1 00:00:05,080 --> 00:00:08,119 Speaker 1: From The Australian. Here's what's on the front. I'm Claire Harvey. 2 00:00:08,160 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 1: It's Friday, February thirteen, twenty twenty six. Angus Taylor is 3 00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:17,639 Speaker 1: the new leader of the Federal Liberals and leader of 4 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 1: the Opposition, and his deputy as Liberal leader is Jane Hume. 5 00:00:22,040 --> 00:00:25,880 Speaker 1: That's after a ballot where MPs dumped Susan Lee. Today 6 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:29,080 Speaker 1: Dennis Shanahan, our national editor, joins us for a look 7 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:31,760 Speaker 1: at what Taylor aims to do with the job, what 8 00:00:31,960 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 1: went wrong for Lee, and whether the Glamour candidate Andrew 9 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:40,240 Speaker 1: Hasty might try and snatch the job back anyway. That's 10 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:53,040 Speaker 1: today's story. Dennis Shanahan is The Australian's National editor. Dennis, 11 00:00:53,080 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 1: do you get a sense of deja vu when these 12 00:00:55,040 --> 00:00:57,320 Speaker 1: leadership challenges come on? Do you wake up with a 13 00:00:57,360 --> 00:00:59,320 Speaker 1: sense of dread that it might be happening today? 14 00:01:01,200 --> 00:01:02,440 Speaker 2: Yes, it is a bit like that. 15 00:01:02,560 --> 00:01:05,400 Speaker 3: I've seen quite a few over the years, and this 16 00:01:05,440 --> 00:01:08,200 Speaker 3: one has been a little bit different. It's tried to 17 00:01:08,240 --> 00:01:11,320 Speaker 3: follow some of the usual rules, but then it hasn't 18 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:14,520 Speaker 3: and a number of people have described as being weird. 19 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:17,480 Speaker 2: There's not the sense of normal momentum. 20 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:20,319 Speaker 3: There's a lot of speculation, a long way out, a 21 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:24,640 Speaker 3: lot of telegraphing well ahead of it, and really no 22 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 3: action taken about it. And then in the end when 23 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:32,360 Speaker 3: the resignation came, it took about twenty four hours before 24 00:01:32,400 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 3: the challenge was announced. So yes, this has been different, 25 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 3: but in some ways always the same. Someone has a 26 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:44,040 Speaker 3: go and then you have a vote, and sometimes they 27 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:48,240 Speaker 3: get up and sometimes they don't. But generally when you 28 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:52,639 Speaker 3: have a vote like this, a challenge against an incumbent leader, 29 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:57,800 Speaker 3: it turns into a problem for the person who wins, 30 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:02,600 Speaker 3: but also an ongoing problem for the party. We've seen 31 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:06,960 Speaker 3: this over the last two decades where a challenge has 32 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:12,800 Speaker 3: occurred during the Rad Guillard radjyears, absolutely polluted the standing 33 00:02:12,880 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 3: as a Labor party. 34 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:17,680 Speaker 2: If you ever thought about this, I'm now not the 35 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 2: leader of the Labor Party, but I'm the Prime minister. 36 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 2: Anything could happen, folks. 