1 00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:06,920 Speaker 1: It's Monday, the first of December twenty twenty five. Welcome 2 00:00:06,960 --> 00:00:09,320 Speaker 1: to the Fast five Business News by Fear and Greed, 3 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:11,119 Speaker 1: where we give you the top five business stories you 4 00:00:11,160 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: need to know in just five minutes. I'm Michael Thompson 5 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:15,040 Speaker 1: and good morning Sean Aylmer. 6 00:00:15,400 --> 00:00:17,080 Speaker 2: Good morning, Michael, Sean. 7 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:19,599 Speaker 1: Five stories in five minutes. Let's go story number one. 8 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:22,079 Speaker 1: With one month to go before the end of the year, 9 00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:25,119 Speaker 1: the local share market sits at the bottom of the 10 00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 1: global league tables when it comes to performance, with the 11 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 1: S and PASX two hundred up just five percent in 12 00:00:31,320 --> 00:00:33,680 Speaker 1: the first eleven months of twenty twenty five. 13 00:00:34,200 --> 00:00:36,920 Speaker 2: That compares to more than twenty percent in Canada and Japan, 14 00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:39,680 Speaker 2: sixteen percent in Britain and Germany, twelve to fourteen percent 15 00:00:39,680 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 2: for the major indices in US and China, and about 16 00:00:41,640 --> 00:00:44,199 Speaker 2: eleven percent for Europe. There are a number of reasons 17 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:46,600 Speaker 2: for the underperformance. The first is that the Australian market 18 00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:50,080 Speaker 2: is overweight banks and financials, and the major lenders, particularly 19 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:52,879 Speaker 2: come Wolf Bank, have underperformed. In fact, on Friday, Commonwelf 20 00:00:52,920 --> 00:00:56,360 Speaker 2: Bank closed lower than where it started this year. Also, 21 00:00:56,440 --> 00:00:58,880 Speaker 2: her biggest mining stocks of the ainol producers not really 22 00:00:58,920 --> 00:01:02,520 Speaker 2: a forward looking on me. Generally the best performers globally 23 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:05,679 Speaker 2: have been tech in new economy businesses now. Another reason 24 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 2: is he record flow of money into overseas focused exchange 25 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:11,400 Speaker 2: traded funds here In fact, five of the top twenty 26 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:15,360 Speaker 2: ets in Australia are focused or fifteen of the twenty 27 00:01:15,520 --> 00:01:20,320 Speaker 2: are focused offshore. A third reason donald Trump's tariffs. Although 28 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:23,440 Speaker 2: he has dialed back on the retrick recently, that's helped 29 00:01:23,440 --> 00:01:25,640 Speaker 2: some markets. And a fourth reason is that while interest 30 00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:27,720 Speaker 2: rates in Australia now seem to be on whold, US 31 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 2: rates are expected to fall this month. That should help 32 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 2: Wall Street. 33 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:34,760 Speaker 1: All right, plenty of reasons there. The big question, and 34 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:37,320 Speaker 1: possibly the harder one as well, Sean, is this going 35 00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:40,240 Speaker 1: to continue? Is the Australian underperformance likely to keep going 36 00:01:40,240 --> 00:01:41,679 Speaker 1: through to the end of the year and beyond. 