WEBVTT - Current Affairs: The BRICS Summit 2025: Has BRICS Achieved what it set out to do

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<v Speaker 1>For more about civility, go to Prime Media plus dot com.

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome back to the show.

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<v Speaker 1>This is the Obrimsango Show and my name is Comaso

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<v Speaker 1>Modissa Info bro O. Thank you so much for tuning in.

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<v Speaker 1>It is thirty three minutes past nine. Time for us

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<v Speaker 1>now to have our second conversation in our current Affairs feature.

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<v Speaker 1>And I mean we we're going to be speaking about

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<v Speaker 1>bricks and the President being at the Brick Summit in Rio,

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<v Speaker 1>but we cannot ignore what's just happened right now that

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<v Speaker 1>letter written to President Sonadrama Passa by US President Donald Trump.

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<v Speaker 1>They're basically slapping South Africa with the thirty percent tariff

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<v Speaker 1>on any and all South African goods sent into the

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<v Speaker 1>United States. And I'm really excited to have Deale with

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<v Speaker 1>us this evening to speak to us on this because

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<v Speaker 1>he is a political economist.

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<v Speaker 2>Dale McKinley, welcome to the show. Good evening, Thank you.

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<v Speaker 3>So much for having me. Good evening to the listeners

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<v Speaker 3>as well.

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<v Speaker 1>I've never been happier that we scheduled you to come

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<v Speaker 1>speak to us on the show at this time, because

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<v Speaker 1>when we said we were gonna have you on the show,

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<v Speaker 1>we didn't know about these these tariffs, and now we've

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<v Speaker 1>got this announcement, breaking news from the US.

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<v Speaker 4>What's just happened, Well, what's just happened is Trump Trump.

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<v Speaker 4>This is this is the politics of Donald Trump, which

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<v Speaker 4>is he makes decisions based upon his whims when he

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<v Speaker 4>wakes up in the morning, and you know.

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<v Speaker 3>If he feels a particular way.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, look, the signs were there, we know for

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<v Speaker 4>months now, given you know, his his initial tariff announcements

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<v Speaker 4>a few months back, and then backing off, and and

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<v Speaker 4>then the meeting with the presidents and so forth. But

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<v Speaker 4>I think it was the writing was always on the

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<v Speaker 4>wall that was going to the question was how much?

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<v Speaker 4>And I think what he what happened was in the

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<v Speaker 4>Brick Summit, which we were obviously going to talk about.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, there was a there was a statement that

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<v Speaker 4>was made yesterday by the US administration saying, you know

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<v Speaker 4>those people who were wanting to sort of de dollar

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<v Speaker 4>and go the bricks way, well.

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<v Speaker 3>We're going to punish you even more.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>And given that South Africa is in the bricks sort

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<v Speaker 4>of quartet, well then yeah, here we are.

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<v Speaker 3>And then instead of ten percent or twenty, it's thirty.

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<v Speaker 1>Sure, you say that we were thinking how much right

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<v Speaker 1>we knew this was going to happen?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, was thirty percent ever on the cards?

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<v Speaker 4>Well, I mean if you look at some of the

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<v Speaker 4>other numbers that Trump was throwing around initially, remember it

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<v Speaker 4>was one hundred there were one hundred and ten percent

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<v Speaker 4>tasks on Vietnam, for example, or there was going to

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<v Speaker 4>be I mean the Eswatini in swat the textiles.

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<v Speaker 3>And so that's the thing is that.

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<v Speaker 4>And I was just saying this on another analysis about

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<v Speaker 4>Trump's politics, which is that his politics is chaotic, it's

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<v Speaker 4>it's unpredictable, it's it's whims and so you never know

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<v Speaker 4>what's going to happen. So yes, it could have been

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<v Speaker 4>anything from ten percent to eighty percent.

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<v Speaker 1>Sure, And I mean, now we hear this thirty percent

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<v Speaker 1>if you've had sight of the letter, but I read

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<v Speaker 1>it a little earlier, And okay, I'm going to read

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<v Speaker 1>your paragraph here because this sounds like a threat to me.

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<v Speaker 1>The letter stants by detailing reasons why he thinks this

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<v Speaker 1>this tariff is okay. He says, the relationship has been

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<v Speaker 1>far from a reciprocal and they've had to do.

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<v Speaker 2>This, and then he says, if for any.

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<v Speaker 1>Reason you decide to raise your tariffs, then whatever the

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<v Speaker 1>number you choose to raise them by will be added

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<v Speaker 1>onto the thirty percent that we charge. Please understand that

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<v Speaker 1>these tariffs are necessary to correct the many years of

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<v Speaker 1>South Africa's tariff and non tariff policies and trade barriers.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, if there ever was a threat that that sounds,

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<v Speaker 1>I could know absolutely.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, and that's again, that's Donald Trump's politics. I mean,

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<v Speaker 4>you remember he started off as administration by threatening to

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<v Speaker 4>annex Canada, by threatening to buy ice, you know, Greenland,

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<v Speaker 4>by threatening Panama by that's his that's his politics.

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<v Speaker 3>He threats. He's a bully.

