1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:03,600 Speaker 1: Stephen's on The Money Show six to eight years for 2 00:00:03,680 --> 00:00:08,080 Speaker 1: developments in New York today around the Venezuelan president Nicholas Maduro. 3 00:00:08,200 --> 00:00:10,319 Speaker 1: He and his wife are accused by the US on 4 00:00:10,640 --> 00:00:13,159 Speaker 1: drug smuggling charges. He's due to appear in court. At 5 00:00:13,160 --> 00:00:16,600 Speaker 1: the same time, the Unsecurity Council having a big conversation 6 00:00:16,800 --> 00:00:19,640 Speaker 1: around what the US did over the weekend and the 7 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 1: Trump administration subduction of Madrauro from his country over the weekend. 8 00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:27,560 Speaker 1: Professor Lyle White is on the faculty at the Gordon 9 00:00:27,600 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 1: Institute of Business Science. Lyle could even good to talk 10 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:33,680 Speaker 1: to you again. I realized there'd been a big American 11 00:00:33,720 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 1: military build up in the region for some time. I 12 00:00:36,960 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 1: have to say I was among those who really didn't 13 00:00:39,479 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 1: see this one coming. 14 00:00:41,840 --> 00:00:42,040 Speaker 2: Yeah. 15 00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:44,199 Speaker 3: I think it called everybody by surprise. And this is 16 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:46,960 Speaker 3: one of those those New Year things where maybe if 17 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:50,199 Speaker 3: they anywhere between the twenty fourth of December and the 18 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 3: first week in January, it might go under the radar. 19 00:00:53,320 --> 00:00:55,960 Speaker 3: But if you've been watching or following the development in 20 00:00:56,000 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 3: New York today, you can see that the Trump administration 21 00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:01,840 Speaker 3: is not really hide in any of this. They're making 22 00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:06,119 Speaker 3: quite a show of things and they really have made 23 00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 3: Madudo and mister and missus Mduda now a great spectacle 24 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:15,960 Speaker 3: in New York. And obviously these charges are quite serious. 25 00:01:17,440 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 3: It's literally narco terrorism, among other things. But we also 26 00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:26,920 Speaker 3: know that by most measures and international law experts would 27 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:30,400 Speaker 3: consider the operation on the third of January a blatant 28 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:33,280 Speaker 3: violation of the UN Charter. But there's a lot more 29 00:01:33,319 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 3: to this, Stephen. It's not a cut and dry case, 30 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:39,240 Speaker 3: because I'm sure it will come out that most nations 31 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:42,319 Speaker 3: around the world have not recognized Nicholas Mududa as the 32 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:44,480 Speaker 3: legitimate president of Venezuela. 33 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:47,080 Speaker 1: So I mean, this is one of the interesting questions, 34 00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:49,640 Speaker 1: and in fact the UN Security Council session almost started 35 00:01:49,680 --> 00:01:52,120 Speaker 1: with that point. I think I forget the name of 36 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 1: the person who was speaking, but it was Professor Jeffrey Sachs, 37 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:58,080 Speaker 1: I think who said for him, the issue needs to 38 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:00,600 Speaker 1: be whether the what the US did was lead. It 39 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:04,360 Speaker 1: shouldn't be about the Venezuelan government and those elections. And 40 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:06,160 Speaker 1: you can have that argument forever. 41 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:09,400 Speaker 3: And we would have that argument forever. I mean, Jeffrey 42 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:12,959 Speaker 3: Sachs was just Arterarr in South Africa recently beaten that 43 00:02:13,120 --> 00:02:17,359 Speaker 3: saying drum in opposition to the Trump administration, but you 44 00:02:17,440 --> 00:02:19,520 Speaker 3: must remember he has a political drum to beat there 45 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:22,600 Speaker 3: because he is in constant opposition to the United States. 46 00:02:22,639 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 3: I'm not saying what the Trump administration carried out was 47 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:30,079 Speaker 3: a legitimate act. What I'm saying is that maybe over 48 00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 3: the last ten to fifteen years, while Maduro was literally 49 00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:38,360 Speaker 3: gutting the economy in Venezuela, and you and I have 50 00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:41,040 Speaker 3: spoken about this at length over the last ten years 51 00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:46,080 Speaker 3: or so, the multilateral institutions around the world that so 52 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:50,680 Speaker 3: we're supposedly protected Venezuelan citizens sat by the sidelines. And 53 00:02:50,720 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 3: that is probably why we've seen a divided kind of 54 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:57,440 Speaker 3: response to this, especially from the Venezuelan opposition, which have 55 00:02:57,560 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 3: mostly applauded this maybe to some to the spars of many, 56 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:07,320 Speaker 3: because they are holding, you know, the bests of democracy 57 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:09,880 Speaker 3: at hand. I think Camila Harris put this quite well. 58 00:03:09,960 --> 00:03:13,720 Speaker 3: She said that Maduro is a brutal or that Maduro 59 00:03:13,840 --> 00:03:17,360 Speaker 3: is a brutal illegitimate dictator, but that does not change 60 00:03:17,400 --> 00:03:21,440 Speaker 3: the fact that this was an unlawful and unwise decision 61 00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:24,760 Speaker 3: that was made, especially without a transitional planning place. And 62 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:27,239 Speaker 3: I think that's my biggest concern right now is what 63 00:03:27,760 --> 00:03:29,799 Speaker 3: is the plan, what is next for Venezuela. 64 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:32,600 Speaker 1: So I want to get to that. I just want 65 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:35,360 Speaker 1: to go back another step. How important does Maduro to 66 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:39,520 Speaker 1: the government in Venezuela. There's sort of current movement which 67 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 1: became the current government, been there for a long time, 68 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:45,920 Speaker 1: started by Hugo Chavez. It survived his passing. Does it 69 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:48,000 Speaker 1: survive Maduro if it does a deal with Trump. 70 00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:51,720 Speaker 3: Excellent question, because we all know that Maduro came to 71 00:03:51,800 --> 00:03:55,960 Speaker 3: power in twenty thirteen at the passing and almost unexpected 72 00:03:56,000 --> 00:04:01,240 Speaker 3: passing of Hugo Shavis and enormously charismatic populously who really 73 00:04:01,280 --> 00:04:06,200 Speaker 3: carried out this the socialist revolution, the Bolvarian Revolution in Venezuela. 74 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:09,080 Speaker 3: Will remember that he actually was one of the last 75 00:04:09,920 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 3: heads of state to have visited South Africa during the 76 00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:15,040 Speaker 3: time of taboone Beki. 77 00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:16,279 Speaker 4: He addressed. 78 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:21,920 Speaker 3: The out the final meeting with the Tabobeki administration back 79 00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:25,200 Speaker 3: in those days. Yes, he's passing and with us the 80 00:04:25,240 --> 00:04:28,560 Speaker 3: charisma went with it. Madudro took over. He was the 81 00:04:28,640 --> 00:04:31,599 Speaker 3: chosen successor and during that time, just to give the 82 00:04:31,640 --> 00:04:35,719 Speaker 3: listeners an idea of what transpired in Venezuela, over eight 83 00:04:35,760 --> 00:04:40,280 Speaker 3: million people roughly a quarter of the population of Venezuela 84 00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:43,400 Speaker 3: fled the country over the last fifteen to twenty years. 85 00:04:43,760 --> 00:04:48,120 Speaker 3: Since twenty ten, the Venezuelan economy has gone from around 86 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:52,760 Speaker 3: around four hundred billion dollars down to forty billion dollars. 87 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:55,800 Speaker 3: It's ten percent of what it was. Can you imagine 88 00:04:55,839 --> 00:04:57,760 Speaker 3: if that happened in any other country around the world, 89 00:04:57,880 --> 00:05:01,160 Speaker 3: there would be social unrest in which they've had. Nicholas 90 00:05:01,200 --> 00:05:05,160 Speaker 3: Maduro's record or human rights record and record of democracy 91 00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:09,240 Speaker 3: is one that is has been has been investigated by 92 00:05:09,279 --> 00:05:12,680 Speaker 3: the United Nations and other bodies and other multilateral institutions 93 00:05:12,680 --> 00:05:15,840 Speaker 3: around the world, and still by many many nations, not 94 00:05:15,880 --> 00:05:18,679 Speaker 3: only in the Western hemisphere, including obviously in the United 95 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 3: States and many Latin American countries, but most of the 96 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:24,320 Speaker 3: European Union. And that was very very interesting with this 97 00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:27,560 Speaker 3: was the response from the European Union and European countries. 98 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:30,960 Speaker 3: They do not recognize Nicholas Maduda as the legitimate president 99 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 3: because of his response to the July twenty twenty four 100 00:05:35,520 --> 00:05:39,480 Speaker 3: elections in that country, where by all counts at Mundol 101 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:43,360 Speaker 3: Gonzalez won that election by sixty seven percent to Madudro's 102 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:46,479 Speaker 3: thirty percent and that's even excluding the eight million people 103 00:05:46,480 --> 00:05:49,560 Speaker 3: that had left Venezuela. So that's a bit of the 104 00:05:49,600 --> 00:05:52,880 Speaker 3: background and context to Venezuela. 105 00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 1: So Trump claims the US will run Venezuela. It's quite 106 00:05:57,080 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 1: a big countries, millions of people. I mean, yes, eight 107 00:05:59,320 --> 00:06:02,600 Speaker 1: million of them have left. It has its own internal dynamics. 108 00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 1: You're the expert, not me. But I understand those sort 109 00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 1: of armed gangs that seem to play a significant role, 110 00:06:07,800 --> 00:06:11,360 Speaker 1: and I imagine control bits of territory. I just I mean, 111 00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:13,359 Speaker 1: you would have to put millions of boots on the 112 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:15,080 Speaker 1: ground for another country to run it. 113 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, And that statement, I think they've they've kind of 114 00:06:19,080 --> 00:06:22,320 Speaker 3: withdrawn or pulled that back a little. I saw Marco 115 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:27,599 Speaker 3: Rubio made an alternative statement. By making that statement, he 116 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:32,480 Speaker 3: changed the whole orientation to the extraction of Nicholas Madudo. 117 00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:34,160 Speaker 3: And this was then as soon as he said we 118 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:36,800 Speaker 3: were going to be running Venezuela, there was regime change, 119 00:06:37,000 --> 00:06:41,960 Speaker 3: which harks back to you know, previous exploits in Latin 120 00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:44,839 Speaker 3: America and especially in Central America, and even eighty nine 121 00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:50,640 Speaker 3: when they withdrew Loriega out of Panama. But this is 122 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:54,000 Speaker 3: a little bit far fetched. We can't expect the United 123 00:06:54,040 --> 00:06:57,400 Speaker 3: States have boots on the ground and reinvent the whole 124 00:06:57,480 --> 00:07:01,280 Speaker 3: Iraqi scenario once again. We saw how that turned out. 125 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:04,159 Speaker 3: But it's going to be a very very interesting one 126 00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:09,360 Speaker 3: because Donald Trump did not outright support Maria Muschado, who 127 00:07:09,520 --> 00:07:12,840 Speaker 3: by the way, was the opposition leader and the winner 128 00:07:12,880 --> 00:07:14,800 Speaker 3: of the Nobel Peace Prize at the end of twenty 129 00:07:14,880 --> 00:07:18,680 Speaker 3: twenty five. And he has not supported at Mundo Gonzalez, 130 00:07:18,720 --> 00:07:21,080 Speaker 3: and he hasn't supported the vice president at this stage. 131 00:07:21,160 --> 00:07:25,239 Speaker 3: So we don't have any transisional or democratic transition in place. 132 00:07:25,600 --> 00:07:28,400 Speaker 3: And this is what the greatest concern is because obviously, 133 00:07:28,440 --> 00:07:31,200 Speaker 3: as you mentioned, this is over twenty seven million people, 134 00:07:32,560 --> 00:07:36,360 Speaker 3: a reasonably fized the economy in South America and Latin American, 135 00:07:36,440 --> 00:07:40,720 Speaker 3: that Andean region, and it could become a serious security 136 00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:44,440 Speaker 3: situation for the great region. Hence the response from the 137 00:07:44,440 --> 00:07:45,800 Speaker 3: Colombians and the Brazilians. 138 00:07:45,800 --> 00:07:48,640 Speaker 1: At the same time, Maduro's deputy. She might actually have 139 00:07:48,640 --> 00:07:50,240 Speaker 1: been sworn in now that I talked to you, as 140 00:07:50,280 --> 00:07:53,240 Speaker 1: President else Rodriguez, and I don't know if I'm pronouncing 141 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:56,480 Speaker 1: that correctly. What kind of position is she in? I 142 00:07:56,520 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 1: know she was also the I think the oil minister. 143 00:07:58,400 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 1: But some people, I am sure, are going to say 144 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:04,040 Speaker 1: she helped the Americans, and I presume somebody did. 145 00:08:05,600 --> 00:08:05,880 Speaker 4: Well. 146 00:08:07,160 --> 00:08:10,560 Speaker 3: There certainly were people embedded because they were able to 147 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 3: penetrate which I suppose the impenetrable residents and on a 148 00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:19,040 Speaker 3: military base in Caracas. Not an easy task, Stephen, and 149 00:08:19,120 --> 00:08:21,679 Speaker 3: not even the CIA and the Delta Force, as they said, 150 00:08:22,360 --> 00:08:27,560 Speaker 3: could do this. But so CIA, the CIA was embedded. 151 00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:31,800 Speaker 3: They do believe they have local support. I'm not sure 152 00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:36,400 Speaker 3: whether President or now President Rodriguez was one of those. 153 00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:41,080 Speaker 3: She has been vehemently in support of Maduro and the 154 00:08:41,120 --> 00:08:45,400 Speaker 3: return of Maduro, but many will question now how she 155 00:08:45,480 --> 00:08:46,200 Speaker 3: actually how. 156 00:08:46,080 --> 00:08:46,800 Speaker 5: She's risen up. 157 00:08:47,040 --> 00:08:50,160 Speaker 3: She was, as you mentioned, she was overseeing the oil 158 00:08:50,240 --> 00:08:53,720 Speaker 3: sector in Venezuela, which has now become you know, Venezuela 159 00:08:53,840 --> 00:08:56,720 Speaker 3: does have the largest known oil deposits in the world, 160 00:08:56,880 --> 00:09:01,120 Speaker 3: which is part of this whole strategic discussion that dold 161 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:05,480 Speaker 3: Trump has been speaking about. But that wasn't really a 162 00:09:05,480 --> 00:09:07,800 Speaker 3: massive role that she had, and obviously being the vice 163 00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:12,200 Speaker 3: president to a dictator like Nicholas Madudo doesn't really put 164 00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:14,840 Speaker 3: her in the spotlight as often as one would expect, 165 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:17,800 Speaker 3: so she didn't wield as much power and certainly not 166 00:09:17,840 --> 00:09:21,320 Speaker 3: the charisma of Madula's predecessor, Charves. 