WEBVTT - Paul Murray Live | 2 September 0:00:00.240 --> 0:00:05.160 From the Skyinging Center. This is Paul Murray Live. 0:00:06.640 --> 0:00:08.360 I love it, Shrry and this made the day. Thank 0:00:08.360 --> 0:00:10.200 you very much, lots to get to tonight. Thank you 0:00:10.200 --> 0:00:12.240 to everyone who came and sawus in Western Australia, from 0:00:12.280 --> 0:00:15.080 Portlandland to Perth, from sub all the way back here 0:00:15.120 --> 0:00:15.760 to the Man Cave. 0:00:15.800 --> 0:00:17.040 It's been a wonderful. 0:00:16.880 --> 0:00:19.279 Past few days. Great to couple the kids with a 0:00:19.360 --> 0:00:21.320 delayed Father's Day, but it's so good to be back 0:00:21.320 --> 0:00:23.680 here where you join us eachin every night. And yeah, 0:00:23.720 --> 0:00:25.880 of course I'm going to give it both battles for 0:00:26.000 --> 0:00:27.000 Jim Chalmers today. 0:00:27.040 --> 0:00:30.000 What a surprise. It's everyone else's fault. Don't talk about 0:00:30.000 --> 0:00:32.000 the dog track that is the Bruce Highway. This thing's 0:00:32.040 --> 0:00:32.479 a killer. 0:00:33.120 --> 0:00:35.240 They've got to fix it up, but for some reason 0:00:35.320 --> 0:00:35.640 they won't. 0:00:35.680 --> 0:00:36.280 I'll tell you why. 0:00:36.280 --> 0:00:38.360 Tim Watts, the bloke woo Kamala Harris. 0:00:38.120 --> 0:00:40.159 Would like to be her vice president, is about to 0:00:40.200 --> 0:00:44.400 have a very very bad week. But first, the wind 0:00:44.479 --> 0:00:46.320 is so strong in some parts of the country in 0:00:46.360 --> 0:00:48.680 the old parlance and to blower dog off a chain. 0:00:49.320 --> 0:00:52.279 There's been well massive wind gusts all the way from 0:00:52.320 --> 0:00:55.360 Tazzy through two parts of New South Wales and beyond. 0:00:55.800 --> 0:00:57.800 Let's focus in on what's been happening in New South 0:00:57.800 --> 0:01:00.520 Wales because we worked with the news this morning lady 0:01:00.520 --> 0:01:04.360 had died. Police confirmed today that the lady had been 0:01:04.360 --> 0:01:05.280 crushed by a tree. 0:01:05.319 --> 0:01:08.119 She was in a holiday cabin near Aubrey. 0:01:08.120 --> 0:01:11.039 On the of course yess Well's Victoria Border Police have 0:01:11.080 --> 0:01:12.959 said that the woman died as the tree fell onto 0:01:12.959 --> 0:01:16.120 her cabin at about three point fifty this morning, so 0:01:16.200 --> 0:01:20.240 presumably she was asleep. Emergency services were called. 0:01:20.000 --> 0:01:20.559 To the area. 0:01:20.840 --> 0:01:22.720 This is near the News of Oz Victorian Border. 0:01:22.720 --> 0:01:24.480 It followed reports that a tree had fallen on the 0:01:24.520 --> 0:01:29.319 cabin offices attached to the local Murray District River Police. 0:01:29.680 --> 0:01:31.560 They attended. They found the body of a woman. She 0:01:31.640 --> 0:01:34.280 was sixty three in the wreckage. We will know more 0:01:34.280 --> 0:01:36.280 about whom she is once her family is informed and 0:01:36.319 --> 0:01:41.039 i'll update you again tomorrow. Meantime, the winds have course 0:01:41.200 --> 0:01:42.920 all the trouble in the world for anyone trying to 0:01:42.959 --> 0:01:46.440 catch a flight home. Thankfully mine was the Red Eye. 0:01:46.760 --> 0:01:49.520 Because the winds have been crazy. They've mucked around with 0:01:49.560 --> 0:01:52.680 everything from the trains and train lines and power lines. 0:01:52.720 --> 0:01:55.680 Lots of problems in and around Sydney. In Victoria, it's 0:01:55.720 --> 0:01:58.520 been an absolute bugger of a day as well. Lots 0:01:58.560 --> 0:02:00.680 of people were actually told to stay home today because 0:02:00.720 --> 0:02:03.320 of how bad the wind would have ended up. And 0:02:03.360 --> 0:02:06.440 here's the sees about the latest from Victoria and Tazzy, 0:02:06.480 --> 0:02:07.360 I'm thinking of you too. 0:02:07.560 --> 0:02:08.919 I know that's been one hell of a day for 0:02:09.000 --> 0:02:09.520 you as well. 0:02:10.600 --> 0:02:13.760 When in doubt, don't go out. It is likely that 0:02:13.880 --> 0:02:19.920 the destructive, destructive and damaging winds are going to result 0:02:19.919 --> 0:02:22.359 in a lot more trees down, more houses without power, 0:02:22.919 --> 0:02:29.400 building damage, road closures and possibly network possibly impacts on 0:02:30.160 --> 0:02:31.399 the transport networks. 