1 00:00:00,520 --> 00:00:04,760 Speaker 1: The Money Show, Rudy funder MAV's portfolio manager of advice 2 00:00:04,800 --> 00:00:08,160 Speaker 1: works really good evening well interest rates and as I say, 3 00:00:08,600 --> 00:00:11,840 Speaker 1: the decision for a whole surprising absolutely nobody. 4 00:00:13,680 --> 00:00:16,439 Speaker 2: Steven Yea, I don't think anybody were surprised. You know, 5 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:19,479 Speaker 2: our observe bank cares over quite a long period of 6 00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:23,560 Speaker 2: time become learned to be very conservative, and possibly they 7 00:00:23,560 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 2: were criticized in the relatively recent past before not cutting 8 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:30,400 Speaker 2: more aggressively. As it turns out, right now, we do 9 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 2: have sort of a little bit of fat in the system. 10 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 2: You know, our interest rates are probably a little bit 11 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:38,520 Speaker 2: higher than they realistically should be for for where inflation 12 00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:41,680 Speaker 2: historically finds itself, and that gives us a little bit 13 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:44,440 Speaker 2: of room in terms of not having to hike aggressively 14 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:48,920 Speaker 2: now when the world becomes more uncertain, so that that 15 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:51,720 Speaker 2: is useful. And I think they've certainly their view that 16 00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:55,840 Speaker 2: this is a supply driven shock and when one needs 17 00:00:55,840 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 2: to sort of at least in the short term, look 18 00:00:57,520 --> 00:01:00,680 Speaker 2: through that until we start start seeing or getting more 19 00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 2: certainty that it isn't a short term phenomenon. 20 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:05,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, And I mean we all know, no one knows 21 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:08,120 Speaker 1: what's going to happen at first rand they spent I 22 00:01:08,120 --> 00:01:10,320 Speaker 1: think it's a billion and a half or thereabouts on 23 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:13,760 Speaker 1: increasing their stake in Optasia. They now own around twenty 24 00:01:13,800 --> 00:01:15,920 Speaker 1: six percent. How do you view that? I mean, first 25 00:01:15,959 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 1: round is can I call them a traditional lender? Optasia 26 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:21,560 Speaker 1: is completely different. 27 00:01:23,319 --> 00:01:26,560 Speaker 2: It is completely different, so that they're obviously taking quite 28 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 2: a big bet on the fintech space, and I actually 29 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:32,880 Speaker 2: think it's almost two bets. One is on fintech and 30 00:01:32,920 --> 00:01:35,040 Speaker 2: that they want to get ahead of the curve of 31 00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:38,680 Speaker 2: their competition, and I suspect it's also a way for 32 00:01:38,720 --> 00:01:41,480 Speaker 2: them to get better coverage and Africa without doing it 33 00:01:41,600 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 2: via rolling out a branch network of optations obviously quite 34 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:50,160 Speaker 2: significantly exposed in African lending. So it's a both I 35 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:55,040 Speaker 2: think both the technology and a geographic approach from first round, 36 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:59,680 Speaker 2: and you know, they're taking quite a big bet, roughly 37 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 2: another billion and a half on round to increase their 38 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:05,440 Speaker 2: stake to twenty six percent, which has to make one 39 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:09,360 Speaker 2: wonder whether they will at some stage try and increase 40 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:12,720 Speaker 2: that further to actually go in a dominant stake in 41 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:16,639 Speaker 2: the business. But certainly they seem to be comfortable with 42 00:02:18,040 --> 00:02:19,680 Speaker 2: the rate of growth at this stage and the art 43 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:22,799 Speaker 2: look for growth for pleasure going forward, and so that 44 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 2: is positive. And certainly blush Trends has got a history 45 00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:31,400 Speaker 2: for investing in technology and adding value to the customers 46 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:35,720 Speaker 2: via that process. So one sort of prilly has to 47 00:02:35,760 --> 00:02:37,119 Speaker 2: give them the benefit of the arta. 48 00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:41,040 Speaker 1: I mean, there's so many different things going on. I 49 00:02:41,120 --> 00:02:44,720 Speaker 1: mean that essentially the US President Donald Trump seems to 50 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:48,240 Speaker 1: be suggesting that in fact, you know, ten boats are 51 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 1: allowed through the gift of AMusA is a gift from Iran. 52 00:02:51,200 --> 00:02:54,120 Speaker 1: I mean, it's impossible to know how this plays out, 53 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:56,800 Speaker 1: and oil markets are still in a very difficult position 54 00:02:56,880 --> 00:02:57,440 Speaker 1: as a result. 55 00:02:59,320 --> 00:03:04,679 Speaker 2: Noah, it's very true. And you know, typically these geopolitical 56 00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 2: things don't the impact on markets, don't tend to last 57 00:03:08,280 --> 00:03:12,040 Speaker 2: for four extended periods, and markets reasonably soon get used 58 00:03:12,080 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 2: to the idea that things are changing and then then 59 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:18,120 Speaker 2: tend to tend to relax. But I must say this 60 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:22,560 Speaker 2: is the probably the circumstances with the worst quality information 61 00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:26,960 Speaker 2: that I've seen you since since I've sort of been 62 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:30,359 Speaker 2: exposed to financial markets, and and I think that's part 63 00:03:30,400 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 2: of the problem. At the moment. We're getting very very 64 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 2: poor quality information. It doesn't matter which side of the 65 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 2: spectrum you on. Sort of both sides are claiming that 66 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 2: the other side is begging for a shooting stand still basically, 67 00:03:41,360 --> 00:03:45,240 Speaker 2: and that leaves everybody who's trying to make decisions based 68 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:48,440 Speaker 2: on pressing activity in a little bit of a quandary. 69 00:03:49,600 --> 00:03:52,440 Speaker 2: Certainly the situation. It also means, I think the markets 70 00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:56,600 Speaker 2: haven't although they've sold off quite materially, they're not passing 71 00:03:56,680 --> 00:03:59,040 Speaker 2: in a very very bad case scenario. And one can 72 00:03:59,120 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 2: dream up nasty scenarios if you, if you put your 73 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:04,640 Speaker 2: mind to it, But you know, we I think the 74 00:04:04,720 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 2: world is hoping that we see things calm down and 75 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:14,119 Speaker 2: come to a more peaceful state in maybe June July 76 00:04:14,280 --> 00:04:14,440 Speaker 2: or so. 77 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:18,320 Speaker 1: Really, thank you Rudy for themva's Portfolio Manager Advice with