1 00:00:06,415 --> 00:00:09,135 Speaker 1: You're listening to Amoma Meir podcast. 2 00:00:11,935 --> 00:00:13,855 Speaker 2: Here's the Australia Going to war. 3 00:00:14,375 --> 00:00:17,535 Speaker 3: We are not taking offensive action against Iran and we 4 00:00:17,575 --> 00:00:20,015 Speaker 3: are not deploying Australian troops on the ground in Iran. 5 00:00:20,175 --> 00:00:24,495 Speaker 3: Australian Defense Force assets operate in accordance with Australian law, 6 00:00:24,935 --> 00:00:28,935 Speaker 3: in accordance with Australian policy, and in accordance with Australian directives. 7 00:00:30,375 --> 00:00:34,014 Speaker 2: Well, according to Foreign Minister Penny Wong, they're on ABC Sydney. 8 00:00:34,735 --> 00:00:34,894 Speaker 1: No. 9 00:00:35,935 --> 00:00:38,534 Speaker 2: So if we don't have boots on the ground, then 10 00:00:38,735 --> 00:00:42,254 Speaker 2: what is our involvement. At the same time, the effects 11 00:00:42,254 --> 00:00:45,095 Speaker 2: of the war being felt here at home, price hikes 12 00:00:45,135 --> 00:00:48,775 Speaker 2: on fuel and airfares, travel chaos continues to be reflected 13 00:00:48,815 --> 00:00:52,254 Speaker 2: in our departures and arrivals boards. And how did a 14 00:00:52,294 --> 00:00:55,495 Speaker 2: women's football tournament down Under suddenly become part of a 15 00:00:55,575 --> 00:01:00,175 Speaker 2: geopolitical crisis. It's the Quickie for Thursday, March twelve. I'm 16 00:01:00,215 --> 00:01:03,255 Speaker 2: Taylor Straano for a look at the latest news headlines. 17 00:01:03,415 --> 00:01:06,895 Speaker 1: Here's Claire Murphy, Thanks Taylor. A source close to Kyle 18 00:01:06,975 --> 00:01:09,095 Speaker 1: sandal And says that he and JACKIEO are back in 19 00:01:09,175 --> 00:01:11,415 Speaker 1: contact and are repairing the riff that saw their show 20 00:01:11,495 --> 00:01:14,855 Speaker 1: suspended and their two hundred million dollar contract on the line. 21 00:01:14,975 --> 00:01:17,455 Speaker 1: The pair had a fight back on February twenty, with 22 00:01:17,575 --> 00:01:20,655 Speaker 1: Kyle telling Jackie live on air that her recent interest 23 00:01:20,695 --> 00:01:23,735 Speaker 1: in astrology was making her unprofessional and that she was 24 00:01:23,815 --> 00:01:26,775 Speaker 1: off with the Fairies. Jackie left before the show ended, 25 00:01:26,815 --> 00:01:29,615 Speaker 1: and a few days later Arn announced that she'd advised 26 00:01:29,615 --> 00:01:32,375 Speaker 1: she could no longer work with Kyle and they effectively 27 00:01:32,455 --> 00:01:35,455 Speaker 1: tore up her contract. She later released a statement saying 28 00:01:35,495 --> 00:01:39,375 Speaker 1: she didn't quit and has now engaged legal representation. AARN 29 00:01:39,495 --> 00:01:42,935 Speaker 1: also gave Sandalands fourteen days to remedy the misconduct or 30 00:01:42,975 --> 00:01:46,215 Speaker 1: be in breach of contract himself. Kyle also released a 31 00:01:46,255 --> 00:01:49,015 Speaker 1: statement saying he was not given fair process and that 32 00:01:49,055 --> 00:01:51,855 Speaker 1: the breach of his contract was not valid. His contract 33 00:01:51,855 --> 00:01:55,015 Speaker 1: remains in place at this time. Aarn has been in 34 00:01:55,015 --> 00:01:58,295 Speaker 1: increasingly tough financial territory since the signing of the radio 35 00:01:58,415 --> 00:02:02,135 Speaker 1: duo's contract, the biggest talent fee paid in Australian history, 36 00:02:02,415 --> 00:02:04,735 Speaker 1: with the show failing to attract decent ratings when it 37 00:02:04,775 --> 00:02:08,135 Speaker 1: moved to broadcast in Melbourne, a decrease in ad revenue, 38 00:02:08,175 --> 00:02:11,175 Speaker 1: and with a long investigation by the Australian Communications and 39 00:02:11,255 --> 00:02:14,575 Speaker 1: Media Authority over comments made on the show. The anonymous 40 00:02:14,575 --> 00:02:17,135 Speaker 1: source claims that he and Jackie both see the situation 41 00:02:17,575 --> 00:02:21,014 Speaker 1: as an opportunistic move from ARN to try and save money. 