1 00:00:01,200 --> 00:00:04,519 Speaker 1: Seven two weekend breakfast Motoring. 2 00:00:04,920 --> 00:00:09,280 Speaker 2: Let's see eleven minutes after seven o'clock timepus to talk motoring, 3 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:13,320 Speaker 2: and of course the big motoring story is the fuel 4 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:16,680 Speaker 2: price hike, and not just that, but what's going to 5 00:00:16,720 --> 00:00:21,480 Speaker 2: be the impact on the cost of transporting goods but 6 00:00:21,520 --> 00:00:26,640 Speaker 2: also the cost of transporting people public transport. So if 7 00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:29,880 Speaker 2: you know people in the transport sector are paying more 8 00:00:29,960 --> 00:00:32,040 Speaker 2: to do business, they're going to have to try and 9 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:34,960 Speaker 2: recoup that cost. And so it is expected that there 10 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:40,280 Speaker 2: will be significant public transport fair price increases over the 11 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 2: next couple of weeks. And maybe you're someone that uses 12 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:46,880 Speaker 2: public transport, have you been made away? Has there already 13 00:00:46,920 --> 00:00:51,959 Speaker 2: been an increase? I know there was an association in 14 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:56,639 Speaker 2: seven No two Land, the Joburghforce Law Taxi Association. They 15 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:59,760 Speaker 2: confirmed that they will be increasing their prices just after 16 00:00:59,800 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 2: one April. They just had a new increase fair in March, 17 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:09,120 Speaker 2: and so they're talking about potentially another one after the 18 00:01:09,160 --> 00:01:12,480 Speaker 2: first of April. And so it is expected that consumers 19 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 2: are going to pay a little bit more for transport. 20 00:01:16,160 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 2: So if you're someone who uses public transport, let us 21 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 2: know what that impact has been of the higher fuel 22 00:01:22,480 --> 00:01:24,600 Speaker 2: price and O double one et eight three or seven 23 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:27,520 Speaker 2: no tube. Send us a WhatsApp message on seventy two 24 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:30,000 Speaker 2: seven two one seven O tune. Joining us on the 25 00:01:30,040 --> 00:01:33,520 Speaker 2: line is our resident motime enthusiast, Warren Tucker. Warrent is 26 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 2: always great to have you on the show. 27 00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:39,679 Speaker 3: Good morning, and how are you doing. I'm all thank you, Warren? 28 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:40,160 Speaker 3: How are you? 29 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:43,600 Speaker 1: Did you get your Christian roles this weekend? 30 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 2: My? 31 00:01:44,319 --> 00:01:47,640 Speaker 1: What your Christian roles? Hot cross bunds? 32 00:01:47,920 --> 00:01:50,160 Speaker 3: I eat hot cross bands all year round. 33 00:01:50,440 --> 00:01:52,520 Speaker 2: They were like one of my favorite things, and I 34 00:01:52,600 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 2: was so glad it was a couple of years now 35 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:59,800 Speaker 2: where supermarkets stopped only selling them in April and you 36 00:01:59,840 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 2: can get them all your us. My face is always 37 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:04,680 Speaker 2: in a hard cust fun but I will need a 38 00:02:04,680 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 2: few more extra this weekend. 39 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:09,800 Speaker 3: That feels correct, definitely. 40 00:02:10,000 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 1: So South Africa, the picture that we've currently got at 41 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:18,520 Speaker 1: the moment seems bleak. We've got fuel increases coming, We've 42 00:02:18,600 --> 00:02:21,960 Speaker 1: got an electricity high coming, so it seems quite pleaque 43 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:26,200 Speaker 1: for everybody out there. And you know, government could have 44 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:29,280 Speaker 1: mitigated a lot of these things by keeping systems that 45 00:02:29,360 --> 00:02:33,240 Speaker 1: were running upgrading them, keeping them going. I mean, if 46 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:36,360 Speaker 1: you've got your own refining capacity. You can cushion the 47 00:02:36,360 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 1: blow to consumers in terms of how you can refine 48 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 1: your fuel. Obviously, if you stockpile your fuel, you are 49 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:47,359 Speaker 1: able to then sort of you know, manage your costs 50 00:02:47,400 --> 00:02:50,800 Speaker 1: that you would pass on if you also controlled to 51 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 1: a large extent the public transport sector. If you are 52 00:02:55,480 --> 00:02:58,520 Speaker 1: producing a fuel, you can obviously pass that fuel on 53 00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:02,560 Speaker 1: at a discount to keep down to obviously mitigate the 54 00:03:02,560 --> 00:03:05,679 Speaker 1: fact that people will then dig deeper in their pockets 55 00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:09,160 Speaker 1: to get to work or to get to school, that 56 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:11,760 Speaker 1: sort