1 00:00:03,040 --> 00:00:06,159 Speaker 1: From the Australian. Here's what's on the front. I'm Kristanamie. 2 00:00:06,160 --> 00:00:13,240 Speaker 1: It's Wednesday, January twenty one, twenty twenty six. Anti Israel 3 00:00:13,280 --> 00:00:16,840 Speaker 1: author Randa Abdelphatar has scrubbed her social media profiles of 4 00:00:16,920 --> 00:00:22,239 Speaker 1: provocative posts. That includes a profile picture showing a Palestinian paraglider, 5 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:25,560 Speaker 1: which she says she only posted because she wasn't aware 6 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:28,600 Speaker 1: how many people had been killed by HERMAS militants on 7 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:32,920 Speaker 1: October seven, twenty twenty three, but an investigation by The 8 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:36,560 Speaker 1: Australian shows Abdelphatar used the profile picture for at least 9 00:00:36,680 --> 00:00:40,760 Speaker 1: five months after the attack where Harmas militants paraglided over 10 00:00:40,800 --> 00:00:44,400 Speaker 1: the border into southern Israel and slaughtered and kidnapped more 11 00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:48,120 Speaker 1: than twelve hundred Jews. That story is live right now 12 00:00:48,159 --> 00:00:54,520 Speaker 1: at the Australian dot com dot au. Donald Trump has 13 00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:57,920 Speaker 1: doubled down on his plan to acquire Greenland by any 14 00:00:57,960 --> 00:01:01,760 Speaker 1: means necessary. The President claims the United States needs to 15 00:01:01,880 --> 00:01:04,760 Speaker 1: buy or take the Danish territory to stop China or 16 00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:07,959 Speaker 1: Russia from moving in, but has the deal maker in 17 00:01:08,080 --> 00:01:12,800 Speaker 1: chief backed a loser. Today, Washington correspondent Joe Kelly joins 18 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:25,040 Speaker 1: me to crunch the numbers. Donald Trump wants Greenland. 19 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:28,399 Speaker 2: President Trump not backing down from his push to take 20 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:29,360 Speaker 2: over Greenland. 21 00:01:29,440 --> 00:01:34,279 Speaker 1: Tensions arising as European allies joined together to blast President Trump. 22 00:01:34,319 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 2: Donald Trump denouncing Britain and calling Keirstom's plant great stupidity. 23 00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 1: He really really wants Greenland. 24 00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 2: I would like to make a deal, you know, the 25 00:01:46,319 --> 00:01:48,160 Speaker 2: easy way. But if we don't do it the easier way, 26 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:49,320 Speaker 2: we're going to do it the hard way. 27 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 1: The US president says, America needs to acquire the Danish 28 00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 1: territory for national security purposes. 29 00:01:56,400 --> 00:02:00,240 Speaker 2: And we'll have to defend Greenland if we don't do it, 30 00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 2: or Russia will. 31 00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:04,080 Speaker 1: And he'll do anything to get it. 32 00:02:04,800 --> 00:02:07,559 Speaker 2: President Donald Trump using the power of tariffs to try 33 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:11,120 Speaker 2: and get his way Greenland with military force on the table. 34 00:02:17,600 --> 00:02:22,079 Speaker 2: This is really an extraordinary situation that we're in right now. 35 00:02:23,760 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 1: Joe Kelly is The Australian's Washington correspondent. 36 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:31,680 Speaker 2: I don't think anyone reasonably twelve months ago would have 37 00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 2: thought that we'd be right here. And essentially Europe now 38 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 2: not only has to contend with Russia, but really the 39 00:02:40,720 --> 00:02:43,320 Speaker 2: key issue it has to contend with right now is 40 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:48,120 Speaker 2: economic coercion from an ally and really the central plank 41 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:51,520 Speaker 2: of the NATO alliance in the form of the United States. 