1 00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:06,040 Speaker 1: Welcome to Ask Fear and Greed, where we answer questions 2 00:00:06,040 --> 00:00:09,920 Speaker 1: about business, investing, economics, politics and more. I'm Michael Thompson 3 00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:11,400 Speaker 1: and hello Sean Aylmer. 4 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:12,959 Speaker 2: Hello Michael, Sean. 5 00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 1: Today's question comes from Lynn and I love getting questions, 6 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:19,440 Speaker 1: and this one's coming via our website Fearangreed dot com. 7 00:00:19,440 --> 00:00:23,360 Speaker 1: Toda you, and she says, high Team, Fear and Greed. 8 00:00:23,760 --> 00:00:25,279 Speaker 1: This is I'm going to read this bit too because 9 00:00:25,320 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 1: I quite like it because it praises us. Sean, She says, 10 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:30,840 Speaker 1: this is a rather long question, so I hold a 11 00:00:30,920 --> 00:00:36,080 Speaker 1: less than fifty percent hope of it being answered on air. Well, 12 00:00:36,400 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 1: but I'm giving it a shot because I really like 13 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:43,159 Speaker 1: the way you explain complex concepts simply. Are you feeling 14 00:00:43,520 --> 00:00:47,800 Speaker 1: no under pressure? No pressure? Here he goes. Lynn says, 15 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:51,280 Speaker 1: it's commonly said that the Reserve Bank's use of interest 16 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:54,600 Speaker 1: rates for monetary policy is a blunt tool which affects 17 00:00:54,760 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 1: mortgage holders disproportionately. All right, we've discussed that before. Lynn says, 18 00:00:59,840 --> 00:01:03,959 Speaker 1: I I've recently heard of an alternative. The Monetary Authority 19 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:09,600 Speaker 1: of Singapore manages monetary policy not by using interest rates. Instead, 20 00:01:09,880 --> 00:01:13,360 Speaker 1: it lets the Singapore dollar rise or fall against the 21 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:18,920 Speaker 1: currencies of its main trading partners within an undisclosed trading 22 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:23,280 Speaker 1: band known as the Singapore Dollar Nominal Effective exchange rate. 23 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:27,680 Speaker 1: And Linn's question here is why don't more reserve banks 24 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:28,200 Speaker 1: do this. 25 00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 2: It's a great question because Singapore is fascinating on this. 26 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:36,200 Speaker 2: The only thing, Lynn, I think it is a disclosed 27 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 2: rather than an undisclosed trading band. That would be the 28 00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 2: only common I would say on the question. So central 29 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:48,040 Speaker 2: banks around the world us interest rates to impact the economy. 30 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:52,800 Speaker 2: What you do is you shift the official rate, the 31 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 2: cash rate in Australia, and you shift it up. That's 32 00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 2: the base rate that's used for a bank to borrow 33 00:01:58,360 --> 00:02:01,480 Speaker 2: money off another bank. But on top of that there's 34 00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:03,840 Speaker 2: a risk. So you know, homelands has a certain risk 35 00:02:03,960 --> 00:02:07,880 Speaker 2: might be x. Credit cards might be two x. Buying 36 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:12,079 Speaker 2: cryptocurrencies might be three x. So what it is you're 37 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 2: paying the cash right plus the risk premium. As the 38 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:17,399 Speaker 2: cash rate goes up, all rates go up, and that's 39 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:21,600 Speaker 2: what the reserve bank does to kind of take some 40 00:02:21,720 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 2: of the oomph out of the economy or put some 41 00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:27,160 Speaker 2: womph back into the economies. That's how interest rates Singapore 42 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:32,880 Speaker 2: is really cool. Because it is such an economy so 43 00:02:33,160 --> 00:02:39,119 Speaker 2: reliant on international trade, the monetary authority of Singapore can 44 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 2: just shift the currency and have an impact on what's 45 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:50,400 Speaker 2: happening in the local economy. So let me think about this. 46 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:56,440 Speaker 2: The Singapore dollar has an effective exchange rate which they 47 00:02:56,440 --> 00:03:00,959 Speaker 2: strengthen all weaken against those of its main trading partners. 