167 00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:25,120 Speaker 1: Professor LAO White, thanks very much. Indeed, faculty at the 168 00:09:25,120 --> 00:09:30,840 Speaker 1: Gordon Institute of Business Science really appreciate that Peter Armitage 169 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:33,880 Speaker 1: is the CEO of Anchor Capital, Peter Good evening, world 170 00:09:33,920 --> 00:09:37,160 Speaker 1: markets pretty much taking the abduction of Maduro in their stride. 171 00:09:37,400 --> 00:09:40,520 Speaker 1: The oil price, I suppose roughly where it was before 172 00:09:40,559 --> 00:09:42,439 Speaker 1: all of this happened over the weekend. 173 00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:45,800 Speaker 6: So I think Stephen Venezuela is kind of known as 174 00:09:45,800 --> 00:09:49,120 Speaker 6: a big oil supply but because of the actions and 175 00:09:49,160 --> 00:09:51,040 Speaker 6: what's happened of the course of the last five or 176 00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:53,960 Speaker 6: ten years, they've gone down to about less than a 177 00:09:54,000 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 6: million barrels a day. So that's in the context of 178 00:09:56,920 --> 00:09:59,280 Speaker 6: just over a hundred million barrels a day in the world, 179 00:09:59,280 --> 00:10:02,240 Speaker 6: so it's less and one percent of supply, so it's 180 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:05,880 Speaker 6: not you know, they'll probably still carry on supplying oil. 181 00:10:06,360 --> 00:10:08,800 Speaker 6: So the actual impact in terms of the supply of 182 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:14,080 Speaker 6: oil is geopolitically noisy, but economically not that relevant. 183 00:10:14,120 --> 00:10:18,320 Speaker 1: I guess this leads to other questions because, I mean, 184 00:10:18,400 --> 00:10:20,840 Speaker 1: our fuel price is coming down this week partly because 185 00:10:20,880 --> 00:10:23,520 Speaker 1: of a stronger rand partly because of weaker oil prices. 186 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:26,560 Speaker 1: There was a meeting of the OPEK plus nations I 187 00:10:26,559 --> 00:10:29,760 Speaker 1: think yesterday or over the weekend. They seem to suggest 188 00:10:29,760 --> 00:10:34,120 Speaker 1: they'll keep production roughly where it is because everybody's chasing 189 00:10:34,160 --> 00:10:34,720 Speaker 1: market share. 190 00:10:35,000 --> 00:10:37,120 Speaker 6: Yeah, so the problem is even you know, the oil 191 00:10:37,160 --> 00:10:40,000 Speaker 6: price has gradually come down from about eighty dollars to 192 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:43,959 Speaker 6: about sixty dollars today over the last twelve months, and 193 00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:47,000 Speaker 6: when when there isn't really any supply or any big 194 00:10:47,040 --> 00:10:49,800 Speaker 6: buyer to pick up the slack, it tends to gradually 195 00:10:49,880 --> 00:10:53,960 Speaker 6: come down because even if OPIK does cut, you know, 196 00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:56,720 Speaker 6: guars need to carry on supplying to make their cash flows. 197 00:10:57,520 --> 00:11:00,440 Speaker 6: So it's always Opic is about thirty five half percent 198 00:11:00,480 --> 00:11:02,560 Speaker 6: of world supply. This is something to bear in mind. 199 00:11:03,000 --> 00:11:05,360 Speaker 6: So there's the other sixty five percent can move quite 200 00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:09,000 Speaker 6: a bit, and US shale just continues to increase. So 201 00:11:09,120 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 6: you've got this kind of supply demand balance where there's 202 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:15,880 Speaker 6: a little bit more supply than demand, and that general 203 00:11:16,160 --> 00:11:18,800 Speaker 6: results in prices coming off and it's difficult for them 204 00:11:18,840 --> 00:11:21,360 Speaker 6: to cut to try and increase the price because a 205 00:11:21,480 --> 00:11:24,680 Speaker 6: it won't necessarily increase the price, and B countries don't 206 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:27,000 Speaker 6: particularly want it sold less because they need the cash 207 00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:30,800 Speaker 6: flows to pay for their own affairs in their own countries. 208 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:33,240 Speaker 1: Is it possible to know how long this will go 209 00:11:33,280 --> 00:11:35,679 Speaker 1: on for barring any major shocks. I mean, I've seen 210 00:11:36,160 --> 00:11:38,319 Speaker 1: some suggestions. Certain fact, it could be like this. We 211 00:11:38,360 --> 00:11:39,960 Speaker 1: could be in a kind of what do I call it, 212 00:11:40,000 --> 00:11:43,720 Speaker 1: a be nine oil price environment for quite a lengthy 213 00:11:43,720 --> 00:11:44,800 Speaker 1: period five years. 214 00:11:44,600 --> 00:11:47,880 Speaker 6: Even yeah, I mean, you know, the key thing is 215 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:53,360 Speaker 6: economic growth and oil intensity from around the world, and 216 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:55,920 Speaker 6: the biggest driver if you go back a few years ago, 217 00:11:56,080 --> 00:12:00,240 Speaker 6: was China. So their industrial production was resulting in you know, 218 00:12:00,360 --> 00:12:03,880 Speaker 6: quite strong growth every year in terms of oil demand. 219 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:07,040 Speaker 6: But China has been the biggest player in terms of 220 00:12:07,160 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 6: ev adoption, so their motor vehicles on the whole motor 221 00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:15,560 Speaker 6: vehicle fleet is using less oil. Cars have become more efficient, 222 00:12:15,600 --> 00:12:20,600 Speaker 6: there's lots more hybrids, and the economic consumption per kind 223 00:12:20,600 --> 00:12:25,240 Speaker 6: of units of GDP, the oil consumption has come off 224 00:12:25,280 --> 00:12:29,240 Speaker 6: of it because there's other energy sources solar and wind 225 00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:33,280 Speaker 6: and the like. So it's hard to see global global 226 00:12:33,320 --> 00:12:36,480 Speaker 6: demand for oil being much higher in a few years 227 00:12:36,520 --> 00:12:41,520 Speaker 6: time and global supply likewise. Venezuela ironically, this could land 228 00:12:41,600 --> 00:12:44,240 Speaker 6: up with Venezuela producing quite a lot more in a 229 00:12:44,280 --> 00:12:46,800 Speaker 6: few years time if Trump has his way. 230 00:12:47,559 --> 00:12:50,160 Speaker 1: Well, this is kind of where I'm heading. So okay, 231 00:12:50,280 --> 00:12:54,080 Speaker 1: that happens. Got the world's largest reserves of oil, we understand. 232 00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:56,680 Speaker 1: But Trump says the US will take over Venezuela as 233 00:12:56,720 --> 00:13:00,720 Speaker 1: oil reserves essentially, but that will make venezuel rich. But 234 00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:03,520 Speaker 1: it won't do that if suddenly you've got a lot 235 00:13:03,520 --> 00:13:06,720 Speaker 1: more oil on the market just as demand is going 236 00:13:06,800 --> 00:13:10,079 Speaker 1: down anyway, and I'm young enough to remember being told 237 00:13:10,080 --> 00:13:11,720 Speaker 1: that we'll have peak oil and then we'll all have 238 00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:12,679 Speaker 1: to walk everywhere. 239 00:13:14,440 --> 00:13:17,520 Speaker 6: Yeah, So I think Venezuela in terms of potential, if 240 00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:20,400 Speaker 6: you look back, it was producing about. 241 00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:22,400 Speaker 2: Four to five million barrels. 242 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:24,760 Speaker 6: A day and it's now producing one, so that you know, 243 00:13:24,840 --> 00:13:27,199 Speaker 6: that's that was in the nineties, so let's go. You know, 244 00:13:27,240 --> 00:13:30,400 Speaker 6: it can probably get back to three or four so 245 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:32,920 Speaker 6: that adds another two or three percent two world supply, 246 00:13:33,040 --> 00:13:34,960 Speaker 6: but that will take a number of years to happen. 247 00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:37,960 Speaker 6: So yeah, I mean oil. I think most people are 248 00:13:38,280 --> 00:13:40,240 Speaker 6: kind of in their four cost pages are looking at 249 00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:43,000 Speaker 6: a fairly benigna oil price for some time. But at 250 00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:45,720 Speaker 6: sixty dollars. People still make a lot of money, you know, 251 00:13:45,840 --> 00:13:48,800 Speaker 6: so that's why there's an equilibrium in the price. I 252 00:13:48,800 --> 00:13:52,000 Speaker 6: think it costs society Arabians about five dollars a barrel 253 00:13:53,240 --> 00:13:56,880 Speaker 6: the shale guards is a huge difference between the low 254 00:13:56,920 --> 00:14:00,079 Speaker 6: cost producers and the hard cost producers. But clearly a 255 00:14:00,200 --> 00:14:02,800 Speaker 6: sixty dollars is enough of an incentive for people to 256 00:14:02,960 --> 00:14:06,920 Speaker 6: continue putting capic and an expenditure into it. 257 00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:09,480 Speaker 1: Peter Armitich, thank you very much. Indeed, the CEO of 258 00:14:09,520 --> 00:14:10,760 Speaker 1: Anchor Capital. 259 00:14:10,760 --> 00:14:12,679 Speaker 2: The money show the market. 260 00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:17,720 Speaker 1: Arthur Karras's portfolio manager at Old Mutual Investment, Arthur, good 261 00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:20,680 Speaker 1: evening to you. Not a lot of local news, but 262 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:24,520 Speaker 1: quite a few developments, and particularly platinum starting off with 263 00:14:24,560 --> 00:14:26,040 Speaker 1: a very strong start of the year. 264 00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:29,000 Speaker 7: Yes, we had a strong warning for precious metals as 265 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:32,400 Speaker 7: a whole. I think that the platinum companies rebounded somewhat 266 00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:37,600 Speaker 7: after the slip late last year. I think that could 267 00:14:37,640 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 7: just be a people real looking at the overall situation 268 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:43,680 Speaker 7: for the sale of petrol cars and saying it's not 269 00:14:43,720 --> 00:14:45,040 Speaker 7: going to be as bad as what we think, and 270 00:14:45,080 --> 00:14:47,560 Speaker 7: we're going to need more platinum and palladium than what 271 00:14:47,640 --> 00:14:48,080 Speaker 7: we thought. 272 00:14:49,360 --> 00:14:52,280 Speaker 1: Gold also, I mean gold search quite strongly. This morning 273 00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:53,920 Speaker 1: Royce has put out a report on it. I did 274 00:14:54,040 --> 00:14:57,320 Speaker 1: think actually considering what happened with Venezuela over the weekend, 275 00:14:57,400 --> 00:14:58,480 Speaker 1: you'd sort of expect that. 276 00:14:58,880 --> 00:15:03,160 Speaker 7: Gold hadn't been a great due a political hedge over 277 00:15:03,200 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 7: the last couple of cycles. The probably the primary driver 278 00:15:06,960 --> 00:15:09,160 Speaker 7: for the gold price in the last while there has 279 00:15:09,160 --> 00:15:13,080 Speaker 7: been a lot to do with the US dollar and 280 00:15:13,720 --> 00:15:17,920 Speaker 7: giving people an alternative to keeping your kind of safe 281 00:15:17,960 --> 00:15:20,960 Speaker 7: haven money in something other than US treasures and the 282 00:15:21,080 --> 00:15:24,600 Speaker 7: US dollars. I think that will probably continue for the 283 00:15:24,640 --> 00:15:27,680 Speaker 7: year ahead. We're not really expecting the dollar to be 284 00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:30,320 Speaker 7: a strong currency in twenty twenty six, and that should 285 00:15:31,000 --> 00:15:32,080 Speaker 7: underpin the gold price. 286 00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:35,680 Speaker 1: I mean, one presumes, then some of the predictions about 287 00:15:35,720 --> 00:15:38,760 Speaker 1: gold last year five thousand dollars by the end of 288 00:15:38,800 --> 00:15:41,840 Speaker 1: this year we're nearly at four thousand, five hundred. It 289 00:15:41,840 --> 00:15:43,680 Speaker 1: would make sense that that continues. 290 00:15:43,600 --> 00:15:46,440 Speaker 7: Absolutely, and it's a very very difficult thing to get right. 291 00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:49,640 Speaker 7: It's not something where you can easily kind of work 292 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:53,040 Speaker 7: out a price at which, like a share, workout what 293 00:15:53,080 --> 00:15:56,640 Speaker 7: it's worth or calculated price, like with about the oil price. 294 00:15:56,680 --> 00:16:00,360 Speaker 7: You've got strong demand supply numbers that you can used 295 00:16:00,360 --> 00:16:02,880 Speaker 7: to figure out a range for that we've called it's 296 00:16:02,880 --> 00:16:06,640 Speaker 7: a lot trickier. So the more dollar gets weaker, the 297 00:16:06,640 --> 00:16:09,440 Speaker 7: more that people feel they want that hedge, the longer 298 00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:10,280 Speaker 7: it's likely to run. 299 00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:13,560 Speaker 1: And then I mean, the rand looking so strong at 300 00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:15,960 Speaker 1: the moment, I mean, as I remember signing off last year, 301 00:16:15,960 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 1: I think it would be very nice if we stayed 302 00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:20,360 Speaker 1: below seventeen dollars seventeen rand to the dollar. Here we 303 00:16:20,400 --> 00:16:22,280 Speaker 1: are much of the day around sixteen forty five. 304 00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:24,480 Speaker 7: Not really a surprise if you look at some of 305 00:16:24,520 --> 00:16:28,760 Speaker 7: the other indicators of the health of the South African 306 00:16:28,840 --> 00:16:32,040 Speaker 7: economy South Africa overall, you know, the bond market's been 307 00:16:32,080 --> 00:16:34,400 Speaker 7: extremely strong over the last two years. It's gone from 308 00:16:34,640 --> 00:16:37,480 Speaker 7: twelve and a half percent to now eight point four percent, 309 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:41,760 Speaker 7: telling you that sophisticated investors are very comfortable with what's 310 00:16:41,800 --> 00:16:45,800 Speaker 7: happening here. And the rand is, you know, after a 311 00:16:45,880 --> 00:16:49,040 Speaker 7: regular amount kind of setbacks as things have happened between 312 00:16:49,400 --> 00:16:51,800 Speaker 7: South Africa and the US. As an example, last year, 313 00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:55,960 Speaker 7: people are saying, well, you know, the bond prices or 314 00:16:56,000 --> 00:16:59,920 Speaker 7: the bond yielder is down. We've got a new inflation target, 315 00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:02,840 Speaker 7: which gives us some confidence certization is going to continue 316 00:17:02,880 --> 00:17:07,840 Speaker 7: to stay under control. We've got a improving fiscal trajectory, 317 00:17:07,960 --> 00:17:11,920 Speaker 7: so our debt situation is not getting worse, it's stabilizing. 318 00:17:11,960 --> 00:17:14,159 Speaker 7: There's the potential for it to get better. All of 319 00:17:14,160 --> 00:17:18,359 Speaker 7: those things are helping support the rand. So not a 320 00:17:18,480 --> 00:17:22,520 Speaker 7: huge surprise, even though it's it's sometimes difficult to predict. 321 00:17:22,520 --> 00:17:23,800 Speaker 7: Hard players out. 322 00:17:24,560 --> 00:17:26,440 Speaker 1: A lot of optimism towards the end of last year 323 00:17:26,440 --> 00:17:29,119 Speaker 1: for South Africa, and I'm seeing more signs of that now, 324 00:17:29,200 --> 00:17:32,640 Speaker 1: even still people have maintained their optimism over the holiday. 325 00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:34,639 Speaker 7: Well, it comes back to some of the things that 326 00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:38,119 Speaker 7: we've been discussing already. So the stronger rand, stronger dollar 327 00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:40,960 Speaker 7: tends to be very good for our banking shares, and 328 00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:43,160 Speaker 7: some of them have had a reasonable year last year. 329 00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:46,000 Speaker 7: But in twenty two five, the economy or the stock 330 00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:50,880 Speaker 7: market was all about all about the precious metal miners 331 00:17:50,880 --> 00:17:53,359 Speaker 7: and one or two other shares. It wasn't really much 332 00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:56,480 Speaker 7: actionly on the local side. So that still leads us 333 00:17:56,520 --> 00:18:00,680 Speaker 7: with relatively cheap banks, retailers, all of our will benefit 334 00:18:00,800 --> 00:18:04,720 Speaker 7: from lower inflation translating into lower interest rate. Lower interest 335 00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:08,240 Speaker 7: rates in South Africa we're still see the benefit of 336 00:18:09,240 --> 00:18:11,880 Speaker 7: lower of less load shedding coming through. That's a good 337 00:18:11,880 --> 00:18:14,800 Speaker 7: thing for sentiment. It looks like transmitters starting to improve 338 00:18:14,880 --> 00:18:18,959 Speaker 7: if we look at talk from the companies that use 339 00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:22,040 Speaker 7: those services. So all of those things helping to improve 340 00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:25,399 Speaker 7: sentiment and reminding us that our stocks are cheap, and 341 00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:28,919 Speaker 7: emerging markets are doing relatively well right now, and we're 342 00:18:29,760 --> 00:18:32,680 Speaker 7: we've put squarely into that back at a really injestible 343 00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:33,439 Speaker 7: emerging market. 