1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:03,560 Speaker 1: The city's weekly water dashboard on Monday. One of the 2 00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:06,920 Speaker 1: things that it does is divide the one hundred percent 3 00:00:06,960 --> 00:00:11,120 Speaker 1: of water which is supplied to residents of Cape Town 4 00:00:11,119 --> 00:00:13,920 Speaker 1: in their homes and in their businesses into that which 5 00:00:13,960 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 1: comes from the six major dams, from the minor dams 6 00:00:17,880 --> 00:00:20,520 Speaker 1: I think there are seven of them, and from groundwater, 7 00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:24,239 Speaker 1: And the most recent figure had ninety six percent of 8 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:27,520 Speaker 1: water supply coming from the big dams, one percent from 9 00:00:27,520 --> 00:00:32,680 Speaker 1: the small dams like Healey Hutchinson, and four percent from groundwater. Now, 10 00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:36,640 Speaker 1: I presume that that is only the ground water which 11 00:00:36,680 --> 00:00:41,000 Speaker 1: is channeled through city pipes into homes. It doesn't include 12 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 1: the groundwater that comes out of the ground on which 13 00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:46,839 Speaker 1: a home has been established and into the sort of 14 00:00:48,479 --> 00:00:52,519 Speaker 1: internal plumbing of that house, as it were. If you 15 00:00:52,600 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 1: were listening to Lester earlier today. This was at around 16 00:00:56,280 --> 00:01:00,320 Speaker 1: twenty twenty five past six. He spoke to doctor systufikil Any, 17 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 1: who's a research at the University of the Western Capes 18 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:09,480 Speaker 1: Department of Earth Science, who said that ground water levels 19 00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 1: are steadily declining. His research tracked water levels between twenty 20 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:18,520 Speaker 1: two thousand and seven and twenty twenty four and showed 21 00:01:18,640 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 1: that around eighty percent of monitored bareholes are experiencing declines 22 00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:25,600 Speaker 1: over that period, in some cases dropping by as much 23 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:30,160 Speaker 1: as seventeen meters. And I want to talk again to 24 00:01:30,360 --> 00:01:34,959 Speaker 1: hydrogeologist doctor Roger Parsons about groundwater, but not about that, 25 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:38,840 Speaker 1: although Roger, good afternoon. I do want to ask you, 26 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:43,600 Speaker 1: first of all, whether your understanding matches that shared by 27 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:45,319 Speaker 1: doctor Figillni earlier today. 28 00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 2: Hi good Afning, John good Alfne into your listens. Yes, 29 00:01:50,560 --> 00:01:53,559 Speaker 2: I was made aware of this research yesterday and I've 30 00:01:53,640 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 2: just got a copy of East Easts today, so i 31 00:01:57,040 --> 00:02:00,720 Speaker 2: haven't read it. It doesn't match my understand so I 32 00:02:00,840 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 2: need to spend a bit of time reading his ceases 33 00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 2: to understand how it gets to his conclusions. 34 00:02:07,920 --> 00:02:12,320 Speaker 1: What is your understanding of the sustainability or the decline 35 00:02:12,480 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 1: or stability or seasonal increases seasonal decreases of the groundwater 36 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:20,640 Speaker 1: resource around Cape Town. 37 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:28,400 Speaker 2: So, John, there's a continual seasonal fluctuation in winter, the 38 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:32,240 Speaker 2: water level rises, the groundwater level rises in response to recharge, 39 00:02:32,280 --> 00:02:35,399 Speaker 2: and then it slowly drops again in some and there's 40 00:02:35,440 --> 00:02:40,000 Speaker 2: this this ongoing cycle, and that's very well established. But 41 00:02:40,160 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 2: from the work that I've been doing in the monitoring 42 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 2: aroun'm doing. I'm not seeing this decline that that there 43 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 2: a search talks about. 44 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:53,160 Speaker 1: Okay, but that would not be you saying there's nothing 45 00:02:53,160 --> 00:02:55,359 Speaker 1: to worry about. Use as much as you can extract. 46 00:02:56,960 --> 00:03:00,679 Speaker 2: No, we never say that. It's even though groundbleed is 47 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:04,760 Speaker 2: a renewable resource, it's got limitations. It has to be 48 00:03:04,880 --> 00:03:09,560 Speaker 2: banished for the If you take out more than is recharged, 49 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 2: you will see a decline. But I don't believe that 50 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 2: the cape less Ecofie is in that condition at the moment. 