1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:03,400 Speaker 1: Every boom in history had a charismatic figure selling a 2 00:00:03,440 --> 00:00:07,680 Speaker 1: story nobody could resist. Alan Coler has been watching Australia's 3 00:00:07,680 --> 00:00:11,080 Speaker 1: economy for over fifty years, from the Poseidon mining boom 4 00:00:11,160 --> 00:00:13,520 Speaker 1: to the GFC and the rise of carry packer are 5 00:00:13,520 --> 00:00:16,880 Speaker 1: now el or Musk. He told me today what those 6 00:00:16,880 --> 00:00:20,160 Speaker 1: events had in common and why governments over decades have 7 00:00:20,280 --> 00:00:24,160 Speaker 1: failed to solve the housing market. He hosts That's Business 8 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:28,680 Speaker 1: on the ABC Daily Feed. Alan Coler, Welcome to straight Talk. 9 00:00:28,920 --> 00:00:30,120 Speaker 2: Thanks Mark. Great to be here. 10 00:00:30,400 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 1: Could we go back to a young Alan Coler? What 11 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:38,800 Speaker 1: was your role when you started thinking about or we're listening 12 00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:41,199 Speaker 1: and reading about Poseidon, what was your role in the 13 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:42,440 Speaker 1: Australian well. 14 00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:46,560 Speaker 2: I started in nineteen seventy, which happened to be when 15 00:00:46,720 --> 00:00:50,880 Speaker 2: Poseidon was at its peak, and I think from memory 16 00:00:50,880 --> 00:00:53,240 Speaker 2: it was two hundred and thirty five dollars a share 17 00:00:53,640 --> 00:00:58,120 Speaker 2: per share, wow, And it was gone from like eighteen 18 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:02,480 Speaker 2: cents or something not long before, like a year before. 19 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:07,199 Speaker 2: So it was the nickel boom nineteen sixty nine Western mining, 20 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:14,440 Speaker 2: and nickel was obviously the metals used in stainless steel, 21 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:16,720 Speaker 2: so it was kind of it was a new thing 22 00:01:16,760 --> 00:01:19,240 Speaker 2: and it was really exciting, and everyone's excited about nickel, 23 00:01:20,200 --> 00:01:23,840 Speaker 2: and Poseidon announced that it had found a lot of 24 00:01:23,920 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 2: nickel at Windhara in Western Australia. So it chares took 25 00:01:28,400 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 2: off and it was kind of I suppose you'd call 26 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:35,640 Speaker 2: it now a meme stock or something. It was crazy, 27 00:01:35,880 --> 00:01:39,400 Speaker 2: you know. And so I started at The Australian as 28 00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:40,120 Speaker 2: a copy boy. 29 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:41,840 Speaker 1: What is that? What is the copy boy? 30 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:46,240 Speaker 2: I did there? I made the coffee, I did the filing. 31 00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 2: You know, I wasn't a journalist. I was a copy 32 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:52,880 Speaker 2: boy and I took the guys. There was a finance 33 00:01:52,960 --> 00:01:55,040 Speaker 2: I was the copy boy attached to the finance desk 34 00:01:57,240 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 2: and there were five journos sitting around this desk. The 35 00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:08,160 Speaker 2: boss was Brian Frith. I do remember remember Brian. He 36 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:11,240 Speaker 2: was the Melbourne Finance editor. And I took their dry cleaning. 37 00:02:13,120 --> 00:02:15,839 Speaker 2: So I was, you know, I was the kid. Yeah, yeah, 38 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:18,000 Speaker 2: I was still seventeen when I started. 39 00:02:18,040 --> 00:02:20,400 Speaker 1: Were you paying attention of what was going beside them? 40 00:02:20,400 --> 00:02:22,120 Speaker 1: But well did get you a curiosity. 41 00:02:22,240 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 2: I did notice that a few of the guys were 42 00:02:25,040 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 2: quite rich. 43 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 1: The journalist or the journals. 44 00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:30,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, so they were, you know, I think 45 00:02:30,440 --> 00:02:32,880 Speaker 2: one of them had a Rolls Royce whoa. They were 46 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:36,239 Speaker 2: making some money. So I was a copy boy for 47 00:02:36,280 --> 00:02:39,839 Speaker 2: six months and then I got a cadet chip as 48 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:42,440 Speaker 2: a journalist. And my job as a cadet was to 49 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:46,160 Speaker 2: go to the Stock Exchange, which was in Colin Street. 50 00:02:46,240 --> 00:02:48,080 Speaker 1: There was a floor in those days you could actually 51 00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:49,600 Speaker 1: physically stand in. 52 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:52,240 Speaker 2: That's right and so, and there was a press gallery 53 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,480 Speaker 2: above the floor, and all the brokers were in the 54 00:02:55,520 --> 00:02:57,839 Speaker 2: floor and they were shouting at the chalkies who were 55 00:02:57,840 --> 00:03:01,560 Speaker 2: on a sort of a platform where they wrote the 56 00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:06,360 Speaker 2: prices of the stocks in chalk on the on the blackboard, 57 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:10,240 Speaker 2: and the brokers would call out their bids and offers, 58 00:03:11,880 --> 00:03:13,640 Speaker 2: and the chalk is had listened to them and write 59 00:03:13,639 --> 00:03:17,639 Speaker 2: it up and the broker number would be put against 60 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:20,919 Speaker 2: the price. And so if you want, if a broker 61 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:23,120 Speaker 2: wanted to do a deal, he'd go to the'd find 62 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 2: the broker whose number it was, and they would do 63 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:26,640 Speaker 2: the deal. 64 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:30,200 Speaker 1: So that would be the by sell, so that the 65 00:03:30,200 --> 00:03:33,000 Speaker 1: buying broker go and see the selling broker correct based 66 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:35,440 Speaker 1: on the numbers up on the blackboard. That's at the 67 00:03:35,480 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 1: Stock exchanged. The floor the floor in exchange, and pretty 68 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:39,400 Speaker 1: hectic stuff. 69 00:03:39,440 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 2: In those days, it was mad. Yeah, it was noisy, mad. 70 00:03:42,880 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 1: And as a press gallery cadet, what were you thinking 71 00:03:45,600 --> 00:03:46,120 Speaker 1: to yourself? 72 00:03:46,360 --> 00:03:50,800 Speaker 2: Oh, thinking this is amazing, exciting. It was exciting and interesting, 73 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:53,880 Speaker 2: and I kind of, I suppose I kind of often 74 00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:57,800 Speaker 2: look back on it and think that I I learned 75 00:03:57,800 --> 00:04:01,560 Speaker 2: about the foundations of capitalism, how works actually you know, 76 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:05,320 Speaker 2: the markets? And so it was good. It was actually 77 00:04:05,360 --> 00:04:09,000 Speaker 2: a terrific grounding him. Anyways, Yeah, to see how it works. 78 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:11,920 Speaker 2: And so these days, you know, as a as a 79 00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 2: young journalist in finance world, you don't really get that. 80 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 2: You sort of it's all pixels on a screen, and 81 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:20,479 Speaker 2: you know, you don't sort of you don't get the 82 00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:23,880 Speaker 2: sense of the way that a stock market is a 83 00:04:23,920 --> 00:04:28,360 Speaker 2: constant auction. You know, as you do seeing the people 84 00:04:28,400 --> 00:04:33,599 Speaker 2: bidding on the floor in what is basically a constant auction. 85 00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:38,279 Speaker 1: Do you see any patterns from back then that would 86 00:04:38,279 --> 00:04:41,160 Speaker 1: inform you today of when you should be careful? What 87 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 1: are the patterns around the stock market? For example, the. 88 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:49,039 Speaker 2: Cliche is when the when the shoeshine person is tipping stocks, 89 00:04:49,600 --> 00:04:52,120 Speaker 2: be careful. That's kind of and when everyone's talking about it, 90 00:04:52,120 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 2: when everyone's getting excited. That's the time too. You know. 91 00:04:56,400 --> 00:05:00,840 Speaker 2: Warren Buffett says, when everyone else's grew, he be fearful, 92 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:03,920 Speaker 2: and when everyone else is fearful, will be greedy. 