WEBVTT - Paul Murray Live | 22 October 0:00:00.160 --> 0:00:05.120 From the Skying New Center. This is Paul Murray Live. 0:00:06.480 --> 0:00:08.559 Thank you, Sherry Gooday, Good evening. You will find out 0:00:08.600 --> 0:00:11.120 in the next couple of minutes who the one hundred 0:00:11.200 --> 0:00:14.000 undecided voters in the Sky News People's Forum in Queensland 0:00:14.040 --> 0:00:16.360 thought and who they are going to vote for going 0:00:16.400 --> 0:00:19.160 into the election, which, of course voting is on now 0:00:19.520 --> 0:00:21.600 more than about half of the state. We believe we'll 0:00:21.640 --> 0:00:24.200 end up voting early before the election. It all happens 0:00:24.200 --> 0:00:26.360 on Saturday now. Tomorrow night, we're going to be in 0:00:26.480 --> 0:00:29.960 Brucebane for a special pub test featuring Peter Dutton, where 0:00:30.080 --> 0:00:32.560 people will be able to ask whatever questions they want. 0:00:32.600 --> 0:00:34.879 It'll be viewers of this program, but we'll also obviously 0:00:34.920 --> 0:00:37.200 talk in great detail about what is about to happen 0:00:37.240 --> 0:00:39.960 in and around this Queensland election tonight on the show. 0:00:40.000 --> 0:00:41.760 No Sooks, no Lefties, and we'll also get to the 0:00:41.800 --> 0:00:44.159 wonderful Meghan Kelly in a moment or two time. But 0:00:44.200 --> 0:00:46.960 first let's look back on that People's Forum, because I 0:00:47.040 --> 0:00:49.720 think there's nothing like it in Australian politics. We've been 0:00:49.720 --> 0:00:51.519 doing these things here at Sky Newstance. I think it 0:00:51.560 --> 0:00:54.880 was what way back in the you know, the two 0:00:54.880 --> 0:00:58.440 thousand and seven election, certainly the twenty ten and every 0:00:58.480 --> 0:01:00.760 state election since. And I want to congratulate all of 0:01:00.760 --> 0:01:02.480 the people who put this together because we do it 0:01:02.800 --> 0:01:05.560 for the Northern Territory election, the Tazi election, we do 0:01:05.600 --> 0:01:07.960 it everywhere. Right. We are a truly national station, which 0:01:08.000 --> 0:01:10.480 is why we are focused on this state election. And 0:01:10.520 --> 0:01:12.160 you know how focused I am on what is about 0:01:12.160 --> 0:01:15.200 to happen in Queensland fingers crossed a change of government. 0:01:15.680 --> 0:01:17.760 Here were some of the questions. If you happen to 0:01:17.760 --> 0:01:20.400 miss it, what. 0:01:20.360 --> 0:01:22.600 Do you both plan to do to tackle the rising 0:01:22.600 --> 0:01:25.039 antisemitism and hate? Please tell them when I get a 0:01:25.040 --> 0:01:26.640 play of the Olympics. 0:01:26.720 --> 0:01:29.400 And where are we at with all the infrastructure? 0:01:29.840 --> 0:01:33.399 What's your plans to make more affordable childcare? 0:01:33.840 --> 0:01:35.960 Just tell me we're not going to run out of money, 0:01:35.959 --> 0:01:37.040 because you'd tell us everything. 0:01:36.840 --> 0:01:39.720 They want to be Now, I thought all of the 0:01:39.800 --> 0:01:43.000 questions everything hit the usuals. But there was one question 0:01:43.040 --> 0:01:45.360 in particular which wasn't just a question, but I thought 0:01:45.400 --> 0:01:48.640 it was a really good idea and it was in 0:01:48.680 --> 0:01:53.120 relation to domestic violence. Now, obviously there is a situation 0:01:53.240 --> 0:01:56.040 where women end up leaving the home because they want 0:01:56.040 --> 0:01:57.960 to get away from what potentially in the three is. Yes, 0:01:58.040 --> 0:02:00.480 men who are involved in the same scenarios, well, if 0:02:00.520 --> 0:02:04.800 the aggressor is female. But the question from this lady 0:02:04.880 --> 0:02:06.560 I thought was interesting because you've got to see the 0:02:06.600 --> 0:02:08.760 two leaders respond in real time to an idea that 0:02:08.800 --> 0:02:11.359 has not been front and center in the Queensland election. 