1 00:00:06,415 --> 00:00:14,294 Speaker 1: You're listening to Amma Mea podcast. Good morning from gadigal Land. 2 00:00:14,495 --> 00:00:19,775 Speaker 1: I'm Taylor Strano. Hey, quick question, are countries for sale? 3 00:00:20,295 --> 00:00:24,095 Speaker 2: I've actually looked into it and it's well complicated. 4 00:00:24,655 --> 00:00:28,655 Speaker 1: But if you ask the Trump administration, everything has a price. 5 00:00:29,415 --> 00:00:33,455 Speaker 1: The US President says it's absolutely necessary for the United 6 00:00:33,495 --> 00:00:37,015 Speaker 1: States to conquer Greenland as a matter of national security. 7 00:00:37,775 --> 00:00:41,014 Speaker 1: But why does this Danish territory more than four thousand 8 00:00:41,055 --> 00:00:45,294 Speaker 1: kilometers away mean so much to Trump? And what happens 9 00:00:45,294 --> 00:00:47,735 Speaker 1: if he doesn't get it before we get there. Claire 10 00:00:47,775 --> 00:00:51,574 Speaker 1: Murphy's Got News Headlines for Friday, January sixteenth. 11 00:00:51,455 --> 00:00:55,015 Speaker 3: Thanks Taylor. Days after bushfires raged across the state, flash 12 00:00:55,095 --> 00:00:58,855 Speaker 3: flooding has hit Victoria's Great Ocean Road. Locals and touristing 13 00:00:58,935 --> 00:01:02,175 Speaker 3: communities around the y Kennett and Cumberland. Rivers around Lawn 14 00:01:02,455 --> 00:01:05,054 Speaker 3: were told to take shelter yesterday after the region was 15 00:01:05,095 --> 00:01:09,095 Speaker 3: in under by torrential rain. Footage posted online shows cars 16 00:01:09,135 --> 00:01:12,375 Speaker 3: being swept out to sea and campgrounds swamped. The rain 17 00:01:12,455 --> 00:01:14,815 Speaker 3: gage at Mount Cauley recording more than one hundred and 18 00:01:14,895 --> 00:01:17,375 Speaker 3: seventy millimeters of rain in the seven hours to nine 19 00:01:17,375 --> 00:01:20,935 Speaker 3: am yesterday. The previous total for an entire day in 20 00:01:20,975 --> 00:01:24,575 Speaker 3: the area was one hundred and twenty three millimeters. According 21 00:01:24,575 --> 00:01:27,334 Speaker 3: to figures released by the federal government today, almost five 22 00:01:27,415 --> 00:01:31,295 Speaker 3: million social media accounts have been deactivated or restricted since 23 00:01:31,335 --> 00:01:34,895 Speaker 3: Australia's world first age restrictions took effect on December ten. 24 00:01:35,415 --> 00:01:38,935 Speaker 3: The e Safety Commission has been closely monitoring social media 25 00:01:38,975 --> 00:01:41,735 Speaker 3: platforms since the laws took effect, and it says more 26 00:01:41,735 --> 00:01:45,335 Speaker 3: than four point seven million accounts were deactivated, removed or 27 00:01:45,375 --> 00:01:49,375 Speaker 3: restricted by December twelve. While some teenagers have managed to 28 00:01:49,375 --> 00:01:53,335 Speaker 3: bypass the age limits, which include digital ID face scans 29 00:01:53,415 --> 00:01:57,015 Speaker 3: and sophisticated algorithms, the data shows a large number have 30 00:01:57,135 --> 00:02:00,455 Speaker 3: already been booted off platforms. Meta, the parent company of 31 00:02:00,495 --> 00:02:03,135 Speaker 3: Facebook and Instagram, said it took down more than half 32 00:02:03,175 --> 00:02:07,415 Speaker 3: a million Australian user accounts before the even started. US 33 00:02:07,535 --> 00:02:10,895 Speaker 3: President Donald Trump has threatened to use the Insurrection Act, 34 00:02:10,935 --> 00:02:14,375 Speaker 3: which would allow him to deploy military forces in Minnesota 35 00:02:14,455 --> 00:02:18,095 Speaker 3: amid escalating tension over the deployment of federal ice agents, 36 00:02:18,135 --> 00:02:21,294 Speaker 3: which has become the focus of daily clashes. Trump took 37 00:02:21,335 --> 00:02:24,975 Speaker 3: to social media saying if the corrupt politicians of Minnesota 38 00:02:25,095 --> 00:02:28,535 Speaker 3: don't obey the law and stop the professional agitators and 39 00:02:28,575 --> 00:02:32,135 Speaker 3: insurrectionists from attacking the patriots of ICE who are only 40 00:02:32,175 --> 00:02:35,855 Speaker 3: trying to do their job. I will institute the Insurrection Act. 41 00:02:36,175 --> 00:02:39,175 Speaker 3: There has been an increase in violent incidents between ICE 