93 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:06,080 Speaker 1: Account of may that's so you go against the market. 94 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:09,440 Speaker 2: Kind of yeah, of course. But the trouble, the trouble 95 00:05:09,480 --> 00:05:12,480 Speaker 2: with that is that it usually takes longer than you 96 00:05:12,520 --> 00:05:13,120 Speaker 2: think it's going to. 97 00:05:13,120 --> 00:05:15,680 Speaker 1: Take, either the crash or the increase one or the other. 98 00:05:15,720 --> 00:05:17,839 Speaker 2: And you talk about the nineteen eighty seven crash, which 99 00:05:18,000 --> 00:05:22,279 Speaker 2: obviously I was around for. I was actually in nineteen 100 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:25,600 Speaker 2: eighty seven. I was running the Financial Review, and I 101 00:05:25,640 --> 00:05:29,640 Speaker 2: remember in nineteen eighty six people were saying that the 102 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:34,080 Speaker 2: stock the stock market is irrationally insuberant. In fact, Alan 103 00:05:34,120 --> 00:05:35,120 Speaker 2: Greenspan said it. 104 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:38,600 Speaker 1: Was Alan Greenspan being the Federal Reserve, the head of 105 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:40,600 Speaker 1: the Federal Reserve in the US, and so. 106 00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:43,279 Speaker 2: He but others, you know, like John Spelvins, who was 107 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:45,680 Speaker 2: a big entrepreneur at the time, was in nine eighty 108 00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:48,840 Speaker 2: six saying that this is market's gone and it's going 109 00:05:48,880 --> 00:05:51,800 Speaker 2: to crash. It's you know, it's heading for fall. But 110 00:05:51,880 --> 00:05:55,839 Speaker 2: in fact, that was a year before the crash, and 111 00:05:56,040 --> 00:05:59,400 Speaker 2: in the in that year the stock market doubled, you know, 112 00:05:59,560 --> 00:06:03,200 Speaker 2: so it sort of beyond so it doubled again after 113 00:06:03,320 --> 00:06:07,159 Speaker 2: everyone said it was going to crash. So the habit 114 00:06:07,200 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 2: of the market is that it usually takes longer than 115 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:11,800 Speaker 2: you think and goes further than you think it's going 116 00:06:11,880 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 2: to go before it crazes. 117 00:06:14,920 --> 00:06:18,479 Speaker 1: Would you say that that exuberan stimulation to real estate 118 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:22,640 Speaker 1: market same as share market existed one year ago and 119 00:06:22,680 --> 00:06:23,840 Speaker 1: we could have seen this happening. 120 00:06:24,440 --> 00:06:27,520 Speaker 2: Yeah. Probably. The property market's different to the stock market 121 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:31,120 Speaker 2: because with the stock market, the prices are published every 122 00:06:31,200 --> 00:06:34,240 Speaker 2: day and now they're published minute by minute, whereas the 123 00:06:35,080 --> 00:06:37,760 Speaker 2: you know, the property market you get once a month. 124 00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:44,039 Speaker 2: It's a much it's a much slower, much slower setup in. 125 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 1: Terms of data. 126 00:06:44,920 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's less volatile. Therefore, but the real estate, 127 00:06:50,240 --> 00:06:53,400 Speaker 2: the residential real estate market in Australia tends to fall 128 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:57,479 Speaker 2: every now and again by seven to ten percent, and 129 00:06:57,560 --> 00:06:59,640 Speaker 2: it never falls by more than ten percent, or hasn't 130 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 2: in the past. Asked, But it fell by by seven 131 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:08,520 Speaker 2: or eight percent in twenty twenty two, the same in 132 00:07:08,920 --> 00:07:14,600 Speaker 2: twenty seventeen. Same in the GFC. Like it, that's what happens. 133 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:18,280 Speaker 2: It just happens every now and again, either by it 134 00:07:18,320 --> 00:07:20,560 Speaker 2: because interst rates have gone up or some other reason. 135 00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:24,480 Speaker 2: One in twenty seventeen was because AFRA crackdown on bank 136 00:07:24,600 --> 00:07:25,320 Speaker 2: lending to invest. 137 00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:27,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, they told banks to reduced amount of money they 138 00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:29,280 Speaker 1: leaned to invest down to thirty percent. 139 00:07:29,080 --> 00:07:32,360 Speaker 2: That's right. So, and that led to a fall in 140 00:07:31,600 --> 00:07:34,880 Speaker 2: the in the real estate market by about seven or 141 00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:35,400 Speaker 2: eight percent. 142 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:37,440 Speaker 1: Banks went lad to lend investors the amount of money 143 00:07:37,440 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 1: they used to lend them it was running a forty 144 00:07:38,920 --> 00:07:43,200 Speaker 1: one percent, but the regulator said that during the period 145 00:07:43,800 --> 00:07:45,960 Speaker 1: it was actually two thousand. They brought the rule in 146 00:07:45,960 --> 00:07:49,240 Speaker 1: in about twenty sixteen, and it started to have an 147 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 1: effect in twenty seventeen. 148 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:50,920 Speaker 2: That's right. 149 00:07:50,960 --> 00:07:52,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, I remember because we were one of the ones 150 00:07:52,720 --> 00:07:55,680 Speaker 1: that got affected by it, and we were running our 151 00:07:55,720 --> 00:07:57,480 Speaker 1: business of forty one percent landing to investors and the 152 00:07:57,520 --> 00:08:01,040 Speaker 1: next thing we're down to thirty thirty percent, and that 153 00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:04,480 Speaker 1: a massive effect on the marketplace. So, because what I'm 154 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:07,320 Speaker 1: trying to lean into here as allan is it seems 155 00:08:07,320 --> 00:08:09,920 Speaker 1: to me from every time I've seen exuberance, I've seen 156 00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:14,080 Speaker 1: not a crash but a restructure of the price. And 157 00:08:14,120 --> 00:08:16,080 Speaker 1: it looks like it happens every ten years, or every 158 00:08:16,120 --> 00:08:18,480 Speaker 1: eight years, or every nine years. Is that something that 159 00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:21,880 Speaker 1: you've ever really clocked yourself? I know you because I 160 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:22,920 Speaker 1: know you're big on data. 161 00:08:23,160 --> 00:08:27,200 Speaker 2: Yeah. Sure, the markets do tend to you know, it's 162 00:08:27,280 --> 00:08:29,480 Speaker 2: kind of the psychology of the herd. I mean, it 163 00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 2: does happen that way. People get carried away and it 164 00:08:33,400 --> 00:08:37,560 Speaker 2: goes too high and then what's called the Minsky moment occurs, 165 00:08:37,640 --> 00:08:43,320 Speaker 2: which is where it's sort of just spontaneously combusts. Sometimes 166 00:08:43,360 --> 00:08:47,200 Speaker 2: it's caused by an event of some sort, like the 167 00:08:47,360 --> 00:08:52,319 Speaker 2: with the APRO cutting back investment lending to thirty percent, 168 00:08:52,400 --> 00:08:57,480 Speaker 2: and that sparks the restructure, as you put it. The 169 00:08:57,480 --> 00:08:59,480 Speaker 2: one in twenty twenty two was caused by interest rates 170 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:01,800 Speaker 2: going up for property market. But sometimes the stock market 171 00:09:01,880 --> 00:09:05,400 Speaker 2: just just crashes, like in nine eighty seven, October eighty seven, 172 00:09:05,520 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 2: There was no real reason for it. It just happened. 173 00:09:07,880 --> 00:09:09,320 Speaker 1: Really, you don't think so. 174 00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:13,439 Speaker 2: There was definitely no event in October twentieth nine to 175 00:09:13,440 --> 00:09:15,720 Speaker 2: eighty seven it caused the crash. There wasn't an event 176 00:09:15,760 --> 00:09:19,839 Speaker 2: that just kind of everyone just kind of decided it 177 00:09:19,880 --> 00:09:24,160 Speaker 2: was time. Everyone got spooked. The market got spooked. 178 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:25,120 Speaker 1: The too expensive. 179 00:09:25,360 --> 00:09:27,680 Speaker 2: It got too expensive, and everyone was kind of worried 180 00:09:27,720 --> 00:09:33,560 Speaker 2: and someone started selling. I mean, the GFC happened because 181 00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:40,760 Speaker 2: of because the American property market went backwards. House prices 182 00:09:40,800 --> 00:09:45,560 Speaker 2: fell thirty percent. But the fall in house prices starting 183 00:09:45,559 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 2: to started to impact lenders in the middle of two 184 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:53,280 Speaker 2: thousand and seven, and a couple of mortgage funds started 185 00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:57,880 Speaker 2: to close their books. I think it was October September 186 00:09:57,920 --> 00:10:01,760 Speaker 2: October two thousand and seven. There was a couple of 187 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:09,800 Speaker 2: European funds that stopped redemptions, and really that really did 188 00:10:10,160 --> 00:10:13,959 Speaker 2: cause the whole thing to start to unravel. So I 189 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:16,199 Speaker 2: guess you could say the GFC was caused by an event, 190 00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:21,040 Speaker 2: but really what started the US property market to tumble? 