1 00:00:10,614 --> 00:00:13,294 Speaker 1: You're listening to a Mamma Mia podcast. 2 00:00:14,134 --> 00:00:17,174 Speaker 2: Mamma Mia acknowledges the traditional owners of land and waters 3 00:00:17,254 --> 00:00:20,574 Speaker 2: that this podcast is recorded on Hey friends, I just 4 00:00:20,614 --> 00:00:22,334 Speaker 2: wanted to let you know before we start today that 5 00:00:22,414 --> 00:00:25,614 Speaker 2: we aren't discussing recent events in Gaza and it could 6 00:00:25,694 --> 00:00:32,814 Speaker 2: be a difficult listen, so please take care. I'm Claire Murphy. 7 00:00:32,934 --> 00:00:36,374 Speaker 2: This is Mumma MIA's daily news podcast, The Quickie. The 8 00:00:36,494 --> 00:00:39,574 Speaker 2: Israeli military campaign in the southern Gaza city of Rapha 9 00:00:40,014 --> 00:00:43,014 Speaker 2: is now nearly three weeks old, and the forever shrinking 10 00:00:43,214 --> 00:00:45,734 Speaker 2: territory that can hold those who are fleeing the violence 11 00:00:46,254 --> 00:00:47,294 Speaker 2: just got even smaller. 12 00:00:47,614 --> 00:00:50,854 Speaker 1: There's increased pressure on the Israeli Prime Minister tonight after 13 00:00:50,974 --> 00:00:55,134 Speaker 1: rare strikes in southern Gaza killed dozens of display civilians. 14 00:00:55,454 --> 00:00:58,414 Speaker 3: Israel has confirmed the strike, saying it targeted a Hamas 15 00:00:58,654 --> 00:01:00,894 Speaker 3: compound where militants were located. 16 00:01:01,134 --> 00:01:05,294 Speaker 4: This eyewitness says families were killed by Israeli missiles as 17 00:01:05,334 --> 00:01:09,214 Speaker 4: they baked bread. Today we're looking into where Palestinians are 18 00:01:09,214 --> 00:01:11,734 Speaker 4: suppose to go now now that their last. 19 00:01:11,614 --> 00:01:15,494 Speaker 2: Refuge is a refuge no more. But first, here's the 20 00:01:15,534 --> 00:01:19,014 Speaker 2: letters from the Cookie newsroom. Thursday May thirty, a group 21 00:01:19,094 --> 00:01:23,174 Speaker 2: of hackers is allegedly trying to sell data stolen from Ticketmaster, 22 00:01:23,534 --> 00:01:27,134 Speaker 2: with potentially many Australians caught up in the breach. Online 23 00:01:27,214 --> 00:01:30,654 Speaker 2: posts claiming to be from Shiny Hunters are advertising the 24 00:01:30,694 --> 00:01:33,814 Speaker 2: sale of five hundred and sixty million users stolen info, 25 00:01:34,294 --> 00:01:37,934 Speaker 2: claiming the group hacked the details of Ticketmaster's customers, the 26 00:01:38,014 --> 00:01:41,694 Speaker 2: ticketing site owned by Live Nation, asking for seven hundred 27 00:01:41,694 --> 00:01:45,294 Speaker 2: and fifty thousand dollars for one point three terabytes of data. 28 00:01:45,734 --> 00:01:49,894 Speaker 2: Cybersecurity industry publication cyber Daily has reported that a sample 29 00:01:49,934 --> 00:01:52,894 Speaker 2: of the data was posted along with the sale notice 30 00:01:53,134 --> 00:01:56,254 Speaker 2: that included credit card details, but it's not yet known 31 00:01:56,374 --> 00:02:00,814 Speaker 2: if Australian customers have been exposed. Israeli authorities say the 32 00:02:00,854 --> 00:02:03,694 Speaker 2: war in Gaza is likely to last at least another 33 00:02:03,814 --> 00:02:06,894 Speaker 2: seven months, as their tanks moved into the heart of Rafa, 34 00:02:07,294 --> 00:02:10,294 Speaker 2: despite calls from the International Court of just to end 35 00:02:10,334 --> 00:02:13,614 Speaker 2: its attacks on the city. The Palestinian Health Minister has 36 00:02:13,814 --> 00:02:16,974 Speaker 2: urged the US to pressure Israel into opening the Rafa 37 00:02:17,054 --> 00:02:20,974 Speaker 2: crossing to allow aid in for those desperately trying to survive, 38 00:02:21,374 --> 00:02:24,294 Speaker 2: saying patients in the besieged area were dying from lack 39 00:02:24,374 --> 00:02:28,014 Speaker 2: of medical treatment. The Israeli military controls three quarters of 40 00:02:28,054 --> 00:02:30,934 Speaker 2: the buffer zone along the border with Egypt, with plans 41 00:02:31,014 --> 00:02:34,854 Speaker 2: to control it all. Israel's National security adviser saying it's 42 00:02:34,934 --> 00:02:39,374 Speaker 2: to prevent Hamas from smuggling weapons in the UNRWA reported 43 00:02:39,454 --> 00:02:42,934 Speaker 2: yesterday that around one million Palestinians who've taken shelter in 44 00:02:43,054 --> 00:02:47,054 Speaker 2: Rafa are now fleeing the area after Israeli orders to evacuate. 