WEBVTT - Paul Murray Live | 4 July 0:00:00.280 --> 0:00:07.080 From the Skyinging Center. This is Paul Murray Live. Forgive 0:00:07.160 --> 0:00:09.680 me if you heard mobile phones ringing on the said 0:00:09.720 --> 0:00:11.720 while Denika was putting together the last part of a show. 0:00:11.760 --> 0:00:13.319 I apologize. I came through a different door in a 0:00:13.360 --> 0:00:15.680 panic everyone because I thought I wasn't here. But I'm here. 0:00:15.760 --> 0:00:18.000 We're ready to go, and I apologize for the interruption. 0:00:18.520 --> 0:00:20.160 We've got a lot to get to tonight. Right now, 0:00:20.200 --> 0:00:23.520 it is midday in the UK. Their election ten hours 0:00:23.520 --> 0:00:26.239 from now is set an Am Cidney, Melbourne, Bruceban Canberra. 0:00:26.640 --> 0:00:28.240 Is when the results will start to come in. We'll 0:00:28.240 --> 0:00:30.400 have a chat with Laura Jays in a moment from 0:00:30.440 --> 0:00:34.560 a beautiful old London. Of course, the UK, all of 0:00:34.600 --> 0:00:37.360 it will be voting expectation, Labour wins. What do we 0:00:37.479 --> 0:00:40.120 care about if Nigel Ferrag ends up getting not just 0:00:40.159 --> 0:00:41.360 a good size of the vote but a couple of 0:00:41.360 --> 0:00:45.360 seats as well. Now let's get straight to it. I 0:00:45.400 --> 0:00:48.000 hate the Midwinter Ball. I've always hated it. I've never 0:00:48.080 --> 0:00:50.440 been invited to it is that way. I hate it. No, 0:00:52.159 --> 0:00:54.720 the Midwinter Ball is put on by the Press Gallery 0:00:54.800 --> 0:00:57.800 and it's supposedly an opportunity to raise money for charity, 0:00:57.880 --> 0:01:00.960 But what it really ends up being is sort of 0:01:00.960 --> 0:01:03.800 a school formal, an annual school former for the people 0:01:03.920 --> 0:01:07.960 who are in our political system. What frustrates me about 0:01:07.959 --> 0:01:11.959 this event is that we're supposed to believe that politics 0:01:12.240 --> 0:01:16.160 is adversarial, that the battle of ideas, and we all 0:01:16.200 --> 0:01:20.880 know that all of these people get us to believe 0:01:21.200 --> 0:01:23.640 that there's great fights between red and blue and green 0:01:23.680 --> 0:01:25.720 and yellow and orange and all the rest of it. 0:01:26.640 --> 0:01:29.479 But the reality of this night is that it's kind 0:01:29.520 --> 0:01:32.000 of all of the people who consider themselves the cool 0:01:32.080 --> 0:01:36.440 kids who aren't really just hanging out in one giant 0:01:36.640 --> 0:01:39.440 mix with the media. And again I find it all 0:01:39.600 --> 0:01:44.600 kind of uncomfortable. I think the idea that if I 0:01:44.640 --> 0:01:48.240 was a politician and I'd want to support the charity, 0:01:48.240 --> 0:01:50.080 I'd wear what I wore during the day. I wouldn't 0:01:50.120 --> 0:01:52.000 glam up, and I wouldn't pretend that I was going 0:01:52.000 --> 0:01:55.920 off to an award show. And I know I cop 0:01:55.960 --> 0:01:59.640 it for this, but I don't care. They're supposed to 0:01:59.720 --> 0:02:04.400 be a relationship that is again adversarial at times, between 0:02:05.280 --> 0:02:08.079 the people in power and the people who ask questions 0:02:08.480 --> 0:02:10.519 on our behalf of the people in power, the people 0:02:10.520 --> 0:02:12.200 who are supposed to keep them in check, but they 0:02:12.280 --> 0:02:14.720 all intermingle, they all carry on, they all whisper in 0:02:14.760 --> 0:02:17.359 each other's ears, and they all go home way too late. 0:02:18.440 --> 0:02:21.560 And I find that just uncomfortable. If they want to 0:02:21.600 --> 0:02:23.440 raise money, great, do it in the middle of the day. 0:02:23.440 --> 0:02:26.680 Everyone wears their work clothes. But because this is their moment, 0:02:26.840 --> 0:02:30.320 including the media, for their look at me moment, we 0:02:30.400 --> 0:02:33.239 all have to play along, will have to watch. And yeah, 0:02:33.280 --> 0:02:35.919 I find it kind of ugly that these people who 0:02:36.320 --> 0:02:39.560 live inside the bubble, including the media, people inside the bubble, 0:02:39.560 --> 0:02:41.440 including all the people who want to suck up to 0:02:41.480 --> 0:02:43.960 the people in the bubble and the bubble inside the bubble, 0:02:44.560 --> 0:02:46.760 they all kind of look the other way while they 0:02:47.280 --> 0:02:51.800 reapply the lippy and put on the new shirt. Australia 0:02:51.840 --> 0:02:53.800 is living in a cost of life living crisis, but 0:02:53.840 --> 0:02:57.280 I just think it's a particularly kind of gross thing 0:02:57.400 --> 0:03:00.200 to rub everyone's nose in it and show no those 0:03:00.200 --> 0:03:03.400 signs of trying to pair back the glam. Now, if 0:03:03.440 --> 0:03:05.840 there was a political event, there have a been, of 0:03:05.919 --> 0:03:09.720 course criticisms in the past about politicians or politicians wives 0:03:09.760 --> 0:03:12.680 and what they wear on things like budget night. Now, 0:03:12.680 --> 0:03:14.880 I've never got into that. In fact, as you remember, 0:03:15.320 --> 0:03:19.400 I had strongly pushed back against it. But if the 0:03:19.400 --> 0:03:21.240 theory is that, oh, that's because those people are out 0:03:21.240 --> 0:03:24.200 of touch, well then what was the whole room last night? 0:03:25.240 --> 0:03:27.080 Now again people will say he's just pissed off because 0:03:27.080 --> 0:03:29.800 he's not part of the party. No, I'm annoyed because 0:03:30.840 --> 0:03:32.400 these are the stories that are in the paper every 0:03:32.480 --> 0:03:36.480 day today, Corey. Male people don't have breakfast on weekdays. 0:03:36.520 --> 0:03:40.440 Why because they're trying to save money overall cost of 0:03:40.520 --> 0:03:42.760 living again and again and again number one issue. We 0:03:42.800 --> 0:03:45.800 talk about it so many times. All the politics that 0:03:45.800 --> 0:03:47.240 they all sort of pat each other on the bat 0:03:47.360 --> 0:03:49.600 or they back or they all pretend to fight about, 0:03:50.320 --> 0:03:52.920 has real consequences for normal people. And I'm sorry, I'm 0:03:52.960 --> 0:03:55.160 just a bit old school. I think there should be 0:03:55.200 --> 0:04:00.520 a bit of a mote between the politicians and the media. Now, 0:04:00.520 --> 0:04:02.400 there have been times in my career, as I've talked about, 0:04:02.400 --> 0:04:04.880 where sometimes you just get too familiar, too close to people, 0:04:04.960 --> 0:04:06.800 and it means you lose a bit of perspective. I've 0:04:06.800 --> 0:04:12.040 earned that a couple of times. But the reality of 0:04:12.080 --> 0:04:14.320 just how close this all is, plus the touch football, 0:04:14.360 --> 0:04:19.400 and it's just a giant game as Barnaby Joyce often 0:04:19.400 --> 0:04:21.480 talks about that it's a giant boarding school and you've 0:04:21.480 --> 0:04:23.120 got the cool kids and they're not cool kids, and 0:04:23.160 --> 0:04:28.120 the nerdy kids and the conservative kids. So next time 0:04:28.120 --> 0:04:32.200 the Prime Minister says this, we have been focused on 0:04:32.320 --> 0:04:35.320 making a difference and that has been our focus, lifting 0:04:35.400 --> 0:04:39.200 up living standard. Think about this because it was a 0:04:39.240 --> 0:04:43.080 celebration of people in terms of the politicians who have 0:04:43.279 --> 0:04:46.240 all and I mean all, got not one, not two, 0:04:46.320 --> 0:04:48.919 but three pay rises since the last election. Will you 0:04:50.640 --> 0:04:57.600 haven't now? I'm done with the protesting. I have been 0:04:57.640 --> 0:04:59.159 for a long time and I don't think that it 0:04:59.240 --> 0:05:03.040 changes anyone's opinion. I think that all the people who 0:05:03.160 --> 0:05:05.760 support the cause are yeah, good on your man, and 0:05:05.839 --> 0:05:09.800 then everyone else goes. Please perfect example that idiot last night. 0:05:11.360 --> 0:05:16.920 Hi there, everybody, my name is Sky. I'm twenty two. 0:05:17.120 --> 0:05:21.240 Are you shar they pronounce? And I am currently. 0:05:22.000 --> 0:05:23.719 On a tree set. 0:05:23.839 --> 0:05:25.960 I'm here on one of real country. I am here 0:05:26.120 --> 0:05:28.839 for climate justice. So sow it sucks. I mean the 0:05:28.920 --> 0:05:32.880 continent itself, whatever you want to call that continent, is 0:05:32.920 --> 0:05:37.360 a very beautiful place, but it's built on extraction, It's 0:05:37.400 --> 0:05:39.640 built on stolen land. The nation state is built on 0:05:39.640 --> 0:05:49.000 stolen land. We export nothing but coal, weapons and misery. 0:05:49.320 --> 0:05:50.800 Then, of course, each and every year we have the 0:05:50.960 --> 0:05:54.920 discussion about what the day of January the twenty sixth means. 