344 00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:37,879 Speaker 1: We're far away from South America. Arthur Caras, thanks very much, indeed, 345 00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:41,119 Speaker 1: portfolio manager at Old Mutual Investments. 346 00:18:40,800 --> 00:18:44,240 Speaker 4: Stephens x at Stephen. 347 00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:47,080 Speaker 1: A series of comments from air traffic navigation services through 348 00:18:47,080 --> 00:18:49,760 Speaker 1: the day saying the main reason flights were delayed at 349 00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:53,760 Speaker 1: our Tumbo yesterday afternoon was air traffic controllers were ill 350 00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:57,199 Speaker 1: or unable to come into work. The problems led to 351 00:18:57,200 --> 00:19:00,399 Speaker 1: delays for dozens of flights. Airlines themselves, of course, end 352 00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:02,359 Speaker 1: up carrying a lot of the financial can for that. 353 00:19:02,440 --> 00:19:06,240 Speaker 1: London Burns is the managing director of Plane Talking London 354 00:19:06,520 --> 00:19:09,320 Speaker 1: Good Evening at and says has happened because some of 355 00:19:09,359 --> 00:19:12,119 Speaker 1: their workers were sick. Do you think it's as simple as. 356 00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:18,720 Speaker 5: That, Yeah, Stephen high and compliments the season two. Everyone listening. Look, 357 00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:20,960 Speaker 5: we've known for a long time that they've got a 358 00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:28,200 Speaker 5: major capacity shortage at atns. They've really been struggling to 359 00:19:28,240 --> 00:19:30,800 Speaker 5: make sure or try and do their best to ensure 360 00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:33,760 Speaker 5: that there are enough controllers in place to make sure 361 00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:38,240 Speaker 5: that flights can operate safely. But that has meant that 362 00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:43,200 Speaker 5: we've seen delays, we've seen the throttling of traffic if 363 00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:48,240 Speaker 5: you like, bigger intervals between departures out of airports like 364 00:19:48,359 --> 00:19:52,640 Speaker 5: our Tambo as a result, and the wheels fell off 365 00:19:52,680 --> 00:19:57,639 Speaker 5: spectacularly yesterday because of that, and when they had a 366 00:19:57,960 --> 00:20:02,360 Speaker 5: staff who or they just had empty staffing positions. We're 367 00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:04,679 Speaker 5: not quite sure what the reasons were, whether it was 368 00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:08,560 Speaker 5: people calling in sick or whatever. That's what Aightens is saying. 369 00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:15,800 Speaker 5: And you know, by sort of nine thirty yesterday we 370 00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:19,080 Speaker 5: started seeing the first delays of around about half an hour. 371 00:20:19,119 --> 00:20:21,360 Speaker 5: By twelve thirty they were up to two to three hours, 372 00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:24,280 Speaker 5: and by mid afternoon there were three hours plus. And 373 00:20:24,920 --> 00:20:27,199 Speaker 5: I just counted now there were over two hundred and 374 00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:30,639 Speaker 5: forty flights that were delayed leaving of our Tambo yesterday, 375 00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:34,359 Speaker 5: And of course that's meant that you know, by the 376 00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:37,080 Speaker 5: end of the day, when crews finished their working day 377 00:20:37,240 --> 00:20:40,560 Speaker 5: or couldn't fly any longer because they'd run out of 378 00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:43,919 Speaker 5: flight beauty time, we ended up with a number of 379 00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:47,440 Speaker 5: aircraft and crews out of position for this morning flight. 380 00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:51,040 Speaker 5: So then we had more delays earlier today that had 381 00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:53,679 Speaker 5: to be worked through, and I think it's going to 382 00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:56,480 Speaker 5: take a couple of more days for this to finally 383 00:20:56,520 --> 00:21:00,479 Speaker 5: all be resolved. And we know that in addition to that, 384 00:21:01,280 --> 00:21:05,800 Speaker 5: there was a thunderstorm yesterday yesterday afternoon, but these delays 385 00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:09,320 Speaker 5: and the throttling of traffic at our tambo started nearly 386 00:21:09,359 --> 00:21:11,360 Speaker 5: three and a half four hours before that, and they 387 00:21:11,760 --> 00:21:15,720 Speaker 5: at ANDS notified all the airlines yesterday morning saying we're 388 00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:19,280 Speaker 5: doing this because of the traffic, and we do. We've 389 00:21:19,320 --> 00:21:22,919 Speaker 5: seen the weather forecast of thunderstorms. Even if the thunderstorm 390 00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:26,439 Speaker 5: doesn't materialize, we're still going to continue with the traffic 391 00:21:26,520 --> 00:21:28,040 Speaker 5: constraints around Jannasburg. 392 00:21:28,760 --> 00:21:31,360 Speaker 1: So I mean, this isn't in a way a classic 393 00:21:31,400 --> 00:21:34,080 Speaker 1: worst case scenario massive travel day. Yes, there are lots 394 00:21:34,080 --> 00:21:37,520 Speaker 1: of people trying to come back, especially into Johannesburg. I 395 00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:40,840 Speaker 1: would imagine perhaps one of the contributing causes was they 396 00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:43,879 Speaker 1: hadn't wanted delays earlier in the festive season, and so 397 00:21:44,320 --> 00:21:46,439 Speaker 1: they made sure everybody was ready for that, and this 398 00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:48,359 Speaker 1: was the sort of final big day and in the 399 00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:50,800 Speaker 1: end you just run out of people. It all builds 400 00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:51,400 Speaker 1: on itself. 401 00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:55,000 Speaker 5: Yeah, it does. And we don't know, we haven't obviously 402 00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:57,919 Speaker 5: got visibility of how they manage their staffing roster. 403 00:21:58,640 --> 00:21:58,840 Speaker 6: You know. 404 00:21:59,520 --> 00:22:02,200 Speaker 5: The bottom line is they should never allow for there 405 00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:05,359 Speaker 5: to be a capacity gap like that, shouldn't. We should 406 00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:08,080 Speaker 5: never reach this sort of situation. And you know, I 407 00:22:08,119 --> 00:22:11,399 Speaker 5: spoke to one airline today, Airlink. You got some of 408 00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:14,000 Speaker 5: their numbers. You know, they had initially in the morning, 409 00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:17,119 Speaker 5: thirty one flights delayed out of our Tambo. But the 410 00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:21,439 Speaker 5: knock on effect that that triggered, you know, meant another 411 00:22:21,520 --> 00:22:24,360 Speaker 5: sixty nine flights delayed throughout the rest of the day 412 00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:27,719 Speaker 5: and the average delay was about seventy five minutes. And 413 00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:29,720 Speaker 5: then on top of that, they had five aircraft that 414 00:22:29,760 --> 00:22:32,879 Speaker 5: had to divert because of that thunderstorm. Five went sorry, 415 00:22:32,920 --> 00:22:35,119 Speaker 5: four of them went to Faberon and one went to Durban. 416 00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:37,480 Speaker 5: But I'm aware a number of other airlines had some 417 00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:41,080 Speaker 5: of the problems. You know, some of the impact. Roughly 418 00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:44,359 Speaker 5: half of their flights affected yesterday. 419 00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:46,520 Speaker 1: Eight and s I mean in the headlines a lot 420 00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:49,600 Speaker 1: last year, United several conversations about it, says it's making 421 00:22:49,640 --> 00:22:53,520 Speaker 1: progress and fixing itself. It's you know, it's upfront about 422 00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:56,440 Speaker 1: the fact it needs more people. Do you see any progress? 423 00:22:56,480 --> 00:22:57,720 Speaker 1: I mean, do you see it moving in the right 424 00:22:57,760 --> 00:22:58,720 Speaker 1: direction at least? 425 00:22:59,680 --> 00:23:03,040 Speaker 5: I think, you know, the management of trying very hard. 426 00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:05,520 Speaker 5: But you know, even as of today, and I heard 427 00:23:05,520 --> 00:23:09,440 Speaker 5: this morning, there's you know that there are offers being 428 00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:11,960 Speaker 5: made to people who are currently employed at eight ands 429 00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:17,200 Speaker 5: to you know, but buy air navigation service providers and 430 00:23:17,240 --> 00:23:19,919 Speaker 5: other parts of the world. There's a global shortage of 431 00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:25,200 Speaker 5: those skills and experienced people are being offered top dollar 432 00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:28,840 Speaker 5: to move. So, you know, I anticipate we're going to 433 00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:31,640 Speaker 5: probably see some more people leaving before we get more 434 00:23:31,640 --> 00:23:34,560 Speaker 5: people joining. And then on top of that, you know, 435 00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:38,320 Speaker 5: we spoke last year about their suspension of all these 436 00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:42,639 Speaker 5: instrument flight procedures, and although they've made some progress in 437 00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:47,040 Speaker 5: reinstating the ones that they're suspended in July twenty twenty four, 438 00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:51,119 Speaker 5: in the last three months they've suspended many more because 439 00:23:51,160 --> 00:23:54,800 Speaker 5: they didn't get to revalidate them before they expired, the 440 00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:57,600 Speaker 5: most recent ones even on the ninth of December for 441 00:23:57,720 --> 00:23:59,080 Speaker 5: Johannesberg and for Kitan. 442 00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:04,919 Speaker 1: So what does it need now? Obviously in the end, 443 00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 1: these things always boil down to the same thing. This 444 00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:10,040 Speaker 1: is clearly an entity that would need more money for 445 00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:10,440 Speaker 1: a start. 446 00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:14,040 Speaker 5: Yeah, it needs more money. I think, you know, I 447 00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:17,399 Speaker 5: think the Minister and her advisory team maybe need to 448 00:24:17,440 --> 00:24:20,080 Speaker 5: cast the net a little wider in terms of speaking 449 00:24:20,080 --> 00:24:22,880 Speaker 5: to people about where are the problems, what's you know, 450 00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:26,800 Speaker 5: what's really going on For now, they've been quite confined 451 00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:30,000 Speaker 5: to listening to what AT and S tells them, but 452 00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:35,360 Speaker 5: maybe they should be also listening and hearing suggestions from 453 00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:38,119 Speaker 5: outside that I think we've also gotten. I've got to 454 00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:41,000 Speaker 5: you know, this is not AT and S's problem, but 455 00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:45,080 Speaker 5: the South African Civil Aviation Authority ultimately has to approve 456 00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:48,439 Speaker 5: everything and every one. All the air traffic controllers have 457 00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:51,440 Speaker 5: to be licensed by the South African Civil Aviation Authority. 458 00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:55,360 Speaker 5: And from what I'm hearing, they're running into some road 459 00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:57,760 Speaker 5: AT and S are running into some roadblocks with people 460 00:24:57,840 --> 00:25:01,840 Speaker 5: they'd like to hire to become airspace designers and procedure 461 00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:07,520 Speaker 5: designers because their qualifications or current licenses are not recognized 462 00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:13,679 Speaker 5: by the South Africa and so the CIA is asking 463 00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:15,520 Speaker 5: them to jump through some more hoops of fire. 464 00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:19,879 Speaker 1: Sure, thank you very much. Indeed, Lindon Burns, Managing director 465 00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:21,760 Speaker 1: of Plane Talking, you do get a sense in a 466 00:25:21,760 --> 00:25:24,080 Speaker 1: way just listening to that that things at at ands 467 00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:26,640 Speaker 1: are still creaking about, that they have not been able 468 00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:29,240 Speaker 1: to do everything they need to be and clearly there 469 00:25:29,280 --> 00:25:31,399 Speaker 1: is a lot more work to be done. I was 470 00:25:31,480 --> 00:25:33,640 Speaker 1: lucky enough not to be stuck in all of that yesterday. 471 00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:36,040 Speaker 1: I'm sure some people are traveling lean home on the 472 00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:39,280 Speaker 1: roads have some stories to tell as well about you 473 00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:42,000 Speaker 1: know how positive or negative that might well have been. 474 00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:45,199 Speaker 1: But also we really should not have another year of 475 00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:48,800 Speaker 1: air traffic navigation services story. Well, with just hours to 476 00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:51,119 Speaker 1: go until the end of twenty twenty five, there was 477 00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:54,560 Speaker 1: an announcement from Canoe Plus that twelve channels owned by 478 00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:58,919 Speaker 1: Warner Brothers Discovery, including CNN and Cartoon Network, would remain 479 00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:02,399 Speaker 1: on Deer TV. There'd been a warning to subscribers that 480 00:26:02,480 --> 00:26:06,240 Speaker 1: the channels would be removed because Warner Brothers and Canelplus 481 00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:09,919 Speaker 1: could not reach an agreement. Tinis Ferrera's experts on the 482 00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:14,320 Speaker 1: TV industry and a critic Tinis Good Evening. I remember 483 00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:17,399 Speaker 1: speaking to you at the end of last year and 484 00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:19,760 Speaker 1: you said it would probably come down to the last 485 00:26:19,800 --> 00:26:21,600 Speaker 1: minute and in the end they would probably be reach 486 00:26:21,640 --> 00:26:24,479 Speaker 1: an agreement. That's exactly what happened. What do you think 487 00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:25,640 Speaker 1: drove them there in the end? 488 00:26:27,440 --> 00:26:30,800 Speaker 8: In the run up, I asked both sides multiple times 489 00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:36,240 Speaker 8: if this Multi Choice and Warner Warner Bross Discovery negotiating 490 00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:40,480 Speaker 8: or is it Canal Plus. Turns out it was Canal Plus. 491 00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:44,520 Speaker 8: Turns out that it wasn't really about Africa, it was 492 00:26:44,560 --> 00:26:49,160 Speaker 8: more about Europe. Canal Plus sort of superseded and took 493 00:26:49,200 --> 00:26:52,400 Speaker 8: over from Multi Choice and because they wanted to negotiate 494 00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:57,840 Speaker 8: a better deal or expansion of the streaming service HBO Max, 495 00:26:58,240 --> 00:27:01,600 Speaker 8: as well as the same sort of continuation new carriage 496 00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:05,120 Speaker 8: deals for their channels across Europe and also into new 497 00:27:05,280 --> 00:27:09,280 Speaker 8: territories new countries like Belgium and Austria. They sort of 498 00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:13,479 Speaker 8: lumped the Africa meaning South Africa part of the rights 499 00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:18,320 Speaker 8: deal into the broader European deal as a subset, so 500 00:27:19,320 --> 00:27:21,800 Speaker 8: they kind of played a little bit hardball in that way. 501 00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:24,240 Speaker 8: It wasn't just sort of the Africa deals that they 502 00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:28,639 Speaker 8: were looking at renegotiating. It was actually sort of a 503 00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:31,280 Speaker 8: bigger part of their business in Europe as well, where 504 00:27:31,440 --> 00:27:33,959 Speaker 8: Canal Plus is obviously based as a fringe company. 