37 00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:26,080 Speaker 4: I've been a little bit amused by those colleagues in 38 00:02:26,120 --> 00:02:30,079 Speaker 4: the newspapers who have admitted that I have suffered more 39 00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:33,760 Speaker 4: pressure as a result of my gender than other prime 40 00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:36,520 Speaker 4: ministers in the past, but then concluded that it had 41 00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:40,560 Speaker 4: zero effect on my political position or the political position 42 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:41,680 Speaker 4: of the Labor Party. 43 00:02:41,919 --> 00:02:46,119 Speaker 2: It doesn't explain everything. It doesn't explain nothing. It explains 44 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:47,080 Speaker 2: some things. 45 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:52,960 Speaker 3: And then we had the Turnbull Abbot Morrison leadership challenges. 46 00:02:53,880 --> 00:02:57,080 Speaker 5: We have lost thirty news polls in a row. It 47 00:02:57,160 --> 00:02:59,880 Speaker 5: is clear that the people have made up their mind 48 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:02,239 Speaker 5: about mister Abbot's leadership. 49 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:05,120 Speaker 2: We are not the Labor Party. 50 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:10,560 Speaker 4: This country needs strong and stable government and that means 51 00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:15,760 Speaker 4: avoiding at all costs Labor's revolving door prime ministership. 52 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:19,600 Speaker 5: In so far as there has been chaos this week 53 00:03:19,880 --> 00:03:22,440 Speaker 5: that has been created by the wreckers, I have done 54 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:26,639 Speaker 5: everything I can to maintain the stability of government and 55 00:03:26,680 --> 00:03:28,080 Speaker 5: the stability. 56 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:28,200 Speaker 2: Of the party. 57 00:03:28,480 --> 00:03:32,280 Speaker 5: But of course if people are determined to wreck then 58 00:03:32,720 --> 00:03:34,200 Speaker 5: you know they will continue to do so. 59 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:39,400 Speaker 3: And people get very tired of this because it looks 60 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:44,440 Speaker 3: like and it is the politicians only talking about themselves 61 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 3: and their own futures. 62 00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:54,680 Speaker 1: We often talk about Anthony Albanezi as a very adept 63 00:03:54,880 --> 00:03:59,320 Speaker 1: tactical politician. He's shown time and time again that he 64 00:03:59,440 --> 00:04:02,080 Speaker 1: knows how to play the kind of dirty game of politics. 65 00:04:02,280 --> 00:04:04,880 Speaker 1: How much credit do you think he can take for 66 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:07,880 Speaker 1: the fall of Susan Lee, or at the very least 67 00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:10,080 Speaker 1: the big trouble. The Liberals now find themselves in. 68 00:04:10,600 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 2: Look. 69 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:15,680 Speaker 3: I think the official political scientist term for Anthony Albenese's 70 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:17,280 Speaker 3: approach is called rat cunning. 71 00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:19,360 Speaker 2: He understands everything. 72 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:24,080 Speaker 3: He has such a feel for insider politics. He has 73 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:28,760 Speaker 3: a great understanding of parliamentary institutions and all of Susan 74 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 3: Lee's problems, that is, the outside problems, not the one 75 00:04:33,760 --> 00:04:37,760 Speaker 3: she created herself. But they go back to Anthony Albanese 76 00:04:38,000 --> 00:04:42,720 Speaker 3: manipulating the whole process of the emergency sitting of Parliament 77 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:45,599 Speaker 3: to consider the anti Semitism and gun laws. 78 00:04:46,120 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 2: It worked far better than he could have dreamed. 79 00:04:49,080 --> 00:04:51,120 Speaker 3: He felt that he could at least put a wedge 80 00:04:51,120 --> 00:04:55,839 Speaker 3: between the Nationals and the Liberals, the ones great party 81 00:04:56,000 --> 00:05:08,960 Speaker 3: of the Liberal Party in the National Party. 