:49:02,040 --> 00:49:03,960 Speaker 14: That's your that's your financial ID. 895 00:49:03,960 --> 00:49:08,280 Speaker 2: Ready, okay, so it's important to do Did something trigger 896 00:49:08,400 --> 00:49:09,680 Speaker 2: your sudden interest in this? 897 00:49:10,000 --> 00:49:11,920 Speaker 13: As always there? In fact, there were two things, and 898 00:49:11,960 --> 00:49:15,920 Speaker 13: they linked. I had sight of guidelines for credit providers 899 00:49:15,960 --> 00:49:19,880 Speaker 13: which the National Credit Provider put out during December to, 900 00:49:20,160 --> 00:49:23,280 Speaker 13: as they put it, clarify the standard of credible evidence 901 00:49:23,400 --> 00:49:28,200 Speaker 13: required to verify disputed consumer credit information, to ensure that 902 00:49:28,280 --> 00:49:31,640 Speaker 13: everything's done fairly and incorrectly. And it would seem that's 903 00:49:31,680 --> 00:49:34,879 Speaker 13: been done, because obviously it's not always being done all 904 00:49:34,960 --> 00:49:37,160 Speaker 13: that fairly. People are being told yes, it's right and 905 00:49:37,200 --> 00:49:40,680 Speaker 13: without much investigation. And then secondly, Lester emailed me just 906 00:49:40,800 --> 00:49:44,799 Speaker 13: yesterday for advice on his situation. He's discovered that he 907 00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:48,239 Speaker 13: was listed by a debt collection legal practice for a 908 00:49:48,360 --> 00:49:52,440 Speaker 13: twenty thirteen Edgar's debt, and when he said that the 909 00:49:52,480 --> 00:49:56,240 Speaker 13: debt was long prescribed and therefore the listing should be removed, 910 00:49:56,239 --> 00:49:59,440 Speaker 13: the phone went went dead in his ear. So I'll 911 00:49:59,480 --> 00:50:01,840 Speaker 13: be taking yeah, I'll be taking up that case to 912 00:50:01,920 --> 00:50:05,560 Speaker 13: ensure that that listing for the very old debt is removed. 913 00:50:06,200 --> 00:50:08,799 Speaker 2: But when someone does that, you know automatically they know 914 00:50:09,080 --> 00:50:10,680 Speaker 2: that they're in the wrong and they shouldn't even have 915 00:50:10,760 --> 00:50:12,600 Speaker 2: tried exactly exactly. 916 00:50:12,640 --> 00:50:14,640 Speaker 13: So there's a lot in the banking on put out 917 00:50:14,640 --> 00:50:18,359 Speaker 13: warnings about this. There's yeah, there are prescribed debts that 918 00:50:18,680 --> 00:50:23,400 Speaker 13: shouldn't be there, and the NCR guidelines. That document that 919 00:50:23,800 --> 00:50:26,720 Speaker 13: went out last month made for very interesting reading because 920 00:50:26,760 --> 00:50:29,640 Speaker 13: I don't think consumers realize the extent of the legal 921 00:50:29,719 --> 00:50:33,400 Speaker 13: right they have in this regard when contesting things that 922 00:50:33,440 --> 00:50:35,400 Speaker 13: shouldn't be on their credit record. 923 00:50:36,560 --> 00:50:37,000 Speaker 14: What sort of. 924 00:50:37,080 --> 00:50:39,040 Speaker 2: Rights do we have to our credit record in the 925 00:50:39,040 --> 00:50:39,880 Speaker 2: first Okay, I'm. 926 00:50:39,719 --> 00:50:44,160 Speaker 13: Going to try and simplify a very long, wordy technical document, 927 00:50:44,760 --> 00:50:49,880 Speaker 13: so you may submit supporting documents when you dispute a listing. 928 00:50:50,040 --> 00:50:53,360 Speaker 13: But this is the interesting part. The primary duty to 929 00:50:53,560 --> 00:50:57,520 Speaker 13: locate credible evidence rests with the credit bureaus and data supplies. 930 00:50:57,520 --> 00:51:00,400 Speaker 13: In other words, they must prove to you. 931 00:51:00,239 --> 00:51:04,120 Speaker 14: That that listing deserves to be there on your record, 932 00:51:04,960 --> 00:51:06,799 Speaker 14: and if they can't, they have to remove it. 933 00:51:07,760 --> 00:51:09,600 Speaker 13: So the advice is, if a person has challenged the 934 00:51:09,600 --> 00:51:12,440 Speaker 13: accuracy of information proposed to be reported to your credit bureau, 935 00:51:13,040 --> 00:51:16,480 Speaker 13: it must that evidence must be given to that person, 936 00:51:16,719 --> 00:51:18,880 Speaker 13: or if they can't find any evidence, it must be 937 00:51:18,920 --> 00:51:22,920 Speaker 13: removed within thirty days of the dispute. Evidence must consist 938 00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:28,240 Speaker 13: of objective, factual records and not opinions or unsupported assertions 939 00:51:28,520 --> 00:51:32,560 Speaker 13: bear confirmations. I'm reading from the document now, I either 940 00:51:32,640 --> 00:51:35,560 Speaker 13: listing is correct, do not meet the standard. So that 941 00:51:35,600 --> 00:51:37,560 Speaker 13: tells me, Steven, that there's quite a lot of that 942 00:51:38,760 --> 00:51:42,560 Speaker 13: go away kind of stuff going on where the bureaus 943 00:51:42,640 --> 00:51:45,400 Speaker 13: and the company is supplying with them with the information 944 00:51:45,600 --> 00:51:49,960 Speaker 13: are required to prove that that listing is valid and 945 00:51:50,000 --> 00:51:51,880 Speaker 13: if they can't, it must be removed. 946 00:51:51,880 --> 00:51:54,200 Speaker 14: So just to let people know that they have a 947 00:51:54,200 --> 00:51:59,000 Speaker 14: lot of rights in this regard, and this is a 948 00:51:59,080 --> 00:52:00,920 Speaker 14: really interesting thing. This was news to me. 949 00:52:01,360 --> 00:52:03,839 Speaker 13: Credit bureaus mussed on receipt of a dispute. So that's 950 00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:07,200 Speaker 13: you and me saying, hey, that's not a valid blacklisting. 951 00:52:08,280 --> 00:52:12,080 Speaker 13: They must temporarily mask the disputed information during the investigation, 952 00:52:12,160 --> 00:52:14,439 Speaker 13: which is a thirty day process. So in other words, 953 00:52:14,520 --> 00:52:17,279 Speaker 13: the adverse listing you've disputed can't be visible to any 954 00:52:17,320 --> 00:52:19,920 Speaker 13: credit providers during that thirty day dispute process. 955 00:52:20,560 --> 00:52:23,880 Speaker 2: Now sure, I didn't know that. That's very interesting. Okay, 956 00:52:23,920 --> 00:52:26,360 Speaker 2: so checking your credit record, you need to check it 957 00:52:26,400 --> 00:52:28,239 Speaker 2: quite often, how I mean, how do you even do 958 00:52:28,320 --> 00:52:30,960 Speaker 2: it to make sure that you don't sort of get 959 00:52:31,000 --> 00:52:31,680 Speaker 2: a nasty shot. 960 00:52:31,760 --> 00:52:35,040 Speaker 13: Yeah, okay, So those people do find out something that's 961 00:52:35,080 --> 00:52:36,680 Speaker 13: not great on their record when they apply for a 962 00:52:36,760 --> 00:52:39,759 Speaker 13: soften contract or home loan or whatever the case may be, 963 00:52:40,680 --> 00:52:42,440 Speaker 13: and that's not a great way to find. 964 00:52:42,200 --> 00:52:44,440 Speaker 14: Out that there's something not right with your record. 