WEBVTT - Paul Murray Live | 26 June 0:00:00.200 --> 0:00:07.120 From the sky Center. This is Paul Murray Live. Thank you, Cherry. 0:00:07.200 --> 0:00:09.639 Enjoyed time with that beautiful family of yours all right now, 0:00:10.280 --> 0:00:12.680 last night I went on a little bit of a limit. 0:00:12.720 --> 0:00:15.080 I showed you a whole bunch of examples of stuff 0:00:15.120 --> 0:00:17.880 that I think is really dumb when it comes to 0:00:18.280 --> 0:00:22.360 how political communication is working, particularly on social media. Most 0:00:22.360 --> 0:00:24.279 of it starts on TikTok, but a lot of it 0:00:24.360 --> 0:00:27.760 is coming up and getting reborn in your real section 0:00:28.200 --> 0:00:30.280 of your Instagram. Now there is a chance that maybe 0:00:30.280 --> 0:00:33.640 this is just my feed and I've got a little 0:00:33.640 --> 0:00:35.559 too lost in some of this stuff, but it seems 0:00:35.840 --> 0:00:39.599 pretty dumb, like literally trying to pretend that family guy 0:00:39.680 --> 0:00:41.680 characters have an opinion on which way you should or 0:00:41.680 --> 0:00:44.640 shouldn't vote in the Tasmanian election. The absolute abuse that 0:00:44.720 --> 0:00:47.800 was there forwards Peter Dutton in the federal election. And 0:00:47.840 --> 0:00:50.199 I got a huge number of people who sent me 0:00:50.240 --> 0:00:51.800 an email and you can always send me one Paul 0:00:51.800 --> 0:00:55.160 at skynews dot com dot au who agreed and then 0:00:55.200 --> 0:00:57.360 had their own examples of their own concerns about the 0:00:57.400 --> 0:01:01.800 type of political discussion that is being pumped out to 0:01:01.840 --> 0:01:04.480 try to in many ways, go around the media and 0:01:04.640 --> 0:01:07.480 just try to simplify things into really good guys and 0:01:07.520 --> 0:01:10.040 bad guys. But the reality is that the world is 0:01:10.080 --> 0:01:13.480 a lot more complicated than that. For example, a Queensland 0:01:13.520 --> 0:01:16.520 budget now in it is of course a whole series 0:01:16.560 --> 0:01:19.880 of priorities and decisions and move a little money here, 0:01:19.920 --> 0:01:23.319 spend a little more there about things like hospitals and 0:01:23.440 --> 0:01:27.600 police and education, because of course state government is where 0:01:27.640 --> 0:01:30.200 so much of the rubber hits the road in actually 0:01:30.280 --> 0:01:34.200 dealing with the everyday problems. A lot of federal politics 0:01:34.400 --> 0:01:37.680 sometimes sounds like state politics because the stuff they are 0:01:37.720 --> 0:01:41.880 responsible for ends up in the two hard basket. But 0:01:41.959 --> 0:01:44.680 an example of again what I think is the not 0:01:44.760 --> 0:01:47.880 even dumbing DWM, but just the stupid, not even dealing 0:01:47.960 --> 0:01:51.320 with the detail or the bare minimum detail of the 0:01:51.320 --> 0:01:53.800 stuff that we should demand of the people who write 0:01:53.800 --> 0:01:57.760 our laws or hold those people to account, was several 0:01:57.880 --> 0:02:00.480 Queensland Labor MPs who couldn't be by the dealing with 0:02:00.520 --> 0:02:04.320 any of the details inside the Queensland budget. Instead they 0:02:04.360 --> 0:02:08.080 wanted to complain about the color of the books of 0:02:08.120 --> 0:02:11.480 the budget. Now, this is about as dumb as it 0:02:11.520 --> 0:02:14.119 can get when it comes to what did you think 0:02:14.160 --> 0:02:15.280 of the state budget. 0:02:16.800 --> 0:02:17.560 Why is our. 0:02:17.440 --> 0:02:19.000 State budget blue? 0:02:19.720 --> 0:02:21.200 It was supposed to be marone. 0:02:21.760 --> 0:02:24.440 Why is the LMP trying to rebrand the whole of 0:02:24.520 --> 0:02:29.799 Queenslander's Blue the state of origin season blue budget? 