1 00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:05,560 Speaker 1: And now The Money Show with Stephen Credits on seven 2 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:05,960 Speaker 1: O two. 3 00:00:06,519 --> 00:00:09,600 Speaker 2: Let's walk little. The Money Show with Stephen Curtis is 4 00:00:09,600 --> 00:00:11,960 Speaker 2: brought to you by Abscess cib proud host of the 5 00:00:12,000 --> 00:00:16,000 Speaker 2: Africa Impact Matters series podcast. Absur is an authorized FSP 6 00:00:16,200 --> 00:00:19,320 Speaker 2: and registered credit provider. Eight minutes after sex Good evening. 7 00:00:19,320 --> 00:00:22,079 Speaker 2: Welcome to the program. I'm Stephen Curtis. A packed show, 8 00:00:22,160 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 2: particularly the full hour. I'm looking forward to our shape 9 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 2: shifter tonight. Tim Bunny Bacola, the chair of nurser right 10 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 2: at the intersection of all of the electricity transitions, but 11 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 2: before then, really great numbers coming out of Tiger Brands. 12 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:37,960 Speaker 2: Their CEO, Chard Krueger already on hold waiting to talk 13 00:00:38,000 --> 00:00:40,640 Speaker 2: to you or speak to Billy. Tommy's the president of NAMSA, 14 00:00:40,680 --> 00:00:43,680 Speaker 2: also COEO of v Suzu. He's been at the big 15 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:47,720 Speaker 2: opening of a new metal stamping facility in Klaberga that's 16 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:49,880 Speaker 2: going to help the local supply chain when it comes 17 00:00:49,880 --> 00:00:53,880 Speaker 2: to cars. National Treasury unveiling a new infrastructure bond today. 18 00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:57,800 Speaker 2: Duncan Peters's the Director general there follows the medium term 19 00:00:57,840 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 2: Budget Policy Statement. Looking forward to conversation with him in 20 00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:05,480 Speaker 2: about fifteen minutes time as well a vokile promising innovation 21 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 2: to keep you coming to shopping malls. I've got to 22 00:01:09,000 --> 00:01:10,480 Speaker 2: tell you, I know what would make me go to 23 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:12,880 Speaker 2: a shopping mall, and it's very simple. It doesn't even 24 00:01:12,920 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 2: have to be free parking. It just has to be 25 00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:17,399 Speaker 2: parking that works. I went to a big shopping mall 26 00:01:17,800 --> 00:01:19,960 Speaker 2: I'll name and shame it was Crest. They didn't have 27 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:21,880 Speaker 2: a parking app at all. None of the ones that 28 00:01:21,920 --> 00:01:26,080 Speaker 2: you can use were available. I was horrified. What would 29 00:01:26,080 --> 00:01:29,319 Speaker 2: make you go to a shopping mall this Christmas? And 30 00:01:29,440 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 2: please don't say it's the train for the kids. I 31 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 2: mean maybe it is, But what would make you go 32 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:36,120 Speaker 2: to a shopping mall? Oh double one double A three 33 00:01:36,200 --> 00:01:38,640 Speaker 2: oh seven oh two two one four four, six oh 34 00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 2: five six seven and voice notes on seven two seven 35 00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 2: oh two one seven oh two. But we're also check 36 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:46,480 Speaker 2: in with progress being made at the Port of Durban. 37 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 2: There's a lot going on there. Does seem that there 38 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:53,120 Speaker 2: is some progress. 39 00:01:53,120 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 3: The Lonely Show with Stephen Kruts live on ninety two 40 00:01:57,080 --> 00:02:00,240 Speaker 3: point seven and one o six f them streaming the 41 00:02:00,240 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 3: Prime Media Plus. 42 00:02:01,080 --> 00:02:04,360 Speaker 4: NAP and DStv channel eight five six. 43 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:07,000 Speaker 2: And now after six or Tiger Brands reporting their revenue 44 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:08,720 Speaker 2: up a nearly three percent in the air to the 45 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 2: end of September, group operating income up by thirty five percent, 46 00:02:12,960 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 2: operating profit from milling and baking jump twenty seven percent. 47 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:18,720 Speaker 2: The appshot of all of this is a special dividend 48 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:21,680 Speaker 2: and there I forget. They're also launching a new logo. 49 00:02:22,200 --> 00:02:25,640 Speaker 2: Chard Kruger is the CEO of Tiger Brands Chart Good evening, 50 00:02:25,639 --> 00:02:28,239 Speaker 2: Good to talk to you. You've clearly had a strong year. 51 00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 2: What pushed your operating income up so strong and what 52 00:02:31,000 --> 00:02:32,959 Speaker 2: made the difference for you as a group this year? 53 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:38,680 Speaker 5: Hi, Hi Stephen, thanks for talking to us. The biggest 54 00:02:38,680 --> 00:02:42,160 Speaker 5: contributor to the to the operating margin going up with 55 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:45,040 Speaker 5: us getting our price points right and getting our cost 56 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 5: structures right, so getting our pass point right to help 57 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 5: our volume growth, which obviously gives you much better efficiencies 58 00:02:50,600 --> 00:02:54,720 Speaker 5: through your factories. And then all the continuency improvement programs 59 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:57,160 Speaker 5: that we put in place over the last two years 60 00:02:57,520 --> 00:03:01,200 Speaker 5: take the cost out of the supply chain that enables 61 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 5: you to deliver to deliver profit like be have. 62 00:03:04,280 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 2: I mean in your bakeries, you increased your margins and 63 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:10,160 Speaker 2: you say that was because of factory efficiencies, that you 64 00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 2: must have made some big changes and at some point 65 00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:14,840 Speaker 2: you sort of run out of efficiencies to make. 66 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:20,080 Speaker 5: Yeah, Look the in bikries, the particular issues became off 67 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:22,560 Speaker 5: a low base because the bikeris was probably not performing 68 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:27,000 Speaker 5: at all two years ago. So that helps. But we 69 00:03:27,240 --> 00:03:31,760 Speaker 5: in bakeries, in all of business is, but in bikers particular, 70 00:03:31,880 --> 00:03:36,840 Speaker 5: efficiencies is a big driver of your profitability. You're the 71 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 5: number of kilometers you draft to deliver bread, the number 72 00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:42,040 Speaker 5: of truckture a delivering bread is huge. And if you 73 00:03:42,040 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 5: don't run that decision that you lose the plot very quickly. 74 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:49,520 Speaker 5: And doing the opposite actually give you these benefits that 75 00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:50,400 Speaker 5: you can see. 76 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:53,560 Speaker 2: You talk about getting your pricing right, and we've actually 77 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:57,000 Speaker 2: seen some food price deflation this year. Has that made 78 00:03:57,040 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 2: it harder? 79 00:03:59,480 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 5: Look, we are stated strategy and our purposes that we 80 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:06,720 Speaker 5: want to be relevant to our consumers. We've got great brands, 81 00:04:06,760 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 5: we've got great businesses. The consumers want our products. But 82 00:04:09,800 --> 00:04:13,160 Speaker 5: if we are twenty thirty percent more expensive than alternatives, 83 00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 5: then we're going to lose out that. We know that, 84 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:20,560 Speaker 5: and we really have to make ourselves relevant and we 85 00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:23,280 Speaker 5: must make it even for our consumers to decide to 86 00:04:23,279 --> 00:04:25,680 Speaker 5: buy our products. To do that, we must have the 87 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:28,880 Speaker 5: right price, we must have the right promotional activity, and 88 00:04:28,920 --> 00:04:31,039 Speaker 5: we must be able to play well in combos and 89 00:04:31,080 --> 00:04:33,320 Speaker 5: those type of things. So you can only do that 90 00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:36,600 Speaker 5: that you become more efficient. So we've taken a lot 91 00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:39,560 Speaker 5: of costs out of the organization. We've looked at things 92 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:44,440 Speaker 5: like moving from blasts to pet We've reformulated formulas, everything 93 00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:47,040 Speaker 5: consumer driven. Off course, we will never put the inferior 94 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:50,479 Speaker 5: product in front of our consumers, but all those things collectively, 95 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:52,719 Speaker 5: look at the supply chain. We've took a lot of 96 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:56,960 Speaker 5: cost out of distribution across the organization, and all those 97 00:04:57,000 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 5: things added up to the ability then to get to 98 00:04:59,800 --> 00:05:03,560 Speaker 5: a vice point we can be competitive at the right margin. 99 00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:07,040 Speaker 2: I mean, being competitive is everything. And I noticed that 100 00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:11,640 Speaker 2: actually in fuzzy drinks I suppose technically they're called carbonated beverages, 101 00:05:12,120 --> 00:05:14,400 Speaker 2: it looked like you actually had to discount some products. 102 00:05:14,440 --> 00:05:17,000 Speaker 2: Is that tough competition? And fizzy drinks at the moment. 103 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 5: We're not csds is what we call it. Carbonate soft drinks. 104 00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:23,680 Speaker 5: That's the two big eyes. And there is a bit 105 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 5: of a price war there I think we're not directly 106 00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:29,720 Speaker 5: competing with them, but we've got Energy and over Us 107 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:32,360 Speaker 5: and obviously there's a lot of an overflow if those 108 00:05:32,400 --> 00:05:35,400 Speaker 5: products become more affordable, cosumers will buy that rather than 109 00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:38,479 Speaker 5: over Us or Energy. We've seen a lot of that, 110 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:42,560 Speaker 5: so we don't experience that. But we've got a few 111 00:05:42,600 --> 00:05:45,599 Speaker 5: programs that we've put in place. Obviously we must be 112 00:05:46,440 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 5: quite vigilant with our pricing. We've got promotional activity, we've 113 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:52,719 Speaker 5: got marketing campaigns in both of those products, and the 114 00:05:52,800 --> 00:05:54,839 Speaker 5: last couple of months we saw some comeback that that 115 00:05:54,960 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 5: market is very competitive. 116 00:05:57,080 --> 00:06:00,919 Speaker 2: And the new logo still a Tiger. Was very pleased 117 00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 2: to see, Chad, it's black, it uses fewer colors. I 118 00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:06,440 Speaker 2: don't know, if you say on printing costs what drove 119 00:06:06,520 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 2: the change. 120 00:06:08,480 --> 00:06:11,400 Speaker 5: Steven, I'm very, I'm very. It's a big compliment to 121 00:06:11,440 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 5: you to pick up that it's safe you cost because 122 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 5: that is a big driver. Fewer colors, less cost. You know, 123 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 5: we put that on the back of every product that 124 00:06:18,480 --> 00:06:21,440 Speaker 5: we sell. That's mullions and millions of products. But that's 125 00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 5: not the driver. The only driver for this. Our view 126 00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:27,599 Speaker 5: is and and we are Tiger. Tiger Brands I thought 127 00:06:27,640 --> 00:06:29,920 Speaker 5: we are. We are proudly Tiger. We've got a history 128 00:06:29,960 --> 00:06:32,920 Speaker 5: that's undred years old. Be proud of that, underd tyears. 129 00:06:33,360 --> 00:06:35,919 Speaker 5: But we do need we do feel we've turned the 130 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:40,200 Speaker 5: corner and we do need to featuristicness almost and really 131 00:06:40,240 --> 00:06:45,120 Speaker 5: modernize this this brand. That brand, as you see, means 132 00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:48,120 Speaker 5: a lot of stuff. It represents our whole value chain. 133 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:50,960 Speaker 5: You'll see in the if you saw the presentation, the 134 00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 5: chill not that Tiger is the bottom bit of a 135 00:06:53,440 --> 00:06:56,840 Speaker 5: Missus balls container. The years are the same as a 136 00:06:56,880 --> 00:07:02,440 Speaker 5: black Cat logo. So it it really represents our whole 137 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:06,600 Speaker 5: value chain and it really is modern. It's quite as certive, 138 00:07:07,800 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 5: it's going for growth and it's futuristic. So we just 139 00:07:11,560 --> 00:07:14,000 Speaker 5: think it's a right time now to get the organization 140 00:07:14,160 --> 00:07:17,440 Speaker 5: to really focus on the future and get our consumers 141 00:07:17,480 --> 00:07:19,640 Speaker 5: and all the role plays in our personals to really 142 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 5: join this journey with us. 143 00:07:21,920 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 2: Jah, thank you very much. I mean it's assertive, but 144 00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:27,640 Speaker 2: it sounds like your Tiger is purring as well. So Kruger, 145 00:07:27,760 --> 00:07:30,720 Speaker 2: thanks very much. Indeed, the CEO at Tiger Brands. 146 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:35,840 Speaker 3: The Money Show on seven Monday till Friday six to 147 00:07:35,960 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 3: a pm. 148 00:07:36,680 --> 00:07:38,800 Speaker 2: Well, the opening today of a seven hundred and forty 149 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:45,440 Speaker 2: million ruand VLS manufacturing metal stamping facility in Colberga. Billy 150 00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 2: Tom is the President and COEO of E Suzu Motors 151 00:07:47,840 --> 00:07:51,000 Speaker 2: South Africa, also the current President of the National Association 152 00:07:51,040 --> 00:07:54,520 Speaker 2: of Automobile Manufacturers of South Africa. Bellye, good evening. Good 153 00:07:54,560 --> 00:07:56,840 Speaker 2: to talk to you again. We keep hearing about fears 154 00:07:56,840 --> 00:08:00,360 Speaker 2: that our car industry can't compete with other players. Important 155 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:02,640 Speaker 2: does this investment in our local industry and the local 156 00:08:02,680 --> 00:08:03,360 Speaker 2: supply chain. 157 00:08:05,480 --> 00:08:09,040 Speaker 6: Steven, very good evening and good evening to the listeners. 158 00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 6: I must correct one thing. I'm now the former president 159 00:08:12,960 --> 00:08:15,120 Speaker 6: of NAMSA. I step down a week ago. 160 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:15,880 Speaker 2: Monster. 