1 00:00:05,160 --> 00:00:08,000 Speaker 1: This is what the flucks. I'm Brett and it's fundated 2 00:00:08,000 --> 00:00:09,600 Speaker 1: twenty fourth and Debruary, Doze Boy. 3 00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:13,200 Speaker 2: Diamonds might be forever, but diamond prices are not. The 4 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:16,160 Speaker 2: price of a single carrot diamond has fallen by thirty 5 00:00:16,200 --> 00:00:19,040 Speaker 2: seven percent over the past six years as demand for 6 00:00:19,200 --> 00:00:20,760 Speaker 2: lab grown diamonds. 7 00:00:20,360 --> 00:00:21,800 Speaker 1: Continues to skyrocke. 8 00:00:22,280 --> 00:00:25,120 Speaker 2: So the next person that tells you that diamonds are 9 00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:26,640 Speaker 2: a good investment of the long. 10 00:00:26,560 --> 00:00:29,400 Speaker 1: Term, I'd recommend thinking again. Fox Am. 11 00:00:29,520 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 3: Did you know every single day the banks does not 12 00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:34,040 Speaker 3: pass on the cash right cart they make an extra 13 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:35,560 Speaker 3: ten million dollars. 14 00:00:35,720 --> 00:00:35,960 Speaker 1: Wow. 15 00:00:36,040 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 3: We run through why they delayed, how long they normally delayed, 16 00:00:38,760 --> 00:00:40,479 Speaker 3: and what they've done in the past. So if you're 17 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:42,360 Speaker 3: a homeown at or looking to buy home, this is 18 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:44,280 Speaker 3: the perfect place to understand the ins and out of 19 00:00:44,320 --> 00:00:44,959 Speaker 3: how banks work. 20 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:46,680 Speaker 1: Make sure to check it out in the Flux app. 21 00:00:46,760 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 2: Three Understandable stories today, Dozzy Boy, let's do it for 22 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:54,560 Speaker 2: our first domain, the Digital Property Marketplace, has seen its 23 00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 2: share price skyrocket thirty seven percent after it received a 24 00:00:58,440 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 2: takeover bid by. 25 00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 3: A US domain been lagging aria for yongksb Man. So 26 00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:05,320 Speaker 3: this could be exactly what the doctor ordered, so tell 27 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 3: me more. 28 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:08,920 Speaker 2: Well, Domain is the real estate marketplace actually started in 29 00:01:09,000 --> 00:01:11,680 Speaker 2: nineteen ninety six, and get this, it was a lift 30 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:14,920 Speaker 2: out part of Fairfax Newspapers. And in nineteen ninety nine, 31 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:18,440 Speaker 2: Domain's first website with digital property listings went live. But 32 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:19,600 Speaker 2: let's be real here, be Man. 33 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 3: Domain has always played second fiddle to real estate dot 34 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:24,080 Speaker 3: Com dota you in the real estate industry. 35 00:01:24,160 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 2: Yep, real estate dot com dot U has forty six 36 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:29,640 Speaker 2: percent more monthly unique visitors than Domain. 37 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:32,360 Speaker 3: In fact, well, Aria Group's share price has more than 38 00:01:32,440 --> 00:01:35,839 Speaker 3: doubled in the past five years, Domains has pretty much flatlined. 39 00:01:35,920 --> 00:01:39,840 Speaker 2: But jose wait, last Thursday, some mystery buyer brought up 40 00:01:39,880 --> 00:01:42,000 Speaker 2: a twenty percent steak in Domain. 41 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 1: Aka the Fixer Rupper, And on. 42 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:46,840 Speaker 2: Friday it came out that the mystery buyer was co Star, 43 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:49,240 Speaker 2: which is a company claiming to be the world's largest 44 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:50,880 Speaker 2: real estate information company. 45 00:01:50,920 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 3: Interesting, Beman, and they've announced plans to submit a takeover bid, 46 00:01:54,120 --> 00:01:57,280 Speaker 3: valuing Domain at two point seven billion dollars. 47 00:01:57,000 --> 00:01:59,559 Speaker 2: Which by my calculations is more than forty two percent 48 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 2: preme on its average share price from the past month. 49 00:02:02,560 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 3: And be Man, no surprise here, but Aria Group share 50 00:02:05,160 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 3: price film more than ten percent on this. 51 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 1: News huge, So what is the key learning here? 52 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:12,360 Speaker 3: Market leaders can never allow themselves to get comfortable, no 53 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:13,560 Speaker 3: matter how big they are. 54 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:16,079 Speaker 1: When a casht up competitor enters the scene, it can 55 00:02:16,120 --> 00:02:17,160 Speaker 1: really change everything. 