WEBVTT - Paul Murray Live | 1 October 0:00:00.240 --> 0:00:07.400 From the Skyinging Center. This is Paul Burray Live. Thank you, Shazza, 0:00:07.520 --> 0:00:09.799 stay safe for Seala Telly next week. All the best 0:00:09.800 --> 0:00:12.000 to you in the community for the day's ahead. No 0:00:12.160 --> 0:00:15.520 suks now left us tonight. There's no build up other 0:00:15.600 --> 0:00:17.799 than that. That's what tonight's show is. Of course, as 0:00:17.840 --> 0:00:20.400 we talk about everything that's around today. That means Matt 0:00:20.400 --> 0:00:22.840 Cunningham will join us for a life from Darwin James 0:00:22.880 --> 0:00:24.520 Morrow here in the man Cave and then we go 0:00:24.520 --> 0:00:26.840 over to the UK where Nigel Farage. The only place 0:00:26.880 --> 0:00:29.319 to Seemlozsi Telly is here each and every week on 0:00:29.320 --> 0:00:31.160 a Tuesday, So I'm glad that's going to be the case. 0:00:31.440 --> 0:00:33.320 So a couple of things you may not have heard 0:00:33.360 --> 0:00:37.240 about thus far today. As we know, Australians are finding 0:00:37.240 --> 0:00:39.880 it very difficult to find a place to rent. Your kids, 0:00:39.880 --> 0:00:43.280 your grandkids are finding a very difficult time because they're 0:00:43.280 --> 0:00:46.360 competing against more people than ever before for fewer homes 0:00:46.400 --> 0:00:48.919 than ever before. Now, in part that's because we are 0:00:48.920 --> 0:00:52.600 not building enough houses. We know that there's been a 0:00:52.640 --> 0:00:54.960 whole series of building companies that have collapsed in the 0:00:55.000 --> 0:00:59.640 past couple of years. But remember the greatest Prime Minister 0:00:59.640 --> 0:01:01.120 of all time was going to fix all of that 0:01:01.200 --> 0:01:01.680 by now. 0:01:03.360 --> 0:01:06.280 We have an incentive for states and territories to meet 0:01:06.440 --> 0:01:11.080 that meet their own targets, to meet a national target 0:01:11.080 --> 0:01:14.959 of one point two million homes between now and twenty thirty. 0:01:15.240 --> 0:01:16.440 And we're getting on with it. 0:01:17.240 --> 0:01:19.560 Oh, we're getting on with it. The only problem is 0:01:19.560 --> 0:01:23.640 they're not. You see today the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Thank 0:01:23.680 --> 0:01:27.080 goodness for them. The best thing any government does, which 0:01:27.080 --> 0:01:28.479 is to give us the data which then we form 0:01:28.520 --> 0:01:32.319 our opinions. It showed about the number of brand new 0:01:32.319 --> 0:01:35.920 homes that are being approved to be built. The numbers 0:01:36.120 --> 0:01:41.880 are going backwards. In fact, well nine three hundred and 0:01:41.920 --> 0:01:47.080 thirty eight new homes are about to be built approved 0:01:47.080 --> 0:01:49.080 in the month of August. That is, ever so slightly 0:01:49.280 --> 0:01:51.800 kind of the same as last month. You can see 0:01:51.880 --> 0:01:53.760 that when it comes to things that aren't houses, like 0:01:53.840 --> 0:01:58.880 say unit blocks that may well be available to rent, townhouses, villas, 0:01:58.920 --> 0:02:01.280 granny flats, all of that is down by sixteen and 0:02:01.280 --> 0:02:05.440 a half percent year on year. Now I point this 0:02:05.480 --> 0:02:09.440 out to you because there's an obvious consequence. Right In fact, 0:02:09.520 --> 0:02:12.560 if you actually have a look here at this graph, 0:02:13.000 --> 0:02:17.000 you can see that Australia is nowhere near building the 0:02:17.000 --> 0:02:20.600 amount of homes or approving the amount of homes that say, 0:02:20.680 --> 0:02:23.800 under the previous government peaked at in March of twenty 0:02:23.840 --> 0:02:27.600 twenty one, were was twenty two thousand, eight hundred homes. 