161 00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:20,520 Speaker 6: Yes, no, no, no, no, you're not up to date. I'll 162 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:27,720 Speaker 6: update you, Stephen. This is quite important for us. I 163 00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:31,120 Speaker 6: mean the industry, yes, is facing and I must challenges. 164 00:08:31,960 --> 00:08:34,720 Speaker 6: There is a lot of things being said about the industry, 165 00:08:35,120 --> 00:08:38,800 Speaker 6: but I think each and every industry goes through the 166 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:41,719 Speaker 6: turbulence in one way or the other. But I think 167 00:08:41,760 --> 00:08:44,320 Speaker 6: what's key for us is to invest for the future. 168 00:08:44,360 --> 00:08:47,400 Speaker 6: I mean what some people say investing ahead of the cave, 169 00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 6: and that's what we're doing here. But also I mean 170 00:08:50,520 --> 00:08:53,559 Speaker 6: we've come through a tough period where we've had really 171 00:08:53,559 --> 00:08:56,719 Speaker 6: look at our business and and and do things that 172 00:08:57,120 --> 00:08:59,760 Speaker 6: a bulletproof for us going in to the future, like 173 00:08:59,840 --> 00:09:04,920 Speaker 6: for the volatile prices of containers. So where we've got 174 00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 6: an opportunity to do things local, we need to do 175 00:09:07,960 --> 00:09:09,920 Speaker 6: them local for our stability. 176 00:09:10,960 --> 00:09:13,160 Speaker 2: Did government play a big role in this? I mean 177 00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:16,240 Speaker 2: it's an important plant, it's important to supply chains. There's 178 00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:18,800 Speaker 2: a lot of competition from other countries when it comes 179 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:22,720 Speaker 2: to car manufacturer. I would presume the DTS might have 180 00:09:22,720 --> 00:09:23,320 Speaker 2: been involved. 181 00:09:26,120 --> 00:09:28,480 Speaker 6: Steve, I'm going to take a longer short in answering 182 00:09:28,520 --> 00:09:32,200 Speaker 6: your question because to me, this is a combination of 183 00:09:32,320 --> 00:09:36,360 Speaker 6: industry as well as government working together. If you think 184 00:09:36,400 --> 00:09:39,280 Speaker 6: of the auto industry, I mean our north star is 185 00:09:39,320 --> 00:09:42,480 Speaker 6: what we call SEM twenty thirty five, which is the 186 00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:46,880 Speaker 6: auto industry master plane. SEM twenty thirty five talks about 187 00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:50,920 Speaker 6: increasing the number of people employed, but it also talks 188 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:55,800 Speaker 6: about increasing their local content. And then secondly you've got 189 00:09:55,800 --> 00:09:59,400 Speaker 6: the Industry Transformation Fund. I mean, this fund has been 190 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 6: set up by seven OEMs and we contribute money every 191 00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:07,840 Speaker 6: year towards it. But that fund makes it possible for 192 00:10:07,960 --> 00:10:11,880 Speaker 6: you to invest in local manufacturing, and that's what we've done. 193 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 6: I mean, we've received funding from AITF, We've received funding 194 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:23,120 Speaker 6: from my government via IDC. The Black industrialist funding played 195 00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:26,520 Speaker 6: role as well as one of their banks, and then 196 00:10:26,679 --> 00:10:31,240 Speaker 6: ourselves as issues played a role, and then that resulted 197 00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:34,120 Speaker 6: in the seven hundred and forty million investment. 198 00:10:35,040 --> 00:10:39,080 Speaker 2: We keep hearing that Chinese car manufacturing capacities I mean 199 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:41,360 Speaker 2: literally too big for the Chinese market. They've had to 200 00:10:41,360 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 2: shut some of it down, particularly for electric cars. Do 201 00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:47,079 Speaker 2: you believe I mean, when I've spoken to you in 202 00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:49,280 Speaker 2: the past, you've been very optimistic we'll keep a car 203 00:10:49,320 --> 00:10:51,240 Speaker 2: industry here. Clearly you still believe that. 204 00:10:53,800 --> 00:10:56,800 Speaker 7: As Steven, I clearly believe it. 205 00:10:57,720 --> 00:11:02,680 Speaker 6: I mean, I'm I'm stimistic about the continent. To me, 206 00:11:03,360 --> 00:11:07,080 Speaker 6: I don't only look at the essay industry alone. I 207 00:11:07,160 --> 00:11:12,360 Speaker 6: look at the African automotive industry with the free trade 208 00:11:12,400 --> 00:11:14,880 Speaker 6: agreement coming into play. 209 00:11:15,880 --> 00:11:18,400 Speaker 7: To me, there is a huge opportunity in the. 210 00:11:18,320 --> 00:11:23,880 Speaker 6: Marketplace, and I see the Chinese as almost like an interrupter. 211 00:11:24,080 --> 00:11:26,880 Speaker 6: I mean, it's it's a big challenge, but we are 212 00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:31,760 Speaker 6: automotives in Africa. We understand the African conditions and I 213 00:11:31,800 --> 00:11:33,559 Speaker 6: think we were fairly competitive. 214 00:11:33,640 --> 00:11:35,400 Speaker 7: I mean we we challenge ourselves. 215 00:11:35,720 --> 00:11:38,800 Speaker 6: If I talk of Issuzu as an automotive, I mean 216 00:11:39,120 --> 00:11:42,080 Speaker 6: we benchmark against the likes of Thailand to ensure that 217 00:11:43,080 --> 00:11:46,760 Speaker 6: our costs are in line. I mean we visit Japan 218 00:11:46,800 --> 00:11:50,160 Speaker 6: from time to time. And if you look at the 219 00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:53,480 Speaker 6: investment we've made, it's bringing a lot of stability because 220 00:11:54,400 --> 00:11:59,079 Speaker 6: instead of importing some of panels from overseas, with the 221 00:11:59,160 --> 00:12:02,760 Speaker 6: Rento's VALLETI in the shipping prices, were now going to 222 00:12:02,880 --> 00:12:07,680 Speaker 6: manufacture those locally, which brings stability and makes us more competitive. 223 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:11,559 Speaker 6: But most importantly, Steven, it's also reducing the yokabo on 224 00:12:11,600 --> 00:12:15,440 Speaker 6: footprint because if we procure those locally, we do not 225 00:12:15,559 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 6: emit carboys. But also we employ people. I mean, if 226 00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:21,800 Speaker 6: you look at this this set up, we are adding 227 00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:24,480 Speaker 6: fifty two well paying jobs as well. 228 00:12:24,640 --> 00:12:27,079 Speaker 7: That talks to reducing unemployment. 229 00:12:27,559 --> 00:12:30,760 Speaker 2: Billy Tom thank you, President CEO v Suzu Motor Motors 230 00:12:30,800 --> 00:12:38,200 Speaker 2: South Africa and the past President of NAMSA, Stephen don 231 00:12:38,600 --> 00:12:42,680 Speaker 2: x at Ab Stephen twenty after six, the National Treasury 232 00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 2: sending some of its top people to a meeting today 233 00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:48,160 Speaker 2: with fixed income investors. It's the launch of the National 234 00:12:48,160 --> 00:12:52,560 Speaker 2: Treasury's first Infrastructure and Development finance bond. The Director General 235 00:12:52,559 --> 00:12:55,439 Speaker 2: in the National Treasury is doctor Duncan. Peter's Duncan. Good evening, 236 00:12:56,120 --> 00:12:58,240 Speaker 2: How did it go today? How's this process working? 237 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:02,480 Speaker 8: Good evening, Steven, to your and your listeners, and thanks 238 00:13:02,480 --> 00:13:05,480 Speaker 8: for having me look. Perhaps just to take a step back. 239 00:13:05,520 --> 00:13:08,120 Speaker 8: As you know, in last year's mtvp as we said 240 00:13:08,640 --> 00:13:12,720 Speaker 8: that one of the pillars of the infrastructure reform agenda 241 00:13:13,360 --> 00:13:18,600 Speaker 8: is going to be to introduce innovative financing instruments. Work 242 00:13:18,720 --> 00:13:22,000 Speaker 8: on the credit Guarantee vehicle to de risk private sector 243 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:27,360 Speaker 8: participation in transmission infrastructure development is well underway with our partners, 244 00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:31,200 Speaker 8: the IFC and the World Bank. And another important feature 245 00:13:31,480 --> 00:13:36,599 Speaker 8: of that reform process was issuing dedicated infrastructure bonds. 246 00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:38,040 Speaker 9: So the twenty twenty. 247 00:13:37,760 --> 00:13:41,320 Speaker 8: Six budget next year will for the first time show 248 00:13:41,520 --> 00:13:47,600 Speaker 8: our borrowing specifically for infrastructure, and we are raising dedicated 249 00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:51,360 Speaker 8: infrastructure bonds in order to finance the budget facility for 250 00:13:51,480 --> 00:13:55,960 Speaker 8: infrastructure windows, which we now have four of every year, 251 00:13:56,360 --> 00:14:00,440 Speaker 8: up from one per year last year. So it's part 252 00:14:00,440 --> 00:14:05,560 Speaker 8: of the broader reform agenda that's aimed at driving growth 253 00:14:05,720 --> 00:14:08,280 Speaker 8: through catalyzing greater infrastructure investment. 254 00:14:08,520 --> 00:14:10,760 Speaker 2: We've seen a sort of quite a few bits of 255 00:14:10,760 --> 00:14:13,400 Speaker 2: good news. I'm sure you know this bank and the 256 00:14:13,400 --> 00:14:15,959 Speaker 2: medium term Budget policy statement was a big part of that. 257 00:14:16,880 --> 00:14:18,920 Speaker 2: I would imagine there might be a little bit more 258 00:14:19,120 --> 00:14:21,280 Speaker 2: faith now in our government to get strong interest in 259 00:14:21,400 --> 00:14:21,960 Speaker 2: something like this. 260 00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:26,600 Speaker 8: Yes, absolutely, And look if you look at the response 261 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:29,400 Speaker 8: that we've seen from the investor community, that's been quite 262 00:14:29,520 --> 00:14:33,160 Speaker 8: quite positive as well. And I think that's important because 263 00:14:33,200 --> 00:14:35,400 Speaker 8: what we wanted to do was to be able to 264 00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:40,560 Speaker 8: create a listed instrument that asset managers, banks and others 265 00:14:40,600 --> 00:14:47,120 Speaker 8: can invest in if they wanted dedicated exposure to public 266 00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:48,440 Speaker 8: infrastructure projects. 267 00:14:49,240 --> 00:14:50,040 Speaker 7: And so there's. 268 00:14:49,880 --> 00:14:53,480 Speaker 8: Clearly quite a quite a bit of interest here, and 269 00:14:53,600 --> 00:14:59,520 Speaker 8: ultimately the goal is to bold a dedicated new infrastructure 270 00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:03,680 Speaker 8: base asset class. So over time, as more and more 271 00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:07,720 Speaker 8: budget facility for infrastructure windows are finalized, and as I 272 00:15:07,760 --> 00:15:11,480 Speaker 8: said earlier, we are four per year, the projects coming through, 273 00:15:11,600 --> 00:15:14,880 Speaker 8: those will be ring fenced on the budget and then 274 00:15:14,920 --> 00:15:18,080 Speaker 8: we will leave reach these infrastructure and development bonds to 275 00:15:18,200 --> 00:15:22,200 Speaker 8: debit to raise dedicated financing for those projects. 276 00:15:22,640 --> 00:15:25,280 Speaker 2: We saw our credit rating being upgraded by S and 277 00:15:25,320 --> 00:15:29,840 Speaker 2: P Global. Obviously things seem to be moving in the 278 00:15:29,920 --> 00:15:32,880 Speaker 2: right direction. What are you doing to keeping that momentum, 279 00:15:32,920 --> 00:15:34,040 Speaker 2: to keep that momentum going. 280 00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:38,560 Speaker 8: Yeah, So obviously the next stop is the budget in 281 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:41,920 Speaker 8: February next year. But to make the obvious point that 282 00:15:42,000 --> 00:15:46,640 Speaker 8: this work has been a number of years in the making. 283 00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:51,240 Speaker 8: We've been running primary surpluses as a government for the 284 00:15:51,320 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 8: last three years. This is our third year in a row, 285 00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:58,280 Speaker 8: and it's really only when revenue exceeds non interest expenditure 286 00:15:58,680 --> 00:16:03,280 Speaker 8: for a consecutive now years and those primary surplaces of growing. 287 00:16:03,720 --> 00:16:07,880 Speaker 8: It's only then when you can really achieve what we've 288 00:16:07,880 --> 00:16:11,160 Speaker 8: achieved this year, which is a peak in our debt 289 00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:14,240 Speaker 8: to GDP ratio, and from next year onwards it will 290 00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:17,720 Speaker 8: start coming down. So in the budget next year, we 291 00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 8: want to continue with prudent management of the fiscal accounts, 292 00:16:23,800 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 8: demonstrating a clear commitment to fiscal sustainability. That of course 293 00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:32,040 Speaker 8: translates into lower interest rates across the economy, and we've 294 00:16:32,080 --> 00:16:36,440 Speaker 8: already seen that with our bond deals coming down around 295 00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:39,040 Speaker 8: two hundred and fifty basis points over the last few 296 00:16:39,120 --> 00:16:42,960 Speaker 8: years over the last few months. Sorry, that translates into 297 00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:47,560 Speaker 8: lower cost of capital for businesses to invest and better 298 00:16:47,920 --> 00:16:51,560 Speaker 8: environment for households to be able to spend. So the 299 00:16:51,640 --> 00:16:54,920 Speaker 8: momentum has to continue in the budget and the MTBPS 300 00:16:55,240 --> 00:17:00,640 Speaker 8: next year as we move towards restoring fiscal credible that 301 00:17:00,800 --> 00:17:02,360 Speaker 8: was lost in the period. 302 00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:05,240 Speaker 2: Prior to COVID, Director General of the National Treasury, Doctor 303 00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:07,520 Speaker 2: Duncan Peters, I really appreciate the time. Thank you. Twenty 304 00:17:07,520 --> 00:17:12,399 Speaker 2: five after six The Money Show, Chris Stewart's portfolio manager 305 00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:15,480 Speaker 2: at ninety one Chris, good evening. Quite a strong update 306 00:17:15,520 --> 00:17:20,080 Speaker 2: I thought from Tiger Brands. Their CEO is very foolish. 307 00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:23,960 Speaker 10: Yeah, good evening, Stephen. Yeah, a pretty strong set of 308 00:17:24,000 --> 00:17:28,960 Speaker 10: numbers from Tiger Brands, beating on all metrics other than revenue. 309 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:33,520 Speaker 10: The revenue line was okay, but ghost profit margin was good, 310 00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:38,199 Speaker 10: operating margin was even better, cash flow was good than 311 00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:44,040 Speaker 10: looks excellent. Special dividend was bigger than expected. Final dividend 312 00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:48,480 Speaker 10: was bigger than expected, and indications of more to come 313 00:17:48,560 --> 00:17:52,480 Speaker 10: and a pretty pretty fun footed artlook statement as well, 314 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:55,159 Speaker 10: all conspiring to drive the share of about seven percent 315 00:17:55,200 --> 00:17:57,800 Speaker 10: on the day, despite the fact that Tiger says being 316 00:17:57,840 --> 00:17:59,000 Speaker 10: in strong recovery. 317 00:17:58,640 --> 00:17:59,520 Speaker 11: Motor quite sometimes. 318 00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:03,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, and Kila, I mean their shopping centers in South 319 00:18:03,520 --> 00:18:05,760 Speaker 2: Africa seem to be doing quite well. Their shopping centers 320 00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:08,720 Speaker 2: in Portugal and Spain are doing quite nicely as well. 321 00:18:10,280 --> 00:18:14,760 Speaker 10: Yeah, again another strong, strong updates net operating income in 322 00:18:14,800 --> 00:18:18,600 Speaker 10: their essay business, growing just into the double digits and 323 00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:23,760 Speaker 10: with good cost control solar installations reducing their dital consumption 324 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:27,840 Speaker 10: and reducing their electricity costs, you know, driving some nice 325 00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:34,960 Speaker 10: margin expansion there, generally speaking, growing their distribution to shareholders 326 00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:38,199 Speaker 10: by more than it was anticipated and then guiding that 327 00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:40,840 Speaker 10: their fullier numbers will also be a little bit better 328 00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:43,760 Speaker 10: than the marketers looking for. So, you know, pretty strong 329 00:18:43,800 --> 00:18:46,399 Speaker 10: from Vaquilla and again I think well received by the markets. 