1 00:00:01,240 --> 00:00:05,520 Speaker 1: And now The Money Show with Stephen credits on seven 2 00:00:05,559 --> 00:00:05,960 Speaker 1: o two. 3 00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:09,360 Speaker 2: Let's walk at all. The Money Show with Stephen Curtis 4 00:00:09,440 --> 00:00:11,960 Speaker 2: is brought to you by abs of corporate, an investment banking, 5 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 2: a Pan African bank that's invested in your story because 6 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:18,480 Speaker 2: your story matters. Good evening, I'm Stephen Curtis. Ten minutes 7 00:00:18,520 --> 00:00:21,799 Speaker 2: after six and US markets getting there first chance to 8 00:00:21,840 --> 00:00:25,120 Speaker 2: react to Trump sort of grab for Greenland, the new 9 00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 2: tariffs and all of that, and astonishingly well, not surprising 10 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 2: me at all. In fact, they're sharply down tonight. The 11 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:34,919 Speaker 2: gold price been moving up steadily through the day. And 12 00:00:35,080 --> 00:00:36,879 Speaker 2: I've made this point before, but at the end of 13 00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:39,160 Speaker 2: last year we thought maybe by the end of twenty 14 00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:42,560 Speaker 2: twenty six gold will hit five thousand dollars. Now, wow, 15 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:44,199 Speaker 2: it could be by the end of the month, by 16 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:47,879 Speaker 2: the end of January. It really is quite extraordinary. At 17 00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:50,680 Speaker 2: the NHI, we spoke last week to the boat to 18 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:54,000 Speaker 2: one of the people involved after enokot Guana, the finance 19 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 2: minster said he wanted a truce over the NHI for 20 00:00:56,800 --> 00:01:00,440 Speaker 2: people to drop their court applications against at Katlem Tody 21 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 2: is the managing director of the Board of healthcare funders. 22 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:05,840 Speaker 2: They say, nope, they're not going to sit down and 23 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:08,319 Speaker 2: talk drm vsium Zuk was the chair of the South 24 00:01:08,319 --> 00:01:11,479 Speaker 2: African Medical Association. They say they will. You'll hear both 25 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:14,679 Speaker 2: sides of this in just a moment. Lots of optimism 26 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 2: around about our economy and in fact the IMF saying 27 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:20,640 Speaker 2: that it's upgrading our growth outlook for South Africa. Kevin 28 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:23,280 Speaker 2: Lyn's from Standard will give you his view on that 29 00:01:23,400 --> 00:01:24,640 Speaker 2: in a couple of moments. 30 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:26,039 Speaker 3: Also, I was. 31 00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:28,040 Speaker 2: Amazed to see and yet I should have seen it coming. 32 00:01:28,319 --> 00:01:34,679 Speaker 2: The shared disruption caused by the introduction of Chinese cars, 33 00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:38,600 Speaker 2: the unbelievable growth in the number of cars they've exported, 34 00:01:38,600 --> 00:01:41,240 Speaker 2: and what that's doing to some of our companies in motors. 35 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:44,680 Speaker 2: They're in the automotive space. They've had to, it seems 36 00:01:44,720 --> 00:01:47,680 Speaker 2: now cut down on some of the salaries that they're 37 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 2: paying their work as their workers, as you can imagine, 38 00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:52,720 Speaker 2: frustrated with that. We'll hear from the Motor Industry Staff 39 00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 2: Association and from MOTUS about that in a few moments. 40 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:58,960 Speaker 2: I think that's going to be a very very important conversation. 41 00:01:59,080 --> 00:02:01,800 Speaker 2: So much happening around cars at the moment. Good to 42 00:02:01,840 --> 00:02:03,640 Speaker 2: hear from you tonight O double one, double A three 43 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:06,520 Speaker 2: oh seven oh two two one four four six five 44 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:07,080 Speaker 2: six seven. 45 00:02:07,760 --> 00:02:11,680 Speaker 1: The Lonly Show with Stephen Crutis live on ninety two 46 00:02:11,720 --> 00:02:15,079 Speaker 1: point seven and one six FM, streaming on the Prime 47 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:18,680 Speaker 1: Media Plus NAP and DStv channel eight five six. 48 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:21,080 Speaker 2: Well, I saw Today News twenty four having an interesting 49 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:24,600 Speaker 2: report that two more senior executives have left Standard Bank 50 00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 2: and they're going to abser and I mean, it seems 51 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:30,120 Speaker 2: obvious they're following the new CEO at ABS, Kidy Fickley. 52 00:02:30,200 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 2: He came from Standard Bank, and there's been a little 53 00:02:32,520 --> 00:02:35,280 Speaker 2: bit of procession of some of Standard Bank's top talent. 54 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:38,519 Speaker 2: And suddenly you start to see people following and going 55 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 2: from Standard Bank to ABS. And I thought I would 56 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 2: ask you, have you ever followed a bus somewhere? I 57 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:46,880 Speaker 2: remember very clearly, having worked for someone for a very 58 00:02:46,919 --> 00:02:50,640 Speaker 2: long time, having left, getting a core from her saying 59 00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:53,239 Speaker 2: I need to see you about something. Talking of you 60 00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 2: having a very the world's quickest coffee. She sort of 61 00:02:55,960 --> 00:03:00,280 Speaker 2: hinted at what her big next project was, and I said, yeah, sure, 62 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 2: there was another meeting, and I was very glad that 63 00:03:03,200 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 2: I did follow her for a very long time, in fact, 64 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:08,920 Speaker 2: to a new place, something I hadn't really thought of 65 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:12,320 Speaker 2: doing before. Have you ever followed a boss? How was 66 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:14,560 Speaker 2: it for you? Sometimes you can follow a boss and 67 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 2: actually it doesn't work. They're not who you thought they were, 68 00:03:17,639 --> 00:03:20,800 Speaker 2: or the culture doesn't work, or maybe people don't like 69 00:03:20,840 --> 00:03:23,400 Speaker 2: the two of you together, or whatever it is. But 70 00:03:23,480 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 2: have you ever followed a boss? What was that like? 71 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:28,079 Speaker 2: I think a lot of people like to be remembered, 72 00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:31,040 Speaker 2: But what was that experience for you? How did it end? O? 73 00:03:31,200 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 2: Seven two seven two one seven o two The. 74 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:38,560 Speaker 1: Money Show with Stephen Kruitterz on seven O two seven 75 00:03:38,600 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 1: o two. 76 00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:41,880 Speaker 2: Well next responses coming now to the idea of a 77 00:03:41,960 --> 00:03:45,280 Speaker 2: truce over the NHI. The Finance mister in Iguana last 78 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:48,560 Speaker 2: week saying that the people who've brought court cases there 79 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 2: are nine court cases aimed at blocking it, should drop 80 00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 2: them and instead they should sit around the table and talk. Prof. 81 00:03:54,760 --> 00:03:57,600 Speaker 2: Metz Craig Comray said yesterday said last week in fact, 82 00:03:57,600 --> 00:03:59,880 Speaker 2: he's willing to talk to government. The SA Medical Is 83 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 2: Association says it's happy to sit down and chat, but 84 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:05,840 Speaker 2: the managing direct that the Board of Healthcare Funders says 85 00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:08,960 Speaker 2: they're not Cadlejomoturi is the managing director of the Board 86 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 2: of Healthcare Funders. Good evening. You know, Guana seems to 87 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:16,480 Speaker 2: be opening the door to some kind of chat. Why 88 00:04:16,520 --> 00:04:19,080 Speaker 2: are you refusing to go through and sit down and 89 00:04:19,080 --> 00:04:20,360 Speaker 2: have a conversation. 90 00:04:22,120 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 4: Believing Steven and your listeners, the fact is we are 91 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:31,240 Speaker 4: not refusing. We have been talking to government. I think 92 00:04:31,279 --> 00:04:35,000 Speaker 4: what needs to be clarified is what negotiation looks like 93 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:40,720 Speaker 4: in the government's eyes. We've been talking since time immorial 94 00:04:40,760 --> 00:04:44,680 Speaker 4: when Nhi was bended. Apart from the Green Paper, we 95 00:04:45,120 --> 00:04:50,920 Speaker 4: have been talking and asking questions, asking about various challenges 96 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:54,400 Speaker 4: that we saw with the with the COD case, and 97 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 4: even the COD case is a way of us seeking 98 00:04:58,480 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 4: clarification on how this is going to be done about. 99 00:05:02,279 --> 00:05:06,360 Speaker 4: It's not really sort to block the efforts of current 100 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:09,839 Speaker 4: but rather to improve healthcare provision in the country. 101 00:05:10,560 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 2: So for the moment, you're not going to drop your 102 00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:13,479 Speaker 2: court case. 103 00:05:15,440 --> 00:05:20,040 Speaker 5: No, that that is not on the cards because we 104 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:23,840 Speaker 5: do not have anything concrete in terms of the way forward. 105 00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:28,640 Speaker 5: I think what remains now is for us to see 106 00:05:29,279 --> 00:05:33,160 Speaker 5: whether there's any convergence on any of the matters that 107 00:05:33,680 --> 00:05:34,840 Speaker 5: we have been bringing up. 108 00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:38,600 Speaker 2: What are the main issues, I mean, what are the 109 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:41,119 Speaker 2: major things that you disagree with government or the major 110 00:05:41,160 --> 00:05:43,760 Speaker 2: issues you need clarity on. I mean, is there anything 111 00:05:43,800 --> 00:05:46,599 Speaker 2: that government could do or say or give a binding 112 00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:49,200 Speaker 2: undertaking that would convince you to drop the case? 113 00:05:51,279 --> 00:05:57,000 Speaker 5: Maybe to answer you correctly, I'll just maybe give us 114 00:05:57,160 --> 00:06:03,039 Speaker 5: a little detail of what our court is entailed. We've 115 00:06:03,120 --> 00:06:07,560 Speaker 5: got currently two cases that are sitting in the Constitutional Court. 116 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:13,560 Speaker 5: One of them is about the consultation processes that we 117 00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:19,000 Speaker 5: believe we're inadequate, and we believe that there are thousands 118 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:23,279 Speaker 5: of submissions, which a lot of them not just ask 119 00:06:23,440 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 5: questions but actually broad concrete suggestions on how healthcare can 120 00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:31,960 Speaker 5: be improved in the in the country. There are certainly 121 00:06:32,080 --> 00:06:35,600 Speaker 5: topical issues that we talk about. I think top of 122 00:06:35,760 --> 00:06:40,200 Speaker 5: mind for most people areas around governance. How is this 123 00:06:40,360 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 5: going to be run? Who's going to be in control? 124 00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:50,320 Speaker 5: We've we've seen questions around from the governor's perspective, how 125 00:06:50,480 --> 00:06:55,840 Speaker 5: much power the minister is given over the fund. I 126 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:59,599 Speaker 5: think everybody is worried about the direction that our country 127 00:06:59,720 --> 00:07:06,280 Speaker 5: had in terms of poor governance processes. We've spoken a 128 00:07:06,320 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 5: lot about corruption, et cetera. Think we only need to 129 00:07:09,640 --> 00:07:12,760 Speaker 5: spend too much time. That's one area. The second area 130 00:07:13,000 --> 00:07:16,520 Speaker 5: is we need clarity on where the money is going 131 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:22,120 Speaker 5: to come from. It is interesting that we haven't had 132 00:07:22,280 --> 00:07:27,320 Speaker 5: much from Treasury in terms of their thinking, because they're 133 00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 5: the ones who are supposed. 134 00:07:28,920 --> 00:07:30,040 Speaker 3: To bring up the money bill. 135 00:07:30,680 --> 00:07:35,760 Speaker 5: What we have are very loose suggestions from the department 136 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:39,640 Speaker 5: regarding where money will be found, and we are not 137 00:07:39,800 --> 00:07:44,720 Speaker 5: convinced that this has really been thought out now without 138 00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:51,960 Speaker 5: those congrete suggestions, and you having the notion that one 139 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:55,200 Speaker 5: area of health care, while not perfect, but seems to 140 00:07:55,280 --> 00:07:59,880 Speaker 5: be waking. The private sector provision is being shot down 141 00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:07,120 Speaker 5: to not exist alongside the NHI, which raises a lot 142 00:08:07,160 --> 00:08:12,520 Speaker 5: of questions about how access will be improved because everything 143 00:08:12,880 --> 00:08:17,000 Speaker 5: seems to point to access being denied to people who quiate. 144 00:08:17,760 --> 00:08:21,040 Speaker 2: Cadler, thank you, Managing director of the Board of Healthcare 145 00:08:21,120 --> 00:08:23,760 Speaker 2: Funder doctor in the sim Zukua is the chair of 146 00:08:23,800 --> 00:08:27,640 Speaker 2: the Essay Medical Association. They say they're happy to talk, 147 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:30,200 Speaker 2: but you see, good evening, it's been a long time. 148 00:08:30,240 --> 00:08:32,120 Speaker 2: Thank you for your time. Why are you happy to 149 00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:33,240 Speaker 2: sit down and negotiate? 150 00:08:35,800 --> 00:08:38,319 Speaker 6: Good evening, Steve, and to your listeners, and thanks for 151 00:08:38,440 --> 00:08:43,280 Speaker 6: inviting me Steve. You will recall that we've always been 152 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:48,000 Speaker 6: talking to government. We've done a lot of things in 153 00:08:48,200 --> 00:08:54,160 Speaker 6: terms of the legislative processes, those green paper, white paper, 154 00:08:54,280 --> 00:08:57,439 Speaker 6: the police itself. At some point we made a presentation 155 00:08:57,679 --> 00:09:05,199 Speaker 6: in the Portfolio Committee in Parliament. The other thing that 156 00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:11,040 Speaker 6: we've done. We've also petitioned the NCP wanting their attention. 157 00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:15,079 Speaker 6: We wrote a letter to the President and you know, 158 00:09:15,240 --> 00:09:18,560 Speaker 6: during all that period there was no feedback, not even 159 00:09:18,640 --> 00:09:22,559 Speaker 6: acknowledgement of our engagement with government. 