0:02:31.480 --> 0:02:35.240 Rather as always my forever thanks to the volunteers who 0:02:35.240 --> 0:02:37.280 are out and about in this stuff. The professionals as well, 0:02:37.320 --> 0:02:39.680 thank you for what you do going towards trouble on 0:02:39.720 --> 0:02:42.360 a day when others are trying to hide quite rightly. 0:02:42.560 --> 0:02:46.480 So so I'll make Jim Charms, the Treasurer of Australia, 0:02:46.520 --> 0:02:49.200 the man who considers himself next in line to Anthony Obernezi. 0:02:49.320 --> 0:02:51.360 But of course ourb will rule forever, so he'll be 0:02:51.720 --> 0:02:54.120 forever in a day before he becomes Prime minister. 0:02:54.560 --> 0:02:57.600 Now we often show this little image of him because 0:02:57.639 --> 0:03:01.240 grim Jim is always there to say, well everything's getting better, 0:03:01.440 --> 0:03:04.880 things are actually getting worse. And remember what he said 0:03:04.880 --> 0:03:07.000 when he was the Shadow Treasurer, what he said when 0:03:07.000 --> 0:03:10.000 interest rates went up during the federal election campaign in 0:03:10.000 --> 0:03:11.440 May of twenty twenty two. 0:03:13.040 --> 0:03:15.720 This is a full blome cost of living crisis on 0:03:15.760 --> 0:03:19.720 Scott Morrison's watch. When things are going well in the economy, 0:03:20.000 --> 0:03:22.760 he takes all of the credit, and when times are 0:03:22.840 --> 0:03:26.560 tough in the economy, he takes none of the responsibility. 0:03:27.480 --> 0:03:30.720 Well, we all know that he was essentially talking about himself. 0:03:31.040 --> 0:03:33.519 That was one rate rise. As you know, the Reserve 0:03:33.560 --> 0:03:37.080 Bank has made its decision a total of thirteen times, 0:03:37.120 --> 0:03:40.400 including that one twelve on the watch of Grim Jim 0:03:40.560 --> 0:03:42.960 is the Treasurer and albo is the Prime Minister. 0:03:43.400 --> 0:03:45.240 Up up, up, up, up up up. 0:03:45.280 --> 0:03:47.360 We're showing you this in a thousand different ways. We're 0:03:47.400 --> 0:03:49.600 told you that now the average Australian is having to 0:03:49.640 --> 0:03:52.520 find tens of thousands of dollars to pay off their 0:03:52.560 --> 0:03:55.640 house or investment property that they didn't have to before 0:03:55.640 --> 0:04:00.160 this mob came to power. But as you'll have heard today, 0:04:00.600 --> 0:04:03.760 the reality is that the Reserve Bank is not most 0:04:03.840 --> 0:04:06.360 likely to be cutting interest rates anytime soon. In fact, 0:04:06.680 --> 0:04:08.920 the expectation is that they won't be being cut at 0:04:08.960 --> 0:04:13.160 all this year. That means no early federal election. There 0:04:13.320 --> 0:04:15.960 is of course speculation that they are as close to 0:04:16.000 --> 0:04:19.279 going up as they are to being held, which is 0:04:19.360 --> 0:04:22.480 basically a kindergoing up, because remember, it is a dozen 0:04:22.560 --> 0:04:25.760 times worse for anyone trying to pay off a property. 0:04:25.800 --> 0:04:28.599 Anyone at any level in any part of the country 0:04:28.640 --> 0:04:32.440 knows how painful this is. Well, of course, the opinion 0:04:32.480 --> 0:04:34.400 polls have turned against the government. 0:04:34.800 --> 0:04:36.960 You pick in indicies. They are going backwards. 