WEBVTT - Paul Murray Live | 13 April 0:00:00.120 --> 0:00:07.440 From the Skying Center. This is Paul Murray life, the. 0:00:07.520 --> 0:00:09.440 Ultimate OSSI pronounce of course matin dah. 0:00:09.680 --> 0:00:10.760 That's it. And you can fit. 0:00:10.640 --> 0:00:12.360 Into either of them. Whichever way you want to go, 0:00:12.400 --> 0:00:13.800 it will be all right. Or if you want to 0:00:13.800 --> 0:00:16.079 pretend that you don't remember somebody, you just refeard of them. 0:00:15.960 --> 0:00:18.360 As old mate. O, old mate? What about old mate? 0:00:18.480 --> 0:00:20.799 All right now, before we get into anything else, I 0:00:20.800 --> 0:00:22.680 am going to toot a little horn if we had 0:00:22.680 --> 0:00:25.400 one here. Both sides of politics have agreed with what 0:00:25.440 --> 0:00:27.800 we've been talking about for three years. It's time for 0:00:28.000 --> 0:00:31.360 automatic tax returns for people who desperately need them. 0:00:31.360 --> 0:00:33.160 I'll explain the details on both. 0:00:33.240 --> 0:00:35.120 But finally, and I don't care who went first, who 0:00:35.120 --> 0:00:38.320 went second, who responded to who you are going to 0:00:38.400 --> 0:00:40.559 end up either way, there's a government formed with an 0:00:40.600 --> 0:00:43.800 automatic tax return. Excellent stuff, all right now, State of 0:00:43.840 --> 0:00:46.000 the Race, hardcore night on Sunday Night. When we get 0:00:46.000 --> 0:00:49.479 into hardcore politics, all the data deep dives, everything from 0:00:49.600 --> 0:00:52.360 news poll you gub Redbridge, there's a whole bunch of data. 0:00:52.600 --> 0:00:55.960 The wonderful day Lee three years ago, she's the KK killer. 0:00:56.120 --> 0:00:58.560 Can she hold off labor book? You say so? We'll 0:00:58.560 --> 0:00:59.680 talk to her a little bit later. 0:01:00.040 --> 0:01:03.120 And this time tomorrow night, I live a television dream 0:01:03.640 --> 0:01:05.880 because I'm doing a show from the Seagulls Club in 0:01:05.880 --> 0:01:08.720 tweed Heads. I've supported them many times through the Pokeys, 0:01:08.760 --> 0:01:11.920 but tomorrow night we do it with content, the Mavericks, 0:01:11.920 --> 0:01:15.880 Pauline Hanson, Matt Canavan, Bob Catter. This time tomorrow and 0:01:15.959 --> 0:01:19.480 night the people who truly will shake up the next parliament, 0:01:19.520 --> 0:01:22.760 regardless of who ends up being the government after that election, 0:01:23.000 --> 0:01:26.919 which is now just twenty days away, Just twenty days 0:01:27.040 --> 0:01:30.360 until the federal election. Three weeks and counting. We are 0:01:30.400 --> 0:01:32.640 almost of the halfway period, as we will be about 0:01:32.680 --> 0:01:36.000 Tuesday Wednesday of this week, nine days until the first. 0:01:35.880 --> 0:01:36.639 Boats are cast. 0:01:36.920 --> 0:01:39.200 They would be cast next Monday, but because of the 0:01:39.200 --> 0:01:42.440 holiday Monday and Easter, it is nine days away, not 0:01:42.520 --> 0:01:44.039 this but next Tuesday. 0:01:44.560 --> 0:01:45.280 This week we. 0:01:45.240 --> 0:01:47.040 Will start to see the how to vote cards. This 0:01:47.120 --> 0:01:49.520 week we will start to see the preferences. This week 0:01:49.560 --> 0:01:51.840 we will know how many people are running in certain 0:01:51.920 --> 0:01:53.840 seats and we can start to put together the picture 0:01:54.040 --> 0:01:57.200 of what may or may not happen in twenty days 0:01:57.280 --> 0:02:01.800 from now. Both the parties had made campaign launches Normally 0:02:01.800 --> 0:02:04.320 these are saved until the very last minute, and that's 0:02:04.400 --> 0:02:07.800 for organizational reasons, but also it's to get a big. 0:02:07.640 --> 0:02:10.480 Blast before election day. But as you know. 0:02:11.040 --> 0:02:13.240 Early voting, half of people all vote early, so now 0:02:13.280 --> 0:02:15.200 you've got to get the big bang in before. They 0:02:15.240 --> 0:02:17.040 wouldn't do it on East Sunday. So that puts it 0:02:17.080 --> 0:02:19.960 forward to today in Perth, the Prime Minister had his 0:02:20.320 --> 0:02:23.080 formal launch for a second term in office. Now remember 0:02:23.120 --> 0:02:25.640 the history that Albo is playing for. If he is 0:02:25.880 --> 0:02:28.120 re elected, then he'll be the first prime minister to 0:02:28.160 --> 0:02:31.480 be re elected in this country since two thousand and four, 0:02:31.560 --> 0:02:33.760 the first prime minister to go to two elections to 0:02:33.919 --> 0:02:37.080 win back to back elections. That's huge history, the first 0:02:37.080 --> 0:02:41.000 of the Labor Party since nineteen ninety three. Now I 0:02:41.000 --> 0:02:42.800 think this bloke, he is not the person who should 0:02:42.800 --> 0:02:44.920 be getting that place in history. But the Polese said 0:02:45.320 --> 0:02:47.240 seem to suggest that is what is about to happen. 0:02:47.400 --> 0:02:52.320 But nothing is inevitable. Now for his announcements today, well, 0:02:52.400 --> 0:02:54.840 there were lots of people who were out and about 0:02:54.840 --> 0:02:56.960 and before they got to anything they were going to do, 0:02:57.080 --> 0:02:59.320 there was another person on their list. Remember this is 0:02:59.320 --> 0:03:03.440 the Labour part launch put simply it's their advertorial and 0:03:03.480 --> 0:03:05.480 if you turned onto the morning show, you wouldn't see 0:03:05.480 --> 0:03:07.600 advertorials that mentioned the other product. 0:03:07.600 --> 0:03:08.120 This much. 0:03:09.400 --> 0:03:12.200 Peter Darton, Peter Dunt, Peter Dunt, Peter Dutton. 0:03:11.960 --> 0:03:14.440 Peter Dart and Peter Dutt and Peter Dart, Peter dut 0:03:14.440 --> 0:03:16.600 Hee did Dut, Peter Dut, Peter Dutton, Dart and Dart 0:03:16.639 --> 0:03:18.920 and Dart and Pitter dup Peter dune Head, Dart and Dun. 0:03:18.960 --> 0:03:20.400 Dun Dun Dart and Peter Dutton. 0:03:21.360 --> 0:03:23.280 Before I tell you about this cup, can I tell 0:03:23.320 --> 0:03:24.680 you about this other cup? 0:03:24.960 --> 0:03:27.960 Oh, this other cup, ste this cup before, before this cup? 0:03:28.040 --> 0:03:28.560 This can you go? 0:03:28.880 --> 0:03:30.519 I thought you were trying to sell me this one, 0:03:30.600 --> 0:03:32.560 And yes, I know they both look kind of the same. 0:03:32.720 --> 0:03:35.440 That's the point for many Australians right now now. One 0:03:35.480 --> 0:03:38.520 of the first decisions this government made was to get 0:03:38.600 --> 0:03:40.720 rid of the load of middle income tax off set. 0:03:40.840 --> 0:03:42.800 I mean, the only person in Australian media who has 0:03:42.840 --> 0:03:45.800 relentlessly for three years bang on about this being a 0:03:45.920 --> 0:03:49.520 terrible decision because while it was a COVID era policy, 0:03:49.600 --> 0:03:52.200 it should have been kept all the way through these 0:03:52.240 --> 0:03:56.160 past three years. And that was an automatic tax return 0:03:56.680 --> 0:03:59.960 for people, and this amount of money previously was fit 0:04:00.000 --> 0:04:01.960 fis teen hundred dollars. The lips say it's going to 0:04:01.960 --> 0:04:05.080 be twelve hundred dollars, and Albow now says that it's 0:04:05.080 --> 0:04:08.560 going to be one thousand dollars. Now, this policy matters, 0:04:08.800 --> 0:04:14.680 and it really matters because according to Finder the Finance website, 0:04:15.280 --> 0:04:18.599 forty three percent of people in this country, sorry, thirty 0:04:18.640 --> 0:04:20.880 four percent of people in this country use their tax 0:04:20.920 --> 0:04:21.760 return to. 0:04:21.760 --> 0:04:23.240 Pay for a major bill. 0:04:23.640 --> 0:04:25.760 Well, there's plenty of people who have major bills that 0:04:25.760 --> 0:04:28.240 are much bigger than a thousand or twelve hundred dollars. 0:04:28.760 --> 0:04:30.520 For an awful lot of people in Australia that one 0:04:30.520 --> 0:04:34.040 thousand dollars could clear a credit card, that twelve hundred 0:04:34.080 --> 0:04:36.840 dollars could pay for a couple of bills. It could 0:04:36.880 --> 0:04:39.159 meet You might be able to go and buy a 0:04:39.240 --> 0:04:41.760 new appliance. You might be able to do something to 0:04:41.760 --> 0:04:44.040 fix up the car. It might take the pressure off 0:04:44.080 --> 0:04:46.599 the family that little bit when you have no other 0:04:46.720 --> 0:04:49.800 money to borrow. That's why this policy should be there, 0:04:49.839 --> 0:04:54.040 because the single largest source of revenue too the federal 0:04:54.080 --> 0:04:57.560 government is the average worker. Pay as you go. It's 0:04:57.560 --> 0:05:00.120 not company tax. It's not excise, it's not the GS, 0:05:00.800 --> 0:05:03.839 it's not money from multinationals, and it's not from mining companies. 0:05:04.080 --> 0:05:07.120 It's from you and me, the people who pay their 0:05:07.160 --> 0:05:12.800 tax weekly, fortnightly or monthly because we work for somebody else. Now, 0:05:12.839 --> 0:05:14.680 I think the Prime Minister did this because they got 0:05:14.680 --> 0:05:16.320 win that the Liberal Party was going to do it. 0:05:16.520 --> 0:05:18.640 The Liberal Party's going to do it because in part 0:05:18.760 --> 0:05:21.839 we have kept that campaign going for three years. So 0:05:21.960 --> 0:05:24.920 you know what, I don't care about the credit. I 0:05:25.040 --> 0:05:27.840 just care that people who need it will have one 0:05:27.880 --> 0:05:31.400 thousand dollars coming back or twelve hundred dollars coming back 0:05:31.560 --> 0:05:34.680 whoever forms government, and that's going to help millions of 0:05:34.680 --> 0:05:35.839 people across the country. 0:05:35.920 --> 0:05:36.960 Here's the PM's. 0:05:36.720 --> 0:05:41.200 Version today, I announced that a reelected labor government will 0:05:41.240 --> 0:05:45.920 create a new one thousand dollars instant tax deduction. 0:05:46.960 --> 0:05:48.520 Great, I said, I praise him. 0:05:48.520 --> 0:05:50.159 If they did it at fifteen hundred, I wish it 0:05:50.200 --> 0:05:52.600 was fifteen hundred, but they've put it. 0:05:52.560 --> 0:05:53.200 At a thousand. 