WEBVTT - Paul Murray Live | 3 September 0:00:00.200 --> 0:00:06.880 From the Skyinging Center. This is Paul Murray Life. Hello, 0:00:06.920 --> 0:00:09.200 have you Tuesday? Lots to get to Let's not muck around, 0:00:09.240 --> 0:00:12.480 looking forward to a very big show. Now you're not 0:00:12.480 --> 0:00:14.280 going to believe the numbers I have for you tonight. 0:00:14.320 --> 0:00:15.920 I know you haven't seen them anywhere else. And it 0:00:16.000 --> 0:00:18.520 is about just how much tax we all collectively pay, 0:00:18.800 --> 0:00:21.000 so not one, but all three levels of government. This 0:00:21.040 --> 0:00:23.400 one is wild. It gets bigger by the quarter, or 0:00:23.520 --> 0:00:25.479 get to that in a second. Now, you and I 0:00:25.520 --> 0:00:27.720 of course know that youth crime is a crisis no 0:00:27.760 --> 0:00:30.800 matter where you happen to live, City regional areas particular. 0:00:30.880 --> 0:00:33.080 Focus on Queensland at the moment because there's an election 0:00:33.400 --> 0:00:35.279 where you might be able to do something about it. 0:00:35.720 --> 0:00:38.440 But over in Lefty Land, nothing to see here, an 0:00:38.440 --> 0:00:40.239 extraordinary bit of tape I'll have for you in a moment. 0:00:40.320 --> 0:00:42.839 The Great Nigel Farage joins us from the UK. Yes 0:00:42.880 --> 0:00:46.040 we'll talk Trump, but we'll also talk about the UK 0:00:46.120 --> 0:00:48.040 cracking down on smoking. And he doesn't want them to 0:00:48.040 --> 0:00:51.120 do it because he says they could end up like Australia. 0:00:51.240 --> 0:00:53.200 Not good when we're the bad example of the way 0:00:53.240 --> 0:00:56.880 things are working. But first, yet again, more bad weather 0:00:56.920 --> 0:01:00.640 and yet again incredible efforts from people who are volunteering 0:01:00.640 --> 0:01:02.800 to help others and those that are paid to do so. 0:01:03.320 --> 0:01:06.280 For the past well twenty four hours or so. About 0:01:06.360 --> 0:01:09.080 nineteen hours of those there was a yacht off New 0:01:09.120 --> 0:01:13.360 South Wales that was considered to be drifting afloat and 0:01:13.480 --> 0:01:17.120 virtually lost at sea. Thankfully, the mayde call ended up 0:01:17.160 --> 0:01:21.360 getting heard and police ended up making their way towards it. 0:01:21.800 --> 0:01:25.760 But the nineteen hours were extraordinary. Now, I am not 0:01:25.959 --> 0:01:28.960 the best person when it comes to sea legs. Even 0:01:29.000 --> 0:01:34.559 the ferry from Frio to Rottenest Island was a little 0:01:34.600 --> 0:01:36.160 too much for me, so I can't imagine what this 0:01:36.240 --> 0:01:38.600 experience was like for them. But thankfully these people have 0:01:38.760 --> 0:01:43.759 been saved. It's two people, and police confirmed tonight that 0:01:43.920 --> 0:01:46.399 the skill of those who go towards people on their 0:01:46.440 --> 0:01:48.520 worst day, it doesn't matter if it's on land or 0:01:48.520 --> 0:01:50.760 at sea, the cops will turn up. And that's why 0:01:50.760 --> 0:01:52.200 we love them on this show. 0:01:52.800 --> 0:01:54.760 It's a matter of just basically timing it, as you 0:01:54.800 --> 0:01:57.160 saw probably some of that video and that they got 0:01:57.240 --> 0:02:00.040 in and next day bounce off, like getting people the 0:02:00.200 --> 0:02:02.320 person to jump as they're coming in, getting a jump 0:02:02.320 --> 0:02:02.800 and catch. 0:02:03.200 --> 0:02:05.920 I'm doing one at a time now. I said it 0:02:05.960 --> 0:02:08.040 last night, I'll say it again. It wasn't just blowing 0:02:08.040 --> 0:02:11.440 a gale in Melbourne today, but it was going hard 0:02:11.520 --> 0:02:14.640 enough to blow a dog off chain. And again, huge 0:02:14.639 --> 0:02:17.480 reaction there when it comes to the police and emergency services. 