0:04:37.320 --> 0:04:40.200 The Coalition is now in front on the primary vote 0:04:40.520 --> 0:04:44.479 in many and multiple polls around the country. Their margin, 0:04:45.040 --> 0:04:48.159 if the Teals didn't exist, would basically be enough to 0:04:48.200 --> 0:04:52.200 tip out a first term government. But back to the 0:04:52.240 --> 0:04:54.719 politics that seem to work when the joint was on 0:04:54.760 --> 0:04:58.480 fire in twenty twenty two. In twenty twenty three, which 0:04:58.520 --> 0:05:01.320 is to play the man the ball and in this 0:05:01.480 --> 0:05:05.720 case not even the board. Remember when the Labor government 0:05:05.839 --> 0:05:10.560 successfully disgracefully but successfully, was able to convince seemingly the 0:05:10.600 --> 0:05:12.719 majority of the Australians, if not most of the media, 0:05:12.800 --> 0:05:14.880 that the actual reason and the only reason that interest 0:05:14.960 --> 0:05:17.640 rates were going up was because of the mustache twirling 0:05:17.720 --> 0:05:21.479 former Governor of the Reserve Bank, Philip Lowe. Remember all 0:05:21.520 --> 0:05:23.560 of the garbage and nonsense around him that oh, this 0:05:23.720 --> 0:05:25.760 was this millionaire who was out of touch and he 0:05:25.839 --> 0:05:30.200 was just having fun shoving up the rates. Well, of course, 0:05:30.200 --> 0:05:33.400 the reality is that even after they changed the governor, 0:05:34.040 --> 0:05:37.960 the rates kept going up, and even after they planned 0:05:38.000 --> 0:05:41.320 to completely remake the Reserve Bank board, including to shove 0:05:41.480 --> 0:05:45.239 union members on it, rates will not be coming down 0:05:45.600 --> 0:05:49.600 for the rest of the year. Well, now it's time 0:05:49.640 --> 0:05:53.279 to start bashing the Reserve Bank again, despite the fact 0:05:53.320 --> 0:05:55.480 that when it was one interest rate rise it was 0:05:55.520 --> 0:05:57.760 all Scott Morrison's faulton. It was all personal and there 0:05:57.760 --> 0:06:00.360 was nothing cyclical and nobody else was making the deceaseis 0:06:00.880 --> 0:06:03.760 when there have been a further twelve interest rate rises. 0:06:04.040 --> 0:06:07.800 It's now time to go back to the Philip low playbook. 0:06:07.880 --> 0:06:10.719 Let's make Australians think that it is the out of touch, 0:06:11.320 --> 0:06:15.279 nasty people at the Reserve Bank, not the federal government 0:06:15.279 --> 0:06:18.360 that has failed to be able to bring inflation back 0:06:18.560 --> 0:06:20.839 to where everyone agreed it should. 0:06:20.600 --> 0:06:22.920 Be, which is between two and three percent. 0:06:23.279 --> 0:06:25.000 You've seen it before, but i'll play it again for 0:06:25.000 --> 0:06:27.400 those that have just whacked on the Telly Jim charmers, 0:06:27.600 --> 0:06:28.719 shifting the blame. 0:06:30.080 --> 0:06:35.040 The combination of global economic uncertainty and higher interest rates 0:06:35.120 --> 0:06:38.719 is smashing household budgets and slowing our economy considerably. 0:06:39.720 --> 0:06:42.279 Now he's made other critical comments about the Preserve Bank. 0:06:42.320 --> 0:06:44.560 He is trying to push through in the Parliament a 0:06:44.640 --> 0:06:47.279 new way of constituting the bank that, as I said, 0:06:47.920 --> 0:06:50.560 would have on it, not the experienced people that have 0:06:50.640 --> 0:06:53.440 been managing the Australian economy through good times and bad 0:06:53.440 --> 0:06:55.400 for a long period of time. Oh no, no, no, this 0:06:55.440 --> 0:06:57.480 is going to be the mates, the mates that will 0:06:57.520 --> 0:07:01.320 do what he politically wants, like he's done so with 0:07:01.600 --> 0:07:05.719 almost every other organ that advises the government on economic policy. 0:07:06.560 --> 0:07:08.520 But just in case you think that this has always 0:07:08.560 --> 0:07:10.520 been his long held view that the Preserve Bank was 0:07:10.520 --> 0:07:13.240 in a different place compared to the government. And when 0:07:13.240 --> 0:07:15.920 a reserve bank is in a different place than the government, 0:07:15.960 --> 0:07:19.360 we are in a serious financial issue here. You want 0:07:20.320 --> 0:07:22.440 the co pilots of the Australian economy to be headed 0:07:22.480 --> 0:07:25.280 in the right direction, and that is the same direction. 