0:05:55.320 --> 0:05:58.120 And because our country isn't old enough, like say the 0:05:58.279 --> 0:06:00.560 United States, the UK or every other place that has 0:06:00.600 --> 0:06:02.640 some sort of national day, we have to go through 0:06:02.640 --> 0:06:06.440 the same garbage. Now, this of course is not insensitive 0:06:06.480 --> 0:06:08.200 to the idea of what was here prior and what 0:06:08.279 --> 0:06:10.880 happened then and all the rest of it. But please, 0:06:11.760 --> 0:06:14.400 and then take your pick. How many times is there 0:06:14.440 --> 0:06:16.520 some giant march that will take place up and down 0:06:16.560 --> 0:06:18.919 the streets, union people, all the rest of it, And 0:06:18.920 --> 0:06:23.039 it doesn't really do anything, It doesn't move anything. It's 0:06:23.200 --> 0:06:26.000 often about trying to get media attention and then in 0:06:26.040 --> 0:06:28.640 the hope that media attention equals getting a result that 0:06:28.680 --> 0:06:31.120 they want. But so often it doesn't remember this stuff 0:06:31.200 --> 0:06:34.040 during COVID. Don't remember Daniel Andrews opening up the streets 0:06:34.040 --> 0:06:37.040 to everyone. Oh, that's right, apart from the union workers 0:06:37.040 --> 0:06:39.560 who already were allowed to leave the house because they 0:06:39.600 --> 0:06:43.080 work for unions during COVID lockdowns. So you know where 0:06:43.120 --> 0:06:44.880 I'm going with this. You saw the crap at Parliament 0:06:44.880 --> 0:06:48.600 House today and regardless of whether you agree or you disagree, 0:06:48.640 --> 0:06:51.400 most people watching, of course he will disagree. People hate 0:06:51.400 --> 0:06:54.880 this stuff, They truly hate this stuff. And too frequently 0:06:55.279 --> 0:06:58.400 the building that is supposedly one of the most special 0:06:58.480 --> 0:07:01.400 and sacred in the country has been abused by people 0:07:01.440 --> 0:07:03.599 trying to make points like this, like remember the idiots 0:07:03.640 --> 0:07:06.800 who were all about the climate. Those were the people 0:07:06.800 --> 0:07:12.040 who were setting prams on fire and graffiti all over 0:07:12.080 --> 0:07:15.680 the place. Or idiots who decide to glue themselves to things, 0:07:15.720 --> 0:07:18.600 and oh it's also serious. Oh goodness, imagine living in 0:07:18.920 --> 0:07:22.560 Imagine what are these people do for fun? Like do 0:07:22.600 --> 0:07:24.200 they ever watch movies that they listen to? Me? What 0:07:24.200 --> 0:07:28.320 do they do for fun? Imagine being that's sanctumonious about something. Well, 0:07:29.440 --> 0:07:32.360 the problem with the Parliament House protests is that they 0:07:32.480 --> 0:07:37.600 expose the lack of security around the building. Now I 0:07:37.720 --> 0:07:41.000 know that it would not at all be fun to 0:07:41.080 --> 0:07:46.040 be the security guard or the member of the Protective 0:07:46.080 --> 0:07:48.880 Services the Australian Federal Police who has to stand outside 0:07:49.160 --> 0:07:51.920 of Parliament House for twenty four hours a day, seven 0:07:52.000 --> 0:07:54.960 days a week, hot in summer, cold in winter. But 0:07:55.040 --> 0:07:57.440 the reality is we don't guard that building properly. We 0:07:57.560 --> 0:08:02.280 really don't. Evidence is that people were able to climb 0:08:02.400 --> 0:08:04.840 up onto the structure and to be able to stay 0:08:04.840 --> 0:08:08.120 there now amazingly. Of course, the media turns around and 0:08:08.200 --> 0:08:10.520 they show you live pictures, which means these people get 0:08:10.520 --> 0:08:13.720 exactly what they want as opposed to somebody getting a 0:08:13.760 --> 0:08:17.640 ladder and cutting down the signs. Where was any of 0:08:17.680 --> 0:08:24.240 that today? There's no cherry pickers underneath Parliament House. Please Now, 0:08:24.280 --> 0:08:26.120 I don't want anything terrible to ever happen in one 0:08:26.120 --> 0:08:30.320 of our public institutions. But the reality is is that Okay, 0:08:30.600 --> 0:08:33.120 it's paint one day, it signs another, God forbid if 0:08:33.120 --> 0:08:37.640 it's something else at some other time, And again we 0:08:37.679 --> 0:08:40.360 could end up spending an awful lot of money saying, well, 0:08:40.400 --> 0:08:42.160 why do we spend so much money on security for 0:08:42.160 --> 0:08:44.320 the building when nothing happens. Well, of course, the security 0:08:44.320 --> 0:08:47.520 in and of itself becomes the deterrent. I don't want 0:08:47.520 --> 0:08:49.640 to see Australia end up in a position where a 0:08:49.720 --> 0:08:54.040 fence is put up around its national buildings, like say 0:08:54.040 --> 0:08:56.040 the United States is with the White House, or of 0:08:56.080 --> 0:08:58.520 course around the Capitol Building or the Supreme Court. When 0:08:58.559 --> 0:09:02.160 the protests get too big. But in the meantime, we 0:09:02.200 --> 0:09:04.760 have all the technology, all the manpower, and all the 0:09:04.840 --> 0:09:07.720 money in the world to guarantee that anyone who wants 0:09:07.720 --> 0:09:11.439 to do anything even kinder like this stuff gets arrested 0:09:12.000 --> 0:09:15.679 quickly and live on television. While their banners are unfurling, 0:09:15.720 --> 0:09:19.800 somebody is tearing them down. Believe what you want. I 0:09:19.840 --> 0:09:22.920 think we should have in every major city a place 0:09:22.920 --> 0:09:26.360 for protest and a place where even the local government 0:09:26.400 --> 0:09:28.840 pays for the microphone. I'm fine for that, that's free speech. 0:09:29.760 --> 0:09:32.160 But the idea of exposing the security flaws of a 0:09:32.200 --> 0:09:35.560 building that means an awful lot to us, well, for 0:09:35.559 --> 0:09:37.839 obvious reasons, that's not cool. And by the way, the 0:09:37.880 --> 0:09:41.360 Australian public doesn't like her. We know because of this polling. 0:09:41.480 --> 0:09:43.320 Remember the polling that came out not that long ago 0:09:43.679 --> 0:09:48.840 in the Resolve Policity Morning Herald Age Brisbane Times. Only 0:09:48.840 --> 0:09:50.840 fifty three percent of people say that it's a legitimate 0:09:50.840 --> 0:09:52.600 protest if you're having it in a park, forty one 0:09:52.640 --> 0:09:54.880 percent if you're marching in the street, fourteen percent if 0:09:54.880 --> 0:09:58.760 you're camping out or occupying a university, ten percent if 0:09:58.760 --> 0:10:01.679 you're blocking an MP's elect office nine percent, if you're 0:10:01.679 --> 0:10:03.760 protesting at the home or business of a business or 0:10:03.760 --> 0:10:09.760 political figure. Seven percent, if you're the hay there on 0:10:09.840 --> 0:10:13.439 top of the trains with the coal in it, four percent, 0:10:13.440 --> 0:10:16.880 if you're damaging property. People don't like this stuff. They 0:10:16.880 --> 0:10:20.040 don't like it because it doesn't change anyone's mind. Now, 0:10:20.080 --> 0:10:21.240 I'm not going to spend too much time at the 0:10:21.240 --> 0:10:22.959 start of the show. Inevitably will get anything in the 0:10:22.960 --> 0:10:27.840 conversation about the former Labor senator from Western Australia who 0:10:27.920 --> 0:10:30.160 is pretending that the single issue of what is happening 0:10:30.240 --> 0:10:33.400 in Palestine is the reason for her to leave the 0:10:33.480 --> 0:10:37.640 Labor Party. Now, I had said last night that her 0:10:37.840 --> 0:10:39.960 movement was going to not mean too much when it 0:10:39.960 --> 0:10:41.960 comes to the numbers. Now that is true in terms 0:10:41.960 --> 0:10:44.200 of the government, because let me go back yet again 0:10:44.400 --> 0:10:47.000 and say thirty nine votes are needed in the Senate 0:10:47.000 --> 0:10:49.880 for anything to happen. Labour has twenty five, the Greens 0:10:49.960 --> 0:10:53.360 have eleven. That gets them, of course, to thirty six. 0:10:54.840 --> 0:10:57.480 The Liberal and National Parties have thirty one. The cross 0:10:57.480 --> 0:11:00.320 Bench has eight people on it. Now I mentioned Nation 0:11:00.400 --> 0:11:03.800 has two. I forgot to mention United Australia Party. Sorry, Ralph. 0:11:03.840 --> 0:11:07.400 The Lamby network has one Pocock, Thorpe, Tyrrell formerly of 0:11:07.400 --> 0:11:09.640 the Lamby Network, and now Payment are the rest of 0:11:09.640 --> 0:11:14.079 that cross bench. So here's how the numbers work. Labor 0:11:14.120 --> 0:11:17.040 Party twenty five plus eleven needs just three cross benches. 0:11:17.080 --> 0:11:20.880 Three of those cross benches, they will easily get Pocock 0:11:20.880 --> 0:11:22.920 because he always votes for them, Thought because she always 0:11:23.000 --> 0:11:25.480 votes for them, Tyrrell or Lamby because they always vote 0:11:25.480 --> 0:11:27.360 for them, and Payment while she used to be of them, 0:11:27.440 --> 0:11:29.439 and you can't imagine her voting with one Nation or 0:11:29.480 --> 0:11:33.880 the Liberal Party. So nothing's happening yet. How much coverage 0:11:33.920 --> 0:11:36.200 and how much conversation and oh what about this? And 0:11:36.200 --> 0:11:38.200 what about that? And the Muslim vote and all the 0:11:38.200 --> 0:11:43.360 rest of it. Don't you love that when somebody left 0:11:43.880 --> 0:11:48.080 the Lamby network and broke out as her own independent 0:11:48.120 --> 0:11:50.240 and they are readily could end up voting against the government. 0:11:50.320 --> 0:11:54.360 There was virtually no coverage, no press conferences. I think 0:11:54.360 --> 0:11:56.320 she banged out a YouTube video and there were no 0:11:56.440 --> 0:11:59.600 more questions. And the crazy cat lady in Jackie Lamby 0:11:59.640 --> 0:12:01.520 is on Tell Division every week and never gets asked 0:12:01.520 --> 0:12:05.960 about it. Nothing's changing in the Senate. And I explained 0:12:05.960 --> 0:12:08.880 in great detail last night. Why the myth of the 0:12:08.960 --> 0:12:11.720 Labor Party losing all of its seats because of a 0:12:11.760 --> 0:12:15.240 particular vote that's going to change. Remember, the reason the 0:12:15.320 --> 0:12:17.680 Teals are able to pull off what the Teals do 0:12:18.320 --> 0:12:23.360 is because it's the Liberal Party versus everyone else on 0:12:23.400 --> 0:12:25.720 the ballot, and all of them preference each other. The 0:12:25.720 --> 0:12:29.199 major Party of Labor runs dead, so that the Teals 0:12:29.280 --> 0:12:31.520 end up finishing second. The preferences get them over the 0:12:31.520 --> 0:12:35.200 line they become MP's in the Western Sydney seats. The 0:12:35.240 --> 0:12:37.840 Liberal Party will not play dead. The Liberal Party will 0:12:37.840 --> 0:12:41.600 not preference them, which means Labor will probably hold onto 0:12:41.640 --> 0:12:45.920 the seats. If you're a fair, legitimate, community based focused 0:12:46.080 --> 0:12:50.040 person like a Dye Leee, well then you're a chance 0:12:50.040 --> 0:12:52.040 of getting into the Parliament. But if this is the 0:12:52.080 --> 0:12:54.200 reason why things are being set up, please this just 0:12:54.240 --> 0:12:57.360 seems to be yet another trojan horse excuse from the 0:12:57.400 --> 0:12:59.440 far left to talk about the subjects they want to 0:12:59.440 --> 0:13:02.200 talk about as opposed to the ones Australia is absolutely 0:13:02.200 --> 0:13:04.360 obsessed with. And that of course is cost of living. 