1 00:00:05,840 --> 00:00:07,880 Speaker 1: Welcome to Fear and Greed Q and A, where we 2 00:00:07,960 --> 00:00:12,480 Speaker 1: ask and answer questions about business, investing, economics, politics and more. 3 00:00:12,560 --> 00:00:15,640 Speaker 1: I'm Sean Aylmer. We've heard a lot lately about Australia's 4 00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:18,520 Speaker 1: productivity crisis and why reform is needed to boost our 5 00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 1: economic growth. Today, I wanted to look at it from 6 00:00:21,520 --> 00:00:24,400 Speaker 1: the other side, rather than just waiting on action from 7 00:00:24,400 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 1: the government. What does business need to do in as 8 00:00:27,320 --> 00:00:30,560 Speaker 1: Willocks is the chief executive of the Australian Industry Group. 9 00:00:30,640 --> 00:00:34,960 Speaker 1: AI Group is a peak national employer organization representing thousands 10 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:38,400 Speaker 1: of employers from large international companies operating in Australia through 11 00:00:38,479 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 1: to family run SMAs in it's welcome back to Fearing, 12 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 1: Greed Q and A. 13 00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:43,920 Speaker 2: Hi Sean, great to talk with you again. 14 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:46,840 Speaker 1: Shortly we'll get to what you'd like to see from 15 00:00:46,840 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 1: government in terms of tax reform, red tape, et cetera. 16 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:52,440 Speaker 1: But let's start with business itself. We've got a productivity 17 00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 1: problem in Australia. How can business contribute to the solution. 18 00:00:57,680 --> 00:01:00,560 Speaker 2: It's a great question because business just can't rely on 19 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:04,240 Speaker 2: government and government alone, and nor should it. But government 20 00:01:04,240 --> 00:01:06,840 Speaker 2: has a big role here too, around the settings that 21 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:10,959 Speaker 2: business can operate in. But notwithstanding that, there is a 22 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:14,399 Speaker 2: big role for business, and businesses talking about it a 23 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:19,320 Speaker 2: lot and is acting a lot. There's a three d's 24 00:01:19,440 --> 00:01:24,679 Speaker 2: we talk about sean one is decarbonization. Diversification is another 25 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:29,119 Speaker 2: which is very important, and also digitalization is the third, 26 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:32,759 Speaker 2: and businesses are heading down the track on all three 27 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 2: of those at the moment. Decarbonizing to fit in with 28 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:41,360 Speaker 2: government policy, government approaches, but also good practice for customers, 29 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 2: for suppliers and the like very important for us to 30 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:49,800 Speaker 2: help move towards our net zero by twenty fifty targets. 31 00:01:50,160 --> 00:01:54,280 Speaker 2: Diversification is looking at new markets, new products, new ways 32 00:01:54,320 --> 00:01:58,080 Speaker 2: of working basically, and digitalization fits into that. We all 33 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:01,040 Speaker 2: talk a lot about artificial intelligence. We're also looking at 34 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 2: things like automation and robotics and the like. So business 35 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:09,120 Speaker 2: is looking to become more productive in its own way 36 00:02:09,320 --> 00:02:12,359 Speaker 2: and in ways they can because the world around them 37 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:16,680 Speaker 2: is changing. Global trade is changing. We've just got some 38 00:02:17,200 --> 00:02:19,840 Speaker 2: data out showing that we've seen a significant rise in 39 00:02:19,880 --> 00:02:22,720 Speaker 2: imports coming into Australia, which is part we believe of 40 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:26,800 Speaker 2: the global of the implications of the global trade in 41 00:02:26,880 --> 00:02:30,480 Speaker 2: Brolio that we're seeing at the moment and changes there. 