160 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 2: So it's really in. 161 00:09:27,480 --> 00:09:31,760 Speaker 6: Uh not sitting well with us for Minister of Finance 162 00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:35,199 Speaker 6: to stay in Parliament and act is if we have 163 00:09:35,400 --> 00:09:40,120 Speaker 6: never attempted to speak to government. And I think that 164 00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:44,800 Speaker 6: those attences should have come from the Minister of Health, 165 00:09:45,000 --> 00:09:49,000 Speaker 6: not the Minsile Finance because Minsial Finance should know that 166 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:51,880 Speaker 6: we've been engaging with government and government has not been 167 00:09:52,000 --> 00:09:55,959 Speaker 6: engaging with us. So we've always said that, but we 168 00:09:56,760 --> 00:10:00,760 Speaker 6: are saying if government wants to talk, they must approach us. 169 00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:04,439 Speaker 6: We're willing to talk, but we're not going to just 170 00:10:04,600 --> 00:10:08,440 Speaker 6: withdraw our cases a case that we have with government 171 00:10:08,760 --> 00:10:11,679 Speaker 6: simply because they want to talk with us. We are 172 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:15,439 Speaker 6: going to be engaging and listening to what government is 173 00:10:15,800 --> 00:10:20,679 Speaker 6: in felt. On top of that, we're part of the the, the, the, the, 174 00:10:20,920 --> 00:10:27,360 Speaker 6: the coalition we call the Universal Health Coalition Access. You know, 175 00:10:27,520 --> 00:10:31,679 Speaker 6: we've written a proposal there to government and they have 176 00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:36,040 Speaker 6: not responded to that proposal as an alternative to the NHI. 177 00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:39,880 Speaker 6: In fact, it was an invitation by the President to say, 178 00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:43,439 Speaker 6: if there are any person in South Africa alternatives, let 179 00:10:43,480 --> 00:10:46,199 Speaker 6: them present those to him. But he has never had 180 00:10:46,200 --> 00:10:49,040 Speaker 6: a nerve to come back to us to say we 181 00:10:49,240 --> 00:10:54,199 Speaker 6: have received your, your, your, your, your, your, your proposals. 182 00:10:54,440 --> 00:10:58,000 Speaker 6: So that pronouncement in Parliament I think it's dis engineers 183 00:10:58,200 --> 00:10:59,240 Speaker 6: from the side of government. 184 00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:02,920 Speaker 2: Is the Minister of Health, doctor Aaron Monsolety the problem. 185 00:11:05,760 --> 00:11:10,280 Speaker 6: No, I wouldn't say doctor monsuality is a problem. We 186 00:11:10,520 --> 00:11:16,520 Speaker 6: keep having, you know, engagements with him, including the issue 187 00:11:16,559 --> 00:11:19,520 Speaker 6: of the NHI. We would want to you know, if 188 00:11:19,600 --> 00:11:22,920 Speaker 6: they want to discuss with Summer, they must approach the 189 00:11:23,000 --> 00:11:26,199 Speaker 6: association because at the moment, because they didn't want to 190 00:11:26,240 --> 00:11:28,880 Speaker 6: talk to us, we had taken them to court. I 191 00:11:29,000 --> 00:11:34,360 Speaker 6: must clarify this, Stevens. Taking government to court was the 192 00:11:34,720 --> 00:11:38,480 Speaker 6: very very last option in our approaches. We have done 193 00:11:38,559 --> 00:11:41,480 Speaker 6: all what we could to avoid going to court. But 194 00:11:41,640 --> 00:11:43,920 Speaker 6: because there are issues that were not clarified to us, 195 00:11:44,040 --> 00:11:47,920 Speaker 6: government not wanting to clarify, so we decided to take 196 00:11:47,960 --> 00:11:50,760 Speaker 6: them to court because in the court of law they 197 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:54,160 Speaker 6: will be expected to respond to each every consent that 198 00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:56,960 Speaker 6: you were raising in that affidelity. 199 00:11:57,600 --> 00:11:59,480 Speaker 2: I mean, it's interesting that you and the Board of 200 00:11:59,520 --> 00:12:02,199 Speaker 2: Healthcare Funders keep coming back to the same point. You 201 00:12:02,320 --> 00:12:07,040 Speaker 2: say that government is not given enough information about this. Okay, 202 00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:10,360 Speaker 2: So do you get a sense that it hasn't been 203 00:12:10,840 --> 00:12:12,839 Speaker 2: thought through properly? I mean, there'll be all sorts of 204 00:12:12,880 --> 00:12:15,679 Speaker 2: consequences simply because it hasn't been thought through. And I'm 205 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:17,920 Speaker 2: fairly certain if we had a representative from government they 206 00:12:17,960 --> 00:12:19,080 Speaker 2: would say it had been. 207 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:24,880 Speaker 6: There must be a proof of concept for any policy. 208 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:28,960 Speaker 2: And Steven, those. 209 00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:35,720 Speaker 6: Those attempts, you know they failed. You know, we are 210 00:12:35,840 --> 00:12:39,120 Speaker 6: told now that you know all of them. When they tried, 211 00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 6: you know, to you know, take approach certain districts and 212 00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:49,199 Speaker 6: you know, have nhi or an attempt to do that, 213 00:12:49,760 --> 00:12:53,240 Speaker 6: they've all all failed. That's a proof of concept, it's 214 00:12:53,320 --> 00:12:58,959 Speaker 6: not there. So on what it's not evidence based policy. Then, secondly, 215 00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:06,760 Speaker 6: coming to this issue of government consulting, government have been 216 00:13:06,880 --> 00:13:13,200 Speaker 6: going around meeting the group of you know, rented crowd, 217 00:13:13,559 --> 00:13:16,720 Speaker 6: you know where you find that it's political aligned people 218 00:13:17,120 --> 00:13:19,719 Speaker 6: in a in a particular hall. But if you look 219 00:13:19,800 --> 00:13:23,720 Speaker 6: at our our petition, we had about seventy five thousand 220 00:13:23,800 --> 00:13:26,640 Speaker 6: people you know who had said they agree with the 221 00:13:26,679 --> 00:13:30,120 Speaker 6: South African Medical Associations that there is something seriously wrong 222 00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:33,199 Speaker 6: with the with the NHI. You know, because if I 223 00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:37,960 Speaker 6: can quickly draw you to some of these issues Stevens. 224 00:13:38,559 --> 00:13:43,920 Speaker 6: The issue of demanding citizens to be registered you know, 225 00:13:44,160 --> 00:13:47,800 Speaker 6: with the fund before the ASCESSID is a serious problem 226 00:13:47,880 --> 00:13:51,120 Speaker 6: with us because even as we speak now, there are 227 00:13:51,160 --> 00:13:53,560 Speaker 6: people who don't have ideas, There are people who there 228 00:13:53,559 --> 00:13:57,319 Speaker 6: are children who don't have bead certificates. So do you 229 00:13:57,440 --> 00:13:59,400 Speaker 6: mean that when that child come to hospital and must 230 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:02,000 Speaker 6: be tended back because they are not registered with the fund. 231 00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 6: So it's a fundamental flaw and it's it's a it's 232 00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:07,800 Speaker 6: a it's a violation of human rights as we stand. 233 00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:10,400 Speaker 2: Doctor Vuisim's look up. Thanks so much. Share of the essay. 234 00:14:10,440 --> 00:14:14,080 Speaker 2: Medical Association your view on the NHIOH seven two seven 235 00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:15,560 Speaker 2: oh two one seven o two. 236 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:22,760 Speaker 7: Stephen gone acts at at Stephens. 237 00:14:21,840 --> 00:14:24,760 Speaker 2: The International Monetary Fund saying it now believes our economy 238 00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:27,400 Speaker 2: actually grew by one point three percent last year and 239 00:14:27,600 --> 00:14:30,920 Speaker 2: early forecasts suggesting will grow by one point four percent 240 00:14:31,040 --> 00:14:34,760 Speaker 2: this year, slightly higher than earlier forecast. Kevin Lyns is 241 00:14:34,800 --> 00:14:38,520 Speaker 2: the standard chief economist, Kevin good evening, I mean one 242 00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:42,360 Speaker 2: percent here, a point one percent there, point one percent. Yeah, 243 00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:45,120 Speaker 2: at some point it made up, might add up to 244 00:14:45,200 --> 00:14:47,800 Speaker 2: real growth. Are you feeling a little bit more optimistic 245 00:14:47,880 --> 00:14:49,040 Speaker 2: along with the IMF. 246 00:14:49,920 --> 00:14:52,360 Speaker 8: Hi, Stephen, Look, I think yes, we are a bit 247 00:14:52,400 --> 00:14:56,000 Speaker 8: more optimistic. That optimism started to build a little bit 248 00:14:56,080 --> 00:14:58,800 Speaker 8: more fully in the second half of last year. We 249 00:14:58,920 --> 00:15:01,320 Speaker 8: certainly had a better se and half than the first half. 250 00:15:01,400 --> 00:15:05,080 Speaker 8: The first quarter last year was terrible. So economic activity 251 00:15:05,160 --> 00:15:07,320 Speaker 8: has picked up. And then importantly, I think we've had 252 00:15:07,360 --> 00:15:11,600 Speaker 8: a number of policy initiatives that have started to generate 253 00:15:12,320 --> 00:15:17,000 Speaker 8: a better direction, things like including starting to think about 254 00:15:17,040 --> 00:15:21,680 Speaker 8: including the private sectoring rail in the rail industry, further 255 00:15:21,760 --> 00:15:25,200 Speaker 8: development of renewable energy, getting the Philippines Company to be 256 00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:27,600 Speaker 8: involved in Peer two Harbor Durbin. So there are a 257 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:32,240 Speaker 8: couple of those initiatives which are not yet substantive in nature, 258 00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:34,560 Speaker 8: but they are I think moving in the right direction. 259 00:15:35,080 --> 00:15:37,360 Speaker 8: You've got cuts in interest rates, you've got low inflation. 260 00:15:37,600 --> 00:15:40,240 Speaker 8: We had a credit rating upgrade, we were removed from 261 00:15:40,280 --> 00:15:42,760 Speaker 8: the grade list. There are a range of things in 262 00:15:42,920 --> 00:15:46,400 Speaker 8: six months that feel better. But as you say, it's 263 00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:50,160 Speaker 8: a marginal upgrade. One point four percent growth for this year. 264 00:15:50,920 --> 00:15:53,400 Speaker 8: Back in October, the IMF had US at one point 265 00:15:53,520 --> 00:15:57,120 Speaker 8: two percent for this year, so a small improvement, and 266 00:15:57,240 --> 00:15:59,440 Speaker 8: I guess it depends on your perspective, right, So if 267 00:15:59,480 --> 00:16:02,720 Speaker 8: you go back to twenty four, we were growing this 268 00:16:02,840 --> 00:16:06,760 Speaker 8: economy at half a percent. So if you groin at 269 00:16:06,800 --> 00:16:09,000 Speaker 8: half a percent and now you're growing at one point 270 00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:11,760 Speaker 8: four then it feels a lot better. But if you 271 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:14,840 Speaker 8: think about what growth we need to make a difference 272 00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:16,880 Speaker 8: to the country GI, it's got to be well in 273 00:16:17,000 --> 00:16:19,520 Speaker 8: excess of two, it's actually got to be above three percent. 274 00:16:19,640 --> 00:16:23,520 Speaker 8: And emerging markets. I see the imash's forecasting emerging markets 275 00:16:23,560 --> 00:16:26,120 Speaker 8: growing at four point two percent, and that's the type 276 00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:29,280 Speaker 8: of growth rate we really have to be achieving. So 277 00:16:29,800 --> 00:16:33,040 Speaker 8: it looks and it feels slightly better, but it's still 278 00:16:33,200 --> 00:16:35,560 Speaker 8: not nearly enough, not even close to being enough in 279 00:16:35,680 --> 00:16:36,280 Speaker 8: terms of growth. 280 00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:40,800 Speaker 2: Sure, electricity was a major problem for the economy and 281 00:16:40,880 --> 00:16:43,440 Speaker 2: that problem has and I've put this in inverted commas, 282 00:16:43,960 --> 00:16:47,120 Speaker 2: just gone away. It's been replaced by another problem, which 283 00:16:47,200 --> 00:16:50,000 Speaker 2: is the price of the electricity. But the Reserve Bank 284 00:16:50,160 --> 00:16:52,720 Speaker 2: used to say load shedding was costing us two percentage 285 00:16:52,800 --> 00:16:56,480 Speaker 2: points in terms of GDP. Could we still be seeing 286 00:16:56,880 --> 00:16:59,760 Speaker 2: the fact that there is no load shedding so properly, 287 00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:01,920 Speaker 2: was the supply still coming through? 288 00:17:03,280 --> 00:17:08,280 Speaker 8: It hasn't worked like that, Stephen. We initially thought exactly 289 00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:12,119 Speaker 8: that that when we were able to dampen down load shedding, 290 00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:16,040 Speaker 8: we thought there would be an automatic revival in manufacturing, 291 00:17:16,200 --> 00:17:19,919 Speaker 8: mining activity. Industries that had been particularly hurt by load shedding. 292 00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:23,399 Speaker 8: Just hasn't happened. And I think part of that is 293 00:17:23,480 --> 00:17:26,480 Speaker 8: that with a lot of these things, there are other problems. 294 00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:30,800 Speaker 8: And the other problems the rail capacity, port capacity, water supply. 295 00:17:31,560 --> 00:17:34,280 Speaker 8: So you end up realizing that some multitude of factors 296 00:17:34,720 --> 00:17:39,440 Speaker 8: hurting industries, not just electricity. Yes, obviously, at some point 297 00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:43,600 Speaker 8: you would have argued the electricity was the most most 298 00:17:44,160 --> 00:17:48,639 Speaker 8: critical factor in terms of pegging back the economy. But 299 00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:51,879 Speaker 8: when you remove that, there are other constraints. So no, 300 00:17:52,080 --> 00:17:54,920 Speaker 8: we haven't had a massive revival in any parts of 301 00:17:54,960 --> 00:17:59,359 Speaker 8: the economy. Because electricity feels a bit better. If I 302 00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:01,840 Speaker 8: look at s A, they not doing all that well 303 00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:04,040 Speaker 8: in terms of total output. What's helped us a lot 304 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:07,600 Speaker 8: is the ongoing development of renewable energy. That's been a 305 00:18:07,680 --> 00:18:09,280 Speaker 8: big help to keep the lights on. 306 00:18:09,400 --> 00:18:14,840 Speaker 2: In effect, Trump, I don't even know where to begin. Obviously, 307 00:18:14,920 --> 00:18:18,160 Speaker 2: the positive is that it's very It makes the gold 308 00:18:18,200 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 2: price very strong. That brings in more money. Platinum too, 309 00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:23,880 Speaker 2: to any extent. But the sort of shock after shock 310 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:27,119 Speaker 2: after shock around trade, is that a big risk for 311 00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:27,720 Speaker 2: us this year? 312 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:31,680 Speaker 8: It is we have been hurt, and not as much 313 00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:34,280 Speaker 8: as what was initially in visage. So if you look, 314 00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:37,360 Speaker 8: we've got the November numbers up to November last year, 315 00:18:37,400 --> 00:18:41,120 Speaker 8: and exports to the US in the first eleven months 316 00:18:41,160 --> 00:18:43,479 Speaker 8: of last year down about six and a half percent 317 00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:47,560 Speaker 8: in value terms. So it depends on your view. I 318 00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:50,240 Speaker 8: think it's it's manageable a decline of six and a 319 00:18:50,280 --> 00:18:52,919 Speaker 8: half percent, given that you've got a thirty percent import 320 00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:57,400 Speaker 8: tariff imposed on South Africa. It's not necessarily a shocking outcome. 