WEBVTT - The internet sleuths fighting fake research

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<v Speaker 1>First of all, I'm so curious about your alias smart Clyde.

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<v Speaker 2>To work out your name as a porn star, you

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<v Speaker 2>take the name of your first pet and the street

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<v Speaker 2>on which you first lived.

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<v Speaker 3>So this is Sivanae producer Shane Anderson talking to a

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<v Speaker 3>guy who goes by the moniker of smut Clyde. He's

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<v Speaker 3>not an actual porn star, by the way.

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<v Speaker 1>So you had a pet called Smut.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, she was a tortoise shell who was covered all

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<v Speaker 2>over on black smuts, as if she'd fallen down the chimney.

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<v Speaker 2>I guess my crimate fighting activity is usually associated with

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<v Speaker 2>the smut Clyde name, so it might be easier if

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<v Speaker 2>that becomes the main I tinderfire.

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<v Speaker 3>So smut Clyde is a science sleuth and his crime

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<v Speaker 3>fighting activity is combating a growing phenomenon of fake science papers.

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<v Speaker 1>And how much of your time do you think it takes.

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<v Speaker 2>Up tier week? Maybe the here week it's getting gone

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<v Speaker 2>to find them time unpaid.

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<v Speaker 3>Job from Shawes Media. I'm Rick Morton and this is

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<v Speaker 3>seven AM. Academic journals pretty much around the world and

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<v Speaker 3>across all disciplines are being flooded with fake submissions. They're

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<v Speaker 3>typically generated with the help of artificial intelligence by paper mills,

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<v Speaker 3>a cottage industry relying on overworked and desperate researchers to

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<v Speaker 3>fuel their business model, and then more than just a usance.

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<v Speaker 3>The infiltration of fake papers is so bad it's undermining

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<v Speaker 3>the work of scientists and critical fields like cancer research.

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<v Speaker 3>Today seven AM producer Shane Anderson on the cost of

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<v Speaker 3>this research fraud and the science detectives who are trying

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<v Speaker 3>to fight it. That's coming up after the break. Shane,

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<v Speaker 3>you've been looking into the issue of fake scientific papers.

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<v Speaker 3>I have to ask, how did you get interested in

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<v Speaker 3>it to begin with?

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<v Speaker 1>I guess it started when I was sick a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of weeks ago, and so, you know, in the process

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<v Speaker 1>of spending way too much time on the internet looking

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<v Speaker 1>at science articles, I started to notice that there were

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of scientists online who were trying to sound

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<v Speaker 1>the alarm about something strange happening in the field of

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<v Speaker 1>science research. They were noticing a huge uptick essentially in

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<v Speaker 1>bunk research. So fake science papers were proliferating academia.

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<v Speaker 3>There is a scientific fraud epidemic. Every week. There seems

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<v Speaker 3>to be so many retractions, There seems to be so

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<v Speaker 3>many scandals, fraudum.

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<v Speaker 1>And so that was how I stumbled onto this community

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<v Speaker 1>of people who are trying to science. And I guess

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<v Speaker 1>that story starts with a guy called smut Clyde.

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<v Speaker 2>You can basically pay someone to make you a never

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<v Speaker 2>plane out of bamboo and sticks and twine, and it's

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<v Speaker 2>not a real ever plane, but you still get promoted

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<v Speaker 2>for it. It still counts on your academic record.

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<v Speaker 1>Smut Clyde is the pseudonym of a guy called David Bimler.

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<v Speaker 1>He's a retired psychologist previously associated with Massive University in Wellington,

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<v Speaker 1>which is where he lives. He's a really lovely guy.

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<v Speaker 1>He's got you know, long long haired, long beard, lives

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<v Speaker 1>with his cats, and he is one of these what

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<v Speaker 1>they call sleuths. He spends a couple of hours every

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<v Speaker 1>day on his computer at home scouring science journals looking

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<v Speaker 1>for signs of suspicious looking research.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, so I'm getting Scooby Doo vibes. They've got a

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<v Speaker 3>guy called Smutt Clyde and he's looking for clues. What

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<v Speaker 3>is he looking for exactly? What does suspicious research look like?

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so Smart gave me a couple of examples of

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<v Speaker 1>the kinds of things that he's looking for.

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<v Speaker 2>First of all, they were really cycling the occasional image.

