1 00:00:06,160 --> 00:00:09,080 Speaker 1: Today on Fear and Greed, the two federal leaders gear 2 00:00:09,160 --> 00:00:12,600 Speaker 1: up for the final run into the election. Rental growth 3 00:00:12,600 --> 00:00:15,760 Speaker 1: across the country is still tracking above pre COVID levels, 4 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:19,440 Speaker 1: and Bunnings dips its toe into the auto sector. Welcome 5 00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:21,800 Speaker 1: to Fear and Greed, daily business news for people who 6 00:00:21,800 --> 00:00:24,919 Speaker 1: make their own decisions. It is Easter Monday, the twenty 7 00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:28,159 Speaker 1: first of April twenty twenty five. Ah Michael Thompson and 8 00:00:28,200 --> 00:00:29,639 Speaker 1: good morning, Sean Aylmer. 9 00:00:30,000 --> 00:00:31,480 Speaker 2: Good morning Michael. 10 00:00:31,760 --> 00:00:35,200 Speaker 1: Sean this morning. We have a shorter show today given 11 00:00:35,240 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 1: it to a public holiday around the country, and I've 12 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:40,280 Speaker 1: got to say if you are hoping for our daily 13 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:43,879 Speaker 1: newsletter then you might be in for a bit of 14 00:00:43,880 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 1: a disappointment. It is obviously taking the long weekend off, 15 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:52,600 Speaker 1: but but it will be back. The newsletter. The full 16 00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:56,920 Speaker 1: show Everything returns tomorrow in full in the run into 17 00:00:57,000 --> 00:00:59,720 Speaker 1: the election. If you haven't signed up for the newsletter now, 18 00:01:00,120 --> 00:01:02,280 Speaker 1: now is the perfect opportunity to do so. Head along 19 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:06,840 Speaker 1: to Fearangreed dot com dot au and pop your email 20 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:10,360 Speaker 1: addressing shown on with the show. The election. It's the 21 00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:14,240 Speaker 1: main story today. Hostilities were supposed to cease over Easter, 22 00:01:14,319 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 1: though it's probably fair to say that didn't really happen. 23 00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 1: You can't blame them, can you. They're twelve days out 24 00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:24,960 Speaker 1: from polling, one day before postal voting commences, and really 25 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:29,000 Speaker 1: Prime Minister Anthony Aberanezi and Labor they are in the 26 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:30,640 Speaker 1: box seat at the moment. They are. 27 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 2: The big polls from nine Entertainment, from the Australians News poll, 28 00:01:35,080 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 2: from ap other polls they all put the most likely 29 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:43,559 Speaker 2: outcome a minority Labor government. That means Labor in power 30 00:01:43,640 --> 00:01:47,040 Speaker 2: with the support of the Greens and Independence. In fact, 31 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:51,080 Speaker 2: if anything, the Poles have Labor doing better than the 32 00:01:51,120 --> 00:01:55,280 Speaker 2: coalition doing the campaign and Prime Minister Anthony Alberzi pulling 33 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:58,600 Speaker 2: away from Opposition leader Peter Dunton as preferred leader, which 34 00:01:58,640 --> 00:02:01,400 Speaker 2: is a very important measure because when people go to 35 00:02:01,440 --> 00:02:03,160 Speaker 2: the poll they think who do I want to be PM? 36 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:05,400 Speaker 2: They think that probably as much as they do who 37 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 2: do want to be my local member? But of course 38 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:10,880 Speaker 2: twelve days is a long long time in politics. With 39 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 2: postal voting opening tomorrow, most of the big ticket announcements 40 00:02:13,919 --> 00:02:16,520 Speaker 2: have been made. Of course, there'll be bits and pieces 41 00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:18,640 Speaker 2: coming from both sides over the next couple of weeks. 