WEBVTT - Paul Murray Live | 16 March 0:00:00.120 --> 0:00:05.040 From the Sky New Center. This is Paul Murray Live, 0:00:06.760 --> 0:00:10.719 Tom Jones. Yes, Cliff Richard, No, you can have that. 0:00:10.920 --> 0:00:12.720 You can have that, Caleb. Thank you very much to 0:00:12.720 --> 0:00:14.960 every who with the Sunday showdown, Come on into the 0:00:15.000 --> 0:00:17.079 man Cave. What a show I got for you tonight. 0:00:17.640 --> 0:00:19.880 Back to the data, back to the detail. There is 0:00:19.920 --> 0:00:21.920 a couple of polls that are out tonight. We'll talk 0:00:21.920 --> 0:00:25.439 about him before they're evening the newspapers tomorrow. Who's up, 0:00:25.480 --> 0:00:28.200 who's down, Who's closer, who's further away to winning the election, 0:00:28.240 --> 0:00:30.920 which of course will be called after the federal budget 0:00:31.000 --> 0:00:34.360 mail in March twenty fifth. To see that Allen She 0:00:34.560 --> 0:00:36.559 along with the rest of the Labor Party sends Victoria 0:00:36.600 --> 0:00:38.920 deep into the ditch, but they end up getting a 0:00:38.960 --> 0:00:42.720 GST handout paid for by you. And the fastest person 0:00:42.760 --> 0:00:45.960 to run two hundred meters this year is an Ossie 0:00:46.560 --> 0:00:50.840 ingers crossed gold gold goal. First, some wild things around 0:00:51.040 --> 0:00:53.440 that are nothing to do with political news, but instead 0:00:53.440 --> 0:00:54.960 a little bit of the weather. Last week the focus 0:00:55.040 --> 0:00:56.800 was Queensland, while the rest of the country is trying 0:00:56.800 --> 0:01:00.680 to catch up. There's been a bushfire on the outskirts 0:01:00.760 --> 0:01:03.240 of Melbourne. He's the latest we have about that today. 0:01:04.319 --> 0:01:07.200 There were significant threats to the house or households and 0:01:07.240 --> 0:01:09.200 the assets in the area. To the best of my 0:01:09.280 --> 0:01:11.960 knowledge at this stage, we have lost one house. I 0:01:12.000 --> 0:01:14.080 believe it shed in a cubby house and that's all. 0:01:14.120 --> 0:01:17.319 And I think, considering the circumstances and the side of 0:01:17.360 --> 0:01:20.959 the fire, very lucky that that's all. 0:01:21.000 --> 0:01:24.600 And Maya was hot in Sydney today. The temperatures were 0:01:24.600 --> 0:01:28.280 apparently the hottest since records have been kept by the 0:01:28.319 --> 0:01:30.319 Bureau of Meteorology. So the best part of what one 0:01:30.400 --> 0:01:33.080 hundred and something years, one hundred and fifty years the 0:01:33.120 --> 0:01:35.920 hottest night that Sydney has sweltered through in March, not 0:01:36.040 --> 0:01:38.480 of all time, but it's you know how it works. 0:01:38.520 --> 0:01:41.280 Sometimes the hottest bits of summer are at the height 0:01:41.319 --> 0:01:44.199 of summer. Sometimes the super hot weather is slightly after summer, 0:01:44.240 --> 0:01:46.920 but you know, que the usual anyway, what I love 0:01:46.920 --> 0:01:48.960 about a super hot day, same as a super cold day, 0:01:49.000 --> 0:01:51.440 soon as a super wet day or a super windy day. 0:01:52.280 --> 0:01:54.480 It's up to the news to go and find people 0:01:54.800 --> 0:01:57.440 telling us how damn hot it was in Sydney today. 0:01:58.640 --> 0:02:01.600 Spat chair from the yes today and then today it's 0:02:01.720 --> 0:02:03.480 just I had to take the kid somewhere. 0:02:03.520 --> 0:02:05.360 A lot of the bucket hats have been very popular. 0:02:05.400 --> 0:02:07.440 We've run out of some of the great hats, lots 0:02:07.440 --> 0:02:11.239 of sunscreen, the water bottles are all sold out. 0:02:11.639 --> 0:02:13.959 According to the forecast, the next couple of hours it 0:02:14.000 --> 0:02:15.960 will start to fall off. In fact, it could be 0:02:16.040 --> 0:02:19.280 some twelve degrees cooler by the time you wake up tomorrow, 0:02:19.280 --> 0:02:21.160 as opposed to what it is right now, as it 0:02:21.240 --> 0:02:24.600 is hovering around thirty in many parts of Sydney. Why 0:02:24.680 --> 0:02:26.799 so warm and why now? Well, I mates it. Sky 0:02:26.880 --> 0:02:27.959 News Weather have the answer. 