1 00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:05,520 Speaker 1: And now The Money Show with Stephen credits on seven 2 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:09,000 Speaker 1: oh two. Let's walk at all. The Money Show with 3 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:11,399 Speaker 1: Stephen Crutis is brought to you by abs of corporate 4 00:00:11,520 --> 00:00:15,840 Speaker 1: and investment banking, balancing economic growth with ecosystems. That's how 5 00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:18,520 Speaker 1: they're invested in your story. Good evening, Welcome to the 6 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:20,959 Speaker 1: Friday edition of The Money Show. Eight minutes after six. 7 00:00:21,200 --> 00:00:24,120 Speaker 1: I'm Stephen Curtis. Still quite a lot going on one 8 00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:26,840 Speaker 1: or two updates. Does look like markets are feeling a 9 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:29,600 Speaker 1: little bit more positive than they were yesterday, but it 10 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 1: has been such a sort of up and down week 11 00:00:31,440 --> 00:00:33,960 Speaker 1: it's really hard to say. I think people still looking 12 00:00:33,960 --> 00:00:36,880 Speaker 1: for a little bit of direction. Obviously, the big story 13 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:40,599 Speaker 1: today the big Chinese trade deal that we've signed. We 14 00:00:40,720 --> 00:00:43,040 Speaker 1: get duty free access pretty much, it seems to their 15 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 1: whole market. The question for me, of course, is what 16 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 1: about the reverse and what happens if you do have 17 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:51,960 Speaker 1: complete nuttered duty free access between the two and you 18 00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 1: have a big economy and a small economy. Who wins 19 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:58,320 Speaker 1: and who loses? I do have a concern. I won't lie, 20 00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:00,440 Speaker 1: but as Ion Plunger knows a lot more about these 21 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:02,120 Speaker 1: things than I do, and I'm hoping he'll put my 22 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:04,560 Speaker 1: mind at rest. He's the chief economist and head of 23 00:01:04,600 --> 00:01:06,960 Speaker 1: research at R and B. We'll hear from him in 24 00:01:07,160 --> 00:01:10,560 Speaker 1: just a moment. I noticed this week it was sort 25 00:01:10,560 --> 00:01:12,240 Speaker 1: of pointed out to me, and I'm very grateful to 26 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: the person who pointed it out that some of our 27 00:01:14,280 --> 00:01:16,160 Speaker 1: banks are buying shares in each other. It was a 28 00:01:16,160 --> 00:01:19,839 Speaker 1: couple of transactions this week and thought might just investigate 29 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:22,559 Speaker 1: that little bit of further Cookie Quoiman as the banking 30 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:26,479 Speaker 1: unlest danker capital. It sort of goes to how all 31 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:29,199 Speaker 1: of our banks are kind of into LinkedIn. On one level, 32 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:31,520 Speaker 1: that's a very good thing. It means they sort of 33 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:34,440 Speaker 1: look after each other and that does bring more stability. 34 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:37,520 Speaker 1: I know, if our conspiracy theorist or you know, a 35 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: member of a radical political party or something, our child conspiracy, 36 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 1: and maybe we should look into that. But I kind 37 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 1: of just feel that actually for the system, the good 38 00:01:46,319 --> 00:01:48,640 Speaker 1: of the system, stability is all when it comes to banking, 39 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 1: and that's very important. I don't know if you have 40 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 1: been able to spend much money on luxury over the 41 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:56,680 Speaker 1: last little while, and I mean, you know, top of 42 00:01:56,680 --> 00:01:59,760 Speaker 1: the range handbags, things like that. A new luxury report 43 00:02:00,400 --> 00:02:04,560 Speaker 1: from Laxity suggesting wallets are just out completely. I've never 44 00:02:04,600 --> 00:02:06,560 Speaker 1: really spent money on a Wallas. I also don't know 45 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:08,480 Speaker 1: what I'll do with the wallet now. I mean, I 46 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:11,400 Speaker 1: have one, but it kind of doesn't really live on 47 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:14,920 Speaker 1: me because everything's now on your phone. The only thing 48 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:17,200 Speaker 1: you have to carry on you is still your driver's 49 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:20,520 Speaker 1: license card. I mean, come on, surely time to have 50 00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:23,560 Speaker 1: that on your phone. But otherwise I don't know really 51 00:02:23,600 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 1: what I'd use a wallet for. I do carry cash, 52 00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 1: and now I do keep it in a safe place, 53 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:29,919 Speaker 1: but I don't have it on me most of the time. 54 00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:32,160 Speaker 1: We'll talk a little bit about that change. And then 55 00:02:32,160 --> 00:02:35,560 Speaker 1: also it seems that there's some differences between what people 56 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:38,400 Speaker 1: in Cape Town are buying and some people in joe 57 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:41,359 Speaker 1: Burg are buying. Don't forget the Friday Biz Blitz as 58 00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:44,040 Speaker 1: well before seven o'clock. Good to hear from you seven 59 00:02:44,120 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 1: two seven oh two one seven oh two Voice notes 60 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:48,720 Speaker 1: on Double one, Double A three oh seven two and 61 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 1: two one four four, six, five six seven The Lanly 62 00:02:52,200 --> 00:02:56,200 Speaker 1: Show with Stephen Kruts Live on ninety two point seven 63 00:02:56,320 --> 00:02:59,240 Speaker 1: and one six f M, streaming on the Prime Media 64 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:02,919 Speaker 1: Plus Now and DStv channel eight five six. You would 65 00:03:02,919 --> 00:03:05,800 Speaker 1: have heard in the EWN News bulletin with pulling the 66 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:10,280 Speaker 1: report from Cape Town about the SABC meeting in Parliament today. 67 00:03:10,320 --> 00:03:13,040 Speaker 1: This is a meeting of a Portfolio Committee on Communications. 68 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:16,760 Speaker 1: They were meeting to speak to the Communications Minister, Soli 69 00:03:16,800 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 1: Malatti about the new funding model that's being proposed for 70 00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:23,640 Speaker 1: the SABC. Now I know nothing about the funding model 71 00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:26,840 Speaker 1: because the meeting, it seems, was closed to the public 72 00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:30,239 Speaker 1: and I have so many questions about this. Firstly, Parliament 73 00:03:30,280 --> 00:03:32,640 Speaker 1: has to be in the open. That's not me saying 74 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:35,720 Speaker 1: that that's the law. By the way, Parliament has to 75 00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 1: be in the open. You can't just because you don't 76 00:03:38,880 --> 00:03:41,280 Speaker 1: like this, or you worried about that, or commercial this. 77 00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 1: It has to be in the open. I am not 78 00:03:44,880 --> 00:03:47,000 Speaker 1: convinced that the decision to keep a meeting like that 79 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:50,800 Speaker 1: closed would actually survive a court case. I wonder if 80 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:53,920 Speaker 1: maybe you have to have it open. Secondly, you're making 81 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:56,640 Speaker 1: the mistake of thinking it's your SABC. It's not. It 82 00:03:56,760 --> 00:03:59,680 Speaker 1: is our SABC. It is the public, not the state, 83 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:05,240 Speaker 1: the public broadcaster, and that means that everybody, including us, 84 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:08,360 Speaker 1: we need to know what is going on around the 85 00:04:08,440 --> 00:04:11,400 Speaker 1: SABC and what government intends to do about it and 86 00:04:11,440 --> 00:04:14,320 Speaker 1: how they're going to fix it. Now if things are 87 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:17,560 Speaker 1: sensitive and you want to keep it a secret in 88 00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:19,600 Speaker 1: South Africa, good luck to you. 89 00:04:19,640 --> 00:04:24,160 Speaker 2: But that's on the. 90 00:04:24,200 --> 00:04:27,440 Speaker 1: Money shows six to eight pm. Well, a big announcement 91 00:04:27,520 --> 00:04:31,719 Speaker 1: last night by the DTIC Minister Parkstow. He signed that 92 00:04:31,800 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 1: framework agreement with China that will get our companies duty 93 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:38,640 Speaker 1: free access to Chinese markets by the end of March. 