WEBVTT - Big super cock-ups - Should you switch? 

0:00:10.400 --> 0:00:13.920
<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to The Australian's Money Puzzle podcast. I'm

0:00:14.000 --> 0:00:17.720
<v Speaker 1>James Kirby, the editor at the Australian. Welcome aboard everybody

0:00:18.239 --> 0:00:20.520
<v Speaker 1>you know. For a long time on this show, we

0:00:20.600 --> 0:00:25.880
<v Speaker 1>have supported big industry super funds and we have said

0:00:26.560 --> 0:00:30.040
<v Speaker 1>regularly that they perform well, and they do over a

0:00:30.120 --> 0:00:33.159
<v Speaker 1>ten year period, and that they are cheap. That is,

0:00:33.240 --> 0:00:37.559
<v Speaker 1>the expenses that they have and what they charge you

0:00:37.680 --> 0:00:40.640
<v Speaker 1>the investor is quite reasonable. Part of that is because

0:00:40.680 --> 0:00:43.120
<v Speaker 1>they don't have to make a profit they are not

0:00:43.360 --> 0:00:46.440
<v Speaker 1>for profit industry funds. But always added the caveat that

0:00:47.720 --> 0:00:50.519
<v Speaker 1>they are alone to themselves. They're very big fish in

0:00:50.560 --> 0:00:54.720
<v Speaker 1>a small pond. They're not particularly answerable to any regulator.

0:00:54.720 --> 0:00:59.640
<v Speaker 1>In particular, they're not particularly answerable to their own investors.

0:00:59.680 --> 0:01:02.920
<v Speaker 1>And sooner or later this was going to be trouble

0:01:03.760 --> 0:01:07.360
<v Speaker 1>and Sebus, the big industry super fund, really has spoils

0:01:07.440 --> 0:01:10.480
<v Speaker 1>party here. They have about nine hundred and thirty thousand members,

0:01:11.200 --> 0:01:16.759
<v Speaker 1>about ninety four billion under assets, big operation and behave

0:01:16.880 --> 0:01:20.240
<v Speaker 1>so badly basically behind the scenes in terms of not

0:01:20.440 --> 0:01:27.160
<v Speaker 1>delivering due payments to death benefits and disability payments the

0:01:27.160 --> 0:01:30.600
<v Speaker 1>most basically it's the most vulnerable people and investors in

0:01:30.640 --> 0:01:33.920
<v Speaker 1>their group. That ACID had to go as far as

0:01:34.040 --> 0:01:37.679
<v Speaker 1>taking them to court and suing them for allegations of

0:01:37.800 --> 0:01:40.800
<v Speaker 1>problems in this area. So this sort of bursts the bubble,

0:01:40.840 --> 0:01:44.720
<v Speaker 1>I think to would agree on big super and there

0:01:44.840 --> 0:01:47.560
<v Speaker 1>has been in and around the same time a whole

0:01:47.720 --> 0:01:51.840
<v Speaker 1>string of incidents. Cebus isn't the only one unisuper. Their

0:01:52.000 --> 0:01:54.840
<v Speaker 1>site was out for days some months ago where people

0:01:54.880 --> 0:01:58.240
<v Speaker 1>couldn't see their super couldn't see what they have. Art

0:01:58.800 --> 0:02:02.600
<v Speaker 1>Australian Retirement which is the second largest super fund in

0:02:02.680 --> 0:02:07.040
<v Speaker 1>the market, they had delays for days of pensioner payments

0:02:08.320 --> 0:02:11.960
<v Speaker 1>and in common with these issues I just mentioned at

0:02:12.000 --> 0:02:16.680
<v Speaker 1>the other funds, they don't advertise this, they don't tell

0:02:16.720 --> 0:02:20.560
<v Speaker 1>you about this, they tell you if you're affected. But basically,

0:02:22.000 --> 0:02:24.560
<v Speaker 1>onto the current system they're able to quietly try and

0:02:24.680 --> 0:02:28.800
<v Speaker 1>put out these spotfires as they occur. The issue now,

0:02:28.840 --> 0:02:30.880
<v Speaker 1>of course, is that ASEK has really put this on

0:02:31.040 --> 0:02:35.280
<v Speaker 1>the table and the ACIC Deputy chair Sarah Court, is

0:02:35.320 --> 0:02:37.160
<v Speaker 1>saying that there's going to be more action on this,

0:02:37.560 --> 0:02:39.840
<v Speaker 1>and even as I speak to you today this morning,

0:02:39.960 --> 0:02:43.280
<v Speaker 1>literally an hour or so before we started to sit

0:02:43.320 --> 0:02:47.200
<v Speaker 1>down and record this show. Hesta big fund that's traditionally

0:02:47.240 --> 0:02:51.919
<v Speaker 1>associated with hospital workers and nurses, is also in trouble,

0:02:51.960 --> 0:02:56.000
<v Speaker 1>can you believe for an entirely different issue. But it's

0:02:56.040 --> 0:02:59.919
<v Speaker 1>got to do with their unlisted assets and the greet

0:03:00.120 --> 0:03:02.560
<v Speaker 1>which they mark them down and didn't mark them down

0:03:03.120 --> 0:03:05.959
<v Speaker 1>in a coordinated fashion back at the time of the

0:03:06.040 --> 0:03:10.600
<v Speaker 1>COVID crisis. So it's really all starting to turn and

0:03:10.680 --> 0:03:12.320
<v Speaker 1>I want to look at this, and I want to

0:03:12.320 --> 0:03:15.840
<v Speaker 1>also look at property unlisted assets on the investment side.

0:03:15.960 --> 0:03:20.400
<v Speaker 1>Unlisted assets are the big mystery at industry funds. They

0:03:20.480 --> 0:03:22.920
<v Speaker 1>have been useful to them, but they also are very

0:03:22.960 --> 0:03:26.240
<v Speaker 1>opaque and it's very hard to get steer on how

0:03:26.320 --> 0:03:29.160
<v Speaker 1>much they have, how much they're worth, except to say

0:03:29.200 --> 0:03:32.400
<v Speaker 1>that in commercial property, certainly there's a lot of problems

0:03:32.400 --> 0:03:34.840
<v Speaker 1>starting to form and SeaBus has had big losses there

0:03:35.280 --> 0:03:37.840
<v Speaker 1>and so have other funds. We'll put it all together,

0:03:38.080 --> 0:03:41.280
<v Speaker 1>I guess today is James Girard of Financial Advisor dot

0:03:41.320 --> 0:03:43.800
<v Speaker 1>com dot au. Hi, James, how are you hy?

0:03:43.880 --> 0:03:45.080
<v Speaker 2>James good? Thanks for having me on.

0:03:45.960 --> 0:03:48.360
<v Speaker 1>Good to have you on. I can't recall if we

0:03:48.600 --> 0:03:52.120
<v Speaker 1>spoke on air about industry funds before, but one of

0:03:52.200 --> 0:03:54.600
<v Speaker 1>the things we've talked about them, but we haven't talked

0:03:54.600 --> 0:03:57.480
<v Speaker 1>about what could go wrong. One of the things I

0:03:57.640 --> 0:04:02.320
<v Speaker 1>noticed that it's very clear in these scandals that are

0:04:02.440 --> 0:04:06.120
<v Speaker 1>breaking almost weekly on the big super funds is that

0:04:06.400 --> 0:04:11.119
<v Speaker 1>they used outsourced services. In the case of Cebus, they've

0:04:11.160 --> 0:04:14.360
<v Speaker 1>tried to turn the blowhort should you like, on link

0:04:14.800 --> 0:04:18.040
<v Speaker 1>market services which they had used. And I think in

0:04:18.160 --> 0:04:20.720
<v Speaker 1>some of the more recent scandals there's been other service

0:04:20.800 --> 0:04:24.960
<v Speaker 1>companies like Mercer has been mentioned in passing here. I

0:04:25.000 --> 0:04:28.400
<v Speaker 1>don't know about you, but I never take I have

0:04:28.600 --> 0:04:31.640
<v Speaker 1>no time for a company who blames the outsourced service

0:04:33.160 --> 0:04:36.280
<v Speaker 1>because they outsourced, right. I don't want to know. I

0:04:36.360 --> 0:04:38.520
<v Speaker 1>don't care. I don't even want to hear that they

0:04:38.640 --> 0:04:41.080
<v Speaker 1>outsourced it. It's their problem. I don't know if that's

0:04:41.120 --> 0:04:45.280
<v Speaker 1>a reasonable response. Do I sound reasonable? It is?

0:04:45.880 --> 0:04:48.000
<v Speaker 2>I agree with you. I don't think it really matters

0:04:48.760 --> 0:04:50.640
<v Speaker 2>how you get to the outcome. That's not that the

0:04:50.680 --> 0:04:54.479
<v Speaker 2>super members concern, whether it's done in house or it's outsourced.

