1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:05,600 Speaker 1: The Money Show, Arthur Harris's portfolio manager at Macro Solutions 2 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:09,800 Speaker 1: at the old mutual investment Group, Arthur good Evening. One 3 00:00:09,880 --> 00:00:12,600 Speaker 1: or two things to pick through. I mean FNB a 4 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 1: few big changes there, a bit of a restructuring. Harry 5 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:18,160 Speaker 1: Kellen steps down. He's sort of taking earlier retirement on 6 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: the CEO for two years. How do you view all 7 00:00:20,760 --> 00:00:20,959 Speaker 1: of that? 8 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 2: Well, First National Bank or First Round as a whole 9 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 2: has got a very strong bench of really good managers 10 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 2: in their underlying businesses. So often the people that they 11 00:00:33,120 --> 00:00:36,080 Speaker 2: point to the chief executives of their major divisions are 12 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:37,920 Speaker 2: people that are in the running to be CEO of 13 00:00:38,080 --> 00:00:40,839 Speaker 2: the group at some time. So I would pay attention 14 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:43,280 Speaker 2: to these management changes. It's telling you who the next 15 00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:47,520 Speaker 2: generation is that the top leadership is going to come from. 16 00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:51,280 Speaker 2: Harry isn't an interesting situation. He was chief financial officer 17 00:00:51,320 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 2: of Good Group for about ten years before he kind 18 00:00:55,520 --> 00:00:58,600 Speaker 2: of took a sideways, more than operational role. I guess 19 00:00:58,600 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 2: you could call it in running that business, and perhaps 20 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:06,280 Speaker 2: I don't had exact reasoning behind it, but perhaps it 21 00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:08,640 Speaker 2: was a bit of a filling a gap while I 22 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:11,320 Speaker 2: waited for the right person to run the bank. 23 00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:16,319 Speaker 1: The other big move Nati Kersh obviously as South African 24 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:19,600 Speaker 1: made the point earlier. His brother is he found at 25 00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:23,160 Speaker 1: the company that founded this radio station, his Jetro food 26 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:25,800 Speaker 1: service business. He's selling it to Cisco. This is really 27 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:27,360 Speaker 1: primarily an American deal. 28 00:01:27,760 --> 00:01:31,440 Speaker 3: Quite a lot of money involved, yes, the husteal turning 29 00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:35,600 Speaker 3: on billion dollars and Natty Kersh I believe owns about 30 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:40,720 Speaker 3: seventy five percent of that business, so in his nineties, 31 00:01:40,760 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 3: so looking I guess to settle up his business affairs. 32 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:47,320 Speaker 2: It's been a very successful business. It's been there for 33 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:50,320 Speaker 2: a very very long time. It would potentially have made 34 00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:53,440 Speaker 2: a really good or an interesting acquisition for the Soyth 35 00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:57,920 Speaker 2: African bidcourt business, which is the same in the same industry. 36 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:01,400 Speaker 2: But the hot Bit Corps was eight billion dollars, so 37 00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:04,240 Speaker 2: that would have been a pretty pretty hard deal for 38 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 2: them to get done. 39 00:02:06,320 --> 00:02:11,480 Speaker 1: On the markets today, oil obviously stronger. Aluminium prices up 40 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 1: because of that Iranian attack in the Middle East and 41 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:16,720 Speaker 1: that pushed out thirty two up quite strong. 42 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 2: Me well, aluminium. The key thing was aluminium is impact energy. 43 00:02:21,639 --> 00:02:25,040 Speaker 2: So box site is plentiful, it's not very expensive, but 44 00:02:25,160 --> 00:02:27,920 Speaker 2: what you need is energy to convert it. If you remember, 45 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:32,679 Speaker 2: we've got these these aluminium smelters in Richard's Bay that 46 00:02:32,720 --> 00:02:35,720 Speaker 2: are all about when that put together, when ESCOM had 47 00:02:35,760 --> 00:02:39,400 Speaker 2: excess energy, so we imported the baux site, we smelted it, 48 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 2: so effectively we're exporting energy. So when the price of 49 00:02:43,400 --> 00:02:45,920 Speaker 2: energy starts to go up, then the price of aluminium 50 00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:48,960 Speaker 2: has to tack up to take that into account. If therefore, 51 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:51,840 Speaker 2: you've got a lot of these aluminium plants in the 52 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:54,640 Speaker 2: in the Middle East where there's lots of plentiful energy 53 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:58,720 Speaker 2: close by, so that's having an impact on the aluminium 54 00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:00,520 Speaker 2: price if you very much. 55 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:03,919 Speaker 1: Indeed. Arthur Carriss, portfolio manager at Macro Solutions at the 56 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 1: Old Mutual Investment Group