1 00:00:00,480 --> 00:00:01,360 Speaker 1: The money show. 2 00:00:01,800 --> 00:00:06,720 Speaker 2: The market market is lead specialist investments in trading sales 3 00:00:06,760 --> 00:00:12,400 Speaker 2: at ABSs cib Marco, Good Evening, votercoma buying Safcom in Kenya. 4 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:15,280 Speaker 2: It's now going to court in Kenya. I think it's 5 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 2: going to the Chief Justice for some reason. Could that 6 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:18,959 Speaker 2: stop the steal. 7 00:00:19,320 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: As even no, I don't think so. It does seem 8 00:00:21,800 --> 00:00:24,640 Speaker 1: like a little bit of political grand standing there. Remember 9 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:27,040 Speaker 1: that the stake in Safcom belongs to the Kenyan government 10 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:29,640 Speaker 1: and they are selling it down to Votericon. Votcom already 11 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 1: owned a significant stake there, so they'll just be upping 12 00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:34,199 Speaker 1: their stake in getting a little bit more control out 13 00:00:34,200 --> 00:00:36,760 Speaker 1: of it. But the Kenyan government will still have a 14 00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:40,879 Speaker 1: pretty significant interest in the stock post this steal. But 15 00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:43,000 Speaker 1: as you say, yes, gone to the Chief Justice, he 16 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 1: will have to appoint a three panel bench to decide 17 00:00:45,760 --> 00:00:48,080 Speaker 1: whether the interde currently in place is valid or not. 18 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:52,320 Speaker 2: In the UK, the Financial Conduct Authority is finally, and 19 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:54,800 Speaker 2: I really do hope I can use the word finally 20 00:00:54,880 --> 00:00:58,120 Speaker 2: here issued a final decision about the amount of money 21 00:00:58,160 --> 00:01:00,640 Speaker 2: car sellers have to pay out well what's called the 22 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 2: mis selling of cost. Basically, the financial products behind them 23 00:01:03,480 --> 00:01:07,320 Speaker 2: were missold first rand own the Oldermoor Group in the UK, 24 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:11,759 Speaker 2: they're exposed. Their sense statement said, we're assessing. I don't 25 00:01:11,760 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 2: know what that means. How bad is it going to be? 26 00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 1: Well seven? I mean interestingly, today the stock was actually 27 00:01:16,600 --> 00:01:18,520 Speaker 1: the best performing out of the bank's, up about two 28 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:21,039 Speaker 1: point nine percent. And I think this is exactly to 29 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:23,520 Speaker 1: your point, people breathing asidh of relief, hoping that this 30 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 1: will give us some finality and some clarity. I think 31 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:28,480 Speaker 1: the other thing they looked at is it actually looked 32 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 1: a little bit better than people might have feared. So, 33 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:33,840 Speaker 1: you know, fifteen percent fear of agreements. Total cost of 34 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:36,720 Speaker 1: redress coming in at about nine point one billion pounds, 35 00:01:37,120 --> 00:01:39,560 Speaker 1: but this was from their initial proposed sort of eleven 36 00:01:39,600 --> 00:01:43,320 Speaker 1: billion pounds, so pretty significant, you know, lower amount there. 37 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:46,480 Speaker 1: I guess what the market is still going to grapple 38 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 1: with is where the first rund is well enough provided 39 00:01:48,480 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 1: for this. They've provided about two hundred and forty million 40 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 1: pounds at this point, and they all said to us, well, 41 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:55,720 Speaker 1: we'll tell you next week once we look through it. 42 00:01:56,440 --> 00:01:59,120 Speaker 2: I mean what this also means is we've seen bank 43 00:01:59,160 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 2: after banks investic also a couple of others all having 44 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:05,000 Speaker 2: to say we've made provision. They really did plan, and 45 00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:06,640 Speaker 2: they planned a long time ago. 46 00:02:07,320 --> 00:02:09,840 Speaker 1: Absolutely right. I mean, as soon as this sort of 47 00:02:09,880 --> 00:02:11,799 Speaker 1: came out the case came to the fore in the UK, 48 00:02:11,919 --> 00:02:14,239 Speaker 1: you'd suc see the very conservative management team at first 49 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:16,919 Speaker 1: round taking the provision as they should. But I guess 50 00:02:16,919 --> 00:02:19,519 Speaker 1: that you know, the point is is what you think 51 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:22,320 Speaker 1: your potential liability is versus what the regulators telling you're 52 00:02:22,320 --> 00:02:24,640 Speaker 1: going to have to pay could be different, you know, 53 00:02:24,840 --> 00:02:26,519 Speaker 1: and we've seen some of the large banks in the 54 00:02:26,639 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 1: UK take very significant provisions for this. 55 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:34,359 Speaker 2: Precious metals up today, gold and platinum actually any particular reason. 56 00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:38,280 Speaker 2: I mean everyone's sort of optimistic. US markets are up 57 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 2: on hopes of a de escalation. I mean, I honestly 58 00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:42,360 Speaker 2: can't see what they're basing that on. 59 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:44,760 Speaker 1: I think everyone's looking for some good news. Stephen. It 60 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:47,320 Speaker 1: really feels that way. As you say, gold up over 61 00:02:47,320 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 1: one hundred dollars, platinum up forty dollars, played them up 62 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:52,440 Speaker 1: fifty five, so giving our stocks quite a nast boost. 63 00:02:52,440 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 1: We saw Sabunia up nearly five percent, Anglo Gold up 64 00:02:55,840 --> 00:02:58,399 Speaker 1: about four but along with that you saw weaker dollar 65 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:00,720 Speaker 1: and the rand actually post in quite a good day 66 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 1: approaching back that seventeen level, which I could also provide 67 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 1: a little bit of respite. 68 00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 2: I mean, it's been one of the talking points of 69 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:08,679 Speaker 2: this senior conflict. You'd expect gold to go up, but 70 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:11,000 Speaker 2: it had such a run before it actually went down. 71 00:03:11,400 --> 00:03:13,680 Speaker 2: I saw. I can't remember. It might have been Goldman Sachs, 72 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 2: but there was an analyst note out today as suggesting 73 00:03:16,600 --> 00:03:18,680 Speaker 2: that in fact, gold could sort of settle it around 74 00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:22,160 Speaker 2: five four hundred later in the air, and that's significantly 75 00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:24,680 Speaker 2: higher than where it is now, almost one thousand dollars higher. 76 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:27,520 Speaker 1: Absolutely. See mean, look, I think history often tells us 77 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 1: that at the beginning of these conflicts of uncertainties, people 78 00:03:30,520 --> 00:03:33,360 Speaker 1: tend to liquidate gold to cover, you know, calls on 79 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:36,440 Speaker 1: other investments. You know, it's very liquid, very easy to 80 00:03:36,440 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 1: get hold of, and generally performs well into these events. 81 00:03:39,640 --> 00:03:42,000 Speaker 1: So you know, what we've generally seen after that is 82 00:03:42,040 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 1: give it a few months and you'll actually see gold 83 00:03:43,960 --> 00:03:45,880 Speaker 1: starting to creep up again as people go back to 84 00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 1: that safe haven status. 85 00:03:47,440 --> 00:03:51,400 Speaker 2: Thanks very much. Indeed, Marcotaff here is the elite specialist 86 00:03:51,440 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 2: for investment and trading sales at Absolute cib