0:02:11.680 --> 0:02:14.000 But once you hear it kind of makes sense, at 0:02:14.080 --> 0:02:14.480 least to me. 0:02:15.760 --> 0:02:18.120 I'd like to ask you about this evening is if 0:02:18.240 --> 0:02:21.040 either of you have got any plans to change the 0:02:21.120 --> 0:02:24.959 DV laws about women having to leave their homes when 0:02:25.000 --> 0:02:27.919 there's a situation. I think men need to have more 0:02:27.960 --> 0:02:31.840 accountability and they need to be removed from the home 0:02:31.960 --> 0:02:36.120 instead of the woman going into crisis accommodation with small children. 0:02:37.160 --> 0:02:39.240 Great, great question. Now, of course both of them logs 0:02:39.280 --> 0:02:41.120 important and you will see what happens. But it seems 0:02:41.120 --> 0:02:43.519 to make sense, right Why not create a scenario where 0:02:43.520 --> 0:02:47.239 the person who is accused of committing the offense is 0:02:47.280 --> 0:02:49.359 the one who has to go and find emergency accommodation 0:02:49.440 --> 0:02:53.040 as opposed to the person who is the apparent victim. 0:02:53.080 --> 0:02:55.720 I like that particular moment. Now we've got to deal 0:02:55.760 --> 0:02:58.040 with the giant's scare of this election and at times 0:02:58.040 --> 0:03:00.360 a distraction that much of the left wing meeting has 0:03:00.400 --> 0:03:02.640 been obsessed with talking about, because as I have told 0:03:02.680 --> 0:03:05.400 you for as long as I've been watching Queensland politics, 0:03:05.400 --> 0:03:07.840 and you know how much I love Queensland, Labor is 0:03:08.040 --> 0:03:11.040 very good at elections. Now they don't have a record 0:03:11.080 --> 0:03:13.600 to run on, so much so that Anastatia Palachet was 0:03:13.760 --> 0:03:17.840 pushed out the door for Stephen Miles. The Labor Party 0:03:17.840 --> 0:03:20.320 has been in an election losing position for a couple 0:03:20.400 --> 0:03:24.600 of years now because life under a Labor government well, 0:03:24.680 --> 0:03:27.799 Queenslanders have run out of patience for it. So their 0:03:27.880 --> 0:03:30.079 scare is to pretend that because yes, there are a 0:03:30.120 --> 0:03:33.240 couple of Conservative MPs that may well get elected as 0:03:33.320 --> 0:03:36.000 part of a new government, and the Catter Australia Party 0:03:36.000 --> 0:03:39.320 who is promising to bring a vote towards Parliament, towards 0:03:39.360 --> 0:03:43.760 a parliament in and around the decriminalization of late term abortions, 0:03:44.440 --> 0:03:46.800 the abortion issue has been one that has been wearing 0:03:47.000 --> 0:03:49.080 its ugly head. I say ugly head because it's not 0:03:49.120 --> 0:03:51.320 something that normally we would expect at a state election. 0:03:51.680 --> 0:03:53.920 David Cristo Full has been very clear from day one 0:03:54.080 --> 0:03:56.720 that there will be no change. The majority of the 0:03:56.720 --> 0:03:59.640 Parliament whenever it votes, if ever it votes, well clearly 0:03:59.720 --> 0:04:02.920 will affirm the previous decisions. But that doesn't mean Stephen 0:04:02.920 --> 0:04:05.160 Miles isn't using everything you can to try to push 0:04:05.200 --> 0:04:08.480 this distraction, a distraction which is the lead story in 0:04:08.560 --> 0:04:11.040 left we news sites as they try to make it 0:04:11.040 --> 0:04:15.120 about this issue, not the failures on hospitals, on youth crime, 0:04:15.480 --> 0:04:18.040 education and everything else of the past four years. 0:04:19.320 --> 0:04:22.200 There will be no changes to abortion law and I 0:04:22.240 --> 0:04:24.200 want Queenslanders to hear that directly from me. 0:04:24.360 --> 0:04:27.680 Can anyone tell from David's answer just then what he 0:04:27.760 --> 0:04:30.039 thinks about this issue? I mean this is this is 0:04:30.040 --> 0:04:31.200 a really important issue. 0:04:31.240 --> 0:04:32.200 I think it shouldn't change. 0:04:32.200 --> 0:04:33.960 Everyone knows I think it shouldn't change. 