0:07:25.760 --> 0:07:27.600 Here's what he said when he was pretending that they 0:07:27.600 --> 0:07:28.600 were one and the same. 0:07:30.520 --> 0:07:33.280 This is a welcome decision from the Reserve Bank because 0:07:33.280 --> 0:07:36.840 it recognizes the pressures that people are under. What I've 0:07:36.880 --> 0:07:39.520 tried to do as Treasurer indeed before that as well, 0:07:40.400 --> 0:07:43.880 is not the preempt or second guess decisions taken by 0:07:43.880 --> 0:07:48.080 the Reserve Bank. Or the Reserve Bank takes these decisions independently, 0:07:48.120 --> 0:07:50.680 and as you know, I do my best not to 0:07:50.760 --> 0:07:51.560 second guess them. 0:07:52.760 --> 0:07:55.360 Well, my mate and occasional sparring partner over the years, 0:07:55.360 --> 0:07:57.880 Peter van Onslin, he's now the head of the political 0:07:57.920 --> 0:08:01.679 coverage of the Daily mailsolutely lines up and quite correctly 0:08:01.760 --> 0:08:04.559 Jim Charmers today for this garbage of trying to presen 0:08:04.640 --> 0:08:06.280 that he knows more than anyone else about how the 0:08:06.320 --> 0:08:09.800 economy should be working. He starts his article by saying 0:08:09.800 --> 0:08:12.200 the late American Political Center, as p. J. O' rourke, 0:08:12.680 --> 0:08:14.960 once said, that blaming central banks for high interest rates 0:08:15.000 --> 0:08:17.720 is like blaming your bathroom scales when you're put on weight. 0:08:18.960 --> 0:08:21.840 That's exactly what Treasurer Charmers did when you accuse the 0:08:21.880 --> 0:08:27.520 Reserve Bank of smashing the economy with its interest rates strategy. Now, also, 0:08:27.760 --> 0:08:29.640 you may well notice that there is a play which 0:08:29.680 --> 0:08:31.960 is always underway, which is that Jim Charmers is referred 0:08:32.000 --> 0:08:35.760 to as doctor Jim Charmers because the term doctor means 0:08:35.760 --> 0:08:38.800 he's certainly more informed than anyone else and he must 0:08:38.880 --> 0:08:41.920 be a doctor in economics, because that's why he's the treasurer. 0:08:42.000 --> 0:08:42.240 Right. 0:08:42.920 --> 0:08:45.200 Well, no, you see, in the same way that doctor 0:08:45.320 --> 0:08:49.880 Stephen Miles is a doctor of the way the unions work. 0:08:50.200 --> 0:08:53.120 Yet he was presented during the pandemic as a doctor, 0:08:53.880 --> 0:08:57.839 as if he was a medical professional. While Queenslanders will 0:08:57.880 --> 0:09:00.560 being kept safe because Queensland hospitals for the queens and people. 0:09:00.640 --> 0:09:02.000 The same applies to this bloke. 0:09:02.559 --> 0:09:05.040 And finally somebody is calling it out in nice, clear 0:09:05.200 --> 0:09:09.720 terms again world done, PVA. He says that all of 0:09:09.720 --> 0:09:11.959 this is undentifying, it is ignorant, it's out of line. 0:09:12.120 --> 0:09:13.520 Readers can decide. 0:09:13.120 --> 0:09:15.080 For themselves on who they trust more when it comes 0:09:15.120 --> 0:09:18.559 to managing the monetary and fiscal policy settings of the economy. 0:09:19.480 --> 0:09:24.520 A treasurer unqualified in economics, whose PhD ie, why do 0:09:24.559 --> 0:09:29.000 we call him a doctor? Is in politics because he 0:09:29.040 --> 0:09:35.880 looked at Paul Keating's political communication, not economics. Or Bullock, 0:09:36.360 --> 0:09:39.360 who was a postgraduate studying economics from the London School 0:09:39.400 --> 0:09:42.480 of Economics no less, and has examined the ins and 0:09:42.559 --> 0:09:45.000 outs of interest rate policy design. Remember, of course she's 0:09:45.040 --> 0:09:47.160 not a newbie. She's been in and around the Reserve 0:09:47.200 --> 0:09:50.120 Bank for a long time. Oh, if the assumption is 0:09:50.160 --> 0:09:51.480 let's just get rid of the old wood because it 0:09:51.480 --> 0:09:53.600 doesn't give us what we want, and let's get a 0:09:53.600 --> 0:09:55.600 bunch of people that will give us politically what we want. 0:09:55.720 --> 0:10:00.400 We you don't have an independent central bank anymore. So again, 0:10:00.600 --> 0:10:03.400 this bloke decided to go off like a two bob 0:10:03.440 --> 0:10:04.720 watch when interest. 