191 00:10:21,400 --> 00:10:21,920 Speaker 2: Who knows? 192 00:10:22,679 --> 00:10:25,920 Speaker 1: That word? Exuberance? I think is really good. Irrational exuberance 193 00:10:25,960 --> 00:10:28,800 Speaker 1: is a really good sort of term for this, and 194 00:10:28,880 --> 00:10:31,280 Speaker 1: I think that's something that people should look out for. 195 00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:35,319 Speaker 1: I mean, there's no such thing in any market about 196 00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:39,160 Speaker 1: as irrational exuberance. If it doesn't make sense, it doesn't 197 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:42,720 Speaker 1: make sense. And sometimes we just lean into it think oh, no, 198 00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:46,120 Speaker 1: it's normal. Like we're sort of seeing a little bit 199 00:10:46,160 --> 00:10:50,079 Speaker 1: now with SpaceX and some of these tech companies. I mean, 200 00:10:50,120 --> 00:10:52,480 Speaker 1: I wouldn't mind getting your view on that right now, 201 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:55,559 Speaker 1: what do you think about this? And we've got trillionaires 202 00:10:55,840 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 1: or a trillionaire at least one in the world today 203 00:10:58,480 --> 00:11:00,760 Speaker 1: as a result of what happened with space SpaceX not 204 00:11:00,800 --> 00:11:02,120 Speaker 1: just being a space, it cabbe being a whole lot 205 00:11:02,160 --> 00:11:02,840 Speaker 1: of stuff in tech. 206 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:06,720 Speaker 2: So I think that up until SpaceX, the exuberance in 207 00:11:06,720 --> 00:11:11,000 Speaker 2: the market was rational more or less because the prices 208 00:11:11,720 --> 00:11:15,640 Speaker 2: have been supported by profits on the whole companies like 209 00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:19,679 Speaker 2: Nvidio and Google and Amazon and Microsoft. These companies are 210 00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:23,640 Speaker 2: all making tons of money, and so the price earnings 211 00:11:23,720 --> 00:11:27,240 Speaker 2: ratios are not what they were in the Internet bubble 212 00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:31,199 Speaker 2: of the nineteen nineties. So in the Internet bubble of 213 00:11:31,200 --> 00:11:34,439 Speaker 2: the nineteen nineties, they were paying one hundred times earnings. 214 00:11:35,160 --> 00:11:37,920 Speaker 2: This time around, it's still twenty five thirty times earnings 215 00:11:37,960 --> 00:11:41,760 Speaker 2: because the profits are enormous. So the question then, leaving 216 00:11:41,840 --> 00:11:46,360 Speaker 2: us leaving space exercise, the question is whether the whether 217 00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:51,120 Speaker 2: it's a bubble in earnings rather than price, And you know, 218 00:11:51,200 --> 00:11:54,040 Speaker 2: you can make that argument. I think probably is in 219 00:11:54,120 --> 00:11:56,520 Speaker 2: terms of the AI businesses themselves and the ones that 220 00:11:56,559 --> 00:12:01,120 Speaker 2: are making tons of money. I think the needs are unsustainable, 221 00:12:02,840 --> 00:12:06,079 Speaker 2: but it does feel like, or look to the people 222 00:12:06,080 --> 00:12:08,480 Speaker 2: who are investing in them that they can justify the 223 00:12:08,520 --> 00:12:11,439 Speaker 2: prices because of the money they're making. SpaceX, on the 224 00:12:11,480 --> 00:12:14,960 Speaker 2: other hand, is losing money, right, and so it's a 225 00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:20,400 Speaker 2: loss making business that's been valued, you know, two trillion dollars. 226 00:12:21,080 --> 00:12:23,240 Speaker 2: That makes no sense at all. So that really is 227 00:12:23,280 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 2: the irrational exuberance, right. But Elon Musk has sold a 228 00:12:29,440 --> 00:12:35,400 Speaker 2: story about about the future that everyone's buying. So everyone's 229 00:12:35,440 --> 00:12:37,720 Speaker 2: buying this into this story. 230 00:12:39,080 --> 00:12:41,760 Speaker 1: But everybody in all those crashes had a story. I mean, 231 00:12:41,760 --> 00:12:44,400 Speaker 1: Beseidon had a story. I remember in the mid seventies, 232 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:46,040 Speaker 1: there was a company called for a Vanadian, a guy 233 00:12:46,080 --> 00:12:49,480 Speaker 1: called Peter Briggs. Peter Briggs sold the story about for 234 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:52,959 Speaker 1: a Vanadian which they were mining Vanadian which I don't know, 235 00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:55,280 Speaker 1: it was used for something or other. And as you 236 00:12:55,360 --> 00:12:57,400 Speaker 1: recall him in up going to jar for something different 237 00:12:57,400 --> 00:13:01,760 Speaker 1: to that. But and Alan Bond sold a story. There 238 00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:04,560 Speaker 1: were stories being sold. There's always someone selling us. And 239 00:13:04,559 --> 00:13:08,520 Speaker 1: then they're very and these people, some of whom you knew, 240 00:13:09,040 --> 00:13:16,560 Speaker 1: were very eloquent, highly respected, actually admired, were very good 241 00:13:16,559 --> 00:13:20,600 Speaker 1: on their feet. All of them have these common traits, 242 00:13:21,160 --> 00:13:23,280 Speaker 1: you know. So do you think Musk is different? 243 00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:26,719 Speaker 2: Well, not really, except he's obviously now that he's worth 244 00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:31,120 Speaker 2: a trillion dollars, it's kind of quantitatively different to everybody else. 245 00:13:32,679 --> 00:13:34,200 Speaker 2: You know, a trillion, there's a lot of money. 246 00:13:35,960 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 1: It's like it doesn't yet be receivable. 247 00:13:38,280 --> 00:13:40,640 Speaker 2: I mean I kind of worked it out. So when 248 00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:44,000 Speaker 2: when Tesla floated, it was it was priced at one 249 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:50,120 Speaker 2: point seven billion in twenty ten, and now you know 250 00:13:50,640 --> 00:13:53,080 Speaker 2: SpaceX is a thousand times that at one point seven 251 00:13:53,080 --> 00:13:55,520 Speaker 2: trillion wow in the ip A, right, So I worked 252 00:13:55,520 --> 00:14:00,680 Speaker 2: out one point seven billion seconds ago was nineteen seventy 253 00:14:00,679 --> 00:14:05,600 Speaker 2: two wow, when Elton John released Rocketman, and you know 254 00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:11,240 Speaker 2: the rich Richard Nixon's operators broke into the Watergate Hotel 255 00:14:11,280 --> 00:14:15,560 Speaker 2: in all, nineteen seventy two, one point seven billionaires seconds ago. 256 00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:19,360 Speaker 2: One point seven trillion seconds ago was fifty two thousand 257 00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:24,520 Speaker 2: BC when we shared the planet with Neanderthals, right, So 258 00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:26,840 Speaker 2: that just gives you a sense of the difference between 259 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:33,600 Speaker 2: a billion and a trillon. It's ammense. So Elon Musk, 260 00:14:34,280 --> 00:14:36,200 Speaker 2: he sold this, as you say, he sold the story 261 00:14:36,280 --> 00:14:39,400 Speaker 2: like a whole lot of other people. But I do 262 00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:45,920 Speaker 2: think he kind of gets believed partly because the story 263 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:50,800 Speaker 2: is so interesting. You know, his stories are it's not 264 00:14:50,880 --> 00:14:54,080 Speaker 2: just one story. He's you know, the electric vehicle and 265 00:14:54,160 --> 00:14:57,960 Speaker 2: battery story is one thing. He's got this business called Neuralink, 266 00:14:58,000 --> 00:15:03,560 Speaker 2: which is developing a BREA computer interface interface. He's got 267 00:15:03,600 --> 00:15:06,440 Speaker 2: the Boring Company, which is doing tunneling under Las Vegas 268 00:15:06,440 --> 00:15:12,400 Speaker 2: and Los Angeles. He's developing the humanoid robot Optimus. 269 00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:13,920 Speaker 1: Uh. 270 00:15:14,160 --> 00:15:17,760 Speaker 2: He's got a rocket company, so he's doing the taxi, 271 00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:21,960 Speaker 2: the taxi trips to the to the International Space Station. 272 00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:26,960 Speaker 2: But it's amazing. And he's got he's bought Twitter, turned 273 00:15:26,960 --> 00:15:30,120 Speaker 2: it into X and he's you know, he's got an 274 00:15:30,120 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 2: AI business. 