1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:05,439 Speaker 1: Car sales in SA going along strongly and that's positive. 2 00:00:06,080 --> 00:00:09,719 Speaker 1: But the car doesn't have a battery in it, and 3 00:00:09,800 --> 00:00:13,320 Speaker 1: that's pretty certain because well, I mean, look, EV's are 4 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 1: still being sold, but not at the record levels, not 5 00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:19,560 Speaker 1: at the accelerated growth rate that they were. Kse Cilessian 6 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:21,960 Speaker 1: is from the Motor Trades Association. San T. 7 00:00:22,320 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 2: CAZy, Good morning, Good morning, Matthew, good to be with you. 8 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:26,799 Speaker 1: Tell me what's happening with EV's. 9 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:31,000 Speaker 2: Well, look, South Australia's is absolutely still on the metal 10 00:00:31,520 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 2: on the pedal, with more vehicles purchase than ever before. 11 00:00:35,280 --> 00:00:38,520 Speaker 2: So as you mentioned, that's going strong. New vehicle sales 12 00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:40,960 Speaker 2: for May thirteen point six percent higher than at the 13 00:00:40,960 --> 00:00:44,080 Speaker 2: same time last year, but yes, zero and lower mission 14 00:00:44,159 --> 00:00:46,639 Speaker 2: vehicles despite being strong in a quarter of all new 15 00:00:47,080 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 2: car solts. So that includes your hybrids, your plugin hybrids, 16 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:54,280 Speaker 2: and your EV's. We're seeing specifically the EV's showing some 17 00:00:54,360 --> 00:00:55,680 Speaker 2: early signs of plateauing. 18 00:00:56,640 --> 00:00:57,279 Speaker 1: Why is that. 19 00:00:58,560 --> 00:01:02,639 Speaker 2: I think there's a range of reasons. We are mindful 20 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:06,039 Speaker 2: that there have been some really big price cuts by manufacturers. 21 00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:09,160 Speaker 2: That's a good thing for consumers. So for example, you've 22 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:12,920 Speaker 2: seen brands like Pergo who have dropped twenty five thousand 23 00:01:12,920 --> 00:01:15,400 Speaker 2: dollars off of their E two thousand and eight model 24 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:18,120 Speaker 2: to compete with some of the other lower priced Chinese brands. 25 00:01:18,760 --> 00:01:21,040 Speaker 2: But even the Tesla model Y has gone down by 26 00:01:21,080 --> 00:01:25,080 Speaker 2: sixteen thousand dollars over time, so for some motorists they 27 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 2: may be waiting for a better deal. On the other hands, 28 00:01:28,760 --> 00:01:31,400 Speaker 2: we know that since the end of last year, ev 29 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:36,039 Speaker 2: incentives in South Australia were removed and that is also contributing, 30 00:01:36,400 --> 00:01:39,959 Speaker 2: in our view, to slowing electric vehicle sales and pushing 31 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:43,200 Speaker 2: them past those growth levels that we'd seen last year. 32 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 1: That was three grand though, wasn't it. And I don't 33 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 1: want to say it's only three grand, but it is 34 00:01:47,240 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 1: pretty small fry when you're buying a sixty thousand dollar car. 35 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:55,280 Speaker 2: Well, that is worth considering. I think when you look 36 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:56,840 Speaker 2: at some of the sales and the growth that we 37 00:01:56,880 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 2: did have last year, and also some of the anecdotal 38 00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:02,960 Speaker 2: customer experience that we heard. For example, I was that 39 00:02:03,040 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 2: the BYD Experience Center in Fullerton, speaking to someone who 40 00:02:07,000 --> 00:02:10,160 Speaker 2: was getting their vehicle delivered to them, they were able 41 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:13,080 Speaker 2: to get the three thousand dollars incentive, and their message 42 00:02:13,120 --> 00:02:15,520 Speaker 2: to me was very clear that it was a contributing 43 00:02:15,520 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 2: factor and a strong contributing faction factor to their purchase. 