42 00:02:21,535 --> 00:02:24,775 Speaker 1: ARN has yet to comment on the allegations. The ABC 43 00:02:24,935 --> 00:02:27,055 Speaker 1: is reporting that the mother of one of the Iranian 44 00:02:27,095 --> 00:02:29,455 Speaker 1: women's soccer players send a voice note telling her to 45 00:02:29,495 --> 00:02:32,815 Speaker 1: stay in Australia or she'd be killed. Five members of 46 00:02:32,855 --> 00:02:34,975 Speaker 1: the team who were in Australia playing in the Asian 47 00:02:35,015 --> 00:02:37,415 Speaker 1: Cup managed to get free from their handlers while on 48 00:02:37,455 --> 00:02:40,855 Speaker 1: the Gold Coast to request asylum. Home Affairs Minister Tony 49 00:02:40,895 --> 00:02:43,055 Speaker 1: Burke posted a picture with them on Wednesday to say 50 00:02:43,095 --> 00:02:45,615 Speaker 1: they were very happy to be allowed to stay. There 51 00:02:45,655 --> 00:02:48,015 Speaker 1: were then reports that another two members of the team, 52 00:02:48,175 --> 00:02:51,535 Speaker 1: a player and a staff member, were also granted humanitarian 53 00:02:51,615 --> 00:02:55,055 Speaker 1: visas before the team's plane left Australia, with a member 54 00:02:55,095 --> 00:02:58,175 Speaker 1: of the Iranian Australian community desperately attempting to get the 55 00:02:58,255 --> 00:03:00,975 Speaker 1: voice note to the player from her mother that said 56 00:03:01,135 --> 00:03:04,454 Speaker 1: don't come, they'll kill you. It's reported the player initially 57 00:03:04,495 --> 00:03:07,215 Speaker 1: wanted to accept the od to stay, but changed her 58 00:03:07,215 --> 00:03:09,294 Speaker 1: mind at the last minute and left the country. En 59 00:03:09,415 --> 00:03:12,615 Speaker 1: route back to Iran. Their speculation the player was pressured 60 00:03:12,615 --> 00:03:14,695 Speaker 1: by a member of staff to remain with them as 61 00:03:14,695 --> 00:03:18,335 Speaker 1: their families were concerned. Iranian authorities have also announced that 62 00:03:18,335 --> 00:03:21,215 Speaker 1: their men's team will no longer participate in the upcoming 63 00:03:21,255 --> 00:03:23,695 Speaker 1: World Cup, which is due to be held across Canada, 64 00:03:23,855 --> 00:03:27,335 Speaker 1: Mexico and the US in July. Iran's military says the 65 00:03:27,335 --> 00:03:29,895 Speaker 1: world should prepare for oil to hit two hundred dollars 66 00:03:29,975 --> 00:03:33,095 Speaker 1: US a barrel as its forces attacked merchant ships in 67 00:03:33,135 --> 00:03:36,775 Speaker 1: the blockaded Golf. Iran also fired at Israel and targets 68 00:03:36,775 --> 00:03:40,015 Speaker 1: across the Middle East on Wednesday, demonstrating it can still 69 00:03:40,055 --> 00:03:43,055 Speaker 1: fight back despite what the Pentagon has described as the 70 00:03:43,095 --> 00:03:47,255 Speaker 1: most intense US Israeli strikes yet. Oil prices that shot 71 00:03:47,335 --> 00:03:49,935 Speaker 1: up earlier this week have now eased and stock markets 72 00:03:49,975 --> 00:03:53,495 Speaker 1: have rebounded, with investors betting for now that US President 73 00:03:53,535 --> 00:03:55,935 Speaker 1: Donald Trump will find a quick way to end the 74 00:03:55,975 --> 00:03:59,375 Speaker 1: war he began alongside Israel nearly two weeks ago. Tramp, 75 00:03:59,415 --> 00:04:02,215 Speaker 1: who's reportedly tried to reassure markets this week that the 76 00:04:02,255 --> 00:04:05,375 Speaker 1: campaign will end soon, told Axios in a telephone in 77 00:04:05,615 --> 00:04:08,535 Speaker 1: view that there was practically nothing left to target in Iran, 78 00:04:08,855 --> 00:04:10,735 Speaker 1: but so far there's been no let up on the 79 00:04:10,775 --> 00:04:13,455 Speaker 1: ground or any sign that ships can safely sail through 80 00:04:13,455 --> 00:04:15,895 Speaker 1: the Strait of