0:04:54.720 --> 0:04:57.520
<v Speaker 2>It should be the timeframe and what happens at the

0:04:57.640 --> 0:05:00.280
<v Speaker 2>end of it, and there should be management there sort

0:05:00.279 --> 0:05:04.200
<v Speaker 2>of ensuring these timeframesmit whether they're in house or they're outsourced,

0:05:04.200 --> 0:05:06.479
<v Speaker 2>and it's funny that link has popped up and said, hey,

0:05:06.600 --> 0:05:08.880
<v Speaker 2>you know we outsource. Well, we do the outsourcing for

0:05:09.000 --> 0:05:11.680
<v Speaker 2>quite a few super funds on the insurance side, and

0:05:11.760 --> 0:05:13.800
<v Speaker 2>there's plenty of other customers that we have. They're all

0:05:13.920 --> 0:05:18.120
<v Speaker 2>meeting their KPIs with regards to processing times. We're just

0:05:18.200 --> 0:05:20.960
<v Speaker 2>following the instructions that you gave us, and so don't

0:05:20.960 --> 0:05:22.240
<v Speaker 2>blame us, go blame yourself.

0:05:23.279 --> 0:05:25.480
<v Speaker 1>Yes, yeah, that's right. So one of the things that

0:05:25.560 --> 0:05:29.000
<v Speaker 1>for listeners, I'm sure many of our listeners have their savings.

0:05:29.800 --> 0:05:33.479
<v Speaker 1>Probably the most important financial dimension of their lives beyond

0:05:33.520 --> 0:05:37.200
<v Speaker 1>their homes if they own their homes, is their super

0:05:37.839 --> 0:05:41.600
<v Speaker 1>and we're seeing in each of these cases that there

0:05:41.640 --> 0:05:44.920
<v Speaker 1>are weaknesses being revealed as super funds, serious weaknesses. Now

0:05:44.960 --> 0:05:47.119
<v Speaker 1>in the case to see Bus in case you've missed it, folks,

0:05:47.160 --> 0:05:50.080
<v Speaker 1>it's worth actually just going through what on earth's going

0:05:50.080 --> 0:05:55.920
<v Speaker 1>on there. They are facing regulatory inquiry by both OPRA,

0:05:56.200 --> 0:06:02.159
<v Speaker 1>the prudential regulator unquestionable expense, questionable expenses. They're also basing

0:06:02.200 --> 0:06:06.440
<v Speaker 1>an acquiry from APRAA on the links and suitability of

0:06:06.600 --> 0:06:10.840
<v Speaker 1>personnel related to their union appointments through CFMU and then

0:06:10.880 --> 0:06:17.839
<v Speaker 1>they're facing a core case from ACIC about delays to payments,

0:06:19.279 --> 0:06:23.440
<v Speaker 1>And as a sort of rational financial person, I will say, okay,

0:06:24.040 --> 0:06:26.760
<v Speaker 1>I don't like any of that, but I look at

0:06:26.800 --> 0:06:29.640
<v Speaker 1>the ten year returns for c BUS and they're fine.

0:06:29.920 --> 0:06:33.320
<v Speaker 1>They're absolutely passable. They're about eight percent, and that's about

0:06:33.360 --> 0:06:36.000
<v Speaker 1>what you'd expect at most of those big funds. So

0:06:36.160 --> 0:06:41.600
<v Speaker 1>the investment formats to date, James hasn't been hit. But

0:06:42.760 --> 0:06:48.760
<v Speaker 1>as an advisor, like, do you are you concerned if

0:06:48.800 --> 0:06:53.120
<v Speaker 1>there's an organization and there's all sorts of problems at

0:06:53.200 --> 0:06:57.560
<v Speaker 1>the back office, are you concerned that could in some

0:06:57.800 --> 0:07:00.960
<v Speaker 1>way or could it interfere with their performance at the

0:07:01.000 --> 0:07:03.160
<v Speaker 1>front office where they're investing? You know, otherwords, could one

0:07:03.200 --> 0:07:04.960
<v Speaker 1>spoil the other? Could one poison the other?

0:07:06.600 --> 0:07:10.720
<v Speaker 2>Look, it's a flag or an indicator. You would suspect

0:07:10.800 --> 0:07:13.120
<v Speaker 2>that the teams are very separate in terms of the

0:07:13.280 --> 0:07:16.920
<v Speaker 2>investment committee and the investment team versus the back office function.

0:07:17.160 --> 0:07:21.080
<v Speaker 2>But they're all governed by the same upper management. And

0:07:21.200 --> 0:07:23.760
<v Speaker 2>so it's a logical conclusion to go, all right, well,

0:07:23.800 --> 0:07:26.760
<v Speaker 2>if this part's not working, is that a systemic issue

0:07:26.800 --> 0:07:29.280
<v Speaker 2>with the superfund overall? Do they not have the right

0:07:29.400 --> 0:07:32.560
<v Speaker 2>management in the board to be able to make these

0:07:32.600 --> 0:07:35.720
<v Speaker 2>decisions across all different departments. And I think it's a

0:07:35.760 --> 0:07:39.560
<v Speaker 2>shame overall, because I like the competition that the industry

0:07:39.560 --> 0:07:42.640
<v Speaker 2>super funds bring, that they hold the retail accounts super

0:07:42.680 --> 0:07:46.760
<v Speaker 2>funds accountable and drive competition in the market, and it's

0:07:46.800 --> 0:07:48.920
<v Speaker 2>a shame to see that these things have come out

0:07:49.000 --> 0:07:51.520
<v Speaker 2>and that their conduct has been that that way, because

0:07:51.600 --> 0:07:53.960
<v Speaker 2>if anything, we want more super funds out there, driving

0:07:54.040 --> 0:07:57.480
<v Speaker 2>down costs and more competition for investors, rather than less

0:07:57.680 --> 0:08:00.720
<v Speaker 2>super funds. But one point I'd make is that industry

0:08:00.800 --> 0:08:02.960
<v Speaker 2>super funds are still a little bit in the bed

0:08:03.080 --> 0:08:05.120
<v Speaker 2>with the union. So when you look at the investment

0:08:05.160 --> 0:08:08.280
<v Speaker 2>committee and the board composition, I'm sort of painting a

0:08:08.320 --> 0:08:10.840
<v Speaker 2>broad brush here, but for several of the major industry

0:08:10.920 --> 0:08:15.640
<v Speaker 2>super funds, their management end directors are comprised of something

0:08:15.720 --> 0:08:19.760
<v Speaker 2>like half of independent directors and half linked to unions,

0:08:20.160 --> 0:08:23.560
<v Speaker 2>and so I sometimes question the I guess the governance

0:08:23.600 --> 0:08:26.640
<v Speaker 2>and the investment expertise that these super funds have given

0:08:26.720 --> 0:08:28.680
<v Speaker 2>that And probably this is too strong to say, but

0:08:28.720 --> 0:08:31.320
<v Speaker 2>it's not like a union junket, but there's definitely union

0:08:31.400 --> 0:08:33.640
<v Speaker 2>influence there and a lot of the major industry super funds,

0:08:33.679 --> 0:08:34.719
<v Speaker 2>which I don't particularly like.

0:08:36.400 --> 0:08:40.800
<v Speaker 1>So what you're bringing up is the credentials, if you like,

0:08:41.720 --> 0:08:45.920
<v Speaker 1>of these people at the top of the funds. And

0:08:46.280 --> 0:08:48.000
<v Speaker 1>I seel what you're saying, because once upon a time

0:08:48.000 --> 0:08:49.679
<v Speaker 1>when there were small funds, when there was a few

0:08:49.720 --> 0:08:53.360
<v Speaker 1>million in them, then maybe perhaps that was to be expected.

0:08:53.440 --> 0:08:57.000
<v Speaker 1>But now we're talking about gigantic organizations like Cebus as

0:08:57.080 --> 0:09:01.360
<v Speaker 1>ninety two billion dollars. Is everyone on the board across

0:09:01.559 --> 0:09:04.800
<v Speaker 1>all aspects of that money? Are they capable of sitting

0:09:04.840 --> 0:09:06.720
<v Speaker 1>on a board? Would they be put on another board

0:09:06.760 --> 0:09:09.000
<v Speaker 1>of another company that was valued at ninety two billion?

0:09:09.040 --> 0:09:11.800
<v Speaker 1>There's a question. I think it does. Puts it on

0:09:11.920 --> 0:09:13.679
<v Speaker 1>the line or right now, I want to What I

0:09:13.720 --> 0:09:15.200
<v Speaker 1>want to do is take short break and we're going

0:09:15.240 --> 0:09:16.880
<v Speaker 1>to come back and we're going to look at what

0:09:18.200 --> 0:09:20.559
<v Speaker 1>if you are facing this situation, if you are in

0:09:20.640 --> 0:09:31.440
<v Speaker 1>these funds, what you should be doing. Hello and welcome

0:09:31.480 --> 0:09:34.319
<v Speaker 1>back to The Australian's Money Puzzled podcast. I'm James Kirby

0:09:34.400 --> 0:09:37.400
<v Speaker 1>talking to James Gerard. Look, I suppose for most people, James,

0:09:37.440 --> 0:09:40.880
<v Speaker 1>they see these stories and they say, gosh, I don't

0:09:40.960 --> 0:09:44.360
<v Speaker 1>like that I see Unisuper. There was a problem with Unisuper.