94 00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:41,560 Speaker 1: As I'm Clung as the chief economists head of research 95 00:04:41,600 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 1: at R and B as I good evening, so good 96 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:46,960 Speaker 1: to have you again. China is a big market. I 97 00:04:46,960 --> 00:04:49,279 Speaker 1: mean this is a big deal for some of our companies. 98 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:55,040 Speaker 3: Indeed, China is a big market, you know, a big 99 00:04:55,080 --> 00:04:58,400 Speaker 3: opportunity to send a lot of our products into the 100 00:04:58,520 --> 00:05:03,440 Speaker 3: Chinese markets. But you know it also comes with some risks, 101 00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 3: you know, the idea that it is big. A lot 102 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:12,040 Speaker 3: of the essuyes are states supported, which means they have scalability, 103 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:16,320 Speaker 3: they're a lot more efficient. It means they can send 104 00:05:16,400 --> 00:05:19,680 Speaker 3: products to the South Afgan market a lot more easier 105 00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:23,480 Speaker 3: as well. So we are opening up to new trade. 106 00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:26,919 Speaker 3: Other news, but we are going to be recipients of 107 00:05:27,080 --> 00:05:30,560 Speaker 3: other products that come into our own economy from China 108 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:34,520 Speaker 3: which domestic companies might not be able to compete with. 109 00:05:35,160 --> 00:05:39,200 Speaker 3: The Automotive sector is an example. We have seen a 110 00:05:39,279 --> 00:05:42,880 Speaker 3: lot of inflows of Chinese you know, manufactured cars that 111 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:46,479 Speaker 3: are coming to the South African market that are much cheaper, 112 00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:51,760 Speaker 3: which have displaced in terms of market share the traditional 113 00:05:52,279 --> 00:05:55,200 Speaker 3: OEMs that have been operating the South African market for 114 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:59,280 Speaker 3: for for a while. So there are opportunities and risks 115 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:02,240 Speaker 3: depending on how the trade deals are structured. 116 00:06:02,720 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 1: So this is the thing. We don't know the details, 117 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:09,279 Speaker 1: we haven't seen it yet, but presumably, and this is 118 00:06:09,279 --> 00:06:11,080 Speaker 1: a big if because I don't think it's going to 119 00:06:11,120 --> 00:06:14,760 Speaker 1: be like this, But if it's completely open access both ways, 120 00:06:15,320 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 1: I mean, we'll sell a lot more lemons in China 121 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:21,720 Speaker 1: as an example, We'll sell a lot more farming, farming, producer, 122 00:06:22,000 --> 00:06:25,279 Speaker 1: mining products, but we will probably lose our car industry. 123 00:06:25,279 --> 00:06:26,960 Speaker 1: I mean, would it be as bad as that if 124 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:27,680 Speaker 1: that's what it is. 125 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:32,279 Speaker 3: Yeah, Look, I think that's the risk that you're highlighting 126 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:35,320 Speaker 3: is you know, you're highlighting it correctly, given that we 127 00:06:35,720 --> 00:06:38,960 Speaker 3: sell to a largely expand commodity cheese that is mining 128 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:43,960 Speaker 3: commodities is agricultural commodities. From a manufacturing perspective, we're very 129 00:06:44,000 --> 00:06:46,920 Speaker 3: little to offer China that they can produce for themselves, 130 00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:49,560 Speaker 3: and they have a lot more to offer what we 131 00:06:49,600 --> 00:06:53,279 Speaker 3: can produce here. But given in that case, the automotive 132 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:56,679 Speaker 3: companies try in the domestic economy are not South Africa. 133 00:06:57,160 --> 00:07:01,400 Speaker 3: We are simple, yes, we you know, manfacture some but 134 00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:04,159 Speaker 3: a large extent we are a collings to it for 135 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:08,480 Speaker 3: an I mean for an export market. So we just 136 00:07:08,600 --> 00:07:10,920 Speaker 3: have to think through what are the implications in the 137 00:07:11,040 --> 00:07:14,520 Speaker 3: job market, What are the implications for the you know, 138 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 3: small manufacturing best that have built so far. 139 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:20,520 Speaker 4: But there is a way where you know. 140 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:24,800 Speaker 3: If police Americans can think about domesticating that manufacturing capability 141 00:07:24,800 --> 00:07:28,000 Speaker 3: in the South African economy to preserve jobs, that's one, 142 00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:32,400 Speaker 3: but more importantly to bring the technical know how into 143 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:35,840 Speaker 3: the South African manufacturing sector, that will be a better deal. 144 00:07:37,120 --> 00:07:40,040 Speaker 1: What safeguards do you think would be important? As I say, 145 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:42,960 Speaker 1: we haven't read the agreement yet, it hasn't been made public, 146 00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:48,040 Speaker 1: but I presume something for the car industry. Maybe still 147 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:51,600 Speaker 1: considering that, you know, we understand the id C is 148 00:07:51,600 --> 00:07:54,679 Speaker 1: in a in negotiations with Arsenal Misselle. We were reminded 149 00:07:54,720 --> 00:07:58,120 Speaker 1: of that yesterday. What would there be other areas that 150 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:00,280 Speaker 1: maybe we would need to be able to say to 151 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:02,680 Speaker 1: the Chinese, look, this is special to us. We need 152 00:08:02,720 --> 00:08:03,320 Speaker 1: to protect it. 153 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:07,520 Speaker 3: So catering those agreements, who have to take into account 154 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:13,680 Speaker 3: and the social dynamics locally, the job environment locally, and 155 00:08:13,800 --> 00:08:17,320 Speaker 3: also you know, the manufacturing capability locally because if that 156 00:08:17,440 --> 00:08:21,120 Speaker 3: is displaced, we will industrialize a lot more than what 157 00:08:21,200 --> 00:08:24,040 Speaker 3: we have currently. And of course to your point, there's 158 00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:26,800 Speaker 3: still there's still sector is it is an important sector 159 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 3: that can benefit you know, other sectors beyond just itself 160 00:08:31,640 --> 00:08:35,079 Speaker 3: and the manufacturing sector. So we need to preserve that 161 00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:39,600 Speaker 3: capability locally. But that requires energy, you know a lot 162 00:08:39,640 --> 00:08:42,320 Speaker 3: of energy that is cheaper, which means it is to 163 00:08:42,360 --> 00:08:46,680 Speaker 3: be combined with an energy policy that is conclureent to 164 00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:49,960 Speaker 3: a manufacturing sector policy that you know that can build 165 00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:56,040 Speaker 3: or rebuild our manufacturing capability for industrialization. So we have 166 00:08:56,120 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 3: to consider all of that. I think it's still too 167 00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:02,520 Speaker 3: aaily now how to try and have a view on 168 00:09:03,040 --> 00:09:06,600 Speaker 3: how this trade agreement is going to look like. They 169 00:09:06,600 --> 00:09:10,280 Speaker 3: are still in negotiations and we hope in those negotiations 170 00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 3: that will take into account the needs of the South 171 00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:16,360 Speaker 3: African economy as they open up the Chinese economy for 172 00:09:16,400 --> 00:09:17,599 Speaker 3: South African products. 