1 00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: Welcome to the weekend edition of the Fast five Business 2 00:00:06,800 --> 00:00:09,559 Speaker 1: News by Fear and Greed. I'm Michael Thompson and Hello 3 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:13,920 Speaker 1: Sean Almer. Hello Michael, Sean. On the weekends, we each 4 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:16,599 Speaker 1: nominate the biggest business story of the week, the most 5 00:00:16,640 --> 00:00:20,599 Speaker 1: remarkable business story, a mystery category, and our favorite story. 6 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:24,360 Speaker 1: This is a different show this week in light of 7 00:00:24,440 --> 00:00:28,120 Speaker 1: last Sunday's terror attack at Bondeau Beach, we are going 8 00:00:28,200 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 1: to focus very strictly on the business stories of the week. 9 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 1: Acknowledging though that the loss of fifteen lives at bondo 10 00:00:35,960 --> 00:00:37,560 Speaker 1: is going to change Australia forever. 11 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:41,160 Speaker 2: Yes, Michael, and our thoughts are with the victims, their families, 12 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:43,360 Speaker 2: everyone affected by last week's tragedy. 13 00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:45,879 Speaker 1: Well, with that in mind, Sean, what was the main 14 00:00:45,920 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 1: story this week? 15 00:00:46,960 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 2: Look, as far as I'm concerned, the midyear economic fiscal outlook. 16 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:53,520 Speaker 2: That's basically the midyear budget update. Forecast higher inflation, slower 17 00:00:53,600 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 2: economic growth, lift in unemployment. Also lower than forecast deficit 18 00:00:57,880 --> 00:01:00,800 Speaker 2: thanks to a higher tax take surge in Texas and 19 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:04,400 Speaker 2: income companies and superannuation accounts. Probably the highlight. Government's still 20 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:06,920 Speaker 2: spending a lot of money. All in all, solid set 21 00:01:06,959 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 2: of numbers on the back of that higher tax take. 22 00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:12,000 Speaker 2: But the government's doing little rain in its spending and 23 00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:13,240 Speaker 2: that's the lost opportunity. 24 00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think you might be right there. The other 25 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:21,199 Speaker 1: story from an economic kind of standpoint was a dip 26 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:24,600 Speaker 1: in consumer confidence. Maybe we just had a spike previously, 27 00:01:24,680 --> 00:01:26,959 Speaker 1: but things were starting to look up a little bit, 28 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:30,039 Speaker 1: maybe a bit of optimism because of rate cuts and 29 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 1: the potential for more. No that the jump in inflation 30 00:01:33,680 --> 00:01:37,240 Speaker 1: and the potential now for rate hikes to come has 31 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:40,800 Speaker 1: turned us into pessimists once again, Sean. And it also 32 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:43,240 Speaker 1: suggests that the cost of living crisis is not over. 33 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 1: The Westpac Melbourne Institute survey looks as well at whether 34 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:49,560 Speaker 1: people consider it a good time to buy major household 35 00:01:49,600 --> 00:01:53,040 Speaker 1: items or to buy property, and really people are not 36 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:56,000 Speaker 1: seeing it as a particularly good time, perhaps a little 37 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 1: bit grim once again in the economy. 38 00:01:58,160 --> 00:02:00,360 Speaker 2: I think. Can I tell you my most remarkable story, 39 00:02:00,760 --> 00:02:03,880 Speaker 2: please do. The CEO of all Giant Woodside Energy Mega 40 00:02:03,960 --> 00:02:06,320 Speaker 2: Neil is going to take the top job at BP. 41 00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:08,800 Speaker 2: I reckon this is as good as it gets an 42 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:11,000 Speaker 2: oil and gas, although she will be the third chief 43 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:13,560 Speaker 2: executive of that company in five years. So tenure hasn't 44 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:15,639 Speaker 2: been a good thing there first outside of the lead 45 00:02:15,720 --> 00:02:18,360 Speaker 2: BP and it's one hundred and sixteen year history. First 46 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 2: female kind of puts her in the same league as 47 00:02:20,560 --> 00:02:24,240 Speaker 2: people like Charlie Bell who aren McDonald's, Andrew Levers who 48 00:02:24,320 --> 00:02:28,960 Speaker 2: ran Dow Chemicals. Maybe Robin Denholmes, the chair of Tesla, 49 00:02:29,080 --> 00:02:31,040 Speaker 2: is trying to look after Elon Musk. She's probably in there. 