45 00:02:47,774 --> 00:02:51,254 Speaker 2: The preliminary findings into what caused a Singapore airline's flight 46 00:02:51,374 --> 00:02:54,814 Speaker 2: to suddenly drop, injuring dozens of passengers and leading to 47 00:02:54,894 --> 00:02:57,414 Speaker 2: the death of a seventy three year old man showed 48 00:02:57,494 --> 00:03:01,494 Speaker 2: a rapid change in gravitational force. Flight Sq three two 49 00:03:01,574 --> 00:03:04,054 Speaker 2: one was en route from London to Singapore on May 50 00:03:04,174 --> 00:03:08,094 Speaker 2: twenty one when it hit severe turbulence. The preliminary report 51 00:03:08,174 --> 00:03:11,174 Speaker 2: from the Transports Safety in vas Investigation Bureau showing the 52 00:03:11,214 --> 00:03:15,334 Speaker 2: plane suffered a rapid change in gravitational force followed by 53 00:03:15,374 --> 00:03:19,454 Speaker 2: an accelerated fifty four meter altitude drop, saying this likely 54 00:03:19,534 --> 00:03:22,094 Speaker 2: resulted in the occupants who were not builted up to 55 00:03:22,174 --> 00:03:26,574 Speaker 2: become airborne. Then vertical acceleration changing from negative one point 56 00:03:26,654 --> 00:03:30,094 Speaker 2: five g to positive one point five g within four seconds, 57 00:03:30,614 --> 00:03:33,934 Speaker 2: likely resulted in the occupants who were airborne falling back down. 58 00:03:34,414 --> 00:03:37,334 Speaker 2: The plane, carrying two hundred and eleven passengers fifty six 59 00:03:37,414 --> 00:03:40,654 Speaker 2: from Australia was diverted to bang Conk after the incidents, 60 00:03:40,734 --> 00:03:44,014 Speaker 2: where many remained being treated for their injuries, including some 61 00:03:44,174 --> 00:03:48,734 Speaker 2: who required spinal surgery. Jurors are beginning their deliberation at 62 00:03:48,814 --> 00:03:52,174 Speaker 2: Donald Trump's hush money trial, sifting through weeks of evidence 63 00:03:52,254 --> 00:03:55,294 Speaker 2: and testimony to determine if he will become the first 64 00:03:55,454 --> 00:03:58,654 Speaker 2: US president convicted of a crime. Trump is accused of 65 00:03:58,734 --> 00:04:02,374 Speaker 2: falsifying business records to cover up the payments to several people, 66 00:04:02,574 --> 00:04:06,374 Speaker 2: including adult film style Stormy Daniels, allegedly paying them off 67 00:04:06,494 --> 00:04:08,614 Speaker 2: so their stories didn't come out in the lead up 68 00:04:08,614 --> 00:04:12,054 Speaker 2: to the twenty sixty presidential election. It's not known how 69 00:04:12,134 --> 00:04:14,614 Speaker 2: long the jurors will take to reach a verdict, after 70 00:04:14,694 --> 00:04:17,574 Speaker 2: having spent six weeks in a New York courtroom as 71 00:04:17,654 --> 00:04:20,534 Speaker 2: prosecutors laid out their case and his lawyers attempted to 72 00:04:20,614 --> 00:04:23,734 Speaker 2: knock it down. The verdict could impact the twenty twenty 73 00:04:23,814 --> 00:04:26,574 Speaker 2: four presidential race, in which Trump is seeking another term 74 00:04:26,614 --> 00:04:29,134 Speaker 2: In the White House polling finding that if he is 75 00:04:29,174 --> 00:04:32,614 Speaker 2: found guilty, it could cost him support amongst some independent 76 00:04:32,854 --> 00:04:36,894 Speaker 2: and Republican voters. That's the latest news headlines. Next, we 77 00:04:37,014 --> 00:04:39,254 Speaker 2: head into the streets of Rafa to find out what 78 00:04:39,374 --> 00:04:41,774 Speaker 2: will happen to those who have nowhere left to go. 79 00:04:52,254 --> 00:04:56,614 Speaker 2: Gaza's tent camp stretches for more than sixteen kilometers along 80 00:04:56,694 --> 00:05:01,014 Speaker 2: the coast. It spills into empty fields, onto the beaches, 81 00:05:01,454 --> 00:05:05,334 Speaker 2: up streets, and into empty lots. Those who live there 82 00:05:05,414 --> 00:05:08,214 Speaker 2: have dug trenches for toilets to try and contain the 83 00:05:08,294 --> 00:05:13,214 Speaker 2: biological hazards of so many people living together in unsanitary conditions. 