1 00:00:05,800 --> 00:00:08,360 Speaker 1: Welcome to Ask Fear and Greed, where we take your 2 00:00:08,440 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 1: questions and do our best to answer them. I'm Michael 3 00:00:10,760 --> 00:00:12,600 Speaker 1: Thompson and hello, Sean Aylmer. 4 00:00:12,680 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 2: Hello, Michael. 5 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:16,279 Speaker 1: Got a good one for you today. Jean Yes has 6 00:00:16,320 --> 00:00:19,319 Speaker 1: come from Erica on Instagram and you can go to 7 00:00:19,360 --> 00:00:22,120 Speaker 1: LinkedIn or Instagram or Facebook or fearangreed dot com dot 8 00:00:22,120 --> 00:00:24,160 Speaker 1: are You would send your question in if you want 9 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 1: to do what Erica has done. She says, with all 10 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:30,000 Speaker 1: the turmoil in markets, and it was a longer email, 11 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:32,440 Speaker 1: but this is really kind of the number. Yeah, with 12 00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 1: all the turmoil in markets, how are smaller companies performing 13 00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:39,559 Speaker 1: compared to bigger companies? 14 00:00:39,680 --> 00:00:41,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, so I got a heads up on this one, 15 00:00:42,080 --> 00:00:45,360 Speaker 2: and it's it's really interesting because I wondered, I mean, 16 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:49,519 Speaker 2: when she Erica rated, I thought, that's a cracking question. 17 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:53,600 Speaker 2: Because the top two hundred has been down two point 18 00:00:53,640 --> 00:00:57,240 Speaker 2: four percent so far this year, the A six two hundred, 19 00:00:57,920 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 2: the financials index, which is mostly the four banks, down 20 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:05,160 Speaker 2: four point four percent, Tech stocks down four point five percent. 21 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 2: What about the small ordinaries, the small cap index, well, 22 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:12,920 Speaker 2: it's down less than one percent. Apart from gold stocks, 23 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:17,559 Speaker 2: the small caps have been among the best performers this year. 24 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:21,080 Speaker 1: So for definition here, what are we referring to as 25 00:01:21,240 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 1: as a small cap and within the small ordinaries? 26 00:01:23,680 --> 00:01:27,120 Speaker 2: So the small ordinaries is basically between one hundred and one, 27 00:01:27,319 --> 00:01:30,960 Speaker 2: stock number one hundred and one and stock number three hundred. Ok. 28 00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 2: After three hundred they become microcaps yep, fifty one to 29 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:39,560 Speaker 2: one hundred, mid caps one come off bank through to 30 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 2: fifty large caps. So they're the definitions great. I was 31 00:01:44,240 --> 00:01:47,840 Speaker 2: actually quite surprised that the small caps one hundred to 32 00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:53,440 Speaker 2: three hundred have outperformed. Why is this the case, Well, 33 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 2: many of those small camps are cyclical STOCKSK what that means? 34 00:01:58,560 --> 00:02:02,920 Speaker 2: They do better when interest rates are likely to or 35 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 2: are falling, And of course that's exactly what's happened. There's 36 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:11,840 Speaker 2: a bunch of like small retailers. So I don't have 37 00:02:11,919 --> 00:02:15,359 Speaker 2: the thing, but you know, I'm thinking Dusk and Leavisa 38 00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 2: and Coogan dot Com and a bunch of those sort 39 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:20,640 Speaker 2: of companies in that they're just going to do better 40 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:23,240 Speaker 2: when people think a bit more money to spend. I'm 41 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 2: not paying as much on my homeland, I might go 42 00:02:25,360 --> 00:02:29,040 Speaker 2: off and do that resources that lots of mining companies 43 00:02:29,040 --> 00:02:31,600 Speaker 2: in this too. Now they're less well. It depends on 44 00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 2: what sector they're in, but they can be less cyclical, 45 00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 2: but they very much depend on commodity prices, so like 46 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:41,519 Speaker 2: retailers and miners are a big part of that small. 