0:02:29.240 --> 0:02:33.080 The mercury is set to plummet with strong winds, showers, 0:02:33.200 --> 0:02:37.560 alpine snow and thunderstorms today as a strong cold front 0:02:37.600 --> 0:02:42.120 crosses the southeast. However, this is making for a scorcher 0:02:42.280 --> 0:02:43.680 across New South Wales. 0:02:45.120 --> 0:02:47.360 All right, Let's get to the politics though, of the 0:02:47.440 --> 0:02:50.239 Prime Minister and Peter Dutton, as they fight for your 0:02:50.320 --> 0:02:52.880 voters a vote that. Of course, we were expecting we'd 0:02:52.880 --> 0:02:53.840 be at the end of the first big of the 0:02:53.880 --> 0:02:57.960 election campaign, but the extropical cyclone blew all of that away, 0:02:58.000 --> 0:03:00.280 which means we are now having to stead on the 0:03:00.280 --> 0:03:03.680 barrel of a too little, too late federal budget and 0:03:03.720 --> 0:03:07.920 then a May election. Now the Prime Minister thinks that 0:03:08.000 --> 0:03:11.120 he has been able to buy his way to your affections, 0:03:11.120 --> 0:03:12.840 because we all know when it comes to the decisions 0:03:12.840 --> 0:03:16.040 of the past three years, every poll who's shown us 0:03:16.240 --> 0:03:18.160 for more than eighteen months. In fact, since the end 0:03:18.160 --> 0:03:20.520 of the Voice when he turned sixty forty yes into 0:03:20.560 --> 0:03:24.080 sixty forty zero, Australians have not been listening. So the 0:03:24.080 --> 0:03:27.120 Prime Minister is trying to get your attention with your money. 0:03:28.880 --> 0:03:32.760 A seven point two billion dollar announcement today, five million 0:03:32.800 --> 0:03:36.880 dollars ten million dollars, two hundred million dollars, three billion dollar, 0:03:36.920 --> 0:03:40.200 three hundred and fifty million dollar, two billion dollars, thirty 0:03:40.200 --> 0:03:43.360 seven million dollars, eight hundred and forty two million dollar, 0:03:43.400 --> 0:03:47.320 two point four billion dollars, eight point five billion dollar, 0:03:47.320 --> 0:03:50.920 four point eight billion dollar, one billion dollars. 0:03:51.360 --> 0:03:55.480 See, it's just endless, literally every single day, and we 0:03:55.520 --> 0:03:59.000 are what about halfway through March, not even at the 0:03:59.080 --> 0:04:00.840 end of the third month. And that is just the 0:04:01.000 --> 0:04:04.360 daily toll on the billions and billions and billions. Well, 0:04:04.400 --> 0:04:06.680 despite the fact that you sent to Alan is running 0:04:06.720 --> 0:04:09.560 a very unpopular government. She of course was around the 0:04:09.560 --> 0:04:15.640 table when Victoria was spending money like well, even drunken 0:04:15.640 --> 0:04:18.320 sailors would have been embarrassed by how much money was 0:04:18.360 --> 0:04:21.120 going around and in actual fact, so unpopular is you 0:04:21.160 --> 0:04:23.159 cent to Allen that I noticed to be a fact 0:04:23.240 --> 0:04:25.919 that Anthony Albernezi has come in and out of Melbourne, 0:04:25.920 --> 0:04:28.360 slid in and out of Melbourne without even telling the premier. 0:04:28.480 --> 0:04:30.920 Is there a littlone stopping over for a lunch or 0:04:31.200 --> 0:04:33.200 doing a selfie by the barbecue like you did with 0:04:33.360 --> 0:04:37.800 the dictator Dan. They are not going to be seen 0:04:37.839 --> 0:04:42.640 apparently arm in arm at the upcoming election. Why because 0:04:42.720 --> 0:04:45.839 Victoria is one of the worst performing states at the 0:04:45.880 --> 0:04:48.240 moment in terms of the primary vote and the latest 0:04:48.279 --> 0:04:52.680 polls in and around this upcoming election now they are 0:04:52.760 --> 0:04:55.400 down eight points since the last election. They were there 0:04:55.440 --> 0:04:57.880 in the very early thirties, they're now down to the 0:04:57.920 --> 0:05:03.159 mid twenties. Victoria the worst states where the most number 0:05:03.200 --> 0:05:05.479 of seats are So this is a problem when not 0:05:05.640 --> 0:05:08.960 even you can crack a quarter of the vote ever 0:05:09.040 --> 0:05:12.000 so slightly to the technical quarter in