0:09:44.440 --> 0:09:46.480
<v Speaker 1>If I was in Unisuper, I couldn't actually see my

0:09:46.559 --> 0:09:49.800
<v Speaker 1>super for a while, or at art my payments were

0:09:49.840 --> 0:09:53.440
<v Speaker 1>delayed for one reason or another. At Cebus, I can

0:09:53.600 --> 0:09:56.320
<v Speaker 1>hardly keep up with the number of investigations that's going

0:09:56.360 --> 0:10:00.920
<v Speaker 1>on in this fund. So what does someone do if

0:10:00.920 --> 0:10:02.319
<v Speaker 1>they're in one of those funds? And is it a

0:10:02.400 --> 0:10:04.600
<v Speaker 1>big trouble? Should they switch? And is it a big

0:10:04.640 --> 0:10:05.439
<v Speaker 1>trouble to switch?

0:10:07.200 --> 0:10:10.400
<v Speaker 2>I think it's a case of not overreacting in the

0:10:10.440 --> 0:10:13.360
<v Speaker 2>first instance, and not throwing out the baby with the

0:10:13.440 --> 0:10:16.880
<v Speaker 2>bath water. I think understanding what the issue is with

0:10:17.080 --> 0:10:21.200
<v Speaker 2>your particular super fun So I'd encourage people to read

0:10:21.520 --> 0:10:24.120
<v Speaker 2>James Kirby's articles in the WORL section of The Australian,

0:10:24.160 --> 0:10:26.720
<v Speaker 2>which covers all of these industry super fund issues.

0:10:27.240 --> 0:10:28.880
<v Speaker 1>I wanted to just jump in there about one think,

0:10:28.920 --> 0:10:31.320
<v Speaker 1>which is which I should mention, just to finish off

0:10:31.360 --> 0:10:34.839
<v Speaker 1>on SeaBus, because I didn't quite I didn't quite finish

0:10:34.920 --> 0:10:36.800
<v Speaker 1>off there. One of the things I didn't make that

0:10:36.920 --> 0:10:39.680
<v Speaker 1>point in the weekend was that morning Star, the International

0:10:39.800 --> 0:10:45.679
<v Speaker 1>Rating Agency, was not able to separate the cultural weaknesses.

0:10:45.720 --> 0:10:49.880
<v Speaker 1>If you like in their assessment of SeaBus, and specifically

0:10:50.320 --> 0:10:54.599
<v Speaker 1>when they were moving to downgrade their parent view of

0:10:54.760 --> 0:10:58.319
<v Speaker 1>SeaBus from average to below average, met the point that

0:10:58.440 --> 0:11:02.439
<v Speaker 1>they were uncomfortable with the personnel on the board, specifically

0:11:02.520 --> 0:11:05.959
<v Speaker 1>with the political links. So to that extent, that's a

0:11:06.080 --> 0:11:11.280
<v Speaker 1>financial agency not remotely interested in politics, which found that

0:11:11.360 --> 0:11:15.280
<v Speaker 1>they couldn't separate the two. So, coming full circle back

0:11:15.320 --> 0:11:16.559
<v Speaker 1>to that, I think we have to take it that

0:11:17.120 --> 0:11:18.760
<v Speaker 1>there is a point at which they crossed, and there's

0:11:18.800 --> 0:11:21.400
<v Speaker 1>a point in which one cuts into the other, and

0:11:21.720 --> 0:11:25.520
<v Speaker 1>they're not actually entirely autonomous. So develop what you're saying

0:11:25.520 --> 0:11:29.400
<v Speaker 1>there about how people should assess this. Not will react

0:11:29.480 --> 0:11:32.080
<v Speaker 1>fair enough, but at what point do you act?

0:11:32.360 --> 0:11:35.640
<v Speaker 2>So just finish plugging news I read James in The Australian,

0:11:35.720 --> 0:11:38.559
<v Speaker 2>and then it's about putting it into context, understanding what's

0:11:38.640 --> 0:11:42.160
<v Speaker 2>important for you in your super account and if you

0:11:42.679 --> 0:11:45.880
<v Speaker 2>have had delayed pension payments once in a ten year period,

0:11:45.960 --> 0:11:49.400
<v Speaker 2>you think okay, that's okay. But if there seems to

0:11:49.440 --> 0:11:52.199
<v Speaker 2>be more systemic problems and you have the government regulator

0:11:52.360 --> 0:11:55.040
<v Speaker 2>coming in, you have third party independent research houses coming

0:11:55.080 --> 0:11:57.800
<v Speaker 2>in putting out views, then you start to build a

0:11:57.840 --> 0:12:00.480
<v Speaker 2>bit of a case for well, is it that are

0:12:00.520 --> 0:12:04.960
<v Speaker 2>there alternatives that don't have the same scrutiny in issues

0:12:05.000 --> 0:12:07.280
<v Speaker 2>that are with my current fund, and would my retirement

0:12:07.320 --> 0:12:09.920
<v Speaker 2>savings be better being put elsewhere? And then if you

0:12:10.040 --> 0:12:11.959
<v Speaker 2>make that decision that yes, okay, I prefer to go

0:12:12.040 --> 0:12:15.320
<v Speaker 2>to another fund, then the next step is to understand

0:12:15.800 --> 0:12:18.200
<v Speaker 2>what will that cost you financially to move from one

0:12:18.240 --> 0:12:21.360
<v Speaker 2>super fund to another super fund, And in answering that,

0:12:21.480 --> 0:12:23.679
<v Speaker 2>it really depends on what stage you're in. If you're

0:12:23.720 --> 0:12:26.920
<v Speaker 2>in the accumulation stage, there's potentially a capital gains tax

0:12:26.960 --> 0:12:29.679
<v Speaker 2>will be triggered when you sell down all of the investments.

0:12:29.760 --> 0:12:31.679
<v Speaker 2>But then on the other hand, it may not be

0:12:31.760 --> 0:12:35.959
<v Speaker 2>triggered because most industry super funds are unitized, which continuously

0:12:36.120 --> 0:12:39.439
<v Speaker 2>calculate capital gains tax. So whatever you have as a

0:12:39.520 --> 0:12:43.000
<v Speaker 2>balot showing today, that's inclusive of any capital gains tax

0:12:43.040 --> 0:12:46.240
<v Speaker 2>that's continuously counted. And then it depends also if you

0:12:46.320 --> 0:12:48.520
<v Speaker 2>maybe you're in the pension phase where there's definitely no

0:12:48.720 --> 0:12:52.600
<v Speaker 2>tax implications. The next thing to consider is time out

0:12:52.640 --> 0:12:54.880
<v Speaker 2>of the market. It usually takes one to two weeks

0:12:55.080 --> 0:12:57.480
<v Speaker 2>for the current super fund to sell down your investment

0:12:57.920 --> 0:13:00.160
<v Speaker 2>you're in cash, there's a rollover request with the new

0:13:00.200 --> 0:13:02.640
<v Speaker 2>super account. It will usually take three to five days

0:13:02.679 --> 0:13:05.720
<v Speaker 2>to set up your new super account, so under normal

0:13:05.760 --> 0:13:08.400
<v Speaker 2>commercial timeframes, you might be out of the market from

0:13:08.559 --> 0:13:11.440
<v Speaker 2>one to three weeks, and if that the markets move

0:13:11.559 --> 0:13:14.280
<v Speaker 2>upwards over that period, you've lost out because you're sitting

0:13:14.360 --> 0:13:16.600
<v Speaker 2>in cash. But conversely, it can work out in your

0:13:16.640 --> 0:13:18.679
<v Speaker 2>favor if there's a downturn in the market. So that's

0:13:18.840 --> 0:13:21.280
<v Speaker 2>just a risk which could go for you or against you.

0:13:22.520 --> 0:13:25.679
<v Speaker 1>And there is one other issue, which is you're probably

0:13:25.800 --> 0:13:31.120
<v Speaker 1>insured by your super fund and if you switch, what happens?

0:13:31.360 --> 0:13:31.640
<v Speaker 1>Do you know?

0:13:32.520 --> 0:13:36.040
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, now that it's a great question. And some people

0:13:36.200 --> 0:13:39.920
<v Speaker 2>are unable to get new insurances, so it's of critical

0:13:39.960 --> 0:13:43.520
<v Speaker 2>importance that we keep their current insurances in play. So

0:13:44.120 --> 0:13:47.280
<v Speaker 2>some super funds will have takeover clauses where you can

0:13:48.080 --> 0:13:50.520
<v Speaker 2>port your current insurances over to the new one. But

0:13:51.000 --> 0:13:53.920
<v Speaker 2>if that doesn't work, it's not offered too difficult. You've

0:13:53.920 --> 0:13:56.319
<v Speaker 2>got options. You either look to take out insurance with

0:13:56.559 --> 0:13:59.840
<v Speaker 2>the new super fund. You can take out independent insurance

0:14:00.200 --> 0:14:02.920
<v Speaker 2>where with a retail standalone company and they'll link it

0:14:03.240 --> 0:14:05.959
<v Speaker 2>to super fun then request a payment once a year.