0:02:28.080 --> 0:02:32.560 By January twenty three that had fallen to twelve thousand, 0:02:32.639 --> 0:02:37.000 two hundred and five. And as we speak tonight, the 0:02:37.080 --> 0:02:40.000 numbers for August have come out as we start October 0:02:40.320 --> 0:02:43.400 and it is thirteen thy nine hundred and ninety one. 0:02:43.520 --> 0:02:47.360 Now this matters because firstly, we don't have enough houses 0:02:47.480 --> 0:02:51.440 for all of the people who are currently here, let 0:02:51.480 --> 0:02:53.800 alone all of the people that this government has brought 0:02:53.840 --> 0:02:57.160 into the country. Now again, I'm terrible at MATS. I 0:02:57.200 --> 0:02:59.480 did MATS in space in my year twelve, and even 0:02:59.520 --> 0:03:01.600 then I ailed it. I went to one of those 0:03:01.639 --> 0:03:03.840 schools where basically they knew we couldn't add up, so 0:03:03.880 --> 0:03:05.960 they just taught us probability because they know we'd probably 0:03:06.000 --> 0:03:09.040 end up as degenerate gamblers. But I can still work 0:03:09.120 --> 0:03:12.520 these numbers out. The last two years of data that 0:03:12.560 --> 0:03:15.200 we have for net migration is that nine hundred and 0:03:15.240 --> 0:03:20.240 sixty four thousand people have come to the country However, 0:03:20.520 --> 0:03:22.720 the total number of new dwellings that have been improved 0:03:22.720 --> 0:03:25.400 but it houses or units, is only two hundred and 0:03:25.400 --> 0:03:29.280 seventy three six hundred and eighty seven, So not even 0:03:29.360 --> 0:03:32.520 a third of the extra people that have come into 0:03:32.520 --> 0:03:38.360 the country are being serviced by new dwellings, meaning that 0:03:38.400 --> 0:03:42.080 the line for rental cues gets longer, the line for 0:03:42.160 --> 0:03:45.800 a home to buy gets longer. The federal government gets 0:03:45.800 --> 0:03:47.560 to pat itself on the back because we've got a 0:03:47.560 --> 0:03:51.640 budget surplus, but you are competing with more people than 0:03:51.720 --> 0:03:55.360 ever before to have a roof over your head, but 0:03:55.880 --> 0:03:58.680 nothing to see here. We've got a plan, Well, the 0:03:58.720 --> 0:04:04.320 plan isn't working now. Today, the first of October is 0:04:04.840 --> 0:04:07.960 a major day when it comes to some health ideas 0:04:07.960 --> 0:04:13.040 in this country. Now, as you know, vaping has largely 0:04:13.120 --> 0:04:16.479 replaced the smoking of cigarettes or other tobacco products, mainly yes, 0:04:16.680 --> 0:04:18.599 for young people, but also for a whole collection of 0:04:18.600 --> 0:04:20.640 people who are trying to get off the stuff they 0:04:20.640 --> 0:04:23.840 had made be smoking for years. And it does feel 0:04:23.880 --> 0:04:26.440 like every second shop in many of our suburbs, certainly 0:04:26.440 --> 0:04:29.760 the further you go out from the city on our 0:04:29.839 --> 0:04:33.279 vape shops. Well, from today, vapes are no longer allowed 0:04:33.320 --> 0:04:36.240 to be sold in shops because of a decision that 0:04:36.320 --> 0:04:41.720 the Health Minister, Mark Butler made. His decision was that 0:04:41.760 --> 0:04:44.480 the place from today that you can get your vapes 0:04:45.160 --> 0:04:48.000 is not at a tobacconist, not at a vape shop, 0:04:48.120 --> 0:04:51.200 not at the service station, but from your local chemist. 0:04:52.720 --> 0:04:57.520 And unlike previous scenarios where generally speaking you'd have to 0:04:57.560 --> 0:04:59.400 go to the doctor first to give you a prescription 0:04:59.480 --> 0:05:02.560 and then the is filled by said chemist, you can 0:05:02.640 --> 0:05:06.880 walk in off the street and try to purchase effectively 0:05:06.920 --> 0:05:11.200 a tobacco replacement product that of course has things like 0:05:11.440 --> 0:05:16.400 nicotine in it. Now, the absurdity of this situation is 0:05:17.120 --> 0:05:20.200 that basically there's an honor system at play here. Let 0:05:20.200 --> 0:05:23.839 me explain, you don't need a prescription anymore. People will 0:05:23.880 --> 0:05:26.080 just wander into the chemist and they will say, I 0:05:26.120 --> 0:05:30.279 need a couple of apes pith, Okay, well how much. 0:05:30.960 --> 0:05:33.560 Well what they will give you is a month's worth 0:05:33.720 --> 0:05:37.880 of vapes based off what you tell them is your 0:05:38.000 --> 0:05:44.960 current monthly nicotine intake. So if you are a pacadet smoker, 0:05:46.560 --> 0:05:48.760 they would give