1 00:00:01,240 --> 00:00:05,480 Speaker 1: And now The Money Show with Stephen credits on seven 2 00:00:05,559 --> 00:00:05,960 Speaker 1: oh two. 3 00:00:06,480 --> 00:00:07,400 Speaker 2: Let's walk at all. 4 00:00:07,720 --> 00:00:09,960 Speaker 3: The Money Show with Stephen Curtis is brought to you 5 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:14,080 Speaker 3: by Abscess Sponsorships, proud sponsor of the Absur Cape Epic, 6 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:18,000 Speaker 3: celebrating twenty years of taking it to the trails. It 7 00:00:18,079 --> 00:00:20,640 Speaker 3: is a registered FSP. Good evening, Welcome to the Money Show. 8 00:00:20,680 --> 00:00:24,280 Speaker 3: I'm Stephen Curtis. Eight minutes after sixth the time. And 9 00:00:24,520 --> 00:00:26,759 Speaker 3: while there's sort of school holidays, while there's not a 10 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 3: huge amount of corporate activity, there's really one subject which 11 00:00:30,400 --> 00:00:33,720 Speaker 3: I think is dominating everyone's conversation relating to money. It's oil, 12 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 3: all about Iran, It's all about the conflict in the 13 00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:39,159 Speaker 3: Middle East. It's all about the US and Israel's the 14 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:42,160 Speaker 3: Strait of him was and oil prices. At the moment, 15 00:00:42,240 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 3: we still don't know at this point what is going 16 00:00:45,120 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 3: to happen at midnight tomorrow. I made the points on Friday, 17 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:52,320 Speaker 3: just before the weekend that if I were asked for advice, 18 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:57,200 Speaker 3: I would suggest that government that the various ministries involved 19 00:00:57,240 --> 00:00:59,880 Speaker 3: already the Ministry of the Department of Mineral Resort, Mineral 20 00:01:00,440 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 3: Petroleum Resources actually does have a proper press conference does 21 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:06,320 Speaker 3: not just issue a statement. And I say that because 22 00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:09,120 Speaker 3: there are so many questions that people would like to ask. 23 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:12,160 Speaker 3: Get it all done. Let all the news channels, let 24 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 3: all the radio stations take it live, and instead you 25 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:18,479 Speaker 3: won't be harassed quite as much for interviews. I don't 26 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 3: know at the stage what is going to happen, but 27 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:24,080 Speaker 3: that would still be my advice, if only to also 28 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 3: show that you are taking this seriously. To just do 29 00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:29,640 Speaker 3: it as a sort of late statement, I think might 30 00:01:29,720 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 3: give the opposite impression. Now, there might be things I 31 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:36,080 Speaker 3: haven't thought of. Maybe there's a thought that actually we 32 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:38,400 Speaker 3: need to do it later rather than earlier, because if 33 00:01:38,400 --> 00:01:41,480 Speaker 3: we do it earlier, people rush to the petrol stations. 34 00:01:41,520 --> 00:01:43,399 Speaker 3: I think they're doing that anyway. I went to go 35 00:01:43,440 --> 00:01:46,240 Speaker 3: and fill up this morning, and you know, quartit to 36 00:01:46,360 --> 00:01:48,960 Speaker 3: ten at a petrol station in a suburb, you wouldn't 37 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:51,559 Speaker 3: think that would be a busy time. Every birth was full. 38 00:01:51,920 --> 00:01:53,880 Speaker 3: As I wound down the window and I said to 39 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 3: the guy who'd wound down the window next to me, 40 00:01:56,360 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 3: I said, oh, look a full petrol station. He just 41 00:01:58,560 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 3: burst out laughing. We all know the situation. But I 42 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 3: were the department, I would take questions. I'd be a 43 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:08,960 Speaker 3: bit sophisticated in my messaging rather than just putting out 44 00:02:08,960 --> 00:02:11,000 Speaker 3: a blanket statement. As I say, there may be things 45 00:02:11,080 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 3: to it that I don't know, but I don't think 46 00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:16,120 Speaker 3: you lose anything by actually just coming and doing the 47 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:18,400 Speaker 3: questions during the press conference and then sort of doing 48 00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 3: it properly. Would be my advice. Well, let's wait to 49 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:23,760 Speaker 3: see what happens. We'll speak to Abu Funny to Pilaro, 50 00:02:23,880 --> 00:02:26,120 Speaker 3: he's the CEO of the Fuel Industry Association about it 51 00:02:26,160 --> 00:02:28,760 Speaker 3: in a moment. In fact, he's in the studio already. 52 00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:31,520 Speaker 3: Johann Else is the chief economist at the PSG Group. 53 00:02:31,520 --> 00:02:34,240 Speaker 3: There's so much to ask. I mean, the Egyptian president 54 00:02:34,320 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 3: said today, and he's sort of trying to convince Trump, 55 00:02:37,440 --> 00:02:40,520 Speaker 3: the US President, to back off, basically saying, look, if 56 00:02:40,560 --> 00:02:43,320 Speaker 3: you keep going oil with h two hundred dollars a barrel. 57 00:02:44,200 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 3: I mean, I don't want to ask you Hanne Else 58 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:47,680 Speaker 3: a question about that, but I feel that I must. 59 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:50,680 Speaker 3: I mean, can you imagine we'll all be cycling to work. 60 00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:55,520 Speaker 3: There's all sorts of interesting suggestions coming out of Lasutu. 61 00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:59,720 Speaker 3: There there Natural Resources Ministered in an interview with Bloomberg 62 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 3: and would She suggested that La Suta will ask for 63 00:03:02,280 --> 00:03:04,840 Speaker 3: a little bit more money from us for the water 64 00:03:05,120 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 3: we get through the Lasuta Highlands Water Project. If you 65 00:03:07,840 --> 00:03:10,560 Speaker 3: are Lusutu, if you knew hawting depended on you, well 66 00:03:10,600 --> 00:03:12,880 Speaker 3: I'll do exactly the same thing. We do have some 67 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:15,280 Speaker 3: leverage though, because the money matters to them, so I 68 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:18,560 Speaker 3: think that'll be important. And then also the Master Builders 69 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 3: South Africa, they're a bit worried about all of this 70 00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 3: volatility to do with fuel prices, and we thought it 71 00:03:24,240 --> 00:03:26,200 Speaker 3: was an important interview because it gets you to the 72 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 3: long term consequences of the situation that we're seeing. 73 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:30,040 Speaker 4: Now. 74 00:03:30,080 --> 00:03:32,960 Speaker 3: This is where things start to get very very interesting. 75 00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:34,920 Speaker 3: Good to year from you tonight, O double one, double 76 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:37,240 Speaker 3: A three oh seven oh two two one four four, 77 00:03:37,320 --> 00:03:39,280 Speaker 3: six oh five sixty seven and voice notes of course 78 00:03:39,320 --> 00:03:42,560 Speaker 3: on seven two seven oh two one seven oh two. 79 00:03:42,680 --> 00:03:46,280 Speaker 3: How are you feeling ahead of midnight Tuesday night when 80 00:03:46,320 --> 00:03:49,320 Speaker 3: fuel prices go up? Eleven minutes now after six o'clock. 81 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 1: The Money Show with Stephen krudis live on ninety two 82 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:57,000 Speaker 1: point seven and one six FM, streaming on the Prime 83 00:03:57,040 --> 00:03:57,800 Speaker 1: Media Plus. 84 00:03:57,640 --> 00:03:59,760 Speaker 2: Map and TSTV Channel eight. 85 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:03,880 Speaker 3: Well still nothing that I can see on the Department 86 00:04:04,000 --> 00:04:07,440 Speaker 3: of Mineral Petroleum Resources WhatsApp group, the media WhatsApp group, 87 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:09,840 Speaker 3: which I'm expecting will get a sense of what fuel 88 00:04:09,840 --> 00:04:12,600 Speaker 3: prices are going to do. But I think you know 89 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:17,279 Speaker 3: by now we're expecting the biggest monthly increase in fuel 90 00:04:17,320 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 3: prices in recent history. Please to tell you that about 91 00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:25,039 Speaker 3: Funny ture Falaro, the CEO of the Fuel Industry Association 92 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 3: of South Africa's in the studio sitting oppositely now about Funny. 93 00:04:28,240 --> 00:04:30,360 Speaker 3: Good evening. I really do appreciate you coming in. Thank 94 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:33,120 Speaker 3: you so much. I know you'll have a very well 95 00:04:33,120 --> 00:04:35,680 Speaker 3: informed guest. I don't know if you'll share it with me. 96 00:04:35,800 --> 00:04:37,760 Speaker 3: What are you expecting to happen tomorrow night. 97 00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:42,520 Speaker 5: Well, I'm expecting the normal fuel price adjustment in the 98 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:46,359 Speaker 5: form of basic fuel price. I'm in adjustment on the 99 00:04:46,440 --> 00:04:50,279 Speaker 5: basis of the under recovery that everyone has been talking about. 100 00:04:50,520 --> 00:04:54,400 Speaker 5: I'm also expecting to see the adjustment to the magister 101 00:04:54,680 --> 00:04:59,800 Speaker 5: district zones, which are predominantly informed by the tariff increase 102 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:05,839 Speaker 5: on the transmit pipelines. And obviously there's texts the levies 103 00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:08,159 Speaker 5: that has been announced by the Minister of finance. I 104 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:12,080 Speaker 5: mean in February, that's what I'm expecting. I'm basically expecting 105 00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:17,760 Speaker 5: a normal fuel price adjustment, which will typically happen every April. 106 00:05:19,360 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 3: But I mean in terms of actual numbers. I mean, 107 00:05:21,800 --> 00:05:24,839 Speaker 3: there are various variables, and we don't know all of those. 108 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:28,360 Speaker 3: We know most of them. I suppose five rand a 109 00:05:28,440 --> 00:05:30,400 Speaker 3: leader for petrol. Does that sound about right to you? 110 00:05:31,480 --> 00:05:33,640 Speaker 3: Maybe on the upper limit. 111 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 5: I mean I just saw the numbers I mean off 112 00:05:36,640 --> 00:05:40,640 Speaker 5: adjustment in LESU too earlier today. I think the petrol 113 00:05:40,640 --> 00:05:43,800 Speaker 5: has been adjusted by more than six rand, diesel by 114 00:05:43,839 --> 00:05:48,560 Speaker 5: like thirteen red. So I'm expecting at least for South 115 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:51,880 Speaker 5: Africa something like six rand. If we add everything else 116 00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:58,280 Speaker 5: BFP levies and the magister district zones adjustment, and on 117 00:05:58,320 --> 00:06:02,960 Speaker 5: the diesel, I'm expecting anything around them in tendrand. Patrol, sorry, 118 00:06:02,960 --> 00:06:07,680 Speaker 5: paraffin probably eleven rand lpg for a friend pig logram. 119 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:09,240 Speaker 3: I mean ten round for diesel. That's huge. I mean, 120 00:06:09,279 --> 00:06:11,640 Speaker 3: that's a massive that's a massive increase. 121 00:06:12,360 --> 00:06:15,640 Speaker 5: We have never seen anything like that. It's quite scary 122 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 5: if you have to think about it. I mean, I 123 00:06:18,120 --> 00:06:21,840 Speaker 5: always think about people who like me and buy products 124 00:06:21,880 --> 00:06:25,280 Speaker 5: in bulk. So if you are a mine in do 125 00:06:25,400 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 5: you consume let's say, three hundred thousand liters per a month, 126 00:06:30,600 --> 00:06:33,120 Speaker 5: Suddenly must my apply that by ten? I mean that's 127 00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 5: quite a significant I mean a chunk of money. 128 00:06:37,160 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 3: I would imagine there's going to be huge pressure on 129 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:41,800 Speaker 3: filling stations right now. I'm sure people are queuing that 130 00:06:41,880 --> 00:06:44,360 Speaker 3: were already this morning. Have you been able to make 131 00:06:44,360 --> 00:06:46,400 Speaker 3: sure there's enough supply in the country. 132 00:06:47,360 --> 00:06:52,240 Speaker 5: The supply for products in the country is stable. We've 133 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:55,440 Speaker 5: got sufficient stock levels. I know people have been reporting 134 00:06:55,480 --> 00:06:59,560 Speaker 5: about dry size, particularly on diesel. Actually I took a 135 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:02,440 Speaker 5: chance this morning because I was listening to Clement while 136 00:07:02,480 --> 00:07:05,120 Speaker 5: I was driving. I happened to be in the FOURT 137 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:08,360 Speaker 5: area near montic Casina. I decided to get into one 138 00:07:08,400 --> 00:07:11,200 Speaker 5: of the serving stations to see I drive a diesel car, 139 00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:13,880 Speaker 5: and then I went in. They never asked me, like 140 00:07:14,160 --> 00:07:17,760 Speaker 5: if I want the men to full time or not. 141 00:07:18,080 --> 00:07:21,360 Speaker 5: They just like say, okay, come go this. So yes, 142 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:24,040 Speaker 5: there are reports of sides that are running dry because 143 00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:28,800 Speaker 5: of panic buying, and I expect that number to increase 144 00:07:28,840 --> 00:07:32,520 Speaker 5: something quite significantly to double. Currently the number is still 145 00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:37,760 Speaker 5: less than two hundred sites that dry on diesel, but 146 00:07:37,880 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 5: that number keeps on changing. So that is the number 147 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:45,760 Speaker 5: probably that was reported this morning. So tomorrow, by this time, 148 00:07:45,920 --> 00:07:48,720 Speaker 5: I'm sure it's going to be crious out there, so 149 00:07:49,160 --> 00:07:52,560 Speaker 5: everybody will want to beat me this massive price adjustment. 150 00:07:53,120 --> 00:07:55,880 Speaker 5: But I anticipate that we're going to have to recover 151 00:07:56,120 --> 00:07:59,280 Speaker 5: come the first and second of April to catch up 152 00:07:59,320 --> 00:08:02,320 Speaker 5: on those sides that will potentially have me drive I 153 00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 5: mean pop products. 154 00:08:04,720 --> 00:08:06,880 Speaker 3: Government has said in the past they're not worried about 155 00:08:06,920 --> 00:08:11,000 Speaker 3: fuel shortages. They talk about us getting supply from Nigeria. 156 00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:14,160 Speaker 3: We also, of course have sasol, which is about about 157 00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:18,040 Speaker 3: a third called thirty percent of our fuel needs. No 158 00:08:18,080 --> 00:08:20,040 Speaker 3: one knows how long this conflict is going to go 159 00:08:20,120 --> 00:08:22,560 Speaker 3: on for or more bluntly, how long the straight up 160 00:08:22,720 --> 00:08:26,840 Speaker 3: mus will be closed over the longer term. Are you 161 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:28,960 Speaker 3: worried about a problem a supply issue? 162 00:08:30,080 --> 00:08:34,760 Speaker 5: So, Stephen, if you think about it, when this was that, 163 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:38,280 Speaker 5: we thought it's going to be at least maximum two weeks, yeah, 164 00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:42,800 Speaker 5: and it's now a month, and I mean the price 165 00:08:42,880 --> 00:08:45,839 Speaker 5: of oil is not coming down, is still above hundred 166 00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:53,520 Speaker 5: men and depending on what happens next, So if the 167 00:08:54,040 --> 00:08:57,520 Speaker 5: conflict I mean escalate we don't know what does that 168 00:08:57,800 --> 00:09:01,000 Speaker 5: mean for us, but at least based on what has 169 00:09:01,040 --> 00:09:04,640 Speaker 5: happened in the past four weeks, if we look at that, 170 00:09:05,280 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 5: because the disruption have been minimal in terms of the 171 00:09:08,120 --> 00:09:11,679 Speaker 5: imports that are coming our way. So if it continues 172 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:14,080 Speaker 5: on that level, we are fine. I mean we should 173 00:09:14,080 --> 00:09:16,920 Speaker 5: be okay because we are receiving imports of both them 174 00:09:16,920 --> 00:09:21,559 Speaker 5: in crude oil and products and just spaar in mind 175 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:25,640 Speaker 5: that I mean the supply sources for crude oil has 176 00:09:25,720 --> 00:09:28,560 Speaker 5: changed significantly in the past ten years. We are more 177 00:09:29,520 --> 00:09:34,839 Speaker 5: heavily dependent in the continent now Nigeria and gold and Kanna. 178 00:09:34,880 --> 00:09:37,720 Speaker 5: They are very key in terms of supply of crude work. 179 00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:43,000 Speaker 5: But products, that's where there's volatility there because you're not 180 00:09:43,120 --> 00:09:45,959 Speaker 5: going to be the only country that's looking for alternative 181 00:09:46,000 --> 00:09:49,840 Speaker 5: and supply sources. So but we are still at this 182 00:09:49,960 --> 00:09:53,680 Speaker 5: point in time, I mean being able to import products. 