50 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:33,520 Speaker 2: Of course Ripert Murdock probably the top in terms of 51 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:36,760 Speaker 2: success on the global stage. But congratulations to mego Nell. 52 00:02:36,960 --> 00:02:40,240 Speaker 2: Quite a remarkable, you know, for the woman from Western 53 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 2: Australia to end up on the world stage like she is. 54 00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:48,000 Speaker 1: That's a great story that one you mentioned Robin Denholme 55 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:50,040 Speaker 1: and Elon Musk. It's been a heck of a week 56 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:53,519 Speaker 1: for Elon Musk's businesses. We've got SpaceX cruising towards a 57 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:57,720 Speaker 1: potential eight hundred billion US dollar IPO next year after 58 00:02:57,720 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 1: an insider share sale set the value of that company 59 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:03,160 Speaker 1: near that whopping level. It would be the largest initial 60 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:05,919 Speaker 1: public offering of all time. Just got to mention quickly 61 00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:09,080 Speaker 1: the reason for the IPO. They basically need to raise 62 00:03:09,080 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 1: funds to build a base on the moon, build AI 63 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:17,080 Speaker 1: data centers in space and fuel the insane flight rate 64 00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:22,000 Speaker 1: for the Starship Rocket, which are basically Elon Musk's own words, 65 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:25,000 Speaker 1: i'd suspect. The other big story for Elon this week 66 00:03:25,080 --> 00:03:28,520 Speaker 1: is the share price of Tesla hitting a record. It's 67 00:03:28,760 --> 00:03:31,040 Speaker 1: put the market cap of the company at more than 68 00:03:31,080 --> 00:03:33,960 Speaker 1: one and a half trillion US dollars. Really off the 69 00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:37,040 Speaker 1: back of driverless cars being tested in Texas with nobody 70 00:03:37,080 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 1: in them, so no one there even to grab the 71 00:03:38,880 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 1: wheel in an emergency. Big step taking Tesla closer to 72 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:45,040 Speaker 1: that robo taxi dream. It has been a big week 73 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:48,840 Speaker 1: for Elon Musk. Let's jump into our mystery category. Now 74 00:03:48,880 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 1: these are stocks as you thought were good at the 75 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:53,000 Speaker 1: beginning of the year, but by the end of the 76 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:55,240 Speaker 1: year you really wish you hadn't held them. 77 00:03:55,280 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 2: Suan I thought the ax Limited be an Aka purchase 78 00:03:58,800 --> 00:03:59,680 Speaker 2: at the beginning of the year. 79 00:03:59,720 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 1: I was wrong. 80 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:01,680 Speaker 2: Down twenty two percent over the year. 81 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:02,000 Speaker 1: Now. 82 00:04:02,040 --> 00:04:06,200 Speaker 2: It's had years of persistent technology problems, especially around its 83 00:04:06,200 --> 00:04:11,000 Speaker 2: settlement infrastructure. This year though, there's been outages, ongoes, ongoing 84 00:04:11,040 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 2: delays and errors with his back end system. That not 85 00:04:14,080 --> 00:04:17,440 Speaker 2: this year, but previously they had planned a blockchain replacement 86 00:04:17,480 --> 00:04:22,080 Speaker 2: for Chess that was canceled. It's had right offs, technical failures, 87 00:04:22,080 --> 00:04:25,440 Speaker 2: it's costing money centnaments against the company, as I said, 88 00:04:25,640 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 2: down twenty two percent over the past year. Now, this 89 00:04:28,480 --> 00:04:33,320 Speaker 2: week ACIK unveiled a review of it basically called for 90 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:36,680 Speaker 2: stronger independence and governance, an extra one hundred and fifty 91 00:04:36,720 --> 00:04:39,880 Speaker 2: million dollars capital charge, and a commitment to strong leadership. 