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Speaker 1: Hello and welcome to The Australian's Money Puzzle podcast. I'm

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Speaker 1: James Kirby. Welcome aboard everybody. You would think now with

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Speaker 1: property expected to rise over the next two years, I

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Speaker 1: saw a report from Bank of Queensland economists Moncton during

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Speaker 1: the week saying, you know, he expects ten to fifteen

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Speaker 1: percent gains in the next two years, that it would

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Speaker 1: be an ideal time to consider property investment, which I

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Speaker 1: think it may be. But the issue I think on

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Speaker 1: the table for everybody just now is the structure in

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Speaker 1: which you own property. And many people have put in

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Speaker 1: this fifty billion at least worth of property inside Super

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Speaker 1: and I wonder this week, with what's going on, whether

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Speaker 1: those people have made a mistake. My guest today is

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Speaker 1: Stuart Weems of the pro Solution Private Client Group and

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Speaker 1: the Investopperly podcast. We've been talking to each other about

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Speaker 1: these changes. It's time that we did a podcast on it.

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Speaker 1: Hawai is Stuart.

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Speaker 2: I'm really well, James, thanks for having me back.

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Speaker 1: You're welcome. Let's te x explain to people. First of all,

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Speaker 1: like that property holding property inside Super, it's been great

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Speaker 1: that you can put that on the table. There's two

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Speaker 1: types of property you might hold inside Super, but they

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Speaker 1: called business real property. That's if you had a business,

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Speaker 1: their business premises can go in Super. That was always

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Speaker 1: a terrific advantage which a lot of people liked. More recently,

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Speaker 1: of course, with the long profitable history of residential property,

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Speaker 1: people have been putting residential property into Super. I have

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Speaker 1: done it now. The issue is, of course, that two

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Speaker 1: things have happened right that make it less attracted than

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Speaker 1: it used to be. The banks withdrew to some degree,

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Speaker 1: and mid rates very expensive for people to have property

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Speaker 1: inside Super. This is before we talk about the Super tax, folks.

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Speaker 1: So what to explain to listen to everyone if you

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Speaker 1: could about property and Super, the good, the bad, and

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Speaker 1: the ugly if you.

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Speaker 2: Like, Yeah, sure, James. And one of the main attractions,

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Speaker 2: or I guess why people are so attracted to investing

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Speaker 2: in property inside Super is that if they get into

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Speaker 2: pension phase, you know, in retirement, that they can go

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Speaker 2: and sell that property and as long as they're below

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Speaker 2: the transfer balance cap, which in a few weeks time

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Speaker 2: will be two million dollars per person, they won't pay

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Speaker 2: any capital gains tax. And everyone knows, you know, property

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Speaker 2: compounds and great capital growth, and that's where most of

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Speaker 2: my return is going to be. So if I buy

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Speaker 2: a million dollar property today, in twenty years time, you know,

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Speaker 2: hopefully at seven point two percent, they'll be worth four

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Speaker 2: million dollars. I make a three million dollar gross capital

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Speaker 2: gain and I pay no tax. That's super attractive, and

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Speaker 2: I think James, that's the main attraction of people want

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Speaker 2: to invest in property inside SUPER.

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Speaker 1: A lot of people I talk to younger people who

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Speaker 1: are thinking of but also love the idea that they

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Speaker 1: have money in SUPER, which in many ways they feel

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Speaker 1: they can't exploit if you like, or access. Obviously they

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Speaker 1: can't access it till they tirement could be thirty years away,

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Speaker 1: forty years away. But they can use the money in

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Speaker 1: their super as a deposit, which they may not have.

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Speaker 1: Most people don't have a deposit for a property in

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Speaker 1: cash around the house, in the spare bank accountant there,

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Speaker 1: it is in SUPER. So that's the other I suppose

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Speaker 1: is that the other attraction.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, And it's a very transparent way of investing your SUPER.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you know, if you're putting industry fund, it's

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Speaker 2: very difficult to kind of work out how it's invested.

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Speaker 2: But if you've got a self marriage super funded and

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Speaker 2: you go and buy an investment grade unit or something

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Speaker 2: like that. You can drive past it, you know where

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Speaker 2: it is, you can really monitor its performance, and it

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Speaker 2: gives people, you know that bricks and mortar. Of course,

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Speaker 2: property is half the volatility of the share market. That

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Speaker 2: gives people a bit of comfort as well. But we

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Speaker 2: should talk about the negatives well, because fossible.

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Speaker 1: Why isn't it a mainstream Why are I is ended

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Speaker 1: up in advertised? Why are the banks not offering loans

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Speaker 1: in this area.

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Speaker 2: It's a complex structure, and I don't think the banks.

