1 00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: Welcome to Ask Fear and Agreed, where we take your 2 00:00:06,440 --> 00:00:09,320 Speaker 1: questions and do our very best to answer them. I'm 3 00:00:09,360 --> 00:00:11,639 Speaker 1: Michael Thompson, and good afternoon, Sean Aylmer. 4 00:00:11,760 --> 00:00:13,960 Speaker 2: Good afternoon, Michael. Sean. 5 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:17,760 Speaker 1: Today's question comes from Liam on Facebook, and you can 6 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:21,279 Speaker 1: do it through Facebook or LinkedIn or Instagram, or you 7 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:22,880 Speaker 1: can head to Fear and Greed dot commodo you if 8 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:24,760 Speaker 1: you've got your own questions, sent it in through there. 9 00:00:24,800 --> 00:00:26,840 Speaker 1: We love getting questions, we love answering them. And how 10 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:30,840 Speaker 1: about this one, Sean? He says, something I wonder every 11 00:00:30,880 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 1: time we get to earning season, so it's a very 12 00:00:33,120 --> 00:00:36,520 Speaker 1: timely question from Liam. This one. He says. We hear 13 00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:41,760 Speaker 1: companies talking about net profit and underlying profit, but what's 14 00:00:41,800 --> 00:00:45,280 Speaker 1: the difference? And yes, he says, I've googled it before. 15 00:00:45,600 --> 00:00:48,239 Speaker 1: But the question that Google can't really answer for me 16 00:00:48,360 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 1: satisfactorily is which one actually matters. 17 00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 2: That's because it is an unanswerable question. It all depends 18 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:59,240 Speaker 2: where you're coming from. On this one, it's it is 19 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:04,160 Speaker 2: a cracking quest es Lamb. So in theory, the net 20 00:01:04,200 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 2: profit includes everything bottom line, end of the day, this 21 00:01:08,120 --> 00:01:12,520 Speaker 2: is how much money we made there you go underlying 22 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:18,800 Speaker 2: profit excludes a bunch of things that are considered one off, 23 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:21,040 Speaker 2: like just happened in that six months or that twelve months, 24 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:23,720 Speaker 2: so we're not going to do it again. It might 25 00:01:23,800 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 2: be an extraordinary item, non recurring items. The idea is 26 00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:31,760 Speaker 2: that you take all these odds and sods out and 27 00:01:31,800 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 2: the actual core business, how earning is going in the 28 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:40,880 Speaker 2: core business is reflected in underlying profit. Okay in theory, 29 00:01:41,120 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 2: so underlying profit is you know, this should be repeated 30 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 2: next year, net profit. It actually includes the one off things. 31 00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:51,360 Speaker 2: The argument is what can be left out of underlying profit? Right, 32 00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 2: So redundancy payments they tend to be below the line, 33 00:01:56,400 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 2: so they're not in underlying profit, but the company still 34 00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:03,400 Speaker 2: has to make that redundancy payment. There's still loss. It's 35 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 2: real money read physical money that needs to be transferred 36 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 2: totally totally. Remember we talked about the rets the real 37 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:12,640 Speaker 2: estate investment trusts, and we talk about the revaluations and 38 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:15,800 Speaker 2: how huge they are, so they're they're often not in 39 00:02:15,919 --> 00:02:19,440 Speaker 2: underlying earnings, but they're sort of revaluation of physical property, 40 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 2: intellectual property, that type of stuff. When we worked I 41 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 2: used to work in newspapers, the value of the mass 42 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:29,520 Speaker 2: had always always revalued down that sort of stuff is 43 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:34,200 Speaker 2: kept out charges from restructuring. There are rules, but really 44 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 2: it's up to the company to interpret them. So you 45 00:02:37,919 --> 00:02:41,679 Speaker 2: end up with all sorts of things in that the 46 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:45,080 Speaker 2: difference between underlying and net, all sorts of things that 47 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:49,120 Speaker 2: some people would put in others wouldn't. It's not I mean, 48 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:51,120 Speaker 2: it's not very clear. So it's a great question. 49 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:57,200 Speaker 1: So it's a bad then, So listening to that, it 50 00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 1: sounds so kind of ambiguous. Yes, and it would vary 51 00:03:02,760 --> 00:03:05,080 Speaker 1: so much from company to company in terms of what 52 00:03:05,200 --> 00:03:10,640 Speaker 1: they are able to exclude or willing to exclude because 53 00:03:10,639 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 1: it has opened somewhat to their interpretation. Is a good 54 00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:16,720 Speaker 1: thing is does it make it hard to compare kind 55 00:03:16,760 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 1: of like for like? 56 00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:21,680 Speaker 2: So sometimes it's good. So let's say a company sells 57 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 2: an asset, makes one hundred million dollars, sells an asset 58 00:03:26,720 --> 00:03:29,200 Speaker 2: for fifty million dollars. Therefore it's got a profit a 59 00:03:29,240 --> 00:03:31,679 Speaker 2: bottom line of one hundred and fifty million dollars. That's true, 60 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:34,040 Speaker 2: but the following year it's going to get back to 61 00:03:34,080 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 2: that hundred and So the idea is that you that's 62 00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 2: not in the underlying earnings it's sort of outside that, 63 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:43,240 Speaker 2: and so the recurring earnings is about underlying so you 64 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:46,040 Speaker 2: take it out. So sometimes it's actually a good thing. Yep, 65 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 2: Sometimes it's bad because company can slip things into extraordinary 66 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 2: items that maybe shouldn't be there. Now, when some of 67 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:55,600 Speaker 2: our guests come on the show and they talk about 68 00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:59,800 Speaker 2: quality of earnings, this is kind of what they're talking about. 