you the equivalent of that when it 0:05:48.800 --> 0:05:53.720 comes to vapes. If you're the occasional party smoker, they 0:05:53.760 --> 0:05:58.479 will give you, of course much less, but if, like 0:05:58.800 --> 0:06:01.320 many people in this country, it's even a little more 0:06:01.360 --> 0:06:03.560 than all of that, you will end up getting a 0:06:03.800 --> 0:06:09.000 huge supply of vapes. Now, it's not going to take 0:06:09.040 --> 0:06:11.080 a lot of people to work this one out. But 0:06:11.160 --> 0:06:15.160 my criticism of this system apart from turning chemists into 0:06:15.200 --> 0:06:17.880 the place where now you can get your tobacco product 0:06:18.640 --> 0:06:21.159 or the tobacco replacement product, because it's all about getting 0:06:21.160 --> 0:06:23.440 people off the vapes, right. Despite the fact that you 0:06:23.520 --> 0:06:26.320 can walk in and say, yeah, no, I bang out 0:06:26.320 --> 0:06:28.640 a cart in a week, Okay, here's all the vapes 0:06:28.640 --> 0:06:31.280 you need for a month, that there are going to 0:06:31.360 --> 0:06:33.360 be people who may well keep some of those vapes 0:06:33.400 --> 0:06:35.040 from themselves. But I think we all know where it's 0:06:35.080 --> 0:06:39.039 going to end up, the black market. But of course 0:06:39.080 --> 0:06:41.560 the government is completely unwilling to say that this is 0:06:41.560 --> 0:06:44.559 one of the consequences but also one of the problems 0:06:44.600 --> 0:06:47.799 here that will increase the sales on the black market, 0:06:47.839 --> 0:06:50.080 just like the tobacco products that are currently on the 0:06:50.080 --> 0:06:53.000 black market, because this government is such a genius government 0:06:53.160 --> 0:06:56.599 to keep increasing the taxes on legal tobacco, meaning that 0:06:56.720 --> 0:06:58.920 in many of those vapor and tobacco shops which are 0:06:58.920 --> 0:07:02.520 in your local suburbs. You can get crap from China 0:07:02.680 --> 0:07:06.600 Chop Chop as a way of filling your nicotine rush. 0:07:06.640 --> 0:07:08.680 Should that be what you wish to do now? Of course, 0:07:09.279 --> 0:07:11.760 smoking is bad. Smoking will kill you, no question about it. 0:07:11.800 --> 0:07:14.440 As somebody who smokes too many cigars, I know what 0:07:14.480 --> 0:07:16.320 my future has in store for me. That's the reality. 0:07:16.520 --> 0:07:20.600 But chemists are now saying they don't want to stock them. 0:07:21.120 --> 0:07:23.240 In fact, they can't be forced by the government to 0:07:23.320 --> 0:07:26.240 stock them. So we're now going to have a scenario 0:07:26.320 --> 0:07:29.680 where the only place that you can legally get your 0:07:29.720 --> 0:07:33.680 vape is that the chemist, but not all chemists will 0:07:33.720 --> 0:07:38.600 stock them, meaning that certain chemists will see their profits 0:07:38.640 --> 0:07:42.040 go through the roof from this product. And the honor 0:07:42.120 --> 0:07:46.040 system means that they give you the amount that you 0:07:46.320 --> 0:07:49.720 ask for, because that's what you've said, is your monthly 0:07:49.840 --> 0:07:54.960 nicotine does some of the chemists that won't be selling 0:07:55.080 --> 0:07:57.720 vapes are the ones that you, of course should be supporting. 0:07:58.200 --> 0:07:59.960 Let's go through this here. This is from the Pharmacy 0:08:00.040 --> 0:08:01.520 Guild and what they had to say about the types 0:08:01.560 --> 0:08:04.280 of businesses that will not be involved in this little 0:08:04.320 --> 0:08:07.280 attempt to change things. Feedback from our members and the 0:08:07.280 --> 0:08:10.680 industry suggests that most pharmacists do not intend on stocking 0:08:10.720 --> 0:08:14.840 these products. Priceline Pharmacy, Terry White Kem Mart Blooms, the 0:08:14.880 --> 0:08:19.120 Chemist Pharmacy, Triple seven and National Pharmacies, particularly focused in 0:08:19.120 --> 0:08:23.720 South Australia already indicating they will not be doing this now. Yes, 0:08:23.760 --> 0:08:26.600 it's some of these places. There are other nicotine alternatives, 0:08:26.720 --> 0:08:29.760 and we are waiting to see what