42 00:02:39,215 --> 00:02:42,295 Speaker 3: agents and civilians. Thirty seven year old Rene Good was 43 00:02:42,375 --> 00:02:45,135 Speaker 3: killed by an ICE agent in Minneapolis after she attempted 44 00:02:45,175 --> 00:02:48,415 Speaker 3: to drive away. Her death has motivated more civilians to 45 00:02:48,455 --> 00:02:51,535 Speaker 3: protest against the agent's rival in their cities. The US 46 00:02:51,615 --> 00:02:55,655 Speaker 3: Department of Homeland Security, which is overseeing Trump's immigration crackdown, 47 00:02:55,975 --> 00:02:58,895 Speaker 3: said that an incident on Wednesday saw two people attack 48 00:02:58,935 --> 00:03:02,135 Speaker 3: a federal officer with a broomstick and a snowshovel as 49 00:03:02,135 --> 00:03:05,095 Speaker 3: he wrestled with a Venezuelan who the DHS said was 50 00:03:05,135 --> 00:03:09,295 Speaker 3: in the un United States illegally. Elon Musk's Ai chatbot 51 00:03:09,375 --> 00:03:11,895 Speaker 3: Grok will no longer be able to edit photos to 52 00:03:11,935 --> 00:03:15,215 Speaker 3: portray real people in revealing clothing in places where that 53 00:03:15,335 --> 00:03:19,255 Speaker 3: is illegal. In a statement, Musk's company Xai now says 54 00:03:19,295 --> 00:03:22,175 Speaker 3: it will geoblock content if it violates laws in a 55 00:03:22,175 --> 00:03:26,375 Speaker 3: particular place, saying we have implemented technological measures to prevent 56 00:03:26,415 --> 00:03:29,015 Speaker 3: the groc account from allowing the editing of images of 57 00:03:29,055 --> 00:03:32,735 Speaker 3: real people in revealing clothing such as bikini's underwear and 58 00:03:32,855 --> 00:03:36,135 Speaker 3: other revealing attire. The rule applies to all its users, 59 00:03:36,175 --> 00:03:40,175 Speaker 3: including paid subscribers who have access to more features. Groc's 60 00:03:40,255 --> 00:03:44,175 Speaker 3: Spicy mode had allowed users to create explicit content, leading 61 00:03:44,175 --> 00:03:47,935 Speaker 3: to a backlash from governments worldwide. Malaysia and Indonesia took 62 00:03:48,015 --> 00:03:51,095 Speaker 3: legal action and blocked access to Grock. France and India 63 00:03:51,095 --> 00:03:54,775 Speaker 3: have also issued warnings demanding stricter controls, and Brazil has 64 00:03:54,815 --> 00:03:58,175 Speaker 3: called for an investigation into Grox's misuse. The UK and 65 00:03:58,295 --> 00:04:02,255 Speaker 3: European Union we're investigating potential violations of online safety laws. 66 00:04:02,975 --> 00:04:06,415 Speaker 3: Actress Pamela Anderson has explained how she felt uncomfortable in 67 00:04:06,455 --> 00:04:09,175 Speaker 3: the audience of the Golden Globes because she was sitting 68 00:04:09,175 --> 00:04:11,815 Speaker 3: near Seth Rogan, who made a TV show about some 69 00:04:11,855 --> 00:04:14,295 Speaker 3: of the worst times in her life without ever speaking 70 00:04:14,335 --> 00:04:16,975 Speaker 3: to her about it. Rogan produced and starred in the 71 00:04:17,015 --> 00:04:20,294 Speaker 3: show Pammy and Tommy, about the thieves who rob Anderson's 72 00:04:20,295 --> 00:04:23,695 Speaker 3: former husband Tommy Lee Jones, defind they've accidentally grabbed their 73 00:04:23,775 --> 00:04:26,695 Speaker 3: sex tape. This actually happened to the couple back in 74 00:04:26,815 --> 00:04:30,175 Speaker 3: nineteen ninety five. Anderson telling Andy Cohen that she left 75 00:04:30,295 --> 00:04:32,935 Speaker 3: right after presenting Rose Byrne for her Best Actress in 76 00:04:32,935 --> 00:04:35,735 Speaker 3: a Musical or Comedy, saying it was in part due 77 00:04:35,735 --> 00:04:38,535 Speaker 3: to Rogan being in the audience. She said Rogan had 78 00:04:38,575 --> 00:04:41,295 Speaker 3: made the series without talking to her, saying, how can 79 00:04:41,375 --> 00:04:43,895 Speaker 3: someone make a TV show out of the difficult times 80 00:04:43,895 --> 00:04:46,615 Speaker 3: in your life? And I'm still a living, breathing human 81 00:04:46,655 --> 00:04:49,335 Speaker 3: over here. She said she felt weird being around him, 82 00:04:49,415 --> 00:04:51,534 Speaker 3: and that she felt a bit yucky about the situation, 83 00:04:51,935 --> 00:04:54,415 Speaker 3: but that she hopes Rogan will one day reach out 84 00:04:54,415 --> 00:04:55,654 Speaker 3: to her and apologize. 