WEBVTT - Paul Murray Live | 15 January 0:00:00.120 --> 0:00:05.080 From the sky in center. This is Paul Murray Live. 0:00:06.360 --> 0:00:07.920 You know mate, Thank you, Sherry, come on into the 0:00:07.960 --> 0:00:10.200 man Cave. There is a massive storm that is over 0:00:10.240 --> 0:00:13.200 Sydney right now, but I'm sad to say that in 0:00:13.240 --> 0:00:15.840 the lead up to it a man has due three 0:00:15.880 --> 0:00:19.200 hours west of Sydney and Cara as a tree fell 0:00:19.280 --> 0:00:22.600 on his car. Believe the man was in his eighties. 0:00:22.880 --> 0:00:25.319 If you are anywhere near it, please take care, be 0:00:25.480 --> 0:00:26.880 safe and do all of the people that will be 0:00:26.920 --> 0:00:29.800 out and about, from the sees to the fire brigades 0:00:29.840 --> 0:00:31.720 and all of the emergency services, thank you for what 0:00:31.760 --> 0:00:33.920 you do in these times that are quite difficult. But 0:00:33.920 --> 0:00:36.160 big storm out of Melbourne a couple of days ago. 0:00:36.400 --> 0:00:38.760 Plenty in Queensland, but right now the concern is in 0:00:38.800 --> 0:00:41.720 and around New South Wales, particularly Sydney copying an absolute 0:00:41.720 --> 0:00:44.040 thumping right now. This thing is a real squall with 0:00:44.080 --> 0:00:45.800 a lot of wind, a lot of rain, a lot 0:00:45.800 --> 0:00:50.000 of lightning with it as well. So hopefully well everyone 0:00:50.040 --> 0:00:51.839 comes out the other side in the meantime. Plenty to 0:00:51.840 --> 0:00:54.040 do tonight on the show, including no Sorooks. No left 0:00:54.080 --> 0:00:57.279 his first week back. I'm being kind making sure that 0:00:57.360 --> 0:01:00.440 you have friendly faces around you, including the Wonderfu brom Bishop, 0:01:00.520 --> 0:01:03.440 who is back on the show doing what she does best, 0:01:03.480 --> 0:01:06.280 which is putting people in their place, taking names, all 0:01:06.280 --> 0:01:08.640 the rest of it. The carry out a champ as 0:01:08.640 --> 0:01:10.960 always will be here and she'll be here in a 0:01:11.000 --> 0:01:13.240 moment of two's time. I've got a bit more data 0:01:13.480 --> 0:01:15.680 that's going to tell you about how Peter Dutton is 0:01:15.800 --> 0:01:18.720 starting to win the start of the political year. Now 0:01:19.080 --> 0:01:20.559 I'm not telling you he's going to win the election, 0:01:20.640 --> 0:01:23.679 but wait till I compare and contrast, and we've actually 0:01:23.720 --> 0:01:26.080 got some data about this about how he's going at 0:01:26.080 --> 0:01:28.640 the start of the year versus of course each way 0:01:28.680 --> 0:01:32.200 out by. There's also more information about rental properties and 0:01:32.360 --> 0:01:35.479 somewhere other than Melbourne is the second most expensive place 0:01:35.520 --> 0:01:38.280 to get a rental property in Australia after Sydney. We'll 0:01:38.280 --> 0:01:40.280 get to all of that in a moment or two's time, 0:01:40.840 --> 0:01:45.119 but first we are six days away from a change 0:01:45.120 --> 0:01:47.800 of government in the United States, just six days away 0:01:47.840 --> 0:01:49.760 from when the President of the United States goes from 0:01:49.800 --> 0:01:51.960 bumbling Biden to a bloke who was the peak of 0:01:51.960 --> 0:01:55.360 his powers in Donald Trump. Now you remember one of 0:01:55.400 --> 0:01:57.840 the things that we learned out of the American election 0:01:58.520 --> 0:02:01.760 was that the polls are not ohright, gospel. Remember how 0:02:01.800 --> 0:02:03.760 we were told Uphill and down Dale that it was 0:02:03.800 --> 0:02:05.960 close and super close, and even I was telling you 0:02:05.960 --> 0:02:08.399 at times things were super close. The reality, of course, 0:02:08.400 --> 0:02:09.960 he won the popular vote, he won all of the 0:02:09.960 --> 0:02:13.760 swing states, and he is back with a thumping majority 0:02:13.760 --> 0:02:17.520 in the Senate and control of the House as well. Well, 0:02:17.800 --> 0:02:19.840 what did the book he say about the battle here 0:02:19.880 --> 0:02:22.359 in