48 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 2: Singapore is a small economy, totally reliant on trade. You know, 49 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:08,800 Speaker 2: you can't grow a lot of stuff in Singapore simply 50 00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:13,240 Speaker 2: because it's too small. So in gross exports and imports 51 00:03:13,919 --> 00:03:19,000 Speaker 2: of Singapore are about three times the level of its GDP. 52 00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 2: So everything it does is about trade. Like forty cents 53 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:29,280 Speaker 2: in every Singapore dollar is spent on imports. 54 00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:33,880 Speaker 1: And it's big partners of what kind of Malaysia and 55 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:36,600 Speaker 1: looking this up the US. 56 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:39,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, so the US is a big partner in region 57 00:03:40,120 --> 00:03:44,880 Speaker 2: where it sits okay yep. So that means because there's 58 00:03:44,880 --> 00:03:48,760 Speaker 2: such huge trade flows in Singapore, you don't need interest rates. 59 00:03:48,920 --> 00:03:52,240 Speaker 2: The currency is actually more effective. So you shift the 60 00:03:52,280 --> 00:03:55,680 Speaker 2: currency and you make imports more expensive. That's actually a 61 00:03:55,720 --> 00:04:00,200 Speaker 2: way of dulling economic growth. You shift the current. See 62 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:05,040 Speaker 2: you make inputs cheaper, it actually boosts economic growth. The 63 00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 2: reason it worse than Singapore and it doesn't work almost 64 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:11,920 Speaker 2: anywhere else is because it is so trade related, so 65 00:04:12,160 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 2: trade reliant, all. 66 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:17,400 Speaker 1: Right, whereas in Australia there's too many other kind of factors, 67 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 1: for instance, that would that also affected. 68 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:22,960 Speaker 2: So yeah, so yeah, that's exactly right. I mean, we're 69 00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:25,800 Speaker 2: nowhere near is trade reliant as Singapore. I mean we 70 00:04:25,839 --> 00:04:28,479 Speaker 2: can grow our own food, we can create our own energy, 71 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:31,880 Speaker 2: all those sorts of things, whereas basically Singapore has to 72 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 2: import and export all sorts of stuff. 73 00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:36,559 Speaker 1: Okay, God, that's a good question. 74 00:04:36,600 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 2: Though. It's a great question because I kind of knew 75 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:42,600 Speaker 2: about that, but I didn't know a lot about it. 76 00:04:42,680 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 2: And it's really fascinating how Singapore runs its monetary policy. 77 00:04:46,080 --> 00:04:49,160 Speaker 1: It's different, and it's really just very much because of 78 00:04:49,240 --> 00:04:52,240 Speaker 1: its because it's really quite unique circumstances. 79 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:56,039 Speaker 2: Yes, yes, yes, I'd say so Okay, some listeners will say, oh, 80 00:04:56,080 --> 00:04:59,560 Speaker 2: but what about and maybe there are other countries out 81 00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:02,760 Speaker 2: there that do, but I'm not aware of them. 82 00:05:02,960 --> 00:05:06,080 Speaker 1: No, And we would welcome that feedback absolutely, I would 83 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:08,280 Speaker 1: love to hear that, and just like we welcome questions 84 00:05:08,320 --> 00:05:10,200 Speaker 1: like this one from Lynn. So thank you Lynn for 85 00:05:10,240 --> 00:05:13,000 Speaker 1: getting in touch with your question and thank you Sean 86 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:15,720 Speaker 1: for answering it. Most welcome Michael, and if you've got 87 00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:19,200 Speaker 1: your own question to ask, then please do what Lynn did. 88 00:05:19,320 --> 00:05:21,160 Speaker 1: Head to the website Fear and Greed dot com, DoD 89 00:05:21,160 --> 00:05:22,920 Speaker 1: a you, or jump onto any of the social media 90 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:26,600 Speaker 1: platforms we're big on LinkedIn, Instagram, Facebook and the rest. 91 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:28,240 Speaker 1: It can send it on through there and we will 92 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:30,840 Speaker 1: get to it as soon as is humanly possible. I'm 93 00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:32,840 Speaker 1: Michael Thompson. This is as Fear and Greed