321 00:18:57,480 --> 00:18:59,600 Speaker 8: We can cope with it, but obviously you would have 322 00:18:59,760 --> 00:19:03,159 Speaker 8: liked the number to be stronger. What's happening though, is 323 00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:07,080 Speaker 8: all of this disruption just causes all these tariffs just 324 00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:10,479 Speaker 8: cause a massive spike in uncertainty. I was looking at 325 00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:15,359 Speaker 8: an index called the Global Global Policy Uncertainty Index. It 326 00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:19,359 Speaker 8: has skyrocketed with all of the more recent developments. And 327 00:19:19,560 --> 00:19:23,040 Speaker 8: so once you've got that level of uncertainty, then people 328 00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:26,639 Speaker 8: start to hold back, hold back on investment, trade, all 329 00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:29,119 Speaker 8: of those types of things. And given that South Africa's 330 00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:31,840 Speaker 8: if you break down So Africa's economy, more than fifty 331 00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:35,359 Speaker 8: percent of our economies either imported or exported. We are 332 00:19:35,920 --> 00:19:38,399 Speaker 8: very reliant on the rest of the world, and so 333 00:19:38,880 --> 00:19:42,760 Speaker 8: things that disrupt global supply definitely hurt South Africa. So 334 00:19:42,800 --> 00:19:45,680 Speaker 8: it remains a headwind. I think we can achieve the 335 00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:48,280 Speaker 8: one point four percent growth by what I would call 336 00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:52,040 Speaker 8: self help, in other words, just turning inward and looking 337 00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:55,720 Speaker 8: at what we can develop domestically. Maybe another one or 338 00:19:55,760 --> 00:19:59,639 Speaker 8: two cuts in interest rates, inflation still low, some steady 339 00:19:59,640 --> 00:20:02,159 Speaker 8: pick up being infrastructure. So there are things we can 340 00:20:02,240 --> 00:20:05,840 Speaker 8: do that can help ourselves. But definitely the global backdrop 341 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:08,479 Speaker 8: and all the noise created by President Trump is very 342 00:20:08,600 --> 00:20:10,040 Speaker 8: unhelpful for our progress. 343 00:20:10,400 --> 00:20:13,080 Speaker 2: Kevin Linz, thank you so much, Chief Economist at Standard, 344 00:20:14,040 --> 00:20:18,639 Speaker 2: the money Show, QUAM locals with equity research, sales and 345 00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:22,399 Speaker 2: investment banking. It AB's a quite a good evening. Just 346 00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:26,520 Speaker 2: picking up on the Trump conversation, the US markets down sharply. 347 00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:28,840 Speaker 2: Gold Is that a very strong day? 348 00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:33,240 Speaker 9: Exactly, Stupen. I mean, yesterday the guys were out in 349 00:20:33,320 --> 00:20:35,800 Speaker 9: the US because they had a public holiday. But I 350 00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:38,560 Speaker 9: think what we're seeing now is investors coming back and 351 00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:42,200 Speaker 9: sort of digesting the news on Greenland and potentially some 352 00:20:42,400 --> 00:20:44,760 Speaker 9: new tariffs on the European nations. 353 00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:44,959 Speaker 10: Right. 354 00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:47,320 Speaker 9: All of last year, we spent the year trying to 355 00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:50,200 Speaker 9: decipher what trade looks like with the US and China, 356 00:20:50,320 --> 00:20:52,159 Speaker 9: and this year it looks like we're going to have 357 00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:56,080 Speaker 9: to make the same consideration for Europe. And why that's 358 00:20:56,119 --> 00:20:59,360 Speaker 9: important specifically for the SMP. There's a lot of the companies, 359 00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:02,399 Speaker 9: a lot of the sort big liquid industrial companies and 360 00:21:02,480 --> 00:21:07,200 Speaker 9: consumer companies also get a significant part of their revenues 361 00:21:07,359 --> 00:21:10,919 Speaker 9: from Europe. So what you're seeing is both people looking at, 362 00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:14,400 Speaker 9: you know, the risk premium pricing in a potentially risky environment, 363 00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:17,760 Speaker 9: but also a rotation from maybe out of the big 364 00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:21,200 Speaker 9: tech stocks that you own into and some of these 365 00:21:21,320 --> 00:21:25,200 Speaker 9: big consumer and industrial companies into the sort of mid 366 00:21:25,480 --> 00:21:29,639 Speaker 9: and small cap space that are somewhat insulated from trade 367 00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:33,760 Speaker 9: as well. So unsurprising to see that the markets down, 368 00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:39,080 Speaker 9: especially the SMP, and equally that investors are piling back 369 00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:43,480 Speaker 9: into safe hazen's rights gold above forty seven hundred, but 370 00:21:44,520 --> 00:21:47,320 Speaker 9: maybe you know, it's running a little bit ahead of 371 00:21:47,359 --> 00:21:50,200 Speaker 9: what we thought. We thought you'd potentially see five thousand 372 00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:52,159 Speaker 9: dollars in uns maybe in the second half of this 373 00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:56,840 Speaker 9: year and fifty five hundred into twenty twenty seven. But 374 00:21:57,080 --> 00:21:59,560 Speaker 9: it just speaks to the fact that whenever there's a 375 00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:02,920 Speaker 9: lot of uncertainty or spikes and uncertainty, you will see 376 00:22:03,040 --> 00:22:05,920 Speaker 9: people looking to go into the safe havens like gold, 377 00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:09,280 Speaker 9: and to an extent and silver as well. Great for 378 00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:12,720 Speaker 9: our stock market, right, So what we're seeing today is 379 00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:16,000 Speaker 9: you know, between one percent and in the case of 380 00:22:16,080 --> 00:22:19,240 Speaker 9: Anglo Gold, that's almost seven percent today. 381 00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:21,919 Speaker 2: I mean, you kind of wonder where gold could end 382 00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:23,840 Speaker 2: at this rate. I mean, yeah, as you said, at 383 00:22:23,840 --> 00:22:25,560 Speaker 2: the end of last year, we thought five thousand by 384 00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:27,280 Speaker 2: midway through the year, maybe the end of the year. 385 00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:30,520 Speaker 2: Now it's probably by the end of January exactly. 386 00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:34,240 Speaker 9: And I think the more uncertainty that gets placed in 387 00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:37,159 Speaker 9: the market and also some question marks on you know, 388 00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:41,080 Speaker 9: not just geo politics, but also interest rate policy that 389 00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:45,159 Speaker 9: could push gold up more than what most endlists have 390 00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:46,359 Speaker 9: in their numbers currently. 391 00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:50,280 Speaker 2: Krene Maloca, thanks so much Equity research, sales and investment 392 00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:54,919 Speaker 2: banking at the at abscess CIB just after six thirty on. 393 00:22:55,200 --> 00:22:59,360 Speaker 3: Up Stephen on seventy two seven oh two one. 394 00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:02,720 Speaker 2: Seven nine minutes to seven the time I was asking 395 00:23:02,800 --> 00:23:05,200 Speaker 2: you if you've ever followed a boss somewhere. You know, 396 00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:07,359 Speaker 2: you get that phone call and you kind of know 397 00:23:07,480 --> 00:23:09,720 Speaker 2: what it means and the way you felt about it. 398 00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:12,800 Speaker 2: Look forward to hearing your experiences on seven two, seven 399 00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:15,760 Speaker 2: oh two one seven oh two. Are several reports today 400 00:23:15,920 --> 00:23:18,720 Speaker 2: that Joeberg City Power again is looking at buying the 401 00:23:18,840 --> 00:23:22,080 Speaker 2: Kelvin power Station. The thing about the Kelvin Power Station is, 402 00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 2: as far as I know, it's the only coal fired 403 00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:27,240 Speaker 2: power station that is privately owned in the country, and 404 00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:30,760 Speaker 2: City Power say that would allow them to produce power 405 00:23:30,800 --> 00:23:35,119 Speaker 2: at a cheaper rate for their customers in joe Burg. Okay, 406 00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:37,720 Speaker 2: that may be fine, but look at what's happening to 407 00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:40,800 Speaker 2: esk them. Their revenues are down, the volume of electricity 408 00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:44,639 Speaker 2: that they're selling is down. And it's down not because 409 00:23:44,720 --> 00:23:47,840 Speaker 2: they can't produce enough electricity. They absolutely can. In fact, 410 00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:49,159 Speaker 2: they kind of don't know what to do with all 411 00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:51,800 Speaker 2: the stuff they're producing at the moment. It's because so 412 00:23:52,160 --> 00:23:55,440 Speaker 2: many people, as Kevin Lyn's reminded us, they're producing their 413 00:23:55,640 --> 00:24:00,200 Speaker 2: own electricity. It is one of those fundamental shifts who 414 00:24:00,200 --> 00:24:02,639 Speaker 2: are seeing right in front of our eyes, and the 415 00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:05,920 Speaker 2: economic case for it is so strong that it seems 416 00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:09,480 Speaker 2: to me to be unstoppable. The sheer amounts of solar 417 00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:11,959 Speaker 2: panels that are coming out of China on literally an 418 00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:16,480 Speaker 2: hourly basis is staggering. So city Power wants to go 419 00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:21,240 Speaker 2: and buy a coal fired power station in a city 420 00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:24,440 Speaker 2: in which the amount of electricity, the volume that they're 421 00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:28,320 Speaker 2: going to be able to sell, is likely to decline 422 00:24:28,560 --> 00:24:31,879 Speaker 2: quite sharply over the next day five years. I'll have 423 00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:34,560 Speaker 2: some questions over the wisdom of that. Eighteen minutes now 424 00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:35,320 Speaker 2: to seven. 425 00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:41,680 Speaker 1: With email him on Stephen at seven O two dot 426 00:24:41,840 --> 00:24:43,399 Speaker 1: co Dotzi. 427 00:24:43,240 --> 00:24:46,560 Speaker 2: Fourteen minutes two seven. Well more evidence of the disruption 428 00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:49,960 Speaker 2: calls to our car industry by the introduction of cheaper 429 00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:54,000 Speaker 2: Chinese models. Today reports that the road motor that the 430 00:24:54,080 --> 00:24:58,560 Speaker 2: Motor Industry Staff Association declaring a dispute with a motor company, Motors. 431 00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:01,280 Speaker 2: They said they were going to cut jobs with cut salaries, 432 00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:05,560 Speaker 2: according to the Staff Association, in some cases by around 433 00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:09,840 Speaker 2: thirty percent. Motors facing strong competition because of cheaper Chinese 434 00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:12,800 Speaker 2: brands admitted a business Life reminded us that it should 435 00:25:12,800 --> 00:25:15,399 Speaker 2: have introduced those brands earlier. We'll hear from Motors in 436 00:25:15,520 --> 00:25:18,840 Speaker 2: just a moment. First, Sonya Carton is the spokesperson for 437 00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:23,159 Speaker 2: the Motor Industry Staff Association representing workers at MOTUS. Sonya, 438 00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:28,800 Speaker 2: good evening. What is motus as an employer? Told your members, good. 439 00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:33,160 Speaker 11: Evening, Stephen, and thank you for hosting us. Motors informed 440 00:25:33,320 --> 00:25:37,320 Speaker 11: our members five hundred and thirty two of them that 441 00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:41,840 Speaker 11: they will be implementing job a salary cut so as 442 00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:45,040 Speaker 11: for off the end of January up into thirty percent. 443 00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:48,639 Speaker 11: So there's full three groups, some ore twenty percent, some 444 00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:52,160 Speaker 11: twenty percent and some thirty percent. Then they will also 445 00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:56,280 Speaker 11: be taking away company vehicles. All company vehicles needs to 446 00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:59,720 Speaker 11: be written by the service of January. They will no 447 00:25:59,800 --> 00:26:03,080 Speaker 11: longer have been entitled to fuel, core travel or cel 448 00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:07,760 Speaker 11: phone allowances and they are going to take away the 449 00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:09,879 Speaker 11: incentives and or commissioned. 450 00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:13,600 Speaker 2: Was there any consultation or warning that this was coming. 451 00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:19,120 Speaker 11: Yeah, the consultation process started in July last year when 452 00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:22,680 Speaker 11: Motors first informed our members that they wanted to take 453 00:26:22,680 --> 00:26:26,480 Speaker 11: away some of the conditions of employments, which are these benefits. 454 00:26:29,040 --> 00:26:34,119 Speaker 11: We then objected. On the sixth of Dober, Motors issued 455 00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:39,120 Speaker 11: us a formal section one at nine process retingement process. Subsequently, 456 00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:42,280 Speaker 11: it was almost nine hundred people that were affected initially, 457 00:26:42,800 --> 00:26:46,800 Speaker 11: but of which two hundred and fifty four would have 458 00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:49,720 Speaker 11: been retrainched. We managed to get that figured around to 459 00:26:49,800 --> 00:26:54,760 Speaker 11: eighty six. But then the remaining affected employees this five 460 00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:58,520 Speaker 11: hundred and fifty two are now facing this benefit. That 461 00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:03,960 Speaker 11: so that we consulted throughout the fest of seven season. 462 00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:08,320 Speaker 11: We reached the day talk and we waited for motors 463 00:27:08,440 --> 00:27:12,240 Speaker 11: to make a decision whether or not they will be 464 00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:15,680 Speaker 11: implementing and also I informed our members in writing. After 465 00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:19,240 Speaker 11: the decision, we then approach them with later off demand. 466 00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:22,639 Speaker 2: Do you believe there are other ways motors could be 467 00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:25,439 Speaker 2: saving money rather than cutting the salaries of their members 468 00:27:25,520 --> 00:27:27,320 Speaker 2: and cutting benefits and the way they are. 469 00:27:28,280 --> 00:27:34,159 Speaker 11: Yes, certainly this was not This is not even an 470 00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:37,680 Speaker 11: option to consider. The decision on the table was either 471 00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:40,879 Speaker 11: you take it or we unilaterally. You're going to implement that, 472 00:27:41,280 --> 00:27:44,320 Speaker 11: and that's why MISA will be approaching the High Court 473 00:27:44,960 --> 00:27:48,840 Speaker 11: for an introd if motors continue and don't refrain. Now 474 00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:52,280 Speaker 11: that we've declared that the spuke spirit, so the spirit 475 00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:54,560 Speaker 11: we've already I have a data. The spirit will be 476 00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:59,200 Speaker 11: heard in February at the Motor Industry Boggling Council, the 477 00:27:59,760 --> 00:28:05,080 Speaker 11: Speed Tread Delusion Committee. But we believe that motives could 478 00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:11,240 Speaker 11: have tried alternatives, for instance, like not implementing benefits going 479 00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:16,280 Speaker 11: forward in other words, for new appointments and then but 480 00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:19,680 Speaker 11: you can't take away what I've already got in my 481 00:28:20,080 --> 00:28:21,480 Speaker 11: in my conditions of appointment. 