Hormuz, where a fifth of the world's 81 00:04:15,895 --> 00:04:18,775 Speaker 1: oil has been blockaded behind a narrow channel along the 82 00:04:18,815 --> 00:04:22,375 Speaker 1: Iranian coast in the most significant disruption to energy supplies 83 00:04:22,415 --> 00:04:25,935 Speaker 1: since the oil shocks of the nineteen seventies. Nicole Kidman 84 00:04:25,975 --> 00:04:28,935 Speaker 1: has spoken publicly about her divorce from Keith Urban for 85 00:04:28,975 --> 00:04:31,854 Speaker 1: the first time. The Aussie actor sat down with Variety 86 00:04:31,855 --> 00:04:34,575 Speaker 1: to talk about her new TV series Scarpetta and the 87 00:04:34,615 --> 00:04:37,654 Speaker 1: Practical Magic sequel. When the interviewer asked her if she 88 00:04:37,775 --> 00:04:40,375 Speaker 1: was doing all right, Kidman replied with I am, because 89 00:04:40,375 --> 00:04:43,214 Speaker 1: I'm always going to be moving towards what's good. The 90 00:04:43,295 --> 00:04:45,815 Speaker 1: question came after she'd been asked whether every year was 91 00:04:45,855 --> 00:04:48,695 Speaker 1: now the Year of Nicole Kidman, and she responded with, well, 92 00:04:48,855 --> 00:04:51,575 Speaker 1: not last year. I was quiet. I had other things 93 00:04:51,575 --> 00:04:53,974 Speaker 1: going on. I was in my shell. She went on 94 00:04:54,055 --> 00:04:56,695 Speaker 1: to say that she's grateful for her family and keeping 95 00:04:56,695 --> 00:04:59,735 Speaker 1: them as is and moving forward is important. She said 96 00:04:59,775 --> 00:05:02,415 Speaker 1: she doesn't discuss anything further out of respect, and that 97 00:05:02,455 --> 00:05:04,455 Speaker 1: she's focused on staying in a place of we are 98 00:05:04,495 --> 00:05:07,375 Speaker 1: a family. That's what we'll continue to be, adding my 99 00:05:07,455 --> 00:05:10,855 Speaker 1: beautiful girls, my darlings who are suddenly women. Kidmen who 100 00:05:10,855 --> 00:05:13,015 Speaker 1: met Urban in two thousand and five and married a 101 00:05:13,095 --> 00:05:17,015 Speaker 1: year later, shares daughters Sunday Rose who's seventeen, and Faith Margaret, 102 00:05:17,015 --> 00:05:19,935 Speaker 1: who's fifteen. With the singer Kidman filed for divorce in 103 00:05:20,015 --> 00:05:23,135 Speaker 1: twenty twenty five. It was finalized in January this year. 104 00:05:23,375 --> 00:05:26,854 Speaker 2: Thanks claar next from canceled flights and hiked airfares to 105 00:05:26,975 --> 00:05:30,654 Speaker 2: members of Iran's women's football team being granted asylum. What 106 00:05:30,815 --> 00:05:32,974 Speaker 2: you need to know about the war in the Middle 107 00:05:33,015 --> 00:05:39,695 Speaker 2: East right now. The Middle East conflict is showing up 108 00:05:39,735 --> 00:05:43,255 Speaker 2: into very different ways on our screens. On one side, 109 00:05:43,255 --> 00:05:46,975 Speaker 2: the footage emerging of drones and missiles and buildings destroyed 110 00:05:46,975 --> 00:05:50,015 Speaker 2: across the Middle East region. On the other, there are 111 00:05:50,015 --> 00:05:53,615 Speaker 2: images of the young Iranian footballers known as the Lioness's 112 00:05:53,735 --> 00:05:57,375 Speaker 2: in Australia, not just on the field, but surrounded by 113 00:05:57,415 --> 00:06:01,335 Speaker 2: people trying to protect them. Photos show them with Australia's 114 00:06:01,375 --> 00:06:04,935 Speaker 2: Home Affairs and Immigration Minister Tony Burke and supporters who've 115 00:06:04,935 --> 00:06:08,935 Speaker 2: helped push for their safety after Iran state TV branded 116 00:06:08,935 --> 00:06:11,695 Speaker 2: them trait its for not singing the national anthem during 117 00:06:11,695 --> 00:06:14,455 Speaker 2: an Asia Women's Cup match. Seven of the players and 118 00:06:14,535 --> 00:06:17,655 Speaker 2: staff have now been granted asylum here, a decision they 119 00:06:17,695 --> 00:06:20,735 Speaker 2: could mean the difference between