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<v Speaker 4>And if and if you remember when he announced his tariffs,

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<v Speaker 4>if you remember that ceremony in front of the White

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<v Speaker 4>House where he had this you know, poster that he

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<v Speaker 4>was showing in all the different countries including some island

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<v Speaker 4>in the South Pacific that nobody lives on, that they

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<v Speaker 4>were going to put tariffs on. It's there's no rationality,

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<v Speaker 4>there's no real economic rationality to what he does. It's

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<v Speaker 4>about transactional politics and he wants to be in charge.

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<v Speaker 4>So he feels as though you know, he knows South

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<v Speaker 4>Africa is not economically that strong. At the moment, he

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<v Speaker 4>knows we're in a difficult situation, so he's taking advantage

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<v Speaker 4>of it.

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<v Speaker 3>And that's what bullies do.

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<v Speaker 1>What would the ideal response from President Somos be, Well.

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<v Speaker 4>That's a difficult question because it's it's a very tricky terrain.

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<v Speaker 4>On the one level, you know, at a at a

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<v Speaker 4>sort of rational moral should we say and sovereign level,

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<v Speaker 4>you want to say, well, you want to basically say, listen,

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<v Speaker 4>we can't be dictated to our member. You know. The

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<v Speaker 4>first response of our president was that we're not going

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<v Speaker 4>to be pushed around, and I think many South Africans

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<v Speaker 4>UH sort of supported that. But the reality is is

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<v Speaker 4>that we live in a world where we don't call

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<v Speaker 4>the shots, where we're dependent quite substantially on our exports,

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<v Speaker 4>where the United States is an important market for several

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<v Speaker 4>sectors of our economy, and these are things we can't

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<v Speaker 4>wish away and be naive about. So I think that

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<v Speaker 4>it's in some ways, I think you're what you're going

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<v Speaker 4>to get is you're going to get some people calling

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<v Speaker 4>for him to take a very strong stand and basically

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<v Speaker 4>to tell you know, Trump to back off and we're

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<v Speaker 4>not going to be a threaten, threatened and intimidated, and

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<v Speaker 4>that could be politically quite popular, but economically he's going

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<v Speaker 4>to have to, I think, sort of find a middle

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<v Speaker 4>way in some ways. He's going to have to one,

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<v Speaker 4>at one level defend the sovereignty of the country and

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<v Speaker 4>basically make those kinds of political points, but the other end,

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<v Speaker 4>basically seek a diplomatic solution and seek a sense of saying,

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<v Speaker 4>can we you know, we can negotiate these things, or

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<v Speaker 4>you know, trying to persuade the more should we say,

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<v Speaker 4>rational minds within the Trump administration, of which there are

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<v Speaker 4>very few, but there are some that you know, some

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<v Speaker 4>of those some of these things are not going to

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<v Speaker 4>benefit the United States either, And you know that could

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<v Speaker 4>work because three four months down the road, if things

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<v Speaker 4>don't work out for Trump and things aren't going well,

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<v Speaker 4>he can change his mind and he can reverse these things.

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<v Speaker 4>That's what he does. So I think it's a middle

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<v Speaker 4>road in some ways. But I think a strong political

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<v Speaker 4>message is also necessary because if we don't, then we're

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<v Speaker 4>going to be seen to be simply just how towing

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<v Speaker 4>to the bully.

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<v Speaker 1>And I mean, I'm sure it's no coincidence that this

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<v Speaker 1>is happening while there's a brick summit in Brazil.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, clearly.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean it's tearly calculation.

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<v Speaker 3>It is, and I think and that's why I mentioned that.

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<v Speaker 4>The fact that you know, just the other day, just yesterday,

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<v Speaker 4>when the administration was already making sounds, you know, they

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<v Speaker 4>they saw this brick things and what they're worried about

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<v Speaker 4>if the United States is and Trump is worried about anything.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, if you take.

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<v Speaker 4>The combined sort of if you're talking about GDP production

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<v Speaker 4>and population everything of bricks, it outnumbers the G seven

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<v Speaker 4>UH in that case in terms of economic potential and

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<v Speaker 4>and and productivity and exports.

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<v Speaker 3>So this is not some small thing.

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<v Speaker 4>These And that's the thing is that he's trying to

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<v Speaker 4>ward off. I think he's trying to sort of be

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<v Speaker 4>you know, send these messages and warn people that if

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<v Speaker 4>they don't follow him, if they don't pay attention to this,

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<v Speaker 4>then he's going to you know, up the tasks more.

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<v Speaker 4>He's going to do this or cut them off or whatever.

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<v Speaker 4>But also remember that he doesn't He's not going to

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<v Speaker 4>have it his own way all the time. China's no

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<v Speaker 4>small economy. China is almost rivaling the United States, India

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<v Speaker 4>is also coming up and and these kinds of so

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<v Speaker 4>he's going to have to is this is what you

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<v Speaker 4>see Trump doing.

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<v Speaker 3>He makes these announcements and then he goes for buy

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<v Speaker 3>that deals.

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<v Speaker 4>So he goes to the country and he starts making

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<v Speaker 4>separate deals with you know, those particular countries.

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<v Speaker 3>And I think that's what you're also going to see.

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<v Speaker 4>So he's going to try to divide bricks as well

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<v Speaker 4>and divide according to different kinds of agreements as opposed

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<v Speaker 4>to treating it as a block as well.