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Speaker 2: You know, typically that you're borrowing, the loan amounts are

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Speaker 2: lower because you're borrowing so seventy percent, whereas someone investing

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Speaker 2: property outside they typically borrow the full cost, so the

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Speaker 2: loan amounts, the average loan size is the lower, and

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Speaker 2: there's a lot of administration from the bank's perspectives. So

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Speaker 2: I just think they view it as not a profitable

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Speaker 2: part of the market, and they pulled out, you know,

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Speaker 2: around this sort of just after the GFC, really a

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Speaker 2: lot of them started exiting. I wouldn't be surprised if

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Speaker 2: they come back into the market, though, particularly if there's

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Speaker 2: a bit of a resurgence in terms of demand for

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Speaker 2: borrowing because it's been it hasn't been that popular, I

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Speaker 2: guess over the last few recent years.

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Speaker 1: But who's doing the lending.

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Speaker 2: Mostly mortgage managers, so they aren't eighty i's deposit institutions.

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Speaker 2: And that's a bit of a red flag for people

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Speaker 2: because a lot of these small mortgage managers offer offset accounts,

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Speaker 2: just like we have outside of super But just be

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Speaker 2: careful with that because they're not going to get the

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Speaker 2: government guarantee because they're not a bank. So it's okay

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Speaker 2: to borrow from these people, and most of them they're regulated,

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Speaker 2: they're safe, but just don't put too much cash with them.

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Speaker 1: You're saying you can borrow from them because they're not guaranteed,

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Speaker 1: so they're in trouble if they go wonder. But if

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Speaker 1: you put money in, you're in trouble. Is that what

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Speaker 1: y you?

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Speaker 2: A blinder? They'll sell their loan book, right, so you're

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Speaker 2: not really at risk that that's not such a problem.

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Speaker 2: It's really the cash side.

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Speaker 1: But I know you say the banks might come back

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Speaker 1: into the business if property starters lift, as many people

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Speaker 1: expect it will, but isn't there something of a sword

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Speaker 1: hanging over the whole thing anyway about the allowance to

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Speaker 1: be like, for want of a better word, that you

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Speaker 1: can borrow to buy property and super that you can that,

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Speaker 1: because isn't there isn't there a question mark that never

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Speaker 1: goes away. But whether the government will just close down

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Speaker 1: the ability to use your super fund to borrow for property,

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Speaker 1: it could do.

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Speaker 2: But I don't think. I mean it changed in nine

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Speaker 2: or was it? I said no, it was even before

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Speaker 2: that was a Howard government thing, wasn't it. So it's

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Speaker 2: been around for a long time. I don't think, you know,

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Speaker 2: I don't think there's much evidence that it's really been misused.

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Speaker 2: Of course, there's always going to be people on the

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Speaker 2: fringe that overborrow and do something silly and lose money.

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Speaker 2: But I think in the main, you look at the

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Speaker 2: numbers that are published in terms of the assets that

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Speaker 2: are associated with these borrowing arrangements and the debt the

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Speaker 2: equity is substantial. You look at those numbers, you go, whow,

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Speaker 2: it's been great for investors. So I don't think it's

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Speaker 2: going to go away, James, unless it starts being misused.

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Speaker 1: About the Greens in Parliament. The Greens, who will have

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Speaker 1: the balance of power in this past said, as part

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Speaker 1: of their support for the new supertax, which we'll do

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Speaker 1: it's soon that they want this band the ability of

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Speaker 1: super funds to borrow. They wanted banned SMSs to borrow.

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Speaker 1: So isn't that a threat?

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Speaker 2: Well, it could be, but what will happen to pre

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Speaker 2: existing arrangements? So you used to be able to have

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Speaker 2: a bit technical but it used to be able to

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Speaker 2: lend money into your own super funds. You didn't have

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Speaker 2: to have a borrow from a third party a bank,

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Speaker 2: but they closed that down, you know, your ability to

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Speaker 2: be able to do that many years ago. But the

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Speaker 2: existing arrangements, if they're there, can remain in place. So

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Speaker 2: I guess my feeling would be if they did ban it,

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Speaker 2: it'd be as of today, we can't do that anymore.

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Speaker 2: But anyone that has that pre existing arrangement, it's probably

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Speaker 2: going to be quarantined or avoided from that, which I

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Speaker 2: mean maybe then, you know, if people are contemplating it,

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Speaker 2: maybe do it sooner rather than later if that's the case.

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Speaker 2: But I don't think there's any reason to ban it.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So what we've said so far. If you're listening

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Speaker 1: and you're thinking of going using your superfund that's self

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Speaker 1: managed super fund, that would be of course to invest

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Speaker 1: in property. As Stuarts explain, there's a couple of issues.

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Speaker 1: Their rates are high. They are the highest you can

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Speaker 1: find in the market for a variety of reasons, one

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Speaker 1: of them being a lack of competition in the market

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Speaker 1: because the big banks aren't in there. Also, then this

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Speaker 1: whole issue of whether you're allowed to continue to use

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Speaker 1: your superfund and have the super fund borrowed to buy property.