69 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:02,840 Speaker 2: How people have put their profit and loss statement together 70 00:04:03,920 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 2: and where they've chucked stuff and if they've chucked it 71 00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 2: kind of in extraordinary items. But yeah, last year it 72 00:04:10,200 --> 00:04:14,200 Speaker 2: was actually in underlying earnings. It suggests the quality of 73 00:04:14,240 --> 00:04:16,599 Speaker 2: earnings ain't so good. And when you have a market 74 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:19,240 Speaker 2: like we have at the moment, where interest rates have 75 00:04:19,279 --> 00:04:22,160 Speaker 2: been high for a while now and some companies are 76 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:26,039 Speaker 2: really struggling, they start fudging would be far too strong 77 00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:29,400 Speaker 2: a word, Michael, far too strong a word, but leaning 78 00:04:29,920 --> 00:04:32,480 Speaker 2: towards putting things where they shouldn't Well. 79 00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:35,280 Speaker 1: I was interested to hear that then, these kind of 80 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 1: extraordinary items. As a business journalist, when you were tasked 81 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:44,360 Speaker 1: with going through companies results, it was difficult. Is it 82 00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:46,560 Speaker 1: hard to then try and figure out, Okay, should this 83 00:04:46,640 --> 00:04:48,919 Speaker 1: be here? Should this not be here? But also, is 84 00:04:48,920 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 1: it a little bit of a beacon to say, hey, 85 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:53,040 Speaker 1: look look at this. Look look what's kind of been 86 00:04:53,080 --> 00:04:53,719 Speaker 1: tucked in here. 87 00:04:53,960 --> 00:04:56,680 Speaker 2: So I was never smart enough to work out exactly 88 00:04:56,880 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 2: what is and what isn't there, Like you need someone 89 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:04,080 Speaker 2: with serious clout in accounting rules to know. What you 90 00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 2: could do was look at the percentage relative to total 91 00:05:10,680 --> 00:05:15,240 Speaker 2: earnings that was below underlying earnings, and so suddenly you know, 92 00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:19,279 Speaker 2: the extraordinary stuff was like five three percent, four percent, 93 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 2: twenty seven percent, and there wasn't an asse at sale 94 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:24,560 Speaker 2: or anything. You think, oh, hold on, that's a bit weird. Well, 95 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:32,159 Speaker 2: and then suddenly please explain. So, yeah, it is a contest. 96 00:05:32,200 --> 00:05:37,160 Speaker 2: In the last few years has come under enormous criticism 97 00:05:37,160 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 2: really for some of the way they have accounted for 98 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:44,279 Speaker 2: some things. And I mean, I'm they're not They would 99 00:05:44,279 --> 00:05:46,080 Speaker 2: have a good argument why they did it, so I'm 100 00:05:46,080 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 2: not saying they're wrong, But then others would say no, no, no, 101 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 2: that's not how you do it. So great question, Liam, This. 102 00:05:53,080 --> 00:05:54,960 Speaker 1: Is a fantastic question. And I know we kind of 103 00:05:55,000 --> 00:05:57,279 Speaker 1: veered off in a few different directions, but goodness me, 104 00:05:57,320 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 1: I find that interesting. Unlike us, Liam, I hope, I 105 00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:04,920 Speaker 1: hope that you have been able to get a better 106 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:07,039 Speaker 1: answer out of Sean than you have been able to 107 00:06:07,080 --> 00:06:09,520 Speaker 1: get out of Google. I think so this is certainly 108 00:06:09,560 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 1: more context, certainly more words used. 109 00:06:12,240 --> 00:06:14,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, so when I googled this, when I saw this 110 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:16,920 Speaker 2: question was coming, because I think it was interested that 111 00:06:16,960 --> 00:06:20,320 Speaker 2: he googled it. And there is plenty of Google black 112 00:06:20,360 --> 00:06:25,200 Speaker 2: and white answers. Yeah, but there's no Google like. It 113 00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:28,680 Speaker 2: doesn't explain all the gray and there's a lot of gray. 114 00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:32,479 Speaker 1: Yeahs. And that's where the fun is exploring all of that, 115 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:35,000 Speaker 1: isn't it. Anyway? Thank you very much Liam for the question, 116 00:06:35,080 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 1: and thank you Sean for answering it. Thank you Michael, 117 00:06:37,640 --> 00:06:39,440 Speaker 1: And remember, if you've got something that you would like 118 00:06:39,480 --> 00:06:41,839 Speaker 1: to know, then please send your question on through Even 119 00:06:41,880 --> 00:06:45,000 Speaker 1: if it's something that you've asked Google before and you 120 00:06:45,160 --> 00:06:47,039 Speaker 1: just want a bit more context and you want to 121 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:49,720 Speaker 1: know how it actually applies to you and to your 122 00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:53,560 Speaker 1: business or to your life, then send it on through LinkedIn, Instagram, Facebook, 123 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:56,120 Speaker 1: or a Fear and Greed dot com dot au. Are 124 00:06:56,160 --> 00:06:58,559 Speaker 1: Michael Thompson and this ask Fear and Greed