1 00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:06,080 Speaker 1: Welcome to Ask Fear and Greed, where we answer questions 2 00:00:06,080 --> 00:00:10,080 Speaker 1: about business, investing, economics, politics and more. I'm Michael Thompson 3 00:00:10,160 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: and hello Sean Aylmer. 4 00:00:11,680 --> 00:00:13,240 Speaker 2: Hello Michael, Sean. 5 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:16,840 Speaker 1: Today's question combines a number of those areas and it 6 00:00:16,880 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 1: really comes out of the argie bargie that we had 7 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:24,680 Speaker 1: in Canbury yesterday. Is there any merit in the current 8 00:00:24,840 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 1: debate around admissions and climate change and Barnaby Joyce's Private 9 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:35,760 Speaker 1: Member's Bill, because really, climate change has been a political 10 00:00:35,800 --> 00:00:39,680 Speaker 1: issue in this country for so long and it just 11 00:00:39,720 --> 00:00:42,000 Speaker 1: seems to keep coming back. 12 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:46,000 Speaker 2: So I agree you would think, haven't we had the debate, 13 00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:49,160 Speaker 2: Let's move on. We've got a government with a huge 14 00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:52,440 Speaker 2: majority in the House of Reps, right, But I think 15 00:00:52,600 --> 00:00:56,120 Speaker 2: this is a really good debate to have. Take a 16 00:00:56,160 --> 00:00:59,600 Speaker 2: step back. Australia, like many other countries, have agreed to 17 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:03,000 Speaker 2: the Paras Agreement with twenty sixteen. Basically, the idea is 18 00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:08,080 Speaker 2: holding the increase in global average temperatures to one and 19 00:01:08,080 --> 00:01:13,400 Speaker 2: a half to two degrees celsius of warming, not going 20 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:16,959 Speaker 2: beyond that. That's what Paris Agreement is about. The Earth 21 00:01:17,040 --> 00:01:19,840 Speaker 2: is warming, but let's actually put a limit on how 22 00:01:19,880 --> 00:01:22,840 Speaker 2: much it does warm. The government has what it calls 23 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:25,360 Speaker 2: a net Zero Plan. It's supposed to guide the transition 24 00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:29,800 Speaker 2: to net zero greenhouse gas emissions by twenty fifty, so 25 00:01:29,840 --> 00:01:31,480 Speaker 2: we need to do that to be in line with 26 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:35,560 Speaker 2: the Paris Agreement. That plan covers all parts of the economy, 27 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:40,479 Speaker 2: sets out priorities and measures to drive down emissions, et cetera. 28 00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:47,880 Speaker 2: The government also has shorter term targets, so it's by 29 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 2: twenty thirty it wants to be forty three percent below 30 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 2: two thousand and five levels. It's creating a twenty thirty 31 00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:56,960 Speaker 2: five target at the moment that's due out in September. 32 00:01:57,880 --> 00:02:01,760 Speaker 2: So this is all in the background to what's going on. 33 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:05,760 Speaker 2: That's a big part of the reason for the timing 34 00:02:06,280 --> 00:02:12,560 Speaker 2: of the current debate. What everyone has to remember, it's 35 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:16,040 Speaker 2: really hard to achieve these goals, really really hard. It's 36 00:02:16,040 --> 00:02:18,320 Speaker 2: not just about building a wind farm or a solar 37 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 2: farm or a hydro farm. It's actually about building the 38 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:24,360 Speaker 2: grid to get the energy from warp. Warp it's the 39 00:02:24,440 --> 00:02:28,920 Speaker 2: official term to households and businesses, and that's not just 40 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:31,880 Speaker 2: about putting up power poles. It's about working with the 41 00:02:31,880 --> 00:02:34,280 Speaker 2: owners of the land where the power sources are. It's 42 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:36,880 Speaker 2: about working with communities where these grids are going to 43 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 2: pass through. It's about diverting money away from hospitals and 44 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 2: schools so we can build out the grid. 45 00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 1: So is this then the necessity of this debate about 46 00:02:47,840 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 1: perhaps being more realistic about the targets. 47 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:54,120 Speaker 2: Yes, yes, yes, yes yes. So you know, if you 48 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:57,680 Speaker 2: work in an aluminium plan as waste operator, in a 49 00:02:57,720 --> 00:03:02,399 Speaker 2: plastics company, you know, an iron steel cement maker, in agriculture, 50 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:06,800 Speaker 2: which is Marnaby Joyce's particular interest. The government saying you 51 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:11,240 Speaker 2: reduce your emissions, that's well and good, but these are livelihoods. 52 00:03:11,320 --> 00:03:14,240 Speaker 2: These are peoples you know, in the communities. They live 53 00:03:14,400 --> 00:03:18,360 Speaker 2: off some of these industries. Much of the infrastructure also, 54 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 2: much of the infrastructure we're talking about just isn't economical, 55 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:24,400 Speaker 2: Like private sector isn't going to do it. What you've 56 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:28,720 Speaker 2: already seen, right, is the government shifting on this. So 57 00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:31,799 Speaker 2: remember gas in the last two months, gas is now 58 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:35,080 Speaker 2: called the transition energy. It's not the big nasty that 59 00:03:35,120 --> 00:03:37,200 Speaker 2: we were calling it three or four or five years ago, 60 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 2: or if Labor was calling it three or four or 61 00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 2: five years ago. It's actually not too far a stretch 62 00:03:42,720 --> 00:03:45,600 Speaker 2: to say, the government might water down its missions targets, 63 00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:50,200 Speaker 2: not because we shouldn't do it, but because it's too 64 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:51,040 Speaker 2: hard to do it. 65 00:03:52,160 --> 00:03:55,320 Speaker 1: So how did we get into this position in the 66 00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:58,400 Speaker 1: first place? Then, because these targets have already been legislated, 67 00:03:58,760 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 1: did the ideology get ahead of the practicality of this? Perhaps? 