51 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:20,320 Speaker 1: Okay, Then let's get to what you're saying in a 52 00:03:20,360 --> 00:03:25,360 Speaker 1: recent op ed on The Daily Maverick that you suggest 53 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:28,520 Speaker 1: that there are people going around saying, pay me x 54 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 1: amount for this particular technique or this particular device, and 55 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:38,000 Speaker 1: it will tell you, for the negligible amount of a 56 00:03:38,040 --> 00:03:42,120 Speaker 1: couple of thousand rand, whether you have exploitable groundwater in 57 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:44,440 Speaker 1: the area that you want to turn at least part 58 00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:47,200 Speaker 1: of your ward consumption to groundwater in You're saying. 59 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:53,320 Speaker 2: Beware, that's exactly what I'm saying. So the people running 60 00:03:53,400 --> 00:03:58,120 Speaker 2: around with these instruments called groundwater detectors, and they're doing 61 00:03:58,200 --> 00:04:02,120 Speaker 2: these these servers, and you a few thousand or four thousand, 62 00:04:02,160 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 2: whatever you paid to have then done. And the reason 63 00:04:07,320 --> 00:04:09,320 Speaker 2: I wrote that article is because I've had a whole 64 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:12,240 Speaker 2: lot of reports come across my desk over the last 65 00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:18,800 Speaker 2: couple of months, and there is no geophysical instrument that 66 00:04:19,440 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 2: can find water or can find groundwater. Geophysical instruments help 67 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:28,719 Speaker 2: us understand what's going on below the surface, but they 68 00:04:28,800 --> 00:04:30,600 Speaker 2: don't find They don't find water. 69 00:04:30,720 --> 00:04:36,719 Speaker 3: So Roger, it almost goes without saying that I'm not 70 00:04:36,760 --> 00:04:39,680 Speaker 3: a geophysicist, but you say that these instruments tell you 71 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:42,440 Speaker 3: what's happening under the ground, then surely they can tell 72 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 3: you whether there's water moving under the ground or not. 73 00:04:46,279 --> 00:04:49,839 Speaker 2: No, they can't. So there are these are things like 74 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:54,640 Speaker 2: the resistivity of the rock or the magnetic signature of 75 00:04:54,680 --> 00:04:57,400 Speaker 2: the rock, but they and from that we try and 76 00:04:57,560 --> 00:05:01,479 Speaker 2: understand what the geology is like in the subsurface. But 77 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:02,760 Speaker 2: they don't find water. 78 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:09,120 Speaker 1: They don't hint at a water signature. They are completely 79 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:12,880 Speaker 1: agnostic on the question of the presence or absence of 80 00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:14,040 Speaker 1: exploitable groundwater. 81 00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:16,680 Speaker 2: That is absolutely correct. 82 00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:23,360 Speaker 1: And yet because people don't want the expense of getting 83 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:26,520 Speaker 1: a drilling operation, don't want to pay for a drilling operation, 84 00:05:26,920 --> 00:05:29,760 Speaker 1: would that be the only sure way of finding art 85 00:05:29,920 --> 00:05:34,240 Speaker 1: is to have a considerably more expensive drilling operation done. 86 00:05:34,520 --> 00:05:37,120 Speaker 2: Yes, so the only way you can ever be sure 87 00:05:37,160 --> 00:05:41,560 Speaker 2: is by doing the dream. But we use geophysics in 88 00:05:41,640 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 2: our work to to understand or try and work out 89 00:05:45,680 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 2: what's happening in the subsurface, and then from that we 90 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:52,479 Speaker 2: can deduce whether the chances of finding groundwater are good 91 00:05:53,600 --> 00:05:56,560 Speaker 2: or not so good. So it's just a tool that 92 00:05:56,680 --> 00:05:59,760 Speaker 2: we have available to us to help us do our job. 93 00:06:01,200 --> 00:06:03,839 Speaker 2: And we would do the gear physics and then calibrated 94 00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:05,520 Speaker 2: with the dream. 95 00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:10,159 Speaker 1: And is there any evidence I mean that the market 96 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:13,839 Speaker 1: has been flooded unintentional and not very good pun but 97 00:06:14,120 --> 00:06:16,839 Speaker 1: is there an indication that these devices are being sort 98 00:06:16,839 --> 00:06:22,000 Speaker 1: of fairly aggressively marketed on I don't know, scool TMU 99 00:06:22,120 --> 00:06:26,120 Speaker 1: type websites. Buy this and for one eight hundred rund 100 00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:29,640 Speaker 1: you will know whether you have groundwater kind of marketing. 