965 00:52:44,520 --> 00:52:47,200 Speaker 13: So legally you're entitled to a free check once a year, 966 00:52:47,239 --> 00:52:48,960 Speaker 13: but there are four credit bureaus, so you can get 967 00:52:49,040 --> 00:52:52,960 Speaker 13: free check technically every three months. Interestingly, by law, they 968 00:52:53,000 --> 00:52:55,480 Speaker 13: don't that's a National Credit Act. They don't have to 969 00:52:55,480 --> 00:52:57,440 Speaker 13: give you a score. Really, what do you want to 970 00:52:57,440 --> 00:52:59,800 Speaker 13: see the score? They only have to give you access 971 00:52:59,800 --> 00:53:04,160 Speaker 13: to your report, So that's weird. 972 00:53:04,200 --> 00:53:05,920 Speaker 2: But anyway, yeah, exactly. 973 00:53:06,000 --> 00:53:10,400 Speaker 13: So last a new TransUnion doesn't give you your score, 974 00:53:10,520 --> 00:53:13,120 Speaker 13: but I think experience does with you there there, you 975 00:53:13,160 --> 00:53:15,960 Speaker 13: should definitely be on top of it. Don't let some 976 00:53:16,000 --> 00:53:17,960 Speaker 13: credit provider tell you that there's an issue. You need 977 00:53:18,000 --> 00:53:19,480 Speaker 13: to know what's going on there. 978 00:53:20,680 --> 00:53:24,120 Speaker 2: And the best is to improve to increase your credit score. 979 00:53:24,200 --> 00:53:25,719 Speaker 2: I mean, this is something that lots of people are 980 00:53:25,760 --> 00:53:27,000 Speaker 2: going to want to know exactly. 981 00:53:27,120 --> 00:53:30,120 Speaker 13: So the main one is to pay every bill at 982 00:53:30,200 --> 00:53:33,040 Speaker 13: least the minimum amount you but if you can do 983 00:53:33,080 --> 00:53:35,640 Speaker 13: more than that, that's going to increase your score because people. 984 00:53:35,400 --> 00:53:35,880 Speaker 14: Don't want to that. 985 00:53:35,920 --> 00:53:37,680 Speaker 13: Credit providers don't want to see that you can only 986 00:53:38,160 --> 00:53:42,480 Speaker 13: like really manage to scrape by that minimum amount, So 987 00:53:42,560 --> 00:53:44,200 Speaker 13: pay a little bit more and then and a very 988 00:53:44,200 --> 00:53:46,160 Speaker 13: powerful heck a lot of people don't know is to 989 00:53:46,880 --> 00:53:51,360 Speaker 13: is to improve your so called credit utilization ratio. So 990 00:53:51,440 --> 00:53:54,719 Speaker 13: avoid spending more than forty percent of your available credit limit. 991 00:53:54,719 --> 00:53:57,040 Speaker 13: And a lot of people just thinking what they are 992 00:53:57,080 --> 00:53:59,000 Speaker 13: living close to the edge, living close to the edge 993 00:53:59,000 --> 00:54:01,719 Speaker 13: of a limit maxing out your credit cards, as we 994 00:54:01,800 --> 00:54:05,800 Speaker 13: put it locally, is really not a good way to 995 00:54:05,880 --> 00:54:07,840 Speaker 13: It's going to be to the detriment of your credit score. 996 00:54:08,080 --> 00:54:10,640 Speaker 14: So if, and this is a big if, if. 997 00:54:10,520 --> 00:54:13,680 Speaker 13: You have strong financial discipline, apply You know, these credit 998 00:54:13,719 --> 00:54:18,120 Speaker 13: providers always trying to invite us to increase our credit limit, right, 999 00:54:18,200 --> 00:54:21,640 Speaker 13: So if you have strong financial discipline, apply for a 1000 00:54:21,760 --> 00:54:25,600 Speaker 13: higher credit limit without increasing your spending. So that's the 1001 00:54:25,600 --> 00:54:28,360 Speaker 13: way you can keep it under forty percent. That lowers 1002 00:54:28,360 --> 00:54:31,200 Speaker 13: your ratio, signaling signaling to the banks that you've got 1003 00:54:31,200 --> 00:54:35,160 Speaker 13: great self control and improving your score. For everyone that 1004 00:54:35,239 --> 00:54:37,880 Speaker 13: wants to look at it. But again, only use this 1005 00:54:37,920 --> 00:54:40,239 Speaker 13: tactic if you can avoid the temptation to regard that 1006 00:54:40,320 --> 00:54:43,080 Speaker 13: credit limit as a spending target, which many people do. 1007 00:54:43,560 --> 00:54:45,799 Speaker 13: So yeah, under forty percent, you're going to do your 1008 00:54:45,840 --> 00:54:46,800 Speaker 13: score a huge favor. 1009 00:54:47,560 --> 00:54:49,759 Speaker 2: Sure that does make sense. When you Nola, thank you 1010 00:54:49,760 --> 00:54:52,440 Speaker 2: so much, ready to appreciate it. You're consuming Ninja Wendy 1011 00:54:52,520 --> 00:54:54,040 Speaker 2: Nola on the Money Show tonight. 1012 00:54:57,160 --> 00:55:00,480 Speaker 1: It does on X at at Stephen It is. 1013 00:55:00,480 --> 00:55:02,640 Speaker 2: Twenty five minutes after seven, right. I think we've been 1014 00:55:02,680 --> 00:55:07,880 Speaker 2: able to make better contact now with the Deep Pepening Sarache, 1015 00:55:08,080 --> 00:55:11,160 Speaker 2: who is in charge of biosecurity at the Agricultural Ministry. 1016 00:55:11,600 --> 00:55:13,640 Speaker 2: I made a comment as that I don't quite understand 1017 00:55:13,719 --> 00:55:17,320 Speaker 2: why it was that we didn't have the right vaccine 1018 00:55:17,680 --> 00:55:19,480 Speaker 2: doses in South Africa and all of the startup of 1019 00:55:19,600 --> 00:55:21,799 Speaker 2: put in mouth he called in, we weren't able to 1020 00:55:21,840 --> 00:55:23,919 Speaker 2: hear them because of the line. He's with us now, 1021 00:55:24,160 --> 00:55:26,880 Speaker 2: Deep Peppening, good evening. Sorry for all of the run around, 1022 00:55:26,920 --> 00:55:29,840 Speaker 2: Thanks so much for calling. What is the real issue? 1023 00:55:31,480 --> 00:55:34,560 Speaker 9: Thank you very much for having us this short notice. 1024 00:55:34,880 --> 00:55:40,279 Speaker 15: The real issue is that veteran institute, which is a 1025 00:55:40,800 --> 00:55:45,040 Speaker 15: past inadas a state or antity of Btsuana has a 1026 00:55:46,320 --> 00:55:50,200 Speaker 15: member and of agreement with Agricultural Research Council, which is 1027 00:55:50,200 --> 00:55:52,120 Speaker 15: an entity of our department. 1028 00:55:51,760 --> 00:55:53,520 Speaker 9: This years back. 1029 00:55:54,320 --> 00:55:58,160 Speaker 15: Both these entities are what we call well reference lab 1030 00:55:58,880 --> 00:56:01,760 Speaker 15: on within this southern part of Southern Africa. 1031 00:56:02,400 --> 00:56:04,120 Speaker 9: That contract exists. 1032 00:56:04,320 --> 00:56:08,520 Speaker 15: Let's put that away and can focus on now what's happening. 