330 00:18:46,680 --> 00:18:49,800 Speaker 2: It's so interesting how many companies like Kila have spent 331 00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:52,359 Speaker 2: quite a lot of money on solar installations over the 332 00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:54,640 Speaker 2: last couple of years, and now they're beginning to really 333 00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:57,040 Speaker 2: see the results, and of course ESCIM encourages it because 334 00:18:57,040 --> 00:18:59,000 Speaker 2: their price is always much higher than inflation. 335 00:19:00,520 --> 00:19:00,760 Speaker 12: Yeah. 336 00:19:00,800 --> 00:19:04,080 Speaker 10: I mean, initially it was an investment to keep the 337 00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:06,639 Speaker 10: shopping centers open and you know, make sure the tenants 338 00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:11,119 Speaker 10: could carry on trading. Now that electricity supplier is normalized somewhat, 339 00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:14,800 Speaker 10: it's much more an investment in saving costs and that 340 00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:18,400 Speaker 10: investment in saving costs is starting to pay various dividends 341 00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:19,200 Speaker 10: for these businesses. 342 00:19:20,400 --> 00:19:24,520 Speaker 2: There's a budget from in the UK today from Rachel Reeves. 343 00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:27,560 Speaker 2: The chances of the exchequer there looks like there's going 344 00:19:27,600 --> 00:19:30,280 Speaker 2: to be higher taxes and of course Britain's fiscal situation 345 00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:31,200 Speaker 2: is very constrained. 346 00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:34,600 Speaker 10: Yeah, I mean, it's at tempting to poke a finger 347 00:19:34,640 --> 00:19:36,440 Speaker 10: at a poken finger at the punds on. 348 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:37,160 Speaker 7: The back of this one. 349 00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:39,040 Speaker 10: You know, we might not have been able to agree 350 00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:40,800 Speaker 10: on budget the first time around, but at least we 351 00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:44,040 Speaker 10: kept to the secret. The UK budget having been leaked 352 00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:46,240 Speaker 10: about an hour before it was due to be presented, 353 00:19:46,840 --> 00:19:50,000 Speaker 10: we saw most of the impact on the major financial 354 00:19:50,040 --> 00:19:53,520 Speaker 10: indicators before the budget itself was actually delivered. 355 00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:55,359 Speaker 11: And you know, with a lot. 356 00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:58,560 Speaker 10: Of fear interpredation going into this budget, you know, I 357 00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:01,760 Speaker 10: think the macro response from you know, from the perspective 358 00:20:01,800 --> 00:20:05,840 Speaker 10: of inflation expectations in the UK economy, performance of the 359 00:20:05,840 --> 00:20:09,040 Speaker 10: sterling on the day, performance of long term bond yields 360 00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:12,160 Speaker 10: in the UK, in particular rallying on the day, means 361 00:20:12,160 --> 00:20:14,960 Speaker 10: that you know, some degree of fiscal stability. I think 362 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:19,040 Speaker 10: achieved as you indicate, you know, at the expense of 363 00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:24,080 Speaker 10: increased tax, particularly back end loaded increases in taxation, which 364 00:20:24,119 --> 00:20:27,320 Speaker 10: aren't going to be particularly popular. But I guess it was, 365 00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:29,159 Speaker 10: you know, was bit of medicine that needs to be 366 00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:31,240 Speaker 10: swallowed in the UK economy right now. 367 00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:34,960 Speaker 2: Chris Steward, thank you, portfolio manager at ninety one. We'll 368 00:20:34,960 --> 00:20:37,520 Speaker 2: speak to Vokill in the next ten minutes. Also just 369 00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:40,640 Speaker 2: gone six thirty on the Money Show, What have Stephen on. 370 00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:44,400 Speaker 4: Seven two seven oh two one. 371 00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:46,760 Speaker 2: Seven twenty three minutes now to seven The time I 372 00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:49,920 Speaker 2: asked you what would keep you shopping? Why would you go? 373 00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:52,760 Speaker 2: What would you what would make you go to shopping 374 00:20:52,800 --> 00:20:56,119 Speaker 2: centers this Christmas? For me, it's what about doing something 375 00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:59,560 Speaker 2: about the parking that maybe some more constructive thoughts. 376 00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:02,840 Speaker 12: Hi Steve has going. I think what would to make 377 00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:05,639 Speaker 12: me go to a particular shopping center is probably the 378 00:21:05,760 --> 00:21:10,000 Speaker 12: lack of car washers in a car park. I feel 379 00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:12,600 Speaker 12: like I don't need to be arrested to have my 380 00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:15,600 Speaker 12: car washer to park in a particular space, especially if 381 00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:20,720 Speaker 12: I am paying for parking anyway, It's Doze mean Johannesburg. 382 00:21:20,440 --> 00:21:23,119 Speaker 2: Nazim, thank you. Yeah, I've had that too, and I 383 00:21:23,200 --> 00:21:25,960 Speaker 2: get the hustle, but there are times you're like, ah, 384 00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:29,440 Speaker 2: just want to park. All right? Your thoughts, what would 385 00:21:29,520 --> 00:21:31,960 Speaker 2: keep you shocking? Shop shocking? What would keep you shocking? 386 00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:34,200 Speaker 2: What would make you shop? What will keep you going 387 00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:36,680 Speaker 2: to a shopping mall? He says twenty two minutes to seven. 388 00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:41,280 Speaker 3: The Laney Show with Stephen krudis live on ninety two 389 00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:44,439 Speaker 3: point seven and one O six FM, streaming on the 390 00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:45,520 Speaker 3: Prime Media Plus. 391 00:21:45,359 --> 00:21:48,080 Speaker 4: NAP and DStv channel eight five. 392 00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:51,080 Speaker 2: Six, eighteen minutes to seven the time all the the 393 00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:54,400 Speaker 2: Kille Property Fund reporting its net operating income for its 394 00:21:54,400 --> 00:21:57,240 Speaker 2: properties in South Africa. There are by ten percent. It 395 00:21:57,280 --> 00:21:59,480 Speaker 2: does seem that more people are going to shopping more. 396 00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:03,720 Speaker 2: Spain and Portugal their gross rental property income up by 397 00:22:03,760 --> 00:22:06,359 Speaker 2: eight point two percent. This is for the six months 398 00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:09,560 Speaker 2: to the end of September. Lawrence Rapp is the CEO 399 00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:12,560 Speaker 2: at of Wokilair Property. Lawrence good Evening, You're seeing a 400 00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:16,000 Speaker 2: big increase in trading density in South Africa. Sales per 401 00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:19,439 Speaker 2: square meter in your township malls it's up seven percent, 402 00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:23,119 Speaker 2: and commuter malls it's up nearly seven percent. That's quite 403 00:22:23,280 --> 00:22:25,160 Speaker 2: strong growth. What's driving that. 404 00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:31,280 Speaker 13: Steven, Thank you. Really, I think it's a combination of 405 00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:34,440 Speaker 13: a few factors. I think certainly number one is the 406 00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:38,159 Speaker 13: macroeconomic environment. Certainly many of the headwinds that we had 407 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:42,159 Speaker 13: before have now become tail ones. I think lower interest rates, 408 00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:46,080 Speaker 13: a bit more consumer confidence certainly gets more people shopping. 409 00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:48,919 Speaker 13: But I think there are a lot of sort of 410 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:52,440 Speaker 13: internal issues that we've been driving to make our shopping 411 00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:57,000 Speaker 13: centers more attractive. We are investing a lot of money 412 00:22:57,000 --> 00:22:59,760 Speaker 13: and understanding the consumers in the markets that we're in, 413 00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:04,720 Speaker 13: and driving a lot more promotional activities to encourage people 414 00:23:04,760 --> 00:23:07,320 Speaker 13: to come into the malls, to make sure that our 415 00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:10,040 Speaker 13: malls are not only dominant, but the preferred malls that 416 00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:12,560 Speaker 13: they go to. So I think it's a combination of 417 00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:16,800 Speaker 13: sort of having a very strong operating platform, dominant malls, 418 00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:20,040 Speaker 13: and then we're getting the benefit also of those tailwinds 419 00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:23,440 Speaker 13: in terms of a more positive macroeconomic environment. 420 00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:27,520 Speaker 2: You talk about innovation for customers and shopping centers, I mean, 421 00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:30,120 Speaker 2: what changes do you think are going to come. There's 422 00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:32,600 Speaker 2: so many different ways for people to get things now, 423 00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:34,720 Speaker 2: and I mean to get through and out of a 424 00:23:34,800 --> 00:23:38,280 Speaker 2: parking boom. Lawrence, in some cases will be enough to 425 00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:41,359 Speaker 2: keep me at home. What innovations work to get people 426 00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:44,040 Speaker 2: to come to them all? Sure? 427 00:23:44,119 --> 00:23:46,360 Speaker 7: I think you know number one. 428 00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:46,680 Speaker 2: Seven. 429 00:23:46,720 --> 00:23:48,560 Speaker 13: One's got to look at the market in South Africa 430 00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:52,680 Speaker 13: that we're serving. You know, many of our customers don't 431 00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:53,680 Speaker 13: arrive in their own cars. 432 00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:54,720 Speaker 7: They arrive either by. 433 00:23:54,600 --> 00:23:55,600 Speaker 2: Foot or by taxi. 434 00:23:56,560 --> 00:24:00,359 Speaker 13: So it's a very different market to you know, paying 435 00:24:00,359 --> 00:24:03,840 Speaker 13: for parking. I heard the clip earlier about being harassed 436 00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:07,679 Speaker 13: by you know, people wanting to wash your car. Our 437 00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:11,280 Speaker 13: malls are different their township and rural malls. And you know, 438 00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:15,760 Speaker 13: our customers tend to come differently, their shop more frequently, 439 00:24:16,960 --> 00:24:21,280 Speaker 13: although in smaller basket sizes. So really, what we are 440 00:24:21,320 --> 00:24:24,520 Speaker 13: trying to do is get to the heart of the community, 441 00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:27,840 Speaker 13: make sure that our centers are embedded in the community. 442 00:24:27,960 --> 00:24:30,439 Speaker 13: Is the community season not just simply as a place 443 00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:35,080 Speaker 13: to shop, but a place that understands their needs, their dreams, 444 00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:38,320 Speaker 13: their aspirations, and that we can meet those you know, 445 00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:42,680 Speaker 13: those needs. I'll just give you one example. We recently 446 00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:47,120 Speaker 13: ran a promotion across many of our centers across the country, 447 00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:52,840 Speaker 13: a Disky football fan promotion with the legendary doctor Kimodo. 448 00:24:52,880 --> 00:24:56,399 Speaker 13: We saw growth in football in excess of twenty percent 449 00:24:56,520 --> 00:24:59,480 Speaker 13: on the days the promotions ran relative to the prior day, 450 00:25:00,320 --> 00:25:03,080 Speaker 13: the same day in the prior year. So it's about 451 00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:06,520 Speaker 13: talking to your community and understanding them. If I look 452 00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:10,520 Speaker 13: at our Spanish business, which is a very different demographic. Interestingly, 453 00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:13,080 Speaker 13: in Spain, you don't pay for parking at shopping centers, 454 00:25:14,040 --> 00:25:17,280 Speaker 13: it's free parking is the norm. But there we sort 455 00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:21,040 Speaker 13: of using a lot of loyalty schemes, were using a 456 00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:26,040 Speaker 13: lot of AI stuff currently in pilot to understand customers 457 00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:29,040 Speaker 13: and their touch points, what they're looking for. So I 458 00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:32,479 Speaker 13: think there is sort of a constant desire on our 459 00:25:32,600 --> 00:25:35,119 Speaker 13: side to sort of really see how we can understand 460 00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:38,320 Speaker 13: the consumer and meet their needs. And something we talk 461 00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:42,280 Speaker 13: about very often in the business is the nature of 462 00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:47,040 Speaker 13: retail will change over time. It has changed over time, 463 00:25:47,520 --> 00:25:49,720 Speaker 13: but people always need to buy things, they need to 464 00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:53,240 Speaker 13: experience things, they need to socialize and interact, and we 465 00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:56,280 Speaker 13: believe that shopping centers are the ideal venue for those 466 00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:58,880 Speaker 13: things to take place. And it's therefore up to us 467 00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:01,560 Speaker 13: to understand those needs and make sure we are able 468 00:26:01,640 --> 00:26:05,800 Speaker 13: to provide centers to fulfill the customer's needs in those areas. 469 00:26:06,600 --> 00:26:09,119 Speaker 2: In terms of the types of shops new maores that 470 00:26:09,160 --> 00:26:11,520 Speaker 2: are bringing in revenue. So not just bottle stores are 471 00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:15,399 Speaker 2: up sixteen percent, that's extraordinary. Cell phone's up twelve percent, 472 00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:20,159 Speaker 2: but homes home stuff is down and electronics are down. 473 00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:24,240 Speaker 2: Are these longer term trends? I mean, I realized that, 474 00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:27,159 Speaker 2: you know, the supermarkets have brought in, you know, basically 475 00:26:27,200 --> 00:26:30,239 Speaker 2: almost a bottle store war in some ways. But are 476 00:26:30,280 --> 00:26:36,040 Speaker 2: these longer, longer term trends and your walls. Yes and no. 477 00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:40,560 Speaker 13: I think in one respect they are coming off higher bases. 