173 00:09:18,480 --> 00:09:21,480 Speaker 1: Is it always the case that if one big economy 174 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 1: has an open access trade deal with a smaller economy, 175 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:27,960 Speaker 1: so the term of exactly the same access to each 176 00:09:27,960 --> 00:09:31,360 Speaker 1: other's economies. I mean, my gut sort of wants to 177 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:33,920 Speaker 1: say the big one always wins. Is that the case? 178 00:09:35,240 --> 00:09:38,559 Speaker 3: It's not always the case. There are instances where you 179 00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 3: have a transfer of technology to the smaller economy such 180 00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:44,320 Speaker 3: that it drives much more than it used to be 181 00:09:44,320 --> 00:09:47,920 Speaker 3: before the trade deal. It all depends on what the 182 00:09:47,920 --> 00:09:52,080 Speaker 3: policy makers negotiate and what is you know that which 183 00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:56,320 Speaker 3: they're going to agree to in the sectors which are 184 00:09:56,400 --> 00:09:59,240 Speaker 3: quite important for the South African economy. So it's not 185 00:09:59,360 --> 00:10:02,360 Speaker 3: a foregoing conglusion that will be on a net negative 186 00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:06,640 Speaker 3: depending on how we structure it. Where do we want 187 00:10:06,679 --> 00:10:09,920 Speaker 3: to gain If we could gain from a technology and 188 00:10:10,120 --> 00:10:15,000 Speaker 3: capability transfer perspective into the domestic economy, that would benefit 189 00:10:15,040 --> 00:10:19,200 Speaker 3: South Africa long term, But it needs careful considerations or 190 00:10:19,200 --> 00:10:22,199 Speaker 3: hopefully the policy makers are going to take into account 191 00:10:22,320 --> 00:10:25,760 Speaker 3: the needs of the South African economy to re industrial lies. 192 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:29,360 Speaker 3: They're the best that we can use to export into 193 00:10:29,360 --> 00:10:33,240 Speaker 3: the larger continent under the Africa Frequenttender Agreement. 194 00:10:34,720 --> 00:10:36,679 Speaker 1: As I am planker, thank you so much, so much 195 00:10:36,720 --> 00:10:39,040 Speaker 1: to think about. Chief Economists and head of Research at 196 00:10:39,200 --> 00:10:42,360 Speaker 1: R and B. Nineteen minutes after six the Money Show 197 00:10:42,840 --> 00:10:45,640 Speaker 1: explain that the last couple of weeks, they've been a 198 00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:49,400 Speaker 1: few interesting transactions involving our banks and their relationships to 199 00:10:49,480 --> 00:10:52,920 Speaker 1: each other. I'm supposed to simplify at Standard Bank now 200 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:56,480 Speaker 1: owns six percent of investing, Standard Bank owns five percent 201 00:10:56,480 --> 00:10:59,600 Speaker 1: of netbank. African Bank is twenty five percent earned by 202 00:10:59,679 --> 00:11:02,800 Speaker 1: con him of the big five banks. Why on earth 203 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:05,760 Speaker 1: there our banks buying into each other? Cookie Cooman is 204 00:11:05,800 --> 00:11:08,400 Speaker 1: the banking and listed Thank you capital Cookie, good evening, 205 00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:10,400 Speaker 1: Thanks so much for the time. I mean, why do 206 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:12,200 Speaker 1: our banks want to own bits of each other? 207 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:17,599 Speaker 4: By Steve and you are a good introduction, but we 208 00:11:17,840 --> 00:11:23,360 Speaker 4: was the first separate two issues. Number one, the five 209 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:27,080 Speaker 4: and six percenters that you refer to Sound Bank owning 210 00:11:27,120 --> 00:11:33,160 Speaker 4: of in their steck and et cetera. Those are shareholdings 211 00:11:33,320 --> 00:11:36,560 Speaker 4: via their pension funds or unit trusts. Maybe that they 212 00:11:36,720 --> 00:11:42,839 Speaker 4: manage so remember the bank doesn't own those shares and 213 00:11:42,880 --> 00:11:46,680 Speaker 4: it actually has no say over any decisions regarding those shares. 214 00:11:47,920 --> 00:11:51,160 Speaker 4: The members of the pension funds own that and there 215 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:54,719 Speaker 4: are managers and trustees who make sure that there's a 216 00:11:55,080 --> 00:11:59,520 Speaker 4: ducial duty towards those pension fund members are is correctly 217 00:12:00,360 --> 00:12:04,040 Speaker 4: separated from the bank's wishes. So the Standard Bank would 218 00:12:04,080 --> 00:12:08,400 Speaker 4: have no influence whatsoever on any vote or any decision 219 00:12:09,640 --> 00:12:15,880 Speaker 4: that it's holdings in Investec via Expansion Fund is made. 220 00:12:16,160 --> 00:12:19,040 Speaker 4: The second one is different, and that is in this 221 00:12:19,120 --> 00:12:23,559 Speaker 4: case is the holding in African Bank. And whether we 222 00:12:23,640 --> 00:12:25,480 Speaker 4: can talk a third one just now as well, like 223 00:12:25,559 --> 00:12:28,240 Speaker 4: net Bank who owned twenty percent in Eco Bank, and 224 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:30,599 Speaker 4: now I bought to sixty five percent stake in a 225 00:12:30,679 --> 00:12:36,240 Speaker 4: bank in Uganda, But the African Bank one was a 226 00:12:36,360 --> 00:12:40,960 Speaker 4: bank that actually got into trouble, was collapsing, and I 227 00:12:40,960 --> 00:12:43,480 Speaker 4: think was a ten years before that. Ruckly, we had 228 00:12:43,520 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 4: the same ensemble where you know, the bank had a 229 00:12:48,160 --> 00:12:51,360 Speaker 4: run on deposits, which is always your biggest fear in banking. 230 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:55,679 Speaker 4: And when your deposits start feeing, the central bank has 231 00:12:55,720 --> 00:12:59,720 Speaker 4: to step in because and that's the whole system of banking. 232 00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:04,600 Speaker 4: It's actually banking works on the premise that deposit ninety 233 00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:08,400 Speaker 4: depositors need the money at the bank, so the depositors 234 00:13:08,520 --> 00:13:11,800 Speaker 4: can often have shortened deposits with the bank, but the 235 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:14,800 Speaker 4: lending the duration of the lending is much longer than 236 00:13:14,880 --> 00:13:18,719 Speaker 4: that of the deposits. So when when more than it's 237 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:22,080 Speaker 4: five percent of depositors with draw their money, a bank 238 00:13:22,120 --> 00:13:24,520 Speaker 4: cannot actually fund them and the central bank has to 239 00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:26,600 Speaker 4: step in and in the end the taxpayer has to 240 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:29,240 Speaker 4: make good. So okay, African Bank was a good example 241 00:13:29,760 --> 00:13:33,200 Speaker 4: where the Minister Finance gets involved, the central bank gets 242 00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:36,760 Speaker 4: involved and they work out a transaction to save the bank, 243 00:13:37,600 --> 00:13:44,160 Speaker 4: to stabilize the whole system. Because the older reading listeners 244 00:13:44,240 --> 00:13:48,640 Speaker 4: might still remember what happened when when Soombo started going thereafter, 245 00:13:49,000 --> 00:13:55,200 Speaker 4: Bank of Boe wasn't Bank of the East was at risk. 246 00:13:55,520 --> 00:13:58,000 Speaker 4: Net Bank was at risk. Because it spreads up the line, 247 00:13:58,040 --> 00:14:00,520 Speaker 4: people start getting worried and then someone has to step 248 00:14:00,559 --> 00:14:03,640 Speaker 4: into say I've got big pockets, don't worry, your deposits 249 00:14:03,640 --> 00:14:07,920 Speaker 4: are safe. Okay. African Bank is held by the various 250 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:10,840 Speaker 4: banks because at that stage the arrangement was made that 251 00:14:10,960 --> 00:14:13,240 Speaker 4: it's better that those shares are placed so that all 252 00:14:13,360 --> 00:14:17,520 Speaker 4: have an interest in making sure African banks survived which 253 00:14:17,559 --> 00:14:21,080 Speaker 4: are dead. And so now that it's listed, I think 254 00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 4: there's a lock up period, but gradually they will sell 255 00:14:23,640 --> 00:14:26,320 Speaker 4: those banks back onto the other shares back into the market. 256 00:14:26,360 --> 00:14:29,880 Speaker 1: Again, Okay, does that raise I mean, I mean the 257 00:14:29,920 --> 00:14:34,000 Speaker 1: shareholdings are relatively small. I'm so curious as to why 258 00:14:34,600 --> 00:14:37,240 Speaker 1: the pension fund of Standard Bank would buy into what 259 00:14:37,400 --> 00:14:38,960 Speaker 1: is sensibly a competitor. 260 00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:45,240 Speaker 4: Okay, it's remember, as I said, it's a separate entity, 261 00:14:45,560 --> 00:14:47,760 Speaker 4: separate from the bank. So they're all invest in what 262 00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:51,280 Speaker 4: they're but also what we tend to forget, how the 263 00:14:51,400 --> 00:14:57,000 Speaker 4: JS shrunk. You will sort of remember was it fifteen 264 00:14:57,080 --> 00:15:00,960 Speaker 4: years ago where the pricess was called public in the newspapers. 265 00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:05,360 Speaker 4: You add up to three pages of shareholdings and now 266 00:15:05,560 --> 00:15:08,840 Speaker 4: it's basically I think it's it's less than one hundred 267 00:15:08,880 --> 00:15:14,280 Speaker 4: of larger shares. So the share, the number of shares 268 00:15:14,280 --> 00:15:17,960 Speaker 4: of shrunk, and the number of larger liquid shares of 269 00:15:18,000 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 4: shrunk as well. And so almost by default, any large 270 00:15:21,480 --> 00:15:25,359 Speaker 4: pension fund and any large unit trust or by default 271 00:15:25,880 --> 00:15:29,640 Speaker 4: have to own almost everything in the economy, and by 272 00:15:29,680 --> 00:15:34,720 Speaker 4: default it will be a fairly sizable. So Standard Bank's 273 00:15:34,760 --> 00:15:38,320 Speaker 4: pension fund, which I think just logically it would because 274 00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:40,640 Speaker 4: of the biggest bank, bigger number of shells, would be 275 00:15:40,680 --> 00:15:43,760 Speaker 4: one of the largest extensions on bigger than that of netbank. 