84 00:05:14,214 --> 00:05:17,414 Speaker 2: Children dig through rubbish and search for anything they can 85 00:05:17,494 --> 00:05:20,734 Speaker 2: burn so their mothers can cook whatever little food they've 86 00:05:20,774 --> 00:05:24,374 Speaker 2: managed to secure. The supplies coming in to support them 87 00:05:24,694 --> 00:05:28,214 Speaker 2: are thin on the ground. The UN and other aid 88 00:05:28,254 --> 00:05:31,094 Speaker 2: agencies say what they can get in when they can 89 00:05:31,214 --> 00:05:34,094 Speaker 2: get it across borders or through the temporary peer. The 90 00:05:34,254 --> 00:05:36,534 Speaker 2: US setup, which has now had to be dismantled and 91 00:05:36,614 --> 00:05:40,294 Speaker 2: fixed due to rough weather causing damage, are becoming increasingly 92 00:05:40,374 --> 00:05:45,254 Speaker 2: hard to obtain. The basics are barely being covered, food, 93 00:05:45,694 --> 00:05:50,174 Speaker 2: medical supplies, and water, something that would become even more 94 00:05:50,294 --> 00:05:56,414 Speaker 2: vital on the evening of Sunday, May twenty six. That night, 95 00:05:56,854 --> 00:06:00,014 Speaker 2: families displaced by the war and Gaza were settling in 96 00:06:00,174 --> 00:06:02,894 Speaker 2: for the evening in their makeshift ten camp in the 97 00:06:02,974 --> 00:06:06,214 Speaker 2: Tel al Sultan neighborhood in the southern Ghazan city of Rufa. 98 00:06:07,054 --> 00:06:10,774 Speaker 2: These people had relocated from another May shiftingcampment in the 99 00:06:10,894 --> 00:06:13,574 Speaker 2: east of the city, where they had set up before 100 00:06:13,694 --> 00:06:17,374 Speaker 2: Israeli forces began their military campaign against Hermas in the 101 00:06:17,454 --> 00:06:22,094 Speaker 2: city itself. Um Muhammad Alatar, a Palestinian woman who was 102 00:06:22,134 --> 00:06:26,174 Speaker 2: in the camp, told reporters and Israeli airstrike hit as 103 00:06:26,214 --> 00:06:27,654 Speaker 2: they tried to settle their children. 104 00:06:28,174 --> 00:06:30,574 Speaker 5: We were praying and we were getting our children's beds 105 00:06:30,614 --> 00:06:33,654 Speaker 5: ready to sleep. There was nothing unusual, and then we 106 00:06:33,734 --> 00:06:37,054 Speaker 5: heard a very loud noise and fire erupted around us. 107 00:06:37,454 --> 00:06:41,254 Speaker 5: All the children started screaming. The sound was terrifying. We 108 00:06:41,374 --> 00:06:43,414 Speaker 5: felt like the medal was about to collapse on us 109 00:06:43,734 --> 00:06:45,334 Speaker 5: and shrapnel fell into the rooms. 110 00:06:46,214 --> 00:06:49,774 Speaker 2: Video footage from the night shows fire raging in the darkness. 111 00:06:50,254 --> 00:06:54,374 Speaker 2: Voices are yelling, panicked and scared. There's not enough water 112 00:06:54,534 --> 00:07:03,134 Speaker 2: to extinguish the flames. In the hours after the strike, 113 00:07:03,334 --> 00:07:05,214 Speaker 2: it would be revealed that more than half of the 114 00:07:05,334 --> 00:07:09,414 Speaker 2: forty five immediate deaths are women, children and the elderly, 115 00:07:10,094 --> 00:07:12,854 Speaker 2: but they expect that number to rise as victims succumb 116 00:07:12,934 --> 00:07:17,374 Speaker 2: to burns injuries. Again, hospitals are flooded with the wounded, 117 00:07:17,614 --> 00:07:21,214 Speaker 2: too many to take in locally, emergency crews faring those 118 00:07:21,254 --> 00:07:26,814 Speaker 2: who cannot be treated there Further north. The air strike 119 00:07:26,934 --> 00:07:30,894 Speaker 2: came just hours after Israel intercepted eight rockets fired by 120 00:07:30,974 --> 00:07:36,294 Speaker 2: Hamas into Israeli territory, the first to be fired in 121 00:07:36,374 --> 00:07:41,334 Speaker 2: their direction in several months. Israel still determined to exterminate Hamas, 122 00:07:41,574 --> 00:07:44,334 Speaker 2: who launched a terror attack on them back in October, 123 00:07:44,734 --> 00:07:47,534 Speaker 2: killing twelve hundred people and taking more than two hundred 124 00:07:47,534 --> 00:07:50,814 Speaker 2: and fifty hostages, many of whom are still held somewhere 125 00:07:50,854 --> 00:07:55,334 Speaker 2: in Gaza. Said Sundays strike was based on precise intelligence 126 00:07:55,614 --> 00:07:58,334 Speaker 2: and had eliminated Hamas's chief of staff for the West 127 00:07:58,374 --> 00:08:02,974 Speaker 2: Bank and another official. Israeli Prime Minister Benjaminette Nyaho claims 128 00:08:03,014 --> 00:08:06,094 Speaker 2: the strike hitting the displacement camp was a tragic accident. 