478 00:26:40,760 --> 00:26:44,600 Speaker 13: Those two categories did particularly well during COVID, so the 479 00:26:44,680 --> 00:26:47,920 Speaker 13: bases were high, and that is sort of why the 480 00:26:48,000 --> 00:26:51,640 Speaker 13: growth is perhaps lower. But I think also, you know, 481 00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:57,720 Speaker 13: as durable items, durables tend to suffer more when the 482 00:26:57,800 --> 00:27:01,440 Speaker 13: economy is not strong. Even though we have spoken about 483 00:27:01,480 --> 00:27:04,520 Speaker 13: some you know, some green shoots and tail ones coming through, 484 00:27:05,040 --> 00:27:07,360 Speaker 13: the consumer has still been under pressure. So you all 485 00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:12,760 Speaker 13: find that sped will go more towards FMCG and semi durables, 486 00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:15,920 Speaker 13: whereas durables will sort of be the item that will 487 00:27:15,920 --> 00:27:19,520 Speaker 13: sort of lag in a more difficult economic environment with 488 00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:23,760 Speaker 13: interest rates coming down, you may find that those items 489 00:27:23,800 --> 00:27:28,120 Speaker 13: do start becoming more in demand. But also I think 490 00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:31,280 Speaker 13: we have seen a lot of consolidation in those sectors. 491 00:27:31,880 --> 00:27:35,399 Speaker 13: So you're forgive me for giving a typical economist answer 492 00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:37,240 Speaker 13: of sort of you know, on one hand and the other. 493 00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:40,680 Speaker 13: But I think, you know, I think it's probably typical 494 00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:43,159 Speaker 13: of where the economic cycle is, and I think we 495 00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:45,800 Speaker 13: may see some better growth in those areas going forward 496 00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:49,919 Speaker 13: if the consumer does feel more emboldened and has more 497 00:27:49,960 --> 00:27:51,439 Speaker 13: money due to lower interest rates. 498 00:27:51,960 --> 00:27:54,320 Speaker 2: We've got thirty seconds left, but you're in the process 499 00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:56,760 Speaker 2: of buying fifty percent of a big mall in Chatsworth 500 00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:59,040 Speaker 2: and Durban. I presume you see a lot of potential 501 00:27:59,080 --> 00:28:01,480 Speaker 2: there first. 502 00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:03,600 Speaker 13: Definitely, I think it's a cracker of a center. We 503 00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:06,240 Speaker 13: think that there are more efficiencies that we can extract 504 00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:08,880 Speaker 13: from it in terms of silent PV and maybe let's 505 00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:12,320 Speaker 13: bringing our more focus management approach. So yes, you are 506 00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:14,600 Speaker 13: very upbeat about that purchase and think it will add 507 00:28:14,920 --> 00:28:16,760 Speaker 13: very nicely to our portfolio overall. 508 00:28:17,080 --> 00:28:19,560 Speaker 2: Lawrence Rapp, thanks so much, CEO for kill a property. 509 00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:21,480 Speaker 2: It's twelve minutes now to seven o'clock. 510 00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:25,760 Speaker 14: The Money Shows Female Crouters is brought to you by 511 00:28:25,840 --> 00:28:30,160 Speaker 14: abs CID Proud host of the Africa Impact Matters series 512 00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:34,360 Speaker 14: podcast perhapses and Authorized FSP and Registered Credit Provider. 513 00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:38,520 Speaker 2: Ten minutes now two seven the time, Well so interested 514 00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:40,640 Speaker 2: in what will bring you to a shopping center? Oh 515 00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:43,600 Speaker 2: seven two seven oh two one seven oh two. An 516 00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:46,440 Speaker 2: interesting piece in Money Web today looking at the progress 517 00:28:46,480 --> 00:28:49,400 Speaker 2: the port of Durban is making in improving itself and 518 00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:52,040 Speaker 2: in particular just getting goods through more quickly. It does 519 00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:54,760 Speaker 2: seem there's more investment in cranes. There seems to be 520 00:28:54,840 --> 00:28:58,760 Speaker 2: improvements by the Border Management Agency as well. Devlin Naid 521 00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:02,080 Speaker 2: is from these now that Southern African Association of Freight 522 00:29:02,200 --> 00:29:05,320 Speaker 2: Forwarders is the executive for SARAS and other government agencies there. 523 00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:09,000 Speaker 2: Devon Good evening, I mean we all remember that sort 524 00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:11,960 Speaker 2: of moment when Durban was rated as the worst port 525 00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:14,240 Speaker 2: in the world. Was a very contested poll. Are you 526 00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:15,600 Speaker 2: seeing some changes since then? 527 00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:19,240 Speaker 9: Good evening, Stephen, and good evening to your listeners. Most definitely, 528 00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:22,880 Speaker 9: we've seen a vast improvement, and I think before anything else, 529 00:29:23,240 --> 00:29:25,960 Speaker 9: we just want to acknowledge the World Bank's Performance Index. 530 00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:29,080 Speaker 9: Whilst it is useful benchmark, I think it's important to 531 00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:33,360 Speaker 9: clarify that that ranking as you rightfully mentioned earlier, largely contested, 532 00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:37,040 Speaker 9: but it was predominantly based on the delays at outer anchorage, 533 00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:40,040 Speaker 9: and that, to clarify for the listeners, is the time 534 00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:42,760 Speaker 9: before the vessels actually entered the port, So it wasn't 535 00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:46,000 Speaker 9: a direct reflection necessarily of the court terminal operations themselves, 536 00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:48,640 Speaker 9: I think. So therefore the picture was somewhat or very 537 00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:52,000 Speaker 9: much uni dimensional. You know, I think port efficiency we're 538 00:29:52,040 --> 00:29:55,280 Speaker 9: seeing significant improvements, but in that there's a multi layed 539 00:29:55,280 --> 00:29:59,240 Speaker 9: logistics network, the transactional layer, the entity layer, the regulatory layer, 540 00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:01,040 Speaker 9: and of course we when you look deeper, there are 541 00:30:01,080 --> 00:30:04,920 Speaker 9: many components within the logistics layers, specifically the ports environment, 542 00:30:05,440 --> 00:30:09,160 Speaker 9: marine access, landside logistics, operator performance and of course national 543 00:30:09,160 --> 00:30:14,080 Speaker 9: supply chain factors that impact the overall final measurement. But yes, Stephen, 544 00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:15,720 Speaker 9: we are seeing significant improvement. 545 00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:20,280 Speaker 2: Who do you hold responsible for the improvement? Devlin? Who 546 00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:21,520 Speaker 2: do you think SORT have done well? 547 00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:21,600 Speaker 10: That? 548 00:30:21,880 --> 00:30:24,360 Speaker 2: I mean, clearly lots of people are working together as well, 549 00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:25,760 Speaker 2: and that's very important. 550 00:30:25,320 --> 00:30:28,640 Speaker 9: In this absolutely. So look, I think it's just not 551 00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:33,600 Speaker 9: a single approach. There's success has many owners and been 552 00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:36,960 Speaker 9: a collaboration between the private sector and TRANSNT. But again 553 00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:40,320 Speaker 9: we must commend the leadership of Transnet being very objective 554 00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:43,720 Speaker 9: looking at the targets that were set versus the performance. 555 00:30:44,120 --> 00:30:46,000 Speaker 9: I think if we cast our minds a year back 556 00:30:46,160 --> 00:30:49,240 Speaker 9: when we had significant delays and then are more recently, 557 00:30:49,280 --> 00:30:52,680 Speaker 9: of course the release of the report, it's not easy 558 00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:56,240 Speaker 9: working with such sort of feedback and still trying to 559 00:30:56,360 --> 00:31:01,080 Speaker 9: keep wits about oneselves in terms of focusing on the 560 00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:03,960 Speaker 9: target and delivering the excellent results. So I think it's 561 00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:07,520 Speaker 9: been a combination of efforts between the carriers on the 562 00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:12,560 Speaker 9: water side, the logistics service providers tranting it themselves of course, 563 00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:17,680 Speaker 9: and indeed a very strong public private partnership effort in 564 00:31:18,080 --> 00:31:21,760 Speaker 9: getting this performance to stabilize and improve as we have 565 00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:22,400 Speaker 9: seen currently. 566 00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:27,480 Speaker 2: Yes, the private operator International Container Terminal Services Incorporated. They 567 00:31:27,560 --> 00:31:31,480 Speaker 2: now will be running Peer two, the sort of competition 568 00:31:31,600 --> 00:31:35,560 Speaker 2: from Musk, the competing bed that's fallen away for various reasons. 569 00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:38,360 Speaker 2: I mean, I would presume they'll bring capital to this, 570 00:31:38,520 --> 00:31:41,200 Speaker 2: so there'll be more cranes and things like that. And 571 00:31:41,440 --> 00:31:44,080 Speaker 2: I mean, are you expecting the changes that we've seen, 572 00:31:44,120 --> 00:31:46,840 Speaker 2: the improvements that we've seen together a bit more momentum 573 00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:47,920 Speaker 2: to actually pick up. 574 00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:51,320 Speaker 9: So I think if we look at the last few months, 575 00:31:51,320 --> 00:31:53,120 Speaker 9: so let's call it the last year, there have been 576 00:31:53,320 --> 00:31:58,440 Speaker 9: a significant number of deployment across various aspects of the 577 00:31:58,440 --> 00:32:02,160 Speaker 9: port operation, including new equipment. Prior to the i CTSI 578 00:32:02,280 --> 00:32:05,280 Speaker 9: coming on board, Transit have procured new ship to short 579 00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:09,720 Speaker 9: cranes Robert type gantries and that has significantly contributed to 580 00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:13,440 Speaker 9: an improvement in reliability and productivity. There's also been an 581 00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:17,040 Speaker 9: increase in the maintenance discipline in its current form, there's 582 00:32:17,080 --> 00:32:21,200 Speaker 9: title maintenance cycles, there's improved parts of availability, and again 583 00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:24,920 Speaker 9: not to cast a shadow on the success, but if 584 00:32:24,920 --> 00:32:27,400 Speaker 9: we cast our minds a couple of years back during 585 00:32:27,240 --> 00:32:31,280 Speaker 9: the era of state capture, unfortunately the the OEM equipment 586 00:32:31,320 --> 00:32:34,600 Speaker 9: procured was not very reliable evidently from the performance of 587 00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:38,120 Speaker 9: the port, consistent breakdowns. And I think that's changed quite 588 00:32:38,240 --> 00:32:42,280 Speaker 9: quite nicely now where the equipment procured is fit for purpose. 589 00:32:42,360 --> 00:32:46,440 Speaker 9: It's from OEMs that have demonstrated capacity around some of 590 00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:48,720 Speaker 9: the best performing ports in the world, and I think, 591 00:32:48,840 --> 00:32:52,040 Speaker 9: you know, Transmit on their own strength are functioning relatively well. 592 00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:54,360 Speaker 9: The fact that i CTSI is coming on board and 593 00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:57,560 Speaker 9: the fact that they also have a demonstrated history of 594 00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:03,880 Speaker 9: excellent performance and turning around poor operations will will definitely strengthen, 595 00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:08,160 Speaker 9: I believe based on their demonstrated history. Of course, the 596 00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:11,360 Speaker 9: statement is made that they would continue the good work 597 00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:13,720 Speaker 9: that is currently in progress. 598 00:33:13,600 --> 00:33:15,640 Speaker 2: And the other port Stevelin. I mean, there was a 599 00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:18,000 Speaker 2: time when Cape Town seemed to be battling as well. 600 00:33:18,120 --> 00:33:20,280 Speaker 2: Are there any improvements coming from there? 601 00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:23,120 Speaker 9: Yeah, so, I think on the back of a stella 602 00:33:23,200 --> 00:33:28,880 Speaker 9: citrus season and desiduous season as well, there's been significant 603 00:33:28,880 --> 00:33:32,080 Speaker 9: throughput through the port of Cape Town and also significant improvements. 604 00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:35,760 Speaker 9: I recall there's been also the deployment of struggle carriers 605 00:33:36,200 --> 00:33:39,120 Speaker 9: to the part of Cape Town because again just based 606 00:33:39,120 --> 00:33:40,840 Speaker 9: on the design of the Port of Cape Town, that's 607 00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:43,760 Speaker 9: the equipment that's fit for purpose. So the progress that 608 00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:47,320 Speaker 9: we're seeing in Debin, we're also seeing it across well 609 00:33:47,480 --> 00:33:49,840 Speaker 9: all ports across the country and container side Cape Town, 610 00:33:50,160 --> 00:33:53,320 Speaker 9: pe Coca as well. So I think it's we're on 611 00:33:53,400 --> 00:33:55,880 Speaker 9: a very positive tragically and again I think it's a 612 00:33:55,880 --> 00:33:57,200 Speaker 9: partnership effort on all fronts. 613 00:33:57,440 --> 00:33:58,920 Speaker 2: Devlin and I do good to talk to you, thanks 614 00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:01,840 Speaker 2: very much. Indeed, from the Southern African Association of Freight 615 00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:04,920 Speaker 2: Forward is the executive there for SARS and other government agencies. 616 00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:10,400 Speaker 3: What Stephen on seven two seven O two one seven 617 00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:10,839 Speaker 3: o two. 618 00:34:10,920 --> 00:34:13,759 Speaker 2: Well, I've expressed myself about parking and shopping centers. What 619 00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:16,400 Speaker 2: would it get you into a shopping center this Christmas? 620 00:34:16,680 --> 00:34:19,560 Speaker 15: Yeah, I Steven. So what makes me go to malls 621 00:34:19,640 --> 00:34:24,160 Speaker 15: because I actually don't like shopping is activity. So if 622 00:34:24,160 --> 00:34:29,799 Speaker 15: they have like a night market, or they have a 623 00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:33,279 Speaker 15: thrift shop market like a Brooklyn mall, or if they 624 00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:38,800 Speaker 15: have something like go cutting, ice skating, movies. 625 00:34:39,200 --> 00:34:41,000 Speaker 4: Carnivals, that sort of thing. 