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Speaker 1: It's been under question for a long time. There was

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Speaker 1: a report a few years ago by David Murray which

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Speaker 1: was very powerful that it should be banned. It didn't

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Speaker 1: actually get happen, and interestingly, the AP has never said

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Speaker 1: that they would, but the Greens are saying that they

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Speaker 1: want it banned as part of their support for the

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Speaker 1: new supertax. So this is what we know so far.

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Speaker 1: But we also know, as you say, it's your people

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Speaker 1: are very usefully profitably using super to invest in property,

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Speaker 1: either business property what they call business real property, or

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Speaker 1: residential property. Across the country. There's at least fifty billion

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Speaker 1: out there in that category. The big question, folks, is

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Speaker 1: whether now on top of these restraints that are there,

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Speaker 1: the new supertax will really finish this off in terms

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Speaker 1: of whether it's worth the effort. We're going to talk

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Speaker 1: about that after the break. Hello and welcome back to

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Speaker 1: the Australians Money Puzzled podcast. James Kerby here, but Stuart Wiims,

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Speaker 1: regular contributor of course to the Wealth section in the Australian. Stuart,

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Speaker 1: let's talk now, let's really examine whether property is still

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Speaker 1: worth it in Super. And before we do, one thing

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Speaker 1: we didn't mention in the first segment was I remember

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Speaker 1: you saying on the a few weeks ago, and I'd

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Speaker 1: like you to just run this through once more. I

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Speaker 1: remember you saying, why would you have it in Super anyway?

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Speaker 1: Because outside Super the negative gearing is so much better.

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Speaker 1: Could you explain how that all works?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean one of the attractions I said, I

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Speaker 2: think most people who attracted is to avoid paying capital

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Speaker 2: gains tax in retirement, which is a great saving. But

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Speaker 2: there's always another side to the coin. With most things

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Speaker 2: when we make a financial decision, and the downside to

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Speaker 2: gearing inside Super is that the tax rate is much lower.

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Speaker 2: It's a flat fifteen percent as we know, whereas outside

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Speaker 2: of Super, you know, going to pay somewhere between thirty

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Speaker 2: and forty seven percent. It just means that the negative gearing,

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Speaker 2: the tax benefit associated with holding that property is much

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Speaker 2: higher outside Super. And that is really valuable because obviously

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Speaker 2: a saving today is worth a lot more to me

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Speaker 2: than a potential saving in twenty years time when I'm

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Speaker 2: going to retire. So when you model this out, James,

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Speaker 2: and compare the lower level of gearing inside Super, you

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Speaker 2: know you can only borrow, so for seventy eighty percent,

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Speaker 2: you've got to put some cash in together with the

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Speaker 2: highest higher interest rates. Interest rates are about one to

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Speaker 2: one and a half percent higher inside Super compared to outside,

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Speaker 2: and then lower negative gearing. It offsets the capital gains

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Speaker 2: tax savings. It's about neutral when you balance it all

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Speaker 2: out compared to you know, investing property outside Super versus

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Speaker 2: inside Super. So I think people need to be really

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Speaker 2: careful about, you know, if that carrot is dangled in

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Speaker 2: front of their eyes, say, look, you're not going to

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Speaker 2: pay any capital gains tax, that's great, But what am

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Speaker 2: I forgoing in order to achieve that outcome?

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Speaker 1: It's like an opportunity cost. So you're saying, listen, yes

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Speaker 1: you forget that property. If you had bought it as

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Speaker 1: a present, you're paying forty seven percent tax. You've got

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Speaker 1: no tax bricks. Your entire expenses come to two thousand dollars.

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Speaker 1: If you had a property in there, you could add

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Speaker 1: that could multiply by ten by twenty. Okay, So you're

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Speaker 1: saying it's neutral. The perfect time to ask the question.

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Speaker 1: It was. It was, it's noutral, it was beautifully balanced.

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Speaker 1: And now here comes the new supertax. Okay, very briefly, folks,

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Speaker 1: I'm sure you have got a grasp on it. But

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Speaker 1: just to recap the new tax, which is du believe

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Speaker 1: it or not, to effectively begin on July one, covering

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Speaker 1: its first financial year to July one, twenty twenty six,

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Speaker 1: when they start to collect on this tax, for people

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Speaker 1: with amounts over three million and super, the tax will

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Speaker 1: be imposed. It's a new tax. It's fifteen percent, and

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Speaker 1: if you recall, there's already a tax of fifteen percent

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Speaker 1: once it goes over once you have more than two

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Speaker 1: million and super starting July one, under this new law,

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Speaker 1: once you have over three million in super, there's an

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Speaker 1: extra fifteen percent and it's based on realized gains. That

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Speaker 1: means the paper value of the property that you had

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Speaker 1: thought you were holding for twenty years inside your super account.

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Speaker 1: You could get a bill to be paid by you

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Speaker 1: each year on the paper notional theoretical gain of that property.