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<v Speaker 1>So, for example, there are these things called Western blots,

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<v Speaker 1>which are essentially this technique that's used to interpret bands

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<v Speaker 1>of protein, so they images. A lot of the time,

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<v Speaker 1>he'll be looking at these Western blots and he'll notice

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<v Speaker 1>signs that they've been photoshopped, or he'll notice that they're

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<v Speaker 1>identical to a Western blot that is in a paper

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<v Speaker 1>that's from a totally different author, supposedly on a totally

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<v Speaker 1>different subject. Another thing he looks out for is experiments

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<v Speaker 1>that have odd features.

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<v Speaker 2>One paper talked about keeping the mice understandard thick non celsius.

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<v Speaker 1>Condition, which was an experiment that claimed to have treated

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<v Speaker 1>cancer in lab mice kept at thirty nine degrees celsius.

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<v Speaker 2>It's fine if you're keeping cells in the incubator. But

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<v Speaker 2>I put mice at thirty nine degrees, they will not

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<v Speaker 2>live very long.

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<v Speaker 1>So when SMART finds one of these suspicious papers, often

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<v Speaker 1>what they'll do is theyll alert the author to it,

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<v Speaker 1>or they'll alert the publisher, and if it is as

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<v Speaker 1>they suspect, fake science, then ideally the article is then

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<v Speaker 1>retracted and SMART isn't the only person doing this. He's

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<v Speaker 1>part of a tight knit community of sleuths who are

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<v Speaker 1>all themselves scientifically literate. A lot of them are working researchers,

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<v Speaker 1>and they all band together to draw attention to this

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<v Speaker 1>growing problem of essentially fake research.

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<v Speaker 2>Do you feel that science needs more of an immune system?

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<v Speaker 1>In their view, science is sick. There's an epidemic of

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<v Speaker 1>fake research infecting the scientific record, and they see themselves

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<v Speaker 1>as the unofficial, unpaid immune system, and they're really good

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<v Speaker 1>at it. In fact, Smart and a few other sleuths

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<v Speaker 1>managed to uncover this network of three hundred fake papers

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<v Speaker 1>that were all reusing the same data sets, and these

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<v Speaker 1>papers had all been published by one of the biggest

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<v Speaker 1>and most reputable academic publishers, Wiley. So John Wiley and

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<v Speaker 1>Sons this is one of the leading academic publishers. That

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<v Speaker 1>network has since grown to twelve hundred retractions all from

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<v Speaker 1>these special issues, and just last month Wiley announced that

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<v Speaker 1>they were actually going to shudder nineteen of the journals

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<v Speaker 1>as part of the fallout from this discovery, and they

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<v Speaker 1>estimated the closures will cost them around forty million US dollars.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, honestly, the scale of those blowing my mind.

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<v Speaker 3>It's a huge problem obviously, but how big are we

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<v Speaker 3>talking That.

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<v Speaker 1>Part of what people are trying to figure out. So

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<v Speaker 1>depending on what estimates you use, there are around kind

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<v Speaker 1>of three to four million science papers published each year,

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<v Speaker 1>and the vast, vast majority are good, sound science. But

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<v Speaker 1>against that, the rate of retractions of papers has never

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<v Speaker 1>been higher. So Nature, which is kind of the world's

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<v Speaker 1>leading science journal, they have calculated that last year alone

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<v Speaker 1>there were ten thousand retractions, which is more than double

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<v Speaker 1>the amount for the year before. The thing is that

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<v Speaker 1>bad science is by no means a new problem. You're

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<v Speaker 1>probably aware of some of the more kind of notorious

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<v Speaker 1>examples of bad science, people like Andrew Wakefield, who's the

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<v Speaker 1>discredited doctor who was pushing now very retracted research into

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<v Speaker 1>links between vaccines and autism.

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<v Speaker 3>That was published in the British Medical Journal as well,

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<v Speaker 3>like one of the most esteemed in the world.

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<v Speaker 1>Exactly, this was a bad actor who was specifically using

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<v Speaker 1>this and to essentially launder their political views. But it's

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit different to what we're experiencing now with

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<v Speaker 1>this wave of retractions, and many sluice feel that that

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<v Speaker 1>number of ten thousand is really only the tip of

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<v Speaker 1>the iceberg, because what we're seeing now is this kind

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<v Speaker 1>of rise of mass produced papers of just straight up

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<v Speaker 1>fake science. And so unlike Andrew Wakefield, where you've got

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<v Speaker 1>this clear villain that you can point to and say,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, this research is causing people harm, the brunt

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<v Speaker 1>of this infection is much more quiet and more insidious.