275 00:15:31,360 --> 00:15:34,800 Speaker 1: He's much more evolved in terms of his storytelling and 276 00:15:35,000 --> 00:15:40,680 Speaker 1: the stories who just got bigger and better and more admirable, 277 00:15:40,800 --> 00:15:43,360 Speaker 1: like because most of us just sit back, Oh my god, 278 00:15:43,880 --> 00:15:46,880 Speaker 1: that's amazing. Like but I was I remember saying that 279 00:15:46,920 --> 00:15:51,160 Speaker 1: about Christopher's case too, and he was ending maatic, like 280 00:15:51,680 --> 00:15:55,240 Speaker 1: nearly hypnotic in the way he did things. Alan Bond Waster, 281 00:15:56,320 --> 00:15:59,840 Speaker 1: he was the same even John Spalvin's sure John was 282 00:16:00,640 --> 00:16:04,800 Speaker 1: like I've seen photos of John with going to functions 283 00:16:04,800 --> 00:16:08,400 Speaker 1: with a red cape on over his dinner suit, six 284 00:16:08,480 --> 00:16:13,960 Speaker 1: foot six, looking magnificent. But at that stage, yeah, David Jones, 285 00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:18,800 Speaker 1: I think a big shore and Woolworths, nab shares, nab. 286 00:16:18,840 --> 00:16:22,840 Speaker 1: I think it was ad steam, pen foles, wines, meat, 287 00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:28,520 Speaker 1: pro brickworks. Like I used to think, my God, and 288 00:16:28,960 --> 00:16:36,320 Speaker 1: extremely eloquent and just beguiling, really And I used to 289 00:16:36,360 --> 00:16:38,920 Speaker 1: hold him in the same vision as I hold il 290 00:16:38,960 --> 00:16:42,240 Speaker 1: a Musk today, just the El Musk is a bit 291 00:16:42,280 --> 00:16:45,760 Speaker 1: more technology based and probably a little bit more beyond 292 00:16:45,760 --> 00:16:49,480 Speaker 1: my reach intellectually, because he just knows stuff that I 293 00:16:49,520 --> 00:16:52,120 Speaker 1: would never have even contemplated. But back then I used 294 00:16:52,120 --> 00:16:55,160 Speaker 1: to think the same about those other individuals, even BONDI. 295 00:16:55,200 --> 00:16:58,280 Speaker 1: I used to think that about Allen. Do you think 296 00:16:58,320 --> 00:17:03,040 Speaker 1: that these are hall marks of great entrepreneurs? 297 00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:06,680 Speaker 2: Oh, yeah, of course. I mean there's no doubt Eli Musk, 298 00:17:06,760 --> 00:17:08,600 Speaker 2: in my opinion, is a great entrepreneur. 299 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:12,280 Speaker 1: Of course, Is he the greatest do you think at 300 00:17:12,320 --> 00:17:12,720 Speaker 1: this point? 301 00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:13,360 Speaker 2: Possibly? 302 00:17:13,480 --> 00:17:16,920 Speaker 1: Definitely by measurement he is, but interns the dollars. 303 00:17:16,600 --> 00:17:20,159 Speaker 2: But well, certainly the range of his the range of 304 00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:26,080 Speaker 2: his vision and what he's done is enormous. Of course, Look, 305 00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:28,160 Speaker 2: a lot of people say that he's a terrible human 306 00:17:28,200 --> 00:17:31,520 Speaker 2: being as well, you know, and I kind of I 307 00:17:31,560 --> 00:17:37,080 Speaker 2: think he probably is a lot of his a lot 308 00:17:37,080 --> 00:17:41,280 Speaker 2: of the kind of extreme right wing, vaguely anti Semitic 309 00:17:41,359 --> 00:17:44,640 Speaker 2: stuff that he's putting, white supremacist stuff that he puts 310 00:17:44,680 --> 00:17:49,840 Speaker 2: out as I find distasteful. So yeah, I mean he's 311 00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:52,480 Speaker 2: there's good and bad going on there. 312 00:17:52,560 --> 00:17:55,920 Speaker 1: Yeah. But if you think today people more interested in 313 00:17:55,960 --> 00:17:57,480 Speaker 1: making money, therefore I put up with that sort of 314 00:17:57,520 --> 00:17:58,920 Speaker 1: stuff than they ever have been in the past. 315 00:17:58,960 --> 00:18:01,879 Speaker 2: Oh sure, I mean, you know overla. I mean, I 316 00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:03,600 Speaker 2: had a column the other day in which I kind 317 00:18:03,640 --> 00:18:06,720 Speaker 2: of wrote some of the stuff about how bad he 318 00:18:06,840 --> 00:18:10,399 Speaker 2: is in some ways. And I get these people saying, you, oh, 319 00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:14,240 Speaker 2: you've got Elon Musk derangement syndrome, and you know, what 320 00:18:14,280 --> 00:18:16,080 Speaker 2: do you think you're doing all this? I mean, there's 321 00:18:16,080 --> 00:18:18,919 Speaker 2: a lot of people who are massive Elon Musk fans, 322 00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:25,080 Speaker 2: you know, and so he can do no wrong. I 323 00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:26,560 Speaker 2: don't think that's very sensible either. 324 00:18:27,119 --> 00:18:29,680 Speaker 1: I guess to some extent, we're not here to judge 325 00:18:29,680 --> 00:18:32,200 Speaker 1: them at the end of the day. But it's interesting 326 00:18:32,240 --> 00:18:35,240 Speaker 1: how people will put aside their ethics and the morality 327 00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:38,520 Speaker 1: if there's a quid in it. It's pretty sort of 328 00:18:39,080 --> 00:18:41,600 Speaker 1: from my observations over the last fifty odd years, that's 329 00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:43,800 Speaker 1: to me that seems to be completely normal. And we 330 00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:46,320 Speaker 1: can go right back to back to the Poseidones and 331 00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:49,119 Speaker 1: the Peter Briggs from Forrivendian and al On Bond and 332 00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:53,520 Speaker 1: to some extent even Kerry Packer and Rupert during those periods. 333 00:18:53,560 --> 00:18:55,399 Speaker 1: I mean, I know you worked for Rupert over a 334 00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:57,960 Speaker 1: while for a period there, not worth Rupert so much, 335 00:18:58,000 --> 00:19:01,800 Speaker 1: but he probably knew him him once only once. Yes, 336 00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:03,159 Speaker 1: how long did you were Australian for? 337 00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:07,359 Speaker 2: Well, I worked at the Australian three times. I did 338 00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:10,600 Speaker 2: my cadet ship there. I went and worked there again 339 00:19:10,840 --> 00:19:14,320 Speaker 2: in nineteen seventy eight for a little while, not very long, 340 00:19:14,880 --> 00:19:18,760 Speaker 2: four times, and then nine ninety one I worked at 341 00:19:18,760 --> 00:19:25,960 Speaker 2: The Australian for six months, not long. And then when 342 00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:29,120 Speaker 2: they bought my business. Oh that's right, the Eureka. Yeah, 343 00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:32,040 Speaker 2: so I had a Eureka reported business spectator. 344 00:19:31,560 --> 00:19:32,520 Speaker 1: That's right to. 345 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:39,240 Speaker 2: Publications that I started. And then they bought the News Limited. 346 00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:43,199 Speaker 2: News Corp bought that business in twenty twelve and I 347 00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:45,280 Speaker 2: had a four year earnout, which meant you work for him, 348 00:19:45,320 --> 00:19:47,560 Speaker 2: which meant that I had to work for The Australian 349 00:19:47,640 --> 00:19:49,920 Speaker 2: for four years, which I did, and then the News 350 00:19:49,920 --> 00:19:52,879 Speaker 2: Corps sold Eureka Report to Investmart. That's right, and I 351 00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:54,840 Speaker 2: now worked for Investment. 352 00:19:55,160 --> 00:19:56,520 Speaker 1: You see you back to the beginning. 353 00:19:56,720 --> 00:20:00,119 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I mean well they Investment hired me to 354 00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:01,840 Speaker 2: run your Eco report again. 355 00:20:03,320 --> 00:20:05,840 Speaker 1: But there's a bit of a history opportunity for us 356 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:08,040 Speaker 1: our audiences to listen to someone like you who has 357 00:20:08,040 --> 00:20:10,600 Speaker 1: been around such a long time and still going strong too. 358 00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:13,560 Speaker 1: By the way, I must say, you look great. You 359 00:20:13,560 --> 00:20:15,680 Speaker 1: look like you lost weight, you look like you're really fit. 360 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:17,920 Speaker 2: I have lost weight. I'm going to the gym all 361 00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:21,440 Speaker 2: the time. I'm feeling great because I've decided that I've 362 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:26,640 Speaker 2: got six grandchildren. The youngest is one, and I've decided 363 00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:28,399 Speaker 2: i want to be at her twenty first. 364 00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:30,200 Speaker 1: It's a great decision. 365 00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:33,240 Speaker 2: So that means I'm going to live to ninety four. Ye, 366 00:20:34,320 --> 00:20:37,040 Speaker 2: So I'm now doing what it takes to achieve that. 367 00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:41,360 Speaker 2: I'm not leaving that to chance. I'm trying to make 368 00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:44,640 Speaker 2: sure that I do live to my mid nineties. 369 00:20:44,760 --> 00:20:47,680 Speaker 1: Well what does that mean then, because I'm doing something similar. 