0:13:04.600 --> 0:13:06.000 Oh but then again we'd have to call it how 0:13:06.040 --> 0:13:11.320 bad the government is right now, Our old mate Joe 0:13:11.360 --> 0:13:13.600 Biden it's happened in the past twenty four hours where 0:13:14.400 --> 0:13:17.520 put simply, he's digging in. Now, this is great. If 0:13:17.559 --> 0:13:20.079 you're a Trump fan, please more of it. Let's hope 0:13:20.080 --> 0:13:22.079 it is Biden all the way to November, because at 0:13:22.080 --> 0:13:24.960 this stage, no chance that Biden's going to win, no 0:13:25.080 --> 0:13:27.320 indication I should say that Biden is going to win 0:13:28.520 --> 0:13:30.800 now after that debate performance, which of course was about 0:13:30.840 --> 0:13:32.679 a week ago, and they say a week's a long 0:13:32.679 --> 0:13:35.280 time in politics, We'll imagine going from the president they 0:13:35.280 --> 0:13:38.600 were all behind to now a week later, the calls 0:13:38.640 --> 0:13:39.959 and a lot of effort to push him out of 0:13:40.000 --> 0:13:45.400 the race. But Biden, who controls the entire process of 0:13:45.440 --> 0:13:48.640 whether he remains the nominee or not. Remember, he will 0:13:48.679 --> 0:13:51.400 decide when the zoom call takes happen. He's got the 0:13:51.400 --> 0:13:54.080 delegates and he can lock himself into the job. Which 0:13:54.080 --> 0:13:56.280 is now why you're getting this rubbish from the White 0:13:56.280 --> 0:14:05.440 House spokesperson fighting considering stepping down at absolutely not. But 0:14:05.480 --> 0:14:07.880 then straight after these things happen, the people who are 0:14:07.920 --> 0:14:10.400 the ones that have told us Joe Biden's completely okay. 0:14:10.400 --> 0:14:13.840 In the basement, Joe Biden's completely okay when he's staring 0:14:13.880 --> 0:14:17.040 off into the distance. Joe Biden's an amazing success, until, 0:14:17.080 --> 0:14:20.800 of course, their lie was exposed by his performance in 0:14:20.840 --> 0:14:22.840 the debate, where he was so feeble he can't even 0:14:22.880 --> 0:14:27.960 continue as president lit alone candidate, let alone plus four years. 0:14:28.360 --> 0:14:32.920 Well, they're saying this, Look, I'm just going to be honest. 0:14:32.960 --> 0:14:35.040 I mean, everybody comes on the air and says all 0:14:35.040 --> 0:14:37.240 this great stuff, but behind the scenes, it's a full 0:14:37.320 --> 0:14:42.600 scale panic. People are passing around legal memos pds or 0:14:42.640 --> 0:14:45.160 flying back and forth on WhatsApp trying to figure out 0:14:45.480 --> 0:14:48.920 what are the options. How can you replace Biden? How 0:14:48.960 --> 0:14:50.240 do you get him to do it in a way 0:14:50.280 --> 0:14:52.760 where he feels respected as he should be respected. Who 0:14:52.840 --> 0:14:57.160 should Kamala Harris's vice president be? The conversation on air 0:14:57.200 --> 0:14:59.640 and the conversation off air are completely different. 0:15:00.560 --> 0:15:02.400 Now, remember this is not because they don't think he 0:15:02.400 --> 0:15:04.600 can do the job. It's because they don't think he 0:15:04.640 --> 0:15:07.520 can win an election. What does that tell you about 0:15:07.520 --> 0:15:09.360 their love of democracy and all the rest of it? 0:15:09.400 --> 0:15:12.000 Democracy is that you and I get to decide if 0:15:12.000 --> 0:15:14.280 this person gets another in this case four years in 0:15:14.320 --> 0:15:16.800 the United States. I don't know quick switch him out 0:15:16.840 --> 0:15:19.720 because it's all been exposed the guy we kept in 0:15:19.720 --> 0:15:22.440 the basement, the guy who's done no press conferences, the 0:15:22.480 --> 0:15:26.000 guy who doesn't turn around and do interviews. Oh, he's 0:15:26.040 --> 0:15:28.360 all completely fine. He's as sharp as attack. They were 0:15:28.360 --> 0:15:30.880 literally saying that today, that he's as smart as he's 0:15:30.920 --> 0:15:34.040 ever been. This, of course, was the same person who 0:15:34.080 --> 0:15:36.880 was telling you that when you see videos of this 0:15:36.960 --> 0:15:42.680 bloke staring off into space, that somehow he was this 0:15:42.840 --> 0:15:46.280 was all a fake, all a deep fake. Remember, well, 0:15:46.320 --> 0:15:48.320 all of those people are now trying to pretend to 0:15:48.360 --> 0:15:50.680 say you didn't see what you saw last week and 0:15:50.800 --> 0:15:53.320 everything this week where people have been noticing the problems 0:15:53.320 --> 0:15:56.400 that you saw last week, all of it doesn't exist again, 0:15:56.600 --> 0:16:00.200 fine by me. I don't want them to win that 0:16:00.280 --> 0:16:03.800 Joe Biden's administration has been a failure. I think that 0:16:03.880 --> 0:16:07.320 his attitudes on everything from Title nine through to letting 0:16:07.360 --> 0:16:09.520 millions of people across the border is the wrong way 0:16:09.560 --> 0:16:13.720 to go. So I'm fine with them living in the 0:16:13.720 --> 0:16:17.720 fantasy land and him bricking himself inside. But the idea 0:16:17.760 --> 0:16:19.880 that he's able to break himself inside because he's the 0:16:19.880 --> 0:16:24.240 best one for the gig complete rubbish, complete rubbish. So 0:16:24.400 --> 0:16:26.840 the opinion polls come out today that confirm what we've 0:16:26.840 --> 0:16:30.400 always known. The debate was terrible, and his numbers are tanking, 0:16:30.880 --> 0:16:32.720 which is why at least Van Jones, that was the 0:16:32.720 --> 0:16:34.640 guy you saw before on CNN, and he's saying, yeah, 0:16:34.640 --> 0:16:36.800 stop saying all this polite stuff on Telly, we're saying 0:16:36.840 --> 0:16:39.680 really nasty stuff behind the scenes. How a look at 0:16:39.720 --> 0:16:44.960 that forty nine to forty three among likely voters, That, 0:16:45.040 --> 0:16:49.200 of course is an absolute thumper. There'd be an election 0:16:49.480 --> 0:16:51.760 result called on the night. There'd be no red mist 0:16:51.800 --> 0:16:53.640 all the rest of it. Oh yeah, and by the way, 0:16:53.880 --> 0:16:56.840 that's just the fight between Trump and Biden. Once you're 0:16:56.840 --> 0:17:03.080 throwing Kennedy. It's Trump forty two, Biden twenty seven, thirty seven, 0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:09.879 and Kennedy at eight. That's why James Carvill, a man 0:17:09.880 --> 0:17:13.040 who's famous in political circles, the man who literally was 0:17:13.080 --> 0:17:16.400 the guy who perfected the it's the economy stupid works 0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:18.320 for Bill Clinton, been around it for a long period 0:17:18.359 --> 0:17:20.960 of time. He's out and about saying they've got a 0:17:20.960 --> 0:17:25.520 blast Biden out. It'll be amazing once eventually, if Biden's 0:17:25.520 --> 0:17:28.800 able to brick himself in confirm his own nomination, will 0:17:28.840 --> 0:17:30.399 he still be saying, well, buggarat we've still got to 0:17:30.400 --> 0:17:33.359 get behind him anyway, he says, cut off the money. 0:17:34.359 --> 0:17:37.040 Carvill advisors donors who want Biden out of the race, 0:17:37.080 --> 0:17:40.160 to cut off money to politicians who won't take their side. 0:17:40.440 --> 0:17:43.200 So put simply anyone unless they come out and say 0:17:43.200 --> 0:17:45.760 get rid of Biden. What I would say is this, 0:17:45.840 --> 0:17:47.600 If we don't do something about this, I'm going to 0:17:47.640 --> 0:17:51.359 put it to you. Call block on my cell phone. 0:17:52.000 --> 0:17:54.160 So that's the message, move them with the money. Oh yeah, 0:17:54.160 --> 0:17:57.199 And apparently there was a controversy with Trump today. The 0:17:57.280 --> 0:18:02.639 Daily Beasts decided to show a leaked video when a 0:18:02.680 --> 0:18:05.720 bunch of people clearly saw Donald Trump with his son 0:18:05.800 --> 0:18:10.320 Baron on the golf course I believe today. So they 0:18:10.320 --> 0:18:13.000 decided to ask him a couple of questions and chicily 0:18:13.040 --> 0:18:14.840 film it. And apparently this is the new version of 0:18:14.880 --> 0:18:17.840 the excess Hollywood type. Could anyone tell me what's wrong 0:18:17.880 --> 0:18:18.600 with what he says? 0:18:18.600 --> 0:18:18.760 Here? 0:18:19.119 --> 0:18:22.040 Roll the type? How did I do with the dived 0:18:22.119 --> 0:18:26.520 the other night? All broken down? Pilot crabs? Yeah, it's 0:18:26.520 --> 0:18:28.320 a bad guy. He just quit, you know, he's quitting. 0:18:28.359 --> 0:18:30.239 The rest is that right? Yep? I got him out 0:18:30.280 --> 0:18:33.880 of it, and that means we have Kamala. I think 0:18:33.880 --> 0:18:38.240 she's going to be better. She's so bad, she's so pathetic, 0:18:38.320 --> 0:18:42.679 it's amazing, it's I just can't imagine. But can you 0:18:42.720 --> 0:18:46.160 imagine that? Go with dealing with Putin and the president 0:18:46.200 --> 0:18:47.760 of China, who's a fierce person. 