482 00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:24,760 Speaker 2: So sonya, I hear you, and I've let you speak 483 00:28:24,800 --> 00:28:29,000 Speaker 2: for some time. But if I were the people running motors, 484 00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:31,920 Speaker 2: I would think to myself, my real aim here is 485 00:28:32,000 --> 00:28:35,600 Speaker 2: to save as many jobs as I can, and to 486 00:28:35,720 --> 00:28:37,880 Speaker 2: do that, everyone's going to feel a bit of pain. 487 00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:40,080 Speaker 2: But if I do that, I'll be able to cut 488 00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:42,560 Speaker 2: down the number of people facing retrenchment from was a 489 00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:45,840 Speaker 2: three hundred to just eighty six or so. Aren't they 490 00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:48,959 Speaker 2: doing actually, what is the right thing. They're cutting your 491 00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:52,600 Speaker 2: salaries very painful, far better than cutting more jobs. 492 00:28:54,840 --> 00:28:57,400 Speaker 11: Steve, and I understand where you're coming from, but we're 493 00:28:57,480 --> 00:29:00,920 Speaker 11: talking about Motors Retail and this is a was in 494 00:29:01,080 --> 00:29:05,760 Speaker 11: the bigger motors group. This is not a bankrupt company. Firstly, Secondly, 495 00:29:05,880 --> 00:29:10,320 Speaker 11: we had record stylees of tober November December throughout the 496 00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:16,800 Speaker 11: retail motor industry, so we not convinced that this drastic measure, 497 00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:20,600 Speaker 11: that that there is such a rapid impact on the 498 00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:22,880 Speaker 11: lass of individuals is really necessary. 499 00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:26,920 Speaker 2: Sonya Carton, thanks very much. Indeed, spokesperson for the Motor 500 00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:31,640 Speaker 2: Industry Staff Association. That's their side. Let's hear now from Motors. 501 00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:34,000 Speaker 2: The CEO of SA Retail, which is a division of 502 00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:38,719 Speaker 2: Motors is Gridian Jansen van Rensburg Aridian. Good evening. If 503 00:29:38,800 --> 00:29:41,480 Speaker 2: you had record sales in the last few months of 504 00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:44,880 Speaker 2: last year, why are you taking this drastic action and 505 00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,440 Speaker 2: getting rid of some work. Isn't cutting the salaries of others? 506 00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:51,760 Speaker 12: So good evening, Stephen, and good evening all the listeners, 507 00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:54,200 Speaker 12: and thank you for the opportunity to maybe just give 508 00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:57,520 Speaker 12: some context to the russianale of why are we in it? 509 00:29:57,640 --> 00:29:59,920 Speaker 12: So before I go getting to the real detail of it. 510 00:30:00,040 --> 00:30:02,320 Speaker 12: I would just like to provide some context behind the 511 00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:07,200 Speaker 12: decisions that we're taking and planning to implement. So, the 512 00:30:07,360 --> 00:30:12,040 Speaker 12: African automotive retail environment has experienced a significant structural disruption 513 00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:15,680 Speaker 12: in the recent years. Now as a business operating at scale, 514 00:30:15,720 --> 00:30:18,280 Speaker 12: so African Retail, which is a division of the Broader 515 00:30:18,360 --> 00:30:22,520 Speaker 12: Motors Group, as you're well known, had to respond responsibly 516 00:30:22,640 --> 00:30:26,840 Speaker 12: to ensure the long term sustainability and competitiveness of our operations. 517 00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:30,840 Speaker 12: So the shift towards multi franchise and combined dealerships brought 518 00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:34,960 Speaker 12: efficiencies in not only market reach, but it also resulted 519 00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:38,080 Speaker 12: in duplication of back office and support functions that was 520 00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:43,160 Speaker 12: no longer sustainable in an margin pressurized environment. At the 521 00:30:43,240 --> 00:30:47,040 Speaker 12: same time, the market has become more competitive. These new entrants, 522 00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:50,320 Speaker 12: particularly the Chinese brands that's providing a broad range of 523 00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:55,000 Speaker 12: attractive vehicles, which has intensified the pricing pressure pressures and 524 00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:59,600 Speaker 12: has reshaped our consumer behavior. So also seeking customers, seeing 525 00:30:59,640 --> 00:31:02,240 Speaker 12: that cust stimers has got to straight down into lower 526 00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:05,800 Speaker 12: priced entry level vehicles. So while the volumes have increased, 527 00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:08,000 Speaker 12: the average value of the vehicles are sold as the 528 00:31:08,080 --> 00:31:13,760 Speaker 12: climbed the selling price has not really increased substantially below inflation, 529 00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:17,560 Speaker 12: and it's placing continued pressure on the margins that dealerships 530 00:31:17,600 --> 00:31:20,880 Speaker 12: can make. So in response, we were required to rationalize 531 00:31:20,920 --> 00:31:25,880 Speaker 12: our business by implementing back office synergies to realign our structures. 532 00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:28,480 Speaker 12: And I think what is important to notice that we 533 00:31:28,560 --> 00:31:32,760 Speaker 12: are aligning the incentives and the company core benefits of 534 00:31:32,960 --> 00:31:37,560 Speaker 12: our admin and support staff in our retail division. 535 00:31:37,800 --> 00:31:41,720 Speaker 2: So we didn't take this sorry to interrupt you, Citty, 536 00:31:41,720 --> 00:31:43,960 Speaker 2: and I'm sure you were going to say that you 537 00:31:44,040 --> 00:31:47,040 Speaker 2: didn't take this lightly, and I appreciate that. But you 538 00:31:47,080 --> 00:31:51,280 Speaker 2: say you're going to rationalize back office functions, okay, but 539 00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:55,680 Speaker 2: you're cutting people's salaries by thirty percent. That sounds like 540 00:31:55,800 --> 00:31:57,960 Speaker 2: something bigger than a rationalization to me. 541 00:31:59,520 --> 00:32:02,000 Speaker 12: So, Stephen, I think it's important to note that we've 542 00:32:02,040 --> 00:32:04,360 Speaker 12: identified two hundred and fifty nine and I think the 543 00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:09,320 Speaker 12: narrative it is unfortunately we couldn't place or we could 544 00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:13,400 Speaker 12: place seventy four percent of the individuals within the Morti 545 00:32:13,840 --> 00:32:17,800 Speaker 12: bro Broader Motors group and make alternative arrangements for those employees, 546 00:32:18,360 --> 00:32:22,640 Speaker 12: which unfortunately led us to retrain sixty seven people, of 547 00:32:22,800 --> 00:32:25,080 Speaker 12: which we are really still trying working very hard to 548 00:32:25,120 --> 00:32:28,560 Speaker 12: see if we can't find opportunities for them within the 549 00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:34,320 Speaker 12: bigger Motors group. And like Sonya mentioned in priorly, so 550 00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:37,400 Speaker 12: there was a three months process that was facilitated by 551 00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:41,920 Speaker 12: the CCMA where the unions and the staff representatives were involved, 552 00:32:42,520 --> 00:32:46,040 Speaker 12: and the CCMA guidelines gave us or led us to 553 00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:50,960 Speaker 12: believe that a reduction of more than thirty percent would 554 00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:54,640 Speaker 12: be considered as unfair and unreasonable. So our senior staff 555 00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:58,600 Speaker 12: members took a salary cut of up to thirty percent 556 00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:02,400 Speaker 12: in our retail division. And now we are really seeking 557 00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:06,320 Speaker 12: to realign the incentive structures and the company core benefits 558 00:33:06,360 --> 00:33:09,960 Speaker 12: of our admin and support staff to industry benchmarks that 559 00:33:10,120 --> 00:33:13,080 Speaker 12: we've identified. And guess it's purely an attempt to avoid 560 00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:14,800 Speaker 12: further job losses and retrenchments. 561 00:33:15,160 --> 00:33:18,240 Speaker 2: Okay, so a couple of things. Firstly, you say there 562 00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:21,440 Speaker 2: was duplication of work and that would have been a 563 00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:26,200 Speaker 2: consequence of management decisions, and Business Life pointed this out 564 00:33:26,280 --> 00:33:29,960 Speaker 2: to your annual report last year, Motors admitted they should 565 00:33:29,960 --> 00:33:33,240 Speaker 2: have introduced Chinese models to your product mix earlier. What 566 00:33:33,400 --> 00:33:37,480 Speaker 2: it looks like, Heidian, is that your work is paying 567 00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:39,440 Speaker 2: the price for mistakes made by management. 568 00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:46,080 Speaker 12: Steven, it's very sad that we have to adjust staff members' salaries, 569 00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:48,760 Speaker 12: and we're very conscious of the fact we do represent 570 00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:51,360 Speaker 12: quite a wide variety of Chinese products on our floor, 571 00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:55,640 Speaker 12: but we continually reevaluate our business operations to make sure 572 00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:58,560 Speaker 12: that they're agile and to make sure that our business 573 00:33:59,200 --> 00:34:02,920 Speaker 12: online of industry standards and that our remuneration has got 574 00:34:03,000 --> 00:34:04,440 Speaker 12: to be in line with industry standards. 575 00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:07,440 Speaker 2: Okay, but you haven't answered the question. This is because 576 00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:11,840 Speaker 2: management made mistakes that this is happening, Steven. 577 00:34:12,239 --> 00:34:15,560 Speaker 12: I think it's adjusting to an ever changing landscape within 578 00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:19,000 Speaker 12: the South African motoring environment, and like every environment, you've 579 00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:21,480 Speaker 12: got to be agile and you've got to adjust. And 580 00:34:22,160 --> 00:34:24,520 Speaker 12: that is the decision that we have taken as management 581 00:34:24,840 --> 00:34:26,839 Speaker 12: is to implement these measures. And we've got to say 582 00:34:27,040 --> 00:34:30,400 Speaker 12: as a real last resort that we've done this. We've 583 00:34:31,640 --> 00:34:37,880 Speaker 12: negotiated our suppliers in certain aspects. We've also consolidated functions 584 00:34:38,239 --> 00:34:40,200 Speaker 12: from a group perspective that we can do as much 585 00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:42,440 Speaker 12: as we can, and this is really a last resort 586 00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:45,839 Speaker 12: that we are looking at our results. Like I've said, 587 00:34:45,880 --> 00:34:49,520 Speaker 12: our senior management within the division has also been impacted 588 00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:51,120 Speaker 12: in support of this process. 589 00:34:51,480 --> 00:34:55,080 Speaker 2: Okay, the CEO of Motors is your boss or your 590 00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:59,279 Speaker 2: boss's bosses boss. Okay, at Janswered van Rensburg, he took 591 00:34:59,360 --> 00:35:03,120 Speaker 2: home thirty five million Rand last year. I mean, you're 592 00:35:03,160 --> 00:35:05,520 Speaker 2: cutting salaries on the one side, and the CEO is 593 00:35:05,520 --> 00:35:09,440 Speaker 2: getting thirty five million round idiot, Stephen. 594 00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:11,680 Speaker 12: Also, we got a place it in context. He's the 595 00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:15,480 Speaker 12: CEO of the Motors Group, which is a listed company, 596 00:35:15,520 --> 00:35:20,200 Speaker 12: and our results are on the public information. This is 597 00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:23,640 Speaker 12: purely in our motor retail division. And the impact that 598 00:35:23,719 --> 00:35:27,240 Speaker 12: we're talking about here is five hundred and seventy staff 599 00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:30,719 Speaker 12: or five hundred admin and support staff that's going to 600 00:35:30,760 --> 00:35:34,480 Speaker 12: be implemented by less than twenty percent. So two hundred 601 00:35:34,840 --> 00:35:36,840 Speaker 12: and seventy eight of those people are going to be 602 00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:39,960 Speaker 12: impacted less than ten percent. And while it is regrettable 603 00:35:40,040 --> 00:35:42,960 Speaker 12: that we have to get this, unfortunately we have to 604 00:35:44,080 --> 00:35:47,239 Speaker 12: adjust our commission structures and our lines to order that 605 00:35:47,320 --> 00:35:49,640 Speaker 12: we've got a sustainable business going forward. 606 00:35:50,000 --> 00:35:53,240 Speaker 2: Okay, but here's let me put the case as sharply 607 00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:55,040 Speaker 2: as I can against you to give you a chance 608 00:35:55,080 --> 00:35:59,360 Speaker 2: to respond. Your CEO gets thirty five million rand. Mistakes 609 00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:03,240 Speaker 2: have been made by management, not by your workers because 610 00:36:03,239 --> 00:36:06,160 Speaker 2: you didn't introduce Chinese models more quickly. But it's not 611 00:36:07,080 --> 00:36:08,960 Speaker 2: I don't know about you. I don't want to personalize it, 612 00:36:09,000 --> 00:36:11,360 Speaker 2: but it's not your CEO. It's not the top management 613 00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:13,680 Speaker 2: that seem to be paying the price. It's the workers 614 00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:14,600 Speaker 2: that are paying the price. 615 00:36:17,080 --> 00:36:19,840 Speaker 12: Steve, and I think it's it's everybody in our organization 616 00:36:19,960 --> 00:36:23,240 Speaker 12: of paying the price. And we're all aligned with taking 617 00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:25,719 Speaker 12: some pain in this process, and we've got to get 618 00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:28,840 Speaker 12: this division to perform for all our stakeholders involved. That 619 00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:31,839 Speaker 12: means the OEMs that we that the brands that we sell, 620 00:36:32,040 --> 00:36:35,200 Speaker 12: and also to protect the jobs of the other three 621 00:36:35,239 --> 00:36:38,160 Speaker 12: and a half thousand people that we employ in this division. 622 00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:40,719 Speaker 12: And I think that is that is the stance of 623 00:36:41,400 --> 00:36:44,480 Speaker 12: we're doing this to protect further job losses and to 624 00:36:45,520 --> 00:36:47,760 Speaker 12: not affect more people in this process. 