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<v Speaker 1>And speaking of China, Cheting Ping has decided to skip

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<v Speaker 1>the summit. I mean, can we read anything into this.

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<v Speaker 1>There's been a lot of speculation.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, I think my I'm convinced by probably the explanation

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<v Speaker 4>that says that.

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<v Speaker 3>For him, I think for two reasons.

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<v Speaker 4>One is that he's got a lot on his own hands,

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<v Speaker 4>and I don't think he's He's been to Brazil several times,

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<v Speaker 4>he did come to the previous bricks thing, so he's

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<v Speaker 4>I don't think he saw it as as that fundamental.

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<v Speaker 4>But I think the main reason is because basically Lula

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<v Speaker 4>and the President of Brazil decided that he was going

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<v Speaker 4>to sort of have a contemporaneous state visit from India

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<v Speaker 4>and from MODI think she was probably worried about being

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<v Speaker 4>overshadowed by India and that sense, and that India and

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<v Speaker 4>China don't have the closest to They might be in

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<v Speaker 4>bricks together if it does. Let's remember that the war,

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<v Speaker 4>the very brief war between India and Pakistan over Kashmir.

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<v Speaker 4>The Chinese were supporting Pakistan and we're and they've already

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<v Speaker 4>had classes with India on their own borders. So it's

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<v Speaker 4>a very complicated situation. I think she sort of looked

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<v Speaker 4>at it and said, better to avoid this right now,

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<v Speaker 4>I'll send you know, I'll send the sort of subordinates.

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<v Speaker 4>He sees it as important, but I don't think he

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<v Speaker 4>wanted to be outdone.

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<v Speaker 2>Should we say, mm and and and someone else?

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<v Speaker 1>A certain lad Vladimir Putin also not attending all.

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<v Speaker 2>He isn't any but he's just not physically there. Do

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<v Speaker 2>you get the.

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<v Speaker 1>Sense that his hands and his feet are tied by

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<v Speaker 1>him not not being able to move around.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, he's he's you know, he's made his own bed

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<v Speaker 4>and now he's got to sleep in it, which is

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<v Speaker 4>you know, I think anytime that Vladimir Putin considers going

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<v Speaker 4>anywhere outside of a very close trusted ally he thinks

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<v Speaker 4>he's going to possibly be in big trouble, and he is.

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<v Speaker 4>So he's got to be very It's not simply just

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<v Speaker 4>a political decision or otherwise. It's something it's his personal, uh,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, safety, His personal security might be compromised. But

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<v Speaker 4>I think beyond that, he's also got his hands full,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, in the context while we you know, while

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<v Speaker 4>we get the official version of you know, the Russia

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<v Speaker 4>Ukraine War and everything else, the Russian economy is not

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<v Speaker 4>doing particularly well.

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<v Speaker 3>There's a lot.

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<v Speaker 4>Of descent within Russia, which is basically his response is

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<v Speaker 4>to crush everything and to crush that descent. That's not

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<v Speaker 4>a sustainable strategy over the long term. So I think

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<v Speaker 4>Putin has has a lot more hot potatoes on his

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<v Speaker 4>hands than bricks. And if you notice, he's sent his

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<v Speaker 4>you know, unfairly senior officials that spoke out. But yes,

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<v Speaker 4>I think he's a prisoner of his own making.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's what it seems like to me. All right.

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<v Speaker 1>So we had been looking, we'd heard the threat from

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<v Speaker 1>Trump about the tariffs, the additional tariffs. Now we've got

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<v Speaker 1>the breaking news that dropped a short while ago. Do

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<v Speaker 1>you get the sense, Deale, that the threat of these

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<v Speaker 1>tariffs will be a deterrent to any people or any

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<v Speaker 1>countries that want to do business with the brigs block.

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<v Speaker 1>I do know that's the intention, But do you think

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<v Speaker 1>it will act as a deterrent.

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<v Speaker 4>I think it could, in some circumstances act as a

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<v Speaker 4>sort of a somewhat of a barrier or, as you mentioned,

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<v Speaker 4>a deterrent, But I don't think it's going to be sustainable.

0:11:38.520 --> 0:11:41.200
<v Speaker 4>And the reason why I say that is because the

0:11:41.280 --> 0:11:45.480
<v Speaker 4>one thing about global trade is is that if the

0:11:45.559 --> 0:11:48.200
<v Speaker 4>post World War two period has taught us anything is

0:11:48.280 --> 0:11:52.800
<v Speaker 4>that it does not respect ideological boundaries. In other words,

0:11:52.880 --> 0:11:55.160
<v Speaker 4>I mean, even when there was the Cold War, you know,

0:11:55.280 --> 0:11:59.080
<v Speaker 4>and that was probably the biggest sort of twenty thirty

0:11:59.160 --> 0:12:01.080
<v Speaker 4>years of camps, you know, and so you know, you

0:12:01.120 --> 0:12:02.959
<v Speaker 4>didn't deal with the Soviet Union if you were in

0:12:03.000 --> 0:12:05.080
<v Speaker 4>the West, and so forth and so on, and yet

0:12:05.080 --> 0:12:08.600
<v Speaker 4>they're always found ways. So I think, you know, countries

0:12:08.679 --> 0:12:11.360
<v Speaker 4>will trade where there it's the it's in their benefit