42 00:02:18,880 --> 00:02:20,959 Speaker 2: Alberanize is likely to spend the last days of the 43 00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:26,399 Speaker 2: campaign pushing Labour's reforms around childcare and health wages. Tax reform, well, 44 00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:29,120 Speaker 2: it's minimal reform, but Labour's calling it tax reform. These 45 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:31,640 Speaker 2: are the tax cuts we're talking about, and of course 46 00:02:31,720 --> 00:02:35,519 Speaker 2: dealing with the United States in a Donald Trump world. 47 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:38,080 Speaker 2: Peter Dunton will spend the next twelve days talking about 48 00:02:38,200 --> 00:02:40,720 Speaker 2: energy and defense. I wonder how many more service stations 49 00:02:40,760 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 2: he can visit. He'said about a dozen at this point. 50 00:02:43,800 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 2: Expect to hear the line about petrol prices being twenty 51 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:49,960 Speaker 2: five cents a leader cheaper under the coalition, and expect 52 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:52,560 Speaker 2: to hear the question are you better off than a 53 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 2: year ago? We still have school holidays in anzac day 54 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 2: for the police to contend with. But I reckon both 55 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:00,480 Speaker 2: sides are racing to the finish this point. 56 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:03,920 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, absolutely. Now, Sean, it might be an Easter 57 00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:08,440 Speaker 1: Monday shorter edition, but we still have a great interview 58 00:03:08,520 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 1: coming up today. It is with Daniella Milana, who is 59 00:03:11,639 --> 00:03:15,240 Speaker 1: a partner at Obsidian Capital working with sodaor Capital, a 60 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:18,680 Speaker 1: supporter of this podcast. A really interesting conversation. 61 00:03:19,280 --> 00:03:21,520 Speaker 2: It's a totally different take. It's not about private equity, 62 00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:26,120 Speaker 2: but not from a local viewpoint, rather an international view point. 63 00:03:26,280 --> 00:03:29,760 Speaker 2: Danielle joins US from Italy. His business is pushing hard 64 00:03:29,919 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 2: to get into this region. It's really interesting to hear 65 00:03:34,080 --> 00:03:37,200 Speaker 2: what he says about the types of companies global firms 66 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:42,080 Speaker 2: are looking for in our region. It great one for investors, 67 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:44,440 Speaker 2: but even if you're just interested about how the world 68 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:47,440 Speaker 2: sees places like Australia, definitely tune in. 69 00:03:47,720 --> 00:03:50,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, a great international perspective. It is coming up after 70 00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:54,240 Speaker 1: the show Sean. Rental growth across the country is still 71 00:03:54,320 --> 00:03:58,080 Speaker 1: tracking above pre COVID levels, but the rate of change 72 00:03:58,200 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 1: has slowed considerably. 73 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 2: March quarter, or during the March quarter, rents jumped one 74 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:07,280 Speaker 2: point seven percent, largely driven by units, which were up 75 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:09,960 Speaker 2: two point three percent. House rents were up one point 76 00:04:09,960 --> 00:04:12,640 Speaker 2: four percent. At their peak in the twelve months to 77 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:16,599 Speaker 2: the end of March last year, rents were rising at 78 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 2: more than eight percent per year. They're now back on 79 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:23,440 Speaker 2: an annual basis to about four percent, which is higher 80 00:04:23,920 --> 00:04:26,360 Speaker 2: than the pace of inflation, higher than the pace of growth, 81 00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:29,239 