1 00:00:03,800 --> 00:00:06,960 Speaker 1: It's Thursday, the twelfth of March twenty twenty six. Welcome 2 00:00:07,000 --> 00:00:09,399 Speaker 1: to the Fast five Business News by Fear and Greed, 3 00:00:09,400 --> 00:00:11,280 Speaker 1: where we give you the top five business stories you 4 00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:13,720 Speaker 1: need to know in just five minutes. I'm Michael Thompson 5 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:17,040 Speaker 1: and good morning Sean Aylmer, Morning Michael Shawn. Five stories, 6 00:00:17,040 --> 00:00:19,480 Speaker 1: five minutes. Let's go a story number one. Two of 7 00:00:19,520 --> 00:00:23,040 Speaker 1: the four big banks now expect interest rates to rise 8 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:26,000 Speaker 1: next week, while professional investors are pushing up bond yields, 9 00:00:26,040 --> 00:00:29,520 Speaker 1: which reflect rate expectations, to their highest level in more 10 00:00:29,520 --> 00:00:32,680 Speaker 1: than a decade. National Australian Bank and Westpac now expect 11 00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:34,840 Speaker 1: to lift in the official cash rate both next week 12 00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:37,520 Speaker 1: end in May, taking it back to four point three 13 00:00:37,640 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 1: five percent, equal to its highest level in thirteen years. 14 00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:43,520 Speaker 1: That would feed through to mortgage rates and amounts charged 15 00:00:43,560 --> 00:00:45,720 Speaker 1: on business loans and credit cards as well. 16 00:00:45,960 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 2: The shift on rates came after Reserve Bank Deputy Governor 17 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:51,760 Speaker 2: Andrew Howeser said it would be bad for everyone if 18 00:00:51,760 --> 00:00:55,000 Speaker 2: the Central Bank didn't act decisively. Bond market's now pricing 19 00:00:55,040 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 2: in a four and five chance of a rate hike 20 00:00:56,880 --> 00:00:59,760 Speaker 2: next week. Before houses comments, a less than fifty percent 21 00:01:00,280 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 2: was baked in three year bond nils have hit four 22 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:05,479 Speaker 2: point four to nine percent. It's just investors think that's 23 00:01:05,520 --> 00:01:07,919 Speaker 2: the average of the cash rate over the next three years, 24 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:10,680 Speaker 2: much higher than where it is now. Speaking on the 25 00:01:10,720 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 2: conversations podcast, How's That said, inflation was now expected to 26 00:01:14,800 --> 00:01:17,280 Speaker 2: rise above the Reserve banks four point two percent forecast 27 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:19,560 Speaker 2: for June. If that's the case, the central Bank is 28 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 2: likely to take action to not only slow inflation, but 29 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:24,680 Speaker 2: also restrict inflation expectations. 30 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:28,440 Speaker 1: Hauser also noted that with oil trading at elevated levels, 31 00:01:28,480 --> 00:01:31,600 Speaker 1: the highest since Russia's invasion of Ukraine in twenty twenty two, 32 00:01:32,200 --> 00:01:34,840 Speaker 1: and the RBA doesn't want a repeat of the twenty 33 00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 1: twenty two to twenty twenty three scenario when the cash 34 00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:39,040 Speaker 1: rate went from zero point one percent to four point 35 00:01:39,080 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 1: three five percent, the fastest pace of increase ever from 36 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:44,880 Speaker 1: the central Bank. He went on to say, Sean, and 37 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 1: this is pretty clear, right, Failing to raise rates to 38 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:50,880 Speaker 1: the level they need to be and allowing inflation to 39 00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:52,920 Speaker 1: get out of control is a clear problem. 40 00:01:53,160 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, that's what you call hawkish central bank commentary. 41 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:58,760 Speaker 2: The Reserve Bank clearly wants to stamp on any further 42 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:02,280 Speaker 2: Outbak of inflation, and as NAB Chief economist Sally Old 43 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 2: put it, senior Central Bank officials are inclined to view 44 00:02:05,520 --> 00:02:09,520 Speaker 2: the Iranian conflict as an infationary shock might be temporary, 45 00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 2: but it's still a shock. The impact of higher oil 46 00:02:12,560 --> 00:02:15,080 Speaker 2: prices will flow through to the economy. 