101 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:35,760 Speaker 2: So from what I understand, you can buy these instruments 102 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:39,839 Speaker 2: of the internet quite easily and quite cheaply. And then 103 00:06:40,240 --> 00:06:44,200 Speaker 2: what's happening is people who aren't skilled in hydrogeology or 104 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:47,680 Speaker 2: geophysics are then using them and doing these service and 105 00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:51,719 Speaker 2: providing a service which they're really aren't qualified to do 106 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:53,800 Speaker 2: and which they are not doing. 107 00:06:56,240 --> 00:06:59,240 Speaker 1: I suspect that one of the counters to that, and 108 00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:01,480 Speaker 1: it's certainly not a counter I would make, is that 109 00:07:01,520 --> 00:07:05,320 Speaker 1: you're just trying to protect your income. You saying only 110 00:07:05,560 --> 00:07:09,760 Speaker 1: I can do it, They with that much cheaper approach can't. 111 00:07:10,120 --> 00:07:12,640 Speaker 1: So don't go with them. You're protecting your turf. 112 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:20,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's that's a v the argument. But we are scientists, 113 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:24,480 Speaker 2: and we we trained in these in these things, and 114 00:07:25,240 --> 00:07:29,000 Speaker 2: we gain experience in them, whereas this is a new 115 00:07:29,080 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 2: machine that's come out the reality of physicists. Those my 116 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:40,480 Speaker 2: colleagues at at VITS and at the Free State University 117 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:45,280 Speaker 2: are challenging the v basis of what these machines are, 118 00:07:45,720 --> 00:07:49,880 Speaker 2: are made and how they operate. So, you know, our 119 00:07:49,920 --> 00:07:54,400 Speaker 2: business has forever being at odds with water diviners. Ones 120 00:07:54,440 --> 00:08:01,400 Speaker 2: a scientific approach, one's a belief system. I suppose, uh all, 121 00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:04,120 Speaker 2: I'm all I'm saying, is is you going to go 122 00:08:04,160 --> 00:08:07,160 Speaker 2: down this go down with your with your eyes open, 123 00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:13,120 Speaker 2: do your ute diligence, chick the service, check the people 124 00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:16,440 Speaker 2: that are giving the service, and then spend your money 125 00:08:16,440 --> 00:08:16,920 Speaker 2: as you will. 126 00:08:17,840 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 1: I think it was as we were getting to the 127 00:08:20,080 --> 00:08:23,040 Speaker 1: worst of the day, Zero Roger that I spoke to 128 00:08:23,240 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 1: a water diviner on the radio, and I and I 129 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:28,640 Speaker 1: was skeptical, and I remain skeptical of people who use, 130 00:08:29,120 --> 00:08:31,880 Speaker 1: you know, sort of catapult shaped bits of wood or 131 00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 1: metal or whatever the case may be, darling rods and 132 00:08:34,280 --> 00:08:36,760 Speaker 1: so on. And I was amazed at the number of 133 00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:40,600 Speaker 1: people who had grown up on farms, or had family 134 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 1: with farms, or in some way connected to agricultural space 135 00:08:45,480 --> 00:08:49,480 Speaker 1: where water is needed, who told me with absolute conviction 136 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:52,720 Speaker 1: that yes, there are some snake oil salesmen when it 137 00:08:52,760 --> 00:08:55,640 Speaker 1: comes to water divination, but there are people who have 138 00:08:56,200 --> 00:08:57,880 Speaker 1: the gift. 139 00:09:00,320 --> 00:09:03,000 Speaker 2: You know. I used to get into a whole lot 140 00:09:03,000 --> 00:09:05,840 Speaker 2: of trouble when I was younger to try and debate 141 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:08,600 Speaker 2: these things. The only thing that I can tell you is, 142 00:09:08,600 --> 00:09:14,080 Speaker 2: whenever they've been tested in a scientific way, there's never 143 00:09:14,120 --> 00:09:18,760 Speaker 2: been any proof that it works. There's no scientific basis 144 00:09:18,800 --> 00:09:23,080 Speaker 2: for what they're doing. So I've got just stage in 145 00:09:23,120 --> 00:09:27,079 Speaker 2: my career now that I don't have these debates. If 146 00:09:27,280 --> 00:09:29,640 Speaker 2: whenever I'm at a dinner party and somebody asks me, 147 00:09:29,840 --> 00:09:32,560 Speaker 2: you know, Roger, what are you doing, it goes down 148 00:09:32,600 --> 00:09:35,680 Speaker 2: the route of the water Diviner, and I just I've 149 00:09:35,760 --> 00:09:37,680 Speaker 2: learned to quietly extract myself. 150 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:41,959 Speaker 1: Okay, well, let's allow you to quietly extract yourself from 151 00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:45,559 Speaker 1: this discussion. Doctor Roger Parsisons on the line to us 152 00:09:45,679 --> 00:09:50,240 Speaker 1: from Betty's Bay, and he is a professional hydrogeologist,