0:10:04.559 --> 0:10:05.439 Rates went up once. 0:10:06.240 --> 0:10:09.120 Oh, the former Prime Minister will only accept the good 0:10:09.160 --> 0:10:10.800 and shift the blame for the bad. Well, that is 0:10:10.880 --> 0:10:14.000 exactly what this bloke does. And he's been in charge 0:10:14.000 --> 0:10:16.440 of an economy for the past couple of years that 0:10:16.480 --> 0:10:19.520 has only got worse. Now, of course they will say 0:10:19.600 --> 0:10:22.400 it's all global, it's all cyclical. 0:10:22.320 --> 0:10:26.360 Australia is no different than anywhere else. And that is true. 0:10:26.360 --> 0:10:28.679 But that was true before the last selection. 0:10:29.640 --> 0:10:33.240 But you mate, made the promise that life would get 0:10:33.280 --> 0:10:34.839 better if people voted for the Labor Party. 0:10:34.880 --> 0:10:36.000 Instead it has got worse. 0:10:37.280 --> 0:10:40.760 You are the people who promised the cost of living 0:10:40.760 --> 0:10:41.520 would be dealt with. 0:10:41.720 --> 0:10:45.520 Of course it has got worse. You other people who. 0:10:45.400 --> 0:10:47.360 Said that one interest rate rise was a sign of 0:10:47.360 --> 0:10:49.600 a cost of living crisis, Well what happens when you 0:10:49.600 --> 0:10:52.720 add twelve to that. Now you've been able to hoodwink 0:10:52.720 --> 0:10:54.960 the press gallery into pretending that the thirteenth will be 0:10:55.000 --> 0:10:57.000 the problem. Well, I can tell you on behalf of 0:10:57.040 --> 0:10:59.240 anyone else who's trying to pay a bloody house off. 0:10:59.600 --> 0:11:04.400 There's just as much pain at thirteen as there was twelve, eleven, ten, nine, eight, seven, 0:11:04.520 --> 0:11:08.560 six and five. People have had to find money that 0:11:08.600 --> 0:11:11.080 they would otherwise have been able to spend on everything 0:11:11.400 --> 0:11:17.080 from private health to being able to pay for their kids' sport. Now, 0:11:17.080 --> 0:11:18.720 I know I talk about it every night. I know 0:11:18.840 --> 0:11:21.560 for some people that's a little boring, but the reality 0:11:21.640 --> 0:11:23.280 is we have to talk about it every night. 0:11:23.160 --> 0:11:25.440 Because this is the only thing that matters. 0:11:26.200 --> 0:11:29.000 They can distract you with a whole bunch of garbage, 0:11:29.480 --> 0:11:32.200 including the personal life of the Prime Minister. They can 0:11:32.240 --> 0:11:35.480 pretend it's everyone else's fault. Well guess what. Let's compare 0:11:35.640 --> 0:11:37.840 not just Australia with Australia, but Australia with the rest 0:11:37.840 --> 0:11:39.880 of the world. Because if the rest of the world 0:11:39.880 --> 0:11:42.000 has gone through all the same problem. Could somebody please 0:11:42.040 --> 0:11:46.480 tell me why Australia's inflation rate is higher than the 0:11:46.480 --> 0:11:48.880 countries that we consider ourselves to be rather similar to 0:11:49.280 --> 0:11:53.200 the countries where inflation is a number one issue driving 0:11:53.280 --> 0:11:57.240 people to change governments. In the United States two point nine, 0:11:57.320 --> 0:12:00.880 were three point eight, the United Kingdom change to government 0:12:01.000 --> 0:12:04.360 two point two, in Canada two and a half. They're 0:12:04.400 --> 0:12:06.440 about to change the government. And in Japan, while they 0:12:06.480 --> 0:12:11.000 change the government every five minutes. Australia is almost double 0:12:11.720 --> 0:12:14.240 some of these other countries, particularly places. 0:12:13.920 --> 0:12:14.840 Like the United Kingdom. 