68 00:04:03,200 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 1: And is it now that the ideology behind it is 69 00:04:05,600 --> 00:04:08,520 Speaker 1: mellowing a little bit as we see just how hard 70 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:11,280 Speaker 1: the transition actually is going to be. 71 00:04:12,400 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean that's probably a bit unkind because I 72 00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:17,479 Speaker 2: think many people knew how hard it would be. But 73 00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:20,640 Speaker 2: setting a target, you know, if you're a salesperson, you're 74 00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:24,440 Speaker 2: getting a sales target. Generally they might not be stretch targets, 75 00:04:24,440 --> 00:04:26,960 Speaker 2: but they're not far off stretch targets. Now, I think 76 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:30,240 Speaker 2: for the government, these are stretch targets, but they have 77 00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:32,760 Speaker 2: legislated them, so they have to do it. So that 78 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:36,200 Speaker 2: forty three percent below two thousand and five levels by 79 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:38,720 Speaker 2: twenty thirty the governor has come out, and so we're 80 00:04:38,720 --> 00:04:41,440 Speaker 2: at we're likely to get to forty two point seven percent, 81 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:47,040 Speaker 2: so actually miss that only just. But those targets are 82 00:04:47,080 --> 00:04:51,120 Speaker 2: really hard to get, and I think that realization has 83 00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:53,880 Speaker 2: only come about in the past couple of years. 84 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:57,120 Speaker 1: Okay, but there was there was still a necessity to 85 00:04:57,200 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 1: provide these targets as well, because we talk so often 86 00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:03,760 Speaker 1: about the importance of certainty for business, wasn't it, And 87 00:05:03,800 --> 00:05:06,800 Speaker 1: this was part of that to give certainty toward to 88 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:10,040 Speaker 1: everyone that there was at least some target set, even 89 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:11,600 Speaker 1: though it was going to be very difficult to get 90 00:05:11,640 --> 00:05:12,960 Speaker 1: to it totally. 91 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:15,159 Speaker 2: And I'm not against the targets. I think the targets 92 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:18,159 Speaker 2: are a good thing. We need to reduce emissions. Climate 93 00:05:18,240 --> 00:05:23,800 Speaker 2: change is real, it's just we've always talked about how 94 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:27,280 Speaker 2: we do it. There's a lot of collateral damage in this, 95 00:05:27,680 --> 00:05:29,560 Speaker 2: and so Barna bit Joy is saying, hey, let's drop 96 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:32,640 Speaker 2: those targets. That might be a sort of a kind 97 00:05:32,680 --> 00:05:34,919 Speaker 2: of a view on one side of the spectrum, but 98 00:05:35,000 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 2: it's a fair view. There's a really good reason to 99 00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:39,720 Speaker 2: have that view. And so that's why I think this 100 00:05:39,839 --> 00:05:40,920 Speaker 2: debate is a good thing. 101 00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:46,919 Speaker 1: Okay, This is probably not what Susan Lee needs though, 102 00:05:47,400 --> 00:05:52,320 Speaker 1: necessarily when she is trying to get the coalition reunited 103 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:56,080 Speaker 1: and try and find some kind of policy platform that 104 00:05:56,240 --> 00:05:58,400 Speaker 1: is going to start to appeal to the people that 105 00:05:58,520 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 1: have been lost particularly to the teals. This is going 106 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:04,039 Speaker 1: to make that hard, right. 107 00:06:04,440 --> 00:06:07,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely. And I mean I think people that vote 108 00:06:07,080 --> 00:06:11,520 Speaker 2: for the tilS broadly believe in climate change and the 109 00:06:11,520 --> 00:06:14,080 Speaker 2: mission's reductions. You would think, I mean, I think a 110 00:06:14,120 --> 00:06:17,719 Speaker 2: lot of disenfranchised conservatives was about some of these big issues. 111 00:06:18,120 --> 00:06:20,839 Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, so God is a big one. 112 00:06:21,320 --> 00:06:22,119 Speaker 2: It is a big one. 113 00:06:22,279 --> 00:06:25,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, A good topic though to be discussing. Thank you, Sean, 114 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:28,000 Speaker 1: Thank you, Michael. And if there's anything that you would 115 00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:30,800 Speaker 1: like us to delve into, could be along these lines, 116 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:33,320 Speaker 1: could be something else altogether, then send it on through 117 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:35,800 Speaker 1: via the website Fearangreed dot com today you or jump 118 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:37,760 Speaker 1: onto any of the social media platforms. We've had a 119 00:06:37,800 --> 00:06:40,040 Speaker 1: couple of good ones come in lately, Sean. We've got 120 00:06:40,080 --> 00:06:42,240 Speaker 1: to get to in the next few days. Yes, let's 121 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:46,040 Speaker 1: just really kind of broad topics and that's what we love, 122 00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:49,080 Speaker 1: so keep them coming. I'm Michael Thompson and this starts 123 00:06:49,120 --> 00:06:49,680 Speaker 1: Fear and Great