82 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:06,560 Speaker 2: They've gone. They've gone. 83 00:05:06,920 --> 00:05:11,839 Speaker 3: They've gone from being a party of well, the alternative 84 00:05:11,920 --> 00:05:16,640 Speaker 3: party of government into playschool missus speaker in a play school. 85 00:05:17,839 --> 00:05:21,320 Speaker 3: Not only did he do that, he completely split the coalition. 86 00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 3: They became the story for two weeks and now as 87 00:05:25,120 --> 00:05:29,200 Speaker 3: a result of that, the polls have plummeted and Angus 88 00:05:29,320 --> 00:05:34,279 Speaker 3: Taylor has actually now moved a challenge against Susan Lee. 89 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:35,360 Speaker 2: So if she. 90 00:05:35,520 --> 00:05:39,800 Speaker 3: Fails as the Liberal leader in the ballot, then we 91 00:05:39,880 --> 00:05:44,279 Speaker 3: can think to a large degree Anthony Albaneze's rat cunning 92 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:47,880 Speaker 3: for that as well as the split in the coalition. 93 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:51,760 Speaker 1: I thought on Thursday morning that Angus Taylor has started 94 00:05:51,800 --> 00:05:55,440 Speaker 1: to look almost like an AI generated politician. He's handsome, 95 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:57,720 Speaker 1: he's tanned, he is standing in a field, he's saying 96 00:05:57,720 --> 00:05:59,560 Speaker 1: all the right things and he's very articulate. 97 00:05:59,839 --> 00:06:03,320 Speaker 6: The Great Australian Dream. I'm committing myself to the cause 98 00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:06,480 Speaker 6: of restoring our party so that it can be the 99 00:06:06,520 --> 00:06:11,840 Speaker 6: party that Australians expect and deserve, because we're running out 100 00:06:11,880 --> 00:06:14,760 Speaker 6: of time and Australia is worth fighting for. 101 00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:17,760 Speaker 1: How well do you think he's going to go at 102 00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:19,880 Speaker 1: least getting his name known by the Australian public. 103 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:21,760 Speaker 2: Well, that's his biggest problem. 104 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:23,920 Speaker 3: That is his biggest problem as far as the public 105 00:06:24,000 --> 00:06:29,160 Speaker 3: is concerned. The other Conservative contender, Andrew Hasty, is much 106 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:31,719 Speaker 3: better known in the public. He has a much better 107 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 3: message to cut through. His viral video with the old 108 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:40,719 Speaker 3: Ford Falcon there really worked for Andrew Hasty in putting 109 00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:41,960 Speaker 3: him up in lights. 110 00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:44,560 Speaker 7: I don't know about you, but I have to remind 111 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:46,960 Speaker 7: myself that we used to make cars in this country. 112 00:06:47,160 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 7: Check this car out. It's a beautiful piece of craftsmanship. 113 00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:56,320 Speaker 7: It's horsepower, it's heritage, it's grit and it's an Aussie 114 00:06:56,320 --> 00:06:59,560 Speaker 7: car made by Ossie workers for the Australian people. 115 00:07:00,360 --> 00:07:04,720 Speaker 3: Angus Taylor, although he has been a minister in the 116 00:07:04,760 --> 00:07:09,240 Speaker 3: Morrison government, he has been Shadow Treasurer, still doesn't have 117 00:07:09,640 --> 00:07:14,320 Speaker 3: the recognition level of either Susan Lee or Andrew Hasty. 118 00:07:14,880 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 3: Part of that is that he is very much a 119 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:23,440 Speaker 3: reserved person. His style is not to go out and perform, 120 00:07:23,800 --> 00:07:27,000 Speaker 3: although we've seen over the last couple of days as 121 00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:29,640 Speaker 3: he's tried to appeal to the public put out his 122 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:32,840 Speaker 3: own video with a haircut and standing under the trees, 123 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:34,880 Speaker 3: probably recorded beforehand. 