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<v Speaker 1>All it takes is one piece of this fake science

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<v Speaker 1>to derail real research. And so a lot of Smart's

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<v Speaker 1>work is looking at fake science in biomedicine, which is

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of it has to do with cancer research.

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<v Speaker 1>So this is kind of areas where human health is

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<v Speaker 1>at stake. And he explained to me that sometimes these

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<v Speaker 1>fake papers get mixed in with the real and they

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<v Speaker 1>create this framework of knowledge that doesn't actually exist. So

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<v Speaker 1>anyone down the line who reads that and bases real

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<v Speaker 1>clinical research off it is essentially bound to fail. This

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<v Speaker 1>is not only incredibly frustrating for scientists to have their

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<v Speaker 1>experiment fail and not know why, but it's also really

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<v Speaker 1>costly and time consuming in a field where cancer research

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<v Speaker 1>is already very costly and time consuming. So you can

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<v Speaker 1>see how one tiny piece of fake research can have

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<v Speaker 1>an enormous ripple effect. But this isn't just one paper.

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<v Speaker 1>It's tens of thousands that we know of, and many

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<v Speaker 1>more out there that haven't been detected yet. And so

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<v Speaker 1>many people I spoke to said that the accumulated weight

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<v Speaker 1>of these fake papers can threaten the integrity of all

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<v Speaker 1>scientific research time time when we really need to trust

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<v Speaker 1>it the most.

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<v Speaker 3>Coming up after break, what's driving this epidemic of ferny research, Shane,

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<v Speaker 3>We've been talking about the explosion of retractions in the

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<v Speaker 3>scientific literature. Where exactly are these dodgy papers coming from.

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<v Speaker 1>They're not from nothing, iicm no, And to better understand

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<v Speaker 1>where these papers are coming from, I went and spoke

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<v Speaker 1>to a guy called Ivan Ransky. He's Distinguished Journalist in

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<v Speaker 1>Residence at the Arthur el Kada Journalism Institute at New

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<v Speaker 1>York University. But more importantly, he's also the co founder

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<v Speaker 1>of a website called retraction Watch.

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<v Speaker 4>The sort of reason why retraction Watch exists is because

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<v Speaker 4>there was a particularly bad case here in the States

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<v Speaker 4>that person was making up the data and clinical trinds

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<v Speaker 4>of the painkiller.

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<v Speaker 1>One of the main things they do is keep a

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<v Speaker 1>database of retracted articles, which is currently sitting at fifty thousand,

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<v Speaker 1>which is pretty incredible.

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<v Speaker 4>So it's not a new problem. It's definitely more visible now,

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<v Speaker 4>which is a good thing, but it also means it's

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<v Speaker 4>a very painful time for science. It's a painful time

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<v Speaker 4>for publishers, a painful time for universities that are dealing

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<v Speaker 4>with these issues.

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<v Speaker 1>He says there's a few factors driving this epidemic of

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<v Speaker 1>fake papers. One is the real epidemic, the COVID nineteen pandemic.

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<v Speaker 1>Cases like ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine made us a lot more

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<v Speaker 1>aware of how easily misinformation can spread. But he says

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<v Speaker 1>that there's another factor, which is the growth of this

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<v Speaker 1>entire black market of companies who are behind a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of these fake papers. And these are the paper mills.

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<v Speaker 4>These operations, these shady operations that sell papers to people

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<v Speaker 4>that make things up to make fake papers, that sell authorship,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, all the things you need in order to

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<v Speaker 4>succeed as an academic, in order to get a job

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<v Speaker 4>and grants and promotions and everything like that.

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<v Speaker 1>They're essentially companies where for a fee, they will generate

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<v Speaker 1>a science paper and get it published in a journal

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<v Speaker 1>on your behalf and there's this whole economy around this,

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<v Speaker 1>where you pay more to be listed as an author

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<v Speaker 1>higher on the article, or you pay more to be

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<v Speaker 1>published in a high quality journal, for example. And these

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<v Speaker 1>mills also take advantage of the way journals vet papers. Basically,

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<v Speaker 1>if you submit a paper, your research won't get published

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<v Speaker 1>until it passes the peer review process. The problem is

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<v Speaker 1>these peer reviewers are often working for free and they're

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<v Speaker 1>often very busy.