0:04:34.120 --> 0:04:36.000 The laws will remain the same. Where you have a 0:04:36.040 --> 0:04:39.599 conscience spoke, the laws will remain the view. There will 0:04:39.960 --> 0:04:40.960 be no change. 0:04:41.080 --> 0:04:43.680 So the scare campaign will continue, but you need to. 0:04:43.600 --> 0:04:46.560 Help direct a well, let me answer the question. 0:04:46.680 --> 0:04:49.400 The scare campaign will continue, but it's not happening. Give 0:04:49.400 --> 0:04:52.640 a straight answer. Okay, there will be no change, none 0:04:52.680 --> 0:04:52.960 at all. 0:04:53.160 --> 0:04:54.080 Are your protests or not? 0:04:54.520 --> 0:04:56.960 There will be no change. The legislation is there and 0:04:57.040 --> 0:05:00.680 women will have access to that legislation that gives women 0:05:00.680 --> 0:05:01.560 the right to choose. 0:05:02.600 --> 0:05:04.960 And just in case if it needs to be made 0:05:05.000 --> 0:05:07.640 any clearer, here is the yes no answer to the 0:05:07.720 --> 0:05:08.560 yes no question. 0:05:09.920 --> 0:05:12.200 So if there was a conscience vote, you'd vote against it. 0:05:12.200 --> 0:05:14.920 Karen, there will be no change, and my team has 0:05:14.960 --> 0:05:16.279 svo for it or against. 0:05:16.320 --> 0:05:17.440 Well, let me let me answer that. 0:05:18.880 --> 0:05:22.560 So the premier is talking about the vehicle to get there, 0:05:22.839 --> 0:05:23.640 I'm telling. 0:05:23.400 --> 0:05:24.479 You the result. 0:05:24.880 --> 0:05:28.120 There will be no change to those laws, and that's 0:05:28.120 --> 0:05:29.080 what people need to know. 0:05:29.440 --> 0:05:30.560 There will be no change. 0:05:30.880 --> 0:05:35.200 And my see, my team has backed that in all right. 0:05:35.120 --> 0:05:37.599 So it's clear, yes, that there will be a back 0:05:37.680 --> 0:05:40.479 when backing when it comes to a woman's right to choose. Obviously, 0:05:40.560 --> 0:05:42.560 Labor will keep pushing regardless of what the facts are, 0:05:42.640 --> 0:05:44.599 for the next few days because it's the only issue 0:05:44.720 --> 0:05:46.279 that you're going to get wide and media support on. 0:05:46.480 --> 0:05:49.200 So one hundred undecided voters, they had an opportunity to 0:05:49.800 --> 0:05:52.560 well decide if they have decided and whom they will 0:05:52.560 --> 0:05:55.600 be voting for on Saturday, the Great Care in Gilbert. 0:05:55.839 --> 0:05:57.800 You can give them a million different titles. Let's just 0:05:57.800 --> 0:06:01.360 say KG it joins us now, sun Corpse stadium where 0:06:01.360 --> 0:06:03.040 his dream would be to one day get on a 0:06:03.120 --> 0:06:04.880 jersey in a pair of shorts and run out onto 0:06:04.880 --> 0:06:08.039 that field. But till then he will toil behind the 0:06:08.080 --> 0:06:10.839 cameras here at Sky News. Great man, do we have 0:06:10.880 --> 0:06:11.760 a result? 0:06:13.640 --> 0:06:16.520 We do. No danker rub needed today, though for this 0:06:16.839 --> 0:06:20.039 performance it was it close one. Paul. I've got to 0:06:20.040 --> 0:06:21.680 tell you, I think Christop fully will be pleased with 0:06:21.720 --> 0:06:25.280 these numbers. So even though Miles has won thirty nine 0:06:25.360 --> 0:06:29.200 percent of the room, Christoph Fooley thirty five percent, thirty 0:06:29.279 --> 0:06:33.000 nine to thirty five, twenty six percent undecided. Still after 0:06:33.040 --> 0:06:35.520 this hour, they're going to have to still think about 0:06:35.520 --> 0:06:38.880 their vote over the next few days. But given Labor, 0:06:39.160 --> 0:06:41.520 this is a stronghold for labor, Paul, Brisbane. We are 0:06:41.600 --> 0:06:44.400 at sun Corpus. You said thirty three of the forty 0:06:44.400 --> 0:06:47.400 two seats in Brisbane are held by labor. So the 0:06:47.440 --> 0:06:51.000 fact that christp Fooley gets thirty five percent of support here, 0:06:51.000 --> 0:06:54.080 I think you'd see that in itself as a victory tonight, Paul, 0:06:54.160 --> 0:06:57.560 so a close one on paper, Miles wins, but you'd 0:06:57.560 --> 0:06:59.520 say there's a lot of positivity to take out for 0:06:59.520 --> 0:07:00.400 the lamp leader. 