0:05:53.920 --> 0:05:57.680 Now, this is a very good policy because it puts 0:05:57.720 --> 0:05:59.159 money in the hands of the people who need it. 0:05:59.160 --> 0:06:01.680 I don't understand why it's not means tested, but it 0:06:01.720 --> 0:06:03.280 goes from the people at the very top all the 0:06:03.320 --> 0:06:06.120 way to the people who need the money more at 0:06:06.160 --> 0:06:09.080 the very bottom. But a bigger and better offering comes 0:06:09.120 --> 0:06:11.040 from the coalition. I'll get to that in the moment's time. 0:06:11.480 --> 0:06:13.080 But I know that there are people who are willing 0:06:13.080 --> 0:06:16.080 to vote somewhere for the first time if it's a 0:06:16.080 --> 0:06:18.159 way of getting towards the system where people are going 0:06:18.200 --> 0:06:20.960 to be able to buy their first house. The Labor 0:06:20.960 --> 0:06:23.559 Party version of this is that they want to say 0:06:23.600 --> 0:06:25.880 that if you're a first home buyer and you buy 0:06:26.000 --> 0:06:29.320 something about the median level of price in your capital 0:06:29.320 --> 0:06:32.880 city or local country town, that you can do it 0:06:32.920 --> 0:06:35.640 with just a five percent deposit. The difference will not 0:06:35.680 --> 0:06:38.000 be made up for the government, but essentially the government 0:06:38.040 --> 0:06:40.479 will go as the guaranteur. The government will end up 0:06:40.520 --> 0:06:45.920 spending billions of dollars on a form of homeown insurance. Now, 0:06:45.960 --> 0:06:48.800 this is a dodgy policy if people end up defaulting 0:06:48.800 --> 0:06:52.960 on their loans. Low dock low deposit home loans cause 0:06:53.000 --> 0:06:55.719 massive problems in the United States. But if you're somebody 0:06:55.720 --> 0:06:58.920 who thinks that the deposit is the problem, well, Elbow's 0:06:58.920 --> 0:06:59.880 trying to sell to you. 0:07:01.520 --> 0:07:01.839 Today. 0:07:01.880 --> 0:07:03.880 I announced that under a Labor government. 0:07:03.920 --> 0:07:04.840 You'll be able to. 0:07:04.800 --> 0:07:10.120 Buy your first time with just a five percent deposit. 0:07:10.920 --> 0:07:14.080 Now, ignore those who only count the election promises and 0:07:14.320 --> 0:07:16.520 spending from the start of the election. Those are the 0:07:16.520 --> 0:07:17.840 ones that want to make it look like the Libs 0:07:17.840 --> 0:07:21.160 are spending like drunken salors. Remember, the Prime Minister has 0:07:21.160 --> 0:07:23.680 been making election promises since January. 0:07:24.920 --> 0:07:28.800 A seven point two billion dollar announcement today five million 0:07:28.840 --> 0:07:32.960 dollars ten million dollars, two hundred million dollars, three billion dollars, 0:07:32.960 --> 0:07:36.239 three hundred and fifty million dollar, two billion dollars, thirty 0:07:36.240 --> 0:07:39.400 seven million dollars, eight hundred and forty two million dollar, 0:07:39.440 --> 0:07:43.360 two point four billion dollars, eight point five billion dollar, 0:07:43.360 --> 0:07:46.880 four point eight billion dollar, one billion dollars, three point 0:07:46.920 --> 0:07:50.800 four billion dollars, two point eight billion dollars, two hundred 0:07:50.840 --> 0:07:54.280 million dollars, one hundred and fifty million dollars, one billion dollar, 0:07:54.320 --> 0:07:57.239 two hundred and forty five million dollars, six million dollars, 0:07:57.280 --> 0:07:59.480 three million dollars, ten billion dollars. 0:08:00.400 --> 0:08:02.840 Now we know the way it's been going, but there 0:08:02.880 --> 0:08:04.880 is a very good chance that either whereas still it 0:08:04.920 --> 0:08:07.040 to stop the bleeding moment for the coalition, or if 0:08:07.040 --> 0:08:10.760 people are still genuinely undecided, they might start thinking about 0:08:10.800 --> 0:08:14.240 the coalition because if there are voters that are exclusively 0:08:14.280 --> 0:08:17.600 going off price, exclusively focused on the number one issue 0:08:17.600 --> 0:08:19.080 that has been there for the past three years, cost 0:08:19.160 --> 0:08:23.760 of living. Peter Dutton made big announcements today again that 0:08:23.960 --> 0:08:28.440 automatic tax return and this one again for millions of people. 0:08:28.720 --> 0:08:31.120 But this one is able to be twelve hundred dollars 0:08:31.160 --> 0:08:34.880 as an automatic tax return because everyone earning under one 0:08:34.920 --> 0:08:37.640 hundred and seventy five thousand dollars gets it. For labor, 0:08:37.679 --> 0:08:40.760 it's everyone above one hundred and seventy five thousand dollars 0:08:40.800 --> 0:08:41.080 as well. 0:08:41.120 --> 0:08:42.160 Peter Dutton with what I. 0:08:42.080 --> 0:08:44.400 Think is a game change, and again if it's a 0:08:44.400 --> 0:08:46.600 met to election, if both of them are agreeing that 0:08:46.679 --> 0:08:49.160 you deserve and certainly the people who need the money 0:08:49.160 --> 0:08:52.080 more than most, some form of automatic payment back each 0:08:52.080 --> 0:08:52.640 and every. 0:08:52.480 --> 0:08:54.240 Year, great excellent high five. 0:08:55.720 --> 0:08:58.719 A coalition government will deliver a one off cost of 0:08:58.800 --> 0:08:59.760 living tax off said. 0:09:00.080 --> 0:09:01.040 This will reduce the. 0:09:01.000 --> 0:09:06.280 Amount of tax paid by millions of Australians and it 0:09:06.320 --> 0:09:09.440 will be up to twelve hundred dollars. Around eighty five 0:09:09.480 --> 0:09:13.200 percent of all Australian taxpayers will be eligible for and 0:09:13.240 --> 0:09:16.640 will benefit from this reduction in tax brilliant. 0:09:16.679 --> 0:09:18.000 Love it, love it, love it. Love it. 0:09:18.080 --> 0:09:19.920 Now, if you're somebody who thinks that the issue when 0:09:19.920 --> 0:09:22.640 it comes to kids getting their first home is being 0:09:22.640 --> 0:09:26.360 able to afford the mortgage in those early days, well 0:09:26.400 --> 0:09:28.680 this is the pitch that the Coalition is going to 0:09:28.679 --> 0:09:31.800 go at. They are saying that the interest payments on 0:09:32.000 --> 0:09:35.559 a loan for the first few years of the average 0:09:35.720 --> 0:09:39.200 first home buyer in this country, where you can deduct 0:09:39.240 --> 0:09:42.040 that off your tax bill. 0:09:42.280 --> 0:09:45.840 A Coalition gobet will allow you to deduct interest payments 0:09:45.880 --> 0:09:48.000 on the first six hundred and fifty thousand dollars of 0:09:48.000 --> 0:09:50.640 a mortgage against your taxable income. 0:09:51.480 --> 0:09:51.880 Brilliant. 0:09:51.880 --> 0:09:53.720 Now they say there's no choices there all of a sudden, No, 0:09:53.760 --> 0:09:57.240 there are choices here. Okay, Now, remember five dollars in 0:09:57.320 --> 0:10:01.120 fifteen months. Will how long before five dollars a week 0:10:01.760 --> 0:10:04.720 ends up at a scenario where you get anywhere close 0:10:04.760 --> 0:10:07.800 to twelve hundred dollars, Well, that's what the best part 0:10:07.840 --> 0:10:11.040 of five and a bit years. That is the first 0:10:11.080 --> 0:10:14.240 off offering in the first year of the coalition government. 0:10:14.840 --> 0:10:16.640 On top of that, now just think about this as 0:10:16.640 --> 0:10:18.960 the election posters now you and I we pay attention 0:10:19.000 --> 0:10:22.560 to think about the little election posters. Okay, you're going 0:10:22.600 --> 0:10:26.959 to now have the Liberal Party saying half petrol tax automatic, 0:10:27.000 --> 0:10:30.480 twelve hundred dollars tax return, and you can write the 0:10:30.600 --> 0:10:36.000 interest off a first home buyer off your tax. That's 0:10:36.040 --> 0:10:39.680 the first of their cost of living suggestions. Plus they'll 0:10:39.720 --> 0:10:42.560 turn around and they've released a policy that promises lower 0:10:42.800 --> 0:10:45.840 power prices, and that is going to be a compelling 0:10:45.880 --> 0:10:48.880 offering to millions of people. Again, there are those of 0:10:48.920 --> 0:10:51.040 us that pay attention to every little detail. There are 0:10:51.080 --> 0:10:54.240 those who pay four fifths to bugger all attention. There 0:10:54.240 --> 0:10:56.400 are those that will get something in the mail or 0:10:56.400 --> 0:10:59.320 they'll see something on election day that could move them 0:11:00.040 --> 0:11:02.040 right on state of the nation. I'm going to talk 0:11:02.720 --> 0:11:04.920 the raceist should say, we should talk a lot about 0:11:05.120 --> 0:11:06.920 what the data is telling us, not just about which 0:11:06.920 --> 0:11:09.440 way people are leaning, but how committed are they to 0:11:09.520 --> 0:11:12.880 their vote, how up for grabs are people and can 0:11:12.920 --> 0:11:15.600 that actually change the numbers not across the country, but 0:11:15.679 --> 0:11:18.160 maybe in the twenty places that matter the most. May 0:11:18.200 --> 0:11:20.680 be in a state like Victoria, that will be the 0:11:20.679 --> 0:11:24.520 difference between majority and minority for the labor government. Even 0:11:24.559 --> 0:11:26.920 if the polls continue to be as good as they 0:11:26.960 --> 0:11:30.480 currently are for the Labor Party. And as for the 0:11:30.520 --> 0:11:35.960 central argument of the coalition campaign, well, the Labor Party 0:11:36.000 --> 0:11:38.920 is mentioning Peter Dutton every thirty seconds. This is the 0:11:39.000 --> 0:11:43.040 key question that there is only one answer for, regardless 0:11:43.080 --> 0:11:45.760 of who you are thinking about voting for in maybe 0:11:45.800 --> 0:11:48.280 as soon as nine or maybe twenty days time. 0:11:49.400 --> 0:11:50.960 So I want to ask you today do you feel 0:11:50.960 --> 0:11:53.119 better off after three years of Anthony Albanezi. 0:11:55.600 --> 0:11:57.440 Now in a second, I'm going to as always go 0:11:57.520 --> 0:12:00.320 through the media in surprise, surprise, software questions. The Prime 0:12:00.320 --> 0:12:02.640 Minister tough as nails when it comes to the alternative 0:12:02.640 --> 0:12:05.480 prime Minister. But I want you to see how the 0:12:05.520 --> 0:12:08.480 ABC was immediately into spin mode. This is what they 0:12:08.520 --> 0:12:12.280 did in their live coverage as soon as the speech finished. 