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Speaker 1: And if the Greens have there ware, the threshold will

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Speaker 1: drop from three millions two million. And if they don't indexit,

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Speaker 1: which they don't plan to, many more people will be

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Speaker 1: brought into the net every year. God feeling Stewart about

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Speaker 1: let's assume that old's going to happen. Everything tells us

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Speaker 1: it's going to happen. The government are in a very

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Speaker 1: strong position. They don't have to really buckle for anything

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Speaker 1: just now they've just been reelected. What do you think.

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Speaker 2: The other thing too, James, is that you pay fifteen

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Speaker 2: percent tax on the unrealized gain. But then when you

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Speaker 2: come to sell that asset, you were taxed on the

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Speaker 2: original cost base of the assets, so you'll pay ten percent,

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Speaker 2: So essentially you'll end up paying twenty five percent.

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Speaker 1: It can be clarify. That's if you sell it before

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Speaker 1: you retire.

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Speaker 2: That's well, that's if you sell it before you tire.

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Speaker 2: Correct or you're over the transfer balance cap, so you

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Speaker 2: have more than two, which is probably going to be

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Speaker 2: the case, of course, because the tax kicks in at three.

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Speaker 2: So you're going to pay somewhere between fifteen and twenty

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Speaker 2: five percent in capital gains tax as a result of

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Speaker 2: these tax which is look and look are you're going

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Speaker 2: to I saw something over the weekend that the average

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Speaker 2: top ten self managed super funds on average told four

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Speaker 2: hundred and twenty million dollars or something like that in them.

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Speaker 2: So I don't think anyone sitting here going, well, they

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Speaker 2: shouldn't pay twenty.

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Speaker 1: Five I mean, unfortunately, it's because of these people that

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Speaker 1: the whole damn thing has been yet through and it's

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Speaker 1: trying to get at this what we don't know but

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Speaker 1: this tiny number of people with enormous amounts and super

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Speaker 1: that are legally in there by the way, But of

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Speaker 1: course no one can stand. No one's going to stand

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Speaker 1: on a hill to defend them because it doesn't stack up.

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Speaker 1: But here's the thing, it becomes the everyday tax situation

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Speaker 1: for property and super So does it as it stand,

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Speaker 1: really undermined the attractions of property and super Well.

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Speaker 2: I did some financial modeling using a scenario that I

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Speaker 2: think is really realistic. So if you have a couple

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Speaker 2: that they're in their mid thirties, have one hundred and

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Speaker 2: sixty thousand dollars of super each, so three hundred and

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Speaker 2: twenty all up, they go and buy a million dollar property,

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Speaker 2: borrow seventy percent in a self managed superfund, it should

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Speaker 2: work out okay for them. That is that their balance

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Speaker 2: should be only the north of about three million dollars

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Speaker 2: by the time that they get into their sixties, which

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Speaker 2: will give them some flexibility to withdraw any excess amounts

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Speaker 2: if they needed to. But the key assumption here is

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Speaker 2: that the both spouses have equal superbalances, which means they

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Speaker 2: own fifty percent of the self managed superfund throughout their

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Speaker 2: entire working career. Unfortunately, that assumption is unlikely, very unlikely.

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Speaker 2: Normally we see in where we have a couple, Normally

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Speaker 2: one of those couples will have a lot more super

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Speaker 2: than the other, either because they've got different incomes, of course,

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Speaker 2: or because of matern leave, all these sorts of things.

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Speaker 2: So for the average person in their thirties, they're thinking, hey,

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Speaker 2: I've got a really long runway twenty years, I should

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Speaker 2: just go on gear into property. They need to be

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Speaker 2: really careful because I think in many situations they'll be

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Speaker 2: caught by this three million dollar tax. And one of

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Speaker 2: the downsides to gearing into property is illiquidity. You know,

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Speaker 2: So if I have a big bill or a big

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Speaker 2: tax bill that need to pay, how am I going

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Speaker 2: to pay that without selling the asset? So I think

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Speaker 2: people need to be very careful with this. And I

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Speaker 2: think if you overlay what we spoke about in terms

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Speaker 2: of you know, lower negative gearing, higher interest rates, lower

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Speaker 2: overall gearing inside super this is just another element to

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Speaker 2: I think make it look less attractive for the average

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Speaker 2: average Australian.

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Speaker 1: Yes, and the couple you mentioned, what they'd have to

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Speaker 1: do was contribute bayond equal each year as well to

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Speaker 1: try and manage the two portfolios basically individual portfolios, to

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Speaker 1: watch the caps which are looming.

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Speaker 2: Yep, that's right, because if one's contributing a lot more

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Speaker 2: than the other, of course, then they're going to own

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Speaker 2: they'll have a greater share in terms of member balance

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Speaker 2: of that self managed super fund. So it's difficult. You

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Speaker 2: could start off when you buy this asset thirty five

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Speaker 2: you do have very equal incomes, but what happens in

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Speaker 2: ten years time. When you don't, it's going to be

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Speaker 2: too easy to fall foul of this cap, particularly since

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Speaker 2: it's not indexed exactly.