of thing. So there's a myriad of options that 57 00:03:11,880 --> 00:03:18,480 Speaker 1: government had, but unfortunately they've let all these systems you know, disappear, 58 00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 1: need upgrade, not put the money in, and now unfortunately, 59 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:25,680 Speaker 1: you know, we're sitting with a problem where the chickens 60 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 1: have come home to roost. Yeah. 61 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:30,799 Speaker 2: I was reading a report by JP Morgan this week 62 00:03:30,840 --> 00:03:33,520 Speaker 2: where they kind of try map how the world is 63 00:03:33,560 --> 00:03:36,040 Speaker 2: going to run out of fuel as the crisis in 64 00:03:36,080 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 2: the Middle East continues, and they said the world is 65 00:03:39,120 --> 00:03:40,760 Speaker 2: going to run out of fuel in phases. 66 00:03:40,840 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 3: So first we'll be Asia. 67 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:45,000 Speaker 2: Asia gets their fuel first from the Middle East, and 68 00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:49,080 Speaker 2: already we're seeing that impact South Korea. The president was 69 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:54,240 Speaker 2: in parliament on Thursday begging citizens to save as much 70 00:03:54,280 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 2: fuel as possible. They're also talking about potentially having a 71 00:03:58,120 --> 00:04:01,880 Speaker 2: nationwide driving curb. People don't drive as much, so we're 72 00:04:01,880 --> 00:04:05,400 Speaker 2: already seeing that impact, and those numbers are lower in Asia. 73 00:04:05,560 --> 00:04:08,600 Speaker 2: Next on the list is US. Africa is meant to 74 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:12,760 Speaker 2: feel that pinch in early April, which means right about 75 00:04:12,840 --> 00:04:16,160 Speaker 2: now we should be seeing that pinch if nothing changes, 76 00:04:16,839 --> 00:04:19,920 Speaker 2: and then Europe is next in early in mid April. 77 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:22,440 Speaker 2: And then last on the list is the US, which 78 00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 2: is funny because we are all here because of the US, 79 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:28,640 Speaker 2: but they will feel the pinch. Last somewhere like Egypt 80 00:04:28,960 --> 00:04:33,479 Speaker 2: is already worrying about their fuel stocks. So that prediction 81 00:04:33,520 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 2: by JP Morgan kind of looking like it's playing out 82 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:39,400 Speaker 2: as they said it would, and so it is out 83 00:04:39,480 --> 00:04:40,039 Speaker 2: and out. 84 00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:41,359 Speaker 3: To deal with those lower fuel stocks. 85 00:04:41,440 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 2: Not only is it more expensive to buy fuel, there's 86 00:04:44,640 --> 00:04:48,040 Speaker 2: also potentially going to be less fuel to buy, which 87 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 2: seems to be the perfect storm. 88 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:53,880 Speaker 3: It is the perfect crisis that we're finding ourselves. 89 00:04:53,440 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 1: In, definitely, So unfortunately it's the way JOG organized just 90 00:05:00,480 --> 00:05:02,160 Speaker 1: all of that, how the world's going to run out 91 00:05:02,160 --> 00:05:05,359 Speaker 1: of fueling phases. You know, you've got the ministers in 92 00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:08,920 Speaker 1: South Africa coming on radio and all the platforms and 93 00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:11,799 Speaker 1: saying listen, you know we buy all our crude oil 94 00:05:11,880 --> 00:05:16,640 Speaker 1: from Nigeria and therefore we buy from a lot of 95 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:19,800 Speaker 1: African countries. We only get about eighteen percent of our 96 00:05:19,839 --> 00:05:23,240 Speaker 1: fuel from the Middle East, so you know we should 97 00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:27,240 Speaker 1: be safe. Here's the thing, because we've got diminished defining 98 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:30,200 Speaker 1: capacity in South Africa, right, we need to buy a 99 00:05:30,200 --> 00:05:34,039 Speaker 1: lot more finished product on the open market. Now, you 100 00:05:34,200 --> 00:05:38,679 Speaker 1: then sit through the situation where you are purchasing fuel, right, 101 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 1: and so is everybody else trying to purchase finished product. 102 00:05:42,360 --> 00:05:45,440 Speaker 1: So then you get into bidding wars to buy product. 103 00:05:45,520 --> 00:05:48,960 Speaker 1: All a TELSA is we normally give you a billion 104 00:05:49,000 --> 00:05:51,440 Speaker 1: litas a month, for example, we can only give you 105 00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:54,960 Speaker 1: five hundred million literas from now on, and it's at 106 00:05:55,000 --> 00:06:00,400 Speaker 1: this price. And because you've got no capacity of your own, right, 107 00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:05,560 Speaker 1: you are then put at the mercy of those trade wins, 108 00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 1: and you're going to have to pay whatever it is 109 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:10,080 Speaker 1: that you need to pay. If you look at South 110 00:06:10,080 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 1: Africa as a whole with all this price calgean with 111 00:06:12,600 --> 00:06:16,080 Speaker 1: the diesel prices, I mean some falling stations because diesel's 112 00:06:16,160 --> 00:06:20,039 Speaker 1: not regulated. They've come out and said, well, this is 113 00:06:20,080 --> 