626 00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:45,000 Speaker 15: So it's more activities rather than shopping that attracts me 627 00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:45,560 Speaker 15: to a mall. 628 00:34:46,120 --> 00:34:48,919 Speaker 2: Yeah, market's also a good thing. Some malls have done that. Well, 629 00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:52,040 Speaker 2: some have messed that up comprehensively. We all know who 630 00:34:52,040 --> 00:34:55,080 Speaker 2: I'm talking about if we live in Joburg, and so 631 00:34:55,280 --> 00:34:57,279 Speaker 2: I think that's that's a good idea. I do like 632 00:34:57,320 --> 00:34:59,680 Speaker 2: the idea of the events, and sometimes there are plenty 633 00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:01,760 Speaker 2: of people will come and see someone look at the 634 00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:05,279 Speaker 2: success of the sort of doctor Carmalo promotion that they had. 635 00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:08,400 Speaker 2: I do think though, that some of the fundamental stuff 636 00:35:08,480 --> 00:35:10,359 Speaker 2: just needs to work, and I'll go to a mall 637 00:35:10,719 --> 00:35:13,400 Speaker 2: if I know everything there will work. I think that 638 00:35:13,560 --> 00:35:17,840 Speaker 2: also makes really a very big difference seven O two with. 639 00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:23,640 Speaker 1: Email him on Stephen at seven two dot co dot z. 640 00:35:24,239 --> 00:35:29,319 Speaker 2: Various rumblings, whispers, suggestions, thoughts reporting of on international wire 641 00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:34,239 Speaker 2: services today that that South Africa may not be invited 642 00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:36,080 Speaker 2: to the next meeting of the G twenty in the 643 00:35:36,160 --> 00:35:39,120 Speaker 2: United States. Now, as I understand it, the way it 644 00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:41,960 Speaker 2: works is the US, even though they'll be there currently, 645 00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:44,440 Speaker 2: the president of the G twenty can't kick us out. 646 00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:46,800 Speaker 2: Decisions on who belongs and who doesn't have to be 647 00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:50,200 Speaker 2: taken by consensus. They can make it difficult for us 648 00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:53,759 Speaker 2: to come, so they can say no one's welcome, we 649 00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:56,319 Speaker 2: won't issue visas, things like that. They could do that, 650 00:35:57,040 --> 00:35:59,040 Speaker 2: although I have to say, I think it would be 651 00:35:59,080 --> 00:36:01,839 Speaker 2: a big move to say to President Drummer Pausa, you're 652 00:36:01,880 --> 00:36:04,560 Speaker 2: not welcome in the United States of America. I think 653 00:36:04,600 --> 00:36:08,040 Speaker 2: that could be quite a move. I mean, imagine, just 654 00:36:08,200 --> 00:36:11,360 Speaker 2: imagine if we were saying to Trump, we completely and 655 00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:14,160 Speaker 2: utterly deny you entry. I mean, how would he react 656 00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:17,920 Speaker 2: to that. It just seems to me so I was 657 00:36:17,960 --> 00:36:21,040 Speaker 2: looking for the right word. I think they're too The 658 00:36:21,040 --> 00:36:25,959 Speaker 2: one is childish, just so childish. Take your tantrums self. 659 00:36:26,560 --> 00:36:28,960 Speaker 2: Just take it back to the golf course. And the 660 00:36:29,040 --> 00:36:31,160 Speaker 2: second I think would have to be that it is 661 00:36:31,200 --> 00:36:34,239 Speaker 2: just simple bullying. It's also immature. I mean, I could 662 00:36:34,239 --> 00:36:36,719 Speaker 2: go on, there are other words, but we don't like 663 00:36:36,800 --> 00:36:39,640 Speaker 2: what you did. Therefore you can't come to the next party. 664 00:36:39,840 --> 00:36:41,680 Speaker 2: That's not how you win an argument. If you want 665 00:36:41,680 --> 00:36:45,040 Speaker 2: to win an argument, you have to engage. And this, 666 00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:47,480 Speaker 2: I kind of feel is something that Trump administration has 667 00:36:47,480 --> 00:36:49,840 Speaker 2: done very badly. If you want the rest of the 668 00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:52,879 Speaker 2: world to be like you, you can either just conquer them, 669 00:36:53,200 --> 00:36:56,600 Speaker 2: very hard to do, or you can change their minds. 670 00:36:57,000 --> 00:36:59,279 Speaker 2: You're not even bothering to change our minds. You're just 671 00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:01,480 Speaker 2: closing the door in our face. And is that going 672 00:37:01,560 --> 00:37:04,520 Speaker 2: to change our mind in your favor? Not a chance. 673 00:37:04,640 --> 00:37:06,400 Speaker 2: You with The Money Show seven o'clock. 674 00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:11,680 Speaker 1: And now The Money Show with Stephen Credits on seven 675 00:37:11,719 --> 00:37:13,560 Speaker 1: oh two next walk Little. 676 00:37:13,840 --> 00:37:15,880 Speaker 2: The Money Show with Stephen Critis is brought to you 677 00:37:15,920 --> 00:37:19,200 Speaker 2: by Abscess cib proud host of the Africa Impact Matters 678 00:37:19,200 --> 00:37:22,720 Speaker 2: series podcast As there is an authorized FSP and registered 679 00:37:22,760 --> 00:37:25,640 Speaker 2: credit provider. Eight minutes after seven plenty to come in 680 00:37:25,680 --> 00:37:28,040 Speaker 2: the next little while to speak to Graham Quadrington with 681 00:37:28,120 --> 00:37:31,880 Speaker 2: business unusual. He's been at the Dubai Futures Forum. Quite 682 00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:33,960 Speaker 2: a lot going on, and in fact, some very interesting 683 00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:36,960 Speaker 2: thoughts coming out of that. Wendy Nola, your consumer Ninja, 684 00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:40,880 Speaker 2: looking at car dealerships and cars again, just coming into 685 00:37:41,000 --> 00:37:43,840 Speaker 2: sort of Wendy's focus quite something. And then your shape 686 00:37:43,840 --> 00:37:46,239 Speaker 2: shift tonight. I'm really looking forward to the conversation. Tim 687 00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:49,560 Speaker 2: Bunny Bocoola is the chair of the National Energy Regulator 688 00:37:49,600 --> 00:37:52,239 Speaker 2: of South Africa, is stuck in the middle of all 689 00:37:52,440 --> 00:37:55,640 Speaker 2: these electricity transitions. He's agreed to take some questions on that. 690 00:37:56,160 --> 00:37:57,960 Speaker 2: We'll also talk a little bit about him if we 691 00:37:58,040 --> 00:38:00,480 Speaker 2: get time. What do you do for fun? That kind 692 00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:03,319 Speaker 2: of thing, So looking forward to that conversation. Not very 693 00:38:03,320 --> 00:38:07,040 Speaker 2: often actually we get the chair of a regulator as 694 00:38:07,080 --> 00:38:10,480 Speaker 2: a shape shifter, but I remember reporting on Tim Bunny 695 00:38:10,520 --> 00:38:14,600 Speaker 2: bookcolla oh Man, Wow, fifteen years ago. I think so, 696 00:38:15,000 --> 00:38:17,720 Speaker 2: you know, I think all of those are very very interesting. 697 00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:20,600 Speaker 2: So looking forward to that conversation from around half past seven. 698 00:38:20,640 --> 00:38:22,439 Speaker 2: Good to hear from you as well on a double 699 00:38:22,480 --> 00:38:24,719 Speaker 2: one double A three oh seven two two one four 700 00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:27,200 Speaker 2: four six o five six seven and voice notes oh 701 00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:29,560 Speaker 2: seven two seven oh two one, seven oh two. 702 00:38:30,120 --> 00:38:32,600 Speaker 4: The Money show Business unusual. 703 00:38:32,760 --> 00:38:36,080 Speaker 2: Well, Graham Codrington, the Futurists and partner at Tomorrow Today 704 00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:39,640 Speaker 2: with us on the line. Graham, good evening. It's been 705 00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:42,239 Speaker 2: a while since we last spoke. Welcome back. You've been 706 00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:45,600 Speaker 2: at the Dubai Futures Forum. I suppose it's a bit 707 00:38:45,680 --> 00:38:47,839 Speaker 2: like me going to a journalist conference here as happy 708 00:38:47,880 --> 00:38:50,760 Speaker 2: as you can be. You looked at some key themes 709 00:38:50,920 --> 00:38:53,440 Speaker 2: and one of them I found this fascinating is that 710 00:38:53,560 --> 00:38:57,560 Speaker 2: focus is the new currency. 711 00:38:57,680 --> 00:39:00,560 Speaker 16: Yeah, good evening, Stephen. It is one of the highlights 712 00:39:00,560 --> 00:39:03,720 Speaker 16: of Mayo. I'll be honest. Dubai is one of the 713 00:39:03,760 --> 00:39:07,440 Speaker 16: only countries in the world that actually has a futures 714 00:39:07,640 --> 00:39:11,480 Speaker 16: department in their government, and they have a cabinet member 715 00:39:11,520 --> 00:39:15,480 Speaker 16: who is responsible for the future, Minister of the Future, 716 00:39:16,000 --> 00:39:21,319 Speaker 16: and they environ the world's futurists to come and join 717 00:39:21,360 --> 00:39:24,200 Speaker 16: them at that wonderful Museum of the Future in Dubai, 718 00:39:24,640 --> 00:39:28,200 Speaker 16: and we spend a few days thinking about the future, 719 00:39:28,239 --> 00:39:31,880 Speaker 16: looking at scenarios, and then the Dubai government produces a 720 00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:36,400 Speaker 16: report which they very generously make freely available. People can 721 00:39:37,080 --> 00:39:40,400 Speaker 16: just do a search for it. This year's conference was 722 00:39:40,400 --> 00:39:42,479 Speaker 16: held last week and the report will come out early 723 00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:47,480 Speaker 16: next year. But right at the beginning of the conference, 724 00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:51,920 Speaker 16: one of the best sessions was actually by the chair 725 00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:55,600 Speaker 16: of the Futures Foundation of Dubai, and instead of coming 726 00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:58,239 Speaker 16: up with a list of predictions for the future, I mean, 727 00:39:58,480 --> 00:40:01,600 Speaker 16: as futurists, we don't predict the future anyway, nobody can 728 00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:04,840 Speaker 16: do that. But instead of having a list of things 729 00:40:04,880 --> 00:40:07,440 Speaker 16: that might happen in the next year or two, he 730 00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:13,240 Speaker 16: brought out these three deep shifts that he believes is happening, 731 00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:17,759 Speaker 16: and you're exactly right. The first one is focus is 732 00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:24,040 Speaker 16: the new currency that attention. Our ability to obviously grab 733 00:40:24,080 --> 00:40:28,280 Speaker 16: attention of the market, our ability to grab our own 734 00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:33,239 Speaker 16: attention and focus it, whether that's on the to do 735 00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:36,640 Speaker 16: list in front of us, or the work that needs 736 00:40:36,680 --> 00:40:39,320 Speaker 16: to be done, or the project we're trying to complete, 737 00:40:39,920 --> 00:40:43,920 Speaker 16: or if it's just about making sure that our teams 738 00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:50,360 Speaker 16: and our organizations are meaningfully directing their attention at the 739 00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:53,680 Speaker 16: things that really matter, you know, in a world of 740 00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:58,520 Speaker 16: infinite inputs, protecting your focuses. I actually think a key 741 00:40:58,600 --> 00:41:02,520 Speaker 16: leadership skill, nothing else. So I think he's right, and 742 00:41:02,560 --> 00:41:04,960 Speaker 16: I think there's a lot of us maybe need to 743 00:41:05,480 --> 00:41:08,720 Speaker 16: take some of the December break not just to recover 744 00:41:08,760 --> 00:41:10,719 Speaker 16: from the year, but to think about how we go 745 00:41:10,880 --> 00:41:16,080 Speaker 16: into twenty twenty six with a renewed attempt to focus. 746 00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:19,200 Speaker 2: It's so interesting because I mean, so many things happen 747 00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:21,319 Speaker 2: in a day. You know, if someone asks me at 748 00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:22,960 Speaker 2: the end, what did you do today, it actually gets 749 00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:25,080 Speaker 2: quite hard to work out simply because you've done so 750 00:41:25,160 --> 00:41:29,440 Speaker 2: many different things. I'm sure it's the same for you. 751 00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:32,160 Speaker 16: You know, at a personal level, this applies for sure 752 00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:36,560 Speaker 16: that I just think we can get into this. It's 753 00:41:36,600 --> 00:41:39,719 Speaker 16: more than a hamster wheel, because it isn't just about activity. 754 00:41:40,120 --> 00:41:44,080 Speaker 16: It's about the scatteredness of what happens, and every time 755 00:41:44,200 --> 00:41:47,359 Speaker 16: you dip into the news, I mean one hundred things 756 00:41:47,440 --> 00:41:50,440 Speaker 16: going on at warp speed. But I think at an 757 00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:55,280 Speaker 16: organizational level, I really do get a sense that people 758 00:41:55,600 --> 00:41:57,960 Speaker 16: are not just sort of exhausted in the way you 759 00:41:58,040 --> 00:42:01,239 Speaker 16: normally exhausted in the last week of NOVEA, but I 760 00:42:01,239 --> 00:42:06,879 Speaker 16: think we worn out by just this infinite change going 761 00:42:06,880 --> 00:42:09,640 Speaker 16: on all around us, and we've got to almost get 762 00:42:09,640 --> 00:42:13,200 Speaker 16: a systems level change in twenty twenty six. I think 763 00:42:13,239 --> 00:42:16,800 Speaker 16: it's a good call to say, how do you get 764 00:42:17,239 --> 00:42:21,200 Speaker 16: attention and focus and build it into your your own 765 00:42:21,239 --> 00:42:23,000 Speaker 16: life and your organization. 766 00:42:23,160 --> 00:42:26,160 Speaker 2: You're almost hyper connected in a way. Another shift is 767 00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:29,400 Speaker 2: that everyone and no one is an expert. 768 00:42:31,400 --> 00:42:32,680 Speaker 7: I like this one. 769 00:42:32,920 --> 00:42:35,680 Speaker 16: I've used the line for a few years in my presentations, 770 00:42:35,719 --> 00:42:40,120 Speaker 16: where nobody is allowed to say I don't know anymore. 771 00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:44,120 Speaker 16: You can only say I don't know yet, or you 772 00:42:44,120 --> 00:42:47,120 Speaker 16: can say I don't know and I don't care to know, 773 00:42:47,680 --> 00:42:50,080 Speaker 16: which is maybe one way to get your focus back. 774 00:42:50,440 --> 00:42:55,320 Speaker 16: But yeah, we live in a world where any information 775 00:42:56,280 --> 00:42:59,960 Speaker 16: insight is available at your fingertips. AI pretends to have 776 00:43:00,120 --> 00:43:03,000 Speaker 16: intelligence and give us even more information than we think. 777 00:43:03,239 --> 00:43:06,600 Speaker 16: So at that level, everybody has the potential to have 778 00:43:06,680 --> 00:43:11,880 Speaker 16: access to every piece of information and therefore can at 779 00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:15,719 Speaker 16: least pretend or think that they are experts. On the 780 00:43:15,760 --> 00:43:18,800 Speaker 16: other hand, there's a danger then that nobody is an expert, 781 00:43:18,920 --> 00:43:21,560 Speaker 16: and I think we see this in the world around us, 782 00:43:21,640 --> 00:43:27,560 Speaker 16: where there is now a sense that people are questioning everything. 783 00:43:27,640 --> 00:43:30,600 Speaker 16: They don't know who to believe. You know that the 784 00:43:30,800 --> 00:43:33,600 Speaker 16: video comes across your newsfeed, you can't be sure that 785 00:43:33,600 --> 00:43:37,440 Speaker 16: that's real rather than just AI, and so there's a 786 00:43:37,600 --> 00:43:43,759 Speaker 16: deep skepticism building it. And again I think as a 787 00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:46,560 Speaker 16: journalist in doing what you do, Stephen, this must be 788 00:43:46,760 --> 00:43:47,600 Speaker 16: very concerning. 789 00:43:47,800 --> 00:43:48,920 Speaker 7: How do we overcome this? 790 00:43:49,040 --> 00:43:53,920 Speaker 16: And again, no answers, just questions. This is one of 791 00:43:54,080 --> 00:43:57,399 Speaker 16: the defining shifts of our age and in the next 792 00:43:57,440 --> 00:43:59,520 Speaker 16: two or three years, I think he's going to define 793 00:44:00,120 --> 00:44:04,080 Speaker 16: our world quite dramatically. Everyone and no one is an 794 00:44:04,080 --> 00:44:04,759 Speaker 16: expert right now. 795 00:44:04,800 --> 00:44:05,600 Speaker 7: I think that's spot on. 796 00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:08,000 Speaker 2: And a little bit of information is a dangerous thing, 797 00:44:09,080 --> 00:44:11,400 Speaker 2: and AI is reshaping trust and connection. 