Speaker 2: but much better than it was twelve months ago. Within 82 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:34,560 Speaker 2: that number, the fact that units outperformed houses in that 83 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:38,000 Speaker 2: last quarter is actually a reversal of what had been 84 00:04:38,040 --> 00:04:41,520 Speaker 2: happening previously. Since March twenty nineteen, national rents have climbed 85 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:44,240 Speaker 2: thirty eight point four percent. That's about one hundred and 86 00:04:44,279 --> 00:04:46,880 Speaker 2: eighty two dollars per week, or about nine thousand or 87 00:04:46,880 --> 00:04:50,160 Speaker 2: more than nine thousand bucks annually. This increases prompted many 88 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:53,880 Speaker 2: households to adapt by forming larger households, particularly in capital cities. 89 00:04:54,080 --> 00:04:54,200 Speaker 1: Now. 90 00:04:54,240 --> 00:04:57,040 Speaker 2: Around nineteen nine thousand rental properties were listed for rent 91 00:04:57,080 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 2: nationally over the four weeks to six April. That's about 92 00:05:00,800 --> 00:05:02,960 Speaker 2: twenty percent blow the historic norm for this time of 93 00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:04,360 Speaker 2: the year and part of the reason, or a big 94 00:05:04,400 --> 00:05:07,480 Speaker 2: part of the reason, why there's still pressure on rents. 95 00:05:08,000 --> 00:05:10,719 Speaker 1: How about this one, Sean, I know you enjoy your 96 00:05:11,279 --> 00:05:15,040 Speaker 1: trip to Bunnings. Did you go to Bunnings over over 97 00:05:15,080 --> 00:05:15,680 Speaker 1: the long weekend? 98 00:05:15,760 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 2: Yeah? I went. So I went and got what I needed. 99 00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:20,760 Speaker 2: I then went back to exchange it, and then I 100 00:05:20,800 --> 00:05:22,520 Speaker 2: went back third time because I'd forgotten something. 101 00:05:22,800 --> 00:05:24,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, And then you also came away with things that 102 00:05:24,600 --> 00:05:26,960 Speaker 1: you didn't need. I'm guessing well, absolutely. 103 00:05:27,120 --> 00:05:28,800 Speaker 2: And then when I did, what I was doing was 104 00:05:28,839 --> 00:05:30,880 Speaker 2: the thing in the garage. And I'm not particularly handy. 105 00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:33,200 Speaker 2: As you know. By the time I've done all that 106 00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 2: and I put it all together, I walked away. I'm 107 00:05:35,760 --> 00:05:37,960 Speaker 2: pretty proud of myself. Went to use the next day. 108 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:39,560 Speaker 2: No stuck. 109 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:44,480 Speaker 1: Anyway. Good news for you, then, this is great news 110 00:05:44,480 --> 00:05:49,080 Speaker 1: for you, then, Sean Bunnings, fresh from pushing heavily into 111 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 1: cleaning and pet products, it's dipping its toe into the 112 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:56,000 Speaker 1: auto sector. I don't know why that's good news for you. 113 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:57,719 Speaker 1: You and do not miss. 114 00:05:57,600 --> 00:06:00,360 Speaker 2: No, no nothing. Look, it's a category bunning had when 115 00:06:00,360 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 2: it launched in nineteen ninety four, but shifted out of 116 00:06:03,160 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 2: leaving this to sector the sector to groups like super 117 00:06:06,040 --> 00:06:11,480 Speaker 2: retail that's super cheap auto Babcor also Burson Auder barn Chains. 118 00:06:12,320 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 2: They've done a really good job in that area. But Bunnings. 119 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:18,920 Speaker 2: In March they started putting a few auto products in. 120 00:06:19,120 --> 00:06:20,840 Speaker 2: By the end of this month, there will be around 121 00:06:20,839 --> 00:06:23,239 Speaker 2: four hundred products, according to a story in The fin Review. 