0:02:17.480 --> 0:02:19.840 But I want to focus in on Tazzy now because 0:02:19.880 --> 0:02:21.960 their weather has been just as terrible as other parts 0:02:22.000 --> 0:02:24.720 of the country in the past few days. But believe 0:02:24.720 --> 0:02:27.919 it or not, a couple of people decided to go 0:02:28.080 --> 0:02:30.480 hiking in all of this stuff. They decided to go 0:02:30.600 --> 0:02:32.760 up Mount Wellington. Now Mount Wellington is one of the 0:02:32.800 --> 0:02:35.880 great natural beauties of our country. But the idea that, 0:02:36.000 --> 0:02:38.040 in whether like has been building in Tazzy for the 0:02:38.080 --> 0:02:40.840 past couple of days, that you go hiking is absolute madness. 0:02:41.760 --> 0:02:46.000 Well police were able to locate these people in the 0:02:46.000 --> 0:02:50.920 past day. Extraordinary again that they put their own lives 0:02:50.960 --> 0:02:53.399 at risk to go and save other people who needlessly 0:02:53.440 --> 0:02:56.720 put their lives and their rescuers at risk. And I've 0:02:56.720 --> 0:02:59.359 got to say, someone agree with the Premier who absolutely 0:02:59.400 --> 0:03:01.919 has given it to the people who decided to go 0:03:02.320 --> 0:03:05.760 marching around in pretty awful weather in Tazzy. Here is 0:03:05.919 --> 0:03:06.840 the premiere today. 0:03:08.200 --> 0:03:13.720 We had fourteen bushwalkers rescued just so night, as I 0:03:13.800 --> 0:03:15.120 understand it, and. 0:03:15.040 --> 0:03:17.280 The look that is simply ridiculous. 0:03:17.520 --> 0:03:21.919 We cannot afford to have any resources diverted simply because 0:03:21.919 --> 0:03:23.079 of people's stupidity. 0:03:23.080 --> 0:03:27.240 I'm not eating those warnings hundred percent correct. Little remembered 0:03:27.320 --> 0:03:31.959 fact about the bush fires of twenty nineteen into twenty twenty, 0:03:31.960 --> 0:03:35.880 the Black Saturday stuff, a couple of fires ended up 0:03:35.920 --> 0:03:39.040 merging because in the very small window that they had 0:03:39.040 --> 0:03:40.920 to fight those fires, they had to go looking for 0:03:41.000 --> 0:03:43.160 people who had gone down to what I remember to 0:03:43.200 --> 0:03:45.760 be a nude beach at the time. So if you 0:03:45.800 --> 0:03:50.000 put yourself above the natural environment, the natural environment's always 0:03:50.000 --> 0:03:51.720 going to get you. But if you put yourself above 0:03:51.800 --> 0:03:56.040 the people who were dealing with other natural disasters, well, 0:03:56.280 --> 0:03:58.560 while we don't want anyone to get hurt, the idea 0:03:58.760 --> 0:04:02.840 that the resources get diverted, they become very frustrating. But 0:04:02.880 --> 0:04:04.720 well done to all the volunteers, all the pros that 0:04:04.760 --> 0:04:07.080 are out there and helping everyone around the country at 0:04:07.080 --> 0:04:10.000 this annoying time when it comes to the weather ahead 0:04:10.000 --> 0:04:13.200 of a very long summer, where as always something will 0:04:13.200 --> 0:04:15.880 go wrong. Now today we've got a bit of an 0:04:15.920 --> 0:04:19.680 insight into just how much money all levels of Australian 0:04:19.720 --> 0:04:23.200 government have now. Taxation has never been higher. There have 0:04:23.279 --> 0:04:27.640 been nerver, more people, more people paying their taxes. And 0:04:27.720 --> 0:04:30.960 of course the single biggest source of revenues that go 0:04:31.080 --> 0:04:33.760 to the federal government in particular, is not company tax. 0:04:33.760 --> 0:04:36.000 It's not the GST, it's not the amount of money 0:04:36.000 --> 0:04:38.520 that they get off for coal or gas. It's off 0:04:38.560 --> 0:04:43.440 people who work and the payers you go system. We 0:04:43.520 --> 0:04:45.320 know that plenty of people do their best to try 0:04:45.360 --> 0:04:47.919 to get the healthiest tax return they possibly can, because, 0:04:48.720 --> 0:04:52.320 as Kerry Packer said, why would you end up paying 0:04:52.360 --> 0:04:55.240 more to people who often waste it? Perfect example Jim 0:04:55.320 --> 0:04:58.560 Charmers and the way that he has been not managing 0:04:58.600 --> 0:05:01.920 our economy. They've spent hundreds of millions of dollars on 0:05:02.040 --> 0:05:05.680 political slogans, not actual solutions to anything, but political slogans. 