44 00:02:19,639 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 2: The reality is that electric vehicles still command a price premium, 45 00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 2: and while we're seeing some sub forty thousand dollars electric vehicles, 46 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:31,080 Speaker 2: they're largely smaller and have less range and are not 47 00:02:31,160 --> 00:02:33,560 Speaker 2: necessarily able to compete with some of those youths and 48 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:36,840 Speaker 2: four by fours which make up the top five of 49 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:40,040 Speaker 2: South Australian vehicle sold. So that's why the Motor Trade 50 00:02:40,040 --> 00:02:43,360 Speaker 2: Association is calling not just for electric vehicle incentives, but 51 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 2: also more mildly generous incentives for plug in hybrids and 52 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:49,680 Speaker 2: for hybrids as well. 53 00:02:49,720 --> 00:02:52,919 Speaker 1: I just noticed that two thousand Tesla's arriving at Port 54 00:02:52,960 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 1: Melbourne on a monthly basis, but sales for Tesla's falling 55 00:02:56,600 --> 00:03:00,880 Speaker 1: in April forty four percent. There are so many cars 56 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 1: you're sitting there. I mean, if you want to talk 57 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:04,480 Speaker 1: about getting a bargain, it seems to be a good 58 00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:06,799 Speaker 1: time if that's what you're looking for, because they will 59 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:08,000 Speaker 1: want to move them ultimately. 60 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:12,520 Speaker 2: Yes, I think the strong competition from China is driving 61 00:03:12,560 --> 00:03:17,399 Speaker 2: a lot of the European and American manufacturers to keep 62 00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:19,760 Speaker 2: pace with them. So, as I said, that is a 63 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 2: good thing for consumers, and you can see that in 64 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:26,920 Speaker 2: the sales figures with brands like bid At O three 65 00:03:27,160 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 2: and the Seal both in the top five, as well 66 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:33,040 Speaker 2: as the MG four, putting some pressure on the traditionally 67 00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:35,200 Speaker 2: top Tesla Model three and Model y. 68 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:38,400 Speaker 1: Okay, Do you Reckon? There's a bit of envy in 69 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 1: that price in that, you know, the Elon Musks of 70 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 1: the world are saying, hey, we've got this really cool 71 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:46,600 Speaker 1: product and you'll be driving it. But hey, only thing 72 00:03:46,680 --> 00:03:49,080 Speaker 1: is because it's so cool, it's going to cost you 73 00:03:49,280 --> 00:03:52,240 Speaker 1: ten twenty grand more than what you've been driving for 74 00:03:52,320 --> 00:03:54,480 Speaker 1: your whole life. But it is cool, so come and 75 00:03:54,520 --> 00:03:56,440 Speaker 1: buy it. Do you Reckon? There's a bit of that 76 00:03:56,480 --> 00:03:57,960 Speaker 1: and people are going, well, you know what, it's not 77 00:03:57,960 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 1: so cool anymore. 78 00:03:59,680 --> 00:04:03,160 Speaker 2: I think this speaks to our longer term challenges to 79 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:06,400 Speaker 2: the growing adoption of zero and lower mission vehicles. The 80 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:08,640 Speaker 2: early adopters were always going to come in and at 81 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:12,240 Speaker 2: different price ranges, and they're more willing to pay for 82 00:04:12,520 --> 00:04:15,840 Speaker 2: mainstream every day mums and dad consumers. They might want 83 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:18,560 Speaker 2: to buy an electric vehicle, but amidst the cost of 84 00:04:18,640 --> 00:04:23,000 Speaker 2: living crisis. They're thinking about where their money's going and 85 00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:25,440 Speaker 2: how much car they're getting for it. As I said, 86 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:28,599 Speaker 2: those lowering prices and the increased competition will be a 87 00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:31,640 Speaker 2: good thing. We are still seeing a price premium, so 88 00:04:31,680 --> 00:04:33,280 Speaker 2: we do think more needs to be done if we're 89 00:04:33,279 --> 00:04:38,600 Speaker 2: going to drive up decarbonization, and I think ultimately measures 90 00:04:38,680 --> 00:04:41,040 Speaker 2: such as incentives can go a long way to achieving 91 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:41,560 Speaker 2: our goals. 