1033 00:56:09,200 --> 00:56:12,520 Speaker 15: The issue with Bosana from time to time burning our 1034 00:56:13,000 --> 00:56:16,600 Speaker 15: vegetables is a real concern. We we've been engaging even 1035 00:56:16,640 --> 00:56:19,279 Speaker 15: from the previous ministerments that it is a we've been 1036 00:56:19,320 --> 00:56:22,640 Speaker 15: trying and we hope we'll get it right because we've 1037 00:56:22,640 --> 00:56:26,279 Speaker 15: got what we call bi National Commission where the presidents 1038 00:56:26,360 --> 00:56:29,640 Speaker 15: of the two countries meet and set out what needs 1039 00:56:29,640 --> 00:56:31,720 Speaker 15: to be done. We hope to have it resolved because 1040 00:56:32,040 --> 00:56:35,680 Speaker 15: it's unjustifiable in terms of any other international instrument for 1041 00:56:35,800 --> 00:56:39,000 Speaker 15: them to unily just block our. 1042 00:56:41,040 --> 00:56:43,360 Speaker 9: Export of our fruits and vegetables. 1043 00:56:43,760 --> 00:56:46,799 Speaker 15: We Botswana and I are South Africa are part of 1044 00:56:46,880 --> 00:56:49,440 Speaker 15: what you call SAKU South African Customs Union. 1045 00:56:50,080 --> 00:56:53,120 Speaker 9: These are countries that are interlinked. 1046 00:56:52,600 --> 00:56:54,520 Speaker 15: With the you know, the borders and all of that, 1047 00:56:55,320 --> 00:56:59,760 Speaker 15: and there are cities we call them articles which articles guys, 1048 00:57:00,239 --> 00:57:04,040 Speaker 15: how we countries to relate with each other trade wise and. 1049 00:57:04,040 --> 00:57:04,440 Speaker 9: All of that. 1050 00:57:04,960 --> 00:57:07,880 Speaker 15: Even using any of those articles, there's none of the 1051 00:57:07,960 --> 00:57:10,759 Speaker 15: articles that allowed them to do what they're doing. Now, 1052 00:57:10,880 --> 00:57:13,520 Speaker 15: let's come to the while we're buying the food and 1053 00:57:13,560 --> 00:57:17,920 Speaker 15: mouth disease virus from them, is because the of the 1054 00:57:17,960 --> 00:57:21,520 Speaker 15: agreement of a leader two between the two entities, the 1055 00:57:21,600 --> 00:57:23,880 Speaker 15: number entities are operating with their own boards and all 1056 00:57:23,920 --> 00:57:28,439 Speaker 15: of that. But besides the strains, the food and mouth 1057 00:57:28,480 --> 00:57:38,360 Speaker 15: disease trains that affect the Southern African part ourselves in Mozambique, Malawi, Tanzania, 1058 00:57:39,160 --> 00:57:44,000 Speaker 15: those countries is the same strain. So any important vaccine 1059 00:57:45,000 --> 00:57:46,640 Speaker 15: or if you want to buy vaccines, or if you 1060 00:57:46,680 --> 00:57:49,000 Speaker 15: develop a vaccine, you develop it, it might be a 1061 00:57:49,200 --> 00:57:53,600 Speaker 15: FMD disease vaccine, but if it's not for the specific 1062 00:57:53,680 --> 00:57:55,760 Speaker 15: strain that is secreting at the time. 1063 00:57:55,640 --> 00:57:56,320 Speaker 2: It won't work. 1064 00:57:56,480 --> 00:57:59,760 Speaker 15: So Botswana happens to have the same strain as we have, 1065 00:58:00,120 --> 00:58:05,680 Speaker 15: so it's easier for us to import from them even ourselves. 1066 00:58:06,040 --> 00:58:08,920 Speaker 15: Once we are able to produce our own vaccines, they 1067 00:58:08,960 --> 00:58:11,680 Speaker 15: will also import from us and we will be able 1068 00:58:11,720 --> 00:58:14,320 Speaker 15: to also have Zimbabwe and others they don't have their 1069 00:58:14,320 --> 00:58:16,680 Speaker 15: own production like Uzana and South Africa. 1070 00:58:16,760 --> 00:58:20,520 Speaker 9: So so that will happen from time to time. Why 1071 00:58:20,560 --> 00:58:22,320 Speaker 9: are we not able to produce. 1072 00:58:22,160 --> 00:58:24,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, why aren't we producing our own one? 1073 00:58:24,800 --> 00:58:30,400 Speaker 15: That's the issue. We must be honest and frank South Africa. 1074 00:58:30,720 --> 00:58:36,880 Speaker 15: After nineteen ninety four, we we we stop investing in 1075 00:58:36,920 --> 00:58:40,880 Speaker 15: some of these paratatas. And the Guttural Research concl which 1076 00:58:40,920 --> 00:58:43,000 Speaker 15: is started in nineteen ninety was one of the best 1077 00:58:43,240 --> 00:58:48,280 Speaker 15: still is but it had infrastructure that the after nineteen 1078 00:58:48,320 --> 00:58:51,200 Speaker 15: ninety four. In nineteen ninety and after nineteen ninety four 1079 00:58:51,240 --> 00:58:54,960 Speaker 15: it became an entity of the Department of Agriculture, but 1080 00:58:55,040 --> 00:58:57,760 Speaker 15: there was a lot of disinvestment in these entities. Also 1081 00:58:57,840 --> 00:59:00,680 Speaker 15: with the honest the bought pological products as you know, 1082 00:59:00,760 --> 00:59:03,320 Speaker 15: the honest they bought political product was first part of. 1083 00:59:03,320 --> 00:59:05,000 Speaker 9: The Agricultural such Council. 1084 00:59:05,200 --> 00:59:08,760 Speaker 15: And it was developed into incorporated genuries in one state 1085 00:59:08,960 --> 00:59:14,160 Speaker 15: owned vaccine and Biological Products company. We have not been 1086 00:59:14,200 --> 00:59:17,240 Speaker 15: investing in this company, so we lost our production capability 1087 00:59:17,520 --> 00:59:20,920 Speaker 15: in two thousand and six. We are only now bringing 1088 00:59:20,920 --> 00:59:23,480 Speaker 15: it in. We will plan everything else to bring it 1089 00:59:23,520 --> 00:59:27,120 Speaker 15: back to the capability. We hope to have our fat vaccines. 1090 00:59:27,440 --> 00:59:31,040 Speaker 15: In fact, we do have vaccines. They're not in sufficent quantities, 1091 00:59:31,040 --> 00:59:33,280 Speaker 15: but it's got. We should be in in a month time. 1092 00:59:33,280 --> 00:59:35,720 Speaker 15: We should be able to have our own vaccines coming 1093 00:59:35,880 --> 00:59:38,840 Speaker 15: rolling in. But the magnitude of what of the diseases 1094 00:59:38,840 --> 00:59:41,080 Speaker 15: says that we need additional importation. 1095 00:59:41,680 --> 00:59:43,880 Speaker 2: Deppending, I really appreciate you getting in touch with us. 1096 00:59:43,880 --> 00:59:45,840 Speaker 2: Thank you so much and explaining that I really do 1097 00:59:45,920 --> 00:59:50,160 Speaker 2: appreciate it. Depppending is the Deputy Director General for Biosecurity 1098 00:59:50,200 --> 00:59:51,480 Speaker 2: at the Agriculture Department. 1099 00:59:52,280 --> 00:59:54,560 Speaker 7: The Money Show shape Shifter. 