183 00:09:54,160 --> 00:09:55,920 Speaker 5: I mean, if we just look at what's happening in 184 00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:59,840 Speaker 5: other Lackman countries, I mean they are like significant measures 185 00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:01,720 Speaker 5: where people are reationing products. 186 00:10:01,800 --> 00:10:05,480 Speaker 3: We are not there as a country. When the fuel 187 00:10:05,520 --> 00:10:08,840 Speaker 3: price jumps by this much, is there going to be 188 00:10:08,880 --> 00:10:12,440 Speaker 3: a longer term impact on your industry, because anyone who 189 00:10:12,520 --> 00:10:16,079 Speaker 3: had even been thinking of making alternative plans. I mean, 190 00:10:16,120 --> 00:10:19,640 Speaker 3: at least one of our major supermarkets supplies most of 191 00:10:19,679 --> 00:10:23,959 Speaker 3: its stores through an electrically driven fleet. Right, they're getting 192 00:10:23,960 --> 00:10:26,960 Speaker 3: electricity I presumed from solar installations, and I imagine some 193 00:10:27,080 --> 00:10:32,319 Speaker 3: from ESCAM. Surely anyone else making you know, considering how 194 00:10:32,520 --> 00:10:34,880 Speaker 3: considering the future after this is going to do the 195 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:36,360 Speaker 3: same thing. Is this going to be one of those 196 00:10:36,400 --> 00:10:40,360 Speaker 3: moments maybe we look back with a fuel industry change. 197 00:10:40,520 --> 00:10:41,240 Speaker 6: Yeah, so. 198 00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:46,359 Speaker 5: Look, this is going to, like me, give us opportunity 199 00:10:46,400 --> 00:10:51,120 Speaker 5: to put things into perspective. One thing that you need 200 00:10:51,160 --> 00:10:54,600 Speaker 5: to remember, if especially you are considering buying a car, 201 00:10:55,120 --> 00:10:58,560 Speaker 5: in your vehicle, you'll start to make a cerrus comparison 202 00:10:58,679 --> 00:11:01,480 Speaker 5: between their alternative. I mean, I mean like a sort 203 00:11:01,520 --> 00:11:04,440 Speaker 5: of technology. You look at the hybrid, you look at 204 00:11:04,480 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 5: their pure like I'm in ev and they compared to 205 00:11:07,240 --> 00:11:10,440 Speaker 5: the ice engine to see, like I mean, like in 206 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:14,920 Speaker 5: the long term, what are they savings? But the other 207 00:11:15,040 --> 00:11:17,920 Speaker 5: thing that is like evident is that I mean the 208 00:11:18,120 --> 00:11:22,040 Speaker 5: fossil fuels of petrol and diesel still they've got a 209 00:11:22,200 --> 00:11:26,360 Speaker 5: very significant role to play in the global economy. I mean, 210 00:11:26,400 --> 00:11:29,479 Speaker 5: if you look at what is happening in Europe in particular, 211 00:11:29,520 --> 00:11:32,160 Speaker 5: where they've really made progress in terms of like a 212 00:11:32,240 --> 00:11:36,200 Speaker 5: new vehicle technology, but still they are jumping up and 213 00:11:36,240 --> 00:11:40,240 Speaker 5: down because of this crisis. So yes, it's going to 214 00:11:40,280 --> 00:11:43,319 Speaker 5: give us something like some options in terms of seriously 215 00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:46,480 Speaker 5: considering I mean like alternatives in terms of what we're 216 00:11:46,520 --> 00:11:46,959 Speaker 5: seeing now. 217 00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:49,600 Speaker 3: There is supposed to be a new task team. The 218 00:11:49,640 --> 00:11:52,079 Speaker 3: President sort of refer to the something you were speaking 219 00:11:52,120 --> 00:11:58,960 Speaker 3: at a NANC conference yesterday. Members of the Department of Finance, Energy, 220 00:11:58,960 --> 00:12:01,680 Speaker 3: et cetera. Have they been a touch with you at all? 221 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:05,559 Speaker 5: Well, I suppose those are government specific issues that have 222 00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:08,880 Speaker 5: nothing to do with us as private I mean players. 223 00:12:09,360 --> 00:12:12,680 Speaker 5: So we just read about it like I mean, just 224 00:12:12,720 --> 00:12:15,640 Speaker 5: like members of public, we also like wait to hear 225 00:12:15,679 --> 00:12:19,680 Speaker 5: what's their outcome. So we've got no interest nor desire 226 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:22,560 Speaker 5: to be part of those discussions because I will presume 227 00:12:22,679 --> 00:12:24,800 Speaker 5: are very difficult conversations. 228 00:12:25,280 --> 00:12:27,880 Speaker 3: I've a fanning Chafalaro. Really do appreciate you coming in. 229 00:12:27,920 --> 00:12:30,320 Speaker 3: Thank you very much. Indeed, the CEO of the Fuel 230 00:12:30,320 --> 00:12:34,199 Speaker 3: Industry Association of South Africa twenty minutes after six the time, 231 00:12:34,280 --> 00:12:37,600 Speaker 3: Jo hand Else is the chief economist at the PSG group. Youohan, 232 00:12:37,720 --> 00:12:40,040 Speaker 3: good evening, and thank you for your time. So we 233 00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:42,800 Speaker 3: have a task team. Are there really any options for 234 00:12:42,840 --> 00:12:45,920 Speaker 3: government to try and lessen the pain? I can't have. 235 00:12:46,320 --> 00:12:49,680 Speaker 3: I can't think of anything obvious by. 236 00:12:49,679 --> 00:12:50,640 Speaker 6: Stephen good Evening. 237 00:12:51,720 --> 00:12:55,320 Speaker 7: Yeah, you know, I think back to the president that 238 00:12:55,520 --> 00:13:00,240 Speaker 7: was created in twenty twenty two when government also cut 239 00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:03,200 Speaker 7: the fuel levy for a few months, cut the fuel 240 00:13:03,240 --> 00:13:06,319 Speaker 7: levy by one round fifty per liter for three months 241 00:13:06,320 --> 00:13:06,839 Speaker 7: in a row. 242 00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:11,679 Speaker 3: So we could do that, but presumably that money has 243 00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:15,600 Speaker 3: to come from somewhere. The pandemic scrambled many things in 244 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:18,640 Speaker 3: government finances. I mean, and even if we did cut 245 00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:20,240 Speaker 3: the fuel levy a little bit, would it make much 246 00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:23,040 Speaker 3: difference considering the scale of this increase diesel probably ten 247 00:13:23,080 --> 00:13:23,600 Speaker 3: round a liter. 248 00:13:24,800 --> 00:13:31,680 Speaker 7: Yeah, So I think that specifically, because they budgeted very 249 00:13:31,720 --> 00:13:35,880 Speaker 7: conservatively in this past budget for revenue from mining taxes, 250 00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:38,480 Speaker 7: I think there is some room in the budget without 251 00:13:38,520 --> 00:13:43,200 Speaker 7: breaking the previously assumed budget balance numbers and the debt 252 00:13:43,280 --> 00:13:46,720 Speaker 7: ratio numbers. I did some calculations this often beneath they 253 00:13:46,800 --> 00:13:49,000 Speaker 7: cut a few levee by two runds a liter for 254 00:13:49,040 --> 00:13:52,199 Speaker 7: two months. That's around eight and a half billion round 255 00:13:52,280 --> 00:13:56,960 Speaker 7: worth of cost that they will forego. Now, in twenty 256 00:13:57,040 --> 00:14:00,000 Speaker 7: twenty two, the cost was around ten and a half billion. 257 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:03,200 Speaker 7: They've got that money through selling some of the strategic 258 00:14:03,280 --> 00:14:06,280 Speaker 7: fuel reserves. This time around, we haven't got a lot there, 259 00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:10,000 Speaker 7: I assume, But as I say, the budget was very conservative, 260 00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:13,520 Speaker 7: so there's some room in the budget. And while it's 261 00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:16,920 Speaker 7: still a big hefty increase, if we then sit with 262 00:14:17,040 --> 00:14:23,359 Speaker 7: forurand Ale to increase, I think then, according to my numbers, 263 00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:26,640 Speaker 7: inflation in April jump to three point seven percent and 264 00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:29,680 Speaker 7: not four point two, which would have been the case 265 00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:34,040 Speaker 7: with a six rand increase. And I think that's almost 266 00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:37,640 Speaker 7: the difference between an imminent rate hike or not. So 267 00:14:37,680 --> 00:14:40,600 Speaker 7: I think we'll give the consumers a little bit of 268 00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:44,160 Speaker 7: the way, not much, but some, but it will make 269 00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:46,760 Speaker 7: a material difference in terms of the inflation numbers, and 270 00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:52,800 Speaker 7: perhaps we won't need an interest rate hike in the cycle. 271 00:14:52,680 --> 00:14:54,960 Speaker 3: And all of the consequences of that all At the 272 00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:58,080 Speaker 3: same time, one of the things government's been very clear 273 00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:00,360 Speaker 3: to do, and the Finances has been very care on, 274 00:15:00,480 --> 00:15:03,560 Speaker 3: is trying to reduce our debt. Now in a situation 275 00:15:03,800 --> 00:15:07,360 Speaker 3: like this, does that really matter. I mean, death always matters, obviously, 276 00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 3: but in terms of how people view our debt, you know, 277 00:15:12,040 --> 00:15:15,120 Speaker 3: everyone was so excited we were beginning to reduce it. 278 00:15:15,720 --> 00:15:19,360 Speaker 3: In a situation like this, I would imagine most international 279 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:22,680 Speaker 3: people watching US would completely understand a government trying to 280 00:15:22,680 --> 00:15:25,200 Speaker 3: stay more for an interest rate. I can doing it 281 00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:27,640 Speaker 3: in a very responsible way if it were done correctly. 282 00:15:28,920 --> 00:15:33,080 Speaker 7: Absolutely I agree with you. I think find investors' ratings, agencies, 283 00:15:33,080 --> 00:15:34,880 Speaker 7: et cetera. I would see this in the light of 284 00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:38,160 Speaker 7: the crisis that has been created by this Middle East Wall, 285 00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:43,720 Speaker 7: other countries going through similar situations trying to lessen the 286 00:15:43,760 --> 00:15:44,880 Speaker 7: impact on consumers. 287 00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:48,200 Speaker 8: I think, yeah, we don't. 288 00:15:48,000 --> 00:15:49,960 Speaker 7: Know, as you said earlier in the previous interview, we 289 00:15:49,960 --> 00:15:50,720 Speaker 7: don't know how long. 290 00:15:50,640 --> 00:15:51,200 Speaker 8: This will last. 291 00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:53,160 Speaker 7: But I think there's lots of pressure on the US 292 00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:57,160 Speaker 7: government internally and externally into ENDUS as quickly as possible. 293 00:15:57,320 --> 00:16:00,680 Speaker 8: Still, if they managed to. 294 00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:03,120 Speaker 7: Lessen the impact on South African consumers for a couple 295 00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:06,280 Speaker 7: of months before reverting that fuel levy to the normal level, 296 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:10,240 Speaker 7: and we then get a somewhat lower inflation outcome, and 297 00:16:10,400 --> 00:16:12,640 Speaker 7: then we're only in terms of interest rates, we see 298 00:16:12,960 --> 00:16:16,320 Speaker 7: a delay in further cuts and not the need for 299 00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:19,360 Speaker 7: a high I think tacking all of that together, I 300 00:16:19,400 --> 00:16:22,560 Speaker 7: think final investors, ratings, agencies, everybody. 301 00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:25,360 Speaker 8: Would see that that's the better outcome. 302 00:16:25,760 --> 00:16:29,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, very much, sir. I've got two extreme scenarios for you, 303 00:16:29,680 --> 00:16:33,200 Speaker 3: one better than the other. I mean, as you as 304 00:16:33,240 --> 00:16:35,400 Speaker 3: everyone is probably going to say, until this thing ends, 305 00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:37,800 Speaker 3: no one knows what's going to happen. But the president 306 00:16:37,880 --> 00:16:40,960 Speaker 3: of Egypt today said, if it doesn't end soon, we 307 00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:44,360 Speaker 3: could end up with oil at two hundred dollars a barrel. 308 00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:48,080 Speaker 3: I mean, it's the probably things you don't want to 309 00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:50,040 Speaker 3: think about. But what happens to our economy if it 310 00:16:50,080 --> 00:16:52,360 Speaker 3: goes that far? I mean, do we have an economy 311 00:16:52,360 --> 00:16:53,240 Speaker 3: if it goes that far? 312 00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:57,760 Speaker 7: Yeah, well, it's it's same as previous scenarios when we 313 00:16:57,800 --> 00:17:01,080 Speaker 7: saw significant spike in the oil price, whether that's at two, 314 00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:05,040 Speaker 7: one and fifty, I don't think really matters. I think 315 00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:09,040 Speaker 7: what happens immediately you see a global slump, you see 316 00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:12,159 Speaker 7: recession globally because oil is a big cost input not 317 00:17:12,280 --> 00:17:15,119 Speaker 7: only for business but for consumers as well, So everybody 318 00:17:15,359 --> 00:17:16,400 Speaker 7: cuts back on spending. 319 00:17:16,480 --> 00:17:17,800 Speaker 8: That causes a recession. 320 00:17:18,359 --> 00:17:22,680 Speaker 7: But that demand slump then immediately causes the oil price 321 00:17:22,720 --> 00:17:25,160 Speaker 7: to collapse. So in the past, and when you look 322 00:17:25,160 --> 00:17:27,760 Speaker 7: at the oil price cycles, whenever you've seen a spike 323 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:32,520 Speaker 7: like this, pretty soon oil just collapses. But of course 324 00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:36,160 Speaker 7: that creates lots of volatility, it creates recessions. But then 325 00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:40,000 Speaker 7: central banks starts cutting rates pretty soon because of that 326 00:17:40,119 --> 00:17:43,560 Speaker 7: weak demand, the negative impact, and if we take that 327 00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:48,359 Speaker 7: step further, the big increase in petrol prices we discussed. 328 00:17:48,400 --> 00:17:51,639 Speaker 7: Whether it's four or six doesn't matter, but that's almost 329 00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:56,200 Speaker 7: a deflationary scenario. We pay more for petrol, but we've 330 00:17:56,240 --> 00:17:59,600 Speaker 7: got less to pay for other things or buy other things, 331 00:17:59,600 --> 00:18:03,800 Speaker 7: so there's downward pressure on other prices. Yes, there's there's 332 00:18:03,800 --> 00:18:06,480 Speaker 7: a risk that reserve bank sets with that, it creates 333 00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:13,160 Speaker 7: higher inflation expectations. But in terms of your question, volatility 334 00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:15,920 Speaker 7: like that creates lots of uncertainty, It creates a recession. 335 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 7: Central banks step in, so economies markets lots of volatility, 336 00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:24,040 Speaker 7: but then we revert quickly back to where we were. 337 00:18:23,880 --> 00:18:27,280 Speaker 3: Before, and the other side of the war stops tomorrow, 338 00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:31,000 Speaker 3: and who knows. I presume oil prices don't go back 339 00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:34,080 Speaker 3: to normal. It would take some time to restore faith 340 00:18:34,080 --> 00:18:37,119 Speaker 3: in the markets. But I imagine quite difficult to know 341 00:18:37,280 --> 00:18:38,920 Speaker 3: a month, few months, who knows. 342 00:18:39,400 --> 00:18:39,560 Speaker 9: Now. 343 00:18:39,640 --> 00:18:41,800 Speaker 7: Part of that scenario should, of course, as you said earlier, 344 00:18:41,800 --> 00:18:44,320 Speaker 7: be complete opening of the strait of our moves. 345 00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:46,400 Speaker 8: But let's assume that happens. So I think the oplace 346 00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:47,480 Speaker 8: will fall pretty quickly. 347 00:18:48,080 --> 00:18:52,960 Speaker 7: Part of this significant increase has been because trade is 348 00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:56,680 Speaker 7: buying up lots of oil and then if suddenly there's 349 00:18:56,680 --> 00:18:59,320 Speaker 7: no need and they start selling, and then suddenly there's 350 00:18:59,359 --> 00:19:04,159 Speaker 7: a lot of excess supply, whereas demand has been weakened somewhat. 351 00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:06,400 Speaker 7: I think the old price could actually fall back right 352 00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:07,199 Speaker 7: back to sixty. 353 00:19:08,440 --> 00:19:10,680 Speaker 3: Sure. Imagine there'll be a show and then. 354 00:19:10,600 --> 00:19:13,359 Speaker 7: Petrol prices and then petrol prices coming off as well. 355 00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:16,360 Speaker 7: If we again, if we can look to twenty twenty two, 356 00:19:17,200 --> 00:19:21,040 Speaker 7: in January, petrol prices was nineteen ran something eliter It 357 00:19:21,160 --> 00:19:25,000 Speaker 7: went up to twenty six by July, and then by 358 00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:27,760 Speaker 7: the end of the year was back at twenty and 359 00:19:27,800 --> 00:19:29,119 Speaker 7: that war is still ongoing. 360 00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:32,840 Speaker 3: Indeed, Johan Alice, thank you that we ended with more 361 00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:36,160 Speaker 3: cheerful scenario. The chief economist at the PSD Group. It's 362 00:19:36,160 --> 00:19:39,920 Speaker 3: twenty seven minutes now after six o'clock, the money show, 363 00:19:40,200 --> 00:19:44,480 Speaker 3: the market Arthur Carris's portfolio manager at Macro Solutions at 364 00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:48,600 Speaker 3: the old mutual Investment Group, Arthur good Evening one or 365 00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:51,480 Speaker 3: two things to pick through. I mean FNB a few 366 00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 3: big changes there, but of a restructuring. Harry Kellen steps down. 367 00:19:55,320 --> 00:19:58,320 Speaker 3: He's sort of taking earlier retirement only CEO for two years. 