0:12:12.720 --> 0:12:17.480 The first question asked by the hosts to the other person, 0:12:17.520 --> 0:12:20.480 the co host of the broadcast, and where did they go? 0:12:22.960 --> 0:12:24.400 What did you think of Peter dun Yeah? 0:12:24.440 --> 0:12:27.280 I mean I think it was a pretty long speech, 0:12:27.320 --> 0:12:31.599 actually almost Donald Trump length speech, but not quite. 0:12:32.360 --> 0:12:35.240 We just have to mention Trump Trump, trum trump trum Trump, Trump. 0:12:35.360 --> 0:12:38.280 Does the day end in the white Trump? Did you 0:12:38.320 --> 0:12:40.599 have three miles today Trump, have you ever had a 0:12:40.640 --> 0:12:46.559 diet Trump? It's their campaign launchers. They are always long speeches, 0:12:46.840 --> 0:12:48.800 Prime Minister. I think about forty four minutes, a little 0:12:48.800 --> 0:12:50.679 bit longer when it came to Petter dut But this 0:12:50.800 --> 0:12:53.760 is them giving a long pitch to the nation that 0:12:53.840 --> 0:12:55.800 of course will be cut up and only shown him 0:12:55.960 --> 0:12:58.400 very very very small bites on the six PM news, 0:12:58.600 --> 0:13:01.880 sladly larger bites on social media, and then in lots 0:13:01.880 --> 0:13:03.880 of different ways than thirty second ads around the country 0:13:04.000 --> 0:13:06.080 see straight away the ABC. It's all got to turn 0:13:06.120 --> 0:13:10.440 to Trump. A reminder about the real cost of labor 0:13:10.440 --> 0:13:12.439 in the past three years. All of these don't come 0:13:12.480 --> 0:13:14.800 from far right wing thing tanks. These are not numbers 0:13:14.800 --> 0:13:17.079 pull out of the backside. These are the numbers you 0:13:17.160 --> 0:13:20.680 need to know. Fifty four thousand people lost their job 0:13:21.000 --> 0:13:23.079 last month. That's in the one that we got. The 0:13:23.160 --> 0:13:27.560 latest numbers were for February. One point six million homes 0:13:27.559 --> 0:13:30.440 are currently in mortgage stress. Two out of three people 0:13:30.520 --> 0:13:32.920 can't afford their rent. Three million people are on the 0:13:33.000 --> 0:13:36.199 verge of homelessness. Three point seven million households will run 0:13:36.200 --> 0:13:39.880 out of food. Remember it's the coalition promising more money 0:13:39.920 --> 0:13:43.440 for food bank. The government no such announcement because they 0:13:43.440 --> 0:13:46.079 don't think there's the votes in it. Twenty nine five 0:13:46.120 --> 0:13:50.600 hundred businesses have gone bust. The Labor Party pushes down 0:13:50.640 --> 0:13:53.000 the insign asset right off to one thousand dollars. In 0:13:53.040 --> 0:13:54.840 game may have reviewed it back up to about ten 0:13:54.880 --> 0:13:58.720 thousand dollars. It's thirty thousand dollars for everyone in small business, 0:13:58.760 --> 0:14:01.280 in business everywhere. If you want to something for your business, 0:14:01.440 --> 0:14:02.760 write it off against your tax. 0:14:02.920 --> 0:14:03.480 You see. 0:14:03.880 --> 0:14:06.120 The liberal message is you know how to spend your 0:14:06.120 --> 0:14:09.640 money better than the government does. Highest supermarket prices ever 0:14:09.679 --> 0:14:11.560 in the past three years, no plan to change that 0:14:11.640 --> 0:14:13.720 under the government, just to pretend that they're going to 0:14:13.720 --> 0:14:18.000 be able to stop supermarkets taking the proverbial the highest 0:14:18.040 --> 0:14:21.600 taxes on alcohol, smoking and petrol. Only one side of 0:14:21.600 --> 0:14:26.400 politics is planning to reduce petrol taxes. The biggest budget 0:14:26.400 --> 0:14:28.640 deficits are on our way. Budget deficits not for the 0:14:28.680 --> 0:14:31.960 next five ten but for forty years, and under this 0:14:32.040 --> 0:14:37.480 government one point two t four trillion dollars of debt. 0:14:39.640 --> 0:14:40.000 Now something. 0:14:40.040 --> 0:14:41.800 I'm getting a lot of feedback, and I really appreciate 0:14:41.840 --> 0:14:43.640 people who stopping in the street to talk about things 0:14:43.720 --> 0:14:45.360 or lots of people that are writing me emails and 0:14:45.400 --> 0:14:47.560 thank you so much, lots of suggestions coming my away, 0:14:47.720 --> 0:14:49.680 politicgidanews dot com dot are you and I know how 0:14:49.680 --> 0:14:52.720 excited you are for tomorrow night's Mavericks event. I am 0:14:52.840 --> 0:14:56.080 super pumped. The tweed is natural, pul Murray Live Territory 0:14:56.240 --> 0:14:57.840 and these other people who I know you want to 0:14:57.840 --> 0:15:01.200 hear from tomorrow night, this time here on Sky News. Well, 0:15:01.440 --> 0:15:03.760 the media, well they don't want to upset the apple cart. 0:15:04.200 --> 0:15:06.400 Now I've explained over a few nights, so I apologies 0:15:06.480 --> 0:15:08.160 if you think there's some repetition here, but for some 0:15:08.200 --> 0:15:10.600 people they might be watching for the first time. One 0:15:10.640 --> 0:15:13.240 of the ways that the media stays soft with Albo 0:15:13.400 --> 0:15:14.920 is not just because they agree with him, not just 0:15:14.920 --> 0:15:17.000 because they want to vote for him or probably the Greens. 0:15:17.200 --> 0:15:19.040 It's because they think he's going to win the election. 0:15:19.120 --> 0:15:21.480 And if he wins the election, then they can remain 0:15:21.640 --> 0:15:25.120 on the teat of information coming from the government, don't 0:15:25.200 --> 0:15:28.400 upset the apple cart, which is why they don't upset 0:15:28.400 --> 0:15:30.600 the apple cart with the questions they ask a Prime 0:15:30.600 --> 0:15:33.640 minister who should be being held responsible for all of 0:15:33.640 --> 0:15:37.240 those things that I've just said, no questions about homelessness, 0:15:37.240 --> 0:15:39.960 no questions about people running out of food, no questions 0:15:39.960 --> 0:15:42.360 about businesses running and hitting the wall. 0:15:42.640 --> 0:15:44.040 It's questions like this. 0:15:45.200 --> 0:15:47.520 Approaching week three is the clear front runner in this 0:15:47.680 --> 0:15:48.760 election campaign. 0:15:48.840 --> 0:15:52.760 The opposition says you've become cocky. Are you cocky or confident? 0:15:52.840 --> 0:15:55.200 I'm just wondering what you will have to say to 0:15:55.280 --> 0:15:58.520 us to them tomorrow in your launch that might inspire 0:15:58.560 --> 0:15:59.920 Australian voters about the few? 0:16:00.400 --> 0:16:04.840 What is it about way that makes labor so strong here? 0:16:05.000 --> 0:16:07.560 What is your core message that you hope cuts through 0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:08.760 to distracted voters? 0:16:08.880 --> 0:16:11.200 How badly do you want to be PM after May third? 0:16:12.680 --> 0:16:15.920 Really, this is their opportunity to ask the Prime Minister 0:16:16.000 --> 0:16:17.600 all of those things that are on that list that 0:16:17.640 --> 0:16:20.560 I mentioned to you, each and every two out of 0:16:20.600 --> 0:16:22.680 three people can't afford their rent. One point six million 0:16:22.720 --> 0:16:25.720 people are in mortgage stress, thirty thousand businesses have disappeared, 0:16:26.080 --> 0:16:29.280 petrol taxis, smoking taxes, alcohol taxes and deficits for the. 0:16:29.200 --> 0:16:30.040 Next forty years. 0:16:31.600 --> 0:16:32.960 How badly do you want to win? 0:16:34.480 --> 0:16:37.360 As for the questioning of the alternative Prime Minister last week, 0:16:37.440 --> 0:16:40.240 they were inferring that the Peter Dutton was sort of 0:16:40.280 --> 0:16:42.120 at fault for his father's heart attack. 0:16:42.640 --> 0:16:43.720 So where are they this week? 0:16:44.960 --> 0:16:47.600 This Paul candidate selection came to costing your shop the lodge. 0:16:47.640 --> 0:16:50.480 If labor is pulling away, and so is your ultra 0:16:50.560 --> 0:16:53.560 marginal seat of Dixon. Maybe in a bit of jeopardy, 0:16:53.640 --> 0:16:56.320 are you concerned today you're playing it a little too safe? 0:16:56.400 --> 0:17:00.120 John Howard, Kevin Radan, even more recent prime ministers I think. 0:17:00.400 --> 0:17:04.680 Campaigned a lot more openly than you. Is you're shine 0:17:04.760 --> 0:17:05.399 away from that? 0:17:05.520 --> 0:17:09.679 A reflection of your security telling you you can't or 0:17:09.760 --> 0:17:13.199 is it a reflection of your political minders preferring you 0:17:13.240 --> 0:17:14.440 don't cop a rotten egg? 0:17:16.280 --> 0:17:20.359 Now we all know what Peter Dutton's thinking, mate bugger off, 0:17:21.480 --> 0:17:22.919 But of course he has to sit there, has to 0:17:22.960 --> 0:17:24.879 take it, and he does over and over again. And 0:17:24.920 --> 0:17:27.680 the rockstar that is just into Nampaginper Price has been 0:17:28.200 --> 0:17:32.160 by Peter Dutton's side. Why because millions of people around 0:17:32.160 --> 0:17:34.320 the country believe in her and see her as a 0:17:34.320 --> 0:17:36.480 hope of the side, see her as stealing the spine, 0:17:36.520 --> 0:17:38.679 see her as a person they'd loved ad around a 0:17:38.720 --> 0:17:41.399 cabinet table much more than many of the fools that 0:17:41.440 --> 0:17:45.080 are there when it comes to the Labor Party and 0:17:45.320 --> 0:17:49.879 she used four words in a media event yesterday that 0:17:50.040 --> 0:17:54.240 meant it was headline news you see to number jinper 0:17:54.280 --> 0:17:59.159 prices marga moment lasted only two seconds, long enough to 0:17:59.240 --> 0:18:02.359 turn the intent I ended messaging right off track. 0:18:02.640 --> 0:18:07.399 Just enterprise raised eyebrows with this Trump star remark, we can. 0:18:07.800 --> 0:18:09.080 Make Australia ride again. 