42 00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 2: So business is having to adapt, whether large or small, 43 00:02:34,080 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 2: and of course business works from large too small and 44 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:40,480 Speaker 2: small to large. So this pressure is being put on 45 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 2: right up and down supply chains for businesses to become 46 00:02:43,919 --> 00:02:47,120 Speaker 2: more productive and more adaptable. The final point I make 47 00:02:47,240 --> 00:02:49,200 Speaker 2: is that a lot of this is being driven by 48 00:02:49,760 --> 00:02:53,880 Speaker 2: labor and skill shortages. In Australia. We see significant skill 49 00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:59,800 Speaker 2: shortage across key areas of the economy, cross housing, across manufacturing, mining, 50 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:03,720 Speaker 2: right across the economy. We're also seeing labor shortages and 51 00:03:04,240 --> 00:03:09,800 Speaker 2: emerging real issues around labor mobility in Australia, which is 52 00:03:09,840 --> 00:03:12,080 Speaker 2: all impacting on business, which is meaning business is going 53 00:03:12,120 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 2: to find new ways to get product to market quicker, 54 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:18,360 Speaker 2: more cheaply, and more competitively. 55 00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 1: Okay, I like the three d's. I kind of understand 56 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 1: that is something I want to move on to now, 57 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:25,239 Speaker 1: which some companies seem to have had problems within the 58 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:29,360 Speaker 1: recent times, Optus being the most recent example. It's the 59 00:03:29,400 --> 00:03:34,040 Speaker 1: social license that a business has to operate. And I 60 00:03:34,080 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 1: don't know that we always think about it that much, 61 00:03:36,880 --> 00:03:39,520 Speaker 1: but from sort of Rio tinto a couple of years 62 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:42,920 Speaker 1: ago blowing up minds through to optus. It's not just 63 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:46,320 Speaker 1: the telcose, it's all business. How important is that. 64 00:03:47,080 --> 00:03:50,560 Speaker 2: Oh, look, it's crucial. If you don't have what is 65 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 2: called social license to operate, it's very hard to get 66 00:03:53,720 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 2: traction and in fact, you're more likely to get opposition 67 00:03:57,360 --> 00:04:00,480 Speaker 2: and you're going to have difficulties trading. So a lot 68 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 2: of that is around getting involved in your community and 69 00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 2: showing that, whether that is at the more basic level, 70 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:12,600 Speaker 2: interacting with local schools in universities, particularly if you're in 71 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 2: a smaller town or regional center, getting the community on 72 00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:21,440 Speaker 2: board and aware of what you're doing, what you're providing, 73 00:04:21,880 --> 00:04:25,400 Speaker 2: the opportunities that you're giving to the community, whether it 74 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:29,720 Speaker 2: be just local or regional, working with your supply chain 75 00:04:29,839 --> 00:04:34,040 Speaker 2: in an appropriate way. What we're seeing is community attitudes 76 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:38,080 Speaker 2: have changed and very clearly changed, and business has to 77 00:04:38,120 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 2: be aware of that and keep up community attitudes towards 78 00:04:42,640 --> 00:04:47,159 Speaker 2: how business operates. Things like the modern slavery requirements that 79 00:04:47,200 --> 00:04:50,960 Speaker 2: businesses are working to at the moment, the workplace gender 80 