0:18:47.840 --> 0:18:50.720 He's a fierce man, a very tough guy. 0:18:51.280 --> 0:18:54.359 And they see him. They probably he can't but they 0:18:54.440 --> 0:19:01.919 just announced he's he's probably quitting. Just keep knocking. What 0:19:02.040 --> 0:19:04.480 a scandal he tipped somebody. And then he said what 0:19:04.600 --> 0:19:08.320 we all know to be true, which increasingly in terms 0:19:08.320 --> 0:19:10.000 of the White House of the pro Biden people, is 0:19:10.040 --> 0:19:16.080 not allowed at all speaking a bad language on the 0:19:16.119 --> 0:19:19.080 Internet or anywhere else. Remember when this was the reason 0:19:19.200 --> 0:19:22.119 that Lefty said that the voice referenda went from sixty 0:19:22.160 --> 0:19:27.320 forty yes to sixty forty no misinformation misinformation. 0:19:27.560 --> 0:19:30.920 The misinformation map outrays trying to start a culture war. 0:19:31.200 --> 0:19:39.879 It is important Trump style politics misinformation misinformation. Well, of course, 0:19:40.080 --> 0:19:44.000 the E Safety Commissioner otherwise known as the E Karen 0:19:44.280 --> 0:19:47.160 or the E Safety Karen or the Internet Karen at 0:19:47.200 --> 0:19:49.440 the time was ad and about saying there has been 0:19:49.440 --> 0:19:53.680 a major increase in the amount of not just misinformation 0:19:53.800 --> 0:19:57.200 but potentially violent threats that were being complained about by 0:19:57.400 --> 0:20:00.800 Indigenous people at the height of the debate around the Voice. 0:20:00.960 --> 0:20:03.760 Why am I mentioning this tonight because thank goodness for 0:20:03.760 --> 0:20:06.040 the Institute of Public Affairs the IPA, because they were 0:20:06.040 --> 0:20:09.760 able to prove that was garbage. The woman in charge 0:20:09.800 --> 0:20:12.919 of policing misinformation on Australia's social media platforms has been 0:20:12.920 --> 0:20:16.919 accused of pushing misleading narrative about online abuse linked to 0:20:16.960 --> 0:20:20.399 the Voice referendum. Why because she said this. 0:20:22.119 --> 0:20:23.640 It's pretty shocking that. 0:20:25.160 --> 0:20:29.639 Indigenous youth experienced online heat and online racism at a 0:20:29.880 --> 0:20:33.359 rape three times greater than other youth. 0:20:34.359 --> 0:20:36.960 How many complaints do you think that there were from 0:20:36.960 --> 0:20:40.680 Indigenous Australians about cyber abuse relating to the referendum. I'll 0:20:40.680 --> 0:20:47.520 tell you two, like literally two complaints. Yet the lady 0:20:47.520 --> 0:20:49.440 who would like to have the power of greater power 0:20:49.440 --> 0:20:50.959 to sensor the internet to tell you what you can 0:20:51.040 --> 0:20:54.560 and can't see, she's out there selling a narrative at 0:20:54.560 --> 0:20:57.119 It's only not because this was publicly released by the government. 0:20:57.119 --> 0:20:59.560 This is information that, by the way, was served up 0:20:59.600 --> 0:21:03.240 by the Institute of Public Affairs because they were able 0:21:03.240 --> 0:21:05.480 to peek behind the curtain and guess what it showed. 0:21:06.720 --> 0:21:12.480 The Safety Commissioner E Karen wasn't telling the truth. She 0:21:12.560 --> 0:21:15.480 works for a government and this part of a system 0:21:15.520 --> 0:21:17.399 that would like to further sense of the Internet, so 0:21:17.520 --> 0:21:21.600 much so that if it's declared misinformation by the Australian 0:21:21.640 --> 0:21:25.080 Communications and Broadcasting Authority, you know, a bunch of radio 0:21:25.160 --> 0:21:27.159 National listeners who would hate everything that we do and 0:21:27.200 --> 0:21:32.200 certainly anything that the great Kyle Sandelins would do, then 0:21:32.359 --> 0:21:35.200 it must be removed from social media platforms. If the 0:21:35.240 --> 0:21:37.560 social media platforms don't remove it, then hundreds of thousands 0:21:37.600 --> 0:21:39.560 of dollars worth of fines and then eventually the social 0:21:39.600 --> 0:21:43.159 media platforms turn around and say, oh, look, let's just 0:21:43.200 --> 0:21:47.080 not post the links from the thing that everyone complains about. Now. 0:21:47.119 --> 0:21:49.280 The government, of course would love to shut down people 0:21:49.400 --> 0:21:53.480 like myself, channels like this, Times of Broadcast like ours, 0:21:54.600 --> 0:21:56.639 but of course they couldn't possibly do it, so just 0:21:56.760 --> 0:22:01.000 like their third pay rise in a row since the election. Oh, 0:22:01.000 --> 0:22:04.640 it's a completely independent process in part administered by people 0:22:04.680 --> 0:22:08.639 who tell well falsehoods like that or is that misinformation too, Karen? 0:22:10.560 --> 0:22:12.200 Now a couple of other bits of information before we 0:22:12.240 --> 0:22:14.800 get to the wonderful Laura Jays standing by looking splendid. 0:22:14.800 --> 0:22:16.240 The reason we're in HD. We'll get to here in 0:22:16.280 --> 0:22:18.280 a moment or two's time. Looking great in London, with 0:22:18.359 --> 0:22:21.439 plenty to say about the election, But the nds we 0:22:21.520 --> 0:22:24.959 know are the explosion of it and its costs. Well, 0:22:25.280 --> 0:22:26.800 we know there's a lot of people that are routing, 0:22:26.840 --> 0:22:29.560 a lot of people that are taking the proverbial. But 0:22:29.640 --> 0:22:32.000 also let's be serious about how many people in this 0:22:32.119 --> 0:22:35.200 country have a disability. According to the Bureau Statistics, twenty 0:22:35.240 --> 0:22:38.840 seven million people in the country. Five point five million 0:22:38.840 --> 0:22:41.920 of them have a disability. More disability the older that 0:22:41.960 --> 0:22:45.919 you get, but that is an incredible number. Meantime, can 0:22:45.960 --> 0:22:51.040 we ignore the nonsense about increasing taxes on soft drinks? Yes, 0:22:51.080 --> 0:22:53.520 this is a self interested rant, but there's only so 0:22:53.720 --> 0:22:57.480 much tax one can pay on tobacco, or gambling or 0:22:57.520 --> 0:22:59.800 petrol cars. It almost feels slightly if you are a 0:22:59.800 --> 0:23:03.399 pa perote person, you feel personally attacked by those policies. 0:23:04.119 --> 0:23:06.800 But the idea is that to pay for, among other things, 0:23:07.040 --> 0:23:10.360 the rising costs to our health system because of fatties 0:23:10.400 --> 0:23:13.439 like myself, well, we have to introduce attax on the 0:23:13.440 --> 0:23:16.800 things that helps make US fatties for their point, this 0:23:16.960 --> 0:23:19.359 is the reason why apparently the tax should be in place. 0:23:20.640 --> 0:23:23.640 So we've had heaps of evidence that's been put into 0:23:23.640 --> 0:23:25.840 this over the years. So we've got the National Obesity 0:23:25.920 --> 0:23:29.720 Strategy that we follow, and certainly it indicates that we're 0:23:29.760 --> 0:23:32.520 needing to have a sugar tax. If we can encourage 0:23:32.520 --> 0:23:36.760 people to spend their dollars more on healthy food rather 0:23:36.760 --> 0:23:41.120 than junk food or Sweden beverages, then we can actually 0:23:41.160 --> 0:23:43.840 tip the scales back in the right direction. We also 0:23:43.880 --> 0:23:47.000 need to have restrictions on advertising, particularly to young children, 0:23:47.359 --> 0:23:49.600 because we're setting them up for failure at the moment, 0:23:49.680 --> 0:23:51.920 and at the moment the biggest failure is happening by 0:23:51.960 --> 0:23:52.880 our politicians. 0:23:53.680 --> 0:23:58.000 Yeah, that's the reason people like sugar because of the ads. Okay, pow, 0:23:59.520 --> 0:24:02.280 let's go the UK right now. My wonderful friend, my 0:24:02.400 --> 0:24:04.399 work wife, my buddy. I don't think you're allowed to 0:24:04.400 --> 0:24:06.439 say workwife anymore anyway else you're on HR are in 0:24:06.440 --> 0:24:08.399 a couple of weeks time. Laura Jays love you to 0:24:08.400 --> 0:24:11.720 see you. She's in London right now because the election 0:24:12.080 --> 0:24:15.560 is on. It is what about midday your time? Poles 0:24:15.560 --> 0:24:18.080 close at ten o'clock exit polls come out thirty seconds 0:24:18.160 --> 0:24:19.159 later and Labor wins. 0:24:19.280 --> 0:24:24.480 Right, yep, absolutely, and you're allowed to say whatever you want, Paul. 0:24:24.520 --> 0:24:27.000 This is election day. We're about halfway through. The sun 0:24:27.040 --> 0:24:28.120 has finally come out. 0:24:28.160 --> 0:24:30.320 Everyone's been a little bit cranky over the last couple 0:24:30.400 --> 0:24:33.040 of weeks, not only because they were in the middle 0:24:33.080 --> 0:24:35.960 of an election campaign bombarded by all these messaging, but 0:24:36.000 --> 0:24:39.800 the weather has been quite rubbish, even by London standards. 0:24:39.800 --> 0:24:42.480 But what I think we're about to see today, Paul, 0:24:42.840 --> 0:24:46.240 is the obliteration of the Conservative government. 0:24:46.240 --> 0:24:47.760 When you look at the numbers, and I know you 0:24:47.840 --> 0:24:48.560 love numbers. 0:24:49.040 --> 0:24:52.400 We had a ugup poll out yesterday about forty thousand 0:24:52.440 --> 0:24:55.440 in terms of the sample size, so pretty decent. They're 0:24:55.480 --> 0:25:01.120 talking about the biggest loss for any party since well 0:25:01.280 --> 0:25:03.520 the thirty two, so you have to go back almost 0:25:03.600 --> 0:25:07.679 two centuries to see this kind of majority for Labor. 