47 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 1: Okay, so these are still those companies then that are 48 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:47,600 Speaker 1: exposed to global forces like these are still exporters and 49 00:02:47,639 --> 00:02:51,280 Speaker 1: things within within this, some are, some aren't. Where they're 50 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:54,560 Speaker 1: actually benefiting at the moment, apart from lower interest rates, 51 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:58,920 Speaker 1: is that everyone has disliked them for about three years. 52 00:02:59,840 --> 00:03:01,960 Speaker 2: I think every year for the last three years we 53 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 2: have had someone come on and say, this is a 54 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:06,840 Speaker 2: year that small caps are going to do well, and 55 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:11,280 Speaker 2: so for twenty twenty two, twenty three, twenty four always 56 00:03:11,280 --> 00:03:12,799 Speaker 2: going to be the time that small caps are going 57 00:03:12,840 --> 00:03:16,600 Speaker 2: to do well. And now they chepishly. I mean, those commentators, 58 00:03:16,800 --> 00:03:20,560 Speaker 2: they all agree, it's just remarkable how poorly they've done 59 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:24,320 Speaker 2: as a result, though their valuations are much much lower. 60 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:27,720 Speaker 2: So they talk about premiums of large caps to small caps. 61 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:32,000 Speaker 2: So it's kind of how large cups are valued relative 62 00:03:32,080 --> 00:03:36,720 Speaker 2: to small caps and that premium. The difference is huge 63 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:39,520 Speaker 2: at the moment and has been for a number of years. 64 00:03:39,960 --> 00:03:43,240 Speaker 2: So one thing that small caps have got going is 65 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 2: that relative to the rest of the market, they're cheap, 66 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:48,200 Speaker 2: and so when you have a cycle turning set of 67 00:03:48,200 --> 00:03:50,560 Speaker 2: interest rates coming down, and you have people wanting to 68 00:03:50,600 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 2: invest and find opportunities, and actually at this small cap 69 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:56,840 Speaker 2: they're a lot cheaper than buying Commonwealth Bank, for example, 70 00:03:57,600 --> 00:03:59,480 Speaker 2: So they've actually outperformed this year. 71 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:02,400 Speaker 1: A lot of them are still household names. There are 72 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:05,240 Speaker 1: a lot of companies here that we all know. Yeah, 73 00:04:05,840 --> 00:04:08,520 Speaker 1: these are not the microcaps that are very, very obscure 74 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:12,000 Speaker 1: that you might never have actually heard of. These are 75 00:04:12,040 --> 00:04:15,600 Speaker 1: companies that really you've been talking about some of these retailers. 76 00:04:15,640 --> 00:04:18,040 Speaker 1: They are companies as you walk into your local Westfield 77 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:20,360 Speaker 1: and you're going to see them in there. They're the miners. 78 00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:22,120 Speaker 1: Some of these miners that you are hearing about on 79 00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 1: the news are hearing about on probably more likely on 80 00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:27,240 Speaker 1: fear and great to be honest, but these are companies 81 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 1: that we all know, So it's not like they are 82 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 1: entirely foreign to us. 83 00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:36,040 Speaker 2: I mean, you know, Goodsemany, Gomez Amp flight Center. There's 84 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 2: just a stack of them that we kind of talk 85 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:41,760 Speaker 2: about all the time. That part of me domain a 86 00:04:41,760 --> 00:04:44,040 Speaker 2: great friend of ours, there in that like it's an 87 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 2: enemnute stack of mining companies as well. Yeah, so they 88 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:48,560 Speaker 2: are kind of I don't know the household names, but 89 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 2: they're not far off it. 90 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:52,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, Good Many Gomez is a household name in our 91 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:54,040 Speaker 1: in our house. 92 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:56,159 Speaker 2: Don't my kids like Goodminess much? 93 00:04:56,760 --> 00:04:59,240 Speaker 1: I don't know, you know, I think it's just the variety. 