safety and returning to a 120 00:06:20,775 --> 00:06:24,495 Speaker 2: country where they feared repercussions. Tony Burk says the team 121 00:06:24,535 --> 00:06:27,974 Speaker 2: members were quietly separated from their minders as they transited 122 00:06:28,015 --> 00:06:31,255 Speaker 2: through Sydney Airport and spoken to one by one. 123 00:06:31,895 --> 00:06:37,095 Speaker 4: I can't begin to imagine what people have been weighing up, 124 00:06:38,095 --> 00:06:41,215 Speaker 4: and as Australians, I think a lot of us would 125 00:06:41,255 --> 00:06:46,695 Speaker 4: just wish the context was something fundamentally different. When those 126 00:06:46,775 --> 00:06:51,815 Speaker 4: players were silent at the start of their first match 127 00:06:52,015 --> 00:06:56,214 Speaker 4: in Australia, that silence was heard as a roar all 128 00:06:56,415 --> 00:07:00,654 Speaker 4: around the world. We responded by saying, the invitation is 129 00:07:00,695 --> 00:07:06,175 Speaker 4: there in Australia. You can be safe, you will welcomed, 130 00:07:06,895 --> 00:07:07,895 Speaker 4: you will be at home. 131 00:07:09,535 --> 00:07:13,535 Speaker 2: Five players asked for protection on Monday, and by Tuesday 132 00:07:13,655 --> 00:07:16,455 Speaker 2: another player and a staff member had joined them, taking 133 00:07:16,455 --> 00:07:19,455 Speaker 2: the total to seven. People offered a twelve month visa 134 00:07:19,615 --> 00:07:23,415 Speaker 2: with a pathway to permanent residency, the same emergency visa 135 00:07:23,455 --> 00:07:28,255 Speaker 2: class Australia's used for Ukrainians Palestinians and Afghans. We now 136 00:07:28,295 --> 00:07:31,055 Speaker 2: know one of those two people granted asylum yesterday has 137 00:07:31,055 --> 00:07:35,175 Speaker 2: since changed their mind and will be heading back to Iran. Meanwhile, 138 00:07:35,175 --> 00:07:37,735 Speaker 2: the regional war that sits behind all of this is 139 00:07:37,775 --> 00:07:41,495 Speaker 2: still wreaking havoc on global travel. In Monday's episode of 140 00:07:41,495 --> 00:07:44,335 Speaker 2: The Quikie, the global product leader for Flights Center warned 141 00:07:44,375 --> 00:07:48,095 Speaker 2: against prematurely canceling your flights and checking your travel insurance 142 00:07:48,135 --> 00:07:51,975 Speaker 2: policy while anticipating price hikes and a protracted period of 143 00:07:52,015 --> 00:07:55,735 Speaker 2: travel uncertainty. Just three days later, and that still remains 144 00:07:55,775 --> 00:07:58,855 Speaker 2: the case, British Airways have now canceled flights to and 145 00:07:58,895 --> 00:08:02,935 Speaker 2: from Aman Bahrain, Doha, Abu Dhabi and Tel Aviv until 146 00:08:02,935 --> 00:08:06,215 Speaker 2: the end of the month, citing instability in the airspace, 147 00:08:06,375 --> 00:08:09,895 Speaker 2: with some routes like Abu Dhabi suspended until later this year. 148 00:08:11,015 --> 00:08:14,455 Speaker 2: It joins Emirates, guitar Are, he Had, Air, Canada, Luftanza 149 00:08:14,455 --> 00:08:18,655 Speaker 2: and others in limiting or acting services and now that 150 00:08:18,815 --> 00:08:24,015 Speaker 2: turbulence is showing up directly in our hip pockets. Quantus 151 00:08:24,055 --> 00:08:26,655 Speaker 2: says its jet fuel costs have jumped by about one 152 00:08:26,775 --> 00:08:30,535 Speaker 2: hundred and fifty percent in just two weeks. It's warning 153 00:08:30,575 --> 00:08:34,375 Speaker 2: that international affairs will keep rising, with cheaper seats selling 154 00:08:34,454 --> 00:08:38,214 Speaker 2: up faster than usual. The airline doesn't fly into the 155 00:08:38,255 --> 00:08:42,535 Speaker 2: Middle East itself, but relies heavily on code shares with Emirates, 156 00:08:42,615 --> 00:08:45,694 Speaker 2: and its Perth to London, Perth to Paris and Singapore 157 00:08:45,695 --> 00:08:50,255 Speaker 2: to Europe routes are packed. Guitar, which partners with Virgin, 158 00:08:50,375 --> 00:08:53,295 Speaker 2: has canceled around twenty flights out of Australia this week 159 00:08:53,335 --> 00:08:57,735 Speaker 2: alone because of the instability. On top of that, drivers 160 00:08:57,815 --> 00:09:01,095 Speaker 2: are already seeing higher prices flow through to the bowser 161 00:09:01,295 --> 00:09:05,375 Speaker 2: as global oil markets react to the conflict in Victoria. 