370 00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:49,399 Speaker 1: I've worked out going to lift one hundred to do 371 00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:53,600 Speaker 1: the same thing. Oh yeah, And I've changed my whole 372 00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:56,000 Speaker 1: world in terms of exercise and food and stuff like that. 373 00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:58,240 Speaker 1: I'm about two or three years ago. What does it 374 00:20:58,280 --> 00:21:00,520 Speaker 1: mean for you then? What if you done? What have 375 00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:01,080 Speaker 1: you changed? 376 00:21:01,800 --> 00:21:05,840 Speaker 2: I eat less, try to eat good food. I'm going 377 00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:12,440 Speaker 2: to the gym three times a week. I take some medicine. 378 00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:17,359 Speaker 2: I take a Staatens for the cholesterol. I take, you know, 379 00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:20,960 Speaker 2: blood pressure. I had. My blood pressure was a bit high. 380 00:21:21,040 --> 00:21:25,879 Speaker 2: So I've got that down. And I've got a cardiologist 381 00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:29,560 Speaker 2: who was looking after me, and he said you should 382 00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:34,119 Speaker 2: be because I had an atrial flatter relation fibrillation and 383 00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:37,520 Speaker 2: I got it a blated yep, And they and the 384 00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:40,080 Speaker 2: said you should be taking blood dinners. 385 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:44,119 Speaker 1: So I said, fine, this is the best I've ever think, 386 00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:45,680 Speaker 1: I've ever seen. You actually had a surprise when you 387 00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:46,399 Speaker 1: walked in the studio. 388 00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:49,360 Speaker 2: I feel great. Yeah, yeah, I feel fantastic. 389 00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:53,160 Speaker 1: If you lost much weight. Twenty whoa all new suits 390 00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:54,159 Speaker 1: are really I've. 391 00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:55,639 Speaker 2: Had to Yeah, I've had to buy a whole on 392 00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:59,320 Speaker 2: the new suits. Yeah, it's cost me a fortune, but 393 00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:01,800 Speaker 2: it's good though. It is good. Well, if you know, 394 00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,639 Speaker 2: if I pick up twenty killers, it's quite heavy. 395 00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:07,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, where your grandkids will be twenty killers. Not too 396 00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:10,879 Speaker 1: long to be for a grand kid to be twenty killers, 397 00:22:10,880 --> 00:22:13,480 Speaker 1: maybe three or four years of age. And is that 398 00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:15,960 Speaker 1: what's driving you your grandkids, your family? 399 00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:19,360 Speaker 2: Maybe yeah, but also you know, I mean you did 400 00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:22,600 Speaker 2: a long time. Yeah, so I think, well, you know, 401 00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:24,800 Speaker 2: I'm as well trying to stay alive as long as possible. 402 00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:29,320 Speaker 2: My dad passed away at eighty eight. That's good, which 403 00:22:29,359 --> 00:22:32,200 Speaker 2: is okay. My mum is ninety eight. 404 00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:35,119 Speaker 1: While still going. She's still going, so you've got the 405 00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:35,919 Speaker 1: genetic blessing. 406 00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:36,840 Speaker 2: She's going great. 407 00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:41,879 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's good, missus Kyler, well done. I do I 408 00:22:41,920 --> 00:22:43,360 Speaker 1: do want to go back to the eighties. It freak 409 00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:46,040 Speaker 1: gave eighty every second June the eighties. One of the 410 00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:48,080 Speaker 1: things that like in those days, I moved dat of 411 00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:50,679 Speaker 1: the canny films, work with law firm, and we end 412 00:22:50,760 --> 00:22:54,240 Speaker 1: up getting jobs for people like Bond Corporation and those 413 00:22:54,280 --> 00:22:57,280 Speaker 1: sorts of organizations and ad Steam too for that matter. 414 00:22:57,680 --> 00:23:01,600 Speaker 1: And I got to meet these individuals. And would you 415 00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:07,560 Speaker 1: say that entrepreneurship back then, due to the difference in 416 00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:10,399 Speaker 1: regulatory environments which we have today competed. Then do you 417 00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:14,080 Speaker 1: think that their time was much more conducy for entrepreneurship 418 00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:18,840 Speaker 1: and therefore sort of more nation building stuff for Australia. 419 00:23:18,920 --> 00:23:20,800 Speaker 2: Look, I wouldn't call it nation building. I think that 420 00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:25,520 Speaker 2: that's you know, putting too too good a spin on 421 00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:30,080 Speaker 2: what was going on. I mean, those blokes were they 422 00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:32,880 Speaker 2: just borrowed and took companies over, and they were kind 423 00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:35,680 Speaker 2: of I suppose in some ways the forerunners, the private 424 00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:40,879 Speaker 2: equity firms, borrow tons of money buy these companies, stripped them. 425 00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:43,199 Speaker 2: To be honest, it was quite murky, and you know 426 00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:45,600 Speaker 2: what they're up to was it was not that well known. 427 00:23:45,640 --> 00:23:47,679 Speaker 2: There was not a lot of disclosure going on in 428 00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:52,800 Speaker 2: those days. But what we call we call them entrepreneurs. 429 00:23:52,840 --> 00:23:55,400 Speaker 2: But they were not entrepreneurs in the sense of people 430 00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:59,639 Speaker 2: who start companies, start businesses, and you know, like the 431 00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:02,360 Speaker 2: sort of AI type entrepreneurs we talk about now. They 432 00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:05,200 Speaker 2: were just people who borrow tons of money and made 433 00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:09,280 Speaker 2: takeovers and the banks were prepared to lend them the money, 434 00:24:09,320 --> 00:24:11,119 Speaker 2: you know. And I think this is to some extent, 435 00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:17,640 Speaker 2: this is before banks became what I regardless, building societies, 436 00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:20,200 Speaker 2: where they just the banks are mainly housing lenders. Now, 437 00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:24,080 Speaker 2: in those days, they were mainly business lenders. Housing wasn't 438 00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:26,840 Speaker 2: a big deal back in the eighties. It was really 439 00:24:27,440 --> 00:24:32,399 Speaker 2: to do with lending to businesses, and you know, they 440 00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:34,879 Speaker 2: were prepared to lend sort of on a wish and 441 00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:36,119 Speaker 2: a prayer in some ways. 442 00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:38,000 Speaker 1: Their due diligence wasn't great. 443 00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:41,280 Speaker 2: Not not great. They weren't There wasn't a lot of 444 00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:44,360 Speaker 2: collateral going on. They were just prepared to give them 445 00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:47,680 Speaker 2: some money. And I remember when well I was when 446 00:24:47,680 --> 00:24:51,360 Speaker 2: I was editor of the fin Review and Warwick Young 447 00:24:51,400 --> 00:24:58,480 Speaker 2: Morrick Fairfax bought the company, paid his family out with 448 00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:01,359 Speaker 2: colossal maunts money that were lent to him by A 449 00:25:01,480 --> 00:25:05,120 Speaker 2: and zaid Bank. Now, you know, there's no way any 450 00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:07,359 Speaker 2: of the banks would do that now, but they were 451 00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:10,080 Speaker 2: prepared to do it in nine to eighty seven. 452 00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:14,720 Speaker 1: You're right, banks lending policies were much easier. It was 453 00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:21,080 Speaker 1: nearly like relationship lending as opposed to proper credit assessment. 