1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:04,480 Speaker 1: For the money show for the market. Marcoufo is a 2 00:00:04,559 --> 00:00:08,639 Speaker 1: lead specialist for investment in trading sales at Absolute cib MARCO. 3 00:00:08,680 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: Good evening, Thanks so much for coming in. Okay, obviously, 4 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:14,720 Speaker 1: markets kind of don't know what they what's going to happen. 5 00:00:15,040 --> 00:00:17,759 Speaker 1: Oil is sort of hovering. One hundred and ten dollars 6 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:21,239 Speaker 1: a barrel would have been much higher. I suspect if 7 00:00:21,239 --> 00:00:23,599 Speaker 1: people were taking Trump as seriously as he believes he 8 00:00:23,640 --> 00:00:24,599 Speaker 1: should be taken. 9 00:00:24,840 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 2: Absolutely steven, another deadline, another standoff. You know, I think 10 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:30,680 Speaker 2: our equity's probably showed a little bit more than the 11 00:00:30,680 --> 00:00:33,400 Speaker 2: oil market today. We saw Satle up nearly nine percent, 12 00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:35,879 Speaker 2: you know, really pushing into the clothes. And the other 13 00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:39,199 Speaker 2: ones that really led today were defenses, British American tobacco 14 00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:41,040 Speaker 2: and How's a bush. You know, these are stocks that 15 00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 2: tend to do well in all sorts of environments, you know, 16 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:46,520 Speaker 2: today up seventy five and fifty bases points. We saw 17 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 2: some of our more cyclical stocks someone's more exposed to 18 00:00:49,159 --> 00:00:51,880 Speaker 2: risk quite down quite badly on the day. In Parlor 19 00:00:51,960 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 2: down five percent, Goldfield's down about four. I think for me, 20 00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 2: the interesting point on the oil trade is that we 21 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:01,000 Speaker 2: see WTI up three and a half percent, first Print 22 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 2: only up fifty and that's been the trend over the 23 00:01:03,240 --> 00:01:06,200 Speaker 2: last two weeks. So despite Trump telling you know, a 24 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:08,040 Speaker 2: lot of the Western world to go get your own oil, 25 00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 2: what's actually being affected is the oil coming out of 26 00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:12,119 Speaker 2: the US and that the US users. 27 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:14,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, it's going to be so interesting to 28 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:16,039 Speaker 1: see what happens. And also it'll probably be a few 29 00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 1: hours after Trump's latest deadline to kind of work out 30 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:24,520 Speaker 1: what exactly is going on. First Rand pulling out of 31 00:01:24,560 --> 00:01:28,840 Speaker 1: the UK. So they own Eldermore Bank. They're pulling out. 32 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:32,040 Speaker 1: This is because of a latest ruling by the regulator 33 00:01:32,040 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 1: I think is also called the Financial Conduct Authority there 34 00:01:34,680 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 1: and this is about a calmest selling issue. But this 35 00:01:37,840 --> 00:01:40,679 Speaker 1: line from their sense statement stood out for me. The 36 00:01:40,800 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 1: UK as a consumer finance jurisdiction will not deliver the 37 00:01:44,200 --> 00:01:48,360 Speaker 1: returns the group requires. I mean, I've seen one or 38 00:01:48,400 --> 00:01:51,600 Speaker 1: two bitter statements in my time, but they are furious 39 00:01:51,640 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 1: with the latest ruling. 40 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 2: Absolutely steven. I mean, if you look at it, they 41 00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:57,720 Speaker 2: even talk about reserving their legal rights. I wouldn't be 42 00:01:57,800 --> 00:02:00,320 Speaker 2: unsurprised if we see the banks in the UK try 43 00:02:00,320 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 2: and challenge this ruling again. You know, they're saying it's 44 00:02:02,760 --> 00:02:04,880 Speaker 2: really not in line with what the Supreme Court found 45 00:02:04,880 --> 00:02:08,360 Speaker 2: to be correct in the justification there. But you know, 46 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:11,919 Speaker 2: taking another five hundred and ten million pounds, I mean 47 00:02:11,919 --> 00:02:15,040 Speaker 2: that's nearly twelve billion round. We're talking that the total 48 00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:18,600 Speaker 2: provision up to seventeen point seven billion Rand. Yet the 49 00:02:18,600 --> 00:02:20,959 Speaker 2: Stockton react today. I think a lot of South African 50 00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:23,959 Speaker 2: investors happy that it's behind us. I think people will 51 00:02:24,040 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 2: expecting them to recycle capital from the UK into the continent, 52 00:02:27,080 --> 00:02:29,519 Speaker 2: which is probably the right thing to do, you know, 53 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:32,519 Speaker 2: so very interesting. What the other thing I found amazing 54 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:35,679 Speaker 2: is that they spoke about looking to dispose of oldermore 55 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:37,959 Speaker 2: and they're you know, do it in a responsible way. 56 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:41,679 Speaker 2: They didn't speak about the motor finance business, so potentially 57 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 2: they could just walk away from that business after the fine. 58 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:46,800 Speaker 2: So interesting to see what happens over the next coming 59 00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:47,520 Speaker 2: weeks and months. 60 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:50,720 Speaker 1: Marco, thanks so much. Marco Southio is the lead Specialist 61 00:02:50,720 --> 00:02:52,959 Speaker 1: for Investments in Trading Sales at Absence cib