276 00:15:44,040 --> 00:15:48,800 Speaker 4: It would have a larger share of of ownership in 277 00:15:48,920 --> 00:15:54,960 Speaker 4: other banks. And obviously whoever that management of that son 278 00:15:55,000 --> 00:15:59,040 Speaker 4: has been outsourced to might decide it life's netbank because 279 00:15:59,160 --> 00:16:02,680 Speaker 4: or investigate those case investics. Price to ind turn on 280 00:16:02,800 --> 00:16:05,760 Speaker 4: capital is very cheap, so obviously they've been taking a 281 00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:11,120 Speaker 4: bigger investment in let's say, Investeck rather than whatever capitech, 282 00:16:11,160 --> 00:16:14,720 Speaker 4: which is very expensive. But those will be the decisions 283 00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:19,520 Speaker 4: of the the time manager of the pension fund. 284 00:16:20,160 --> 00:16:22,920 Speaker 1: Does it matter that our banking industry can look all 285 00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:27,040 Speaker 1: quite interconnected? I mean, on one level, it makes me think, well, 286 00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:31,960 Speaker 1: they all, for various reasons, kind of are slightly interconnected, 287 00:16:31,960 --> 00:16:35,120 Speaker 1: but they're still healthy competition. I can't see how you 288 00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:37,520 Speaker 1: couldn't say that. On another level, if I were a 289 00:16:37,560 --> 00:16:40,480 Speaker 1: conspiracy theorist and cooky I help my moments later on 290 00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:43,280 Speaker 1: a Friday, look at all the bankers and I'm like, 291 00:16:43,320 --> 00:16:44,320 Speaker 1: you're all in it together. 292 00:16:46,200 --> 00:16:49,840 Speaker 4: Oh look, I think it was a ticket bar article 293 00:16:50,000 --> 00:16:56,480 Speaker 4: in the newspaper which said that Standard Bank has a 294 00:16:56,600 --> 00:17:00,760 Speaker 4: stake invest Tech, and people mediately sort of thinking, oh, 295 00:17:00,800 --> 00:17:04,639 Speaker 4: and look on the two sides of the story. On 296 00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:07,919 Speaker 4: the one hand, for the consolidation of our bank sector, 297 00:17:07,920 --> 00:17:10,720 Speaker 4: and you saw that in Australia and in Canada and 298 00:17:10,760 --> 00:17:13,880 Speaker 4: a few other countries is actually healthy because it leads 299 00:17:13,920 --> 00:17:17,720 Speaker 4: to more efficiency. But then it leads to less competition. 300 00:17:17,960 --> 00:17:20,320 Speaker 4: So there are many voices, and I think correctly say 301 00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:24,000 Speaker 4: the same reserve bank will actually increase the number of competitors. 302 00:17:24,320 --> 00:17:29,320 Speaker 4: But more competitors also mean more risk of them defaulting 303 00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:33,560 Speaker 4: like Assemble or African Bank dead. So your control must 304 00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:37,080 Speaker 4: be and your bank supervision must be very good. But 305 00:17:37,400 --> 00:17:41,000 Speaker 4: generally our bank sector is very competitive. Trust me. I 306 00:17:41,080 --> 00:17:44,840 Speaker 4: speak to them regularly, and you know, but it is 307 00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:47,440 Speaker 4: true that the banks will always be on the lookout 308 00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:51,440 Speaker 4: for a weak competitor, and you know, like the smaller 309 00:17:51,520 --> 00:17:55,840 Speaker 4: banks netbank and in the respect, I'm sure regularly the 310 00:17:55,840 --> 00:17:59,040 Speaker 4: boards or the exec teams of the other banks say 311 00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:01,879 Speaker 4: should we think of buying investor should you think of 312 00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:05,680 Speaker 4: buying netbanks because they're smaller? Or someone? Now did they 313 00:18:05,840 --> 00:18:09,280 Speaker 4: die up with the Time bank? But I think because 314 00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:12,199 Speaker 4: that is a low growth economy at the moment. We 315 00:18:12,320 --> 00:18:16,840 Speaker 4: hope that changes, but that means that the only benefit 316 00:18:16,880 --> 00:18:21,320 Speaker 4: of taking out a competitor is to get efficiencies, and 317 00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:23,440 Speaker 4: that means you've got to lay up staff, you've got 318 00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:27,639 Speaker 4: a close branches. Competition. Commission won't like that. It's hard work, 319 00:18:28,040 --> 00:18:30,680 Speaker 4: and that's why you find most of the Salatican banks, 320 00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:33,879 Speaker 4: in fact, all of them have been focusing more on 321 00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:38,439 Speaker 4: doing acquisitions in Africa. And I think that's why the 322 00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:41,919 Speaker 4: African countries are growing faster than ours at the moment, 323 00:18:42,320 --> 00:18:47,840 Speaker 4: and they can do a technology and expertise transfer. It's 324 00:18:47,880 --> 00:18:51,800 Speaker 4: not as competitive there and those are growing economy, and 325 00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:55,240 Speaker 4: I think so you'll see SA banks continuing to rather 326 00:18:55,320 --> 00:19:01,240 Speaker 4: grow their footprint in Africa rather than increasing the level 327 00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:02,840 Speaker 4: of competition here in South Africa. 328 00:19:04,040 --> 00:19:06,200 Speaker 1: Goky GOI man, thank you so much, really to appreciate it. 329 00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:09,040 Speaker 1: Banking analyst at den Care Capital. Right. I think that's 330 00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:11,560 Speaker 1: been explained certainly to me. Twenty seven minutes after six 331 00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:16,560 Speaker 1: the Money Show, Grant Natives Portfolio Manager be Guerla Global 332 00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:20,879 Speaker 1: Fund Managers Grant Good Evening Harmony. Yes, of course we 333 00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:23,960 Speaker 1: expect their earnings to be well, you know, over one 334 00:19:24,000 --> 00:19:26,320 Speaker 1: hundred percent more because of the gold price. But quite 335 00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:27,520 Speaker 1: a nice production update. 336 00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:32,879 Speaker 5: Yeah, nice update, and they had some operational disruption in 337 00:19:32,920 --> 00:19:35,680 Speaker 5: the second quarter. So the fact that they on tack 338 00:19:35,760 --> 00:19:38,119 Speaker 5: to meet their full your guidance, I think is very encouraging. 339 00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:40,560 Speaker 5: So you know, we don't want to see them not 340 00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:43,399 Speaker 5: taking advantage of this opportunity. I mean this gold price, 341 00:19:43,760 --> 00:19:46,560 Speaker 5: as we know, near record levels. It's a fantastic opportunity 342 00:19:46,560 --> 00:19:49,000 Speaker 5: for our miners, for our fiscus. So good to see 343 00:19:49,000 --> 00:19:52,480 Speaker 5: that production stability. And I do know that the costs 344 00:19:52,520 --> 00:19:55,560 Speaker 5: for answer all in sustaining costs are creeping up. It's 345 00:19:55,600 --> 00:19:58,600 Speaker 5: a problem across the industry, and so it does it 346 00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:00,800 Speaker 5: does tend to I think it's formal a higher base 347 00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:03,560 Speaker 5: for future gold price. And I don't think we're ever 348 00:20:03,600 --> 00:20:06,200 Speaker 5: going to see some of those levels we saw again 349 00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:09,359 Speaker 5: back in the two thousand and below level, but we 350 00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:09,880 Speaker 5: will see. 351 00:20:10,680 --> 00:20:14,919 Speaker 1: Yeah, interesting news overnight the sort of deal, the proposed 352 00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:18,480 Speaker 1: deal between glen Core and Rio Tinto it's been called off. 353 00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:20,920 Speaker 1: Was that just too much ego? Does it not make 354 00:20:20,960 --> 00:20:21,760 Speaker 1: economic sense? 355 00:20:23,119 --> 00:20:26,159 Speaker 5: Look, I think the economic rational makes sense. There's a 356 00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:29,760 Speaker 5: good fit between the portfolios. Rio needs what Glencore has 357 00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:32,919 Speaker 5: and Glencore could do with the scale and whatnot that 358 00:20:33,000 --> 00:20:36,080 Speaker 5: Rio brings. But you know, you have got Glencre which 359 00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:38,000 Speaker 5: is a sort of a founder and well it's not 360 00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:40,880 Speaker 5: a founder run business, but it's very much a nontroprimurial business. 