505 00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:35,879 Speaker 1: So I mean this was in the end around the 506 00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:38,840 Speaker 1: fact that d STV's new owners have scale, and that 507 00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:42,160 Speaker 1: scale really works if you're dealing with the company, even 508 00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:43,800 Speaker 1: one the size of Warner Brothers. 509 00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:47,360 Speaker 8: Yes, and I actually have another shock that I can 510 00:27:47,400 --> 00:27:49,640 Speaker 8: tell you now. I haven't even reported about it dead, 511 00:27:49,800 --> 00:27:54,760 Speaker 8: but breaking news is that this does not include the 512 00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:59,520 Speaker 8: continuation of HBO and Warner Brothers content like the films 513 00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:03,560 Speaker 8: and tvsh shows for Showmacs, So that content is starting 514 00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:07,160 Speaker 8: to disappear from Showmax, which I think is very bad 515 00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:10,360 Speaker 8: for Multi Choice and Canal Plus since they've bought literally 516 00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:14,800 Speaker 8: billions with the Bee into starting that or relaunching that 517 00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:19,760 Speaker 8: streaming service. And what Warner has told me is that 518 00:28:19,800 --> 00:28:24,000 Speaker 8: they are still negotiating now worth Canal Plus for a 519 00:28:24,119 --> 00:28:28,960 Speaker 8: separate agreement for Showmacs. I've asked them told what the 520 00:28:29,040 --> 00:28:33,080 Speaker 8: dadline is for the two sites for this, and I 521 00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:36,119 Speaker 8: didn't get an answer yet. And literally what I was 522 00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:39,440 Speaker 8: told by Warner was that unless a new agreement is reached, 523 00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:42,840 Speaker 8: and I quote they say, popular series such as Friends, 524 00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:45,440 Speaker 8: Game of Thrones, the Last of Ours, along with blockbuster 525 00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:49,080 Speaker 8: films like Superman and Barbie, will continue to be unavailable 526 00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:53,040 Speaker 8: on multi choice platforms. And I heard this afternoon from 527 00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:57,160 Speaker 8: several showmacs subscribers who were like, oh, after Christmas, I 528 00:28:57,200 --> 00:29:00,160 Speaker 8: wanted to continue watching the show. This just disappeared. That 529 00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:03,400 Speaker 8: just disappeared. Shows that are gone or like Deep the Wire, 530 00:29:03,480 --> 00:29:07,040 Speaker 8: Game of Thrones and Secure Successions, Sopranos, left overs, some 531 00:29:07,080 --> 00:29:10,040 Speaker 8: of the newer types that's also on m A Penguin 532 00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:13,480 Speaker 8: It Deiry. They are still available and I will check 533 00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:16,720 Speaker 8: whether they disappear. So it's almost like one of those 534 00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:20,479 Speaker 8: Maguia episodes where you sort of diffuse the bomb and 535 00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:25,480 Speaker 8: the red digit stop and then suddenly they continue to 536 00:29:25,600 --> 00:29:28,640 Speaker 8: count down again, so we're once again in a countdown. 537 00:29:28,840 --> 00:29:31,800 Speaker 1: I love the way you put that. I presume for 538 00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:34,760 Speaker 1: Warner Brothers, they know the value of that particular content, 539 00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:38,440 Speaker 1: quality content. They're the only ones worth it as they 540 00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:40,600 Speaker 1: made it. Then as a result of that, they're really 541 00:29:40,760 --> 00:29:43,920 Speaker 1: even against Connel Plus have quite quite a lot of leverage. 542 00:29:43,520 --> 00:29:46,600 Speaker 8: For something like show Listen to this sentence also that 543 00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:49,320 Speaker 8: they sent me literally just a few hours ago in 544 00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:53,960 Speaker 8: parallel and I quote again Warner Bross Discovery is exploring 545 00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:58,560 Speaker 8: alternative avenues to ensure consumers have future access to our 546 00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:02,440 Speaker 8: world class content from a being Warner brass Roose. Alternatives 547 00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:05,880 Speaker 8: to DStv, we have none, There's only streamers. So are 548 00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:10,240 Speaker 8: they talking to maybe with Netflix in Africa or South 549 00:30:10,280 --> 00:30:13,160 Speaker 8: Africa to put some of the HBO shows on there 550 00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:15,360 Speaker 8: in the way that we've been able to see the 551 00:30:15,360 --> 00:30:20,280 Speaker 8: Harry potterforms on Netflix. It's something that a'll track this week. 552 00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:23,400 Speaker 1: Sure, that is that is interesting, Tina's I mean, I 553 00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:25,480 Speaker 1: get a sense that this is a big year for 554 00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:29,160 Speaker 1: the DStv platform run as it is now owners it 555 00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:32,200 Speaker 1: is now by Canolplus. It's been under intense pressure for 556 00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:36,480 Speaker 1: a long time, no real changes. I would imagine if 557 00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:40,000 Speaker 1: I were the person in charge for Canolplus that I 558 00:30:40,000 --> 00:30:42,040 Speaker 1: would be looking at making quite a lot of changes 559 00:30:42,040 --> 00:30:44,200 Speaker 1: and suddenly having to do that without some of the 560 00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:45,640 Speaker 1: content it might have been relying upon. 561 00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:48,800 Speaker 8: Who knows whether they're going to keep show max alive 562 00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:51,360 Speaker 8: or whether they're going to discover a big, gaping black 563 00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:55,240 Speaker 8: hole that they sort of decide they rather going to 564 00:30:55,240 --> 00:30:59,840 Speaker 8: walk away with. Today is also quite coincidentally the first 565 00:30:59,840 --> 00:31:03,960 Speaker 8: few anniversary of the start of South African television, and 566 00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:07,480 Speaker 8: then later in the year will be the fortieth anniversary 567 00:31:07,600 --> 00:31:11,000 Speaker 8: of EMMET. It will be we'll have to see whether 568 00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:14,719 Speaker 8: EMMET even still exists without HBO content or things like 569 00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:19,120 Speaker 8: that on it. And a source told me over the 570 00:31:19,160 --> 00:31:25,000 Speaker 8: weekend that the French owners are actually quite eager to impress, 571 00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:28,640 Speaker 8: and I didn't say anything back, but I just thought, well, 572 00:31:28,800 --> 00:31:32,720 Speaker 8: what so far they haven't really impressed or made like 573 00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:34,000 Speaker 8: a post of impression. 574 00:31:35,000 --> 00:31:37,719 Speaker 1: So there are options. Now you could get a lot cheaper. 575 00:31:37,800 --> 00:31:40,880 Speaker 1: That may be something they have to do, maybe become 576 00:31:41,240 --> 00:31:43,479 Speaker 1: a sort of streaming service that competes a little bit 577 00:31:43,520 --> 00:31:46,400 Speaker 1: on price they are more expensive than others. Or they're 578 00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:49,400 Speaker 1: going to have to do something extraordinary with the live 579 00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:52,880 Speaker 1: sport when particularly, I suppose in our terms, the rugby 580 00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:53,680 Speaker 1: season gets. 581 00:31:53,440 --> 00:31:55,720 Speaker 8: Going, I so agree with you, they will have to 582 00:31:55,880 --> 00:32:01,520 Speaker 8: do some fundamental sort of house cleaning or reorganized or restructuring, 583 00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:04,360 Speaker 8: because all of like the trinkets and balves and whistles, 584 00:32:04,600 --> 00:32:08,320 Speaker 8: they will say, oh, we're opening channels for free, for 585 00:32:08,640 --> 00:32:12,400 Speaker 8: a premium subscribe, or for lower tiered subscribers who can 586 00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:15,440 Speaker 8: watch the same as premium subscribers, or they will do 587 00:32:15,520 --> 00:32:17,880 Speaker 8: this or that. I mean, none of that really fundamentally 588 00:32:17,960 --> 00:32:22,040 Speaker 8: changes the value option of how DStv currently looks and structures. 589 00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:25,480 Speaker 8: It's really going to shape up to be a very 590 00:32:25,520 --> 00:32:28,400 Speaker 8: interesting year to see whether they are maybe going to 591 00:32:28,440 --> 00:32:31,720 Speaker 8: spin off all of the sport content as a separate 592 00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:34,880 Speaker 8: package or really do big things like that to try 593 00:32:34,880 --> 00:32:38,360 Speaker 8: and sort of stop the hammering of subscribers and to 594 00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:43,360 Speaker 8: sort of re endear themselves to subscribers who've already cut 595 00:32:43,400 --> 00:32:44,320 Speaker 8: the cord and gone away. 596 00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:46,280 Speaker 1: And I mean in the same time in the States, 597 00:32:46,320 --> 00:32:49,560 Speaker 1: because of the paramount issue and Netflix, I mean, the 598 00:32:49,600 --> 00:32:51,840 Speaker 1: whole industry could actually be turned on its head a 599 00:32:51,880 --> 00:32:54,760 Speaker 1: little bit. This could suddenly be a very consequential year 600 00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:55,360 Speaker 1: for streaming. 601 00:32:55,840 --> 00:32:58,880 Speaker 8: I thought twenty twenty five or so tumultuous and just 602 00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:01,720 Speaker 8: sort of like, look at how this year's already shaping up. 603 00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:04,760 Speaker 8: I cannot even imagine. Over the weekend, I thought, oh, 604 00:33:04,800 --> 00:33:06,600 Speaker 8: I have to do sort of like a trained story 605 00:33:06,640 --> 00:33:09,400 Speaker 8: for what's happening and coming for South African television for 606 00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:12,800 Speaker 8: the year. And I actually thought, whatever I come up 607 00:33:12,840 --> 00:33:16,320 Speaker 8: with I'm probably going to be surprised come December. 608 00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:18,880 Speaker 1: And then obviously, tiness I mean, so many other things 609 00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:21,520 Speaker 1: are going to be going on at this point in 610 00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:25,880 Speaker 1: the end, the story actually has become as interesting in 611 00:33:25,920 --> 00:33:28,480 Speaker 1: the streaming industry are some of the stuff they've been showing. 612 00:33:28,800 --> 00:33:34,320 Speaker 8: They are consolidating, they are continuing sort of this one 613 00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:37,640 Speaker 8: upmanship of more and more content, which is not churning 614 00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:41,120 Speaker 8: out more and more shows and big budgets on content spent, 615 00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:45,400 Speaker 8: which is obviously unsustainable. We're going to see we will 616 00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:48,840 Speaker 8: have to see more of these mergers between the streamers. 617 00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:51,840 Speaker 8: We're going to see what's going to happen whether Paramount 618 00:33:51,880 --> 00:33:56,440 Speaker 8: or Netflix gobbles up HBO, what happens to HBO Max, 619 00:33:56,480 --> 00:33:59,080 Speaker 8: which is a streamer we don't get in South Africa yet. 620 00:33:59,320 --> 00:34:02,840 Speaker 8: So I think it's going to be very stormy weather 621 00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:03,840 Speaker 8: for the year. 622 00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:06,560 Speaker 1: For TV and Fulm deiness Er, thank you so much. 623 00:34:06,600 --> 00:34:08,440 Speaker 1: Expert on the TV industries you can hear, and a 624 00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:14,239 Speaker 1: TV critic as well. The Money Show with Well, you've 625 00:34:14,280 --> 00:34:16,919 Speaker 1: heard about the big fuel price decrease, You've heard about 626 00:34:16,920 --> 00:34:19,360 Speaker 1: the increase in platinum and gold prices. You've heard the 627 00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:21,560 Speaker 1: bullish outlook for the year. If that wasn't enough good 628 00:34:21,600 --> 00:34:24,440 Speaker 1: news for you, well, then a report on moneyweb today 629 00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:29,160 Speaker 1: pointing out that ESKIM has excess generation capacity. Basically, it 630 00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:33,600 Speaker 1: switched off over thirteen thousand megawatts of electricity generation capacity 631 00:34:33,880 --> 00:34:36,520 Speaker 1: because it has too much. Also, I must just point 632 00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:39,640 Speaker 1: out because of the holiday season, Jusso Maleisha is an 633 00:34:39,760 --> 00:34:42,400 Speaker 1: energy experts say good evening and thanks so much for 634 00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:44,799 Speaker 1: your time. There was a time when I sort of 635 00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:47,520 Speaker 1: used to dread the holiday season. That meant Esquim would 636 00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:51,080 Speaker 1: do intense maintenance. We would have big, endless debates will 637 00:34:51,120 --> 00:34:55,239 Speaker 1: there be enough electricity for Christmas dinner? Now suddenly we 638 00:34:55,360 --> 00:34:57,120 Speaker 1: see how things have really changed. 639 00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:03,759 Speaker 9: Things have really changed, and they've changed for their positives, 640 00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:10,000 Speaker 9: and so we are seeing now excess capacity that's available, 641 00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:15,480 Speaker 9: particularly during the holiday season when the demand is relatively low, 642 00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:19,239 Speaker 9: with factories and industries closed at that time. 643 00:35:20,760 --> 00:35:23,040 Speaker 1: How much of this is about the drop and demand 644 00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:25,480 Speaker 1: and how much of it is about people getting the 645 00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:28,600 Speaker 1: electricity from somewhere else. I suppose what I'm really asking 646 00:35:28,680 --> 00:35:30,680 Speaker 1: is how much of it is seasonal? I mean, I'm 647 00:35:30,719 --> 00:35:33,319 Speaker 1: sure anyone driving through some of the rural areas as 648 00:35:33,360 --> 00:35:35,160 Speaker 1: I was during a holiday period I mean you see 649 00:35:35,160 --> 00:35:38,480 Speaker 1: solar panels in so many places. 