Australia first week that we're back on the air, 0:02:22.400 --> 0:02:25.359 first real week of the election season as we get 0:02:25.400 --> 0:02:27.440 ready for one that will happen in the next couple 0:02:27.480 --> 0:02:31.000 of months. Well, the battle between the Prime Minister and 0:02:31.040 --> 0:02:34.400 the alternative Prime Minister, interestingly, is one where the book 0:02:34.560 --> 0:02:39.160 is telling us currently Labor is in a world of trouble, 0:02:39.200 --> 0:02:42.720 and believe it or not, the actual favorite right now 0:02:43.040 --> 0:02:45.720 the Coalition. Let's have a look at a whole collection 0:02:45.840 --> 0:02:49.920 of the bookies that have put their numbers forward. Labor 0:02:50.200 --> 0:02:53.840 currently is two dollars ten and the Coalition is the 0:02:53.880 --> 0:02:56.839 favorite according to sports Bet at a dollar seventy two. 0:02:57.240 --> 0:03:05.480 The same margin for the people after the election will 0:03:05.480 --> 0:03:09.560 be Peter Dutton. The tob ever so slightly better for 0:03:09.600 --> 0:03:12.079 the Labor Party, but still showing that the favorite three 0:03:12.080 --> 0:03:14.840 different book is and again bookies could be wrong. Famously 0:03:14.880 --> 0:03:16.920 one of them was very wrong in twenty nineteen, but 0:03:17.320 --> 0:03:19.959 the bookies were so right in and around the American election. 0:03:20.120 --> 0:03:22.640 This is going to be my north start to push 0:03:22.680 --> 0:03:26.040 through much of the garbage that is there. Also worth 0:03:26.080 --> 0:03:29.200 noting here too is that we have a start to 0:03:29.240 --> 0:03:31.880 this election year where we have a Prime Minister who's 0:03:31.880 --> 0:03:33.959 trying to buy his way out of trouble an announcement 0:03:34.000 --> 0:03:37.360 a day millions yere billions there, and Peter Dutton who 0:03:37.360 --> 0:03:41.240 is focusing on values. Now again I've got some data 0:03:41.240 --> 0:03:43.000 for you in a second that's going to help explain 0:03:43.040 --> 0:03:47.200 how these two teams are prosecuting the early days. But 0:03:47.280 --> 0:03:49.880 while Peter Dutton is talking about big things like a 0:03:49.960 --> 0:03:53.680 National Day, how it should be enshrined in law, how 0:03:53.760 --> 0:03:57.520 councils should lose their capacity to basically do anything other 0:03:57.560 --> 0:03:59.840 than do it on the twenty sixth or don't do 0:03:59.880 --> 0:04:03.240 it at all. But the Prime Minister, he is playing 0:04:03.240 --> 0:04:05.480 a very old school game here, which is turn up 0:04:05.520 --> 0:04:09.480 somewhere and throw money at a problem. Now, Tasmania is 0:04:09.520 --> 0:04:12.760 a place where the Labor Party holds two seats. The 0:04:12.760 --> 0:04:15.840 Liberal Party holds one seat, and then an independent of 0:04:15.920 --> 0:04:19.600 course holds the other. The expectation is is that if 0:04:19.920 --> 0:04:22.760 they lose a seat like Bradden or Lyons the two 0:04:22.800 --> 0:04:25.200 that Labor currently holds, then of course things get worse 0:04:25.200 --> 0:04:27.960 for the government they move into minority, things get better 0:04:28.400 --> 0:04:31.560 for the bookie's favorite in Peter Dutton. Well, today the 0:04:31.560 --> 0:04:37.320 Prime Minister was in Tasmania announcing more money, this time Davenport, 0:04:37.360 --> 0:04:40.720 six million dollars to events that are there. Why it's 0:04:40.760 --> 0:04:42.360 a way of trying to hold on to the seat. 0:04:42.360 --> 0:04:44.760 But again does anyone remember this announcement in a couple 0:04:44.800 --> 0:04:46.840 of days time. This is on top of the more 0:04:46.880 --> 0:04:49.840 than ten b four billion dollars which have announced thus far. 0:04:49.880 --> 0:04:52.880 When it comes to the NBN or roads, and as 0:04:52.920 --> 0:04:54.920 we went through in chapter and verse last night, when 0:04:54.920 --> 0:04:57.599 it comes to priorities. While I have no doubt that 0:04:57.640 --> 0:05:01.040 things are needed in Davenport or Nara as they have been, 0:05:01.120 --> 0:05:03.360 and certainly