124 00:07:35,360 --> 00:07:38,400 Speaker 2: And also not a particularly good look when. 125 00:07:38,240 --> 00:07:41,320 Speaker 3: Someone puts out a video saying what I stand for, 126 00:07:41,720 --> 00:07:44,360 Speaker 3: Because if you're a politician, you're running to be leader 127 00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:47,800 Speaker 3: of the opposition, running to be leader of the Liberal Party, 128 00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:51,160 Speaker 3: and you're putting out a video saying what I stand for. 129 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:54,680 Speaker 3: This is like one time Kim Beasley stood under a 130 00:07:54,680 --> 00:07:58,200 Speaker 3: placard saying what I stand for. This is not a 131 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:02,040 Speaker 3: good look and it has a portent of a real 132 00:08:02,080 --> 00:08:07,960 Speaker 3: difficulty with Angus Taylor in public, performing in media, and 133 00:08:08,520 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 3: importantly in the Parliament, because part of Susan Lee's problem 134 00:08:13,400 --> 00:08:17,520 Speaker 3: has been her inability to cut through in parliament. Part 135 00:08:17,520 --> 00:08:20,560 Speaker 3: of her problem has been to get away from the 136 00:08:20,600 --> 00:08:24,640 Speaker 3: dominance of Antony alban Asi and Tony Burke in the parliament. 137 00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:30,120 Speaker 3: And so Angus Taylor faces a real challenge in his 138 00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:35,679 Speaker 3: personal presentation and his parliamentary presentation if he becomes leader, 139 00:08:36,000 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 3: and this is part of his character, it's part of 140 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:42,120 Speaker 3: his personality and it will be part of the problem 141 00:08:42,320 --> 00:08:45,520 Speaker 3: he faces going forward if he is in fact the 142 00:08:45,679 --> 00:08:46,520 Speaker 3: Liberal leader. 143 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:50,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, the video contained absolutely nothing about what he does 144 00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 1: stand for, though he said the phrase, but then he 145 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:54,960 Speaker 1: said that he stands for the Great Australian Dream and 146 00:08:55,040 --> 00:08:58,760 Speaker 1: serving the Australian people and all stuff that any politician 147 00:08:58,960 --> 00:09:02,360 Speaker 1: might say. What direction would he actually take the Liberal 148 00:09:02,400 --> 00:09:04,680 Speaker 1: Party in? Do you think, Dennis Well? 149 00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:07,080 Speaker 3: I think this is again in a shortcoming, and a 150 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:09,960 Speaker 3: lot of the video he did create was similar to 151 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:12,800 Speaker 3: Andrew Hastis, about values and so on. Just what didn't 152 00:09:12,840 --> 00:09:15,800 Speaker 3: have the impact because it didn't talk about any policy. 153 00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:21,319 Speaker 3: This challenge is about polling and personality, it's not about 154 00:09:21,440 --> 00:09:25,800 Speaker 3: policy and all we have seen from Angus Taylor so 155 00:09:25,960 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 3: far is to say that he's not Susan Lee. And 156 00:09:29,280 --> 00:09:32,800 Speaker 3: although Susan Lee is a nice and courageous person, she 157 00:09:32,920 --> 00:09:36,160 Speaker 3: can't lead the party, but he can. This is a 158 00:09:36,240 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 3: real problem for somebody taking over one of the major 159 00:09:40,000 --> 00:09:43,599 Speaker 3: parties as leader of the opposition. He's been in opposition 160 00:09:43,640 --> 00:09:48,880 Speaker 3: for nine months and the Liberal parties in dire straits, 161 00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:52,400 Speaker 3: dire straits. We can see that he says it, and 162 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 3: he says this is a moment where the Liberal Party 163 00:09:55,880 --> 00:09:58,560 Speaker 3: it's a moment to die if they're not careful. And 164 00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:04,480 Speaker 3: yet he doesn't have an alternative agenda, an alternative. 