122 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:26,960 Speaker 2: Investment analysts differ on prospects for Bunnings, Audo pointing out 123 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:29,040 Speaker 2: that in some categories they're cheaper, but in others are 124 00:06:29,080 --> 00:06:32,359 Speaker 2: more expensive. Also, Bunnings doesn't carry some of the bigger 125 00:06:32,440 --> 00:06:35,560 Speaker 2: brand names that could be a problem because shoppers tend 126 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:37,320 Speaker 2: to want options in that area. 127 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:42,200 Speaker 1: BHP has won approval for New South Wales' largest coal 128 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:45,440 Speaker 1: mine to remain open for a further four years, with 129 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:47,520 Speaker 1: part of the site set to be repurposed into a 130 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:51,039 Speaker 1: pumped hydro project. Amid concern over job prospects for two 131 00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:52,240 Speaker 1: thousand workers. 132 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:54,560 Speaker 2: The producer has been seeking an extension for the Mount 133 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:57,120 Speaker 2: Arthur therm Or coal mine in New South Wales Hunter 134 00:06:57,200 --> 00:07:00,000 Speaker 2: Valley until twenty thirty. The facility has a two thousand 135 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:03,000 Speaker 2: and strong workforce. Last week, the New South Aal's government 136 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:05,960 Speaker 2: approved the extension to June twenty thirty, with BHP adding 137 00:07:06,000 --> 00:07:09,359 Speaker 2: a thirty million dollar community fund and appointing Aciona. Oh no, 138 00:07:09,440 --> 00:07:12,240 Speaker 2: that's not right, it's Axiona. We've had the boss on 139 00:07:12,280 --> 00:07:19,600 Speaker 2: the show at anyway. BHP's appointed Acthiona to develop an 140 00:07:19,600 --> 00:07:23,000 Speaker 2: initial feasibility study for the pumped hydro development. According to 141 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:26,640 Speaker 2: The Australian, BHP said the pumped hydro project could provide 142 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:30,040 Speaker 2: daily power for up to five hundred thousand homes across 143 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:33,040 Speaker 2: New South Wales and deliver a thousand construction jobs within 144 00:07:33,080 --> 00:07:37,680 Speaker 2: the Upper Hunter Valley. The Mount Eifer mine spans seventy 145 00:07:37,760 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 2: square kilometers eighteen kilometers long at its coal phase, BHP 146 00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:44,600 Speaker 2: is promising to explore alternative land uses for the site 147 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:47,560 Speaker 2: amid fears over job cuts once it eventually shuts down. 148 00:07:48,040 --> 00:07:50,520 Speaker 1: That's something that you don't get. Another business news podcast 149 00:07:50,680 --> 00:07:55,000 Speaker 1: on Live workshopping of pronunciations. 150 00:07:55,960 --> 00:08:01,400 Speaker 2: Wish listeners heard what we said off there. Pronunciations not good. 151 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:05,400 Speaker 1: Golly. Finally, Sean, it's worth mentioning a story that had 152 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 1: a bit of discussion over the weekend, if only because 153 00:08:07,360 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 1: I love space stories and it wouldn't be a podcast 154 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:10,080 Speaker 1: without one. 155 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:15,680 Speaker 2: Astronomers have found signs of biological activity. I reckon, that's life. 156 00:08:15,760 --> 00:08:18,080 Speaker 2: I'm going to go life sound like it does? Yeah, 157 00:08:18,080 --> 00:08:20,760 Speaker 2: it does, biological activity on a planet one hundred and 158 00:08:20,760 --> 00:08:24,520 Speaker 2: twenty four light years from Earth, in what they call 159 00:08:25,000 --> 00:08:31,080 Speaker 2: is the strongest evidence yet of extra terrestrial life. Do 160 00:08:31,120 --> 00:08:32,040 Speaker 2: you know that I'm saying that. 161 00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:35,360 Speaker 1: Yeah. It gives it a real kind of just it 162 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:37,880 Speaker 1: feels like we are watching an episode of Star Trek 163 00:08:37,960 --> 00:08:39,000 Speaker 1: right now. Yes. Yeah. 164 00:08:39,120 --> 00:08:44,480 Speaker 2: Scientists used the Space Telescope to detect specific organic molecules 165 00:08:44,520 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 2: in the atmosphere of K two eighteen b The catchy 166 00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:51,360 Speaker 2: name catchy name for a planet. It's a distant, water 167 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:54,240 Speaker 2: covered planet that is eight point six times bigger than 168 00:08:54,240 --> 00:08:57,280 Speaker 2: Earth and orbits a red dwarf star. I mean, why 169 00:08:57,360 --> 00:09:01,800 Speaker 2: not just call it like? I don't know? Steve, Steve 170 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:05,880 Speaker 2: KLi as opposed to K two eighteen B anyway on Earth. 