the Bruce Highway which should have been dealt 0:05:03.360 --> 0:05:06.480 with years agott alone three years ago, let alone five 0:05:06.560 --> 0:05:09.719 years into the future, we live in a country where 0:05:10.040 --> 0:05:12.960 as I told you last night, one in three people 0:05:12.960 --> 0:05:15.520 are struggling at the moment as parents to pay for 0:05:15.560 --> 0:05:19.279 their school costs, and people are now turning to maxing 0:05:19.279 --> 0:05:21.760 out their credit card or going to the old fashioned 0:05:21.760 --> 0:05:24.840 bank of grandma or grandpa to try to find a 0:05:24.960 --> 0:05:29.520 way to pay for those school expenses. If the Prime 0:05:29.560 --> 0:05:31.800 minister's got six million dollars to try to hold in 0:05:31.839 --> 0:05:34.280 a marginal seed, surely he's got millions of dollars to 0:05:34.279 --> 0:05:36.440 take care of the charity sector. I'm going to keep 0:05:36.440 --> 0:05:38.800 talking about this. They should be cracking off hundreds of 0:05:38.839 --> 0:05:40.760 millions of dollars for the charity sector that's taken care 0:05:40.800 --> 0:05:42.960 of people right now. They have to be making it 0:05:43.000 --> 0:05:45.760 easier for the people who are the parents of the 0:05:45.839 --> 0:05:48.800 kids who are financially struggling to make sure that they 0:05:48.800 --> 0:05:51.240 do not fall behind in confidence or in any other 0:05:51.279 --> 0:05:54.039 way when they go to school. Prime Minister, it's up 0:05:54.040 --> 0:05:55.760 to you. You can hold a press conference today with an 0:05:55.760 --> 0:05:58.919 announcement nobody will remember, or you can do something that 0:05:59.000 --> 0:06:04.320 will actually make people's lives better. But I mentioned before 0:06:05.000 --> 0:06:07.719 about the data part of this, and you know that 0:06:07.760 --> 0:06:09.599 when it comes to this show, I try to show 0:06:09.640 --> 0:06:12.800 you the information, the data from a neutral source. And 0:06:12.880 --> 0:06:14.760 yes there's a lot of opinion that I will put 0:06:14.800 --> 0:06:16.960 in and around it. Put simply, the data are either 0:06:16.960 --> 0:06:19.560 the bricks of the argument. The mortar is the opinion, 0:06:19.680 --> 0:06:25.000 and hopefully it becomes a wall on which lies crash 0:06:25.600 --> 0:06:29.440 to go all John Dutton on you as I quickly 0:06:29.480 --> 0:06:33.279 remember that show Yellowstone. Well. Interestingly, today the Australian Financial 0:06:33.279 --> 0:06:35.839 Review pulled out the speeches, every speech, every press conference 0:06:35.839 --> 0:06:38.000 which has been made by both the Prime Minister and 0:06:38.120 --> 0:06:41.080 by Peter Dutton since the start of this election year, 0:06:42.320 --> 0:06:44.680 and they put it through the old computer and they 0:06:44.760 --> 0:06:47.760 used a bit of AI. Here. AI analysis shows that 0:06:47.760 --> 0:06:50.720 the Prime Minister most frequently is using adjectives to pain 0:06:50.800 --> 0:06:54.080 a more positive vision, including words such as good, important, 0:06:54.240 --> 0:06:59.320 and successful to describe his government. Meantime, Peter Dutton says 0:06:59.400 --> 0:07:03.000 week in competent, the worst, and shameful are among his 0:07:03.160 --> 0:07:06.720 most colorful and repeated adjectives to describe both the Prime 0:07:06.760 --> 0:07:10.480 Minister and the government as the weakest since federation, while 0:07:10.520 --> 0:07:16.800 describing himself as a strong leader who would fix the problems. Now, 0:07:16.880 --> 0:07:22.160 let me explain why this is particularly interesting, because you see, 0:07:22.200 --> 0:07:24.720 if the Prime Minister is to win this election, then 0:07:24.760 --> 0:07:27.600 Australia has to believe that he is a government that 0:07:27.680 --> 0:07:30.600 has made the country better in the past three years, 0:07:30.880 --> 0:07:33.720 no evidence of that, and if he was to be 0:07:33.720 --> 0:07:37.120 given even more power into the future then of course 0:07:37.120 --> 0:07:40.880 he would continue to build the narrative. But the reality 0:07:40.960 --> 0:07:43.520 is that Australians are much closer to where Peter Dutton is, 0:07:43.520 --> 0:07:45.960 which is why the bookies are suggesting that there may 0:07:46.000 --> 0:07:49.520 well be a shock result at the upcoming federal election. 