1 00:00:00,600 --> 00:00:01,680 Speaker 1: The money show. 2 00:00:03,800 --> 00:00:07,720 Speaker 2: Is at Investic Treasury Sales and Solutions Mateta. Good evening, Okay, 3 00:00:07,760 --> 00:00:09,959 Speaker 2: so the jc APP nearly the all share of nearly 4 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 2: four percent on the day. Obviously, different indices reacting in 5 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:16,479 Speaker 2: different ways, but it is what we saw today. A 6 00:00:16,480 --> 00:00:17,760 Speaker 2: bit of a sugar u ish maybe. 7 00:00:18,800 --> 00:00:22,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, good evening. You know, I suppose you know, when 8 00:00:22,600 --> 00:00:24,759 Speaker 1: you look at this, there's a sense of relief, even 9 00:00:24,800 --> 00:00:28,720 Speaker 1: if it's temporary, but you know, it is almost palapable. 10 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:32,000 Speaker 1: The markets, you know, they're taking a bit of a breather, 11 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 1: especially from the risk of escalating conflict and the surging 12 00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:39,839 Speaker 1: oil presses. But you know, nonetheless, as much as we 13 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 1: heard about the seeds fire late last night, there are 14 00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:48,000 Speaker 1: reports of hostilities are still continuing even after the announcement 15 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:51,640 Speaker 1: of the two week seeds fire. I suppose markets are 16 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 1: cautiously optimistic about the seed fire and obviously the possible 17 00:00:56,640 --> 00:00:59,640 Speaker 1: opening of the Strait of Humus. I mean, details remain 18 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:03,600 Speaker 1: really scant on how the reopening will be carried out, 19 00:01:04,440 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 1: but I suppose now the markets will be really fixated 20 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 1: on Friday, you know, with Pakistan tanning to host these 21 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 1: peace negotiations between the US and the Iran. 22 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 2: A big part of this, obviously is oil prices, and 23 00:01:19,040 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 2: I mean in a way that kind of dictates everything else, 24 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:22,680 Speaker 2: doesn't it. 25 00:01:23,680 --> 00:01:26,839 Speaker 1: Sure. I mean, we've seen oil, you know, pulling back 26 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:31,360 Speaker 1: almost seventeen percent on the back of this news. You've 27 00:01:31,360 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 1: seen the rants jumping up about three percent on the 28 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 1: back of this, Like you said, even the equity market also, 29 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:40,959 Speaker 1: you know, jumping about close to five six percent on 30 00:01:41,040 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 1: the day. You know, it's a feel good story. But nonetheless, 31 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 1: I mean, the problem is that oil is still hovering 32 00:01:49,000 --> 00:01:51,680 Speaker 1: around that ninety dollars a barrel that is still going 33 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:55,320 Speaker 1: to be a bit expensive for the consumer. Nonetheless, I mean, 34 00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 1: you know, the problem is, you know, with all these hostilities, 35 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 1: I think the market is somewhat keeping one eye as 36 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 1: to is it really a sugar rush moment that we're 37 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:08,239 Speaker 1: having or are we really going to have a ceasfire 38 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 1: And obviously something that will be permanent, and then you know, 39 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:16,440 Speaker 1: getting the oil flowing, and obviously the infrastructure that has 40 00:02:16,520 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 1: been damaged and how to repair that that's also going 41 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:22,200 Speaker 1: to be something that the you know, energy supply market 42 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:25,040 Speaker 1: will be looking at. But nonetheless, I mean, you know, 43 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:27,480 Speaker 1: if you think about it, two weeks ago we were 44 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 1: talking about one hundred and twenty dollars a barrel possibly 45 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:33,080 Speaker 1: and now we back at ninety dollars a barrel. So 46 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:35,800 Speaker 1: it just shows you that, you know, the situation is 47 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:38,720 Speaker 1: really fluid and things can change in the space of 48 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:39,440 Speaker 1: a few minutes. 49 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:41,520 Speaker 2: A big part of this, obviously is also the rand. 50 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:43,800 Speaker 2: I mean, clearly the big winner from the day. I mean, 51 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:44,680 Speaker 2: there can be no doubt. 52 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:47,919 Speaker 1: Yeah, very much so. I mean, you know, I think 53 00:02:47,960 --> 00:02:51,360 Speaker 1: we have jumped about three percent. It's the most on 54 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:55,040 Speaker 1: an inch a day basis since November twenty twenty three. 55 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:57,840 Speaker 1: You know, the mere fact that we really struggled to 56 00:02:57,919 --> 00:03:02,440 Speaker 1: break above seventeen twenty seventy twenty five levels on the 57 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:05,520 Speaker 1: back of this war really did feel like it was 58 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:08,600 Speaker 1: really capped. I mean, I think the exporters in the 59 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:12,160 Speaker 1: in the mining sector, they did really well by making 60 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:15,040 Speaker 1: sure that they can at least offload some of the 61 00:03:15,120 --> 00:03:18,120 Speaker 1: revenue that they get in the dollars, especially with the 62 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:20,680 Speaker 1: weaker round. I think it you know, there was a 63 00:03:20,680 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 1: lot of you know, supply there. But nonetheless, I mean, 64 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:26,760 Speaker 1: you know, for the rand, we got down to sixteen 65 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:30,240 Speaker 1: twenty eight call it this afternoon, I really think we 66 00:03:30,320 --> 00:03:33,359 Speaker 1: need a fresh set of good news for us to 67 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 1: see us going below maybe touching the sixteen ten and 68 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 1: possibly the sixteen handle. But nonetheless, I mean, you know, 69 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 1: the next focus for now this evening is the FMC minute. 70 00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 1: I don't think the market will really be too fixated 71 00:03:47,920 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 1: on that. Like I said, I think the next big 72 00:03:50,240 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 1: thing for the rand it will give direction is Friday's 73 00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:56,760 Speaker 1: you know, peace negotiations. Then let's see if we get 74 00:03:56,840 --> 00:04:00,839 Speaker 1: good news there, possibly we start talking about sixteen ten 75 00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 1: and maybe fifteen eighty like we saw it a few 76 00:04:04,280 --> 00:04:04,680 Speaker 1: weeks ago. 77 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:08,920 Speaker 2: Sure, Mattete, thank you, Matete. To lare hopefully not overdoing 78 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:12,440 Speaker 2: the sugars and a from investing Treasury sales and Solutions