00:06:22,479 Speaker 1: the increase for the diesel, but they haven't fixed the 114 00:06:22,480 --> 00:06:25,480 Speaker 1: diesel price for this period, which is something I would 115 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:27,720 Speaker 1: have thought they would have done, in the sense that 116 00:06:27,839 --> 00:06:29,640 Speaker 1: they come out in the market and said, look for 117 00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:31,960 Speaker 1: the next three months and all this crisis is over. 118 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:35,039 Speaker 1: Diesel is fixed at this price. You're not allowed to 119 00:06:35,080 --> 00:06:37,640 Speaker 1: sell it for more than this, which would have stopped 120 00:06:37,640 --> 00:06:40,200 Speaker 1: the price calgeen that we currently have. I mean, I've 121 00:06:40,240 --> 00:06:42,719 Speaker 1: seen some full in stations as high as fifty two 122 00:06:42,760 --> 00:06:46,560 Speaker 1: ran a leter for diesel. Okay, some of them still 123 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:50,200 Speaker 1: want to keep their clients. They are twenty eighth rand 124 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:53,800 Speaker 1: or twenty nine rand. I mean, you've got to also 125 00:06:53,839 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 1: look at it this way. Everything transported in South Africa 126 00:06:57,800 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 1: is transported by most Most of all the goods are 127 00:07:01,640 --> 00:07:07,200 Speaker 1: transported by cluck. Your food, your minerals, your fuel, it's 128 00:07:07,279 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 1: all transported by cruck. Trucks run on diesel, right, and 129 00:07:11,560 --> 00:07:15,160 Speaker 1: those diesel costs increase when the diesel price goes up, 130 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:19,200 Speaker 1: it increases your food price. And everything that's moved, everything 131 00:07:19,280 --> 00:07:22,600 Speaker 1: that comes into porting Dubin is brought into South Africa, 132 00:07:22,720 --> 00:07:27,960 Speaker 1: fire truck containers bring them up. So government needs to 133 00:07:28,000 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 1: look a lot closer at how they manage the the 134 00:07:31,400 --> 00:07:36,600 Speaker 1: diesel side of things to obviously keep the because once 135 00:07:36,680 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 1: food costs go up, as we know in South Africa, 136 00:07:38,920 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 1: they never come down. 137 00:07:40,440 --> 00:07:40,720 Speaker 4: Yeah. 138 00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:43,440 Speaker 1: Even when the fuel price drops, they never come down. 139 00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:44,600 Speaker 3: Yeah. 140 00:07:44,640 --> 00:07:46,840 Speaker 2: And so then I guess we find ourselves in a 141 00:07:46,840 --> 00:07:50,400 Speaker 2: position where we're going to have a number of direct increases. 142 00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:54,119 Speaker 2: So the fuel increasing is a direct increase, the cost 143 00:07:54,120 --> 00:07:57,880 Speaker 2: of paraffin going up, a direct increase. Electricity is up 144 00:07:57,880 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 2: this month are just over eight percent. That's a direct increase. 145 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:04,000 Speaker 2: And then as a result of those increases that we've 146 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:06,920 Speaker 2: already kind of I guess absorbed, they're going to be 147 00:08:06,960 --> 00:08:09,920 Speaker 2: a number of other increases that are going to follow, 148 00:08:09,960 --> 00:08:12,240 Speaker 2: so the cost of transport, the cost of food. I 149 00:08:12,280 --> 00:08:15,480 Speaker 2: got an email from my security company saying because they 150 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:18,080 Speaker 2: have all of these vehicles that patrol the area, saying, 151 00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:20,320 Speaker 2: because of the increase in fuel, they now need to 152 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:23,440 Speaker 2: add I think a twenty one rand fuel levy to 153 00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:26,960 Speaker 2: try and offset the cost. So even something like security, 154 00:08:27,080 --> 00:08:30,240 Speaker 2: which honestly I didn't anticipate that, but my private security 155 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 2: is one of the costs that's now gone up as 156 00:08:32,640 --> 00:08:34,520 Speaker 2: a result of the other three costs or the other 157 00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 2: two costs, So they're going to be at minimum, we're 158 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:41,319 Speaker 2: going to see about three, maybe four, maybe five perhaps 159 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 2: more in terms of increases just from the disruption in 160 00:08:46,160 --> 00:08:47,440 Speaker 2: the global fuel supply. 161 00:08:48,720 --> 00:08:53,240 Speaker 1: Yes, definitely. And like you just mentioned there, so you 162 00:08:53,280 --> 00:08:57,120 Speaker 1: didn't think that your security company would pass on the 163 00:08:57,160 --> 00:09:02,360 Speaker 1: cost onto you. But security is being privatized in South Africa, 164 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:06,680 Speaker 1: just like everything else. So there's a situation there where 165 00:09:07,040 --> 00:09:10,160 Speaker 1: the security company saying, look, we've got to now play 166 00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:13,440 Speaker 1: the increasing fuel. Therefore I've got to pass that price 167 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:16,720 Speaker 1: onto you to keep you secure. Okay, Now, if we 168 00:09:16,840 --> 00:09:20,400 Speaker 1: had an effective police seating system, you wouldn't have a 169 00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 1: situation where you needed