0:07:00.720 --> 0:07:03.240 Yeah, I mean You've hosted these things in every state, 0:07:03.440 --> 0:07:06.000 the territories, and at the federal level. When you see 0:07:06.040 --> 0:07:09.800 a quarter of the room still undecided yet again, or 0:07:10.040 --> 0:07:12.160 a whole bunch of opinion polls have told us that 0:07:12.200 --> 0:07:14.480 it's all hitting in one way. I'm going to get 0:07:14.480 --> 0:07:17.000 into some details a little bit later that we all 0:07:17.040 --> 0:07:18.520 know where I want it to go. But I think 0:07:18.520 --> 0:07:20.480 this thing is actually going to be closer than some 0:07:20.520 --> 0:07:24.000 people think. How regular is it that a quarter of 0:07:24.000 --> 0:07:29.200 the room walks out undecided? Well, you know you. 0:07:29.160 --> 0:07:32.400 Talk about this as well, that third party element, the 0:07:32.440 --> 0:07:35.040 independence and the minor parties, that is a big part 0:07:35.040 --> 0:07:39.200 of our political equation now. And I know what you regularly, 0:07:39.240 --> 0:07:41.840 as I enjoy doing it, you do talk about it 0:07:41.880 --> 0:07:44.480 a lot with One Nation or whatever it else. So 0:07:44.600 --> 0:07:46.280 I think that might be a component of what we're 0:07:46.280 --> 0:07:49.440 seeing tonight, Paul, with that twenty six percent. But I've 0:07:49.480 --> 0:07:51.560 got I personally think you know the other thing is 0:07:51.560 --> 0:07:53.600 when you see them and you know this, having spoken 0:07:53.640 --> 0:07:56.480 to the leaders over the months and years, you know 0:07:57.000 --> 0:08:01.000 who's feeling good heading into Saturday and tonight, Miles, you 0:08:01.000 --> 0:08:03.360 know he's having a crack. But I've got to say 0:08:03.720 --> 0:08:06.760 the sense I got was that Christoph Foley is feeling 0:08:06.880 --> 0:08:10.880 like the you know for one of a better phrase, 0:08:10.920 --> 0:08:13.960 that the wind is in his sale heading into Saturday. 0:08:13.960 --> 0:08:16.120 I think he's going to get there. You're right, things 0:08:16.160 --> 0:08:18.680 are tightening a bit, but Christopher Fooley will be the 0:08:18.720 --> 0:08:19.840 premiere come Sunday. 0:08:20.240 --> 0:08:25.640 Well, funny again the relationship between the overall somebody other 0:08:25.680 --> 0:08:27.720 than the major parties. Have a look at this today. 0:08:27.920 --> 0:08:31.520 The Resolve poll came out via the Brisbane Times website. 0:08:32.120 --> 0:08:34.840 Once you put the Greens at eleven, one Nation at 0:08:35.679 --> 0:08:40.400 nine and the collection of others, guess what twenty seven percent? 0:08:40.880 --> 0:08:44.240 Twenty seven percent is the not label or liberal vote 0:08:44.400 --> 0:08:48.960 in this room again about the same number. So again, 0:08:49.120 --> 0:08:51.280 people who might be going in undecided, you know, maybe 0:08:51.320 --> 0:08:53.960 they don't want brand red, brand blue, so they're going 0:08:53.960 --> 0:08:57.120 to try to find somewhere else and a really important issue, right, 0:08:57.160 --> 0:08:59.240 and this is this is why third party is an issue. 0:08:59.240 --> 0:09:01.600 Is one I'm so obsed. Right, it's all well and 0:09:01.640 --> 0:09:04.080 good for a quarter of people to vote something other 0:09:04.160 --> 0:09:06.280 than the two major parties, right, it's what they do 0:09:06.320 --> 0:09:09.679 with their preferences. Now, if people follow how to vote cards, 0:09:09.960 --> 0:09:14.920 we know that when the conservative parties basically anti the 0:09:14.960 --> 0:09:17.400 city government. It's going to help the LNP to help 0:09:17.520 --> 0:09:20.680 change the government. The Greens are going to not play 0:09:20.720 --> 0:09:22.200 well in the bush, but they're going to play pretty 0:09:22.200 --> 0:09:25.760 well in the southeast. And as we've noticed about Queensland, 0:09:25.960 --> 0:09:28.000 bloody big place, but an awful lot of seats in 0:09:28.040 --> 0:09:32.880 that southeast. So that's really fascinating to me that basically, 0:09:33.640 --> 0:09:36.880 you know, one organization using it started to go one way. 0:09:37.200 --> 0:09:40.200 Our room, we've come to the same conclusion. And if 0:09:40.240 --> 0:09:42.400 you've got a quarter of the vote, who they put second? 