650 00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:42,839 Speaker 9: Now it's largely I mean there is a contribution of 651 00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:46,200 Speaker 9: different sources that are coming in that no one can 652 00:35:46,280 --> 00:35:50,640 Speaker 9: run away from that. But during the summer period, so 653 00:35:51,880 --> 00:35:54,960 Speaker 9: the summer period, you have a lot of excess capacity, 654 00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:59,600 Speaker 9: especially during the holidays. This is mainly because if I 655 00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:03,600 Speaker 9: mentioned earlier on, a lot of the factories are closed, 656 00:36:03,640 --> 00:36:08,600 Speaker 9: so the demand is relatively low and so there's that 657 00:36:08,800 --> 00:36:12,799 Speaker 9: capacity available. So what s COM has been saying with 658 00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:16,200 Speaker 9: some of the excess capacities that they this is the 659 00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:19,200 Speaker 9: reason why the minister says there's a need to improve 660 00:36:20,120 --> 00:36:23,800 Speaker 9: performance on the distribution side so that some of these 661 00:36:24,200 --> 00:36:28,000 Speaker 9: electricity that's available can go to the distribution side. And 662 00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:31,920 Speaker 9: I mean that by that load reduction that is happening, 663 00:36:32,040 --> 00:36:35,520 Speaker 9: So that's part of that. Yes, there is of course 664 00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:39,920 Speaker 9: people who are putting in their own systems, but remember 665 00:36:39,960 --> 00:36:42,080 Speaker 9: that some of the people that are putting in solar 666 00:36:42,120 --> 00:36:46,000 Speaker 9: panels when there's no availability, they still pack up through 667 00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:46,439 Speaker 9: es COM. 668 00:36:47,080 --> 00:36:50,200 Speaker 1: So if you look at where ESKIM is now, and 669 00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:52,719 Speaker 1: I mean I remember we used to get usually during 670 00:36:52,760 --> 00:36:55,120 Speaker 1: the winter period, we'll be told what the annual peak 671 00:36:55,200 --> 00:36:58,480 Speaker 1: production was the highest number or the highest amount of 672 00:36:58,520 --> 00:37:01,880 Speaker 1: electricity escape it produced in that Yeah, do you expect 673 00:37:02,040 --> 00:37:05,520 Speaker 1: that that figure is never going to go up that 674 00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:09,640 Speaker 1: Eskim's actual annual peak production. I hope I've got the 675 00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:12,520 Speaker 1: term correct. Well, decline a little bit. There's a lot 676 00:37:12,520 --> 00:37:16,320 Speaker 1: more electricity being produced by independent power producers, by wind 677 00:37:16,360 --> 00:37:20,400 Speaker 1: farms I drove through over the weekend, by various other places. 678 00:37:20,440 --> 00:37:23,759 Speaker 1: I mean, just Eskum itself is going to generate will 679 00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:26,440 Speaker 1: probably never generate as much electricity as it did. 680 00:37:26,680 --> 00:37:29,960 Speaker 9: It determined what happens on the demand side. If there 681 00:37:29,960 --> 00:37:33,520 Speaker 9: are industries that are cropping up, then they will still 682 00:37:33,520 --> 00:37:37,520 Speaker 9: be demand for the electricity. But if the industries shutting. 683 00:37:37,200 --> 00:37:38,680 Speaker 8: Down, as you know some are. 684 00:37:40,239 --> 00:37:44,279 Speaker 9: Then there will be excess capacity. But remember then in 685 00:37:44,360 --> 00:37:49,200 Speaker 9: winter acking we in summer typically also tend to do 686 00:37:49,280 --> 00:37:52,600 Speaker 9: a lot more maintenance to take advantage of the fact 687 00:37:52,640 --> 00:37:56,880 Speaker 9: that there's less demand, and then in winter there's relatively 688 00:37:56,920 --> 00:37:59,719 Speaker 9: more demand, so they also play with that. So those 689 00:37:59,719 --> 00:38:01,600 Speaker 9: are the three elements are coming to play. 690 00:38:02,239 --> 00:38:04,359 Speaker 1: You made the point, and this important point that Eskum 691 00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:07,719 Speaker 1: has to keep some based load capacity. It has to 692 00:38:07,719 --> 00:38:10,160 Speaker 1: be able to turn on the co fired power stations 693 00:38:10,200 --> 00:38:13,960 Speaker 1: in case there's you know, bad weather stops the production 694 00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:17,960 Speaker 1: of solar electricity, cloud de rain or whatever it is. 695 00:38:18,880 --> 00:38:19,640 Speaker 2: With more and more. 696 00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:22,879 Speaker 1: Electricity coming from solar, is it going to be more 697 00:38:22,920 --> 00:38:25,960 Speaker 1: important for Eskum's weather predictions to be accurate. You can't 698 00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:28,640 Speaker 1: just switch on those co fire power stations at the 699 00:38:28,680 --> 00:38:30,560 Speaker 1: flick of a switch. That take about eighteen hours if 700 00:38:30,560 --> 00:38:33,319 Speaker 1: I remember correctly to warm up. To put it another way, 701 00:38:34,560 --> 00:38:37,200 Speaker 1: could we have the next time we have load shedding, 702 00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:40,000 Speaker 1: it won't be because ESKIM doesn't have enough electricity. It'll 703 00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:42,399 Speaker 1: because it might be because someone got the weather wrong. 704 00:38:43,520 --> 00:38:48,360 Speaker 9: No, the system operator is actually well and renowned, especially 705 00:38:48,440 --> 00:38:52,280 Speaker 9: the South Afriquan South Africa one for managing the system 706 00:38:52,760 --> 00:38:56,320 Speaker 9: up to a second in terms of their demand supply. 707 00:38:56,840 --> 00:39:00,759 Speaker 9: So when there's excess demand that it cannot be they 708 00:39:00,800 --> 00:39:05,080 Speaker 9: have to switch off and when there's the additional supply 709 00:39:05,200 --> 00:39:09,200 Speaker 9: required then they have to put back on the call. 710 00:39:09,280 --> 00:39:12,880 Speaker 9: Fired prop plants generally generate for twenty four to seven 711 00:39:13,440 --> 00:39:16,239 Speaker 9: unless there's too much capacity then they have to be 712 00:39:16,280 --> 00:39:20,520 Speaker 9: put down, but they generally generate and when there's excess 713 00:39:20,600 --> 00:39:24,240 Speaker 9: demand then they use the peakers to meet that demand. 714 00:39:24,280 --> 00:39:27,160 Speaker 9: So it depends on there. But the system operator literally 715 00:39:27,239 --> 00:39:30,400 Speaker 9: minute by minute monitors what happens, and they're on point 716 00:39:30,480 --> 00:39:30,799 Speaker 9: on that. 717 00:39:31,560 --> 00:39:33,600 Speaker 1: I mean, it is still amazing to me how quickly 718 00:39:33,640 --> 00:39:37,080 Speaker 1: electricity is turned around, and it does make you wonder 719 00:39:37,080 --> 00:39:39,040 Speaker 1: if this could have happened a lot earlier with the 720 00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:42,560 Speaker 1: right management. The only sort of frustrating aspect of it, I. 721 00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:44,640 Speaker 9: Mean, most of us had been saying that, but no 722 00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:49,399 Speaker 9: one cared to listen that the system does have enough capacity. 723 00:39:49,800 --> 00:39:53,279 Speaker 9: The problem was that the maintenance of the plants, the 724 00:39:53,400 --> 00:39:57,480 Speaker 9: running of the system in general, and just generally within 725 00:39:57,719 --> 00:40:00,680 Speaker 9: es come some of the issues that related to financing. 726 00:40:01,239 --> 00:40:04,960 Speaker 9: So Caapman came to the party at some point helping 727 00:40:05,120 --> 00:40:07,680 Speaker 9: ESCOM with the debt. They did not do that for 728 00:40:07,719 --> 00:40:10,280 Speaker 9: a very long time. At some point they have seven 729 00:40:10,680 --> 00:40:15,239 Speaker 9: members that way and not they can't port suits and 730 00:40:15,320 --> 00:40:19,920 Speaker 9: so all of those different things, finally with a will 731 00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:22,719 Speaker 9: power from a political point of view to resolved them, 732 00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:26,000 Speaker 9: have been resolved. But they could have been resolved earlier in. 733 00:40:25,920 --> 00:40:27,120 Speaker 2: My view of course. 734 00:40:27,320 --> 00:40:29,279 Speaker 1: Thanks so much. Good to talk to you. Maleish is 735 00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:32,160 Speaker 1: an energy expert. So much to think about with electricity, 736 00:40:32,200 --> 00:40:34,520 Speaker 1: and so much positive news coming out of it, as well. 737 00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:36,880 Speaker 8: The money show business books. 738 00:40:36,920 --> 00:40:38,960 Speaker 1: One of the most enjoyable things I was able to 739 00:40:38,960 --> 00:40:41,080 Speaker 1: do over the holiday period was to spend quite a 740 00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:44,160 Speaker 1: bit of time immersed in books. I use an e 741 00:40:44,280 --> 00:40:48,560 Speaker 1: book reader that still I went through several books. One book, 742 00:40:48,680 --> 00:40:51,560 Speaker 1: The War That Ended Piece The Road to nineteen fourteen 743 00:40:51,600 --> 00:40:55,040 Speaker 1: by Margaret McMillin reminded me of something that I found 744 00:40:55,040 --> 00:40:57,759 Speaker 1: a little bit disturbing that before the start of the 745 00:40:57,800 --> 00:41:01,200 Speaker 1: First World War, Germany and the UN we're each other's 746 00:41:01,239 --> 00:41:04,400 Speaker 1: biggest trading partners. Does it remind you of who the 747 00:41:04,440 --> 00:41:07,759 Speaker 1: world's too biggest trading partners are right now? Of course, 748 00:41:07,800 --> 00:41:11,840 Speaker 1: the US and China. I found that a little bit disturbing. 749 00:41:11,960 --> 00:41:15,400 Speaker 1: Someone else, who I suspect spent his festive season immersed 750 00:41:15,440 --> 00:41:17,359 Speaker 1: in books and he decided to take a deeper look 751 00:41:17,360 --> 00:41:20,000 Speaker 1: into the world of journalism, was Peter Detroy. He's the 752 00:41:20,040 --> 00:41:23,399 Speaker 1: assistant editor for Investigations at News twenty four. He's also 753 00:41:23,440 --> 00:41:25,600 Speaker 1: the author of the book The Dark Prince, the unauthorized 754 00:41:25,600 --> 00:41:29,040 Speaker 1: biography of Paul Mashatila. Peter A Good Evening, you spent 755 00:41:29,080 --> 00:41:31,879 Speaker 1: your holiday reading a book called A Good Life. It's 756 00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:35,600 Speaker 1: the memoir of the legendary American journalist Ben Bradley, He 757 00:41:35,640 --> 00:41:37,719 Speaker 1: of course, was the editor of the Washington Post when 758 00:41:37,719 --> 00:41:40,480 Speaker 1: it first broke the Watergate scandal. He was kind of 759 00:41:40,520 --> 00:41:44,240 Speaker 1: at the center of journalism during a very important period 760 00:41:44,320 --> 00:41:47,680 Speaker 1: in US politics. What was it that drew you to 761 00:41:47,760 --> 00:41:48,280 Speaker 1: that book? 762 00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:51,880 Speaker 4: Good evening, Stephen, Yes, and then good to be speaking 763 00:41:51,880 --> 00:41:54,440 Speaker 4: to you earlier in the year with all the turmoil 764 00:41:54,520 --> 00:41:58,640 Speaker 4: that seems to come with the end of the previous 765 00:41:58,680 --> 00:42:01,880 Speaker 4: one and the start of every new year. Look Ben Bradley, 766 00:42:02,000 --> 00:42:04,200 Speaker 4: as you, as you correctly pointed out as one of 767 00:42:04,200 --> 00:42:08,040 Speaker 4: the biggest and most legendary newspaper editors in the world. 768 00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:12,360 Speaker 4: He edited The Washington Post between nineteen sixty five and 769 00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:17,480 Speaker 4: nineteen ninety one, and during that period helped to elevate 770 00:42:17,560 --> 00:42:23,120 Speaker 4: the Washington Post, which really was a flailing local newspaper 771 00:42:23,160 --> 00:42:25,839 Speaker 4: when he took over the editorship in nineteen sixty five, 772 00:42:26,320 --> 00:42:29,359 Speaker 4: to rival to the point where it rivaled the New 773 00:42:29,440 --> 00:42:33,400 Speaker 4: York Times as a national newspaper in the United States, 774 00:42:33,640 --> 00:42:37,680 Speaker 4: certainly as a paper now that while it might not 775 00:42:38,400 --> 00:42:41,640 Speaker 4: have the reach, the and the size of the New 776 00:42:41,719 --> 00:42:44,760 Speaker 4: York Times, certainly is considered one of the world's great papers. 777 00:42:44,760 --> 00:42:49,239 Speaker 4: And during his tenure as editor in chief or executive 778 00:42:49,360 --> 00:42:51,640 Speaker 4: editor as they call it in the United States. He 779 00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:58,480 Speaker 4: oversaw obviously the Watergate coverage into corruption in the US government, 780 00:42:58,560 --> 00:43:03,160 Speaker 4: into corruption and the next Strausian and then he oversaw 781 00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:06,400 Speaker 4: the publication of the Pentagon Papers, which showed that the 782 00:43:06,520 --> 00:43:10,200 Speaker 4: US government lied to the US public over a period 783 00:43:10,239 --> 00:43:13,960 Speaker 4: of time in relation to the real state of affairs 784 00:43:13,960 --> 00:43:16,760 Speaker 4: in Vietnam. So I really enjoyed it from a journalists 785 00:43:16,760 --> 00:43:21,520 Speaker 4: point of view. Enjoyed, you know, just getting affirmation about 786 00:43:21,520 --> 00:43:24,440 Speaker 4: what the job is that we do, why we do it, 787 00:43:24,520 --> 00:43:28,240 Speaker 4: you know, how we how we as journalists hold people 788 00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:31,680 Speaker 4: and people with power specifically into account, how how we 789 00:43:31,760 --> 00:43:35,040 Speaker 4: hold those in political power to account. And Bradley was 790 00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:38,200 Speaker 4: someone that was able to navigate some of some of 791 00:43:38,239 --> 00:43:41,480 Speaker 4: our you know, biggest stories over the last half century 792 00:43:41,560 --> 00:43:44,480 Speaker 4: or so, and it was fascinating to get an insight 793 00:43:44,560 --> 00:43:45,120 Speaker 4: look into that. 794 00:43:45,560 --> 00:43:47,560 Speaker 1: I mean, if you think about sort of the Nixon 795 00:43:47,640 --> 00:43:50,440 Speaker 1: era that you were reading about, and you think, maybe, 796 00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:53,799 Speaker 1: I suppose to an extent, the Zoomer era, you know, 797 00:43:53,880 --> 00:43:57,719 Speaker 1: someone forced to kind of resign through sort of democratic processes, 798 00:43:57,880 --> 00:44:00,440 Speaker 1: I mean, there's some very interesting parallel. I mean, they 799 00:44:00,440 --> 00:44:02,400 Speaker 1: did very different things of course, but very interesting. 800 00:44:02,480 --> 00:44:07,200 Speaker 4: Thee else absolutely, you know. And and it's you mentioned 801 00:44:07,200 --> 00:44:09,839 Speaker 4: the book about the First World War, and I read 802 00:44:09,880 --> 00:44:12,360 Speaker 4: that same book and it was fascinating to see. You know, 803 00:44:12,600 --> 00:44:14,960 Speaker 4: history doesn't repeat, but at rhymes, doesn't it, you know. 804 00:44:15,160 --> 00:44:18,040 Speaker 4: And and and we we might think that the Zoomer 805 00:44:18,080 --> 00:44:21,800 Speaker 4: era might be, might be, might be, might be abnormal. 806 00:44:21,840 --> 00:44:24,200 Speaker 4: You might think that the Nixon era might have been abnormal. 807 00:44:24,239 --> 00:44:28,680 Speaker 4: But you know, in the end, when when politicians are 808 00:44:28,800 --> 00:44:32,480 Speaker 4: given and when they assume political powt it tends to 809 00:44:32,480 --> 00:44:36,080 Speaker 4: to have an adverse effect on people's judgment. And Nixon 810 00:44:36,239 --> 00:44:40,000 Speaker 4: was fascinating because it wasn't inas much the the deed 811 00:44:40,080 --> 00:44:42,640 Speaker 4: of the breaking at the Watergate hotel that sank next 812 00:44:42,640 --> 00:44:44,440 Speaker 4: and it was the it was a lie, it was 813 00:44:44,440 --> 00:44:46,400 Speaker 4: a cover up, it was the it was the it 814 00:44:46,520 --> 00:44:51,359 Speaker 4: was a persistent denials of the reportage in the Washington Park. 815 00:44:51,520 --> 00:44:53,600 Speaker 4: And see what it was fascinating was that Ben Bradley 816 00:44:53,680 --> 00:44:56,400 Speaker 4: was the editor and the subject of his book. You know, 817 00:44:56,440 --> 00:44:58,680 Speaker 4: he was very close to politicians. He was very close 818 00:44:58,719 --> 00:45:01,640 Speaker 4: to John F. Kennedy. He was very you became friends 819 00:45:01,640 --> 00:45:04,920 Speaker 4: with Kennedy before Kennedy was even a presidential candidate, and 820 00:45:05,000 --> 00:45:07,640 Speaker 4: he found it very difficult to navigate his friendship with 821 00:45:07,719 --> 00:45:10,680 Speaker 4: Kennedy when Kennedy was president. And you and I, you know, 822 00:45:10,680 --> 00:45:12,719 Speaker 4: who've been in this business for a while, you know, 823 00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:16,560 Speaker 4: we we you know, we need to navigate the spaces 824 00:45:16,600 --> 00:45:20,240 Speaker 4: between ourselves and those who have power, whether it's economic power, 825 00:45:20,239 --> 00:45:24,120 Speaker 4: cultural power, or political power, very adroctly, because it sometimes 826 00:45:24,360 --> 00:45:27,319 Speaker 4: does become difficult because you need to manage sources, you 827 00:45:27,360 --> 00:45:29,439 Speaker 4: need to manage people you speak to, but you also 828 00:45:29,520 --> 00:45:31,840 Speaker 4: need to understand that you do the job in behalf 829 00:45:31,880 --> 00:45:34,319 Speaker 4: of the public, and you are never friends with the 830 00:45:34,360 --> 00:45:35,440 Speaker 4: people that you write about. 831 00:45:36,000 --> 00:45:37,480 Speaker 1: I mean, I find I find that's one of the 832 00:45:37,520 --> 00:45:41,240 Speaker 1: interesting tensions about journalism and journalists and politicians can actually 833 00:45:41,239 --> 00:45:44,480 Speaker 1: be quite similar. Bradley spent a lot of time reporting 834 00:45:44,520 --> 00:45:47,560 Speaker 1: on US presidents or editing the reporting on US presidents. 835 00:45:47,880 --> 00:45:51,719 Speaker 1: We're in a completely different era now, and I mean 836 00:45:51,760 --> 00:45:54,320 Speaker 1: you would have had journalists in the Oval office within 837 00:45:54,400 --> 00:45:58,000 Speaker 1: the Trump administration. I mean I kind of often look 838 00:45:58,040 --> 00:46:00,719 Speaker 1: at the US sort of journalistic pack and think, I 839 00:46:00,760 --> 00:46:04,640 Speaker 1: think two things. Firstly, Trump is loving it. He's absolutely 840 00:46:04,760 --> 00:46:05,640 Speaker 1: loving the attention. 841 00:46:05,719 --> 00:46:06,480 Speaker 2: That's why he does it. 842 00:46:07,480 --> 00:46:10,879 Speaker 1: And secondly, if I were a journalist there, I don't 843 00:46:10,880 --> 00:46:12,520 Speaker 1: think I'd have any other choice but to do what 844 00:46:12,560 --> 00:46:14,400 Speaker 1: they do. I find that very disconcerting. 