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Speaker 1: So you could have a couple where they've been together

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Speaker 1: for all their lives and one person contributed more so

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Speaker 1: that person goes over the individual cap. The other person

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Speaker 1: isn't anywhere remotely near that cap, but the couple at

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Speaker 1: such their household get hit with the tax. That's, as

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Speaker 1: you say, and one of the kind of planks that

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Speaker 1: make property less attractive now and super on the basis

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Speaker 1: that this tax comes through in the way that it

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Speaker 1: is planned. Okay, yeah, difficult got time, difficult time for people.

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Speaker 1: It's really a pity that this has been restrained in

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Speaker 1: so many ways and is met so complicated and in

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Speaker 1: many ways people may think they need to pay big

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Speaker 1: fees to even understand what the rules are. But I

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Speaker 1: think if you track it, folks, we are covering it

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Speaker 1: very carefully, and if you do tune in to this

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Speaker 1: podcast and some others we have done both on the

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Speaker 1: tax and on property, I think you can make your

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Speaker 1: own mind up. Which is a very good time to

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Speaker 1: tell you that we are going to do especial on

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Speaker 1: the new Supertax on Thursday this coming Thursday with Hugh Robertson. Okay,

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Speaker 1: now I have some really good questions, very good questions

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Speaker 1: that I want to let you know about some clarification,

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Speaker 1: useful news about the solar and batteries program which everyone

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Speaker 1: was so interested in a couple of weeks ago, with

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Speaker 1: James Gerard's an update on that. Okay, back in a moment, Hello,

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Speaker 1: Welcome back to The Australian's Money Puzzle podcast. James Kirby

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Speaker 1: here with Stuart Whims of the pro Solution Private Clients

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Speaker 1: Group and the Investoppaly podcast. You weren't involved in this,

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Speaker 1: Stuart Williams, but James Gerard was, who's regularly on the show,

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Speaker 1: and he's something of he's very interested. He's a financial

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Speaker 1: advisor like you are. But I don't know if you're

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Speaker 1: as interested in cars and batteries and all that sort

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Speaker 1: of thing as James is. And we did a special

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Speaker 1: on what's available to anybody basically under the new government

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Speaker 1: scheme there's for renewables and encouraging incentives in this area.

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Speaker 1: The incentives were on the home battery and on the

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Speaker 1: electric cars. The electric cars is ovated lya see one

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Speaker 1: hundred percent deductible the batteries. Basically, many people one in

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Speaker 1: three households have a solar panel in Australia, thanks mostly

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Speaker 1: to incentives in the past, but only three percent of

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Speaker 1: them have battery. So the new scheme for the government

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Speaker 1: is basically cuts the cost of a battery in half.

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Speaker 1: It's a federal scheme and James basically round the numbers

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Speaker 1: and in whatever state you're in, if you couple what

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Speaker 1: the government is offering along with your local state offering,

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Speaker 1: you'll get your battery cost cut in half. But we

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Speaker 1: weren't really clear still when it started, so for what

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Speaker 1: it's worth, the federal government solar battery scheme goes live

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Speaker 1: on July one. I just thought i'd let you know

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Speaker 1: about that that actually comes. I just come into me

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Speaker 1: this morning from one of the industry players there. Okay,

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Speaker 1: now question Liam. You want to read Liam's question? Yeah?

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Speaker 2: Sure, Liam writes, I love the show, wondering if you

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Speaker 2: or your guests have any views on the approach for

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Speaker 2: people who just bought a house. I'm in a position

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Speaker 2: of being able to pay an extra eight hundred dollars

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Speaker 2: per month into my mortgage offset, which is doable until

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Speaker 2: I have kids. Given the high interest rates, I would

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Speaker 2: have thought that's best to do. It doesn't make sense

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Speaker 2: to split the extra.

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Speaker 1: Dollars, Okay, I never advice here Liam, of course, on

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Speaker 1: the information. Does it make sense to less paying into

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Speaker 1: the mortgage off set? What do you think?

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Speaker 2: I think what Liam say is maybe split it towards

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Speaker 2: something else. I'm not really sure, but really the mortgage

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Speaker 2: offset is really the best place to park any spare

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Speaker 2: cash because if you think about it, for two reasons. Firstly,

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Speaker 2: it's a risk free return. Like if you invest in

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Speaker 2: the share market or put it somewhere else, you know

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Speaker 2: you're going to take some risk you're not really certain

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Speaker 2: what the return will be. But in a mortgage offset account,

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Speaker 2: you're definitely going to save six percent to whatever your

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Speaker 2: interest rate is. Secondly, it's not taxable, so you know,

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Speaker 2: if you're paying an average tax rate of thirty percent,

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Speaker 2: for example, to earn a six percent return after tax,

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Speaker 2: you need to earn eight and a half percent, and

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Speaker 2: you need to earn eight and a half percent on

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Speaker 2: a risk free basis, it's just not going to happen.

