1 00:00:03,680 --> 00:00:06,080 Speaker 1: Welcome to ask Fear and Greed, where we take your 2 00:00:06,160 --> 00:00:08,640 Speaker 1: questions and do our very best to answer them. I'm 3 00:00:08,680 --> 00:00:10,680 Speaker 1: Michael Thompson and hello Sean Almer. 4 00:00:10,960 --> 00:00:11,719 Speaker 2: Hello Michael. 5 00:00:12,080 --> 00:00:16,079 Speaker 1: You sound kind of apprehensive about today's question. It's a 6 00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:18,600 Speaker 1: good one. It's maybe a. 7 00:00:18,520 --> 00:00:20,599 Speaker 2: True How times you ask me like finance questions and 8 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:23,040 Speaker 2: I think, oh, gosh, no, no, no, no, I think you're fine. 9 00:00:23,079 --> 00:00:26,720 Speaker 1: I think you're fine. It is coming from Rachel via 10 00:00:26,760 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 1: the website. She's gone to Fear and Greed dot com 11 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:31,880 Speaker 1: dot au and you can do it send through an 12 00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:34,440 Speaker 1: email through the website, or go to Instagram or LinkedIn 13 00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:37,760 Speaker 1: or Facebook, any of the platforms. But Rachel says, high 14 00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:42,080 Speaker 1: team love the show. It's important to include that part totally. 15 00:00:42,720 --> 00:00:47,040 Speaker 1: Something that's always bugged me about unemployment data. And I 16 00:00:47,080 --> 00:00:49,239 Speaker 1: love just the idea that Rachel has had this thing 17 00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:54,960 Speaker 1: eating away at her about unemployment data for some time, and. 18 00:00:54,920 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 2: Finally there is this I'd like to meet Rachel. 19 00:00:58,120 --> 00:01:01,400 Speaker 1: There is this opportunity now to ask, this is your 20 00:01:01,520 --> 00:01:06,240 Speaker 1: kind of person something that's always bugs me about unemployment data. 21 00:01:06,560 --> 00:01:10,480 Speaker 1: How do they know who's actually employed? Is it based 22 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:13,399 Speaker 1: on tax records or do companies have to report new 23 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:16,679 Speaker 1: hires or is there some other way of reporting or 24 00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 1: is it just an estimate. I'm curious. 25 00:01:21,800 --> 00:01:24,560 Speaker 2: Short answer is it's an estimate based on a survey. 26 00:01:24,720 --> 00:01:28,240 Speaker 2: But let's just take a step back. So, unemployment occurs 27 00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 2: when someone wants to work but can't okay the date. 28 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 2: You mean they don't have a paid job, not that 29 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:35,680 Speaker 2: they can't they don't have a paid job. The unemployment 30 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:38,600 Speaker 2: rate's percentage of people in the labor force who were unemployed. 31 00:01:38,640 --> 00:01:40,880 Speaker 2: They wanted to get a job, but they can't get one. 32 00:01:41,720 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 2: So that means measuring the unemployment rate means identifying who's 33 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:49,000 Speaker 2: in the labor force right now. These are all the 34 00:01:49,000 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 2: people that are employed or unemployed. So what the Bureau 35 00:01:53,360 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 2: of Statistics does It doesn't called the Labor Force Survey, 36 00:01:58,320 --> 00:02:02,240 Speaker 2: and it asks around fifty people every month about their 37 00:02:02,280 --> 00:02:05,720 Speaker 2: participation in the labor market. So it'd be fifteen years 38 00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:06,280 Speaker 2: or over. 39 00:02:07,400 --> 00:02:14,520 Speaker 1: Fifty thousand people every month. That is huge. 40 00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:17,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, have you ever been asked? No? Have you? I 41 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 2: have not. Rachel obviously hasn't either because she would know 42 00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:21,680 Speaker 2: about this otherwise. 43 00:02:21,760 --> 00:02:26,680 Speaker 1: No, if you have been asked by the Bureau of Statistics, 44 00:02:27,080 --> 00:02:29,120 Speaker 1: please get in tired, let us know, yeah, tell us 45 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:31,840 Speaker 1: was it by a phone? Did they call you up 46 00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:33,520 Speaker 1: or did they drop you a little note? 47 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 2: So I think the survey you have it for a 48 00:02:35,400 --> 00:02:37,760 Speaker 2: while and then they rotate through people. So I don't 49 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:39,840 Speaker 2: think it's fifty thousand new people every month. I might 50 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:43,360 Speaker 2: be wrong on that. There are kind of three categories. 