129 00:08:06,974 --> 00:08:11,294 Speaker 2: The response from some world leaders has been French President 130 00:08:11,334 --> 00:08:16,014 Speaker 2: Emmanuel Macron said he was outraged, saying these operations must stop. 131 00:08:16,294 --> 00:08:19,734 Speaker 2: That there are no safe areas in Rafa for Palestinian civilians. 132 00:08:20,774 --> 00:08:24,614 Speaker 2: German Foreign Minister and Elena Berbach mirrored Macron's stance, saying 133 00:08:24,734 --> 00:08:29,494 Speaker 2: international humanitarian law applies for all, which also means for 134 00:08:29,694 --> 00:08:34,094 Speaker 2: Israel's conduct in this war. Australia's own Foreign Minister, Penny 135 00:08:34,134 --> 00:08:38,094 Speaker 2: Wong condemned the attack, saying Israel's strikes have had horrific 136 00:08:38,254 --> 00:08:42,734 Speaker 2: and unacceptable consequences, calling for a ceasefire so civilians can 137 00:08:42,774 --> 00:08:46,054 Speaker 2: be protected, also calling for Harmas to release all the 138 00:08:46,094 --> 00:08:49,654 Speaker 2: remaining Israeli hostages taken in the October seven terror attack, 139 00:08:50,094 --> 00:08:53,934 Speaker 2: and for Hermas to stop using Palestinian civilians as human shields. 140 00:08:57,654 --> 00:09:01,854 Speaker 2: The International Court of Justice last Friday had ordered Israel 141 00:09:02,014 --> 00:09:05,374 Speaker 2: to halt its Rafa offensive or any other operation that 142 00:09:05,454 --> 00:09:09,414 Speaker 2: could bring the physical destruction of the Palestinians. Last Monday, 143 00:09:09,694 --> 00:09:13,094 Speaker 2: the International Criminal Court had advised that they were seeking 144 00:09:13,214 --> 00:09:17,374 Speaker 2: arrest warrants for Israeli leaders, including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, 145 00:09:17,494 --> 00:09:21,414 Speaker 2: for war crimes, including using starvation as a form of warfare, 146 00:09:21,734 --> 00:09:26,414 Speaker 2: wilful killing, and exterminational murder. They're also seeking arrest warrants 147 00:09:26,454 --> 00:09:30,454 Speaker 2: for top Hamas leaders accused of extermination, rape and other 148 00:09:30,534 --> 00:09:34,654 Speaker 2: acts of sexual violence, and for taking hostages. The US, 149 00:09:34,974 --> 00:09:39,814 Speaker 2: Israel's staunchest ally reminded Israel to protect civilians, but Biden's 150 00:09:39,854 --> 00:09:43,734 Speaker 2: government is facing increasing pressure even from within its own party, 151 00:09:44,134 --> 00:09:48,414 Speaker 2: to stop arming Israel and halt all military shipments. A 152 00:09:48,534 --> 00:09:52,654 Speaker 2: National security spokesperson commented saying, Israel has every right to 153 00:09:52,734 --> 00:09:56,094 Speaker 2: go after Hamas, but we've been clear. He said, Israel 154 00:09:56,254 --> 00:10:00,534 Speaker 2: must take every precaution possible to protect civilians, but with 155 00:10:00,694 --> 00:10:04,174 Speaker 2: every strike on Rapha, there are reports of civilian casualties. 156 00:10:04,774 --> 00:10:07,494 Speaker 2: Just forty eight hours after the deadly Sunday night strike 157 00:10:07,614 --> 00:10:10,934 Speaker 2: that devastated the displacement camp, another hit on a tent 158 00:10:11,054 --> 00:10:14,854 Speaker 2: city saw twenty one people killed, shrapnel tearing through the 159 00:10:14,934 --> 00:10:17,854 Speaker 2: thin material that erected to help give them some sense 160 00:10:17,894 --> 00:10:18,254 Speaker 2: of home. 161 00:10:18,574 --> 00:10:22,054 Speaker 1: Hey everyone, this is something and behind me. Another tint 162 00:10:22,254 --> 00:10:26,254 Speaker 1: massacre in less than forty eight hours, A bomb targeted 163 00:10:26,934 --> 00:10:31,134 Speaker 1: tent with only civilians, only women and children. 