171 00:09:06,559 --> 00:09:10,040 Speaker 2: Such molecules that they saw, These organic molecules are only 172 00:09:10,080 --> 00:09:13,760 Speaker 2: produced by living organisms. Now, a professor of astrophysics at 173 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:17,920 Speaker 2: Cambridge University who render the study pronunciation, Michael might have 174 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:22,520 Speaker 2: to help me here here, nick who mattis Sudan? Madis Sudan? 175 00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:23,960 Speaker 1: Sounds tooize? 176 00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:27,240 Speaker 2: NICKI, niku? If I got that wrong? And I quote him? 177 00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:29,800 Speaker 2: Given everything we know about this planet, a world with 178 00:09:29,840 --> 00:09:32,840 Speaker 2: an ocean that is teeming with life, is this scenario 179 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 2: that best fits the data. The research suggests that conditions 180 00:09:36,760 --> 00:09:39,400 Speaker 2: on K two A and B could mirror Earth's early oceans. 181 00:09:39,440 --> 00:09:42,120 Speaker 2: According to the Financial Times, Now, the astronomer stopped short 182 00:09:42,160 --> 00:09:45,840 Speaker 2: of claiming definitive evidence of biological activity, but they said 183 00:09:45,840 --> 00:09:49,839 Speaker 2: the new findings were compelling as no known non biological 184 00:09:49,920 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 2: process could account for such a large quantity of organic molecules. 185 00:09:55,200 --> 00:09:57,840 Speaker 1: Okay, so they will stop short of claiming it. I 186 00:09:57,920 --> 00:10:00,720 Speaker 1: have no issue with making those there's. 187 00:10:00,600 --> 00:10:04,120 Speaker 2: Lots of out there that's it. Fear and Greed exclusive 188 00:10:04,600 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 2: that there. 189 00:10:04,920 --> 00:10:09,280 Speaker 1: Says life has been found on another planet. You heard 190 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:12,840 Speaker 1: it here first up next Sean in the Fear and 191 00:10:12,880 --> 00:10:16,319 Speaker 1: Greed playlist on your podcast platform or at Fearangreed dot 192 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:18,840 Speaker 1: com dot au. We also sign up for the newsletter 193 00:10:18,920 --> 00:10:22,440 Speaker 1: Danielle and Milana partner at Obsidian Capital, as you say, 194 00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 1: a really interesting international perspective on private equity. And then 195 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:31,040 Speaker 1: this afternoon there's no afternoon report because markets aren't open, 196 00:10:31,320 --> 00:10:36,480 Speaker 1: but but instead we have a special investing interview, just 197 00:10:36,520 --> 00:10:41,079 Speaker 1: a five minute little snapshot of investing in gold miners, 198 00:10:41,120 --> 00:10:43,760 Speaker 1: which is obviously just so hot at the moment. 199 00:10:43,800 --> 00:10:45,520 Speaker 2: Sean, Yeah, yeah, sure is. 200 00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:48,280 Speaker 1: Indeed so plenty of good listening coming up and then 201 00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:50,640 Speaker 1: everything back to normal tomorrow morning. Thank you very much, Sean. 202 00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:51,480 Speaker 2: Thanks Michael. 203 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:54,080 Speaker 1: It is Monday, the twenty first of April twenty twenty five. 204 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:56,080 Speaker 1: Make sure you're following the podcast and please join us 205 00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:59,480 Speaker 1: online on LinkedIn, Instagram, x TikTok and Facebook. I'm Michael 206 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:01,920 Speaker 1: Thompson and let's Fear and Grade heaving great dye