1100 00:59:54,400 --> 00:59:57,600 Speaker 2: Is twenty two minutes now to eight the time. Well, 1101 00:59:58,000 --> 01:00:00,680 Speaker 2: in South Africa, you never really know where someone is 1102 01:00:01,000 --> 01:00:04,320 Speaker 2: going to end up. There's a person I know who 1103 01:00:04,680 --> 01:00:07,200 Speaker 2: is I suppose still a colleague, but certainly was a 1104 01:00:07,240 --> 01:00:09,920 Speaker 2: colleague in the radio business. That's where I first met him. 1105 01:00:10,800 --> 01:00:14,000 Speaker 2: We worked together a little bit in another medium, and 1106 01:00:14,120 --> 01:00:18,280 Speaker 2: once we spent several happy hours outside Parliament waiting for 1107 01:00:18,320 --> 01:00:22,360 Speaker 2: a budget speech to start. And now he's the Commissioner 1108 01:00:22,360 --> 01:00:26,480 Speaker 2: at the International Trade Administration Commission. I bon gatawe through 1109 01:00:26,480 --> 01:00:28,600 Speaker 2: it all, you've been a first rate economist. Good evening, 1110 01:00:28,640 --> 01:00:30,880 Speaker 2: and thanks so much for agreeing to be our shape 1111 01:00:30,920 --> 01:00:31,640 Speaker 2: shifter tonight. 1112 01:00:33,040 --> 01:00:36,480 Speaker 16: Well, thank you Steven for those kind of words, and 1113 01:00:37,000 --> 01:00:39,360 Speaker 16: I suddenly hope that many of the people I cross 1114 01:00:39,400 --> 01:00:41,400 Speaker 16: swords with will also think of me as a first 1115 01:00:41,440 --> 01:00:44,560 Speaker 16: rated economist. Thank you so much for inviting me, and 1116 01:00:44,800 --> 01:00:47,520 Speaker 16: good evening to your listeners as well. 1117 01:00:48,680 --> 01:00:52,960 Speaker 2: You've written about your family history a little, and particularly 1118 01:00:53,000 --> 01:00:55,400 Speaker 2: in the sort of Eastern Cape, and I came across 1119 01:00:55,400 --> 01:00:58,640 Speaker 2: a column in which you described yourself as the grandchild 1120 01:00:58,840 --> 01:01:02,240 Speaker 2: of peasants. What kind of family do you come from? 1121 01:01:02,280 --> 01:01:04,959 Speaker 2: I mean, that particular area of the Eastern Cape sounds 1122 01:01:04,960 --> 01:01:07,560 Speaker 2: so much for the country and your your family's kind 1123 01:01:07,560 --> 01:01:09,000 Speaker 2: of from You're from right there? 1124 01:01:10,800 --> 01:01:12,400 Speaker 7: Well, yeah, so so, Stephen. I'm from. 1125 01:01:12,520 --> 01:01:15,480 Speaker 16: I'm from the northern and very dry parts of the 1126 01:01:15,800 --> 01:01:19,920 Speaker 16: of the Eastern Cape. I grew up in Cormani, which 1127 01:01:20,680 --> 01:01:24,640 Speaker 16: for many years was known as as Queenstown, which had 1128 01:01:24,680 --> 01:01:28,760 Speaker 16: started as a defense settlement, not too dissimilar to some 1129 01:01:28,800 --> 01:01:31,560 Speaker 16: of the settlements we see in Palestine now in terms 1130 01:01:31,560 --> 01:01:35,520 Speaker 16: of the kind of political function it played in settled 1131 01:01:35,520 --> 01:01:36,600 Speaker 16: colonialism at the time. 1132 01:01:37,640 --> 01:01:39,400 Speaker 7: And when I say I'm the kind. 1133 01:01:39,240 --> 01:01:41,960 Speaker 16: Of grand child of peasants, I mean it in a 1134 01:01:42,040 --> 01:01:46,800 Speaker 16: true sense because a lot of my grandparents and great 1135 01:01:46,800 --> 01:01:51,240 Speaker 16: grandparents were people who had come from that area who 1136 01:01:51,320 --> 01:01:56,000 Speaker 16: also were farm workers, and so they from time to 1137 01:01:56,040 --> 01:01:58,960 Speaker 16: time would migrate from from that area to the neighboring 1138 01:01:59,040 --> 01:02:03,040 Speaker 16: farms of many of the small towns bordering the Karoo 1139 01:02:03,960 --> 01:02:07,120 Speaker 16: in the Eastern Cape. And so I come, I come 1140 01:02:07,160 --> 01:02:10,640 Speaker 16: from that kind of stock, and I grew up in 1141 01:02:10,680 --> 01:02:12,760 Speaker 16: that part of the world and spent much of my 1142 01:02:12,800 --> 01:02:18,040 Speaker 16: formative years there until I came to fits for for university. 1143 01:02:19,320 --> 01:02:20,280 Speaker 7: And I also, I mean. 1144 01:02:20,200 --> 01:02:23,560 Speaker 16: I'm born from two teachers who are sort of quite 1145 01:02:24,000 --> 01:02:27,360 Speaker 16: active in their own communities, whether in the sports movement 1146 01:02:28,760 --> 01:02:30,200 Speaker 16: or even in the trade union movement. 1147 01:02:30,600 --> 01:02:33,640 Speaker 7: And so I kind of grewub in an environment. 1148 01:02:34,000 --> 01:02:35,640 Speaker 16: And if you know anything about that part of the 1149 01:02:35,680 --> 01:02:39,240 Speaker 16: Eastern Cape, you also know that kind of politics. 1150 01:02:38,800 --> 01:02:40,840 Speaker 7: And history is always very very near. 1151 01:02:42,520 --> 01:02:45,320 Speaker 16: And so so that's that's kind of where I come from. 1152 01:02:45,400 --> 01:02:48,880 Speaker 16: And I think it also rarely has motivated my own 1153 01:02:49,000 --> 01:02:52,440 Speaker 16: choices as to what ends. 1154 01:02:52,120 --> 01:02:55,520 Speaker 7: I would put my own economic training. 1155 01:02:56,440 --> 01:02:58,240 Speaker 16: As you were saying there, I guess you know you 1156 01:02:58,320 --> 01:03:01,960 Speaker 16: and I worked for many years in the but I 1157 01:03:01,960 --> 01:03:04,040 Speaker 16: think what has been a consistent threat, certainly in my 1158 01:03:04,160 --> 01:03:08,520 Speaker 16: own work, whether in the ango space and management consulting 1159 01:03:09,400 --> 01:03:12,080 Speaker 16: and now back again in government where i'd started. Actually, 1160 01:03:12,560 --> 01:03:16,560 Speaker 16: my first job was in the provincial Economic agency in 1161 01:03:16,640 --> 01:03:17,000 Speaker 16: jo Deng. 1162 01:03:18,240 --> 01:03:20,360 Speaker 7: Has always been about, I guess. 1163 01:03:20,120 --> 01:03:24,840 Speaker 16: This sort of consistent marshaling of my only economic training 1164 01:03:24,920 --> 01:03:28,320 Speaker 16: to very specific questions of a society and transition. 