0:09:42.440 --> 0:09:45.760 Because the Labour Party under Palachet made this a compulsory, 0:09:46.360 --> 0:09:50.319 compulsory preferences election, that's going to really open the door 0:09:50.400 --> 0:09:52.959 where I think LNP in some seats. In fact, I'll 0:09:52.960 --> 0:09:54.560 get into the detail in a second, they will be 0:09:54.600 --> 0:09:58.200 praying for the preferences of the Conservatives and the showing 0:09:58.200 --> 0:10:00.920 of the Greens. That's what Labour ne needs to have 0:10:01.000 --> 0:10:02.000 a hope of minority. 0:10:04.360 --> 0:10:07.040 Yeah, indeed, And the other one of those things that 0:10:07.720 --> 0:10:10.320 jumped out of me tonight wonderful questions, I thought, Paul 0:10:10.320 --> 0:10:13.760 from the audience, but the one from the young Jewish 0:10:13.760 --> 0:10:17.439 woman who said, what will you do to combat NDI Semitism? 0:10:17.640 --> 0:10:20.240 And this is an issue I think which is relevant 0:10:20.280 --> 0:10:22.440 to what you're talking about when it comes to the Greens. 0:10:22.600 --> 0:10:26.680 I just wonder how some of those leafy suburbs, say 0:10:26.840 --> 0:10:30.079 smaller Liberals would be feeling about some of the behavior 0:10:30.480 --> 0:10:34.400 coming out of that particular minor party in recent months. 0:10:34.679 --> 0:10:37.560 We'll see on Saturday how it transpires, whether they do 0:10:37.760 --> 0:10:40.360 get the number of seats that they're talking about, but 0:10:40.480 --> 0:10:44.840 some of the language, some of the message from Green's elements, 0:10:44.880 --> 0:10:47.600 whether it be particularly in New South Wales, we know 0:10:47.640 --> 0:10:49.920 of a few in the Federal Parliament as well. There's 0:10:49.960 --> 0:10:52.800 been elements of Eddie Semitism, and I just wonder how 0:10:53.000 --> 0:10:55.920 people in the leafy suburbs of Brisbane react to that 0:10:55.960 --> 0:10:59.000 when otherwise they might be leaning towards a vote for 0:10:59.040 --> 0:10:59.760 the minor party. 0:11:00.120 --> 0:11:02.080 My oath congrats on tonight. We look forward to seeing 0:11:02.080 --> 0:11:04.520 on Saturday five pm, because I remember the time zones 0:11:04.520 --> 0:11:06.280 are all different. Five pm is when you can see 0:11:06.280 --> 0:11:08.079 things in the East as they start to roll out 0:11:08.080 --> 0:11:10.240 in Queensland. Keep the earpcing because I've got a little 0:11:10.240 --> 0:11:11.920 bit of data for you that I think might turn 0:11:12.000 --> 0:11:13.400 up in the coverage. I look forward to being a 0:11:13.920 --> 0:11:15.680 part of it. On Saturday night, mate, I'll be wearing 0:11:15.720 --> 0:11:18.400 shorts business up top, shorts down the bottom, I guarantee. 0:11:18.480 --> 0:11:21.839 Thank you KG. That's by the way most of the shows. 0:11:21.880 --> 0:11:23.559 Thank you mate, Thank you KG. We love that man. 0:11:23.760 --> 0:11:26.400 Now I want to start to talk about something here 0:11:26.440 --> 0:11:29.520 because again my belief need to change the government. Right. 0:11:29.920 --> 0:11:33.360 My belief was that four years ago. Of course COVID 0:11:33.440 --> 0:11:35.800 ended up meaning that the Labor Party held on to 0:11:35.880 --> 0:11:37.520 a majority. No, I a massive one, but they ended 0:11:37.600 --> 0:11:42.120 up with a majority. Now, Queensland as a political map 0:11:42.760 --> 0:11:46.720 is three different places. The southeast where there's an awful 0:11:46.760 --> 0:11:49.360 lot of seats. Why because that's where the population is. Okay, 0:11:50.200 --> 0:11:53.240 if your definition is the Sunshine Coast down to Cool 0:11:53.280 --> 0:11:56.640 and Gatter, that's pretty much like three quarters of the 0:11:56.640 --> 