85 00:04:55,935 --> 00:04:56,654 Speaker 2: Thanks Clinton. 86 00:04:56,695 --> 00:05:00,654 Speaker 1: Next Trump, Greenland and his diplomatic playbook. 87 00:05:05,095 --> 00:05:06,815 Speaker 2: All right, political pop quiz? 88 00:05:07,055 --> 00:05:12,095 Speaker 1: Can you buy a country? Well, billionaires by islands all 89 00:05:12,095 --> 00:05:13,174 Speaker 1: the time, but. 90 00:05:13,015 --> 00:05:14,015 Speaker 2: What about a whole nation? 91 00:05:14,815 --> 00:05:17,695 Speaker 1: If you ask us President Donald Trump, he'd probably tell 92 00:05:17,735 --> 00:05:21,655 Speaker 1: you everything has a price, and if it doesn't, there 93 00:05:21,695 --> 00:05:24,654 Speaker 1: are other methods to get what you want, at least 94 00:05:24,775 --> 00:05:29,654 Speaker 1: in the case of Greenland. Greenland is not this free, 95 00:05:29,695 --> 00:05:32,695 Speaker 1: floating block of ice looking for a buyer. It's actually 96 00:05:32,695 --> 00:05:36,095 Speaker 1: an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark, a kind 97 00:05:36,175 --> 00:05:39,575 Speaker 1: of semi independent part of Denmark with its own parliament 98 00:05:39,615 --> 00:05:44,375 Speaker 1: and government for most domestic issues. Copenhagen, however, still controls 99 00:05:44,415 --> 00:05:48,975 Speaker 1: defense and foreign policy. It's got around fifty seven thousand people, 100 00:05:49,095 --> 00:05:52,815 Speaker 1: mostly indigenous Greenlanders, and roughly eighty percent of its land 101 00:05:52,855 --> 00:05:54,415 Speaker 1: mass is covered by ice. 102 00:05:55,255 --> 00:05:56,895 Speaker 2: Danish and Greenlandic law. 103 00:05:56,775 --> 00:05:59,935 Speaker 1: Make clear that any move toward full independence or a 104 00:06:00,055 --> 00:06:03,775 Speaker 1: change in sovereignty has to be approved by Greenlanders themselves 105 00:06:03,815 --> 00:06:07,095 Speaker 1: in a referendum, has to be agreed to by both 106 00:06:07,135 --> 00:06:09,095 Speaker 1: Greenlandic and Danish parliaments. 107 00:06:09,495 --> 00:06:12,815 Speaker 2: Both governments have repeatedly said they have zero. 108 00:06:12,695 --> 00:06:16,655 Speaker 1: Interest in being owned by the United States. So why 109 00:06:16,735 --> 00:06:20,495 Speaker 1: does Trump want it? Well, the short answer is strategy, security, 110 00:06:20,575 --> 00:06:25,255 Speaker 1: and resources. Geographically, Greenland sits between North America and Russia, 111 00:06:25,495 --> 00:06:28,295 Speaker 1: a point in the North Atlantic used for tracking Russian 112 00:06:28,335 --> 00:06:32,015 Speaker 1: and Chinese naval activity and controlling access to the Arctic. 113 00:06:32,775 --> 00:06:36,495 Speaker 1: The US already runs a major air base in northwest Greenland, 114 00:06:36,615 --> 00:06:39,935 Speaker 1: but Trump argues that ownership would lock in US dominance 115 00:06:39,975 --> 00:06:43,135 Speaker 1: in a region he says is surrounded. 116 00:06:42,495 --> 00:06:46,214 Speaker 2: By rival ships. Then there's what's under the ice. 117 00:06:46,655 --> 00:06:51,175 Speaker 1: As the climate warms, Greenland's vast natural resources. That's oil, gas, 118 00:06:51,295 --> 00:06:55,535 Speaker 1: rare earth, minerals, uranium, and fresh water, they become more accessible, 119 00:06:56,135 --> 00:06:58,535 Speaker 1: making it a prize for anyone who thinks about future 120 00:06:58,615 --> 00:07:02,775 Speaker 1: energy security and high tech supply chains. The Trump administration 121 00:07:02,895 --> 00:07:06,695 Speaker 1: has downplayed the resource angle, saying for Greenland is more 122 00:07:06,695 --> 00:07:10,375 Speaker 1: about national security, but in the grand scheme of things, 123 00:07:10,495 --> 00:07:14,295 Speaker 1: access to critical minerals is a pretty sweet bonus. This 124 00:07:14,455 --> 00:07:17,175 Speaker 1: isn't the first time the US has tried to buy Greenland. 125 00:07:18,655 --> 00:07:20,415 Speaker 2: In nineteen forty six, it. 126 00:07:20,415 --> 00:07:23,215 Speaker 1: Quietly offered to take the territory of Denmark's hands, but 127 00:07:23,415 --> 00:07:27,695 Speaker 1: alas they couldn't make a deal. So how likely are 128 00:07:27,735 --> 00:07:31,415 Speaker 1: the US attempts to, in Trump's words, conquer Greenland in 129 00:07:31,495 --> 00:07:33,015 Speaker 1: twenty twenty six. 130 00:07:32,815 --> 00:07:36,415 Speaker 2: To pay off? And what happens if they keep declining? 