162 00:09:05,615 --> 00:09:09,055 Speaker 2: New fuel price rules kicked in this week. Retailers now 163 00:09:09,095 --> 00:09:11,735 Speaker 2: have to set and publish a daily maximum price cap 164 00:09:11,815 --> 00:09:14,495 Speaker 2: for each fuel type. They can only move prices down 165 00:09:14,535 --> 00:09:17,334 Speaker 2: from that cab during the day and muss fade live 166 00:09:17,455 --> 00:09:20,735 Speaker 2: data to the service Victoria Servo Saver app so people 167 00:09:20,815 --> 00:09:23,975 Speaker 2: can shop around. It's meant to give motorists a bit 168 00:09:24,054 --> 00:09:27,815 Speaker 2: more predictability at a time when international events are making 169 00:09:27,815 --> 00:09:31,215 Speaker 2: fuel costs anything but predictable. In the middle of all this, 170 00:09:31,415 --> 00:09:34,815 Speaker 2: Australia has quietly slid back into a military role in 171 00:09:34,815 --> 00:09:38,934 Speaker 2: the region. The Albanesi government has approved sending a Royal 172 00:09:38,975 --> 00:09:43,015 Speaker 2: Aircraft Air Force E seven eight wedge tail surveillance aircraft 173 00:09:43,095 --> 00:09:46,335 Speaker 2: to the United Arab Emirates, along with about eighty five 174 00:09:46,415 --> 00:09:49,895 Speaker 2: personnel and a supply of air to air missiles designed 175 00:09:49,895 --> 00:09:53,335 Speaker 2: to shoot down drones. Now, the government says this is 176 00:09:53,375 --> 00:09:57,655 Speaker 2: a defensive deployment to help the UAE protect itself after 177 00:09:57,695 --> 00:10:00,295 Speaker 2: some of its long range radar sites were damaged by 178 00:10:00,295 --> 00:10:04,615 Speaker 2: Iranian strikes, not a direct role in the US Israeli 179 00:10:04,615 --> 00:10:10,055 Speaker 2: offensive opera against Iran. Australia is running a two track mission, 180 00:10:10,215 --> 00:10:13,175 Speaker 2: sending high tech military support to help a golf ally 181 00:10:13,255 --> 00:10:16,695 Speaker 2: defend its skies, while also offering safe haven to a 182 00:10:16,735 --> 00:10:19,775 Speaker 2: handful of Iranian women who put themselves at risk by 183 00:10:19,855 --> 00:10:23,175 Speaker 2: refusing to fall into line. And in the background of 184 00:10:23,215 --> 00:10:25,975 Speaker 2: all of that, everyday travelers here are still trying to 185 00:10:26,015 --> 00:10:29,655 Speaker 2: work out whether it's safe or even remotely affordable to 186 00:10:29,735 --> 00:10:33,975 Speaker 2: fly through the region this year. Associate Professor of International 187 00:10:34,015 --> 00:10:37,815 Speaker 2: Relations at Flinders University, doctor Jessica Ganawi, is following the 188 00:10:37,855 --> 00:10:42,095 Speaker 2: situation closely. Jess let's start with the Iranian women's football team. 189 00:10:42,655 --> 00:10:45,855 Speaker 2: Can you explain to us, from a diplomatic standpoint, why 190 00:10:45,935 --> 00:10:48,015 Speaker 2: we granted these women asylum. 191 00:10:48,375 --> 00:10:52,535 Speaker 5: Now that the United States has gone into an all 192 00:10:52,575 --> 00:10:57,095 Speaker 5: out war with Iran, whilst we're not directly involved in 193 00:10:57,095 --> 00:11:00,895 Speaker 5: that war, we've more or less sided with the United States, 194 00:11:00,895 --> 00:11:03,095 Speaker 5: admittedly in a sort of a cautious way, but we're 195 00:11:03,095 --> 00:11:06,775 Speaker 5: definitely siding more with the United States understanding that they 196 00:11:06,815 --> 00:11:12,054 Speaker 5: are still an important security ally for Australia. So