0:02:31.800 --> 0:02:32.000 Eh? 0:02:33.639 --> 0:02:35.320 And when we were working on the show tonight, I 0:02:35.360 --> 0:02:37.799 was having a chat with the team and I started 0:02:37.840 --> 0:02:40.239 to also talk about the attitudes that we have to 0:02:40.320 --> 0:02:43.240 big and complicated problems. Now often we talk about the 0:02:43.280 --> 0:02:46.200 too hard basket and people know what that means. We 0:02:46.280 --> 0:02:49.600 know what the never never money is. But I had 0:02:49.600 --> 0:02:51.040 one of those little moments where they were sort of 0:02:52.440 --> 0:02:56.240 lost in transation generational moment when I referred to the 0:02:56.280 --> 0:02:59.760 terms she'll be right, and my wonderful, talented, passionate team 0:03:00.400 --> 0:03:03.960 didn't know where that had come from. So let me 0:03:05.160 --> 0:03:07.320 do a version on TV about a conversation we had 0:03:07.360 --> 0:03:10.320 in the offices a little bit earlier today. So what 0:03:10.520 --> 0:03:17.560 does slim Dusty have in common with its degenerational debt, 0:03:17.919 --> 0:03:25.360 climate change, the failure to get good school results, and 0:03:25.400 --> 0:03:28.000 the number of people who are being assaulted in our 0:03:28.040 --> 0:03:32.840 communities each and every day. Well, it goes back to 0:03:32.880 --> 0:03:37.960 one of his most famous songs, which was about She'll 0:03:37.960 --> 0:03:41.960 be right Now. For those who use this term have 0:03:42.040 --> 0:03:44.320 heard it from their parents or grandparents. You know what 0:03:44.360 --> 0:03:46.840 she'll be right means. But for those who don't, and 0:03:46.880 --> 0:03:49.360 there's plenty, including many that will be watching us on 0:03:49.440 --> 0:03:53.040 the internet or YouTube's later than the live program that's 0:03:53.120 --> 0:03:55.520 going out right now, she'll be right essentially is don't 0:03:55.520 --> 0:03:58.520 worry about it. It'll all be okay one day. Eventually 0:03:58.560 --> 0:04:00.320 everything will be put right. It's not as bad as 0:04:00.320 --> 0:04:05.640 it seems. The musical version of this is Slim Dusty 0:04:05.760 --> 0:04:09.120 singing his song about she'll be right mate, bear with me, 0:04:09.160 --> 0:04:13.920 there's a point coming still very right mate, shell, very 0:04:14.000 --> 0:04:19.040 right right. So the idea that she'll be right, it'll 0:04:19.040 --> 0:04:23.240 work out eventually is an attitude that is fundamental to 0:04:23.240 --> 0:04:26.480 many Australians, which is to not get overwhelmed by problems. 0:04:27.120 --> 0:04:29.159 But also it's if you put the work in, you 0:04:29.160 --> 0:04:31.080 put the effort in, that eventually the problems that are 0:04:31.120 --> 0:04:34.600 there now can be fixed. And certainly when it comes 0:04:34.640 --> 0:04:39.080 to the priorities of modern governments. A perfect example where 0:04:39.240 --> 0:04:43.160 she'll be right is not the accepted way to deal 0:04:43.200 --> 0:04:46.039 with an area of public policy is the issues in 0:04:46.080 --> 0:04:51.240 and around climate change. Now, multiple governments, multiple generations now 0:04:51.400 --> 0:04:54.799 of political conversation has been in and around this issue. 0:04:56.279 --> 0:04:58.120 But the reality is that she'll be right. It'll all 0:04:58.120 --> 0:05:00.680 work itself out. Sometimes people take to the streets or 0:05:00.720 --> 0:05:03.480 the water doing stupid things when it comes to protests, 0:05:03.640 --> 0:05:05.520 but certainly in terms of governments, they're not just sitting 0:05:05.560 --> 0:05:07.880 back and saying, sure, we're one percent of the world's problem, 0:05:08.080 --> 0:05:10.839 she'll be right. The reality is we have to do 0:05:10.880 --> 0:05:13.080 our bit for the one percent. Now I think we 0:05:13.160 --> 0:05:15.719 do probably a little more than the one percent problem 0:05:15.720 --> 0:05:20.359 that exists considering China is the actual problem littlone, the 0:05:20.400 --> 0:05:22.920 slave labor that they use to put into the very 0:05:22.960 --> 0:05:25.560 things that we consider to be the solution to the 0:05:25.560 --> 0:05:28.039 problem that we can't just let be She'll be right. 