0:25:07.760 --> 0:25:11.879 So it is absolutely yeah. It said it's going to 0:25:11.920 --> 0:25:13.879 be one for the history books. 0:25:13.920 --> 0:25:16.720 And when you look at just what has changed in 0:25:16.760 --> 0:25:20.240 the last five years, and he's just stunning. Remember twenty nineteen, 0:25:20.280 --> 0:25:23.000 you and I were talking about the Red Wall being 0:25:23.040 --> 0:25:26.040 torn down by Boris Johnson everyone then we're was talking 0:25:26.040 --> 0:25:29.720 about him being in power for another decade, and here 0:25:29.760 --> 0:25:30.040 we are. 0:25:30.480 --> 0:25:33.640 Yeah, I mean, I'm just thinking about that, right, three 0:25:33.680 --> 0:25:36.320 prime ministers in one term, Right, three prime ministers in 0:25:36.359 --> 0:25:38.879 one term that there's no way any any country is 0:25:39.160 --> 0:25:41.000 going to cop that we didn't do it when it 0:25:41.080 --> 0:25:44.560 was two in one term. We would end up having 0:25:44.600 --> 0:25:48.000 our issues with it in between. Look again, Liz Trusts, 0:25:48.080 --> 0:25:50.520 who I know reinvents herself as sort of the ultimate 0:25:50.520 --> 0:25:52.399 truth teller and destroyed by the state. But she was 0:25:52.440 --> 0:25:55.679 there for two months, all right. You know, Rishi was 0:25:55.680 --> 0:25:59.679 never wanted by the members. And the nature of politics 0:25:59.720 --> 0:26:02.600 this deep into a government, there's always people that will 0:26:02.640 --> 0:26:04.560 be willing to complain. And then of course there's a 0:26:04.600 --> 0:26:07.320 Boris Johnson of it all. As you say, five years ago, 0:26:07.640 --> 0:26:10.440 the bloke knocked the Labor Party so far on its 0:26:10.440 --> 0:26:12.600 backside that it was Is there a future for the 0:26:12.680 --> 0:26:16.040 Labor Party five years later? Of course there will be 0:26:16.080 --> 0:26:21.199 a future for the Tories. It'll have Niger farage and 0:26:21.359 --> 0:26:25.240 reform in and around it. But is it true what 0:26:25.280 --> 0:26:27.800 you're seeing here is the rejection of a government, not 0:26:27.840 --> 0:26:31.080 the not the adoption of an opposition. 0:26:32.480 --> 0:26:32.960 One hundred. 0:26:33.520 --> 0:26:35.920 I mean you have to look at where the Tories 0:26:35.960 --> 0:26:39.320 are at. Rishie Sunak really didn't have much of a chance. 0:26:39.359 --> 0:26:41.119 And when you look at the numbers, they have not 0:26:41.240 --> 0:26:44.840 moved for eighteen months. So this campaign has absolutely not 0:26:45.280 --> 0:26:48.240 moved the dial. There is apathy, voter apathy, and they're 0:26:48.280 --> 0:26:52.080 not even they've gone kind of beyond angry. They'ren't have baseball, 0:26:52.119 --> 0:26:53.800 but so they just like, oh, yeah, these guys are done. 0:26:54.160 --> 0:26:56.080 We need to give someone else a turn here. But 0:26:57.000 --> 0:27:01.520 again back to the numbers. So on thisatest poll, Labor 0:27:01.560 --> 0:27:05.000 would win forty two percent of the popular vote. That 0:27:05.160 --> 0:27:09.679 is the same percentage that Jeremy Corbyn got at the 0:27:09.800 --> 0:27:12.400 last election, but that was an historic defeat. 0:27:12.600 --> 0:27:14.680 So that's how much the electoral. 0:27:14.200 --> 0:27:19.600 System has changed in terms of Reform, the Liberal Democrats 0:27:19.720 --> 0:27:21.200 and just the whole makeup. 0:27:21.320 --> 0:27:24.359 So you're looking at Labor winning forty two percent. 0:27:24.520 --> 0:27:28.119 Of the popular vote and seventy percent of the seats, 0:27:28.160 --> 0:27:31.080 and you're looking at the Tories winning about twenty percent 0:27:31.119 --> 0:27:33.760 of the popular vote and thirteen percent of the seats, 0:27:33.760 --> 0:27:36.040 and Nigel Farage Reform UK. 0:27:36.200 --> 0:27:37.919 He could win fifteen percent. 0:27:38.000 --> 0:27:40.760 One in six people could vote Reform UK and they 0:27:40.760 --> 0:27:43.760 could pick up zero seats although the current prediction is 0:27:43.800 --> 0:27:47.840 around three seats, so it's just a utter rejection of 0:27:47.880 --> 0:27:48.679 the major parties. 0:27:48.720 --> 0:27:50.040 I think Labor really needs to. 0:27:49.960 --> 0:27:53.560 Be careful here, and they've run such a small target campaign. 0:27:53.640 --> 0:27:56.720 Kirs Darma didn't have to do anything. He was utterly 0:27:57.400 --> 0:28:00.600 boring and that's kind of what people want. It's the fear, 0:28:00.880 --> 0:28:03.760 it's what he does on day one, it's what he 0:28:03.840 --> 0:28:06.960 does on Monday of next week. Because a lot of 0:28:06.960 --> 0:28:09.960 people in the UK will remember previous Labor gouverments. I 0:28:10.000 --> 0:28:12.359 think it was nineteen ninety eight where there's no talk 0:28:12.400 --> 0:28:14.119 about the independence of the Bank of England. 0:28:14.119 --> 0:28:16.320 They've thought a Brown did it literally the day after. 0:28:16.920 --> 0:28:19.480 Yeah, correct, Look, the reason the choppers are around is 0:28:19.480 --> 0:28:21.159 because they want to get a nice pat photo of 0:28:21.160 --> 0:28:23.879 you wearing the teal. Now the teal, of course is 0:28:23.920 --> 0:28:28.160 a message in Australia, but teal over there is reform UK. 0:28:28.680 --> 0:28:31.600 So you're coming out for Nigel today. 0:28:33.160 --> 0:28:34.760 Well, I thought you'd like this. It's a little bit 0:28:34.760 --> 0:28:35.360 of velvest. 0:28:36.240 --> 0:28:42.240 You know, Nigel is quite dapper, he's sartorially splendid always, 0:28:42.720 --> 0:28:44.560 So yeah, sure, Paul, I'll go with that. 0:28:44.800 --> 0:28:47.400 Yeah, sure, that's the special meeting at least it wasn't 0:28:47.400 --> 0:28:49.680 Suffragette white, which obviously they were wearing even on the 0:28:49.680 --> 0:28:52.320 c and end debate. Look, so let's explain our coverage 0:28:52.360 --> 0:28:56.200 tomorrow seven am matches up to ten pm UK time. 0:28:56.520 --> 0:28:59.920 You're obviously there. Give us an idea about timing result, 0:29:00.200 --> 0:29:02.440 what people need to see when they set their alarm 0:29:02.440 --> 0:29:04.520 and when they turn their telly on tomorrow morning. 0:29:06.240 --> 0:29:08.080 Well, it'll be a work bender for me. So it's 0:29:08.240 --> 0:29:09.040 midday today. 0:29:09.560 --> 0:29:12.640 Nine pm tonight will be on air here in London, 0:29:12.720 --> 0:29:15.680 that is six am your time there. 0:29:15.720 --> 0:29:17.000 The polls close at ten pm. 0:29:17.000 --> 0:29:19.520 Then we have an exit pole, and the exit pole 0:29:19.600 --> 0:29:21.160 it doesn't always get it right, but it's. 0:29:20.960 --> 0:29:22.080 Increasingly more accurate. 0:29:22.080 --> 0:29:24.760 I think there's two elections that they were way off, 0:29:24.800 --> 0:29:27.160 but last election, when I was here in the depth 0:29:27.200 --> 0:29:29.760 of winter, it was pretty much a bang on when 0:29:29.800 --> 0:29:33.680 Boris Johnson got that landslide victory. So ten pm we'll 0:29:33.720 --> 0:29:35.840 get that exit pole. We'll talk about that probably for 0:29:35.880 --> 0:29:37.840 a couple of hours to be honest, and then we'll 0:29:37.840 --> 0:29:40.880 get the first seat, a couple of seats in about 0:29:40.880 --> 0:29:41.400 an hour. 0:29:41.520 --> 0:29:43.440 Now. These will be. 0:29:43.400 --> 0:29:47.520 The first actual indication of where it's happened, where it's 0:29:47.560 --> 0:29:51.080 all happening and where the numbers will go. And usually 0:29:51.160 --> 0:29:53.360 if it was a close election, you wouldn't really take 0:29:53.400 --> 0:29:57.080 notice of these early seats. But because a landslide victory 0:29:57.200 --> 0:29:59.960 is predicted, we'll probably be able to reduce a fair 0:30:00.080 --> 0:30:02.320 bit from those first couple of seats, and then they 0:30:02.320 --> 0:30:05.360 don't trickle in like an Australian election, they just get 0:30:05.560 --> 0:30:05.920 kind of. 0:30:05.920 --> 0:30:07.520 Dumped in blocks. 0:30:07.600 --> 0:30:11.880 So we'll have a pretty good idea by about three 0:30:11.960 --> 0:30:15.800 in the morning, five in the morning afternoon your time, Paulding. 0:30:16.360 --> 0:30:18.240 So it's mega, which is why it's even better that 0:30:18.280 --> 0:30:21.040 you're getting up that little bit earlier Australian time. You're 0:30:21.080 --> 0:30:23.640 hanging out with us. Now, enjoy some apparole spirits between 0:30:23.640 --> 0:30:25.760 now and then, mate, and we look forward to seeing 0:30:25.800 --> 0:30:26.440 you tomorrow morning. 0:30:28.360 --> 0:30:30.920 That would be dangerous, but perhaps I'll think about it. 0:30:31.000 --> 0:30:32.800 Yes, I think you just might. All right, there's enough 0:30:32.840 --> 0:30:34.520 time to recover, you know, one or two now seven 0:30:34.560 --> 0:30:35.800 hours later to see what opened to see it on 0:30:36.400 --> 0:30:40.160 Laurie Jay's there of course in London. Full coverage tomorrow 0:30:40.200 --> 0:30:41.560 morning from when you wake up all the way through 0:30:41.640 --> 0:30:43.440 the best coverage here on Sky News. Make sure you 0:30:43.680 --> 0:30:45.440 keep an eye on it quick breakback with more loss 0:30:45.440 --> 0:30:48.920 to talk about Meghan Kelly speaking of stunners. She joins 0:30:48.960 --> 0:30:51.560 us from the United States in moments from now to 0:30:51.600 --> 0:30:58.680 talk about Biden bricking himself into the White House. Thank 0:30:58.720 --> 0:31:01.040 you very much for watching joining us right now, lady. 0:31:01.040 --> 0:31:02.400 I had the chance to be able to hang out 0:31:02.400 --> 0:31:05.120 with in Brisbane for our Town show on Sunday. They wonderful. 