in 197 00:11:12,135 --> 00:11:15,975 Speaker 5: that context, and then also in the context of the 198 00:11:16,015 --> 00:11:21,054 Speaker 5: Australian government last year declaring that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard 199 00:11:21,095 --> 00:11:25,454 Speaker 5: Corps are now considered a terrorist organization by Australia. If 200 00:11:25,455 --> 00:11:28,615 Speaker 5: you take two of those things together, we essentially don't 201 00:11:28,615 --> 00:11:32,175 Speaker 5: have a lot to lose diplomatically visa Virran. So the 202 00:11:32,175 --> 00:11:36,855 Speaker 5: Australian government is not too concerned about getting offside with 203 00:11:37,175 --> 00:11:42,095 Speaker 5: the current Iranian regime. And on the other hand, we 204 00:11:42,255 --> 00:11:46,375 Speaker 5: do want to support people from the general Iranian population 205 00:11:46,575 --> 00:11:50,175 Speaker 5: who may not be in favor of the current ruling regime. 206 00:11:50,695 --> 00:11:54,495 Speaker 5: So making this decision is I see the Australian government 207 00:11:54,975 --> 00:11:58,695 Speaker 5: sort of taking a series of moves to in a 208 00:11:58,775 --> 00:12:02,295 Speaker 5: cautious way, as I said, navigate this line of not 209 00:12:02,415 --> 00:12:06,135 Speaker 5: going all out in terms of providing full scale military 210 00:12:06,175 --> 00:12:09,054 Speaker 5: backing for the war, but on the other hand, yes, 211 00:12:09,175 --> 00:12:14,295 Speaker 5: supporting Iranian populations who might be against the regime. Yes, 212 00:12:14,335 --> 00:12:19,375 Speaker 5: supporting in some ways attempts to degrade the Iranian regime 213 00:12:19,495 --> 00:12:21,495 Speaker 5: or even break diplomatic ties with them. 214 00:12:21,855 --> 00:12:25,455 Speaker 2: We talked last week about if Australia could be involved 215 00:12:25,455 --> 00:12:28,375 Speaker 2: in what that capacity may look like. Since that time, 216 00:12:28,535 --> 00:12:31,895 Speaker 2: the Albanezy government has made some moves in that area. 217 00:12:32,015 --> 00:12:35,855 Speaker 2: We sent a aircraft over there, some missile and artillery 218 00:12:35,935 --> 00:12:38,335 Speaker 2: as well. Can you explain to us the update. A 219 00:12:38,335 --> 00:12:41,935 Speaker 2: lot of people are asking the question, well, our Australia 220 00:12:42,295 --> 00:12:46,015 Speaker 2: in the war now and what's your response to that? 221 00:12:46,015 --> 00:12:48,855 Speaker 5: That's right, So this is again the Australian government trying 222 00:12:48,855 --> 00:12:53,575 Speaker 5: to sort of walk this line of saying we're supportive 223 00:12:53,695 --> 00:12:57,615 Speaker 5: but we're not involved. So what the Australian government has 224 00:12:57,655 --> 00:13:02,895 Speaker 5: done so far is they're provided essentially a reconnaissance aircraft. 225 00:13:02,935 --> 00:13:05,815 Speaker 5: So this means an aircraft that can actually pick up 226 00:13:05,895 --> 00:13:09,615 Speaker 5: intelligence signals and let the Gulf countries know if they're 227 00:13:09,735 --> 00:13:12,095 Speaker 5: likely to be under attack from Iran. And then we 228 00:13:12,215 --> 00:13:15,495 Speaker 5: provided missiles, but we provided defensive missiles, so these are 229 00:13:15,615 --> 00:13:18,415 Speaker 5: air to air missiles which can actually help to shoot 230 00:13:18,455 --> 00:13:21,135 Speaker 5: down any missiles. Or drones that might be coming in 231 00:13:21,535 --> 00:13:24,934 Speaker 5: from Iran, So it's essentially helping with the air defense 232 00:13:24,975 --> 00:13:28,655 Speaker 5: systems for the Golf. So what the Australian government is 233 00:13:28,695 --> 00:13:31,655 Speaker 5: trying to do here is to say, yes, we're supportive 234 00:13:31,815 --> 00:13:37,575 Speaker 5: in terms of providing some defensive military equipment, but we're 235 00:13:37,735 --> 00:13:41,375 Speaker 5: not going to get involved in an offensive capacity. 