131 00:07:37,335 --> 00:07:40,695 Speaker 1: United States Study Center Associate Professor David Smith has been 132 00:07:40,735 --> 00:07:44,615 Speaker 1: closely following the unfolding situation. David, let's start with the 133 00:07:44,655 --> 00:07:48,775 Speaker 1: latest developments. US and Danish officials. They met yesterday to 134 00:07:48,895 --> 00:07:52,495 Speaker 1: discuss the Trump administration's plans. What do we know about 135 00:07:52,495 --> 00:07:52,975 Speaker 1: that meeting? 136 00:07:53,295 --> 00:07:55,575 Speaker 4: What came out of this meeting was that they have 137 00:07:55,775 --> 00:07:59,935 Speaker 4: not reached an agreement. The leaders have been very clear 138 00:07:59,975 --> 00:08:03,575 Speaker 4: about that. They said that the talks were constructive and frank, 139 00:08:03,975 --> 00:08:07,295 Speaker 4: but there's a fundamental deal disagreement between the two sides. 140 00:08:07,855 --> 00:08:11,015 Speaker 4: And even though they haven't said it explicitly, what that 141 00:08:11,135 --> 00:08:16,455 Speaker 4: disagreement is is that Denmark refuses to sell Greenland. They 142 00:08:16,455 --> 00:08:19,535 Speaker 4: will not consider the idea of selling Greenland. They don't 143 00:08:19,575 --> 00:08:22,815 Speaker 4: believe that they have the power to sell Greenland, and 144 00:08:23,095 --> 00:08:27,255 Speaker 4: Greenland agrees with them about this. But on the other side, 145 00:08:27,335 --> 00:08:31,255 Speaker 4: it really appears that the Americans are continuing to push 146 00:08:31,335 --> 00:08:35,094 Speaker 4: the line that the United States has to acquire complete 147 00:08:35,135 --> 00:08:38,775 Speaker 4: control of Greenland, and that the offer that they've made 148 00:08:38,975 --> 00:08:40,175 Speaker 4: is to buy it. 149 00:08:40,255 --> 00:08:45,775 Speaker 1: Is Greenland even technically for sale. Can you buy a country, David. 150 00:08:45,895 --> 00:08:49,135 Speaker 4: It's been more than a century since we've had these 151 00:08:49,255 --> 00:08:53,575 Speaker 4: kind of large scale sales of one country to another. 152 00:08:54,175 --> 00:08:57,855 Speaker 4: And the reason why is that before the First World War, 153 00:08:58,375 --> 00:09:01,815 Speaker 4: the world was largely ruled by empires who were able 154 00:09:01,895 --> 00:09:05,815 Speaker 4: to conduct these transactions with very little regard for people 155 00:09:05,855 --> 00:09:09,215 Speaker 4: who lived in these places. When the United States bought 156 00:09:09,215 --> 00:09:12,814 Speaker 4: the Louisiana purchase from the French, or Alaska from the Russians, 157 00:09:13,255 --> 00:09:17,015 Speaker 4: the considerations of the Native Americans and Native Alaskans didn't matter. 158 00:09:17,375 --> 00:09:21,255 Speaker 4: They weren't citizens, they didn't have political rights. We're living 159 00:09:21,295 --> 00:09:25,535 Speaker 4: in a different world now, where national self determination is 160 00:09:25,895 --> 00:09:30,255 Speaker 4: respected and where the rights of indigenous people are respected, 161 00:09:30,775 --> 00:09:34,855 Speaker 4: and so Denmark's position is they have no right to 162 00:09:35,054 --> 00:09:39,375 Speaker 4: sell Greenland a country which can decide to become independent. 163 00:09:39,735 --> 00:09:43,335 Speaker 4: It is Greenlanders who have to determine their own political future. 164 00:09:43,735 --> 00:09:46,574 Speaker 4: So when Denmark says the Greenland is not for sale, 165 00:09:46,695 --> 00:09:48,855 Speaker 4: they're not just saying they won't sell it. They're saying 166 00:09:49,054 --> 00:09:51,375 Speaker 4: they can't sell it. It has to be up to 167 00:09:51,455 --> 00:09:55,015 Speaker 4: the people of Greenland to decide, and the Greenlanders have 168 00:09:55,135 --> 00:09:59,694 Speaker 4: made it very clear increasingly clear that they don't consider 169 00:09:59,735 --> 00:10:02,335 Speaker 4: the country to be for sale to the United States. 