92 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:47,919 Speaker 1: All right, So that's interesting that putting an incentive there, 93 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:51,440 Speaker 1: and you reckon even if it was three grand, that's 94 00:04:51,560 --> 00:04:53,640 Speaker 1: enough to incentivize people to go and buy one. 95 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:56,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think so you can look at a vehicle 96 00:04:56,520 --> 00:05:00,840 Speaker 2: which might be thirty six thirty eight thousand dollars at 97 00:05:00,760 --> 00:05:04,200 Speaker 2: a lower priced EVS that three grand will actually start 98 00:05:04,240 --> 00:05:06,680 Speaker 2: to really make a competitive but particularly the city runners, 99 00:05:06,720 --> 00:05:10,839 Speaker 2: the people that are looking for maybe an internal combustion variant. 100 00:05:11,160 --> 00:05:15,360 Speaker 2: But also you know, we do see the larger vehicles 101 00:05:15,400 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 2: needing a little bit more assistance too, So that will 102 00:05:18,160 --> 00:05:21,560 Speaker 2: go that extra bit in assisting motorists and consumers to 103 00:05:21,960 --> 00:05:25,120 Speaker 2: make a decision that might be an interests of lowering 104 00:05:25,240 --> 00:05:26,320 Speaker 2: emissions on our oads. 105 00:05:26,560 --> 00:05:30,719 Speaker 1: Looking into the crystal ball, you'd have to say next 106 00:05:30,839 --> 00:05:34,440 Speaker 1: year when the emission standards come into effect for new vehicles, 107 00:05:34,839 --> 00:05:37,760 Speaker 1: there might be a swing back to evs. 108 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 2: Well, I think it's going to be a mixed bag. 109 00:05:40,560 --> 00:05:43,360 Speaker 2: So the New Vehicle Efficiency Standard for those that are 110 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:46,279 Speaker 2: not aware, does a couple of things. It basically captures 111 00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:50,120 Speaker 2: the emissions of different manufacturers. So if you're a Nissan 112 00:05:50,279 --> 00:05:52,880 Speaker 2: or if you're a Tesla or a BYD, all of 113 00:05:52,920 --> 00:05:56,320 Speaker 2: the vehicles that you enter into into Australia will be 114 00:05:56,480 --> 00:05:59,159 Speaker 2: measured and you have to reach a target. If you 115 00:05:59,160 --> 00:06:01,480 Speaker 2: don't reach that target, you can do one thing. You 116 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:05,240 Speaker 2: can buy credits from other ones like Tesla which are 117 00:06:05,360 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 2: selling a lot of evs, or you can pay fines. 118 00:06:08,400 --> 00:06:11,040 Speaker 2: It will drive more vehicles to Australia. I think it's 119 00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:13,520 Speaker 2: going to drive more choice and competition, which is a 120 00:06:13,520 --> 00:06:18,279 Speaker 2: good thing. But ultimately it doesn't incentivize a buyer necessarily. 121 00:06:19,080 --> 00:06:21,040 Speaker 2: So we do see we need the carrot as well 122 00:06:21,080 --> 00:06:22,680 Speaker 2: as the stick to get to where we want to go. 123 00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:26,120 Speaker 1: It'd be interesting to see in the next little while. Casey, 124 00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 1: thank you for your. 125 00:06:26,720 --> 00:06:29,280 Speaker 2: Time, my pleasure. Thank you, Matthew Casey. 126 00:06:29,320 --> 00:06:32,440 Speaker 1: Celesian there who is from the Motor Trades Association. So 127 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:36,800 Speaker 1: record new car sales for May thirteen percent higher than 128 00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 1: this time last year. But EV's have gone off the boil, 129 00:06:42,480 --> 00:06:45,599 Speaker 1: and you wonder long term what it's going to mean 130 00:06:45,640 --> 00:06:49,160 Speaker 1: for evs. Okay, and now new emission standards next year, 131 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:54,640 Speaker 1: so that might drive people back the other wave, traditional cars, 132 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:59,360 Speaker 1: internal combustion engine cars become dearer under the federal government's framework. 133 00:06:59,800 --> 00:07:04,360 Speaker 1: But eventually, and you'd think sooner than later, a mileage 134 00:07:04,400 --> 00:07:07,080 Speaker 1: tax is going to have to come in to replace 135 00:07:07,480 --> 00:07:10,480 Speaker 1: the revenue the government is losing at the petrol pump 136 00:07:11,320 --> 00:07:14,000 Speaker 1: in the road tax, which is what it essentially is, 137 00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 1: the fuel levee. So when that happens, well, perhaps it 138 00:07:17,920 --> 00:07:21,040 Speaker 1: flips it back again to people moving away from evs. 139 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:24,920 Speaker 1: Time will tell, I suppose. But a road tax, a 140 00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:30,080 Speaker 1: mileage tax, is surely inevitable for people who drive EV's, 141 00:07:30,160 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 1: given also they're heavier because of the batteries, batteries and batteries, 142 00:07:36,880 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 1: and therefore the road suffers more as a result. So 143 00:07:42,200 --> 00:07:43,960 Speaker 1: it's certainly a state of flux.