165 00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:07,319 Speaker 2: Vision to the leader who is trying to remove. 166 00:10:12,160 --> 00:10:37,200 Speaker 1: Coming up more of my conversation with Dennis Shanahan. Susan 167 00:10:37,240 --> 00:10:39,840 Speaker 1: Lee is, of course the first female leader of the 168 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:42,800 Speaker 1: Federal Liberal Party, and I've spoken to lots of Liberal 169 00:10:42,880 --> 00:10:46,240 Speaker 1: women who in the past few years are pretty despairing 170 00:10:46,280 --> 00:10:49,840 Speaker 1: about their prospects of ever advancing in a party. As 171 00:10:50,000 --> 00:10:52,880 Speaker 1: obviously its popularity shrinks, you know, it's harder and harder 172 00:10:52,880 --> 00:10:55,200 Speaker 1: to get any seat at all, really hard to get 173 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:57,760 Speaker 1: into a winnable seat, because you need to have done 174 00:10:57,800 --> 00:11:01,040 Speaker 1: the work with pre selection committees and branch meetings that 175 00:11:01,400 --> 00:11:04,120 Speaker 1: often women haven't had the time to do because they're 176 00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:08,160 Speaker 1: raising families, building careers, are busy people. What do you 177 00:11:08,200 --> 00:11:11,520 Speaker 1: think the fact that Susan Lee has only lasted such 178 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:14,120 Speaker 1: a short amount of time says about the Liberal Party's 179 00:11:14,240 --> 00:11:17,599 Speaker 1: attitude to women or is it actually completely irrelevant? 180 00:11:18,200 --> 00:11:21,199 Speaker 3: Look, it's not completely irrelevant, and in fact the Prime 181 00:11:21,200 --> 00:11:24,960 Speaker 3: Minister in Parliament on Thursday made a great point about it, 182 00:11:25,320 --> 00:11:28,640 Speaker 3: as does other ministers saying, oh, the Liberal Party doesn't 183 00:11:28,640 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 3: treat women well, they don't have Liberal women in all 184 00:11:32,679 --> 00:11:37,760 Speaker 3: levels of positions of power. It was all about trying 185 00:11:37,800 --> 00:11:42,120 Speaker 3: to blacken Angus Taylor as being a misogynist who is 186 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:47,720 Speaker 3: undermining and trying to remove the first female federal Liberal leader. 187 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:50,199 Speaker 2: Now that is all pertinent. 188 00:11:50,559 --> 00:11:53,720 Speaker 3: I think that as far as the Poles are concerned, 189 00:11:54,040 --> 00:11:58,120 Speaker 3: as far as the draining of support in the polls 190 00:11:58,559 --> 00:12:02,360 Speaker 3: and at branch level from the Liberals and the Nationals 191 00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 3: to One Nation, and we have in the latest News 192 00:12:05,480 --> 00:12:10,040 Speaker 3: poll One Nation at twenty seven percent primary vote. This 193 00:12:10,240 --> 00:12:14,079 Speaker 3: is a good eight or nine points above the coalition, 194 00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:20,000 Speaker 3: making the Coalition the third party on primary support. And 195 00:12:20,200 --> 00:12:25,000 Speaker 3: this really doesn't have anything to do with the gender 196 00:12:25,520 --> 00:12:31,080 Speaker 3: of Susan Lee. It is about her own problems as leader, 197 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:35,480 Speaker 3: ineptitude in the House, and a lack of talent around her. 198 00:12:36,200 --> 00:12:40,600 Speaker 3: One of the points here is after the devastating loss, 199 00:12:41,040 --> 00:12:44,680 Speaker 3: the Liberal Party and the National Party have been reduced 200 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:48,680 Speaker 3: to their bare bones of talent, and a lot of 201 00:12:48,720 --> 00:12:51,800 Speaker 3: the talent is in the Senate where it can't make 202 00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:55,679 Speaker 3: an impact on the leadership and on the daily parliamentary 203 00:12:55,720 --> 00:12:59,960 Speaker 3: attacks on the government. So I don't think it's irreli 204 00:13:00,600 --> 00:13:04,280 Speaker 3: but I don't think it is a major issue. 