0:31:05.120 --> 0:31:06.960 Lisa got it from a dony media. Lovely to see 0:31:07.000 --> 0:31:08.640 you and I haven't seen him face to face for 0:31:08.680 --> 0:31:09.920 a while, but I'm glad to see him on the 0:31:09.920 --> 0:31:12.200 Telly the man who just wants to basically talk Biden 0:31:12.240 --> 0:31:13.840 for the next two hours, but I'm going to get 0:31:13.920 --> 0:31:16.360 him to talk about other stuff. Michael Krager, how are you, 0:31:16.400 --> 0:31:17.200 my dear friend. 0:31:18.040 --> 0:31:19.080 Paul, I couldn't be better. 0:31:19.080 --> 0:31:19.720 How are you, mate? 0:31:19.920 --> 0:31:22.400 Yeah? Very good. And if he wants to barricade himself 0:31:22.400 --> 0:31:26.320 in the White House then fine by me. All right, Yeah, 0:31:26.400 --> 0:31:29.640 let's talk here about the protest right. I'm not going 0:31:29.680 --> 0:31:31.400 to get lost in all the Muslim vote stuff and 0:31:31.400 --> 0:31:33.880 all the rest of it. Why Because, as I explained earlier, 0:31:34.520 --> 0:31:37.640 preferences work in certain ways. If major parties they basically 0:31:37.640 --> 0:31:40.000 have to run dead for those candidates to end up 0:31:40.000 --> 0:31:42.720 getting up and over. The margins are quite significant, so 0:31:42.840 --> 0:31:45.720 let's not waste time on that. Fatima in and of herself, 0:31:45.800 --> 0:31:49.840 she's either you know, of immense courage or there's a 0:31:49.840 --> 0:31:51.600 whole lot of people that have pushed her in the direction. 0:31:51.960 --> 0:31:56.000 Pay attention to the staff that she hires. Okay, pay attention. 0:31:56.480 --> 0:31:58.680 There'll be some people who you will have never heard of. 0:31:58.760 --> 0:32:00.320 But if there's somebody you may have heard of them, 0:32:00.320 --> 0:32:02.360 maybe that was the plan all the way along. Let's 0:32:02.400 --> 0:32:06.320 all find out together anyway. But protest in general, Lisa, 0:32:06.560 --> 0:32:08.640 I don't think they change people's minds, all right. I 0:32:08.640 --> 0:32:10.680 don't think people change their minds when they see kids 0:32:10.720 --> 0:32:14.080 holding placards. I don't think they see when people glue 0:32:14.080 --> 0:32:17.280 themselves to things. The media loves it because it's something 0:32:17.320 --> 0:32:19.680 other than you know, the order to general reading from 0:32:19.720 --> 0:32:23.000 a report. But no one changes their mind after this stuff, 0:32:23.120 --> 0:32:25.760 no one, no. 0:32:25.880 --> 0:32:27.640 And I think all it has done today is raise 0:32:27.760 --> 0:32:31.240 questions about safety and security at Parliament House. It was 0:32:31.560 --> 0:32:34.640 nothing more than an invasion and so there are serious 0:32:34.680 --> 0:32:36.320 questions now being asked about what is being done and 0:32:36.360 --> 0:32:38.800 actually how safe, and not just the politicians and the 0:32:38.840 --> 0:32:40.960 staff in Parliament House, but all of the members of 0:32:40.960 --> 0:32:43.160 the public and the school kids who go there because 0:32:43.200 --> 0:32:45.600 they're able to get up there ninety minutes with those 0:32:46.200 --> 0:32:48.040 messages hanging off the front of what is, you know, 0:32:48.120 --> 0:32:51.840 the People's House. It's just absolutely wrong. And my question 0:32:51.880 --> 0:32:54.480 about this is the absolute timing of it. Is it 0:32:54.520 --> 0:32:57.360 completely coincidental that it happened on the very same day 0:32:57.360 --> 0:32:59.440 that you know, the press conference has held that you know, 0:32:59.520 --> 0:33:02.560 I'm I'm leaving the Labor Party and she was so 0:33:02.760 --> 0:33:04.480 disciplined on her message. I know you don't want to 0:33:04.520 --> 0:33:06.280 get into it, but the one thing that stuck with 0:33:06.360 --> 0:33:08.600 me was when she was asked about whether she would 0:33:08.640 --> 0:33:10.680 go and be part of or set up another party 0:33:10.680 --> 0:33:13.760 of Muslim party, and she ended it with stay tuned. 0:33:14.040 --> 0:33:17.719 So from a pr media messaging perspective, she completely let 0:33:17.720 --> 0:33:20.240 herself down on being so disciplined across everything else. 0:33:20.640 --> 0:33:23.200 Yeah, look, and look, the reason I'm just pumping the 0:33:23.200 --> 0:33:25.720 brakes is just only We've all heard a lot about 0:33:25.760 --> 0:33:28.000 it in the past few days. All right, and again 0:33:28.040 --> 0:33:31.000 Michael wants to spend two hours on Biden still. But Michael, 0:33:31.000 --> 0:33:33.800 there is one thing that I wanted to on all 0:33:33.840 --> 0:33:38.640 of this, right, and again it's the role of the 0:33:38.760 --> 0:33:43.240 media right now when if somebody wants to leave the 0:33:43.640 --> 0:33:47.760 Lamby Party or One Nation or United Australia Party. I'm 0:33:47.760 --> 0:33:50.720 thinking about previous times this has all happened. They don't 0:33:50.760 --> 0:33:54.000 get the pre booked Sunday morning interview treatment followed up 0:33:54.000 --> 0:33:56.480 by the press conferences and the six pm news all right, 0:33:57.080 --> 0:33:59.000 they just don't get it, even though it doesn't change 0:33:59.000 --> 0:34:05.320 the actual numbers. She was absolutely, absolutely centered by the 0:34:05.440 --> 0:34:08.960 media to be the story of the week. I'm happy 0:34:08.960 --> 0:34:10.560 with that because it means the two little too late 0:34:10.600 --> 0:34:12.799 tax cut stuff that Prime Minister wasn't able to tell 0:34:12.840 --> 0:34:15.440 lies about that all week that actually got connected. But 0:34:15.760 --> 0:34:18.680 don't you love when the media lift up these senators 0:34:18.760 --> 0:34:22.800 nobody's ever heard of, versus completely ignore people like a 0:34:22.880 --> 0:34:26.000 Ralph Babbott who's elected to the Senate, passes motions in 0:34:26.040 --> 0:34:27.200 the Senate, but they won't interview. 0:34:29.120 --> 0:34:31.600 Yeah, but the difference there is a great difference. I mean, 0:34:31.640 --> 0:34:34.759 she's done something which has not ever really been done 0:34:34.760 --> 0:34:38.560 in Labor history. I mean mel Colston resigned and then 0:34:38.560 --> 0:34:40.640 we have, of course Billy Hughes one hundred years ago. 0:34:41.239 --> 0:34:47.120 She's defied the Labor Party rules across the floor, then 0:34:47.280 --> 0:34:51.920 said she's abstaining and then resigned. So is that newsworthy? 0:34:52.000 --> 0:34:52.359 It is? 0:34:53.160 --> 0:34:56.640 What she's done is newsworthy. What isn't newsworthy? Mate to 0:34:56.680 --> 0:34:59.919 be quite frank, and I don't accept what Lisa said. 0:34:59.920 --> 0:35:02.920 I think demonstrations are designed to intimidate people. He's left 0:35:02.960 --> 0:35:06.600 to his hard left. You know, fascist demonstrations are designed 0:35:06.600 --> 0:35:09.600 to intimidate people, and they do intimidate people. They certainly 0:35:09.600 --> 0:35:12.800 do intimidate people. But there's two things. First of all, 0:35:13.120 --> 0:35:16.320 is it newsworthy any longer? I mean, is it really 0:35:16.320 --> 0:35:19.760 of great import that for clowns? You know, Jewish hating 0:35:19.840 --> 0:35:22.439 clowns are on top of the Parliament House. 0:35:22.520 --> 0:35:26.160 We don't news And I'm just going to say, remember 0:35:26.160 --> 0:35:28.600 we don't show streakers anymore because we don't want to 0:35:28.640 --> 0:35:32.640 encourage streak outs. Why would you? This is basically principle now, 0:35:33.200 --> 0:35:35.040 which means fine, if I've got to put up with 0:35:35.080 --> 0:35:37.760 the extinction rebellion people, I also get to see naked 0:35:37.760 --> 0:35:39.920 people at the footing, all right, So just pick a 0:35:40.200 --> 0:35:43.120 hand one or let it all hang out. That's my 0:35:43.239 --> 0:35:43.719 view on this. 0:35:43.840 --> 0:35:47.799 All the other thing are extinct are extinction rebellion demonstrations 0:35:47.880 --> 0:35:51.600 newsworthy anymore. And secondly, you know, I wonder particular with 0:35:51.680 --> 0:35:56.160 these Jewish hating Palestinian demonstrations, many of which are you know, 0:35:57.040 --> 0:36:00.799 have HMAS supporters there? Have they? These people lost their 0:36:00.840 --> 0:36:03.800 social license to demonstrate. I mean, in Australia, a peaceful 0:36:03.800 --> 0:36:07.360 demonstration where you don't interfere with other people is considered legitimate. 0:36:08.080 --> 0:36:14.160 But these demonstrations full of vicious hatred, law breaking, nasty, provocative, 0:36:14.520 --> 0:36:18.840 full of hate speech. Is this legitimate in Australia in 0:36:18.880 --> 0:36:21.040 terms of you know, we know the law can't stop them, 0:36:21.080 --> 0:36:22.480 doesn't stop them, and you can say anything you want 0:36:22.480 --> 0:36:24.320 in Australia, do anything you want to not be arrested, 0:36:24.719 --> 0:36:27.360 as we know from the demonstrations in Sydney. But boy, 0:36:27.920 --> 0:36:30.640 you know, is a social license trampled on by these people? 