0:05:28.839 --> 0:05:31.520 But the reality of that is power bills go through 0:05:31.560 --> 0:05:34.360 the roof. That's just the reality is you move from 0:05:34.360 --> 0:05:36.640 the technology that has worked for decades to the one 0:05:36.720 --> 0:05:39.200 that they fingers cross hope will work to decades into 0:05:39.240 --> 0:05:42.800 the future. The reality of building that technology is hundreds 0:05:42.800 --> 0:05:46.680 of billions of dollars, nay close to a trillion dollars. 0:05:47.880 --> 0:05:51.000 So the attitude on that public policy area is she'll 0:05:51.000 --> 0:05:54.520 be right is not an okay way to deal with things. 0:05:55.040 --> 0:05:57.839 Because despite the fact that the reality of our problem 0:05:58.240 --> 0:06:00.400 is that one hundred percent of our problem is one 0:06:00.520 --> 0:06:04.520 percent of the global problem, she'll be right is not 0:06:04.680 --> 0:06:10.719 an acceptable position to take, But funnily enough, she'll be 0:06:10.839 --> 0:06:17.080 right is something that we are too often willing to 0:06:17.160 --> 0:06:19.880 sit with when it comes to problems that are even 0:06:19.960 --> 0:06:25.720 more immediate than things like climate change. For some reason, 0:06:25.880 --> 0:06:29.559 state and federal government does take the attitude of she'll 0:06:29.600 --> 0:06:37.039 be right, mate about things like assaults. Now, nobody says 0:06:37.040 --> 0:06:40.119 assault is okay, But think about how we are dealing 0:06:40.160 --> 0:06:44.240 with one percent of the world's climate problems versus the 0:06:44.279 --> 0:06:47.800 public debate and conversation that we have about actually bringing 0:06:47.960 --> 0:06:51.799 crime down, not by a little bit, but trying to 0:06:51.839 --> 0:06:54.800 wipe it out. Now we know that certain crimes, the 0:06:54.839 --> 0:06:57.920 public discourse and the public conversation is we must bring 0:06:58.000 --> 0:07:01.280 it down to zero cases of offense is no victims, 0:07:01.400 --> 0:07:05.680 no people that are the perpetrators. But the reality of 0:07:05.800 --> 0:07:08.560 crime in Australia is far close, far too close to 0:07:08.600 --> 0:07:10.920 she'll be right, as opposed to let's do everything we 0:07:10.960 --> 0:07:15.160 can to change the problem. I say this because today 0:07:15.200 --> 0:07:19.240 the Australian Bureau of Statistics released some crime numbers into 0:07:19.280 --> 0:07:22.480 the financial year of twenty twenty three twenty twenty four, 0:07:22.720 --> 0:07:25.520 and this is the number of people who police accused 0:07:25.720 --> 0:07:32.080 of committing a crime. The problem is, despite the fact 0:07:32.080 --> 0:07:35.160 that there are three hundred and forty thousand, six hundred 0:07:35.160 --> 0:07:38.560 and eighty one people in just one year in Australia 0:07:39.240 --> 0:07:44.200 who were accused by police of committing a crime, it 0:07:44.280 --> 0:07:46.880 is not vastly higher or vastly lower than it was 0:07:47.120 --> 0:07:49.320 the year before, the year before that, the year before that, 0:07:49.360 --> 0:07:51.040 the year before that, the year before that, the year 0:07:51.080 --> 0:07:56.000 before that. Instead, it's all basically the same number. Now, 0:07:56.040 --> 0:07:59.640 certain categories and certain states can be spikes, particularly on 0:07:59.720 --> 0:08:04.760 things youth crime. But because it's in and around between 0:08:04.800 --> 0:08:07.240 three and four hundred thousand each and every year, that 0:08:07.280 --> 0:08:09.640 she'll be right of it all is fingers cross. It 0:08:09.640 --> 0:08:14.040 doesn't happen to you. As long as those numbers stay 0:08:14.160 --> 0:08:16.400 kind of where they were last year, than it's okay. 0:08:16.640 --> 0:08:19.720 But the reality is that, yes, even in a country 0:08:19.720 --> 0:08:25.239 with twenty seven twenty eight million people, there's still three 0:08:25.280 --> 0:08:28.800 and a bit mcgs that you could feel with people 0:08:28.840 --> 0:08:31.440 who are accused of committing a crime each and every year. 0:08:32.120 --> 0:08:35.200 Why is that okay? Why is that number Okay, why 0:08:35.280 --> 0:08:39.080 is that number not being shoved down with the massive 0:08:39.280 --> 0:08:42.120 