0:12:14.920 --> 0:12:18.920 Yet this blog is using all of the studies of 0:12:19.240 --> 0:12:23.160 political communication with all of the other people around to 0:12:23.240 --> 0:12:24.920 tell you that up is down and convince you that 0:12:24.960 --> 0:12:28.480 black is white. The joint is in more trouble than 0:12:28.520 --> 0:12:31.680 it was when they took over. It is so because 0:12:31.679 --> 0:12:37.160 of their fault. Yes, international headwinds have pushed the world 0:12:37.240 --> 0:12:39.600 in a certain direction. But if everyone else has come 0:12:39.640 --> 0:12:43.079 back and we haven't, and the chances of a thirteenth 0:12:43.120 --> 0:12:46.120 interest rate rise is more likely than an interest rate 0:12:46.280 --> 0:12:49.720 drop before next year, then we're in a world of trouble. 0:12:49.720 --> 0:12:51.400 And you can spin as hard as you want, and 0:12:51.440 --> 0:12:54.800 you can sack the PM's media people and all the 0:12:54.800 --> 0:12:55.240 rest of it. 0:12:55.760 --> 0:12:56.600 We won't buy it. 0:12:57.760 --> 0:12:59.839 That's why the Poles are as relentless as they are, 0:13:00.040 --> 0:13:03.080 and it's why we are as laser focused because where 0:13:03.080 --> 0:13:05.320 money is coming from. How much you've got now, worried 0:13:05.320 --> 0:13:07.120 you are about how much you'll have in a month 0:13:07.679 --> 0:13:09.880 is what minions of Australians feel each and every night. 0:13:10.000 --> 0:13:11.600 That's why they come to us. That's why we give 0:13:11.600 --> 0:13:13.559 them the data each and every night. And I'm ever 0:13:13.640 --> 0:13:18.559 so thankful that you are here for this relentless fight. Meantime, 0:13:18.640 --> 0:13:21.480 new Pole, same result, Prime Minister, World of trouble, World 0:13:21.520 --> 0:13:24.520 of trouble. He is now the focal point of a 0:13:24.559 --> 0:13:27.080 government that is going backwards, and he is going backwards 0:13:27.120 --> 0:13:30.960 faster than the government. Now we got the personal us yesterday. 0:13:31.120 --> 0:13:33.560 Oh well, I'm not distracted by my I don't care. 0:13:34.240 --> 0:13:36.520 I didn't care last week, I don't care. This week 0:13:37.720 --> 0:13:42.200 newspoll comes out. It shows that the Coalition and Labor 0:13:42.320 --> 0:13:45.040 fifty to fifty. And this is the bloke who said 0:13:45.040 --> 0:13:47.160 I've never lost in the newspoll when they're drawn, you 0:13:47.160 --> 0:13:50.120 haven't won one. And it's been multiple polls over the 0:13:50.160 --> 0:13:51.679 past couple of years that have put it at damn 0:13:51.760 --> 0:13:53.960 fifty to fifty. But you think you're find because those 0:13:54.000 --> 0:13:57.960 teals they'll save you. Those teals will save you. It 0:13:57.960 --> 0:13:59.839 doesn't matter how far you're going to a minority. You'll 0:13:59.840 --> 0:14:01.559 see he'll be the bloke at there at the end, 0:14:02.320 --> 0:14:03.200 puffed out chest. 0:14:03.600 --> 0:14:04.920 Oh, I beat on the critics. 0:14:05.400 --> 0:14:08.160 Well mate, if you lose more seats than you got 0:14:08.400 --> 0:14:11.280 at the last election at the next election, you're going backwards, 0:14:11.360 --> 0:14:13.560 and you're going backwards because the Australians have had enough. 0:14:14.920 --> 0:14:17.400 Well again, let's have a look here at all of 0:14:17.440 --> 0:14:20.040 the major polls and their versions of do you approve 0:14:20.120 --> 0:14:23.160 or disapprove of the Prime Minister? All of them have 0:14:23.280 --> 0:14:26.000 more than half the country saying this blokes are dud. 0:14:26.360 --> 0:14:28.920 This bloke is not doing the job we asked him to. 0:14:29.200 --> 0:14:32.160 This bloke is not up to the cut. A lovely 0:14:32.200 --> 0:14:33.640 bloke he may be, and all the rest of it, 0:14:33.640 --> 0:14:34.240 but he ain't. 0:14:34.120 --> 0:14:34.600 Up to it. 0:14:34.600 --> 0:14:36.160 It is why he is weak, It is why it 0:14:36.240 --> 0:14:39.160 is rattled. It is why he is