0:18:10.040 --> 0:18:14.080 Oh my god, somebody wanting to make Australia great. Oh oh, 0:18:14.119 --> 0:18:17.480 how terrible. Now that's all of the other channels. I 0:18:17.520 --> 0:18:19.240 know I'm beaten up on them a lot, but she's 0:18:19.280 --> 0:18:21.760 I didn't realize until I had paid the attention that 0:18:21.800 --> 0:18:25.760 we do to just how bench Channel nine News is 0:18:25.800 --> 0:18:28.840 in favor of the Prime Minister, but definitely against Peter Dudden, 0:18:29.400 --> 0:18:33.119 because I want to show you how they covered that moment. Now, 0:18:33.160 --> 0:18:35.160 she's in the middle of a speech, like all speeches 0:18:35.160 --> 0:18:36.719 when you don't have notes, you're thinking off the top 0:18:36.760 --> 0:18:38.400 of your head. You're trying to say things to fire 0:18:38.440 --> 0:18:41.359 people up, and she said the four words, the four 0:18:41.520 --> 0:18:44.960 dirty words you're not allowed to say. When even the 0:18:45.000 --> 0:18:47.199 ABC turns around and says and a Trump, We're in 0:18:47.200 --> 0:18:49.560 a speech where you don't mention Trump. Trump is everywhere 0:18:49.560 --> 0:18:52.000 including even when I'm mucking up a sentence and again 0:18:53.040 --> 0:18:55.600 talking to you with no words on the screen a challenge. 0:18:55.600 --> 0:18:57.320 I'd love to see people in the rest of the 0:18:57.320 --> 0:18:59.960 media do. But that would upset the Apple cart, wouldn't it. 0:19:00.200 --> 0:19:03.360 This is our channel line covered that four seconds, those 0:19:03.400 --> 0:19:05.840 two seconds, four words of infamy. 0:19:07.600 --> 0:19:10.600 We can make Australia rate again. Is that an ode 0:19:10.640 --> 0:19:11.479 to Donald Trump? 0:19:11.560 --> 0:19:11.720 No? 0:19:12.119 --> 0:19:13.840 If I said that, I don't even realize I said that. 0:19:13.880 --> 0:19:19.200 But no, But similarities with the Trump campaign not ending there, race. 0:19:19.280 --> 0:19:22.720 Gender, sexuality, None of that is going to matter. What's 0:19:22.760 --> 0:19:25.280 going to matter is the right person. 0:19:25.160 --> 0:19:25.800 For the job. 0:19:26.119 --> 0:19:32.520 The senator vowing to vigorously pursue government efficiency and conservative bugbears. 0:19:32.160 --> 0:19:35.200 They are learning in doctrination as opposed to our education. 0:19:35.440 --> 0:19:38.520 We will conduct an audit into the spending in indigenous affairs, 0:19:38.600 --> 0:19:42.199 ridiculous grants like colonizing breastfeeding. 0:19:41.800 --> 0:19:45.920 Outlining a wish list of radical change woo. 0:19:46.880 --> 0:19:47.680 How for hat. 0:19:48.960 --> 0:19:51.000 Of course, she is paying the price for leading the 0:19:51.040 --> 0:19:55.520 No campaign, for upsetting the Apple card, forgetting the results 0:19:55.640 --> 0:19:59.520 that the elite did not want, especially being an Indigenous 0:19:59.520 --> 0:20:03.200 woman who, unlike an activist from sidneyl Melbourne, lives in 0:20:03.280 --> 0:20:07.240 Alice Springs, has represented Alice Springs on its local council, 0:20:07.480 --> 0:20:11.479 represents the entire Northern territory when it comes to her 0:20:11.600 --> 0:20:12.680 job in the parliament. 0:20:13.560 --> 0:20:14.359 Oh, if you talk. 0:20:14.200 --> 0:20:16.320 About any of those things that they're now magathinks you 0:20:16.320 --> 0:20:20.400 see how they work. They move the goalposts. You say, 0:20:20.440 --> 0:20:23.000 hang on, let's move the goalposts back. You're the one 0:20:23.040 --> 0:20:24.080 fighting the culture war. 0:20:24.560 --> 0:20:25.280 Well I've got a bit. 0:20:25.160 --> 0:20:28.040 Of time here, so let me actually show you what 0:20:28.520 --> 0:20:33.360 she said. That Channel nine then clipped and clipped and 0:20:33.400 --> 0:20:38.040 clipped and turned into that little collection of orange man 0:20:38.200 --> 0:20:42.359 bad just into price even worse because she's I don't know, 0:20:42.520 --> 0:20:47.480 betraying the cause. The first one here, the moment that 0:20:47.600 --> 0:20:49.959 apparently was the most newsworthy. Now, of course it's up 0:20:49.960 --> 0:20:54.120 to the reporters to decide what is the most newsworthy thing. 0:20:54.840 --> 0:20:57.920 They are so lazy that they thought this was the moment. 0:20:58.000 --> 0:21:01.280 But what context in which were the dirty words said? 0:21:02.760 --> 0:21:05.520 I'm so proud to be able to stand beside and 0:21:05.960 --> 0:21:09.520 to ensure that we can make Australia rate again, that 0:21:09.600 --> 0:21:12.800 we can bring Australia back to its former glory, that 0:21:12.840 --> 0:21:16.040 we can get Australia back on track. 0:21:17.680 --> 0:21:20.640 Oh, hang on in the Channel ninth story, they made 0:21:20.640 --> 0:21:23.920 it seem like she didn't use the official campaign slogan, 0:21:24.600 --> 0:21:28.960 except she did what two three sentences after she said 0:21:29.040 --> 0:21:30.080 the one that they. 0:21:29.960 --> 0:21:34.080 Were looking for. Again, this is how bent. 0:21:33.960 --> 0:21:36.600 To the left Channel nine is, and they're doing it 0:21:36.640 --> 0:21:38.919 every single night, and there's a lot of people that 0:21:38.960 --> 0:21:42.760 are seeing it, and more people will see their version 0:21:42.800 --> 0:21:47.240 of it than me getting here and showing you how 0:21:47.280 --> 0:21:51.480 they bend it. What about school indoctrination? What was she 0:21:51.680 --> 0:21:53.320 actually talking about there? 0:21:54.600 --> 0:21:57.600 We're hearing from students that they are learning in doctrination 0:21:57.640 --> 0:22:01.280 as opposed to education, that they've been forced to have 0:22:01.359 --> 0:22:05.399 to provide a welcome to country within their essays for 0:22:05.480 --> 0:22:09.600 crying out loud, and they if they don't provide an 0:22:09.640 --> 0:22:13.360 appropriate form of welcome to country or acknowledgment of country, 0:22:13.480 --> 0:22:15.000 that they will be marked down. 0:22:16.160 --> 0:22:21.200 So she actually quoted an example of what is happening 0:22:21.240 --> 0:22:22.600 in the education system. 0:22:23.280 --> 0:22:25.960 Oh, but it's some fever dream of the right wing. 0:22:27.840 --> 0:22:30.920 And when it comes to efficiency in government, what would 0:22:30.920 --> 0:22:33.480 be an area that we spend tens of billions of 0:22:33.560 --> 0:22:36.639 dollars each and every year, yet by every closing the 0:22:36.680 --> 0:22:40.000 gap indices we seem to be doing worse every year, 0:22:40.359 --> 0:22:43.840 despite the fact of the cumulative hundreds of billions of dollars. 0:22:44.040 --> 0:22:46.280 I wonder if the lady from Alice Springs might have 0:22:46.359 --> 0:22:49.760 some more context to what Channel nine served up as 0:22:49.800 --> 0:22:51.720 some dogy comment. 0:22:53.000 --> 0:22:55.240 We have announced policies around the fact that we will 0:22:55.240 --> 0:22:58.000 conduct an audit into the spending in Indigenous affairs and 0:22:58.000 --> 0:23:02.600 the Indigenous Affairs Portfolio. We will establish a Royal Commission 0:23:02.840 --> 0:23:06.040 to the Sexual Abuse in Indigenous communities because we know 0:23:06.359 --> 0:23:09.840 that Indigenous children experience the highest rates of exposure to 0:23:09.880 --> 0:23:12.280 domestic and family violence. We know that they experienced the 0:23:12.320 --> 0:23:14.720 highest rates of sexual abuse and neglect. 0:23:14.400 --> 0:23:15.040 In this country. 0:23:15.119 --> 0:23:18.159 We also know that we have the highest rates of 0:23:18.200 --> 0:23:20.600 youth incarceration when it comes to Indigenous children. 0:23:22.040 --> 0:23:25.119 Okay, so now that you've heard all of the context, 0:23:25.640 --> 0:23:28.159 and the reporter who was standing there heard all of 0:23:28.200 --> 0:23:32.080 those words too, does this feel just a little dishonest 0:23:32.119 --> 0:23:32.440 to you? 0:23:33.760 --> 0:23:36.760 We can make Australia rate again. Is that an ode 0:23:36.800 --> 0:23:37.639 to Donald Trump? 0:23:37.720 --> 0:23:37.880 No? 0:23:38.280 --> 0:23:40.000 If I said that, I don't even realize I said that. 0:23:40.040 --> 0:23:45.359 But no, But similarities with the Trump campaign not ending there, race. 0:23:45.440 --> 0:23:48.880 Gender, sexuality, none of that is going to matter. What's 0:23:48.920 --> 0:23:51.440 going to matter is the right person. 0:23:51.320 --> 0:23:55.280 For the job, the Senator vowing to vigorously pursue government 0:23:55.280 --> 0:23:58.440 efficiency and conservative bug bears. 0:23:58.320 --> 0:24:01.360 They are learning in doctrination as a host to education. 0:24:01.600 --> 0:24:04.720 We will conduct an audit into the spending and indigenous affairs, 0:24:04.760 --> 0:24:08.359 ridiculous grants like colonizing breastfeeding. 0:24:07.960 --> 0:24:10.840 Outlining a wish list of radical change. 0:24:11.200 --> 0:24:12.920 All right, let's get to say to the nation something 0:24:12.960 --> 0:24:14.920 I love to do every single Sunday. And there's plenty 0:24:14.920 --> 0:24:16.360 of data to get to, but I got to talk 0:24:16.400 --> 0:24:18.560 about this because this is how people get their information. 0:24:18.960 --> 0:24:21.160 For all the talk about social media, good old fashion 0:24:21.240 --> 0:24:23.640 is still where lots of people are because Samaras, of course, 0:24:23.680 --> 0:24:25.960 the boss of Redbridge, doing great work with almost everyone 0:24:25.960 --> 0:24:29.880 in the media at the moment he catches his glasses well, 0:24:29.960 --> 0:24:32.280 and none of the great Michael Kroeger, Michael, before we 0:24:32.320 --> 0:24:34.160 get into it anything else. And I know the person 0:24:34.160 --> 0:24:36.119 who's complaining about the rest of the person who's losing 0:24:36.119 --> 0:24:38.840 the game. But when it is as obvious as that, 0:24:39.040 --> 0:24:42.399 people need to see that this ball is being spun hard. 0:24:46.200 --> 0:24:52.120 Look you looked at Albo's launch today, I mean, oh 0:24:52.160 --> 0:24:55.320 my goodness, I mean it was just full of lives 0:24:55.359 --> 0:24:58.080 and dishonesty, Dutton's cutting this, Dutton's cutting that He's got 0:24:58.160 --> 0:25:00.880 secret cuts here and mad care and I'm sitting there 0:25:00.880 --> 0:25:03.280 gobsmack by the sheer audacity. I thought I was watching 0:25:03.280 --> 0:25:06.959 Bill Shorten in twenty sixteen, and no one picks him 0:25:07.000 --> 0:25:10.080 up on this. But I think when you look at 0:25:10.080 --> 0:25:14.880 the Poland news pole tonight, which shows labor ahead, that 0:25:14.960 --> 0:25:17.880 doesn't that doesn't sort of fit with all the reports 0:25:17.880 --> 0:25:22.320 that we get from marginal seats. And I wonder whether 0:25:22.440 --> 0:25:25.320 labor having causes you on this. I wonder whether labor 0:25:25.359 --> 0:25:28.840 having run a very traditional labor campaign right about Medicare 0:25:28.880 --> 0:25:33.920 and the usual labor issues. I wonder whether this is 0:25:34.040 --> 0:25:37.399 labor voters returning to labor, Labor the voters that have 0:25:37.520 --> 0:25:39.760 drifted off, maybe to the Greens, a Socialist Party, of 0:25:39.760 --> 0:25:42.840 the Animal Justice Party, or some other freaks. I wonder 0:25:42.920 --> 0:25:47.400 whether these labor are the labor voters returning home. Because 0:25:47.960 --> 0:25:50.760 I don't know that labor are appearing appealing to the 0:25:50.760 --> 0:25:54.600 outer suburbs. I really don't. They certainly not in Victoria. 