798 00:44:13,440 --> 00:44:16,600 Speaker 16: Now, this this one was fascinating, And this one was 799 00:44:16,680 --> 00:44:20,080 Speaker 16: where I took took a little bit of a of 800 00:44:20,080 --> 00:44:23,400 Speaker 16: a jump because the actual way that the director of 801 00:44:23,400 --> 00:44:27,360 Speaker 16: the Future the Dubai Futures Forum phrased this is AI 802 00:44:28,040 --> 00:44:32,520 Speaker 16: will be your best friend. And I'm a little bit 803 00:44:32,560 --> 00:44:36,480 Speaker 16: skeptical about AI. Not not that it isn't powerful, but 804 00:44:37,239 --> 00:44:40,759 Speaker 16: it isn't intelligent. In my opinion, it's a it's a 805 00:44:40,880 --> 00:44:45,120 Speaker 16: mimicry of intelligence, and I think it's best understood as 806 00:44:45,160 --> 00:44:48,440 Speaker 16: a form of machine intelligence rather than a form of 807 00:44:48,600 --> 00:44:53,480 Speaker 16: artificial human intelligence. But there are many, many people and 808 00:44:53,560 --> 00:44:56,960 Speaker 16: on our team we have a psychologist who does quite 809 00:44:57,000 --> 00:44:59,400 Speaker 16: a lot of work on trying to understand this. There 810 00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:03,800 Speaker 16: are many people who are beginning to see large language 811 00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:09,520 Speaker 16: models and AI models as as people, as as somebody 812 00:45:09,560 --> 00:45:12,799 Speaker 16: you can have a conversation with, that you can interact with, 813 00:45:12,920 --> 00:45:16,040 Speaker 16: that you can be friends with, even so far as 814 00:45:16,120 --> 00:45:19,080 Speaker 16: to say, I would say you could fall in love with. 815 00:45:19,880 --> 00:45:24,799 Speaker 16: And I think that there's a fascinating thing going on here. 816 00:45:24,800 --> 00:45:26,920 Speaker 16: I don't want to be judgmental in the way I 817 00:45:27,000 --> 00:45:30,520 Speaker 16: frame it, because we have an epidemic of loneliness, there's 818 00:45:30,560 --> 00:45:33,880 Speaker 16: there's difficulties with mental health, and I think if any 819 00:45:33,960 --> 00:45:37,600 Speaker 16: tool that would be useful to help us deal with 820 00:45:37,680 --> 00:45:40,600 Speaker 16: loneliness and mental health issues would be good tools. And 821 00:45:40,640 --> 00:45:42,839 Speaker 16: I think that there is some good to be done there. 822 00:45:43,320 --> 00:45:47,040 Speaker 16: But I think there's also danger down that path where 823 00:45:47,080 --> 00:45:53,000 Speaker 16: we replace real human interaction with human machine interaction, and 824 00:45:53,000 --> 00:45:57,920 Speaker 16: and and and no guardrails around it. So for me, 825 00:45:58,480 --> 00:46:01,120 Speaker 16: the response is that we need to become more bionic 826 00:46:01,320 --> 00:46:04,839 Speaker 16: rather than automate the world. We must augment the world 827 00:46:04,880 --> 00:46:08,000 Speaker 16: where human and machine sort of work alongside each other 828 00:46:08,160 --> 00:46:10,960 Speaker 16: rather then replace each other. But I think it's a 829 00:46:11,000 --> 00:46:15,279 Speaker 16: fascinating thought that maybe the next step for AI is 830 00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:18,680 Speaker 16: a step into the relationship space rather than the just 831 00:46:18,920 --> 00:46:20,320 Speaker 16: the business automation space. 832 00:46:20,400 --> 00:46:21,000 Speaker 7: Fascinating. 833 00:46:21,280 --> 00:46:24,960 Speaker 2: Sure, Graham Quadrenton, thanks very much, indeed really appreciated, futurist 834 00:46:24,960 --> 00:46:28,120 Speaker 2: and partner tomorrow Today really does give you an indication 835 00:46:28,280 --> 00:46:31,000 Speaker 2: of how the world is changing. Seventeen minutes after seven 836 00:46:31,600 --> 00:46:35,359 Speaker 2: The Money Show, Consumer Ninja, Well, in the world of 837 00:46:35,400 --> 00:46:39,440 Speaker 2: buying and selling things, there's one particular category that seems 838 00:46:39,480 --> 00:46:42,080 Speaker 2: to really result in a lot of complaints. And actually, 839 00:46:42,120 --> 00:46:44,120 Speaker 2: if you think about it, because of the nature of 840 00:46:44,160 --> 00:46:47,520 Speaker 2: the product, it's not surprising. And I'm talking obviously about 841 00:46:47,560 --> 00:46:51,000 Speaker 2: pre owned, not pre loved, but pre owned cars. And 842 00:46:51,080 --> 00:46:53,719 Speaker 2: in the last little while, there've been a few dealerships 843 00:46:53,760 --> 00:46:56,880 Speaker 2: that have actually had a judgments against them. So they 844 00:46:56,920 --> 00:47:01,560 Speaker 2: were various resolutions and people went to court and actually won. 845 00:47:02,000 --> 00:47:04,040 Speaker 2: As a result, these dealerships have been ordered to pay 846 00:47:04,160 --> 00:47:06,640 Speaker 2: hundreds of thousands of ruan back to consumers. There's been 847 00:47:06,640 --> 00:47:09,239 Speaker 2: some hefty fines. Wendy Noler is the person you turn 848 00:47:09,320 --> 00:47:11,000 Speaker 2: to to find out what on earth is going on 849 00:47:11,040 --> 00:47:13,920 Speaker 2: in this situation. She's our consumer Ninja. Wendy, good evening, 850 00:47:13,920 --> 00:47:14,680 Speaker 2: what's going on here? 851 00:47:15,000 --> 00:47:20,360 Speaker 4: Hi, Stephen, Yes, So, four separate High Court judgments in 852 00:47:20,719 --> 00:47:23,280 Speaker 4: the space of just three months have made it crystal 853 00:47:23,320 --> 00:47:27,040 Speaker 4: clear that judges will not tolerate dealerships selling vehicles with 854 00:47:27,280 --> 00:47:31,719 Speaker 4: serious undisclosed that's the keyword defects and then washing their 855 00:47:31,719 --> 00:47:34,520 Speaker 4: hands of the problem. In two those cases, the dealerships 856 00:47:34,520 --> 00:47:37,640 Speaker 4: that are already lost at the National Consumer Tribunal and 857 00:47:37,719 --> 00:47:39,520 Speaker 4: so those rulings have the same wag as are court 858 00:47:39,560 --> 00:47:43,879 Speaker 4: drooling right. And so these dealerships, so convinced were there 859 00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:48,120 Speaker 4: that they were right, appealed those tribunal rulings and then 860 00:47:48,160 --> 00:47:51,200 Speaker 4: lost again in the High Court, obviously at considerable extra 861 00:47:51,239 --> 00:47:55,320 Speaker 4: expense to themselves. Just briefly, was Wingfield Motors and Cape 862 00:47:55,320 --> 00:47:59,440 Speaker 4: Town sold a Forward Focus with a faulty clutch, refused responsibility, 863 00:47:59,600 --> 00:48:01,920 Speaker 4: ordered to five hundred and sixty eight thousand plus a 864 00:48:02,000 --> 00:48:05,960 Speaker 4: fifty thousand rund fine. The appeal against that was dismissed. 865 00:48:06,320 --> 00:48:09,880 Speaker 4: Lambon's and the freed state they ignored a National Consumer 866 00:48:09,920 --> 00:48:15,160 Speaker 4: Commission compliance notice showing what the court called contemptuous disregard. 867 00:48:15,600 --> 00:48:19,040 Speaker 4: They had a two hundred thousand rund penalty. Again appeal dismissed. 868 00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:22,919 Speaker 4: If Urine Motors in ha Teng sold a mas Bet 869 00:48:23,600 --> 00:48:26,440 Speaker 4: fifty with a latent defect, tried to blame the buyer 870 00:48:26,520 --> 00:48:29,600 Speaker 4: because the warrant he had expired. The High Court confirmed 871 00:48:29,600 --> 00:48:33,840 Speaker 4: the dealerships that the dealership remained liable for the latent defects, 872 00:48:34,320 --> 00:48:36,800 Speaker 4: and they were ordered to pay for the repairs plus 873 00:48:36,840 --> 00:48:40,960 Speaker 4: one hundred thousand ruand fine again. Appeal dismissed. Santin Reaper 874 00:48:41,040 --> 00:48:43,560 Speaker 4: Cars was the latest stephen. They sold a VW GOV 875 00:48:43,640 --> 00:48:48,400 Speaker 4: with undisclosed accident damage. Tried to hide behind the prescription 876 00:48:48,520 --> 00:48:53,120 Speaker 4: they said past three years. The court rejected that argument 877 00:48:53,320 --> 00:48:56,040 Speaker 4: and they must now pay the refund in full four 878 00:48:56,120 --> 00:48:59,200 Speaker 4: hundred and sixty thousand round plus again one hundred thousand 879 00:48:59,280 --> 00:49:01,080 Speaker 4: ruand fine. Peel dismissed. 880 00:49:01,880 --> 00:49:03,799 Speaker 2: I mean, the courts are sending a strong message here. 881 00:49:04,320 --> 00:49:08,800 Speaker 4: They are, indeed, and the messages dealerships are not exempt 882 00:49:08,800 --> 00:49:11,960 Speaker 4: from the Consumer Protection Act if you cannot sell a 883 00:49:12,000 --> 00:49:14,640 Speaker 4: car with defects that existed at the time of the sale, 884 00:49:14,960 --> 00:49:18,360 Speaker 4: not disclose them, and then claim later that you didn't 885 00:49:18,400 --> 00:49:21,879 Speaker 4: know and essentially the buyerers sorted out themselves. The courts 886 00:49:21,880 --> 00:49:25,000 Speaker 4: are also saying that the three year prescription argument won't 887 00:49:25,080 --> 00:49:28,840 Speaker 4: automatically save a dealership if the consumer only discovered the 888 00:49:28,920 --> 00:49:29,760 Speaker 4: defect later. 889 00:49:30,960 --> 00:49:34,319 Speaker 2: I mean, Wendy, you've been saying for years that we 890 00:49:34,400 --> 00:49:37,399 Speaker 2: shouldn't blindly trust the salesperson. I mean, you've been saying that, 891 00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:39,759 Speaker 2: I don't know, probably longer than you've been telling us 892 00:49:39,760 --> 00:49:42,800 Speaker 2: to read the fine. But people still buy a car online. 893 00:49:42,840 --> 00:49:44,480 Speaker 2: You go online, you look at the pictures, you look 894 00:49:44,480 --> 00:49:47,120 Speaker 2: at the history, you look at the at the at 895 00:49:47,120 --> 00:49:49,520 Speaker 2: the kilometers, and then you buy it. I mean, that's 896 00:49:49,640 --> 00:49:50,480 Speaker 2: surely a big problem. 897 00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:53,000 Speaker 4: I can't get my head around, Stephen. I mean, I'm 898 00:49:53,000 --> 00:49:55,680 Speaker 4: from the ad a tandem career for fifteen years as 899 00:49:55,719 --> 00:49:58,200 Speaker 4: a motoring journalist. I'm I'm a petrol header, and I 900 00:49:58,200 --> 00:50:01,520 Speaker 4: don't understand people who do that for one thing. To 901 00:50:01,560 --> 00:50:03,640 Speaker 4: not even want to see the car and drive it 902 00:50:03,680 --> 00:50:06,719 Speaker 4: for me is crazy. But it's become the normal. Let's 903 00:50:06,719 --> 00:50:09,840 Speaker 4: do everything online. Let's see this, you know, go on 904 00:50:09,840 --> 00:50:12,200 Speaker 4: to one of the big sites, see this dealership listing, 905 00:50:13,360 --> 00:50:16,600 Speaker 4: start engaging over WhatsApp or whatever. See a few photos 906 00:50:16,640 --> 00:50:19,640 Speaker 4: of video. I mean, how much can you hide in those? 907 00:50:20,200 --> 00:50:23,319 Speaker 4: And then you know, do the finance and arrange for 908 00:50:23,360 --> 00:50:26,080 Speaker 4: the courier to send you your car. What could go wrong? Well, 909 00:50:26,560 --> 00:50:29,839 Speaker 4: every day, and I'm not exaggerating, every day hear from 910 00:50:29,840 --> 00:50:32,120 Speaker 4: someone that did that, and in some cases the car 911 00:50:32,200 --> 00:50:34,480 Speaker 4: broke down the first time they drove it, and now 912 00:50:34,600 --> 00:50:40,320 Speaker 4: you have a battle royal on your hands to get justice. 913 00:50:41,239 --> 00:50:45,040 Speaker 4: It really is become quite a critical issue. 914 00:50:46,640 --> 00:50:48,359 Speaker 2: You've been talking to people about it as well. 915 00:50:48,920 --> 00:50:53,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, so I spoke to two independent vehicle checking companies 916 00:50:53,640 --> 00:50:56,080 Speaker 4: about what they've picked up with the checks, and I said, OK, 917 00:50:56,360 --> 00:50:59,600 Speaker 4: give me your October stats. So first check, which does 918 00:51:00,000 --> 00:51:02,359 Speaker 4: based online history reports, You give the car that you're 919 00:51:02,360 --> 00:51:06,960 Speaker 4: intending to buy. We wanted to buy into their website. 920 00:51:07,160 --> 00:51:08,799 Speaker 4: You pair, I think it's one hundred and just under 921 00:51:08,800 --> 00:51:11,120 Speaker 4: one hundred and fifty Yrand from full checks everything from 922 00:51:11,239 --> 00:51:15,200 Speaker 4: mileage to accident history, et cetera, they found last month 923 00:51:15,239 --> 00:51:17,359 Speaker 4: that thirty six percent of the cars they checked had 924 00:51:17,400 --> 00:51:20,600 Speaker 4: accident damage or insurance claims on record, and twenty four 925 00:51:20,640 --> 00:51:24,120 Speaker 4: percent had rolled back a domitis. This is a big issue. 926 00:51:24,640 --> 00:51:26,799 Speaker 4: The industry calls it a haircut. So if you want 927 00:51:26,800 --> 00:51:28,600 Speaker 4: the industry to think you know what you're doing, say 928 00:51:28,600 --> 00:51:31,480 Speaker 4: has this car had a haircut? One land Cruiser had 929 00:51:31,480 --> 00:51:35,840 Speaker 4: two hundred and seventy thousand kilometers removed two seventy thousand. 930 00:51:36,160 --> 00:51:40,040 Speaker 4: Only forty percent of cars on those VIN checks came 931 00:51:40,080 --> 00:51:43,040 Speaker 4: back completely clean. And then View for you, which does 932 00:51:43,080 --> 00:51:47,320 Speaker 4: physical inspections on cars and background checks preferably before someone. 933 00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:51,240 Speaker 4: Bars examined almost two hundred and fifty vehicles for private 934 00:51:51,280 --> 00:51:53,960 Speaker 4: bars in October. One hundred and sixty seven of them 935 00:51:54,080 --> 00:51:58,960 Speaker 4: had accident repairs and at least ten had haircuts manipulated mileage. 936 00:51:59,239 --> 00:52:03,880 Speaker 4: So these on numbers that you really need to hold 937 00:52:04,080 --> 00:52:05,960 Speaker 4: close to you when you are in the market for 938 00:52:05,960 --> 00:52:08,399 Speaker 4: a used car because the chances of something going wrong 939 00:52:08,600 --> 00:52:11,960 Speaker 4: are fairly high. Yes, how have you for you? Founder 940 00:52:12,239 --> 00:52:13,839 Speaker 4: Malcolm kve put it iven. 941 00:52:14,040 --> 00:52:16,959 Speaker 17: So salesmen are prowling on people, you know, they don't 942 00:52:16,960 --> 00:52:19,960 Speaker 17: disclose the proper mileage. Then they say to you know, 943 00:52:19,960 --> 00:52:21,680 Speaker 17: not it is the right mileage. We'll send you the 944 00:52:21,719 --> 00:52:23,879 Speaker 17: service book. Take the car. By the time you get 945 00:52:23,880 --> 00:52:26,160 Speaker 17: a service book at too late. So get the service 946 00:52:26,560 --> 00:52:28,799 Speaker 17: very fire the service history before you drive that car 947 00:52:28,880 --> 00:52:31,120 Speaker 17: off the floor to ensure that you got the right mileage. 948 00:52:31,120 --> 00:52:33,759 Speaker 17: If it does not have services. Three, be very skeptical, 949 00:52:34,360 --> 00:52:37,520 Speaker 17: I would say, don't take it. Number two would be 950 00:52:37,520 --> 00:52:41,680 Speaker 17: the accidents history. Dealers often hide this. If you suspect 951 00:52:41,760 --> 00:52:44,399 Speaker 17: any rework done, do not believe them when they say 952 00:52:44,440 --> 00:52:46,960 Speaker 17: it's just just a small touch up. Those small things 953 00:52:47,000 --> 00:52:49,799 Speaker 17: often lead to bigger things. The more you dig, the 954 00:52:49,800 --> 00:52:52,080 Speaker 17: more you find out that shucks the cause actually in 955 00:52:52,080 --> 00:52:56,000 Speaker 17: a serious accident. Do not die for their pressure, Do 956 00:52:56,000 --> 00:52:59,160 Speaker 17: not take their pressure. Do not believe anything they say. 957 00:52:59,600 --> 00:53:02,600 Speaker 17: As we View for you like to say, never trust 958 00:53:03,160 --> 00:53:05,560 Speaker 17: any dealer. There are good dealers out there. They are 959 00:53:05,640 --> 00:53:07,640 Speaker 17: amazing dealers. They are great, but it does not mean 960 00:53:07,640 --> 00:53:08,520 Speaker 17: that you must trust them. 961 00:53:08,800 --> 00:53:12,360 Speaker 2: Founder of View for you and Malcolm cave there. Okay, Wendy, 962 00:53:12,520 --> 00:53:16,480 Speaker 2: very quickly. Obviously you need to check the car yourself. 963 00:53:16,480 --> 00:53:18,440 Speaker 2: You need to have it looked. Do the banks that 964 00:53:18,480 --> 00:53:20,040 Speaker 2: finance cars have a role to play here. 965 00:53:20,640 --> 00:53:23,799 Speaker 4: That's a very good issue. I believe they do, and 966 00:53:23,960 --> 00:53:26,640 Speaker 4: I've asked them a couple of years ago. You know, 967 00:53:26,719 --> 00:53:29,520 Speaker 4: why don't you insist that dealers do these background checks 968 00:53:29,560 --> 00:53:31,799 Speaker 4: and provide the reports before they finance the car, just 969 00:53:31,840 --> 00:53:34,520 Speaker 4: like they insist that you know you have insurance on 970 00:53:34,560 --> 00:53:39,040 Speaker 4: the car before they finance it. This single rule change 971 00:53:39,080 --> 00:53:41,840 Speaker 4: would force dealerships to clean up their stock overnight. Because 972 00:53:41,920 --> 00:53:45,319 Speaker 4: finance drives most used car sales right most of them 973 00:53:45,320 --> 00:53:48,520 Speaker 4: are financed, and at the moment, the banks are indirectly 974 00:53:48,560 --> 00:53:51,640 Speaker 4: funding a lot of consumer misery. I will be pushing 975 00:53:51,719 --> 00:53:53,840 Speaker 4: this issue because, I mean a few years ago you 976 00:53:53,920 --> 00:53:56,879 Speaker 4: might have argued that the checks that were available were 977 00:53:56,920 --> 00:53:59,640 Speaker 4: a little bit inconsistent, but that's not the case anymore 978 00:54:00,880 --> 00:54:05,600 Speaker 4: with the sites that are available. So yeah, I can't 979 00:54:05,640 --> 00:54:09,360 Speaker 4: see why how they can continue to justify not asking 980 00:54:09,360 --> 00:54:12,120 Speaker 4: for those reports before they approve the ferts now. 981 00:54:12,200 --> 00:54:14,520 Speaker 2: Wendy Nola, thank you very much. Indeed, you'll consumer Ninja 982 00:54:14,600 --> 00:54:16,080 Speaker 2: on The Money Show tonight. 