42 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:56,040 Speaker 2: So we're really in new territory here. And I would 43 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 2: argue there are very compelling reasons to think that the 44 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:03,360 Speaker 2: United States under Donald Trump is really unpicking the foundations 45 00:03:03,400 --> 00:03:06,600 Speaker 2: of that post World War two international order. 46 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:13,280 Speaker 1: So is this actually a good deal? 47 00:03:14,720 --> 00:03:17,119 Speaker 2: The short answer is no, Chris, and I think it's 48 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:19,360 Speaker 2: a bad deal. In fact, I don't think it makes 49 00:03:19,440 --> 00:03:23,200 Speaker 2: very much sense at all, whether you're talking about strategically 50 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:27,920 Speaker 2: or economically. I just think it's a bad deal. So 51 00:03:28,000 --> 00:03:31,240 Speaker 2: the first thing is it's expensive. There's a variety of 52 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:35,680 Speaker 2: different estimates. On the high side, there are estimates over 53 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:38,240 Speaker 2: a trillion dollars. On the low side, people are talking 54 00:03:38,240 --> 00:03:41,240 Speaker 2: about two hundred and fifty billion dollars, but some of 55 00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:43,880 Speaker 2: the estimates in the middle are about six hundred billion, 56 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:47,000 Speaker 2: seven hundred billion, seven hundred and fifty billion. That's a 57 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:51,280 Speaker 2: lot of money that's going to increase the debt. It's 58 00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:55,400 Speaker 2: going to increase annual deficits, it's going to increase interest 59 00:03:55,440 --> 00:03:57,600 Speaker 2: payments for the US, and it's really going to put 60 00:03:57,600 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 2: a squeeze on average every day Americans, and I don't 61 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:04,520 Speaker 2: think they get very much in return. They don't get 62 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:08,920 Speaker 2: very much in return because strategically, the United States doesn't 63 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:14,920 Speaker 2: need to own Greenland. Strategically, there's a defense agreement signed 64 00:04:14,960 --> 00:04:17,960 Speaker 2: back in nineteen fifty one. They can have bases there, 65 00:04:18,400 --> 00:04:21,920 Speaker 2: it would just require them to cooperate. So I think 66 00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:25,640 Speaker 2: it's a bad deal in economic terms, and worst of all, 67 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:33,360 Speaker 2: it invites retaliation from Europe, and it destroys the Transatlantic partnership, 68 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:37,520 Speaker 2: which has been really so crucial in preserving stability in 69 00:04:37,560 --> 00:04:39,839 Speaker 2: Europe for so long. I think we're really on the 70 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:47,039 Speaker 2: precipice of something big, something unpredictable, and we're only one 71 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:54,359 Speaker 2: year in to Trump's four year term. 72 00:04:54,720 --> 00:04:58,560 Speaker 1: Ambassadors from twenty seven European Union member nations met in 73 00:04:58,640 --> 00:05:02,359 Speaker 1: Brussels this week thrash out their response to Trump's tariff 74 00:05:02,360 --> 00:05:06,640 Speaker 1: threats and the more concerning possibility he'll deploy the US 75 00:05:06,720 --> 00:05:11,679 Speaker 1: military to the Danish territory. Danish Foreign Minister Lars Luka 76 00:05:11,760 --> 00:05:16,120 Speaker 1: Rasmussen was clear, but yours are meeted crystal clear that 77 00:05:16,200 --> 00:05:19,800 Speaker 1: this is a red line, while British PM Kirstarmer said 78 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:24,200 Speaker 1: Trump's tariff threats are a betrayal. The use of tariffs 79 00:05:24,520 --> 00:05:29,760 Speaker 1: against allies is completely wrong. A further face to face 80 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:33,200 Speaker 1: meeting of European leaders has been slated for Thursday. 