368 00:19:58,480 --> 00:19:59,680 Speaker 3: How do you view all of that? 369 00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:04,399 Speaker 4: Well, First National Bank or First Round as a whole 370 00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:08,320 Speaker 4: has got a very strong bench of really good managers 371 00:20:08,359 --> 00:20:11,639 Speaker 4: in their underlying businesses. So often the people that they 372 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:14,679 Speaker 4: point to the chief executives of their major divisions are 373 00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:16,639 Speaker 4: people that are in the running to be CEO of 374 00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:19,520 Speaker 4: the group at some time. So I would pay attention 375 00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:21,920 Speaker 4: to these management changes. It's telling you who the next 376 00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:26,080 Speaker 4: generation is that the top leadership is going to come from. 377 00:20:26,320 --> 00:20:29,919 Speaker 4: Harry isn't an interesting situation. He was chief financial officer 378 00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:34,120 Speaker 4: of the group for about ten years before he kind 379 00:20:34,160 --> 00:20:36,840 Speaker 4: of took a sideways, more than operational role. 380 00:20:36,880 --> 00:20:37,879 Speaker 3: I guess you could call. 381 00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:42,360 Speaker 4: It in running that business, and perhaps I don't did 382 00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:45,320 Speaker 4: exact reasoning behind it, but perhaps it was a bit 383 00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:48,520 Speaker 4: of a filling a gap while they waited for the 384 00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:50,000 Speaker 4: right person to run the bank. 385 00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:55,000 Speaker 3: The other big move Natie Kersh obviously, as South African 386 00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:58,359 Speaker 3: made the point earlier. His brother is he founded the 387 00:20:58,359 --> 00:21:02,600 Speaker 3: company that founded this radio station, his Jetro food service business. 388 00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:05,239 Speaker 3: He's selling it to Cisco. This is really primarily an 389 00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:06,040 Speaker 3: American deal. 390 00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:10,080 Speaker 4: Quite a lot of money involved, yes, the housteal turning 391 00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:13,959 Speaker 4: round billion dollars and and nerdy Kersch I believe ow 392 00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:18,760 Speaker 4: is about seventy five percent of that business. So's he's 393 00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:23,440 Speaker 4: ninety so looking I guess to settle up his business affairs. 394 00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:26,000 Speaker 4: It's been a very successful business. It's been there for 395 00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:28,920 Speaker 4: a very very long time. It would potentially have made 396 00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:32,040 Speaker 4: a really good or an interesting acquisition for the sy 397 00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:37,159 Speaker 4: African Bidcore business, which is in the same industry. But 398 00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:40,040 Speaker 4: the whole bit Corps was about eight billion dollars, so 399 00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:42,879 Speaker 4: that would have been a pretty pretty hard deal for 400 00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:44,000 Speaker 4: them to get done. 401 00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:49,960 Speaker 3: On the markets today, oil obviously stronger. Aluminium price is 402 00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:52,840 Speaker 3: up because of that Iranian attack in the Middle East, 403 00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:55,320 Speaker 3: and that puts sound thirty two up quite strongly. 404 00:21:56,600 --> 00:21:56,760 Speaker 2: Well. 405 00:21:56,800 --> 00:21:59,880 Speaker 4: Aluminium. The key thing with aluminum is, in fact, any 406 00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:03,679 Speaker 4: so box site is plentiful, it's not very expensive, but 407 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:06,600 Speaker 4: what you need is energy to convert it. If you remember, 408 00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:11,399 Speaker 4: we've got these these aluminum smelters in Richard's Bay that 409 00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:14,440 Speaker 4: are all about when that put together, when ESCOM had 410 00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:18,080 Speaker 4: excess energy, so we imported the box site we smelted it, 411 00:22:18,119 --> 00:22:21,879 Speaker 4: so effectively we're exporting energy. So when the price of 412 00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:24,560 Speaker 4: energy starts to go up, then the price of aluminium 413 00:22:24,640 --> 00:22:27,639 Speaker 4: has to tack up to take that into account. Therefore, 414 00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:30,560 Speaker 4: you've got a lot of these aluminium plants in the 415 00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:34,320 Speaker 4: Middle East where there's lots of plentiful energy close by, 416 00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:37,760 Speaker 4: so that's having an impact on the aluminium price. 417 00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:40,840 Speaker 3: Thank you very much. Indeed, Arthur Carris has brought folio 418 00:22:40,960 --> 00:22:44,000 Speaker 3: manager at Macro Solutions at the Old Mutual Investment Group, 419 00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:45,280 Speaker 3: bringing the time to six thirty. 420 00:22:45,520 --> 00:22:50,800 Speaker 2: What's up to see them on seventy two two one. 421 00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:53,119 Speaker 3: Twenty three minutes to seven. I'm just sort of thinking 422 00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:57,000 Speaker 3: about my trip to the petrol station earlier today and 423 00:22:57,359 --> 00:22:58,840 Speaker 3: I was lucky enough to be able to do it 424 00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:01,320 Speaker 3: during sort of working hours. Many people would not be. 425 00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:03,879 Speaker 3: I know many people will also be waiting until the 426 00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:07,359 Speaker 3: last minute tomorrow. I completely understand that does depend also 427 00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:10,320 Speaker 3: where you are, where the filling station is, your roots 428 00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:12,240 Speaker 3: and all of that sort of thing. Can you hear 429 00:23:12,280 --> 00:23:15,320 Speaker 3: your experiences though, are just normal. I mean I've been 430 00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:18,240 Speaker 3: to a filling station in a kind of the biggest 431 00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:21,520 Speaker 3: traveling day of the year, you know. I think December fifteenth, 432 00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:23,760 Speaker 3: a couple of years ago was huge. You get to 433 00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:26,239 Speaker 3: one of the filling stations in harry Smith. I mean, 434 00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:29,080 Speaker 3: anyone going to Cazaden is probably going to stop there. 435 00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:31,920 Speaker 3: They had about three times as many staff as they 436 00:23:31,920 --> 00:23:35,080 Speaker 3: normally do. They had a DJ on the four Courts, 437 00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:38,320 Speaker 3: which was actually quite fun. I mean that gave it 438 00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:41,040 Speaker 3: a vibe, you know. I mean I hadn't seen a 439 00:23:41,160 --> 00:23:43,040 Speaker 3: DJ on the four Court before, but maybe I just 440 00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:46,440 Speaker 3: hadn't lived and that was pretty cool, and I thought, 441 00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:48,280 Speaker 3: actually there might be a way for someone to roll 442 00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:51,760 Speaker 3: with the punch on a holiday though start of a holiday. 443 00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:54,560 Speaker 3: A DJ on a four court works when everyone's going 444 00:23:54,600 --> 00:23:58,560 Speaker 3: in grudge grudge to do this now, maybe not so much. 445 00:23:59,040 --> 00:24:02,760 Speaker 3: Recommendations on a playlist please for the fuel price increase 446 00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:06,560 Speaker 3: seven two seven two one seven twenty two minutes to seven. 447 00:24:07,280 --> 00:24:11,200 Speaker 1: The Lanly Show with Stephen Cruds Live on ninety two 448 00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:14,600 Speaker 1: point seven and one six FM, streaming on the Prime 449 00:24:14,640 --> 00:24:15,480 Speaker 1: Media Plus. 450 00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:18,160 Speaker 2: NAP and DStv channel eight five six. 451 00:24:18,200 --> 00:24:20,719 Speaker 3: We'll good to hear from you this evening. A report 452 00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:26,440 Speaker 3: on Bloomberg today Lissutu's Natural Resources Minister Machromi Moleko saying 453 00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 3: they'll be looking for more compensation for the money they 454 00:24:29,600 --> 00:24:32,800 Speaker 3: sent to us through the Suto Highlands Water Project. The 455 00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:35,000 Speaker 3: terms of the deal between US and the SUTU are 456 00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:37,600 Speaker 3: due to be discussed through the month of April. Professor 457 00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:40,159 Speaker 3: Mike Muller is a visiting professor in the School of 458 00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:43,480 Speaker 3: Governance at Its University, among many other roles that he's 459 00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:47,359 Speaker 3: played over the over the years. Mike, good evening, This 460 00:24:47,480 --> 00:24:50,400 Speaker 3: first deal was signed back nineteen eighty six. I think 461 00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:53,399 Speaker 3: it was. How is LSUTU compensated? Now, how does this 462 00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:55,119 Speaker 3: deal really work at the moment? 463 00:24:57,119 --> 00:24:59,920 Speaker 9: Well, I mean evening to you, Stephen and to your listen. 464 00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:03,560 Speaker 9: You know the deal has evolved over time, but the 465 00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:07,760 Speaker 9: basic principle is that South Africa saved a lot of 466 00:25:07,760 --> 00:25:11,840 Speaker 9: money by taking money taking water from Lasuu and instead 467 00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:14,560 Speaker 9: of pumping it up from the Orange River at Alimal North, 468 00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:18,920 Speaker 9: allowing it to run down from the mountain towards Karteng. 469 00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:22,280 Speaker 9: We saved a lot of money. We could have had 470 00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:25,120 Speaker 9: that other option, but it was agreed that if we 471 00:25:25,119 --> 00:25:29,399 Speaker 9: were going to use the Lasuitu territory to bring the 472 00:25:29,440 --> 00:25:32,240 Speaker 9: water to Karteng, we needed to pay lasuit To some 473 00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:36,320 Speaker 9: compensation and that compensation was calculated on the basis that 474 00:25:36,640 --> 00:25:39,359 Speaker 9: they were helping us to save money. They deserve the 475 00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:42,159 Speaker 9: share of that saving and they get more than half 476 00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:45,080 Speaker 9: of the value of the saving over time. 477 00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:52,720 Speaker 3: Now we seem to have lost Mike Malaver. I'm hoping 478 00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:53,240 Speaker 3: that there will. 479 00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:55,280 Speaker 9: Be basically that's got to be adjusted as inflation, as 480 00:25:55,400 --> 00:25:56,840 Speaker 9: to say South Africa money. 481 00:25:57,600 --> 00:25:59,560 Speaker 3: Sorry, are you hearing me? Yes, we are now, Mike. 482 00:25:59,600 --> 00:26:02,280 Speaker 3: We did you for a little bit of for a moment. 483 00:26:02,720 --> 00:26:05,760 Speaker 3: You were saying when we last heard you that Lasuita 484 00:26:05,800 --> 00:26:08,080 Speaker 3: needed to get over half of the money that we 485 00:26:08,080 --> 00:26:08,600 Speaker 3: were saving. 486 00:26:10,480 --> 00:26:13,120 Speaker 9: Yes, indeed, and you know, there've been some adjustments. They've 487 00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:15,720 Speaker 9: got to be operational costs that are covered. But the 488 00:26:15,760 --> 00:26:19,280 Speaker 9: basic principle has remained the same and it's done well 489 00:26:19,280 --> 00:26:21,800 Speaker 9: for both countries. South Africa has saved money and got 490 00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:24,960 Speaker 9: water reliably and Lasuta has got a reliable share of 491 00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:29,680 Speaker 9: revenue which doesn't change by the way, you know, because 492 00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:33,480 Speaker 9: they have a guaranteed supply from the dams and we 493 00:26:33,560 --> 00:26:36,320 Speaker 9: give them a guaranteed payment for the water. So it's 494 00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:40,439 Speaker 9: been working quite well. There is a problem though. It 495 00:26:40,520 --> 00:26:42,920 Speaker 9: is one of the major sources of revenue of Lasutu, 496 00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:46,040 Speaker 9: and quite frankly, every time there's a new government in Lasutu, 497 00:26:46,320 --> 00:26:48,400 Speaker 9: one of the things they look at and say, could 498 00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:51,480 Speaker 9: we squeeze some more money out of South Africa. It's 499 00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:56,520 Speaker 9: an unfortunate but obvious approach to take. It doesn't. 500 00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:03,600 Speaker 3: Oh year that seems to have disappeared. 501 00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:07,240 Speaker 9: Now they build strong relationships and it can be Now 502 00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:09,480 Speaker 9: I'm back again. Sorry, I'm in a cry and I 503 00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:11,919 Speaker 9: thought the university's internet was good, but it's not as 504 00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:13,119 Speaker 9: good as I thought? 505 00:27:13,359 --> 00:27:14,040 Speaker 3: Can you hear me? 506 00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:14,320 Speaker 10: Now? 507 00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:15,320 Speaker 9: I'll try and get. 508 00:27:16,080 --> 00:27:19,639 Speaker 3: Yes, we can, Mike, thank you. So okay, I understand 509 00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:23,040 Speaker 3: what you say. I mean, politics being politics. Is it 510 00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:25,840 Speaker 3: a simple thing to change or is it a pretty 511 00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:29,359 Speaker 3: kind of ironclad contract. I mean, if I were the 512 00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:32,800 Speaker 3: South African government, I'll be saying to listen to now, 513 00:27:32,800 --> 00:27:34,679 Speaker 3: hold on, you can't do this every time you have 514 00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:37,080 Speaker 3: an election or whatever. So we're now going to put 515 00:27:37,119 --> 00:27:37,919 Speaker 3: something in stone. 516 00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:43,080 Speaker 9: Yeah, I think that there is a provision to review 517 00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:47,000 Speaker 9: to the treaty, and that's the one side of it, 518 00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:49,639 Speaker 9: and there's got to be some good reason to do that, 519 00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:53,160 Speaker 9: and it's not obvious what that would be. Much more important, though, 520 00:27:53,640 --> 00:27:55,920 Speaker 9: there are other things that could be done in Lawsuitu 521 00:27:56,240 --> 00:27:58,800 Speaker 9: that will make a difference both to South Africa and 522 00:27:58,840 --> 00:28:02,240 Speaker 9: to Lasutu and increase income for La Suitu. And I 523 00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:04,359 Speaker 9: think it would be much more sensible to talk about 524 00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:06,760 Speaker 9: the options rather than a. 525 00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:12,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think we are probably going to have to 526 00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:15,160 Speaker 3: abandon this, even though it is one of the most 527 00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:17,639 Speaker 3: interesting conversations I can imagine moving about. 528 00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:20,080 Speaker 9: You know, let's have an argument on both to yield more, 529 00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:23,800 Speaker 9: to yield more for su than it does at the moment. 530 00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:27,080 Speaker 3: Just while we've got you, would electricity be an option? 531 00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:29,680 Speaker 3: Often when you have a dam, you can generate electricity. 532 00:28:29,760 --> 00:28:32,359 Speaker 3: Is that a conversation people could who should be having. 533 00:28:34,040 --> 00:28:37,159 Speaker 9: It's a conversation that's very much on the agenda. And 534 00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:39,640 Speaker 9: one of the problems is that La Suta has a 535 00:28:39,680 --> 00:28:44,640 Speaker 9: project for electricity related to the second phase of the 536 00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:48,280 Speaker 9: Suitor Project program, and they don't seem to want to 537 00:28:48,320 --> 00:28:49,120 Speaker 9: take it further. 