170 00:10:02,575 --> 00:10:05,255 Speaker 4: In fact, Greenland's Prime minister has even said that if 171 00:10:05,255 --> 00:10:08,535 Speaker 4: a choice between Denmark and the United States, they would 172 00:10:08,535 --> 00:10:12,215 Speaker 4: take Denmark. What they want in the future is independence, 173 00:10:12,575 --> 00:10:15,975 Speaker 4: but they're not just going to swap one foreign sovereign 174 00:10:16,054 --> 00:10:16,495 Speaker 4: for another. 175 00:10:17,175 --> 00:10:21,855 Speaker 1: Why Greenland, David, The US has tried to purchase it 176 00:10:22,135 --> 00:10:25,295 Speaker 1: in the past, Why are they still pursuing it now. 177 00:10:25,895 --> 00:10:29,375 Speaker 4: So Greenland is very strategically important, and it's becoming more 178 00:10:29,415 --> 00:10:33,415 Speaker 4: strategically important as Arctic ice melts. That means that the 179 00:10:33,455 --> 00:10:37,775 Speaker 4: waterways around Greenland are potentially becoming very important both to 180 00:10:37,895 --> 00:10:41,655 Speaker 4: trade and to security. Now Donald Trump has claimed that 181 00:10:41,775 --> 00:10:45,255 Speaker 4: Greenland is surrounded by the navies of China and Russia. 182 00:10:45,815 --> 00:10:48,655 Speaker 4: There is no evidence for that at all, and today 183 00:10:48,855 --> 00:10:52,135 Speaker 4: Denmark's Prime minister said that there hasn't been a Chinese 184 00:10:52,215 --> 00:10:55,974 Speaker 4: boat anywhere near Greenland for the last ten years. But nonetheless, 185 00:10:56,015 --> 00:10:59,175 Speaker 4: Trump is claiming that there is this major security threat 186 00:10:59,495 --> 00:11:02,895 Speaker 4: to Greenland and that only the United States can actually 187 00:11:03,015 --> 00:11:06,535 Speaker 4: protect Greenland. Now, leaving aside the fact that the only 188 00:11:06,615 --> 00:11:10,095 Speaker 4: country that has in any way threatened Greenland with invasion 189 00:11:10,175 --> 00:11:14,495 Speaker 4: recently is the United States, we also need to remember 190 00:11:14,895 --> 00:11:18,815 Speaker 4: that the United States has pretty much unlimited military access 191 00:11:18,895 --> 00:11:23,655 Speaker 4: to Greenland already. The United States occupied Greenland during the 192 00:11:23,695 --> 00:11:26,775 Speaker 4: Second World War, so the US already has one pretty 193 00:11:26,815 --> 00:11:30,055 Speaker 4: significant military base there. It could expand the number of 194 00:11:30,054 --> 00:11:33,855 Speaker 4: military bases that it has if its major concern is security, 195 00:11:33,975 --> 00:11:37,575 Speaker 4: If its major concern is about control of those waterways, 196 00:11:37,855 --> 00:11:42,135 Speaker 4: it could achieve those without taking control of Greenland. What 197 00:11:42,215 --> 00:11:45,895 Speaker 4: Denmark and Greenland and NATO are trying to do now 198 00:11:46,535 --> 00:11:50,255 Speaker 4: is to instead make offers to the United States about 199 00:11:50,295 --> 00:11:54,095 Speaker 4: how they can fulfill their security objectives without having to 200 00:11:54,135 --> 00:11:57,375 Speaker 4: buy Greenland. So apparently one of the results of these 201 00:11:57,415 --> 00:11:59,655 Speaker 4: talks is been to set up a working party on 202 00:11:59,735 --> 00:12:03,095 Speaker 4: greenlanding security, where no doubt this is all going to 203 00:12:03,095 --> 00:12:07,135 Speaker 4: be discussed what the US can do to hands Greenland security. 204 00:12:07,295 --> 00:12:10,455 Speaker 4: The security of Greenland does not have to depend on 205 00:12:10,495 --> 00:12:13,615 Speaker 4: the United States buying it, no matter what Donald Trump says. 206 00:12:13,895 --> 00:12:16,415 Speaker 1: It's kind of like when you go to a home 207 00:12:16,455 --> 00:12:19,655 Speaker 1: open and a rival competitor who wants to also buy 208 00:12:19,735 --> 00:12:22,415 Speaker 1: the house tries to point out the flaws in the 209 00:12:22,455 --> 00:12:25,295 Speaker 1: structure so you have a better chance of getting it yourself. 