625 00:36:48,080 --> 00:36:50,400 Speaker 2: Grady and Jansen and Ramsberg, thank you very much. Indeed, 626 00:36:50,480 --> 00:36:53,000 Speaker 2: CEO of SA Retail, the division of Motors, you heard 627 00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:56,280 Speaker 2: earlier from Sonnia Carton, the spokesperson of the most Industry 628 00:36:56,320 --> 00:37:01,080 Speaker 2: Staff Association. Your view, yeah, tricky one. I accept that 629 00:37:01,200 --> 00:37:04,080 Speaker 2: there are changes coming in the automotive industry. I accept 630 00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:07,840 Speaker 2: that motus is being affected like others. They've already admitted 631 00:37:07,840 --> 00:37:11,000 Speaker 2: to making mistakes. On the other hand, the salary of 632 00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:14,680 Speaker 2: the CEO seven two, seven two one, seven oh two. 633 00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:20,200 Speaker 1: And now The Money Show with Stephen's credit on seven 634 00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:22,080 Speaker 1: oh two. Let's walk little. 635 00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:24,520 Speaker 2: The Money Show with Stephen Curtis is brought to you 636 00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:27,320 Speaker 2: by ABS of Corporate and Investment Banking, a Pan African 637 00:37:27,400 --> 00:37:31,600 Speaker 2: bank that's invested in your story because your story matters. 638 00:37:32,000 --> 00:37:34,759 Speaker 2: Nine minutes after seven the time we will talk a 639 00:37:34,800 --> 00:37:39,520 Speaker 2: little bit about SARS looking at chasing influences, social media influencers, 640 00:37:39,600 --> 00:37:42,560 Speaker 2: I mean who basically are advertising things they know to 641 00:37:42,640 --> 00:37:46,960 Speaker 2: be fake. That line between what is fake an obvious 642 00:37:47,160 --> 00:37:50,360 Speaker 2: copy of something in a legal copy and what is 643 00:37:50,680 --> 00:37:53,880 Speaker 2: just sort of similar to inspired by, I think is 644 00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:56,719 Speaker 2: what the movie industry would call it. Where does that 645 00:37:56,960 --> 00:37:59,040 Speaker 2: line lie? I mean, I'm trying to even work it 646 00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:02,440 Speaker 2: out in my head. We'll speak to Rontendo and Duingui, 647 00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:05,680 Speaker 2: the founding director of Tribe Africa Advisory. He'll update us 648 00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:08,319 Speaker 2: on some of the big comment very big developments we're 649 00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:12,200 Speaker 2: seeing in Africa. And then personal finance. How to calculate 650 00:38:12,239 --> 00:38:14,640 Speaker 2: your financial freedom number. And we've looked at this before 651 00:38:14,719 --> 00:38:17,440 Speaker 2: but Warren Ingram has some updates in different ways to 652 00:38:17,520 --> 00:38:20,040 Speaker 2: think about it, fresh insights for our whole new year 653 00:38:20,719 --> 00:38:22,600 Speaker 2: to look at. So I'm looking forward to that actually 654 00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:25,279 Speaker 2: because it does show you how personal finance, which you 655 00:38:25,320 --> 00:38:27,920 Speaker 2: think of as a long term thing, does change, and 656 00:38:28,000 --> 00:38:30,360 Speaker 2: you do need to kind of update your thinking about 657 00:38:30,440 --> 00:38:33,960 Speaker 2: the questions you thought maybe had been settled some time ago. 658 00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:37,000 Speaker 2: Could to hear from you on double one doaa three 659 00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:40,480 Speaker 2: oh seven two two one four four, six, five six seven, 660 00:38:40,520 --> 00:38:42,480 Speaker 2: and of course voice notes on seven two seven oh 661 00:38:42,560 --> 00:38:46,279 Speaker 2: two one seven oh two, what up Stephen on. 662 00:38:46,760 --> 00:38:49,320 Speaker 3: Seven two seven oh two one. 663 00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:51,960 Speaker 2: Seven o two. We heard that conversation a few moments 664 00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:55,359 Speaker 2: ago with the representative of workers at Motors and then 665 00:38:55,960 --> 00:38:59,880 Speaker 2: from SA Retailer division of Motors as well some responses. 666 00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:03,000 Speaker 2: That's nice, hi Steven. 667 00:39:03,719 --> 00:39:08,239 Speaker 13: What I hear about this motor industry sector is the 668 00:39:08,320 --> 00:39:13,840 Speaker 13: fact that for a long time we've been paying hefty 669 00:39:13,920 --> 00:39:22,200 Speaker 13: salaries for German and European car producers. Because he doesn't 670 00:39:22,239 --> 00:39:26,719 Speaker 13: explain how European cars are so expensive compared to the 671 00:39:26,880 --> 00:39:31,239 Speaker 13: Chinese cars. I mean, there's also Indian cars currently some 672 00:39:31,400 --> 00:39:34,719 Speaker 13: of the cheapest Diota cars, and Suzuki has actually made 673 00:39:34,760 --> 00:39:35,240 Speaker 13: in India. 674 00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:41,400 Speaker 14: So basically we've been paying hefty salaries with a claim 675 00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:44,360 Speaker 14: that it's superior. But now we realize you can have 676 00:39:44,520 --> 00:39:50,400 Speaker 14: superior without the cost. Yeah, Jimmy midran T Center. 677 00:39:52,360 --> 00:39:57,000 Speaker 15: Hi, Stephen evening Man, thanks for interview with the guy 678 00:39:57,120 --> 00:39:57,960 Speaker 15: from Moder's Group. 679 00:39:59,160 --> 00:39:59,399 Speaker 3: Yeah. 680 00:39:59,640 --> 00:40:02,560 Speaker 15: Hi, I like the way you were asking the questions. 681 00:40:02,600 --> 00:40:06,879 Speaker 15: Then even some questions were not answered answered. 682 00:40:07,320 --> 00:40:08,120 Speaker 2: Properly by him. 683 00:40:09,000 --> 00:40:13,239 Speaker 15: Question of stuff is only impacted and then he says 684 00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:15,920 Speaker 15: over and he's impacted. But then you get a ceo 685 00:40:16,280 --> 00:40:19,680 Speaker 15: was getting so much money while the company is not 686 00:40:19,800 --> 00:40:23,799 Speaker 15: paying making what you call he's not performing very well. 687 00:40:24,400 --> 00:40:27,520 Speaker 15: And then you have Stephen, you know this interview that 688 00:40:27,640 --> 00:40:32,400 Speaker 15: you have with reminding me of my employer. The company 689 00:40:32,440 --> 00:40:36,640 Speaker 15: didn't do so well last year where I work. There 690 00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:39,840 Speaker 15: were no bonuses or incentives or whatever you call it 691 00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:45,000 Speaker 15: in December or they were reduced I think by more 692 00:40:45,040 --> 00:40:48,840 Speaker 15: than seventy percent if I'm not mistaken, over sixty percent 693 00:40:50,280 --> 00:40:53,680 Speaker 15: compared to last year. And then they say the company 694 00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:57,200 Speaker 15: didn't make money, right Steven, But then the CEO is 695 00:40:57,200 --> 00:40:59,720 Speaker 15: getting twenty four million payout? Wild stuff? 696 00:40:59,800 --> 00:41:01,480 Speaker 14: Is you go Christmas? 697 00:41:01,520 --> 00:41:05,240 Speaker 15: You're getting even lesbian depending on your cause you're getting 698 00:41:05,480 --> 00:41:07,080 Speaker 15: you can't even do anything for your kids. 699 00:41:07,640 --> 00:41:10,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think that's always the issue, is 700 00:41:10,440 --> 00:41:12,200 Speaker 2: that you look at the boss and you think, what 701 00:41:12,320 --> 00:41:14,800 Speaker 2: are they doing, how are they living? And sometimes the 702 00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:17,439 Speaker 2: boss is working very hard and it's absolutely worth the money. 703 00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:20,520 Speaker 2: Sometimes they aren't. I isn't that the issue? Seelessed on 704 00:41:20,520 --> 00:41:23,040 Speaker 2: the WhatsApp line saying Stephen, the top people are greedy? 705 00:41:23,120 --> 00:41:26,279 Speaker 2: Thirty five millionaire is laughable. Why do the wealthiest work 706 00:41:26,360 --> 00:41:27,960 Speaker 2: people never pay workers enough? 707 00:41:28,080 --> 00:41:28,239 Speaker 9: Yeah? 708 00:41:28,400 --> 00:41:30,680 Speaker 2: Interesting question. Thirteen minutes after seven. 709 00:41:31,520 --> 00:41:35,680 Speaker 1: The Money Show with Stephen on seven O two seven 710 00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:36,200 Speaker 1: O twos. 711 00:41:36,280 --> 00:41:39,280 Speaker 2: I'm reporting today that SARS may start looking at social 712 00:41:39,360 --> 00:41:42,719 Speaker 2: media influences who promote fashion items that are fakes, so 713 00:41:42,880 --> 00:41:46,160 Speaker 2: they can be known as luxury duplicates or luxury dupes 714 00:41:46,200 --> 00:41:49,480 Speaker 2: in the trade, people who are promoting stuff they know 715 00:41:49,880 --> 00:41:52,160 Speaker 2: is not legit. Let me put it like this. Jared 716 00:41:52,200 --> 00:41:55,280 Speaker 2: West is a partner at Spur and Fisher. Jared Good evening. 717 00:41:55,320 --> 00:41:57,840 Speaker 2: I mean, social media is the wild West of marketing. 718 00:41:58,080 --> 00:42:01,239 Speaker 2: How much authority does SARS have people who are advertising 719 00:42:01,320 --> 00:42:02,719 Speaker 2: fake goods on social media? 720 00:42:03,800 --> 00:42:07,520 Speaker 16: Hank Steven, Yeah, thanks for having me. SARS has wide 721 00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:11,560 Speaker 16: ranging powers and I think, you know, as SARS is 722 00:42:11,600 --> 00:42:17,600 Speaker 16: a revenue generating authority, and when influencers, as any other person, 723 00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:21,560 Speaker 16: professional or otherwise, to generate the income, SARS has a 724 00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:24,239 Speaker 16: right to a portion of that income as a form 725 00:42:24,280 --> 00:42:27,480 Speaker 16: of income tax. So yeah, they've got wide ranging powers, 726 00:42:27,520 --> 00:42:30,600 Speaker 16: and they are certainly going to start looking at influences 727 00:42:30,880 --> 00:42:35,879 Speaker 16: in general, but also specifically those that are advertising either 728 00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:38,400 Speaker 16: counterfeit or dupes. And I think it's important that we 729 00:42:38,480 --> 00:42:42,239 Speaker 16: differentiate that they dupe. All dupes are not counterfeits, but 730 00:42:42,680 --> 00:42:47,239 Speaker 16: all counterfeits are mean the same tubes. And yeah, SARS 731 00:42:47,320 --> 00:42:49,600 Speaker 16: is going to knock down on the guys advertising. 732 00:42:50,160 --> 00:42:51,800 Speaker 2: I mean, I would think that what SARS would be 733 00:42:51,840 --> 00:42:53,440 Speaker 2: doing is a couple of things. I mean, one is 734 00:42:53,560 --> 00:42:55,239 Speaker 2: they you know, as we as we can see in 735 00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:58,400 Speaker 2: other industries, they do police things and they do that 736 00:42:58,560 --> 00:43:01,520 Speaker 2: through revenue. They make sure that if you are getting 737 00:43:01,560 --> 00:43:03,520 Speaker 2: money from something, they take it from you. And the 738 00:43:03,600 --> 00:43:06,239 Speaker 2: thing about being a social media or influencer is you 739 00:43:06,760 --> 00:43:09,160 Speaker 2: have to do if it's in public. So it's pretty obvious. 740 00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:12,040 Speaker 16: Hundred percent, and SARA is going to look at certain 741 00:43:12,080 --> 00:43:16,280 Speaker 16: red flags. You know, whether you are a high earning 742 00:43:16,520 --> 00:43:20,040 Speaker 16: CEO of a company, they will do lifestyle audits. There 743 00:43:20,080 --> 00:43:23,080 Speaker 16: might be discrepancies in the way that your lifestyle is portrayed, 744 00:43:23,239 --> 00:43:26,080 Speaker 16: especially when it's online and so visible to everybody, compared 745 00:43:26,120 --> 00:43:27,719 Speaker 16: to the income that you are declaring to them. And 746 00:43:27,760 --> 00:43:30,960 Speaker 16: I think a lot of influencers may be of the 747 00:43:31,080 --> 00:43:33,719 Speaker 16: opinion that the income they generate as a result of 748 00:43:33,800 --> 00:43:39,760 Speaker 16: these kind of paid for advertisements or sponsored advertisement doesn't 749 00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:42,279 Speaker 16: have to be declared and it's not a normal form 750 00:43:42,320 --> 00:43:44,800 Speaker 16: of income, and therefore they're not liable to pay an attack, 751 00:43:45,120 --> 00:43:48,440 Speaker 16: which is wrong. They are and in certain instances you 752 00:43:48,520 --> 00:43:51,160 Speaker 16: might even have to register for that, and you have 753 00:43:51,239 --> 00:43:53,920 Speaker 16: to become a registered bad vendor, which also has its 754 00:43:53,960 --> 00:43:57,000 Speaker 16: own implication. So silaly is definitely going to start looking 755 00:43:57,040 --> 00:44:02,279 Speaker 16: at specific red flags, especially where influences don't necessarily get 756 00:44:02,400 --> 00:44:07,040 Speaker 16: paid by cash, but rather through trips or hospitality, events 757 00:44:07,280 --> 00:44:10,960 Speaker 16: or products. Those must also be declared as a form 758 00:44:11,000 --> 00:44:11,400 Speaker 16: of income. 759 00:44:12,400 --> 00:44:14,840 Speaker 2: So if we just use a handbag as an example, 760 00:44:14,880 --> 00:44:17,759 Speaker 2: what's the difference between a sort of counterfeit and a 761 00:44:17,840 --> 00:44:20,080 Speaker 2: group that's not a counterfeit? I mean some I mean, 762 00:44:20,480 --> 00:44:21,920 Speaker 2: let me be clear, I wouldn't be able to tell 763 00:44:21,920 --> 00:44:24,960 Speaker 2: you a handbag from I don't know, a car, I suppose, 764 00:44:25,080 --> 00:44:28,560 Speaker 2: but some handbags I know look luxurious and I can 765 00:44:28,640 --> 00:44:32,000 Speaker 2: see that's that's something special. But how do you know, 766 00:44:32,440 --> 00:44:34,440 Speaker 2: you know, what's the difference between something that's I suppose 767 00:44:34,560 --> 00:44:36,440 Speaker 2: inspired by and an obvious copy. 768 00:44:37,600 --> 00:44:40,919 Speaker 16: Yeah, so, I mean it's really the difference between whether 769 00:44:41,000 --> 00:44:46,120 Speaker 16: a trademark and copyrighted work, artistic work has been duplicated exactly, 770 00:44:47,560 --> 00:44:49,799 Speaker 16: and whether there's an infringement of that trademark. So maybe 771 00:44:49,800 --> 00:44:52,080 Speaker 16: a good example is something like a Boucci handbag or 772 00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:54,440 Speaker 16: Leubiton handbag. If it says leve it on, but it 773 00:44:54,600 --> 00:44:58,279 Speaker 16: was not manufactured by Leubaton, that is a counterfeit bag. 774 00:44:58,800 --> 00:45:00,759 Speaker 16: Then you have a bag that looks you know, it 775 00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:04,960 Speaker 16: looks like areas. It might have a shape or form 776 00:45:05,239 --> 00:45:07,640 Speaker 16: or some sort of design that hasn't been registered as 777 00:45:07,640 --> 00:45:11,040 Speaker 16: a trademark, but it kind of dupes you into believing 778 00:45:11,200 --> 00:45:14,000 Speaker 16: it may be or it could be something similar. So 779 00:45:14,880 --> 00:45:19,600 Speaker 16: it's a very fine line, possibly better explained by example 780 00:45:19,640 --> 00:45:23,279 Speaker 16: of perfumes, where perfume doesn't have the brand name, but 781 00:45:23,360 --> 00:45:26,000 Speaker 16: it says it's inspired by you know, X or Y. 782 00:45:27,960 --> 00:45:30,920 Speaker 16: So in as much as there's no trademark infringement, if 783 00:45:30,960 --> 00:45:34,840 Speaker 16: there's no trademark ettingement, it can never be a counter set. Again, 784 00:45:35,160 --> 00:45:39,719 Speaker 16: very fine line, and some brands crossed line too much 785 00:45:40,040 --> 00:45:42,879 Speaker 16: to put it into the sphere of being a proper 786 00:45:43,000 --> 00:45:46,080 Speaker 16: counterseet as both to just being a dupe. So the 787 00:45:46,200 --> 00:45:49,759 Speaker 16: term dupe and what constitutes a dupe is still very 788 00:45:49,840 --> 00:45:54,120 Speaker 16: much under consideration by our authorities and by our courts. 789 00:45:54,680 --> 00:45:59,560 Speaker 16: And although pure counter setting is a criminal defense and 790 00:45:59,760 --> 00:46:02,839 Speaker 16: because of the good Jack deals with that specifically. So yeah, 791 00:46:03,080 --> 00:46:05,319 Speaker 16: very fine line, but different legislation to deal with each 792 00:46:05,360 --> 00:46:05,640 Speaker 16: of those. 793 00:46:05,960 --> 00:46:08,360 Speaker 2: I mean, I already imagine that plenty of people are 794 00:46:08,440 --> 00:46:11,440 Speaker 2: able to you know, drive trucks through that sort of 795 00:46:11,960 --> 00:46:16,640 Speaker 2: particular sort of definition. And also, I mean, to try 796 00:46:16,640 --> 00:46:19,320 Speaker 2: and police social media must actually be really quite difficult 797 00:46:19,320 --> 00:46:21,440 Speaker 2: because there is just so much stuff going on. 798 00:46:22,600 --> 00:46:25,400 Speaker 16: Yeah, social media has been one of the great challenges, 799 00:46:25,719 --> 00:46:30,480 Speaker 16: I mean not only from the advertisements by paid sponsors 800 00:46:30,600 --> 00:46:33,640 Speaker 16: of the counter sets, but also just an anymity of 801 00:46:33,760 --> 00:46:36,400 Speaker 16: social media. You know, you can have a social media account, 802 00:46:36,520 --> 00:46:38,880 Speaker 16: it might not have your correct name. You can create 803 00:46:39,200 --> 00:46:41,680 Speaker 16: a safe Gmail account, and you can start trading in 804 00:46:41,800 --> 00:46:45,480 Speaker 16: counterfeit goods on social media platforms, whether it be Facebook, Marketplace, 805 00:46:45,560 --> 00:46:48,640 Speaker 16: or Instagram, and it's very difficult to actually check the 806 00:46:48,719 --> 00:46:50,640 Speaker 16: people behind the accounts and get to the. 807 00:46:52,120 --> 00:46:52,520 Speaker 12: Stores. 