845 00:46:15,280 --> 00:46:18,480 Speaker 4: I agree with you, and and Bradley was very firm, 846 00:46:18,640 --> 00:46:21,360 Speaker 4: you know, when when Kennedy died, there was there was 847 00:46:21,400 --> 00:46:25,640 Speaker 4: a moment where he realized that their relationship was not 848 00:46:25,800 --> 00:46:28,680 Speaker 4: one of friendship, that Kennedy used him, and that he 849 00:46:28,800 --> 00:46:31,160 Speaker 4: might have believed that he was friends with Kennedy, but 850 00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:33,880 Speaker 4: but but I never really were. And it was the 851 00:46:33,920 --> 00:46:39,000 Speaker 4: moment when the when when Kennedy's body arrived back in Washington, 852 00:46:39,840 --> 00:46:43,800 Speaker 4: he rushed to the medical or the military hospital outside 853 00:46:43,840 --> 00:46:47,400 Speaker 4: of Washington, DC because him and his wife waited for 854 00:46:47,480 --> 00:46:51,120 Speaker 4: Jackie Kennedy to arrive back in Washington. And the first 855 00:46:51,120 --> 00:46:53,200 Speaker 4: thing she said to him was this is not to 856 00:46:53,280 --> 00:46:55,400 Speaker 4: print in your paper. And then he realized that she 857 00:46:55,600 --> 00:46:58,080 Speaker 4: never considered him a friend and that that there never 858 00:46:58,120 --> 00:47:02,040 Speaker 4: really was a proper friendship. So so after that, following that, 859 00:47:02,120 --> 00:47:06,239 Speaker 4: the Johnson years, the Nixon years, the Reagan years, the 860 00:47:06,800 --> 00:47:09,560 Speaker 4: start of the Clinton presidency or the Clinton era, you know, 861 00:47:09,680 --> 00:47:12,439 Speaker 4: he was very adamant and firm about the fact that 862 00:47:12,760 --> 00:47:16,280 Speaker 4: the Washington Post, the journalists that work there, the Bernstein's 863 00:47:16,320 --> 00:47:19,799 Speaker 4: The Woodwards Bradley himself, who was the editor. They were 864 00:47:19,840 --> 00:47:22,560 Speaker 4: not there to be liked. They were they were there. 865 00:47:22,600 --> 00:47:25,520 Speaker 4: Their job, peer and simple, was to get the truth up. 866 00:47:26,040 --> 00:47:28,719 Speaker 4: It doesn't matter what the administration thought, it doesn't matter 867 00:47:28,760 --> 00:47:31,520 Speaker 4: who was in power. Their relationship was with their readers. 868 00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:33,920 Speaker 4: And that's where it started and ended nothing. You know, 869 00:47:34,000 --> 00:47:36,120 Speaker 4: I think you're right. I think the press in the 870 00:47:36,200 --> 00:47:39,160 Speaker 4: US seemed to be browbeaten, Stephen. You know, they seem 871 00:47:39,200 --> 00:47:42,200 Speaker 4: to be beaten it to submission by not only by 872 00:47:42,200 --> 00:47:46,440 Speaker 4: the hard handedness with which the Trump administration is handling 873 00:47:46,520 --> 00:47:49,279 Speaker 4: the media, but also by the pure velocity and the 874 00:47:49,360 --> 00:47:52,400 Speaker 4: speed with which things are changing. It's almost impossible to 875 00:47:52,480 --> 00:47:56,160 Speaker 4: take a step back, it seems to me, and take stock. 876 00:47:56,239 --> 00:47:59,279 Speaker 4: But the Bradley book was fascinating. He read He led 877 00:47:59,320 --> 00:48:01,800 Speaker 4: a colorful life. I've covered the biggest stories, and I 878 00:48:02,000 --> 00:48:06,840 Speaker 4: particularly enjoyed, obviously the parts about Watergate, about about using 879 00:48:06,840 --> 00:48:09,960 Speaker 4: your sources, about when to use anonymous sources, when not 880 00:48:10,040 --> 00:48:13,440 Speaker 4: to use anonymous sources, and uh and and you know 881 00:48:13,520 --> 00:48:15,759 Speaker 4: the fact that they made mistakes. They made mistakes in 882 00:48:15,800 --> 00:48:18,680 Speaker 4: what in Watergate they were pillaried for that. By the 883 00:48:18,960 --> 00:48:21,759 Speaker 4: end they won they won the they won the war. 884 00:48:22,520 --> 00:48:25,960 Speaker 1: I mean in a way, often the question around journalism 885 00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:29,000 Speaker 1: is does this story move the needle one way or another? 886 00:48:29,560 --> 00:48:32,719 Speaker 1: And in the case of Trump, right now, he gives 887 00:48:32,719 --> 00:48:35,840 Speaker 1: the impression of having very strong political support, and I 888 00:48:35,880 --> 00:48:38,760 Speaker 1: remember the same with Zuoma and Nixon. We mustn't forget 889 00:48:38,800 --> 00:48:42,399 Speaker 1: one and overwhelming majority in his in his second term, 890 00:48:42,440 --> 00:48:47,000 Speaker 1: I mean overwhelming and and suddenly political support can change 891 00:48:47,040 --> 00:48:50,520 Speaker 1: almost like that it did for Zuoma, it did for Nixon. 892 00:48:51,560 --> 00:48:53,320 Speaker 1: I mean it might for Trump. I have no idea 893 00:48:53,360 --> 00:48:55,200 Speaker 1: of Venezuela might even be the start of it. But 894 00:48:55,280 --> 00:48:56,920 Speaker 1: that also informs your reporting. 895 00:48:57,600 --> 00:49:00,479 Speaker 4: Yeah, absolutely, I mean you refer to the fact whether 896 00:49:00,560 --> 00:49:03,359 Speaker 4: or not reporting moves the needle. I think, I think, 897 00:49:03,440 --> 00:49:06,040 Speaker 4: you know, the water gag was it was a very 898 00:49:06,040 --> 00:49:10,560 Speaker 4: good example of persistency in reporting over a number of years, 899 00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:13,000 Speaker 4: where you know, they broke a number of big stories, 900 00:49:13,000 --> 00:49:16,439 Speaker 4: but it didn't really seem to break the camel's back, 901 00:49:16,480 --> 00:49:19,080 Speaker 4: as it were. And then you know, then it accelerates, 902 00:49:19,440 --> 00:49:21,880 Speaker 4: like him Ingway said, when when when do you go bankrupt? 903 00:49:22,560 --> 00:49:25,000 Speaker 4: Slowly and then suddenly? And I think if I can 904 00:49:25,040 --> 00:49:27,239 Speaker 4: refer back to our own reporting at the twenty four 905 00:49:27,280 --> 00:49:29,759 Speaker 4: over the last two years with a Babeta diocurran Cas. 906 00:49:29,840 --> 00:49:32,320 Speaker 4: You know, Jeff Wicks broke a number of big stories 907 00:49:32,320 --> 00:49:35,000 Speaker 4: which didn't really seem to move the needle, and once 908 00:49:35,040 --> 00:49:38,400 Speaker 4: the cat Matala stuff started getting momentum, then it really 909 00:49:38,440 --> 00:49:42,640 Speaker 4: picked up. So it's about consistency and persistency and doggedness 910 00:49:42,640 --> 00:49:45,439 Speaker 4: and reporting. You might break a big story one week 911 00:49:45,480 --> 00:49:48,080 Speaker 4: and it can be a you know, it can be 912 00:49:48,800 --> 00:49:51,880 Speaker 4: a sensation for a day or two. But it's about 913 00:49:51,920 --> 00:49:55,080 Speaker 4: that consistency and that persistency over many years. And I 914 00:49:55,080 --> 00:49:57,319 Speaker 4: think that's that's one of the big takeaways from this 915 00:49:57,640 --> 00:50:00,160 Speaker 4: wonderfully colorful Bradley book that I. 916 00:50:00,640 --> 00:50:04,359 Speaker 1: Your own book around Poormaschatida a Deputy President, published last year. 917 00:50:04,360 --> 00:50:07,440 Speaker 1: Imagine in many stockings over the weekend. Have you had much. 918 00:50:07,320 --> 00:50:08,080 Speaker 8: Reaction to it? 919 00:50:08,120 --> 00:50:10,480 Speaker 1: Did you get any you know, statements from his people? 920 00:50:10,520 --> 00:50:12,240 Speaker 1: Did you get a did you get the looker? 921 00:50:12,719 --> 00:50:17,080 Speaker 4: You know, listen, you get you get you get informal approaches, 922 00:50:17,120 --> 00:50:20,040 Speaker 4: Stephen yeh, which which I did get. There were some 923 00:50:20,160 --> 00:50:24,400 Speaker 4: informal sidlings up, you know, questioning, questioning the motives and 924 00:50:24,400 --> 00:50:26,680 Speaker 4: and and questioning the contents of the book, and and 925 00:50:26,719 --> 00:50:28,719 Speaker 4: in fact saying, you know, it's maybe time for a 926 00:50:28,719 --> 00:50:32,360 Speaker 4: discussion with with Machatilis people around that. So so it 927 00:50:32,400 --> 00:50:36,400 Speaker 4: seems to have hit the spot in the presidency, and 928 00:50:36,440 --> 00:50:38,240 Speaker 4: it certainly seems to have hit the spot in the ANC. 929 00:50:38,600 --> 00:50:42,000 Speaker 4: I did to get some good feedback from from ANC people, saying, look, 930 00:50:43,200 --> 00:50:45,279 Speaker 4: given given what's in the book, but also given what 931 00:50:45,360 --> 00:50:47,640 Speaker 4: reporting has been on a given the reporting that has 932 00:50:47,640 --> 00:50:50,160 Speaker 4: been done over the last couple of years, he might 933 00:50:50,200 --> 00:50:52,279 Speaker 4: not be the guy for the job. So so it 934 00:50:52,320 --> 00:50:54,560 Speaker 4: seems to have it seems to have been read by 935 00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:57,840 Speaker 4: by by the correct people, Stephen, And for that, I'm grateful. 936 00:50:57,960 --> 00:51:01,240 Speaker 1: That's all you want. Sometimes, I mean, it's some impossible question, 937 00:51:01,400 --> 00:51:03,040 Speaker 1: but do you think he's still the front runner to 938 00:51:03,040 --> 00:51:06,680 Speaker 1: be president after President Sarahma Pausa And I mean, there 939 00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:08,680 Speaker 1: used to be a time and the only thing he 940 00:51:08,719 --> 00:51:11,520 Speaker 1: had to take into account was dynamics within the ANC. 941 00:51:11,680 --> 00:51:15,239 Speaker 1: It's not quite like that anymore, I don't. I think 942 00:51:15,280 --> 00:51:18,760 Speaker 1: it's still hard for me to imagine the next president 943 00:51:18,840 --> 00:51:21,960 Speaker 1: comes from another party, but that's no longer fantasy. It's 944 00:51:22,000 --> 00:51:22,760 Speaker 1: just science fiction. 945 00:51:24,160 --> 00:51:24,640 Speaker 4: Absolutely. 946 00:51:24,680 --> 00:51:24,839 Speaker 2: Ook. 947 00:51:25,120 --> 00:51:28,880 Speaker 4: It's interesting that the NNGC, which was held in December 948 00:51:29,239 --> 00:51:31,920 Speaker 4: a couple of weeks ago really didn't give us a 949 00:51:31,960 --> 00:51:34,160 Speaker 4: big indication as it used to do in the past. 950 00:51:34,200 --> 00:51:36,359 Speaker 4: You'd recall in two thousand and five it was very 951 00:51:36,400 --> 00:51:40,560 Speaker 4: clear that Jacob Zuma was making a very, very strong comeback, 952 00:51:41,239 --> 00:51:43,600 Speaker 4: but it didn't really pan out this way a couple 953 00:51:43,640 --> 00:51:46,520 Speaker 4: of weeks ago. I do think that Mashatille still has 954 00:51:46,560 --> 00:51:50,279 Speaker 4: the strongest organization. We've heard names like Talka Didiza being 955 00:51:50,320 --> 00:51:52,880 Speaker 4: banded about, a couple of other names that might be 956 00:51:52,880 --> 00:51:57,120 Speaker 4: pushed forward, but Mashatile has the advantage of incumbency at 957 00:51:57,120 --> 00:52:00,560 Speaker 4: the deputy presidency level, at government level and also a 958 00:52:00,680 --> 00:52:04,400 Speaker 4: party level. You know, he has the hearting machinery behind him, 959 00:52:04,480 --> 00:52:07,160 Speaker 4: and he's made strong overtures to some key promises like 960 00:52:07,239 --> 00:52:11,560 Speaker 4: Quizillattel and the Eastern Cape. So I think he is 961 00:52:11,680 --> 00:52:15,360 Speaker 4: the presumptive front runner. But Stephen where in January. You 962 00:52:15,440 --> 00:52:17,719 Speaker 4: know as well as I do that predicting politics is 963 00:52:17,719 --> 00:52:21,440 Speaker 4: a mug's game. You know, things can change in a 964 00:52:21,440 --> 00:52:23,759 Speaker 4: matter of weeks, So this year will be a big year. 965 00:52:23,920 --> 00:52:28,000 Speaker 4: The ANC's elective conference comes around next December. In twenty 966 00:52:28,080 --> 00:52:32,040 Speaker 4: twenty seven, let's see what Mashatilla does. But I do 967 00:52:32,080 --> 00:52:33,880 Speaker 4: think as I argue in the book that if he 968 00:52:34,000 --> 00:52:37,760 Speaker 4: wins it, you know, it's something akin to a Zoomer 969 00:52:37,760 --> 00:52:38,479 Speaker 4: two point zero. 970 00:52:38,880 --> 00:52:41,080 Speaker 1: Peter Detoy, thank you so much. Really do appreciate the 971 00:52:41,120 --> 00:52:45,040 Speaker 1: time assistant editor for Investigations at News twenty four. His 972 00:52:45,120 --> 00:52:49,000 Speaker 1: book is called that is called The Dark Prince and 973 00:52:49,080 --> 00:52:52,120 Speaker 1: Authorized Biography of Form Machetille. The book he was talking 974 00:52:52,160 --> 00:52:56,360 Speaker 1: about is entitled A Good Life. It's by Ben Bradley, 975 00:52:56,400 --> 00:52:59,799 Speaker 1: the former editor of The Washington Post. Peter Detoy, thanks 976 00:52:59,800 --> 00:53:02,040 Speaker 1: so much of your time on the Money Show. Thank you, Steven. 977 00:53:02,320 --> 00:53:04,960 Speaker 1: It feels real, surreal to be on the opposide of an 978 00:53:04,960 --> 00:53:07,120 Speaker 1: interview table, but privilege is all mine. 979 00:53:07,120 --> 00:53:07,520 Speaker 2: Thank you. 980 00:53:08,000 --> 00:53:10,560 Speaker 1: Do you see yourself as new new ish or do 981 00:53:10,600 --> 00:53:12,879 Speaker 1: you feel I mean a job like that. I don't 982 00:53:12,880 --> 00:53:15,480 Speaker 1: know if you ever feel comfortable doing it, frankly, but 983 00:53:15,520 --> 00:53:16,879 Speaker 1: do you still feel new new? 984 00:53:16,960 --> 00:53:19,120 Speaker 2: Ended off the day one? It's very much a case 985 00:53:19,200 --> 00:53:22,480 Speaker 2: of you could write get right stuck in yes, news 986 00:53:22,480 --> 00:53:26,200 Speaker 2: as you know it's for no one, so really got 987 00:53:26,760 --> 00:53:29,440 Speaker 2: straight to that. Don't admit the team newspapers to come 988 00:53:29,440 --> 00:53:31,920 Speaker 2: on every day, so news fall gone. 989 00:53:32,320 --> 00:53:33,960 Speaker 1: It's one of the it's one of the most amazing 990 00:53:33,960 --> 00:53:36,719 Speaker 1: things about Radio two actually is that you don't have 991 00:53:36,800 --> 00:53:40,280 Speaker 1: time to be nervous or to feel about new, about 992 00:53:40,400 --> 00:53:43,320 Speaker 1: about being new. You take over and suddenly you have 993 00:53:43,400 --> 00:53:46,040 Speaker 1: an addition to put out and you're responsible for it. 994 00:53:46,080 --> 00:53:48,680 Speaker 1: And I imagine that that gets you going very quickly, exactly. 995 00:53:48,920 --> 00:53:51,719 Speaker 2: And that's the both the beauty and the fear of 996 00:53:52,280 --> 00:53:56,680 Speaker 2: being an editor is once your name's there, you know, yeah, 997 00:53:56,880 --> 00:54:00,000 Speaker 2: something goes wrong. Your your name is Modey. 998 00:54:00,239 --> 00:54:02,959 Speaker 1: You're the one I suppose he goes to court. Let's 999 00:54:02,960 --> 00:54:05,080 Speaker 1: start at the very beginning. And I did what I 1000 00:54:05,120 --> 00:54:07,200 Speaker 1: often do nowadays when I'm trying to find out where 1001 00:54:07,200 --> 00:54:11,319 Speaker 1: did someone get their start, and go onto LinkedIn and 1002 00:54:11,320 --> 00:54:14,239 Speaker 1: I have a look, and I noticed, and I don't 1003 00:54:14,280 --> 00:54:16,680 Speaker 1: mean to be rude, but your first journalism job was 1004 00:54:16,680 --> 00:54:19,320 Speaker 1: at independent newspapers, I should point out. It was a 1005 00:54:19,440 --> 00:54:23,800 Speaker 1: very different independent newspapers to what independent newspapers has unfortunately become. 1006 00:54:24,239 --> 00:54:27,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, as you're as you're alluding to, I started 1007 00:54:27,320 --> 00:54:31,440 Speaker 2: a right just before that transition. So I got my 1008 00:54:31,520 --> 00:54:34,880 Speaker 2: starts straight out of varsity. I was all straight during varsity. Actually, 1009 00:54:34,920 --> 00:54:38,600 Speaker 2: start my postcrad, I had to get a kind of 1010 00:54:38,680 --> 00:54:40,960 Speaker 2: job I had no intentions of really getting into journalism 1011 00:54:41,000 --> 00:54:43,520 Speaker 2: at the time full time, but I was fortunate enough 1012 00:54:43,520 --> 00:54:45,759 Speaker 2: to get a part time job working at the Star 1013 00:54:46,040 --> 00:54:49,080 Speaker 2: as a sub well when I started, my honest agree, 1014 00:54:49,280 --> 00:54:52,960 Speaker 2: and I really enjoyed it, really got into it. After 1015 00:54:53,080 --> 00:54:57,240 Speaker 2: about pretty clean year, I think some of the transition 1016 00:54:57,320 --> 00:55:00,320 Speaker 2: took place, and as you know, the a bit of 1017 00:55:00,360 --> 00:55:02,920 Speaker 2: a blood bath there and I was I was one 1018 00:55:02,960 --> 00:55:05,160 Speaker 2: of the names, and I went on on my merry way. 1019 00:55:06,600 --> 00:55:08,640 Speaker 1: When you were growing up, I mean, was journalism you 1020 00:55:08,640 --> 00:55:11,600 Speaker 1: say journalism wasn't something you necessarily wanted to do. Most 1021 00:55:11,640 --> 00:55:13,880 Speaker 1: of the good journalists, son, I didn't grow up wanting 1022 00:55:13,920 --> 00:55:16,959 Speaker 1: to be journalists. Some let me just say, what was there? 1023 00:55:17,040 --> 00:55:18,480 Speaker 1: You know? How did it end up that you ended 1024 00:55:18,520 --> 00:55:19,480 Speaker 1: up in journalism. 1025 00:55:19,719 --> 00:55:21,239 Speaker 2: Yes, it's a bit of a long story. I mean 1026 00:55:21,960 --> 00:55:24,200 Speaker 2: I had no intentions, as you say, of getting to journalism, 1027 00:55:24,239 --> 00:55:27,000 Speaker 2: but it was something I was constantly surrounded by. My 1028 00:55:27,400 --> 00:55:29,680 Speaker 2: father was a journalist. I worked in most of the 1029 00:55:29,760 --> 00:55:33,240 Speaker 2: national titles. My mom, I mean, some of my earliest 1030 00:55:33,280 --> 00:55:36,239 Speaker 2: memories are her sending me into the start into the 1031 00:55:36,239 --> 00:55:39,000 Speaker 2: corner shops to go buy either mailand Guardian or or 1032 00:55:39,040 --> 00:55:43,000 Speaker 2: the Sunday Times. As a youngster, would always grab them 1033 00:55:43,480 --> 00:55:46,400 Speaker 2: feed the sports section straight away. As I grew but older, 1034 00:55:46,440 --> 00:55:49,640 Speaker 2: of course, I graduated to some of the rest of 1035 00:55:49,640 --> 00:55:53,919 Speaker 2: the sections of the paper, and my parents always very 1036 00:55:53,920 --> 00:55:59,239 Speaker 2: willing to get me any sort of print publication or 1037 00:55:59,440 --> 00:56:01,719 Speaker 2: magazine when I was younger, I really kind of feed 1038 00:56:01,719 --> 00:56:03,120 Speaker 2: that it so, I mean, even when I was young, 1039 00:56:03,160 --> 00:56:05,520 Speaker 2: and that you know in that's the gaming magazine, and 1040 00:56:05,560 --> 00:56:08,960 Speaker 2: then you know, then it was football, et cetera, et cetera. 1041 00:56:09,800 --> 00:56:12,200 Speaker 2: So that that sort of reading and a love of 1042 00:56:12,280 --> 00:56:13,719 Speaker 2: and a love of journalism, and I love and a 1043 00:56:13,760 --> 00:56:15,920 Speaker 2: love of non fiction in journal always stayed with me 1044 00:56:16,760 --> 00:56:20,799 Speaker 2: when I entered in university. I won't even really call 1045 00:56:20,800 --> 00:56:22,279 Speaker 2: it a dream. I've called more of a fantasy at 1046 00:56:22,280 --> 00:56:25,680 Speaker 2: the time of being an academic. As I said, once 1047 00:56:25,719 --> 00:56:28,439 Speaker 2: I got into journalism weld that that kind of real world. 