public resources that we would deal with things like one 0:08:42.160 --> 0:08:45.280 percent of the climate change problem? Are you with me here? 0:08:46.880 --> 0:08:50.400 When you actually break down some of these stats, about 0:08:50.400 --> 0:08:54.360 a third of all of those crimes were people who 0:08:54.400 --> 0:08:58.520 committed acts that intended to cause injury. So that is 0:08:58.559 --> 0:09:03.680 still ten of thousands, nay, almost a little over somewhere 0:09:03.679 --> 0:09:07.880 between one hundred and one hundred and fifty thousand people 0:09:08.080 --> 0:09:09.760 who if they committed a crime, means there was at 0:09:09.840 --> 0:09:12.200 least one victim on the other side of it. Why 0:09:12.280 --> 0:09:15.120 is that she'll be right way? Fourteen percent when it 0:09:15.120 --> 0:09:17.120 comes to a list of drug offenses, ten percent when 0:09:17.120 --> 0:09:19.040 it comes to theft, and ten percent of the three 0:09:19.120 --> 0:09:22.920 hundred and forty thousand were public order offenses. But all 0:09:22.920 --> 0:09:25.360 of that together is still not one hundred percent of 0:09:25.360 --> 0:09:30.240 the problems about sixty one percent. But when these numbers 0:09:30.240 --> 0:09:36.600 came out today that three hundred and forty thousand people 0:09:37.559 --> 0:09:42.240 had committed a crime or six hundred well sorry, or 0:09:42.280 --> 0:09:44.840 another three hundred and forty thousand people were the victims 0:09:44.880 --> 0:09:48.640 of a crime, was that anywhere in the six PM 0:09:48.679 --> 0:09:54.640 news tonight? Was that the lead story? No? Because dare 0:09:54.679 --> 0:09:59.200 I say the attitude is she'll be right, and we 0:09:59.240 --> 0:10:06.000 won't be the same number of panel conversations on television, 0:10:06.040 --> 0:10:10.240 let alone government money alone, laws, let alone. Public attitudes 0:10:10.480 --> 0:10:16.360 should be as aggressive about interpersonal violence as it is 0:10:17.000 --> 0:10:21.240 about intergenerational issues such as the health of the planet. 0:10:21.240 --> 0:10:25.840 And remember where one percent of the world's problem. Another 0:10:25.920 --> 0:10:29.720 example of when she'll be right made is seemingly okay. 0:10:31.040 --> 0:10:36.720 It's when politicians win elections because we the voters love 0:10:37.040 --> 0:10:39.439 the F word, and I'm not talking about the one 0:10:39.480 --> 0:10:43.040 the President used this week pre public. 0:10:42.760 --> 0:10:47.360 Transport free, free, free, free, through free, through free, three free. 0:10:47.960 --> 0:10:53.400 But of course nothing is free. Someone somewhere is providing 0:10:53.400 --> 0:10:59.000 a service. The service costs money, and we learned today 0:10:59.200 --> 0:11:04.160 again vice excellent reporting about the size of the bill 0:11:04.240 --> 0:11:08.720 that is coming to our generations when it comes to 0:11:09.720 --> 0:11:13.880 everything being free. The federal budget this year tells us 0:11:13.920 --> 0:11:16.959 that we are already in a trillion dollars worth of debt. 0:11:17.480 --> 0:11:21.679 Next year it'll be one point h nine trillion, Then 0:11:21.679 --> 0:11:25.520 it'll be one point one trillion a men by twenty 0:11:25.600 --> 0:11:29.800 twenty eight, twenty twenty nine, so fiscally speaking, within four 0:11:29.880 --> 0:11:32.600 years will be at one point two Tee for trillion 0:11:33.000 --> 0:11:38.120 dollars in debt, and that's just the federal government, another 0:11:38.559 --> 0:11:41.599 massive source of debt that we are handing on to 0:11:41.720 --> 0:11:44.719 our next generation. And if again, the theory is we 0:11:44.800 --> 0:11:47.560 must go all in on dealing with climate change because 0:11:48.280 --> 0:11:50.040 what is not done now will be passed on to 0:11:50.080 --> 0:11:53.520 the future generations, why does this not apply to the 0:11:53.600 --> 0:11:57.480 amount of debt that we hand on to future generations. 