210 00:12:26,015 --> 00:12:28,335 Speaker 4: It is a bit like that. Certainly, he's painting this 211 00:12:28,615 --> 00:12:32,975 Speaker 4: very bleak picture of what the security of Greenland is like. 212 00:12:33,575 --> 00:12:36,454 Speaker 4: But the other thing that's at stake is Greenland has 213 00:12:36,495 --> 00:12:41,175 Speaker 4: potentially huge reserves of critical minerals, which the United States 214 00:12:41,215 --> 00:12:44,455 Speaker 4: is very eager to secure control of those because it 215 00:12:44,535 --> 00:12:48,375 Speaker 4: needs sources of critical minerals outside of China. The United 216 00:12:48,455 --> 00:12:52,454 Speaker 4: States and American companies could easily negotiate mineral deals there. 217 00:12:52,855 --> 00:12:56,615 Speaker 4: In fact, not that long ago, Greenland actually barred Chinese 218 00:12:56,695 --> 00:12:59,695 Speaker 4: mining companies from having access to critical minerals there, So 219 00:13:00,375 --> 00:13:03,335 Speaker 4: it would be right for the United States to negotiate 220 00:13:03,375 --> 00:13:05,455 Speaker 4: that kind of access instead of having to buy it. 221 00:13:05,735 --> 00:13:08,735 Speaker 1: David Trump has said that it is absolutely necessary for 222 00:13:08,775 --> 00:13:10,415 Speaker 1: the US to conquer Greenland. 223 00:13:10,895 --> 00:13:12,415 Speaker 2: What does that look like. 224 00:13:12,495 --> 00:13:14,535 Speaker 1: I mean, they've made it very clear it's not for sale, 225 00:13:14,615 --> 00:13:16,775 Speaker 1: so it's not going to be a civilized handshaken, a 226 00:13:16,855 --> 00:13:20,175 Speaker 1: contract signed. Is there a chance that it could end 227 00:13:20,255 --> 00:13:23,175 Speaker 1: up in something more severe like military invasion? 228 00:13:23,615 --> 00:13:26,975 Speaker 4: In the Trump presidency, we've learned never to take any 229 00:13:27,015 --> 00:13:30,855 Speaker 4: options of the table, and Trump has said that military 230 00:13:30,895 --> 00:13:34,415 Speaker 4: options are potentially on the table. Now I see that 231 00:13:34,495 --> 00:13:37,775 Speaker 4: as unlikely. There was a Quinnipiac poll in the US 232 00:13:37,815 --> 00:13:40,655 Speaker 4: that said that eighty six percent of Americans would be 233 00:13:40,735 --> 00:13:46,255 Speaker 4: opposed to an invasion of Greenland. If they invaded Greenland, 234 00:13:46,615 --> 00:13:52,175 Speaker 4: they would potentially conquer it very easily, but Americans would 235 00:13:52,215 --> 00:13:56,135 Speaker 4: hate the idea of American troops fighting Swedish and Danish 236 00:13:56,215 --> 00:13:58,695 Speaker 4: troops who would be the ones defending it. These are 237 00:13:58,735 --> 00:14:03,175 Speaker 4: countries that Americans regard as friendly. Americans are really at 238 00:14:03,175 --> 00:14:05,495 Speaker 4: the moment wanting Donald Trump to focus a lot more 239 00:14:05,615 --> 00:14:09,575 Speaker 4: on fixing domestic problems, especially the cost of living crisis 240 00:14:09,615 --> 00:14:12,655 Speaker 4: in the United States. It's not at all clear how 241 00:14:12,695 --> 00:14:16,455 Speaker 4: an invasion of Denmark, or an invasion of Greenland, or 242 00:14:16,455 --> 00:14:20,215 Speaker 4: even buying Greenland would actually help that in any way. 243 00:14:20,775 --> 00:14:24,735 Speaker 4: So even though we can't disregard the possibility of a 244 00:14:24,775 --> 00:14:27,735 Speaker 4: military invasion. I think that Trump would have to think 245 00:14:27,895 --> 00:14:32,215 Speaker 4: very carefully about that because the domestic political consequences of 246 00:14:32,255 --> 00:14:33,335 Speaker 4: it could be disastrous. 247 00:14:33,615 --> 00:14:36,295 Speaker 1: While we've got you, David, there's another US foreign policy 248 00:14:36,335 --> 00:14:39,655 Speaker 1: story that's currently developing, and that is of the Trump 249 00:14:39,735 --> 00:14:42,895 Speaker 1: administration's intervention into Iran. 250 00:14:43,495 --> 00:14:45,015 Speaker 2: Where do you see this one going. 