0:12:11.440 --> 0:12:13.760
<v Speaker 4>if they think the better deal to go with the

0:12:13.840 --> 0:12:17.200
<v Speaker 4>United States, and Trump can't just issue threats he's got

0:12:17.240 --> 0:12:19.960
<v Speaker 4>to offer something. So that's the other side. There's two

0:12:20.000 --> 0:12:22.840
<v Speaker 4>sides to trade. You can't just threaten and threaten and threaten,

0:12:23.080 --> 0:12:25.160
<v Speaker 4>because what is he going to do Invade every country

0:12:25.200 --> 0:12:27.360
<v Speaker 4>he's going to cut off? I mean, this is again

0:12:27.440 --> 0:12:30.000
<v Speaker 4>not a sustainable strategy and he knows this. A lot

0:12:30.080 --> 0:12:32.920
<v Speaker 4>of it is bluff, but he's got to offer it.

0:12:33.040 --> 0:12:35.880
<v Speaker 4>So what is Trump offering? What is Trump offering these countries?

0:12:35.920 --> 0:12:39.079
<v Speaker 4>If he says, don't deal with China, don't deal with India,

0:12:39.320 --> 0:12:41.960
<v Speaker 4>well what can the United States offer you? And with

0:12:42.000 --> 0:12:45.840
<v Speaker 4>that side of it is very thin. So for right now, yes,

0:12:45.960 --> 0:12:49.120
<v Speaker 4>people might be sort of thinking twice about doing something,

0:12:49.120 --> 0:12:52.040
<v Speaker 4>But in the longer term, the threats are not going

0:12:52.080 --> 0:12:55.439
<v Speaker 4>to hold water, I don't think, because economics will triumph

0:12:55.720 --> 0:12:57.160
<v Speaker 4>over politics in that sense.

0:12:57.400 --> 0:12:57.959
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:12:58.120 --> 0:13:01.240
<v Speaker 1>And do you get the sense that that I mean,

0:13:01.240 --> 0:13:04.160
<v Speaker 1>with Trump really seeming like he's panicking. Yeah, it seems

0:13:04.160 --> 0:13:06.640
<v Speaker 1>like a move of panic at least to me. Do

0:13:06.679 --> 0:13:09.120
<v Speaker 1>you get the sense that bricks is now achieving exactly

0:13:09.160 --> 0:13:11.160
<v Speaker 1>what it was meant to be to do you know

0:13:11.240 --> 0:13:14.840
<v Speaker 1>the almost challenging Western dominance?

0:13:16.200 --> 0:13:18.640
<v Speaker 4>Well, I'm not so sure that it's it's at that

0:13:18.760 --> 0:13:22.200
<v Speaker 4>point the yet because bricks is a very very how

0:13:22.200 --> 0:13:26.360
<v Speaker 4>should we say, complicated partnership, and especially now that all

0:13:26.400 --> 0:13:28.640
<v Speaker 4>these different countries have been brought on board as sort

0:13:28.679 --> 0:13:33.480
<v Speaker 4>of secondary members, it's got a serious serious issues around.

0:13:33.480 --> 0:13:36.480
<v Speaker 4>So it's it talks a good game in many cases,

0:13:36.480 --> 0:13:37.880
<v Speaker 4>So let's talk let's say.

0:13:37.679 --> 0:13:41.479
<v Speaker 3>For example, de doollarization and the currency.

0:13:41.120 --> 0:13:43.600
<v Speaker 4>And the Development Bank. Now they are playing a particular

0:13:43.679 --> 0:13:49.000
<v Speaker 4>kind of role, but China and India and Russia in

0:13:49.040 --> 0:13:53.480
<v Speaker 4>this case also have some very very serious deficits and

0:13:54.000 --> 0:13:56.200
<v Speaker 4>you know, other countries. If you want to be a

0:13:56.440 --> 0:13:59.880
<v Speaker 4>counterweight to what you're saying is the Western you know, dominance,

0:14:00.200 --> 0:14:02.480
<v Speaker 4>well then you've got to offer countries things that are

0:14:02.480 --> 0:14:06.079
<v Speaker 4>going to be better. And that means not only economically

0:14:06.120 --> 0:14:10.280
<v Speaker 4>but also politically. A dictatorship is not a sustainable strategy

0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:13.360
<v Speaker 4>politically for a long period of time, smashing your people

0:14:13.440 --> 0:14:17.520
<v Speaker 4>and crushing your people and basically jailing any dissenters and

0:14:17.559 --> 0:14:20.640
<v Speaker 4>simply saying that economics all counts, that's not a sustainable

0:14:20.680 --> 0:14:24.600
<v Speaker 4>strategy either. So bricks has got to grapple, and different

0:14:24.640 --> 0:14:26.640
<v Speaker 4>countries of the Bricks have got to grapple with more

0:14:26.720 --> 0:14:29.480
<v Speaker 4>than just saying we want to be an economic counterweight

0:14:29.520 --> 0:14:31.400
<v Speaker 4>to the United States and to the West and the

0:14:31.440 --> 0:14:34.960
<v Speaker 4>G seven. They've got to be a developmental counterweight, and

0:14:35.000 --> 0:14:39.280
<v Speaker 4>that means politics, economics, and social side of things. And

0:14:39.320 --> 0:14:40.800
<v Speaker 4>they're far from doing that yet.