538 00:28:52,120 --> 00:28:53,960 Speaker 3: All right, we'll have to leave that there. I think 539 00:28:54,240 --> 00:28:57,160 Speaker 3: we'll give up on that conversation for the moment. Unfortunately, 540 00:28:57,200 --> 00:29:00,240 Speaker 3: Professor Mike Manna, thank you. I do appreciate you to 541 00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:02,160 Speaker 3: do that. Visiting professor in the School of Governance at 542 00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:06,400 Speaker 3: Vits University. An interesting conversation, an important conversation too, because 543 00:29:06,760 --> 00:29:10,760 Speaker 3: and I mean, I'm no rocket scientist, I'm no hydrologists, 544 00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:13,120 Speaker 3: but I think you and I both know that if 545 00:29:13,120 --> 00:29:17,520 Speaker 3: we don't have some kind of agreement with LSUTU, well, 546 00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:21,160 Speaker 3: Ha TENG is in all sorts of trouble. And that's 547 00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:25,200 Speaker 3: a huge part of our economy. I can't really imagine 548 00:29:25,200 --> 00:29:27,240 Speaker 3: any other way to do it. And we know that 549 00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:29,640 Speaker 3: with the water we get from Nasutu currently, in the 550 00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:32,160 Speaker 3: amount that gets wasted, in the amount that we sort 551 00:29:32,200 --> 00:29:36,200 Speaker 3: of overuse, how important a source of water is. So 552 00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:39,840 Speaker 3: if that gets removed, we really are in very serious trouble. 553 00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:42,880 Speaker 3: I have to say, though, are's I think Professor Mallow 554 00:29:42,960 --> 00:29:45,320 Speaker 3: was sort of alluding to. We also give LASU to 555 00:29:45,400 --> 00:29:47,880 Speaker 3: money and this is a big source of income for them, 556 00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:50,680 Speaker 3: and as a result of that would be foolish, I think, 557 00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:54,480 Speaker 3: to sort of overplay their hand too much. But these 558 00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:56,560 Speaker 3: are some of the things that really we do need 559 00:29:56,600 --> 00:29:59,560 Speaker 3: to just see if we're able to that these are 560 00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:01,920 Speaker 3: some of the things that people are looking at. I 561 00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:04,280 Speaker 3: would also just say that when it comes to water, 562 00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:07,520 Speaker 3: it's just a reminder of how important it is to 563 00:30:07,600 --> 00:30:10,719 Speaker 3: think over the longer term. And so many of the 564 00:30:10,760 --> 00:30:13,640 Speaker 3: issues we have now are because we don't think over 565 00:30:13,640 --> 00:30:15,680 Speaker 3: the longer term. Our courts aren't big enough, we don't 566 00:30:15,680 --> 00:30:17,960 Speaker 3: have enough judges, we don't have enough teachers, we don't 567 00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:21,080 Speaker 3: have enough schools, even though we all knew for a 568 00:30:21,200 --> 00:30:24,880 Speaker 3: long time that our population was going to increase, and 569 00:30:24,920 --> 00:30:27,440 Speaker 3: so that's been the case with water as well. One 570 00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:29,800 Speaker 3: of the reasons we're where we are is that we 571 00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:32,480 Speaker 3: have not been keeping up with a base of development 572 00:30:32,520 --> 00:30:34,920 Speaker 3: in so many parts of Jobig and so many other 573 00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:38,520 Speaker 3: places too. And this really does require some long term 574 00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:41,280 Speaker 3: strategic thinking about what you're going to do, how are 575 00:30:41,320 --> 00:30:44,280 Speaker 3: you going to do it, which is the best outcome 576 00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:48,520 Speaker 3: for everybody, And that is something just something maybe we 577 00:30:48,600 --> 00:30:50,600 Speaker 3: need to think about a little bit more. So I'm 578 00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:53,720 Speaker 3: hoping at some point both here and in Lasutu, you 579 00:30:53,760 --> 00:30:57,280 Speaker 3: need this. In au democracies, you do need longer term thinking. 580 00:30:57,560 --> 00:31:01,440 Speaker 3: And we know and this happens that politicians are often 581 00:31:01,480 --> 00:31:03,760 Speaker 3: short terms and they're short term mist because of the 582 00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:07,720 Speaker 3: way that we make them correctly face elections. So interesting 583 00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:10,160 Speaker 3: just to see what's going to happen to that relationship 584 00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:13,640 Speaker 3: with Lucutu. It is absolutely something we will return to. 585 00:31:13,920 --> 00:31:16,160 Speaker 3: Good Year from you this evening on seven two seven 586 00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:19,040 Speaker 3: oh two one seven two. It's twelve minutes now to seven. 587 00:31:20,520 --> 00:31:21,120 Speaker 9: For money Show. 588 00:31:21,160 --> 00:31:24,560 Speaker 11: Stephen Krutez is brought to you by Absence Sponsorships, the 589 00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:28,719 Speaker 11: croud sponsor of the absurd gape Epic celebrating twenty years 590 00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:30,200 Speaker 11: of taking it to the trails. 591 00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:31,800 Speaker 6: Apps as are registered FSP. 592 00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:37,000 Speaker 3: Good Year from you this evening. Well, you would of 593 00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:40,440 Speaker 3: course have been watching the situation around fuel prices, and 594 00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:43,600 Speaker 3: they've been a few reminders today about how extensive and 595 00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:46,200 Speaker 3: long term the knock on effects of higher fuel prices 596 00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:49,720 Speaker 3: could be. First the Civil Confidence Index compiled by F 597 00:31:49,760 --> 00:31:51,720 Speaker 3: and B in the Bureau for Economic Research. This is 598 00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:55,400 Speaker 3: confidence in the civil construction industry, falling from fifty two 599 00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:58,000 Speaker 3: to forty three in the first three months of this year. 600 00:31:58,040 --> 00:32:01,200 Speaker 3: Then a warning from Master Build South Africa that fuel 601 00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:05,240 Speaker 3: prices could affect projects and crucially the agreements that government. 602 00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:07,800 Speaker 3: You can imagine the long term nature of some of 603 00:32:07,800 --> 00:32:10,720 Speaker 3: these agreements. Roy m nissis the executive director of master 604 00:32:10,760 --> 00:32:13,120 Speaker 3: Builder South Africa. Roy, good evening. I think you've had 605 00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:14,640 Speaker 3: to step out of something to speak to us, so 606 00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:17,360 Speaker 3: I really appreciate the time. Thank you. We all know 607 00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:21,000 Speaker 3: fuel prices affect the price of a construction project. How 608 00:32:21,040 --> 00:32:23,640 Speaker 3: worried are you about it knocking effects on your industry? 609 00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:29,320 Speaker 10: Yes, indeed, Stevin, we are one of the industries that 610 00:32:29,560 --> 00:32:34,160 Speaker 10: are directly affected by the fuel prices. This is so 611 00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:38,480 Speaker 10: because we rely a lot on it for our operations, 612 00:32:39,040 --> 00:32:44,200 Speaker 10: the transporting of the material, transporting of our employees to 613 00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:48,760 Speaker 10: construction site and the use of the machinery that we 614 00:32:48,880 --> 00:32:53,480 Speaker 10: use on site. So significant pushing of our costing goes 615 00:32:53,520 --> 00:32:57,400 Speaker 10: through full Well. So whenever there is a huge adjustment 616 00:32:57,880 --> 00:33:02,400 Speaker 10: of full well more, especially up what mental wealth, we will. 617 00:33:02,280 --> 00:33:03,040 Speaker 6: Suffer a lot. 618 00:33:03,840 --> 00:33:08,000 Speaker 3: I mean many contracts were signed long before anyone had 619 00:33:08,080 --> 00:33:10,840 Speaker 3: any idea that this could all happen. Could that lead 620 00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:13,160 Speaker 3: to quite a difficult situation. The last thing anyone wants 621 00:33:13,200 --> 00:33:15,680 Speaker 3: in a construction project is a dispute about the costs. 622 00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:22,920 Speaker 10: Yes, indeed, it will definitely affect project delivery timelines because 623 00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:26,880 Speaker 10: when you get to an into a contract, you agree 624 00:33:26,920 --> 00:33:31,120 Speaker 10: on a commencement date and the completion dates. So with 625 00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:38,200 Speaker 10: the high prices of material, patrol, diesel and other things, 626 00:33:38,320 --> 00:33:41,920 Speaker 10: it will definitely affect it in that manner, and in 627 00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:44,840 Speaker 10: some instances it will affect some of the projects in 628 00:33:44,920 --> 00:33:48,040 Speaker 10: terms of the dispute because when you are a mean 629 00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:52,320 Speaker 10: to build, you know your your your your your your 630 00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:56,440 Speaker 10: your your your your your your assets. For example, you're 631 00:33:56,440 --> 00:33:59,320 Speaker 10: building our tailor, I've got time frame within which it 632 00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:02,240 Speaker 10: had to start operating. If you're building a shopping center, 633 00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:04,800 Speaker 10: you've got a time frame within which it would be operating. 634 00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:08,120 Speaker 10: And if the act delease then and then the disputes 635 00:34:08,160 --> 00:34:11,000 Speaker 10: are declared, then it becomes a problem for us. So 636 00:34:11,400 --> 00:34:14,920 Speaker 10: it's very very much significant for us. It will as 637 00:34:14,960 --> 00:34:20,080 Speaker 10: well interrupt the procrammance circles because now contractors will have 638 00:34:20,200 --> 00:34:24,200 Speaker 10: to embark on looking at the agreement, trying to get 639 00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:28,640 Speaker 10: extension of time, trying to adjust the contract to factor 640 00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:33,680 Speaker 10: in those prices. Because in some instances I can tell 641 00:34:33,680 --> 00:34:36,080 Speaker 10: you without that in my mind that if I'm in 642 00:34:36,120 --> 00:34:40,000 Speaker 10: a project this are multi year I mean multi year projects. 643 00:34:40,040 --> 00:34:43,359 Speaker 10: If it were to continue with the pricing, that was 644 00:34:44,200 --> 00:34:47,080 Speaker 10: a greater pont at the beginning of the contract, you 645 00:34:47,080 --> 00:34:50,520 Speaker 10: can go without a profit. Profit margins in the construction 646 00:34:50,640 --> 00:34:52,319 Speaker 10: circles cadents are very very low. 647 00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:55,600 Speaker 3: I mean, I mean, and that's really the issue. So 648 00:34:56,040 --> 00:34:59,279 Speaker 3: if you're you know, someone involved in one of these projects, 649 00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:02,680 Speaker 3: how do you resolve it? What do you do? I mean, 650 00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:07,480 Speaker 3: do you actually try and have a conversation with your customer? 651 00:35:07,600 --> 00:35:10,000 Speaker 3: Do you do something like that now? I mean, do 652 00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:11,640 Speaker 3: you try and do it early on? 653 00:35:14,600 --> 00:35:20,040 Speaker 10: Yes, For contracts that have already been impered into a running, 654 00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:24,719 Speaker 10: the most prudent way to approach it is for the 655 00:35:25,040 --> 00:35:30,480 Speaker 10: parties to get together and try to spread this risk 656 00:35:30,640 --> 00:35:34,839 Speaker 10: because nobody knew about it at the point of contracting. 657 00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:37,879 Speaker 10: No one knew that would be in a situation where 658 00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:41,200 Speaker 10: we are now. So that is one of the areas 659 00:35:41,280 --> 00:35:45,640 Speaker 10: that were encouraging our members contractors in the name to say, 660 00:35:46,040 --> 00:35:50,480 Speaker 10: look at renegotiating the contracts and see if it can work. 661 00:35:50,560 --> 00:35:54,040 Speaker 10: It must work, because it is nothing like that happens 662 00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:56,440 Speaker 10: then it creates a problem. That's where you end up 663 00:35:56,480 --> 00:36:00,319 Speaker 10: with the dispute. But for contracts that had been that, 664 00:36:00,719 --> 00:36:05,520 Speaker 10: we encourage our members to actually lope very carefully. You know, 665 00:36:05,760 --> 00:36:08,759 Speaker 10: they are quoting requirements. It's not difficult, Stiven, because you 666 00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:12,960 Speaker 10: don't know. This time around it's you know, eight run 667 00:36:13,040 --> 00:36:15,480 Speaker 10: for desire. Next time it may be fourteen rund. The 668 00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:18,120 Speaker 10: other time it may be twenty RAM. So you can't 669 00:36:18,200 --> 00:36:21,560 Speaker 10: really tell exactly where you're going to be. So it's 670 00:36:21,600 --> 00:36:24,880 Speaker 10: something that needs to be continuous at this point in 671 00:36:24,920 --> 00:36:27,960 Speaker 10: time up until things becomes normal. But for now you 672 00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:29,120 Speaker 10: really do not know. 673 00:36:29,719 --> 00:36:31,880 Speaker 3: The other thing, Roy, if I were in your business, 674 00:36:32,040 --> 00:36:35,480 Speaker 3: and many businesses will be in this position, someone might 675 00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:38,160 Speaker 3: be in a negotiation about building a new shopping center 676 00:36:38,320 --> 00:36:41,000 Speaker 3: or something, and the client will just say, we need 677 00:36:41,040 --> 00:36:43,200 Speaker 3: to wait for this to be over because we can't 678 00:36:43,200 --> 00:36:46,400 Speaker 3: sign an agreement now I don't know what's going to happen. 679 00:36:46,400 --> 00:36:47,920 Speaker 3: And isn't that really a problem for you? 680 00:36:49,080 --> 00:36:51,560 Speaker 10: It's also a problem, and not only for us as 681 00:36:52,160 --> 00:36:55,000 Speaker 10: the sector, but it's a problem for the economy because 682 00:36:55,120 --> 00:36:59,000 Speaker 10: our sector is one of the drivers of economic growth. 683 00:36:59,160 --> 00:37:03,759 Speaker 10: So if you left project postponed up until the war 684 00:37:03,840 --> 00:37:06,200 Speaker 10: has ended, which we don't know when it's going to end, 685 00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:09,960 Speaker 10: it will it will effect. It will affect the economy, 686 00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:12,880 Speaker 10: and when the economy is affected, it affects the employment, 687 00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:17,640 Speaker 10: It affects you know, the economic development of you know, 688 00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:20,799 Speaker 10: the countries that it affects so many things did so 689 00:37:21,040 --> 00:37:25,200 Speaker 10: that will not be attainable. You know, option that the 690 00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:27,920 Speaker 10: right option is to look at ways in which we 691 00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:31,480 Speaker 10: can continue with the project. We can continue with the 692 00:37:31,560 --> 00:37:33,480 Speaker 10: work at the end, and we can continue even with 693 00:37:33,600 --> 00:37:37,040 Speaker 10: work that was planned to happen, because despite the fact 694 00:37:37,080 --> 00:37:41,120 Speaker 10: that there's war and interruptions, economy has to run on 695 00:37:41,160 --> 00:37:42,480 Speaker 10: the other side, you know. 696 00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:46,080 Speaker 3: I mean the other problem is some industries can maybe 697 00:37:46,120 --> 00:37:50,600 Speaker 3: avoid some film I mean costs in some ways, but 698 00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:53,320 Speaker 3: you can't. I can't imagine, you know, as a mixer 699 00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:55,280 Speaker 3: running on electricity. 700 00:37:56,040 --> 00:37:59,600 Speaker 10: That that is corrective in machinery a lot. So yeah, 701 00:37:59,640 --> 00:38:03,480 Speaker 10: it can be on electricity. It can be on electricity 702 00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:08,319 Speaker 10: and just a mere transportation of the the material, a 703 00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:11,680 Speaker 10: mere transportation of employees to the site. You know, you 704 00:38:11,760 --> 00:38:13,719 Speaker 10: can't use electricity. 705 00:38:14,160 --> 00:38:16,080 Speaker 3: I mean all of us. I mean. The other problem 706 00:38:16,160 --> 00:38:18,239 Speaker 3: is the share uncertainty, isn't it right? I mean, no 707 00:38:18,280 --> 00:38:21,560 Speaker 3: one knows what's going to happen, and that uncertainty affects 708 00:38:21,560 --> 00:38:24,600 Speaker 3: every single long term industry there is, including yours. 709 00:38:25,560 --> 00:38:30,600 Speaker 10: Yes, definitely, Steven, and many would argue with me that 710 00:38:30,680 --> 00:38:35,360 Speaker 10: you cannot plan for, you know, global disasters like war, 711 00:38:35,920 --> 00:38:39,480 Speaker 10: you know, outbreak of diseases like COVID as we add it. 712 00:38:39,880 --> 00:38:43,759 Speaker 10: But the reality is that still at some point we 713 00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:48,040 Speaker 10: need to appreciate that these things are going to happen 714 00:38:48,040 --> 00:38:50,239 Speaker 10: in one way or the other. And I think as 715 00:38:50,239 --> 00:38:52,840 Speaker 10: a country we need to begin and even at the factor, 716 00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:55,560 Speaker 10: we need to begin to look at ways in which 717 00:38:55,560 --> 00:38:58,359 Speaker 10: we can deal with this because it's so sad for us. 718 00:38:58,400 --> 00:39:02,680 Speaker 10: We're coming from the devastation of the twenty or eight 719 00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:09,640 Speaker 10: economic you know in the global financial yes, yeah, and 720 00:39:09,680 --> 00:39:13,040 Speaker 10: then we had COVID ninety six years down the line 721 00:39:13,040 --> 00:39:16,040 Speaker 10: and trying to recover from it, we did a little bit. 722 00:39:16,160 --> 00:39:20,040 Speaker 10: Well lucky numbers are showing some improvement. Then now you 723 00:39:20,120 --> 00:39:24,200 Speaker 10: have got this challenge. So it's really really devastating. 