251 00:14:45,575 --> 00:14:47,815 Speaker 4: One of the things I've been thinking about looking at 252 00:14:47,895 --> 00:14:53,375 Speaker 4: this is it is amazing how quickly ideas about intervention 253 00:14:53,655 --> 00:14:57,535 Speaker 4: and regime change have suddenly become so popular in the 254 00:14:57,535 --> 00:15:01,255 Speaker 4: Trump administration. And what we're seeing is that a lot 255 00:15:01,295 --> 00:15:04,975 Speaker 4: of his own supporters are very uncomfortable about the idea 256 00:15:05,575 --> 00:15:09,655 Speaker 4: of the United States undertaking these interventions in other countries, 257 00:15:09,695 --> 00:15:12,335 Speaker 4: which they promise are going to be very quick and 258 00:15:12,455 --> 00:15:16,135 Speaker 4: very limited. But we've seen those promises before. We saw 259 00:15:16,175 --> 00:15:18,975 Speaker 4: them in Vietnam, we saw them in Iraq, we saw 260 00:15:18,975 --> 00:15:22,415 Speaker 4: them in Afghanistan. When Trump says that the United States 261 00:15:22,455 --> 00:15:26,255 Speaker 4: is going to run Venezuela, that really sets off alarm 262 00:15:26,335 --> 00:15:28,975 Speaker 4: bells for Americans who can remember what happened when the 263 00:15:29,055 --> 00:15:33,215 Speaker 4: United States tried to run Iraq, intervening in Iran in 264 00:15:33,255 --> 00:15:36,575 Speaker 4: the Middle East in a country that has been a 265 00:15:36,695 --> 00:15:39,455 Speaker 4: long term enemy of the United States for more than 266 00:15:39,535 --> 00:15:43,095 Speaker 4: forty years. I think that people are really concerned because 267 00:15:43,095 --> 00:15:47,335 Speaker 4: there have been promises made before that when regime change happens, 268 00:15:47,735 --> 00:15:51,135 Speaker 4: all the people in the country will just happily overthrow 269 00:15:51,295 --> 00:15:53,855 Speaker 4: the hated regime and will adopt a regime that the 270 00:15:53,975 --> 00:15:57,575 Speaker 4: United States likes. We have seen in the past time 271 00:15:57,655 --> 00:16:00,295 Speaker 4: and time again that it often doesn't turn out that way. 272 00:16:00,655 --> 00:16:03,295 Speaker 4: So I think that Americans are going to be very 273 00:16:03,295 --> 00:16:07,575 Speaker 4: worried about the prospect of in Iran. It's still not 274 00:16:07,695 --> 00:16:11,455 Speaker 4: clear what that intervention would look like. Trump was potentially 275 00:16:11,495 --> 00:16:15,095 Speaker 4: talking about military action in Iran, which would presumably be 276 00:16:15,175 --> 00:16:18,135 Speaker 4: something along the lines of the kinds of air strikes 277 00:16:18,175 --> 00:16:20,895 Speaker 4: that are carried out in Iran last year, but it's 278 00:16:20,895 --> 00:16:23,455 Speaker 4: not clear how that would actually be able to top 279 00:16:23,575 --> 00:16:27,295 Speaker 4: all the regime. Regime change, as we've seen before, involves 280 00:16:27,695 --> 00:16:29,895 Speaker 4: far more involved military. 281 00:16:29,495 --> 00:16:32,455 Speaker 1: Action with military intervention, What does that actually look like? 282 00:16:32,495 --> 00:16:35,175 Speaker 1: What happens when the US says we're going to go 283 00:16:35,335 --> 00:16:36,855 Speaker 1: into this country full force. 284 00:16:37,215 --> 00:16:39,855 Speaker 4: If the United States was having to provide security for 285 00:16:39,895 --> 00:16:43,455 Speaker 4: the new regime, then that would involve troops on the ground. 286 00:16:43,775 --> 00:16:47,175 Speaker 4: If the United States was trying to forcibly remove the 287 00:16:47,335 --> 00:16:50,335 Speaker 4: old regime. Then it's hard to see how that could 288 00:16:50,375 --> 00:16:53,935 Speaker 4: be done through air strikes alone. Iran is nowhere near 289 00:16:54,095 --> 00:16:59,775 Speaker 4: as weak as Venezuela was, and the security apparatus of 290 00:16:59,775 --> 00:17:03,575 Speaker 4: the Iranian regime seems very determined to hang on given 291 00:17:03,615 --> 00:17:06,695 Speaker 4: the way that they have responded to protests. What Trump 292 00:17:06,734 --> 00:17:11,054 Speaker 4: is probably hoping for is that protesters themselves are going 293 00:17:11,094 --> 00:17:14,774 Speaker 4: to be able to overthrow the regime with minimal help 294 00:17:14,975 --> 00:17:17,855 Speaker 4: from the United States. But at the moment, it's very 295 00:17:17,935 --> 00:17:22,014 Speaker 4: unclear what any kind of help would actually look like. Militarily. 