47 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:19,600 Speaker 1: Onto story number two. You mentioned the Iranian conflict. The 48 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:23,680 Speaker 1: Australian diplomatic missions in Tel Aviv, in Abu Dhabi and 49 00:02:23,840 --> 00:02:26,640 Speaker 1: Dubai have all been shut down due to threats posed 50 00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 1: by missile and drone attacks. Foreign Minister Pennywong said the 51 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:34,040 Speaker 1: government's number one priority is keeping Australian safe. 52 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:36,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean lots going on around the Middle East. 53 00:02:36,040 --> 00:02:38,519 Speaker 2: We had Home Affairs Minister Tony Burke saying yes, so 54 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:41,519 Speaker 2: that one person from the Iranian women's soccer team who 55 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 2: had sought asylum, she changed her mind. So we initially 56 00:02:44,600 --> 00:02:47,360 Speaker 2: had five members and another two. One has asked to 57 00:02:47,400 --> 00:02:50,480 Speaker 2: go home. Therefore there are six people seeking asylum and 58 00:02:50,560 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 2: they have been granted asylum already. Tay RAN's experienced some 59 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:56,960 Speaker 2: of its heaviest air strikes for a while, with electricity 60 00:02:57,000 --> 00:03:00,440 Speaker 2: cut in many neighborhoods, and the Middle East conflict, of course, 61 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 2: hitting oil and gas prices, but also supporting the Ossie 62 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:07,959 Speaker 2: dollar yesterday went towards seventy two US cents. It's actually 63 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:12,160 Speaker 2: at its highest level against the yen in thirty five years. 64 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:17,480 Speaker 1: Story number three sean one time Maverick MP Matt Canavan 65 00:03:17,639 --> 00:03:22,239 Speaker 1: has been elected leader of the Federal National Party, immediately 66 00:03:22,280 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 1: calling for more Australian farming, more Australian manufacturing and more 67 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:27,320 Speaker 1: Australian jobs. 68 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 2: And that's pretty much the Canavan blueprint. He said, we 69 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:32,639 Speaker 2: needed to go hyper Australian for our country. We need 70 00:03:32,639 --> 00:03:36,920 Speaker 2: more Australian babies, more Oussie humor, more Ossie jokes, as 71 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 2: well as more barbecues fueled by fossil fuels. Canavan of 72 00:03:40,680 --> 00:03:42,720 Speaker 2: course led the push inside the National to dump its 73 00:03:42,720 --> 00:03:45,480 Speaker 2: support for net zero emissions and his pro coal. He 74 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:48,080 Speaker 2: won the ballad of a National MPs. He'll replace David 75 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:51,280 Speaker 2: little Proud, who quit the top job. Surprisingly on Tuesday, 76 00:03:51,600 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 2: it was a one point was rumored that Canavan might 77 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 2: join Barnaby Joyce at One Nation. Yesterday Canavan said quite 78 00:03:57,440 --> 00:03:59,520 Speaker 2: the opposite. He'll be leading the fight against labour. One 79 00:03:59,600 --> 00:04:03,320 Speaker 2: Nationales will target One Nation and its leader Pauline Hansen 80 00:04:03,640 --> 00:04:07,800 Speaker 2: of the party's lack of substance and ponchon to grow division. 81 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:11,400 Speaker 1: Storing um before. The Federal government will pump two hundred 82 00:04:11,480 --> 00:04:15,920 Speaker 1: million dollars into ASX listed cloud, cybersecurity and telecommunications company 83 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:20,400 Speaker 1: Macquarry Technology Group to help keep Australian data on shore 84 00:04:20,839 --> 00:04:24,040 Speaker 1: as well as create jobs in technology and artificial intelligence. 