1 00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Fear and Greed Business News Afternoon Report 2 00:00:06,840 --> 00:00:09,639 Speaker 1: for Tuesday, the twenty sixth of November twenty twenty four. 3 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:12,559 Speaker 1: I'm Sean Aylmer. Every afternoon, We've got the five stories 4 00:00:12,560 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 1: that happened today that you need to know about. Story 5 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,919 Speaker 1: number one. Global markets reacted quickly to a Donald Trump 6 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:21,080 Speaker 1: post this morning saying he will place twenty five percent 7 00:00:21,120 --> 00:00:24,440 Speaker 1: tariffs on Mexico and Canada and up tariffs on China 8 00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:28,080 Speaker 1: by ten percent in his first twenty four hours in office. 9 00:00:28,200 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 1: He says it's in response to the number of illegal 10 00:00:30,400 --> 00:00:33,400 Speaker 1: immigrants crossing into the US and the surge in the 11 00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:38,240 Speaker 1: use of illegal drugs, particularly fentanyl. Investors reacted quickly. The 12 00:00:38,360 --> 00:00:41,120 Speaker 1: US dollar surged, pushing the Aussie dollar back to the 13 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:44,640 Speaker 1: low sixty four cent level that's the weakest in four years. 14 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:46,560 Speaker 1: It did bounce back later in the day, back towards 15 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:50,360 Speaker 1: sixty five US Since copper and base metals prices drop now, 16 00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:52,559 Speaker 1: they tend to rise and fall in line with expected 17 00:00:52,600 --> 00:00:57,560 Speaker 1: future economic growth, bond neils jumped. Slipping on tariffs pushes 18 00:00:57,600 --> 00:01:00,760 Speaker 1: up inflation that pushes up bond neils. The Canadian dollar 19 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:03,560 Speaker 1: hit its lowest level since twenty twenty, the Mexican piso 20 00:01:03,800 --> 00:01:07,360 Speaker 1: tumbled even Bitcoin went backwards. It's now down six percent 21 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:09,800 Speaker 1: in the past three sessions, so it's still trading at 22 00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:12,360 Speaker 1: more than ninety four thousand US dollars a unit. Story 23 00:01:12,480 --> 00:01:14,399 Speaker 1: Number two. The news out of the US hit the 24 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:17,200 Speaker 1: local share market, or the talk of tariffs encouraged some 25 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:20,160 Speaker 1: investors to take profits from stocks that have run hard. 26 00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 1: The banks were the victims of that today the Commonwealth 27 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:25,600 Speaker 1: Bank fell three and a half percent. A and Z 28 00:01:25,880 --> 00:01:28,160 Speaker 1: Westpac National Australia Bank were all down around one and 29 00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:30,560 Speaker 1: a half percent. By the closed s and p ASX 30 00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:34,039 Speaker 1: two hundred was down zero point seven percent to eight thousand, 31 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:37,000 Speaker 1: three hundred and fifty nine points. The energy stocks were lower. 32 00:01:37,040 --> 00:01:40,080 Speaker 1: Woodside and Santos fell close to four percent, though that 33 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 1: was as much to do with reports for potential sixty 34 00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:44,920 Speaker 1: day ceasefire in the Middle East. Other companies that are 35 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 1: involved in the US manufacturing sector and have operations in 36 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 1: that country did well. Blue Scope Steel, for example, jumped 37 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 1: six percent. Building products group James Hardy, which has the 38 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:56,919 Speaker 1: major operation in the US, jumped more than two percent. 39 00:01:57,040 --> 00:02:01,160 Speaker 1: Ansel and MCRE both rose. Story numbers Stree Deloitte Access 40 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:04,840 Speaker 1: Economics has forecast a blowout in the budget deficit this 41 00:02:04,960 --> 00:02:07,840 Speaker 1: financial year on the back of a softer economic outlook. 