0:11:58.240 --> 0:12:00.320 Because I'll give you the tip. She'll be right, mate, 0:12:00.400 --> 0:12:05.160 turns one billion into one trillion, and one trillion into 0:12:05.200 --> 0:12:10.000 two and three and four. And while I'm not suggesting 0:12:10.000 --> 0:12:15.360 we're about to be Greece anytime soon. In Victoria, in 0:12:15.360 --> 0:12:18.240 their top five things that they spend their money on 0:12:18.480 --> 0:12:22.960 in their state budget, I think number three, bigger than 0:12:22.960 --> 0:12:26.520 some government departments, is paying off debt. So if you 0:12:26.559 --> 0:12:29.240 keep running a budget deficit, all you do is add 0:12:29.240 --> 0:12:31.880 to the previous budget deficit, which is the overall amount 0:12:31.920 --> 0:12:35.680 of debt, which of course will eventually be paid over 0:12:35.800 --> 0:12:41.520 time by future generations. So why is the logic about 0:12:41.559 --> 0:12:46.920 climate change urgency not being applied to this again? Today 0:12:47.440 --> 0:12:51.520 reporting about state budgets and state budgets are in a 0:12:51.640 --> 0:12:55.960 world of financial pain this week we got budgets in 0:12:55.960 --> 0:13:00.000 New South Wales and in Queensland we've already got one 0:13:00.040 --> 0:13:04.679 from Victoria, and even one from the local council known 0:13:04.720 --> 0:13:07.320 as the Act. I'll have a little more to say 0:13:07.320 --> 0:13:08.679 about that, believe it or right at the moment or 0:13:08.679 --> 0:13:12.800 two's time. But in the Financial Review today they actually 0:13:12.880 --> 0:13:14.360 divvied up the amount of money that all of the 0:13:14.360 --> 0:13:16.840 different state governments owe the rest of the world, and 0:13:16.880 --> 0:13:21.240 it is almost a trillion dollars themselves. So you've got 0:13:21.240 --> 0:13:25.080 a federal government in a trillion up to one point 0:13:25.120 --> 0:13:28.520 two trillion dollars worth of debt, and you've got state 0:13:28.559 --> 0:13:32.720 governments going from nine hundred billion on their way up 0:13:32.760 --> 0:13:35.040 towards a trillion on their own. Of course, that makes 0:13:35.320 --> 0:13:40.280 two trillion dollars. Yet no urgency anywhere to deal with this, 0:13:40.360 --> 0:13:43.040 with the same public policy urgency as there would be 0:13:43.160 --> 0:13:45.800 something like climate change. Again, can I read from the 0:13:45.800 --> 0:13:48.559 Financial Review for you? The state government grows debt will 0:13:48.559 --> 0:13:51.040 surge past nine hundred billion by the end of the decade, 0:13:51.200 --> 0:13:55.400 more than triple the pre pandemic levels. As premier struggle 0:13:55.440 --> 0:13:58.280 to reign in burgeoning infrastructure programs and cut back on 0:13:58.320 --> 0:14:02.440 cost of living support and public ser wages. State government 0:14:02.440 --> 0:14:05.840 debt has increased one hundred and fifty percent since twenty 0:14:06.040 --> 0:14:09.920 nineteen to six hundred and sixty one billion dollars, prompting 0:14:10.000 --> 0:14:13.360 warnings from credit ratings agencies and calls for economists for 0:14:13.400 --> 0:14:17.320 premiers to reduce their spending. If you prefer things in 0:14:17.440 --> 0:14:20.600 chart form, here's an example. You can have a look 0:14:20.640 --> 0:14:24.760 for your state. The blue is the current number, the 0:14:24.800 --> 0:14:26.320 red is where it is going to be in a 0:14:26.320 --> 0:14:31.160 few years time. So it's about two hundred billion in Victoria, 0:14:31.360 --> 0:14:35.920 but it's going to go to more than a quarter 0:14:36.080 --> 0:14:40.080 of a billion dollars in just that one state. Quarter 0:14:40.080 --> 0:14:43.560 of attrillion. I should say the same. Of course New 0:14:43.560 --> 0:14:46.320 South Wales. You can see what's happening in Queensland and 0:14:46.400 --> 0:14:50.160 even in the Northern Territory, their debt is going to 0:14:50.200 --> 0:14:55.920 be eighteen billion dollars. So if you turned around and 0:14:55.960 --> 0:15:01.360 you grabbed a calculator like Saul Eslake did the Independent economist, 0:15:01.400 --> 0:15:04.600 guess what you will end up finding out that the 0:15:04.640 --> 0:15:07.800 Independent economist saw les Lake said the situation in which 0:15:07.880 --> 0:15:11.120 state and federal government debts per capital stood at eighteen 0:15:11.200 --> 0:15:16.640 hundred dollars, the net debt per capita was forty five thousand, 0:15:16.760 --> 0:15:19.920 one hundred and eighty three dollars. So that's per every 0:15:20.000 --> 0:15:26.440 individual federal government state government debt right now, forty five grand. 