0:14:06.360 --> 0:14:09.520
<v Speaker 2>Or alternatively, you can keep a small residual balance in

0:14:09.640 --> 0:14:12.000
<v Speaker 2>your old super account and you need to contact the

0:14:12.040 --> 0:14:14.360
<v Speaker 2>super fund because every superfund is different, but it's usually

0:14:14.440 --> 0:14:16.959
<v Speaker 2>between five to ten thousand dollars that you need to

0:14:17.040 --> 0:14:19.440
<v Speaker 2>keep as a minimum balance, and you need to keep

0:14:19.480 --> 0:14:22.360
<v Speaker 2>the account active by either signing the form every year

0:14:22.400 --> 0:14:24.520
<v Speaker 2>and a half or putting a contribution in to keep

0:14:24.600 --> 0:14:27.080
<v Speaker 2>the insurance cover active in the old superfund.

0:14:27.800 --> 0:14:30.200
<v Speaker 1>Well, that's interesting. So if you keep the minimum a mountain,

0:14:31.040 --> 0:14:33.360
<v Speaker 1>so you could let's say a person has one hundred thousand,

0:14:34.680 --> 0:14:38.200
<v Speaker 1>they could take out eighty five and leave ten or

0:14:38.240 --> 0:14:42.360
<v Speaker 1>fifteen in there and then that could just tick along,

0:14:42.440 --> 0:14:45.320
<v Speaker 1>but in doing so, the insurance arranginess would tick along.

0:14:45.920 --> 0:14:47.920
<v Speaker 1>And if they switch funds, and can they choose not

0:14:48.040 --> 0:14:49.240
<v Speaker 1>to have insurance with the new.

0:14:49.200 --> 0:14:52.080
<v Speaker 2>Fund again, Yeah, it's part of the application form whether

0:14:52.080 --> 0:14:55.160
<v Speaker 2>you want to opt in or out of the automatic insurances.

0:14:55.880 --> 0:14:59.600
<v Speaker 1>Right. Okay, that's really interesting, so folks, that's really what

0:14:59.720 --> 0:15:02.920
<v Speaker 1>thinking about that issue, and very interesting what James said

0:15:03.080 --> 0:15:05.360
<v Speaker 1>that you can switch. Okay, if you're an accumulation that's

0:15:05.440 --> 0:15:08.440
<v Speaker 1>pre retirement, right, you can switch and most of the

0:15:08.520 --> 0:15:12.120
<v Speaker 1>funds unitize as they go, so actually, for once, capital

0:15:12.200 --> 0:15:14.800
<v Speaker 1>gains isn't an issue. You just slide across from fund

0:15:14.880 --> 0:15:18.080
<v Speaker 1>number one to fund number two. So the issue might

0:15:18.200 --> 0:15:20.720
<v Speaker 1>be the older you are, particularly the more the issue

0:15:20.760 --> 0:15:22.720
<v Speaker 1>of insurance will come up, because as you know, as

0:15:22.760 --> 0:15:25.560
<v Speaker 1>you get older, it costs more to be insured. And

0:15:25.640 --> 0:15:27.960
<v Speaker 1>if you walk in cold off the street, you're going

0:15:28.000 --> 0:15:29.720
<v Speaker 1>to pay a lot more than someone who was in

0:15:29.800 --> 0:15:33.240
<v Speaker 1>an arrangement and industrial relate arrangement if you like, for

0:15:33.400 --> 0:15:35.720
<v Speaker 1>a decade or two decades. So keep that in mind,

0:15:36.240 --> 0:15:37.680
<v Speaker 1>and it's it for everyone. We are not going to

0:15:37.840 --> 0:15:39.880
<v Speaker 1>we are not going to stand here actually and say

0:15:40.000 --> 0:15:42.600
<v Speaker 1>roll over from one fund to another. That's not how

0:15:42.640 --> 0:15:45.320
<v Speaker 1>we operate. But we would ask everyone to consider their

0:15:45.360 --> 0:15:47.480
<v Speaker 1>own situation and whether they think the fund that they're

0:15:47.560 --> 0:15:49.960
<v Speaker 1>in is good enough and it's the same fund that

0:15:50.040 --> 0:15:53.400
<v Speaker 1>they that they considered when they joined. And there are

0:15:53.480 --> 0:15:56.920
<v Speaker 1>people out there already suggesting that people roll over. I

0:15:56.960 --> 0:15:59.240
<v Speaker 1>would always say there's two sides to that. You know,

0:15:59.720 --> 0:16:02.480
<v Speaker 1>there's leaving and then that's where do you go. And

0:16:02.640 --> 0:16:05.920
<v Speaker 1>one of the things that's occurring with these incidents with

0:16:06.000 --> 0:16:09.840
<v Speaker 1>the super funds is that it's like any of these

0:16:09.880 --> 0:16:13.240
<v Speaker 1>stories when the damn bursts, they all come flying through.

0:16:13.360 --> 0:16:15.480
<v Speaker 1>So if you ask me who's in trouble last week,

0:16:15.520 --> 0:16:18.120
<v Speaker 1>I would have said art, Uni, Super and SEEBUS. This

0:16:18.280 --> 0:16:21.320
<v Speaker 1>week I have to add hest to that gang. So

0:16:21.440 --> 0:16:24.720
<v Speaker 1>it's not over yet. We are not quite clear as

0:16:24.760 --> 0:16:26.240
<v Speaker 1>to who the good guys are and who the bad

0:16:26.280 --> 0:16:29.600
<v Speaker 1>guys are. And that's only in terms of their management ability.

0:16:29.640 --> 0:16:32.680
<v Speaker 1>I would call it their non investment management ability. This

0:16:32.880 --> 0:16:35.880
<v Speaker 1>is where the issues are. The performance of the funds

0:16:36.760 --> 0:16:41.240
<v Speaker 1>have run broadly as you would expect them to so far.

0:16:41.840 --> 0:16:44.720
<v Speaker 1>So we haven't seen any fund infectedly beliked by these

0:16:44.840 --> 0:16:48.680
<v Speaker 1>incompetence in other parts of the organization. But there's time

0:16:48.760 --> 0:17:01.480
<v Speaker 1>for that. Okay, we'll take short break back in a minute. Hello,

0:17:01.560 --> 0:17:04.800
<v Speaker 1>welcome back to the Australian's Money Puzzle. I'm James Kirby

0:17:04.840 --> 0:17:07.920
<v Speaker 1>talking to James Gerard. We're talking to our surprise really

0:17:08.119 --> 0:17:11.119
<v Speaker 1>about a lot of the issues that have emerged in

0:17:11.200 --> 0:17:13.560
<v Speaker 1>recent days on the big super funds, and I thought,

0:17:13.640 --> 0:17:16.200
<v Speaker 1>folks that we really should cover that. It would be

0:17:16.280 --> 0:17:19.800
<v Speaker 1>remiss of us not to do so. Part of the

0:17:19.880 --> 0:17:22.760
<v Speaker 1>trouble at the funds, I said that their performance to

0:17:22.920 --> 0:17:25.800
<v Speaker 1>a large degree is are acting as one by that

0:17:25.920 --> 0:17:27.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there isn't an awful lot of difference in

0:17:28.000 --> 0:17:30.760
<v Speaker 1>the ten year timeframe if you look at how the

0:17:30.840 --> 0:17:33.320
<v Speaker 1>different big funds are performing. And I'm talking here all

0:17:33.359 --> 0:17:36.720
<v Speaker 1>the time about the industry funds, and they dominate Australian Super,

0:17:36.840 --> 0:17:40.160
<v Speaker 1>c Bus Host Plus, Unisuper. You know that you know them.

0:17:40.359 --> 0:17:42.800
<v Speaker 1>They never stop advertising. I'm sure you're familiar with them.

0:17:43.520 --> 0:17:46.520
<v Speaker 1>One of the things that has occurred though, is that

0:17:47.480 --> 0:17:51.480
<v Speaker 1>on the investment side, the big funds, also the industry funds.

0:17:52.359 --> 0:17:55.000
<v Speaker 1>One of their merits, or certainly one of their advantages,

0:17:55.760 --> 0:17:59.000
<v Speaker 1>had been that they have unlisted assets. That is, they

0:17:59.080 --> 0:18:02.399
<v Speaker 1>have a large way on listed assets, very simply their

0:18:02.480 --> 0:18:04.960
<v Speaker 1>assets that aren't on the share market that you can't

0:18:05.000 --> 0:18:08.000
<v Speaker 1>go and look up and find out about. And part

0:18:08.119 --> 0:18:11.720
<v Speaker 1>of that had been in commercial property. The property that

0:18:12.160 --> 0:18:16.480
<v Speaker 1>operator for the big funds is called ISPT and it

0:18:16.800 --> 0:18:19.800
<v Speaker 1>acts for It acts as an umbrella group for them.