Queensland, and as 0:05:12.040 --> 0:05:14.480 we saw out of Western Australia, labor's probably doing better 0:05:14.560 --> 0:05:18.120 in Western Australia, South Australia and Tasmania. I don't know 0:05:18.160 --> 0:05:20.120 what's happening in the northern territory, but we will all 0:05:20.160 --> 0:05:24.039 find out together in just a few weeks time. But 0:05:24.200 --> 0:05:27.560 desperately trying to find a way not to embrace the 0:05:27.600 --> 0:05:32.280 bad Victorian government who has done disgraceful things to its economy, 0:05:32.760 --> 0:05:35.360 blown every version of the credit card and now they 0:05:35.400 --> 0:05:37.960 are onto the payday lender as a way of being 0:05:38.000 --> 0:05:41.159 able to keep the lights on in Victoria. Well, now 0:05:41.480 --> 0:05:45.480 the entire pot of GST money has been rearranged. Money 0:05:45.480 --> 0:05:49.320 will now be going to Victoria. Victoria will actually be 0:05:49.320 --> 0:05:53.680 getting more money, or a greater share of GST the 0:05:53.760 --> 0:05:57.480 tax of ten percent on everything paid, of course, from 0:05:57.520 --> 0:06:00.599 the southern bit of Tasmania, the top of Queensland, everywhere 0:06:00.600 --> 0:06:04.599 in Wa and everywhere else in between. Victoria has emerged 0:06:04.640 --> 0:06:07.760 as the biggest winner of this next year's GST carve out, 0:06:07.760 --> 0:06:09.680 of course, nothing to do with twenty four percent in 0:06:09.720 --> 0:06:13.400 the opinion polls that this was all scientific. Apparently they're 0:06:13.400 --> 0:06:15.400 going to get an extra three point seven b four 0:06:15.440 --> 0:06:19.000 billion dollars in revenue. The Comonwealth Grants Commission made the 0:06:19.040 --> 0:06:22.520 decision on Friday, it shows the Victoria is expected to 0:06:22.520 --> 0:06:25.400 get twenty six point one billion dollars in GST of 0:06:25.440 --> 0:06:29.279 the total ninety five billion dollars that the tax creates. 0:06:29.480 --> 0:06:31.960 By the way, that is less money than company tax 0:06:31.960 --> 0:06:34.360 and less money than personal income tax. So just in 0:06:34.360 --> 0:06:37.040 case you think the biggest source of governant revenue is 0:06:37.080 --> 0:06:39.919 the GST, no it's not. It's you going to work, 0:06:40.200 --> 0:06:43.320 so good luck paying tax until Wednesday. The huge increase 0:06:43.320 --> 0:06:45.240 of the state coffers is up from twenty two and 0:06:45.279 --> 0:06:48.480 a half billion in twenty four to twenty five, rolling 0:06:48.520 --> 0:06:50.560 back to eighteen and a bit billion dollars in twenty 0:06:50.640 --> 0:06:53.160 three to twenty four. Victoria's got twenty five point seven 0:06:53.200 --> 0:06:55.799 percent of the nation's population, but we'll get twenty seven 0:06:55.920 --> 0:07:01.240 and a half percent of the GST. This means when 0:07:01.240 --> 0:07:03.800 you actually put some numbers together and I'm saving the 0:07:03.839 --> 0:07:06.479 GST announcement because that comes from a different pot of money. 0:07:06.640 --> 0:07:09.960 The total amount of promises to buy your vote from 0:07:10.000 --> 0:07:12.680 a prime minister who is in a world of trouble, 0:07:12.960 --> 0:07:15.920 no matter how many times you hear about the protection 0:07:16.040 --> 0:07:18.360 racket coming from his mates in the media that he 0:07:18.480 --> 0:07:21.280 likes to metaphorically tuck into bed each and every night, 0:07:21.680 --> 0:07:28.080 almost forty four zero b four billion dollars. And as 0:07:28.120 --> 0:07:30.160 you know, one of the reasons why the government has 0:07:30.200 --> 0:07:32.520 been able to post surpluses for the past couple of 0:07:32.560 --> 0:07:34.840 years and probably again in a couple of weeks time, 0:07:35.200 --> 0:07:38.200 is because the huge receipts when it comes to mining, 0:07:38.680 --> 0:07:42.280 huge increases when it comes to the taxes on things 0:07:42.320 --> 0:07:46.760 like petrol and cigarettes and alcohol, huge increases in the 0:07:46.800 --> 0:07:48.400 amount of money that is coming in when it comes 0:07:48.440 --> 0:07:52.119 to personal income tax. And largely