0:15:27.280 --> 0:15:30.120 And as we continue to have more deficits than we 0:15:30.160 --> 0:15:33.200 will have surpluses, forty five becomes fifty, fifty five becomes 0:15:33.240 --> 0:15:36.200 sixty the frog in the pot. So could somebody please 0:15:36.240 --> 0:15:40.480 explain to me how she'll be right? Is the acceptable 0:15:40.520 --> 0:15:43.720 attitude to the debt that we rack up in a 0:15:43.760 --> 0:15:49.240 country like Australia, because it's not if she'll be right 0:15:49.360 --> 0:15:52.080 is not an acceptable attitude on climate change? How is 0:15:52.200 --> 0:15:56.160 she'll be right an okay attitude when it comes to debt? 0:15:57.640 --> 0:16:00.800 How is it okay that in the most recent napland 0:16:00.800 --> 0:16:05.000 results just one in three students we're not meeting or 0:16:05.040 --> 0:16:06.840 should I say one in three students we're not meeting 0:16:06.880 --> 0:16:12.400 the basic literacy and numeracy expectations. As slim Dusty sang, 0:16:13.720 --> 0:16:20.120 she right, sheer, but it won't be. You can't have 0:16:20.160 --> 0:16:23.440 a generation when a third of those kids, and it's 0:16:23.440 --> 0:16:26.600 been like this for a decade, are not able to 0:16:26.640 --> 0:16:31.800 meet the basic standards of education. That's our failure. It's 0:16:31.840 --> 0:16:37.600 also our failure that almost three million Ozzies are this 0:16:37.680 --> 0:16:43.720 close to homelessness that three point four million Australian households 0:16:44.000 --> 0:16:47.640 will have run out of food by a Thursday each 0:16:47.680 --> 0:16:52.120 and every week. She'll be right mate is not an 0:16:52.160 --> 0:16:55.280 okay thing, but for some reason it keeps being okay. 0:16:55.520 --> 0:16:58.360 It's okay on crime, it's okay on poor schools, it's 0:16:58.400 --> 0:17:02.920 okay when it comes to poverty. But if it's kind 0:17:02.960 --> 0:17:04.280 of change, it must be dealt with. It must be 0:17:04.280 --> 0:17:10.600 dealt with absolutely urgently, all guns blazing. But the bit 0:17:10.680 --> 0:17:14.840 that people forget about She'll be right mate is that 0:17:14.880 --> 0:17:19.960 when you actually listen to the song from which many 0:17:20.000 --> 0:17:24.320 people know the term, the reality of why you can 0:17:24.359 --> 0:17:27.840 say She'll be right mate is because people with their 0:17:27.840 --> 0:17:30.920 backs to the wall in this country work their backsides 0:17:30.920 --> 0:17:36.000 off to fix the problem. Here is the longer version 0:17:36.440 --> 0:17:43.880 of the song. I don't remember. 0:17:43.480 --> 0:17:45.040 That you. 0:17:56.000 --> 0:17:59.439 Just me? Or do you doubt that airbus Elbow is 0:17:59.520 --> 0:18:01.840 going to have the sense of his back to the 0:18:01.840 --> 0:18:05.760 wall and giving us all No. He and the political 0:18:05.800 --> 0:18:08.600 class have got four pay rises since he became the 0:18:08.600 --> 0:18:12.880 Prime minister. He and his ministers look like they will 0:18:12.920 --> 0:18:14.879 govern for a very long time. So will they feel 0:18:14.960 --> 0:18:19.960 any urgency on schools, on crime, on poverty, or will 0:18:19.960 --> 0:18:24.240 it only be on climate change because that is seemingly 0:18:25.840 --> 0:18:27.960 the only thing that they think should be right. Mate, 0:18:28.480 --> 0:18:35.240 is not the right attitude to have. Now, Yes, this 0:18:35.359 --> 0:18:38.239 week things have come to an end in terms of 0:18:38.400 --> 0:18:42.840 Israel and Iran, and that is in my view because 0:18:42.880 --> 0:18:45.760 the President drew a line and he's trying to hold 0:18:45.800 --> 