205 00:13:06,040 --> 00:13:08,840 Speaker 1: What do you think about the future of the coalition now, Dennis, 206 00:13:08,880 --> 00:13:11,800 Speaker 1: We saw an embarrassing breakup and then get back together, 207 00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:13,440 Speaker 1: then a break up again, and then they got back 208 00:13:13,480 --> 00:13:16,680 Speaker 1: together again. Seems that's only a few days ago, and 209 00:13:16,760 --> 00:13:21,200 Speaker 1: it seems pretty fragile. Can Angus Taylor hold this coalition 210 00:13:21,280 --> 00:13:22,920 Speaker 1: together better than Susan Lee could? 211 00:13:23,880 --> 00:13:27,480 Speaker 3: Well, you have to give Susan Lee credit because it's 212 00:13:27,520 --> 00:13:31,360 Speaker 3: my view that the National Party was unrealistic in the 213 00:13:31,400 --> 00:13:34,959 Speaker 3: way it went about the first breakup that we've had two, 214 00:13:35,679 --> 00:13:38,559 Speaker 3: and then the second one was particularly bitter, with the 215 00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:42,200 Speaker 3: National Party leader David Little Proud saying he couldn't work 216 00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:43,480 Speaker 3: with Susan Lee. 217 00:13:44,120 --> 00:13:46,160 Speaker 1: You're saying that you cannot work with Susan Lee. So 218 00:13:46,840 --> 00:13:48,360 Speaker 1: who can you work with? 219 00:13:48,440 --> 00:13:52,080 Speaker 2: Who should be leading the Liberal Party? Well that's up 220 00:13:52,080 --> 00:13:52,960 Speaker 2: to the Liberal Party. 221 00:13:55,880 --> 00:14:00,200 Speaker 3: Now that's unprecedented and it is not helpful for the 222 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:04,000 Speaker 3: Liberal leader, but I think for Angus Taylor if he 223 00:14:04,120 --> 00:14:09,520 Speaker 3: becomes leader. One technicality here is that agreement that Susan 224 00:14:09,600 --> 00:14:13,200 Speaker 3: Lee and David Little Proud signed only last week, which 225 00:14:13,320 --> 00:14:17,120 Speaker 3: was a great victory for Susan Lee and David Little 226 00:14:17,120 --> 00:14:20,240 Speaker 3: Proud saying we've got this agreement, we can all work together, 227 00:14:20,560 --> 00:14:22,440 Speaker 3: we've got the imperative of winning. 228 00:14:22,960 --> 00:14:25,840 Speaker 2: That agreement has to be signed again because it's. 229 00:14:25,720 --> 00:14:29,680 Speaker 3: Between the leaders, and now Angus Taylor has to go 230 00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:31,440 Speaker 3: and he can say, oh, I'm just going to tick 231 00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:34,680 Speaker 3: this off and tick off the agreement that Susan Lee 232 00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:38,720 Speaker 3: won last week, or are the Nationals going to say, oh, 233 00:14:38,800 --> 00:14:40,360 Speaker 3: we think we might have a bit more here. 234 00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:44,120 Speaker 2: So the coalition is still on. 235 00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:49,440 Speaker 3: Very thin ice and at the mercy of just having 236 00:14:49,800 --> 00:14:53,720 Speaker 3: one or two National Party front benches, and I know 237 00:14:53,800 --> 00:14:56,760 Speaker 3: there are one or two who are not happy with 238 00:14:56,840 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 3: that agreement that David Little Proud signed with Susan Lee. 239 00:15:01,280 --> 00:15:04,000 Speaker 3: And so the coalition could be right back where it 240 00:15:04,160 --> 00:15:06,920 Speaker 3: was last week at the end of this week or 241 00:15:06,920 --> 00:15:10,800 Speaker 3: when parliament resumes, when all National Party members come back 242 00:15:10,840 --> 00:15:11,720 Speaker 3: onto the front bench. 