0:25:54.720 --> 0:25:57.440 So that's my take on news pole tomorrow. This might 0:25:57.480 --> 0:26:00.919 be labor increasing its vote in labor seeps. 0:26:01.000 --> 0:26:01.280 Paul. 0:26:02.119 --> 0:26:04.480 Yeah, okay, so cause I won't get you to comment 0:26:04.520 --> 0:26:06.480 on the media because again you've got relationships with plenty 0:26:06.520 --> 0:26:08.200 of them. I don't want to buger up the business model, 0:26:08.359 --> 0:26:10.320 but I think the evidence is rather obvious for all 0:26:10.320 --> 0:26:10.720 to see. 0:26:10.560 --> 0:26:12.560 There, at least with one of them. But let's talk 0:26:12.600 --> 0:26:13.600 here about NEWSPAP. 0:26:13.800 --> 0:26:16.960 Newspoul tonight fifty two forty eight in favor of the 0:26:17.040 --> 0:26:21.040 Labor Party. It's primary vote thirty three is exactly where 0:26:21.080 --> 0:26:24.119 it was at the last election. The coalition's vote is 0:26:24.200 --> 0:26:27.359 one point lower than the last election. Greens same place. 0:26:27.600 --> 0:26:30.040 But guess who's up one nation? How many weeks in 0:26:30.080 --> 0:26:32.240 a row before somebody is going to realize this ain't 0:26:32.240 --> 0:26:35.240 a trend, this is actually happening. And then the other 0:26:35.359 --> 0:26:37.760 that is out there as well. They also asked a 0:26:37.800 --> 0:26:39.320 question about what do you think is going to happen? 0:26:39.359 --> 0:26:41.960 Sixty four percent say Labour's going to win, thirty six 0:26:42.000 --> 0:26:43.919 percent say the Liberals are going to win. But if 0:26:43.960 --> 0:26:45.280 it's what do you want to happen, it's a bit 0:26:45.280 --> 0:26:47.919 more fifty to fifty. Back to the question there that 0:26:47.960 --> 0:26:51.440 Michael had to say, we are not seeing a surge 0:26:51.480 --> 0:26:53.840 in the labor vote. We are seeing a retraction in 0:26:53.840 --> 0:26:56.919 the liberal vote. So are they running up where they 0:26:56.960 --> 0:27:00.439 already are winning or are they stabilizing where it was 0:27:00.520 --> 0:27:02.120 fifty to fifty a few weeks ago. 0:27:02.160 --> 0:27:06.879 Mate, Yeah, pretty much just stabilizing their primary vote. Probably 0:27:06.880 --> 0:27:08.720 recall I reckon it would have been a few shows 0:27:08.720 --> 0:27:12.520 ago where we talked about a Labor ad campaign that 0:27:12.560 --> 0:27:15.080 they put together, and I made the point that they're 0:27:15.119 --> 0:27:17.359 really focusing on their base. They're trying to bring that 0:27:18.320 --> 0:27:21.640 base that they had that were losing to minor parties back. 0:27:22.119 --> 0:27:24.800 That's been their focus all along and they've been able 0:27:24.840 --> 0:27:27.520 to bring that back. So it's a very stable primary. 0:27:27.520 --> 0:27:27.600 Now. 0:27:27.640 --> 0:27:29.360 It's a little bit higher than the federal. 0:27:29.040 --> 0:27:33.080 Election in twenty twenty two, but it's thirty three to 0:27:33.200 --> 0:27:36.399 thirty two percent, give will take. That's where it's at. 0:27:37.280 --> 0:27:40.960 Flip side, the coalitions losing votes to minor parties. So 0:27:41.040 --> 0:27:44.040 that's what's going on here. Two party preferred vote books 0:27:44.200 --> 0:27:47.119 looks better for the for the Labor Party because the 0:27:47.160 --> 0:27:50.440 coalitions losing votes to minor parties. That is the main 0:27:51.440 --> 0:27:54.520 trend here in our key seats track for News Limited 0:27:55.440 --> 0:27:59.640 coalition has dropped seven percent in their primary vote between 0:28:00.160 --> 0:28:03.800 our first wave and our most recent wave, five percent 0:28:03.840 --> 0:28:08.040 of that has gone to minor parties. And so my 0:28:08.119 --> 0:28:12.440 point is that we're still looking at a very tribal electorate. 0:28:13.000 --> 0:28:15.239 There's going to be five point eight million Australians who 0:28:15.240 --> 0:28:18.320 don't vote for the majors at this next election based 0:28:18.359 --> 0:28:20.720 on the polls, whether it's Ours, whether it's Newspole or 0:28:20.760 --> 0:28:25.600 anyone else. So really, the way the Coalishing can fix 0:28:25.640 --> 0:28:28.240 this problem pretty quickly is to bring some of those 0:28:28.320 --> 0:28:30.800 voters back that they've lost to minor parties. 0:28:30.840 --> 0:28:32.760 If they do that, then we're probably having. 0:28:32.640 --> 0:28:36.560 A different discussion about which seats they are able to 0:28:36.560 --> 0:28:39.320 win in the outer suburbs of our big cities. 0:28:39.440 --> 0:28:39.640 Yeah. 0:28:39.680 --> 0:28:41.000 Now I don't know how this graphic is going to 0:28:41.000 --> 0:28:43.680 look in presentation, but I want to everyone to see 0:28:43.760 --> 0:28:46.680 over a lot of different polls, all of the different 0:28:46.720 --> 0:28:47.840 primaries that all of. 0:28:47.760 --> 0:28:50.160 The different parties have been collecting. 0:28:49.720 --> 0:28:51.760 And the trend is all fairly obvious and it speaks 0:28:51.800 --> 0:28:54.840 to what Cause and Michael had been talking about. But 0:28:55.440 --> 0:29:00.480 let's go Redbridge News poll Morgan essential you gov. The 0:29:00.560 --> 0:29:03.240 highest pole at the moment for the Labor Party's primary 0:29:03.320 --> 0:29:06.080 is one point above and that's the green one. Point 0:29:06.120 --> 0:29:09.560 above the twenty twenty two election. Everything else shows either 0:29:09.680 --> 0:29:12.520 very close or a little lower. The essential number also 0:29:12.560 --> 0:29:15.080 includes a don't know factor, so that's why those numbers 0:29:15.160 --> 0:29:18.360 are a little out of whack compared to others. You 0:29:18.400 --> 0:29:20.880 can also see there that red Bridge is actually saying 0:29:21.080 --> 0:29:23.720 that the Liberal vote is slightly higher than it was 0:29:23.760 --> 0:29:26.200 in twenty twenty two, but you can see in other 0:29:26.280 --> 0:29:29.640 areas it's down, way down, or again pretty much the same, 0:29:30.080 --> 0:29:32.400 very stable for the Greens. I'm going to say it 0:29:32.400 --> 0:29:35.160 again about one nation everyone five percent of the last election. 0:29:36.040 --> 0:29:39.040 It's either up in the Morgan Pole by one, it's 0:29:39.120 --> 0:29:43.239 up by three in yugov or News poll, or it 0:29:43.440 --> 0:29:48.040 is up well by four In essential one nation is 0:29:48.040 --> 0:29:50.080 put into with independent and other I think in the 0:29:50.120 --> 0:29:52.160 overall of the red Bridge. But you can see those 0:29:52.200 --> 0:29:56.280 other numbers which were nine and now fifteen, twelve, six, 0:29:56.800 --> 0:29:57.440 eight or fours. 0:29:57.520 --> 0:29:58.960 Is a bit of a crapshoot. 0:29:58.520 --> 0:30:01.120 About what you count and where you count A little 0:30:01.160 --> 0:30:02.880 later to not I want to talk about the Palmer effect, 0:30:02.920 --> 0:30:05.800 who it helps, who it hurts. It definitely is pulling 0:30:06.160 --> 0:30:08.800 lower maybe half of what they were able to get 0:30:08.800 --> 0:30:10.640 at the last election. And I think that's going to 0:30:10.880 --> 0:30:13.760 be worth talking about here. But let's talk about the 0:30:13.880 --> 0:30:18.240 launches and what happened today. Now, I'm really glad that 0:30:18.320 --> 0:30:21.240 the bleating and carrying on and relentless winging of a 0:30:21.240 --> 0:30:23.520 fat block on television for three years about the load 0:30:23.520 --> 0:30:26.320 of middle income tax offset to some way comes back 0:30:26.320 --> 0:30:30.480 in some form regardless of what happened. So Hallo freaking Loujah, 0:30:30.640 --> 0:30:32.960 thank the fat boy when you get your thosand or 0:30:32.960 --> 0:30:36.120 twelve hundred bucks all right, Because the reality is, while 0:30:36.160 --> 0:30:39.000 most people that talk on TV that money might be 0:30:39.760 --> 0:30:42.520 a very very good lunch for an awful lot of people, 0:30:42.560 --> 0:30:45.200 that is enough to pay a significant bill and during 0:30:45.200 --> 0:30:47.440 cost of living for all the one percent of this 0:30:47.480 --> 0:30:50.480 and five bucks a week ay or twelve hundred bucks 0:30:50.520 --> 0:30:51.680 bang straight on top. 0:30:51.720 --> 0:30:53.320 That means that's going to really help people. 0:30:54.200 --> 0:30:56.520 So let's talk about those offerings and then we'll get 0:30:56.520 --> 0:30:59.440 into the housing of everything. Because again, when people have 0:30:59.440 --> 0:31:00.960 been sitting there saying what are they doing for me? 0:31:01.000 --> 0:31:01.880 What are they doing for me? 0:31:02.240 --> 0:31:04.040 Now that both of them are either going to say 0:31:04.080 --> 0:31:07.360 one thousand or twelve hundred bucks, that is actually I 0:31:07.400 --> 0:31:09.240 think going to get a few heads nodding and some 0:31:09.360 --> 0:31:12.800 eyes actually opening in these focus groups. 0:31:13.520 --> 0:31:15.520 Yeah, a little bit, but they'll still probably tell us 0:31:15.520 --> 0:31:18.120 in their band aids. The big announcements, in my opinion, 0:31:18.120 --> 0:31:22.120 of the two housing pitchs, right, and the two housing 0:31:22.160 --> 0:31:25.240 pitches kind of do to two very different things. For 0:31:25.560 --> 0:31:29.680 the labor camp, they sing to the rent class out there. 