0:36:30.680 --> 0:36:31.600 I would have thought, say. 0:36:31.600 --> 0:36:33.200 Yeah, very good, very good point. But of course the 0:36:33.200 --> 0:36:35.440 little state's all under the guys of you know, a 0:36:35.560 --> 0:36:38.759 nation state as opposed to all of that stuff. Let's 0:36:38.760 --> 0:36:42.480 get to Biden. Let's get to Biden. So it is fascinating, Lisa. 0:36:42.560 --> 0:36:45.080 It's obvious where the media wants to go. But what's 0:36:45.360 --> 0:36:47.640 incredible is the media want him out, not because he's 0:36:47.640 --> 0:36:49.680 not fit for offers. It's just because he won't win, 0:36:50.120 --> 0:36:53.280 all right, Because of course if he's not fit for offers, 0:36:53.440 --> 0:36:56.240 he should be out now, let alone, you know, propped 0:36:56.280 --> 0:36:59.600 up between now in November. But he is doing he's 0:36:59.640 --> 0:37:02.319 making the most of the awkwardness of somebody coming out 0:37:02.360 --> 0:37:05.560 against him and using all of the advantages of the 0:37:05.560 --> 0:37:10.120 incumbency to barricade himself in and self selecting the people 0:37:10.120 --> 0:37:12.239 who come and meet him and then go out and 0:37:12.320 --> 0:37:15.600 say how amazing all is. It's not going to work, 0:37:16.000 --> 0:37:18.600 but it'll put it off the inevitable for a little while, 0:37:18.640 --> 0:37:22.160 and that's good for Trump, right. Yeah. 0:37:22.200 --> 0:37:24.080 The person I feel sorry for here is the White 0:37:24.120 --> 0:37:26.799 House spokesperson because how many excuses does she have to 0:37:26.880 --> 0:37:29.120 keep coming up with we had, the cold we had, 0:37:29.320 --> 0:37:31.720 is having a bad day, and now she's there denying 0:37:31.760 --> 0:37:34.520 that these conversations are happening behind closed doors. But what's 0:37:34.560 --> 0:37:36.479 telling is that people are now staying to leak about 0:37:36.480 --> 0:37:39.120 what is happening in those conversations. And as you say, 0:37:39.320 --> 0:37:42.320 once the donor's closed the purses, well then what happens 0:37:42.320 --> 0:37:46.560 from there. So the great piece I loved about today 0:37:46.680 --> 0:37:49.440 was they just put block on your phone and block them. 0:37:50.040 --> 0:37:51.960 The message will get through thick and fast, and Michael 0:37:51.960 --> 0:37:53.799 will know this. As soon as the money drives up, well, 0:37:54.000 --> 0:37:55.799 you know, support for Biden's going to quickly dry up 0:37:55.800 --> 0:37:56.200 as well. 0:37:56.400 --> 0:38:01.359 Yeah, I mean again, it's fascinating, Michael. Look again, I 0:38:01.400 --> 0:38:04.920 think he can use all of his advantages to barricade 0:38:04.960 --> 0:38:08.240 himself in great He's going to lose. 0:38:10.560 --> 0:38:12.000 Not only is he going to lose, mate, he's not 0:38:12.000 --> 0:38:15.800 going to run. He's finished. He's not the Democratic candidate. 0:38:15.840 --> 0:38:18.520 He will be standing down as a Democratic candidate. The 0:38:18.560 --> 0:38:22.120 Democratic Convention starts on the ninetieth of August next month, right, 0:38:22.160 --> 0:38:24.560 so what's that three six weeks away, seven weeks away. 0:38:25.120 --> 0:38:28.400 He will stand down either before then or at that convention. 0:38:28.600 --> 0:38:32.279 They cannot go through the charade of him winning the 0:38:32.320 --> 0:38:36.319 convention and everyone's standing giving him, you know, standing ovations 0:38:36.360 --> 0:38:38.840 and applause and saying how incredibly he is and wonderful 0:38:38.840 --> 0:38:40.600 he is, and he's on the top of his game 0:38:40.640 --> 0:38:44.000 and his mind sharp, and then having him resign a 0:38:44.040 --> 0:38:45.960 couple of months later, and having to put Harris in 0:38:46.000 --> 0:38:47.200 and then go to the other and they can't do 0:38:47.239 --> 0:38:49.880 that if he's going he's got to go by August nineteen, 0:38:50.200 --> 0:38:52.600 and he is going by August nineteen. You cannot possibly 0:38:52.640 --> 0:38:55.920 have this bloke as the candidate. And it looks it 0:38:55.920 --> 0:38:59.879 looks increasingly likely as every day passes that Harris will 0:38:59.880 --> 0:39:02.200 be the candidate for a multitude of reasons. But I'll 0:39:02.200 --> 0:39:04.120 tell you, having just come back from Europe, mate, the 0:39:04.120 --> 0:39:07.880 most interesting thing is this. Until last Friday, in that debate, 0:39:09.800 --> 0:39:12.760 watch viewers of Sky News and Paul Murray Show in particular, 0:39:12.800 --> 0:39:15.879 we're two years ahead of European and American opinion. Because 0:39:15.920 --> 0:39:18.520 it's only a last Friday that people said, hang on this, 0:39:18.760 --> 0:39:21.160 I've set in this debate, this brokes. He's a brick 0:39:21.200 --> 0:39:21.919 short of a load. 0:39:22.400 --> 0:39:24.080 He's got dementia. 0:39:24.080 --> 0:39:27.200 There's something wrong with him. Because the American left, hard 0:39:27.280 --> 0:39:29.480 left press, that's not the mainstream press anymore, just the 0:39:29.520 --> 0:39:32.480 hard left press seen in New York Times, the British press. 0:39:32.760 --> 0:39:35.080 They had all been listening to the White House spokeswoman 0:39:35.120 --> 0:39:37.960 who's saying no's he's absolutely on top of his game. 0:39:38.000 --> 0:39:40.640 He's as sharp as attack. And now on the last 0:39:40.640 --> 0:39:43.520 Friday that people learned what you'd been telling people for 0:39:43.600 --> 0:39:48.400 two years that Joe Biden, Joe Biden unfortunately is incapable 0:39:48.400 --> 0:39:50.600 of carrying on. And it's come as a huge shock 0:39:50.840 --> 0:39:54.080 to everyone in Europe and America that this bloke isn't 0:39:54.160 --> 0:39:56.440 up to the job. I mean, it is just totally 0:39:56.480 --> 0:39:59.480 bizarre and shame on. Shame on those left wing media 0:39:59.560 --> 0:40:02.759 organization in America who've been protecting Biden. I'm not the 0:40:02.760 --> 0:40:05.560 first to make this part, obviously, but shame on them, 0:40:06.040 --> 0:40:08.680 because mate, as anywhey's watched you for two years is known, 0:40:09.440 --> 0:40:11.960 he has had a very sad and rapid decline over 0:40:12.000 --> 0:40:15.600 that period and it's terrible, and you know, it's frightening 0:40:15.640 --> 0:40:17.280 to watch. He's the leader of the free world. 0:40:18.160 --> 0:40:20.959 Absolutely all right, Lisa, you're winner or loser of the week? 0:40:21.200 --> 0:40:21.759 Who is it? 0:40:23.880 --> 0:40:25.440 I'm going to go who's a winner of the week, 0:40:25.480 --> 0:40:28.359 which I don't think exists any anyone out there who 0:40:28.400 --> 0:40:31.040 was reporting on the parliamentary ball and didn't and didn't 0:40:31.040 --> 0:40:33.000 comment on the men and what men were wearing? Who 0:40:33.040 --> 0:40:33.520 are you wearing? 0:40:33.560 --> 0:40:34.200 What are you wearing? 0:40:34.280 --> 0:40:35.120 Or we heard about what the. 0:40:35.120 --> 0:40:37.320 Women were wearing? And I think we should be past 0:40:37.360 --> 0:40:37.799 that now. 0:40:37.960 --> 0:40:39.719 Oh look at you. I like it, but weren't the 0:40:39.719 --> 0:40:41.759 blokes are wearing the same boring black suit. There's not 0:40:41.800 --> 0:40:43.640 there's nothing in it. There's not, there's no But then 0:40:43.680 --> 0:40:45.719 then again, now we're going to have people that have 0:40:45.760 --> 0:40:48.360 got the message in the lining and all of that stuff, 0:40:48.440 --> 0:40:50.960 which AOC did years ago, and it was garbage then 0:40:51.040 --> 0:40:53.800 as well. But no, fair point. I can't interrupt Michael 0:40:53.880 --> 0:40:54.600 winner or a loser. 0:40:55.000 --> 0:40:56.400 Well, then we get to ignore the dresses. 0:40:57.920 --> 0:40:59.440 Okay, now I understand what you were saying. 0:41:00.960 --> 0:41:03.319 Winner of the week clearly the man who said you 0:41:03.440 --> 0:41:05.760 sure did beat many care you bet it to death. 0:41:06.480 --> 0:41:09.200 He's the winner of the week and the loser of 0:41:09.200 --> 0:41:13.440 the week, the loser of the week, two of them, Macron, 0:41:13.520 --> 0:41:17.040 the president of France and Sunak, the Prime Minister of Britain. 0:41:17.520 --> 0:41:20.480 As a warning to politicians they're going to lose anyway, 0:41:20.600 --> 0:41:23.319 don't call unnecessary early elections. The public don't like it. 0:41:23.560 --> 0:41:25.640 Here here through Malcolm Timberland for the triumper and if 0:41:25.680 --> 0:41:27.799 you'd like, all right, thank you, so you later enjoy 0:41:27.800 --> 0:41:30.080 your weekend. Megan Kelly joins us from the US next. 0:41:30.239 --> 0:41:37.359 I wonder what we're talking about. I want to see. Well, 0:41:37.400 --> 0:41:39.200 as you know, it feels like all hell is breaking 0:41:39.239 --> 0:41:42.320 loose in the United States, but amazingly despite all the noise, 0:41:42.360 --> 0:41:45.040 all the news, Biden, it looks like he's trying to 0:41:45.080 --> 0:41:49.160 barricade himself into the job, into the White House. The 0:41:49.239 --> 0:41:52.000 times are tough, the news is big. But Meghan Kelly 0:41:52.080 --> 0:41:54.000 always looks a million bucks. How can you look so 0:41:54.080 --> 0:41:55.400 good during a time like this? 0:41:56.120 --> 0:41:59.080 Honestly, I'm just I'm a glow from the fire hose 0:41:59.120 --> 0:42:01.400 of news that we've been drinking from today. 0:42:01.400 --> 0:42:04.319 It's wonderful to have news to cover. This is kind of. 0:42:04.280 --> 0:42:07.960 Dark stuff, But you know, I can't say I'm sorry 0:42:08.000 --> 0:42:11.000 to see it happening because they've been lying to us. 0:42:11.000 --> 0:42:15.320 They've been defrauding the American people about our president's mental state. 