all of this extra 0:07:52.200 --> 0:07:54.240 money has resulted in an extra some hundred and four 0:07:54.320 --> 0:07:56.920 hundred billion dollars coming to the federal government. But as 0:07:56.920 --> 0:07:59.480 they write in the Financial Review, much of it has 0:07:59.480 --> 0:08:03.000 been waste. It's been wasted. Put simply, as Chris Richardson, 0:08:03.000 --> 0:08:04.280 who we hope to talk to between now and the 0:08:04.280 --> 0:08:06.360 budget by the way, he's, of course the guy who 0:08:06.400 --> 0:08:09.000 has a look at the budget. He's able to work 0:08:09.000 --> 0:08:11.880 out what is the on budget money, the off budget money, 0:08:11.920 --> 0:08:14.520 the money they promised to save, and the money that 0:08:14.560 --> 0:08:18.320 they are overspending. They were kissed on the proverbial. Given 0:08:18.360 --> 0:08:22.280 a blank check four hundred billion dollars, what are they 0:08:22.320 --> 0:08:28.200 spending on? Generally, welfare, guaranteed pay rises for public servants, 0:08:28.240 --> 0:08:31.920 three pay rises for politicians. How did your life get 0:08:31.960 --> 0:08:34.319 better result of that four hundred billion dollars. Oh and 0:08:34.400 --> 0:08:35.760 by the way, one of the ways they got that 0:08:35.800 --> 0:08:39.080 four hundred billion dollars is they took fifteen hundred dollars 0:08:39.080 --> 0:08:43.800 off ten million taxpayers. Remember this, whatever they have promised, 0:08:43.920 --> 0:08:48.920 whatever they promised to deliver for ten million workers, fifteen 0:08:49.000 --> 0:08:51.200 hundred dollars worse off after one of their first budgets, 0:08:51.200 --> 0:08:54.920 and you have never got even close to that number. Again, 0:08:55.040 --> 0:08:57.679 more polls. As we are talking tonight about state of 0:08:57.720 --> 0:08:59.719 the race. But let's have a look about state of 0:08:59.720 --> 0:09:01.800 the race, which I'm very excited. You know how I 0:09:01.920 --> 0:09:04.120 get into the detail and the granula. This is a 0:09:04.160 --> 0:09:07.000 great night. This is one for the hard cause. And 0:09:07.000 --> 0:09:09.360 that's why we reward you with this insight that honestly, 0:09:09.400 --> 0:09:11.680 it'll you'll see this stuff pop up in a couple 0:09:11.679 --> 0:09:14.920 of days time somewhere else. Hear it first, learn it 0:09:14.960 --> 0:09:18.520 all together. Of course, the Prime Minister thinks that, you know, 0:09:18.760 --> 0:09:21.760 if he just keeps pretending that Peter Dutton is Aussie Trump, 0:09:22.000 --> 0:09:24.240 if he can try to change the subject to medicare 0:09:24.400 --> 0:09:26.920 and if he can try to pose that he plays 0:09:26.920 --> 0:09:30.040 any role in a storm, then somehow his numbers will 0:09:30.080 --> 0:09:32.920 bounce back. Well, depending on the pole, there are some 0:09:33.160 --> 0:09:36.360 indications that maybe either they've hit the bottom or they're 0:09:36.360 --> 0:09:39.079 starting to move back to being competitive. In fact, in 0:09:39.120 --> 0:09:41.640 the Royal Morgan pole, now this bounces around like each 0:09:41.640 --> 0:09:44.600 week it shows Lives slightly in front, Labor slightly in front. 0:09:44.840 --> 0:09:47.640 It shows this week that Labor is slightly in front. 0:09:48.040 --> 0:09:51.160 A little better poll is the UGOV poll that shows 0:09:51.160 --> 0:09:54.360 that Labor is now up fifty one forty nine, in 0:09:54.480 --> 0:09:57.600 part because of the personal standing of Anthony Abinezi and 0:09:57.600 --> 0:10:00.280 Peter Dutton, who have essentially now started to eat in 0:10:00.320 --> 0:10:04.120 the middle, rather than one being able to best the other. Again, 0:10:04.160 --> 0:10:06.839 if you have a look at where they have put things. Now, 0:10:06.880 --> 0:10:09.880 remember that pole that I showed you before. The Resolve 0:10:09.920 --> 0:10:14.040 poll showed that Labour's vote is what five points down. 0:10:14.520 --> 0:10:16.760 According to this, it's only a couple of points down. 0:10:17.160 --> 0:10:19.240 The coalition's vote, well, it's supposed to be almost up 0:10:19.280 --> 0:10:22.360 to forty in this it's just in the high thirties. 