56 00:02:17,200 --> 00:02:21,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, Coastar is a global behemoth, it's worth fifty billion US. 57 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:22,799 Speaker 1: Dollars and interestingly juzzy boy. 58 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 2: Last month, Aria Group CEO shared his secret for smashing Domain. 59 00:02:27,360 --> 00:02:27,600 Speaker 1: Yeah. 60 00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 3: He said they out invested Domain on everything from tech 61 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:31,520 Speaker 3: to product development to. 62 00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:33,080 Speaker 1: People, but he's heard at all changes. 63 00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, because with a potential new overlord, Domain could actually 64 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 3: afford to drop prices, pump millions into marketing, and invest 65 00:02:39,639 --> 00:02:40,680 Speaker 3: heavily into tech. 66 00:02:40,760 --> 00:02:43,560 Speaker 2: And this is a blueprint that Costar has tried and 67 00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:45,440 Speaker 2: tested around the world already. 68 00:02:45,440 --> 00:02:48,240 Speaker 3: For example, it's spent one billion US dollars to take 69 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 3: its homes dot com portal from number six in the 70 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:52,080 Speaker 3: US market to number. 71 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 1: Two, and it also did the same in the UK. 72 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:57,000 Speaker 2: It acquired the second place property marketplace named on the Move, 73 00:02:57,080 --> 00:03:00,519 Speaker 2: and five x it's marketing spend so b man it. 74 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:03,240 Speaker 3: This still goes through Oria Group and its investors might 75 00:03:03,280 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 3: still have the same competitor, but in brand you Ama. 76 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:07,720 Speaker 1: For our second story. 77 00:03:07,880 --> 00:03:11,200 Speaker 2: Guzman Egomez, the biggest IPO listing of twenty twenty four. 78 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:13,399 Speaker 1: Mind You, says it's expecting to beat. 79 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:16,839 Speaker 2: Its prospectus forecast this financial year, but share price got 80 00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:17,880 Speaker 2: whacked for one big reason. 81 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:21,359 Speaker 3: It's a very spicy jalapeno to swallow for GAG investors, 82 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:22,280 Speaker 3: So tell me more well. 83 00:03:22,320 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 2: Guzmanigomez opened its first store in Sydney in two thousand 84 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 2: and six as a Mexican fast food chain. 85 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:29,919 Speaker 1: The idea was to make fast food that was actually good. 86 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:32,079 Speaker 2: Quality, and since then it's grown to operate over two 87 00:03:32,160 --> 00:03:35,480 Speaker 2: hundred and thirty stores in Australia, Japan, Singapore and the US. 88 00:03:35,560 --> 00:03:38,440 Speaker 3: And last year b Man Guzmigomes listed on the ASX 89 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:41,320 Speaker 3: at a market cap of two point two billion baccarinis. 90 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:43,880 Speaker 2: But since then it's share price is more than doubled. 91 00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:46,400 Speaker 2: Only people are willing to bet big on burritos. Be 92 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:49,400 Speaker 2: Man and now Gyg has said it's on track to 93 00:03:49,440 --> 00:03:52,880 Speaker 2: beat its prospectus profit forecast this financial year. 94 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:55,560 Speaker 1: That's thanks to more Brecky sales and more delivery orders 95 00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 1: as well. That's good news for these new burrito kings. 96 00:03:58,120 --> 00:04:01,000 Speaker 3: It is, but its share price actually more than ten 97 00:04:01,040 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 3: percent on the news. 98 00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:03,000 Speaker 1: Why do you reckon it happened? 99 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 3: Juzi boy, Well, investors didn't really care about those Australian 100 00:04:06,200 --> 00:04:09,200 Speaker 3: results because it's US stores weren't performing so well. 101 00:04:09,400 --> 00:04:11,160 Speaker 1: Oh so what is the key learning here? 102 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 2: A significant part of a company's valuation is often tied 103 00:04:14,440 --> 00:04:17,640 Speaker 2: to its future growth prospect rather than its current earnings. 104 00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:21,040 Speaker 2: For GYG, a substantial portion of its share price reflects 105 00:04:21,080 --> 00:04:25,040 Speaker 2: investor expectations when it comes to a successful international expansion, 106 00:04:25,120 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 2: particularly in the very lucrative US market. But the US 107 00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:32,040 Speaker 2: franchise has flopped. Its US network sales dropped by twelve 108 00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:33,280 Speaker 2: point seven percent. 