94 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:01,000 Speaker 1: I think it's the fact that there is now this 95 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:03,599 Speaker 1: other option out there that it's not just kind of 96 00:05:03,640 --> 00:05:06,800 Speaker 1: takeaway burgers stuff. It is to be able to get 97 00:05:06,839 --> 00:05:09,640 Speaker 1: a good burrito wherever you are and rather than just 98 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:13,400 Speaker 1: having to go to Antijito's in Newcastle, right, which is 99 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:17,400 Speaker 1: the greatest burrito in Australia. Wherever you are listening, plan 100 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:21,159 Speaker 1: a trip to Newcastle, go into Antajito's and get their 101 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:22,000 Speaker 1: pork burrito. 102 00:05:22,200 --> 00:05:25,400 Speaker 2: Is that right? It's exquisite. Now on the again brings 103 00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:27,920 Speaker 2: back thing, you know, one of the great small caps 104 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:30,600 Speaker 2: of the last two months, which is now just entered 105 00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:33,480 Speaker 2: the top fifty stocks. In fact, it's now the twenty 106 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:36,440 Speaker 2: second largest company, whereas twelve months ago it was a 107 00:05:36,440 --> 00:05:40,080 Speaker 2: small cap what is it, Promedicus really? Yeah, so it 108 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:41,920 Speaker 2: has done It's up about one hundred and fifty percent 109 00:05:42,120 --> 00:05:46,360 Speaker 2: over the last months, and it has gone from small 110 00:05:46,480 --> 00:05:49,280 Speaker 2: cap to top twenty five company. 111 00:05:49,320 --> 00:05:51,279 Speaker 1: It's like a tennis player going from kind of like 112 00:05:51,480 --> 00:05:54,360 Speaker 1: it's two hundredth in the world. Yes, just suddenly shooting 113 00:05:54,440 --> 00:05:57,960 Speaker 1: up into like the top tier. That's amazing. 114 00:05:57,960 --> 00:05:59,560 Speaker 2: I know you don't like golf, well, I know where 115 00:05:59,560 --> 00:06:01,240 Speaker 2: you like golf or not, but I'm sort of a 116 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:03,479 Speaker 2: bit addicted to the PGA Tour. And there was a 117 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:07,480 Speaker 2: fella from Australia. Villops is his name. V I l 118 00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:11,279 Speaker 2: I p S twenty three year old from Perth who 119 00:06:11,640 --> 00:06:13,839 Speaker 2: moved to Florida when he was in high school because 120 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:16,920 Speaker 2: his parents wanted him to do well at golf. He 121 00:06:17,400 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 2: this week won a PGA tournament. It's on his third 122 00:06:21,279 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 2: time he's played in the PGA tournament. And when we're 123 00:06:23,680 --> 00:06:26,440 Speaker 2: PJ we're talking Tiger Woods here, we're talking the absolute best. 124 00:06:27,160 --> 00:06:30,559 Speaker 2: And he won. And the reason I'm telling this story 125 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:33,039 Speaker 2: is like Promedicus. You know, this guy has come from 126 00:06:33,080 --> 00:06:37,000 Speaker 2: nowhere to actually win a PGA tournament. 127 00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:38,919 Speaker 1: And suddenly he shoots up the rankings. 128 00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:40,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, his name is. 129 00:06:41,080 --> 00:06:43,160 Speaker 1: And the prize money it's just a different point. 130 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:45,880 Speaker 2: Won two million dollars. 131 00:06:45,760 --> 00:06:50,960 Speaker 1: Us US on him. Oh amazing, goodness me. We veered 132 00:06:51,000 --> 00:06:51,760 Speaker 1: off course. 133 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:54,320 Speaker 2: There, we did. I think we answer the question that. 134 00:06:54,279 --> 00:06:57,280 Speaker 1: We absolutely did. We absolutely did so, Erica, I do 135 00:06:57,320 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 1: hope you're satisfied with that that we've answered it with 136 00:06:59,800 --> 00:07:03,160 Speaker 1: enough detail and giving you some bonus facts about golf 137 00:07:03,440 --> 00:07:08,000 Speaker 1: and where to find the best burrito in Australia Antitos. Yes, indeed, 138 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:10,560 Speaker 1: all right. Thank you Erica for the question, Thank you 139 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:11,560 Speaker 1: Sean for answering it. 140 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:12,320 Speaker 2: Thank you Michael. 141 00:07:12,400 --> 00:07:13,960 Speaker 1: Remember, if you've got something that you would like to know, 142 00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:17,560 Speaker 1: then please send through your question on LinkedIn, on Instagram, 143 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:20,560 Speaker 1: Facebook or Fearandgreed dot com dot au and we will 144 00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: pop it on the list and get to it as 145 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:24,320 Speaker 1: soon as it is humanly possible. I'm Michael Thompson and 146 00:07:24,360 --> 00:07:25,679 Speaker 1: this is ask Fear and Greed