private security because the police did 170 00:09:23,400 --> 00:09:26,880 Speaker 1: their job and the police they've Vehkova. The fuel is 171 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:32,040 Speaker 1: subsidized by government. So again you have a situation where 172 00:09:32,080 --> 00:09:36,840 Speaker 1: because there's one department that's ineffective, it's got to knockt 173 00:09:36,840 --> 00:09:40,760 Speaker 1: effect right on the line. If you take the transport industry, 174 00:09:41,080 --> 00:09:46,400 Speaker 1: you've got buses, we used to have buses, trains, and 175 00:09:46,440 --> 00:09:48,920 Speaker 1: your taxis and you could decide whether you want to 176 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:51,040 Speaker 1: use a taxi, a train or a bus to get 177 00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:54,120 Speaker 1: to work. Right now, you've got a situation where the 178 00:09:54,160 --> 00:09:56,840 Speaker 1: training system is not where it used to be. Right, 179 00:09:57,320 --> 00:10:00,760 Speaker 1: the buses are not subsidized as much as they were, 180 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:03,720 Speaker 1: So you now need to make a decision of can't 181 00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:05,480 Speaker 1: you use it to hind to get where I'm going. 182 00:10:05,679 --> 00:10:08,200 Speaker 1: I've got the taxis and the buses. This bus might 183 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:10,760 Speaker 1: not be going on a route I can I need, 184 00:10:11,000 --> 00:10:13,480 Speaker 1: so there if I'm going to go to the taxis. 185 00:10:13,760 --> 00:10:17,439 Speaker 1: The taxi associations are not subsidized by government. They've got 186 00:10:17,480 --> 00:10:20,000 Speaker 1: a direct impact. When the fuel goes up, they pay 187 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:23,600 Speaker 1: more for fuel immediately. Therefore they passed that on to you. 188 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:27,920 Speaker 1: So we sit in this in a country where because 189 00:10:28,040 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 1: government doesn't own a lot of these services that they provide, 190 00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:38,960 Speaker 1: and these services are privatized, they can't dictate pricing, they 191 00:10:39,000 --> 00:10:42,240 Speaker 1: can't cushion, they can't do anything. Unfortunately, it is what 192 00:10:42,360 --> 00:10:45,080 Speaker 1: it is. This is the new price for the fuel, 193 00:10:45,360 --> 00:10:46,960 Speaker 1: and we've got to go that way. 194 00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:50,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, there was a cover story by the sawat and 195 00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:51,560 Speaker 2: Ela on this week I think it may have been 196 00:10:51,840 --> 00:10:54,560 Speaker 2: Wednesday or Thursday, where they were talking about now that 197 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:57,080 Speaker 2: the fuel prices up, taxis are likely to go up, 198 00:10:57,480 --> 00:11:00,200 Speaker 2: and they were saying that there's an association and how 199 00:11:00,520 --> 00:11:04,360 Speaker 2: that's already increased their phase by five rand, and then 200 00:11:04,400 --> 00:11:08,240 Speaker 2: another increase is expected after the initial after the announcement 201 00:11:08,280 --> 00:11:11,320 Speaker 2: of the new field prices, which I mean is going 202 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:14,880 Speaker 2: to be absolutely devastating. We know that some people, particularly 203 00:11:14,880 --> 00:11:17,920 Speaker 2: people who are working poor, spend up to seventy percent 204 00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:21,359 Speaker 2: of their income and transport already. And so if transports, 205 00:11:21,640 --> 00:11:25,000 Speaker 2: the cost of commuting is going up, that means you 206 00:11:25,040 --> 00:11:27,720 Speaker 2: are then spending what little money you have, You're spending 207 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:29,000 Speaker 2: even more on transport. 208 00:11:29,400 --> 00:11:32,120 Speaker 3: There's less for food, but then food is also going up. 209 00:11:32,520 --> 00:11:36,640 Speaker 2: It is catastrophic the thing that's about to happen, particularly 210 00:11:36,720 --> 00:11:39,480 Speaker 2: to push South Africans who just simply do not have 211 00:11:39,920 --> 00:11:40,400 Speaker 2: the cushion. 212 00:11:40,400 --> 00:11:41,400 Speaker 3: The cushion doesn't exist. 213 00:11:41,440 --> 00:11:45,600 Speaker 2: There isn't that buffer between them and these increases. 214 00:11:47,480 --> 00:11:50,960 Speaker 1: Yes, so you see, there's got to be some learning 215 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:53,520 Speaker 1: that comes out of all of this, all right, And 216 00:11:55,000 --> 00:11:58,280 Speaker 1: one thing that I think the ministers and the president 217 00:11:58,360 --> 00:12:01,120 Speaker 1: who just think along and hard about is South Africa 218 00:12:01,160 --> 00:12:04,000 Speaker 1: as a country needs to be self sufficient in the 219 00:12:04,080 --> 00:12:07,400 Speaker 1: sense that there are certain things government needs to own 220 00:12:07,440 --> 00:12:11,320 Speaker 1: and run, and that's to keep stuff like this from 221 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:15,360 Speaker 1: happening where when there's a where somebody sneezes on the 222 00:12:15,360 --> 00:12:17,760 Speaker 1: other side of the world, South Africa catches the wind 223 00:12:18,280 --> 00:12:22,160 Speaker 1: right refining capacity, we need to start refining our own 224 00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:25,840 Speaker 1: product again and stop relying on buying finished product in 225 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:28,800 Speaker 1: the market. If we are refining our own product, we 226 00:12:28,880 --> 00:12:32,000 Speaker 1: can manage those costs and we can buffer the costs 227 00:12:32,000 --> 00:12:34,560 Speaker 1: coming to the consumer. The other thing is you have 228 