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Speaker 2: Why so, for anyone that has any spare cash and savings,

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Speaker 2: it put parking in a mortgage off set is really

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Speaker 2: the best way to go unless you're willing to, you know,

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Speaker 2: take a very long term timerize and of course and say, look,

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Speaker 2: I want to put that money into equities or property

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Speaker 2: or whatever it might be.

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Speaker 1: Okay, terrific assuming that you have spare cash, and good

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Speaker 1: for you, Liam you're thinking ahead. I remember the mortgage

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Speaker 1: off set, so I remember thinking they sounds so good

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Speaker 1: if I only had spare cash to put into them

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Speaker 1: back in the day. Okay. Question from John J O

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Speaker 1: N John So he says, I'm feeling tightly squeezed on

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Speaker 1: my variable home nun with A and Z and as

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Speaker 1: a fresh first home buyer, it's eating sixty two percent

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Speaker 1: of my income. I met recently to ask for a

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Speaker 1: better deal, and I was told no chance, no discussion.

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Speaker 1: I stated that currently three of the big banks are

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Speaker 1: offering a five point eight four percent variable rate, significantly

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Speaker 1: lower than my one. So what the response was? A

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Speaker 1: and Z wants to move customers and new clients onto apps. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so John says, given the resistance of the banks to

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Speaker 1: adopt work from home arrangements themselves due to them being

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Speaker 1: considered impractical, isn't it a bit rich to force customers

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Speaker 1: effectively to move to work from face to face interactions

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Speaker 1: with the bank to virtual coaches bolstering their other worldly profits.

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Speaker 1: By that, he means very big. I suppose. Yes. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Look I'll take all that on board. John. I think Stuart,

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Speaker 1: you've always said that that people should rock up to

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Speaker 1: the banks. And I do not need to pick one

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Speaker 1: bank here over another because it's one person in one bank.

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Speaker 1: There's millions of these transactions. But you are firmly you

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Speaker 1: told me, and I did this and it worked that

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Speaker 1: if you go to a bank and you ask for

433
00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:39,479
Speaker 1: a better offer, they will, but you must use certain

434
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:42,200
Speaker 1: magic words. What were the magic words again?

435
00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:45,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's right, you ring them up, and so what

436
00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:48,440
Speaker 2: I if I was, John, I'll ring them up and say,

437
00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:52,760
Speaker 2: I'm just about to sign my discharge authority because my movie.

438
00:23:52,560 --> 00:23:53,520
Speaker 1: That's the magic word.

439
00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:56,960
Speaker 2: Yes, is going to refinance me to ing you're putting

440
00:23:57,040 --> 00:23:59,560
Speaker 2: IMNG because I typically have They've got a really low

441
00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:02,320
Speaker 2: sort of ASIC variable rate. So I'm about to refinance

442
00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:03,879
Speaker 2: to IOD. But I just wanted to check if you

443
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:08,680
Speaker 2: could give me a better rate. But here's the additional tip, James,

444
00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:12,560
Speaker 2: that I didn't previously discuss with you. It's really strange

445
00:24:12,680 --> 00:24:16,200
Speaker 2: that bank pricing so when they'll have a pricing tool

446
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,480
Speaker 2: and they'll work out whether they can match the rate

447
00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:21,640
Speaker 2: and say yes or no, but they can change from

448
00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:25,959
Speaker 2: week to week. So, given John's repayments about sixty two

449
00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:28,680
Speaker 2: percent of his income, I'm going to take a guess

450
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:30,760
Speaker 2: to say he's probably trapped today and Z he probably

451
00:24:30,800 --> 00:24:33,840
Speaker 2: can't refinance elsewhere because he's got too much dead or

452
00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:37,640
Speaker 2: not enough income, etc. But the people that you call,

453
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,760
Speaker 2: which is the retention team, don't know that. They're not

454
00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:43,160
Speaker 2: going to be wise enough to know that you can't refinance.

455
00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:46,720
Speaker 2: So that's why I say to John, say, you know,

456
00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:49,560
Speaker 2: I'm going to refinance to ID even if that's not possible.

457
00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:52,720
Speaker 2: But if you're not successful today, ring back in two

458
00:24:52,800 --> 00:24:55,760
Speaker 2: or three weeks time, because it might be a no today,

459
00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:58,640
Speaker 2: but it could be a yes just in next week

460
00:24:58,720 --> 00:25:01,879
Speaker 2: or the week after or whatever. So be persistent with it.

461
00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:05,600
Speaker 1: Depending on the team's targets inside the bank, then what's

462
00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:08,520
Speaker 1: happening in the bigger, wider world. And of course that's

463
00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:11,560
Speaker 1: not for an individual John, that's for all the John's

464
00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:14,119
Speaker 1: in the world out there. It's a very general observation

465
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:17,399
Speaker 1: that stet is making. Okay, have a look at the

466
00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:20,200
Speaker 1: final question from Jeff if.

467
00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:23,240
Speaker 2: You would, yes, Jeff, right, So, I'm interested in how

468
00:25:23,320 --> 00:25:27,240
Speaker 2: portfolios are balanced by giving weight to property and infrastructure.