0:07:50.000 --> 0:07:51.720 In fact, let me show you this here because there's 0:07:51.720 --> 0:07:54.240 a whole bunch of poles that are worth showing you, 0:07:54.520 --> 0:07:58.160 a whole collection of poles that show here about the 0:07:58.240 --> 0:08:01.440 right and wrong direction of the country. Now, this one 0:08:01.960 --> 0:08:04.480 is from the Roy Morgan people and it came out 0:08:04.960 --> 0:08:08.360 this week that just thirty and a half percent of 0:08:08.400 --> 0:08:10.760 people believe the country is headed in the right direction. 0:08:11.560 --> 0:08:13.320 Fifty four percent of people say it's headed in the 0:08:13.360 --> 0:08:15.400 wrong direction. That number of thirty in a bit is 0:08:15.440 --> 0:08:18.760 basically the primary vote of the Labor Party right now. 0:08:19.000 --> 0:08:20.920 But let me show you some more here as we 0:08:21.000 --> 0:08:23.600 have a look at our next slide from the Essential 0:08:23.640 --> 0:08:25.480 Research Group. These are the people who come out and 0:08:25.920 --> 0:08:28.280 the Guardian poles will often be there. You can see 0:08:28.280 --> 0:08:30.160 that the right track for the country is just thirty 0:08:30.200 --> 0:08:33.680 one percent, basically the same as the previous one, and 0:08:33.720 --> 0:08:37.480 the wrong track is currently at fifty one percent. But 0:08:37.520 --> 0:08:39.640 then there is this one that I really have to 0:08:39.679 --> 0:08:42.079 show you, which is, can you name one thing that 0:08:42.120 --> 0:08:45.120 the federal government has done to make your life financially better? 0:08:46.200 --> 0:08:49.319 Seventy three percent of people can't say. Seventy three percent 0:08:49.360 --> 0:08:52.480 of people can't name one thing, not too little, too late, 0:08:52.520 --> 0:08:54.319 tax cards, not all of the other stuff that they 0:08:54.360 --> 0:08:57.280 claim has made massive changes when it comes to cost 0:08:57.280 --> 0:09:00.800 of living. And when you actually break this down even more, 0:09:01.000 --> 0:09:03.960 let me show you this. All voters seventy three percent 0:09:04.080 --> 0:09:07.800 can't name a single thing the government's done. Labor voters 0:09:09.240 --> 0:09:12.840 thirty six percent of them say, you can name something, 0:09:13.120 --> 0:09:15.480 but that's the best the government goes. We're back that 0:09:15.559 --> 0:09:18.360 seventy eight percent of people who didn't want this government 0:09:18.400 --> 0:09:20.760 in the first place, seventy percent of people who give 0:09:20.760 --> 0:09:24.520 their preferences to this government, seventy nine percent of people 0:09:24.840 --> 0:09:27.280 who vote one nation. This is an indication that their 0:09:27.320 --> 0:09:30.320 preferences most likely go back to the Liberal party like 0:09:30.360 --> 0:09:33.679 they did in twenty nineteen. Liberal win versus what happened 0:09:33.679 --> 0:09:36.520 in twenty twenty two and others which can be everything 0:09:36.600 --> 0:09:40.960 from the Libertarian through to the Teals seventy six percent 0:09:42.679 --> 0:09:45.320 also something that shows you about who is winning the 0:09:45.360 --> 0:09:47.719 early days and while the Prime Minister might be out 0:09:47.720 --> 0:09:50.280 there trying to do the lefty Jedi mind trick that 0:09:50.320 --> 0:09:53.120 everything's okay and he's a builder and your life is 0:09:53.160 --> 0:09:55.000 better than it was three years ago, when you know 0:09:55.080 --> 0:09:57.959 your life has been much worse over the past three years, 0:09:58.160 --> 0:10:01.120 and why would you reward the people who remember promised 0:10:01.160 --> 0:10:03.400 to make it better, not in the Nevan never they 0:10:03.440 --> 0:10:06.280 promised in twenty twenty two. Well we know that in 0:10:06.280 --> 0:10:09.680 twenty twenty three they