1048 00:56:28,560 --> 00:56:31,040 Speaker 2: It really hit me and never looked back from there. 1049 00:56:32,040 --> 00:56:35,400 Speaker 1: Clearly, if you're if you're as a as a younger person, 1050 00:56:35,440 --> 00:56:39,480 Speaker 1: as a child reading newspapers, no matter which section it is, 1051 00:56:39,760 --> 00:56:43,120 Speaker 1: there's a sense of curiosity that you must have had. 1052 00:56:43,160 --> 00:56:45,360 Speaker 1: Not everybody has that. I mean, it took me a 1053 00:56:45,360 --> 00:56:48,360 Speaker 1: while to realize that I I was unusual in that 1054 00:56:48,440 --> 00:56:51,480 Speaker 1: I kept asking questions and I couldn't stop. It was 1055 00:56:51,640 --> 00:56:53,440 Speaker 1: the same for you. You know this idea that I 1056 00:56:53,719 --> 00:56:55,640 Speaker 1: need to know a little bit more. This looks interesting, 1057 00:56:55,680 --> 00:56:57,399 Speaker 1: I need to know a little bit more about that too. 1058 00:56:58,000 --> 00:57:01,160 Speaker 2: Yeah. And as my four year old says, why all 1059 00:57:01,200 --> 00:57:04,000 Speaker 2: the time, I can see she has inherited that very much. 1060 00:57:04,320 --> 00:57:06,279 Speaker 2: But yeah, and I mean, I guess that's a beauty 1061 00:57:06,320 --> 00:57:08,720 Speaker 2: of reading, right. There's always needs to ask that question. 1062 00:57:08,840 --> 00:57:11,200 Speaker 2: And I think that's those of us that have that 1063 00:57:11,280 --> 00:57:13,480 Speaker 2: naturally end up in journalism. You want to ask us 1064 00:57:13,560 --> 00:57:15,680 Speaker 2: questions and want to ask why. And I think even 1065 00:57:15,719 --> 00:57:18,280 Speaker 2: going now, I say that's where all all all good journalmen, 1066 00:57:18,480 --> 00:57:21,440 Speaker 2: all good journalism is born, not just reporting the news, 1067 00:57:21,480 --> 00:57:24,480 Speaker 2: but asking that that that why, and expand and explaining 1068 00:57:24,480 --> 00:57:27,240 Speaker 2: it to you the reader as well. 1069 00:57:28,080 --> 00:57:31,160 Speaker 1: You you mentioned that your father actually had been in newspapers. 1070 00:57:31,160 --> 00:57:33,040 Speaker 1: What kind of community were you growing up in at 1071 00:57:33,040 --> 00:57:36,760 Speaker 1: the time and when was the soul she's they. 1072 00:57:36,680 --> 00:57:39,880 Speaker 2: Would have been I mean a number of communities. Actually, 1073 00:57:40,040 --> 00:57:41,680 Speaker 2: it's a bit of a difficult question to answer. I mean, 1074 00:57:42,120 --> 00:57:45,840 Speaker 2: probably speaking bored and bred in Joeburg, but as most 1075 00:57:45,920 --> 00:57:48,200 Speaker 2: joebig is, no, you're bit of a much if you 1076 00:57:48,240 --> 00:57:51,960 Speaker 2: move around so I mean the early stage of my 1077 00:57:52,000 --> 00:57:54,040 Speaker 2: life spent in Bears Valley, which I think is a 1078 00:57:54,040 --> 00:57:58,040 Speaker 2: great reflective neighborhood of what Joburg can be, or at 1079 00:57:58,120 --> 00:58:01,840 Speaker 2: least at the time. M then moved around a lot. 1080 00:58:03,560 --> 00:58:05,560 Speaker 2: My mother and father were separated, so it's sort of 1081 00:58:05,720 --> 00:58:08,400 Speaker 2: at any given time got to spend time in different neighborhoods. 1082 00:58:08,440 --> 00:58:11,000 Speaker 2: So on my mother's side of often it would be 1083 00:58:11,240 --> 00:58:14,840 Speaker 2: spent much of my youth in Sandringham more than kind 1084 00:58:14,840 --> 00:58:17,200 Speaker 2: of eden Vale side of things. My father moved around 1085 00:58:17,240 --> 00:58:19,800 Speaker 2: a lot that exposed me to lots of parts of Joebert. 1086 00:58:19,920 --> 00:58:26,000 Speaker 2: So I mean from Jovil to troubl Kinsington everywhere growing up. 1087 00:58:26,000 --> 00:58:28,920 Speaker 2: Then again also kind of I got my first flat 1088 00:58:29,480 --> 00:58:34,520 Speaker 2: in Trouvel, moved on to Norwood, and I'm now going 1089 00:58:34,640 --> 00:58:36,680 Speaker 2: right sold out to the northern suburbs. 1090 00:58:36,440 --> 00:58:38,240 Speaker 1: Don't we all? In the end, I mean, I knew 1091 00:58:38,240 --> 00:58:40,280 Speaker 1: Bears Valley, I grew up very close to their actually 1092 00:58:40,960 --> 00:58:43,880 Speaker 1: and and sort of grew up doing Kensington and strangely 1093 00:58:43,960 --> 00:58:46,520 Speaker 1: soundering a mat a friend who lived there very well. 1094 00:58:47,800 --> 00:58:52,800 Speaker 1: So you went and you start you studied advts and 1095 00:58:53,520 --> 00:58:55,000 Speaker 1: was it politics that you were studying? 1096 00:58:55,520 --> 00:58:58,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, So I think like anybody who doesn't know exactly 1097 00:58:58,600 --> 00:58:59,760 Speaker 2: what they want to do with their lives. You do 1098 00:58:59,760 --> 00:59:02,720 Speaker 2: a and you get to do a little bit of everything, 1099 00:59:02,760 --> 00:59:06,560 Speaker 2: from psychology to history. Ultimately, the majors I settled on 1100 00:59:06,680 --> 00:59:11,320 Speaker 2: were political studies and philosophy. Again, the sort of fantasy 1101 00:59:11,360 --> 00:59:14,120 Speaker 2: at the time, I think was to be a philosopher, 1102 00:59:14,240 --> 00:59:18,080 Speaker 2: so I did my honors in that. Then again, once 1103 00:59:18,080 --> 00:59:20,040 Speaker 2: you kind of get that real world experience, and all 1104 00:59:20,120 --> 00:59:24,200 Speaker 2: respect and love to my for philosophy colleagues, but I 1105 00:59:24,200 --> 00:59:26,560 Speaker 2: felt there was a bit kind of more tangible, real 1106 00:59:26,800 --> 00:59:29,960 Speaker 2: you know, real world worth to be had doing politics. 1107 00:59:30,120 --> 00:59:31,720 Speaker 2: I switched to that for my master's degree. 1108 00:59:32,480 --> 00:59:33,920 Speaker 1: And I mean, to do a master's in it, you 1109 00:59:34,000 --> 00:59:36,440 Speaker 1: must start to be really curious about it. I mean, 1110 00:59:36,480 --> 00:59:37,680 Speaker 1: if you're going to do that, you have to be 1111 00:59:37,840 --> 00:59:40,760 Speaker 1: very interested in what you're doing to sort of take 1112 00:59:40,800 --> 00:59:41,960 Speaker 1: it that seriously. 1113 00:59:41,600 --> 00:59:45,160 Speaker 2: At that level. Yeah, I guess so, and then you 1114 00:59:45,240 --> 00:59:47,800 Speaker 2: kind of go to journalism, and I think it's sort 1115 00:59:47,800 --> 00:59:53,520 Speaker 2: of it turns off politics. Yeah, I mean exactly, as 1116 00:59:53,560 --> 00:59:55,320 Speaker 2: you know, it's a bit of a game. But when 1117 00:59:55,360 --> 00:59:58,720 Speaker 2: you're actually studying it, it's called political studies, or it 1118 00:59:58,840 --> 01:00:02,880 Speaker 2: used to be called per physical science, right, so really 1119 01:00:02,920 --> 01:00:04,640 Speaker 2: as kind of the science be behind it. And at 1120 01:00:04,640 --> 01:00:10,760 Speaker 2: the time I did my dissertation on party funding or 1121 01:00:10,800 --> 01:00:14,160 Speaker 2: physical party funding, which in the early twenty tens very pritty, 1122 01:00:14,240 --> 01:00:16,560 Speaker 2: you know, I mean, was a very important issue. I mean, 1123 01:00:16,600 --> 01:00:18,920 Speaker 2: at the time it was clear to see, I mean, 1124 01:00:18,920 --> 01:00:21,120 Speaker 2: as you know, that was a major issue, and I 1125 01:00:21,120 --> 01:00:24,280 Speaker 2: mean my vote counts had had already started with the 1126 01:00:24,400 --> 01:00:27,040 Speaker 2: significant action. Of course, a few years later we would 1127 01:00:27,040 --> 01:00:29,680 Speaker 2: actually get to see this pass. But as we see 1128 01:00:29,720 --> 01:00:32,360 Speaker 2: it's still it's still an issue. You know, we just 1129 01:00:32,400 --> 01:00:36,360 Speaker 2: had doubling of the dreast rolls last year and there's 1130 01:00:36,360 --> 01:00:38,720 Speaker 2: still a lot of questions around that. And again my 1131 01:00:39,440 --> 01:00:42,080 Speaker 2: vote cards in particular has a lot of concerns. 1132 01:00:42,680 --> 01:00:46,040 Speaker 1: No, I mean, as there's still alonggoing on around that. 1133 01:00:47,280 --> 01:00:52,600 Speaker 1: Was there anyone particular who sort of influenced you in journalism? 1134 01:00:52,720 --> 01:00:54,200 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know if it was your dad, 1135 01:00:55,080 --> 01:00:56,640 Speaker 1: or if there was someone else who you may be 1136 01:00:56,760 --> 01:00:59,560 Speaker 1: bumped into, or a group of people or a particular time. 1137 01:01:00,360 --> 01:01:02,920 Speaker 1: We haven't yet started on your career at Mail and Guardians. 1138 01:01:02,960 --> 01:01:04,040 Speaker 1: We were a long way to go. But I mean, 1139 01:01:04,080 --> 01:01:06,560 Speaker 1: was there a particular person who you thought, actually, this 1140 01:01:06,600 --> 01:01:08,360 Speaker 1: person's had a big big influence. 1141 01:01:09,840 --> 01:01:11,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean those few. I mean, as you mentioned 1142 01:01:11,880 --> 01:01:15,160 Speaker 2: my father's specifically, I mean he took took a lot 1143 01:01:15,160 --> 01:01:17,920 Speaker 2: of pride in sort of train me especially. I mean 1144 01:01:17,920 --> 01:01:20,040 Speaker 2: he was a revised editor, and he took a lot 1145 01:01:20,080 --> 01:01:22,400 Speaker 2: of pride and really in kind of making sure that 1146 01:01:22,480 --> 01:01:25,360 Speaker 2: I've got nothing. You know, we wanted to be any 1147 01:01:25,440 --> 01:01:28,280 Speaker 2: journalist or any editor to be in to be impeachable 1148 01:01:29,040 --> 01:01:31,400 Speaker 2: and impeachable, and he really drove into me and that's 1149 01:01:31,400 --> 01:01:34,240 Speaker 2: something that stayed with me. Again, we're kind of skipping ahead, 1150 01:01:34,280 --> 01:01:35,720 Speaker 2: as you say, on the story then, but I mean 1151 01:01:35,760 --> 01:01:39,120 Speaker 2: I've worked with a number of journalists who I've been 1152 01:01:39,120 --> 01:01:40,840 Speaker 2: blessed to work with a number of journists who have 1153 01:01:40,880 --> 01:01:43,040 Speaker 2: really interested me throughout the years. In terms of the 1154 01:01:43,160 --> 01:01:47,800 Speaker 2: time period, I would say my formative views of of 1155 01:01:47,840 --> 01:01:50,040 Speaker 2: really kind of shaping into who I want to be 1156 01:01:50,560 --> 01:01:53,840 Speaker 2: to be the Mail and Guardian when we had Credutu 1157 01:01:53,880 --> 01:01:58,120 Speaker 2: Pitel's editor and I worked very closely with Burgot Trump 1158 01:01:58,160 --> 01:02:00,880 Speaker 2: at the time he was deputy editor. He's not a 1159 01:02:00,920 --> 01:02:04,160 Speaker 2: communal agc of course. And yeah, look, I mean that 1160 01:02:04,240 --> 01:02:06,680 Speaker 2: there's a number of people that can name I mean 1161 01:02:06,720 --> 01:02:08,680 Speaker 2: Sipper Kings as well, for instance, when he stepped in 1162 01:02:08,720 --> 01:02:12,320 Speaker 2: after that period as editor MG. I think any good 1163 01:02:12,440 --> 01:02:16,120 Speaker 2: editor really kind of drills lessons into their journalists. And 1164 01:02:16,160 --> 01:02:18,440 Speaker 2: I think to this day, even if it's ten or 1165 01:02:18,480 --> 01:02:21,200 Speaker 2: so years later, when you write something or you've gone ready, 1166 01:02:21,240 --> 01:02:23,760 Speaker 2: whatever the cases, they they've they have voices always hovering 1167 01:02:23,760 --> 01:02:27,160 Speaker 2: over you. And I think in this craft it's it's 1168 01:02:27,160 --> 01:02:30,280 Speaker 2: always wise to seek out these these sort of mentors. 1169 01:02:30,280 --> 01:02:34,600 Speaker 2: I mean, even now, far more recently, at the privilege 1170 01:02:34,640 --> 01:02:38,680 Speaker 2: of meeting Peter Bruce, who, as you know, is one 1171 01:02:38,760 --> 01:02:40,880 Speaker 2: of my esteem predecessors, and you know. 1172 01:02:40,880 --> 01:02:43,080 Speaker 1: And I'm sure you'll have a view one way or another, then. 1173 01:02:43,080 --> 01:02:46,400 Speaker 2: Always askwise, Yeah he is, but no, I mean he's 1174 01:02:46,480 --> 01:02:49,520 Speaker 2: he's been extremely helpful and I mean anything so listened 1175 01:02:49,640 --> 01:02:51,160 Speaker 2: or not, he's he's on your phone, call away. 1176 01:02:53,000 --> 01:02:55,360 Speaker 1: So so you go to the Mail and Guardian and 1177 01:02:55,520 --> 01:02:58,960 Speaker 1: I mean, I I mean, I'm always very sad to 1178 01:02:59,000 --> 01:03:01,080 Speaker 1: think of a Mail and Guardian now, not because anyone 1179 01:03:01,080 --> 01:03:03,360 Speaker 1: there has done anything wrong or bad or poor or 1180 01:03:03,360 --> 01:03:07,240 Speaker 1: in any way, just because of circumstance, because of what 1181 01:03:07,400 --> 01:03:10,080 Speaker 1: sort of happened around it. You know, I think to 1182 01:03:10,120 --> 01:03:13,600 Speaker 1: be a weekly newspaper now is very very hard and 1183 01:03:13,720 --> 01:03:17,240 Speaker 1: unless you have huge resources, you know, to compete on 1184 01:03:17,280 --> 01:03:19,120 Speaker 1: a sort of website based there's also. 1185 01:03:18,920 --> 01:03:19,720 Speaker 2: Very very hard. 1186 01:03:19,840 --> 01:03:22,400 Speaker 1: You know, there's a reason why News twenty four has 1187 01:03:22,440 --> 01:03:27,200 Speaker 1: so few rivals because it requires huge resources. But when 1188 01:03:27,240 --> 01:03:30,560 Speaker 1: you were there to sort of watch, to be a 1189 01:03:30,640 --> 01:03:34,280 Speaker 1: part of news from that that mattered, you know, move 1190 01:03:34,440 --> 01:03:38,000 Speaker 1: the dial in South Africa, that must have been quite fun. 1191 01:03:38,440 --> 01:03:40,280 Speaker 2: I mean, certainly, I mean, it's exactly that, right, It's 1192 01:03:40,480 --> 01:03:44,280 Speaker 2: something that mattered. And I mean, while I agree with 1193 01:03:44,320 --> 01:03:46,760 Speaker 2: your broad assessment, I think it still very much doesn't matter, 1194 01:03:46,840 --> 01:03:48,920 Speaker 2: and I'm sure and I've got a lot of love 1195 01:03:48,960 --> 01:03:51,160 Speaker 2: for it. But yeah, moving there at the time, I mean, 1196 01:03:51,320 --> 01:03:54,320 Speaker 2: it was it was a dream. I still remember the 1197 01:03:54,520 --> 01:03:56,720 Speaker 2: kind of the real experience of going into this Rosebank 1198 01:03:56,720 --> 01:04:00,120 Speaker 2: office at the time, and everywhere was I mean and 1199 01:04:00,160 --> 01:04:03,160 Speaker 2: had these huge sort of max screens, and yes, it 1200 01:04:03,280 --> 01:04:05,600 Speaker 2: just felt like this fancy, sort of new age place, 1201 01:04:05,680 --> 01:04:07,320 Speaker 2: like you're walking into the Washington Post or the New 1202 01:04:07,400 --> 01:04:10,960 Speaker 2: York Times. And again, journalism that was done and has 1203 01:04:11,000 --> 01:04:14,440 Speaker 2: been done for years. It's been absolutely fantastic and just 1204 01:04:14,480 --> 01:04:16,920 Speaker 2: a you know sort of reception you got as a 1205 01:04:16,960 --> 01:04:18,919 Speaker 2: journalist as well when you went to speak to someone 1206 01:04:18,960 --> 01:04:20,480 Speaker 2: and you said I'm coming from the Mail and Guardian 1207 01:04:20,520 --> 01:04:24,960 Speaker 2: and people people really revered that and wanted to speak 1208 01:04:24,960 --> 01:04:27,800 Speaker 2: to and respected what you had to say. 1209 01:04:28,320 --> 01:04:30,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's that's a big thing and opens 1210 01:04:30,480 --> 01:04:32,640 Speaker 1: the door, doesn't it. If you say Luke Frell from 1211 01:04:32,800 --> 01:04:36,320 Speaker 1: someone might go who that? If you say Luke Frel 1212 01:04:36,320 --> 01:04:38,560 Speaker 1: from Melen Guardian, the door suddenly opens. 1213 01:04:38,760 --> 01:04:42,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think, sorry to cut into you though, 1214 01:04:42,680 --> 01:04:45,840 Speaker 2: it's just going to say I think as much as 1215 01:04:46,080 --> 01:04:48,080 Speaker 2: that's something that we'll forget, you know. I think when 1216 01:04:48,280 --> 01:04:50,840 Speaker 2: a lot of journalists and a lot of spoken about 1217 01:04:50,840 --> 01:04:52,240 Speaker 2: how easy it is to you know, kind of be 1218 01:04:52,280 --> 01:04:54,480 Speaker 2: a journalist on the internet these days, but people don't 1219 01:04:54,480 --> 01:04:57,440 Speaker 2: sort of realize that what that name stillkays, that cloud 1220 01:04:57,520 --> 01:04:59,360 Speaker 2: is especially when you go to a business or your 1221 01:04:59,520 --> 01:05:02,360 Speaker 2: politician and you say, okay, yes, can we can you 1222 01:05:02,400 --> 01:05:04,320 Speaker 2: give me thirty minutes of this time? I mean, people 1223 01:05:04,720 --> 01:05:07,800 Speaker 2: don't people underestimate how difficult that is to actually call 1224 01:05:07,880 --> 01:05:09,960 Speaker 2: someone up out of the blue, right, and so you 1225 01:05:10,000 --> 01:05:12,280 Speaker 2: see like can we have this interview, can we record this, 1226 01:05:12,320 --> 01:05:13,680 Speaker 2: can we sit in front of the camera, et cetera. 