469
00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:30,720
Speaker 2: My understanding is this asset class is supposed to bring

470
00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:35,760
Speaker 2: a more conservative diversification into a portfolio. But is it

471
00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:39,560
Speaker 2: actually the case when it's most commonly achieved by investing

472
00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:43,760
Speaker 2: in funds comprising of listed property investment companies. If so,

473
00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:46,320
Speaker 2: is it fair to say then that this asset class

474
00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:51,159
Speaker 2: would be more categorized, more correctly categorized as equities, and

475
00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:55,640
Speaker 2: as such would remain exposed to equity market fluctuations.

476
00:25:55,720 --> 00:25:58,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a great question, Jeff, it really is. I mean,

477
00:25:58,520 --> 00:26:02,240
Speaker 1: you would think if if we talk regularly on property,

478
00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:06,479
Speaker 1: especially on the Tuesday show, why don't we talk about reads,

479
00:26:06,520 --> 00:26:10,399
Speaker 1: why don't we talk about property funds? Well, this is

480
00:26:10,440 --> 00:26:13,479
Speaker 1: the thing. Direct property is direct property. We started at

481
00:26:13,520 --> 00:26:16,040
Speaker 1: the start of the show talking about why you might

482
00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:20,720
Speaker 1: have a property. By that, I mean bricks and mortar

483
00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:24,320
Speaker 1: number twenty two railway cuttings that you own in your fund,

484
00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:30,560
Speaker 1: as opposed to a share or a holding in a

485
00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:34,159
Speaker 1: variety of listed property shares, And if you look at

486
00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:37,360
Speaker 1: the big super funds, industry funds and retail funds, their

487
00:26:37,400 --> 00:26:41,600
Speaker 1: property is direct property. They own, you know, the office

488
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:45,560
Speaker 1: block down town. They don't own that. The value of

489
00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:48,000
Speaker 1: that block in shares in a listed company. And if

490
00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:51,760
Speaker 1: there is a crash or a serious market reversal, the

491
00:26:51,840 --> 00:26:54,520
Speaker 1: fact that they are property in underpinned by real asseense

492
00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:56,600
Speaker 1: does not make much of a difference. They fall just

493
00:26:56,680 --> 00:26:58,720
Speaker 1: like everything else. So I think the JEF is I

494
00:26:58,760 --> 00:27:01,760
Speaker 1: think basically what Jeff saying is correct that as an

495
00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:06,040
Speaker 1: asset class, if it's listed, it's it's listed, So it's

496
00:27:06,040 --> 00:27:08,720
Speaker 1: the listed security. So it's a share even if it's

497
00:27:08,800 --> 00:27:15,119
Speaker 1: underpinned by property. What do you think maybe okay, yeah, yeah, okay,

498
00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:16,600
Speaker 1: the other put up the other.

499
00:27:17,760 --> 00:27:21,320
Speaker 2: So let's decide if it should be defensive or in

500
00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:24,480
Speaker 2: the growth part of the portfolio. So to be a

501
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:28,480
Speaker 2: rate a real estate investment trust, you need to earn

502
00:27:28,640 --> 00:27:32,439
Speaker 2: seventy five percent of your income from rental income, or

503
00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:35,600
Speaker 2: in Australia, eighty percent of assets on the balance sheet

504
00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:39,439
Speaker 2: are from real property, and that must distribute ninety percent

505
00:27:39,480 --> 00:27:42,920
Speaker 2: of that income each year. So really, what we're actually

506
00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:46,840
Speaker 2: investing in is something that is very much property heavy

507
00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:50,640
Speaker 2: in these sorts of investments, and now, of course they're

508
00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:55,240
Speaker 2: traded every day. But the idea behind reads and infrastructure,

509
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:57,960
Speaker 2: property and infrastructure is that you will get most of

510
00:27:58,000 --> 00:28:01,159
Speaker 2: your return in income. With a little bit of capital growth.

511
00:28:01,240 --> 00:28:04,240
Speaker 2: Maybe the capital will keep up with inflation, but most

512
00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:06,359
Speaker 2: of your return is income. And when you look at

513
00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:10,439
Speaker 2: the index a Vanguard's Austraining Property Fund, eighty percent of

514
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:13,080
Speaker 2: your return over ten years has been income. So it's

515
00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:15,160
Speaker 2: done what it should do. It's done what it says

516
00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:15,600
Speaker 2: on the team.

517
00:28:15,640 --> 00:28:17,560
Speaker 1: You're buying a rent rule, You're buying a.

518
00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:20,400
Speaker 2: Rent role, and that's why it's more it's considered in

519
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:23,400
Speaker 2: more of a defensive asset rather than a growth asset.