454 00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:24,119 Speaker 1: Would you say that's the case as a former editor 455 00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:27,280 Speaker 1: at the AFR, would you say that on reflection that 456 00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:27,760 Speaker 1: was true? 457 00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:31,520 Speaker 2: Yeah? Yeah. Look, I think what's occurred as bank regulation 458 00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:35,400 Speaker 2: has evolved quite a lot, particularly after the GFC, when 459 00:25:35,800 --> 00:25:36,439 Speaker 2: there were these. 460 00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:37,720 Speaker 1: Basil rules. 461 00:25:38,800 --> 00:25:44,040 Speaker 2: Designed out of Switzerland and called Basel, but it was 462 00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:48,160 Speaker 2: global banking rules that everyone signed up to, and basically 463 00:25:48,200 --> 00:25:54,240 Speaker 2: it meant that banks had to have proper collateral, which 464 00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:59,720 Speaker 2: basically ended up coming to mean property in real estate. 465 00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:03,439 Speaker 2: They weren't that, I mean, and that was based on 466 00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:05,399 Speaker 2: the sort of the amount of capital you have to 467 00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:08,760 Speaker 2: have against the loans, you better than me, and they 468 00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:12,639 Speaker 2: kind of. But because the amount of capital that you 469 00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:14,800 Speaker 2: have to have against the real estate loan was lower 470 00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:18,880 Speaker 2: than against a business loan, they all gravitated towards. 471 00:26:18,680 --> 00:26:20,440 Speaker 1: Real estate because it was much more efficient. 472 00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:23,120 Speaker 2: Was it more efficient and less less expensive? They didn't 473 00:26:23,119 --> 00:26:24,440 Speaker 2: have to have as much capital. 474 00:26:24,119 --> 00:26:25,880 Speaker 1: So holding capital for doing nothing? 475 00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:29,480 Speaker 2: Basically that's right. But in the seventies and eighties it 476 00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:33,600 Speaker 2: was quite different. You know, the banks were much more 477 00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:38,560 Speaker 2: inclined to lend to you know, lend to businesses on 478 00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:40,040 Speaker 2: basis of not very much. 479 00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:44,200 Speaker 1: Was it the bank's chasing returns and therefore the banks 480 00:26:44,200 --> 00:26:46,639 Speaker 1: were leaving themselves open to be talked into it? Or 481 00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:49,320 Speaker 1: do you think it's the individual? And do we have 482 00:26:49,359 --> 00:26:52,399 Speaker 1: as many charismatic people today because I rarely see it 483 00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:58,040 Speaker 1: in the media, charismatic business leaders. Everybody tends to be 484 00:26:58,080 --> 00:26:59,000 Speaker 1: more rules based. 485 00:26:59,280 --> 00:27:02,560 Speaker 2: I think it's both banks were very keen to lend 486 00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:07,679 Speaker 2: and they were looking for sort of charismatic individuals. And 487 00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:09,479 Speaker 2: you know, even now and again someone will pop up. 488 00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:11,359 Speaker 2: You know, it was John Elliott or Alan Bond or 489 00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:15,080 Speaker 2: if you Robert Holmes of Court and you know, all 490 00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:20,600 Speaker 2: these characters Christophers case, uh you know, so they kind 491 00:27:20,600 --> 00:27:23,639 Speaker 2: of did come along. And sure there's always some charismatic 492 00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:27,920 Speaker 2: people around who can who are interested in making tons 493 00:27:27,920 --> 00:27:31,200 Speaker 2: of money and can persuade banks to lend the money. 494 00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:33,160 Speaker 2: So that and that's what was going on then. As 495 00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:37,399 Speaker 2: for now, I suppose it's a lot of it's to 496 00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:40,560 Speaker 2: do with AI now, you know, I mean some of 497 00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:44,120 Speaker 2: these some of these people, I mean we talked about 498 00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:50,920 Speaker 2: Elon Musk. Obviously he's enormously charismatic. The the big AI companies 499 00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:53,200 Speaker 2: now are starting to borrow money, but they're issuing bonds. 500 00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:55,480 Speaker 2: I mean, it's not it's not about bank lending so 501 00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:59,199 Speaker 2: much as bonds issuing to the market. So I do 502 00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:02,560 Speaker 2: think the other thing what's happened is that the markets 503 00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:06,720 Speaker 2: have taken over, so it's all about it's all about 504 00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:14,480 Speaker 2: markets now rather than lending offices in banks making decisions, 505 00:28:14,560 --> 00:28:16,679 Speaker 2: you know, whether it's a bond market or an equity market, 506 00:28:17,080 --> 00:28:20,240 Speaker 2: or the oil market, whatever it is. You know, I 507 00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:24,480 Speaker 2: mean markets now rule the world. 508 00:28:24,800 --> 00:28:26,360 Speaker 1: How do you mean now markets? 509 00:28:26,520 --> 00:28:29,639 Speaker 2: Well, for example, you know, we're all been watching the 510 00:28:29,680 --> 00:28:32,240 Speaker 2: oil price lately, and you know, is it going to 511 00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:35,080 Speaker 2: go up? Is it go down? It's coming down. But 512 00:28:35,160 --> 00:28:37,040 Speaker 2: I remember in ninety to seventy three with the first 513 00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:40,040 Speaker 2: oil shock, and a lot of people compare what's happening 514 00:28:40,080 --> 00:28:42,600 Speaker 2: now with the oil shocks of the nineteen seventies. There 515 00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:44,600 Speaker 2: were two of them, seventy three and seventy nine. 516 00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:46,560 Speaker 1: One was in Iran War two. 517 00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:49,720 Speaker 2: By the way, well the revolution in Iran in ninety 518 00:28:49,760 --> 00:28:52,360 Speaker 2: seventy nine. But in fact, what happened in ninety seventy 519 00:28:52,440 --> 00:28:57,200 Speaker 2: nine was that OPEK doubled the price of oil, using 520 00:28:57,400 --> 00:29:01,600 Speaker 2: the Iran revolution as cover. I mean, the revolution had nothing. 521 00:29:01,520 --> 00:29:02,440 Speaker 1: To do with the price. 522 00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:06,040 Speaker 2: Really just coincided, just coincided. So what happened in seventy 523 00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:08,360 Speaker 2: three and seventy nine was that OPEC set the price. 524 00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:12,760 Speaker 2: I mean, in seventy three, OPEC quadruple the price of 525 00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:16,720 Speaker 2: oil from three dollars to twelve dollars a barrel. And 526 00:29:16,760 --> 00:29:19,280 Speaker 2: in seventy nine did the same and they doubled it again. 527 00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:24,600 Speaker 2: But in those days the price was set by Opeck. 528 00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:29,560 Speaker 2: Now it's the price is derived by trading on the 529 00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:33,200 Speaker 2: futures market. I mean when we talk about the price, 530 00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:35,800 Speaker 2: when I reported on the news, I'm not reporting what 531 00:29:35,880 --> 00:29:40,040 Speaker 2: OPEC or anyone else is setting as the price. I'm 532 00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:44,080 Speaker 2: reporting the futures price. And then the price that. 533 00:29:44,120 --> 00:29:45,560 Speaker 1: Is part of the markets provide us. 534 00:29:45,640 --> 00:29:49,840 Speaker 2: That's right, The markets do it, and then the price 535 00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:55,240 Speaker 2: that refineries have to pay for oil is derived from that. 536 00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:59,000 Speaker 2: You know, it's kind of a premium of twenty or 537 00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:03,120 Speaker 2: thirty or forty dollars per barrel over the whatever it is, 538 00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:06,400 Speaker 2: the futures price, the futures price, and so the whole 539 00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:09,960 Speaker 2: thing is determined by markets now, and the markets are 540 00:30:10,360 --> 00:30:15,440 Speaker 2: ruled by psychology, you know, it's not it isn't kind 541 00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:18,920 Speaker 2: of a producer setting the price. 