164 00:10:31,654 --> 00:10:34,534 Speaker 5: All these people were in a tent getting ready. 165 00:10:34,374 --> 00:10:38,414 Speaker 1: To have their lunch and they were bombed. People are shocked, 166 00:10:38,534 --> 00:10:39,494 Speaker 1: People cannot talk. 167 00:10:39,614 --> 00:10:44,414 Speaker 5: People found themselves gathering the remains of their beloved. 168 00:10:43,974 --> 00:10:48,294 Speaker 2: Once that's besigan Alda a filmmaker who's been posting from 169 00:10:48,334 --> 00:10:51,854 Speaker 2: the ground in Gaza, Israel denies they're responsible for the 170 00:10:51,934 --> 00:10:58,414 Speaker 2: deaths this time. So if international courts can't stop this, 171 00:10:58,934 --> 00:11:02,054 Speaker 2: if clear messaging from world leaders doesn't hold the progress 172 00:11:02,094 --> 00:11:04,094 Speaker 2: of tanks and guns through the streets of the one 173 00:11:04,174 --> 00:11:07,494 Speaker 2: place that Israel told Palestinians to flee and be safe 174 00:11:07,534 --> 00:11:10,334 Speaker 2: from the bombs, where do the people Garza go now? 175 00:11:11,534 --> 00:11:14,814 Speaker 2: Doctor Jessica Ganawa is a senior lecturer in international relations 176 00:11:14,894 --> 00:11:20,174 Speaker 2: at Flinders University. Jessica, why don't Gaza's neighbors open their 177 00:11:20,214 --> 00:11:21,214 Speaker 2: borders to these people? 178 00:11:22,054 --> 00:11:27,414 Speaker 1: So that's a complicated question that doesn't have an easy answer. 179 00:11:27,574 --> 00:11:30,934 Speaker 1: We would maybe think that, of course Egypt would be 180 00:11:30,974 --> 00:11:34,534 Speaker 1: the first one to open their borders, for example, to 181 00:11:34,814 --> 00:11:40,374 Speaker 1: allow those displaced people from Gaza to enter. But what 182 00:11:40,534 --> 00:11:44,654 Speaker 1: we often find with international politics is that state governments 183 00:11:44,894 --> 00:11:48,774 Speaker 1: are not only dealing with international issues, but they're also 184 00:11:48,814 --> 00:11:51,134 Speaker 1: dealing with domestic issues at the same time, and that's 185 00:11:51,174 --> 00:11:56,294 Speaker 1: certainly the case for PRESIDENCYC in Egypt. So the Egyptian 186 00:11:56,334 --> 00:12:02,094 Speaker 1: government is really primarily concerned about their own domestic political 187 00:12:02,174 --> 00:12:05,254 Speaker 1: and security context, and they want to make sure they 188 00:12:05,294 --> 00:12:09,534 Speaker 1: don't introduce any kind of instability into their own domestic areas, 189 00:12:09,894 --> 00:12:12,334 Speaker 1: which sounds in some ways quite harsh and a little 190 00:12:12,334 --> 00:12:14,934 Speaker 1: bit brutal when there are these people, you know, suffering 191 00:12:15,054 --> 00:12:17,814 Speaker 1: just over the border. But they're concerned that if there 192 00:12:17,974 --> 00:12:20,654 Speaker 1: is a flood of refugees into Egypt that that might 193 00:12:20,734 --> 00:12:26,814 Speaker 1: actually inflame tensions and dissatisfaction with the existing governing regime 194 00:12:27,294 --> 00:12:27,894 Speaker 1: in Egypt. 195 00:12:28,694 --> 00:12:32,454 Speaker 2: So Israel the IDEF told Palestinian people to go to 196 00:12:32,614 --> 00:12:35,974 Speaker 2: Rafa for their own safety to avoid the conflict that 197 00:12:36,134 --> 00:12:39,934 Speaker 2: was happening further north. But if they are committed to 198 00:12:39,974 --> 00:12:44,134 Speaker 2: annihilating Hamas, how can they possibly do that and also 199 00:12:44,334 --> 00:12:49,134 Speaker 2: guarantee the safety of civilians within Rafa if Hamas live 200 00:12:49,174 --> 00:12:50,454 Speaker 2: amongst them, that's right. 