808 00:46:52,880 --> 00:46:55,640 Speaker 16: It's the retail outlets or the residential premises from where 809 00:46:55,680 --> 00:46:59,719 Speaker 16: they trade. So for you know, social media and role, 810 00:47:00,200 --> 00:47:02,759 Speaker 16: it really has made it very difficult to do enforcement 811 00:47:03,239 --> 00:47:05,600 Speaker 16: in that online here. But if it's something that is 812 00:47:05,640 --> 00:47:09,080 Speaker 16: being cracked down on, especially about the platforms, no platform 813 00:47:09,080 --> 00:47:12,640 Speaker 16: wants to be associated with what ultimately a criminal activity. 814 00:47:12,760 --> 00:47:18,520 Speaker 16: So there's strong woves and attil intelligence has assisted to 815 00:47:19,200 --> 00:47:21,440 Speaker 16: kind of crack down on some of the bad actors 816 00:47:21,480 --> 00:47:23,560 Speaker 16: in the space, but it is challenging. 817 00:47:24,400 --> 00:47:26,720 Speaker 2: Thank you very much. Indeed, Jared West as a partner 818 00:47:26,760 --> 00:47:28,719 Speaker 2: at Spur and Fisher, so interesting to see how that 819 00:47:28,880 --> 00:47:30,680 Speaker 2: is sort of moving. So much to look at there. 820 00:47:30,719 --> 00:47:32,200 Speaker 2: Nineteen minutes after seven. 821 00:47:33,040 --> 00:47:36,080 Speaker 9: Money Show Africa Business Focus and. 822 00:47:36,160 --> 00:47:38,720 Speaker 2: Of course doctor Rotendo and Dingui is the founding director 823 00:47:38,719 --> 00:47:40,719 Speaker 2: at Tribe Africa at Ryansury and author of the book 824 00:47:40,760 --> 00:47:44,279 Speaker 2: Rumble in the Jungle Reloaded. How's it, Rotendo, Let's start 825 00:47:44,320 --> 00:47:46,680 Speaker 2: in Namibia because you know it's nice and close to us, 826 00:47:47,080 --> 00:47:50,720 Speaker 2: but they're going to supply this big Saudi industrial venture 827 00:47:51,200 --> 00:47:54,040 Speaker 2: and it's I don't even know what you call it, 828 00:47:54,120 --> 00:47:56,879 Speaker 2: but it's basically graphite and it's going to go into 829 00:47:56,960 --> 00:47:59,320 Speaker 2: a new battery and node material plant. 830 00:48:01,360 --> 00:48:03,120 Speaker 7: Very true, Steven, and a good evening to you and 831 00:48:03,120 --> 00:48:05,400 Speaker 7: a good evening to your listeners. So GRAI fight you 832 00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:08,800 Speaker 7: must show as a as a material is used for 833 00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:11,920 Speaker 7: industrial high temperature and energy implications. So it all boils 834 00:48:11,960 --> 00:48:15,400 Speaker 7: down to energy, which is obviously in brain demand as 835 00:48:15,400 --> 00:48:19,239 Speaker 7: the world goes AI. So the Canadian company Northern Graphite 836 00:48:19,800 --> 00:48:22,480 Speaker 7: has identified and it was it was actually a derelic 837 00:48:22,640 --> 00:48:25,640 Speaker 7: mind that was under maintenance in I think it's called 838 00:48:25,640 --> 00:48:30,160 Speaker 7: the Oka Jiandi in Namibia. So it's Canada on the 839 00:48:30,239 --> 00:48:33,440 Speaker 7: extreme side of the world identifying a strategic mind that 840 00:48:33,680 --> 00:48:39,800 Speaker 7: was defunct in in in Namibia, and they're supplying the 841 00:48:39,920 --> 00:48:42,440 Speaker 7: Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. We've got a I think it's 842 00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:46,719 Speaker 7: a two hundred million US dollar joint venture investment. So 843 00:48:46,760 --> 00:48:49,680 Speaker 7: it's a waymen for everybody, and I think at the 844 00:48:49,760 --> 00:48:52,200 Speaker 7: end of the day, Steven, they're probably targeting to produce 845 00:48:52,200 --> 00:48:56,880 Speaker 7: about twenty five thousand towns tons per year of granite 846 00:48:57,160 --> 00:49:00,480 Speaker 7: and the off take is probably about fifty thousand tpi 847 00:49:00,600 --> 00:49:02,360 Speaker 7: is based on the units that they used to manage it. 848 00:49:02,680 --> 00:49:04,080 Speaker 3: So it's an interesting story. 849 00:49:04,160 --> 00:49:06,600 Speaker 7: But I think it just shows from a globalization perspective, 850 00:49:06,640 --> 00:49:08,040 Speaker 7: and it's one of the key things that always wear 851 00:49:08,080 --> 00:49:10,520 Speaker 7: on and stealing that there's a lot of opportunity out 852 00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:13,279 Speaker 7: there for African countries to leverage off the commodities that 853 00:49:13,360 --> 00:49:17,360 Speaker 7: they have but tap into global value and it becomes 854 00:49:17,440 --> 00:49:19,880 Speaker 7: a win. We're not just for the country but also 855 00:49:20,040 --> 00:49:23,560 Speaker 7: for other entities. So an interesting story will sell it 856 00:49:23,600 --> 00:49:25,560 Speaker 7: plays out. I think in twenty end of twenty twenty 857 00:49:25,600 --> 00:49:27,560 Speaker 7: six is when the mine will go will go live. 858 00:49:28,200 --> 00:49:30,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, that is very interesting to see how it all 859 00:49:30,040 --> 00:49:33,879 Speaker 2: plays out. In West Africa, online payments were suspended because 860 00:49:33,920 --> 00:49:38,320 Speaker 2: there's an argument around Visa and MasterCard and can you imagine. 861 00:49:40,000 --> 00:49:43,080 Speaker 7: Yeah, So, you know it's the more we go digital 862 00:49:43,400 --> 00:49:46,400 Speaker 7: from a whether it's a country or from a global perspective, 863 00:49:46,520 --> 00:49:49,840 Speaker 7: you realize that the poress areas and the risk that 864 00:49:49,920 --> 00:49:50,320 Speaker 7: comes with it. 865 00:49:50,719 --> 00:49:54,880 Speaker 3: So the ym or the West African Monetary. 866 00:49:54,520 --> 00:49:59,480 Speaker 7: Union some years ago headed agreement with all the transaction 867 00:49:59,640 --> 00:50:02,879 Speaker 7: orders like Visa and MasterCard, and the focus was really 868 00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:05,960 Speaker 7: that you know, when transactions go through in West Africa, 869 00:50:06,719 --> 00:50:08,279 Speaker 7: it has to be settled at the end of the 870 00:50:08,400 --> 00:50:11,080 Speaker 7: day in the in the local currency, which was the 871 00:50:11,200 --> 00:50:15,280 Speaker 7: cafe frunk from from A from A from a transaction 872 00:50:15,400 --> 00:50:20,160 Speaker 7: perspective in twenty fifteen when this when the regulators implemented 873 00:50:20,200 --> 00:50:23,000 Speaker 7: this theory, the main transactions are really retail and banking, 874 00:50:23,440 --> 00:50:27,720 Speaker 7: and that was quite straightforward. Nobody had forecasted the depth 875 00:50:27,800 --> 00:50:32,120 Speaker 7: and growth excabated by by by COVID in terms of 876 00:50:32,440 --> 00:50:35,080 Speaker 7: the retail of of the e commerce sector. And that's 877 00:50:35,120 --> 00:50:37,600 Speaker 7: why the really this has come out is that as 878 00:50:37,760 --> 00:50:42,080 Speaker 7: e commerces has blown blown significantly in West Africa, they're 879 00:50:42,080 --> 00:50:45,520 Speaker 7: realizing the new pholes f ATF, which is the the 880 00:50:45,680 --> 00:50:50,080 Speaker 7: the the Financial Action Task Force. They're the ones who 881 00:50:50,360 --> 00:50:52,040 Speaker 7: make you gray listed or not who went through this 882 00:50:52,160 --> 00:50:54,040 Speaker 7: is South Africa, if ighlated. 883 00:50:53,719 --> 00:50:56,399 Speaker 3: This is a great risk. So WYAM has not really 884 00:50:56,480 --> 00:50:57,479 Speaker 3: been sticky for no reason. 885 00:50:57,520 --> 00:50:59,800 Speaker 7: They're saying, guys, there's a big risk in terms of 886 00:51:00,239 --> 00:51:02,960 Speaker 7: the poracity that has come about because of e commerce. 887 00:51:03,600 --> 00:51:06,400 Speaker 7: We're not seeing total visibility. There's risk of this of 888 00:51:06,440 --> 00:51:11,080 Speaker 7: money laundering and and and so really the concern is genuine. 889 00:51:11,520 --> 00:51:13,680 Speaker 7: But at the same time Master current Visa saying, look, 890 00:51:13,719 --> 00:51:16,000 Speaker 7: this is also hitting us quite significantly. So there's a 891 00:51:16,040 --> 00:51:20,040 Speaker 7: big discussion between the banks, the central banks, the regulators, 892 00:51:20,920 --> 00:51:25,000 Speaker 7: and corporate players in the e commace space. So hopefully 893 00:51:25,040 --> 00:51:27,359 Speaker 7: they'll find a resolution. But at the end of the day, 894 00:51:27,480 --> 00:51:29,880 Speaker 7: nobody wants to be great listed because of the consequences 895 00:51:29,920 --> 00:51:31,920 Speaker 7: of so also say how this plays out, but it 896 00:51:32,080 --> 00:51:34,200 Speaker 7: just talks about it. As the world becomes more digital, 897 00:51:34,440 --> 00:51:36,279 Speaker 7: there's also bigger risks that I play as well. 898 00:51:36,800 --> 00:51:41,120 Speaker 2: And then an entrepreneurs name is Mama Du tare using 899 00:51:41,239 --> 00:51:44,480 Speaker 2: block train to disrupt gold investments and yeah, what a 900 00:51:44,560 --> 00:51:45,279 Speaker 2: time for gold. 901 00:51:46,280 --> 00:51:46,480 Speaker 3: Yeah. 902 00:51:46,840 --> 00:51:49,560 Speaker 7: And also another story that I might quite I'm quite 903 00:51:49,560 --> 00:51:53,239 Speaker 7: excited about Stephen because Mama du forty percent of the 904 00:51:53,239 --> 00:51:56,680 Speaker 7: world's gold is is in Africa, and for the past 905 00:51:56,760 --> 00:51:59,640 Speaker 7: few months we've seen the growth of the gold value. 906 00:52:00,120 --> 00:52:02,800 Speaker 7: What he's done is that he's built using blockchain and 907 00:52:02,880 --> 00:52:06,800 Speaker 7: other crypto and crypto currencies. Uh. In line with that, 908 00:52:06,920 --> 00:52:11,760 Speaker 7: Stephen is developed a model whereby tokens can be directly 909 00:52:11,880 --> 00:52:14,200 Speaker 7: linked to a fractional value of gold. I think it's 910 00:52:14,239 --> 00:52:17,640 Speaker 7: a milligram of gold. The actual gold investment that has 911 00:52:17,760 --> 00:52:19,600 Speaker 7: been put aside in terms of actual gold comes to 912 00:52:19,719 --> 00:52:23,040 Speaker 7: but a billionous dollars. I think it's value of city 913 00:52:23,160 --> 00:52:27,359 Speaker 7: in Switzerland. But in Layman's terms, he's made it accessible 914 00:52:27,719 --> 00:52:30,840 Speaker 7: and affordable for the ordinary men in the ground to 915 00:52:31,040 --> 00:52:34,799 Speaker 7: own value through the blockchain model. From a gold perspective, 916 00:52:35,160 --> 00:52:39,480 Speaker 7: and for countries that struggle with foreign currency and inflation, 917 00:52:39,640 --> 00:52:43,720 Speaker 7: high inflation like in West Africa, Nigeria, You've got countries 918 00:52:43,840 --> 00:52:46,160 Speaker 7: like Dana. We know a number of these countries where 919 00:52:46,520 --> 00:52:48,960 Speaker 7: the foreign currencies is a big issue. This is a 920 00:52:49,040 --> 00:52:53,040 Speaker 7: good way to invest in a stable environment. Obviously for 921 00:52:53,200 --> 00:52:56,200 Speaker 7: Mamadus and in the company that he started was called Ubuntu, 922 00:52:57,239 --> 00:53:00,000 Speaker 7: which which which obviously aligns with with with the vision 923 00:53:00,120 --> 00:53:02,640 Speaker 7: of their of the business, but they have a light 924 00:53:02,640 --> 00:53:05,480 Speaker 7: to key partners like the Global Settlement Network, which is 925 00:53:05,520 --> 00:53:06,680 Speaker 7: a try to tested model. 926 00:53:07,000 --> 00:53:10,080 Speaker 3: It's transparent. They've been around for a period of time. 927 00:53:10,480 --> 00:53:13,600 Speaker 7: As of today, Stephen, they've done one hundred million years 928 00:53:13,680 --> 00:53:17,080 Speaker 7: dollar transactions. They were thirty thousand customers and ten thousand 929 00:53:17,160 --> 00:53:19,120 Speaker 7: downloads and growing. 930 00:53:19,480 --> 00:53:23,719 Speaker 3: So I think for inclusivity when it comes to gold. 931 00:53:23,600 --> 00:53:26,239 Speaker 7: And accessibility and investment, it's a great story and I'm 932 00:53:26,320 --> 00:53:28,239 Speaker 7: quite excited to see how those pans are going to 933 00:53:28,280 --> 00:53:28,960 Speaker 7: the future as well. 934 00:53:29,440 --> 00:53:33,120 Speaker 2: And then Sunday night, I think we can agree with rotenda. 935 00:53:33,239 --> 00:53:37,960 Speaker 2: Not a great advert for football. Probably less of a 936 00:53:38,040 --> 00:53:40,040 Speaker 2: mess than what I'm afraid the World Cup in the 937 00:53:40,160 --> 00:53:43,879 Speaker 2: US is going to be. But that's another story. And yeah, 938 00:53:44,000 --> 00:53:46,560 Speaker 2: from a business point of view, it actually did very well. 939 00:53:48,040 --> 00:53:50,120 Speaker 7: It did very well, Stephen, And yeah, let's take the 940 00:53:50,640 --> 00:53:52,560 Speaker 7: letist take the politics of the football aside. And look, 941 00:53:52,600 --> 00:53:54,839 Speaker 7: I was supporting for one team. I won't mention the name, 942 00:53:54,880 --> 00:53:57,560 Speaker 7: but it did win. But getting back to the business 943 00:53:57,600 --> 00:54:01,400 Speaker 7: of afcun their revenue groups two hundred million US dollars. 944 00:54:01,440 --> 00:54:04,959 Speaker 7: It's the most successful outcome from a commercial perspective since 945 00:54:05,040 --> 00:54:08,279 Speaker 7: they started. There was a ninety percent growth in terms 946 00:54:08,320 --> 00:54:10,759 Speaker 7: of revenue. One of the key reasons for their growth 947 00:54:10,880 --> 00:54:14,120 Speaker 7: is that from twenty twenty one, Steven, the sponsors moved 948 00:54:14,120 --> 00:54:17,360 Speaker 7: from nine sponsors to twenty three sponsors and for the 949 00:54:17,400 --> 00:54:21,240 Speaker 7: first time ever they've got sponsors from the USA, China, Germany, Morocco, 950 00:54:21,440 --> 00:54:25,520 Speaker 7: UK and Turkey. And another key driver was also leveraged 951 00:54:25,560 --> 00:54:28,560 Speaker 7: you a social media and global audiences. I think the 952 00:54:28,680 --> 00:54:33,640 Speaker 7: group to about a million visitors who are actually focused 953 00:54:33,800 --> 00:54:37,000 Speaker 7: all over the world were logged in for the final game. 954 00:54:37,280 --> 00:54:39,000 Speaker 7: But I think the key thing, yes, Stephen, it just 955 00:54:39,080 --> 00:54:41,560 Speaker 7: shows again that if you've got a right business model, 956 00:54:41,560 --> 00:54:43,840 Speaker 7: and that's what Patrice has been able to achieve. Obviously, 957 00:54:43,840 --> 00:54:46,480 Speaker 7: it's key to maintain the credibility and how he deals 958 00:54:46,520 --> 00:54:49,400 Speaker 7: with this whole issue that happened within Senegal and Morocco 959 00:54:49,480 --> 00:54:53,160 Speaker 7: is absolutely critical. I think the upside for Morocco is 960 00:54:53,239 --> 00:54:56,440 Speaker 7: that they've had an increase in terms of tourism, the 961 00:54:56,560 --> 00:54:59,360 Speaker 7: diversity infrastructure they are going to be used for the 962 00:54:59,440 --> 00:55:01,839 Speaker 7: World TAP as well, so it's a plus on all sides. 963 00:55:01,840 --> 00:55:06,040 Speaker 7: But from a commercial perspective, these guys hit the ball 964 00:55:06,080 --> 00:55:06,680 Speaker 7: out of the park. 965 00:55:06,760 --> 00:55:10,920 Speaker 2: Stephen, indeed, Rottendo, thanks so much, doctor Rottendo and Dingui 966 00:55:11,280 --> 00:55:15,560 Speaker 2: of course, the the founding director of Tribe Africa Advisory, 967 00:55:15,600 --> 00:55:20,680 Speaker 2: will speak again next week. Personal Finance with Warren Ingram 968 00:55:22,000 --> 00:55:24,600 Speaker 2: Well twenty two minutes now top the time, A good 969 00:55:24,680 --> 00:55:28,120 Speaker 2: moment in the sort of second or third week of January, 970 00:55:28,160 --> 00:55:30,960 Speaker 2: depending on how you define your start of the working year, 971 00:55:31,360 --> 00:55:34,759 Speaker 2: to have a look at your financial freedom number. In 972 00:55:34,880 --> 00:55:37,600 Speaker 2: other words, what for you is the number that you 973 00:55:37,880 --> 00:55:41,560 Speaker 2: need to retire on if your income stops. Warren Ingram 974 00:55:41,760 --> 00:55:46,200 Speaker 2: is a certified financial planner at Galileo Capital. Warren good evening, 975 00:55:46,239 --> 00:55:48,560 Speaker 2: I mean so often. In fact, the whole point of 976 00:55:48,760 --> 00:55:51,760 Speaker 2: talking to you once a week is to have financial freedom, 977 00:55:52,120 --> 00:55:55,279 Speaker 2: but to actually work out the number. There's something quite 978 00:55:55,360 --> 00:55:58,320 Speaker 2: sort of beautifully simple about it. I always think. 