542 00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:20,640 Speaker 1: And it's sort of perspective to a little bit too. 543 00:30:20,760 --> 00:30:23,880 Speaker 2: It's a perspective. It's it's how the traders feel. What 544 00:30:23,920 --> 00:30:26,000 Speaker 2: do they think is going to happen? Is the deal 545 00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:27,920 Speaker 2: going to happen? Is is Donald Trump going to do 546 00:30:27,920 --> 00:30:30,720 Speaker 2: a deal as they are or not? And then the 547 00:30:30,760 --> 00:30:35,880 Speaker 2: commodity traders. You know. It's as I talked about with 548 00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:38,120 Speaker 2: the Stock Stock Exchange when I was watching it as 549 00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:41,440 Speaker 2: a kid. There's this constant auction taking place, you know, 550 00:30:42,040 --> 00:30:43,960 Speaker 2: and if there's more buyers and sellers, the price goes up. 551 00:30:44,000 --> 00:30:45,960 Speaker 2: If there's more sellers and buyers, the price goes down, 552 00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:48,320 Speaker 2: you know. And it's kind of everything is all about 553 00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:56,400 Speaker 2: constant actions now. Everything, whether it's whether it's commodities, gold, copper, oil, 554 00:30:56,640 --> 00:30:59,680 Speaker 2: or share prices or bonds or whatever. 555 00:31:00,040 --> 00:31:02,600 Speaker 1: It's this funny even in an interest rate world. My world, 556 00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:04,200 Speaker 1: it's the same because we get our money from the 557 00:31:04,240 --> 00:31:07,120 Speaker 1: capital market, which is a market for capital for money, 558 00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:10,920 Speaker 1: and it's being priced on. Is the reserving going to 559 00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:12,560 Speaker 1: put the rates up? Reserving, You're not going to put 560 00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:14,560 Speaker 1: the rates up here. You and I are sitting here 561 00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:15,880 Speaker 1: on the day of the Reserving. It is going to 562 00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:19,600 Speaker 1: meet on the sixteenth of June, and already the market's 563 00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:24,480 Speaker 1: making decisions about what money costs me. Nothing to do 564 00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:25,920 Speaker 1: with the reserve bank, I mean. 565 00:31:26,240 --> 00:31:28,200 Speaker 2: And it's interesting because the reserve bank, we talk about 566 00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:31,560 Speaker 2: the reserve banks are going to hold rates or increase 567 00:31:31,680 --> 00:31:34,360 Speaker 2: rates or reduce them or whatever. And the impression you 568 00:31:34,360 --> 00:31:36,680 Speaker 2: get is that they set the rate, but in fact, 569 00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:40,840 Speaker 2: what they do is they intervene in the market. I mean, 570 00:31:41,240 --> 00:31:43,440 Speaker 2: they don't set anything. What they do is they buy 571 00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:47,320 Speaker 2: and sell money in the overnight cash market, and that 572 00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:50,960 Speaker 2: tends to influence the price of the money, right, And 573 00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:54,160 Speaker 2: so they what they're doing is not actually setting anything. 574 00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:58,200 Speaker 2: They're just they're operating in the market as a. 575 00:31:58,120 --> 00:32:01,440 Speaker 3: Player, the biggest player and the safest player. But yes, 576 00:32:01,560 --> 00:32:03,600 Speaker 3: but yeah, that's right. Yeah, but they're operating in the 577 00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:07,120 Speaker 3: market and to influence the price. So they have a target, 578 00:32:07,360 --> 00:32:09,959 Speaker 3: so they call it, they call it the cash right target, 579 00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:13,760 Speaker 3: which is you know, so they're trying to achieve that, 580 00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:15,680 Speaker 3: and they generally do of course, because. 581 00:32:15,440 --> 00:32:18,080 Speaker 1: They are the biggest they can influence play a big player. 582 00:32:18,120 --> 00:32:20,280 Speaker 2: But still they're operating in the overnight cash market. 583 00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:22,600 Speaker 1: So that wouldn't be one of the biggest changes you've 584 00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:24,600 Speaker 1: seen in what we're doing about fifty odd years of 585 00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:26,480 Speaker 1: being in working in this world. 586 00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:29,760 Speaker 2: Oh definitely in the world. Sure. So what's happened is 587 00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:33,840 Speaker 2: the world's become financialized and marketized, if I can put it, 588 00:32:33,920 --> 00:32:37,360 Speaker 2: if you create that word, has become marketized in a 589 00:32:37,360 --> 00:32:42,400 Speaker 2: way that it never was before really, and it's quite interesting. 590 00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:46,160 Speaker 2: I think that we are now so ruled by markets 591 00:32:46,160 --> 00:32:48,120 Speaker 2: and it just happened, you know, we're kind of just 592 00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:50,160 Speaker 2: so used to it now. We talk about markets all 593 00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:52,800 Speaker 2: the time, I mean, and I kind of get up 594 00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:55,440 Speaker 2: there every night and talk about this market and that market, 595 00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:59,200 Speaker 2: you know, and everyone goes, oh, that's interesting. 596 00:32:59,840 --> 00:33:02,120 Speaker 1: You also supplied some great graphs too. I really love 597 00:33:02,160 --> 00:33:03,560 Speaker 1: your graphs and I love it when you put up 598 00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:05,520 Speaker 1: a graph. I mean, I'm a graph person. I love 599 00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:08,720 Speaker 1: a graph. Know you graph. I don't know if everyone 600 00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:10,920 Speaker 1: loves them, but I love a graph when you put 601 00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:14,640 Speaker 1: a graph up there. As a journalist, which has been 602 00:33:14,720 --> 00:33:18,480 Speaker 1: most of your business life, you've obviously met lots of 603 00:33:18,520 --> 00:33:24,760 Speaker 1: interesting people who apart from people you reported on, who 604 00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:27,520 Speaker 1: were some of the more interesting Australians you've met over 605 00:33:27,560 --> 00:33:28,520 Speaker 1: that fifty period. 606 00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:32,400 Speaker 2: Well, one of the more interesting, I guess was Lang Hancock, 607 00:33:33,280 --> 00:33:37,000 Speaker 2: who I actually worked for for a while wow in Perth. 608 00:33:37,440 --> 00:33:40,479 Speaker 2: He had a newspaper called The National Minor really and 609 00:33:40,520 --> 00:33:43,360 Speaker 2: I was a journalist on that and so I had 610 00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:46,400 Speaker 2: a bit to do with Lang Hancock and he was 611 00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:47,400 Speaker 2: very interesting character. 612 00:33:47,560 --> 00:33:50,440 Speaker 1: One of the things that has always intrigued me about Lang, 613 00:33:50,720 --> 00:33:53,680 Speaker 1: and I was only watching video made by the ABC 614 00:33:54,800 --> 00:34:01,920 Speaker 1: Black and White about Lang Hancock flying back from north 615 00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:06,080 Speaker 1: of West Australia to Perth, perhaps on his own plane, 616 00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:09,759 Speaker 1: and because there was a lot of cloud, he had 617 00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:11,719 Speaker 1: to fly below the cloud and he was following a 618 00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:15,879 Speaker 1: river bed and in following that riverbed he noticed one 619 00:34:15,880 --> 00:34:18,120 Speaker 1: of the cliffs on the river bed a lot of 620 00:34:19,200 --> 00:34:23,279 Speaker 1: iron ore deposits, probably read it. But he went back, 621 00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:26,680 Speaker 1: found of someone to land his plane got off. They 622 00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:29,400 Speaker 1: walked to the place and he must have made a 623 00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:31,080 Speaker 1: claim state to claim and it turned out to be 624 00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:33,160 Speaker 1: high grade because they did some brillian was high grade, 625 00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:35,920 Speaker 1: and of course it turned ended up being that this 626 00:34:36,040 --> 00:34:38,319 Speaker 1: is the largest depositive iron are in the world at 627 00:34:38,320 --> 00:34:42,000 Speaker 1: the time at least. And it's quite amazing story. And 628 00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:44,359 