0:10:23.480 --> 0:10:25.720 The Greens they end up sitting there at about what 0:10:25.880 --> 0:10:30.160 they've got at about fourteen percent. What's really important, really 0:10:30.200 --> 0:10:33.080 important for the Coalition when you are doing the numbers 0:10:33.080 --> 0:10:34.959 in your head here is have a look at the 0:10:34.960 --> 0:10:38.000 poll enhancement number, that's seven percent. You've got to hope 0:10:38.000 --> 0:10:40.319 that most of those preferences go back to the Libs. Otherwise, 0:10:40.320 --> 0:10:42.439 if they spray anywhere else, it's definitely going to be 0:10:42.440 --> 0:10:45.559 a Labor government. As for the Independence and the Trumpers 0:10:45.880 --> 0:10:49.000 there or the Trumpeter of Patriots, they're at one percent, 0:10:49.760 --> 0:10:51.960 meaning two party pre third fifty one forty nine. Why 0:10:52.000 --> 0:10:54.319 because they say Labor has not slid as far as 0:10:54.320 --> 0:10:57.160 every other pole. They say the Coalation hasn't grown as 0:10:57.160 --> 0:10:59.240 far as every other pole. We will talk about it 0:10:59.280 --> 0:11:02.400 in moments time with Kosamaras, who does his own pole, 0:11:02.679 --> 0:11:05.560 speaks to people in those swing electorates, which one does 0:11:05.600 --> 0:11:08.560 he think is closer to the mark. Also the wonderful 0:11:08.600 --> 0:11:11.080 Michael Kroger on how to achieve the result you are 0:11:11.080 --> 0:11:14.080 trying to do. One thing that the pole also shows 0:11:14.320 --> 0:11:18.080 very clearly, and I've talked about this before the majority 0:11:18.120 --> 0:11:20.480 of Australians do not share the view that I have 0:11:20.559 --> 0:11:23.000 and maybe you have. When it comes to Donald Trump. 0:11:23.679 --> 0:11:25.559 They wouldn't have voted for him. That's what the polls 0:11:25.600 --> 0:11:28.599 told us in November of last year in terms of Australia, 0:11:28.679 --> 0:11:33.000 and only about thirty percent are all in on the 0:11:33.000 --> 0:11:35.200 Great Man. So there's going to be a lot more 0:11:35.200 --> 0:11:38.120 politics played between now and the election, and particularly this 0:11:38.160 --> 0:11:41.800 sort of Aussie Trump stuff in and around Dunden. But 0:11:41.880 --> 0:11:46.640 on the question of Vladimir Zelenski and Ukraine, which way 0:11:46.640 --> 0:11:48.520 do people go? Do people want to back in the 0:11:48.640 --> 0:11:52.080 Zelenski version, which is fight, fight, fight, or the Trump version, 0:11:52.080 --> 0:11:55.800 which is piece piece piece, Well sixty nine percent of 0:11:55.840 --> 0:11:59.440 Australians stand with the idea of fight fight fight, Only 0:11:59.520 --> 0:12:02.840 thirty one percent like the position. When it comes to Trump, 0:12:04.040 --> 0:12:06.920 Labour voters the least impressed with Trump are just twenty percent, 0:12:07.559 --> 0:12:12.000 Paul Enhanson voters fifty seven percent pro Trump Coalition, thirty 0:12:12.040 --> 0:12:16.240 six other voters, those independents of thirty and at twenty 0:12:16.520 --> 0:12:20.280 nine percent Green's voters are apparently more into Trump than 0:12:20.600 --> 0:12:23.640 Labor voters. In fact, the bloke who put the poll 0:12:23.679 --> 0:12:27.600 together this is Anthony Oberneese. Personal satisfaction levels have notably improved, 0:12:28.000 --> 0:12:31.360 particularly as Australian's overwhelmingly back his commitment to stand with 0:12:31.400 --> 0:12:34.840 the Ukraine. Overseas leaders who opposed Trump policies have seen 0:12:34.840 --> 0:12:37.640 improvements in their polling results. In Trump's recent twenty five 0:12:37.640 --> 0:12:40.960 percent tariff decision presents an opportunity for Alberanezi to further 0:12:41.160 --> 0:12:44.840 improve his leadership standing. Again, we will discuss all of 0:12:44.880 --> 0:12:47.200 this in a moment or two time. A new pole 0:12:47.240 --> 0:12:49.600 that has broken just as we were going to air. 0:12:49.920 --> 0:12:53.040 Great work by lucying the team who are talking here 0:12:53.160 --> 0:12:55.600 not about the ruling Morgan pole, but about the