42 00:02:08,160 --> 00:02:11,680 Speaker 1: Now Deloyd Access is probably the most reputable budget forecast 43 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 1: in the country. It says there'll be an underlying cash 44 00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:17,240 Speaker 1: balance in the twenty twenty four to twenty five financial 45 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:20,959 Speaker 1: year of thirty three point five billion dollars. That's five 46 00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 1: point two billion dollars worse than the previous estimate from 47 00:02:24,560 --> 00:02:27,240 Speaker 1: the government. Net debt will come in around twenty percent 48 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:29,640 Speaker 1: of GDP, which is in line with the expectations. The 49 00:02:29,720 --> 00:02:33,080 Speaker 1: last two budgets were in surplus. That's because we had 50 00:02:33,120 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 1: inflation and commodity prices. We're running now. We don't have 51 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:40,639 Speaker 1: those tailwinds and so as a result, things don't look 52 00:02:40,720 --> 00:02:43,799 Speaker 1: anywhere near as Rosie. The good news is that the 53 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:48,040 Speaker 1: labor market remains strong. Story Number four US minor Peabody 54 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:51,960 Speaker 1: Energy in Indonesia's at Boomer Buma will pay close to 55 00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 1: five billion dollars for the Queensland coal mines of Anglo American. 56 00:02:56,160 --> 00:02:59,079 Speaker 1: Peabody will have control of four cocing coal mines, while 57 00:02:59,120 --> 00:03:03,240 Speaker 1: Boomer will get one. Cocin coal is used for steel 58 00:03:03,440 --> 00:03:06,280 Speaker 1: making thermal coals, the other type that's used for power generation. 59 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:11,120 Speaker 1: Peabody hasn't a great track record in Australia. Thirteen years 60 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:14,080 Speaker 1: ago it bought Queensland minor MacArthur Coal for nearly five 61 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:17,800 Speaker 1: billion dollars. Ultimately it went into Chapter eleven bankruptcy on 62 00:03:17,840 --> 00:03:20,480 Speaker 1: the back of that. Anglo, which in May knock back 63 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:23,560 Speaker 1: a seventy five billion dollar bid from BHP has spent 64 00:03:23,639 --> 00:03:26,959 Speaker 1: the past six months offloading coal assets, including stakes in 65 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:31,360 Speaker 1: Lake Vermont and Gelenbar coal mines in Queensland. Coincidentally, the 66 00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 1: six month time limit and polls under UK law which 67 00:03:35,320 --> 00:03:38,920 Speaker 1: has prevented BHP from making another bid for Anglo expirees. 68 00:03:39,080 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 1: On Friday and Story, a number five car dealers are 69 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:46,840 Speaker 1: being forced to sell luxury electric vehicles at a loss 70 00:03:46,960 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 1: as demand at the top end so combs to changing 71 00:03:49,480 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 1: consumer tastes and competition from Chinese evs. Dealerships are reporting 72 00:03:54,000 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 1: too many seventy thousand dollars plus evs, including from manufacturer's Jaguar, Sades, 73 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 1: Benz and BMW, according to a report in the finn Review. 74 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 1: A report by investment bank mol that says the local 75 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:09,640 Speaker 1: market is mismatched with too much prestige infantry at a 76 00:04:09,640 --> 00:04:12,240 Speaker 1: time when the cost of living crunch is biting. Could 77 00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:15,119 Speaker 1: get worse next year as well. Under the government's new 78 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:20,680 Speaker 1: Vehicle Efficiency Standards legislation, car manufacturers are incentivized to increase 79 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 1: their volumes of lower emissions vehicles in this country. Now, 80 00:04:24,880 --> 00:04:28,479 Speaker 1: when the UK introduced legislation like that, not only did 81 00:04:28,560 --> 00:04:33,120 Speaker 1: new evs lose value, but used EV's lost value as well. 82 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 1: Another big factor in Australia is the success of Chinese 83 00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:40,599 Speaker 1: manufacturer BYD. Its growth is far stronger than Tesla in 84 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 1: this country, and the charging infrastructure in Australia still remains 85 00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:47,200 Speaker 1: too problematic for many buyers. That's if they're after doing 86 00:04:47,279 --> 00:04:50,040 Speaker 1: report for Tuesday, the twenty sixth of November twenty twenty four, 87 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:52,800 Speaker 1: don't forget to follow on the podcast and find Fear 88 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:56,000 Speaker 1: and Greed on LinkedIn, Instagram, x TikTok and Facebook. Joined 89 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:57,919 Speaker 1: Michael Thompson and I Tomorrow I'm morning for the Fast 90 00:04:57,960 --> 00:05:00,559 Speaker 1: five by Fear and Greed the top five the stories 91 00:05:00,600 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 1: you need to know in just five minutes. I'm Sean 92 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:04,560 Speaker 1: Elma enjoy reading