0:05:05.920 --> 0:05:09.760 Twenty five dollars a month credit for power bills on 0:05:09.839 --> 0:05:12.520 everything from mansions to one bedroom units in the bush. 0:05:12.600 --> 0:05:15.080 That's just so they can say they're helping two little 0:05:15.080 --> 0:05:17.919 too late tax cuts which result in just fourteen dollars 0:05:17.960 --> 0:05:20.880 a week for people who truly need it. At the moment. 0:05:21.320 --> 0:05:23.839 And then of course there's the premiers, and the premiere 0:05:23.839 --> 0:05:25.719 is well, they are spending like drunken salors to the 0:05:25.880 --> 0:05:28.000 extent right now that they are one of the big 0:05:28.080 --> 0:05:30.520 driving forces the amount of projects that they have on 0:05:30.600 --> 0:05:33.719 offer that are currently pushing up inflation and making inflation 0:05:33.839 --> 0:05:36.040 so difficult to get on top of. But let's have 0:05:36.080 --> 0:05:39.080 a look at the money that all of these people 0:05:39.080 --> 0:05:42.200 are getting, that the political class gets and peddles up 0:05:42.200 --> 0:05:46.160 against the wall every single day, while at the same 0:05:46.240 --> 0:05:48.640 time more people are suffering than ever before. It doesn't 0:05:48.640 --> 0:05:51.240 make sense, does it. Well again, the far right wing 0:05:51.320 --> 0:05:54.080 thing tank known as the Bureau of Statistics are the 0:05:54.120 --> 0:05:56.240 ones who can give us an idea here, because have 0:05:56.240 --> 0:05:59.800 a look at this. This is how much tax has 0:05:59.800 --> 0:06:05.080 been taken by all three levels of government. Two hundred 0:06:05.160 --> 0:06:09.560 and twenty six thousand million dollars otherwise known as two 0:06:09.640 --> 0:06:12.800 hundred and twenty six b four billion dollars. Not two 0:06:12.880 --> 0:06:16.880 hundred and twenty six million dollars, but two hundred and 0:06:16.960 --> 0:06:24.240 twenty six thousand million dollars. Extraordinary, right, that's up seventeen 0:06:24.279 --> 0:06:28.040 percent the total revenue in terms of government when you 0:06:28.040 --> 0:06:30.240 put everything together, ends up being about two hundred and 0:06:30.320 --> 0:06:34.320 seventy million dollars, sorry, billion dollars, that is the revenue 0:06:34.400 --> 0:06:37.680 that is coming in. The numbers are that big. It 0:06:37.760 --> 0:06:41.000 is extraordinary the amounts of money that are coming through 0:06:41.360 --> 0:06:45.160 to the federal and state budgets. But jeez, I know 0:06:45.200 --> 0:06:47.560 how to spend it as well. If you've got in 0:06:47.600 --> 0:06:50.920 a year two hundred and seventy billion dollars going out 0:06:50.960 --> 0:06:53.839 the door coming in the door, then can somebody explain 0:06:53.880 --> 0:06:55.680 how you've got the best part of two hundred and 0:06:55.680 --> 0:06:59.600 eighty five billion that is going out the door. That's 0:06:59.600 --> 0:07:02.960 what I talk about with the structural deficit, that if 0:07:02.960 --> 0:07:05.719 the government doesn't increase the amount of money that it 0:07:05.760 --> 0:07:07.800 gets in revenue, the amount that it is committed to 0:07:07.880 --> 0:07:13.120 in spending becomes what we call a structural deficit. Now, 0:07:13.160 --> 0:07:17.360 the document here it was about in millions of dollars. 0:07:17.400 --> 0:07:20.960 Two hundred and fifty five thousand million dollars is two 0:07:21.000 --> 0:07:24.920 hundred and fifty five billion dollars, thirty thousand million is 0:07:25.040 --> 0:07:29.040 thirty billion dollars. All of it up up, up, But 0:07:29.080 --> 0:07:33.320 whose life actually changes, Whose life is actually the better 0:07:33.360 --> 0:07:36.200 off for all of this money going around, Apart from 0:07:36.240 --> 0:07:39.960 the politicians who, of course, are the ones who make 0:07:40.000 --> 0:07:43.160 it seem like it's their money that they're handing out. Oh, 0:07:43.240 --> 0:07:46.640 we're so grateful to you twenty five dollars a month 0:07:46.720 --> 0:07:48.720 on power bills that were supposed to go down by 0:07:48.760 --> 0:07:52.240 two hundred and seventy five dollars. Remember, Oh, but that 0:07:52.360 --> 0:07:55.040 was that was just a promise to get into an election. 