00:12:34,600 --> 00:12:38,160 Speaker 1: to have alternatives in the market for transport. People need 229 00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:42,800 Speaker 1: to be able to have a working, clean, reliable bus service, 230 00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:48,640 Speaker 1: working clean, reliable train service, working clean, reliable taxi service right, 231 00:12:49,040 --> 00:12:52,239 Speaker 1: And for a long time government was talking about subsidizing 232 00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:56,760 Speaker 1: the taxi services. None of that came to pruision. So 233 00:12:57,280 --> 00:13:00,680 Speaker 1: it's time to either you know, to money where your 234 00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:03,760 Speaker 1: mouth is and get on with the business of the day, right, 235 00:13:04,360 --> 00:13:06,800 Speaker 1: or power out and let somebody else come in there 236 00:13:06,840 --> 00:13:08,520 Speaker 1: and say, look, we're going to sort this out and 237 00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:12,520 Speaker 1: carry on from there. Privatizing everything's not always the answer. 238 00:13:13,040 --> 00:13:17,319 Speaker 1: So in a situation here, South Africa has enough refining capacity. 239 00:13:17,400 --> 00:13:19,440 Speaker 1: We used to refine up to ninety percent of our 240 00:13:19,440 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 1: own product within the borders of South Africa. After that 241 00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:28,640 Speaker 1: massive storm and flood in Durban, the engine refinery got 242 00:13:28,720 --> 00:13:31,920 Speaker 1: damaged that needs to be repaired. Get up and running 243 00:13:31,920 --> 00:13:35,240 Speaker 1: and up to speed as soon as possible, because if 244 00:13:35,280 --> 00:13:38,120 Speaker 1: this war continues in Iran, we need to then be 245 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:41,440 Speaker 1: able to provide for ourselves. So all these things have 246 00:13:41,480 --> 00:13:43,680 Speaker 1: a knock on effect. As you say, to come to 247 00:13:43,760 --> 00:13:47,720 Speaker 1: your point with regards to the taxi fares then going 248 00:13:47,840 --> 00:13:51,160 Speaker 1: up and people spinning up to seventy percent of their 249 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:56,600 Speaker 1: salary on transport, remember that if somebody is, for example, 250 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:02,960 Speaker 1: going and doing your lower end jobs where you know 251 00:14:03,040 --> 00:14:05,760 Speaker 1: a company is paying your minimum wage, they're not going 252 00:14:05,840 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 1: to increase your wage because the taxi fares went up, 253 00:14:09,800 --> 00:14:12,400 Speaker 1: so you're just getting poorer and porter and porter all 254 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:15,040 Speaker 1: the way down the line. If you've got a domestic 255 00:14:15,080 --> 00:14:19,920 Speaker 1: worker that needs to travel from using a taxi, they 256 00:14:20,120 --> 00:14:23,000 Speaker 1: also now are there that seventy percent is going to 257 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:26,680 Speaker 1: turn maybe into eighty percent, and the person they're working 258 00:14:26,680 --> 00:14:28,840 Speaker 1: for might not be in a position to increase their 259 00:14:28,880 --> 00:14:31,440 Speaker 1: salary because they've got to pay for the new fuel. 260 00:14:31,720 --> 00:14:37,320 Speaker 1: They've got to pay your new electricity price hikes, food's 261 00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:40,360 Speaker 1: obviously gone up, they've got now paying more for their 262 00:14:40,400 --> 00:14:44,240 Speaker 1: private home security. So all that now says, okay, but 263 00:14:44,360 --> 00:14:46,960 Speaker 1: how do I give my domestic worker and increase just 264 00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:53,040 Speaker 1: to cover the transport costs here? So to your point, 265 00:14:53,560 --> 00:14:56,640 Speaker 1: you know, we've got to look at this situation differently. 266 00:14:57,000 --> 00:14:59,760 Speaker 1: So Africa's got to become self sufficient when it comes 267 00:14:59,800 --> 00:15:04,640 Speaker 1: to the energy. What they need for energy in this country, 268 00:15:04,880 --> 00:15:08,560 Speaker 1: what we need here the blueprints day it worked, It 269 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:10,480 Speaker 1: needs to be switched on. We need to go back 270 00:15:10,520 --> 00:15:12,520 Speaker 1: to something that worked and go from there. 271 00:15:13,280 --> 00:15:15,920 Speaker 2: And so you mentioned that we used to have this 272 00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:20,680 Speaker 2: kind of this capacity, this refining capacity internally, and we 273 00:15:20,760 --> 00:15:23,120 Speaker 2: used to refine ninety percent of what we used. 274 00:15:23,520 --> 00:15:24,720 Speaker 3: If we were to build. 275 00:15:24,520 --> 00:15:28,200 Speaker 2: Back that capacity, is that a thing that takes is 276 00:15:28,240 --> 00:15:30,680 Speaker 2: you know, would it be a two year thing, a 277 00:15:30,680 --> 00:15:34,440 Speaker 2: three year thing, or five year thing. How quickly reasonably 278 00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:39,080 Speaker 2: would it take to get back to that capacity. Also, 279 00:15:39,680 --> 00:15:43,080 Speaker 2: given kind of where we are now, the uncertainty of 280 00:15:43,880 --> 00:15:46,960 Speaker 2: what's happening in Iran, the South Korean president was saying, 281 00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:50,600 Speaker 2: you know, this isn't a passing storm that will end 282 00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:54,080 Speaker 2: very quickly. It's a big storm that we're actually uncertain 283 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:56,880 Speaker 2: about when it will end. So if we were to say, okay, 284 00:15:56,960 --> 00:15:59,360 Speaker 2: maybe this has been a great lesson. Let's talk about 285 00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:02,360 