constantly looking over 0:14:39.240 --> 0:14:42.560 his shoulder. No one from the Labor Party will knock 0:14:42.640 --> 0:14:44.160 him off because that's the way their system works. But 0:14:44.200 --> 0:14:47.400 the Australian people might think about doing it, if not 0:14:47.400 --> 0:14:49.440 at this election, most likely at some other point into 0:14:49.480 --> 0:14:52.000 the future. But let's be honest, this bloke is behind 0:14:52.000 --> 0:14:54.200 the eight ball. He's behind the eight ball because of 0:14:54.200 --> 0:14:57.760 his own performance. Now he can't blame the media. The 0:14:57.840 --> 0:15:01.080 media always in his pocket. The media let him get 0:15:01.080 --> 0:15:04.960 away with blue murder. The media never question him for 0:15:05.040 --> 0:15:06.720 more than a day in a row on something he 0:15:06.760 --> 0:15:09.360 doesn't like. The media puts up with garbage that when 0:15:09.360 --> 0:15:13.720 he flies overseas multiple times as airbus elbow, flying around 0:15:13.760 --> 0:15:18.200 in a plane that he nicknames after his freaking dog, Toto. 0:15:18.480 --> 0:15:20.120 Oh don't we all love Toto. 0:15:21.440 --> 0:15:22.040 Seriously? 0:15:23.160 --> 0:15:24.720 And they all go along with the idea that when 0:15:24.720 --> 0:15:27.200 he's overseas he can't possibly answer any questions about what's 0:15:27.200 --> 0:15:29.640 happening here in Australia. No, no, no, that wouldn't be allowed. 0:15:31.640 --> 0:15:33.960 We'll have a look at this one. Australians who think 0:15:33.960 --> 0:15:35.720 the country has had it in the right direction again, 0:15:35.800 --> 0:15:37.760 everyone who does this pole shows that we're heading in 0:15:37.800 --> 0:15:40.920 a very bad direction. Fifty two percent in the pole 0:15:40.960 --> 0:15:42.880 that turns up in the Guardian. Now the Guardian, of 0:15:42.920 --> 0:15:46.080 course they love this bloke. They love this bloke because 0:15:46.120 --> 0:15:47.640 they know what he's been in the past, what he 0:15:47.720 --> 0:15:50.160 is in his heart, and even if the Green numbers 0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:52.120 go up, he'll still be the Prime Minister, will give 0:15:52.120 --> 0:15:55.320 them what they want. Remember, his political advisors come from 0:15:55.520 --> 0:16:00.000 the Guardian, the Resolve Pole in the Channel nine papers, 0:15:59.560 --> 0:16:03.640 six percent, six out of ten people in any one 0:16:03.720 --> 0:16:10.080 room believe the joints headed in the wrong direction. Now 0:16:10.080 --> 0:16:12.960 his personal numbers keep going backwards because his personal brand 0:16:12.960 --> 0:16:16.560 of politics doesn't work anymore. He has not been able 0:16:16.600 --> 0:16:21.880 to make the transition from opposition to government because no 0:16:21.920 --> 0:16:23.920 one believes he's actually in charge. 0:16:24.080 --> 0:16:25.400 Now we know he is in charge. 0:16:25.520 --> 0:16:28.360 The decisions they are making are making things worse, but 0:16:28.440 --> 0:16:31.280 they spend billions of dollars on political slogans to make 0:16:31.320 --> 0:16:35.960 it seem like they're helping everyone's power bills. It's twenty 0:16:36.000 --> 0:16:41.080 five dollars a month every tax payer. It's fourteen dollars 0:16:41.120 --> 0:16:45.280 a week for the people who need it most. Now 0:16:45.280 --> 0:16:48.680 at this stage, while people say that they are not 0:16:48.680 --> 0:16:50.880 impressed with the Prime Minister, they are not flocking at 0:16:50.880 --> 0:16:53.040 the moment to the opposition. Tonight, we'll talk about the 0:16:53.040 --> 0:16:56.320 phenomena of where they go in between, about whether people 0:16:56.320 --> 0:16:58.200 go further or left further to right, or they just 0:16:58.240 --> 0:17:01.200 find a way to cash out of domestic politics. A 0:17:01.200 --> 0:17:03.280 great conversation coming up in a moment or two. Time 0:17:03.520 --> 0:17:06.160 we follow the data. We have opinions, plenty of them, 0:17:06.160 --> 0:17:07.879 they get as loud as we can be, but that 0:17:07.920 --> 0:17:12.359 we always start from the same place, reality based off facts, which. 