1165 01:03:28,440 --> 01:03:31,840 Speaker 2: Really, you you grew up with that, And I was 1166 01:03:31,880 --> 01:03:34,400 Speaker 2: going to ask where your sort of political consciousness came from, 1167 01:03:34,440 --> 01:03:36,120 Speaker 2: but I think to an extent you've answered it with 1168 01:03:36,680 --> 01:03:39,160 Speaker 2: what you say about your parents. But then you went 1169 01:03:39,200 --> 01:03:43,080 Speaker 2: to Queen's College, and I mean, it's interesting you talk 1170 01:03:43,120 --> 01:03:45,920 Speaker 2: about sort of settled towns fulfilling in political function. So 1171 01:03:46,000 --> 01:03:47,640 Speaker 2: do schools like that that I went to one very 1172 01:03:47,640 --> 01:03:50,600 Speaker 2: similar What was that experience like for you? I mean, 1173 01:03:51,120 --> 01:03:55,800 Speaker 2: was it accommodating of your political consciousness at the time. Yeah, well, 1174 01:03:56,000 --> 01:03:56,320 Speaker 2: I mean. 1175 01:03:56,200 --> 01:03:59,520 Speaker 16: It's interesting questions, Stephen, because you know, Queen's College is 1176 01:03:59,520 --> 01:04:02,240 Speaker 16: one of the oldest English boys schools in the country 1177 01:04:03,920 --> 01:04:08,560 Speaker 16: and very much in an English kind of settler colonial town. 1178 01:04:09,880 --> 01:04:13,120 Speaker 16: And I also went to Queen's College at a very 1179 01:04:13,120 --> 01:04:17,959 Speaker 16: interesting time because we were i would say, probably part 1180 01:04:18,000 --> 01:04:21,840 Speaker 16: of the first few cohorts in the early nineteen nineties 1181 01:04:22,000 --> 01:04:25,680 Speaker 16: that as African and black children were accepted into the school. 1182 01:04:27,400 --> 01:04:30,880 Speaker 16: And I must say that the you know, if you 1183 01:04:30,880 --> 01:04:32,680 Speaker 16: think of the people that have come out of that 1184 01:04:32,800 --> 01:04:36,640 Speaker 16: particular school, leave aside all of the rugby and cricket players, 1185 01:04:36,680 --> 01:04:39,919 Speaker 16: who are often quite well known, but if you think 1186 01:04:39,960 --> 01:04:43,040 Speaker 16: of a lot of the sort of politic of those 1187 01:04:43,080 --> 01:04:46,120 Speaker 16: who have a political band, very few. 1188 01:04:45,920 --> 01:04:48,360 Speaker 7: Of them are of the more left wing. 1189 01:04:48,920 --> 01:04:50,640 Speaker 16: I mean, if I think of Alistair Sparks, if I 1190 01:04:50,640 --> 01:04:54,640 Speaker 16: think of Errol Morcraft, who passed away a few weeks ago, 1191 01:04:54,680 --> 01:04:57,480 Speaker 16: who had been the federal chair of the Democratic Alliance, 1192 01:04:58,240 --> 01:05:04,400 Speaker 16: Professor Andre Wadendal, who's a historian, and many others would 1193 01:05:04,440 --> 01:05:08,160 Speaker 16: probably be more of a center right band. But coming 1194 01:05:08,200 --> 01:05:12,400 Speaker 16: as I did, I think from a family that sort 1195 01:05:12,400 --> 01:05:16,600 Speaker 16: of was involved very much in the politics of the time, 1196 01:05:16,880 --> 01:05:20,840 Speaker 16: and I certainly at some point would have had some 1197 01:05:20,960 --> 01:05:22,720 Speaker 16: tension in the school. And I think as I came 1198 01:05:22,720 --> 01:05:24,520 Speaker 16: of age and as I got a bit older in 1199 01:05:24,560 --> 01:05:28,600 Speaker 16: my teenage years, was also exposed to quite a lot 1200 01:05:28,640 --> 01:05:32,760 Speaker 16: of civic work. And also I think schools like that 1201 01:05:33,120 --> 01:05:36,160 Speaker 16: are distinguishable by the totality of involvement. 1202 01:05:36,760 --> 01:05:38,080 Speaker 7: So you're not only playing. 1203 01:05:37,840 --> 01:05:42,160 Speaker 16: Cricket and rugby, you're also involved in, you know, the 1204 01:05:42,280 --> 01:05:43,440 Speaker 16: debating society. 1205 01:05:44,640 --> 01:05:47,440 Speaker 7: You know, I ended up for all my sins. 1206 01:05:48,960 --> 01:05:51,280 Speaker 16: Kind of being involved in a school newspaper, and I 1207 01:05:51,280 --> 01:05:55,840 Speaker 16: think a lot of that formative experience of getting involved 1208 01:05:55,880 --> 01:06:01,040 Speaker 16: beyond just the classroom stood me in good stead. Notwithstanding, 1209 01:06:01,080 --> 01:06:05,560 Speaker 16: I think a lot of the sort of tensions from 1210 01:06:05,600 --> 01:06:08,320 Speaker 16: just the worldview, and also recalled Stephen that by the 1211 01:06:08,320 --> 01:06:11,160 Speaker 16: time I left the school, this was the start of 1212 01:06:11,200 --> 01:06:15,120 Speaker 16: the global financial crisis, and so already even in that 1213 01:06:15,160 --> 01:06:20,000 Speaker 16: small town, we're becoming exposed to all the economic machinations 1214 01:06:20,000 --> 01:06:22,880 Speaker 16: that are unfolding around us. And I think that that itself, 1215 01:06:23,000 --> 01:06:27,040 Speaker 16: that moment was quite instrumental in influencing me to take 1216 01:06:27,160 --> 01:06:29,800 Speaker 16: up training in economics after I left the school. 1217 01:06:30,120 --> 01:06:32,360 Speaker 2: I mean, there's a reason why so many parents want 1218 01:06:32,400 --> 01:06:34,640 Speaker 2: their children to go to school sort of like that 1219 01:06:35,200 --> 01:06:35,760 Speaker 2: because of the. 1220 01:06:36,520 --> 01:06:38,000 Speaker 7: Especially because it's a public school. 1221 01:06:38,560 --> 01:06:41,760 Speaker 16: That's the other element that a lot of people often 1222 01:06:41,760 --> 01:06:45,360 Speaker 16: get shocked when we say, look, this is a public school, 1223 01:06:45,760 --> 01:06:48,880 Speaker 16: and I think there are many similar public schools that, 1224 01:06:49,200 --> 01:06:50,760 Speaker 16: as we are seeing now with the results that are 1225 01:06:50,760 --> 01:06:54,400 Speaker 16: coming out, that really have maintained a very distinguishable record. 1226 01:06:54,920 --> 01:06:56,480 Speaker 2: So you go to Witz, and I don't want to 1227 01:06:56,480 --> 01:06:58,920 Speaker 2: ask you about you it's experience, but why economics in 1228 01:06:59,000 --> 01:07:02,320 Speaker 2: particular without the over financial crisis. I mean, that's a 1229 01:07:02,320 --> 01:07:05,280 Speaker 2: big without would it's still appine economics. 1230 01:07:06,760 --> 01:07:08,760 Speaker 16: Yeah, look, I mean I think the school I went 1231 01:07:08,760 --> 01:07:11,760 Speaker 16: to didn't offer economics as a subject very and I 1232 01:07:11,800 --> 01:07:15,080 Speaker 16: remember there was, Yeah, there was this one teacher who, 1233 01:07:15,760 --> 01:07:19,520 Speaker 16: you know, whenever we would ask these political economy type questions, 1234 01:07:19,520 --> 01:07:22,400 Speaker 16: and even one of our history teachers, I remember what 1235 01:07:22,560 --> 01:07:29,919 Speaker 16: was related Missus Saxton, who was certainly someone who really 1236 01:07:29,920 --> 01:07:32,360 Speaker 16: I think opened our minds to a lot of things 1237 01:07:32,400 --> 01:07:35,480 Speaker 16: just about world history broadly, and whenever we would hit 1238 01:07:35,600 --> 01:07:37,560 Speaker 16: up against some of these things that the question would 1239 01:07:37,600 --> 01:07:41,480 Speaker 16: always arise from an economic advantage, but she would always say, look, 1240 01:07:41,520 --> 01:07:45,760 Speaker 16: you know, economics better explains it. And I think that 1241 01:07:45,840 --> 01:07:49,640 Speaker 16: that left a particular curiosity in my mind. When I 1242 01:07:49,640 --> 01:07:54,400 Speaker 16: got to Woods, i'd applied for another program and I 1243 01:07:54,480 --> 01:07:56,960 Speaker 16: ended up kind of going across the West campus and 1244 01:07:57,280 --> 01:07:59,960 Speaker 16: signing up for an economics. 