0:18:20.400 --> 0:18:22.920
<v Speaker 1>It acts for Australian Super and SeaBus and UNI Super,

0:18:23.240 --> 0:18:26.119
<v Speaker 1>all those names I've just mentioned. They pooh their money

0:18:26.520 --> 0:18:31.479
<v Speaker 1>and ISPT is their operator in commercial property and they

0:18:31.960 --> 0:18:34.479
<v Speaker 1>released they had a two hundred million dollar loss last year.

0:18:34.520 --> 0:18:37.480
<v Speaker 1>They had a one point five billion dollar loss this year,

0:18:38.480 --> 0:18:42.040
<v Speaker 1>which tells you that the big super funds are exposed

0:18:42.119 --> 0:18:47.159
<v Speaker 1>quite heavily to commercial property and separately SeaBus, who are

0:18:47.640 --> 0:18:50.760
<v Speaker 1>so far the worst of the funds in relation to

0:18:50.960 --> 0:18:56.720
<v Speaker 1>their management issues just now. They have also had a

0:18:56.800 --> 0:19:00.720
<v Speaker 1>negative return in the last financial year. They did twelve

0:19:00.840 --> 0:19:04.640
<v Speaker 1>percent over a decade. That's really dropped and it's top

0:19:04.720 --> 0:19:07.240
<v Speaker 1>twenty two percent you see in the last three years,

0:19:08.040 --> 0:19:10.399
<v Speaker 1>so you can see that they're starting. The unlisted asset

0:19:10.520 --> 0:19:12.639
<v Speaker 1>side of the business for the big super funds are

0:19:12.680 --> 0:19:15.680
<v Speaker 1>starting to become a problem at the worst possible time,

0:19:15.720 --> 0:19:18.320
<v Speaker 1>you might say, James, What.

0:19:18.480 --> 0:19:22.480
<v Speaker 2>I observe over time with these unlisted assets is that

0:19:23.080 --> 0:19:26.760
<v Speaker 2>they're good for a smoothing effect because share markets can.

0:19:27.040 --> 0:19:30.120
<v Speaker 2>Listed share markets sometimes very volatile. They go up a lot,

0:19:30.200 --> 0:19:33.280
<v Speaker 2>they fall a lot, where these unlisted assets just tend

0:19:33.359 --> 0:19:36.600
<v Speaker 2>to chug along. And also the funds who own them

0:19:36.640 --> 0:19:38.920
<v Speaker 2>have the advantage of I guess a bit of valuation

0:19:39.880 --> 0:19:43.159
<v Speaker 2>bias or treatment that it's a little bit difficult to

0:19:43.680 --> 0:19:46.199
<v Speaker 2>value these investments on a daily basis, so sometimes they

0:19:46.240 --> 0:19:49.800
<v Speaker 2>might only be valued half yearly or yearly, which means

0:19:49.840 --> 0:19:53.080
<v Speaker 2>that if you have a short shock to share markets

0:19:53.200 --> 0:19:55.960
<v Speaker 2>like what we saw when COVID hit, and that recovers

0:19:55.960 --> 0:19:59.359
<v Speaker 2>a few months later that whole market downturn has been

0:19:59.400 --> 0:20:03.000
<v Speaker 2>in between saluation cycle of the unlisted asset, and so

0:20:03.240 --> 0:20:05.719
<v Speaker 2>its value has been flat throughout that whole period.

0:20:06.080 --> 0:20:08.720
<v Speaker 1>What stabilizes the ship because it doesn't look as bad

0:20:08.920 --> 0:20:11.720
<v Speaker 1>because they don't have shares that are falling through the floor.

0:20:11.960 --> 0:20:13.879
<v Speaker 1>That's part of what happened that HESTER, really, isn't it.

0:20:13.960 --> 0:20:16.760
<v Speaker 1>That's part of the issue that they had to sooner

0:20:16.840 --> 0:20:20.960
<v Speaker 1>or later sort of adjust their evaluations. But their problem

0:20:21.200 --> 0:20:25.359
<v Speaker 1>was that they did it in stages. This hasn't been

0:20:25.400 --> 0:20:27.520
<v Speaker 1>good enough, and this is the problem they've been hit with.

0:20:29.200 --> 0:20:32.480
<v Speaker 2>That's right. Yeah, it's unfortunate for those HESTER members because

0:20:32.520 --> 0:20:35.280
<v Speaker 2>my understanding from what I saw today was that they

0:20:35.680 --> 0:20:40.119
<v Speaker 2>HESTER had to revalue down and unlisted investment, and they

0:20:40.200 --> 0:20:42.760
<v Speaker 2>did so for part of the investment options that they had,

0:20:42.840 --> 0:20:44.480
<v Speaker 2>and then I think some members saw it and go, oh,

0:20:44.560 --> 0:20:45.840
<v Speaker 2>that went down a lot. I'm going to move over

0:20:45.880 --> 0:20:48.680
<v Speaker 2>to a different investment option, maybe one that hasn't fallen

0:20:48.720 --> 0:20:50.480
<v Speaker 2>by as much. So they switched out of the one

0:20:50.520 --> 0:20:53.520
<v Speaker 2>that had been readjusted to another one which they thought

0:20:53.720 --> 0:20:55.639
<v Speaker 2>was more stable. But it was just turned out that

0:20:55.680 --> 0:20:57.560
<v Speaker 2>one hadn't been adjusted yet, so then that one got

0:20:57.600 --> 0:20:59.959
<v Speaker 2>readjusted a week later, so they've got a double kit.

0:21:01.720 --> 0:21:05.360
<v Speaker 1>Gosh. Yeah, and there is always that thing of arbitrage.

0:21:05.600 --> 0:21:10.240
<v Speaker 1>But that's the problem, isn't it. Because they're unlisted, the customer,

0:21:10.359 --> 0:21:15.119
<v Speaker 1>the investor can't possibly know how much their own portfolio

0:21:15.320 --> 0:21:18.639
<v Speaker 1>is worth. Yeah, and there's a point which they'll never

0:21:18.800 --> 0:21:21.560
<v Speaker 1>know because they're unlisted and they won't know to the

0:21:21.640 --> 0:21:23.480
<v Speaker 1>day they put them for sale. Really, isn't that the

0:21:23.600 --> 0:21:24.280
<v Speaker 1>ultimate test?

0:21:25.400 --> 0:21:27.680
<v Speaker 2>That's the thing. Like these some of these assets are

0:21:27.840 --> 0:21:31.800
<v Speaker 2>very expensive for talking hundreds of millions of dollars type assets.

0:21:31.840 --> 0:21:34.320
<v Speaker 2>There could be toll roads, there could be airports, and yeah,

0:21:34.359 --> 0:21:36.359
<v Speaker 2>these type of assets they don't sell every day, so

0:21:36.440 --> 0:21:40.240
<v Speaker 2>you can have investment specialists and value as give opinions

0:21:40.280 --> 0:21:41.840
<v Speaker 2>as to what they're worth. But as you say, you

0:21:41.880 --> 0:21:44.480
<v Speaker 2>don't really know until you actually sell the assets. So

0:21:44.640 --> 0:21:47.040
<v Speaker 2>you might be creating this false sense of security by

0:21:47.440 --> 0:21:49.280
<v Speaker 2>thinking you have these assets, but when you go to

0:21:49.359 --> 0:21:51.680
<v Speaker 2>liquidate it, there's no one around wanting to pay the

0:21:51.720 --> 0:21:52.800
<v Speaker 2>price that you thought it was worth.

0:21:53.520 --> 0:21:56.639
<v Speaker 1>Yes, So I think maybe to be fair to the funds,

0:21:56.720 --> 0:21:58.879
<v Speaker 1>the big funds and to listeners. The thing about the

0:21:59.000 --> 0:22:02.600
<v Speaker 1>industry funds is they are more dependent on on listed assets.

0:22:03.000 --> 0:22:05.840
<v Speaker 1>I know unlisted assets have their advantages in many ways,

0:22:06.359 --> 0:22:09.600
<v Speaker 1>but beyond a doubt, part of the problem is that

0:22:09.840 --> 0:22:14.560
<v Speaker 1>you can't fully or as easily understand exactly how much

0:22:14.600 --> 0:22:17.440
<v Speaker 1>your portfolio in that fund is worth because they can't

0:22:17.600 --> 0:22:20.880
<v Speaker 1>understand it, or they certainly won't reveal it unless they must.