chemist Warehouse, one 0:08:29.800 --> 0:08:34.440 of the biggest providers of prescription medication and lots of 0:08:34.440 --> 0:08:36.120 other stuff in all of those aisles that you don't 0:08:36.160 --> 0:08:38.600 need a prescription for. What their plan is, I'll tell 0:08:38.600 --> 0:08:40.360 you what they tell us when they get back to 0:08:40.440 --> 0:08:43.480 us over the next twenty four hours. But can you 0:08:43.520 --> 0:08:48.520 think of a dumber solution to the problem of vaping 0:08:49.640 --> 0:08:54.600 than literally creating an entirely new black market, rather than 0:08:54.760 --> 0:08:58.760 a market where, if they wanted to, they could continue 0:08:58.760 --> 0:09:03.200 to sell these thingsanists, but tax them in the same 0:09:03.240 --> 0:09:06.800 way that they tax other tobacco products as a way 0:09:06.800 --> 0:09:09.840 of making up revenue. No, instead, we're going to pretend 0:09:09.920 --> 0:09:13.240 that if magically it's no longer available, then nobody will 0:09:13.240 --> 0:09:16.800 want to use it, because that's worked with everything else 0:09:16.880 --> 0:09:22.240 that the government tries to ban right, why do that to chemists? 0:09:22.240 --> 0:09:25.520 They don't want to be tobacconists. Now, a couple of 0:09:25.559 --> 0:09:27.480 other things in and around politics that I would like 0:09:27.520 --> 0:09:32.080 to get to here, which is who would end up 0:09:32.120 --> 0:09:35.199 backing who should we end up with the hung parliament? 0:09:35.240 --> 0:09:37.040 That most likely is going to be the case after 0:09:37.160 --> 0:09:39.440 the next federal election. Now, as we know, the Prime 0:09:39.480 --> 0:09:43.520 Minister thinks that they budget surplus where they have no 0:09:43.600 --> 0:09:46.000 more money for charities dealing with cost of living, no 0:09:46.080 --> 0:09:48.200 more help when it comes to cost of living, that 0:09:48.280 --> 0:09:51.360 somehow that's going to result in them getting a majority government. 0:09:51.800 --> 0:09:54.959 But as was written today in the Australian newspaper, they 0:09:55.000 --> 0:09:56.920 think that all of these numbers basically say we're off 0:09:56.960 --> 0:10:00.199 the way March election. Some people say there's an very 0:10:00.200 --> 0:10:02.559 small window of something in December, but most likely March 0:10:02.600 --> 0:10:05.520 would be when we are headed. So we know that 0:10:05.559 --> 0:10:07.959 minority government is most likely what is going to happen? 0:10:08.000 --> 0:10:10.960 Why because the Poles have told us the Labour Party's 0:10:10.960 --> 0:10:12.760 primary vote the last election was thirty two and a 0:10:12.800 --> 0:10:15.600 half percent. Newspole say it's at the same mark. However, 0:10:15.960 --> 0:10:18.240 Resolve says it's way lower than that. Essential says it's 0:10:18.240 --> 0:10:20.559 way lower than that, Redbridge says it's about the same. 0:10:20.720 --> 0:10:23.360 JWS says about the same. And Morgan, who, by the 0:10:23.360 --> 0:10:26.480 way tonight has in two party preferred the coalition in front, 0:10:26.679 --> 0:10:29.120 by the way, fifty one to two forty nine. They 0:10:29.160 --> 0:10:32.040 too show that the Labour Party vote has fallen. But 0:10:32.160 --> 0:10:35.720 let's focus in on one particular pole, a JWS pole 0:10:35.720 --> 0:10:38.280 which has turned up in the Financial Review, which we 0:10:38.320 --> 0:10:41.000 told you before about how many seats the coalition would win, 0:10:41.080 --> 0:10:42.880 how many would lose, and there was a chance of 0:10:42.920 --> 0:10:45.959 this becoming not an each way albow but potentially an 0:10:46.080 --> 0:10:50.880 each way Liberal Labor minority government because under their calculations 0:10:50.960 --> 0:10:54.280 right now, they claim that right now it's fifty two 0:10:54.520 --> 0:10:58.559 forty eight, which means that a Dutton minority government may 0:10:58.600 --> 0:11:00.760 well be a potential outcome of the next election. Now, 0:11:00.760 --> 0:11:02.520 I think this is a little too generous, and you've 0:11:02.520 --> 0:11:05.800 heard me say this one thousand times