latest 0:12:55.600 --> 0:12:58.959 pole that has just dropped in the Financial review. That 0:12:59.040 --> 0:13:03.040 one again shows slight improvement for the Labor Party, but 0:13:03.160 --> 0:13:05.880 it's still worth noting here. On two party preferred they 0:13:05.920 --> 0:13:08.840 say that Labor gets seventy one seats, the coalition gets 0:13:08.920 --> 0:13:12.080 sixty six seats. As you can see the dip and 0:13:12.120 --> 0:13:15.000 then starting to come back up, the Coalition would win 0:13:15.120 --> 0:13:17.800 nine seats of the next election. The Labor Party would 0:13:17.840 --> 0:13:21.960 lose just seven. As I've said, if they lose seventy seats, 0:13:21.960 --> 0:13:23.720 they can still get there when it comes to being 0:13:23.760 --> 0:13:27.160 the minority, I think. But clearly if Labor has more 0:13:27.200 --> 0:13:29.680 seats than the coalition, then obviously they're not just in 0:13:29.720 --> 0:13:31.880 the box seat. They will form the next government. But 0:13:31.880 --> 0:13:33.480 that's what they believe to be the case. They think 0:13:33.480 --> 0:13:36.679 at least a couple of the sitting independence, perhaps a 0:13:36.679 --> 0:13:38.960 couple of those gnats that might come back in towards 0:13:39.000 --> 0:13:41.520 the coalition, or maybe a teal or two might end 0:13:41.600 --> 0:13:43.680 up being there. So worth noting when it comes to 0:13:43.800 --> 0:13:45.920 that pole. As for the issues that have just been 0:13:46.000 --> 0:13:48.200 dropped in that financial review pole, guess what the number 0:13:48.200 --> 0:13:50.719 one is? Will it surprise you? Seventy one percent of 0:13:50.720 --> 0:13:53.160 people say cost a living, So the Prime Minister tries 0:13:53.200 --> 0:13:56.000 to change it to health. It hasn't moved housing the 0:13:56.120 --> 0:13:58.920 number two issue. Now, remember housing works in multiple ways. 0:13:59.080 --> 0:14:02.160 It's about the people who renting, the people who are owning, 0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:05.280 the people who are paying off a house, the people 0:14:05.280 --> 0:14:08.720 who want something for their kids or grandkids. Crime is 0:14:08.720 --> 0:14:10.600 on top of the economy right now by one point, 0:14:10.600 --> 0:14:14.839 climate change, way out of the five, Defense, immigration, employment 0:14:14.920 --> 0:14:17.560 are all starting to taper off. And believe it or not, 0:14:17.640 --> 0:14:20.520 industrial issues at bottom of that pile top of the list. 0:14:21.040 --> 0:14:23.720 Still as so they used to say, what number one 0:14:23.720 --> 0:14:26.800 with a bullet remains cost of living for the well 0:14:27.160 --> 0:14:28.760 how of them in one hundredths week in a row. 0:14:30.520 --> 0:14:32.560 But just back to this scenario here where these polls, 0:14:32.560 --> 0:14:36.040 tell us what they have told us about the message 0:14:36.120 --> 0:14:38.680 to the Prime Minister of trying to turn Peter Dunnin 0:14:38.720 --> 0:14:40.800 into the Australian version of Donald Trump. Now we know 0:14:40.920 --> 0:14:43.120 he is not. In fact, there will be plenty of 0:14:43.120 --> 0:14:45.840 people you will read here in the next few days 0:14:46.080 --> 0:14:47.960 they're going to say he's not trumpy enough. But the 0:14:47.960 --> 0:14:51.840 reality is anyone, anyone to the right of the Greens, 0:14:52.560 --> 0:14:56.280 is going to consider themselves to be Trumpian, certainly when 0:14:56.280 --> 0:14:58.200 it comes to the teals. So get ready for this 0:14:58.240 --> 0:15:00.600 to be the lazy tag that they going to put 0:15:00.640 --> 0:15:04.240 on Peter Dutton. And as they try to move the 0:15:04.240 --> 0:15:07.320 subject from their own performance. Remember they promise changes when 0:15:07.320 --> 0:15:09.560 it came to cost of living, they promise changes when 0:15:09.600 --> 0:15:13.440 it came to home loans, all of those things way 0:15:13.520 --> 0:15:15.560 up and through the roof your life has been harder 0:15:15.640 --> 0:15:18.640 under this government, not just the decisions, but the failure 0:15:18.640 --> 0:15:21.200 in their promises. That's what this election should be about. 