0:11:59.640 seats in Queensland. If you just want to talk about 0:11:59.640 --> 0:12:03.480 Brucebe and split out the Sunny Coast and the Gold Coast, 0:12:03.840 --> 0:12:06.280 both of those can be a little bit more conservative 0:12:06.280 --> 0:12:09.320 traditionally ending up going blue. And then of course there's 0:12:09.360 --> 0:12:13.640 the regional parts where population centers. The two biggest would 0:12:13.640 --> 0:12:16.840 be Cans that's got a couple of MPs, but Townsville 0:12:17.080 --> 0:12:20.400 has got a couple of seats in and around that zone, 0:12:20.480 --> 0:12:24.240 throwing places like Keppel. There's many elections within an election, 0:12:24.559 --> 0:12:27.080 which means I want to show you the preferred premier 0:12:27.360 --> 0:12:30.400 number that has come out of the Resolve poll today. 0:12:31.040 --> 0:12:33.720 Now it shows that the preserve that the preferred premier 0:12:33.760 --> 0:12:36.320 according to the polls during the election campaign has gone 0:12:36.320 --> 0:12:41.120 from a wide margin against Miles to now it being 0:12:41.360 --> 0:12:43.880 kinder or very close to fifty to fifty. Why is 0:12:43.920 --> 0:12:49.560 that happening? Because study this graphic seven Miles as preferred premier. 0:12:49.640 --> 0:12:54.320 His strength comes from metropolitan areas. Now metropolitan areas, I 0:12:54.400 --> 0:12:57.319 don't know the exact definition here, whether we're just talking 0:12:57.320 --> 0:13:03.559 about Brisbane or whether we're talking about Risbane, Gold Coast, Townsville, 0:13:03.679 --> 0:13:06.880 cans Okay. I sort of built up the built up 0:13:06.920 --> 0:13:10.200 bits of Queensland, but you can see the second you 0:13:10.240 --> 0:13:13.640 get into regional areas, huge drop off. What the best 0:13:13.679 --> 0:13:18.200 part of ten points and a three point rise in 0:13:18.320 --> 0:13:22.200 the number for David Crucifuley. But again interesting to look 0:13:22.240 --> 0:13:24.960 here a week to go, twenty one percent of people 0:13:25.160 --> 0:13:28.720 in metropolitan Queensland won't say which way who the preferred 0:13:28.760 --> 0:13:32.880 premier is. Now again this poll shows twenty seven percent 0:13:32.960 --> 0:13:36.679 of the primary vote sits somewhere other than the LNP 0:13:37.000 --> 0:13:39.440 or the Labor Party. When it comes to again those 0:13:39.440 --> 0:13:41.920 regional areas, that numbers even higher at twenty eight percent. 0:13:41.960 --> 0:13:45.040 That's because catter Australia and one Nation do better in 0:13:45.120 --> 0:13:48.240 regional areas, which is why the overall picture of the 0:13:48.280 --> 0:13:52.480 state is crucifully thirty nine miles thirty seven to twenty 0:13:52.520 --> 0:13:56.800 five still to decide. Which brings me to this and 0:13:56.840 --> 0:13:58.440 I do not want to say this because you know 0:13:58.480 --> 0:14:00.880 what result I want. I think this thing is going 0:14:00.920 --> 0:14:05.040 to be closer than people think because the task for 0:14:05.080 --> 0:14:07.320 the LMP is they have to win twelve seats to 0:14:07.320 --> 0:14:11.360 win a majority government. Now, let's show you where those 0:14:11.360 --> 0:14:14.160 twelve seats are, because the closer they are to Brisbane, 0:14:14.679 --> 0:14:19.160 they are harder for the LNP to win. Now, according 0:14:19.200 --> 0:14:24.160 to this the Labor Party has nine seats across the 0:14:24.200 --> 0:14:28.560 state that are under a margin of five percent. Keep 0:14:28.560 --> 0:14:30.960 that up because I'll basically talk around those numbers as well. 0:14:31.200 --> 0:14:33.960 Labour has four seats between five and six percent, six 0:14:34.000 --> 0:14:39.720 seats between six and eight percent. Where are those seats, Well, 0:14:40.040 --> 0:14:43.000 ten of them are in regional Queensland. They need twelve 0:14:43.480 --> 0:14:45.800 to become the government Okay, let's imagine they win them all, 0:14:45.840 --> 0:14:49.680 they're still too short of a majority government. Two