361 00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:43,640 Speaker 5: Rio is very much a corporate Glencore and Rio's both 362 00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:47,600 Speaker 5: have very distinct cultures. Remember you know, glen Call run 363 00:20:47,600 --> 00:20:52,159 Speaker 5: by South Africans, by VIZ graduates cas from VITZ and 364 00:20:52,200 --> 00:20:53,920 Speaker 5: there's a lot of them working in the company. Is 365 00:20:53,920 --> 00:20:56,800 Speaker 5: a very clear culture, and I think it's important to 366 00:20:56,840 --> 00:20:59,520 Speaker 5: them to sustain that. But I will say that glen 367 00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:03,280 Speaker 5: Core it's not significantly worse off without it. They have 368 00:21:03,320 --> 00:21:06,560 Speaker 5: a very good portfolio of metals, and I think they're 369 00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:09,359 Speaker 5: well positioned for some of the future demand around copper, 370 00:21:10,359 --> 00:21:13,240 Speaker 5: cobalt and some of the new new metals so to speak. 371 00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:15,240 Speaker 4: So I think I'll be fine. 372 00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:17,800 Speaker 5: I'm wondering to myself, does HP turn around and have 373 00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:20,080 Speaker 5: a look at glen Corn now, because they've got the 374 00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:23,520 Speaker 5: copper gem that everyone's looking for. Didn't work with Rios 375 00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:26,080 Speaker 5: and they missed Anglers, so maybe they're on the table 376 00:21:26,160 --> 00:21:29,040 Speaker 5: for Billiton. It's be interesting to watch that space. 377 00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:31,720 Speaker 1: I mean a whole shakeout in the metal sector that 378 00:21:31,760 --> 00:21:34,520 Speaker 1: we've seen over the week. I mean, quite traumatic in 379 00:21:34,560 --> 00:21:38,399 Speaker 1: a way, very volatile. I mean, I don't know, I 380 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:40,159 Speaker 1: don't really see an enter it for the meantime, and 381 00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:42,080 Speaker 1: I mean it seems that the market is still quite 382 00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:45,320 Speaker 1: vulnerable to rarely this kind of thing for a while. 383 00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:48,760 Speaker 5: Yeah, I think we should expect it, given the kind 384 00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:51,040 Speaker 5: of moves we've seen and the speed of the moves. 385 00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:55,840 Speaker 5: They're inevitably attracts a lot of speculative positioning, a lot 386 00:21:55,880 --> 00:21:58,560 Speaker 5: of fast money. And then when you have that kind 387 00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:02,520 Speaker 5: of environment, the moves of top both up and down, 388 00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:05,440 Speaker 5: and you get margin calls, you know they've been pushing 389 00:22:05,520 --> 00:22:08,119 Speaker 5: up margin to sort of manage the speculation. Then you 390 00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:11,800 Speaker 5: see further forth selling. So I think the volatility is 391 00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:14,440 Speaker 5: here to stay, as you say, and it's probably part 392 00:22:14,440 --> 00:22:19,040 Speaker 5: of a healthy, hopefully consolidation phase from our perspectives. But 393 00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:22,360 Speaker 5: I don't think it's changed the fundamentals or the underlying 394 00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:24,800 Speaker 5: drivers are, especially with regard to gold. 395 00:22:25,720 --> 00:22:28,320 Speaker 1: Thank you very much. Indeed, Grant Nada as portfolio manager 396 00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:31,000 Speaker 1: being Wuella Global fund managers really appreciate it. Just on 397 00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:35,800 Speaker 1: sixth thirty, The Money Show with Stephen on seven O 398 00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:39,800 Speaker 1: two seven O two. Well Hews today that Discovery, the 399 00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:43,520 Speaker 1: financial group, has decided to spend four billion round buying 400 00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:47,920 Speaker 1: its own headquarters in santon It was fifty five percent 401 00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:50,720 Speaker 1: owned by Growth point forty five percent owned by another group, 402 00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:54,040 Speaker 1: and essentially Discovery is saying, look, we'll own our own headquarters. 403 00:22:54,080 --> 00:22:56,480 Speaker 1: It does make sense. Among many other things it's been 404 00:22:56,520 --> 00:22:58,920 Speaker 1: pointed out several times today is that this looks like 405 00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:01,600 Speaker 1: quite a big vote of confidence in Santain. If you 406 00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:04,199 Speaker 1: have a landlord, you would be able to, you know, 407 00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:08,080 Speaker 1: give notice even a couple of years notice and move out, 408 00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:10,920 Speaker 1: and Discovery are clearly saying, well, we are staying here, 409 00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:15,240 Speaker 1: which is interesting because Santurn still has some of the 410 00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:18,320 Speaker 1: most expensive commercial property, or really does have the most 411 00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:22,320 Speaker 1: expensive commercial property in the country. And from time to 412 00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:25,000 Speaker 1: time someone will make a comment about satin All this, 413 00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:28,040 Speaker 1: all that, but just the last couple of days, if 414 00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:31,480 Speaker 1: you look at the sheer amount of traffic going into 415 00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:35,720 Speaker 1: Santin in the morning, and I sometimes drive against it 416 00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:39,040 Speaker 1: because you know, from three o'clock people start to leave 417 00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:41,879 Speaker 1: sentin as they go home or fetch children or whatever 418 00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:44,679 Speaker 1: it is. At the end of the day, certainly that 419 00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:48,520 Speaker 1: traffic is going nowhere. I mean that in both ways. 420 00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:50,639 Speaker 1: One it's going to keep getting stuck in Santain, and 421 00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:53,480 Speaker 1: two most of the time it's not really moving. The 422 00:23:53,520 --> 00:23:57,360 Speaker 1: point is that traffic doesn't lie. Traffic tells you how 423 00:23:57,440 --> 00:24:01,120 Speaker 1: strong sentence still seems to be at the moment. If 424 00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:04,119 Speaker 1: I were owning land and centered, if someone offered me 425 00:24:04,680 --> 00:24:07,360 Speaker 1: a piece and I had four billion round, that might 426 00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:10,159 Speaker 1: actually be a very very wise investment for the future. 427 00:24:10,320 --> 00:24:14,320 Speaker 1: Your thoughts seven two seven two one seven o two 428 00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:17,920 Speaker 1: show the Friday File. The Friday File seventeen minutes now 429 00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:20,960 Speaker 1: to seven the time well Amid claims that more and 430 00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:23,280 Speaker 1: more of us are still stuck in debt. To report 431 00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:26,480 Speaker 1: out about the business of luxury. That suggests some of 432 00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:31,920 Speaker 1: the bigger, more conspicuous, more obvious luxury brands maybe aren't 433 00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:35,080 Speaker 1: doing as well as they did what it's also seemed 434 00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:37,960 Speaker 1: to really not be doing very well at all. The 435 00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:41,119 Speaker 1: report comes from Luxity. It's the store, the group that 436 00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:47,000 Speaker 1: resells luxury items. Michael Zaharrev is the co founder of Luxity. 437 00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:49,479 Speaker 1: Michael good evening, good to chat again. I mean, what 438 00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:52,440 Speaker 1: are you finding is changing in the market? I mean 439 00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:55,680 Speaker 1: clearly handbags are still in but what people are interested 440 00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:57,840 Speaker 1: in handbags does seem to be changing. 441 00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:01,280 Speaker 2: Yes, thank you for having me again on the show, 442 00:25:01,720 --> 00:25:05,600 Speaker 2: and exactly what you're saying. The market is definitely evolving. 