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:53,640 Speaker 2: equality agency work, A lot of that's a lot of 81 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 2: compliance work for business, but that's now expected from the 82 00:04:57,360 --> 00:05:02,200 Speaker 2: community to show that businesses are good corporate citizens. The 83 00:05:02,320 --> 00:05:06,600 Speaker 2: decarbonization component I talked about earlier as that's business demonstrating 84 00:05:06,600 --> 00:05:12,520 Speaker 2: that they are acting in an environmentally responsible way. So shareholders, customers, 85 00:05:13,240 --> 00:05:16,760 Speaker 2: communities all look at these sort of things for businesses 86 00:05:16,839 --> 00:05:19,400 Speaker 2: large and small to make sure that they are acting 87 00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:25,480 Speaker 2: in an appropriate way and that they're contributing to the economy. Undoubtedly, 88 00:05:25,600 --> 00:05:28,880 Speaker 2: business is still motivated by profit, by the need for 89 00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:32,279 Speaker 2: profit to grow and to expand and create jobs. But 90 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 2: there's also that community license which is incredibly important for 91 00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:39,000 Speaker 2: business to be successful and not to be targeted. 92 00:05:39,680 --> 00:05:42,279 Speaker 1: Okay, what about the JEO political climate at the moment. 93 00:05:42,520 --> 00:05:45,680 Speaker 1: Clearly some industries are hit by tariffs more than others, 94 00:05:46,040 --> 00:05:49,640 Speaker 1: although even selling into the US, just the duties that 95 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:52,960 Speaker 1: now have to be paid on smaller parcels, etc. We 96 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:54,840 Speaker 1: hear a lot about it, I talk a lot about it. 97 00:05:55,000 --> 00:05:58,640 Speaker 1: But is it as big an issue for business as 98 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 1: it seems, or is it actually at the margins given 99 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:03,480 Speaker 1: these other things we're talking about. 100 00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 2: It's a great question. It's multi layered and it's not uniform. 101 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:11,679 Speaker 2: It's not across the economy. So at a headline level, 102 00:06:11,880 --> 00:06:16,560 Speaker 2: the US ten percent tariffs have different impacts on different sectors, 103 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:19,400 Speaker 2: but overall I think you can make the claim that 104 00:06:19,480 --> 00:06:23,360 Speaker 2: it hasn't really made that much difference to Australia in 105 00:06:23,440 --> 00:06:27,000 Speaker 2: terms of the direct US ten percent tariff on Australia. 106 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:31,159 Speaker 2: What's uncertain about the US is what happens around what's 107 00:06:31,200 --> 00:06:34,400 Speaker 2: called the Section two three two tariff's seeds are the 108 00:06:34,480 --> 00:06:38,200 Speaker 2: specific tariffs. You've seen some debate and discussion in the 109 00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:43,280 Speaker 2: past few days around pharmaceuticals for instance. Copper is another one, 110 00:06:43,440 --> 00:06:46,239 Speaker 2: steel is another. So there is about ten or twelve 111 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:50,560 Speaker 2: quite clear components of the global economy which are going 112 00:06:50,600 --> 00:06:54,880 Speaker 2: to be impacted by quite specific tariffs, and they will 113 00:06:54,880 --> 00:06:58,920 Speaker 2: have impacts on different, quite distinct parts of the economy. 114 00:06:59,240 --> 00:07:02,680 Speaker 2: But overall, what is happening is in the Australian context 115 00:07:02,760 --> 00:07:06,640 Speaker 2: is the biggest impact is actually around our trading partners, 116 00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:13,720 Speaker 2: third party third country trading partners. So think of China, Thailand, Malaysia, Vietnam, 117 00:07:14,280 --> 00:07:18,320 Speaker 2: all of whom have been quite heavily hit by American tariffs, 118 00:07:18,680 --> 00:07:23,640 Speaker 2: and that's reorienting global trade. It's making business think about 119 00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 2: who they partner with. This goes back to the diversification 120 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:30,560 