0:42:15.840 --> 0:42:19.040 We've known it was a fraud. You at Sky News 0:42:19.520 --> 0:42:23.160 have been doing more honest coverage of our president's cognitive 0:42:23.239 --> 0:42:27.560 abilities than the American news media has. So I don't 0:42:27.600 --> 0:42:29.839 really shed any tears over what they're going through right 0:42:29.840 --> 0:42:31.960 now because they created this mess. 0:42:33.080 --> 0:42:34.960 Look, I can't believe it, but he looks like he's 0:42:35.080 --> 0:42:37.360 doubling down and now one's going to be able to 0:42:37.360 --> 0:42:38.040 force him out. 0:42:39.040 --> 0:42:41.759 You know, the five stages of grief are said to 0:42:41.800 --> 0:42:46.960 start with denial, Right, it's not happening, No, it's not 0:42:47.360 --> 0:42:49.719 the case. And then I think eventually we're going to 0:42:49.760 --> 0:42:54.359 get to bargaining and anger and finally acceptance. But the 0:42:54.440 --> 0:42:59.120 odds of a democratic president being able to withstand the 0:42:59.239 --> 0:43:03.920 kind of media assault that he is under right now 0:43:04.440 --> 0:43:07.640 are slim and nun I've never seen it done before. 0:43:07.840 --> 0:43:10.279 I mean, he'd have to pull a Trump, and he's 0:43:10.360 --> 0:43:15.239 no Trump. The leftists in our country care what the 0:43:15.280 --> 0:43:19.640 New York Times says. They care what's in Politico and 0:43:19.719 --> 0:43:25.400 on CNN and MSNBC and mourning Joe, and they're hearing 0:43:25.600 --> 0:43:30.040 almost universally the same message, which is he's infirm, he 0:43:30.320 --> 0:43:31.719 is in cognitive decline. 0:43:32.080 --> 0:43:33.840 They're lying to us about. 0:43:33.560 --> 0:43:36.200 His ability to do it, and oh, by the way, 0:43:36.560 --> 0:43:37.479 he can't win. 0:43:38.040 --> 0:43:38.879 He can't win. 0:43:39.440 --> 0:43:41.600 And the most devastating thing that's happened to Joe Biden 0:43:42.520 --> 0:43:45.520 after the Thursday night debate. I remember this time last 0:43:45.560 --> 0:43:46.799 week we talked and I said, oh, I can't wait 0:43:46.800 --> 0:43:47.160 to talk. 0:43:47.000 --> 0:43:47.680 To you after the debate. 0:43:47.760 --> 0:43:51.919 My god, if only we had seen exactly how catastrophic 0:43:51.960 --> 0:43:55.719 it would be. The only thing that really mattered after 0:43:55.760 --> 0:43:59.239 that debate was this release by Puck News of the 0:43:59.239 --> 0:44:02.560 internal Democrat polls, and those are the best reason I've 0:44:02.560 --> 0:44:05.560 seen so far to predict it's over for Joe Biden. 0:44:06.600 --> 0:44:08.520 And I think what annoys me is that the people 0:44:08.719 --> 0:44:10.880 who are trying to move him on and not doing 0:44:10.960 --> 0:44:13.840 it because he's an embarrassment to the country. They're not 0:44:13.880 --> 0:44:16.840 doing it because he can't govern the country. They're simply 0:44:16.880 --> 0:44:18.799 doing it because they think he can't win. 0:44:19.719 --> 0:44:23.680 Yeah, so two points on that one. The polls are 0:44:23.680 --> 0:44:26.160 so bad, I don't know how to describe to you 0:44:26.200 --> 0:44:27.840 how bad they are. Yes, the New York Times is 0:44:27.840 --> 0:44:30.520 putting it at six point spread among likely voters. It's 0:44:30.560 --> 0:44:34.279 I think nine with registered which is just absolutely devastating. 0:44:34.600 --> 0:44:37.440 But we don't have a national election here. We have, 0:44:37.640 --> 0:44:39.560 you know, an electoral college, and what that means is 0:44:39.600 --> 0:44:42.879 these critical six to eight depending on how generous you are, 0:44:43.040 --> 0:44:45.680 swing states are going to decide this presidential race. And 0:44:45.760 --> 0:44:49.200 he's hemorrhaging in the swing states. 0:44:49.239 --> 0:44:49.479 Now. 0:44:49.760 --> 0:44:52.640 He's lost at least two points according to these internal 0:44:52.640 --> 0:44:57.480 Democrat polls in every single swing state. CBS News has 0:44:57.480 --> 0:44:58.399 a poll out putting it. 0:44:58.360 --> 0:45:00.720 At more like four points of loss. 0:45:00.719 --> 0:45:03.040 Sorry, it's more like between two and three on the 0:45:03.080 --> 0:45:06.080 internal bowl, more like four with CBS and it's not 0:45:06.120 --> 0:45:08.959 just the swing states. Now that debate has made non 0:45:09.040 --> 0:45:13.960 swinging states, states that are reliably blue states suddenly swing 0:45:14.000 --> 0:45:18.640 states or leaning red. New Hampshire Donald Trump is now 0:45:18.760 --> 0:45:22.000 up by two. Joe Biden won New Hampshire by seven. 0:45:22.680 --> 0:45:25.560 Just six months ago, he was winning it by ten. 0:45:26.200 --> 0:45:29.920 It's been a twelve point swing New Hampshire to Donald 0:45:29.920 --> 0:45:34.359 Trump's territory. New Mexico. Joe Biden now up just by 0:45:35.600 --> 0:45:39.160 one in the five way. He's up by two in 0:45:39.200 --> 0:45:42.839 the two way. Just before the debate, Biden was up 0:45:42.880 --> 0:45:46.520 by seven New Mexico. We should not be talking about 0:45:46.560 --> 0:45:50.680 this state. It is reliably blue. Same story in Virginia, 0:45:50.920 --> 0:45:53.000 which once upon a time was red, but for the 0:45:53.040 --> 0:45:56.120 past several election cycles has been solidly blue. All those 0:45:56.200 --> 0:45:57.600 Democrats from Washington d C. 0:45:57.880 --> 0:45:58.279 Moved there. 0:45:58.320 --> 0:46:01.400 It's right next door in northern Virginia and turned it blue. 0:46:01.840 --> 0:46:04.480 No longer. It's looking redder and redder by the second. 0:46:05.000 --> 0:46:08.400 Forget the swing states. He's taking the reliably blue states 0:46:08.400 --> 0:46:11.839 and making them swing states or red states. That is 0:46:11.880 --> 0:46:15.399 going to lead them to kick him out. Now, yes, 0:46:15.440 --> 0:46:18.759 it's ultimately his decision, but he's not going to be 0:46:18.760 --> 0:46:21.640 able to withstand party leadership coming out and pushing him, 0:46:21.800 --> 0:46:25.719 and mark my words, if these party leaders believe he's 0:46:25.719 --> 0:46:28.960 going to cost them the Senate and the House, right 0:46:28.960 --> 0:46:32.200 that they're because the Democrats are hoping to reclaim control 0:46:32.239 --> 0:46:34.080 of the House. So if he's going to cost them 0:46:34.200 --> 0:46:37.000 the Senate and the House and the White House, they 0:46:37.040 --> 0:46:38.680 will push him out. They will make it so that 0:46:39.040 --> 0:46:41.719 he cannot hold on. So that's point number one, point 0:46:41.760 --> 0:46:45.880 number two on the news media. The only reason that 0:46:45.920 --> 0:46:48.839 they're doing this is because the jig is up. Saw 0:46:48.880 --> 0:46:51.000 with our own eyes the state that he is in 0:46:51.560 --> 0:46:55.399 is no longer possible for them to deny the state 0:46:55.480 --> 0:46:57.759 that he's in. We've now seen and heard it for 0:46:57.960 --> 0:47:02.360 ninety minutes straight. And on top of that, they've realized 0:47:02.400 --> 0:47:07.839 that their lawfare campaign failed. It failed miserably, and so 0:47:07.960 --> 0:47:12.399 they have no choice but to break glass in case 0:47:12.440 --> 0:47:16.439 of emergency and do the unthinkable, get rid of him 0:47:17.080 --> 0:47:21.760 and try their luck with anyone, anyone other than Biden. 0:47:22.400 --> 0:47:24.680 Let's talk about Kamala. Is there any proof that she 0:47:24.719 --> 0:47:27.520 would do any better? Every Paul I've ever saying says 0:47:27.520 --> 0:47:29.080 she's less popular than Biden. 0:47:29.880 --> 0:47:31.440 There's no evidence about whatsoever. 0:47:31.760 --> 0:47:33.880 And I think there's a fair amount of evidence to 0:47:33.920 --> 0:47:38.080 the contrary. She right now, according to the latest poll, is 0:47:38.120 --> 0:47:40.399 doing a little better in a hypothetical matchup against Joe 0:47:40.400 --> 0:47:43.359 Biden than Biden, in a matchup against Donald Trump than 0:47:43.360 --> 0:47:47.919 Biden is. However, her numbers will fall precipitously. They will 0:47:47.920 --> 0:47:50.880 fall like that. As soon as they say she's the 0:47:50.920 --> 0:47:55.160 new nominee. The Republicans will unleash a. 0:47:55.160 --> 0:47:56.520 Flurry of ads. 0:47:57.000 --> 0:48:01.640 And unlike what the Democrats said were chief fakes, they 0:48:01.640 --> 0:48:03.440 don't have to cheap fake anything. 0:48:03.440 --> 0:48:05.040 By the way, they weren't cheap fakes. They were real. 0:48:05.560 --> 0:48:08.319 All of Biden's infirm moments. They just have to keep 0:48:08.360 --> 0:48:09.400 showing Kamala Harris. 0:48:09.640 --> 0:48:10.200 Just show her. 0:48:10.760 --> 0:48:12.680 She doesn't have to be stumbling, she doesn't have to 0:48:12.719 --> 0:48:15.759 be falling down like Joe Biden. Just show her show 0:48:15.800 --> 0:48:18.400 we're laughing, Show her attempts at humor, Show her attempts 0:48:18.440 --> 0:48:22.759 to instruct us about space, about Ukraine, about being unburdened 0:48:22.760 --> 0:48:25.279 by what has been, by what can be, which is 0:48:25.320 --> 0:48:27.919 about said about forty times a day every time she's 0:48:27.960 --> 0:48:32.000 trying to inspire us. She is not an inspirational leader. 0:48:32.440 --> 0:48:35.479 She knows about as much as this pen on most 0:48:35.480 --> 0:48:37.919 of our history, and no one wants to spend any 0:48:37.920 --> 0:48:40.200 more time with her, so her numbers will fall, and 0:48:40.239 --> 0:48:41.120 they will fall fast. 0:48:41.640 --> 0:48:43.520 And the Democrats know this. 0:48:44.000 --> 0:48:47.840 They have to pretend that they're considering her because the 0:48:47.880 --> 0:48:51.120 biggest voting block of the Democrat Party is black women. 0:48:52.000 --> 0:48:55.120 They can't tell those people they're turfing the black woman 0:48:55.160 --> 0:48:57.640 who they put into the office because she's black and 0:48:57.680 --> 0:48:59.160 a woman. How's that going to go? 0:48:59.239 --> 0:49:02.279 Your Ruckstot, thank you so much, thank you, thank you 0:49:02.400 --> 0:49:02.719 very much. 0:49:02.760 --> 0:49:03.360 Great to see you.