0:31:30.400 --> 0:31:33.760 But the problem strategically for labor there is a lot 0:31:33.800 --> 0:31:36.320 of the renters that may find this appealing live in 0:31:36.360 --> 0:31:38.760 the middle urban parts of our large cities, so these 0:31:38.800 --> 0:31:43.440 are seats that labor kind of already occupies. However, the 0:31:43.440 --> 0:31:49.320 flip side the Coalition pitch, which is out of suburban areas, 0:31:49.440 --> 0:31:54.200 new homes being built in greenfield areas where first home buyers. 0:31:53.880 --> 0:31:56.880 Could actually use it as a tax. 0:31:56.800 --> 0:31:58.520 Right off in terms of their interest rate. 0:31:59.120 --> 0:32:03.320 That will appeal, for example, the Indian diaspora in both 0:32:03.320 --> 0:32:07.520 Sydney and Melbourne. Lots of those young, growing communities out 0:32:07.560 --> 0:32:11.560 there that they're targeting right now. So so strategically Colison 0:32:11.600 --> 0:32:17.040 probably did a better job at pivoting their campaign to 0:32:17.080 --> 0:32:19.280 the types of people that they need voting for them 0:32:19.280 --> 0:32:20.080 at this coming election. 0:32:20.360 --> 0:32:20.960 Yeah, I agree. 0:32:21.000 --> 0:32:24.640 Basically it's deposit versus repayments, and obviously one is a 0:32:24.680 --> 0:32:26.160 one off one is an ongoing for. 0:32:26.120 --> 0:32:27.080 The multiple years. 0:32:27.360 --> 0:32:30.840 Michael, again, this is your conversation about who are you 0:32:30.920 --> 0:32:34.000 pitching to, who's still out there, who's available. And I 0:32:34.080 --> 0:32:36.400 think anything that's ongoing is always better off than the 0:32:36.440 --> 0:32:39.320 initial And that's been part of the negatives that the 0:32:39.400 --> 0:32:41.640 Labor Party's thrown at the Libs. I think it's very 0:32:41.640 --> 0:32:44.400 hard to find a negative in an ongoing tax break 0:32:44.440 --> 0:32:46.720 for somebody in the first few years of buying a house. 0:32:49.080 --> 0:32:49.520 Well, first of. 0:32:49.520 --> 0:32:52.600 All, make congratulations on LIMO being restored. You have been 0:32:52.640 --> 0:32:55.080 banging on about it three years. Low and income. 0:32:56.040 --> 0:32:57.720 You all thought I was off in the wilderness. 0:32:59.640 --> 0:33:01.680 You've been being on ab ad for three years, so 0:33:02.080 --> 0:33:05.800 finally everyone's come to agree that you're right. But look, 0:33:05.800 --> 0:33:09.040 if you go into housing policy. Any time mate Labor 0:33:09.120 --> 0:33:12.560 is talking about the economy or housing policy, they lose ground. 0:33:12.800 --> 0:33:15.120 Why because it's one of the that's the number one 0:33:15.120 --> 0:33:17.680 brand ect with the Liberal Party, which is economic policy. 0:33:17.720 --> 0:33:20.360 So as long al Zaba's talking about those things, he's 0:33:20.360 --> 0:33:22.720 not being helped, and he's not being helped because of 0:33:22.720 --> 0:33:24.880 the two hundred and seventy five dollars promise. He's playing 0:33:24.920 --> 0:33:28.320 catch up. Secondly, when they're talking about housing policy. Labor 0:33:28.360 --> 0:33:30.760 have no don't have a brand equity in housing policy. 0:33:30.840 --> 0:33:34.640 This space dates back to the nineteen forties when ironically, 0:33:35.160 --> 0:33:37.959 how many easy he quoted Ben Schiffley today, I mean 0:33:38.000 --> 0:33:39.880 I'm a goodness. I mean John Deadman, who was the 0:33:39.920 --> 0:33:43.560 Minister for Housing National Reconstruction in the chiff Lee government, 0:33:43.680 --> 0:33:47.720 was the guy that said he opposed he opposed home ownership. 0:33:47.800 --> 0:33:50.959 Labor opposed home ownership because it made people little capitalists. 0:33:51.760 --> 0:33:57.360 And that that phrase, you know, soiled labour's appeal in 0:33:57.920 --> 0:34:00.040 the first home owner and the home buyer market for 0:34:00.120 --> 0:34:04.160 decades and it still resonates today. Labor are not homeownership 0:34:04.160 --> 0:34:06.720 building homes. It's not the brand equity of labor. And 0:34:06.760 --> 0:34:09.720 you know men under Mensi's homeownership went it from fifty 0:34:09.719 --> 0:34:12.480 four to seventy four percent. And it's always been a 0:34:12.480 --> 0:34:15.800 strong brand equity for the Liberal Party. So Albo's policy 0:34:15.800 --> 0:34:18.120 today he announced the five percent depositive scheme, which is 0:34:18.160 --> 0:34:20.919 already policy, Elbow, it's it's been in for five years, mate, 0:34:21.160 --> 0:34:24.240 although he's tinkered at the margins, but that policy existed 0:34:24.239 --> 0:34:27.080 for five years. And secondly, Paul, he's going to build 0:34:27.080 --> 0:34:30.960 one hundred thousand homes with disused or government land somewhere 0:34:31.800 --> 0:34:33.759 one hundred thousand homes. Elbow is going to build one 0:34:33.800 --> 0:34:36.319 hundred thousand homes. What with unionized labor. I presume they'll 0:34:36.320 --> 0:34:39.040 all have to be unionized because that's essentially what's happening 0:34:39.080 --> 0:34:41.880 in the child pre sector. So these all have to 0:34:41.920 --> 0:34:46.839 be unionized jobs in you know where, Albow, what you know, 0:34:47.040 --> 0:34:49.920 vacant government land? What next next to train lines? Mate? 0:34:50.320 --> 0:34:54.040 So Albow, when you say to the public Albow's is 0:34:54.080 --> 0:34:55.840 going to build one hundred thousand houses, people are going 0:34:55.880 --> 0:34:58.279 to go, oh really, I mean not according to the 0:34:58.680 --> 0:35:02.640 Future Fund housing only future Fund, which has got financial 0:35:02.719 --> 0:35:06.319 troubles before. It's builder's first house. So Michael Suger kicked 0:35:06.320 --> 0:35:09.640 a big goal today on the housing policy, and that 0:35:09.680 --> 0:35:10.800 didn't help labor today. 0:35:11.160 --> 0:35:13.960 I agree, and remember those who remember their political history 0:35:14.000 --> 0:35:16.400 at twenty nineteen, it was the first home buyer stuff 0:35:16.400 --> 0:35:18.520 that Morrison did in the last week of the campaign 0:35:19.080 --> 0:35:20.040 that actually. 0:35:19.680 --> 0:35:20.560 Moved the track. 0:35:20.680 --> 0:35:23.360 That little tracking number they're all obsessed with, just a 0:35:23.440 --> 0:35:27.400 little bit towards a number that meant the impossible became probable. 0:35:27.480 --> 0:35:30.520 Nothing is inevitable. Trends are not the opposition's friend. They 0:35:30.560 --> 0:35:32.359 we'll all wait and see together, all right, quick break 0:35:32.360 --> 0:35:33.960 back with more lots more with these fellas than the 0:35:33.960 --> 0:35:36.959 great Dary she got rid of KK. Can she knock 0:35:36.960 --> 0:35:39.200 off the Labor Party a second time? I say, bloody 0:35:39.200 --> 0:35:46.560 oath and we'll find out how next. Hardcore politics with 0:35:46.640 --> 0:35:48.120 blokes who love it as much as you do. None 0:35:48.160 --> 0:35:50.600 of than Michael Kroeger, cost Samarius Causes, with red Bridge 0:35:50.760 --> 0:35:51.959 and a legend around these parts. 0:35:51.960 --> 0:35:53.760 Of course, the Victorian Liberal Party is Michael. 0:35:54.239 --> 0:35:58.200 Now let's ask about Victoria and about whether states are moving. 0:35:58.480 --> 0:36:01.880 Seems Western Australia getting better for labor, so much so 0:36:01.920 --> 0:36:04.680 that they could not lose any seats of the four 0:36:04.719 --> 0:36:09.000 they won last time. Victoria, the question mark is still there. 0:36:09.360 --> 0:36:12.400 New South Wales it's a little more proliberal than some 0:36:12.400 --> 0:36:14.759 people are giving a credit for. But this is where 0:36:14.800 --> 0:36:18.839 the movement is. South Australia pretty strong for labor. Tasmania 0:36:19.120 --> 0:36:22.080 pretty much the same, with no movement there. See what 0:36:22.120 --> 0:36:24.880 happens in the Northern Territory Queensland kind of expected. So 0:36:24.880 --> 0:36:26.799 I'm answering my own questions where I should have just said, 0:36:26.840 --> 0:36:28.120 is anything happening in Victoria? 0:36:28.200 --> 0:36:34.239 Cause Yeah, there is, Yeah, there is our CACS track. 0:36:34.320 --> 0:36:38.240 Basically everything seems okay for labor across the board, except 0:36:38.320 --> 0:36:41.000 when you come to Victoria. It's still about an eight 0:36:41.000 --> 0:36:45.319 percent two party preferred swing against in key seats back 0:36:45.360 --> 0:36:48.799 from ten. Yeah, and so look it's come down a 0:36:48.840 --> 0:36:52.279 bid but not much. We are seeing some improvements for 0:36:52.480 --> 0:36:55.720 labor in some seats, but they're still. 0:36:55.520 --> 0:36:56.719 Going to lose seats at this rate. 0:36:57.120 --> 0:37:01.279 And I think that once the CUT starts getting its 0:37:01.360 --> 0:37:04.319 campaign sorted out, and I think that they started off 0:37:04.320 --> 0:37:06.840 today to do that, they're going to put pressure on 0:37:06.920 --> 0:37:08.240 labor Victoria. 0:37:07.840 --> 0:37:09.080 In a very significant way. 0:37:09.200 --> 0:37:12.160 So at the moment, I think, you know, they could lose. 0:37:12.040 --> 0:37:14.360 Three seats and I wouldn't rule out labor being in 0:37:14.400 --> 0:37:16.680 trouble versus the Greens in McNamara and Wills either. 0:37:17.200 --> 0:37:19.239 Yes, very good point, very good point, because of all 0:37:19.480 --> 0:37:21.680 in preference deals and in around all of that, apart 0:37:21.680 --> 0:37:25.440 from some of the cultural issues. Michael again to Victoria, 0:37:25.600 --> 0:37:28.080 are you starting to see what was a great night 0:37:28.160 --> 0:37:29.840 as a night now? 0:37:32.000 --> 0:37:34.799 I hope he's right at eight percent because that'll wipe 0:37:34.800 --> 0:37:37.279 out the Albanezy government. If it's eight percent two party, 0:37:37.320 --> 0:37:41.280 we've therred look, I think we're going to win Aston 0:37:42.040 --> 0:37:47.120 Chisholm and McEwen. I think Ku Yong is looking. You know, 0:37:47.239 --> 0:37:49.640 more than a fifty percent chance that Amitia Ham will 0:37:49.640 --> 0:37:53.960 win that again today, Monique Ryan. If people didn't see 0:37:53.960 --> 0:37:57.000 the insiders on that other the government run channel whose 0:37:57.400 --> 0:38:01.240 name dare not be spoken here, Monique Ryan, the Teal 0:38:01.640 --> 0:38:05.800 Green okay, the ABC weel pay for the Teal Green 0:38:05.920 --> 0:38:09.080 member in key on Monique Ryan, I think she put 0:38:09.120 --> 0:38:11.480 in one of the worst performances I've ever seen by 0:38:11.480 --> 0:38:13.799 a member of parlat in my entire life. And that 0:38:13.840 --> 0:38:16.040 goes back a long way. When asked about by David 0:38:16.080 --> 0:38:19.760 Spears about housing policy, she said, we need some visionary 0:38:19.760 --> 0:38:23.440 housing policies, and Spears, in his typically wonderful understated way, 0:38:23.560 --> 0:38:27.640 said what type of visionary policies? Well, well, she said, 0:38:28.000 --> 0:38:33.600 just visionary visionary policies. David said, yeah, what policies? Not 0:38:33.800 --> 0:38:36.640 a cluemt. She didn't have a nodding clue. And then 0:38:36.640 --> 0:38:38.759 she got into terrible trouble later on when she was 0:38:38.760 --> 0:38:42.520 asked about whether the Teal should declare if they're paying 0:38:42.560 --> 0:38:46.120 social media influences to promote them, should that be disclosed? 