Speaker 2: d that I talked about earlier. That's where the biggest 121 00:07:30,680 --> 00:07:35,560 Speaker 2: impact directly at the moment is on businesses. The second 122 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:39,120 Speaker 2: component of is that's just added incredible amount of volatility 123 00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:44,160 Speaker 2: and uncertainty into the equation. The old trading norms are gone. 124 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:47,760 Speaker 2: We're now in a point where the trading system is 125 00:07:47,840 --> 00:07:53,560 Speaker 2: remaking itself, reinventing itself. Countries and nations are finding new 126 00:07:53,600 --> 00:07:57,760 Speaker 2: trading partners and new ways of trading, and businesses are 127 00:07:57,800 --> 00:08:02,280 Speaker 2: directly impacted by that. So we're in a period of 128 00:08:02,280 --> 00:08:05,400 Speaker 2: great uncertainty when it comes to global trade. Global shipping 129 00:08:05,480 --> 00:08:10,000 Speaker 2: has been impacted as well, and you know you mentioned 130 00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:13,000 Speaker 2: the small parcels, you know that got turned off for 131 00:08:13,000 --> 00:08:15,760 Speaker 2: a while, it's now turned back on. This adds into 132 00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:19,120 Speaker 2: the uncertainty and the unpredictability that business is dealing with 133 00:08:19,200 --> 00:08:21,600 Speaker 2: at the moment. But when you think Sean that one 134 00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:25,920 Speaker 2: in five Australian jobs is trade related, that broader impact 135 00:08:26,040 --> 00:08:30,560 Speaker 2: is where it's really been felt by Australian businesses and 136 00:08:30,600 --> 00:08:33,680 Speaker 2: they're just sort of, I would hesitate to say, muddling through. 137 00:08:33,720 --> 00:08:36,560 Speaker 2: They're doing better than that. There's been quite proactive, but 138 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:41,760 Speaker 2: that uncertainty at the moment is really creating some difficulties and. 139 00:08:41,960 --> 00:08:44,080 Speaker 1: I've been trying to stay away from government policy because 140 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:46,439 Speaker 1: I think it's interesting to talk about non government policy 141 00:08:46,440 --> 00:08:49,440 Speaker 1: issues facing business. However, we are almost out of time. 142 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:51,760 Speaker 1: But you know, in terms of government policy, be it 143 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:54,320 Speaker 1: tax or I are what are the key things for 144 00:08:54,360 --> 00:08:56,839 Speaker 1: business that you'd like to see progressed. 145 00:08:57,640 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 2: Well, I was at the Productivity round table held in 146 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:04,880 Speaker 2: August and that progressed a few issues. So I'll just 147 00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:08,880 Speaker 2: quickly touch on a couple. One is government approach to tax. 148 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:12,280 Speaker 2: You've already seen the government put out a request for 149 00:09:12,480 --> 00:09:16,680 Speaker 2: submissions around tax simplification, which is something we really push for. 150 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:20,719 Speaker 2: An incredibly complex tax system that Australia has, which is 151 00:09:20,760 --> 00:09:23,960 Speaker 2: a disincentive to invest. Obviously, we want to look at 152 00:09:23,960 --> 00:09:28,240 Speaker 2: business taxes. We are at a headline rate about fourth 153 00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:30,720 Speaker 2: in the OECD on headline tax rates, but when you 154 00:09:30,800 --> 00:09:36,440 Speaker 2: take all taxes and business into account, payroll tax, land taxes, 155 00:09:36,480 --> 00:09:40,280 Speaker 2: insurances and the like, we're at number two behind Columbia. 156 00:09:40,360 --> 00:09:43,600 Speaker 2: So we need a big rethink around how we do 157 00:09:43,679 --> 00:09:47,240 Speaker 2: business tax and personal tax as well. Bracket creep is 158 00:09:47,240 --> 00:09:49,920 Speaker 2: a big issue for business because it's a disincentive for 159 00:09:50,000 --> 00:09:53,160 Speaker 2: people to work and work harder and strive to do better. 