0:15:21.200 --> 0:15:23.840 But watch everyone try to change the subject here. Watch 0:15:23.880 --> 0:15:25.920 this try to be some sort of a proxy vote 0:15:25.920 --> 0:15:28.200 against Donald Trump. Now that's the case, It's pretty obvious 0:15:28.240 --> 0:15:30.600 the majority of Australians are not going to vote for 0:15:30.680 --> 0:15:32.720 what they believe to be anything trumpy and hence why 0:15:32.760 --> 0:15:34.280 you're going to hear it over and over again about 0:15:34.280 --> 0:15:36.880 Peter Dutton, no matter how many times he has said 0:15:36.920 --> 0:15:41.320 and proven that he is not his part of the 0:15:41.400 --> 0:15:43.320 attack that's going to be there because remember, this is 0:15:43.360 --> 0:15:46.360 the bloke who promised better conditions on cost of living. 0:15:46.360 --> 0:15:48.120 But apparently the number one issue of the next election 0:15:48.600 --> 0:15:50.360 is the trumpiness of Dutton. 0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:57.120 Such a decision by the Trump administration is entirely unjustified. 0:15:58.160 --> 0:16:02.240 This is against the spirit about two nations enduring friendship 0:16:02.720 --> 0:16:07.200 and fundamentally at odds with the benefits that our economic 0:16:07.280 --> 0:16:11.680 partnership has delivered over more than seventy years. 0:16:12.520 --> 0:16:14.720 Match that with what they person was saying, which is 0:16:14.720 --> 0:16:16.480 the harder you running against Trump, the better it looks 0:16:16.480 --> 0:16:19.120 for you. Again, I don't know whether people have got 0:16:19.200 --> 0:16:21.920 that short memory, but we'll all find out together. And 0:16:22.000 --> 0:16:25.120 the media, jeez, don't I love writing an opinion piece 0:16:25.160 --> 0:16:28.880 a think piece over and over again, particularly the Turnbulel Times, 0:16:28.880 --> 0:16:31.600 But over and over again. The new reality is dawning 0:16:31.640 --> 0:16:34.600 on Australia. It can no longer rely on the US. 0:16:35.080 --> 0:16:38.840 In the Turnbull Times, of course, the ghost said that 0:16:38.840 --> 0:16:41.440 he won't be gasold over Trump. If you suck up 0:16:41.440 --> 0:16:43.760 to him, you'll get more bullying. Geez, what a wonderful 0:16:43.760 --> 0:16:46.080 way of explaining the dying days of his prime ministership. 0:16:46.760 --> 0:16:49.960 The Telegraph had plenty of people hundreds, in fact, a 0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:52.320 couple of thousand comments about people when it comes to 0:16:52.360 --> 0:16:54.800 Trump and the tariff decision, most being negative about that 0:16:54.880 --> 0:17:01.080 tariff decision and the ultimate reason why they are hoping 0:17:01.120 --> 0:17:04.600 that Trump is going to be like a giant that 0:17:04.720 --> 0:17:07.720 produces a shadow that goes all the way across the 0:17:07.720 --> 0:17:12.399 Pacific Ocean and into Australian politics. Have a look at 0:17:12.400 --> 0:17:16.320 this one. Turbul times Trump's senseless tariffs will extend the 0:17:16.359 --> 0:17:19.080 economic malaise fell by so many in Australia and around 0:17:19.119 --> 0:17:22.400 the world. So despite the fact in twenty twenty two, 0:17:23.800 --> 0:17:26.080 when Donald Trump was not the president and he was 0:17:26.160 --> 0:17:28.240 in about as deep an exile as you can imagine 0:17:28.480 --> 0:17:30.680 before he went into courts where he could have spent 0:17:30.720 --> 0:17:35.240 the rest of his life in jail in twenty twenty three, 0:17:36.040 --> 0:17:39.320 at twenty twenty four, no no, no, no, All of 0:17:39.359 --> 0:17:42.520 that time where Albo and his mates promised to make 0:17:42.560 --> 0:17:46.880 things better but it all got worse twelve intrastrate rises, 0:17:47.160 --> 0:17:50.399 tens of thousands of dollars extra on top of your 0:17:50.440 --> 0:17:54.399 home loan. Tax on a bottle of Bundy up to 0:17:54.520 --> 0:18:00.159 sixty three percent. Sixty three percent, ludicrous, excessive taxes on 0:18:00.200 --> 0:18:02.600 cigarettes which is seen in the past three years, and 