1245 01:07:59,400 --> 01:08:01,160 Speaker 7: And law made which I dropped the law at the 1246 01:08:01,240 --> 01:08:01,640 Speaker 7: end of the. 1247 01:08:01,560 --> 01:08:06,800 Speaker 16: First year took up finances as a second major. Always 1248 01:08:06,840 --> 01:08:09,479 Speaker 16: knew Steven even during my undergraduate training that I would 1249 01:08:09,480 --> 01:08:12,720 Speaker 16: never work in the bank, nor kind of work in 1250 01:08:13,800 --> 01:08:17,160 Speaker 16: financial markets per se. But I think It was fascinating 1251 01:08:17,200 --> 01:08:20,520 Speaker 16: for me to study finance at a time when financial 1252 01:08:20,560 --> 01:08:24,160 Speaker 16: markets were in flux, at a time when you had 1253 01:08:24,240 --> 01:08:27,120 Speaker 16: Dodd Frank Act in the United States, you had increasing 1254 01:08:28,320 --> 01:08:32,839 Speaker 16: scrutiny over the regulation of capital markets in South Africa 1255 01:08:32,920 --> 01:08:35,759 Speaker 16: and the world more broadly, especially after what had happened 1256 01:08:35,760 --> 01:08:38,000 Speaker 16: with the nineteen ninety eight financial crisis and the two 1257 01:08:38,000 --> 01:08:38,839 Speaker 16: thousand and seven. 1258 01:08:38,720 --> 01:08:42,879 Speaker 7: Eight episode that was triggered by the Lehman brothers. 1259 01:08:43,760 --> 01:08:46,800 Speaker 16: And so it was interesting for me to in the 1260 01:08:46,840 --> 01:08:50,200 Speaker 16: classroom then get the tools to make sense of why 1261 01:08:50,240 --> 01:08:53,040 Speaker 16: so many people that I had known had lost their jobs, 1262 01:08:53,080 --> 01:08:55,320 Speaker 16: why so many people that I had known had had 1263 01:08:55,439 --> 01:09:01,200 Speaker 16: their homes foreclosed, had their possessions had taken because they 1264 01:09:01,200 --> 01:09:03,800 Speaker 16: couldn't service their own debt obligations. 1265 01:09:04,360 --> 01:09:08,880 Speaker 7: And I think it gave me an insight into. 1266 01:09:09,760 --> 01:09:12,400 Speaker 16: Not just political economy, but also I think the world 1267 01:09:12,400 --> 01:09:16,280 Speaker 16: of high finance and what about that world from an 1268 01:09:16,320 --> 01:09:20,880 Speaker 16: allocate advantage point was quite problematic, And I think it's 1269 01:09:20,920 --> 01:09:23,639 Speaker 16: filtered through a lot in my work where I try 1270 01:09:23,680 --> 01:09:26,559 Speaker 16: and make sense of this paradox of South Africa having 1271 01:09:26,680 --> 01:09:31,280 Speaker 16: very deep sophisticated financial and capital markets and yet you 1272 01:09:31,400 --> 01:09:34,839 Speaker 16: still certainly from nineteen eighty five in South Africa onwards 1273 01:09:34,880 --> 01:09:37,639 Speaker 16: have a crisis of under investment, where you've got fixed 1274 01:09:37,680 --> 01:09:42,680 Speaker 16: investment reaching nowhere near kind of a quarter of GDP, 1275 01:09:43,160 --> 01:09:46,840 Speaker 16: which is often seen as the measure of any society 1276 01:09:46,920 --> 01:09:49,919 Speaker 16: that is on the mend trying to really undertake structural 1277 01:09:49,960 --> 01:09:53,200 Speaker 16: transformation and change. And yet you've got all this money 1278 01:09:53,240 --> 01:09:56,680 Speaker 16: sitting in household balance sheets and company balance sheets. But 1279 01:09:56,760 --> 01:10:01,000 Speaker 16: the question of its allocation to fixed investment that sinks shafts, 1280 01:10:01,240 --> 01:10:06,000 Speaker 16: opens up factories, expands farms, mills, and so on is 1281 01:10:06,040 --> 01:10:09,320 Speaker 16: often a very problematic thing. And I think that you 1282 01:10:09,560 --> 01:10:12,880 Speaker 16: I then began to understand that not everything could be 1283 01:10:12,920 --> 01:10:16,400 Speaker 16: explained within the toolbox of finance, that there were certain 1284 01:10:16,479 --> 01:10:21,479 Speaker 16: other elements that would inform the investment behavior off a 1285 01:10:21,600 --> 01:10:26,400 Speaker 16: society beyond just you know, ISLM, macroeconomic models and all 1286 01:10:26,400 --> 01:10:29,040 Speaker 16: the other stuff who were taught it with. And I 1287 01:10:29,080 --> 01:10:31,519 Speaker 16: always say to people that I probably learned more outside 1288 01:10:31,560 --> 01:10:34,160 Speaker 16: of the classroom advits than I did inside the classroom. 1289 01:10:34,520 --> 01:10:36,520 Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean you know university. 1290 01:10:36,800 --> 01:10:39,720 Speaker 16: Yeah, Universities are those places where you knows, as an 1291 01:10:39,760 --> 01:10:43,120 Speaker 16: economic student, you can kind of hold court with someone 1292 01:10:43,160 --> 01:10:45,799 Speaker 16: on gramsheet and kind. 1293 01:10:45,600 --> 01:10:48,559 Speaker 17: Of walk away with that with a curiosity that will 1294 01:10:48,560 --> 01:10:52,000 Speaker 17: probably get you into a pigeonhole and you end up, 1295 01:10:52,880 --> 01:10:56,000 Speaker 17: you know, thinking about so many things flowing from that. 1296 01:10:56,120 --> 01:10:58,920 Speaker 16: And so for me, I I'm very grateful that I 1297 01:10:58,960 --> 01:11:02,400 Speaker 16: was fortunate enough to have that experience and that I 1298 01:11:02,479 --> 01:11:04,280 Speaker 16: was able to stay on even after. 1299 01:11:04,040 --> 01:11:06,800 Speaker 7: My undergraduate training. And what a lot of. 1300 01:11:06,720 --> 01:11:11,599 Speaker 16: People don't know, Steven, is that my postgraduate training was 1301 01:11:11,640 --> 01:11:14,400 Speaker 16: actually funded through a program that the DTI at the 1302 01:11:14,439 --> 01:11:20,360 Speaker 16: time had initiated with the School of Oriental and African 1303 01:11:20,400 --> 01:11:24,679 Speaker 16: Studies at SOAS at the University of London, which brought 1304 01:11:24,680 --> 01:11:28,800 Speaker 16: in a lot of these interesting academics Ben find the 1305 01:11:28,880 --> 01:11:33,040 Speaker 16: late Bill Freud and a few others who had come 1306 01:11:33,120 --> 01:11:37,280 Speaker 16: from the more sort of progressive parts of the economic 1307 01:11:37,840 --> 01:11:41,840 Speaker 16: thinking of the liberation movement, which I think had been 1308 01:11:42,040 --> 01:11:46,360 Speaker 16: really something quite quite interesting for me because I'd gone 1309 01:11:46,400 --> 01:11:49,400 Speaker 16: through the undergraduate training from a very particular advantage point 1310 01:11:49,400 --> 01:11:54,000 Speaker 16: at VITZ, which which I found quite fascinating, and I 1311 01:11:54,080 --> 01:11:56,120 Speaker 16: ended up staying on for the honors and the master's 1312 01:11:56,120 --> 01:11:58,120 Speaker 16: program and then and then went to work thereafter. 