243 00:15:11,920 --> 00:15:13,840 Speaker 1: It's a very long way back to the lodge from 244 00:15:13,880 --> 00:15:16,800 Speaker 1: where the coalition is now. It's probably going to be 245 00:15:16,840 --> 00:15:19,880 Speaker 1: two elections at least. Is this a bad time to 246 00:15:19,880 --> 00:15:21,600 Speaker 1: be getting the leadership given that you're going to have 247 00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:23,760 Speaker 1: to work very hard for not a lot of result 248 00:15:23,880 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 1: for probably years on end, and then some glamour candidate 249 00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:30,320 Speaker 1: might come in closer to victory time and you will 250 00:15:30,320 --> 00:15:31,480 Speaker 1: have done it all for nothing. 251 00:15:31,840 --> 00:15:34,160 Speaker 3: This is precisely the view of a lot of the 252 00:15:34,200 --> 00:15:39,720 Speaker 3: Conservative supporters, because yes, the polling is terrible and it's 253 00:15:39,760 --> 00:15:43,840 Speaker 3: probably going to get worse, particularly after another leadership challenge. 254 00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:48,800 Speaker 3: So whoever becomes leader or is leader after the meeting 255 00:15:48,840 --> 00:15:53,240 Speaker 3: on Friday, they will face further tough polling and a 256 00:15:53,320 --> 00:15:56,560 Speaker 3: drop in the polls. There's no doubt about that. And 257 00:15:56,920 --> 00:16:02,680 Speaker 3: for Angus Taylor, he will have had his shot and 258 00:16:03,280 --> 00:16:07,120 Speaker 3: if he's become leader he can then face all of 259 00:16:07,120 --> 00:16:10,320 Speaker 3: these difficulties we've talked about a whole range of difficulties, 260 00:16:10,360 --> 00:16:12,880 Speaker 3: much beyond just the change of leader. This isn't going 261 00:16:12,920 --> 00:16:17,280 Speaker 3: to solve any of the Liberal Party's problems. And so 262 00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:20,520 Speaker 3: what we will see will be a continuation of poor polling, 263 00:16:20,840 --> 00:16:25,600 Speaker 3: a continuation of disaffection with the Liberal Party, divisions within 264 00:16:25,640 --> 00:16:32,640 Speaker 3: the coalition, and the prospect that Andrew Hasty, the other Conservative, 265 00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:36,640 Speaker 3: the frankly more popular, that is in the public's mind, 266 00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:41,520 Speaker 3: candidate of Andrew Hasty will then be able. 267 00:16:41,240 --> 00:16:44,000 Speaker 2: To drop in. As you say, the Glamour candidate. 268 00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:48,360 Speaker 3: Andrew Hasty is considered the Glamor candidate former sas officer, 269 00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:53,160 Speaker 3: good looking, young family, lots of ideas, likes Ford Falcons. 270 00:16:53,520 --> 00:16:58,920 Speaker 3: So there's a much greater prospect of Andrew Hasty coming 271 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:04,679 Speaker 3: in for the next election and removing Angus Taylor. 272 00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:07,000 Speaker 2: This is a real possibility. 273 00:17:07,520 --> 00:17:11,480 Speaker 3: Or and remember Andrew Hast He's still young enough he 274 00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:14,600 Speaker 3: can hang around for the election after that. And so, 275 00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:17,480 Speaker 3: in the brief answer your question is it's not the 276 00:17:17,520 --> 00:17:18,760 Speaker 3: best of times to become. 277 00:17:18,680 --> 00:17:19,760 Speaker 2: Leader of the Liberal Party. 278 00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:22,560 Speaker 3: But there are people who take the view that is, 279 00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:25,080 Speaker 3: if you're the leader and you get the opportunity to 280 00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:26,040 Speaker 3: be the leader, you. 281 00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:28,920 Speaker 2: Take it no matter when and no matter for how long. 282 00:17:29,119 --> 00:17:31,480 Speaker 2: It's a tough game. Dennis Shanahan. Thank you very much. 283 00:17:31,840 --> 00:17:41,240 Speaker 2: Thank you. Claire Dennish Shanahan. 284 00:17:40,840 --> 00:17:43,680 Speaker 1: Is The Australian's National editor. You can check out all 285 00:17:43,760 --> 00:17:47,600 Speaker 1: his reporting and analysis, and of course we'll be covering 286 00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:53,560 Speaker 1: all the leadership drama live at The Australian dot com 287 00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:51,639 Speaker 1: dot a