160 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 2: So tax forms a big issue, but we recognize no 161 00:09:56,760 --> 00:10:00,440 Speaker 2: quick fix. This is probably a three year project the government, 162 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:04,280 Speaker 2: but will be heavily involved in that I do no 163 00:10:04,400 --> 00:10:08,480 Speaker 2: more harm proposition for business. Our business is absorbing massive 164 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:12,320 Speaker 2: change in the industrial landscape over the past three years. 165 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:15,040 Speaker 2: The government's got a couple of things that's working through 166 00:10:15,040 --> 00:10:20,120 Speaker 2: at the moment. We're consulting broadly around legislation of penalty rates, 167 00:10:20,160 --> 00:10:22,439 Speaker 2: around some more sort of what you might call paternity 168 00:10:22,520 --> 00:10:26,920 Speaker 2: leave arrangements, around noncompete clauses, and around pay Day's super 169 00:10:26,960 --> 00:10:29,959 Speaker 2: They're probably the four big issues that we're facing into 170 00:10:30,040 --> 00:10:33,360 Speaker 2: at the moment, apart from reviews of other legislation. But 171 00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:36,360 Speaker 2: let's try not to do more harm. And the third 172 00:10:36,400 --> 00:10:40,920 Speaker 2: one zero point two Sean is artificial intelligence on many levels, 173 00:10:40,960 --> 00:10:43,400 Speaker 2: where Australia gets to is going to be really important 174 00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:47,240 Speaker 2: for business. The guardrails that the government puts in place 175 00:10:47,320 --> 00:10:51,840 Speaker 2: around use of AI more broadly, that's a review that 176 00:10:51,880 --> 00:10:54,120 Speaker 2: we're involved in. Hopefully we're report by the end of 177 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:58,200 Speaker 2: the year. AI from the industrial relations perspective as well, 178 00:10:58,679 --> 00:11:01,720 Speaker 2: where we get to into discussions with unions and government 179 00:11:01,760 --> 00:11:05,160 Speaker 2: around use of AI within workplaces. I think there's been 180 00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:08,920 Speaker 2: a pretty positive shift in that direction since the roundtable, 181 00:11:09,480 --> 00:11:12,000 Speaker 2: that's really important. And then the government's own use of 182 00:11:12,040 --> 00:11:16,120 Speaker 2: AI to improve business process from a business perspective, to 183 00:11:16,160 --> 00:11:23,360 Speaker 2: improve business processes, making regulation easier, things like tendering more streamlined. 184 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:25,640 Speaker 2: All of those things are going to be incredibly important 185 00:11:26,320 --> 00:11:29,120 Speaker 2: for business. But look, there's a multitude of issues that 186 00:11:29,200 --> 00:11:32,319 Speaker 2: government is facing into that we're dealing with. I could 187 00:11:32,360 --> 00:11:35,240 Speaker 2: talk about energy costs all day and energy prices, but 188 00:11:35,480 --> 00:11:37,439 Speaker 2: i'd sort of point to those as things that are 189 00:11:37,880 --> 00:11:39,840 Speaker 2: front of mind at the moment at the moment for 190 00:11:39,920 --> 00:11:44,440 Speaker 2: business and trying to navigate those through pretty choppy waters 191 00:11:44,480 --> 00:11:47,280 Speaker 2: globally at the moment. We can't afford to be left behind. 192 00:11:47,400 --> 00:11:51,480 Speaker 2: We need to remain competitive and we need to be competitive. 193 00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:54,880 Speaker 2: A big parts of the economy are in recession or 194 00:11:54,880 --> 00:11:57,520 Speaker 2: have recession like conditions at the moment, so it's not 195 00:11:57,760 --> 00:12:01,240 Speaker 2: easy out there. So the role for where possible is 196 00:12:01,280 --> 00:12:04,240 Speaker 2: to enable business success and that's what we're pushing for. 197 00:12:04,720 --> 00:12:06,400 Speaker 1: Inness. Thank you for talking to Fear and Greed. 198 00:12:06,600 --> 00:12:07,120 Speaker 2: Thanks Sean. 199 00:12:07,280 --> 00:12:10,720 Speaker 1: That was inners Willock's chief executive of the Australian Industry Group. 200 00:12:10,840 --> 00:12:12,800 Speaker 1: If you've got something you'd like to know, then sendsor 201 00:12:12,920 --> 00:12:16,400 Speaker 1: your question on LinkedIn, Instagram, Facebook, or at fearangreed dot 202 00:12:16,400 --> 00:12:18,640 Speaker 1: com dot au. I'm Sean Alematin. This is fear and 203 00:12:18,679 --> 00:12:19,480 Speaker 1: greed at Q and A