296 00:17:22,494 --> 00:17:25,174 Speaker 4: Trump has said that he believes that Iran has actually 297 00:17:25,175 --> 00:17:28,695 Speaker 4: stopped killing protesters, which may be a sign that he's 298 00:17:28,774 --> 00:17:32,654 Speaker 4: actually backing away from the idea of military action. Maybe 299 00:17:32,655 --> 00:17:35,654 Speaker 4: what he'll do instead is take up Iranian offers for 300 00:17:35,854 --> 00:17:39,814 Speaker 4: negotiations over Iran's nuclear program. At the moment, it's just 301 00:17:39,935 --> 00:17:43,534 Speaker 4: really unclear. And this is because Trump has a tendency 302 00:17:43,935 --> 00:17:47,534 Speaker 4: to really talk a very big game online in order 303 00:17:47,574 --> 00:17:50,454 Speaker 4: to try to threaten and intimidate countries into doing what 304 00:17:50,494 --> 00:17:53,054 Speaker 4: he wants before he needs to use force. 305 00:17:54,054 --> 00:17:58,054 Speaker 1: David, is this all part of the Trump playbook? I 306 00:17:58,054 --> 00:18:00,854 Speaker 1: mean this last two weeks alone, we've seen the Trump 307 00:18:00,935 --> 00:18:07,334 Speaker 1: administration in the headlines alongside Venezuela, alongside Greenland, Iran. In 308 00:18:07,375 --> 00:18:09,734 Speaker 1: the last twenty four hours, phase two of the gars 309 00:18:09,734 --> 00:18:12,894 Speaker 1: A ceasefire deal is set to roll out. Is the 310 00:18:12,935 --> 00:18:16,054 Speaker 1: idea here, we don't know where to look when it 311 00:18:16,094 --> 00:18:19,655 Speaker 1: comes to the US and foreign policy and foreign intervention. 312 00:18:20,695 --> 00:18:26,774 Speaker 4: Trump really values unpredictability. He really values keeping everybody off 313 00:18:26,854 --> 00:18:30,494 Speaker 4: guard all the time, and so all of these things 314 00:18:30,494 --> 00:18:33,975 Speaker 4: happening at once. It's very different from normal approaches to 315 00:18:34,014 --> 00:18:39,534 Speaker 4: international relations, where leaders try to keep issues contained and focused. 316 00:18:39,695 --> 00:18:42,575 Speaker 4: Trump's approach instead is try to do as much as 317 00:18:42,614 --> 00:18:47,375 Speaker 4: possible all at once, take everybody by surprise. Now, we've 318 00:18:47,375 --> 00:18:50,895 Speaker 4: got to remember we're still in the early stages of 319 00:18:51,175 --> 00:18:55,094 Speaker 4: all of these issues. We've just seen the removal of 320 00:18:55,175 --> 00:18:59,134 Speaker 4: Venezuela's leader, but it's really unclear what's going to happen next. 321 00:18:59,494 --> 00:19:02,534 Speaker 4: Iran is being convulsed by all these protests at the moment, 322 00:19:02,574 --> 00:19:06,734 Speaker 4: but again it's very unclear what's going to happen. Trump 323 00:19:06,774 --> 00:19:11,654 Speaker 4: really hopes that in all of these circumstances, just making 324 00:19:12,415 --> 00:19:17,294 Speaker 4: as big and as threatening a display of power as 325 00:19:17,334 --> 00:19:22,094 Speaker 4: possible is going to get his desired outcomes. He really 326 00:19:22,094 --> 00:19:24,614 Speaker 4: seems to believe that there are very few limits to 327 00:19:24,695 --> 00:19:27,534 Speaker 4: American power in the world at the moment, and he 328 00:19:27,655 --> 00:19:31,855 Speaker 4: certainly doesn't believe that American power can be constrained by 329 00:19:31,975 --> 00:19:35,334 Speaker 4: international law or international norms. In an interview that he 330 00:19:35,415 --> 00:19:37,214 Speaker 4: gave with The New York Times, he said that the 331 00:19:37,254 --> 00:19:41,294 Speaker 4: only constraint on his power is his own morality. In 332 00:19:41,334 --> 00:19:44,534 Speaker 4: other words, there are no international rules anymore. He's going 333 00:19:44,574 --> 00:19:47,334 Speaker 4: to be the one who makes the international rules. 334 00:19:48,975 --> 00:19:51,254 Speaker 1: Thanks for taking some time to feed your mind with 335 00:19:51,334 --> 00:19:51,774 Speaker 1: us today. 336 00:19:51,854 --> 00:19:52,494 Speaker 2: Don't forget. 337 00:19:52,494 --> 00:19:55,294 Speaker 1: We're back for another news update in your afternoon break, 338 00:19:55,455 --> 00:19:58,415 Speaker 1: So make sure you're following The Quikie wherever you get 339 00:19:58,415 --> 00:19:59,334 Speaker 1: your podcasts. 340 00:19:59,534 --> 00:20:02,135 Speaker 2: The Quikie is produced by me Table Strano. 341 00:20:01,935 --> 00:20:05,774 Speaker 1: Laria Brophy, and Claire Murphy, with audio production by Lou Hill. 342 00:20:08,734 --> 00:20:11,815 Speaker 3: Mumma Mea acknowledges the traditional owners of land and waters 343 00:20:11,854 --> 00:20:13,534 Speaker 3: that this podcast is recorded on