took fifteen hundred dollars off ten 0:10:09.880 --> 0:10:14.560 million working Australians and things have got worse through of 0:10:14.559 --> 0:10:17.280 course twenty twenty four, and now as we move our 0:10:17.320 --> 0:10:20.760 way to twenty twenty five, there have been twelve interest 0:10:20.800 --> 0:10:23.160 rate rises under this mod and even if the Reserve 0:10:23.200 --> 0:10:25.280 Bank does what fingers crossed we all hope it does 0:10:25.760 --> 0:10:27.800 in the upcoming meeting of pulling it back, you've still 0:10:27.840 --> 0:10:32.040 got the effective pressure of those three years and a 0:10:32.160 --> 0:10:34.600 dozen interest rate rises, which were not clear by the 0:10:34.640 --> 0:10:37.920 time of the election. But again some of the analysis 0:10:37.920 --> 0:10:40.920 that was done by the Financial Review today was the 0:10:40.960 --> 0:10:49.520 Prime Minister loves talking about himself myself man may. In fact, 0:10:49.640 --> 0:10:52.800 they actually counted it, and God loved them for doing so, 0:10:53.160 --> 0:10:55.959 because they saved me the trouble. Right. The data shows 0:10:55.960 --> 0:10:59.360 that mister Abnezi has used first person pronouns such as 0:10:59.720 --> 0:11:03.760 me or my more frequently than mister Dunden. In fact, 0:11:04.120 --> 0:11:07.280 four hundred and forty three times since the start of 0:11:07.320 --> 0:11:10.520 the year he has said I, me or my compared 0:11:10.559 --> 0:11:14.040 to forty sorry, just eighty two that are there for 0:11:14.080 --> 0:11:18.000 the alternative Prime Minister, which brings us to the analysis 0:11:18.040 --> 0:11:20.040 again inside this article. But a person who will be 0:11:20.080 --> 0:11:22.880 a guest on this program once the tennis is done 0:11:22.880 --> 0:11:25.840 and we get up into the full run towards the election. 0:11:26.120 --> 0:11:27.520 Sunday Nights, by the way, is going to be a 0:11:27.520 --> 0:11:30.079 particular focus when Costa Mars and Michael Kroger are going 0:11:30.080 --> 0:11:32.040 to get right into the state of the race. And 0:11:32.080 --> 0:11:34.000 I don't just mean the polls, I mean the stuff 0:11:34.000 --> 0:11:36.120 behind the polls, the machine. It's going to be a 0:11:36.120 --> 0:11:38.079 big thing Sunday Night, each and every Sunday night here 0:11:38.080 --> 0:11:40.360 on Paul Murray Life. Well. Costamars, of course is a 0:11:40.440 --> 0:11:43.800 former Labor pollster. He's helped the teals out in the past, 0:11:43.800 --> 0:11:46.680 but he runs a polling a mob called Redbridge. This 0:11:46.840 --> 0:11:50.280 is what he says about the slogans. At the moment, 0:11:50.360 --> 0:11:52.640 Labor has a lot more work to do to make 0:11:52.679 --> 0:11:55.360 sure that its slogan works. Kind of the same as 0:11:55.360 --> 0:11:57.440 my view, which is, if the opinion polls are all 0:11:57.440 --> 0:11:59.720 saying the country said in the wrong direction, a government saying, 0:11:59.760 --> 0:12:02.680 send us back, because we've put it in the right direction. 0:12:03.080 --> 0:12:04.920 They're only where about a third of the country is. 0:12:05.520 --> 0:12:10.480 What's missing is meaningful policy action. The PM just doesn't 0:12:10.520 --> 0:12:14.120 have the ballast being the policy record or reform. But 0:12:14.280 --> 0:12:17.240 simply that's a polite way of saying nothing got better 0:12:17.240 --> 0:12:19.480 in the past three years. What can he point to? Yes, 0:12:19.520 --> 0:12:22.280 he can point to some rather significant legislation when it 0:12:22.280 --> 0:12:25.040 comes to things like public housing. He can point to 0:12:25.080 --> 0:12:27.360 two little too late tax pads. But remember the people 0:12:27.440 --> 0:12:30.000 most in need of those with the people who got 0:12:30.040 --> 0:12:34.040 the least people on forty five thousand dollars a year, 0:12:34.120 --> 0:12:37.920 we're getting fourteen dollars a week. Oh but we've done 0:12:37.920 --> 0:12:40.440 something about power bills, wasn't the promise? By twenty twenty 0:12:40.480 --> 0:12:43.880 five they'd be down by