979 00:56:00,360 --> 00:56:02,640 Speaker 17: You're right even and for me it's my I mean, 980 00:56:02,680 --> 00:56:05,200 Speaker 17: I know, it's my favorite topics. I think I could 981 00:56:05,200 --> 00:56:07,960 Speaker 17: talk about this all day, every day, but I think 982 00:56:08,000 --> 00:56:09,520 Speaker 17: the start of the year is a very good time 983 00:56:09,680 --> 00:56:12,759 Speaker 17: to have a conversation like this because it's not just 984 00:56:12,840 --> 00:56:16,480 Speaker 17: about housekeeping. It's also I would hope for a lot 985 00:56:16,560 --> 00:56:19,279 Speaker 17: of us maybe a little motivating to figure out where 986 00:56:19,320 --> 00:56:21,920 Speaker 17: we are, you know, compared to where we were a 987 00:56:22,040 --> 00:56:22,439 Speaker 17: year ago. 988 00:56:22,680 --> 00:56:24,520 Speaker 2: Have we made some progress, And. 989 00:56:24,800 --> 00:56:28,160 Speaker 17: Especially after a year like twenty five, twenty twenty five 990 00:56:28,200 --> 00:56:31,400 Speaker 17: where the markets were good to us, you know, one 991 00:56:31,440 --> 00:56:33,479 Speaker 17: hopes that actually you've got a bit of market growth 992 00:56:33,520 --> 00:56:36,200 Speaker 17: and it wasn't all just down to your savings. So 993 00:56:36,880 --> 00:56:39,239 Speaker 17: to me, it's a little bit like true North for 994 00:56:40,080 --> 00:56:42,759 Speaker 17: our planning. You know, where are we and where are 995 00:56:42,800 --> 00:56:45,239 Speaker 17: we going? And a lot of the time when I 996 00:56:45,320 --> 00:56:48,760 Speaker 17: speak to people about about their money, if they feel 997 00:56:49,320 --> 00:56:52,520 Speaker 17: you know, out of control and they feel but aimless 998 00:56:52,560 --> 00:56:55,239 Speaker 17: about their money, it's it's almost literally because they have 999 00:56:55,400 --> 00:56:57,480 Speaker 17: no aim, they have no goal, they don't know what 1000 00:56:57,600 --> 00:57:00,440 Speaker 17: their number is. So I think it's a good one 1001 00:57:00,520 --> 00:57:03,719 Speaker 17: to understand, and you're right, it is very simple to me. 1002 00:57:05,040 --> 00:57:07,640 Speaker 17: Even I can work it out on my calculator on 1003 00:57:07,719 --> 00:57:09,719 Speaker 17: my phone. So I think it's something we can all 1004 00:57:09,800 --> 00:57:13,120 Speaker 17: do for ourselves once a year, without you know, launching 1005 00:57:13,200 --> 00:57:15,839 Speaker 17: big AI apps or big Excel spreadsheets. 1006 00:57:16,520 --> 00:57:20,200 Speaker 2: Okay, so then how do you begin to calculate this? 1007 00:57:20,320 --> 00:57:24,120 Speaker 2: And I suppose what we're asking about is the factors 1008 00:57:24,200 --> 00:57:26,480 Speaker 2: that we use, which is about how much we earn, 1009 00:57:26,520 --> 00:57:28,240 Speaker 2: but it's about how much we're going to spend, right. 1010 00:57:29,600 --> 00:57:32,880 Speaker 17: Yeah, I think a lot of the time, you know, 1011 00:57:32,960 --> 00:57:35,320 Speaker 17: we start in the wrong direction because we focus on 1012 00:57:35,640 --> 00:57:39,000 Speaker 17: what we earn. And the reason that's not very relevant 1013 00:57:39,120 --> 00:57:42,720 Speaker 17: is you know, your list style is not determined by 1014 00:57:42,880 --> 00:57:45,520 Speaker 17: your income, and I know sometimes people think that, but 1015 00:57:45,600 --> 00:57:48,880 Speaker 17: actually your last styles determined by what you spend, and 1016 00:57:49,480 --> 00:57:51,800 Speaker 17: so it's a crucial number and it's one that you 1017 00:57:51,920 --> 00:57:55,000 Speaker 17: have some control over. So when you're doing your financial 1018 00:57:55,040 --> 00:57:57,480 Speaker 17: freedom number, to me, the thing you start with is, 1019 00:57:58,600 --> 00:58:00,320 Speaker 17: you know, if you don't know what you spend in 1020 00:58:00,400 --> 00:58:04,480 Speaker 17: an average month, and maybe therefore in an average year. 1021 00:58:04,960 --> 00:58:09,560 Speaker 17: Then look back at your banking app or your you know, 1022 00:58:09,600 --> 00:58:12,720 Speaker 17: if you do have if you don't use cash, then 1023 00:58:12,760 --> 00:58:16,120 Speaker 17: certainly on your banking app and your credit cards, look 1024 00:58:16,160 --> 00:58:18,320 Speaker 17: at what you've spent over the last three months, because 1025 00:58:18,360 --> 00:58:22,000 Speaker 17: it's probably a good average, and you need to include 1026 00:58:22,120 --> 00:58:25,520 Speaker 17: everything in that expenditure. In other words, what you've spent 1027 00:58:25,640 --> 00:58:28,120 Speaker 17: on holidays, what you've spent on you know, if you 1028 00:58:28,240 --> 00:58:30,760 Speaker 17: own a property, on your rates, and if you don't, 1029 00:58:30,840 --> 00:58:33,560 Speaker 17: what you spend on rent and gifts and all that stuff, 1030 00:58:33,640 --> 00:58:37,840 Speaker 17: car maintenance, everything. Put it all together and get to 1031 00:58:38,000 --> 00:58:41,880 Speaker 17: a monthly number, and then multiply that by twelve. The 1032 00:58:42,080 --> 00:58:43,920 Speaker 17: reason we're doing that is we want to get to 1033 00:58:44,480 --> 00:58:46,960 Speaker 17: what it costs you to run your lifestyle over a 1034 00:58:47,040 --> 00:58:51,480 Speaker 17: typical year. And just to do the simple math, if 1035 00:58:51,520 --> 00:58:55,360 Speaker 17: you're spending forty thousand a month as an average, then 1036 00:58:55,440 --> 00:58:58,360 Speaker 17: that means you're you're spending four hundred and eighty thousand 1037 00:58:58,600 --> 00:59:01,920 Speaker 17: a year, and that's the key number. That's your your 1038 00:59:02,080 --> 00:59:05,760 Speaker 17: lifestyle costs in a year. And from there, the simple 1039 00:59:05,880 --> 00:59:09,880 Speaker 17: part is you multiply that by twenty five and you 1040 00:59:09,960 --> 00:59:13,000 Speaker 17: are now at your financial freedom number. It's the number 1041 00:59:13,040 --> 00:59:16,840 Speaker 17: of the amount you need in investment assets to fund 1042 00:59:16,880 --> 00:59:18,560 Speaker 17: the lifestyle that you're currently living. 1043 00:59:19,160 --> 00:59:21,960 Speaker 2: Okay, so I mean your financial freedom number there would 1044 00:59:21,960 --> 00:59:24,880 Speaker 2: be about twelve million Rand, and that's the four percent rul. 1045 00:59:25,080 --> 00:59:27,600 Speaker 2: What is the four percentral? Because that's crucial to this. 1046 00:59:29,240 --> 00:59:32,200 Speaker 17: Yeah, So once you've got your number, the twelve million, 1047 00:59:33,520 --> 00:59:35,520 Speaker 17: if you took twelve million and you worked out what 1048 00:59:35,640 --> 00:59:38,840 Speaker 17: four hundred and eighty thousand is as a percentage of 1049 00:59:38,920 --> 00:59:41,520 Speaker 17: twelve million, it's going to work out to four percent. 1050 00:59:42,040 --> 00:59:45,720 Speaker 17: And four percent is kind of a magic number because 1051 00:59:46,280 --> 00:59:50,200 Speaker 17: if you look at for example, you know, typical balanced 1052 00:59:50,560 --> 00:59:54,000 Speaker 17: trusts over a long period of time, they will generate 1053 00:59:54,240 --> 00:59:57,080 Speaker 17: a return of about ten percent of the last thirty years, 1054 00:59:57,080 --> 00:59:59,040 Speaker 17: so ten percent a year of the last thirty years. 1055 00:59:59,480 --> 01:00:01,760 Speaker 2: So if you're drawing four percent a. 1056 01:00:01,880 --> 01:00:05,640 Speaker 17: Year, that means that you're leaving behind six percent a 1057 01:00:05,760 --> 01:00:09,120 Speaker 17: year to be reinvested. And if you look at our 1058 01:00:09,200 --> 01:00:11,720 Speaker 17: inflation rate, I know it's relatively low now and let's 1059 01:00:11,760 --> 01:00:13,600 Speaker 17: hope it stays that way, but if you look at 1060 01:00:13,640 --> 01:00:16,720 Speaker 17: inflation over a longer period of time, it's been around 1061 01:00:16,760 --> 01:00:19,600 Speaker 17: that six percent level. So six pers four gets us 1062 01:00:19,680 --> 01:00:22,480 Speaker 17: back to ten. So if you can draw four percent 1063 01:00:22,560 --> 01:00:25,720 Speaker 17: from your investments, and you leave the balance behind to 1064 01:00:26,080 --> 01:00:29,040 Speaker 17: be reinvested. It means that the buying power of your 1065 01:00:29,080 --> 01:00:32,920 Speaker 17: money is either staying the same or it's growing, because 1066 01:00:33,400 --> 01:00:36,120 Speaker 17: the balance that you've left behind is the part that 1067 01:00:36,240 --> 01:00:39,280 Speaker 17: gives you the capital growth to match the cost of 1068 01:00:39,360 --> 01:00:43,720 Speaker 17: living increases. And so for me, that's why four percent 1069 01:00:43,840 --> 01:00:47,080 Speaker 17: is a very important number when you're looking at this 1070 01:00:47,240 --> 01:00:50,080 Speaker 17: to say, I don't want to start and you know, 1071 01:00:50,520 --> 01:00:53,160 Speaker 17: let's say hit financial freedom and spend my four hundred 1072 01:00:53,160 --> 01:00:56,320 Speaker 17: and eighty thousand round a year and I've forgotten about 1073 01:00:56,440 --> 01:01:00,760 Speaker 17: the creep of lifestyle costs. And in ten years, I'm 1074 01:01:00,840 --> 01:01:02,920 Speaker 17: still spending four hundred and eighty thousand round a year, 1075 01:01:02,960 --> 01:01:05,000 Speaker 17: but it can't buy me anything like it it was 1076 01:01:05,080 --> 01:01:06,240 Speaker 17: buying me ten years before. 1077 01:01:07,160 --> 01:01:10,040 Speaker 2: Okay. And then obviously you've got to see what your 1078 01:01:10,080 --> 01:01:13,280 Speaker 2: investments are doing, because at four percent, if you're taking 1079 01:01:13,360 --> 01:01:17,000 Speaker 2: out four percent, they might still be growing significantly and 1080 01:01:17,080 --> 01:01:18,760 Speaker 2: you might actually be okay for quite a while. 1081 01:01:20,480 --> 01:01:22,960 Speaker 17: You can, and I think you know, it's also why 1082 01:01:23,120 --> 01:01:27,280 Speaker 17: we can exert some control over our financial position because 1083 01:01:27,920 --> 01:01:30,920 Speaker 17: in a very good year, for example, last year, you know, 1084 01:01:31,120 --> 01:01:36,120 Speaker 17: if balanced funds were generating twenty percent, and you decide 1085 01:01:36,240 --> 01:01:40,520 Speaker 17: to maintain your withdrawal of four percent, it means you've 1086 01:01:40,600 --> 01:01:43,480 Speaker 17: left a lot of growth on the table to stay invested, 1087 01:01:43,920 --> 01:01:46,800 Speaker 17: to give you some protection against the bad years. And 1088 01:01:46,880 --> 01:01:49,040 Speaker 17: there have been years, you know, if we think about 1089 01:01:49,120 --> 01:01:52,560 Speaker 17: twenty twenty and before that two thousand and eight when 1090 01:01:52,600 --> 01:01:56,440 Speaker 17: the markets lost money, and it's the protection against those 1091 01:01:56,600 --> 01:01:59,120 Speaker 17: kinds of years. Where is why you don't want to 1092 01:01:59,200 --> 01:02:01,040 Speaker 17: draw all of the growth both out of your investments. 1093 01:02:01,120 --> 01:02:03,480 Speaker 17: You want the good years to kind of build up 1094 01:02:03,560 --> 01:02:06,840 Speaker 17: that leeway and the cushion and the safety net in 1095 01:02:06,920 --> 01:02:10,360 Speaker 17: your financial planning. And I think if you stay disciplined 1096 01:02:11,080 --> 01:02:13,400 Speaker 17: and you continue to draw the four percent, if you 1097 01:02:13,520 --> 01:02:15,880 Speaker 17: do that every year, sometimes your portfolio will be down, 1098 01:02:16,040 --> 01:02:19,000 Speaker 17: and drawing four percent means that you might be spending 1099 01:02:19,040 --> 01:02:20,760 Speaker 17: a little bit less than you did the year before. 1100 01:02:21,240 --> 01:02:23,080 Speaker 3: But generally, over a long period of. 1101 01:02:23,120 --> 01:02:26,400 Speaker 17: Time, you'll actually find that your lifestyle will continue to 1102 01:02:26,520 --> 01:02:29,080 Speaker 17: grow and improve. It won't just be stagnant as it 1103 01:02:29,240 --> 01:02:32,560 Speaker 17: was when you hit your financial freedom number. So for me, 1104 01:02:32,680 --> 01:02:34,480 Speaker 17: a lot of the time when we have these conversations, 1105 01:02:34,760 --> 01:02:37,480 Speaker 17: people always go yes, but you know, yes, I had 1106 01:02:37,480 --> 01:02:40,040 Speaker 17: an emergency, or you know, food inflation has gone up 1107 01:02:40,120 --> 01:02:43,000 Speaker 17: much faster. And that's true over you know, one or 1108 01:02:43,040 --> 01:02:45,800 Speaker 17: two or three year period. You don't know exactly what 1109 01:02:45,920 --> 01:02:48,160 Speaker 17: inflation is going to do. And this kind of a 1110 01:02:48,240 --> 01:02:51,800 Speaker 17: rule doesn't work, you know, perfectly every single year. It 1111 01:02:51,960 --> 01:02:55,080 Speaker 17: works very well over a typical decade. And that's why 1112 01:02:55,120 --> 01:02:57,800 Speaker 17: you've got to be careful about controlling your expenses. But 1113 01:02:58,280 --> 01:03:00,040 Speaker 17: it is possible for us all to get. 1114 01:03:00,680 --> 01:03:03,360 Speaker 2: Okay, and we need to sort of really get on 1115 01:03:03,440 --> 01:03:05,640 Speaker 2: top of the idea that it's not how much we're earning, 1116 01:03:05,880 --> 01:03:09,480 Speaker 2: it's how much we spend is actually the big variable here. 1117 01:03:11,360 --> 01:03:15,520 Speaker 17: Yeah, and you know, I did three examples just to 1118 01:03:15,600 --> 01:03:19,520 Speaker 17: show you how powerful your your spending is in this equation. 1119 01:03:19,960 --> 01:03:22,880 Speaker 17: So for someone who spends an average of fifteen thousand 1120 01:03:22,960 --> 01:03:26,120 Speaker 17: round a month, their financial freedom number is four and 1121 01:03:26,120 --> 01:03:29,080 Speaker 17: a half million. So you spend fifteen you need four 1122 01:03:29,080 --> 01:03:32,200 Speaker 17: and a half million of investments. If you spend fifty 1123 01:03:32,240 --> 01:03:36,320 Speaker 17: thousand a month and you leave the balance to or 1124 01:03:36,560 --> 01:03:40,000 Speaker 17: you need the a balance of fifteen million of investments. 1125 01:03:40,400 --> 01:03:43,240 Speaker 17: So suddenly you see, you know, it's a huge jump. 1126 01:03:43,720 --> 01:03:46,440 Speaker 17: And then a lot of high income owners are probably 1127 01:03:46,520 --> 01:03:48,960 Speaker 17: spending around one hundred and twenty thousand a month and 1128 01:03:49,200 --> 01:03:51,760 Speaker 17: they'll tell you that they can't get by with anything less. 1129 01:03:52,200 --> 01:03:54,320 Speaker 17: And for someone in that position, if you're spending one 1130 01:03:54,360 --> 01:03:56,840 Speaker 17: hundred and twenty thousand a month, you need thirty six 1131 01:03:56,960 --> 01:04:01,080 Speaker 17: million rands worth of investments. And we haven't spoken about 1132 01:04:01,120 --> 01:04:04,360 Speaker 17: your income here. So someone who's earning very well, you know, 1133 01:04:04,840 --> 01:04:07,560 Speaker 17: potentially earning one hundred thousand nine a month and is 1134 01:04:07,720 --> 01:04:10,760 Speaker 17: only spending fifty thousand a month, they're going to get 1135 01:04:10,800 --> 01:04:13,640 Speaker 17: to financial freedom very quickly because they are saving a 1136 01:04:13,720 --> 01:04:17,720 Speaker 17: huge amount of money and getting themselves to that position 1137 01:04:17,880 --> 01:04:21,120 Speaker 17: where their assets are going to cover their expenses. The 1138 01:04:21,200 --> 01:04:23,439 Speaker 17: fact that they earn much more than that doesn't matter 1139 01:04:23,560 --> 01:04:26,840 Speaker 17: to them because they're getting to that financial freedom so 1140 01:04:27,000 --> 01:04:29,640 Speaker 17: much more quickly, and then they can make different decisions 1141 01:04:29,680 --> 01:04:32,920 Speaker 17: about how they work, whether they work, whether they want 1142 01:04:32,960 --> 01:04:35,200 Speaker 17: to spend a bit more on luxuries because they've reached 1143 01:04:35,480 --> 01:04:38,160 Speaker 17: their financial freedom goal. But it's going to take someone 1144 01:04:38,520 --> 01:04:40,840 Speaker 17: a very long time to get to an investment value 1145 01:04:40,880 --> 01:04:43,640 Speaker 17: of thirty six million to fund lifestyle costs of one 1146 01:04:43,720 --> 01:04:45,880 Speaker 17: hundred and twenty thousand a month. And that's the thing 1147 01:04:45,960 --> 01:04:48,640 Speaker 17: you can control. You're not obliged to spend one hundred 1148 01:04:48,640 --> 01:04:49,640 Speaker 17: and twenty thousand a month. 