236 00:13:41,655 --> 00:13:41,855 Speaker 4: Now. 237 00:13:41,935 --> 00:13:44,295 Speaker 5: Of course that could become sort of a thin line 238 00:13:44,335 --> 00:13:48,455 Speaker 5: at some stage, but at the moment, that is the 239 00:13:48,495 --> 00:13:51,135 Speaker 5: line that the Australian government is trying to walk. 240 00:13:51,575 --> 00:13:55,455 Speaker 2: Do you think there's a reality where Australia does take 241 00:13:55,575 --> 00:13:56,934 Speaker 2: a more offensive position. 242 00:13:57,575 --> 00:14:00,135 Speaker 5: The only way in which that could happen is if 243 00:14:00,135 --> 00:14:03,295 Speaker 5: this war really drags on, and obviously President Trump is 244 00:14:03,335 --> 00:14:05,935 Speaker 5: going to be a key determinant of whether or not 245 00:14:05,975 --> 00:14:08,135 Speaker 5: that takes place. I think the war would have to 246 00:14:08,215 --> 00:14:10,255 Speaker 5: not only drag on, but it would have to kind 247 00:14:10,255 --> 00:14:14,615 Speaker 5: of drag in other middle power partners of Australia around 248 00:14:14,655 --> 00:14:19,255 Speaker 5: the world, such as the UK and France, And we 249 00:14:19,295 --> 00:14:22,055 Speaker 5: would also probably have to see US boots on the 250 00:14:22,055 --> 00:14:25,734 Speaker 5: ground before Australia might get involved in a more serious 251 00:14:26,055 --> 00:14:30,335 Speaker 5: military capacity. There really isn't any appetite amongst the Australian 252 00:14:30,375 --> 00:14:35,135 Speaker 5: population for Australian military to go out, certainly not boots 253 00:14:35,175 --> 00:14:37,735 Speaker 5: on the ground, and start fighting a long war in 254 00:14:37,735 --> 00:14:39,975 Speaker 5: the Middle East. So I don't think we would see 255 00:14:40,015 --> 00:14:42,415 Speaker 5: anything like that in the coming weeks or even months. 256 00:14:42,495 --> 00:14:46,975 Speaker 5: It's only if in the probably unlikely but possible scenario 257 00:14:47,015 --> 00:14:50,175 Speaker 5: that this really does drag on for months and ends 258 00:14:50,255 --> 00:14:52,375 Speaker 5: up being more of a ground operation on behalf of 259 00:14:52,455 --> 00:14:53,295 Speaker 5: the US as well. 260 00:14:53,735 --> 00:14:57,775 Speaker 2: Jess. This started as a joint military action by the 261 00:14:57,975 --> 00:15:00,895 Speaker 2: US and Israel, it now seems there may be a 262 00:15:01,135 --> 00:15:04,615 Speaker 2: schism in the objectives of the war. What do the 263 00:15:04,735 --> 00:15:06,735 Speaker 2: US want? What Israel want? 264 00:15:07,175 --> 00:15:09,935 Speaker 5: Yeah, so I think that there have always been a 265 00:15:10,015 --> 00:15:12,735 Speaker 5: bit of difference in the objectives of Israel and the 266 00:15:12,735 --> 00:15:15,455 Speaker 5: objectives of the US, even though as you mentioned, this 267 00:15:15,535 --> 00:15:20,215 Speaker 5: has really been a joint military operation and continues to 268 00:15:20,255 --> 00:15:23,255 Speaker 5: be so between the US and Israel. I think for 269 00:15:23,575 --> 00:15:26,935 Speaker 5: Israel there's a very clear objective to completely weaken the 270 00:15:26,935 --> 00:15:32,615 Speaker 5: current Iranian regime in any way possible, and also regime 271 00:15:32,775 --> 00:15:36,815 Speaker 5: change would be probably a good objective from an Israeli perspective, 272 00:15:37,135 --> 00:15:39,295 Speaker 5: but a little bit depending on what the next regime 273 00:15:39,335 --> 00:15:43,015 Speaker 5: looks like. Trump may sincerely feel that the Iranian regime 274 00:15:43,215 --> 00:15:46,655 Speaker 5: is a brutal and horrible regime. But he's really gone 275 00:15:46,655 --> 00:15:49,535 Speaker 5: back and forth between whether this is about regime change 276 00:15:49,575 --> 00:15:52,215 Speaker 5: for the US, whether it's just about making sure there's 277 00:15:52,215 --> 00:15:54,975 Speaker 5: a more pro US