Speaker 2: building back this capacity. How long would that take? 286 00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:04,000 Speaker 3: That takes me. 287 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:08,400 Speaker 1: Here's the thing. The Chinese can build a nuclear power 288 00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:11,920 Speaker 1: plant in under a year, under twelve months. It's all 289 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:16,320 Speaker 1: about the wold. It's all about the government saying this 290 00:16:16,360 --> 00:16:18,520 Speaker 1: is what we need to do. This needs to get done, 291 00:16:18,640 --> 00:16:24,040 Speaker 1: and put in measures and throwing throwing money at it 292 00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:26,480 Speaker 1: to get it done. We've got all the engineers here. 293 00:16:26,560 --> 00:16:30,440 Speaker 1: All these places were designed in South Africa, designed by 294 00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:34,720 Speaker 1: South African engineers by companies. Is a place called Moss 295 00:16:34,720 --> 00:16:39,960 Speaker 1: Gas where South Africa designed the first gas to oil 296 00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:43,840 Speaker 1: system where we take natural gas turn it into diesel, 297 00:16:44,040 --> 00:16:47,400 Speaker 1: petrol and everything else. That's yeah, we built that in 298 00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:52,040 Speaker 1: the eighties. It's technology. South Africa has all these things. 299 00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:54,960 Speaker 1: It's all about the world. It's all about the Minister 300 00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:58,800 Speaker 1: or minerals and energy getting out there saying we need 301 00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:01,560 Speaker 1: to switch on all of the is our local refinery 302 00:17:01,560 --> 00:17:03,880 Speaker 1: and get it going. We need it done within the 303 00:17:03,920 --> 00:17:06,480 Speaker 1: next six months, and people will do it. There are 304 00:17:06,480 --> 00:17:09,200 Speaker 1: companies out there that will get it done. We've got 305 00:17:09,280 --> 00:17:13,520 Speaker 1: all the design designing capacity, We've got all the artisans locally, 306 00:17:13,800 --> 00:17:16,640 Speaker 1: I mean majority of these of the artisans in South 307 00:17:16,640 --> 00:17:19,520 Speaker 1: Africa go to Australia and just do what they were 308 00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:23,080 Speaker 1: doing here in Australia. Right, we need those guys, these 309 00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:26,080 Speaker 1: guys sitting at home because they can't find work. Here's 310 00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:30,040 Speaker 1: a perfect opportunity to reindustrialize South Africa, get South Africa's 311 00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:35,520 Speaker 1: economy going again. But unfortunately, if that's going to happen, 312 00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:39,840 Speaker 1: I don't know, because again government rather will look to 313 00:17:39,920 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 1: try to secure finished product, right, and that might be 314 00:17:45,880 --> 00:17:49,679 Speaker 1: a temporary sort of reprieve, but in the long run, 315 00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:53,480 Speaker 1: if this war carries on, we at the mercy of 316 00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:57,000 Speaker 1: those trade winds, and if we can't get product finished 317 00:17:57,000 --> 00:18:03,240 Speaker 1: put then you will start having your your restrictions coming 318 00:18:03,280 --> 00:18:06,199 Speaker 1: into the market and people will you know, keep I 319 00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:08,560 Speaker 1: mean government said, someone said the other day we must 320 00:18:08,560 --> 00:18:11,840 Speaker 1: start working from home again. That's not a good answer. 321 00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:14,480 Speaker 1: You know, you should be saying, Okay, how do we 322 00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:17,280 Speaker 1: get this thing going so that we can mitigate all 323 00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:18,080 Speaker 1: of these things. 324 00:18:18,280 --> 00:18:21,520 Speaker 2: I know Ethiopia is one of the countries that's told 325 00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:28,280 Speaker 2: state owned entities public institutions to put non essential stuff 326 00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:32,080 Speaker 2: on leave so they can conserve fuel. So that seems 327 00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:34,960 Speaker 2: to be one of the things some countries are considering 328 00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:41,560 Speaker 2: Egypt has basically set a curfew now on certain businesses, 329 00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:45,679 Speaker 2: so shops, restaurants, cafes, those have to close early in 330 00:18:45,720 --> 00:18:51,920 Speaker 2: an attempt to save these fuel stocks. And interestingly, Egypt 331 00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:55,240 Speaker 2: has much higher fuel stocks than we are, but they 332 00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:58,400 Speaker 2: are taking a big knock as a result of what's 333 00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:00,879 Speaker 2: happening in Iran. So to your point about you know, 334 00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:03,920 Speaker 2: people being asked to work from home, I think countries 335 00:19:03,960 --> 00:19:07,840 Speaker 2: are kind of trying a few things make people work 336 00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:12,119 Speaker 2: from home. The nationwide driving curves in Korea make restaurants 337 00:19:12,119 --> 00:19:16,600 Speaker 2: close early as they try to manage this situation which 338 00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:18,360 Speaker 2: they're just not sure when it's going to end. 339 00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:22,439 Speaker 1: Definitely, look at this. This is the East weekend in 340 00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:27,359 Speaker 1: South Africa. Most people are going to Lumpopole, right. There 341 00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:30,840 Speaker 1: were no restrictions passed on there, There were no fuel restrictions. 