109 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:35,360 Speaker 1: And the losses they're getting bigger as well. 110 00:04:35,240 --> 00:04:38,080 Speaker 2: And investors a quick to react when growth markets fail 111 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:41,599 Speaker 2: to deliver juzzy boy like the US so Beman. For GYG, 112 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 2: turning around its US operations is crucial, not just for 113 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:47,120 Speaker 2: revenue growth, but for maintaining. 114 00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:47,520 Speaker 1: Its high valuation. 115 00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:50,880 Speaker 3: For our third and final story, Apple has released its 116 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:54,120 Speaker 3: new iPhone sixteen E last week as it struggles to 117 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 3: compete in the smartphone market against cheaper competitors. 118 00:04:57,360 --> 00:04:59,279 Speaker 1: Can you smell that, jazzy boy? I tell you what 119 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:02,320 Speaker 1: it smells like. Apple's desperation right now, So tell me 120 00:05:02,360 --> 00:05:03,160 Speaker 1: what is going on here? 121 00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:03,479 Speaker 2: Okay? 122 00:05:03,480 --> 00:05:05,800 Speaker 3: So Apple is the most valuable brand in the whole 123 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:08,599 Speaker 3: wide world with its slick designs, it's slick stores, and 124 00:05:08,640 --> 00:05:10,280 Speaker 3: it's fancy products. 125 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:12,960 Speaker 2: From the iPhone to MacBooks, Apple watched air pods. It's 126 00:05:13,000 --> 00:05:15,920 Speaker 2: got many customers wrap around its trillion dollar fingers. 127 00:05:16,080 --> 00:05:19,119 Speaker 1: Yeah, but b man, Apple's just done something very uncharacteristic. 128 00:05:19,200 --> 00:05:20,120 Speaker 1: What's that juzzy boy? 129 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:23,480 Speaker 2: Well, normally in its annual Nerdfest, which takes place in September, 130 00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:27,200 Speaker 2: CEO Tim Cook releases its latest products. But late last week, 131 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:30,599 Speaker 2: which was in February, Apple announced the launch of a 132 00:05:30,680 --> 00:05:34,120 Speaker 2: new cheaper iPhone, the iPhone sixteen E and be Man. 133 00:05:34,160 --> 00:05:36,240 Speaker 2: This one's got most of the software features in the 134 00:05:36,279 --> 00:05:39,480 Speaker 2: iPhone sixteen, but at a much cheaper price point and jazzyboy. 135 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:42,600 Speaker 2: While Apple claims this has always been part of its plan, 136 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:44,719 Speaker 2: it might just be a bit of a hail mary 137 00:05:44,880 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 2: after its iPhone sixteen didn't really drive upgrades during the 138 00:05:48,680 --> 00:05:49,440 Speaker 2: holiday quarter. 139 00:05:49,600 --> 00:05:50,920 Speaker 1: So what is the key learning here? 140 00:05:51,000 --> 00:05:54,279 Speaker 2: In the battle for market share, sometimes even premium brands 141 00:05:54,440 --> 00:05:56,479 Speaker 2: need a more accessible priced hack. 142 00:05:56,520 --> 00:05:57,160 Speaker 1: Get this, be Man. 143 00:05:57,240 --> 00:06:00,440 Speaker 3: Apple's iPhone sales declined in the December quarter by one 144 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:02,200 Speaker 3: percent compared to the previous year. 145 00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:05,000 Speaker 2: Compare that to the expectations of a jump of one 146 00:06:05,040 --> 00:06:06,080 Speaker 2: point four percent. 147 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 3: And this new iPhone was meant to be the Bee's 148 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:11,440 Speaker 3: knees with all its sexy Apple Intelligence AI features. 149 00:06:11,000 --> 00:06:13,320 Speaker 2: But still not enough to convince customers to take the 150 00:06:13,560 --> 00:06:15,279 Speaker 2: nineteen hundred dollars plunge. 151 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:17,880 Speaker 3: You see, b Man Apples not only had a slow 152 00:06:17,880 --> 00:06:20,640 Speaker 3: December quarter, but it's also losing market share to its 153 00:06:20,760 --> 00:06:21,680 Speaker 3: cheap arrivals. 154 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:24,800 Speaker 2: Apple last one point five percent market share, while cheaper 155 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:28,520 Speaker 2: Chinese brands like Shaomi and Vivo scooped up and be Man. 156 00:06:28,560 --> 00:06:30,080 Speaker 1: It's a bit of a delicate ballaced Apple. 157 00:06:30,120 --> 00:06:32,800 Speaker 3: If they stay two premium, they risk losing customers to 158 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:35,040 Speaker 3: cheaper competitors, and of course, if they go too cheap, 159 00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:38,200 Speaker 3: they dilute the brand's exclusivity flex amp. Did you know 160 00:06:38,320 --> 00:06:41,000 Speaker 3: only one third of banks and lenders have passed on 161 00:06:41,040 --> 00:06:43,440 Speaker 3: the right cut already? We cover everything in the Flux 162 00:06:43,440 --> 00:06:45,320 Speaker 3: app who's passed on the right cut, when they'll be 163 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:47,360 Speaker 3: passing it on, and how much money banks are making 164 00:06:47,440 --> 00:06:49,120 Speaker 3: right now in the interim period. If you want to 165 00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:51,000 Speaker 3: check it out, make sure to download the Flux app 166 00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:52,240 Speaker 3: and read all about the. 167 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:54,640 Speaker 1: Cash rate cuts. Thanks for listening, and we'll see you 168 00:06:54,720 --> 00:06:55,800 Speaker 1: on Wednesday.