regime in place, no matter what 278 00:15:55,015 --> 00:15:57,695 Speaker 5: that looks like, or whether it is about weakening the 279 00:15:57,695 --> 00:16:01,015 Speaker 5: Iranian regime. And Trump has also gone back and forth 280 00:16:01,015 --> 00:16:04,255 Speaker 5: a little bit in terms of how long the US 281 00:16:04,415 --> 00:16:09,975 Speaker 5: might continue this military operation. And you know, obviously if 282 00:16:10,015 --> 00:16:12,975 Speaker 5: the US were to withdraw quite quickly, yes we would 283 00:16:13,015 --> 00:16:16,655 Speaker 5: see a weakened regime, but at this stage, the existing 284 00:16:16,695 --> 00:16:19,135 Speaker 5: regime is still very much in control. 285 00:16:19,535 --> 00:16:22,215 Speaker 2: And just to bring it back home finally, jess where 286 00:16:22,255 --> 00:16:25,735 Speaker 2: to from here? We're seeing fuel hikes already, pain at 287 00:16:25,735 --> 00:16:30,615 Speaker 2: the petrol bowser flights in chaos, the airfare hike is 288 00:16:30,695 --> 00:16:33,615 Speaker 2: hard to ignore. How much longer can this go on for? 289 00:16:34,015 --> 00:16:37,775 Speaker 5: That's right? So I would unfortunately advise Australians to be 290 00:16:37,975 --> 00:16:41,655 Speaker 5: prepared for disruptions in international travel for a while. I mean, 291 00:16:41,655 --> 00:16:44,495 Speaker 5: I think travel through the Gulf, no matter what happens, 292 00:16:44,695 --> 00:16:48,615 Speaker 5: is not going to resume very quickly, just because there 293 00:16:48,695 --> 00:16:52,335 Speaker 5: is now that threat of missiles from Iran if a 294 00:16:52,375 --> 00:16:54,855 Speaker 5: conflict were to flare up, again, even if you know, 295 00:16:54,975 --> 00:16:58,655 Speaker 5: let's say this particular war comes to some kind of conclusion, 296 00:16:59,175 --> 00:17:01,495 Speaker 5: so I would expect that's going to put a big 297 00:17:01,535 --> 00:17:05,935 Speaker 5: crunch on international flights going through other routes, and particularly 298 00:17:05,935 --> 00:17:08,455 Speaker 5: in countries like Australia where people do tend to travel 299 00:17:08,455 --> 00:17:11,934 Speaker 5: relatively often to Europe and tend to go through the Gulf. 300 00:17:12,215 --> 00:17:15,494 Speaker 5: I think we can expect a rise in ticket prices 301 00:17:15,494 --> 00:17:20,734 Speaker 5: for international flights and then also of course fuel, So 302 00:17:21,375 --> 00:17:26,135 Speaker 5: just for everyday consumers that means much higher prices for petrol. 303 00:17:26,135 --> 00:17:28,695 Speaker 5: We've already seen petrol prices rising by forty or fifty 304 00:17:28,734 --> 00:17:32,854 Speaker 5: cents just in the last week. And for industry of course, 305 00:17:33,094 --> 00:17:36,415 Speaker 5: fuel is also really critical and fuel prices, so yes, 306 00:17:36,534 --> 00:17:39,895 Speaker 5: I do think unfortunately, probably for most of this year, 307 00:17:40,135 --> 00:17:41,774 Speaker 5: we are going to see a bit of a pinch 308 00:17:41,854 --> 00:17:43,894 Speaker 5: around those two areas. 309 00:17:47,455 --> 00:17:50,494 Speaker 2: Thanks for taking some time to Feedurelind with us today. Hey, 310 00:17:50,534 --> 00:17:52,654 Speaker 2: before your head off, make sure you're following the Quickie 311 00:17:52,695 --> 00:17:55,374 Speaker 2: in your favor podcast app and you've got your notifications 312 00:17:55,375 --> 00:17:58,615 Speaker 2: on so you never miss an episode like this afternoon, 313 00:17:58,734 --> 00:18:02,134 Speaker 2: we'll be back with another news update. The Quikie is 314 00:18:02,175 --> 00:18:06,455 Speaker 2: produced by me Taylor Strano Hilaria Brophy and Murphy, with 315 00:18:06,574 --> 00:18:08,415 Speaker 2: audio production by Lou Hill. 316 00:18:15,895 --> 00:18:18,975 Speaker 1: Mumma Mea acknowledges the traditional owners of land and waters 317 00:18:19,014 --> 00:18:20,654 Speaker 1: that this podcast is recorded on