342 00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:35,080 Speaker 1: Most people go to holiday destinations Durban Cape, down Pe 343 00:19:36,440 --> 00:19:39,360 Speaker 1: and in South Africa. Because of the high cost of flights, 344 00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:41,399 Speaker 1: people use the road. They get to the road and 345 00:19:41,440 --> 00:19:43,560 Speaker 1: they drive to wherever they need to go. Now, I 346 00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:46,960 Speaker 1: remember that government earns tax out of selling a liter 347 00:19:47,080 --> 00:19:50,600 Speaker 1: of fuel, all right, So there they've got a system 348 00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:53,399 Speaker 1: where they're saying, well, how if we curb and we 349 00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:56,080 Speaker 1: come out and say, well, people can't be doing this 350 00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:58,800 Speaker 1: the traveling that they're doing. We're going to lose out 351 00:19:58,840 --> 00:20:01,480 Speaker 1: on taxes on us on the other end. But on 352 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:03,320 Speaker 1: the same time, on the other side of the table, 353 00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:06,119 Speaker 1: if we are depleting the fuel stocks that we've got 354 00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:09,320 Speaker 1: and we're not able to replenish them, it's sort of 355 00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:12,400 Speaker 1: a short term gain, long term last because you might 356 00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:16,719 Speaker 1: gain now, but if there's nothing, no fuel left going forward, 357 00:20:16,760 --> 00:20:19,920 Speaker 1: the economy and everything else suffers. So I think that 358 00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:22,240 Speaker 1: they need to take a look. I know they keep 359 00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:26,600 Speaker 1: coming out on the radio and saying on TV saying, listen, 360 00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:29,960 Speaker 1: we've got enough stocks. We've got enough fuel to last 361 00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:33,960 Speaker 1: until June. Okay, fine, but what happens is after June 362 00:20:34,040 --> 00:20:37,720 Speaker 1: there's no fuel because this war carries on then white. 363 00:20:39,240 --> 00:20:41,840 Speaker 1: So a lot more planning I think needs to go 364 00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:45,240 Speaker 1: into what it is that we're doing, and essentially maybe 365 00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:47,880 Speaker 1: adding these curfus in a little bit earlier to make 366 00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:49,040 Speaker 1: those stocks stretch a. 367 00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:51,320 Speaker 3: Lot longer before we wrap up. 368 00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:53,800 Speaker 2: We have received the water Voice notes on seventeen seven 369 00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:55,240 Speaker 2: oh two, one seven oh two. 370 00:20:55,840 --> 00:20:58,720 Speaker 4: Morning, seven oh two. Isn't this the time for the 371 00:20:58,760 --> 00:21:05,880 Speaker 4: South African government look at reprioritizing getting goods transported on rail. 372 00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:09,760 Speaker 4: We had one of the most functional rail systems in 373 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:15,840 Speaker 4: the world, I repeat, in the world. And yes it 374 00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:20,680 Speaker 4: was convenient to now move things to road for other 375 00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:25,960 Speaker 4: people with other agendas. But at the end of the day, 376 00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:32,200 Speaker 4: it has increased your cost of production. It has also 377 00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:36,760 Speaker 4: resulted in time legs, and it's time to get it 378 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:37,680 Speaker 4: back on the rail. 379 00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:40,159 Speaker 3: Thank you very much for that. 380 00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:42,639 Speaker 2: What's up voice note, Michelle, I mean I think we 381 00:21:42,760 --> 00:21:45,639 Speaker 2: touched on rail a little bit earlier on and a 382 00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:47,480 Speaker 2: little bit later just after night, and we'll actually be 383 00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:50,199 Speaker 2: talking about the future of rail because of course the 384 00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:53,080 Speaker 2: President says he has a plan. It involves the private sector, 385 00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:55,160 Speaker 2: so we'll have a look at that. But of course, 386 00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:57,840 Speaker 2: you know, the collapse of rail services, both for passenger 387 00:21:57,880 --> 00:22:01,360 Speaker 2: and goods has been you know, a bit fat. Kind 388 00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:03,040 Speaker 2: of where we are now and how we're able to 389 00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:04,320 Speaker 2: weather the storm. 