before, But let's 0:11:05.800 --> 0:11:08.320 imagine there was a position where the Liberal Party was 0:11:08.360 --> 0:11:10.840 mathematically close enough to form government, the Labor Party was 0:11:10.840 --> 0:11:14.079 mathematically close to form government. Who would they pick? Well well, 0:11:14.200 --> 0:11:16.000 under the Financial Review, because they actually picked up the 0:11:16.000 --> 0:11:18.240 phone and started to ring some of these people and 0:11:18.280 --> 0:11:19.920 start to put some pressure on them so we would 0:11:19.920 --> 0:11:22.640 start to know what would happen when the government inevitably 0:11:22.679 --> 0:11:26.240 goes into minority. They ended up reaching out to five 0:11:26.520 --> 0:11:28.760 members of the current cross Bench, that being Rebecca Sharki, 0:11:28.880 --> 0:11:31.800 Helen Haynes, a legal spender, Bob Catter and our mate 0:11:31.880 --> 0:11:34.440 die Lee. Rebecca Sharky's the only one who's given an 0:11:34.520 --> 0:11:37.120 actual quote, but she says that she believes that her 0:11:37.160 --> 0:11:39.240 community would expect her to have a conversation with the 0:11:39.280 --> 0:11:42.800 Liberal Party first. Why because, of course the seat of 0:11:42.880 --> 0:11:45.160 Mayo is one that has been represented by, among others, 0:11:45.240 --> 0:11:48.800 Alexander Downer and the Liberal Party for a very long time, 0:11:48.880 --> 0:11:53.120 so a potential win there for Peter Dutton. Also worth noting, 0:11:53.160 --> 0:11:56.000 how two that die Lee. Now, you would say, Die 0:11:56.080 --> 0:11:57.760 Lee is from a place where that it used to 0:11:57.800 --> 0:12:01.199 be hardcore labor, so presumably she'd be pro labor right, No, 0:12:01.800 --> 0:12:06.559 because according to the AFR Today that while the rest 0:12:06.559 --> 0:12:09.800 of the country swung towards labor, Fowler had swung in 0:12:09.840 --> 0:12:12.800 the opposite direction. She pointed out to the local council results, 0:12:12.800 --> 0:12:15.760 which also showed that Labour had lost a swath of seats. 0:12:16.280 --> 0:12:18.840 She says that to me is an indication that something 0:12:18.880 --> 0:12:21.880 is happening. So maybe she could end up backing in 0:12:21.880 --> 0:12:24.320 a Dutton government. I would think it unlikely, but still potential. 0:12:24.559 --> 0:12:26.959 So what about Bob Catter. Bob Caatter has been through 0:12:26.960 --> 0:12:29.600 these negotiations plenty of times before. Of course, in twenty 0:12:29.800 --> 0:12:33.000 ten he ended up backing the coalition, but he told 0:12:33.040 --> 0:12:35.000 the Financial Review that he was very close to Anthony 0:12:35.040 --> 0:12:37.520 Abernezi and there was no guarantee that Dunton would get 0:12:37.559 --> 0:12:40.640 his support. While he labeled the opposition leader the pick 0:12:40.679 --> 0:12:42.880 of the bunch on both sides of politics when it 0:12:42.880 --> 0:12:45.360 comes to leadership, he is, however, critical of the people 0:12:45.360 --> 0:12:48.880 who are around him. So again questioned Mark, but you 0:12:48.880 --> 0:12:51.440 would presume that whoever's got the best deal for his 0:12:51.520 --> 0:12:54.240 part of Queensland, which you would have to think potentially 0:12:54.280 --> 0:12:57.160 could come from Peter Dutton. Well that'd be a good thing. 0:12:57.400 --> 0:12:59.920 What about the independence Helen Haynes and a legal spender. Now, 0:13:00.240 --> 0:13:02.720 Haines represents the seat that way back when, and I 0:13:02.760 --> 0:13:06.440 mean way back when, was a Liberal Party seat. However, 0:13:06.520 --> 0:13:08.840 has been independent so much so that she was able 0:13:08.840 --> 0:13:12.560 to replace the previous independent allegal spender of course, is 0:13:12.640 --> 0:13:18.680 the teal who is representing Wentworth. Haines has said that 0:13:18.720 --> 0:13:20.560 she would never sign away. Now listen to this. Listen 0:13:20.600 --> 0:13:22.720 to this for an absolute non answer. Right my view, 0:13:22.800 --> 0:13:25.280 she'd back Labor. But still Haines, the member for Endi 0:13:25.280 --> 0:13:27.240 and Victoria, says that she would never sign away her 0:13:27.240 --> 0:13:29.880 independent vote on bills in a deal, but she was 0:13:29.920 --> 0:13:32.960 open to negotiations about backing confidence of the House and 0:13:33.080 --> 0:13:36.360 budget bills. So which one would you pick? Well, of 0:13:36.440 --> 0:13:38.840 course she has to sit around and pretend, oh, both sides. 