0:17:12.080 --> 0:17:12.800 Brings me here. 0:17:15.040 --> 0:17:16.639 You know how much passion I have about where our 0:17:16.640 --> 0:17:19.200 country's going when it comes to our kids. For obvious reasons, 0:17:19.240 --> 0:17:22.840 My little girls are all I care about in the world. Obviously, 0:17:22.880 --> 0:17:25.360 my beautiful wife, you get my point, But the kids 0:17:25.440 --> 0:17:28.119 a one priority. Why Because they're my future, they're our 0:17:28.160 --> 0:17:31.080 famili's future. And your kids and your grandkids are exactly 0:17:31.080 --> 0:17:35.000 the same. What we see yet again today, more evidence 0:17:35.080 --> 0:17:36.400 about how the kids aren't all right. 0:17:37.480 --> 0:17:37.600 Now. 0:17:37.640 --> 0:17:40.159 This extends to everything from their education to their mental health, 0:17:40.760 --> 0:17:43.240 but nearly half of all high school students feel like 0:17:43.320 --> 0:17:48.280 they don't belong. Since twenty sixteen, the Department of Education 0:17:48.359 --> 0:17:50.760 in New South Wales has been asking a whole series 0:17:50.800 --> 0:17:54.080 of questions about belonging in our schools. The blue line 0:17:54.400 --> 0:17:58.080 is primary schools, the red line is secondary schools. Let's 0:17:58.119 --> 0:18:02.040 have a look here. Eighty percent of kids in primary 0:18:02.080 --> 0:18:07.840 school in twenty sixteen felt a sense of belonging about 0:18:08.240 --> 0:18:13.280 sixty high sixties for primary school. Now primary's gone from 0:18:13.320 --> 0:18:16.880 eighty to sixty eight in the mid. 0:18:16.760 --> 0:18:20.360 Sixties, in high school down to the mid fifties. 0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:23.119 To break this down even more for you, let's have 0:18:23.160 --> 0:18:26.320 a look at primary schools. You can see that the 0:18:26.359 --> 0:18:29.400 blue dot is how they felt in twenty nineteen were 0:18:29.440 --> 0:18:32.800 girls seventy five percent of them felt a sense of belonging. 0:18:34.440 --> 0:18:37.760 The darker dot is twenty twenty one, and the red 0:18:37.800 --> 0:18:42.520 dot is twenty thirteen. Basically a ten point swing for girls, 0:18:43.440 --> 0:18:46.679 basically a ten point swing for boys. Look at that 0:18:46.720 --> 0:18:51.720 socioeconomic number. People in a low socioeconomic situation have gone 0:18:51.720 --> 0:18:53.639 from a sense of belonging at seventy percent down to 0:18:53.720 --> 0:18:59.520 sixty percent, ten points down in higher socioeconomic For Indigenous people, 0:18:59.520 --> 0:19:02.119 it's gone from the mid sixties to now, sorry, the 0:19:02.160 --> 0:19:04.200 mid seventies. Again down to the mid sixties, and again 0:19:04.240 --> 0:19:08.000 another ten points for non Aboriginal kids. So every age group, 0:19:08.040 --> 0:19:14.720 every bracket, everywhere, over what sixteen years, our kids are 0:19:14.760 --> 0:19:18.280 going backward about a sense of belonging. It's secondary schools 0:19:18.320 --> 0:19:22.520 again ten points down for girls, slightly less about five 0:19:22.560 --> 0:19:26.320 points for boys, for lower socioeconomic again, about ten points 0:19:26.320 --> 0:19:31.119 for higher socioeconomic again, about seven points for Aboriginal kids. 0:19:31.200 --> 0:19:34.840 It's now well below forty five percent for non Aboriginal 0:19:34.880 --> 0:19:39.040 kids from sixty five to about sixty percent. What does 0:19:39.040 --> 0:19:42.080 all of this mean? What does sense of belonging mean? 0:19:42.440 --> 0:19:42.600 Now? 0:19:42.640 --> 0:19:45.399 Again, the easy conversation here is it's all about how 0:19:45.400 --> 0:19:47.399 they feel about the national flag and Australia Day and 0:19:47.440 --> 0:19:48.040 ANZAC data. 0:19:48.080 --> 0:19:51.359