0:14:41.720 --> 0:14:44.280
<v Speaker 1>And what's keeping them from attaining that isn't their own

0:14:44.320 --> 0:14:48.040
<v Speaker 1>personal internal politics. We know what the addition of the

0:14:48.080 --> 0:14:51.080
<v Speaker 1>bricks plus members that last year. Things haven't always been rosy.

0:14:51.920 --> 0:14:54.720
<v Speaker 3>No, I mean, let's again, let's be honest about this.

0:14:54.880 --> 0:14:57.560
<v Speaker 4>In many cases, while we talk, there's a good game

0:14:57.680 --> 0:15:03.840
<v Speaker 4>talking multilateralism, multilateralism, but oftentimes the decisions that India makes,

0:15:03.880 --> 0:15:07.520
<v Speaker 4>the decisions that Russia makes, are decisions based upon their

0:15:07.560 --> 0:15:10.320
<v Speaker 4>own interest what they consider to be at least the

0:15:10.400 --> 0:15:13.160
<v Speaker 4>ruling governments or class there are considered to be in

0:15:13.200 --> 0:15:16.640
<v Speaker 4>their national interest, not in the interests Russia. Is not

0:15:16.680 --> 0:15:19.840
<v Speaker 4>making decisions necessarily based upon what they think is good

0:15:19.840 --> 0:15:23.360
<v Speaker 4>for Russia and China and India and vice versa. So

0:15:23.880 --> 0:15:27.120
<v Speaker 4>this is the thing about nationalism, is that uh and

0:15:27.120 --> 0:15:31.400
<v Speaker 4>and national interests is that oftentimes it trumps and that

0:15:31.640 --> 0:15:35.720
<v Speaker 4>the pun is intended. Uh. You know, the the the side,

0:15:35.760 --> 0:15:38.280
<v Speaker 4>the other side of things, which is of course, this

0:15:38.680 --> 0:15:43.960
<v Speaker 4>desire to offer a sort of international multilateral alternative. And

0:15:44.000 --> 0:15:47.280
<v Speaker 4>so I think bricks is is very incipient. It's there's

0:15:47.280 --> 0:15:49.400
<v Speaker 4>so many contradictions. And let me just give you one

0:15:49.400 --> 0:15:52.520
<v Speaker 4>from our own continent where we have a situation where

0:15:52.920 --> 0:15:57.840
<v Speaker 4>what members African members now who are joining BRICKS new countries, uh,

0:15:58.160 --> 0:16:02.120
<v Speaker 4>you know, Uganda, Ethiopia, from other kinds of countries there

0:16:02.120 --> 0:16:05.680
<v Speaker 4>are as oftentimes even at war with each other, you know,

0:16:05.880 --> 0:16:09.520
<v Speaker 4>over trade and other kinds of things. So this is

0:16:09.560 --> 0:16:12.000
<v Speaker 4>the problem is you can be part of it, just

0:16:12.040 --> 0:16:13.840
<v Speaker 4>like the United Nations. You can be part of an

0:16:13.880 --> 0:16:17.000
<v Speaker 4>international body, but that doesn't mean that it deals with

0:16:17.040 --> 0:16:19.760
<v Speaker 4>all of the different local and national problems that you

0:16:19.840 --> 0:16:22.160
<v Speaker 4>experience and in our case on our continent either.

0:16:23.000 --> 0:16:26.480
<v Speaker 1>And i'd imagine some of the themes of the summit

0:16:26.600 --> 0:16:28.760
<v Speaker 1>are informed by those internal squbbles.

0:16:28.800 --> 0:16:33.280
<v Speaker 4>No, absolutely, And just I was reading through the final statement,

0:16:33.280 --> 0:16:35.760
<v Speaker 4>which had one hundred and forty different points to it.

0:16:35.800 --> 0:16:39.240
<v Speaker 3>I think it was covering everything under the sun. And

0:16:39.360 --> 0:16:40.440
<v Speaker 3>if you go.

0:16:40.520 --> 0:16:42.720
<v Speaker 4>Through all of that, what they're trying to do is

0:16:42.720 --> 0:16:45.600
<v Speaker 4>they're trying to create and understandably so a picture of

0:16:45.640 --> 0:16:48.200
<v Speaker 4>sort of you know, we're paying attention to everything from

0:16:48.240 --> 0:16:52.480
<v Speaker 4>climate change to it to artificial intelligence, to you know,

0:16:54.040 --> 0:16:58.080
<v Speaker 4>monetary policy, to currency speculations, all sorts of other kinds

0:16:58.080 --> 0:16:58.520
<v Speaker 4>of things.

0:16:58.920 --> 0:17:01.359
<v Speaker 3>But as as you mentioned.