1313 01:11:58,800 --> 01:12:02,519 Speaker 2: Were speaking to Ayabunda Clowa. He is the Commissioner at 1314 01:12:02,520 --> 01:12:05,599 Speaker 2: the International Trade Administration Commission he's your shape shifter. Tonight 1315 01:12:05,680 --> 01:12:07,080 Speaker 2: it's ten minute State. 1316 01:12:07,720 --> 01:12:10,400 Speaker 12: The Money Show with Stephen Kuetz is brought to you 1317 01:12:10,479 --> 01:12:14,000 Speaker 12: by abs as cib a Pan African bank invested in 1318 01:12:14,040 --> 01:12:17,439 Speaker 12: your story and the potential it can unlock because your 1319 01:12:17,520 --> 01:12:20,800 Speaker 12: story matters as as the reistered fsp. 1320 01:12:22,160 --> 01:12:24,280 Speaker 14: The Money Show Shape Shifters. 1321 01:12:24,479 --> 01:12:27,559 Speaker 2: Aya Buaner clarwere the chief commissioner at the International Trade 1322 01:12:27,560 --> 01:12:32,719 Speaker 2: Administration Commission. Is your shape shifter this evening, Aya Bunger. 1323 01:12:32,840 --> 01:12:36,240 Speaker 2: You you worked, you were doing many things, but one 1324 01:12:36,240 --> 01:12:38,800 Speaker 2: of the things you were doing was talking about economics 1325 01:12:39,120 --> 01:12:42,720 Speaker 2: in publics the column a Business Day and that's the 1326 01:12:42,760 --> 01:12:45,200 Speaker 2: sort of audience i'd expect to understand economics. But you're 1327 01:12:45,240 --> 01:12:49,280 Speaker 2: also working for a competitor of this radio station on 1328 01:12:49,439 --> 01:12:52,240 Speaker 2: Metro of M for a long time. How did you 1329 01:12:52,280 --> 01:12:55,680 Speaker 2: find discussing economics on that platform? Because economics, I think 1330 01:12:55,720 --> 01:12:58,880 Speaker 2: sometimes has this sort of curtain around it where people 1331 01:12:58,920 --> 01:13:01,640 Speaker 2: are scared of it. And I mean often when you 1332 01:13:02,000 --> 01:13:03,880 Speaker 2: can be talking about something and they don't realize they're 1333 01:13:03,880 --> 01:13:06,679 Speaker 2: talking about economics, but you are. How did you find 1334 01:13:06,680 --> 01:13:10,760 Speaker 2: that experience? Well, you'll see what I think. 1335 01:13:10,760 --> 01:13:13,880 Speaker 16: The first thing that became clear to me when we 1336 01:13:13,880 --> 01:13:18,479 Speaker 16: were at university was that you had to demystify economic ideas. 1337 01:13:18,520 --> 01:13:21,360 Speaker 16: I think economics was too important to only be left 1338 01:13:21,400 --> 01:13:25,000 Speaker 16: to experts or people who who understood it and had 1339 01:13:25,040 --> 01:13:28,240 Speaker 16: studied it to the extent that it affected all of 1340 01:13:28,240 --> 01:13:28,919 Speaker 16: our lives. 1341 01:13:29,080 --> 01:13:33,880 Speaker 7: You had to do away with what many. 1342 01:13:33,760 --> 01:13:36,559 Speaker 16: People call the tyranny of the experts as it relates 1343 01:13:36,560 --> 01:13:41,320 Speaker 16: to economic ideas. If you were interested in a meaningful 1344 01:13:41,600 --> 01:13:46,519 Speaker 16: democratization process in South Africa, you couldn't have as important 1345 01:13:46,560 --> 01:13:51,160 Speaker 16: a domain as economic policy, for instance, being the sole 1346 01:13:51,240 --> 01:13:56,439 Speaker 16: preserve of people who kind of had been skilled in it, 1347 01:13:56,479 --> 01:13:59,880 Speaker 16: trained in it, and often spoken jargon that was alienating 1348 01:13:59,880 --> 01:14:04,840 Speaker 16: for most of us. And I saw the role of 1349 01:14:04,880 --> 01:14:09,880 Speaker 16: the media work as crucial both you know, as you 1350 01:14:09,920 --> 01:14:11,880 Speaker 16: say the column in the Business Day, which I've been 1351 01:14:11,880 --> 01:14:15,639 Speaker 16: writing now this year for a decade, and then also 1352 01:14:15,760 --> 01:14:18,280 Speaker 16: these five years I spent at Metro, and what I 1353 01:14:18,360 --> 01:14:22,440 Speaker 16: found interesting at Metro had been that we had to change, 1354 01:14:23,240 --> 01:14:26,559 Speaker 16: for instance, as it relates to business news, this idea 1355 01:14:26,680 --> 01:14:28,120 Speaker 16: that business news. 1356 01:14:27,920 --> 01:14:30,799 Speaker 7: Is synonymous with financial news, so that. 1357 01:14:30,960 --> 01:14:35,280 Speaker 16: A sense announcement on any day would reflect the sum 1358 01:14:35,320 --> 01:14:37,560 Speaker 16: total of the economic change in the society. 1359 01:14:37,680 --> 01:14:38,879 Speaker 7: We had to make. 1360 01:14:39,360 --> 01:14:42,640 Speaker 16: Economics accessible as much to the taxi driver as it 1361 01:14:42,720 --> 01:14:46,760 Speaker 16: is to the kind of suited up asset manager out 1362 01:14:46,840 --> 01:14:49,760 Speaker 16: in Santon, and do so in a way where we 1363 01:14:49,840 --> 01:14:56,040 Speaker 16: kept some rigor and conceptual fidelity to all of the 1364 01:14:56,160 --> 01:14:58,760 Speaker 16: organizing concepts and principles of how it is that we 1365 01:14:58,880 --> 01:15:02,760 Speaker 16: understand the economy. But you also, if you wanted to 1366 01:15:02,800 --> 01:15:06,200 Speaker 16: do that, Stephen had to be very intentional about the 1367 01:15:06,240 --> 01:15:10,000 Speaker 16: economics of place and time. You had to be intentional 1368 01:15:10,080 --> 01:15:13,680 Speaker 16: about starting from people's own experiences. And I often make 1369 01:15:13,720 --> 01:15:17,080 Speaker 16: this example that you know, it's one thing to know 1370 01:15:18,160 --> 01:15:23,320 Speaker 16: the financial results of AVII, it's something entirely different to 1371 01:15:23,360 --> 01:15:26,400 Speaker 16: make your entry point about understanding the books of AVII 1372 01:15:27,040 --> 01:15:32,839 Speaker 16: by going to Five Roses, to Caverla, to Baker's Biscuits 1373 01:15:33,360 --> 01:15:36,760 Speaker 16: and beginning to weave the story from there in order 1374 01:15:36,840 --> 01:15:39,719 Speaker 16: want to make it more relatable, but also to begin 1375 01:15:39,840 --> 01:15:44,479 Speaker 16: to weave the business content on any media platform in 1376 01:15:44,520 --> 01:15:48,720 Speaker 16: a way that's kind of mutually understood with other segments 1377 01:15:48,720 --> 01:15:53,280 Speaker 16: and content across a media platform, especially if you're in 1378 01:15:53,280 --> 01:15:57,679 Speaker 16: the public broadcaster. And I found that initially very difficult 1379 