51 00:02:43,560 --> 00:02:46,400 Speaker 2: You've got a job. You're employed, yep, you don't have 52 00:02:46,440 --> 00:02:50,760 Speaker 2: a job, but you want one. Unemployed, you're not in 53 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:53,320 Speaker 2: the labor force, as in a bunch of people who 54 00:02:53,320 --> 00:02:58,040 Speaker 2: look after kids or studying family members, voluntary work, stuff 55 00:02:58,080 --> 00:03:03,280 Speaker 2: like that. Not in the labor force. Okay, So you 56 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 2: want to talk about the participation rate getting a sixty 57 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:09,120 Speaker 2: seven point three percent, the sort of that's sixty seven 58 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:11,800 Speaker 2: point three on one hundred, the one hundred being everyone, 59 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 2: the employeed, the unemployed, and the not in the labor force. Okay, 60 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:17,880 Speaker 2: so the employed plus the unemployed is the sixty seven 61 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:18,720 Speaker 2: point three percent. 62 00:03:18,880 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 1: I suppose then as part of this survey, they would 63 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:26,800 Speaker 1: also be asking would you like more work to establish underemployment? 64 00:03:26,880 --> 00:03:29,760 Speaker 2: Right, yeah, And so they talk about hours worked, and 65 00:03:29,800 --> 00:03:32,680 Speaker 2: there's rules around how many hours you have to work. 66 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:34,920 Speaker 2: You don't have to work many hours to actually be 67 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:39,280 Speaker 2: included in the employment data. But then that slit between 68 00:03:39,320 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 2: part time and full time as well, so they get 69 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 2: all that underemployment. They say, so you're working twenty hours 70 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:48,160 Speaker 2: a week, would you like to work more? And someone says, yeah, 71 00:03:48,160 --> 00:03:50,280 Speaker 2: I want to work thirty hours a week. Therefore that's 72 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:53,520 Speaker 2: a tick you are under employed. Okay, So there's all 73 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 2: sorts of numbers in it. 74 00:03:55,840 --> 00:03:58,720 Speaker 1: This is this has been quite a revelation for me 75 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:01,280 Speaker 1: and for Rachel. I'm sure or that there are fifty 76 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:02,800 Speaker 1: thousand people asked about this. 77 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:04,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I have never met anyone who's been 78 00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 2: asked about it. 79 00:04:05,520 --> 00:04:08,640 Speaker 1: Well, that's like the TV ratings and the radio rates, 80 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 1: and it's this idea that when I was a kid, 81 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 1: I always wanted to meet someone who had the TV 82 00:04:15,760 --> 00:04:18,400 Speaker 1: measurement box, you know how they plug it into the 83 00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:20,440 Speaker 1: TV and that would measure kind of what you're watching, 84 00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:24,480 Speaker 1: because you think that those a thousand people or thereabouts 85 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:28,640 Speaker 1: would be able to massively skew the content direction of 86 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:32,440 Speaker 1: Australian TV stations. And I never managed to find anyone 87 00:04:32,480 --> 00:04:36,159 Speaker 1: who had a radio ratings is a bigger kind of thing. 88 00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:38,800 Speaker 1: There's kind of rolling surveys and it's done by kind 89 00:04:38,800 --> 00:04:41,039 Speaker 1: of paper diaries. But there's all these new methods of 90 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:43,960 Speaker 1: doing it, and occasionally you would encounter someone saying, hey, 91 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:46,400 Speaker 1: I got a survey book last month and things like that. 92 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:50,520 Speaker 1: But even then I have never found someone who has 93 00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:52,920 Speaker 1: been asked by the ABS about the Laborfore survey. 94 00:04:53,080 --> 00:04:55,560 Speaker 2: Bring it on. I want anyone out there listening who 95 00:04:55,839 --> 00:05:00,279 Speaker 2: is a Labor Force survey participant to give us a ring. Yep, 96 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:01,000 Speaker 2: get in touch with. 97 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:03,880 Speaker 1: Us, yep. Please just shoot us an email via fearanngreed 98 00:05:04,000 --> 00:05:06,800 Speaker 1: dot com dot au, jump onto LinkedIn, jump onto Instagram, 99 00:05:06,880 --> 00:05:09,240 Speaker 1: jump onto Facebook, send us a message, let us know 100 00:05:09,320 --> 00:05:12,240 Speaker 1: that people are actually being asked and that you are 101 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:14,200 Speaker 1: one of them and hate. If you got your own 102 00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:15,880 Speaker 1: question that you would like to put to us for 103 00:05:16,000 --> 00:05:17,400 Speaker 1: ask Fear and Greed, then you can do that in 104 00:05:17,440 --> 00:05:20,120 Speaker 1: the same message. Thank you very much Rachel for the question, 105 00:05:20,160 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 1: and thank you Sean for answering it. 106 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:22,400 Speaker 2: Thank you Michael, Thank you Rachel. 107 00:05:22,560 --> 00:05:24,400 Speaker 1: If you do have anything that you would like to know, 108 00:05:24,520 --> 00:05:26,560 Speaker 1: then send it on through. We would be glad to 109 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:28,920 Speaker 1: put it on the list and answer it asap. I'm 110 00:05:28,920 --> 00:05:31,119 Speaker 1: Michael Thompson and this is ask Fear, and greed,