724 00:39:24,719 --> 00:39:28,000 Speaker 3: Royan Nissi, thanks so much, Executive director at master Builders 725 00:39:28,200 --> 00:39:30,400 Speaker 3: South Africa. No one's going to be spared from this. 726 00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:37,160 Speaker 1: I have to say, Stephen is gone x at at Stephen, 727 00:39:37,880 --> 00:39:39,840 Speaker 1: so lex what's happening saying Stephen? 728 00:39:39,880 --> 00:39:42,000 Speaker 3: The fact that they say previously had a huge amount 729 00:39:42,040 --> 00:39:45,160 Speaker 3: of strategic oil reserves which then sold over the pittance 730 00:39:45,160 --> 00:39:47,680 Speaker 3: and a deal and a corrupt deal driven by the 731 00:39:47,680 --> 00:39:49,440 Speaker 3: A and C as part of the direct course of 732 00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:52,480 Speaker 3: the huge increase in petrol and diesel prices. So let's 733 00:39:52,560 --> 00:39:56,080 Speaker 3: just a couple of things. We've always had a strategic 734 00:39:56,160 --> 00:40:00,640 Speaker 3: fuel reserve. The thing you're talking about was actually overturned 735 00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:04,040 Speaker 3: in the end by the courts. And you're talking about 736 00:40:04,040 --> 00:40:06,120 Speaker 3: the fact that the oil reserve was sold off at 737 00:40:06,120 --> 00:40:08,920 Speaker 3: a very cheap price to people who would then obviously 738 00:40:08,920 --> 00:40:11,279 Speaker 3: benefit when the price went up, and we would end 739 00:40:11,360 --> 00:40:14,279 Speaker 3: up having to restore that when the price went up. 740 00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:16,600 Speaker 3: But that was reversed. It didn't happen, and it's important 741 00:40:16,640 --> 00:40:19,280 Speaker 3: to remember that the oil never actually left those tanks. 742 00:40:19,960 --> 00:40:22,719 Speaker 3: It's also not a huge amount at the moment. I 743 00:40:22,719 --> 00:40:25,600 Speaker 3: think it's about two to three weeks of national use, 744 00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:30,000 Speaker 3: which is not a huge amount. And just bear in mind, 745 00:40:30,120 --> 00:40:34,200 Speaker 3: unfortunately these prices are set internationally. It's a bit like 746 00:40:34,600 --> 00:40:36,640 Speaker 3: a food prices. You might think, well, it rained a 747 00:40:36,640 --> 00:40:40,000 Speaker 3: lot in the maize belt in South Africa, therefore maze 748 00:40:40,000 --> 00:40:42,880 Speaker 3: prices will be cheaper. They won't be, I'm afraid, because 749 00:40:42,920 --> 00:40:45,920 Speaker 3: of the way that a food is traded on international markets. 750 00:40:46,160 --> 00:40:48,720 Speaker 3: One other thing, by the way, there was a time 751 00:40:48,920 --> 00:40:50,920 Speaker 3: next week you are correct, where we did have a 752 00:40:51,120 --> 00:40:55,120 Speaker 3: huge strategic oil reserve. And in fact, I mean I 753 00:40:55,160 --> 00:40:57,120 Speaker 3: was sort of told during the time. I mean I 754 00:40:57,160 --> 00:40:59,160 Speaker 3: was a kid that you know, the oil was being 755 00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:03,719 Speaker 3: kept underground in old mining shafts, and that oil. Would 756 00:41:03,760 --> 00:41:06,520 Speaker 3: you like to know where it came from? Anyone? Anyone? 757 00:41:06,600 --> 00:41:09,600 Speaker 3: It came from Iran, from the previous government, not the 758 00:41:09,640 --> 00:41:11,799 Speaker 3: current government. It came from the time of the Show 759 00:41:11,920 --> 00:41:15,960 Speaker 3: of Iran. What did we give Iran and respond in return? Well, 760 00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:19,320 Speaker 3: I wasn't really paying much attention at the time because 761 00:41:19,320 --> 00:41:22,719 Speaker 3: I was about four. But my understanding and the consistent 762 00:41:22,800 --> 00:41:25,960 Speaker 3: reporting from people who I trust, was that it was 763 00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:28,680 Speaker 3: actually in some cases artillery pieces even you know the 764 00:41:28,680 --> 00:41:32,040 Speaker 3: G four and the G five. There's rocket, there's basically 765 00:41:32,080 --> 00:41:34,359 Speaker 3: there's sort of a very special cannon that were made 766 00:41:34,800 --> 00:41:38,480 Speaker 3: by the Apartheight era, by the Apartheight government. You might 767 00:41:38,520 --> 00:41:40,120 Speaker 3: know more about that than I do. Would be good 768 00:41:40,160 --> 00:41:42,239 Speaker 3: to hear from you on that and maybe put me right. 769 00:41:42,239 --> 00:41:44,120 Speaker 3: I I've got a fact, they're wrong, But that was 770 00:41:44,160 --> 00:41:46,880 Speaker 3: my understanding. So the ironies of history, Where did we 771 00:41:46,920 --> 00:41:50,279 Speaker 3: get that oil from? From Iran? Yeah? Very interesting. You 772 00:41:50,360 --> 00:41:51,839 Speaker 3: have the money show seven o'clock. 773 00:41:52,880 --> 00:41:57,120 Speaker 1: And now The Money Show with Stephen Striders on seven 774 00:41:57,200 --> 00:41:57,560 Speaker 1: oh two. 775 00:41:58,120 --> 00:41:59,040 Speaker 2: Let's walk at All. 776 00:41:59,360 --> 00:42:01,560 Speaker 3: The Money Show with Stephen Curtis is brought to you 777 00:42:01,600 --> 00:42:05,839 Speaker 3: by Abscess Sponsorships, proud sponsor of the ape Epic, celebrating 778 00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:09,080 Speaker 3: twenty years of taking it to the trails. ABSA is 779 00:42:09,120 --> 00:42:13,080 Speaker 3: a registered FSP. Seven minutes now after seven the time 780 00:42:13,480 --> 00:42:16,640 Speaker 3: we will talk about generational wealth in a moment. I mean, 781 00:42:16,680 --> 00:42:19,680 Speaker 3: so many people think about what that is, but what 782 00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:21,520 Speaker 3: you know the best way to kind of get there. 783 00:42:21,520 --> 00:42:24,879 Speaker 3: We'll talk to Haley Parrier, money coach and facilitator at 784 00:42:24,960 --> 00:42:27,960 Speaker 3: one Life's Truth about Money in just a moment. Doctor 785 00:42:28,040 --> 00:42:32,360 Speaker 3: Mark Nasila is the author of the book Mastering Sovereign 786 00:42:32,520 --> 00:42:35,120 Speaker 3: Artificial Intelligence. I'm going to have to start off by 787 00:42:35,160 --> 00:42:37,520 Speaker 3: asking him what that is. He's sitting right behind me 788 00:42:37,560 --> 00:42:39,800 Speaker 3: at the moment. He'll be with you in just a 789 00:42:39,880 --> 00:42:42,400 Speaker 3: couple of moments. And then how I make my money 790 00:42:43,080 --> 00:42:47,840 Speaker 3: career is understanding what happens in our gaming economy. Raymond 791 00:42:47,920 --> 00:42:52,239 Speaker 3: led Waba is the CEO of I Think Gaming. I 792 00:42:52,360 --> 00:42:56,040 Speaker 3: fascinating to see someone making money out of that in particular, 793 00:42:56,680 --> 00:42:59,320 Speaker 3: maybe not the example that you want for your teenager, 794 00:42:59,400 --> 00:43:02,160 Speaker 3: but maybe in fact the example that your teenager needs. 795 00:43:02,200 --> 00:43:05,560 Speaker 3: So looking forward to that conversation in the next little 796 00:43:05,560 --> 00:43:07,319 Speaker 3: while as well. Could hear from you of course on 797 00:43:07,360 --> 00:43:09,560 Speaker 3: a double one double A three oh seven two two 798 00:43:09,640 --> 00:43:11,959 Speaker 3: one four four six O five six seven and voice 799 00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:15,320 Speaker 3: notes on seven two seven oh two one seven oh two. 800 00:43:15,520 --> 00:43:19,400 Speaker 1: The Lay Show with Stephen krudis live on ninety two 801 00:43:19,480 --> 00:43:22,400 Speaker 1: point seven and one o six f M, streaming on 802 00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:23,640 Speaker 1: the Prime Media Plus. 803 00:43:23,480 --> 00:43:26,440 Speaker 2: NAP and DStv channel eight five six. 804 00:43:26,680 --> 00:43:30,080 Speaker 3: So when you think of the brand name Nesle, the 805 00:43:30,120 --> 00:43:34,200 Speaker 3: company Nesley, you probably think of various things. You'd probably 806 00:43:34,239 --> 00:43:39,080 Speaker 3: think of chocolate first. It turns out that in Europe, 807 00:43:39,520 --> 00:43:41,880 Speaker 3: on one of their shipments, I presume a big truck 808 00:43:41,960 --> 00:43:45,560 Speaker 3: it was going from Italy to Poland, someone decided to 809 00:43:45,640 --> 00:43:52,759 Speaker 3: steal not one or two kitkats, twelve tons of Kitkats. 810 00:43:53,040 --> 00:43:54,839 Speaker 3: I've been trying to do the maths of how many 811 00:43:54,920 --> 00:43:58,960 Speaker 3: that would be. They described them in units. I've never 812 00:43:59,000 --> 00:44:00,960 Speaker 3: had a unit of Kitcat. I've got to say, I've 813 00:44:00,960 --> 00:44:04,319 Speaker 3: had fingers of KitKat, and I've had KitKat bars, but 814 00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:06,919 Speaker 3: I've never had a unit of KitKat. What's the unit 815 00:44:06,960 --> 00:44:09,160 Speaker 3: of Kitkats like having a unit of tea? Doesn't make 816 00:44:09,160 --> 00:44:12,640 Speaker 3: any sense to me. Twelve tons. So if you come 817 00:44:12,680 --> 00:44:17,000 Speaker 3: across some cut price kidcat over the holiday season, over 818 00:44:17,040 --> 00:44:20,719 Speaker 3: the chocolate eating season, you probably know where it's come from, 819 00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:23,279 Speaker 3: although it'll come a long way. I just would like 820 00:44:23,320 --> 00:44:25,120 Speaker 3: to know. I mean, there's such a great movie here, 821 00:44:25,320 --> 00:44:28,279 Speaker 3: the Great Chocolate Heist. You know, have a break, steal 822 00:44:28,320 --> 00:44:30,640 Speaker 3: a kitcat whatever, steal a break, have a KitKat, something 823 00:44:30,640 --> 00:44:34,000 Speaker 3: along those lines. But your movie titles, please for the 824 00:44:34,040 --> 00:44:38,160 Speaker 3: movie heist, the heist movie about the theft of KitKat chocolate. 825 00:44:38,880 --> 00:44:42,080 Speaker 3: I mean, really, if you're going to steal something, you 826 00:44:42,120 --> 00:44:45,320 Speaker 3: could at least make it a five star. Ten minutes after. 827 00:44:45,120 --> 00:44:51,200 Speaker 1: Seven's on the Money Shows six to eight pm. 828 00:44:51,400 --> 00:44:53,480 Speaker 3: How many adverts do you think you've seen in your 829 00:44:53,560 --> 00:44:55,960 Speaker 3: life of some bank or financial institution that will have 830 00:44:56,000 --> 00:44:59,080 Speaker 3: images of an older person and a child and the 831 00:44:59,120 --> 00:45:01,200 Speaker 3: whole point of the ad, I mean, all sorts of 832 00:45:01,239 --> 00:45:04,120 Speaker 3: words and wonderful music and all of that, what they're 833 00:45:04,160 --> 00:45:07,040 Speaker 3: really saying is if you give us your money, you 834 00:45:07,080 --> 00:45:10,040 Speaker 3: will have generational wealth. It's a very powerful message. If 835 00:45:10,040 --> 00:45:13,000 Speaker 3: you do something right today, your grandchildren will be the 836 00:45:13,000 --> 00:45:16,680 Speaker 3: ones to benefit. But how do we rarely view generational 837 00:45:16,719 --> 00:45:19,919 Speaker 3: wealth Haley Parry is a money coaching facilitator at One 838 00:45:19,960 --> 00:45:22,760 Speaker 3: Life's Truth about Money. Helly, good, evening, Good to chat again. 839 00:45:23,680 --> 00:45:28,720 Speaker 3: I would imagine everybody, when they think about it, wants 840 00:45:28,760 --> 00:45:32,440 Speaker 3: to build generational wealth, but how do we really define it. 841 00:45:34,160 --> 00:45:39,120 Speaker 12: Evening, Stephen. Yeah, I think everyone's after a five star 842 00:45:39,480 --> 00:45:42,279 Speaker 12: financial legacy right very much. 843 00:45:42,320 --> 00:45:47,200 Speaker 13: So, yes, rather than needing to take a break with 844 00:45:47,320 --> 00:45:50,319 Speaker 13: their finances. So yeah, I mean, I think from a 845 00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:56,160 Speaker 13: generational wealth perspective, you know, it's this elusive thing because 846 00:45:56,160 --> 00:45:58,440 Speaker 13: we want to get it right for ourselves, but often 847 00:45:58,480 --> 00:46:00,640 Speaker 13: I think we want we really want to get it 848 00:46:00,719 --> 00:46:03,319 Speaker 13: right for our kids to save them perhaps some of 849 00:46:03,320 --> 00:46:08,600 Speaker 13: the pain that we've had ourselves in our financial journeys. 850 00:46:08,640 --> 00:46:12,080 Speaker 12: And so that's why this is such. 851 00:46:11,880 --> 00:46:15,480 Speaker 13: A great survey because it really just taps into how. 852 00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:17,279 Speaker 12: People are thinking and feeling about. 853 00:46:17,040 --> 00:46:20,400 Speaker 13: Their money and what they think it is at the 854 00:46:20,400 --> 00:46:23,040 Speaker 13: moment that they can do to try and get this right. 855 00:46:24,040 --> 00:46:25,160 Speaker 12: And I think one of the. 856 00:46:25,080 --> 00:46:29,480 Speaker 13: Most impressive figures that we saw coming out of this 857 00:46:30,160 --> 00:46:35,360 Speaker 13: latest generational wealth survey from One Life is that ninety 858 00:46:35,440 --> 00:46:38,239 Speaker 13: nine percent of survey respondents say that wealth building is 859 00:46:38,239 --> 00:46:41,680 Speaker 13: important to them, and more than two thirds of South 860 00:46:41,680 --> 00:46:44,200 Speaker 13: Africans believe that they can do that even on a 861 00:46:44,239 --> 00:46:49,040 Speaker 13: modest income. And that's really quite something because last year 862 00:46:49,080 --> 00:46:51,680 Speaker 13: that figure was sitting at thirty five percent. So something 863 00:46:51,719 --> 00:46:55,080 Speaker 13: has definitely shifted where South Africans are not only feeling 864 00:46:55,120 --> 00:46:58,120 Speaker 13: more hopeful, but also feeling more empowered about how to 865 00:46:58,160 --> 00:46:58,640 Speaker 13: get there. 866 00:46:59,280 --> 00:47:01,640 Speaker 3: I mean, if you say to average people, are you 867 00:47:01,680 --> 00:47:04,320 Speaker 3: able to save I'm almost certain that you know ninety 868 00:47:04,320 --> 00:47:06,839 Speaker 3: percent are going to say no, I'm not because life 869 00:47:06,960 --> 00:47:09,160 Speaker 3: is too expensive. I need to do this, I need 870 00:47:09,200 --> 00:47:12,480 Speaker 3: to do this. And we can tell, obviously because are 871 00:47:12,520 --> 00:47:14,880 Speaker 3: people who have jobs and a pension how much money 872 00:47:14,920 --> 00:47:17,319 Speaker 3: is taken out of that savings pot every tax. Yes, 873 00:47:17,360 --> 00:47:20,239 Speaker 3: so we can tell that people are stretched. How are 874 00:47:20,280 --> 00:47:24,320 Speaker 3: people actually able to manage it, you know, to actually 875 00:47:24,400 --> 00:47:26,920 Speaker 3: say no, no, no, I'm still quite optimistic about being 876 00:47:26,920 --> 00:47:28,359 Speaker 3: able to do this in some way. 877 00:47:30,600 --> 00:47:33,719 Speaker 12: Yeah, Look, that is the reality on the ground. We 878 00:47:33,800 --> 00:47:34,279 Speaker 12: know that. 879 00:47:36,000 --> 00:47:38,360 Speaker 13: It's been tough for most South Africans for quite a 880 00:47:38,400 --> 00:47:42,359 Speaker 13: long time, you know. And one of the things that 881 00:47:42,600 --> 00:47:45,279 Speaker 13: we always teach when we looking at this from a 882 00:47:45,320 --> 00:47:49,719 Speaker 13: financial education perspective is really the name of the game 883 00:47:49,840 --> 00:47:52,320 Speaker 13: is it's not about how much you make it's about 884 00:47:52,320 --> 00:47:55,319 Speaker 13: how much you keep and anything that goes into the 885 00:47:55,360 --> 00:47:58,759 Speaker 13: savings pot or into the investment pot is part of 886 00:47:58,800 --> 00:48:04,080 Speaker 13: that definition of making yourself personally profitable. And so what 887 00:48:04,120 --> 00:48:08,120 Speaker 13: we're seeing is that, you know, we've we've got different 888 00:48:08,200 --> 00:48:12,279 Speaker 13: trends coming through. We see that sixty percent or just 889 00:48:12,360 --> 00:48:15,000 Speaker 13: under sixty percent of respond and say they're just surviving 890 00:48:16,960 --> 00:48:19,480 Speaker 13: and around thirty percent of people saying that they are 891 00:48:19,520 --> 00:48:20,680 Speaker 13: struggling financially. 892 00:48:21,200 --> 00:48:24,440 Speaker 12: However, on the f side, there are a lot of. 893 00:48:26,120 --> 00:48:28,200 Speaker 13: There are a lot of positive indicators that have come 894 00:48:28,239 --> 00:48:31,920 Speaker 13: out of the indexes here, and for me, you know, 895 00:48:32,640 --> 00:48:35,960 Speaker 13: that is showing that even though people are acknowledging that 896 00:48:36,040 --> 00:48:38,279 Speaker 13: they might have a bad month, you know, as you say, 897 00:48:38,320 --> 00:48:43,000 Speaker 13: particularly when times are tough, we've got petrol price increases coming, 898 00:48:43,520 --> 00:48:46,560 Speaker 13: what people are doing is they are becoming more financially 899 00:48:46,640 --> 00:48:48,160 Speaker 13: resilient because they're looking at this. 900 00:48:48,200 --> 00:48:49,960 Speaker 12: And saying, well, even if this is a bad. 901 00:48:49,800 --> 00:48:52,160 Speaker 13: Month, I'm going to regroup and I'm going to go 902 00:48:52,760 --> 00:48:54,319 Speaker 13: and get it right next year and so. 903 00:48:55,239 --> 00:48:56,040 Speaker 12: Sorry next month. 904 00:48:56,080 --> 00:48:59,120 Speaker 13: And so this is part of this developing this financial 905 00:48:59,160 --> 00:49:03,680 Speaker 13: resilience is understanding that this is an ongoing effort and 906 00:49:03,880 --> 00:49:07,960 Speaker 13: we need to persist in not only doing the right 907 00:49:08,000 --> 00:49:10,920 Speaker 13: things with our money, but also getting ourselves an increasing 908 00:49:12,160 --> 00:49:15,000 Speaker 13: level of knowledge and confidence around our money, around what 909 00:49:15,080 --> 00:49:16,920 Speaker 13: we can do better and differently. 910 00:49:16,520 --> 00:49:19,640 Speaker 12: So that we can continue to improve on the metrics 911 00:49:19,640 --> 00:49:20,120 Speaker 12: that matter. 