0:22:21.560 --> 0:22:24.600
<v Speaker 1>And that's an ongoing problem because of their dependency on

0:22:24.720 --> 0:22:29.040
<v Speaker 1>these on disted aseids, much more so than for profit funds. Traditionally,

0:22:29.240 --> 0:22:31.760
<v Speaker 1>that is a big difference between the two funds. Okay,

0:22:31.920 --> 0:22:34.119
<v Speaker 1>really interesting. We want to stay with this issue now

0:22:35.040 --> 0:22:38.040
<v Speaker 1>and segue for once usefully into a question that relates

0:22:38.080 --> 0:22:41.119
<v Speaker 1>to the show that we've just been doing. Quite a

0:22:41.200 --> 0:22:46.600
<v Speaker 1>detailed question. It's from Direct dr e K. I'll try

0:22:46.640 --> 0:22:48.920
<v Speaker 1>to synopsize it as much as I can. We invest

0:22:49.040 --> 0:22:53.159
<v Speaker 1>it in a privately helpbsidially fund of a sex listed

0:22:53.320 --> 0:22:59.520
<v Speaker 1>century capital called Censurre Health, and direct boat big time

0:22:59.600 --> 0:23:03.520
<v Speaker 1>basically into this fund, and the units were to generate

0:23:03.720 --> 0:23:07.879
<v Speaker 1>six percent yield, and they used jointly held self managed

0:23:07.920 --> 0:23:10.040
<v Speaker 1>super funds. And of course the point I should have

0:23:10.160 --> 0:23:13.359
<v Speaker 1>made the earlier part of the show is the obvious

0:23:13.440 --> 0:23:17.160
<v Speaker 1>alternative if you are unhappy altogether with your industry fund

0:23:17.240 --> 0:23:19.360
<v Speaker 1>or your big super fund of any description, is self

0:23:19.440 --> 0:23:23.840
<v Speaker 1>managed super We will leave that another day as to

0:23:24.200 --> 0:23:27.240
<v Speaker 1>how suitable you might be to it and how much

0:23:27.280 --> 0:23:29.080
<v Speaker 1>you should have in it, but it is the obvious

0:23:29.240 --> 0:23:31.840
<v Speaker 1>ultimate sort of alternative to big super is self managed

0:23:31.840 --> 0:23:34.480
<v Speaker 1>super funds that anyone can have if they're prepared to

0:23:34.520 --> 0:23:38.439
<v Speaker 1>put in the time Now, Derek says, because the initial

0:23:38.520 --> 0:23:42.160
<v Speaker 1>return of our investment was in line with the company brochure,

0:23:42.880 --> 0:23:46.120
<v Speaker 1>we increased the investment with two additional payments. Soon after

0:23:46.240 --> 0:23:51.359
<v Speaker 1>the final payment, the unit prices started declining. Then we

0:23:51.480 --> 0:23:55.600
<v Speaker 1>started losing some money in our investment. Initially, we trusted

0:23:55.640 --> 0:23:57.960
<v Speaker 1>the fund they would overcome this weakness, and we kept

0:23:58.040 --> 0:24:01.879
<v Speaker 1>our full support in it. Anfortunately, our judgment was wrong

0:24:02.480 --> 0:24:06.840
<v Speaker 1>and the unit prices continued to decline. In twenty twenty four,

0:24:07.080 --> 0:24:09.159
<v Speaker 1>that's a few months ago, March twenty twenty four, we

0:24:09.240 --> 0:24:12.240
<v Speaker 1>asked for a complete withdrawal of our investment. At that

0:24:12.400 --> 0:24:16.920
<v Speaker 1>time we held over and he gives a large number here,

0:24:17.440 --> 0:24:20.159
<v Speaker 1>a dollar number. As soon as the redemption process started,

0:24:20.240 --> 0:24:23.040
<v Speaker 1>the price per units started plummeting. Down to seventy six

0:24:23.160 --> 0:24:26.040
<v Speaker 1>cents at the third redemption. Also, the number of units

0:24:26.080 --> 0:24:28.320
<v Speaker 1>in each redemption was ridiculously low. That is, they were

0:24:28.480 --> 0:24:31.560
<v Speaker 1>letting them only redeem a small amount. I expect at

0:24:31.640 --> 0:24:34.639
<v Speaker 1>the time, summarizing the amount of cash received and the

0:24:34.680 --> 0:24:37.360
<v Speaker 1>current value of the remaining units, we've lost twenty five

0:24:37.440 --> 0:24:40.200
<v Speaker 1>percent of our initial investment. That's a terrible hit on

0:24:40.400 --> 0:24:43.960
<v Speaker 1>what should have been a steady property. Just to finish.

0:24:44.600 --> 0:24:47.479
<v Speaker 1>Direk says. We thought multi billion dollar companies such as

0:24:47.560 --> 0:24:50.040
<v Speaker 1>a Tourer Capital was to be reputable and trust worth

0:24:50.080 --> 0:24:52.880
<v Speaker 1>the ASX company and couldn't get it wrong. My question

0:24:53.040 --> 0:24:55.720
<v Speaker 1>is there anything that I can do to stop this? Okay,

0:24:56.440 --> 0:24:59.879
<v Speaker 1>first things first, there's nothing obviously inappropriate in this issue

0:25:00.600 --> 0:25:03.439
<v Speaker 1>with this property truster or a reta as they call

0:25:03.520 --> 0:25:06.920
<v Speaker 1>them now at Centura. Commercial property has been in the

0:25:07.040 --> 0:25:12.280
<v Speaker 1>doghouse for some time now, and if a fund said

0:25:12.440 --> 0:25:14.879
<v Speaker 1>that they expected things to improve, that could have been

0:25:14.920 --> 0:25:18.000
<v Speaker 1>a genuine expectation. They all want things to improve, they

0:25:18.040 --> 0:25:21.040
<v Speaker 1>don't want things to get worse. But the issue is

0:25:21.119 --> 0:25:24.600
<v Speaker 1>obviously with a fund when people start selling at the

0:25:24.640 --> 0:25:26.920
<v Speaker 1>same time and they have redemptions, then that they have

0:25:27.080 --> 0:25:29.880
<v Speaker 1>to manage that very slowly because the money is not there.

0:25:30.000 --> 0:25:32.400
<v Speaker 1>It's as simple as that, and that happens at most

0:25:33.160 --> 0:25:36.080
<v Speaker 1>big funds. And though we tell people on the show

0:25:36.119 --> 0:25:40.000
<v Speaker 1>a million times this is the issue, it always surprises

0:25:40.080 --> 0:25:42.119
<v Speaker 1>people that they can't get all their money out of

0:25:42.160 --> 0:25:44.560
<v Speaker 1>a big property fund. When things go the wrong way,

0:25:44.960 --> 0:25:46.640
<v Speaker 1>they can't get it out on the day they wish

0:25:47.320 --> 0:25:49.959
<v Speaker 1>You've read that fairly close to James. This is never advice.

0:25:50.040 --> 0:25:52.399
<v Speaker 1>It's only information, as everyone knows. But if I was

0:25:52.400 --> 0:25:54.440
<v Speaker 1>sitting opposite you and I said to you, Hey, James,

0:25:54.480 --> 0:25:57.280
<v Speaker 1>I've been in censura and I can't believe how badly

0:25:57.359 --> 0:25:59.600
<v Speaker 1>it's gone. I've lost twenty five percent. Is there anything

0:25:59.640 --> 0:26:02.080
<v Speaker 1>you would say to me that I haven't thought of? There?

0:26:03.680 --> 0:26:05.720
<v Speaker 2>Probably would have started by saying that you should have

0:26:05.760 --> 0:26:08.399
<v Speaker 2>seen me in twenty twenty when you first invested, and

0:26:08.640 --> 0:26:09.639
<v Speaker 2>we would have discussed.

0:26:10.320 --> 0:26:12.480
<v Speaker 1>Yes, I'm sure it would have been wonderful. But I've

0:26:12.520 --> 0:26:14.600
<v Speaker 1>talked to you in late twenty twenty four and I'm

0:26:14.600 --> 0:26:16.639
<v Speaker 1>really pissed off because I've lost twenty five percent of

0:26:17.000 --> 0:26:21.359
<v Speaker 1>on my investment. Is there anything At first glance, as

0:26:21.400 --> 0:26:23.800
<v Speaker 1>I said, that seems to me very bad luck, bad timing,

0:26:23.880 --> 0:26:24.840
<v Speaker 1>particularly bad timing.

0:26:25.880 --> 0:26:28.960
<v Speaker 2>I guess it's important for people to have the right

0:26:29.320 --> 0:26:32.240
<v Speaker 2>time frame for these type of investments because even though

0:26:32.280 --> 0:26:35.879
<v Speaker 2>it's property, it's healthcare related, it's still classified as a

0:26:35.960 --> 0:26:39.320
<v Speaker 2>growth investment. And so i'd start by saying that you

0:26:39.320 --> 0:26:41.159
<v Speaker 2>should go into something like this if you have at

0:26:41.280 --> 0:26:43.400
<v Speaker 2>least a five year timeframe, and it hasn't been five

0:26:43.520 --> 0:26:47.199
<v Speaker 2>years yet, and appreciate you. They're still behind the initial

0:26:47.240 --> 0:26:49.600
<v Speaker 2>investment amount by quite a bit, but they should be

0:26:49.640 --> 0:26:51.359
<v Speaker 2>having at least a five to ten year timeframe on

0:26:51.480 --> 0:26:54.760
<v Speaker 2>this type of thing. And then that's because the fortunes

0:26:54.800 --> 0:26:58.040
<v Speaker 2>of this type of investment really swings from year to

0:26:58.119 --> 0:27:00.720
<v Speaker 2>year quite dramatically. And so if I use the index,

0:27:00.840 --> 0:27:04.359
<v Speaker 2>for example, there's a Vanguard ETFVAP which covers the whole

0:27:04.720 --> 0:27:07.480
<v Speaker 2>listed property and reach sector, so it'll have Goodman Group

0:27:07.560 --> 0:27:10.880
<v Speaker 2>and at Move, Ecdexus, all these type of companies over

0:27:10.880 --> 0:27:12.520
<v Speaker 2>the past twelve months. If you put money in at

0:27:12.560 --> 0:27:14.879
<v Speaker 2>this time a year ago, you'd be up forty percent.