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<v Speaker 4>When you have been told for decades that this is

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<v Speaker 4>the way that peer review like a good housekeeping seal

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<v Speaker 4>of approval, then you find out that in fact it misses,

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<v Speaker 4>maybe more often than it actually finds the problems and

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<v Speaker 4>screens the problems properly, you start to i think justifiably

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<v Speaker 4>lose trust in that system.

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<v Speaker 1>And one study that came out a couple of years ago,

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<v Speaker 1>they actually worked with a bunch of journals and they

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<v Speaker 1>found that on average, around two percent of the papers

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<v Speaker 1>submitted will be junk science. But if a paper slips

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<v Speaker 1>through peer review and then gets published, the number of

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<v Speaker 1>fake science that will be submitted to that journal can

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<v Speaker 1>rise to up to forty six percent. And what these

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<v Speaker 1>loose have done that's incredibly clever is that They've recognized

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<v Speaker 1>shared features in a lot of these fake science articles,

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<v Speaker 1>and through that have actually been able to identify networks

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<v Speaker 1>of hundreds of papers linked to common features and basically

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<v Speaker 1>unmask where some of these paper mills are coming from.

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<v Speaker 3>That's wild. I mean, what can we actually do about it?

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, this is a global phenomenon. Surely do we

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<v Speaker 3>have a role to play here in Australia about beoliefing it.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a bunch of solutions that people have been growing about.

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<v Speaker 1>So last year, South Australia's Independent Commissioner against Corruption, Bruce Lander,

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<v Speaker 1>he recommended actually having a body that could deal with

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<v Speaker 1>specific cases and also equipping the Australian Research Council with

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<v Speaker 1>kind of legislative powers so it could be easier to

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<v Speaker 1>try cases of extreme misconduct in the court system, for example.

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<v Speaker 1>But I mean, ultimately that's not really going to be

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<v Speaker 1>equipped to deal with the problem of paper mills that

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<v Speaker 1>are based internationally infiltrating research that happens in Australia. Like,

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<v Speaker 1>it's just not set up to deal with that. Everyone

0:14:43.240 --> 0:14:45.920
<v Speaker 1>I spoke to agreed that the best way to fix

0:14:46.000 --> 0:14:49.320
<v Speaker 1>this was to change the conditions that allowed these mills

0:14:49.360 --> 0:14:54.840
<v Speaker 1>to flourish. So solving this problem of fake science really

0:14:54.880 --> 0:14:57.960
<v Speaker 1>is about looking at the bigger picture about why this

0:14:58.120 --> 0:15:02.880
<v Speaker 1>market exists. It's because of the way academia is set up,

0:15:03.000 --> 0:15:07.680
<v Speaker 1>so academics have to publish articles to get grants, promotions,

0:15:08.200 --> 0:15:09.960
<v Speaker 1>all of the things you need not just to kind

0:15:10.000 --> 0:15:13.000
<v Speaker 1>of have a good career, but to have any career

0:15:13.160 --> 0:15:16.160
<v Speaker 1>in science. You can't get grant money so you can

0:15:16.240 --> 0:15:19.720
<v Speaker 1>chase a cure for cancer. None of that really happens

0:15:20.080 --> 0:15:25.840
<v Speaker 1>without publications. So this is a system that's incentivizing at best,

0:15:26.000 --> 0:15:30.120
<v Speaker 1>science that's rushed and under pressure, and at worst, it's

0:15:30.360 --> 0:15:32.120
<v Speaker 1>creating the market for paper mills.

0:15:32.560 --> 0:15:35.440
<v Speaker 3>To borrow another kind of science analogy, it's survival of

0:15:35.480 --> 0:15:39.080
<v Speaker 3>the fittest, isn't it's natural selection. We've got these pressures

0:15:39.120 --> 0:15:43.600
<v Speaker 3>existing in academia that are forcing, or at least seem

0:15:43.640 --> 0:15:46.160
<v Speaker 3>to be forcing. Research is down a certain path, which

0:15:46.200 --> 0:15:51.480
<v Speaker 3>is publisher perish. And I guess publisher perish is defining

0:15:51.520 --> 0:15:53.040
<v Speaker 3>the whole system, right it.