912 00:49:20,920 --> 00:49:24,400 Speaker 3: I mean, for years, the people will say South Africans 913 00:49:24,400 --> 00:49:27,719 Speaker 3: don't save, and sometimes I think there's a little bit 914 00:49:27,760 --> 00:49:30,320 Speaker 3: of a preachy thing to it. And I understand why 915 00:49:30,800 --> 00:49:33,719 Speaker 3: people are so worried about that, because saving is so important, 916 00:49:34,360 --> 00:49:37,279 Speaker 3: but again, people just have not been able to at 917 00:49:37,320 --> 00:49:40,360 Speaker 3: the same time, though for at least probably Hailey, I 918 00:49:40,400 --> 00:49:44,799 Speaker 3: don't know, the last twenty years, there's been so much 919 00:49:44,880 --> 00:49:49,080 Speaker 3: public education about saving for the future, sometimes in schools, 920 00:49:49,719 --> 00:49:54,120 Speaker 3: sometimes on shows like this one. Sometimes corporate or financial 921 00:49:54,120 --> 00:49:58,040 Speaker 3: institutions have had adverts or whatever it is. And I 922 00:49:58,120 --> 00:50:02,160 Speaker 3: sometimes wonder if that if the financial literacy of our society, 923 00:50:02,239 --> 00:50:06,080 Speaker 3: despite everything, has actually started to improve almost without us knowing, 924 00:50:06,120 --> 00:50:08,280 Speaker 3: in the last twenty years. I mean, maybe I'm sounding 925 00:50:08,320 --> 00:50:10,759 Speaker 3: hopelessly optimistic, but I sometimes wonder if that might be 926 00:50:10,800 --> 00:50:11,200 Speaker 3: the case. 927 00:50:14,680 --> 00:50:15,319 Speaker 12: Stephen, I'm not. 928 00:50:15,320 --> 00:50:17,720 Speaker 13: Sure if you're preaching to the choir, but I feel 929 00:50:17,719 --> 00:50:20,800 Speaker 13: the same way. You know, to give you an idea 930 00:50:21,040 --> 00:50:24,080 Speaker 13: in this survey where we were chatting to people, forty 931 00:50:24,120 --> 00:50:27,200 Speaker 13: two percent of respondents said that they have a savings 932 00:50:27,280 --> 00:50:31,040 Speaker 13: or an emergency fund in place. Now, I remember doing 933 00:50:31,120 --> 00:50:33,799 Speaker 13: interviews like this a couple of years ago and that 934 00:50:33,920 --> 00:50:38,520 Speaker 13: number was significantly lower, and so I do feel that 935 00:50:38,560 --> 00:50:44,440 Speaker 13: there are there is definitely a level of financial literacy 936 00:50:44,480 --> 00:50:48,920 Speaker 13: that's increased. But critically, I think a lot of people 937 00:50:49,000 --> 00:50:52,359 Speaker 13: understand that financial literacy actually isn't good enough anymore. And 938 00:50:52,360 --> 00:50:55,319 Speaker 13: that's where this aspirational element of what do we do 939 00:50:57,080 --> 00:50:59,359 Speaker 13: you know that's better than that, you know, if that's 940 00:50:59,400 --> 00:51:02,120 Speaker 13: the baseline, how can we do and do things differently? 941 00:51:02,640 --> 00:51:08,680 Speaker 13: And understanding you know, additional financial services and products, Understanding 942 00:51:08,840 --> 00:51:12,080 Speaker 13: how you can go from saving and then to investing, 943 00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:15,560 Speaker 13: how you can protect your downside, for example, with life insurance. 944 00:51:16,040 --> 00:51:19,720 Speaker 13: All of these are important steps in not only having 945 00:51:20,680 --> 00:51:23,440 Speaker 13: a nation that's financially literate, but rather one that is 946 00:51:23,480 --> 00:51:27,640 Speaker 13: financially healthy. And there are a lot of efforts that 947 00:51:27,840 --> 00:51:31,440 Speaker 13: have taken place, you know, from the financial services industry, 948 00:51:32,840 --> 00:51:36,320 Speaker 13: from you know, like you said, platforms like yours, businesses 949 00:51:36,440 --> 00:51:41,040 Speaker 13: like ours, where financial education and genuine financial wellness is 950 00:51:41,080 --> 00:51:43,360 Speaker 13: actually the aim of the game. And I do like 951 00:51:43,480 --> 00:51:48,760 Speaker 13: to believe that some of these efforts really are paying dividends. 952 00:51:49,320 --> 00:51:52,359 Speaker 3: Does it change the decisions people make, perhaps at quite 953 00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:56,279 Speaker 3: an early age, whereas maybe someone at sort of you know, 954 00:51:57,000 --> 00:51:59,960 Speaker 3: just finishing whatever tertiary qualification they were able to get 955 00:52:01,320 --> 00:52:04,280 Speaker 3: and they're able to get money for might think, well, actually, 956 00:52:04,280 --> 00:52:06,200 Speaker 3: I'm going to start a business because that's going to 957 00:52:06,200 --> 00:52:09,200 Speaker 3: provide an employment for my children. I mean, I see 958 00:52:09,280 --> 00:52:11,520 Speaker 3: so many businesses now where you can see someone who 959 00:52:11,600 --> 00:52:16,320 Speaker 3: started this or has created a situation where their children 960 00:52:16,360 --> 00:52:18,000 Speaker 3: will be able to take that over. And you can 961 00:52:18,080 --> 00:52:21,879 Speaker 3: understand why, because to find a position for a young person, 962 00:52:21,960 --> 00:52:23,720 Speaker 3: a job for a young person can be so tough. 963 00:52:24,760 --> 00:52:27,560 Speaker 3: Could it actually be changing the career decisions people are 964 00:52:27,640 --> 00:52:31,759 Speaker 3: make this idea of a longer term kind of thing. 965 00:52:31,800 --> 00:52:33,920 Speaker 3: This is not just for me, This is actually for 966 00:52:33,920 --> 00:52:35,520 Speaker 3: two or three generations from me. 967 00:52:38,120 --> 00:52:39,640 Speaker 12: Yeah, absolutely, I think. 968 00:52:40,520 --> 00:52:44,440 Speaker 13: I mean it's interesting because we see so many of 969 00:52:44,480 --> 00:52:45,920 Speaker 13: these different metrix shiftings. 970 00:52:45,920 --> 00:52:47,600 Speaker 12: So you're talking about owning a business. 971 00:52:47,600 --> 00:52:51,640 Speaker 13: For instance, in the survey when we ask that question, 972 00:52:52,040 --> 00:52:55,359 Speaker 13: only twelve percent of people regarded owning a business as a. 973 00:52:55,239 --> 00:52:56,200 Speaker 12: Form of wealth building. 974 00:52:56,719 --> 00:52:56,959 Speaker 6: Right. 975 00:52:57,440 --> 00:52:59,799 Speaker 13: But what was interesting on the flip side is that 976 00:53:00,360 --> 00:53:05,960 Speaker 13: only six percent are associating wealth with cars or luxury possessions, 977 00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:09,160 Speaker 13: whereas last year that figure was closer to twenty percent. 978 00:53:09,920 --> 00:53:16,520 Speaker 13: So we're seeing shifting changes in not only how people 979 00:53:16,520 --> 00:53:21,440 Speaker 13: are making decisions, but also the perception of wealth where 980 00:53:22,000 --> 00:53:24,759 Speaker 13: you know, people are shifting. What this means, you know, 981 00:53:24,840 --> 00:53:27,960 Speaker 13: So perhaps we've got a younger generation who are less 982 00:53:28,000 --> 00:53:34,239 Speaker 13: focused on things and more focused on certain freedoms, you know, 983 00:53:34,280 --> 00:53:37,279 Speaker 13: which is possibly different to the generation that you and 984 00:53:37,320 --> 00:53:39,400 Speaker 13: I grew up in. And so I do think this 985 00:53:39,440 --> 00:53:42,240 Speaker 13: is coming into play. I mean, I'll give you an example. 986 00:53:42,239 --> 00:53:44,839 Speaker 13: I had a conversation with somebody who finished metric last 987 00:53:44,880 --> 00:53:49,880 Speaker 13: year and she had done mass literacy, and she was 988 00:53:49,960 --> 00:53:55,360 Speaker 13: asking me pretty detailed questions around compound interests that she 989 00:53:55,440 --> 00:53:59,000 Speaker 13: had studied as part of the budgeting aspect on her, 990 00:53:59,200 --> 00:54:02,520 Speaker 13: you know, within her mass curriculum. And I must say, 991 00:54:02,560 --> 00:54:07,520 Speaker 13: I found it really heartening that this is part of 992 00:54:07,520 --> 00:54:09,840 Speaker 13: the education that our kids are getting at school, because 993 00:54:09,840 --> 00:54:13,480 Speaker 13: it definitely wasn't like that when you and I were school. 994 00:54:13,600 --> 00:54:16,600 Speaker 13: I mean, I finished university with a bee common and 995 00:54:16,640 --> 00:54:19,200 Speaker 13: we hadn't spent more than half an hour in personal finances, 996 00:54:19,239 --> 00:54:21,839 Speaker 13: you know, So there is definitely a changing shift here 997 00:54:21,880 --> 00:54:23,839 Speaker 13: and for me it is really interesting to see how 998 00:54:23,880 --> 00:54:27,520 Speaker 13: it's coming through into these different numbers. And as you mentioned, 999 00:54:27,560 --> 00:54:30,800 Speaker 13: you know in two different decisions that the youngsters are. 1000 00:54:30,640 --> 00:54:33,799 Speaker 3: Making too helly. Thank you so much, Haley Parry. There's 1001 00:54:33,800 --> 00:54:37,000 Speaker 3: a money coach and facilitator at one Life's Truth About 1002 00:54:37,040 --> 00:54:38,920 Speaker 3: Money nineteen after seven, The. 1003 00:54:39,120 --> 00:54:41,000 Speaker 2: Money Show for business books. 1004 00:54:41,280 --> 00:54:45,600 Speaker 3: Well your book this week. It's called Mastering Sovereign Artificial Intelligence, 1005 00:54:45,680 --> 00:54:49,279 Speaker 3: Owning and Shaping the future in the Age of AI. 1006 00:54:49,360 --> 00:54:52,680 Speaker 3: It's by doctor Mark Nzilla. It has a picture of 1007 00:54:52,760 --> 00:54:56,560 Speaker 3: him on the front of half of his brain seemingly 1008 00:54:56,680 --> 00:54:58,880 Speaker 3: encased in metal and pleased to tell you that he 1009 00:54:58,960 --> 00:55:01,160 Speaker 3: clearly survived. The expert is because he's sitting in front 1010 00:55:01,200 --> 00:55:04,000 Speaker 3: of me now, Market evening. Thanks so much for coming in. 1011 00:55:04,120 --> 00:55:06,200 Speaker 14: Good evening, Steven, thank you for having me and to 1012 00:55:06,239 --> 00:55:09,080 Speaker 14: the listeners. He's also the chief data and Analytics officer 1013 00:55:09,200 --> 00:55:10,439 Speaker 14: at F and B Risk. 1014 00:55:11,400 --> 00:55:13,479 Speaker 3: Mark. I'm sorry to start with such a silly question, 1015 00:55:13,560 --> 00:55:15,520 Speaker 3: but what I know what AI is? But I think 1016 00:55:15,560 --> 00:55:20,320 Speaker 3: I do what is sovereign AI? Steven, Sovereign AI. 1017 00:55:20,680 --> 00:55:23,799 Speaker 14: It's about the ability of a nation or an organization 1018 00:55:24,080 --> 00:55:28,920 Speaker 14: to control the AI development value chain, and maybe to 1019 00:55:28,960 --> 00:55:32,040 Speaker 14: give it a bit of more context. For a long time, 1020 00:55:32,600 --> 00:55:35,240 Speaker 14: especially over the last three years, we've been talking about 1021 00:55:35,400 --> 00:55:40,200 Speaker 14: AI to drive efficiency, to drive effectiveness, to help come 1022 00:55:40,280 --> 00:55:43,839 Speaker 14: up with innovations and drive digitizations. But if you look 1023 00:55:43,880 --> 00:55:48,160 Speaker 14: at what's been happening, the impact of AI goes beyond 1024 00:55:48,280 --> 00:55:49,600 Speaker 14: just those benefits. 1025 00:55:50,520 --> 00:55:53,120 Speaker 3: AI is influencing geopolitics. 1026 00:55:53,160 --> 00:55:56,759 Speaker 14: I think you saw France Germans start to phace away 1027 00:55:56,800 --> 00:55:59,800 Speaker 14: the use of zoom and teams with a view of 1028 00:55:59,800 --> 00:56:05,040 Speaker 14: the independent. Technologically, AI is a big drive of national security. 1029 00:56:05,080 --> 00:56:08,880 Speaker 14: We've seen what America and Anthropic have been having controversy about. 1030 00:56:09,520 --> 00:56:13,480 Speaker 14: But AI is also driving the ability to solve social problems, 1031 00:56:13,560 --> 00:56:18,480 Speaker 14: the ability to create new industries manufacturing, and and and 1032 00:56:18,920 --> 00:56:24,920 Speaker 14: and build infrastructure. In fact, it's reimagining the future of economies. 1033 00:56:25,320 --> 00:56:29,520 Speaker 14: Because of all these benefits, we're now looking at AI 1034 00:56:29,840 --> 00:56:35,280 Speaker 14: as a national strategic driver, and because of these, nations 1035 00:56:35,520 --> 00:56:38,880 Speaker 14: want to control the whole value chain because just the 1036 00:56:39,080 --> 00:56:42,080 Speaker 14: output from AI will drive the benefits I talked about. 1037 00:56:42,120 --> 00:56:45,560 Speaker 14: But the future of nations and organizations defend depend on 1038 00:56:45,680 --> 00:56:49,080 Speaker 14: controlling the whole development value chain of AI, and that's 1039 00:56:49,080 --> 00:56:52,759 Speaker 14: what AI sovereignty is all about. 1040 00:56:52,600 --> 00:56:54,640 Speaker 3: It seems to me that we are just what I 1041 00:56:54,640 --> 00:56:58,720 Speaker 3: would call AI takers. We are not AI formers. And 1042 00:56:59,120 --> 00:57:01,560 Speaker 3: I mean I'm speaking just as a South African. I 1043 00:57:01,560 --> 00:57:03,040 Speaker 3: don't know if that applies to the rest of the 1044 00:57:03,080 --> 00:57:06,759 Speaker 3: continent as well. Maybe you one hundred percent right. 1045 00:57:08,000 --> 00:57:11,280 Speaker 14: When I wrote my first book about you know, African 1046 00:57:11,360 --> 00:57:16,120 Speaker 14: artificial intelligence, it was about leveraging AI as consumers. 1047 00:57:16,160 --> 00:57:18,840 Speaker 3: It was about using it to make predictions. 1048 00:57:18,840 --> 00:57:22,960 Speaker 14: It was about identifying opportunities for AI to digitize things. 1049 00:57:24,160 --> 00:57:29,840 Speaker 14: But you see, being a national strategic asset means looking 1050 00:57:29,880 --> 00:57:33,080 Speaker 14: at data and AI the way we've looked at minerals 1051 00:57:33,120 --> 00:57:36,640 Speaker 14: like gold, and for us to get the maximum benefit, 1052 00:57:36,800 --> 00:57:39,200 Speaker 14: we need to look at it from a manufacturing lens. 1053 00:57:40,120 --> 00:57:43,920 Speaker 14: There is no nation that has ever realized its potential 1054 00:57:44,080 --> 00:57:48,840 Speaker 14: by outsourcing the processing of its national resource, the same 1055 00:57:48,880 --> 00:57:51,760 Speaker 14: way there is no nation that has realized its potential 1056 00:57:51,800 --> 00:57:59,080 Speaker 14: ability by outsourcing its intelligence. Now, the top ten highest 1057 00:57:59,160 --> 00:58:03,480 Speaker 14: investors in AI are the same one who have been 1058 00:58:03,600 --> 00:58:06,880 Speaker 14: leading in manufacturing of all times, and they're not looking 1059 00:58:06,920 --> 00:58:11,200 Speaker 14: at efficiency effectiveness. They want to glean all the benefits 1060 00:58:11,240 --> 00:58:15,160 Speaker 14: around AI, around creating new industries. That's why we're talking 1061 00:58:15,200 --> 00:58:19,320 Speaker 14: today and we cover this extensively in the book AI Factories. 1062 00:58:19,840 --> 00:58:22,400 Speaker 14: We need to think of the factories of the future, 1063 00:58:22,520 --> 00:58:26,280 Speaker 14: employment of the future, how will our national security work, 1064 00:58:26,360 --> 00:58:29,400 Speaker 14: How we need to be autonomous, in other words, be 1065 00:58:29,520 --> 00:58:33,520 Speaker 14: less dependent. Think about if we have AI running our 1066 00:58:33,560 --> 00:58:38,240 Speaker 14: hospitals national security tomorrow, someone can be angry about it. 1067 00:58:38,320 --> 00:58:40,640 Speaker 14: And if we're depending on other nations, they could say, 1068 00:58:40,800 --> 00:58:42,280 Speaker 14: if we don't do this, we're going to have to 1069 00:58:42,320 --> 00:58:46,400 Speaker 14: switch off these nations. And beyond that, it data represents 1070 00:58:46,400 --> 00:58:50,360 Speaker 14: our culture, and if we can control how we process it, 1071 00:58:50,440 --> 00:58:54,040 Speaker 14: we also protect our policies, our culture, things we believe in, 1072 00:58:54,080 --> 00:58:57,960 Speaker 14: and our plans of the future. And that shift from 1073 00:58:58,200 --> 00:59:01,960 Speaker 14: just being consumers is is critical. We need to be producers. 1074 00:59:02,000 --> 00:59:04,600 Speaker 14: We need to offer something to the global world, and 1075 00:59:04,720 --> 00:59:08,560 Speaker 14: that will come from an opportunity to manufacture intelligence with AI. 1076 00:59:09,360 --> 00:59:12,800 Speaker 3: So I mean, there's so many questions that come out 1077 00:59:12,840 --> 00:59:14,680 Speaker 3: of US. I mean, one of them is that we 1078 00:59:14,720 --> 00:59:17,000 Speaker 3: saw the US supposedly in the lead. That's what it 1079 00:59:17,040 --> 00:59:20,200 Speaker 3: looked like. And I say this when we sort of internationally, really, 1080 00:59:20,320 --> 00:59:24,560 Speaker 3: if we're honest, probably consume Western media. Really Suddenly China 1081 00:59:24,640 --> 00:59:28,600 Speaker 3: came out of nowhere with deep think that rivalry does 1082 00:59:28,600 --> 00:59:31,920 Speaker 3: that give us a gap maybe to have a bit 1083 00:59:31,960 --> 00:59:34,400 Speaker 3: of control over our own destiny, the fact that there 1084 00:59:34,400 --> 00:59:37,919 Speaker 3: are two players not one, particularly that Europe might also 1085 00:59:37,960 --> 00:59:40,720 Speaker 3: become a player, and then that also maybe we can 1086 00:59:40,760 --> 00:59:43,120 Speaker 3: create our own models in our and therefore take a 1087 00:59:43,200 --> 00:59:45,760 Speaker 3: bit more charge of our own destiny. One hundred percent. 1088 00:59:45,960 --> 00:59:49,600 Speaker 14: It gives us a big opportunity to redefine the AI 1089 00:59:49,760 --> 00:59:56,520 Speaker 14: rest on identity, we suddainly cannot compete against America because 1090 00:59:56,600 --> 01:00:01,480 Speaker 14: they've got all the researchers, their reducing platforms through their 1091 01:00:01,520 --> 01:00:07,920 Speaker 14: higher education institutions. China is you know, leveraging open source 1092 01:00:08,000 --> 01:00:10,880 Speaker 14: models that we've got the likes of Deepsick. We've got 1093 01:00:10,920 --> 01:00:14,640 Speaker 14: twenty three now which are being produced at a very 1094 01:00:14,760 --> 01:00:18,240 Speaker 14: cheap price and being skilled. But for us, I think 1095 01:00:18,240 --> 01:00:24,160 Speaker 14: our identity lizing the opportunities we have, driving efficiency, being 1096 01:00:24,240 --> 01:00:27,919 Speaker 14: less dependent like you said, and making sure we save 1097 01:00:28,040 --> 01:00:32,360 Speaker 14: the economies would have used to actually import these solutions. 1098 01:00:33,480 --> 01:00:38,440 Speaker 14: When we look at unique industries that have opportunities, for example, 1099 01:00:38,480 --> 01:00:40,920 Speaker 14: the health sector, we can just drive efficiency in the 1100 01:00:40,960 --> 01:00:45,640 Speaker 14: health sector, the education system, the energy sector, think about 1101 01:00:47,160 --> 01:00:51,440 Speaker 14: security and law enforcement. All of them have an opportunity 1102 01:00:51,600 --> 01:00:55,120 Speaker 14: to to you know, to to redefine themselves using this technology, 1103 01:00:55,480 --> 01:00:59,680 Speaker 14: and we can just be a modern smart economy as 1104 01:00:59,680 --> 01:01:03,800 Speaker 14: oppon to competing against the likes of China, and that 1105 01:01:03,840 --> 01:01:05,960 Speaker 14: will actually help us realize our potential. 1106 01:01:06,800 --> 01:01:12,360 Speaker 3: In many cases, the idea of sovereignty applies to your economy, 1107 01:01:12,400 --> 01:01:15,120 Speaker 3: but it applies to kind of people think of national defense, 1108 01:01:15,160 --> 01:01:18,640 Speaker 3: So that makes it a government problem. In the United States, 1109 01:01:18,760 --> 01:01:21,400 Speaker 3: AI has really been driven by the private sector, and 1110 01:01:21,440 --> 01:01:26,280 Speaker 3: there's been fascinating disputes between the private sector. I can't 1111 01:01:26,320 --> 01:01:28,400 Speaker 3: remember the name of the country, of the name of 1112 01:01:28,440 --> 01:01:31,200 Speaker 3: the company and the Pentagon over what they can do. 1113 01:01:31,320 --> 01:01:35,760 Speaker 3: It's not palanter anthropic. Yes, that's it, thank you. And 1114 01:01:35,840 --> 01:01:38,800 Speaker 3: so I'm really interested in that tension between the private 1115 01:01:38,800 --> 01:01:41,680 Speaker 3: sector which is developing AI and what government wants to 1116 01:01:41,680 --> 01:01:44,600 Speaker 3: do with it. And in the South African sense or 1117 01:01:44,640 --> 01:01:46,919 Speaker 3: in the African sense, and you want to master your 1118 01:01:46,960 --> 01:01:51,000 Speaker 3: sovereign AI. Whose responsibility is that now? I mean it's 1119 01:01:51,040 --> 01:01:53,360 Speaker 3: easy to say, well, government and the private sector has 1120 01:01:53,400 --> 01:01:57,320 Speaker 3: work together, but you need to make them work together constructively. 