81 00:05:34,880 --> 00:05:37,040 Speaker 2: So this is going to be a really tricky decision 82 00:05:37,360 --> 00:05:41,479 Speaker 2: how Europe responds. Europe is big, There's a whole range 83 00:05:41,520 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 2: of different countries and they're not going to agree. Some 84 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 2: are going to be more inclined to try and keep 85 00:05:48,120 --> 00:05:50,840 Speaker 2: the US on side, Some are going to be more 86 00:05:50,839 --> 00:05:53,440 Speaker 2: inclined to try and do something. There are going to 87 00:05:53,440 --> 00:05:57,600 Speaker 2: be different positions, but in terms of what options are 88 00:05:57,640 --> 00:06:00,479 Speaker 2: available to them at the moment, the EU has not 89 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:04,400 Speaker 2: yet ratified the trade deal that had struck with Donald Trump, 90 00:06:04,800 --> 00:06:07,440 Speaker 2: so they can pull that ratification. That means the US 91 00:06:07,520 --> 00:06:10,400 Speaker 2: doesn't get the lower tariffs that it was hoping. The 92 00:06:10,440 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 2: other thing is they can put on their own retaliatory 93 00:06:13,440 --> 00:06:16,719 Speaker 2: tariffs on over one hundred billion dollars worth of US goods. 94 00:06:17,120 --> 00:06:21,160 Speaker 2: But one of the options that French President Emmanuel Macron 95 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:26,400 Speaker 2: has floated is the idea of this anti coercion instrument, 96 00:06:26,920 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 2: and this is referred to as the trade bazooka, and 97 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:34,000 Speaker 2: effectively that gives the EU a range of different options. 98 00:06:34,080 --> 00:06:39,240 Speaker 2: More forceful export controls to put tariffs on services, restrict 99 00:06:39,520 --> 00:06:44,119 Speaker 2: intellectual property rights, and a suite of other measures. Now, 100 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:48,680 Speaker 2: going one step beyond that, there is the possibility, very 101 00:06:48,760 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 2: unlikely this would be a nuclear option if Europe decided 102 00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:55,400 Speaker 2: to do it in offloading US treasuries. Now that won't 103 00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:59,640 Speaker 2: happen because that inflicts harm on Europe, but it holds 104 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:02,599 Speaker 2: an all for a lot of US treasuries. The US 105 00:07:02,680 --> 00:07:06,840 Speaker 2: is vulnerable in that regard. The fact that we're discussing 106 00:07:06,880 --> 00:07:10,720 Speaker 2: some of these options, I think, however, is extraordinary and 107 00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 2: it shows the strain, the pressure that's been put on 108 00:07:14,760 --> 00:07:19,320 Speaker 2: this transatlantic partnership, and really the fact that we're now 109 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:21,240 Speaker 2: in uncharted territory. 110 00:07:25,200 --> 00:07:28,640 Speaker 1: So this isn't, as you said, a great deal economically, 111 00:07:29,080 --> 00:07:33,600 Speaker 1: it's not strategically necessary. So what is actually driving Donald 112 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:37,360 Speaker 1: Trump in this issue? As much as you can try 113 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:39,760 Speaker 1: to glean what's driving Donald Trump at any given time. 114 00:07:40,400 --> 00:07:44,680 Speaker 2: I think Donald Trump has a throwback view of the 115 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:49,840 Speaker 2: world that the post World War two order really has 116 00:07:49,880 --> 00:07:54,400 Speaker 2: not worked to the advantage of America. That America has 117 00:07:54,480 --> 00:07:58,240 Speaker 2: suffered has been ripped off as a result of this system. 118 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:03,000 Speaker 2: It's carried burdens on behalf of other countries, allies and partners, 119 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:05,360 Speaker 2: and it shouldn't have to do that. He doesn't think 120 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 2: it's benefited the United States. He's got really a nineteenth 121 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:13,000 Speaker 2: century view of the world. We're going back here to 122 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:16,640 Speaker 2: the Monroe doctrine, the idea that the United States should 123 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:20,240 Speaker 2: really worry about its piece of the globe and the 124 00:08:20,280 --> 00:08:23,360 Speaker 2: other big powers can worry about their piece of the globe. 