92 00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:43,080 Speaker 2: As you said, I thought it was good at the 93 00:04:43,080 --> 00:04:44,680 Speaker 2: beginning of the year, but by the end you really 94 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:46,719 Speaker 2: wish you hadn't held ax. 95 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:50,719 Speaker 1: The other one Treasury Wine Estates Shawn, the owner of Penfolds, 96 00:04:50,920 --> 00:04:55,440 Speaker 1: having a shocker down nearly sixty percent over the past year. 97 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 1: A sharper than expected slow down in global wine demand 98 00:04:58,440 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 1: has hit it hard, having reign in its expansion in 99 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:03,839 Speaker 1: China and the US, two of its biggest markets. In 100 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:07,720 Speaker 1: the US, in particular, earnings were below market expectations by 101 00:05:07,720 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 1: more than fifty percent. Is having to cut shipments of 102 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:14,400 Speaker 1: seven hundred thousand cases of wine across those two markets, 103 00:05:14,440 --> 00:05:17,920 Speaker 1: just trying to stabilize prices. It has been a terrible 104 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:20,080 Speaker 1: year for Treasury and it looks like it will win 105 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:23,640 Speaker 1: the title of worst performing ASX two hundred company for 106 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:26,599 Speaker 1: twenty twenty five, which is not exactly an award that 107 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 1: you'd like to receive, Sean. 108 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:30,560 Speaker 2: Look, Mike, I think we both agree on our favorite 109 00:05:30,600 --> 00:05:31,760 Speaker 2: story over the year. 110 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:35,960 Speaker 1: Look, this is one out of the White House, Sean. 111 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:39,640 Speaker 1: The chief of Staff Susie Wilds the first woman to 112 00:05:39,720 --> 00:05:41,919 Speaker 1: hold the role, and that is a big job and 113 00:05:42,000 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 1: a tough job. She's given a series of unusually frank 114 00:05:45,960 --> 00:05:49,960 Speaker 1: interviews to Vanity Fair. Frank and unusual because she doesn't 115 00:05:49,960 --> 00:05:53,000 Speaker 1: normally speak, but she said President Donald Trump is using 116 00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:55,960 Speaker 1: his position to settle scores with opponents, and he wants 117 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:59,640 Speaker 1: regime change in Venezuela. She commented on a bunch of 118 00:05:59,640 --> 00:06:02,640 Speaker 1: different people, including Vice President j d Vance, saying he's 119 00:06:02,640 --> 00:06:06,040 Speaker 1: a conspiracy theorist. The budget chief Russell vort is a 120 00:06:06,120 --> 00:06:09,479 Speaker 1: right wing zealot. Elon Musk is an odd, odd duck. 121 00:06:09,839 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: I don't think anyone would really disagree with that. She 122 00:06:12,520 --> 00:06:16,799 Speaker 1: said that there were some internal disagreements over Trump's trade tariffs, 123 00:06:16,839 --> 00:06:19,479 Speaker 1: a lot of bits and pieces. She's described the profile 124 00:06:19,520 --> 00:06:21,919 Speaker 1: as a hit piece, but she hasn't backed away from it. 125 00:06:22,000 --> 00:06:25,279 Speaker 1: She didn't dispute its content, She just added more context 126 00:06:25,279 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 1: to her comments the White House is Rarey behind her praise, 127 00:06:28,240 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 1: her loyalty and leadership, but there's a fantastic little insight 128 00:06:31,720 --> 00:06:34,119 Speaker 1: into the White House and what happens behind the scenes. Sean, 129 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:36,720 Speaker 1: I sure was all right. There we go five minutes 130 00:06:36,720 --> 00:06:38,120 Speaker 1: and pretty much everything you need to know in the 131 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 1: world of business. Thank you very much, Sean. 132 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:40,159 Speaker 2: Thank you. 133 00:06:40,200 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 1: Michael, don't forget to hit follow on the podcast. I'm 134 00:06:42,960 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 1: Michael Thompson and this is the Fast five Business News 135 00:06:45,200 --> 00:06:46,000 Speaker 1: by Fear and Great