1121 01:01:58,760 --> 01:02:06,280 Speaker 14: The traversy between America and Anthropic was a reality check 1122 01:02:06,840 --> 01:02:11,200 Speaker 14: of the impact and massive impact of AI and not 1123 01:02:11,440 --> 01:02:16,920 Speaker 14: just look at like attitude like any other technology. Nations 1124 01:02:16,960 --> 01:02:22,240 Speaker 14: that are powering AI are controlling the technology. That's why 1125 01:02:22,400 --> 01:02:25,720 Speaker 14: America is defining what technology will be used for, how 1126 01:02:25,760 --> 01:02:29,760 Speaker 14: it will be used, and including taking control of startups 1127 01:02:29,760 --> 01:02:33,760 Speaker 14: like Anthropic what they've done and reusing them using their laws. 1128 01:02:33,800 --> 01:02:39,280 Speaker 14: In China, the Chinese government is actually subsidizing startups. That's 1129 01:02:39,280 --> 01:02:44,520 Speaker 14: why we have deepsy, we have we we we have 1130 01:02:44,640 --> 01:02:50,200 Speaker 14: other startups like you know driving the likes of retail 1131 01:02:50,320 --> 01:02:55,680 Speaker 14: companies that China is supporting because China knows AI is 1132 01:02:55,720 --> 01:02:59,440 Speaker 14: going to run every every aspect of industrialization of the future. 1133 01:03:00,040 --> 01:03:05,560 Speaker 14: Because of that, nations governments must take control of defining 1134 01:03:05,720 --> 01:03:11,240 Speaker 14: strategies and creating fair play policies to allow for how 1135 01:03:11,360 --> 01:03:15,440 Speaker 14: AI will be applied across all industries. Remember Africa and 1136 01:03:15,480 --> 01:03:18,720 Speaker 14: South Africa. We don't have big economies to make mistakes, 1137 01:03:19,040 --> 01:03:23,280 Speaker 14: So the areas we're going to prioritize will define how 1138 01:03:23,680 --> 01:03:27,080 Speaker 14: much we get buying and trust across different industries and 1139 01:03:27,560 --> 01:03:31,760 Speaker 14: the Unfortunately they have to work together or else. Circumstances 1140 01:03:31,800 --> 01:03:35,360 Speaker 14: around AI will force different sectors to work together. For example, 1141 01:03:35,360 --> 01:03:38,320 Speaker 14: in our COVID forced sexors to work together. I do 1142 01:03:38,360 --> 01:03:40,560 Speaker 14: think the impact of AI is at that level. 1143 01:03:41,080 --> 01:03:43,000 Speaker 3: Thank you so much for coming in. I really appreciate 1144 01:03:43,120 --> 01:03:46,280 Speaker 3: Doctor Mark Nzilla. Nascilla is the author of the book 1145 01:03:46,480 --> 01:03:50,520 Speaker 3: Mastering Sovereign Artificial Intelligence, Owning and Shaping the Future and 1146 01:03:50,560 --> 01:03:53,919 Speaker 3: the Age of AI. Is also Chief Data and Analytics 1147 01:03:53,920 --> 01:03:55,439 Speaker 3: Officer at FNB Risk. 1148 01:03:56,240 --> 01:03:59,040 Speaker 2: How Money, So How I make my money? 1149 01:03:59,240 --> 01:04:01,160 Speaker 3: Twenty five minutes now to eighth a time. 1150 01:04:01,280 --> 01:04:01,360 Speaker 8: So. 1151 01:04:01,440 --> 01:04:03,480 Speaker 3: I don't know if you have teenagers in your life, 1152 01:04:03,480 --> 01:04:06,560 Speaker 3: but if you do, you've probably shouted at some point 1153 01:04:06,680 --> 01:04:09,720 Speaker 3: get off that device, by which I mean some kind 1154 01:04:09,760 --> 01:04:12,000 Speaker 3: of device on which they're playing games, so you can 1155 01:04:12,000 --> 01:04:13,640 Speaker 3: play them on your phone. You can spend a lot 1156 01:04:13,680 --> 01:04:15,680 Speaker 3: of money on a console like a PS five or 1157 01:04:15,720 --> 01:04:18,520 Speaker 3: a Nintendo Switch or an Xbox. You can spend even 1158 01:04:18,560 --> 01:04:22,160 Speaker 3: more money and something actually called a gaming PC comes 1159 01:04:22,200 --> 01:04:24,919 Speaker 3: with a keyboard. Now, your children might be very good 1160 01:04:24,960 --> 01:04:27,880 Speaker 3: at these things. I don't know if you think they 1161 01:04:27,880 --> 01:04:29,480 Speaker 3: could make the careers in it, but I wouldn't be 1162 01:04:29,520 --> 01:04:32,400 Speaker 3: surprised if they think they can. Somebody's been able to 1163 01:04:32,400 --> 01:04:35,800 Speaker 3: make a career in this and in our gaming economy 1164 01:04:36,320 --> 01:04:39,520 Speaker 3: is Raymond led Waber, currently the CEO of I think 1165 01:04:39,560 --> 01:04:42,240 Speaker 3: Gaming and Raymond a good evening to you when I 1166 01:04:42,720 --> 01:04:45,920 Speaker 3: last properly played a video game. This is what they 1167 01:04:45,960 --> 01:04:55,560 Speaker 3: sounded like, Mario Brothers, or so I'm told. I think 1168 01:04:55,600 --> 01:04:58,560 Speaker 3: my memory says there was probably a Commodore sixty four 1169 01:04:58,600 --> 01:05:01,640 Speaker 3: in there, Raymond ed wab good evening. You're involved in 1170 01:05:01,680 --> 01:05:03,800 Speaker 3: something a little more sophisticated than that. 1171 01:05:05,600 --> 01:05:07,760 Speaker 15: Good evening, Steven, thank you very much for having me. 1172 01:05:09,200 --> 01:05:12,080 Speaker 15: And yes, I am living my dream at the moment, 1173 01:05:12,680 --> 01:05:16,520 Speaker 15: building a career doing something that I've loved as a kid. 1174 01:05:17,400 --> 01:05:20,120 Speaker 15: And so it's a real privilege for me to be 1175 01:05:20,200 --> 01:05:24,560 Speaker 15: working in this wonderful video games industry and particularly trying 1176 01:05:24,720 --> 01:05:26,840 Speaker 15: very hard to work on building. 1177 01:05:26,480 --> 01:05:28,439 Speaker 6: The South African gaming ecosystem. 1178 01:05:29,280 --> 01:05:33,640 Speaker 3: I mean, I think a lot of us, certainly as parents, 1179 01:05:33,760 --> 01:05:37,840 Speaker 3: Raymond probably my age, but as parents, think of games 1180 01:05:37,840 --> 01:05:39,920 Speaker 3: as sort of entertainment. You see it in a very 1181 01:05:39,920 --> 01:05:42,880 Speaker 3: different way. And I suppose I can imagine also there's 1182 01:05:42,880 --> 01:05:46,800 Speaker 3: a kind of a snobbery maybe among a certain generation, 1183 01:05:46,920 --> 01:05:51,040 Speaker 3: my generation, that there's some movies we see as high art. 1184 01:05:51,240 --> 01:05:54,200 Speaker 3: We never think of a computer game as high art. 1185 01:05:54,560 --> 01:05:56,080 Speaker 3: And year two are we to judge that? 1186 01:05:57,760 --> 01:06:02,640 Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, video games is an art form. 1187 01:06:02,680 --> 01:06:05,600 Speaker 15: It's a very you know, it's a digital art form, 1188 01:06:06,240 --> 01:06:09,640 Speaker 15: and there's different types of games, similar to your example 1189 01:06:10,320 --> 01:06:13,360 Speaker 15: in the film industry, right, there are very different types 1190 01:06:13,400 --> 01:06:17,120 Speaker 15: of films, and so one certainly can look at it 1191 01:06:17,520 --> 01:06:23,440 Speaker 15: from an entertainment perspective and obviously obtain entertainment value from 1192 01:06:23,720 --> 01:06:26,880 Speaker 15: a game. There's people who will look at a game 1193 01:06:27,040 --> 01:06:32,000 Speaker 15: and look at it from its artistic sort of like perspective, 1194 01:06:32,960 --> 01:06:36,000 Speaker 15: because you know, when I look at games, and just 1195 01:06:36,120 --> 01:06:41,120 Speaker 15: like many art forms, there's also soft power in there, right, 1196 01:06:41,200 --> 01:06:46,880 Speaker 15: there's culture, there's an ability to influence people in terms 1197 01:06:46,920 --> 01:06:51,440 Speaker 15: of storytelling, and so for me, yes, games are an 1198 01:06:51,560 --> 01:06:54,600 Speaker 15: entertainment form, but they also. 1199 01:06:55,040 --> 01:06:56,560 Speaker 6: A commercial enterprise. 1200 01:06:57,800 --> 01:07:00,760 Speaker 15: I mean, just to give you an example on which 1201 01:07:00,800 --> 01:07:05,680 Speaker 15: is global stats, right, three billion people around the world 1202 01:07:05,800 --> 01:07:08,680 Speaker 15: play video games, so that's almost half of the world's population. 1203 01:07:09,400 --> 01:07:12,200 Speaker 15: And if you look at the commercial value of revenues 1204 01:07:12,280 --> 01:07:17,240 Speaker 15: generated from this industry, it's north of two hundred billion dollars, So. 1205 01:07:17,280 --> 01:07:18,240 Speaker 6: Money is being made. 1206 01:07:18,600 --> 01:07:21,600 Speaker 15: And to contextualize that number, because I like the example 1207 01:07:21,600 --> 01:07:26,480 Speaker 15: of film, the size of the video games industry globally 1208 01:07:27,040 --> 01:07:31,000 Speaker 15: is bigger than the music industry and the music industry combined. 1209 01:07:31,920 --> 01:07:34,600 Speaker 15: So there's tons of opportunity in that space. 1210 01:07:34,960 --> 01:07:36,880 Speaker 3: I mean, if you think about how big the movie 1211 01:07:37,000 --> 01:07:39,600 Speaker 3: and the movie industries are, and that it's bigger than 1212 01:07:39,640 --> 01:07:43,200 Speaker 3: both of those, I mean, it really is incredible. How 1213 01:07:44,240 --> 01:07:47,320 Speaker 3: did you get into it? Were your parents nicer than 1214 01:07:47,320 --> 01:07:48,360 Speaker 3: my children's? 1215 01:07:50,280 --> 01:07:53,880 Speaker 15: So, you know, I got into games by accident, to 1216 01:07:53,880 --> 01:07:58,200 Speaker 15: be honest, I always loved playing games growing up. But 1217 01:07:58,320 --> 01:08:03,120 Speaker 15: then I pursued a career that my parents obviously would 1218 01:08:03,120 --> 01:08:04,160 Speaker 15: have channeled me into. 1219 01:08:04,200 --> 01:08:05,160 Speaker 6: Each his accountancy. 1220 01:08:05,200 --> 01:08:08,480 Speaker 15: I'm a chatted accountant by training, and I did my 1221 01:08:08,880 --> 01:08:13,960 Speaker 15: you know, articles at PwC, then went into banking, and 1222 01:08:14,080 --> 01:08:17,759 Speaker 15: I was always fiddling though, you know, like there's every 1223 01:08:17,920 --> 01:08:21,439 Speaker 15: entrepreneur knows that there's certain things that you know, you 1224 01:08:21,479 --> 01:08:24,880 Speaker 15: could be in a corporate but you're doing all these 1225 01:08:24,960 --> 01:08:27,840 Speaker 15: side hustles. And so one of the things that I 1226 01:08:28,320 --> 01:08:31,000 Speaker 15: started in twenty fifteen was a sports organization. 1227 01:08:31,200 --> 01:08:32,320 Speaker 6: I really love sports. 1228 01:08:32,360 --> 01:08:35,880 Speaker 15: I love football, So I started a nonprofit called Duskin 1229 01:08:35,960 --> 01:08:39,920 Speaker 15: Nineine whilst I was employed at UPSA and during the pandemic, 1230 01:08:40,760 --> 01:08:44,640 Speaker 15: we couldn't run our traditional sports programs, and so we pivoted, 1231 01:08:44,760 --> 01:08:48,400 Speaker 15: and we pivoted into esports, and now esports is competitive 1232 01:08:48,520 --> 01:08:53,519 Speaker 15: video gaming. And during that time I realized that you know, 1233 01:08:53,720 --> 01:08:59,280 Speaker 15: there's a huge opportunity but a big problem. So less 1234 01:08:59,320 --> 01:09:02,479 Speaker 15: than one person of video game developers on the planet 1235 01:09:02,520 --> 01:09:07,759 Speaker 15: are Africans, yet we make up together with the Middle East, 1236 01:09:07,800 --> 01:09:11,160 Speaker 15: the second biggest population of gamers around the world. So 1237 01:09:11,200 --> 01:09:16,240 Speaker 15: that tells me we are consumers in this space, but 1238 01:09:16,280 --> 01:09:20,200 Speaker 15: we do not produce video games. So I went into 1239 01:09:20,280 --> 01:09:25,480 Speaker 15: games naively five years ago with the intention of building 1240 01:09:25,680 --> 01:09:29,200 Speaker 15: African inspired video games because I saw a gap in 1241 01:09:29,240 --> 01:09:32,080 Speaker 15: the market, which is the ability for us to tell 1242 01:09:32,120 --> 01:09:37,280 Speaker 15: our own stories and have our kids play video games 1243 01:09:37,320 --> 01:09:40,799 Speaker 15: made locally and create a platform even for our kids 1244 01:09:41,280 --> 01:09:44,599 Speaker 15: and young people around the continent, because we are a 1245 01:09:44,640 --> 01:09:49,479 Speaker 15: youthful population as Africa, and so we need to channel 1246 01:09:49,520 --> 01:09:53,479 Speaker 15: this energy. And young people love games, they play them, 1247 01:09:53,520 --> 01:09:56,280 Speaker 15: but they don't really realize and know that they can 1248 01:09:56,320 --> 01:10:00,000 Speaker 15: also make them and run enterprises and the space. 1249 01:10:01,080 --> 01:10:04,680 Speaker 3: So there's There are all sorts of things in the IT 1250 01:10:04,960 --> 01:10:08,040 Speaker 3: industry when people talk about ecosystems, and the most famous 1251 01:10:08,040 --> 01:10:11,559 Speaker 3: one is sort of Silicon Valley, San Francisco, where so 1252 01:10:11,640 --> 01:10:15,720 Speaker 3: much of the sort of personal computing revolution happened. Is 1253 01:10:15,760 --> 01:10:18,400 Speaker 3: our problem that we don't have an ecosystem like that 1254 01:10:18,560 --> 01:10:22,479 Speaker 3: in Southern Africa where a place where people are sort 1255 01:10:22,479 --> 01:10:26,240 Speaker 3: of together and interested in designing games that would create 1256 01:10:26,320 --> 01:10:29,400 Speaker 3: that kind of ecosystem. 1257 01:10:29,560 --> 01:10:32,679 Speaker 15: Yes, that's definitely one part of the problem. There's multiple 1258 01:10:33,320 --> 01:10:38,320 Speaker 15: facets to this challenge of the ecosystem. So certainly there 1259 01:10:38,320 --> 01:10:42,800 Speaker 15: aren't clusters in Southern Africa where you could you know, 1260 01:10:42,960 --> 01:10:46,679 Speaker 15: walk into multiple spaces. There are computers, there are people 1261 01:10:46,720 --> 01:10:48,840 Speaker 15: who are like you, who think like you, who want 1262 01:10:48,840 --> 01:10:52,400 Speaker 15: to make you know, games, whether it's as an art form, as. 1263 01:10:52,280 --> 01:10:54,240 Speaker 6: An entertainment form. 1264 01:10:54,800 --> 01:10:59,320 Speaker 15: And then there's also the perception of parents that you know, 1265 01:10:59,439 --> 01:11:04,240 Speaker 15: parents games as this big distraction and they don't understand that, 1266 01:11:04,600 --> 01:11:06,840 Speaker 15: you know, there is again a career that. 1267 01:11:06,760 --> 01:11:09,000 Speaker 6: Can be built in the space. 1268 01:11:09,040 --> 01:11:11,680 Speaker 15: There's money to be made in the space, whether you're 1269 01:11:11,680 --> 01:11:15,400 Speaker 15: making the game yourself or you are streaming. There are 1270 01:11:15,479 --> 01:11:19,280 Speaker 15: so many avenues right like there are esports players. There's 1271 01:11:19,280 --> 01:11:22,559 Speaker 15: people who play video games and you know, the prize 1272 01:11:22,760 --> 01:11:25,680 Speaker 15: pool is in the millions of dollars and they're just 1273 01:11:25,760 --> 01:11:30,720 Speaker 15: playing a game. So there are massive opportunities, but it's 1274 01:11:30,720 --> 01:11:32,440 Speaker 15: an industry that's misunderstood. 1275 01:11:33,520 --> 01:11:34,360 Speaker 6: In South Africa. 1276 01:11:34,720 --> 01:11:40,320 Speaker 15: We are at an infancy stage in our ecosystem. There's 1277 01:11:40,360 --> 01:11:43,160 Speaker 15: just a handful of studios locally that are building video 1278 01:11:43,240 --> 01:11:47,720 Speaker 15: games and making money and sustaining themselves with sales of 1279 01:11:47,840 --> 01:11:51,719 Speaker 15: video games. And then there are you know, a lot 1280 01:11:51,840 --> 01:11:55,360 Speaker 15: more of studios that are doing it as a hobby, 1281 01:11:55,720 --> 01:11:59,120 Speaker 15: as a side hustle, but then they're doing something else 1282 01:11:59,320 --> 01:12:03,840 Speaker 15: to to sustain their lives, you know. So, yes, I 1283 01:12:03,880 --> 01:12:07,800 Speaker 15: think having a cluster is important, and that's something that 1284 01:12:07,840 --> 01:12:11,519 Speaker 15: we're working towards. So, you know it thin gaming as 1285 01:12:11,560 --> 01:12:12,280 Speaker 15: a business. 1286 01:12:12,680 --> 01:12:13,840 Speaker 6: We make video. 1287 01:12:13,560 --> 01:12:17,840 Speaker 15: Games, but then we also do this ecosystem development work 1288 01:12:17,880 --> 01:12:20,880 Speaker 15: that we have seen if we don't do it, our 1289 01:12:20,920 --> 01:12:24,880 Speaker 15: own company might not survive, right, So we've met with 1290 01:12:24,960 --> 01:12:28,840 Speaker 15: the Department of Communications and Digital Technologies and we've sold 1291 01:12:28,920 --> 01:12:33,920 Speaker 15: them the importance of video games as a job creation force, 1292 01:12:35,200 --> 01:12:37,800 Speaker 15: as a way for us to generate revenues and have 1293 01:12:37,880 --> 01:12:42,000 Speaker 15: those revenues stay in the land, in the nation. So 1294 01:12:42,240 --> 01:12:46,240 Speaker 15: there's an advisory committee that we've set up with the 1295 01:12:46,280 --> 01:12:51,080 Speaker 15: Department of Communications and Dogital Technologies to look into this 1296 01:12:51,240 --> 01:12:53,719 Speaker 15: very problem that you're talking about, how do we build 1297 01:12:54,240 --> 01:12:57,920 Speaker 15: a thriving ecosystem for video game producers. 1298 01:12:58,120 --> 01:13:02,000 Speaker 3: Okay, so when you have and even in the music industry, 1299 01:13:02,040 --> 01:13:05,400 Speaker 3: I kind of understand the different roles, So you'll have actors, 1300 01:13:05,479 --> 01:13:08,040 Speaker 3: you'll have a scriptwriter, you'll have a director, you'll have 1301 01:13:08,120 --> 01:13:12,080 Speaker 3: makeup artists, you'll have the crew, all of that. In 1302 01:13:12,120 --> 01:13:14,840 Speaker 3: a video game, what do you need? And I presume 1303 01:13:15,160 --> 01:13:17,840 Speaker 3: that some of the bigger players, like Electronic Arts or 1304 01:13:17,840 --> 01:13:22,639 Speaker 3: whatever will have all sorts of different roles that people play. 1305 01:13:22,880 --> 01:13:25,439 Speaker 3: What would be some of those roles that you know, 1306 01:13:25,640 --> 01:13:28,920 Speaker 3: younger people or anyone could start to consider what would 1307 01:13:28,960 --> 01:13:31,479 Speaker 3: be the roles that people play that go into one 1308 01:13:31,479 --> 01:13:34,360 Speaker 3: of these big sort of production video games. 1309 01:13:35,840 --> 01:13:38,719 Speaker 15: So a video game in its essence is a piece 1310 01:13:38,760 --> 01:13:43,840 Speaker 15: of software, so you would definitely need programmers. So there's 1311 01:13:44,040 --> 01:13:48,639 Speaker 15: people who write a code to make a character jump 1312 01:13:49,000 --> 01:13:52,840 Speaker 15: or make a character run. So you certainly need programmers 1313 01:13:52,880 --> 01:13:55,800 Speaker 15: to deal with the it aspects of a video game. 1314 01:13:56,400 --> 01:13:59,000 Speaker 15: But a video game is also art, so there are 1315 01:13:59,240 --> 01:14:02,240 Speaker 15: characters that to be drawn. That character needs to be 1316 01:14:02,280 --> 01:14:06,080 Speaker 15: animated so that it moves, so you've got animators. A 1317 01:14:06,200 --> 01:14:08,920 Speaker 15: video game is a story, so there could be a 1318 01:14:09,040 --> 01:14:12,680 Speaker 15: narrative that is being followed throughout this video game, so 1319 01:14:12,720 --> 01:14:15,480 Speaker 15: you need writers and storytellers. 1320 01:14:15,080 --> 01:14:15,799 Speaker 6: And the sound. 1321 01:14:15,840 --> 01:14:19,280 Speaker 15: I mean, you started your show with an audio clip, 1322 01:14:19,720 --> 01:14:21,560 Speaker 15: so there's musicians, the sound. 1323 01:14:21,320 --> 01:14:24,960 Speaker 6: Designers, and then there are game designers. 1324 01:14:25,000 --> 01:14:27,760 Speaker 15: So someone who thinks about how to put all of 1325 01:14:27,800 --> 01:14:30,759 Speaker 15: these things into play, how do you make it fun? 1326 01:14:30,880 --> 01:14:34,080 Speaker 15: How do you make people come back? What prices are 1327 01:14:34,080 --> 01:14:36,840 Speaker 15: you giving at what point? What challenges, what puzzles are 1328 01:14:36,840 --> 01:14:40,680 Speaker 15: you putting in? So there's a meriad of options and 1329 01:14:40,800 --> 01:14:45,040 Speaker 15: careers that young people could consider in the space. And 1330 01:14:45,040 --> 01:14:48,439 Speaker 15: then of course then there's people like myself who are 1331 01:14:48,560 --> 01:14:52,880 Speaker 15: in finance and we look up how do we raise 1332 01:14:52,960 --> 01:14:56,280 Speaker 15: capital for the work that we do, because just like 1333 01:14:56,320 --> 01:15:00,800 Speaker 15: in movies, building games is quite a capital intense industry. 