125 00:08:24,120 --> 00:08:27,600 Speaker 2: So if you look at what he's doing through that lens, 126 00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:32,080 Speaker 2: things seem to make more sense. The adventurism in Venezuela, 127 00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 2: the capture of Maduro, really the exercise in resource colonialism 128 00:08:37,320 --> 00:08:41,720 Speaker 2: in Venezuela, trying to get indefinite control over its oil sector, 129 00:08:42,280 --> 00:08:46,400 Speaker 2: encouraging the big US oil companies to go in. And 130 00:08:46,480 --> 00:08:52,520 Speaker 2: now this look towards Greenland. I think Trump would like 131 00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:58,119 Speaker 2: to have a legacy that he expanded the geographical territory 132 00:08:58,480 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 2: of the United States. So he'd be looking at things 133 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 2: like the Louisiana purchase back in eighteen o three, which 134 00:09:04,800 --> 00:09:08,160 Speaker 2: is an enormous purchase of land on the western side 135 00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:11,680 Speaker 2: of the Mississippi, and he'd be looking to carve out 136 00:09:11,720 --> 00:09:15,200 Speaker 2: a legacy on that scale. And this is how he 137 00:09:15,320 --> 00:09:17,480 Speaker 2: sees it being able to be realized. 138 00:09:22,920 --> 00:09:27,199 Speaker 1: Coming up, what American voters think about Donald Trump's ambitions 139 00:09:27,240 --> 00:09:49,120 Speaker 1: in Europe. You mentioned earlier that everyday Americans don't get 140 00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:51,320 Speaker 1: a huge amount of anything out of a deal like 141 00:09:51,360 --> 00:09:54,880 Speaker 1: this if it does proceed. Donald Trump, of course, campaigned 142 00:09:54,920 --> 00:09:58,520 Speaker 1: on a platform of bringing manufacturing back to America, making 143 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:04,319 Speaker 1: groceries cheaper, ultimately making life easier for Americans. Are voters 144 00:10:04,360 --> 00:10:07,840 Speaker 1: behind this push to acquire Greenland and are they even 145 00:10:08,000 --> 00:10:11,719 Speaker 1: aware of the possible implications for them if it does 146 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:12,280 Speaker 1: go ahead. 147 00:10:13,040 --> 00:10:18,920 Speaker 2: I think Donald trump'sen risky political territory. He campaigned on 148 00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 2: the idea of ending these sorts of foreign interventions forever wars, 149 00:10:24,720 --> 00:10:30,040 Speaker 2: and already his mega political constituency is fracturing. We've seen 150 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:34,120 Speaker 2: that over a range of issues from foreign affairs to politics, 151 00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:38,439 Speaker 2: but we are now seeing a range of more aggressive 152 00:10:38,720 --> 00:10:42,120 Speaker 2: foreign policy decisions being made by a president who's really 153 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:46,359 Speaker 2: under pressure over his domestic agenda. People are still concerned 154 00:10:46,360 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 2: that the cost of living hasn't come down enough. That 155 00:10:49,600 --> 00:10:52,640 Speaker 2: was one of the key things the president campaigned on 156 00:10:52,679 --> 00:10:55,400 Speaker 2: and the lead up to his election in twenty twenty four, 157 00:10:56,040 --> 00:11:01,160 Speaker 2: and now we're seeing a focus on ven aswell. Removing 158 00:11:01,240 --> 00:11:05,560 Speaker 2: dictators from power, possible strikes and interventions in Iran. He 159 00:11:05,600 --> 00:11:10,120 Speaker 2: already bombed the nuclear enrichment sites last year and now 160 00:11:10,600 --> 00:11:14,680 Speaker 2: these threats over Greenland. So I think he needs to 161 00:11:14,679 --> 00:11:20,240 Speaker 2: be very careful that he doesn't further lose support among 162 00:11:20,559 --> 00:11:24,720 Speaker 2: his Maga constituency, who, for the most part, were concerned 163 00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:27,800 Speaker 2: about these sorts of foreign escapades. 164 00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:40,800 Speaker 1: Joe Kelly is The Australian's Washington correspondent. You can read 165 00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 1: all the latest on Greenland right now at the Australian 166 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:44,800 Speaker 1: dot com dot au