201 00:12:50,574 --> 00:12:55,294 Speaker 1: So this is something that is a really strong issue 202 00:12:55,334 --> 00:12:58,094 Speaker 1: when it comes to what we call asymmetric conflict, where 203 00:12:58,134 --> 00:13:01,294 Speaker 1: you have essentially one military force, so in this case, 204 00:13:01,494 --> 00:13:05,334 Speaker 1: the Israeli military that are a conventional military force trying 205 00:13:05,414 --> 00:13:08,734 Speaker 1: to fight against Hamas, who are more or less a 206 00:13:08,854 --> 00:13:12,374 Speaker 1: non state. And so what we see is that in 207 00:13:12,494 --> 00:13:17,974 Speaker 1: those cases of asymmetric conflict, it's almost impossible to carry 208 00:13:18,054 --> 00:13:23,014 Speaker 1: out a clear and systematic kind of military solution to 209 00:13:23,174 --> 00:13:27,174 Speaker 1: the conflict because, as you mentioned, whilst it might be 210 00:13:27,334 --> 00:13:31,614 Speaker 1: possible from Israel's point of view to eliminate some top 211 00:13:31,694 --> 00:13:36,374 Speaker 1: Hamas personnel or Hamas leaders, they're never going to be 212 00:13:36,494 --> 00:13:41,014 Speaker 1: able to eliminate every single person who identifies as a 213 00:13:41,054 --> 00:13:45,734 Speaker 1: Hummas fighter within Gaza. And that's because there will be 214 00:13:46,334 --> 00:13:50,254 Speaker 1: quite a thin dividing line sometimes between civilian and military 215 00:13:50,414 --> 00:13:55,654 Speaker 1: population just because it's not a conventional, organized state military force, 216 00:13:55,814 --> 00:13:58,694 Speaker 1: So some of those Hummas fighters could essentially blend back 217 00:13:58,734 --> 00:14:02,734 Speaker 1: into civilian populations. So this is a really complicated aspect 218 00:14:02,774 --> 00:14:05,534 Speaker 1: of asymmetric conflict, and it means that there usually isn't 219 00:14:05,854 --> 00:14:09,494 Speaker 1: a clear only military strategy that can be carried out 220 00:14:09,694 --> 00:14:10,534 Speaker 1: in those cases. 221 00:14:11,534 --> 00:14:13,294 Speaker 2: So if we've got all these people, and we're talking 222 00:14:13,414 --> 00:14:17,614 Speaker 2: more than a million people who are stuck essentially in 223 00:14:17,734 --> 00:14:21,014 Speaker 2: this place with nowhere else to go. Their neighbors can't 224 00:14:21,054 --> 00:14:22,894 Speaker 2: open their borders to them for fear of their own 225 00:14:22,934 --> 00:14:26,294 Speaker 2: political unrest. We've got the IDF coming in trying to 226 00:14:26,294 --> 00:14:29,974 Speaker 2: annihilate Hamas and can't guarantee their safety. What happens to 227 00:14:30,094 --> 00:14:32,214 Speaker 2: these people at the same time that AID can't get 228 00:14:32,254 --> 00:14:35,014 Speaker 2: to them. Do we just sit back and watch while 229 00:14:35,094 --> 00:14:36,854 Speaker 2: these people suffer. 230 00:14:37,494 --> 00:14:41,454 Speaker 1: So that is unfortunately a question that doesn't have a 231 00:14:41,574 --> 00:14:45,014 Speaker 1: clear answer at the moment, and it seems that until 232 00:14:45,974 --> 00:14:50,614 Speaker 1: Israel ceases the military operation and actually sort of withdraws 233 00:14:51,174 --> 00:14:56,774 Speaker 1: in some capacity from Gaza, we are unlikely to see 234 00:14:57,174 --> 00:15:00,894 Speaker 1: a turnaround in terms of the humanitarian situation in Gaza. 235 00:15:01,094 --> 00:15:04,814 Speaker 1: So we have, of course humanitarian organizations that are in Gaza, 236 00:15:05,214 --> 00:15:10,254 Speaker 1: that it's unfortunately not sufficient. And also as the fighting 237 00:15:11,094 --> 00:15:14,534 Speaker 1: continues and there is a lot of security instability in Gaza, 238 00:15:14,654 --> 00:15:20,814 Speaker 1: it's very hard to provide just that material safety for civilians. 239 00:15:21,454 --> 00:15:25,734 Speaker 2: We've seen some pretty major moves by international courts, like 240 00:15:25,814 --> 00:15:30,374 Speaker 2: the International Court of Justice ordered the IDF to stop 241 00:15:30,654 --> 00:15:35,574 Speaker 2: this military mobilization in Rufa. We've also seen potentially the 242 00:15:35,654 --> 00:15:39,614 Speaker 2: International Criminal Court seeking arrest warrants for the leaders of 243 00:15:39,694 --> 00:15:42,854 Speaker 2: both sides of this conflict, But none of this seems 244 00:15:42,894 --> 00:15:47,734 Speaker 2: to be stopping anything. Is there anything another institution