0:27:15.240 --> 0:27:17.119
<v Speaker 2>But then if you go back twelve months before that

0:27:17.520 --> 0:27:18.840
<v Speaker 2>and you put money into it, you would have been

0:27:18.880 --> 0:27:22.720
<v Speaker 2>down thirty percent. So even though it's property, you think

0:27:22.760 --> 0:27:26.080
<v Speaker 2>it's all commercial buildings and hospitals. It does swing quite

0:27:26.119 --> 0:27:29.879
<v Speaker 2>wildly because there's these external factors which impact the value

0:27:29.960 --> 0:27:32.080
<v Speaker 2>of these investments. And so when it comes to property

0:27:32.119 --> 0:27:34.720
<v Speaker 2>and these type of property investments, one of the big

0:27:34.920 --> 0:27:37.560
<v Speaker 2>things that's an external factor in terms of what they're

0:27:37.600 --> 0:27:41.119
<v Speaker 2>worth is what's happening in the bond market. Because these

0:27:41.200 --> 0:27:43.239
<v Speaker 2>type of property trusts are seen as what we call

0:27:43.320 --> 0:27:45.680
<v Speaker 2>in the finance world as a quote unquote bond proxy.

0:27:46.160 --> 0:27:50.160
<v Speaker 2>Investors will swing between bonds to generate yield and swing

0:27:50.359 --> 0:27:53.080
<v Speaker 2>to property trusts at the right time. And what we've

0:27:53.080 --> 0:27:54.920
<v Speaker 2>seen over the past couple of years is the cash

0:27:55.040 --> 0:27:58.000
<v Speaker 2>rate go up, bond rates go up, and investors have

0:27:58.119 --> 0:28:01.440
<v Speaker 2>sold out of these type of property and healthcare trust

0:28:01.520 --> 0:28:03.399
<v Speaker 2>and thus we're seeing these big drops.

0:28:03.640 --> 0:28:07.359
<v Speaker 1>This would partially explain the censure health yeah partly.

0:28:07.520 --> 0:28:10.800
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. And I've reviewed and had to look into some

0:28:10.920 --> 0:28:14.399
<v Speaker 2>of the other healthcare property trust because our clients own them.

0:28:14.440 --> 0:28:16.560
<v Speaker 2>So one, for example, is Australian Unity. They have a

0:28:16.600 --> 0:28:19.520
<v Speaker 2>healthcare trust and that hasn't performed spectacularly over the past

0:28:20.080 --> 0:28:22.919
<v Speaker 2>recent period, but over the long term it's notne absolutely fine,

0:28:23.040 --> 0:28:26.160
<v Speaker 2>and so it's been this bond proxy issue. But Also

0:28:26.320 --> 0:28:30.680
<v Speaker 2>there's industry specific issues as well that's caused some headwinds

0:28:30.720 --> 0:28:33.560
<v Speaker 2>for these type of investments, which in time, you'd expect

0:28:33.560 --> 0:28:35.680
<v Speaker 2>them to resolve themselves. Looking at the long time frame,

0:28:35.760 --> 0:28:38.640
<v Speaker 2>things have been fine. But it's a difficult one for

0:28:38.960 --> 0:28:42.120
<v Speaker 2>Derek as to what to do because I can feel

0:28:42.280 --> 0:28:44.880
<v Speaker 2>the disdain with this investment and the wanting to get

0:28:44.920 --> 0:28:46.280
<v Speaker 2>out of it, but on the other hand not wanting

0:28:46.320 --> 0:28:50.280
<v Speaker 2>to take a twenty five percent loss there. So yeah,

0:28:50.760 --> 0:28:52.160
<v Speaker 2>I can't give the personal advice.

0:28:52.360 --> 0:28:54.880
<v Speaker 1>Why have they had such a good the last six

0:28:54.960 --> 0:28:57.920
<v Speaker 1>months you say have been good? Yeah, for this even

0:28:57.960 --> 0:29:01.320
<v Speaker 1>though the news has been bad, like about commercial property

0:29:01.400 --> 0:29:04.520
<v Speaker 1>up until very recently. Why the change in sentiment towards

0:29:04.600 --> 0:29:05.720
<v Speaker 1>the property trusts of late.

0:29:06.480 --> 0:29:09.240
<v Speaker 2>Yes, because investors have a crystal ball and they're always

0:29:09.240 --> 0:29:11.400
<v Speaker 2>looking forward. They're not looking at today at their feet.

0:29:11.400 --> 0:29:14.720
<v Speaker 2>They're looking down the road and they see that inflation's

0:29:14.760 --> 0:29:18.240
<v Speaker 2>coming down. America, Europe, places around the world have reduced

0:29:18.240 --> 0:29:20.480
<v Speaker 2>the cash rate and so we're seeing the bond rates

0:29:20.520 --> 0:29:23.040
<v Speaker 2>start to come down, and so ahead of that, the

0:29:23.200 --> 0:29:25.479
<v Speaker 2>property investments are receiving a lot of money again as

0:29:25.520 --> 0:29:27.680
<v Speaker 2>people reverse what they did a few years ago. They're

0:29:27.720 --> 0:29:30.239
<v Speaker 2>now selling out of the bonds and shoveling money back

0:29:30.320 --> 0:29:31.640
<v Speaker 2>into the property trusts.

0:29:33.000 --> 0:29:35.680
<v Speaker 1>And they're doing that on the assumption that rates are

0:29:35.720 --> 0:29:40.280
<v Speaker 1>going to come down, correct, and they didn't. They did

0:29:40.400 --> 0:29:42.400
<v Speaker 1>or didn't allow for the election of Donald Trump in

0:29:42.520 --> 0:29:49.680
<v Speaker 1>that particular scenario. I don't know about those rates coming down, folks. Sorry,

0:29:50.760 --> 0:29:53.240
<v Speaker 1>just the thought. Okay, we've come back to that one.

0:29:53.520 --> 0:29:55.520
<v Speaker 1>All right, final question you'd like to read it. It's

0:29:55.560 --> 0:29:58.960
<v Speaker 1>from Andrew. Yeah, again, it's from Andrew. Andrew ass do

0:29:59.000 --> 0:30:02.240
<v Speaker 1>you think it's time for Combank to split stock?

0:30:02.800 --> 0:30:05.400
<v Speaker 2>Stock split? They seem to be very high in which

0:30:05.480 --> 0:30:08.480
<v Speaker 2>is a detriment compared to other banks in the broader market.

0:30:09.240 --> 0:30:12.320
<v Speaker 2>And then he also adds that when the last major

0:30:12.560 --> 0:30:15.400
<v Speaker 2>when was the last major stock split in the ASX

0:30:15.520 --> 0:30:17.680
<v Speaker 2>twenty and what happened? Do they have a positive or

0:30:17.720 --> 0:30:20.480
<v Speaker 2>negative impact on the price. And Andrew says that you

0:30:20.520 --> 0:30:23.520
<v Speaker 2>can't think of any stock split over the past four years.