two hundred and seventy five dollars. Well, 0:12:43.920 --> 0:12:47.000 of course they have gone way up, and inflation is 0:12:47.040 --> 0:12:49.920 only being artificially held down by government handouts that mean 0:12:50.080 --> 0:12:53.079 three hundred dollars a year, or more importantly, twenty five 0:12:53.320 --> 0:12:57.720 dollars a month is being knocked off the bills, not 0:12:57.880 --> 0:13:00.000 by reducing the cost of the electricity, but just by 0:13:00.120 --> 0:13:03.080 hanging the electricity companies to knock twenty five dollars a 0:13:03.160 --> 0:13:09.720 month off your bill. Meantime, mister Samaris says about Peter 0:13:09.840 --> 0:13:12.760 Dutton and his start to the year, his messaging, how 0:13:12.800 --> 0:13:15.160 his messaging matches up with the poles, matches up with 0:13:15.200 --> 0:13:18.880 the bookies, and matches up with the mood of the country. 0:13:19.200 --> 0:13:22.240 The same part of the country that turned on the 0:13:22.280 --> 0:13:25.120 Liberal Party just three years ago, that turned on the 0:13:25.200 --> 0:13:30.040 Labor Party, what twelve years ago that turned on John 0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:32.120 Howard back in two thousand and seven, that sliver of 0:13:32.120 --> 0:13:34.680 Australia five to ten percent that flipped one way or 0:13:34.679 --> 0:13:37.720 the other. Dutton is tapping into an underlying sentiment that 0:13:37.800 --> 0:13:41.720 the country seems rudderless and Albinizi is not a strong leader. 0:13:42.240 --> 0:13:45.240 The mindset that the next five to ten years are 0:13:45.320 --> 0:13:48.400 very uncertain and in those times you need a strong leader. 0:13:48.480 --> 0:13:50.959 Dutton slogan, which of course is putting the country back 0:13:50.960 --> 0:13:56.520 on track, capitalizes on a lot of low hanging fruit. 0:13:57.880 --> 0:14:00.280 But as always, my friends in the press galery, oh 0:14:00.360 --> 0:14:03.480 don't they love this program and have for the better 0:14:03.520 --> 0:14:06.360 part of fifteen years now. Occasionally there are some exceptions, 0:14:06.360 --> 0:14:08.160 and I'm sorry to throw them all in together, but 0:14:08.400 --> 0:14:11.080 generally speaking sort of, you know, seven out of ten 0:14:11.960 --> 0:14:15.520 are all cheering for this government to find its mojor. 0:14:17.440 --> 0:14:20.560 And while I am an opinion host and you expect 0:14:20.600 --> 0:14:23.520 opinion to come from me, it is weird when people 0:14:23.560 --> 0:14:28.800 who claim to be independent reporters tell us pretty obviously 0:14:28.840 --> 0:14:32.160 which side they're going to be batting for now. A 0:14:32.200 --> 0:14:35.200 significant figure in news over at Channel ten is Hugh Rimington, 0:14:35.280 --> 0:14:38.280 formerly over at Channel nine, and he's sort of in 0:14:38.320 --> 0:14:40.040 and out of the political sphere at the moment. But 0:14:40.080 --> 0:14:42.160 he decided not to write on the ten website but 0:14:42.200 --> 0:14:45.360 to write on the turbul Times today giving free advice 0:14:45.400 --> 0:14:47.920 to the Prime Minister about how he could save his backside. 0:14:48.560 --> 0:14:52.880 Why would any independent journalist be sitting and telling one 0:14:52.880 --> 0:14:55.680 side of politics how to win, unless, of course, they 0:14:55.680 --> 0:14:59.520 want that team to win. Anthony Albineazi couldn't sell a 0:14:59.560 --> 0:15:02.320 schooner to a shearer, and there's plenty of criticism in 0:15:02.360 --> 0:15:05.600 the article, but he says, what would Nick Xenophon do? 0:15:05.720 --> 0:15:08.000 Put simply more stunts, and that's the way that he 0:15:08.040 --> 0:15:11.160 would be able to connect with people, and presumably if 0:15:11.160 --> 0:15:13.040 he was able to connect with people, then his message 0:15:13.040 --> 0:15:16.600 would start to work and he would win an election. Again, 0:15:17.120 --> 0:15:19.720 I never hide that this is an opinion program. It's 0:15:19.720 --> 0:15:22.520 been loud, proud and strong for as long as we've 0:15:22.560 --> 0:15:25.520 been on the air and all my life before and after. 