0:07:55.080 --> 0:08:00.920 Who cares? Now? Interestingly, there was a fact that was 0:08:00.960 --> 0:08:03.760 around in I believe a Redbridge pole. The way that 0:08:03.800 --> 0:08:07.040 I saw it was in an analysis which was obviously 0:08:07.120 --> 0:08:10.720 strangely pro government, or at the very least anti opposition, 0:08:10.760 --> 0:08:13.360 written by old Auntie p k over there at the ABC. 0:08:13.560 --> 0:08:15.800 But we get to this point. If you think about 0:08:15.800 --> 0:08:19.080 the fact that this government spans hundreds of billions of dollars, 0:08:20.120 --> 0:08:24.360 fifty seven percent of people, when asked by Redbridge, had 0:08:24.360 --> 0:08:29.160 the following answer of no. To this question, can you 0:08:29.280 --> 0:08:32.120 name something the federal government, led by Anthony Obenezy has 0:08:32.160 --> 0:08:36.160 done since being elected to make your life better in 0:08:36.240 --> 0:08:44.679 any way? Fifty seven percent of the country says no. Now, 0:08:44.720 --> 0:08:47.000 obviously we start getting into the mid sixties if you 0:08:47.040 --> 0:08:50.360 break the unsure number in half, but most of the 0:08:50.440 --> 0:08:54.240 unsure we'll end up at no roughly sixty percent of 0:08:54.280 --> 0:08:58.400 Australians so they cannot name a single thing the government 0:08:58.440 --> 0:09:01.080 has done since being elected, not the little too late 0:09:01.080 --> 0:09:04.000 tax cuts, not twenty five dollars when it comes to power, 0:09:04.400 --> 0:09:08.400 no changes for this, that and the other fifty seven percent, 0:09:08.440 --> 0:09:12.400 And that's with the media, that of course gives the 0:09:12.400 --> 0:09:15.560 biggest possible version of all of the numbers. Remember how 0:09:15.559 --> 0:09:17.160 we talked about that in the run up to the 0:09:17.160 --> 0:09:20.360 two little too late tax cuts, where of course rather 0:09:20.480 --> 0:09:24.200 than having a look at what they are per week 0:09:24.559 --> 0:09:27.440 or fortnite or per month, which is how people get paid. 0:09:27.920 --> 0:09:30.080 Of course, the spin doctors in and around the camera 0:09:30.200 --> 0:09:33.120 media are doing their bit for the government that they prefer. Well, 0:09:33.120 --> 0:09:35.760 they were giving the biggest, the annual number, the biggest 0:09:35.760 --> 0:09:41.800 possible numbers. Again, despite their efforts, fifty seven percent of 0:09:41.840 --> 0:09:45.280 people telling a pholster they can't name one thing that's 0:09:45.320 --> 0:09:49.640 made their lives better. Another example too, about how life 0:09:49.679 --> 0:09:51.560 is going to get a little tougher at the shops 0:09:51.559 --> 0:09:54.560 in the next little while. Now I won't bore you 0:09:54.600 --> 0:09:57.920 with this, but essentially we got some numbers today about 0:09:57.960 --> 0:09:59.880 the difference about the amount of money that we spend 0:10:00.080 --> 0:10:02.800 on importing things into the country versus the amount of 0:10:02.840 --> 0:10:06.280 money that we made exporting things to the rest of 0:10:06.320 --> 0:10:09.200 the world. Now, most of what we buy in the 0:10:09.200 --> 0:10:11.600 shops we know is made somewhere else, which meant that 0:10:11.640 --> 0:10:14.760 it has to be imported into the country. And yes, 0:10:14.800 --> 0:10:17.120 there are many industries that do their best to try 0:10:17.160 --> 0:10:19.480 to make things here to get them exported to the 0:10:19.480 --> 0:10:23.400 rest of the world. But surprise, surprise, guess what has 0:10:23.440 --> 0:10:27.160 happened under the watch of Anthony Albernezi and Grimjim. We 0:10:27.280 --> 0:10:31.280 have gone from more money being made out of what 0:10:31.360 --> 0:10:34.640 we send to the world to now spending more money 0:10:34.720 --> 0:10:38.680 on what comes in from the world. Put simply, this 0:10:38.960 --> 0:10:43.320 is a surplus which used to be that we made. 0:10:43.640 --> 0:10:48.679 We exported twelve point one billion dollars more than we 0:10:48.800 --> 0:10:53.520 imported before this government came to