0:18:48.760 everyone to the line of the ceasefire. Now again, we're 0:18:48.760 --> 0:18:50.320 on near a couple of days in and I certainly 0:18:50.320 --> 0:18:53.200 hope that we'll still be in the same place by 0:18:53.200 --> 0:18:57.119 this time next week. But it is not all over 0:18:57.760 --> 0:19:00.719 in terms of the Australians who are caught up in 0:19:00.760 --> 0:19:05.600 this in either of those countries. In fact, according to 0:19:05.680 --> 0:19:11.520 news dot com dot Au today, evacuations are difficult, specifically 0:19:11.520 --> 0:19:13.360 from the country of Iran, and there are more than 0:19:13.400 --> 0:19:16.760 four thousand people that are registered in both Iran and 0:19:17.040 --> 0:19:20.359 Israel who would like to come home. These are not 0:19:20.359 --> 0:19:22.680 people who want to be citizens. These are not people 0:19:22.680 --> 0:19:27.119 who want protection visas. These are citizens of this country 0:19:27.920 --> 0:19:31.159 who were in Israel or in Iran for any reason 0:19:31.160 --> 0:19:33.160 why any of us would be in any other country 0:19:33.520 --> 0:19:36.280 from a holiday to visiting their families and they have 0:19:36.320 --> 0:19:40.720 every right to come back and to come back with safety. 0:19:41.440 --> 0:19:43.879 It does seem that there are more people who are 0:19:43.880 --> 0:19:46.760 wanting to come back from Iran than come back from Israel. 0:19:47.280 --> 0:19:50.680 And according to the ABC, they profiled a series of 0:19:50.720 --> 0:19:54.360 people about this today. Nay said that Francis is one 0:19:54.359 --> 0:19:57.600 of around three thousand Australians and their families that are 0:19:57.600 --> 0:20:00.320 registered with the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade for 0:20:00.359 --> 0:20:03.520 the assistants to leave almost two weeks after the Israeli 0:20:03.560 --> 0:20:09.520 bombings were falling in the capital of Tehran. So yes, 0:20:09.560 --> 0:20:11.960 I'm glad there's a cease fire. I loved that the 0:20:12.000 --> 0:20:14.280 President of the United States was throwing f bombs around 0:20:14.280 --> 0:20:16.560 to calm things down. But if you think it's over, 0:20:17.240 --> 0:20:19.640 there are the very least four thousand Australians who would 0:20:19.680 --> 0:20:22.439 like to come home. I hope that just because this 0:20:22.560 --> 0:20:25.120 thing will slowly move its way off the front page, 0:20:25.240 --> 0:20:27.639 that the urgency of the government to get those people 0:20:27.720 --> 0:20:32.919 out does not fade now. I said over and over 0:20:32.960 --> 0:20:36.600 again during the federal election that your preferences matter. Your 0:20:36.600 --> 0:20:40.440 preferences matter, because with a third of the country voting blue, 0:20:40.480 --> 0:20:43.520 a third of the country voting red, there was a 0:20:43.560 --> 0:20:46.080 third of the country who probably weren't going to get 0:20:46.119 --> 0:20:49.520 who they wanted, which was somebody other than red or blue. 0:20:49.760 --> 0:20:53.320 So what you do with your number two matters. And 0:20:53.359 --> 0:20:55.320 again I want to pay tribute to the work that's 0:20:55.359 --> 0:20:59.320 been done by the Australian Financial Review who actually, along 0:20:59.359 --> 0:21:01.440 with a bunch of other academics, went through and had 0:21:01.440 --> 0:21:06.400 a look at how the different preferences broke down. Now 0:21:06.440 --> 0:21:09.840 we know the government did not have enough votes to 0:21:09.880 --> 0:21:12.000 form government on its own. It only got to where 0:21:12.000 --> 0:21:15.159 it was going because of preferences. So again, as I 0:21:15.320 --> 0:21:17.520 said about something else this week, they may well have 0:21:17.640 --> 0:21:19.919 ninety four seats, and they may well have what looks 0:21:20.080 --> 0:21:23.360 like electoral support that's a mile wide, but the reality 0:21:23.440 --> 0:21:26.560 is it's an inch deep. This is what they had 0:21:26.560 --> 0:21:29.760 a look at where they had to look at. Say now, 0:21:29.840 --> 0:21:31.760 