0:15:26.960 --> 0:15:28.760 But these people are the ones who look down on 0:15:28.800 --> 0:15:31.080 programs like this, who look down on viewers like you 0:15:31.120 --> 0:15:33.720 who have strong opinions, who look down on this channel 0:15:33.920 --> 0:15:37.560 for having strong opinions. Once the sun starts to disappear 0:15:37.600 --> 0:15:40.120 at five o'clock in the afternoon, all the way through 0:15:40.160 --> 0:15:44.760 to reader at eleven o'clock. But that's a taste of 0:15:44.800 --> 0:15:47.440 the people who are going to be well the independent 0:15:47.520 --> 0:15:50.520 arbiters of what the news of the day is. One 0:15:50.520 --> 0:15:54.080 who's telling you over a Channel ten that he'd really 0:15:54.200 --> 0:15:58.280 like a closer fight, because God forbid, Australian's got rid 0:15:58.360 --> 0:16:03.480 of the greatest prime minister of all time. Now, there 0:16:03.520 --> 0:16:05.640 was one message also that came out of the American election, 0:16:05.840 --> 0:16:09.760 which well we knew from mid July, was how Donald 0:16:09.760 --> 0:16:11.400 Trump was going to win, and it was his response 0:16:11.400 --> 0:16:15.840 to the assassination attempts. But more importantly, fight fight, fight, fight, 0:16:15.960 --> 0:16:19.200 fight fight. Don't muck around, don't bugg a rise around 0:16:19.240 --> 0:16:21.840 on the edges, don't suck up to the usual people 0:16:21.880 --> 0:16:23.320 who are always going to have a crack at you, 0:16:23.720 --> 0:16:30.520 take a position and defend it. Well. Interestingly, we know 0:16:31.480 --> 0:16:33.920 that when it comes to this election coming up in 0:16:34.040 --> 0:16:36.280 just a few months time, that one of the x 0:16:36.320 --> 0:16:41.080 factors that Labor desperately needs to be able to return 0:16:41.080 --> 0:16:44.640 itself to power are their mates in the Greens. Now, 0:16:44.720 --> 0:16:46.560 despite the fact that from every now and then they 0:16:46.680 --> 0:16:49.720 like to pretend that they are fighting with each other, 0:16:51.920 --> 0:16:56.560 Labor will lose any shred of environment and credibility it 0:16:56.640 --> 0:16:57.920 still thinks it has. 0:16:58.680 --> 0:17:04.560 In some cases it's just immaturity and spite from the 0:17:04.560 --> 0:17:05.840 Green spokesperson. 0:17:06.440 --> 0:17:12.200 Prime Minister is so desperate to detract and distract from 0:17:12.560 --> 0:17:14.400 Labour's complicity and. 0:17:14.440 --> 0:17:17.000 Backing of the invasion. 0:17:17.640 --> 0:17:22.520 Enough is enough, But what a lovely fake fight because 0:17:22.520 --> 0:17:25.040 when it comes down to the existential question of who 0:17:25.080 --> 0:17:28.720 do you believe should end up in Parliament, the Labor 0:17:28.720 --> 0:17:31.680 Party says the next best option after them is the Greens, 0:17:31.720 --> 0:17:34.200 and the Greens always say the next best option after 0:17:34.760 --> 0:17:38.240 them is the Labor Party. Preferences are the only reason 0:17:38.800 --> 0:17:41.359 that the Labor Party is able to defeat the coalition. 0:17:41.920 --> 0:17:46.080 Big question is and the scenario here, which will inevitably 0:17:46.080 --> 0:17:48.000 be playing itself out at the next election, is that 0:17:48.040 --> 0:17:51.000 those Greens preferences, despite all the fights, will of course 0:17:51.240 --> 0:17:57.240 head their way towards the government. But an example of fight, fight, fight, win, 0:17:57.280 --> 0:18:01.359 win win. Bugger what the cheersquad in the press gallery 0:18:01.400 --> 0:18:04.320 is giving its free advice to Albo about how to 0:18:04.440 --> 0:18:08.720 refine his mojo. Julian Lisa has decided to put it 0:18:08.920 --> 0:18:12.439 right front and center that there is an existential threat 0:18:12.480 --> 0:18:14.520 to the country right now and as social cohesion, and 0:18:14.560 --> 0:18:18.240 it is the Greens. Now it's not just on the 0:18:18.240 --> 0:18:21.640 matters of antisemitism, but principally that is his driving force here. 0:18:21.800 --> 0:18:23.880 But we also know