power, and now we 0:10:53.760 --> 0:10:59.560 import ten point seven billion dollars more than we export, 0:10:59.600 --> 0:11:03.720 a turn around of twenty to zero point six b 0:11:03.920 --> 0:11:10.840 four billion dollars. We import more from the world when 0:11:10.880 --> 0:11:15.520 we used to export more to the world. Another thing 0:11:15.559 --> 0:11:17.840 that has changed on this government's watched, but nobody will 0:11:17.880 --> 0:11:20.600 talk about it because generally speaking, people only look at 0:11:20.640 --> 0:11:23.880 the US dollar through the eyes of somebody who may 0:11:23.920 --> 0:11:27.400 will be traveling overseas. But of course the difference between 0:11:27.640 --> 0:11:30.839 a higher or lower Australian dollar affects how much the 0:11:30.880 --> 0:11:33.760 stuff is that we have to buy in US dollars 0:11:33.800 --> 0:11:37.640 from overseas to come into the country versus of course 0:11:38.000 --> 0:11:42.960 what we export. And when we are currently importing financially 0:11:43.000 --> 0:11:45.199 way more than we are exporting, the bill goes up 0:11:45.240 --> 0:11:48.439 because the value of the Australian dollar continues to go down. 0:11:49.320 --> 0:11:51.760 In March, before these people became the government, it was 0:11:51.760 --> 0:11:56.240 seventy five US cents, now sixty seven US cents. Now again, 0:11:56.320 --> 0:11:59.240 anyone who's traveling knows the difference between seventy five and 0:11:59.280 --> 0:12:02.920 sixty seven. Now, imagine if you're importing and you're buying 0:12:02.960 --> 0:12:06.840 one thousand somethings from somewhere else, or you're trying to 0:12:06.880 --> 0:12:11.959 export one thousand somethings from here to somewhere else. Now again, 0:12:12.080 --> 0:12:15.400 these are the daily data that we get, rather than 0:12:15.400 --> 0:12:19.800 the spin and the bs that comes from Jim Charmers, 0:12:19.920 --> 0:12:23.080 not a doctor in economics, but a doctor in the 0:12:23.080 --> 0:12:29.160 politics of how Paul Keating talked about economics. Well, Jim Charmers, 0:12:29.200 --> 0:12:31.160 as you know, is trying to pretend that it's all 0:12:31.160 --> 0:12:34.760 the Reserve Bank's fault, not his own government's fault. Who remember, 0:12:34.800 --> 0:12:37.120 along with state and local government, is getting more money 0:12:37.160 --> 0:12:40.280 than they have ever gotten the history of Australian governments. 0:12:40.920 --> 0:12:44.000 But they're also spending more even than the record money 0:12:44.000 --> 0:12:47.840 that is coming in. Well, thankfully people are with me 0:12:48.000 --> 0:12:50.760 and pushing back on the garbage of this bloke trying 0:12:50.760 --> 0:12:54.400 to yet again shift blame from his own economic responsibilities. 0:12:54.880 --> 0:12:58.520 Great article in the Financial Review Today opinion section. Here's 0:12:58.559 --> 0:13:01.880 Steve Hamilton, who was in aus says if only focused 0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:05.280 a little less on managing political expectations and a little 0:13:05.280 --> 0:13:08.520 more on managing inflation expectations, we might have avoided this 0:13:08.559 --> 0:13:13.000 mess in the first place. Charmers is the worst treasurer 0:13:13.040 --> 0:13:17.080 since Jim Cans. Jim Can's was goth Whitlam's treasurer, and 0:13:17.160 --> 0:13:21.480 this labor government is the most economically incompetent in half 0:13:21.520 --> 0:13:24.800 a century. Now again, I am not, in any way, 0:13:24.800 --> 0:13:28.360 shape or form somebody would even profess to have any 0:13:28.440 --> 0:13:32.360 level of expertise beyond the most obvious basic working knowledge 0:13:32.360 --> 0:13:37.000 of economics. But night after night after night, information that 0:13:37.080 --> 0:13:40.800 does not come from right wing blogs or think tanks, 0:13:40.800 --> 0:13:43.280 but comes from the Bureau of Statistics tells us the 0:13:43.320 --> 0:13:50.160 reality of Australia's economy. It also via that polling reminds 0:13:50.240 --> 0:13:53.240 us that despite the noise that comes out of Canberra, 0:13:53.840 --> 0:13:58.120 