1334 01:15:01,600 --> 01:15:04,080 Speaker 15: The type of hardware that you need to build video 1335 01:15:04,120 --> 01:15:07,479 Speaker 15: games is not cheap, and the time that it takes 1336 01:15:07,520 --> 01:15:11,520 Speaker 15: it could take a long time to have a game developed. 1337 01:15:12,120 --> 01:15:14,520 Speaker 15: And then you've got lawyers that need to do the paperwork, 1338 01:15:14,560 --> 01:15:17,400 Speaker 15: and then there's a marketing team that needs to ensure that, 1339 01:15:17,960 --> 01:15:20,880 Speaker 15: you know, everybody knows about the game. So it's it's 1340 01:15:20,920 --> 01:15:25,920 Speaker 15: a full scale industry with tons of opportunities. 1341 01:15:26,479 --> 01:15:29,599 Speaker 3: So I mean, is there scope for someone in South 1342 01:15:29,600 --> 01:15:32,040 Speaker 3: Africa to do one of those jobs full time in 1343 01:15:32,080 --> 01:15:36,120 Speaker 3: the gaming industry? Now I've I mean, I've never bumped 1344 01:15:36,120 --> 01:15:39,080 Speaker 3: into someone who says apart from you, I suppose who 1345 01:15:39,120 --> 01:15:41,720 Speaker 3: says I work in South Africa, I work in the 1346 01:15:41,720 --> 01:15:43,599 Speaker 3: gaming industry, or someone I know does. 1347 01:15:45,760 --> 01:15:46,000 Speaker 8: Yeah. 1348 01:15:46,080 --> 01:15:48,960 Speaker 15: So I mean, like I said, the industry is still 1349 01:15:48,960 --> 01:15:52,400 Speaker 15: in its infancy. So there's a handful of studios that 1350 01:15:52,439 --> 01:15:56,080 Speaker 15: are doing a full time the talent that we have. 1351 01:15:56,200 --> 01:15:59,280 Speaker 15: I mean, you know, there's a couple of universities that 1352 01:15:59,520 --> 01:16:04,479 Speaker 15: are offering game development degrees and they are churning out 1353 01:16:04,640 --> 01:16:08,960 Speaker 15: really talented young people. And what we're seeing is that 1354 01:16:09,400 --> 01:16:13,720 Speaker 15: some of those people then find work overseas. I mean, 1355 01:16:13,840 --> 01:16:18,439 Speaker 15: one of our amazing, amazing game designers just resigned from 1356 01:16:18,479 --> 01:16:22,240 Speaker 15: our studio last month to work for a firm based 1357 01:16:22,240 --> 01:16:26,599 Speaker 15: in Saudi Arabia, but he's working remotely. And so we've 1358 01:16:26,640 --> 01:16:30,840 Speaker 15: seen a lot of demand for talent from South Africa 1359 01:16:31,200 --> 01:16:35,320 Speaker 15: abroad in the video gaming space. And as we build 1360 01:16:35,360 --> 01:16:37,840 Speaker 15: our industry, I can see in the next five ten 1361 01:16:37,960 --> 01:16:41,160 Speaker 15: years lots more opportunities for young people to do this 1362 01:16:41,240 --> 01:16:42,000 Speaker 15: thing full time. 1363 01:16:43,600 --> 01:16:46,920 Speaker 3: And it requires quite a few things. But one of 1364 01:16:46,920 --> 01:16:49,240 Speaker 3: the things that just can't get around is your opening 1365 01:16:49,280 --> 01:16:51,720 Speaker 3: comment about sort of Africa and the Middle East is consumers. 1366 01:16:52,320 --> 01:16:54,880 Speaker 3: If the market is so big, you would think that 1367 01:16:55,080 --> 01:16:57,240 Speaker 3: the games would be tailor made to our market, and 1368 01:16:57,240 --> 01:16:58,760 Speaker 3: now I don't get the sense that they are. 1369 01:17:00,240 --> 01:17:00,479 Speaker 6: No. 1370 01:17:00,560 --> 01:17:04,240 Speaker 15: I mean, yeah, that's a big challenge, and that's where 1371 01:17:04,280 --> 01:17:07,120 Speaker 15: we see the gap, right, And I don't I wouldn't 1372 01:17:07,160 --> 01:17:13,479 Speaker 15: blame any studio for not even considering our narratives, our stories, 1373 01:17:13,520 --> 01:17:17,800 Speaker 15: our cultures in their games, because if you don't have representation, 1374 01:17:17,920 --> 01:17:20,640 Speaker 15: what you're talking to is an issue of representation. 1375 01:17:21,840 --> 01:17:23,240 Speaker 6: You can't blame someone for. 1376 01:17:23,280 --> 01:17:28,040 Speaker 15: Not thinking about your geography because they might not feel 1377 01:17:28,040 --> 01:17:30,120 Speaker 15: a connection to it. They might not know it, they 1378 01:17:30,160 --> 01:17:32,880 Speaker 15: might not understand it. If they do it, they might 1379 01:17:32,920 --> 01:17:36,439 Speaker 15: not also do it you know, well, they might not 1380 01:17:38,280 --> 01:17:40,160 Speaker 15: do it in the way that it's supposed to be done. 1381 01:17:40,240 --> 01:17:43,000 Speaker 15: So that's part of the problem. That's why we need 1382 01:17:43,080 --> 01:17:45,400 Speaker 15: to ensure that, you know, when a young person is 1383 01:17:45,400 --> 01:17:47,559 Speaker 15: telling their parents, hey, I want to be a game developer, 1384 01:17:47,600 --> 01:17:52,360 Speaker 15: we don't discourage them because we need that talentier so 1385 01:17:52,400 --> 01:17:56,040 Speaker 15: that we can tell our own stories. So, yes, that's 1386 01:17:56,080 --> 01:17:58,000 Speaker 15: a big challenge. 1387 01:17:58,560 --> 01:18:00,760 Speaker 6: And we've seen a studio also. 1388 01:18:00,479 --> 01:18:03,000 Speaker 15: I mean, like a good friend of mine has developed 1389 01:18:03,000 --> 01:18:06,680 Speaker 15: a really fantastic game called Relooted. Ben Mayer is from 1390 01:18:06,800 --> 01:18:11,280 Speaker 15: Yamacob and it's a beautiful game. It's about reclaiming African 1391 01:18:11,360 --> 01:18:16,439 Speaker 15: artifacts from Western museums. It's an important video game, so 1392 01:18:16,479 --> 01:18:20,080 Speaker 15: I would encourage everybody to check it out. But you know, 1393 01:18:20,200 --> 01:18:23,720 Speaker 15: because it's different, it's unique, it's telling our story. There 1394 01:18:23,800 --> 01:18:26,600 Speaker 15: is a certain demographic around the world that is not 1395 01:18:26,720 --> 01:18:29,759 Speaker 15: pleased with that game. So we also face these challenges 1396 01:18:29,800 --> 01:18:31,920 Speaker 15: when you're trying to build something of your own that 1397 01:18:32,000 --> 01:18:35,080 Speaker 15: comes from from the continent of Africa and you're putting 1398 01:18:35,080 --> 01:18:37,920 Speaker 15: it in the global market. That tends to sometimes be 1399 01:18:38,040 --> 01:18:41,080 Speaker 15: that resistance because people don't understand it. I mean, they're 1400 01:18:41,080 --> 01:18:43,800 Speaker 15: seeing black characters in the game, and for them it's 1401 01:18:43,800 --> 01:18:47,120 Speaker 15: an issue which we don't really get and understand why 1402 01:18:47,160 --> 01:18:47,839 Speaker 15: that is happening. 1403 01:18:48,520 --> 01:18:50,880 Speaker 3: Raymond d Robers the heer of I think gaming is 1404 01:18:50,920 --> 01:18:52,960 Speaker 3: with us for another ten minutes on hoow I Make 1405 01:18:53,000 --> 01:18:55,599 Speaker 3: My Money? How you do it in the Gaming Business? 1406 01:18:55,600 --> 01:18:57,160 Speaker 3: Ten minutes nowadays. 1407 01:18:58,760 --> 01:19:01,280 Speaker 11: The Money Show Stephen Fruit is brought to you by 1408 01:19:01,360 --> 01:19:05,080 Speaker 11: abs and Sponsorships the Cloud, sponsor of the Absurd gape Epic, 1409 01:19:05,439 --> 01:19:08,880 Speaker 11: celebrating twenty years of taking it to the trails as 1410 01:19:09,160 --> 01:19:10,040 Speaker 11: raised sp. 1411 01:19:12,000 --> 01:19:14,840 Speaker 2: The Money Show How I Make My Money? 1412 01:19:15,040 --> 01:19:17,720 Speaker 3: Eight minutes to eighth the time we're talking about a 1413 01:19:17,760 --> 01:19:19,920 Speaker 3: career in the gaming industry. Raymond ed Wabe is the 1414 01:19:19,960 --> 01:19:23,439 Speaker 3: CEO of I Think Game and Are Gaming. Raymond, I 1415 01:19:23,439 --> 01:19:25,040 Speaker 3: do have to ask a question and I sort of 1416 01:19:25,080 --> 01:19:27,439 Speaker 3: asked this with my parent hat on that I think 1417 01:19:27,479 --> 01:19:30,080 Speaker 3: some people are kind of anti gaming because they see 1418 01:19:30,080 --> 01:19:32,800 Speaker 3: it almost as addictive. And if you think of Fortnite, right, 1419 01:19:33,439 --> 01:19:35,400 Speaker 3: for a lot of people, if you think of gaming, 1420 01:19:35,439 --> 01:19:38,080 Speaker 3: you think of Fortnite. You try and get a child 1421 01:19:38,160 --> 01:19:41,559 Speaker 3: of Fortnite, so it's being played live with lots of 1422 01:19:41,560 --> 01:19:45,240 Speaker 3: other players, so you can't pause it. So for the teenager, 1423 01:19:45,840 --> 01:19:49,360 Speaker 3: they're like that, I can't pause this game, you can't 1424 01:19:49,360 --> 01:19:53,040 Speaker 3: go back, And all the parent sees is the sort 1425 01:19:53,080 --> 01:19:56,760 Speaker 3: of blood and guts. And I sometimes wonder if the 1426 01:19:56,760 --> 01:19:59,559 Speaker 3: gaming industry, I mean, that's before I even think of 1427 01:19:59,640 --> 01:20:02,840 Speaker 3: grant the auto and all the other stuff. And I 1428 01:20:02,920 --> 01:20:06,400 Speaker 3: appreciate that the you know, the movie world has that too, 1429 01:20:07,160 --> 01:20:09,439 Speaker 3: but is that something that maybe the gaming industry could 1430 01:20:09,479 --> 01:20:10,320 Speaker 3: think a little bit about. 1431 01:20:12,640 --> 01:20:13,679 Speaker 6: That's a very good question. 1432 01:20:13,720 --> 01:20:17,320 Speaker 15: And I mean I think that there are standards and 1433 01:20:17,400 --> 01:20:22,759 Speaker 15: regulations that ensure that, you know, video games have age 1434 01:20:22,840 --> 01:20:31,799 Speaker 15: appropriate narratives, images, you know, ideas, because that is definitely 1435 01:20:31,800 --> 01:20:35,479 Speaker 15: a valid concern. But I see, I think it's it's 1436 01:20:35,520 --> 01:20:39,320 Speaker 15: it's a very difficult thing to control in someone's home 1437 01:20:39,960 --> 01:20:44,000 Speaker 15: because you know, as an enterprise making a particular product, 1438 01:20:45,360 --> 01:20:48,320 Speaker 15: you would be thinking about your your particular idea and 1439 01:20:48,400 --> 01:20:53,200 Speaker 15: bringing it to life in a certain way, and ultimately, 1440 01:20:53,280 --> 01:20:56,320 Speaker 15: once it gets into the market, it would get into 1441 01:20:56,360 --> 01:21:01,040 Speaker 15: the market with appropriate age restrictions and you would have 1442 01:21:01,160 --> 01:21:04,479 Speaker 15: agencies that would ensure that that is indeed the case, 1443 01:21:06,040 --> 01:21:07,280 Speaker 15: and once you know it's. 1444 01:21:07,160 --> 01:21:08,439 Speaker 6: Being played in the home. 1445 01:21:08,960 --> 01:21:14,680 Speaker 15: Certainly, certain devices, your PlayStations, your Xbox have parental controls 1446 01:21:15,160 --> 01:21:18,439 Speaker 15: that can ensure that you limit the time that your 1447 01:21:18,520 --> 01:21:23,280 Speaker 15: child is on the device, you know, and so ultimately 1448 01:21:23,600 --> 01:21:26,080 Speaker 15: the parent is responsible for the child. 1449 01:21:26,640 --> 01:21:29,800 Speaker 6: But you are right in saying that, you know, there 1450 01:21:29,920 --> 01:21:30,320 Speaker 6: is that. 1451 01:21:31,960 --> 01:21:36,639 Speaker 15: Perception of what a game could be doing for young children. 1452 01:21:37,560 --> 01:21:42,639 Speaker 15: But again, just to contextualize everything, right, like twenty percent 1453 01:21:42,800 --> 01:21:50,000 Speaker 15: of game players are minors, so it is an important demographic. 1454 01:21:51,240 --> 01:21:55,080 Speaker 15: There are you know, tools and controls to ensure that 1455 01:21:55,280 --> 01:21:57,639 Speaker 15: you can manage the amount of time your child plays. 1456 01:21:58,000 --> 01:22:01,240 Speaker 6: But similar YouTube, it would have the same problem. 1457 01:22:01,400 --> 01:22:04,920 Speaker 15: Sure, right in film, like you said, would have the 1458 01:22:04,960 --> 01:22:08,639 Speaker 15: same problem TikTok would have the same problem. So it's 1459 01:22:08,760 --> 01:22:12,880 Speaker 15: tough to manage these platforms. But yeah, at the end 1460 01:22:12,880 --> 01:22:14,959 Speaker 15: of the day, the parent has to do the parenting. 1461 01:22:15,720 --> 01:22:18,200 Speaker 3: Such an interesting stat when you said that only twenty 1462 01:22:18,240 --> 01:22:21,799 Speaker 3: percent of the people who play on these are minus 1463 01:22:21,800 --> 01:22:23,840 Speaker 3: so under the age of eighteen. I presume, and I 1464 01:22:23,880 --> 01:22:26,639 Speaker 3: think automatically, there's an assumption that most people who play 1465 01:22:26,680 --> 01:22:28,840 Speaker 3: are young, but we know that's not true. And in fact, 1466 01:22:29,160 --> 01:22:31,240 Speaker 3: I know at least one person who's a bit older 1467 01:22:31,280 --> 01:22:33,599 Speaker 3: than me who will spend a long time on a game. 1468 01:22:34,960 --> 01:22:39,960 Speaker 3: So I have a different question, Raymond, why is it? 1469 01:22:40,120 --> 01:22:44,400 Speaker 3: I mean, I've never really found playing these games interesting. 1470 01:22:44,439 --> 01:22:46,760 Speaker 3: I can see that there art in many cases. I 1471 01:22:46,800 --> 01:22:48,920 Speaker 3: can see they're clever. I can see that they're intellectual. 1472 01:22:49,000 --> 01:22:51,439 Speaker 3: I can see that a lot of work by very 1473 01:22:51,479 --> 01:22:53,920 Speaker 3: clever people has gone to them. I can appreciate the product, 1474 01:22:54,400 --> 01:22:56,439 Speaker 3: but frankly, I'd rather read a book. And I don't 1475 01:22:56,479 --> 01:22:59,439 Speaker 3: say that to be insulting. I'm asking a different question, 1476 01:22:59,479 --> 01:23:02,400 Speaker 3: which is why do some people like games and some 1477 01:23:02,439 --> 01:23:05,559 Speaker 3: people don't. I find that fascinating because I've come across 1478 01:23:05,600 --> 01:23:08,000 Speaker 3: some people who really love them and some people who 1479 01:23:08,120 --> 01:23:10,400 Speaker 3: just can't stand them and it doesn't matter what the 1480 01:23:10,479 --> 01:23:12,720 Speaker 3: game is. You know, it could be Tetris, it could 1481 01:23:12,720 --> 01:23:14,559 Speaker 3: be Fortnite, but they still have that view. 1482 01:23:16,320 --> 01:23:20,320 Speaker 15: Yeah, I mean certainly, you know, the market has different 1483 01:23:20,360 --> 01:23:23,840 Speaker 15: types of personas that are interested in the products that 1484 01:23:23,960 --> 01:23:28,600 Speaker 15: we develop. You definitely have people, I mean, like myself. 1485 01:23:29,000 --> 01:23:31,800 Speaker 15: I'm a golfer, for example, and I'm hooked on this 1486 01:23:31,920 --> 01:23:36,160 Speaker 15: golfing game. I just can't put it down. I love soccer, 1487 01:23:36,200 --> 01:23:40,719 Speaker 15: I play you know, FIFA a lot. So there's certainly 1488 01:23:41,560 --> 01:23:44,760 Speaker 15: different types of games that appeal to your personality and 1489 01:23:44,800 --> 01:23:49,040 Speaker 15: the things that you like. So there's that connection on 1490 01:23:49,080 --> 01:23:52,240 Speaker 15: that on that front, and certainly you would find people 1491 01:23:52,240 --> 01:23:56,400 Speaker 15: who like indie games, so games that are very artistic 1492 01:23:58,040 --> 01:24:00,760 Speaker 15: that are not too mainstream, and they will play those 1493 01:24:00,800 --> 01:24:04,400 Speaker 15: games for days. And yes, absolutely, I mean then there's 1494 01:24:04,400 --> 01:24:09,120 Speaker 15: a there's a customer or you know, someone like you 1495 01:24:09,200 --> 01:24:12,600 Speaker 15: who says, well, I'd rather read a book or you know, 1496 01:24:12,760 --> 01:24:16,599 Speaker 15: rather watch a movie. And that's really our competition. That's 1497 01:24:16,640 --> 01:24:20,040 Speaker 15: what we are competing with. We competing for your attention, right. 1498 01:24:20,200 --> 01:24:23,640 Speaker 15: We work in the attention economy, and so if we 1499 01:24:23,680 --> 01:24:26,360 Speaker 15: can grab your attention and keep you in our game, 1500 01:24:26,800 --> 01:24:29,960 Speaker 15: then we would have designed a really fantastic game. If 1501 01:24:29,960 --> 01:24:32,320 Speaker 15: we can't, that's, you know, we go back to the 1502 01:24:32,400 --> 01:24:36,040 Speaker 15: drawing board. But yeah, that's that's We compete with books 1503 01:24:36,040 --> 01:24:37,639 Speaker 15: and music and you know. 1504 01:24:38,640 --> 01:24:42,519 Speaker 3: TikTok, we've got We've got just a minute left. You 1505 01:24:42,800 --> 01:24:46,240 Speaker 3: are very optimistic still about growth of the gaming industry 1506 01:24:46,320 --> 01:24:49,759 Speaker 3: here in South Africa. So are you optimistic that people 1507 01:24:49,840 --> 01:24:52,479 Speaker 3: will in a few years we'll see I will go 1508 01:24:52,600 --> 01:24:54,320 Speaker 3: to a Brian bump it to people who say, oh 1509 01:24:54,320 --> 01:24:56,760 Speaker 3: I work in the gaming industry in South Africa for 1510 01:24:57,280 --> 01:25:01,679 Speaker 3: South Africans producing Southern African content, one hundred percent. 1511 01:25:01,760 --> 01:25:07,759 Speaker 15: I don't see the growth of the industry really slowing down. 1512 01:25:07,960 --> 01:25:14,879 Speaker 15: I see more people playing more games. And I think 1513 01:25:15,120 --> 01:25:19,080 Speaker 15: if we have the opportunity as Africans to also contribute 1514 01:25:19,240 --> 01:25:23,879 Speaker 15: to these catalogs by building games that represent us, games 1515 01:25:23,880 --> 01:25:28,040 Speaker 15: that are infused with our own stories, our own culture, 1516 01:25:28,400 --> 01:25:31,639 Speaker 15: then definitely we will see even growth on the African continent. 1517 01:25:32,439 --> 01:25:34,120 Speaker 15: And so yes, in a couple of years you'll be 1518 01:25:34,120 --> 01:25:38,240 Speaker 15: at a Brye and you'll be talking to multi billionaires 1519 01:25:38,720 --> 01:25:41,400 Speaker 15: that are making money from video games. 1520 01:25:41,479 --> 01:25:44,680 Speaker 3: Well, now you're selling it, Raymond Ledwab, thanks very much, 1521 01:25:44,760 --> 01:25:48,120 Speaker 3: really appreciate the time the CEO of I think Gaming 1522 01:25:48,920 --> 01:25:51,759 Speaker 3: are interested now in a nut your chart in that direction, 1523 01:25:52,080 --> 01:25:52,759 Speaker 3: someone better. 1524 01:25:55,320 --> 01:25:57,880 Speaker 11: The Money Show Stephen Croutes is brought to you by 1525 01:25:57,960 --> 01:26:03,080 Speaker 11: Absence Sponsorships, Croudsponts of the Absurd kpe Epic celebrating twenty 1526 01:26:03,200 --> 01:26:06,639 Speaker 11: years of taking it to the trails after the arrased FSP. 1527 01:26:07,760 --> 01:26:11,479 Speaker 3: Well, in the US mark it's still really uncertain, not 1528 01:26:11,479 --> 01:26:14,840 Speaker 3: sure about what's going to happen and how it's going 1529 01:26:14,880 --> 01:26:16,679 Speaker 3: to play out. In the Middle East, the Dow Jones 1530 01:26:16,720 --> 01:26:18,800 Speaker 3: is up point three to two percent, the Nasdaq is 1531 01:26:18,840 --> 01:26:21,160 Speaker 3: down half a percent. The S and P five hundred 1532 01:26:21,320 --> 01:26:24,519 Speaker 3: is down point one eight percent at the moment, and 1533 01:26:24,560 --> 01:26:27,360 Speaker 3: of course everyone just waiting to see. I suppose what 1534 01:26:27,400 --> 01:26:31,639 Speaker 3: Trump does next? Really and he ran lots of analysis 1535 01:26:31,680 --> 01:26:35,120 Speaker 3: suggesting that he ran really has a much stronger hand 1536 01:26:35,160 --> 01:26:38,120 Speaker 3: to play for various reasons than the US due to 1537 01:26:38,160 --> 01:26:41,200 Speaker 3: the strait of humus. We'll be back with you tomorrow. 1538 01:26:41,240 --> 01:26:42,439 Speaker 3: Good evening, it's eight o'clock