are 0:14:49.680 --> 0:14:52.440 on the Sunshine Coast. Now the Sunshine Coast flipped in 0:14:52.480 --> 0:14:56.880 part because of COVID. The assumption is that those would 0:14:56.920 --> 0:15:00.960 go back to the LNP. But a Teal mayor was 0:15:00.960 --> 0:15:04.240 elected on the Sunshine Coast, will they get the two 0:15:04.280 --> 0:15:09.480 from there? Okay, very close to sorry, the southeast generally, 0:15:09.520 --> 0:15:12.080 where again we're going to take everything from a little 0:15:12.320 --> 0:15:15.120 further down from the Sunshine Coast, a little further out 0:15:15.160 --> 0:15:18.120 from Brisbane, and a little further under towards the Gold Coast. 0:15:18.120 --> 0:15:21.480 That's four seats. Again, if they win one on the 0:15:21.480 --> 0:15:24.160 Sunshine Coast, one on the Southeast, then they're going to 0:15:24.160 --> 0:15:26.720 get the twelve. Right, they're going to get a majority government. 0:15:27.400 --> 0:15:31.360 But to go beyond the majority number, if three are 0:15:31.400 --> 0:15:35.000 still in Brisbane, four are in the Southeast, and according 0:15:35.040 --> 0:15:38.240 to this pole, the preferred premiere in those areas is miles, 0:15:39.280 --> 0:15:43.120 then maybe the best they can hope for is twelve, thirteen, 0:15:44.040 --> 0:15:47.520 fifteen seats as opposed to a giant change, because there's 0:15:47.520 --> 0:15:50.760 so many that they have to win frankly between now 0:15:50.840 --> 0:15:54.640 and then, so I don't want to panic anyone, But 0:15:54.680 --> 0:15:58.600 I also don't want to play fool's goal. Should there 0:15:58.640 --> 0:16:00.920 be a change of government, Yes, is Stephen Miles the 0:16:00.920 --> 0:16:03.640 bloke who should be the remaining Premier of Queensland. No, 0:16:04.120 --> 0:16:06.760 should Shannon Fentaman continue to look over a health system 0:16:06.760 --> 0:16:08.720 that is the shambles that it is the first question 0:16:09.120 --> 0:16:11.600 in the People's Forum tonight was about a woman who 0:16:11.600 --> 0:16:15.000 had family members that were being misdiagnosed or being told 0:16:15.000 --> 0:16:17.120 that I look, you've just got an in large bladder 0:16:17.160 --> 0:16:21.480 because you're old. Reality, it was cancer in regional areas. 0:16:21.600 --> 0:16:25.200 As I've told you before, there are rolled gold examples 0:16:25.480 --> 0:16:28.400 of people in Queensland who when you call an ambulance 0:16:28.440 --> 0:16:31.640 in regional Queensland, one paramedic who's driving the ambulance turns 0:16:31.720 --> 0:16:33.800 up And if you want the ambulance to be able 0:16:33.800 --> 0:16:35.400 to go to the hospital, they need a member of 0:16:35.480 --> 0:16:40.400 the public to be able to drive that ambulance. When 0:16:40.440 --> 0:16:43.200 it comes to the overall health system in and around Ramping, 0:16:43.280 --> 0:16:45.800 it has got worse, not better. In fact, right now 0:16:45.840 --> 0:16:49.720 the worst numbers Queensland has ever had youth crime. That 0:16:49.840 --> 0:16:52.840 question should answer itself. But again that youth crime issue 0:16:52.960 --> 0:16:56.960 is particularly strong in regional areas, and yes, there are 0:16:57.240 --> 0:17:00.680 enough seats to slowly but surely get them to wards majority. 0:17:00.720 --> 0:17:04.000 I want to start to set some expectations. Winning twelve 0:17:04.040 --> 0:17:07.359 seats is a hercule an effort because there are so 0:17:07.440 --> 0:17:11.400 many bands of the percentages that you need. You can 0:17:11.440 --> 0:17:13.480 get ten of them in the areas where the LNP 0:17:13.760 --> 0:17:18.040 is polling very well, but you also need the preferences 0:17:18.119 --> 0:17:21.040 the number two for the Catter Australia voters or the 0:17:21.119 --> 0:17:23.080 number two from the One Nation people. We'll talk to 0:17:23.160 --> 0:17:25.359 James Ashby about that. Of course, he's a candidate in 0:17:25.400 --> 0:17:29.199 the seat of Keppel, so watch this space. While it 0:17:29.200 --> 0:17:32.800 has been a dishonest campaign full of lies, the closer 0:17:32.840 --> 0:17:34.480 you get to Brisbane, the harder it is for the 0:17:34.600 --> 0:17:38.280 LMP to start flipping seats. Thankfully there are enough outside 0:17:38.320 --> 0:17:40.640 of Brisbane. But the reason it may not be over 0:17:40.680 --> 0:17:43.720 as soon as the polls are closed is because of 0:17:43.760 --> 0:17:47.680 the three different Queenslands that will be voting on Saturday night. 