0:17:01.800 --> 0:17:06.879
<v Speaker 4>In the national context, the interests of those who control

0:17:06.960 --> 0:17:10.240
<v Speaker 4>the national economies, let's say South African corporate capital, might

0:17:10.280 --> 0:17:13.880
<v Speaker 4>not be what's in the interests of other countries corporate

0:17:13.920 --> 0:17:17.680
<v Speaker 4>capital either, and they're actually competitors. And so this we're

0:17:17.720 --> 0:17:20.320
<v Speaker 4>at an early early stage, I think within the bricks

0:17:20.720 --> 0:17:24.240
<v Speaker 4>sort of developmental game, should we say, where they're trying

0:17:24.280 --> 0:17:26.720
<v Speaker 4>to present themselves as something, but they're working out all

0:17:26.760 --> 0:17:30.680
<v Speaker 4>the different modalities, and I don't think that we're going

0:17:30.720 --> 0:17:33.960
<v Speaker 4>to see in the next while that coming together in

0:17:34.040 --> 0:17:36.080
<v Speaker 4>any kind of sort of way where we can say

0:17:36.119 --> 0:17:40.240
<v Speaker 4>bricks rivals some of the other international institutions or is

0:17:40.680 --> 0:17:43.280
<v Speaker 4>able is going to be able to present a real alternative.

0:17:43.640 --> 0:17:45.919
<v Speaker 4>I think what you're going to see in the shorter

0:17:46.040 --> 0:17:49.359
<v Speaker 4>term is you're going to see a lot more contradictions

0:17:49.359 --> 0:17:52.840
<v Speaker 4>playing themselves out with the attempts to try to look

0:17:52.880 --> 0:17:55.520
<v Speaker 4>at the bigger picture things and for China and India

0:17:55.560 --> 0:17:57.679
<v Speaker 4>in particular to play the leading role in doing so.

0:17:58.160 --> 0:18:04.240
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, you know, Africans are they've were responding to the

0:18:04.280 --> 0:18:06.600
<v Speaker 1>president being at the Brick Summit in very interesting ways.

0:18:06.640 --> 0:18:08.880
<v Speaker 1>I've been going through social media, Dale, and I've been

0:18:08.880 --> 0:18:12.320
<v Speaker 1>reading what people are saying under the pictures that the

0:18:12.320 --> 0:18:14.640
<v Speaker 1>president will post. You know, if you're on social media

0:18:14.680 --> 0:18:17.399
<v Speaker 1>platform X and then you'll see the president. They'll be

0:18:17.480 --> 0:18:20.560
<v Speaker 1>duck snippets of him there, and you know, his participation

0:18:20.680 --> 0:18:23.920
<v Speaker 1>being posted here and there, and under one particular post yesterday,

0:18:24.960 --> 0:18:28.080
<v Speaker 1>he of course it was about his participation at the summit.

0:18:28.400 --> 0:18:31.000
<v Speaker 1>And so the Africans were under the comments they're saying, hey,

0:18:31.040 --> 0:18:34.760
<v Speaker 1>the country is burning. We've got him Kanazi here making

0:18:34.800 --> 0:18:38.800
<v Speaker 1>these allegations, you know, against your minister. Come back. We

0:18:38.880 --> 0:18:41.080
<v Speaker 1>don't care about what you're doing. The things are more

0:18:41.119 --> 0:18:44.800
<v Speaker 1>important here. And I found that to be really interesting, Dale,

0:18:44.840 --> 0:18:47.199
<v Speaker 1>because I think the sense now that's the Africans are

0:18:47.200 --> 0:18:50.520
<v Speaker 1>having is the country is really going through a lot here.

0:18:50.680 --> 0:18:53.119
<v Speaker 1>The problems are here more than anywhere else.

0:18:54.320 --> 0:18:57.760
<v Speaker 4>Yes, you're gonna I certainly think that that is true.

0:18:58.359 --> 0:19:01.680
<v Speaker 4>You know, it's it's in many cases, you know, political

0:19:01.720 --> 0:19:05.679
<v Speaker 4>leaders often everywhere, in order to get away from domestic problems,

0:19:05.680 --> 0:19:09.679
<v Speaker 4>they travel, they go internationally and the attend conferences and

0:19:09.240 --> 0:19:12.639
<v Speaker 4>they want to be on that platform. So one, I

0:19:12.680 --> 0:19:15.879
<v Speaker 4>think the critique is well taken in that context. But

0:19:16.080 --> 0:19:19.160
<v Speaker 4>at the same time, there are many other South Africans

0:19:19.160 --> 0:19:23.920
<v Speaker 4>that do understand that our domestic problems are linked to international.

0:19:23.359 --> 0:19:24.160
<v Speaker 3>Issues as well.

0:19:24.440 --> 0:19:27.200
<v Speaker 4>So yes, while we definitely, I mean the issues within

0:19:27.280 --> 0:19:30.359
<v Speaker 4>SAPs are our problems, there are clearly ones that have

0:19:30.440 --> 0:19:32.639
<v Speaker 4>to be sorted out and they're concerned to every single

0:19:32.680 --> 0:19:34.399
<v Speaker 4>South African as they should be, and they should be

0:19:34.440 --> 0:19:38.040
<v Speaker 4>of serious being taken very very seriously. On the other hand,

0:19:38.560 --> 0:19:42.680
<v Speaker 4>those issues around for example, corruption or let's say criminal

0:19:42.680 --> 0:19:46.680
<v Speaker 4>syndicates that are being raised are international as well. Our

0:19:46.720 --> 0:19:51.359
<v Speaker 4>borders are the the ports, the issues of how we

0:19:51.520 --> 0:19:57.720
<v Speaker 4>have become a transit for international drug trades and syndicates

0:19:57.760 --> 0:20:01.439
<v Speaker 4>as well. So these things are not necessarily disconnected. But

0:20:01.520 --> 0:20:05.360
<v Speaker 4>it's understood that oftentimes when we're having very serious problems.