443 00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:07,720 Speaker 2: In fact, this is one of the years where we've 444 00:25:07,760 --> 00:25:12,400 Speaker 2: seen the greatest evolution. In general, the luxury market has 445 00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:15,360 Speaker 2: been booming for the last five years, and the Clear 446 00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:20,280 Speaker 2: Shopping Index report this year actually showed that the new 447 00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:24,440 Speaker 2: luxury market has contracted just one percent, so very flat there. 448 00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:28,320 Speaker 2: Luxity representative of the pre owned market at the same time, 449 00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:31,320 Speaker 2: has grown twenty seven percent over the same period, so 450 00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:34,000 Speaker 2: we can see that consumers are definitely buying into this 451 00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:38,080 Speaker 2: pre owned trend number one, and more importantly, the taste 452 00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:42,320 Speaker 2: of consumers are shifting. Traditionally, we saw that consumers were 453 00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:47,760 Speaker 2: really gravitating to more the affordable items shoes, wallets, the 454 00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:50,800 Speaker 2: goods under ten thousand rand in terms of affordability for 455 00:25:50,880 --> 00:25:54,600 Speaker 2: the luxury industry because we're kind of an entry point. 456 00:25:54,880 --> 00:25:58,000 Speaker 2: But this year, surprisingly, what we're seeing is consumers are 457 00:25:58,040 --> 00:26:02,920 Speaker 2: gravitating more and more towards jewelery and handbags, which are 458 00:26:03,040 --> 00:26:06,239 Speaker 2: much more expensive. And the reason for this that we 459 00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:09,520 Speaker 2: can the juice is due to their resale value being 460 00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:12,240 Speaker 2: much higher. So we're seeing the rise of what we 461 00:26:12,320 --> 00:26:16,359 Speaker 2: call the trendy, the streets consumer. You know, someone who's 462 00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:20,680 Speaker 2: doing research and really understanding what's going to resell later 463 00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:21,920 Speaker 2: and have greater value. 464 00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:24,640 Speaker 1: So I mean there's also maybe, you know, for something 465 00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:27,320 Speaker 1: under ten thousand rand, you walk past the shop window, 466 00:26:27,440 --> 00:26:29,960 Speaker 1: you walk past it again, it catches your eye again. 467 00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:34,440 Speaker 1: It's not so much a sort of instinct purchase or 468 00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:37,359 Speaker 1: an impulse purchase, but maybe in the course of a 469 00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:39,879 Speaker 1: week you've taken the decision to buy it for something 470 00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:43,639 Speaker 1: bigger than that luxury handbag. You're looking at resale values, 471 00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:46,120 Speaker 1: you're doing some serious research beforehand, You're taking a lot 472 00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:49,520 Speaker 1: more time over the decision exactly. 473 00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:52,879 Speaker 2: And that's what's happening. Customers are not only taking time 474 00:26:52,920 --> 00:26:54,800 Speaker 2: to see, you know, can I afford it, but they're 475 00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:57,880 Speaker 2: also starting to understand what is it going to resell for. 476 00:26:58,200 --> 00:27:01,479 Speaker 2: So traditionally, if we look at the most popular brand 477 00:27:02,119 --> 00:27:05,680 Speaker 2: in South Africa, Groucci and Louis Verton were really the heavyweights. 478 00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:09,280 Speaker 2: They were making up one third of searchers on our website, 479 00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:12,160 Speaker 2: and this is across hundreds of thousands of searchers a month, 480 00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:14,560 Speaker 2: so they were making up one third of all of 481 00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:17,600 Speaker 2: the search traffic. Now this year is the first year 482 00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:21,200 Speaker 2: they've dropped, and they've dropped substantially down to just twenty percent. 483 00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:25,879 Speaker 2: And smaller brands, particularly brands that hold their resale value 484 00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:30,359 Speaker 2: more have started to materialize. So brands like Rolex, brands 485 00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:33,520 Speaker 2: like a Mares, brands like Chanel, those really hold their 486 00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:37,040 Speaker 2: resale value and that's what the consumers starting to buy into. 487 00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:39,560 Speaker 2: So I think it speaks to this narrative that the 488 00:27:39,600 --> 00:27:42,680 Speaker 2: consumer is not only looking for what's popular, but they're 489 00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:46,480 Speaker 2: also looking more from an investment mindset, where I want 490 00:27:46,520 --> 00:27:49,000 Speaker 2: to make sure I'm making a purchase that can give 491 00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:51,679 Speaker 2: me some kind of a return or at least I 492 00:27:51,680 --> 00:27:54,119 Speaker 2: would lose so much if I'm looking to sell it 493 00:27:54,200 --> 00:27:55,160 Speaker 2: back into the future. 494 00:27:56,040 --> 00:27:58,320 Speaker 1: How important is it for people to know what it 495 00:27:58,400 --> 00:28:02,680 Speaker 1: is that you have? And I mean this gets quite complicated. 496 00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:05,840 Speaker 1: There are people who spend hours looking at what websites 497 00:28:05,880 --> 00:28:10,560 Speaker 1: and you know what did Johann what's his name? You 498 00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:13,440 Speaker 1: know who? I mean, where today and that kind of thing. 499 00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:16,040 Speaker 1: I mean, I find that a bit bizarre in a way, 500 00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:19,640 Speaker 1: but I can understand the interest does what you were 501 00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:23,360 Speaker 1: wearing still sort of attract people to particular brands. 502 00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:27,680 Speaker 2: I think so. So South Africa has a very aspirational 503 00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:30,440 Speaker 2: culture and it's quite different to the Western world. So 504 00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:32,800 Speaker 2: I think in the West, you know, they gravitate very 505 00:28:32,840 --> 00:28:36,520 Speaker 2: much to celebrities and trends, whereas in South Africa we 506 00:28:36,600 --> 00:28:40,920 Speaker 2: found that the consumer generally gravitates multi status. So it 507 00:28:40,960 --> 00:28:42,880 Speaker 2: wasn't so much you know, what is X, Y and 508 00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:45,760 Speaker 2: Z and celebrity wearing, but it was more about when 509 00:28:45,800 --> 00:28:48,480 Speaker 2: I'm wearing this brand, I want to make sure that 510 00:28:48,600 --> 00:28:51,200 Speaker 2: it's very obvious. I want to make sure that everyone 511 00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:53,680 Speaker 2: can recognize that it's a Louis Vuitton or a Gucci. 512 00:28:53,960 --> 00:28:57,880 Speaker 2: So generally speaking, the louder brand performed far better in 513 00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:01,000 Speaker 2: South Africa than what we're seeing in the western, more 514 00:29:01,080 --> 00:29:05,200 Speaker 2: established markets. However, this trend is also starting to change 515 00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:08,360 Speaker 2: more and more, where we're seeing some of the quieter 516 00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:12,040 Speaker 2: brands growing at a faster rate than some of them 517 00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:14,840 Speaker 2: louder brands. So I think that speaks to a mature 518 00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:18,800 Speaker 2: in consumer But overall, in South Africa, definitely, you know, 519 00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:22,200 Speaker 2: the louder, flashier brands hold the largest sway of the 520 00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:25,680 Speaker 2: market or more popular are more popular amount the consumers. 521 00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:29,800 Speaker 1: A quieter brand, I put that in inverted comments carries 522 00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:33,760 Speaker 1: its own power because it's kind of suggesting that I'm 523 00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:36,240 Speaker 1: more discerning, isn't it. I mean it doesn't it say 524 00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:39,880 Speaker 1: I don't need to show off, but you're showing off 525 00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:41,520 Speaker 1: that you don't need to show off. 526 00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:45,360 Speaker 2: Yes, I think so it holds. It holds a value 527 00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:48,560 Speaker 2: to a certain segment of the market, which is you know, 528 00:29:48,600 --> 00:29:52,560 Speaker 2: a lot more of you know, they focus on the heritage. 