0:38:46.160 --> 0:38:49.320 And she couldn't answer. She said she didn't have an opinion. 0:38:49.600 --> 0:38:52.000 It was an absolute train wreck. So that's not helping it. 0:38:52.320 --> 0:38:54.920 Tim Wilson's a big chance in Goldstein, and as Cos 0:38:54.960 --> 0:38:57.720 just said, I think Labour are going to lose McNamara. 0:38:59.200 --> 0:39:01.360 It hasn't been not for undred years. But Josh Burns 0:39:01.400 --> 0:39:03.799 is going to come third. The Labor member is going 0:39:03.840 --> 0:39:07.239 to come third. Now he's desperately trying to get the 0:39:07.320 --> 0:39:10.319 Jewish community to vote for him, saying, oh, but if 0:39:10.360 --> 0:39:12.720 I come third, the Greens might get elected. Well, Josh, 0:39:12.880 --> 0:39:15.719 the only way the Greens good elected, mate, if your preferences, 0:39:16.040 --> 0:39:18.279 if your preference has got them elected, because you'll come 0:39:18.400 --> 0:39:21.360 third and the Liberal candidate Benson Sale is going to 0:39:21.360 --> 0:39:24.000 get close to forty percent Primbi Labor, the Greens will 0:39:24.040 --> 0:39:26.480 be close to thirty. So the Greens have got to 0:39:26.480 --> 0:39:30.040 get a huge whack of Burns's preferences to get elected. Josh, 0:39:30.120 --> 0:39:31.760 So if you don't want the Greens elected, you should 0:39:31.800 --> 0:39:34.280 do the decent and honorable thing and give the second 0:39:34.360 --> 0:39:37.200 preferences to the Liberal Party and do not insult the 0:39:37.239 --> 0:39:39.880 Jewish community by saying that the Liberals and the Greens 0:39:40.160 --> 0:39:42.799 on Middle East policies are you know, six or one, 0:39:42.840 --> 0:39:44.200 half a dozen and the other because you're trying to 0:39:44.280 --> 0:39:46.440 ref you an open how to voka that is just 0:39:46.560 --> 0:39:49.600 incensing people in the Jewish community, and so it should. 0:39:49.640 --> 0:39:52.680 So I think labor are in big trouble in Macnamara. 0:39:52.800 --> 0:39:53.759 Yeah, certainly for Til. 0:39:54.200 --> 0:39:56.560 It's one thing to play a bad game, to do 0:39:56.600 --> 0:39:59.960 it on the home court of the hallowed territory. Game 0:40:01.080 --> 0:40:04.040 was quite impactful, yes, all right, But I don't think 0:40:04.080 --> 0:40:06.600 she can give Spasy the same cold shotter she gave 0:40:06.640 --> 0:40:09.239 the husband, of course a couple of weeks ago. Now 0:40:09.239 --> 0:40:11.719 I want to talk about the teals outside of the 0:40:11.800 --> 0:40:16.280 expected conversation. I think there are chance of a seat 0:40:16.320 --> 0:40:21.400 in Queensland, and I think there are chance of maybe 0:40:21.520 --> 0:40:24.160 losing Curtain but winning something else in and around the 0:40:24.239 --> 0:40:27.520 richer bit of Perth. Why keep the sheep stuff is 0:40:27.640 --> 0:40:29.920 very focused on the curtain seat and getting rid of 0:40:29.920 --> 0:40:32.799 that teal. But that means maybe not the eyes off 0:40:32.800 --> 0:40:35.120 the ball, but the message might be moving somewhere around 0:40:35.160 --> 0:40:38.120 the coast, particularly Queensland. Though, cause I don't say it 0:40:38.120 --> 0:40:40.279 with pleasure, it's just this is one of those things 0:40:40.280 --> 0:40:42.400 they're pumping an awful lot of cash into there's a 0:40:42.400 --> 0:40:46.480 few retiring MPs and the bug of them all message 0:40:46.520 --> 0:40:52.600 of Clive Palmer. Do you see any possibility of the 0:40:52.680 --> 0:40:56.320 surprise teal pop up in a place like Queensland where 0:40:56.480 --> 0:41:00.839 they obviously due to the state parliamentary system couldn't get up. 0:41:01.120 --> 0:41:03.279 But I think there's a look, I'm going to throw 0:41:03.280 --> 0:41:06.480 out a seat specifically, they're not a chance at the 0:41:06.480 --> 0:41:08.960 moment with the bookies. I think McPherson might be a 0:41:08.960 --> 0:41:12.400 bit closer than people know, and that's a richer bit 0:41:12.400 --> 0:41:13.080 of the Gold Coast. 0:41:13.920 --> 0:41:15.640 Yeah, that's right, and they are throwing a lot of 0:41:15.640 --> 0:41:17.239 money at that particular seat. 0:41:17.280 --> 0:41:18.439 There's no question about that. 0:41:19.080 --> 0:41:24.279 It's well resourced by Climbate two hundred and the Independence 0:41:25.160 --> 0:41:27.799 but it's no different to the sort of campaign they're 0:41:27.840 --> 0:41:31.200 running in Bradfield in your South Wales, right, and so 0:41:32.320 --> 0:41:34.359 one's bound to fall. I mean, what we're probably going 0:41:34.360 --> 0:41:36.040 to see on the night is they're going to win 0:41:36.120 --> 0:41:38.000 some seats and they're going to lose some seats. I 0:41:38.040 --> 0:41:40.239 think it's gonna be a bit of a you know, 0:41:40.880 --> 0:41:43.880 a win and lose sort of situation, and it depends 0:41:43.920 --> 0:41:46.479 where we're looking at. So they could lose a seat 0:41:46.480 --> 0:41:48.360 in Victoria, or they might pick one up in your 0:41:48.400 --> 0:41:51.880 so foles and as you rightly pointed out, in Queensland. 0:41:52.480 --> 0:41:55.720 But I would say about Queensland, the ol MP's primary. 0:41:55.320 --> 0:41:55.920 Is very healthy. 0:41:55.920 --> 0:41:57.640 They've got a very popular state government up there. 0:41:57.680 --> 0:41:59.040 That's true, right. 0:41:59.120 --> 0:42:02.440 And you know if I when I'm looking at all 0:42:02.440 --> 0:42:05.640 the numbers across the country every single time we bring 0:42:05.680 --> 0:42:08.799 out a sample, Queensland's numbers for the Blue team are 0:42:08.800 --> 0:42:09.400 pretty strong. 0:42:09.640 --> 0:42:11.560 Well I can say, is God love you Queensland. You 0:42:11.680 --> 0:42:12.520 know how much I love you. 0:42:12.640 --> 0:42:14.680 We won't quite being Queensland, but we can see it 0:42:14.719 --> 0:42:16.879 through the window. We can see it from our house 0:42:16.880 --> 0:42:19.239 when we're in tweet Eds tomorrow with the Mavericks debate. 0:42:19.280 --> 0:42:20.960 That'll be a bit of fun, all right. Last one here, 0:42:21.760 --> 0:42:24.480 Palmer helping or hurting. It doesn't seem to spend as 0:42:24.719 --> 0:42:27.000 there's not as many ads, and the ads have the 0:42:27.040 --> 0:42:29.840 simple message you bugger them all now. Obviously when he 0:42:29.880 --> 0:42:31.920 went in on Shorten, that helped. In twenty nineteen, it 0:42:31.920 --> 0:42:35.799 helped with preference discipline as well, with the then four 0:42:35.840 --> 0:42:38.440 percent of people who ended up biting United Australia Party. 0:42:38.600 --> 0:42:41.279 Trumpet's apparently polling at about two might be higher in 0:42:41.320 --> 0:42:44.600 some certain places. Ironically, this money is sort of going 0:42:44.640 --> 0:42:47.520 to help the anyone but liberal or labor. Michael, are 0:42:47.520 --> 0:42:51.120 you surprised when you would think ideologically all of the 0:42:51.160 --> 0:42:53.279 things they say in the ads, well, the opposite of 0:42:53.320 --> 0:42:55.840 all of them is the labor and green side of things. 0:42:56.120 --> 0:42:57.720 Yet they haven't moved the message. 0:42:59.480 --> 0:43:02.160 Yeah, he does promise a lot. The old Clive in 0:43:02.200 --> 0:43:04.560 one and one add is like a machine gun, doesn't 0:43:04.560 --> 0:43:08.320 he He promises trains and everything, all that about fifteen seconds. 0:43:09.040 --> 0:43:10.600 But look, as I saying at the beginning, I think 0:43:10.640 --> 0:43:15.400 what's happening is this. I think the labor vote, hardcore 0:43:15.480 --> 0:43:18.480 labor voters two three percent of come back to labor 0:43:19.160 --> 0:43:21.640 two or three percent. Why the vote hasn't changed is 0:43:21.680 --> 0:43:23.239 because two or three percent of the people haven't been 0:43:23.280 --> 0:43:25.560 voted from this gone of the coalition. Why our vote 0:43:25.600 --> 0:43:27.560 hasn't changed much is because that two or three percent 0:43:27.840 --> 0:43:30.600 has gone to the right. So what i'd call the 0:43:30.680 --> 0:43:33.919 right wing vote has increased. And that's Palmarand as you say, 0:43:33.960 --> 0:43:36.439 one nation. Now, the problem for us is that once 0:43:36.480 --> 0:43:38.799 it gets there, only half of it to sixty percent 0:43:38.800 --> 0:43:41.000 of it comes back because most of those parties do 0:43:41.080 --> 0:43:43.680 not hand out how to vote cards CORECT, so when 0:43:43.680 --> 0:43:45.560 people get in the polling birth the preference has just 0:43:45.600 --> 0:43:48.279 spray in all directions. So they mainly manned a couple 0:43:48.320 --> 0:43:50.439 of major booths in an electric, but if there's thirty 0:43:50.520 --> 0:43:53.080 or forty booths in an electric, they're not man So 0:43:53.520 --> 0:43:55.800 the more people go to the right, the less chancell 0:43:55.880 --> 0:43:58.720 is of Peter Dutton winning. That's that's the simple message 0:43:58.400 --> 0:44:00.800 that we've got to pump out in the next few weeks. 0:44:01.040 --> 0:44:03.239 I've got a feeling that a couple of Labour Party 0:44:03.239 --> 0:44:05.239 people might change their T shirts and be handing out 0:44:05.239 --> 0:44:07.560 for one nation in a couple of the left wing 0:44:07.640 --> 0:44:10.160 seats in Victoria, just as an act, just to say 0:44:10.160 --> 0:44:12.080 I look, don't worry Love, we'll hand them out for you. 0:44:12.360 --> 0:44:14.560 We'll hand him out for your Brind's nice. This is 0:44:14.640 --> 0:44:16.799 not fair enough. It's almost like cous has heard of 0:44:16.840 --> 0:44:17.480 that one before. 