0:20:05.400 --> 0:20:08.280
<v Speaker 4>I mean, here in my own city of Johannesburg, we've

0:20:08.280 --> 0:20:11.040
<v Speaker 4>been with that water for the last week in my

0:20:11.160 --> 0:20:13.960
<v Speaker 4>neighborhood because of things, and so these are very real,

0:20:14.040 --> 0:20:17.760
<v Speaker 4>real issues that people should take seriously. But once again,

0:20:18.040 --> 0:20:20.960
<v Speaker 4>I think most of us do understand that if we're

0:20:21.000 --> 0:20:24.320
<v Speaker 4>going to deal with our domestic problems in the longer term.

0:20:24.440 --> 0:20:26.880
<v Speaker 4>We also have to deal with our international ones too.

0:20:27.400 --> 0:20:29.800
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, perhaps that may be an opportunity for the President

0:20:30.040 --> 0:20:32.240
<v Speaker 1>to have a conversation or two with these counterparts there

0:20:32.280 --> 0:20:35.400
<v Speaker 1>from Brazil. Maybe after the allegations that we're making yesterday

0:20:35.840 --> 0:20:39.960
<v Speaker 1>by Mukuanasi, I think, you know, Dale to speak to

0:20:40.320 --> 0:20:43.359
<v Speaker 1>the South African out there that may be wondering is

0:20:43.400 --> 0:20:46.320
<v Speaker 1>this worth it? I mean, at this stage, it seems

0:20:46.359 --> 0:20:49.479
<v Speaker 1>being part of this block from the announcement today from

0:20:49.520 --> 0:20:53.639
<v Speaker 1>the US may be costing us, but other rewards that

0:20:53.680 --> 0:20:56.199
<v Speaker 1>we are reaping from being part of bricks worth it.

0:20:57.960 --> 0:21:00.359
<v Speaker 3>Look, that's a difficult question answer.

0:21:00.440 --> 0:21:03.120
<v Speaker 4>I think it's a bit premature to make a real

0:21:03.200 --> 0:21:05.439
<v Speaker 4>definitive answer to that. All I can say is this.

0:21:05.600 --> 0:21:09.879
<v Speaker 4>I can say that, you know, South Africa is if

0:21:10.720 --> 0:21:13.440
<v Speaker 4>we pivot towards let's say the East a bit more,

0:21:13.480 --> 0:21:15.879
<v Speaker 4>as we have been doing in some ways economically with

0:21:16.000 --> 0:21:20.520
<v Speaker 4>China and otherwise, then you've got to make sure that

0:21:20.760 --> 0:21:23.400
<v Speaker 4>that is also in your own interest. So in other words,

0:21:23.440 --> 0:21:25.240
<v Speaker 4>you don't want to swap one bully for another.

0:21:25.840 --> 0:21:26.399
<v Speaker 3>You don't want to.

0:21:26.359 --> 0:21:29.040
<v Speaker 4>Swap one you know, saying okay, well, if we get

0:21:29.080 --> 0:21:31.840
<v Speaker 4>rid of the United States, and that's where you know,

0:21:31.880 --> 0:21:34.560
<v Speaker 4>we were moving towards China, where you're experiencing some of

0:21:34.600 --> 0:21:37.080
<v Speaker 4>the same kinds of things. So I think it's going

0:21:37.160 --> 0:21:39.160
<v Speaker 4>to have to be a much more nuanced, much more

0:21:39.200 --> 0:21:41.920
<v Speaker 4>sophisticated kind of policy. And this is what we've been

0:21:41.960 --> 0:21:46.520
<v Speaker 4>crying out for in South Africa, both domestically and internationally,

0:21:46.600 --> 0:21:48.919
<v Speaker 4>is we need to try our own way, and that

0:21:49.080 --> 0:21:51.440
<v Speaker 4>means sometimes you have different kinds of friends. You don't

0:21:51.440 --> 0:21:53.560
<v Speaker 4>have to put all your eggs in one basket, you

0:21:53.600 --> 0:21:55.600
<v Speaker 4>don't have to sort of say that you're with that

0:21:55.840 --> 0:21:57.919
<v Speaker 4>in order to be able to spite the other person.

0:21:58.440 --> 0:22:02.040
<v Speaker 4>Our world is is truly, you know, interdependent in many ways,

0:22:02.080 --> 0:22:04.080
<v Speaker 4>and I think South Africa is going to We do

0:22:04.160 --> 0:22:06.320
<v Speaker 4>have an important role to play, even if a minor

0:22:06.359 --> 0:22:09.240
<v Speaker 4>one relative to some of the larger economies.

0:22:08.680 --> 0:22:12.880
<v Speaker 3>And the political powers, but it is an important one nonetheless.