529 00:29:52,800 --> 00:29:55,760 Speaker 2: It's more generational wealth. You know, it's not just this, 530 00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:59,120 Speaker 2: you know what we call old money versus new money. 531 00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:02,479 Speaker 2: And the interest thing actually is last year we did 532 00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:06,400 Speaker 2: a report on you know, Cape Town verus Johannesburg, and 533 00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:09,560 Speaker 2: what we actually found is Johannesburg was gravitating a lot 534 00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:13,080 Speaker 2: more to louder brands than Cape Town and in general, 535 00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:17,440 Speaker 2: although people in Johannesburg and Halteng region at least were 536 00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:20,600 Speaker 2: purchasing a lot more frequently in terms of items, they 537 00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:24,680 Speaker 2: were purchasing lower value items, whereas the Capetonians or Western 538 00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:28,560 Speaker 2: Cape in general was purchasing more expensive items and more 539 00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:31,040 Speaker 2: from the quieter brands. So I think it speaks to 540 00:30:31,400 --> 00:30:35,560 Speaker 2: you know the difference of the cities and the makeup 541 00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:38,360 Speaker 2: of the demographics, and you know the economies, et cetera. 542 00:30:39,080 --> 00:30:42,120 Speaker 1: Is there a kind of older money thing in Cape Town? Maybe? 543 00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:45,600 Speaker 2: Well, I mean the data seems to suggest that, at 544 00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:48,240 Speaker 2: least from a preference point of view, Like I mentioned, 545 00:30:48,240 --> 00:30:53,160 Speaker 2: the Western societies, generally, the the move is more to 546 00:30:53,240 --> 00:30:56,000 Speaker 2: the stuff wealth and the younger generations or your first 547 00:30:56,040 --> 00:31:00,160 Speaker 2: purchase with the more of these more flashier brand. South 548 00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:05,800 Speaker 2: Africa certainly the dominating the searchers are for more flashy items. 549 00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:09,040 Speaker 2: When we look even within the brand, the items that 550 00:31:09,200 --> 00:31:11,520 Speaker 2: are within each brand are the louder ones. So it 551 00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:14,640 Speaker 2: suggests that in South Africa the market is more tuned 552 00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:17,760 Speaker 2: to that new money kind of culture. But in the 553 00:31:17,800 --> 00:31:21,040 Speaker 2: Western Cape at least, that that shift isn't as prominent 554 00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:22,520 Speaker 2: as it is in how. 555 00:31:22,520 --> 00:31:25,640 Speaker 1: Tech consumers change as they get older, right, I mean, 556 00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:27,720 Speaker 1: it must be interesting to sort of I don't know 557 00:31:27,720 --> 00:31:29,600 Speaker 1: if you're able to keep this kind of data, you know, 558 00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:31,520 Speaker 1: the age of a customer. I mean, you're not going 559 00:31:31,560 --> 00:31:33,200 Speaker 1: to ask them how all they are the checkout, well 560 00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:36,240 Speaker 1: I hope not, and sort of see what they're buying 561 00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:38,560 Speaker 1: as opposed to what a younger person is buying. So 562 00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:41,040 Speaker 1: someone coming into your stores for the first time, first 563 00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:45,760 Speaker 1: luxury purchase, probably not going to be something very expensive, 564 00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:47,720 Speaker 1: just going to get a taste for it, but you know, 565 00:31:47,840 --> 00:31:51,200 Speaker 1: something they want to do with their brand and then 566 00:31:51,520 --> 00:31:53,840 Speaker 1: sort of you know, go from there and kind of 567 00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:56,440 Speaker 1: mature as a customer into luxury if they stay in 568 00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:59,560 Speaker 1: that income bracket. I mean, you must see customers coming 569 00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:00,880 Speaker 1: back and changing as they do. 570 00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:04,760 Speaker 2: That certainly, but I think there are some you know, 571 00:32:04,840 --> 00:32:08,080 Speaker 2: intricacies there, especially when we're talking about South Africa. So 572 00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:12,320 Speaker 2: in South Africa, you really have a much smaller age 573 00:32:12,560 --> 00:32:16,800 Speaker 2: band of consumer because the goods are relatively much more 574 00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:21,560 Speaker 2: expensive versus our earning capacity. So what we see in 575 00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:24,640 Speaker 2: South Africa is, you know, the consumer really starts around 576 00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:27,400 Speaker 2: thirty five generally and then goes up to you know, 577 00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:30,880 Speaker 2: around sixty for the majority of the consumers. And so 578 00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:34,160 Speaker 2: that's a much tighter age like age band than we're 579 00:32:34,200 --> 00:32:36,440 Speaker 2: seeing when we look at the Western data, which you 580 00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:39,120 Speaker 2: know starts even at eighteen years old for the pre 581 00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:42,400 Speaker 2: owned segment. But within that age band, definitely there are 582 00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:45,800 Speaker 2: some changes, but the majority of the consumers are currently 583 00:32:45,840 --> 00:32:48,440 Speaker 2: coming in in that like thirty five to three five segment, 584 00:32:48,640 --> 00:32:53,320 Speaker 2: so that's the dominant part of the market. What is interesting, however, 585 00:32:53,560 --> 00:32:56,800 Speaker 2: is how we've seen the market evolve in terms of 586 00:32:56,840 --> 00:33:00,920 Speaker 2: pre owned. Five years ago, there was this very very 587 00:33:01,120 --> 00:33:04,880 Speaker 2: specific split between those who were buying and those who 588 00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:09,640 Speaker 2: were selling. However, nowadays it's very mixed. So we have people, 589 00:33:09,800 --> 00:33:13,320 Speaker 2: we have consumers that are essentially you know, unlimited wealth, 590 00:33:13,600 --> 00:33:18,080 Speaker 2: ultra high network with individuals that could purchase anything new, 591 00:33:18,280 --> 00:33:21,120 Speaker 2: but they're still choosing to buy pre owned more and 592 00:33:21,160 --> 00:33:24,400 Speaker 2: more because of sustainability and also because of access to 593 00:33:24,480 --> 00:33:27,920 Speaker 2: limited edition items or items not available in South Africa. 594 00:33:28,160 --> 00:33:30,520 Speaker 2: So there's definitely a shift in terms of the mentality 595 00:33:30,560 --> 00:33:35,160 Speaker 2: overall more towards this idea of commercializing pre owned and 596 00:33:35,320 --> 00:33:37,080 Speaker 2: in jewelry. 597 00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:39,960 Speaker 1: Obviously the gold prices you know, sold through the roof, 598 00:33:40,360 --> 00:33:43,200 Speaker 1: has that had any impact on what people are actually buying? 599 00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:45,480 Speaker 1: Do people maybe want to be seen in a bit 600 00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:48,800 Speaker 1: of gold? Was that not really done well? 601 00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:52,080 Speaker 2: I don't think it's materialized yet in the pre owned market. 602 00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:56,080 Speaker 2: I think because we're selling brands, the brands essentially are 603 00:33:56,160 --> 00:34:00,720 Speaker 2: updating their prices, you know, twice a year, so there's 604 00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:03,680 Speaker 2: gold prices have certainly been spiking, but because we have 605 00:34:03,800 --> 00:34:07,000 Speaker 2: kind of a lag effect in terms of the price adjustment, 606 00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:09,880 Speaker 2: it hasn't come through to the pre owned market yet, 607 00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:13,759 Speaker 2: but certainly in the next year or half a year, 608 00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:16,000 Speaker 2: that's really going to start making a big impact on 609 00:34:16,120 --> 00:34:18,600 Speaker 2: the new market and immediately on the pre owned market. 