390 00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:07,920 Speaker 1: Definitely, but you see a lot of it. I feel, 391 00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:11,600 Speaker 1: and this is my personal opinion. As engineered, you take 392 00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:15,199 Speaker 1: a system, collapse it, then privatize it. Then that system 393 00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:21,880 Speaker 1: overnight miraculously starts working again and the system runs flawlessly, right, 394 00:22:21,920 --> 00:22:25,160 Speaker 1: but now the channel or flow of money is redirected 395 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:28,800 Speaker 1: from government into private hands. So if you look at 396 00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:32,120 Speaker 1: the rail system, the decline in the rail system started 397 00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:37,760 Speaker 1: towards the late eighties and then obviously sort of got 398 00:22:37,800 --> 00:22:41,959 Speaker 1: into a fast forward mode from that time and trucks 399 00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:44,639 Speaker 1: were more prevalent on the road. South Africa used to 400 00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:47,720 Speaker 1: have a system meet trucks were off the road Thursday, Friday, 401 00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:51,000 Speaker 1: Saturday from six poor twelve. It's still like that in 402 00:22:51,040 --> 00:22:54,560 Speaker 1: Botswana and a lot of African countries because majority of 403 00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:58,560 Speaker 1: the goods has moved by rail, so therefore your trucks 404 00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:01,680 Speaker 1: needed to be off the road also for safety, safety 405 00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:03,959 Speaker 1: reasons and the rest of it. So that Africa does 406 00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:06,600 Speaker 1: no longer has that law. So trucks are on the 407 00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:09,440 Speaker 1: road twenty four hours a day. That's why we see 408 00:23:09,440 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 1: such a lot of accidents. That's why we see, you know, 409 00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:18,160 Speaker 1: drivers fall asleep behind the wheel. Drivers are being reckless 410 00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:20,720 Speaker 1: because they're under pressure to get that load to wherever 411 00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:23,560 Speaker 1: it needs to go at a certain time, and your 412 00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:26,639 Speaker 1: law enforcement's not out there doing what they're doing. A 413 00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:30,120 Speaker 1: truck is limited to eighty five kilometers an hour. If 414 00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:32,159 Speaker 1: you are sitting in your vehicle and you're doing one 415 00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:34,600 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty k's and the truck overtakes you. That 416 00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:38,000 Speaker 1: means that limit has been removed and that truck will 417 00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:42,120 Speaker 1: do whatever speed it's now being limited to. Right. And remember, 418 00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:44,800 Speaker 1: if it's got a load behind it, it doesn't matter 419 00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:47,960 Speaker 1: what breaks it's got on the truck. If the truck 420 00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:50,919 Speaker 1: has gone over eighty five and it needs to stop, 421 00:23:51,080 --> 00:23:52,639 Speaker 1: it's not going to stop that load. It's going to 422 00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:54,679 Speaker 1: push it down the road. And that's why we have 423 00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:58,480 Speaker 1: the issues we've got. But that's another conversation to the 424 00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:04,600 Speaker 1: point of the the whitechapp message rail is the cheapest, quickest, 425 00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:08,240 Speaker 1: most efficient way to move goods and services. That's a fact. 426 00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:12,840 Speaker 1: It's about. It comes back to implementation and willingness to 427 00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:14,920 Speaker 1: go back to what worked. 428 00:24:16,480 --> 00:24:18,560 Speaker 2: Larren, as always, it's a great pleasure having on the show. 429 00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:21,000 Speaker 2: Thank you so much for your time, Thank you for 430 00:24:21,040 --> 00:24:24,480 Speaker 2: having me. That's our resident motoring enthusiast Ryren Tucker taking 431 00:24:24,520 --> 00:24:26,159 Speaker 2: us to twenty five minutes before eight o'clock. 432 00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:28,120 Speaker 3: Coming up, we talk Easter eggs. 433 00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:33,879 Speaker 2: If you've ever wondered why a Christian holiday or festival 434 00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:37,720 Speaker 2: also involves bunnies, and eggs. You don't want to miss 435 00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:41,760 Speaker 2: our food feature. Doctor Torpedo has gone sleuthing. She's found 436 00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:44,639 Speaker 2: the history of the eggs and the bunnies and how 437 00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:46,680 Speaker 2: they relate to Eastern She'll tell us all about it 438 00:24:46,760 --> 00:24:49,600 Speaker 2: in the food feature. But first, it is twenty five 439 00:24:49,600 --> 00:24:51,720 Speaker 2: minutes before eight o'clock, so let's check in with your latest. 440 00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:55,040 Speaker 2: I witnessed New Sport with Anthony t Shada