0:18:02.680 --> 0:18:05.480 explosion not just at the chop job but at the 0:18:05.480 --> 0:18:08.399 illegal gangs that are fighting it out for who gets 0:18:08.440 --> 0:18:12.160 to sell it to you. Not to mention record number 0:18:12.160 --> 0:18:14.400 of businesses that have gone broke. Not to mention three 0:18:14.480 --> 0:18:17.520 million people this close to homelessness, not like three and 0:18:17.600 --> 0:18:19.480 a bit million people who won't know where their food 0:18:19.520 --> 0:18:21.560 comes from this week. Oh no, no, no, no no, it's 0:18:21.640 --> 0:18:24.920 all about a referendum on Donald Trump. Don't let this happen. 0:18:25.560 --> 0:18:27.879 They'll try it. It's going to become the tactic for 0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:29.879 the next few weeks. It's going to be the talking 0:18:29.880 --> 0:18:32.679 point between now and the budget. The budget, and then 0:18:32.720 --> 0:18:34.760 a couple of weeks after they have not been able 0:18:34.800 --> 0:18:36.960 to get a poll bounce out of the three budgets, 0:18:37.119 --> 0:18:40.200 the three years of budgets that delivered four budgets, three 0:18:40.240 --> 0:18:43.879 budgets that they have delivered thus far before the fourth, 0:18:43.960 --> 0:18:46.400 they didn't get it out of tax cuts they won't 0:18:46.440 --> 0:18:47.879 get it out of whatever they're about to pull out 0:18:47.880 --> 0:18:50.520 of the bag. But watch the Camber Press gallery wake 0:18:50.600 --> 0:18:54.080 up to the news of Trump. Apply that exclusively to 0:18:54.119 --> 0:18:57.200 the Australian election, hoping that you forget that the people 0:18:57.240 --> 0:19:00.440 who run this country, when they were appying for the 0:19:00.520 --> 0:19:02.680 job of running this country, promised things to get better. 0:19:03.000 --> 0:19:07.960 Instead they have all got demonstrably worse. Now, this story 0:19:08.000 --> 0:19:09.520 was around last week, but I wanted to take a 0:19:09.560 --> 0:19:11.600 second or two to bring it out of the intray 0:19:11.800 --> 0:19:14.160 and put a little bit of focus and also say 0:19:14.200 --> 0:19:17.399 a little bit of a congratulations Jonathan Lee, who is 0:19:17.520 --> 0:19:20.760 one of our investigations people here, great reporter, a bloke 0:19:20.800 --> 0:19:22.800 who just is all in at everything that he does. 0:19:22.920 --> 0:19:26.760 Remember he did a little documentary and then you say little, 0:19:26.800 --> 0:19:29.080 because I think it was a little bite sized thirty 0:19:29.080 --> 0:19:31.640 minute one does really well on the website. It talked 0:19:31.640 --> 0:19:35.800 about how, among other things, superannuation funds like Australian Super 0:19:37.119 --> 0:19:44.160 when somebody dies take forever to pay out the policies. Now, 0:19:44.200 --> 0:19:46.080 this is not because a bunch of greedy people are 0:19:46.640 --> 0:19:48.680 secretly rubbing their hands together going geez, I hope I 0:19:48.720 --> 0:19:51.280 can get a couple hundred grand out of insert person's 0:19:51.359 --> 0:19:53.760 name who just passed away. No, it's because they may 0:19:53.800 --> 0:19:55.919 well have a whole series of debts. You're trying to 0:19:55.920 --> 0:19:58.320 wind up their estate. You're trying to make sure that 0:19:58.400 --> 0:20:03.320 they've got some money to hand on to kids or grandkids. 0:20:04.800 --> 0:20:08.160 But Australian Super, one of those union super funds, has 0:20:08.200 --> 0:20:11.719 now been caught kicking and screaming. Now remember this was 0:20:12.000 --> 0:20:16.119 in the reporting of Jonathan Lee last year. He was 0:20:16.160 --> 0:20:18.960 onto this ball before others were, and I'm sure others 0:20:19.000 --> 0:20:20.600 will be the ones who end up with the trophies. 0:20:20.760 --> 0:20:22.280 But I wanted to say, well under the team who 0:20:22.320 --> 0:20:24.720 picked the docos, here world, under the bloke who made 0:20:24.720 --> 0:20:26.960 the doco, and thank you to the people who spoke 0:20:27.040 --> 0:20:30.639 so honestly about their experience with Australian Super. 0:20:32.720 --> 0:20:35.679