610 00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:20,799 Speaker 2: So I think there's a great value in that. And 611 00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:24,720 Speaker 2: actually jewelry interest in jury, or at least jewelry sales 612 00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:27,600 Speaker 2: were up forty seven percent in the last year, which 613 00:34:27,680 --> 00:34:31,040 Speaker 2: was the record for any category across all the categories 614 00:34:31,040 --> 00:34:33,839 Speaker 2: we serve. So certainly consumers are moving more and more 615 00:34:33,840 --> 00:34:36,560 Speaker 2: into jewelry, and that's likely because they're seeing it more 616 00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:38,960 Speaker 2: as an asset purchase than just a fashion trend. 617 00:34:39,719 --> 00:34:42,160 Speaker 1: So interesting, I mean, any idea of what's likely to 618 00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:44,279 Speaker 1: sort of happen this year. I mean, some of these 619 00:34:44,320 --> 00:34:47,920 Speaker 1: trends that are obviously continue and push through twenty twenty six, 620 00:34:49,040 --> 00:34:51,759 Speaker 1: there might be a little bit more money coming into 621 00:34:51,800 --> 00:34:55,840 Speaker 1: the economy. But people once they've become kind of conscious 622 00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:58,799 Speaker 1: of how to invest in the space, or how to 623 00:34:58,880 --> 00:35:01,280 Speaker 1: buy something they want and use it as an investment 624 00:35:01,480 --> 00:35:03,359 Speaker 1: or at the real least keep its value. I mean, 625 00:35:03,400 --> 00:35:04,799 Speaker 1: once you get that to it, you're never going to 626 00:35:04,840 --> 00:35:07,080 Speaker 1: lose it exactly. 627 00:35:07,120 --> 00:35:11,000 Speaker 2: I think what's interesting is that although you know, we've 628 00:35:11,320 --> 00:35:13,960 Speaker 2: we've kind of been working in this exponential in South 629 00:35:13,960 --> 00:35:17,200 Speaker 2: Africa where we've had the prices increasing very fast in 630 00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:19,839 Speaker 2: the luxury industry because it's been high demand and high 631 00:35:19,880 --> 00:35:22,200 Speaker 2: growth over the last five years. And at the same time, 632 00:35:22,239 --> 00:35:25,520 Speaker 2: over the last five years, we've had our currency deteriorating 633 00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:29,000 Speaker 2: really fast, so it's kind of had this exponential effect 634 00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:31,560 Speaker 2: on the pricing and then also the prices in the 635 00:35:31,600 --> 00:35:34,239 Speaker 2: pre owned market. And what we've seen actually this year 636 00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:37,360 Speaker 2: is because the new market's a bit softer, the price 637 00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:42,040 Speaker 2: increases haven't been that high. And additionally, the rand is strengthening, 638 00:35:42,160 --> 00:35:45,000 Speaker 2: so that's also limiting the price increases in South Africa. 639 00:35:45,040 --> 00:35:48,040 Speaker 2: So I think it's really quite stable at the stage. 640 00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:51,239 Speaker 2: Obviously we're going to see how the gold prices and 641 00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:54,520 Speaker 2: that come into effect with jewelry and some watches, but 642 00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:57,320 Speaker 2: it's quite a stable market. And I think that now's 643 00:35:57,360 --> 00:36:01,319 Speaker 2: really a moment to consider, you know, cost compare, because 644 00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:04,160 Speaker 2: we don't have all of these ideas of moving and 645 00:36:04,200 --> 00:36:07,760 Speaker 2: really looking at your wardrobe, what's worth selling, what's worth keeping, 646 00:36:08,280 --> 00:36:10,799 Speaker 2: and starting to understand the market, because it's really not 647 00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:13,200 Speaker 2: that wild right now as it was let's say a 648 00:36:13,239 --> 00:36:15,640 Speaker 2: year or two ago, where it was quite difficult to 649 00:36:15,680 --> 00:36:17,200 Speaker 2: follow unless you're doing it full time. 650 00:36:17,680 --> 00:36:20,680 Speaker 1: Michael Zahire, thanks so much, co founder of Luxity. Really 651 00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:26,239 Speaker 1: appreciate it. Stephen, taking your calls on one one eight 652 00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:30,520 Speaker 1: three seven two. Time for the Friday Biz Blitz on 653 00:36:30,680 --> 00:36:32,840 Speaker 1: The Money Show tonight. You know how it works. We 654 00:36:32,920 --> 00:36:35,120 Speaker 1: put out a question. You phone us on a double 655 00:36:35,160 --> 00:36:38,239 Speaker 1: one double A three seven o two two one four 656 00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:41,160 Speaker 1: four six five six seven. If you get it right, 657 00:36:41,520 --> 00:36:43,520 Speaker 1: we move on to the next question. If you get 658 00:36:43,560 --> 00:36:47,320 Speaker 1: it wrong, we move on to the next caller. Okay, 659 00:36:47,360 --> 00:36:51,480 Speaker 1: first question on the Friday BIS Blitz tonight. Which South 660 00:36:51,520 --> 00:36:56,800 Speaker 1: African is Donald Trump threatening to sue this week? Which 661 00:36:56,840 --> 00:37:00,879 Speaker 1: South African is Donald Trump threatening to sue this week? Oh? 662 00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:05,399 Speaker 1: Double one double are seven two two one four four six, 663 00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:08,279 Speaker 1: five six seven. The Money Show with Stephen Curtis is 664 00:37:08,280 --> 00:37:11,440 Speaker 1: brought to you by Absent Corporate and Investment Banking balancing 665 00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:15,280 Speaker 1: economic growth with ecosystems. That's how they're invested in your story. 666 00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:19,919 Speaker 1: The Money Show Friday b is lit. First question, which 667 00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:22,919 Speaker 1: South African is Donald Trump? Threatening to sue this week. 668 00:37:23,040 --> 00:37:28,120 Speaker 1: Let's go to Timpisa, France. I Hi, Hi, I'm well, 669 00:37:28,120 --> 00:37:29,000 Speaker 1: go for it, France. 670 00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:30,480 Speaker 4: I'm good. 671 00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:32,600 Speaker 1: What's the answer? 672 00:37:33,800 --> 00:37:35,000 Speaker 4: Tvor Noah? 673 00:37:35,040 --> 00:37:36,680 Speaker 1: It is Trevor Noah. Do you know why? 674 00:37:38,320 --> 00:37:38,480 Speaker 4: Yay? 675 00:37:38,560 --> 00:37:43,160 Speaker 1: Because we spoke about him at the Grammys. That's right, 676 00:37:43,200 --> 00:37:45,839 Speaker 1: all right, France. Next question, here we go. What's the 677 00:37:45,920 --> 00:37:49,440 Speaker 1: name of the bank that operates across Africa that South 678 00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:56,680 Speaker 1: Africa finally joined this week? What's it called? Uh? My word, 679 00:37:57,719 --> 00:38:00,920 Speaker 1: can you repeat that again? Let's me think rans very quickly. 680 00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:03,280 Speaker 1: What's the name of the bank that operates across Africa 681 00:38:03,320 --> 00:38:10,560 Speaker 1: that we finally joined this week? What's it called? I'm sorry, France. 682 00:38:10,680 --> 00:38:14,760 Speaker 1: Let's go to Ketto Metza in four ways, Kitto Metza. 683 00:38:14,880 --> 00:38:15,439 Speaker 1: Do you know. 684 00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:18,960 Speaker 3: I'm just going to tick a world year. 685 00:38:19,120 --> 00:38:20,719 Speaker 5: I don't know. Sard Bank. 686 00:38:21,400 --> 00:38:28,000 Speaker 1: Sorry, Let's go to cat in Hyde Park. Hi, Cat, Hi? 687 00:38:28,040 --> 00:38:31,920 Speaker 2: Is it the African Export Bank? 688 00:38:31,960 --> 00:38:34,759 Speaker 1: You're like so nearly there, Cat, I'm going to give 689 00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:36,080 Speaker 1: you another guess. 690 00:38:36,480 --> 00:38:39,040 Speaker 2: Say it again, export Import. 691 00:38:40,000 --> 00:38:43,040 Speaker 1: I'm looking at the judges. Yeah, Cat, We're going to 692 00:38:43,080 --> 00:38:47,800 Speaker 1: give it to you. It's the It's the African Export 693 00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:54,880 Speaker 1: Import back. Okay, next question. According to which when you 694 00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:58,600 Speaker 1: look at let me start again at Starbucks? How many 695 00:38:58,640 --> 00:39:03,200 Speaker 1: combinations of drink can you get at a Starbucks? Is 696 00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:08,080 Speaker 1: it twenty? Just over eighty thousand or one million? How 697 00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:14,920 Speaker 1: many combinations of drink can you get? It as Starbucks twenty? Sorry, cats, 698 00:39:14,920 --> 00:39:20,640 Speaker 1: it's not twenty. How many combinations of drink can you 699 00:39:20,680 --> 00:39:23,960 Speaker 1: get at a Starbucks? Twenty? Just over eighty thousand or 700 00:39:24,000 --> 00:39:29,720 Speaker 1: one million? Nastier in Joe Burg High Hi, I'm well 701 00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:31,520 Speaker 1: all right, what do you think the answer is? 702 00:39:33,600 --> 00:39:36,040 Speaker 5: Can you see your piece of second number? 703 00:39:36,560 --> 00:39:39,840 Speaker 1: How many combinations of drink can you get at Starbucks twenty? 704 00:39:40,440 --> 00:39:42,760 Speaker 1: Just over eighty thousand or one million? 705 00:39:43,840 --> 00:39:45,440 Speaker 5: Is it just over eighty thousand? 706 00:39:46,160 --> 00:39:52,200 Speaker 1: Nasia? It is Nasia. It is just over eighty thousand. Congratulations, 707 00:39:52,200 --> 00:40:06,360 Speaker 1: you're a winner on a Friday business's last year is 708 00:40:06,400 --> 00:40:07,840 Speaker 1: the winner? And at seven o'clock