if fifty seven percent of Australians cannot tell us a 0:13:58.320 --> 0:14:01.560 single thing that this has done to make their life better, 0:14:02.320 --> 0:14:05.280 then this election that is coming up sooner rather than 0:14:05.360 --> 0:14:09.560 later is going to be fascinating. Now again, I know 0:14:09.720 --> 0:14:12.040 the path to seventy six for the opposition is tight, 0:14:12.520 --> 0:14:16.040 is difficult and almost impossible because of the Teals, But 0:14:16.120 --> 0:14:19.240 at fifty to fifty with a Labor vote now below 0:14:19.400 --> 0:14:23.280 where it was last time, with the Greens expected to 0:14:23.360 --> 0:14:26.280 take multiple seats, if Labor is to be returned, it 0:14:26.320 --> 0:14:29.200 will be with a minority government. A minority government that 0:14:29.200 --> 0:14:30.840 will not just be a minority of one or two, 0:14:30.920 --> 0:14:33.640 but many more, meaning that it is going to be 0:14:33.680 --> 0:14:37.080 propped up by the true crazies of Australian politics, some 0:14:37.200 --> 0:14:39.320 who claim to be independence despite the fact that they 0:14:39.360 --> 0:14:41.680 all look the same, talk the same, campaign the same 0:14:41.720 --> 0:14:45.520 and fund their campaigns the same, or those who don't 0:14:45.560 --> 0:14:49.040 know the difference between profit and turnover. We're in for 0:14:49.080 --> 0:14:51.720 a wild ride. But right now we haven't even bottomed 0:14:51.720 --> 0:14:56.480 out in Australia, and that's with majority government. Tomorrow, we 0:14:56.560 --> 0:14:59.600 expect to see growth figures that will be barely better 0:14:59.640 --> 0:15:02.560 than the quarter. Of course, to go into a recession 0:15:02.600 --> 0:15:05.360 you have to have an economy that is shrinking for 0:15:05.520 --> 0:15:08.760 two consecutive quarters or six months in total. To give 0:15:08.760 --> 0:15:10.920 you an idea of the Australian economy and how tight 0:15:10.960 --> 0:15:14.560 it is. In the past three months we were growing 0:15:14.560 --> 0:15:18.120 by zero point one percent. The expectation of the numbers 0:15:18.120 --> 0:15:19.680 to come out tomorrow is that we may will be 0:15:19.720 --> 0:15:23.360 growing by a grand total of zero point two percent. 0:15:26.000 --> 0:15:29.200 If you are relying on an economy to have public holidays, 0:15:29.320 --> 0:15:32.760 Taylor Swift or more immigration to be the only difference 0:15:32.800 --> 0:15:38.240 between a recession and microscopic growth, then you are a 0:15:38.280 --> 0:15:42.280 country in trouble, a country in trouble with people in 0:15:42.400 --> 0:15:46.400 charge of the economy who either know what they're doing 0:15:46.440 --> 0:15:49.240 and they are deliberately making the wrong choices, or people 0:15:49.280 --> 0:15:53.920 who don't know what they're doing. But amazingly, fifty seven 0:15:54.080 --> 0:15:57.080 percent of Australians cannot name a single thing that this 0:15:57.160 --> 0:16:00.400 government has done to make their life better. Yeah, and 0:16:00.440 --> 0:16:04.200 apparently it was the Prime Minister's media unit. That was 0:16:04.200 --> 0:16:07.800 the problem. The boss of that has now gone because 0:16:08.080 --> 0:16:13.600 it's not at all elbow that's the problem, is it now? Today? 0:16:13.840 --> 0:16:17.320 In an interview we heard today that Peter Dutton believes 0:16:17.360 --> 0:16:24.239 that the Liberal Party is closer than many people imagine too. 0:16:24.520 --> 0:16:27.640 Look again, I'm not going to say victory because until 0:16:27.680 --> 0:16:30.120 I see some numbers of the tolls that the Teals 0:16:30.120 --> 0:16:34.160 are blowing away again, the Opposition is going to be 0:16:34.200 --> 0:16:37.000 in an incredibly competitive spot compared to where they were 0:16:37.120 --> 0:16:40.640 when they were, of course flushed from office less than 0:16:40.680 --> 0:16:42.200 three years ago. 0:16:44.040 --> 0:16:48.440 You poll's turty, you can win, yes, yes, So in Victoria, 0:16:48.920 --> 0:16:51.480 good swings and seats to us here and seats on 0:16:51.520 --> 0:16:54.000 the radar that we hadn't expected to be on the 0:16:54.080 --> 0:16:56.600 radar at this point in the cycle. And in Wa 0:16:56.720 --> 0:16:59.640 I think is coming back to us off a pretty 0:16:59.640 --> 0:17:02.080 low bar at the last election. So you're reasonably confident 0:17:02.080 --> 0:17:04.240 you'll be prime minister after the next tilection. I'm confident 0:17:04.240 --> 0:17:06.919 that we can win this election and I think the 0:17:06.960 --> 0:17:09.399 momentum is with us. I think the Prime Minister is 0:17:09.440 --> 0:17:12.840 showing those signs of improving with time in the saddle. 