0:17:47.880 --> 0:17:51.040 You'll see the coverage here on Sky News. Anasaja Palachet, 0:17:51.080 --> 0:17:53.359 who I Know you love, and Campbell Newman, who I 0:17:53.560 --> 0:17:56.960 Know you really love, will be here on Saturday night. 0:17:57.000 --> 0:17:59.840 You'll see it all starting at five o'clock Eastern, given 0:17:59.840 --> 0:18:01.639 them time differences and all the rest of it, you 0:18:01.640 --> 0:18:03.960 will start to see the results coming through and I 0:18:04.000 --> 0:18:06.840 look forward to being part of the coverage. Laura Jayson. 0:18:06.920 --> 0:18:09.320 I will be there side by side as always, trying 0:18:09.359 --> 0:18:11.560 to add to the coverage that of course includes the 0:18:11.600 --> 0:18:15.440 wonderful Peter Kredlin. So big night ahead on Saturday Night, Queensland. 0:18:15.480 --> 0:18:17.040 You know how much I love you and I look 0:18:17.080 --> 0:18:19.120 forward to being there for the next few days. Now 0:18:19.240 --> 0:18:21.200 tomorrow night as well. Don't forget that pub test, Peter 0:18:21.359 --> 0:18:24.080 Dutton joining us as the alternative Prime Minister to take 0:18:24.160 --> 0:18:26.639 questions from the public. If you've got some questions, you 0:18:26.680 --> 0:18:29.040 can send them. You might not get to ask them yourself, 0:18:29.040 --> 0:18:30.840 but we might ask them on your behalf pub test. 0:18:30.840 --> 0:18:34.040 It's gonews dot com dot au. So I'm not going 0:18:34.080 --> 0:18:35.760 to spend too much time on Lydia Thorpe because we 0:18:35.800 --> 0:18:38.000 did the right thing last night and talk about that 0:18:38.240 --> 0:18:42.280 as the embarrassment that it was. But I do want 0:18:42.320 --> 0:18:44.919 to mention two things you saw today two indigenous leaders. 0:18:45.200 --> 0:18:47.040 You saw Lydia Thorpe taking a victory lab for the 0:18:47.040 --> 0:18:50.919 way that she behaved in Canberra yesterday. A behavior that 0:18:50.960 --> 0:18:54.600 has been admonished by indigenous leaders, including indigenous leaders of 0:18:54.680 --> 0:18:57.359 the left today who were very much pro voice. So 0:18:57.359 --> 0:18:59.040 we know where Lydia Thorpe is and it's right out 0:18:59.080 --> 0:19:01.480 on the edges. Lydia Thorpe of course has said that 0:19:01.520 --> 0:19:03.439 she's not planning to be re elected, so she's just 0:19:03.480 --> 0:19:06.400 there to be a protest for the next four years. 0:19:07.800 --> 0:19:11.040 But how did Australia actually respond Because my central frustration 0:19:11.119 --> 0:19:13.040 with what she did yesterday was that this made massive 0:19:13.080 --> 0:19:14.760 international news and I don't want people in the UK 0:19:14.840 --> 0:19:18.000 to think that she represents anyone but herself largely and 0:19:18.040 --> 0:19:20.560 a very small number of people who want an antagonistic 0:19:20.880 --> 0:19:24.679 relationship when it comes to these issues. So guess what 0:19:25.440 --> 0:19:28.760 thousands of people decided to turn up today for their 0:19:28.840 --> 0:19:32.160 royal highnesses when they were in and around Sydney Harbor. 0:19:32.840 --> 0:19:35.520 Was it four hundred thousand people know, but it was 0:19:35.600 --> 0:19:37.879 a significant number of people and way more than Lydia 0:19:37.920 --> 0:19:40.240 Thorpe had support in that room. Remember the silence after 0:19:40.359 --> 0:19:42.679 she carried on the way she carried on. Here's some 0:19:42.720 --> 0:19:44.520 of the people who turned up in the sunshine to day. 0:19:44.560 --> 0:19:46.720