983 00:54:16,719 --> 00:54:19,320 Speaker 4: The Money Show, Shape Shifters. 984 00:54:19,080 --> 00:54:21,440 Speaker 2: Twenty three minutes to eight the time. Well, you will 985 00:54:21,440 --> 00:54:23,920 Speaker 2: have heard so many times on this show and others 986 00:54:23,960 --> 00:54:28,080 Speaker 2: on how electricity system is changing, how moving from one 987 00:54:28,200 --> 00:54:32,080 Speaker 2: operator and Eskom to a proper electricity trading market. You're 988 00:54:32,120 --> 00:54:34,799 Speaker 2: now complex and difficult. Some of these issues are there 989 00:54:34,920 --> 00:54:37,560 Speaker 2: lots of different factors. You've got to consider, lots of 990 00:54:37,560 --> 00:54:40,279 Speaker 2: different parties. And one of the people who's kind of 991 00:54:40,480 --> 00:54:42,440 Speaker 2: in the middle of this, and I mean it's the 992 00:54:42,480 --> 00:54:46,520 Speaker 2: middle of a major transition, is your shape Shifter tonight. 993 00:54:46,760 --> 00:54:49,120 Speaker 2: He is the chair of the National Energy Regulator of 994 00:54:49,200 --> 00:54:53,600 Speaker 2: South Africa and he's Tim Bunny Bakula. Tim Bunny, I've 995 00:54:53,800 --> 00:54:56,280 Speaker 2: reported on you for many years. It's wonderful to actually 996 00:54:56,320 --> 00:54:58,160 Speaker 2: talk to you as our shape shifter. Thanks for the time, 997 00:54:58,200 --> 00:54:58,880 Speaker 2: good evening. 998 00:55:00,080 --> 00:55:02,319 Speaker 11: Evening believing to your listeners as well. 999 00:55:03,120 --> 00:55:05,520 Speaker 2: From what I can see online, you you started your 1000 00:55:05,640 --> 00:55:08,520 Speaker 2: tertiary at the University of Quasima andare telling you you 1001 00:55:08,560 --> 00:55:12,120 Speaker 2: studied a BSc Engineering. I couldn't see if it was 1002 00:55:12,320 --> 00:55:16,279 Speaker 2: an electricity qualification or not. Were you keen on engineering 1003 00:55:16,360 --> 00:55:19,040 Speaker 2: or were you already keen on sort of the electricity 1004 00:55:19,080 --> 00:55:19,560 Speaker 2: side of it? 1005 00:55:20,680 --> 00:55:24,759 Speaker 11: So I did my BC in electrical engineering at the 1006 00:55:24,840 --> 00:55:29,239 Speaker 11: University of Natal. Further to that, I did my diploma 1007 00:55:29,360 --> 00:55:33,680 Speaker 11: in Engineering Business Management at the Warwick University and my 1008 00:55:33,920 --> 00:55:38,719 Speaker 11: master's in Maths, Engineering and Science at UNISO. So I 1009 00:55:38,920 --> 00:55:42,960 Speaker 11: was keen on the the electrical supply industry? 1010 00:55:44,040 --> 00:55:46,279 Speaker 2: What was it about it that was so interesting? And 1011 00:55:46,440 --> 00:55:49,520 Speaker 2: I can imagine the technical nature of it. I think 1012 00:55:49,600 --> 00:55:51,239 Speaker 2: you can. You can sort of drown yourself in it. 1013 00:55:51,239 --> 00:55:53,000 Speaker 2: It must be quite interesting. Was it that? Was there 1014 00:55:53,040 --> 00:55:56,200 Speaker 2: something else about, you know, making electrons move that you 1015 00:55:56,239 --> 00:55:56,960 Speaker 2: found interesting? 1016 00:55:58,520 --> 00:56:00,600 Speaker 11: I think, let's tad from the fact that I come 1017 00:56:00,640 --> 00:56:03,920 Speaker 11: from a small village called the Coffinbaba, and in that village, 1018 00:56:04,040 --> 00:56:07,279 Speaker 11: electricity was not something that we had a lot of 1019 00:56:07,920 --> 00:56:14,839 Speaker 11: So I think my interest was in knowing about this 1020 00:56:15,680 --> 00:56:19,600 Speaker 11: commodity that makes life easy and yet it is not 1021 00:56:19,800 --> 00:56:21,160 Speaker 11: so easily available. 1022 00:56:21,960 --> 00:56:23,960 Speaker 2: And it must have had such a huge impact on 1023 00:56:24,280 --> 00:56:27,840 Speaker 2: your community when there was the electricity available, and I 1024 00:56:27,840 --> 00:56:29,560 Speaker 2: mean it was one of the parts of the country 1025 00:56:29,560 --> 00:56:30,960 Speaker 2: that had to wait quite a long time. 1026 00:56:32,200 --> 00:56:34,319 Speaker 11: Yes, it did, and I think it changed a lot 1027 00:56:34,320 --> 00:56:37,160 Speaker 11: of lives. I mean people didn't know no longer had 1028 00:56:37,280 --> 00:56:39,960 Speaker 11: to take a bath every day to just go and 1029 00:56:40,000 --> 00:56:43,440 Speaker 11: buy meat that they must consume that evening, and then 1030 00:56:43,520 --> 00:56:45,640 Speaker 11: the following day they have to go and buy. They 1031 00:56:45,640 --> 00:56:48,360 Speaker 11: could now storm it to reduce their cost. So the 1032 00:56:48,440 --> 00:56:52,799 Speaker 11: quality of life just by providing electricity improved. I mean 1033 00:56:53,040 --> 00:56:59,000 Speaker 11: kids could play at night and study those who were 1034 00:56:59,040 --> 00:57:06,000 Speaker 11: studying under proper lighting, not the candlelight or paraffin lamp. 1035 00:57:06,080 --> 00:57:10,320 Speaker 11: So it was a big contributor to the change in 1036 00:57:10,360 --> 00:57:11,800 Speaker 11: the quality of life of the people. 1037 00:57:12,560 --> 00:57:14,600 Speaker 2: One of your first jobs was at a company called 1038 00:57:14,640 --> 00:57:17,440 Speaker 2: Yellend Engineering, and I smiled slightly because there's a yell 1039 00:57:17,520 --> 00:57:20,040 Speaker 2: End you probably have to deal with quite often nowadays. 1040 00:57:20,880 --> 00:57:24,880 Speaker 11: Yes, it was actually his family business. His dad was 1041 00:57:25,360 --> 00:57:27,240 Speaker 11: my boss at Yellend Engineering. 1042 00:57:27,520 --> 00:57:29,200 Speaker 2: Oh wow, I didn't know that. See, so you have 1043 00:57:29,240 --> 00:57:35,880 Speaker 2: a long association with the family. Then, yes, So when 1044 00:57:35,880 --> 00:57:38,720 Speaker 2: I first started reporting on you, and I can't remember 1045 00:57:38,720 --> 00:57:41,040 Speaker 2: the exact year, but it would have been after the 1046 00:57:41,080 --> 00:57:43,200 Speaker 2: first part of load shedding in two thousand and eight, 1047 00:57:43,480 --> 00:57:45,760 Speaker 2: and you were the member for Electricity at NURSA for 1048 00:57:45,840 --> 00:57:48,440 Speaker 2: a long time, and that meant you were the person 1049 00:57:48,480 --> 00:57:51,920 Speaker 2: in charge of that. That's quite a you kind of 1050 00:57:51,920 --> 00:57:54,880 Speaker 2: would have found yourself, as you know, in the spotlight 1051 00:57:54,960 --> 00:57:58,360 Speaker 2: because so many things were happening around it. How did 1052 00:57:58,400 --> 00:58:00,400 Speaker 2: you end up in that position? How did you end 1053 00:58:00,440 --> 00:58:03,520 Speaker 2: up as a regulator? I suppose is what I'm really asking. 1054 00:58:05,400 --> 00:58:05,680 Speaker 8: Steve. 1055 00:58:05,760 --> 00:58:09,360 Speaker 11: And I think my first contact with the National Energy 1056 00:58:09,400 --> 00:58:14,360 Speaker 11: Regulator was when I wanted to do technical audits for 1057 00:58:14,480 --> 00:58:19,040 Speaker 11: them for a few of the transmissions lines and substations 1058 00:58:19,040 --> 00:58:21,960 Speaker 11: that they wanted to look at, and out of that 1059 00:58:22,240 --> 00:58:27,640 Speaker 11: I then I think they were appointing the first board 1060 00:58:27,920 --> 00:58:32,240 Speaker 11: of the National Energy Regulators we know it NASA, And 1061 00:58:32,520 --> 00:58:35,640 Speaker 11: it was out of that interaction with the NASA that 1062 00:58:35,760 --> 00:58:40,040 Speaker 11: they then nominated me to be appointed as the regulator 1063 00:58:40,080 --> 00:58:42,960 Speaker 11: member that would be primarily responsible for electricity. 1064 00:58:44,880 --> 00:58:47,120 Speaker 2: How did you find the job? I mean, it's very technical. 1065 00:58:47,560 --> 00:58:50,880 Speaker 2: We sort of would see that person in the context 1066 00:58:50,880 --> 00:58:54,000 Speaker 2: of making decisions about power prices. It's a complex formula. 1067 00:58:54,720 --> 00:58:57,280 Speaker 2: I often wonder. I mean, you must spend hours at 1068 00:58:57,360 --> 00:58:59,960 Speaker 2: night just assessing all of the numbers to get it right, 1069 00:59:00,240 --> 00:59:03,320 Speaker 2: very kind of fiddly. It must be very interesting as well. 1070 00:59:05,240 --> 00:59:05,960 Speaker 10: It is. 1071 00:59:06,320 --> 00:59:09,080 Speaker 11: I think there's the part that is really the science 1072 00:59:09,120 --> 00:59:12,720 Speaker 11: and the accounting and the economics. That there's also then 1073 00:59:12,760 --> 00:59:16,480 Speaker 11: the other part that is more of an art. I 1074 00:59:16,600 --> 00:59:19,280 Speaker 11: think I think as much as the regulation we may 1075 00:59:19,520 --> 00:59:21,040 Speaker 11: want to look at it is that you look at 1076 00:59:21,080 --> 00:59:25,480 Speaker 11: a lot of numbers and a lot of graphs. But 1077 00:59:26,200 --> 00:59:30,440 Speaker 11: there's a part where you also, because you are predicting 1078 00:59:30,520 --> 00:59:32,320 Speaker 11: things that are going to happen in the future that 1079 00:59:32,400 --> 00:59:35,640 Speaker 11: you also don't have one hundred percent certainty around them, 1080 00:59:35,960 --> 00:59:39,439 Speaker 11: you also have an art of how do I make 1081 00:59:39,480 --> 00:59:42,920 Speaker 11: sure that even if the future I'm picturing is not 1082 00:59:43,080 --> 00:59:46,520 Speaker 11: exactly what it's going to be, but it doesn't fall 1083 00:59:46,560 --> 00:59:49,080 Speaker 11: far off from that. But I also have to say 1084 00:59:49,120 --> 00:59:51,760 Speaker 11: that during the times of low sheading, as much as 1085 00:59:51,760 --> 00:59:55,920 Speaker 11: there were many other things that were predicted that would happen, 1086 00:59:56,520 --> 00:59:59,200 Speaker 11: when they happened, they happened at a pace that was 1087 00:59:59,320 --> 01:00:02,400 Speaker 11: much faster and what we had anticipated, and we're also 1088 01:00:02,480 --> 01:00:07,760 Speaker 11: the utility that was also not operating at optimal levels. 1089 01:00:07,760 --> 01:00:10,080 Speaker 11: So things got really complicated. 1090 01:00:10,400 --> 01:00:12,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean very difficult as well, and I imagine 1091 01:00:12,560 --> 01:00:15,760 Speaker 2: there must have been moments where it was probably quite uncomfortable. 1092 01:00:16,600 --> 01:00:18,440 Speaker 2: If we can, I'd like to talk a little bit 1093 01:00:18,480 --> 01:00:21,720 Speaker 2: about sort of the changes we're seeing now. So there's 1094 01:00:21,760 --> 01:00:26,040 Speaker 2: a review around how we put together the electricity price. 1095 01:00:26,400 --> 01:00:28,080 Speaker 2: That's kind of out of your hands in a way. 1096 01:00:28,120 --> 01:00:31,400 Speaker 2: You regulate on what you're given to regulate. But how 1097 01:00:31,440 --> 01:00:33,560 Speaker 2: do you see your role in all of that, because 1098 01:00:33,680 --> 01:00:36,160 Speaker 2: I mean I imagine for me it would be kind 1099 01:00:36,200 --> 01:00:38,880 Speaker 2: of furnished to do a whole review without including nurser 1100 01:00:38,920 --> 01:00:41,400 Speaker 2: in it somewhere. And yet your job is to be 1101 01:00:41,600 --> 01:00:45,680 Speaker 2: independent and to basically make a judgment on what you're 1102 01:00:45,720 --> 01:00:47,320 Speaker 2: asked to make a judgment on. I mean, you're a 1103 01:00:47,360 --> 01:00:49,000 Speaker 2: bit like a judge. This is the law you have 1104 01:00:49,080 --> 01:00:49,440 Speaker 2: to follow. 1105 01:00:49,480 --> 01:00:55,680 Speaker 11: That seven, the matter of pricing. As I said that, 1106 01:00:55,760 --> 01:00:59,440 Speaker 11: I mean, there's accounting, there's economics, and there's engineering in it, 1107 01:01:00,040 --> 01:01:02,720 Speaker 11: and when you have to determine the pricing, you have 1108 01:01:02,880 --> 01:01:07,200 Speaker 11: to consider all of those fields. And in what we 1109 01:01:07,240 --> 01:01:10,320 Speaker 11: are going to do now now, that we are moving 1110 01:01:10,360 --> 01:01:13,560 Speaker 11: towards the market. What is being hoped would happen is 1111 01:01:13,560 --> 01:01:17,760 Speaker 11: that when we have other players that wants to sell 1112 01:01:17,800 --> 01:01:22,440 Speaker 11: their product, the tendency when a market is created is 1113 01:01:22,480 --> 01:01:27,560 Speaker 11: that producers try and find the list possible way of 1114 01:01:27,680 --> 01:01:31,400 Speaker 11: producing their project, which then results in the list possible 1115 01:01:31,480 --> 01:01:35,280 Speaker 11: costs of the product. What our function is going to 1116 01:01:35,320 --> 01:01:38,400 Speaker 11: be going forward as a regulator is to ensure that 1117 01:01:38,520 --> 01:01:42,200 Speaker 11: the playing fields are leveled. We do not necessarily have 1118 01:01:42,320 --> 01:01:46,720 Speaker 11: an entity that has the advantage over the other. Unfortunately, 1119 01:01:46,800 --> 01:01:48,640 Speaker 11: in our case in South Africa, we're still going to 1120 01:01:48,640 --> 01:01:51,880 Speaker 11: have es COM being a dominant player for the list 1121 01:01:51,960 --> 01:01:55,560 Speaker 11: the next ten years. So our function is still going 1122 01:01:55,640 --> 01:01:59,840 Speaker 11: to be that one of mitigating that dominant dominance of 1123 01:02:00,040 --> 01:02:03,680 Speaker 11: dominant power of es Common ensuring that the other players 1124 01:02:03,680 --> 01:02:07,280 Speaker 11: that are not dominant are given the same rules to 1125 01:02:07,320 --> 01:02:11,400 Speaker 11: play under the same field and the same parameters operate under. 1126 01:02:12,600 --> 01:02:15,520 Speaker 2: So, just to be clear, you do believe, I mean 1127 01:02:15,560 --> 01:02:18,560 Speaker 2: I believe this. You do believe that the introduction of 1128 01:02:18,640 --> 01:02:23,440 Speaker 2: competition will bring electricity prices down. It will make electricity 1129 01:02:23,480 --> 01:02:28,160 Speaker 2: prices lower at some point. 1130 01:02:26,360 --> 01:02:30,800 Speaker 11: Too, when we get to a point where there's efficiencies 1131 01:02:30,960 --> 01:02:34,360 Speaker 11: in the way that you run your operations to your operations, 1132 01:02:34,880 --> 01:02:38,880 Speaker 11: then there is no reason why the electricity prices would 1133 01:02:38,880 --> 01:02:41,640 Speaker 11: not go down. We also have a change in the 1134 01:02:41,720 --> 01:02:45,760 Speaker 11: technologies that are being used that also will contribute to 1135 01:02:45,800 --> 01:02:48,800 Speaker 11: the reduction in the costs and therefore make the electricity 1136 01:02:48,800 --> 01:02:54,680 Speaker 11: prices kind of reduced from the levels that we're seeing. 1137 01:02:55,680 --> 01:02:58,720 Speaker 2: So, I mean, there might be a moment where eSCM, 1138 01:02:58,840 --> 01:03:01,760 Speaker 2: for various reasons, may because it's such a big coal 1139 01:03:01,840 --> 01:03:06,040 Speaker 2: fired producer of power, just can't compete with other operators. 1140 01:03:06,280 --> 01:03:08,320 Speaker 2: Do you have to take that into account that we 1141 01:03:08,480 --> 01:03:12,320 Speaker 2: do kind of need ESKIM or something like it, even 1142 01:03:12,320 --> 01:03:14,560 Speaker 2: if it may just never be able to really compete 1143 01:03:14,560 --> 01:03:16,880 Speaker 2: on price. I mean, that's quite a difficult situation to 1144 01:03:16,960 --> 01:03:18,400 Speaker 2: have to deal with where you kind of need it 1145 01:03:18,440 --> 01:03:21,720 Speaker 2: as a I suppose I don't know any emergency or 1146 01:03:21,760 --> 01:03:25,920 Speaker 2: a baseload supplier or something, and yet other newer plants 1147 01:03:25,960 --> 01:03:28,919 Speaker 2: may just be able to provide electricity more cheaply. I mean, 1148 01:03:29,160 --> 01:03:31,720 Speaker 2: you need to keep ESK going in that circumstance, and 1149 01:03:31,800 --> 01:03:33,480 Speaker 2: yet it won't be competitive. 1150 01:03:35,360 --> 01:03:40,720 Speaker 11: That's partly true that we have to keep ESCOM there going, 1151 01:03:40,760 --> 01:03:43,360 Speaker 11: But I think one of the reasons why we will 1152 01:03:43,440 --> 01:03:47,720 Speaker 11: keep ESKOM going is because we also haven't got to 1153 01:03:47,760 --> 01:03:51,360 Speaker 11: a stage where the alternative technologies are able to supply 1154 01:03:51,480 --> 01:03:54,880 Speaker 11: power twenty four to seven. The sun only shines during 1155 01:03:54,920 --> 01:03:57,880 Speaker 11: the day, The wind blows when it wants to blow, 1156 01:03:58,240 --> 01:04:02,720 Speaker 11: and therefore you need something that can then provide that 1157 01:04:02,800 --> 01:04:05,040 Speaker 11: base power for when there's no wind and when there's 1158 01:04:05,040 --> 01:04:09,640 Speaker 11: no sun. And I think that's the advantage that ES commands. 