01:15:57,720 --> 01:16:01,040 Speaker 16: to do, but over time you began to see because 1380 01:16:01,160 --> 01:16:04,479 Speaker 16: radio is a medium that gives you continuous feedback. You 1381 01:16:04,560 --> 01:16:09,439 Speaker 16: began to hear from people who were saying, I hear 1382 01:16:09,479 --> 01:16:14,040 Speaker 16: what you're saying from this vantage point, I problematize or 1383 01:16:14,080 --> 01:16:19,479 Speaker 16: I engage what you're saying from this specific perspective, and 1384 01:16:19,520 --> 01:16:23,160 Speaker 16: based on that, I think that this is what might 1385 01:16:23,200 --> 01:16:25,679 Speaker 16: inform the corporate strategy of this company, or I think 1386 01:16:25,680 --> 01:16:29,120 Speaker 16: from the economic policy advantage point that this reform agenda 1387 01:16:29,240 --> 01:16:33,559 Speaker 16: has these complications or these problems, And I thought that 1388 01:16:33,560 --> 01:16:37,000 Speaker 16: that was an important part of our own democratic duty. 1389 01:16:38,000 --> 01:16:41,080 Speaker 16: I mean, take, for example, Stephen, one of the things 1390 01:16:41,080 --> 01:16:46,960 Speaker 16: we don't observe. Almost all of the African language platforms 1391 01:16:47,000 --> 01:16:51,320 Speaker 16: on the public broadcaster in a twenty four hour media 1392 01:16:51,479 --> 01:16:56,599 Speaker 16: cycle will only have at most two hours for current 1393 01:16:56,640 --> 01:17:00,479 Speaker 16: affairs and a space for deliberation and discussion the people 1394 01:17:00,479 --> 01:17:05,040 Speaker 16: who listen to the platform over that period, and the 1395 01:17:05,080 --> 01:17:08,280 Speaker 16: more you immediately begin to understand kind of one from 1396 01:17:08,280 --> 01:17:11,480 Speaker 16: where this comes from. But also what is so problematic 1397 01:17:11,520 --> 01:17:14,080 Speaker 16: about it, because what it does is that it begins 1398 01:17:14,120 --> 01:17:17,720 Speaker 16: to influence the broader awareness and consciousness and understanding that 1399 01:17:17,760 --> 01:17:20,680 Speaker 16: people have, and that translates to so many things. I mean, 1400 01:17:20,720 --> 01:17:26,240 Speaker 16: you were talking to earlier about January debt. You know, 1401 01:17:26,400 --> 01:17:29,240 Speaker 16: and to the extent that we have financial discussions on radio, 1402 01:17:29,520 --> 01:17:32,640 Speaker 16: that influences people's own decisions in their lives. To the 1403 01:17:32,680 --> 01:17:35,320 Speaker 16: extent that we have current affairs discussions, it influences how 1404 01:17:35,320 --> 01:17:38,200 Speaker 16: people vote in their ballots, It influences. 1405 01:17:37,600 --> 01:17:39,599 Speaker 7: How people organize themselves in their. 1406 01:17:39,800 --> 01:17:42,960 Speaker 16: You know, sectional title properties, what they do in those 1407 01:17:42,960 --> 01:17:46,840 Speaker 16: community WhatsApp groups. And so I think all of us 1408 01:17:46,920 --> 01:17:50,560 Speaker 16: have to see the work of the fourth Estate as 1409 01:17:50,680 --> 01:17:54,040 Speaker 16: so crucial to building this democracy and every nerve and 1410 01:17:54,120 --> 01:17:54,720 Speaker 16: sinew of it. 1411 01:17:55,000 --> 01:17:57,240 Speaker 2: Hyabunga, I I don't want to interrupt. You've got thirty 1412 01:17:57,240 --> 01:18:02,160 Speaker 2: seconds left. Trade and iTech, why particularly trade the economics 1413 01:18:02,200 --> 01:18:05,200 Speaker 2: is broad trade I find fascinating, but it makes my 1414 01:18:05,280 --> 01:18:07,840 Speaker 2: head explode. Is the complexity of it's attractive? 1415 01:18:09,640 --> 01:18:12,160 Speaker 7: Well, look, that's my training in the first instance, Stephen. 1416 01:18:12,280 --> 01:18:14,680 Speaker 7: But I also think that I've always. 1417 01:18:14,439 --> 01:18:21,120 Speaker 16: Been drawn to trade precisely because of, you know, the 1418 01:18:21,720 --> 01:18:27,880 Speaker 16: inseparable link between trade and the enterprise of colonialism and exploitation, 1419 01:18:28,160 --> 01:18:31,280 Speaker 16: especially for us who come from the Third World. And 1420 01:18:31,400 --> 01:18:33,320 Speaker 16: if you look at what has happened in the last 1421 01:18:33,479 --> 01:18:38,479 Speaker 16: twenty four months in the trade discussion globally, I don't 1422 01:18:38,520 --> 01:18:42,000 Speaker 16: blame people who begin to bandy about the word imperialism, 1423 01:18:42,479 --> 01:18:46,840 Speaker 16: because effectively, what has happened, the very genteel nature of 1424 01:18:46,880 --> 01:18:50,320 Speaker 16: trade discussions and diplomacy at that level has now been 1425 01:18:50,360 --> 01:18:54,320 Speaker 16: replaced by the stark and what Clement Atlee, one of 1426 01:18:54,360 --> 01:18:57,040 Speaker 16: the label politicians in the post war period called naked 1427 01:18:57,120 --> 01:19:00,680 Speaker 16: self interest of many nations across the world world. And 1428 01:19:00,720 --> 01:19:03,760 Speaker 16: I think I'm fortunate as a young South African to 1429 01:19:03,880 --> 01:19:06,080 Speaker 16: have the opportunity to be part of some of those 1430 01:19:06,080 --> 01:19:09,080 Speaker 16: discussions and to to try and at least make my 1431 01:19:09,120 --> 01:19:12,760 Speaker 16: own small and very humble contribution to ensuring that South 1432 01:19:12,800 --> 01:19:15,760 Speaker 16: Africa one is able to respond your thoughtful way, I 1433 01:19:15,800 --> 01:19:18,160 Speaker 16: have an evidence based way and in a way that 1434 01:19:18,520 --> 01:19:21,680 Speaker 16: at least yeah, gets us going some abanger. 1435 01:19:21,760 --> 01:19:23,960 Speaker 2: Thank you, I've really enjoyed the time together. I'm sorry 1436 01:19:23,960 --> 01:19:26,320 Speaker 2: we have to cut a short. A Banner Clawe is 1437 01:19:26,360 --> 01:19:29,160 Speaker 2: the Commission at the International Trade Administration Commission. 1438 01:19:30,320 --> 01:19:33,000 Speaker 12: The Money Show with Stephen Curtis is brought to you 1439 01:19:33,040 --> 01:19:36,559 Speaker 12: by abs A cib a Pan African bank invested in 1440 01:19:36,600 --> 01:19:40,040 Speaker 12: your story and the potential it can unlock because your 1441 01:19:40,080 --> 01:19:41,400 Speaker 12: story matters. 1442 01:19:41,760 --> 01:19:43,440 Speaker 9: APPS as a raised the fsp. 1443 01:19:43,960 --> 01:19:46,960 Speaker 2: US markets down tonight, the dar Jones down point six percent, 1444 01:19:47,000 --> 01:19:49,000 Speaker 2: the Nastik down nearly one and a half, the S 1445 01:19:49,040 --> 01:19:51,920 Speaker 2: and P five hundred down nearly a full percent. That's 1446 01:19:51,960 --> 01:19:53,040 Speaker 2: the money show. It's a