520
00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:26,040
Speaker 2: But if you have a look at the performance, the

521
00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:30,160
Speaker 2: best indicator was when interest rates surprisingly. I say surprisingly

522
00:28:30,200 --> 00:28:31,800
Speaker 2: because the RBA said they weren't going to move it,

523
00:28:31,840 --> 00:28:35,720
Speaker 2: but surprisingly moved in twenty two and sort of spook

524
00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:39,240
Speaker 2: the market. What you saw then is the Vanguard Index

525
00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:42,480
Speaker 2: fund dropped about twenty three percent in that twenty two

526
00:28:42,680 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 2: calendar year. You look at the unlisted funds, most of

527
00:28:46,320 --> 00:28:50,400
Speaker 2: the values hadn't changed yet. Now the Vanguard Index Fund

528
00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:53,240
Speaker 2: has actually recovered. It's almost back to where it was

529
00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:57,920
Speaker 2: before interstrates dropped, whereas unlisted property trusts haven't yet recovered.

530
00:28:58,000 --> 00:29:00,560
Speaker 2: They probably will over the next twelve months. They lag,

531
00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:04,400
Speaker 2: they lag. So what the listed companies will tell you

532
00:29:04,440 --> 00:29:07,800
Speaker 2: is what's going to happen to these the prices of

533
00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:11,240
Speaker 2: these assets, even though it hasn't yet happened. But you

534
00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:14,719
Speaker 2: still do get that look through exposure into that market,

535
00:29:14,800 --> 00:29:17,960
Speaker 2: albeit more in a real time basis as opposed to

536
00:29:18,040 --> 00:29:19,440
Speaker 2: if you had unlisted assets.

537
00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:21,880
Speaker 1: Okay, that's a really good answer. Yes, so yes, it

538
00:29:21,920 --> 00:29:24,800
Speaker 1: does give you access to property. It is underpinned by property.

539
00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:28,040
Speaker 1: They never actually knew that there was such strict sort

540
00:29:28,040 --> 00:29:31,640
Speaker 1: of legal constraints around reads for property trust to call

541
00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:34,880
Speaker 1: themselves such. And then as you make the point that

542
00:29:35,760 --> 00:29:38,440
Speaker 1: so you're getting that exposure, it really is property exposure.

543
00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:44,520
Speaker 1: The difference between the block in Martinplace that's in a

544
00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:46,960
Speaker 1: listed fund and the block that's in an unlisted fund

545
00:29:47,040 --> 00:29:50,320
Speaker 1: is that the listed fund, its share price will move

546
00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:54,320
Speaker 1: faster and it will react faster instantly, probably to what's

547
00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:56,920
Speaker 1: going on in the world, while the unlisted one will

548
00:29:56,960 --> 00:29:59,800
Speaker 1: react eventually. So once a pointer to the other.

549
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:02,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think that price discovery from an investor

550
00:30:03,040 --> 00:30:05,840
Speaker 2: is a really valuable thing, right because if I've got

551
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:09,200
Speaker 2: an unlisted asset, I'm really relying on the manager and

552
00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:11,920
Speaker 2: the value and the auditor of that fund to make

553
00:30:11,920 --> 00:30:15,920
Speaker 2: sure they're representing what's actually happening. But if I'm investing

554
00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:19,640
Speaker 2: in something that's a listed asset, that price discovery that's

555
00:30:19,680 --> 00:30:22,240
Speaker 2: happening each day when they're buying and selling chairs gives

556
00:30:22,240 --> 00:30:24,960
Speaker 2: me a lot of comfort that it's really reflecting its

557
00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:25,880
Speaker 2: current value.

558
00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:29,520
Speaker 1: Okay, very good, very interesting, Thank you very much, Stuart

559
00:30:29,560 --> 00:30:32,120
Speaker 1: Wiims a pro Solution Private Line Group. Loveing to have

560
00:30:32,160 --> 00:30:35,000
Speaker 1: you on the show. My pleasure, always good to have

561
00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:37,480
Speaker 1: you on the show. Stewart, terrific. All right, now, folks,

562
00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:40,400
Speaker 1: stand by for a Thursday's show where we will have

563
00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:43,600
Speaker 1: a few Robertson who is on the Baron's top one

564
00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:46,520
Speaker 1: to fifty financial advisors, but he is. We're going to

565
00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:49,480
Speaker 1: do a special on the new Supertax. We have to

566
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:52,920
Speaker 1: the correspondence has just mushroomed. Is that the right world

567
00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:56,080
Speaker 1: flourished on the back of this? So many questions people

568
00:30:56,120 --> 00:30:57,920
Speaker 1: have asked, I think what I'm going to do? Actually,

569
00:30:57,920 --> 00:31:00,600
Speaker 1: the whole show will just be your questions about it

570
00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:03,600
Speaker 1: and in that way hopefully we will really get a

571
00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:06,560
Speaker 1: clear understanding of what it's all about. Okay, keep the

572
00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:10,200
Speaker 1: emails coming, the money puzzle at the Australian dot com

573
00:31:10,320 --> 00:31:11,880
Speaker 1: dot au. Ok soon