1159 01:04:10,240 --> 01:04:13,640 Speaker 11: The disadvantage with the plants that they have is that 1160 01:04:14,280 --> 01:04:16,760 Speaker 11: they are not the sort of plants that you can, 1161 01:04:17,920 --> 01:04:21,520 Speaker 11: you know, ten on and off and when you need them, 1162 01:04:21,600 --> 01:04:24,200 Speaker 11: you need to be running them all of the time 1163 01:04:24,760 --> 01:04:27,480 Speaker 11: for them to be able to produce the power. It's 1164 01:04:27,520 --> 01:04:29,919 Speaker 11: not like you can, I mean, to study the cold 1165 01:04:29,960 --> 01:04:34,160 Speaker 11: fire power station takes a few hours and and and 1166 01:04:34,320 --> 01:04:38,160 Speaker 11: therefore we have to accept that there is going to 1167 01:04:38,200 --> 01:04:42,280 Speaker 11: be that part of the inefficiency in our system if 1168 01:04:42,320 --> 01:04:46,240 Speaker 11: we want to have continuous power available. But I think 1169 01:04:46,280 --> 01:04:50,200 Speaker 11: as the technologies change, and as the ESCOME improves its 1170 01:04:50,200 --> 01:04:53,640 Speaker 11: own technologism, so we will get to a point where 1171 01:04:54,000 --> 01:04:58,120 Speaker 11: we have a way of adjusting the output of the 1172 01:04:58,160 --> 01:05:02,120 Speaker 11: cold fire power stations to align with what is required 1173 01:05:02,160 --> 01:05:04,760 Speaker 11: and not to just have them idling because you can't 1174 01:05:04,760 --> 01:05:05,479 Speaker 11: switch them off. 1175 01:05:06,440 --> 01:05:08,520 Speaker 2: I want to ask you to make a prediction about 1176 01:05:08,560 --> 01:05:10,680 Speaker 2: power prices and when they'll come down, And as I 1177 01:05:10,760 --> 01:05:13,520 Speaker 2: do it, I realize that this cannot be. This will 1178 01:05:13,560 --> 01:05:16,040 Speaker 2: be more of the art you spoke about rather than 1179 01:05:16,880 --> 01:05:21,080 Speaker 2: a science. Do you have any idea of when that 1180 01:05:21,280 --> 01:05:23,680 Speaker 2: might happen? And you may not even be able to 1181 01:05:23,680 --> 01:05:26,000 Speaker 2: answer because of the position you hold as cheer of nurses, 1182 01:05:26,080 --> 01:05:28,720 Speaker 2: But I mean, do you think in ten years, for example, 1183 01:05:29,040 --> 01:05:32,400 Speaker 2: we will stop having such big power price increases? Or 1184 01:05:32,480 --> 01:05:35,280 Speaker 2: maybe fifteen years. I won't hold you to it either way, 1185 01:05:35,280 --> 01:05:39,000 Speaker 2: because I realized it's an impossible question, Stephen. 1186 01:05:39,080 --> 01:05:42,520 Speaker 11: I think as the regulator, we've made it as a pronouncement, 1187 01:05:42,560 --> 01:05:45,000 Speaker 11: so I'm not speaking out of terms. And I think 1188 01:05:45,080 --> 01:05:49,720 Speaker 11: even ESCOM itself has made it. This realization that going 1189 01:05:49,760 --> 01:05:52,080 Speaker 11: at the times in the days where we would have 1190 01:05:52,400 --> 01:05:56,320 Speaker 11: increases that are double digits, the increases that we're going 1191 01:05:56,400 --> 01:06:00,200 Speaker 11: to have in electricity have to be related to inflation 1192 01:06:00,520 --> 01:06:04,320 Speaker 11: and the single digit and and there's less the part 1193 01:06:04,440 --> 01:06:08,800 Speaker 11: where where where we also had to add a percentage 1194 01:06:08,840 --> 01:06:11,400 Speaker 11: or two. If you looked at the determinations, they're already 1195 01:06:11,400 --> 01:06:13,760 Speaker 11: indicating that the increases are going to be in your 1196 01:06:13,800 --> 01:06:17,400 Speaker 11: five for six percent range. And yes, the other part 1197 01:06:17,480 --> 01:06:20,400 Speaker 11: that they is that the other technologies like your coal, 1198 01:06:20,800 --> 01:06:26,040 Speaker 11: I mean your solar PV and wind have had the 1199 01:06:26,160 --> 01:06:32,320 Speaker 11: reduced costs. So there may be periods during within the 1200 01:06:32,360 --> 01:06:35,760 Speaker 11: next two to three years, periods where we would have 1201 01:06:36,160 --> 01:06:39,760 Speaker 11: cheap power, say during the day, we would have cheaper 1202 01:06:39,800 --> 01:06:45,520 Speaker 11: power because it is cheaper cheaply produced or produced at 1203 01:06:45,520 --> 01:06:48,720 Speaker 11: the lowest cost by your solar PV plants. And then yes, 1204 01:06:48,840 --> 01:06:52,280 Speaker 11: you would may have it at at the higher rates 1205 01:06:52,600 --> 01:06:55,640 Speaker 11: when the sun sets and you have to start kicking 1206 01:06:55,680 --> 01:06:59,040 Speaker 11: in the es comb generators and the disnel generators. But 1207 01:06:59,240 --> 01:07:01,880 Speaker 11: we will have and I mean other countries have already 1208 01:07:01,960 --> 01:07:07,680 Speaker 11: experienced that. In Australia, for instance, during the day, consumers 1209 01:07:07,680 --> 01:07:11,640 Speaker 11: are encouraged to do anything and everything they used to 1210 01:07:11,920 --> 01:07:14,440 Speaker 11: need to do with power and pay nothing for that 1211 01:07:14,560 --> 01:07:17,160 Speaker 11: power that they used during the day because of this 1212 01:07:17,280 --> 01:07:21,320 Speaker 11: advantage that has been brought by your solar PV systems 1213 01:07:21,360 --> 01:07:24,000 Speaker 11: with the lowest cost production. 1214 01:07:24,320 --> 01:07:26,880 Speaker 2: It is it is amazing how the world's changed, isn't it. 1215 01:07:27,240 --> 01:07:29,560 Speaker 2: Your shape shift of this evening is timbani but cooler. 1216 01:07:29,600 --> 01:07:32,040 Speaker 2: The chair of nurses with us for another few minutes. 1217 01:07:32,080 --> 01:07:33,320 Speaker 2: It's ten minutes not to eight. 1218 01:07:34,960 --> 01:07:37,640 Speaker 14: The Money Show Stevel Crotes is brought to you by 1219 01:07:37,720 --> 01:07:42,040 Speaker 14: apsas CIB proud host of the Africa Impact Matters series 1220 01:07:42,120 --> 01:07:45,800 Speaker 14: podcast Perhaps and authorized FSP and registered credit provider. 1221 01:07:47,560 --> 01:07:49,880 Speaker 4: The Money Show Shape Shift. 1222 01:07:49,840 --> 01:07:52,320 Speaker 2: Eight minutes now to eighth the time your shape shifted 1223 01:07:52,360 --> 01:07:55,280 Speaker 2: this evening. The chair at nurser, the energy regulated Timbani 1224 01:07:55,320 --> 01:07:59,680 Speaker 2: but cooler Timbani. As Nursey, you've had a bit of 1225 01:07:59,720 --> 01:08:03,520 Speaker 2: a ride. There was a mistake in the tariff application. 1226 01:08:03,680 --> 01:08:06,600 Speaker 2: You apologized in Parliament for that and in other places 1227 01:08:06,640 --> 01:08:10,920 Speaker 2: it was a very difficult time for you. Does nurser 1228 01:08:11,040 --> 01:08:15,840 Speaker 2: have the resources, the people with the qualifications, the facilities 1229 01:08:15,880 --> 01:08:18,200 Speaker 2: and all of that kind of thing that it actually needs. 1230 01:08:18,240 --> 01:08:21,439 Speaker 2: I mean, I know some parts of government, I mean 1231 01:08:21,760 --> 01:08:23,800 Speaker 2: stat says say is a good example, doesn't get the 1232 01:08:23,840 --> 01:08:25,960 Speaker 2: money that it needs, and yet we expect a very 1233 01:08:26,000 --> 01:08:28,880 Speaker 2: high sort of level of work from it. Do you 1234 01:08:28,920 --> 01:08:30,080 Speaker 2: have what you need? 1235 01:08:31,960 --> 01:08:39,000 Speaker 11: NASA has the the stuff and the competencies that are 1236 01:08:39,040 --> 01:08:43,160 Speaker 11: required for what we have. But going forward, as we 1237 01:08:43,200 --> 01:08:46,559 Speaker 11: go into what the market would require, whether we need 1238 01:08:46,600 --> 01:08:49,360 Speaker 11: to understand the day I had into a day and 1239 01:08:49,720 --> 01:08:53,640 Speaker 11: balancing requirements NASA has to create those skills. But I 1240 01:08:53,680 --> 01:08:55,880 Speaker 11: would want to take you back to a time when 1241 01:08:56,439 --> 01:09:01,120 Speaker 11: we had no renewables and NASA was running the refit program. 1242 01:09:01,240 --> 01:09:05,920 Speaker 11: At that stage was there was no association, nobody us 1243 01:09:06,000 --> 01:09:10,760 Speaker 11: match as we now know, and we built that capability 1244 01:09:10,880 --> 01:09:16,000 Speaker 11: from nothing to where it is now. Weld recognized and 1245 01:09:16,720 --> 01:09:26,280 Speaker 11: also really reflected across many areas, our solo, TV, wind 1246 01:09:26,920 --> 01:09:30,960 Speaker 11: and the hydro industries. We also believe that even with 1247 01:09:31,080 --> 01:09:33,120 Speaker 11: the market and what is going to be required for 1248 01:09:33,320 --> 01:09:35,240 Speaker 11: us going forward, we are going to get to that 1249 01:09:35,360 --> 01:09:38,599 Speaker 11: stage by building these resources. At this stage, I think 1250 01:09:38,680 --> 01:09:41,760 Speaker 11: there's no South African entity that can also claim to 1251 01:09:41,960 --> 01:09:45,160 Speaker 11: have all that is required to run the market. We 1252 01:09:45,200 --> 01:09:48,599 Speaker 11: are all going to land, but we have a good 1253 01:09:48,760 --> 01:09:51,800 Speaker 11: history and the good reputation that we've done it with 1254 01:09:51,920 --> 01:09:54,479 Speaker 11: renewables and we'll be able to do it with the market, 1255 01:09:54,560 --> 01:09:57,519 Speaker 11: and we've done it with the nuclear and many other 1256 01:09:57,720 --> 01:10:00,280 Speaker 11: things that had happened in this country before. I am 1257 01:10:00,320 --> 01:10:02,080 Speaker 11: confident that will be able to do this. 1258 01:10:02,680 --> 01:10:04,800 Speaker 2: There are also other countries that have done this. Some 1259 01:10:04,840 --> 01:10:07,240 Speaker 2: of them, I mean I remember the California powered prices. 1260 01:10:07,360 --> 01:10:10,080 Speaker 2: Some of them made huge mistakes and some of them 1261 01:10:10,080 --> 01:10:11,760 Speaker 2: got it right, I mean, are lots of places to 1262 01:10:11,840 --> 01:10:12,400 Speaker 2: learn from. 1263 01:10:13,360 --> 01:10:17,519 Speaker 11: Yes, we have that welfare of mistakes that have been 1264 01:10:17,560 --> 01:10:20,920 Speaker 11: made and the succes successes, but we then have to 1265 01:10:21,640 --> 01:10:25,400 Speaker 11: customize them and make them fit into our own environment. 1266 01:10:25,520 --> 01:10:29,920 Speaker 11: We have the power stations that we have just built 1267 01:10:30,479 --> 01:10:32,559 Speaker 11: and that have to still run, so we may have 1268 01:10:32,680 --> 01:10:38,760 Speaker 11: to have some artificial market running around them. But that's 1269 01:10:38,800 --> 01:10:40,800 Speaker 11: what we have and we are going to make it work. 1270 01:10:40,880 --> 01:10:43,639 Speaker 11: But what must happen at the end of it all 1271 01:10:43,760 --> 01:10:48,640 Speaker 11: is that we must get the lowest possible production of 1272 01:10:49,760 --> 01:10:55,080 Speaker 11: electricity and therefore the lowest costs for the consumers of electricity. 1273 01:10:55,560 --> 01:10:58,120 Speaker 11: If this market and this change is not going to 1274 01:10:58,160 --> 01:11:02,160 Speaker 11: achieve that, then we still have to carry on twacking 1275 01:11:02,240 --> 01:11:05,720 Speaker 11: it till we get to this desired answer of the 1276 01:11:05,760 --> 01:11:07,600 Speaker 11: lowest possible cost of electricity. 1277 01:11:08,800 --> 01:11:11,880 Speaker 2: There's been often, you know, a question has come when 1278 01:11:11,960 --> 01:11:14,479 Speaker 2: would load shedding end? And load shedding has ended and 1279 01:11:14,560 --> 01:11:17,280 Speaker 2: sended some time ago now, and I know people have 1280 01:11:17,360 --> 01:11:21,240 Speaker 2: been very careful to not say it will never happen again, 1281 01:11:21,439 --> 01:11:24,720 Speaker 2: you know, and I understand why, whether it's the electricity 1282 01:11:24,760 --> 01:11:27,479 Speaker 2: minister or escum. Let me put the question to you 1283 01:11:27,520 --> 01:11:30,160 Speaker 2: in this way, is the chair of nurser. Are you 1284 01:11:30,320 --> 01:11:34,160 Speaker 2: comfortable that our electricity network, the whole thing is just 1285 01:11:34,240 --> 01:11:37,519 Speaker 2: a lot more resilient than it was, and is I mean, 1286 01:11:37,560 --> 01:11:40,479 Speaker 2: it would seem to me very unlikely that we would 1287 01:11:40,520 --> 01:11:41,759 Speaker 2: have load shedding again. 1288 01:11:44,200 --> 01:11:46,920 Speaker 11: I have to say that from what I see and 1289 01:11:47,000 --> 01:11:50,840 Speaker 11: the reports that we get provided, I am comfortable that 1290 01:11:51,240 --> 01:11:55,960 Speaker 11: load shedding is behind us. But what we must not 1291 01:11:56,120 --> 01:11:58,680 Speaker 11: do is get to that stage where we relax and 1292 01:11:58,720 --> 01:12:01,640 Speaker 11: we don't do the thing that got us to be 1293 01:12:01,840 --> 01:12:04,400 Speaker 11: into load shedding. We must continue doing the things that 1294 01:12:04,439 --> 01:12:07,240 Speaker 11: got us out of load shedding. And if we continue 1295 01:12:07,240 --> 01:12:10,240 Speaker 11: doing that, then yes, load shedding is behind us. Load 1296 01:12:10,240 --> 01:12:14,519 Speaker 11: shedding will be a very foreign where the two the 1297 01:12:14,600 --> 01:12:15,599 Speaker 11: keys that are growing up? 1298 01:12:15,640 --> 01:12:18,759 Speaker 2: Now, if I made him bunny. Normally, at this point 1299 01:12:18,800 --> 01:12:21,280 Speaker 2: in a shape shift to interview, we ask our guests 1300 01:12:21,280 --> 01:12:24,280 Speaker 2: what they do for fun, what they do to relax. Now, 1301 01:12:24,280 --> 01:12:26,040 Speaker 2: I'm going to ask you, but I must just tell 1302 01:12:26,080 --> 01:12:28,439 Speaker 2: you that it comes to the rule because so many 1303 01:12:28,439 --> 01:12:32,200 Speaker 2: people say, when I have time off, I spend the 1304 01:12:32,240 --> 01:12:34,400 Speaker 2: time with my family and I jog. So you're not 1305 01:12:34,439 --> 01:12:38,080 Speaker 2: allowed to say those two things. I don't know, if 1306 01:12:38,120 --> 01:12:41,080 Speaker 2: maybe you're the captain of your local skydiving team or 1307 01:12:41,160 --> 01:12:43,720 Speaker 2: something like that. What do you do to relax when 1308 01:12:43,720 --> 01:12:44,599 Speaker 2: you get a moment off. 1309 01:12:45,640 --> 01:12:47,840 Speaker 11: I'm not a captain of a skydiving team, but I 1310 01:12:47,880 --> 01:12:52,479 Speaker 11: do go boating. So I relaxed by getting into the 1311 01:12:52,640 --> 01:12:56,679 Speaker 11: Gemston Lake or well dam and just let my boat 1312 01:12:56,960 --> 01:12:59,920 Speaker 11: drift till the silence set. 1313 01:13:00,400 --> 01:13:02,760 Speaker 2: Are you do you mean? You mean yacht under sail 1314 01:13:02,920 --> 01:13:05,040 Speaker 2: or do you mean with an outboard motor or something? 1315 01:13:05,080 --> 01:13:09,120 Speaker 11: I adjust a small boat, not a I said, Jamston Lake. 1316 01:13:09,160 --> 01:13:11,920 Speaker 11: It only takes small boats and not your But. 1317 01:13:12,040 --> 01:13:16,799 Speaker 2: Is it sails? Is it sails or is it a motor? 1318 01:13:17,880 --> 01:13:18,840 Speaker 11: Is a motorizer? 1319 01:13:18,960 --> 01:13:21,640 Speaker 2: Okay? All right, yeah it must And I imagine you 1320 01:13:22,000 --> 01:13:23,439 Speaker 2: do feel that you're getting away from it. 1321 01:13:23,479 --> 01:13:29,759 Speaker 11: All is right in the middle of any nowhere and 1322 01:13:30,280 --> 01:13:33,280 Speaker 11: no load shedding and worries when you're in the middle 1323 01:13:33,320 --> 01:13:33,960 Speaker 11: of the death. 1324 01:13:34,160 --> 01:13:35,680 Speaker 2: And you can throw the phone in the in the 1325 01:13:35,680 --> 01:13:39,160 Speaker 2: water if you need to exact and traveling you go, 1326 01:13:39,360 --> 01:13:41,479 Speaker 2: I mean coffin Babara, I imagine might be a place 1327 01:13:41,520 --> 01:13:43,680 Speaker 2: you go to. Are there any other particular places you 1328 01:13:43,800 --> 01:13:44,320 Speaker 2: like to go to? 1329 01:13:45,880 --> 01:13:48,080 Speaker 11: I do like the places are on the coast, like 1330 01:13:48,160 --> 01:13:51,120 Speaker 11: your capes and Francis is one of my favorite places 1331 01:13:51,280 --> 01:13:51,599 Speaker 11: to be. 1332 01:13:53,720 --> 01:13:55,960 Speaker 2: Well, Timbani Bacola, It's been great to talk to you. 1333 01:13:56,080 --> 01:13:58,080 Speaker 2: Thank you. I ready to appreciate the time as I 1334 01:13:58,120 --> 01:14:00,439 Speaker 2: safe reported on you for many years, so it's great 1335 01:14:00,880 --> 01:14:02,479 Speaker 2: to sort of get a different side of you if 1336 01:14:02,520 --> 01:14:04,800 Speaker 2: you like, and to be our shape shift to the 1337 01:14:04,840 --> 01:14:07,960 Speaker 2: chairman of the National Energy Regulator of South Africa and 1338 01:14:08,040 --> 01:14:10,160 Speaker 2: Bunny but Cooler. So thank you very much indeed for 1339 01:14:10,200 --> 01:14:12,200 Speaker 2: your time on the Money Show tonight. 1340 01:14:14,200 --> 01:14:16,519 Speaker 14: The Money Show was Fever Crouts is brought to you 1341 01:14:16,680 --> 01:14:20,400 Speaker 14: by Apps, a cib proud host of the Africa Impact 1342 01:14:20,439 --> 01:14:25,040 Speaker 14: Matters series podcast, perhaps authorized THESP and registered credit provider. 1343 01:14:26,880 --> 01:14:30,240 Speaker 2: Well US market's turning positive tonight. Interest rate expectations are 1344 01:14:30,280 --> 01:14:32,920 Speaker 2: part of it. I suspect that dal Jones is up 1345 01:14:32,960 --> 01:14:35,679 Speaker 2: point nine percent, the Nasdaq is up point nine to four, 1346 01:14:36,040 --> 01:14:38,719 Speaker 2: the S and P five hundred is up point eight six. 1347 01:14:39,320 --> 01:14:41,000 Speaker 2: Of course, I'm not going to happen over the next 1348 01:14:41,200 --> 01:14:44,000 Speaker 2: twenty four hours, and I've been watching with a lot 1349 01:14:44,040 --> 01:14:47,760 Speaker 2: of interest. The latest claims to come from Vusimuzi kat Matlala. 1350 01:14:48,360 --> 01:14:50,960 Speaker 2: The claim he says that he, you know, gave five 1351 01:14:51,040 --> 01:14:54,240 Speaker 2: hundred thousand ran to Becky clearer the former police minister. 1352 01:14:54,640 --> 01:14:58,559 Speaker 2: I have to keep reminding myself that this is untested evidence. 1353 01:14:58,640 --> 01:15:01,679 Speaker 2: We don't know of any of the is true. There 1354 01:15:01,720 --> 01:15:04,360 Speaker 2: is still so much to come from these inquiries, and 1355 01:15:04,600 --> 01:15:07,160 Speaker 2: have a sneaking suspicion we're still going to be watching 1356 01:15:07,240 --> 01:15:10,080 Speaker 2: them until three years time. Well, we will be with 1357 01:15:10,200 --> 01:15:13,040 Speaker 2: you tomorrow. Aubrey is next. It's eight o'clock