the economic policy where they don't 0:18:23.880 --> 0:18:27.359 know the difference between turnover and profit, let alone social 0:18:27.359 --> 0:18:29.840 policy and all the rest of it. That these are 0:18:29.840 --> 0:18:31.879 all reasons why the Labour Party has to put the 0:18:31.920 --> 0:18:35.359 Greens last, and if they don't put the Greens last, 0:18:35.400 --> 0:18:38.800 then they are endorsing the worst of the Greens, because 0:18:38.840 --> 0:18:41.639 if in every single seat in the country, the Labour 0:18:41.680 --> 0:18:45.000 Party thinks that the next best thing to them is 0:18:45.040 --> 0:18:48.160 the Greens, rather than viewing the Greens as the threat 0:18:48.200 --> 0:18:51.320 they claim them to be, meaning you would put their 0:18:51.359 --> 0:18:54.960 preferences last in order to guarantee as few of them 0:18:55.000 --> 0:18:58.399 get elected to Parliament as possible. Well, that would of 0:18:58.480 --> 0:19:00.800 course require a lot more stone and the Prime Minister 0:19:00.880 --> 0:19:05.000 has thankfully, people in the opposition thankfully, specifically people like 0:19:05.160 --> 0:19:09.639 Julian Lisa don't care. They say this is about morality. 0:19:11.040 --> 0:19:13.760 Most important thing that we can do is actually to 0:19:13.840 --> 0:19:16.480 change the government of the country at the coming federal election, 0:19:16.600 --> 0:19:20.439 because this government has been appalling away from politics. But 0:19:20.480 --> 0:19:22.080 it will be a major factor in and around the 0:19:22.119 --> 0:19:24.119 election because remember, the Greens think that they're going to 0:19:24.119 --> 0:19:27.399 be able to overtake the Labor Party and still use 0:19:27.440 --> 0:19:29.679 their preferences to be able to win more seats, and 0:19:29.760 --> 0:19:33.199 largely through the problems around renting. Remember a third of 0:19:33.200 --> 0:19:35.520 the country owns a property, a third of the country's 0:19:35.680 --> 0:19:38.000 paying off a property. A third of the country is renting, 0:19:38.040 --> 0:19:40.919 so presumably they are renting from somebody who is also 0:19:41.040 --> 0:19:43.879 trying to pay off for property. So in my view, 0:19:44.119 --> 0:19:46.800 at least half, probably sixty percent of people are connected 0:19:46.840 --> 0:19:50.240 to the mortgage rates. And as we know, because we 0:19:50.359 --> 0:19:52.520 invite too many people into the country, when there's not 0:19:52.640 --> 0:19:55.840 enough houses in the country, demand for rent goes up. 0:19:56.520 --> 0:19:58.520 It means the cost of it goes through the roof. 0:19:58.600 --> 0:20:01.639 It means that peaceeople who are barely hanging on start 0:20:01.640 --> 0:20:04.399 to fall into that category of about three million people 0:20:04.800 --> 0:20:07.320 who are this close to homelessness. But of course it's 0:20:07.480 --> 0:20:10.600 not as important as the beautification of Davenport to hold 0:20:10.640 --> 0:20:15.320 on to the marginal seat, or the beautification of the 0:20:15.320 --> 0:20:17.760 water sides of Nara to hold on to the seat, 0:20:18.400 --> 0:20:21.879 or the three billion dollars for the NBN, or the 0:20:21.920 --> 0:20:23.920 billions of dollars for the Bruce Highway that it should 0:20:23.960 --> 0:20:26.200 have already been spent. Instead, you've got to vote for 0:20:26.280 --> 0:20:31.359 us again to somehow break a promise yet again. Well, 0:20:31.359 --> 0:20:34.359 we got an insight today about the median and average 0:20:34.400 --> 0:20:38.080 rent for both houses and for units. If you're somebody 0:20:38.119 --> 0:20:40.359 who's paid off your house or is paying off a 0:20:40.359 --> 0:20:42.760 house right now. It might shock you to know exactly 0:20:43.720 --> 0:20:46.760 where the rent is in the country, because you see 0:20:46.760 --> 0:20:49.439 in Sydney the typical rent for a house is eight 0:20:49.560 --> 0:20:55.359 hundred and eleven dollars a week a unit seven hundred 0:20:55.359 --> 0:20:59.320 and ten dollars a week. It's cheaper in Melbourne where 0:20:59.320 --> 0:21:02.000