37 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:44,800 Speaker 2: Let's lead that one to the experts. Amp Shane Olivers 38 00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:46,760 Speaker 2: at share markets for a main at risk of a 39 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:50,880 Speaker 2: further correction given stretched valuations, risks around US tariffs and 40 00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:53,600 Speaker 2: the stuffing US jobs market, but with the FEDS too 41 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:57,320 Speaker 2: likely to cut rates further, shares are likely to provide 42 00:01:57,400 --> 00:02:02,120 Speaker 2: reasonable gains in a twelvemonth. Horizonbs's equity strategist Richard Schulback 43 00:02:02,160 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 2: reckons the ASEX two hundred will only rise about three 44 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 2: percent over the next twelve months. Other investment banks, like 45 00:02:07,280 --> 00:02:11,960 Speaker 2: Goldman's reckon that Wall Street will underperform other global indices. Alas, 46 00:02:12,080 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 2: I mean, I don't really know, but certainly the local 47 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:16,120 Speaker 2: market has had a poor twenty twenty five relative to 48 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:20,560 Speaker 2: its peers. Not good for local investors, including everyone with superannuation. 49 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:23,400 Speaker 1: Okay, let's move on to story number two. Now and 50 00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 1: national home values across the country rose by one percent 51 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:31,160 Speaker 1: during November. That is the third consecutive month of strong growth. 52 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:34,440 Speaker 1: The mid sized capitals outperformed Perth up two point four percent. 53 00:02:34,560 --> 00:02:38,480 Speaker 1: Sydney and Melbourne underperformed Sydney zero point five percent, Melbourne 54 00:02:38,600 --> 00:02:42,480 Speaker 1: zero point three percent. According to Cotality, the bias towards 55 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:45,120 Speaker 1: mid sized capitals in part reflect the lack of listing, 56 00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:49,600 Speaker 1: so the national average is sixteen percent below what's normal. 57 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:53,240 Speaker 1: Sydney is just two percent. That explains why that market 58 00:02:53,480 --> 00:02:56,399 Speaker 1: isn't as hot after three straight months of strong growth. 59 00:02:56,480 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 1: Affordability pressures and a lack of further. 60 00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 2: Interest rate cuts. Loom Dampner's in the future catalities. Tim 61 00:03:02,960 --> 00:03:05,960 Speaker 2: Lawless said, this subtle. It's very subtle. Easing in the 62 00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:08,720 Speaker 2: headline result last month comes as auction clearance rates have 63 00:03:08,800 --> 00:03:11,640 Speaker 2: tracked lower. In fact, the national result over the last 64 00:03:11,639 --> 00:03:15,120 Speaker 2: week was sixty eight point two percent, which is actually 65 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 2: below the long term average. 66 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:20,519 Speaker 1: While we're talking property, I mentioned story number three now Sean. 67 00:03:20,600 --> 00:03:24,040 Speaker 1: The federal government's Helped to Buy scheme kicks off this week, 68 00:03:24,440 --> 00:03:28,000 Speaker 1: whereby first home buyers can share equity in their homes 69 00:03:28,040 --> 00:03:30,320 Speaker 1: with the government so as to purchase a property sooner. 70 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:33,280 Speaker 2: The program will provide ten thousand load to medium income 71 00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:36,640 Speaker 2: first home buyers each year the ability to purchase a 72 00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:39,680 Speaker 2: home with just a two percent deposit. The government will 73 00:03:39,720 --> 00:03:41,920 Speaker 2: contribute thirty to forty percent of the home price in 74 00:03:41,960 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 2: exchange for equity. You only can then buy that out later. 75 00:03:45,040 --> 00:03:48,000 Speaker 2: While the government said it won't put pressure on prices, 76 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:51,200 Speaker 2: it is a demand side policy, not a supply side policy, 77 00:03:51,480 --> 00:03:53,360 Speaker 2: so it's hard to see that it won't push up 78 00:03:53,400 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 2: prices in that segment of the market. 79 00:03:55,720 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 1: Story number four, the Tax Office will crack down on 80 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 1: high end income professionals and tradees who pursue aggressive tax 81 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:07,040 Speaker 1: evasion strategies by splitting income with their spouses and children. 