0:17:13.880 --> 0:17:15.800 Now, of course, all things being equal, this would be 0:17:15.920 --> 0:17:18.639 quite the contest and the next election. But of course 0:17:18.680 --> 0:17:20.720 the teals, as I say, they end up being this 0:17:20.840 --> 0:17:24.120 sort of retaining wall for the left, one that may 0:17:24.160 --> 0:17:26.680 well fall down at this election or one into the future. 0:17:27.920 --> 0:17:30.000 But clearly what needs to happen is that the Liberal 0:17:30.000 --> 0:17:33.240 Party has to have the tightest and smartest and well 0:17:33.320 --> 0:17:38.600 funded machine possible behind the political efforts of what their 0:17:38.640 --> 0:17:41.320 parliamentary leader Peter Dutton is doing to make the most 0:17:41.359 --> 0:17:44.760 of the failures of this government, to have the right 0:17:44.840 --> 0:17:48.200 candidates and the right seats, the right message, the right advertising, 0:17:49.000 --> 0:17:52.600 the advertising that will be both nationalized state and right 0:17:52.680 --> 0:17:55.840 down to the local level via social media. And for 0:17:55.920 --> 0:17:59.960 that largely it is the state Liberal parties that player 0:18:00.160 --> 0:18:02.280 role in that as well as yes, a federal campaign. 0:18:02.320 --> 0:18:05.240 But still states play their part. They have the knowledge, 0:18:05.280 --> 0:18:08.000 they have the members, they are part of the machine. Well. 0:18:08.000 --> 0:18:10.120 Of course, the New South Wales Liberal Party is a joke. 0:18:10.760 --> 0:18:14.680 It has been for a long time. The madness and 0:18:15.080 --> 0:18:18.439 in fighting and factional nonsense means that you would prefer 0:18:18.520 --> 0:18:21.280 to care about what's happening inside your party than the 0:18:21.320 --> 0:18:24.679 actual enemy of your party. But as you have heard today, 0:18:24.840 --> 0:18:27.359 the federal branch of the Liberal Party will take the 0:18:27.400 --> 0:18:30.920 New South Wales Party over after the disgrace of failing 0:18:30.960 --> 0:18:33.440 to be able to get enough people and fill out 0:18:33.440 --> 0:18:35.879 the paperwork for people to run a local council. I 0:18:36.000 --> 0:18:39.000 cannot wait for Holly Hughes, who knows the machine but 0:18:39.160 --> 0:18:41.560 is certainly not afraid of the machine, to talk about 0:18:41.560 --> 0:18:43.600 that and a whole lot more. As the evening rolls on, 0:18:43.680 --> 0:18:48.480 she'll join us with Joe Hildebrand. Youth crime and crime 0:18:48.600 --> 0:18:51.800 in general major issue around the country, because God forbid, 0:18:51.840 --> 0:18:55.800 we will want to live in a safe and undisturbed Australia, 0:18:56.600 --> 0:18:58.320 because that's the way it has been in the past. 0:18:58.320 --> 0:18:59.960 It's the way it should be. Now it's way it's 0:19:00.040 --> 0:19:03.600 should be into the future. But as we know, there 0:19:03.640 --> 0:19:06.159 are too many people in the judiciary who give people 0:19:06.280 --> 0:19:10.399 there's seventeenth, eighteenth and nineteenth chance, and even when ultimately 0:19:10.880 --> 0:19:13.080 they get some sort of very serious punishment, it is 0:19:13.119 --> 0:19:18.199 nowhere near what the victims of crime understandably want or 0:19:18.359 --> 0:19:22.200 we believe they deserve. And this again is starting to 0:19:22.240 --> 0:19:24.760 turn up in the polls. Earlier this year we saw 0:19:24.800 --> 0:19:28.000 that a crime backlash was going to potentially play into 0:19:28.040 --> 0:19:31.680 problems for the Labor Party at the federal election. Now 0:19:31.760 --> 0:19:35.840 does the Prime minister have a direct correlation to policing, know, 0:19:36.040 --> 0:19:38.240 But that was the same when it comes to fighting fires. 