0:44:17.480 --> 0:44:19.719 All right, thank you lads, do appreciate it with see 0:44:19.719 --> 0:44:20.839 you again next week. 0:44:20.880 --> 0:44:23.359 The Dark Darts they live. I love it, Thank you guys, 0:44:23.440 --> 0:44:25.239 all right, quick break back with more. The Wonderful Day 0:44:25.320 --> 0:44:28.680 Lee is next from Western Sydney and in Fowl. 0:44:33.400 --> 0:44:36.560 I love die because not just did she defeat KK 0:44:36.640 --> 0:44:39.480 three years ago. What she has done as an independent 0:44:40.120 --> 0:44:42.520 member of Parliament is so much more substantive than the 0:44:42.560 --> 0:44:46.200 sort of fake members that parade to be independents. I've 0:44:46.239 --> 0:44:49.279 watched to ask hard questions, cost of living questions. 0:44:48.960 --> 0:44:51.239 When everyone else was looking the other way. I've seen 0:44:51.280 --> 0:44:54.640 her advocacy. She is absolutely passionate about. 0:44:54.400 --> 0:44:57.479 Her local area, and not just saying things, but taking 0:44:57.600 --> 0:44:58.640 up a fight on their behalf. 0:44:58.640 --> 0:45:00.400 So I hope she does get real elected. 0:45:00.520 --> 0:45:02.800 Labor, of course, have put the person in who probably 0:45:03.040 --> 0:45:04.759 should have been the candidate three years ago. 0:45:04.920 --> 0:45:08.000 But die joins us now die? How's the election feeling again? 0:45:08.040 --> 0:45:10.399 Anyone who follows you on social media knows, morning, noon, 0:45:10.440 --> 0:45:10.920 and night. 0:45:10.800 --> 0:45:12.479 You're out there. You're out there. You're out there. 0:45:12.960 --> 0:45:14.920 You'll deserve a break at some point in time, but 0:45:14.960 --> 0:45:17.560 it won't come until at least twenty something days from now. 0:45:17.600 --> 0:45:18.240 How are you failing? 0:45:18.960 --> 0:45:22.160 Oh look, it's pretty good, Paul. Obviously, the work that 0:45:22.200 --> 0:45:24.960 I do hasn't stopped since the day I got elected. 0:45:25.640 --> 0:45:30.560 Nothing has changed, really, I suppose with election around the corner, 0:45:30.760 --> 0:45:36.800 it's the additional work of preparing booth kits, preparing volunteers, 0:45:37.120 --> 0:45:41.160 getting volunteers designing your HTV because of course you're an independent, 0:45:41.200 --> 0:45:42.799 you don't have the machinery to do all of that 0:45:42.960 --> 0:45:47.160 organization organizing for you. But look, it's been very good 0:45:47.640 --> 0:45:49.440 being out there in the community. And as you know, 0:45:49.520 --> 0:45:52.680 I've been doing well. I didn't leave it the last 0:45:52.680 --> 0:45:54.600 four or five weeks to door. I've been doing knocking 0:45:54.640 --> 0:45:58.759 since last year and understanding the needs of my community. 0:45:58.920 --> 0:46:02.360 And I think i've on your show before calling for 0:46:02.800 --> 0:46:07.080 the few excise tax cuts to be reintroduced because that 0:46:07.120 --> 0:46:10.520 will help at least you know, families seventy percent of 0:46:10.560 --> 0:46:15.800 our community drive cars out here, petrol field cars because 0:46:15.800 --> 0:46:19.440 we drive long distances and we don't have the East 0:46:19.480 --> 0:46:22.920 West Metro, which the state government and the federal government 0:46:23.560 --> 0:46:26.719 basically you know, took it off the map. And that 0:46:26.800 --> 0:46:30.160 means lost opportunities for our young people, for our families 0:46:30.480 --> 0:46:33.359 to connect to the Western Sydney Airport. There's so many 0:46:33.400 --> 0:46:36.200 things that I think that the Anthony Albanizi labor government 0:46:36.200 --> 0:46:41.400 have really forgotten, continue to forget Fowler and Southwest and 0:46:41.640 --> 0:46:46.080 Western Sydney. They you know, they sounds like they are 0:46:46.200 --> 0:46:49.399 announcing billions of dollars here and there, but really, when 0:46:49.400 --> 0:46:52.440 you look at the crux of it, what have they 0:46:52.480 --> 0:46:56.480 really done for families? A few days ago, I was 0:46:56.480 --> 0:46:59.319 at a trivia night at a local club and there's 0:46:59.320 --> 0:47:01.880 about one hundred people and a few of the people 0:47:01.920 --> 0:47:04.040 come up to me and said, you know, they're so 0:47:04.200 --> 0:47:09.200 angry because they have obviously the cost of food has 0:47:09.200 --> 0:47:13.440 gone up, petrol price have gone up. For them, the 0:47:13.600 --> 0:47:18.200 thirteen interest rate writers has caused them a lot of pressure, 0:47:18.600 --> 0:47:21.560 even though we've had one reduction in interest rate. 0:47:21.800 --> 0:47:25.239 Doesn't touch you sides. Doesn't touch your sides. So give 0:47:25.239 --> 0:47:25.920 me an idea too. 0:47:26.160 --> 0:47:28.800 And I asked this question respectfully, But obviously there's a 0:47:28.880 --> 0:47:33.399 very significant number of people who speak languages. 0:47:32.880 --> 0:47:35.239 As well as English in and around the community. 0:47:36.200 --> 0:47:37.840 When you've got to talk to lots of people in 0:47:37.880 --> 0:47:42.040 lots of different ways, what's different than say a campaign 0:47:42.680 --> 0:47:45.640 in you know, the pretty white places like the northern 0:47:45.680 --> 0:47:50.400 beaches of Sydney, where there's this quite complicated dia aspera. 0:47:50.680 --> 0:47:54.480 How do you campaign? Do you go via organization to organization? 0:47:55.000 --> 0:47:55.800 What's different? 0:47:55.960 --> 0:47:59.880 Give me an idea, look, Paul, I think it's a 0:48:00.200 --> 0:48:02.319 working with the community. I wouldn't call it. I mean, 0:48:02.360 --> 0:48:05.279 I know politicians called it campaigning like at the moment 0:48:05.440 --> 0:48:08.319 because coming out in the last five six weeks, going 0:48:08.320 --> 0:48:12.120 out making announcements. But for me, for instance, for the 0:48:12.160 --> 0:48:15.360 month of April, for instance, from the first of April, 0:48:16.360 --> 0:48:19.320 we have their Serian New Year and they're different groups, 0:48:19.320 --> 0:48:22.000 so they celebrated for the last the last one was 0:48:22.320 --> 0:48:25.080 on Friday night. And then we have also the Laotian 0:48:25.360 --> 0:48:28.399 Australian Community New Year, which was started one last week 0:48:28.400 --> 0:48:31.360 and I attended one today and then next week we 0:48:31.400 --> 0:48:33.799 have the Cambodian New Year, and of course we have 0:48:33.840 --> 0:48:37.920 the Anzac Day, and we have all of this community 0:48:38.520 --> 0:48:41.400 cultural events that I participate and I get invited to 0:48:42.160 --> 0:48:44.480 be part of. And so that's for me, it's about 0:48:44.520 --> 0:48:47.719 community engagement and understanding. And when you go to these events, 0:48:47.960 --> 0:48:51.600 you get to hear of people's stories on struggles. And 0:48:51.680 --> 0:48:55.879 I don't know if politicians like you know, the Prime 0:48:55.880 --> 0:48:59.520 Minister and all his ministers or any other senior ministers 0:48:59.719 --> 0:49:03.560 and are actually on the ground and listening to what 0:49:03.840 --> 0:49:07.200 the community are telling them, because I certainly do. I 0:49:07.239 --> 0:49:10.719 feel like I'm one of the people my community. I'm 0:49:10.760 --> 0:49:14.359 there listening to them and actually ensuring that what they're 0:49:14.400 --> 0:49:20.280 telling me gets translated in terms of policy or bringing 0:49:20.320 --> 0:49:22.400 that to the federal Parliament. And I've been doing that 0:49:22.440 --> 0:49:24.760 for the last three years. 0:49:24.480 --> 0:49:26.840 Well and again, and I say that to get a 0:49:26.840 --> 0:49:29.400 greater understanding about the task of being. 0:49:29.360 --> 0:49:30.040 The local MP. 0:49:30.120 --> 0:49:32.960 It's already difficult and all of those other complexities. But honestly, 0:49:33.120 --> 0:49:35.200 I think you've been in a phenomenal edition to the parliament. 0:49:35.320 --> 0:49:37.920 I hope you're there for another three years. Whatever support 0:49:37.960 --> 0:49:39.480 we can, we throw you away. If we need to 0:49:39.480 --> 0:49:41.360 talk to you again before the election, we will, But 0:49:41.440 --> 0:49:42.880 tell us how do people. 0:49:42.600 --> 0:49:43.440 Find you online? 0:49:43.640 --> 0:49:46.000 How do they help you out in the next couple 0:49:46.040 --> 0:49:46.480 of weeks. 0:49:46.840 --> 0:49:49.760 Yes, please, you know, if people want to volunteer, obviously 0:49:49.840 --> 0:49:53.200 I don't have the machinery, please to contact me on 0:49:53.239 --> 0:49:57.120 my website, the support dot di lea dot com dot 0:49:57.120 --> 0:50:00.919 au and you can find a forming there to volunteer, 0:50:01.080 --> 0:50:04.760 to donate because obviously, again I'm spending my own money 0:50:05.520 --> 0:50:08.840 and I have a few donors already, people from you know, 0:50:08.880 --> 0:50:11.920 donating one hundred dollars one thousand dollars from across the country. 0:50:12.840 --> 0:50:15.279 And I've been very grateful because that's going to help 0:50:15.320 --> 0:50:18.239 with my campaign. So yes, I'd be grateful for all 0:50:18.280 --> 0:50:19.920 the support that I can get. 0:50:19.760 --> 0:50:22.600 Good stuff dilut dot com, dot au diary dot com, 0:50:22.640 --> 0:50:24.000 that you will put it up on our socials so 0:50:24.000 --> 0:50:25.520 we'll get it in front of many people's eyes. All 0:50:25.520 --> 0:50:27.279 the best, mate. We'll talk to you again before and 0:50:27.320 --> 0:50:31.160 definitely after the election. Thank you, dilute. An excellent local representative, 0:50:31.480 --> 0:50:33.319 exactly who you want in the parliament, not somebody who's 0:50:33.320 --> 0:50:36.040 desperate to appear on Q and A. Instead wants to 0:50:36.080 --> 0:50:38.160 appear at the local community events and fight for you. 0:50:38.160 --> 0:50:40.400 We'll see you again tomorrow for the Mavericks from Tweed 0:50:40.920 --> 0:50:41.200 Talla