0:30:25.040 --> 0:30:28.400
<v Speaker 1>Okay, thank you, Andrew. I question one aspect of that question,

0:30:28.720 --> 0:30:34.000
<v Speaker 1>which is whether Combank is suffering in any fashion because

0:30:34.040 --> 0:30:35.840
<v Speaker 1>there a stock is about one hundred and fifty bucks

0:30:36.640 --> 0:30:39.680
<v Speaker 1>or thereabouts, and I think es certainly in this market

0:30:39.720 --> 0:30:45.120
<v Speaker 1>of late, there's a wow factor being attached to Combank

0:30:45.160 --> 0:30:46.760
<v Speaker 1>and the fact that the stock is one hundred and

0:30:46.800 --> 0:30:49.360
<v Speaker 1>fifty bucks, and it almost sort of makes a point

0:30:49.360 --> 0:30:52.800
<v Speaker 1>about just how good a stock, or just how successful

0:30:52.960 --> 0:30:56.240
<v Speaker 1>a stock it's been for once worth. You might challenge

0:30:56.280 --> 0:30:58.360
<v Speaker 1>me on this, James. The only stock split of any

0:30:58.600 --> 0:31:02.720
<v Speaker 1>serious significance I could have find really was CSL back

0:31:02.800 --> 0:31:08.520
<v Speaker 1>in two oh seven three from one split and overseas

0:31:08.640 --> 0:31:13.640
<v Speaker 1>Tesla course, and in Nvidia. I think more recently, when

0:31:13.960 --> 0:31:16.360
<v Speaker 1>a company has the stock split, it tends to be

0:31:16.560 --> 0:31:21.040
<v Speaker 1>they are dizzyingly successful. Warren Buffett famously, of course, they

0:31:21.160 --> 0:31:23.000
<v Speaker 1>did a sort of a kind of a split which

0:31:23.080 --> 0:31:25.480
<v Speaker 1>the THEA class hairs and the big class chairs once

0:31:25.560 --> 0:31:28.960
<v Speaker 1>upon a time, which was a similar thing. So we

0:31:29.080 --> 0:31:31.080
<v Speaker 1>haven't had one for a long time. I think it's

0:31:31.120 --> 0:31:35.280
<v Speaker 1>a great notion, Andrew, sometimes a great notion that they

0:31:35.320 --> 0:31:39.600
<v Speaker 1>could split. There is a there is obviously people who

0:31:40.440 --> 0:31:45.479
<v Speaker 1>for some reason feel better buying two stars two combat

0:31:45.520 --> 0:31:47.800
<v Speaker 1>shares for seventy five bucks each rather than one for

0:31:48.720 --> 0:31:52.760
<v Speaker 1>one fifty. But actually it makes no difference whatsoever. I think,

0:31:53.000 --> 0:31:54.040
<v Speaker 1>What do you think, James.

0:31:54.480 --> 0:31:57.880
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, no, that's absolutely right, and I would pretty much

0:31:57.960 --> 0:32:01.080
<v Speaker 2>guarantee that if they did a stock split that the

0:32:01.480 --> 0:32:03.880
<v Speaker 2>stock split would go up in value because there'd be

0:32:03.960 --> 0:32:07.440
<v Speaker 2>more perceived value in having the stock at a lower price.

0:32:07.480 --> 0:32:09.840
<v Speaker 2>But as you say, it makes absolutely no difference. But

0:32:09.920 --> 0:32:12.360
<v Speaker 2>for the average mom and dad investor, they like a

0:32:12.400 --> 0:32:15.440
<v Speaker 2>lower price because they're used to investing into things like

0:32:15.480 --> 0:32:18.640
<v Speaker 2>physical property, and that's very straightforward, the higher price and

0:32:18.720 --> 0:32:21.360
<v Speaker 2>more expensive of property. But it doesn't work the same

0:32:21.480 --> 0:32:24.280
<v Speaker 2>on the share market. That's said, I don't think CBA

0:32:24.320 --> 0:32:26.120
<v Speaker 2>has too much of an issue. You touched on Berkshire

0:32:26.360 --> 0:32:30.280
<v Speaker 2>half away. Their Class A units are over seven hundred

0:32:30.360 --> 0:32:37.640
<v Speaker 2>thousand dollars per stock, so that's each each class Andrew, Yeah, yeah,

0:32:37.680 --> 0:32:40.280
<v Speaker 2>so yeah, if CBA gets the seven hundred thousand, maybe

0:32:40.320 --> 0:32:42.800
<v Speaker 2>send in another request and then yeah, that's probably more

0:32:42.880 --> 0:32:44.480
<v Speaker 2>valid at that stage. But I think at the current

0:32:44.520 --> 0:32:47.120
<v Speaker 2>price it's it would be good for perception, but it's

0:32:47.200 --> 0:32:48.240
<v Speaker 2>not really necessary.

0:32:49.280 --> 0:32:52.400
<v Speaker 1>It's a fascinating thing that Comebank is sitting there at

0:32:52.400 --> 0:32:54.840
<v Speaker 1>one hundred and fifty and all the brokers are saying

0:32:55.000 --> 0:32:56.840
<v Speaker 1>sell at one hundred, sell at one hundred and ten,

0:32:56.960 --> 0:32:59.680
<v Speaker 1>it goes to one twenty one thirty sell. I mean,

0:32:59.840 --> 0:33:04.120
<v Speaker 1>it's an embarrassment at this stage for them that all

0:33:04.200 --> 0:33:07.640
<v Speaker 1>the major brokers are saying that this stock is worth

0:33:07.800 --> 0:33:11.120
<v Speaker 1>roughly one hundred dollars and the market is saying it's

0:33:11.160 --> 0:33:15.160
<v Speaker 1>worth one hundred and fifty dollars. And that situation has

0:33:15.240 --> 0:33:19.000
<v Speaker 1>been going on all year. No one knows how it's

0:33:19.040 --> 0:33:20.640
<v Speaker 1>going to change. But I'll tell you one thing. If

0:33:20.640 --> 0:33:24.240
<v Speaker 1>I was Matt Common and it started to slide, that

0:33:24.400 --> 0:33:27.320
<v Speaker 1>might be the time to announce a split. And then

0:33:27.360 --> 0:33:29.480
<v Speaker 1>you forget the James Gerard theory that it would just

0:33:29.560 --> 0:33:32.600
<v Speaker 1>go up anyway because people would think it's cheaper, though

0:33:32.640 --> 0:33:35.480
<v Speaker 1>of course it isn't cheaper. It's the same price. It's

0:33:35.520 --> 0:33:37.800
<v Speaker 1>more liquid though it is more liquid. And we should

0:33:37.800 --> 0:33:42.080
<v Speaker 1>explain to everyone that the theory behind the stock sibility

0:33:42.160 --> 0:33:44.600
<v Speaker 1>is that at a certain point, stocks that are very

0:33:44.680 --> 0:33:48.680
<v Speaker 1>successful where the share price goes absolutely bananas, a liquidity

0:33:48.760 --> 0:33:52.280
<v Speaker 1>issue does arrive ultimately, and so they do split to

0:33:53.240 --> 0:33:56.320
<v Speaker 1>bolster liquidity, which is what happened at Tesla and in

0:33:56.440 --> 0:34:00.880
<v Speaker 1>Media and CSL once upon a time. There's no risk

0:34:00.960 --> 0:34:03.120
<v Speaker 1>of them needing to do a stock split at the

0:34:03.200 --> 0:34:06.880
<v Speaker 1>moment at CSL because they have been sliding and going nowhere.

0:34:07.040 --> 0:34:07.560
<v Speaker 2>I have to say.

0:34:07.640 --> 0:34:10.839
<v Speaker 1>For some time and now with Kennedy Junior as Health

0:34:10.960 --> 0:34:14.480
<v Speaker 1>Minister in the Trump administration, CSO has been sort of

0:34:14.920 --> 0:34:18.040
<v Speaker 1>fresh because of the fears that he will be that

0:34:18.160 --> 0:34:21.560
<v Speaker 1>he will not be enthusiastic about vaccines, and that's very

0:34:21.760 --> 0:34:25.520
<v Speaker 1>likely since he never has been all the way till now. Okay,

0:34:25.880 --> 0:34:28.239
<v Speaker 1>but we're moving slightly off track, aren't we. We were

0:34:28.280 --> 0:34:32.000
<v Speaker 1>supposed to be talking about big funds and property. Okay, terrific, Hey, James,

0:34:32.040 --> 0:34:34.719
<v Speaker 1>thank you very much. That was very interesting and I

0:34:34.800 --> 0:34:38.359
<v Speaker 1>think it was a very pragmatic response to the issue

0:34:38.400 --> 0:34:41.319
<v Speaker 1>at big super and the issues that are forming. I mean,

0:34:41.480 --> 0:34:44.120
<v Speaker 1>as we say, the million dollar question on those big funds, folks,

0:34:44.280 --> 0:34:49.120
<v Speaker 1>is whether they can quarantine their successful investment performance from

0:34:49.280 --> 0:34:52.360
<v Speaker 1>the sort of hapless, inept news stories we're seeing on

0:34:52.440 --> 0:34:54.600
<v Speaker 1>their management side. How long can they keep those two

0:34:54.680 --> 0:34:57.560
<v Speaker 1>things separate? That's the issue. Okay, we'll be talking to

0:34:57.600 --> 0:35:00.320
<v Speaker 1>you soon. Thank you, James, talk to you again, pleasure.

0:35:00.360 --> 0:35:00.879
<v Speaker 2>Thanks James.

0:35:01.840 --> 0:35:06.200
<v Speaker 1>Thanks very much to Leah Samuel glu who produced today's show.

0:35:06.600 --> 0:35:10.879
<v Speaker 1>On Thursday, lookout for Will Hamilton on our annual Advisor's

0:35:11.080 --> 0:35:14.160
<v Speaker 1>List special that will be on Thursday, and keep the

0:35:14.280 --> 0:35:17.759
<v Speaker 1>emails rolling at the money puzzle at the Australian dot com,

0:35:18.040 --> 0:35:19.520
<v Speaker 1>dot au dot you soon