can 245 00:15:47,854 --> 00:15:50,094 Speaker 2: do in order to stop what's happening right now? 246 00:15:50,694 --> 00:15:54,974 Speaker 1: Basically, in terms of the structure of international law, the 247 00:15:55,094 --> 00:15:58,654 Speaker 1: International Court of Justice and even the International Criminal Court 248 00:15:59,214 --> 00:16:03,254 Speaker 1: have very few mechanisms to actually enforce rulings that are 249 00:16:03,454 --> 00:16:08,614 Speaker 1: made the body. In terms of international governance that really 250 00:16:08,894 --> 00:16:13,174 Speaker 1: has the ability to enforce decisions is the United Nations 251 00:16:13,214 --> 00:16:16,854 Speaker 1: Security Council. So the United Nations Security Council could take 252 00:16:16,934 --> 00:16:20,974 Speaker 1: that International Court of Justice ruling and then try to 253 00:16:21,094 --> 00:16:24,614 Speaker 1: ensure that it's enforced. However, as we know, within the 254 00:16:24,734 --> 00:16:27,534 Speaker 1: United Nations Security Council, there are five countries that have 255 00:16:28,294 --> 00:16:31,014 Speaker 1: veto power, which includes of course the United States as 256 00:16:31,054 --> 00:16:34,694 Speaker 1: well as four others, and so when a decision concerns 257 00:16:34,854 --> 00:16:38,574 Speaker 1: one of those five states that has veto power, it's 258 00:16:38,854 --> 00:16:43,334 Speaker 1: very unlikely that actually an enforcement decision will be made 259 00:16:43,494 --> 00:16:47,734 Speaker 1: within the United Nations Security Council. And given the way 260 00:16:47,774 --> 00:16:50,254 Speaker 1: in which the United States has sort of tried to 261 00:16:50,374 --> 00:16:55,014 Speaker 1: navigate a line between supporting Israel and then ensuring that 262 00:16:55,414 --> 00:16:58,734 Speaker 1: you know, there is an alignment with international law, certainly 263 00:16:58,894 --> 00:17:01,334 Speaker 1: I don't see the United States within the United Nations 264 00:17:01,374 --> 00:17:06,334 Speaker 1: Security Council supporting any kind of specific enforcement decision for 265 00:17:06,614 --> 00:17:10,974 Speaker 1: that International Court of Justice ruling, which means that it's 266 00:17:11,174 --> 00:17:12,934 Speaker 1: relatively toothless. 267 00:17:13,694 --> 00:17:17,494 Speaker 2: One thing we have seen is several European countries recently 268 00:17:17,574 --> 00:17:20,974 Speaker 2: did this in recognizing a Palestinian state. There was a 269 00:17:21,054 --> 00:17:24,214 Speaker 2: Greens backed motion in Parliament this week calling for the 270 00:17:24,254 --> 00:17:28,014 Speaker 2: same thing which was voted down. But Adam Bant, the 271 00:17:28,054 --> 00:17:30,254 Speaker 2: Greens leader, said that this would have been a concrete 272 00:17:30,374 --> 00:17:34,574 Speaker 2: step towards peace. Does recognizing a Palestinian state actually go 273 00:17:34,774 --> 00:17:36,494 Speaker 2: any ways to stopping this conflict? 274 00:17:37,014 --> 00:17:41,054 Speaker 1: I wouldn't say that it has any kind of binding 275 00:17:41,174 --> 00:17:46,374 Speaker 1: force or specific mechanism to lead towards, for example, a ceasefire. 276 00:17:46,934 --> 00:17:50,214 Speaker 1: I mean, in order for a ceasefire to take place, 277 00:17:50,334 --> 00:17:52,934 Speaker 1: or for there to be some kind of negotiated political 278 00:17:53,014 --> 00:17:56,974 Speaker 1: solution to the conflict, both parties on the ground would 279 00:17:57,014 --> 00:18:00,574 Speaker 1: need to agree to that. So importantly, of course Israel 280 00:18:00,774 --> 00:18:03,774 Speaker 1: and then also Hamas or whoever would be representing the 281 00:18:03,894 --> 00:18:10,734 Speaker 1: Palestinian side, and other countries making statements or claims or 282 00:18:10,854 --> 00:18:14,734 Speaker 1: supporting a ceasefire is unfortunately in terms of international law, 283 00:18:15,334 --> 00:18:18,534 Speaker 1: just doesn't have a lot of weight in terms of 284 00:18:18,734 --> 00:18:21,854 Speaker 1: a mechanism that would actually lead towards a ceasefire, which 285 00:18:21,894 --> 00:18:25,894 Speaker 1: would ultimately need to be agreed by the parties involved 286 00:18:25,974 --> 00:18:26,694 Speaker 1: in the conflict. 