85 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:27,279 Speaker 2: Mcquarie Tech owms data centers that support many government agency 86 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 2: clients and the National Reconstruction Funds investment aims to help 87 00:04:30,800 --> 00:04:33,840 Speaker 2: the Department of Defense and others accelerate the use of 88 00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:37,359 Speaker 2: sovereign cloud services and AI. Tim Air as the Minister 89 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:40,159 Speaker 2: for Industry Innovations, that the investment gives Australian businesses the 90 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 2: conference to harness AI while making sure critical digital infrastructure 91 00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 2: and information remains on shore. Really really important that it 92 00:04:48,600 --> 00:04:51,840 Speaker 2: stays on shore. The National Reconstruction Fund established in twenty 93 00:04:51,839 --> 00:04:54,159 Speaker 2: twenty three as a fifteen billion dollar mandate to invest 94 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:58,040 Speaker 2: in companies and projects that diversify and transform Australia's industry 95 00:04:58,200 --> 00:05:02,559 Speaker 2: and economy. Tex Chief executive David two d pretty happy 96 00:05:02,560 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 2: about the whole thing. Gives a company more financial flexibility 97 00:05:05,360 --> 00:05:06,719 Speaker 2: and share price rose yesterday. 98 00:05:07,360 --> 00:05:11,240 Speaker 1: Last one, sorry, number five body maker. This one Sean Amazon, 99 00:05:10,880 --> 00:05:17,520 Speaker 1: Amazon owned Zooks. It's a hard It's Zox right. It 100 00:05:17,520 --> 00:05:19,440 Speaker 1: looks it could be zoo X. It could be Zooks. 101 00:05:19,520 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 1: I think it's Zooks. It wants to put a very 102 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:25,240 Speaker 1: specific kind of robotaxi on US roads. It is a 103 00:05:25,320 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 1: robo taxi without a steering wheel, without a break, without 104 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:30,800 Speaker 1: an accelerator, without any pedals at all Sean. The company 105 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:33,560 Speaker 1: has asked US regulators to allow it to deploy purpose 106 00:05:33,600 --> 00:05:36,800 Speaker 1: built vehicles that do not look or drive like a 107 00:05:36,839 --> 00:05:37,680 Speaker 1: traditional car. 108 00:05:37,880 --> 00:05:41,560 Speaker 2: The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration set it's seeking public 109 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 2: comments on Zooks. Zooks's had the plural of Zooks is 110 00:05:45,120 --> 00:05:48,400 Speaker 2: the hard one. Zuks's plan to deploy up to twenty 111 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:51,480 Speaker 2: five hundred robo taxis. If it gets the green light, 112 00:05:51,520 --> 00:05:54,200 Speaker 2: it strengthens the case that robo taxi operators can move 113 00:05:54,240 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 2: beyond retrofitting existing models towards dedicated fleets. That matters because 114 00:06:00,120 --> 00:06:03,719 Speaker 2: US built the built vehicles cheap in a manufacturer at scale, 115 00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:08,599 Speaker 2: simple to maintain, easier to optimize for passenger turnover. The 116 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:12,560 Speaker 2: question is whether the regulators can keep up with the science. 117 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:13,800 Speaker 2: We'll have to see about that one. 118 00:06:14,080 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 1: Indeed, all right, there we go the top five business 119 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:18,680 Speaker 1: stories in five minutes. Thank you very much, Sean, Thank you, Michael. 120 00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:22,680 Speaker 1: It is Thursday, the twelfth of March twenty twenty six. 121 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:25,320 Speaker 1: Remember to hit follow on the podcast. That is particularly 122 00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:27,520 Speaker 1: important if you're listening to us on Spotify and you're 123 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:30,960 Speaker 1: listening through the your daily drive playlist. That playlist is 124 00:06:31,000 --> 00:06:33,560 Speaker 1: about to disappear. It's happening next week, so please hit 125 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:35,200 Speaker 1: follow on the podcast today. 126 00:06:35,200 --> 00:06:37,839 Speaker 2: A great thing about this is all those people sick 127 00:06:37,880 --> 00:06:39,760 Speaker 2: of us saying hit follow, hit follow. You won't have 128 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:42,320 Speaker 2: to hear that after next after this week. 129 00:06:42,200 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, we won't mention it again. As long as you 130 00:06:44,120 --> 00:06:46,720 Speaker 1: hit follow today, we can stop mentioning it ever again. 131 00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:50,040 Speaker 1: But do that today, and if you need the longer show, 132 00:06:50,040 --> 00:06:52,760 Speaker 1: you can find Fear and Greed wherever you listen to podcasts. 133 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:54,880 Speaker 1: I'm Michael Thompson and that was the Fast five Business 134 00:06:54,880 --> 00:06:59,720 Speaker 1: News by Fear and Greed. Have a great day.