0:22:12.960 --> 0:22:16.440
<v Speaker 4>And I think if our political leadership in our country

0:22:16.720 --> 0:22:20.120
<v Speaker 4>is going to be serious about traveling and finding that path,

0:22:20.400 --> 0:22:22.080
<v Speaker 4>we're going to have to take a little bit from

0:22:22.119 --> 0:22:25.480
<v Speaker 4>every aspect. So, yes, bricks can be useful in some

0:22:25.520 --> 0:22:29.960
<v Speaker 4>particular aspects and trade, but also relationships with Europe and

0:22:29.960 --> 0:22:32.720
<v Speaker 4>the United States are also important as they are within

0:22:32.800 --> 0:22:36.000
<v Speaker 4>our own regional economies, let's not forget our own continent,

0:22:36.880 --> 0:22:39.639
<v Speaker 4>in our own regional trade blocks and other things. So

0:22:40.040 --> 0:22:43.120
<v Speaker 4>these are presenting us with opportunities. The question is will

0:22:43.160 --> 0:22:44.080
<v Speaker 4>we grasp them or not?

0:22:45.560 --> 0:22:46.000
<v Speaker 2>And I think a.

0:22:46.000 --> 0:22:48.479
<v Speaker 1>Final one from me Dale, I mean, the summit is

0:22:48.480 --> 0:22:52.280
<v Speaker 1>over and the president must come back to the country.

0:22:52.400 --> 0:22:53.479
<v Speaker 2>Now back to South Africa.

0:22:53.720 --> 0:22:56.880
<v Speaker 1>Now do you believe that the summit was a successful

0:22:56.920 --> 0:22:58.639
<v Speaker 1>one in Rio?

0:23:00.200 --> 0:23:01.800
<v Speaker 3>I don't think you could call it a success.

0:23:01.880 --> 0:23:03.359
<v Speaker 4>I mean the fact that it was held, in the

0:23:03.359 --> 0:23:06.479
<v Speaker 4>fact that you didn't you see any major sort of

0:23:06.880 --> 0:23:09.159
<v Speaker 4>you know, blow ups or anything. I guess in that

0:23:09.240 --> 0:23:11.920
<v Speaker 4>sense of success. But I think success to be measured.

0:23:12.200 --> 0:23:15.080
<v Speaker 4>And this is the reason why these summits oftentimes are

0:23:15.359 --> 0:23:17.320
<v Speaker 4>really not practically oriented.

0:23:17.640 --> 0:23:19.000
<v Speaker 3>They're about appearance.

0:23:19.040 --> 0:23:22.359
<v Speaker 4>They're about presenting united front there, about big long statements

0:23:22.400 --> 0:23:25.359
<v Speaker 4>and saying everybody is on board. But it's going to

0:23:25.400 --> 0:23:28.639
<v Speaker 4>be what happens afterwards. All these task teams, all these committees,

0:23:28.680 --> 0:23:30.760
<v Speaker 4>all these things that they're going to dive deep into

0:23:30.960 --> 0:23:34.439
<v Speaker 4>into each of the sectors. That's going to make, you know,

0:23:35.359 --> 0:23:39.399
<v Speaker 4>basically going to determine whether or not this summit or

0:23:39.440 --> 0:23:41.800
<v Speaker 4>the next one I mean yearly summits. You can't expect

0:23:41.800 --> 0:23:44.959
<v Speaker 4>a summit to really produce anything by itself, but if

0:23:45.000 --> 0:23:46.080
<v Speaker 4>the summits.

0:23:45.800 --> 0:23:47.879
<v Speaker 3>Whether this one or future ones.

0:23:47.920 --> 0:23:50.639
<v Speaker 4>Can basically begin to lay foundations that are going to

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<v Speaker 4>benefit us economically and benefit us in other ways, not

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<v Speaker 4>just us, but our neighbors as well. And let's remember

0:23:57.000 --> 0:23:59.679
<v Speaker 4>that we are not an island, and so when we

0:23:59.720 --> 0:24:02.560
<v Speaker 4>talk about South Africa, we're also talking about our neighbors.

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<v Speaker 4>And if our neighbors are in trouble, then we're in

0:24:04.600 --> 0:24:07.800
<v Speaker 4>trouble as we all, as we clearly have been experiencing.

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<v Speaker 4>So in that context, I think it's too early to say,

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<v Speaker 4>but let's put it this way. Trump has made it

0:24:15.400 --> 0:24:19.040
<v Speaker 4>a bit easier for the bricks to come together and

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<v Speaker 4>to at least make the.

0:24:20.720 --> 0:24:22.360
<v Speaker 3>Appearance of a degree of unity.

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<v Speaker 4>The proof is going to be in the way in

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<v Speaker 4>which that unity is practicalized going forward.

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<v Speaker 1>Though, Dale McKinley, thank you so much for your insights.

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<v Speaker 2>I really appreciate the conversation we've.

0:24:33.359 --> 0:24:36.920
<v Speaker 3>Had come What's has been my pleasure. Thank you so much.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, that was Dale.

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<v Speaker 1>It was Dale McKinley and the Independent Economist helping us

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<v Speaker 1>make sense of the Bricks Summit twenty twenty five. He's

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<v Speaker 1>also been excellent in his analysis on the latest decision

0:24:50.560 --> 0:24:53.760
<v Speaker 1>breaking news coming out from the United States, those thirty

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<v Speaker 1>percent tariffs on all South African product