82 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 2: The ATA has identified elevated levels of excessive income splitting 83 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:14,960 Speaker 2: by people who use trust companies and partnerships to divert 84 00:04:15,040 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 2: income to family members on lower tax rates. It's issued 85 00:04:18,080 --> 00:04:20,880 Speaker 2: updated guidance that spells out exactly what it will allow 86 00:04:20,920 --> 00:04:23,320 Speaker 2: when it applies to the anti avoidance measures to so 87 00:04:23,400 --> 00:04:27,880 Speaker 2: called professional services. Income CAPS is not just doctors, lawyers, architects, 88 00:04:27,880 --> 00:04:32,080 Speaker 2: but also tradees, electricians, plumbers, et cetera. A personal service 89 00:04:32,120 --> 00:04:34,719 Speaker 2: business basically is any operation where most of the money 90 00:04:34,720 --> 00:04:38,839 Speaker 2: made is generated by personal skill, labor, or expertise. The 91 00:04:38,880 --> 00:04:41,680 Speaker 2: action is likely to affect many thousands of personal service 92 00:04:41,720 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 2: businesses that use income splitting strategies. Worth noting, ATO won't 93 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:51,160 Speaker 2: backdate its compliance push if taxpayers make a genuine effort 94 00:04:51,200 --> 00:04:54,520 Speaker 2: to move their arrangement into low risk by June thirty, 95 00:04:54,680 --> 00:04:55,640 Speaker 2: twenty twenty seven. 96 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:58,400 Speaker 1: All right, last one seaw and we talked share markets, 97 00:04:58,440 --> 00:05:01,920 Speaker 1: We've talked trusts and property and everything. It's hard to 98 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:05,000 Speaker 1: go to this one, but let's do it. Researchers so 99 00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 1: found that cats me out more frequently when greeting male caregivers, 100 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:11,840 Speaker 1: probably because men don't listen as well. 101 00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:17,560 Speaker 2: The study in the General Ethology filmed inside cat owners' homes. Now, 102 00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:20,719 Speaker 2: you can't do much in laboratories. Dogs tend to be 103 00:05:20,920 --> 00:05:24,120 Speaker 2: well behaved in laboratories. Cats done anyway. The study found 104 00:05:24,120 --> 00:05:26,440 Speaker 2: that cats me ow more when men enter a room. 105 00:05:26,560 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 2: According to a report in The New York Times, across 106 00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:31,719 Speaker 2: all demographic variables, including the sex and age of the cat, 107 00:05:31,760 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 2: pedigree status, number of cats in the home, only one 108 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:39,039 Speaker 2: fact was linked to vocalization frequency the biological sex of 109 00:05:39,120 --> 00:05:43,160 Speaker 2: the caregiver. So on average, cats produced four point three 110 00:05:43,160 --> 00:05:45,800 Speaker 2: meals in the first one hundred seconds of a male 111 00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:49,440 Speaker 2: caregiver getting home for a woman who is just one 112 00:05:49,440 --> 00:05:53,279 Speaker 2: point eight. The team at Bilkin University in Turkey hypothesized 113 00:05:53,320 --> 00:05:57,440 Speaker 2: that men require more explicit vocalizations to notice and respond 114 00:05:57,680 --> 00:05:59,960 Speaker 2: to the needs of their cats. In other words, men 115 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:03,040 Speaker 2: don't listen as much kats just their behavior accordingly. 116 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:05,680 Speaker 1: All right, there we go the top five business stories 117 00:06:05,720 --> 00:06:08,839 Speaker 1: in five minutes. Thank you Sean, Thank you Michael. It's Monday, 118 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:11,400 Speaker 1: the first of December twenty twenty five. Remember to hit 119 00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:14,000 Speaker 1: follow on the podcast and five minutes isn't enough you 120 00:06:14,080 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 1: and find our longer daily show called Fear and Greed 121 00:06:16,960 --> 00:06:19,600 Speaker 1: whereever you listen to podcasts and head along to Fearangreed 122 00:06:19,640 --> 00:06:22,040 Speaker 1: dot com dot au, or check the link in today's 123 00:06:22,040 --> 00:06:25,200 Speaker 1: show notes to sign up for our free daily newsletter 124 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:27,320 Speaker 1: as well. I'm Michael Thompson and that was the past 125 00:06:27,320 --> 00:06:29,960 Speaker 1: five business news by Fear and Greed. Had a great day.