0:13:38.880 --> 0:13:42.040 She would back Labor why she likes their position when 0:13:42.040 --> 0:13:45.600 it comes to climate change, and certainly she would be 0:13:45.640 --> 0:13:47.480 no fan of Peter Duttont. But that's just me going 0:13:47.480 --> 0:13:51.320 off the entire form of her political career. Meantime, Allegra Spender, 0:13:51.760 --> 0:13:53.880 who has referred to herself as a small l Liberal 0:13:54.160 --> 0:13:56.360 and says that she views everything through a business lens, 0:13:57.880 --> 0:14:00.839 and the assumption is that this being a seat that 0:14:00.920 --> 0:14:02.480 used to be for the Liberals, that she most likely 0:14:02.520 --> 0:14:04.959 would end up potentially voting for the Libs. But again, 0:14:04.960 --> 0:14:07.840 no comment from her, so it's as clear as mud. 0:14:08.360 --> 0:14:10.120 But let me walk you through the rest of the 0:14:10.160 --> 0:14:12.360 cross bench as we head towards a minority government. If 0:14:12.400 --> 0:14:16.560 they were all returned. What would happen now? Andrew g 0:14:16.880 --> 0:14:19.400 is a former NATS The expectation is that that seat 0:14:19.480 --> 0:14:21.360 would go back to the Nats. But maybe he ends 0:14:21.400 --> 0:14:24.200 up being out. Taeler Teel who has frightened him in 0:14:24.240 --> 0:14:27.400 the past. Russell Borben who was a person who lost 0:14:27.440 --> 0:14:30.320 pre selection but may well somehow find a way to 0:14:30.360 --> 0:14:33.320 get back into the parliament. Well, both of those guys 0:14:33.760 --> 0:14:37.560 probably for Peter Dutton. Andrew Wilkie no chance he backed Gillard, 0:14:37.600 --> 0:14:41.160 which means of course he would back albow Maniue Ryan'sy, 0:14:41.200 --> 0:14:44.000 Daniel Zalie Steggle, Sophie Scomps and Kate Cheney. Well, all 0:14:44.040 --> 0:14:47.480 of them are in former Liberal Party seats. Now if 0:14:47.520 --> 0:14:50.000 they get re elected, would they all assume that there's 0:14:50.040 --> 0:14:52.400 been a revolution, there's no support for the Liberal Party anymore, 0:14:52.520 --> 0:14:54.960 Or if they did end up backing Labor into government, 0:14:55.280 --> 0:14:57.600 would they end up in the same position as Oakshot 0:14:57.680 --> 0:15:01.840 or windsor so. The Greens of course have four MPs 0:15:01.960 --> 0:15:05.280 and they back Gillard in twenty ten. So back of 0:15:05.320 --> 0:15:08.240 the envelope here. The Liberal Party's case, in my view 0:15:08.320 --> 0:15:10.160 is that the best they could possibly do out of 0:15:10.160 --> 0:15:13.480 the current cross bench of eighteen is to get nine. Okay, 0:15:13.720 --> 0:15:15.720 that means they would have to get sixty five seats 0:15:16.000 --> 0:15:18.760 at the next federal election. The Labor Party's best case, 0:15:18.760 --> 0:15:21.040 most likely is that they would end up with thirteen 0:15:21.640 --> 0:15:25.320 of the eighteen seats, meaning they can afford to fall 0:15:25.520 --> 0:15:28.640 from their current seventy eight seats in the Parliament down 0:15:28.640 --> 0:15:32.640 to sixty three, meaning if there is a minority government, 0:15:32.680 --> 0:15:36.520 most likely it would end up being a Labor one. Sadly, 0:15:37.880 --> 0:15:39.800 but apparently all of that may well just not be 0:15:39.960 --> 0:15:42.440 the case. A majority government may well be coming Labour's 0:15:42.480 --> 0:15:45.160 way because apart from the fact that it Dunton's unelectable, 0:15:45.240 --> 0:15:47.920 despite the fact that more people now are disapproving of 0:15:48.000 --> 0:15:50.080 the Prime minister of course, to sixty percent of people 0:15:50.080 --> 0:15:51.840 can't name a single thing the Prime Minister has done 0:15:51.880 --> 0:15:55.920 to improve their lives. But whatever again. Financial Reviews sorry 0:15:55.920 --> 0:15:58.200 for the endless plugs, but they had the good story today, 0:15:58.360 --> 0:16:01.160 which was an opinion persons who jesting that a rate 0:16:01.200 --> 0:16:04.800 cut will save Albanisi, potentially even keeping him in a 0:16:05.040 --> 0:16:08.280 majority and the National Australian Bank said today that they 0:16:08.320 --> 0:16:11.520 do expect a rate cut to happen not midway through 0:16:11.520 --> 0:16:15.440 twenty twenty five, but potentially early in twenty and twenty five, 0:16:15.960 --> 0:16:20.160 maybe as early as February. Michelle Bullock, of course, is 0:16:20.240 --> 0:16:22.640 the Reserve Bank Governor, and it's important to note that 0:16:22.680 --> 0:16:25.520 she has said there will be no change this year 0:16:25.960 --> 0:16:28.200 and it's most likely to be towards the end of 0:16:28.360 --> 0:16:31.240 next year. And remember she's also said if you're suffering 0:16:31.320 --> 0:16:34.280 under interest rates right now, you should probably sell your house. 0:16:34.800 --> 0:16:38.040 So I don't think she's planning on saving Albo anytime soon. 0:16:38.080 --> 0:16:39.520 But that's just some of the maths. And I know 0:16:39.560 --> 0:16:42.520 you're hardcore politics people say, well, I wanted to peek 0:16:42.560 --> 0:16:46.440 behind the curtain. By the way, don't fat for anyone 0:16:46.480 --> 0:16:48.360 unless they're willing to actually tell you what they would 0:16:48.400 --> 0:16:50.160 do should they become in a position to choose the 0:16:50.200 --> 0:16:52.600 Government of Australia. If they can't answer the question and 0:16:52.640 --> 0:16:54.040 they're trying to have sor of you know, the elbow 0:16:54.120 --> 0:16:58.840 each way, don't vote for them. Meantime, Queensland official campaign 0:16:58.960 --> 0:17:02.000 has begun Day one of the election campaign. More importantly, 0:17:02.040 --> 0:17:05.600 twenty five days now until queensa gets the opportunity to 0:17:05.720 --> 0:17:10.080 flush the Miles government and end giggles premiership. He went 0:17:10.119 --> 0:17:14.320 to Government House today and who cares David Christofully. Meantime 0:17:14.320 --> 0:17:16.160 he was on the campaign trail. In fact, as early 0:17:16.160 --> 0:17:18.879 as yesterday he started his formal election campaign and he 0:17:19.000 --> 0:17:21.159 was in Bunderberg. All the poles say he is the 0:17:21.200 --> 0:17:24.080 next Premier of the Queensland fingers cross. That's the case. 0:17:24.600 --> 0:17:27.760 But I wanted to point something out to people here 0:17:28.160 --> 0:17:29.760 who may well think that a slam done. So it 0:17:29.800 --> 0:17:31.800 doesn't matter. So you know, I just let everyone else 0:17:31.840 --> 0:17:34.959 vote to change the government. In the queens enn Parliament, 0:17:35.000 --> 0:17:37.840 you need forty seven seats to form a majority. The 0:17:37.920 --> 0:17:40.480 Labour Party currently has fifty one, meaning they can lose 0:17:40.520 --> 0:17:43.199 four seats yet still hold on to the majority. The 0:17:43.200 --> 0:17:47.080 Liberal Party needs to win twelve seats to be able 0:17:47.080 --> 0:17:49.960 to form the majority, so they need to pick up 0:17:50.000 --> 0:17:53.560 seats all over the state, particularly in regional areas. And 0:17:53.600 --> 0:17:55.680 we'll see what happens when it comes to the Cross 0:17:55.720 --> 0:17:58.480 Beach Kadaz. Australia Party has four. There is one independent 0:17:58.480 --> 0:18:00.840 in the parliament and Green's hopefully there will be no 0:18:00.960 --> 0:18:03.960 more because today the LMP made a particularly excellent decision, 0:18:04.080 --> 0:18:05.800 which was they would put the Greens last and what 0:18:05.880 --> 0:18:09.119 actual fact preference labor over the Greens labor, of course, 0:18:09.680 --> 0:18:14.200 why would they do that. Let us turn our attention 0:18:14.320 --> 0:18:14.840 now to. 0:18:15.040 --> 0:18:19.320 The greater form of the media, the deeper end of 0:18:19.359 --> 0:18:24.720 the swimming pool, the more beloved broadcast, that being of course, 0:18:25.080 --> 0:18:25.640 the ABC. 0:18:26.359 --> 0:18:30.000 Now the ABC