0:15:52.960 --> 0:15:55.560
<v Speaker 1>Is, And there is something dull, winny and about it, absolutely,

0:15:55.680 --> 0:15:58.960
<v Speaker 1>And the people I spoke to said that there are

0:15:59.440 --> 0:16:03.000
<v Speaker 1>slowly steps being taken to deal with this, but on

0:16:03.080 --> 0:16:07.760
<v Speaker 1>the whole publishers and universities have been really slow to

0:16:07.880 --> 0:16:11.520
<v Speaker 1>respond to the problem. The more that we ignore it,

0:16:12.200 --> 0:16:15.640
<v Speaker 1>the more damage we're doing down the line, where essentially

0:16:15.920 --> 0:16:20.840
<v Speaker 1>trust in the entire scientific project is being eroded. And

0:16:20.880 --> 0:16:23.560
<v Speaker 1>when we don't have trust in the scientific project, then

0:16:23.800 --> 0:16:27.080
<v Speaker 1>it's much easier for people to weaponize the distrust, and

0:16:27.240 --> 0:16:31.040
<v Speaker 1>we kind of come back to people who actively weaponize science,

0:16:31.240 --> 0:16:34.760
<v Speaker 1>like you know, the vaccine myths and the COVID misinformation.

0:16:37.600 --> 0:16:40.200
<v Speaker 1>At the end of the day, you know, science isn't perfect,

0:16:40.360 --> 0:16:44.200
<v Speaker 1>and it's also never set out to obtain an absolute truth.

0:16:44.240 --> 0:16:46.560
<v Speaker 1>You know, mistakes are made, and a lot of them

0:16:46.560 --> 0:16:49.800
<v Speaker 1>are genuine. But science is a process and it's set

0:16:49.880 --> 0:16:53.360
<v Speaker 1>up to check and to correct itself. But right now

0:16:53.680 --> 0:16:56.960
<v Speaker 1>those systems of correction aren't quite holding up the way

0:16:56.960 --> 0:16:57.360
<v Speaker 1>they used to.

0:17:01.920 --> 0:17:03.720
<v Speaker 3>Seane, thank you so much for taking the time to

0:17:03.760 --> 0:17:04.480
<v Speaker 3>talk to us today.

0:17:04.680 --> 0:17:05.000
<v Speaker 1>Thank you.

0:17:05.080 --> 0:17:22.240
<v Speaker 3>Rick. Also in the news today, first term Senator Fatima

0:17:22.280 --> 0:17:24.960
<v Speaker 3>Payman has now she's leaving the Labor Party to sit

0:17:25.040 --> 0:17:28.400
<v Speaker 3>as an independent. Speaking to the media, Senator payment said

0:17:28.440 --> 0:17:31.600
<v Speaker 3>she was deeply torn over the decision and still supported

0:17:31.640 --> 0:17:33.960
<v Speaker 3>the values of the Labor Party. They could see no

0:17:34.040 --> 0:17:37.000
<v Speaker 3>middle ground when it came to conforming to caucous solidarity

0:17:37.560 --> 0:17:41.480
<v Speaker 3>over the recognition of Palestinian statehood. The senator confirmed she

0:17:41.480 --> 0:17:45.760
<v Speaker 3>will not be joining any Muslim community linked party and

0:17:46.359 --> 0:17:49.440
<v Speaker 3>police have arrested four people after a pro Palestinian demonstration

0:17:49.520 --> 0:17:52.840
<v Speaker 3>on the roof of Parliament House in Canberra. Protesters from

0:17:52.840 --> 0:17:55.760
<v Speaker 3>the group Renegade Activists climbed onto the roof of Parliament

0:17:55.760 --> 0:17:59.720
<v Speaker 3>House to unfurl banners accusing Australia of complicity in war

0:17:59.760 --> 0:18:04.480
<v Speaker 3>crime and jenocide. Seven Am is a daily show from

0:18:04.480 --> 0:18:08.960
<v Speaker 3>Schwartz Media and The Saturday Paper. It's produced by Kara Jensen, McKinnon,

0:18:09.040 --> 0:18:12.440
<v Speaker 3>Shane Anderson and Zalton Fetcher. Our senior producer is Chris

0:18:12.520 --> 0:18:17.440
<v Speaker 3>dan Gaden. Our technical producer Zaticus Bastow. Edited by Scott Mitchell,

0:18:17.520 --> 0:18:21.240
<v Speaker 3>Chris Dangate and Sarah mcveee. Our head of audio, Eric Jensen,

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<v Speaker 3>is our editor in chief. Mixing by Travis Evans and

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<v Speaker 3>Atticus Bastow. Our theme music is by Ned Beckley and

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<v Speaker 3>Josh Hogan of Envelope Audio. I'm Rick Morton, thanks for listening.