287 00:18:27,574 --> 00:18:29,894 Speaker 2: Where's the road out of this, Jessica? Because it seems 288 00:18:29,974 --> 00:18:34,414 Speaker 2: like every time we get close to maybe some ceasefire talks, 289 00:18:34,454 --> 00:18:36,774 Speaker 2: one side agreed is the other said no, and then 290 00:18:36,894 --> 00:18:40,614 Speaker 2: vice versa. We get no progress and then things worsen 291 00:18:40,734 --> 00:18:44,254 Speaker 2: once again for Palestinian civilians. Where's the road out of this? 292 00:18:45,134 --> 00:18:50,974 Speaker 1: So, unfortunately, I don't see any clear and simple pathway 293 00:18:51,174 --> 00:18:54,934 Speaker 1: out of the current conflict. I think that, as we 294 00:18:55,094 --> 00:18:58,894 Speaker 1: often see with international conflicts, it needs to, unfortunately get 295 00:18:58,974 --> 00:19:01,694 Speaker 1: to a point where the costs for both sides are 296 00:19:01,894 --> 00:19:06,614 Speaker 1: greater than continuing with the conflict itself, and I don't 297 00:19:06,654 --> 00:19:09,374 Speaker 1: think we've quite gotten to that point. We might get 298 00:19:09,414 --> 00:19:14,534 Speaker 1: to a point where Israel is willing to withdraw from Gaza. 299 00:19:14,814 --> 00:19:17,974 Speaker 1: In large part, the Israeli government also has an interest 300 00:19:18,174 --> 00:19:20,574 Speaker 1: in trying to get back any of those hostages that 301 00:19:20,654 --> 00:19:23,454 Speaker 1: they can who are still being held in Gaza. I 302 00:19:23,534 --> 00:19:25,934 Speaker 1: think that Hamas is certainly getting close to a point 303 00:19:25,974 --> 00:19:28,414 Speaker 1: where they would be willing to agree to some kind 304 00:19:28,494 --> 00:19:32,134 Speaker 1: of ceasefire. However, it's unlikely that Israel would agree to 305 00:19:32,174 --> 00:19:35,334 Speaker 1: any kind of ceasefire agreement that left Hamas in power. 306 00:19:35,894 --> 00:19:38,414 Speaker 1: One actor who could be critical here is of course, 307 00:19:38,454 --> 00:19:41,694 Speaker 1: the United States. So whilst it's still a while away, 308 00:19:42,054 --> 00:19:44,174 Speaker 1: we're waiting to see what happens with the US presidential 309 00:19:44,214 --> 00:19:47,254 Speaker 1: elections later this year. If this conflict is still ongoing, 310 00:19:47,774 --> 00:19:49,974 Speaker 1: the United states is one actor who would sort of 311 00:19:50,134 --> 00:19:53,614 Speaker 1: have the leverage to bring to bear some kind of 312 00:19:53,694 --> 00:19:56,974 Speaker 1: pressure in order to create a shift in what's been 313 00:19:57,094 --> 00:19:58,774 Speaker 1: happening so far in the conflict. 314 00:20:04,374 --> 00:20:08,094 Speaker 2: Well, the politics rages on, the tanks keep advancing, and 315 00:20:08,214 --> 00:20:12,294 Speaker 2: it's the innocent ones who pay the biggest price. Albert 316 00:20:12,374 --> 00:20:15,694 Speaker 2: Muhammad Alatar lost his brother, his sister in law and 317 00:20:15,854 --> 00:20:18,974 Speaker 2: several other relatives after Sunday nights air strike, and he 318 00:20:19,134 --> 00:20:20,974 Speaker 2: says there's nowhere for them now. 319 00:20:21,454 --> 00:20:25,094 Speaker 3: The army is a liar. There is no security in Gaza. 320 00:20:25,454 --> 00:20:28,574 Speaker 3: There's no security, not for a child, an elderly man 321 00:20:28,894 --> 00:20:32,814 Speaker 3: or a woman. Here he my brother is with his wife, 322 00:20:33,254 --> 00:20:36,814 Speaker 3: they were married, Their children have been orphaned. What have 323 00:20:36,894 --> 00:20:38,014 Speaker 3: they done to deserve this? 324 00:20:40,734 --> 00:20:42,814 Speaker 2: Thanks for spending time with us today on the Quikie. 325 00:20:43,014 --> 00:20:45,334 Speaker 2: We'll continue to keep you updated on the situation in 326 00:20:45,414 --> 00:20:48,614 Speaker 2: Gaza as it unfolds. The Quikie is produced by me 327 00:20:48,814 --> 00:20:52,174 Speaker 2: Claire Murphy and our executive producer, Callie Rintle, with audio 328 00:20:52,254 --> 00:20:53,614 Speaker 2: production by Tom Lyon.