red votes start out as red votes and end as 0:21:31.760 --> 0:21:34.240 red votes. Blue votes start out as blue votes and 0:21:34.400 --> 0:21:37.560 end as blue votes. Green votes mostly go to the 0:21:37.600 --> 0:21:40.360 Labor Party. Orange votes in terms of one nation, they 0:21:40.359 --> 0:21:43.879 of course go to the Liberal Party. But there were 0:21:43.880 --> 0:21:46.600 some fascinating things that they were able to work out 0:21:47.920 --> 0:21:50.919 in terms of Green's preferences. Can you believe there's almost 0:21:50.920 --> 0:21:53.240 twelve percent of people who walk into a ballot box 0:21:54.119 --> 0:21:57.400 and say I want the Greens to be the government. 0:21:57.560 --> 0:22:00.080 And if they can't be the government, I want the Libs. 0:22:01.440 --> 0:22:06.040 Eighty eight percent of their supporter base goes to Labor. 0:22:06.080 --> 0:22:09.560 But who are these almost twelve percent of Greens. So 0:22:09.640 --> 0:22:12.240 if they can't have the Greens, if they can't have 0:22:12.280 --> 0:22:18.119 Sarah Hanson Young, they wanted Peter Dutton. In terms of 0:22:18.119 --> 0:22:21.960 the people who vote for the so called independence, sixty 0:22:22.000 --> 0:22:26.439 seven percent of their preferences went to Labor, a third 0:22:26.960 --> 0:22:31.159 went back to the Liberal or National Party. Remember I 0:22:31.160 --> 0:22:33.399 told you one of the differences between the twenty twenty 0:22:33.440 --> 0:22:36.120 two election in the twenty nineteen election was where one 0:22:36.200 --> 0:22:39.120 nation preferences went. If they go fifty fifty, the Libs 0:22:39.160 --> 0:22:40.680 were in a world of trouble. But the Lib's vote 0:22:40.760 --> 0:22:46.600 was already down. But three quarters of people who voted 0:22:46.600 --> 0:22:50.920 one nation decided to send their preferences to the Libs. 0:22:50.960 --> 0:22:53.000 But a quarter of people who said, you know what, 0:22:53.160 --> 0:22:58.800 Pauline Hanson number one, albow number two. And in terms 0:22:58.840 --> 0:23:01.800 of the trumpet of patriot, could somebody please tell me 0:23:02.040 --> 0:23:05.240 how anyone who was voting for the Trumpian net zero 0:23:05.359 --> 0:23:09.840 is terrible that a third of those people preferenced labor. 0:23:11.960 --> 0:23:14.880 Fascinating to see, isn't it about exactly where the preferences 0:23:14.960 --> 0:23:18.160 ended up going. Now again, it's not challenging the result. 0:23:18.240 --> 0:23:21.480 It's not pretending something is weird here. It's just could 0:23:21.560 --> 0:23:23.480 somebody please explain to me? And if you are one 0:23:23.480 --> 0:23:26.120 of these people, can you send me an email? Are 0:23:26.119 --> 0:23:28.439 you somebody who voted number one for the Greens, but 0:23:28.440 --> 0:23:30.399 then when you know, what, if I can't have the Greens, 0:23:30.400 --> 0:23:33.119 I want the lips. Are you somebody who voted for 0:23:33.520 --> 0:23:39.080 the trumpets, the Palmer people who wanted Albow, I don't 0:23:39.119 --> 0:23:41.840 get it. I'd love to know if you're one of them. Though. 0:23:41.880 --> 0:23:43.880 It also gives us a real indication as we start 0:23:43.920 --> 0:23:46.320 to read the polls about how those will be weighted 0:23:46.400 --> 0:23:50.040 over the next three years. Send men Ema paults Gunews 0:23:50.200 --> 0:23:53.719 dot com dot au. Another thing worth mentioning after that 0:23:53.760 --> 0:23:55.800 federal election was, of course the over and over and 0:23:56.240 --> 0:23:59.520 you know you saw that how many times and you 0:23:59.560 --> 0:24:01.440 heard this how many times. 0:24:02.400 --> 0:24:08.159 Medicare, Medicare, Medicare, Medicare, Medicare, Medicare, and the Prime Minister 0:24:08.320 --> 0:24:09.800 specifically saying. 0:24:11.240 --> 0:24:15.960 All they need is this their Medicare card. Well, we 0:24:16.080 --> 0:24:19.280 learn this week that the Local Council otherwise known as 0:24:19.320 --> 0:24:23.080 the Australian Capital Territory Government, which is a majority labor government, 0:24:24.160 --> 0:24:26.879