1149 01:04:51,440 --> 01:04:56,080 Speaker 2: So okay, this in a way, it's quite a personal 1150 01:04:56,160 --> 01:05:00,160 Speaker 2: decision because I know some people and you know, you 1151 01:05:00,240 --> 01:05:01,960 Speaker 2: know them as kids, and they're the ones who still 1152 01:05:02,000 --> 01:05:05,400 Speaker 2: have last Easter's easter eggs, you know, the chocolate when 1153 01:05:05,440 --> 01:05:08,160 Speaker 2: the next easter runs around, and they're able to actually 1154 01:05:08,280 --> 01:05:11,640 Speaker 2: limit their spending and they get that economic freedom quite quickly, 1155 01:05:11,680 --> 01:05:14,800 Speaker 2: and plenty of others will say, you know, yes, dad, 1156 01:05:14,960 --> 01:05:18,720 Speaker 2: and by lunchtime it's all gone, and in fact they're 1157 01:05:18,800 --> 01:05:23,720 Speaker 2: kind of happy, I suppose until they get a bit older. Yeah, 1158 01:05:24,160 --> 01:05:24,919 Speaker 2: it's it's true. 1159 01:05:24,960 --> 01:05:27,760 Speaker 17: And I think you know, financial freedoms are I mean, 1160 01:05:28,120 --> 01:05:30,920 Speaker 17: the reason why we talk about financial freedom versus retirement 1161 01:05:31,080 --> 01:05:33,800 Speaker 17: is at some point retirement gets imposed on us. If 1162 01:05:33,840 --> 01:05:36,320 Speaker 17: you work for the large banks in South Africa, they 1163 01:05:36,440 --> 01:05:38,600 Speaker 17: usually kick you art at round about age sixty two 1164 01:05:38,720 --> 01:05:40,640 Speaker 17: or sixty three, I'm not sure of the number, but 1165 01:05:41,120 --> 01:05:43,680 Speaker 17: you know, many other organizations would say age sixty five, 1166 01:05:44,240 --> 01:05:47,000 Speaker 17: and so you might hit retirement. But but you're not 1167 01:05:47,160 --> 01:05:50,960 Speaker 17: financially free. And for me, that's quite a scary position 1168 01:05:51,080 --> 01:05:54,000 Speaker 17: to be in because you know, a rule, you know, 1169 01:05:54,120 --> 01:05:58,080 Speaker 17: a contract has decided your financial future. It's not that 1170 01:05:58,200 --> 01:06:01,520 Speaker 17: you've taken control. Someone is exert control on you and 1171 01:06:01,720 --> 01:06:04,160 Speaker 17: and and what over you. And that's why, you know, 1172 01:06:04,240 --> 01:06:07,120 Speaker 17: for me, I particularly don't want to be told what 1173 01:06:07,240 --> 01:06:09,720 Speaker 17: to do. You know, I have that that flaw in 1174 01:06:09,840 --> 01:06:11,760 Speaker 17: my personality that I don't want anyone to tell me 1175 01:06:11,840 --> 01:06:14,240 Speaker 17: what to do. So I'm going to work incredibly hard 1176 01:06:14,640 --> 01:06:16,920 Speaker 17: to get to financial freedom so that I can be 1177 01:06:17,080 --> 01:06:19,360 Speaker 17: the master of my own destiny or my own disaster 1178 01:06:19,520 --> 01:06:22,120 Speaker 17: either way. And so I think you know, when we're 1179 01:06:22,120 --> 01:06:24,720 Speaker 17: talking about financial freedom, it is important for you to 1180 01:06:24,840 --> 01:06:27,360 Speaker 17: say this is important to me. It's something that I 1181 01:06:27,520 --> 01:06:30,080 Speaker 17: want to achieve. I'm prepared to make some trade offs 1182 01:06:30,120 --> 01:06:33,360 Speaker 17: to get there as quickly as possible, or you know, 1183 01:06:33,440 --> 01:06:36,560 Speaker 17: if if you're happy, let's sad. A sort of classic case, 1184 01:06:36,600 --> 01:06:38,840 Speaker 17: someone who works in an academic institution and they know 1185 01:06:38,960 --> 01:06:41,200 Speaker 17: that they're going to do this job for the rest 1186 01:06:41,240 --> 01:06:43,920 Speaker 17: of their working lives, that they might say, I'm going 1187 01:06:44,000 --> 01:06:46,280 Speaker 17: to save a reasonable amount, but I'm going to spend 1188 01:06:46,560 --> 01:06:49,520 Speaker 17: significantly more because i know I've got, you know, a 1189 01:06:49,600 --> 01:06:52,160 Speaker 17: good position. I know I've got an irreplaceable career. I'm 1190 01:06:52,160 --> 01:06:54,320 Speaker 17: not sure if such a thing exists anymore, but maybe 1191 01:06:54,360 --> 01:06:56,640 Speaker 17: you believe that. And I'm happy in the job. That 1192 01:06:56,720 --> 01:06:58,280 Speaker 17: I'm that I'm doing and I'm happy to do it 1193 01:06:58,440 --> 01:07:01,280 Speaker 17: and until sixty five or seventy or something like that. 1194 01:07:01,680 --> 01:07:04,200 Speaker 17: And so for someone in that position, freedom is not 1195 01:07:04,280 --> 01:07:07,720 Speaker 17: as important as you know, living day to day. And 1196 01:07:08,080 --> 01:07:10,280 Speaker 17: so for them, they need to save, but they don't 1197 01:07:10,280 --> 01:07:12,440 Speaker 17: need to necessarily be as aggressive in their saving. 1198 01:07:13,720 --> 01:07:15,880 Speaker 2: Where does your home put into all of this, because 1199 01:07:15,920 --> 01:07:17,600 Speaker 2: I think a lot of us think of think of 1200 01:07:17,680 --> 01:07:19,760 Speaker 2: our home as kind of part of our investments. 1201 01:07:22,080 --> 01:07:24,640 Speaker 17: Yeah, and you know, I think, you know, sort of 1202 01:07:24,680 --> 01:07:26,760 Speaker 17: financial planning one or one would say that it's not 1203 01:07:26,840 --> 01:07:30,040 Speaker 17: a bad idea at retirement to have a paid off 1204 01:07:30,160 --> 01:07:32,320 Speaker 17: house in which you live, because it's a it's a 1205 01:07:32,400 --> 01:07:34,200 Speaker 17: cost then that you don't need to carry you if 1206 01:07:34,640 --> 01:07:38,480 Speaker 17: you were comparing ownership versus rent. And you know, I 1207 01:07:38,520 --> 01:07:41,600 Speaker 17: don't have a problem with that idea, But it doesn't 1208 01:07:41,640 --> 01:07:44,120 Speaker 17: form part of your investment assets. So back to the 1209 01:07:44,160 --> 01:07:46,280 Speaker 17: example of someone who spends one hundred and twenty than 1210 01:07:46,560 --> 01:07:49,000 Speaker 17: a month, they need thirty six million rands worth of 1211 01:07:49,120 --> 01:07:53,400 Speaker 17: investments to generate an income for them, and your house 1212 01:07:53,480 --> 01:07:56,240 Speaker 17: in this instance is not an income generating asset unless 1213 01:07:56,240 --> 01:07:58,720 Speaker 17: you've got a whole lot of extra rooms on the side. 1214 01:07:58,800 --> 01:08:01,480 Speaker 17: Or something that generates you, you know, additional rent. But 1215 01:08:01,600 --> 01:08:04,000 Speaker 17: if it's a normal home and the only thing you 1216 01:08:04,120 --> 01:08:06,360 Speaker 17: do is live there and it doesn't generate you any income, 1217 01:08:06,640 --> 01:08:09,000 Speaker 17: then you need to ignore it for the purposes of 1218 01:08:09,200 --> 01:08:12,600 Speaker 17: your investment assets. And so it's an additional asset that 1219 01:08:12,720 --> 01:08:15,120 Speaker 17: sits on the side. In fact, it should be part 1220 01:08:15,160 --> 01:08:17,040 Speaker 17: of your last dile costs, because it's going to cost 1221 01:08:17,080 --> 01:08:19,479 Speaker 17: you money to pay the rent or sorry to pay 1222 01:08:19,520 --> 01:08:22,439 Speaker 17: the rates, pay the maintenance, pay levees if you stay 1223 01:08:22,479 --> 01:08:24,760 Speaker 17: in a body corporate, and so it should be part 1224 01:08:24,800 --> 01:08:28,040 Speaker 17: of your expenses, but certainly something you ignore as an 1225 01:08:28,080 --> 01:08:28,920 Speaker 17: investment asset. 1226 01:08:29,400 --> 01:08:32,400 Speaker 2: Okay, a couple of WhatsApp messages coming through, and let 1227 01:08:32,439 --> 01:08:33,920 Speaker 2: me sort of put them to you to give you 1228 01:08:33,960 --> 01:08:37,280 Speaker 2: a chance to muld them over if I can. Warren 1229 01:08:37,360 --> 01:08:39,839 Speaker 2: Lolly says, I've ten years of work left. My savings 1230 01:08:39,880 --> 01:08:42,719 Speaker 2: and pensions have been depleted for various personal and work reasons. 1231 01:08:43,080 --> 01:08:45,920 Speaker 2: What do I do now until I'm sixty five? Okay, 1232 01:08:46,000 --> 01:08:48,960 Speaker 2: so ten years of work left there for Lolly. And 1233 01:08:49,120 --> 01:08:52,280 Speaker 2: then as Stefano was saying, if I at seventy seven, 1234 01:08:52,360 --> 01:08:55,200 Speaker 2: can the four percent increase to say six percent? And 1235 01:08:55,280 --> 01:08:58,120 Speaker 2: I think that's the question about how much life is 1236 01:08:58,240 --> 01:09:00,599 Speaker 2: left and how much you can spend. And I'm gonna 1237 01:09:00,600 --> 01:09:03,280 Speaker 2: put those to you after the break in a moment 1238 01:09:03,360 --> 01:09:04,400 Speaker 2: eight minutes, not eight. 1239 01:09:05,320 --> 01:09:07,840 Speaker 10: The Money Show with Stephen Quetis is brought to you 1240 01:09:08,080 --> 01:09:11,479 Speaker 10: by abs A cib A Pan African Bank invested in 1241 01:09:11,640 --> 01:09:15,000 Speaker 10: your story and the potential it can unlock because your 1242 01:09:15,120 --> 01:09:20,559 Speaker 10: story matters as as the Register the FSP Many Personal 1243 01:09:20,720 --> 01:09:22,400 Speaker 10: Finance with Warren Ingram. 1244 01:09:22,680 --> 01:09:26,400 Speaker 2: Warren Ingram, of course a co founder antivite financial planner 1245 01:09:26,400 --> 01:09:30,160 Speaker 2: at Galileo Capital. Warrent, all right, some questions for you tonight, LOLLI, 1246 01:09:30,560 --> 01:09:32,960 Speaker 2: what'sappening saying I've got ten years of work left. I 1247 01:09:33,000 --> 01:09:35,439 Speaker 2: don't have any savings left for various reasons. What do 1248 01:09:35,560 --> 01:09:38,160 Speaker 2: I do now until I'm sixty five? I mean, Lolli's 1249 01:09:38,160 --> 01:09:42,240 Speaker 2: in a tough place, Warren, but actually probably reflects where 1250 01:09:42,320 --> 01:09:46,240 Speaker 2: so many people are. Yeah, I think that's very true. 1251 01:09:46,280 --> 01:09:48,640 Speaker 17: And I mean the one thing to say, Lollie is 1252 01:09:48,920 --> 01:09:52,639 Speaker 17: you've got ten years which if you're if you're careful 1253 01:09:52,760 --> 01:09:55,760 Speaker 17: now you know you can make a massive difference to 1254 01:09:55,800 --> 01:09:59,280 Speaker 17: your financial position. So firstly, I think, I mean it 1255 01:09:59,360 --> 01:10:02,920 Speaker 17: sounds obvious, but you do need to take full control 1256 01:10:03,040 --> 01:10:05,599 Speaker 17: over your expenses and see how much you can cut 1257 01:10:05,640 --> 01:10:08,840 Speaker 17: your expenses down now, because you don't want to be 1258 01:10:08,960 --> 01:10:11,880 Speaker 17: doing this at retirement age, when you don't have an 1259 01:10:11,920 --> 01:10:15,320 Speaker 17: income and you can't adjust to a new reality. So 1260 01:10:15,560 --> 01:10:18,680 Speaker 17: if you haven't cut your expenses already, you know it's 1261 01:10:18,680 --> 01:10:21,080 Speaker 17: time to take a hard look at what you're spending 1262 01:10:21,160 --> 01:10:23,560 Speaker 17: and make sure that you're pairing it down to the 1263 01:10:23,720 --> 01:10:27,479 Speaker 17: necessities now. Unfortunately, you know, with ten years of work 1264 01:10:27,560 --> 01:10:31,360 Speaker 17: to go and no savings, it means you know, luxuries 1265 01:10:31,479 --> 01:10:34,200 Speaker 17: are not on your radar at the moment that they 1266 01:10:34,280 --> 01:10:36,680 Speaker 17: might come back into the future, but for now, pare 1267 01:10:36,720 --> 01:10:39,040 Speaker 17: down your expenses as much as you can. And then 1268 01:10:39,080 --> 01:10:41,680 Speaker 17: you've got to save like crazy, and you've got to 1269 01:10:41,760 --> 01:10:43,559 Speaker 17: make sure that nothing gets in the way of your 1270 01:10:44,080 --> 01:10:47,120 Speaker 17: saving now. And I think you know, try and build 1271 01:10:47,200 --> 01:10:49,439 Speaker 17: up your retirement savings as much as you can, and 1272 01:10:49,560 --> 01:10:52,120 Speaker 17: you know, use the retirement fund exemptions that SARAS gives 1273 01:10:52,200 --> 01:10:56,240 Speaker 17: us for making contributions to our pension, provident and retirement 1274 01:10:56,280 --> 01:10:59,560 Speaker 17: and newity funds and see what you can do. And 1275 01:10:59,800 --> 01:11:02,800 Speaker 17: then don't forget that you have by the time you 1276 01:11:02,920 --> 01:11:05,680 Speaker 17: hit edge sixty five, that's not the end of your 1277 01:11:05,800 --> 01:11:09,000 Speaker 17: usefulness to society or your ability to earn an income, 1278 01:11:09,320 --> 01:11:11,320 Speaker 17: because you need to make sure that in the next 1279 01:11:11,400 --> 01:11:14,599 Speaker 17: ten years you stay you know, you stay current. You've 1280 01:11:14,680 --> 01:11:16,600 Speaker 17: got time, and you've got experience, and that can be 1281 01:11:16,720 --> 01:11:20,040 Speaker 17: hugely valuable to people who might not need you full time, 1282 01:11:20,120 --> 01:11:22,920 Speaker 17: but maybe they can use you part time. So start 1283 01:11:23,000 --> 01:11:25,240 Speaker 17: thinking about what you can do to add value to 1284 01:11:25,680 --> 01:11:29,519 Speaker 17: other businesses and other people with your time and your experience. 1285 01:11:29,680 --> 01:11:32,719 Speaker 17: So I think, take action, and then don't don't feel 1286 01:11:32,760 --> 01:11:36,240 Speaker 17: hopeless that you stop earning everything after edge sixty five. 1287 01:11:36,320 --> 01:11:37,160 Speaker 3: That's not the case. 1288 01:11:37,720 --> 01:11:40,760 Speaker 2: And if I may say, yeah, don't, don't for prey 1289 01:11:40,920 --> 01:11:44,280 Speaker 2: to scammers because you're desperate. Just be very aware of 1290 01:11:44,400 --> 01:11:49,160 Speaker 2: that exactly. Warren Soefano's question at seventy seven, instead of 1291 01:11:49,200 --> 01:11:51,639 Speaker 2: spending four percent, can I increase it to six percent? 1292 01:11:53,400 --> 01:11:53,599 Speaker 3: YEP. 1293 01:11:53,800 --> 01:11:55,559 Speaker 17: I think it's a it's actually a very good point. 1294 01:11:55,800 --> 01:11:56,519 Speaker 2: I should have made it. 1295 01:11:56,600 --> 01:12:00,280 Speaker 17: So, I mean, when we're I mean, not not to 1296 01:12:00,360 --> 01:12:02,920 Speaker 17: be morbid, Steffiner, but if you're at age seventy six, 1297 01:12:03,400 --> 01:12:07,080 Speaker 17: the actuaries would say that you probably passed away somewhere 1298 01:12:07,120 --> 01:12:10,800 Speaker 17: around age eighty five to ninety And certainly if you're not. 1299 01:12:11,120 --> 01:12:13,400 Speaker 17: You know, if you don't want to leave behind all 1300 01:12:13,479 --> 01:12:15,800 Speaker 17: of your investment assets to the next generation, or you'd 1301 01:12:15,880 --> 01:12:18,240 Speaker 17: like to use some of them, then you can start 1302 01:12:18,280 --> 01:12:22,519 Speaker 17: to escalate your drawing draw down knowing that you're probably 1303 01:12:22,600 --> 01:12:24,519 Speaker 17: going to start eating into your capital a little bit. 1304 01:12:24,560 --> 01:12:27,760 Speaker 17: And I think drawing down six percent is very responsible. 1305 01:12:27,800 --> 01:12:30,559 Speaker 17: There's nothing wrong with that when you when you're seventy 1306 01:12:30,600 --> 01:12:34,679 Speaker 17: six years old. I would be careful of going, for example, 1307 01:12:34,760 --> 01:12:37,479 Speaker 17: to ten percent. I think that's a bit steep, but 1308 01:12:37,840 --> 01:12:41,479 Speaker 17: six percent is certainly a responsible rate of drawing when 1309 01:12:41,520 --> 01:12:42,559 Speaker 17: you at that age. 1310 01:12:43,080 --> 01:12:45,040 Speaker 2: I mean, one, we've got a question from David saying 1311 01:12:45,080 --> 01:12:48,799 Speaker 2: the four percent rules slash twenty five multipliers. Someone misleading 1312 01:12:49,120 --> 01:12:51,519 Speaker 2: as the monthly amount you want to spend is after 1313 01:12:51,640 --> 01:12:54,719 Speaker 2: tax income. Therefore to have fifty thousand post tax income, 1314 01:12:55,040 --> 01:12:57,519 Speaker 2: you must actually have around seventy thousand round per month 1315 01:12:57,920 --> 01:12:59,160 Speaker 2: in retirement income. 1316 01:12:59,320 --> 01:12:59,800 Speaker 8: Is that right? 1317 01:13:02,040 --> 01:13:05,360 Speaker 17: It's it's It's the wonderful thing about financial planning because 1318 01:13:05,560 --> 01:13:08,400 Speaker 17: there are a million ways to approach this. I think 1319 01:13:08,520 --> 01:13:12,280 Speaker 17: for South Africa, four percent of after tax is fine 1320 01:13:12,920 --> 01:13:15,960 Speaker 17: because generally you're probably going to be drawing actually five 1321 01:13:16,040 --> 01:13:18,880 Speaker 17: percent and you're going to pay away some of that 1322 01:13:19,200 --> 01:13:22,480 Speaker 17: to tax, and so I've already put tax into that calculation. 1323 01:13:23,040 --> 01:13:26,160 Speaker 17: Four percent works very well, you know on pre tax 1324 01:13:26,240 --> 01:13:28,519 Speaker 17: money when you're overseas, but in South Africa it's five 1325 01:13:28,680 --> 01:13:31,479 Speaker 17: five percent pre tax. But for this calculation to get 1326 01:13:31,520 --> 01:13:33,880 Speaker 17: to the freedom number, we use four percent to help 1327 01:13:33,920 --> 01:13:37,599 Speaker 17: people get to the actual, their actual personal financial freedom number. 1328 01:13:38,120 --> 01:13:41,000 Speaker 2: Okay, we've got thirty seconds left. But financial freedom is 1329 01:13:41,040 --> 01:13:43,360 Speaker 2: on a spectrum. And say you get to fifty percent 1330 01:13:43,400 --> 01:13:46,400 Speaker 2: of your financial freedom number, what does that get you? 1331 01:13:46,560 --> 01:13:48,599 Speaker 2: What do you get with that? Now? Don't just mean 1332 01:13:48,840 --> 01:13:49,720 Speaker 2: you feel half free? 1333 01:13:51,240 --> 01:13:53,439 Speaker 17: Yeah, it's it's not like an exam that you know 1334 01:13:53,520 --> 01:13:55,560 Speaker 17: you have to get to fifty percent or more to 1335 01:13:55,720 --> 01:13:58,200 Speaker 17: pass or fail. It's a it's on a spectrum. So 1336 01:13:58,320 --> 01:14:00,960 Speaker 17: the more capital you start to accumulate and the more 1337 01:14:00,960 --> 01:14:03,439 Speaker 17: of your expenses you can cover, it means that when 1338 01:14:03,439 --> 01:14:06,000 Speaker 17: you're at fifty percent of your financial freedom number, you're 1339 01:14:06,040 --> 01:14:08,880 Speaker 17: halfway there. You've got a huge amount of choice to 1340 01:14:08,960 --> 01:14:11,479 Speaker 17: be able to make when you want to work the job, 1341 01:14:11,560 --> 01:14:13,439 Speaker 17: you want to work for, the boss you want, et cetera. 1342 01:14:13,680 --> 01:14:16,360 Speaker 17: So you're a long way to your goal already. You 1343 01:14:16,479 --> 01:14:18,960 Speaker 17: probably you are very close and much better than a 1344 01:14:19,000 --> 01:14:20,000 Speaker 17: lot of people in the world. 1345 01:14:20,520 --> 01:14:23,080 Speaker 2: Warren Ingram, thank you so much, such an interesting comment 1346 01:14:23,439 --> 01:14:26,479 Speaker 2: a topic, and that so many calls messages coming through. 1347 01:14:26,720 --> 01:14:29,400 Speaker 2: Warren Ingram is the co founder of Galileo Capital and 1348 01:14:29,479 --> 01:14:31,599 Speaker 2: of course a certified financial planner. 1349 01:14:32,560 --> 01:14:35,040 Speaker 10: The Money Show with Stephen Quotas is brought to you 1350 01:14:35,280 --> 01:14:38,720 Speaker 10: by abs as cib a Pan African bank invested in 1351 01:14:38,840 --> 01:14:42,240 Speaker 10: your story and the potential it can unlock because your 1352 01:14:42,320 --> 01:14:43,559 Speaker 10: story matters. 1353 01:14:44,000 --> 01:14:48,120 Speaker 2: APS is the rest the FSP well, no financial freedom 1354 01:14:48,200 --> 01:14:52,200 Speaker 2: numbers from anyone, anyone in the United States. Tonight market's 1355 01:14:52,240 --> 01:14:56,160 Speaker 2: taking a sharp and negative reaction ready to the Greenland tariffs, 1356 01:14:56,160 --> 01:14:58,040 Speaker 2: so that Dow Jones down one point to it, then 1357 01:14:58,040 --> 01:15:01,080 Speaker 2: ASSEC down one half. There's an five hundred down one 1358 01:15:01,200 --> 01:15:04,519 Speaker 2: point three percent. Tonight Aubrey is next. We back tomorrow, 1359 01:15:04,560 --> 01:15:05,559 Speaker 2: good evening at eight o'clock