0:19:38.640 --> 0:19:42.440 But people didn't care then and people shouldn't care now either. 0:19:42.840 --> 0:19:44.679 Of course, it's the prime minister. It's the government that 0:19:44.720 --> 0:19:47.480 sets the tone, that has the money and has the 0:19:47.520 --> 0:19:49.919 position to be able to say what is acceptable and 0:19:49.960 --> 0:19:54.760 not acceptable in a community. Well, last night on Channel 0:19:54.760 --> 0:19:59.159 two on their Question and Answer program, there was a 0:19:59.280 --> 0:20:03.320 question which was delivered by a woman in a suburban 0:20:03.359 --> 0:20:05.679 part of Melbourne. Now they seem to be doing this 0:20:05.720 --> 0:20:07.359 as their current trick at the moment, which used to 0:20:07.400 --> 0:20:10.080 find Boomer de jour to ask a question of which 0:20:10.080 --> 0:20:14.520 everyone else rolls their eyes at and basically says, oh, please, please, please, 0:20:14.520 --> 0:20:16.080 You've just been watching too much of Sky News in 0:20:16.119 --> 0:20:18.679 prime time as opposed to all of the reality of 0:20:18.720 --> 0:20:21.000 the stories of crime that not only we mentioned, but 0:20:21.080 --> 0:20:23.760 you know in your real life. Here is the question. 0:20:25.359 --> 0:20:28.639 Communities are having to deal with the increase in youth crime, 0:20:28.680 --> 0:20:35.240 which includes housebreakings, car theft, NiFe attacks and general unacceptable behavior. 0:20:36.000 --> 0:20:39.320 When are governments and authorities going to stop the excuse 0:20:39.440 --> 0:20:43.919 making for law breakers and start imposing serious consequences for 0:20:44.040 --> 0:20:47.760 actions I fear for the future piece of our communities. 0:20:48.840 --> 0:20:50.560 Do you like the smirks in some of the people 0:20:50.600 --> 0:20:53.359 in the background are ohh, silly old lady talking about 0:20:53.359 --> 0:20:56.359 things like that. A few snarls because how dare you 0:20:56.400 --> 0:20:59.879 there's some sort of coded racism in this. Well, the panel, 0:21:00.119 --> 0:21:03.680 some famous some not famous faces, of course, found every 0:21:03.760 --> 0:21:08.439 excuse rather than answer her question directly, which is zero 0:21:08.560 --> 0:21:11.040 crime is what we should be going for in the 0:21:11.080 --> 0:21:13.399 same way that we talk about we should have zero 0:21:13.440 --> 0:21:17.240 domestic violence, we should have zero assault, we should have 0:21:17.359 --> 0:21:21.600 zero drink driving, we should have zero murder. But watch 0:21:21.640 --> 0:21:24.960 them all dance around what should be the goal, which 0:21:25.040 --> 0:21:26.080 is no crime. 0:21:27.640 --> 0:21:32.639 Now the statistics, though, don't actually bear out the perception. 0:21:33.000 --> 0:21:35.800 Some levels of crime are up, some are down. You 0:21:36.000 --> 0:21:39.920 can't just fight it by trying to arrest everyone. We're 0:21:39.920 --> 0:21:43.639 thinking about the responsibilities that we should ways of tuckling this. 0:21:43.800 --> 0:21:46.240 One of it is just smart reporting about this things. 0:21:46.280 --> 0:21:49.919 But some categories things are up ten to seventeen year olds, 0:21:50.640 --> 0:21:52.840 but in eight en to twenty four year olds things 0:21:52.880 --> 0:21:56.240 are significantly down over the last four years. First response 0:21:56.280 --> 0:21:58.920 shouldn't be for a first defender to put them in 0:21:59.000 --> 0:22:00.800 jail because we brea better criminal. 0:22:03.080 --> 0:22:05.160 Do you like that little slide of hand. Well, look, 0:22:05.160 --> 0:22:06.920 if you actually have a look at certain the statistics, 0:22:06.920 --> 0:22:08.840 some of it's up and some of it's down. Now 0:22:08.840 --> 0:22:12.720 I've shown you in great detail about how this little 0:22:12.760 --> 0:22:16.679 trick works. Where yes, when you have say thirty different 0:22:16.680 --> 0:22:21.520