is of course beloved by many lefties 0:18:30.000 --> 0:18:32.320 around the country. In fact, they sometimes think the Patricia 0:18:32.359 --> 0:18:35.560 Cabalis is too right wing, but still they generally get 0:18:35.560 --> 0:18:39.320 what they want now, as you know, many of the 0:18:39.320 --> 0:18:43.159 things or the people who support the ABC blindly, who 0:18:43.240 --> 0:18:44.959 think there's no problems there, who think the problems are 0:18:44.960 --> 0:18:47.040 everything outside the building, the people who think they should 0:18:47.040 --> 0:18:49.399 get two billion dollars a year despite the fact that 0:18:49.440 --> 0:18:53.040 we have not one, but two two taxpayer funded broadcasters 0:18:53.600 --> 0:18:56.280 in the country, that and SBS, well, they of course say, 0:18:56.280 --> 0:18:58.400 there's nothing to see here. There is no fault whatsoever 0:18:58.440 --> 0:19:00.240 when it comes to the ABC, and if there is, 0:19:00.359 --> 0:19:02.800 it's sort of people have kind of got liberal party connections. 0:19:03.800 --> 0:19:05.680 The only problem was is that I thought we should 0:19:05.680 --> 0:19:07.840 actually have a look at what it's like to work 0:19:08.359 --> 0:19:12.160 for the ABC, the so called better of the rest 0:19:12.160 --> 0:19:16.600 of the Australian media, well, they underpaid their staff in fact, 0:19:16.640 --> 0:19:19.919 the number is about twelve million dollars that they have 0:19:20.080 --> 0:19:24.639 underpaid their staff over seven years. Okay, well that's the 0:19:24.680 --> 0:19:29.360 only thing, right. Well, what about a survey of their 0:19:29.400 --> 0:19:32.920 own news and Current affairs people that suggested that sexual 0:19:32.920 --> 0:19:36.359 harassment is quite a problem for the people who work there. 0:19:37.480 --> 0:19:39.560 In fact, according to the ABC reporting about the ABC, 0:19:39.600 --> 0:19:41.760 which we know they love to do, a survey of 0:19:41.760 --> 0:19:44.240 ABC News staff has found thirteen percent of respondents to 0:19:44.280 --> 0:19:47.560 a survey experienced sexual harassment at work, and more than 0:19:47.600 --> 0:19:50.520 a quarter have been bullied over the past two years. 0:19:51.119 --> 0:19:55.640 It's been described as pervasive. Well, okay, they've paid back 0:19:55.680 --> 0:19:58.159 the money and surely they've learned their lesson then, I 0:19:58.160 --> 0:20:01.920 mean David Anderson, the current boss, thinking of jumping ship 0:20:01.960 --> 0:20:05.120 a couple of years early. I mean, he's done his sorries, right, 0:20:05.960 --> 0:20:10.119 except for what happened today when David Anderson says we 0:20:10.200 --> 0:20:13.040 must do better. Why because they've got a little bit 0:20:13.080 --> 0:20:16.399 of a racial problem. In fact, again, the ABC writing 0:20:16.400 --> 0:20:19.159 about the ABC says that among the experiences that have 0:20:19.240 --> 0:20:22.560 been documented in cases of racial slurs or offensive comments 0:20:22.560 --> 0:20:27.040 about a person's appearance or cultural practices and being excluded 0:20:27.080 --> 0:20:31.000 from workplace and social functions due to their background. These 0:20:31.000 --> 0:20:32.679 are the people that are better than everyone else in 0:20:32.680 --> 0:20:35.200 the media. Just sit there and watch media Watch. They'll 0:20:35.240 --> 0:20:38.359 tell you why everything else is terrible. But this is 0:20:38.400 --> 0:20:41.800 what's going on inside their own walls. The reviewers heard 0:20:41.840 --> 0:20:44.520 of staff being mistaken for someone junior based on their 0:20:44.600 --> 0:20:47.760 racial appearance because you know, everyone looks the same, right, 0:20:48.359 --> 0:20:51.760 and staff are being passed up opportunities because you are 0:20:52.280 --> 0:20:57.320 considered to have been hired only to meet a diversity quota. Okay, 0:20:57.320 --> 0:21:01.560 well that's you know, that's clearly problem with only a 0:21:01.560 --> 0:21:04.080 certain type of staff member. And thankfully there are more 0:21:04.280 --> 0:21:06.960 modern examples about an ABC that's got a big and 0:21:07.040 --> 0:21:08.760