1227 01:05:14,360 --> 01:05:16,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, credibility is everything people want to know 1228 01:05:16,520 --> 01:05:19,440 Speaker 1: they'll be treated fairly. And that's what the brand really does, 1229 01:05:19,640 --> 01:05:23,600 Speaker 1: is this, It does that we need to. I mean, 1230 01:05:23,920 --> 01:05:25,400 Speaker 1: during the time you were at the Mail and Guard 1231 01:05:25,480 --> 01:05:27,120 Speaker 1: and you were the online editor for a while and 1232 01:05:27,200 --> 01:05:29,280 Speaker 1: he became the editor before you moved to Business Day, 1233 01:05:30,440 --> 01:05:34,120 Speaker 1: and this is during that period was really the time 1234 01:05:34,160 --> 01:05:37,280 Speaker 1: when we sort of saw this massive process of moving 1235 01:05:37,320 --> 01:05:41,440 Speaker 1: away from newspapers to journalism or being online. And for 1236 01:05:41,520 --> 01:05:43,000 Speaker 1: the moment, I do just want to stick to sort 1237 01:05:43,040 --> 01:05:46,680 Speaker 1: of what I would call word journalism. So it's a 1238 01:05:46,760 --> 01:05:50,240 Speaker 1: textual journalism. So I mean, you know, going away from 1239 01:05:50,920 --> 01:05:54,400 Speaker 1: I'm not talking about video and stuff yet it's been 1240 01:05:54,680 --> 01:05:57,840 Speaker 1: looking back. I mean, it was obviously going to happen, 1241 01:05:58,360 --> 01:06:01,200 Speaker 1: but it still happened quite quickly. I mean, I know, 1242 01:06:01,320 --> 01:06:03,040 Speaker 1: you know, I think there are plenty of young people 1243 01:06:03,080 --> 01:06:05,080 Speaker 1: now who might be listening to this. And if you say, well, 1244 01:06:05,120 --> 01:06:07,360 Speaker 1: actually used to get your news from a thing that 1245 01:06:07,520 --> 01:06:09,640 Speaker 1: was printed and distributed in that way, they're sort of 1246 01:06:09,640 --> 01:06:10,800 Speaker 1: look at you us if you're a bit mad. 1247 01:06:12,240 --> 01:06:12,479 Speaker 5: Yeah. 1248 01:06:12,560 --> 01:06:15,200 Speaker 2: Look, I mean I have plenty of thoughts on this. 1249 01:06:16,200 --> 01:06:18,920 Speaker 2: I mean the first would be that I think print journalism, 1250 01:06:18,960 --> 01:06:21,200 Speaker 2: I like to think of print journalists are still very 1251 01:06:21,320 --> 01:06:24,000 Speaker 2: much alive. And yes, I do have a bias because 1252 01:06:24,040 --> 01:06:26,160 Speaker 2: that you work at a newspaper, and I've always loved 1253 01:06:26,200 --> 01:06:28,840 Speaker 2: print journalism my whole life, but I think it brings 1254 01:06:28,840 --> 01:06:33,920 Speaker 2: something unique to society. It's the news. It's the newspaper 1255 01:06:33,920 --> 01:06:36,400 Speaker 2: that shared around at a family table or on a bus, 1256 01:06:36,440 --> 01:06:39,040 Speaker 2: and I don't think we should ever estimate how important 1257 01:06:39,080 --> 01:06:42,240 Speaker 2: that is to our democracy. And I try to always 1258 01:06:42,280 --> 01:06:46,560 Speaker 2: not be defeatist on this because I think there's countless 1259 01:06:46,960 --> 01:06:49,240 Speaker 2: publications around the world that have probably done themselves a 1260 01:06:49,320 --> 01:06:53,800 Speaker 2: huge disservice by almost putting in place a self fulfilling 1261 01:06:53,800 --> 01:06:55,720 Speaker 2: prophecy that this thing is going to die, and and 1262 01:06:56,040 --> 01:06:58,400 Speaker 2: that kind of mindset takes hold and creeps through your 1263 01:06:58,960 --> 01:07:01,960 Speaker 2: entire publication. That being said, of course, you need to 1264 01:07:02,000 --> 01:07:05,560 Speaker 2: acknowledge the reality of where people are consuming their news. 1265 01:07:06,720 --> 01:07:09,240 Speaker 2: And the Melan Guardian actually, interestingly was I mean, that 1266 01:07:09,320 --> 01:07:13,120 Speaker 2: was the first news outlet to first to first have 1267 01:07:13,240 --> 01:07:16,360 Speaker 2: to first launch a website, and that served it well 1268 01:07:16,400 --> 01:07:20,640 Speaker 2: for very long term. Unfortunately, I would say with you know, 1269 01:07:20,680 --> 01:07:23,080 Speaker 2: within the Meilan Guardian's case and just about everyone else, 1270 01:07:23,120 --> 01:07:28,800 Speaker 2: actually it's the sort of traditional advertising models that were 1271 01:07:29,040 --> 01:07:32,360 Speaker 2: far easier to get when print publication was involved. Not 1272 01:07:32,840 --> 01:07:35,880 Speaker 2: in vogue. Sorry, no one has really figured out how 1273 01:07:35,880 --> 01:07:36,960 Speaker 2: a way to make that as. 1274 01:07:36,800 --> 01:07:42,840 Speaker 1: Profitable and that's I mean, that's the difficult part. So 1275 01:07:43,160 --> 01:07:45,360 Speaker 1: do you think then, I mean, are you a journalism 1276 01:07:45,440 --> 01:07:47,600 Speaker 1: optimist to your journalism pessimist? And I can go in 1277 01:07:47,640 --> 01:07:49,880 Speaker 1: both directions, depending on whether I've had lunch yet. 1278 01:07:51,160 --> 01:07:55,840 Speaker 2: I'm certainly I'm certainly an optimist. It is. I mean, again, 1279 01:07:56,040 --> 01:07:58,360 Speaker 2: I can recognize some of the difficulties and some of 1280 01:07:58,400 --> 01:08:01,560 Speaker 2: their realities. But again, I'm a big believer in self 1281 01:08:01,600 --> 01:08:03,840 Speaker 2: fulling prophecies, and I think we have to believe in 1282 01:08:03,840 --> 01:08:07,320 Speaker 2: this craft. We will as a country, we will be 1283 01:08:07,360 --> 01:08:11,280 Speaker 2: doomed if it goes under. We're lucky that we've still 1284 01:08:11,320 --> 01:08:14,840 Speaker 2: got some extremely strong journalism outlets out there, and it's 1285 01:08:14,880 --> 01:08:17,720 Speaker 2: something that we need to protect. And if we don't 1286 01:08:17,720 --> 01:08:19,080 Speaker 2: fail our own work, then who will. 1287 01:08:19,880 --> 01:08:22,080 Speaker 1: We're speaking to Luke fel Form is the editor at 1288 01:08:22,160 --> 01:08:25,800 Speaker 1: Business Day. He's telling us about his career on My 1289 01:08:26,040 --> 01:08:28,800 Speaker 1: Money this evening, On the Money, Charlotte, Luke, you and 1290 01:08:28,840 --> 01:08:32,920 Speaker 1: I actually we're not sort of rivals or competitors, I 1291 01:08:32,920 --> 01:08:35,240 Speaker 1: don't think, but we're in the same business. We both 1292 01:08:35,280 --> 01:08:38,320 Speaker 1: do business journalism. What do you think is the role 1293 01:08:38,360 --> 01:08:41,360 Speaker 1: of business journalism right now? I mean, in some ways 1294 01:08:41,400 --> 01:08:43,479 Speaker 1: I think it's the same. It's always been to sort 1295 01:08:43,479 --> 01:08:48,680 Speaker 1: of illuminate and understand and explain what's going on. But 1296 01:08:48,720 --> 01:08:51,080 Speaker 1: in some ways maybe it does change. 1297 01:08:52,680 --> 01:08:55,320 Speaker 2: Now Steve, I'm fully with you there, you know, as 1298 01:08:55,320 --> 01:08:57,960 Speaker 2: you were just kind of discussing off air, and you 1299 01:08:58,040 --> 01:08:59,720 Speaker 2: told me a very interesting fact that you don't mention 1300 01:09:00,240 --> 01:09:02,680 Speaker 2: numbers on the show, And I find the fascinating and 1301 01:09:02,720 --> 01:09:05,080 Speaker 2: I think very useful because I mean, look, business is 1302 01:09:05,080 --> 01:09:08,080 Speaker 2: a complicated thing and the role of the bones of 1303 01:09:08,120 --> 01:09:11,760 Speaker 2: the business journalist is to explain it as evenly as 1304 01:09:11,760 --> 01:09:14,800 Speaker 2: possible and as simply as possible, and business like any 1305 01:09:14,800 --> 01:09:18,040 Speaker 2: other subject, if you, as a writer are able to 1306 01:09:18,080 --> 01:09:20,599 Speaker 2: understand it, the reader is not going to either. 1307 01:09:22,320 --> 01:09:26,960 Speaker 1: And Business Day right now, I mean big websites, print 1308 01:09:27,000 --> 01:09:29,599 Speaker 1: publication still I mean, if you look at you know, 1309 01:09:29,840 --> 01:09:33,320 Speaker 1: consistently sort of held its position for quite a long time, 1310 01:09:33,920 --> 01:09:37,360 Speaker 1: very long, very important track record. Of course, what do 1311 01:09:37,400 --> 01:09:39,880 Speaker 1: you think the sort of role of Business Day should be? 1312 01:09:41,880 --> 01:09:45,160 Speaker 2: Look, I mean I see business Day it has always 1313 01:09:45,160 --> 01:09:46,880 Speaker 2: been in and I hope it can continue to be. 1314 01:09:47,640 --> 01:09:50,400 Speaker 2: It's just the must read paper. You know, we've had 1315 01:09:51,200 --> 01:09:55,759 Speaker 2: we've had a couple of sightings of President eral Drama Posita, 1316 01:09:55,800 --> 01:09:57,800 Speaker 2: for instance, carrying the Business Day under his arm as 1317 01:09:57,840 --> 01:10:00,599 Speaker 2: he gets into the plane. And that's really more than anything. 1318 01:10:00,720 --> 01:10:03,440 Speaker 2: What we love is it has to be from politicians 1319 01:10:03,439 --> 01:10:05,760 Speaker 2: to business people, to do academics. It has to be 1320 01:10:05,800 --> 01:10:08,559 Speaker 2: the must read paper or must read publication, whether that's 1321 01:10:08,640 --> 01:10:14,840 Speaker 2: online newspaper, whether you're consuming us on social media video 1322 01:10:14,880 --> 01:10:15,679 Speaker 2: formats as well. 1323 01:10:16,320 --> 01:10:18,280 Speaker 1: I mean, a lot of that's about curation, isn't it. 1324 01:10:18,320 --> 01:10:20,720 Speaker 1: You've got to make sure that someone can read just 1325 01:10:21,040 --> 01:10:24,759 Speaker 1: that publication and know they know everything that matters. Anyone 1326 01:10:24,800 --> 01:10:27,360 Speaker 1: can go and find all the facts they want online nowadays, 1327 01:10:27,520 --> 01:10:29,760 Speaker 1: but that curation must be very important. 1328 01:10:29,520 --> 01:10:32,479 Speaker 2: Absolutely, And that's one of the things I love about 1329 01:10:32,520 --> 01:10:35,120 Speaker 2: Business Day, apart from business being in the name. I mean, 1330 01:10:35,160 --> 01:10:39,960 Speaker 2: it's a publication that really reflects South African society at large. 1331 01:10:40,560 --> 01:10:43,240 Speaker 2: You know, of course, companies and Markets is a strong 1332 01:10:43,280 --> 01:10:45,800 Speaker 2: section in the paper, but we've got very strong news journalists, 1333 01:10:46,040 --> 01:10:51,320 Speaker 2: we've got a strong politics team. We're occasionally feature taken 1334 01:10:51,360 --> 01:10:53,599 Speaker 2: in such a motoring for instance, Sport is on our 1335 01:10:53,600 --> 01:10:57,000 Speaker 2: back page and our website every day so i'd I'd 1336 01:10:57,080 --> 01:11:00,439 Speaker 2: like to believe it's a bit of a mis inception. 1337 01:11:00,840 --> 01:11:02,960 Speaker 2: I find sometimes that, you know, people think, so business 1338 01:11:03,040 --> 01:11:05,840 Speaker 2: Day is just is just for the business and client 1339 01:11:06,479 --> 01:11:10,360 Speaker 2: and at the very least business doesn't does not eat, 1340 01:11:10,400 --> 01:11:13,360 Speaker 2: does does not equal boring m I mean. 1341 01:11:13,280 --> 01:11:15,679 Speaker 1: The future of business journalism. And I've always thought running 1342 01:11:15,680 --> 01:11:17,880 Speaker 1: a business without knowing fact isn't possible. You're going to 1343 01:11:17,920 --> 01:11:21,360 Speaker 1: make the wrong decision. And that's and that that is 1344 01:11:21,439 --> 01:11:25,320 Speaker 1: why publications like The Economists and the Financial Times with 1345 01:11:25,400 --> 01:11:27,679 Speaker 1: a sort of global audience are doing really quite well 1346 01:11:27,720 --> 01:11:30,400 Speaker 1: at the moment. Is that simple fact? Do you think 1347 01:11:30,439 --> 01:11:34,960 Speaker 1: that alone keeps business journalism alive? Knowing the fact, knowing 1348 01:11:35,000 --> 01:11:37,519 Speaker 1: the facts? Yeah, I mean certainly a start. 1349 01:11:38,479 --> 01:11:39,960 Speaker 2: But again, I mean if we look at those two 1350 01:11:40,160 --> 01:11:43,639 Speaker 2: publications that that that that you mentioned, there's a there's 1351 01:11:43,680 --> 01:11:46,000 Speaker 2: a far greater reason. I think that they have that 1352 01:11:46,240 --> 01:11:49,719 Speaker 2: broad appeal in it, and they have and have figured 1353 01:11:49,720 --> 01:11:53,240 Speaker 2: out a formula to speak to people with that global audience. 1354 01:11:53,280 --> 01:11:55,880 Speaker 2: And again, if we're kind of talking now long term planning, 1355 01:11:55,880 --> 01:11:57,880 Speaker 2: I mean, I would love o I would absolutely love 1356 01:11:57,880 --> 01:11:59,640 Speaker 2: to see sort of business Day mentioned in that you know, 1357 01:11:59,680 --> 01:12:03,040 Speaker 2: and that they sentence I mean, I'm a Financial Times subscriber. 1358 01:12:03,120 --> 01:12:05,160 Speaker 2: I read it just about every day, still down on 1359 01:12:05,200 --> 01:12:08,680 Speaker 2: the weekend and read fty weekend and absolutely love it. 1360 01:12:08,840 --> 01:12:10,519 Speaker 2: But at the same time, you know, some things sort 1361 01:12:10,520 --> 01:12:13,040 Speaker 2: of always is always at the back of my mind 1362 01:12:13,080 --> 01:12:16,280 Speaker 2: thinking I would love a publication from South Africa or 1363 01:12:16,280 --> 01:12:19,960 Speaker 2: Africa at large to really kind of grip that global audience. 1364 01:12:20,400 --> 01:12:22,720 Speaker 2: And again, as much as I love those two publications, 1365 01:12:22,880 --> 01:12:26,479 Speaker 2: at the end of the day, we're allowing some offices 1366 01:12:26,520 --> 01:12:29,479 Speaker 2: in London to set the agenda. And I think not 1367 01:12:29,520 --> 01:12:32,040 Speaker 2: just Business Dare, but there's other really good publications out 1368 01:12:32,040 --> 01:12:34,640 Speaker 2: there with really good teams, and I'd love to in 1369 01:12:34,680 --> 01:12:36,600 Speaker 2: the especially in this global moment, love to see us 1370 01:12:36,600 --> 01:12:40,680 Speaker 2: all kind of reach beyond our current audiences. 1371 01:12:41,000 --> 01:12:44,360 Speaker 1: I've been fascinated by watching a big push into video 1372 01:12:44,479 --> 01:12:47,000 Speaker 1: from many other publications that I thought would never go there. 1373 01:12:47,040 --> 01:12:50,120 Speaker 1: The Economists has been doing it recently, I know others do. 1374 01:12:50,520 --> 01:12:52,920 Speaker 1: I had always just in my own head and maybe 1375 01:12:52,920 --> 01:12:56,280 Speaker 1: I'm just conservative, thought, Ah, you know, you can't remember 1376 01:12:56,320 --> 01:13:01,120 Speaker 1: anything from a video, and if information is key, I 1377 01:13:01,160 --> 01:13:03,040 Speaker 1: can't think of a more efficient way to take it 1378 01:13:03,080 --> 01:13:06,559 Speaker 1: in more quickly than reading it, you know, because it 1379 01:13:06,560 --> 01:13:08,960 Speaker 1: takes so long for someone to say something. You know, 1380 01:13:09,360 --> 01:13:12,280 Speaker 1: most people can can talk it around three words a second. 1381 01:13:12,320 --> 01:13:14,639 Speaker 1: You can read, most people can read far faster than that. 1382 01:13:16,320 --> 01:13:19,360 Speaker 1: Do you think that video, the sort of publication and 1383 01:13:19,560 --> 01:13:21,800 Speaker 1: video is going to that's how it's going to go. 1384 01:13:21,840 --> 01:13:23,719 Speaker 1: It's going to take over the world in that way. 1385 01:13:23,960 --> 01:13:26,600 Speaker 1: I find it hard to believe, especially in business journalism. 1386 01:13:27,160 --> 01:13:30,320 Speaker 2: Yeah. Look, I'm like You'm very much old school it 1387 01:13:30,560 --> 01:13:33,439 Speaker 2: at heart, and I believe the art of reading will 1388 01:13:33,479 --> 01:13:36,679 Speaker 2: always be there and the written word. That being said, 1389 01:13:37,040 --> 01:13:39,200 Speaker 2: I'd like to think of it as journalism as journalism, 1390 01:13:39,320 --> 01:13:41,519 Speaker 2: and if you get your facts down, you do your 1391 01:13:41,560 --> 01:13:45,200 Speaker 2: proper supporting. Whether you get on a format of the 1392 01:13:45,200 --> 01:13:49,080 Speaker 2: written word or on video or on listening podcast, people 1393 01:13:49,120 --> 01:13:51,200 Speaker 2: are still going to find value in that. And right 1394 01:13:51,240 --> 01:13:53,360 Speaker 2: now and again, I think the ideal way, and I 1395 01:13:53,360 --> 01:13:56,080 Speaker 2: think newsrooms should all be should all be looking at 1396 01:13:56,080 --> 01:13:58,960 Speaker 2: that is how to get your journalism that you do 1397 01:13:59,040 --> 01:14:02,000 Speaker 2: on the ground, how to translate that into as many 1398 01:14:02,000 --> 01:14:04,960 Speaker 2: formats as possible. I mean, we all have financial restrictions, 1399 01:14:06,280 --> 01:14:09,479 Speaker 2: you know, at a difficult environment, as we alluded to earlier, 1400 01:14:09,479 --> 01:14:13,200 Speaker 2: but as more and more these technologies become accessible, that's 1401 01:14:13,240 --> 01:14:15,360 Speaker 2: something we can do with a normal cost, And that's 1402 01:14:15,360 --> 01:14:18,160 Speaker 2: certainly something that we're looking in Business Day is it 1403 01:14:18,200 --> 01:14:20,720 Speaker 2: doesn't have to be a case of sacrificing in the 1404 01:14:20,720 --> 01:14:22,800 Speaker 2: print product, doesn't have to be a case of sacrificing 1405 01:14:22,880 --> 01:14:25,280 Speaker 2: the written word on website. But what we can do 1406 01:14:25,320 --> 01:14:28,720 Speaker 2: is take our work now translated into different forms and 1407 01:14:28,760 --> 01:14:30,920 Speaker 2: get it viewed by as many people as possible, which 1408 01:14:31,479 --> 01:14:33,960 Speaker 2: as a journalist should really be your goal, your goal 1409 01:14:33,960 --> 01:14:34,519 Speaker 2: in the first place. 1410 01:14:34,920 --> 01:14:38,080 Speaker 1: I mean, I've been fascinating watching with the impact of 1411 01:14:38,760 --> 01:14:40,600 Speaker 1: AI on social media. I mean, it seems to be 1412 01:14:40,640 --> 01:14:43,400 Speaker 1: killing social media, and there's a wonderful irony to it 1413 01:14:43,400 --> 01:14:45,840 Speaker 1: because there's so much AI slop you sort of have 1414 01:14:45,920 --> 01:14:48,799 Speaker 1: to thraw through pages of LinkedIn to find anything genuine, 1415 01:14:48,840 --> 01:14:52,760 Speaker 1: and even then it's not very genuine. Really, could a 1416 01:14:52,880 --> 01:14:55,479 Speaker 1: I kill journalism too? Sometimes? I mean, people talk about 1417 01:14:55,479 --> 01:14:58,160 Speaker 1: the death of the Internet because it's all just rubbish. 1418 01:14:58,640 --> 01:15:00,760 Speaker 2: I mean, that's the big question that everyone has been 1419 01:15:00,800 --> 01:15:02,599 Speaker 2: asking for the past year or two ry And it's 1420 01:15:02,600 --> 01:15:05,200 Speaker 2: not just yeah, it's not just journalists. Everyone's want, you know, 1421 01:15:05,280 --> 01:15:06,720 Speaker 2: wants to know if their jobs are going to be 1422 01:15:06,760 --> 01:15:10,360 Speaker 2: taken by AI. Again, I choose to take the optimistic 1423 01:15:10,439 --> 01:15:14,440 Speaker 2: view of that, and I think that people are fatigued 1424 01:15:14,800 --> 01:15:17,960 Speaker 2: by that constant AI and what is becoming a very 1425 01:15:18,000 --> 01:15:21,360 Speaker 2: inauthentic world in many ways, especially the digital environment, and 1426 01:15:21,400 --> 01:15:23,960 Speaker 2: I think there will be a hankering and a desire 1427 01:15:24,040 --> 01:15:28,120 Speaker 2: to get to towards content that is more analogue. And 1428 01:15:28,200 --> 01:15:30,920 Speaker 2: I mean again, that's a big reason why I think 1429 01:15:30,960 --> 01:15:33,280 Speaker 2: journals is not going. It's not going anywhere, and there's 1430 01:15:33,280 --> 01:15:36,960 Speaker 2: a lot of value store both in print products and 1431 01:15:36,479 --> 01:15:38,160 Speaker 2: and there is a word online. 1432 01:15:38,640 --> 01:15:40,519 Speaker 1: Luke, thanks very much indeed for coming in. I know 1433 01:15:40,560 --> 01:15:42,400 Speaker 1: it's very early in the year to be doing that, 1434 01:15:42,479 --> 01:15:46,120 Speaker 1: so thank you. Luke Feltham indeed indeed is the editor 1435 01:15:46,439 --> 01:15:48,280 Speaker 1: at Business Day. Luke, thanks very much. 1436 01:15:48,360 --> 01:15:48,640 Speaker 2: Thanks to