Speaker 1: he talks about his partner right who most people don't 629 00:34:44,400 --> 00:34:48,880 Speaker 1: know about, whose family still exists today, have been he 630 00:34:48,920 --> 00:34:52,279 Speaker 1: caught more recently with his daughter Jenna more recently. But 631 00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:56,040 Speaker 1: it's an amazing story about that. That's the for me, 632 00:34:56,200 --> 00:35:00,680 Speaker 1: that's the highest form of entrepreneurial entrepreneurialism re legacy, flying low, 633 00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:02,799 Speaker 1: trying to void cloud for a start, I would never 634 00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:05,280 Speaker 1: get one of those airplanes. But flying low beat. 635 00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:07,400 Speaker 2: Me in his aeroplane once. Did you up to the 636 00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:11,319 Speaker 2: pilbro And you know it's a very small plane and 637 00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:14,400 Speaker 2: he was flying it and he's we're up there, and 638 00:35:14,400 --> 00:35:15,480 Speaker 2: he says, I want to show you what's on the 639 00:35:15,520 --> 00:35:17,920 Speaker 2: ground and he went and I thought I was going 640 00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:18,440 Speaker 2: to die. 641 00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:23,479 Speaker 1: That's incredible, but that's amazing. That type of entrepreneurism, that's 642 00:35:23,560 --> 00:35:26,120 Speaker 1: real Australia entrepreneurism as the way I said. 643 00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:28,759 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, that's right, yeah, more much more so than 644 00:35:28,920 --> 00:35:30,239 Speaker 2: Alan Bond and the rest of them. 645 00:35:30,560 --> 00:35:33,400 Speaker 1: Do you think that is well an Australian spirit? 646 00:35:33,800 --> 00:35:36,520 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, sure. Look I interviewed the other day. I 647 00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:39,839 Speaker 2: interviewed a like named Andreas for Us who was an 648 00:35:40,200 --> 00:35:46,680 Speaker 2: engineer and he was he was at the university, the 649 00:35:46,760 --> 00:35:49,239 Speaker 2: University of Melbourne I think it was, and he was 650 00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:53,719 Speaker 2: studying airflow, the way that in wind tunnels and the 651 00:35:53,719 --> 00:35:56,319 Speaker 2: way that way airflow works. And he thought, I wonder 652 00:35:56,360 --> 00:35:58,879 Speaker 2: if I could get I wonder if I could use 653 00:35:59,040 --> 00:36:04,080 Speaker 2: that this work to see what happens inside lungs. So 654 00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:07,080 Speaker 2: he started a company called four D Medical, which is 655 00:36:07,080 --> 00:36:09,920 Speaker 2: listed on the Stock is Change now and that was 656 00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:12,000 Speaker 2: kind of ten years ago, and ten years he's been 657 00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:15,919 Speaker 2: plugging away and he's finally now he's got this. He's 658 00:36:15,920 --> 00:36:22,920 Speaker 2: got this system for measuring for examining lungs and also 659 00:36:23,040 --> 00:36:26,960 Speaker 2: blood flow from that, and he's now selling it to 660 00:36:27,880 --> 00:36:33,040 Speaker 2: American hospitals into radiologists and it's starting to take off. 661 00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:37,160 Speaker 2: I mean, I think it's fantastic. That is true entrepreneurialism, 662 00:36:37,400 --> 00:36:37,759 Speaker 2: because to. 663 00:36:37,760 --> 00:36:39,880 Speaker 1: Me, that's one of the great hallmarks of Australia. We 664 00:36:39,960 --> 00:36:42,359 Speaker 1: have been great entrepreneurship. We invent a lot of stuff here. 665 00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:45,319 Speaker 1: I don't want to get political, but if we just 666 00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:46,960 Speaker 1: go and have a look at what's happened recently with 667 00:36:46,960 --> 00:36:49,040 Speaker 1: a couple of games takes, do you have view on 668 00:36:49,640 --> 00:36:53,839 Speaker 1: these things relative to small business startups and or you know, 669 00:36:54,719 --> 00:36:57,360 Speaker 1: brain drains going back to leaving austrang oul of America, 670 00:36:57,400 --> 00:36:57,759 Speaker 1: et cetera. 671 00:36:57,880 --> 00:37:00,319 Speaker 2: Do you have a view on this on the capital. 672 00:37:00,280 --> 00:37:02,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, relative to innovation. 673 00:37:03,520 --> 00:37:05,879 Speaker 2: The capital gains tax introduced in nine to eighty five 674 00:37:06,640 --> 00:37:09,839 Speaker 2: and the deal was one July, that's right, and you 675 00:37:10,480 --> 00:37:14,280 Speaker 2: paid a tax on a capital gain at your marginal 676 00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:19,239 Speaker 2: income tax rate minus inflation. That was the deal. And 677 00:37:19,280 --> 00:37:21,279 Speaker 2: in ninety nine and nine they decided to change it 678 00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:24,000 Speaker 2: to a fifty percent where you only paid tax on 679 00:37:24,080 --> 00:37:25,360 Speaker 2: half the capital game. 680 00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:27,600 Speaker 1: They gave you where they called the capital games discount. 681 00:37:28,120 --> 00:37:30,840 Speaker 1: That's right, And that was under Costello, Yeah, and it was. 682 00:37:30,880 --> 00:37:34,240 Speaker 2: It was done in response to a business tax review 683 00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:39,440 Speaker 2: that was before what was done by the three blokes 684 00:37:39,480 --> 00:37:43,640 Speaker 2: named John Ralph, Rick Ellett and Bob Joss who recommended 685 00:37:43,680 --> 00:37:47,080 Speaker 2: to Costello that they make this change in order to 686 00:37:47,160 --> 00:37:50,279 Speaker 2: encourage Australians to buy shares, to become a nation of 687 00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:55,399 Speaker 2: share owners. And Costello said yep, okay, we'll do that. 688 00:37:55,480 --> 00:38:01,600 Speaker 2: And a few months later, the stock market crashed in 689 00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:04,600 Speaker 2: March two thousand as a result of the Internet bubble 690 00:38:05,200 --> 00:38:07,440 Speaker 2: coming to an end. So no one wanted to buy shares. 691 00:38:07,719 --> 00:38:09,560 Speaker 2: Whether they were ever going to, who knows, but they 692 00:38:09,560 --> 00:38:12,719 Speaker 2: certainly didn't after the stock market crash. And then so 693 00:38:12,760 --> 00:38:17,560 Speaker 2: everyone said, well that's fantastic, we'll we'll buy property and 694 00:38:17,600 --> 00:38:19,960 Speaker 2: out of the following three years, house prices in Australia 695 00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:24,920 Speaker 2: went up forty five percent. Well I just think, okay, 696 00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:29,400 Speaker 2: what happened with that change was that it turned housing 697 00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:32,759 Speaker 2: from somewhere to live to a wealth builder, you know, 698 00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:35,680 Speaker 2: So I do think that it's a good idea to 699 00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:41,160 Speaker 2: go back to the inflation adjustment, you know, mainly because 700 00:38:41,600 --> 00:38:44,600 Speaker 2: nobody understands Nobody understands what the inflation adjustment is. Nobody 701 00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:46,960 Speaker 2: can work it out. Everyone understands what a fifty percent 702 00:38:46,960 --> 00:38:51,120 Speaker 2: discount is. So before, while it was an inflation adjustment, 703 00:38:51,360 --> 00:38:53,040 Speaker 2: it was all a mystery to people. You know, the 704 00:38:53,040 --> 00:38:55,200 Speaker 2: whole thing was mysterious, and nobody really wanted to do 705 00:38:55,239 --> 00:38:57,960 Speaker 2: it and wanted to fifty percent discount. Everyone wanted to 706 00:38:58,000 --> 00:38:59,680 Speaker 2: do it right. And now I think we need to 707 00:38:59,680 --> 00:39:02,080 Speaker 2: go back to the way it was for property, for 708 00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:06,000 Speaker 2: real estate. Whether you need to do that for business, 709 00:39:06,360 --> 00:39:09,040 Speaker 2: I don't know. I mean, I understand Jim Chalmer's argument 710 00:39:09,160 --> 00:39:12,960 Speaker 2: that you don't want people to make investment decisions based 711 00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:17,680 Speaker 2: on tax reasons, and because tax distorts people's decisions, and 712 00:39:17,719 --> 00:39:20,160 Speaker 2: so that's why he's going to make it the same 713 00:39:20,200 --> 00:39:26,640 Speaker 2: for everything. I just think that they're spending a lot 714 00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:30,560 Speaker 2: of political capital on achieving that, and there's other things 715 00:39:30,560 --> 00:39:33,920 Speaker 2: that are more important. So if it was me, I 716 00:39:34,560 --> 00:39:38,359 Speaker 2: think he ought to basically exempt businesses from it. 717 00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:40,600 Speaker 1: I mean, we talk about property being the greatest rangeery, 718 00:39:40,640 --> 00:39:43,319 Speaker 1: and I think also being a business for yourself as 719 00:39:43,320 --> 00:39:46,480 Speaker 1: a gross rangeram and for those people who do it. 720 00:39:46,560 --> 00:39:50,200 Speaker 1: What's important because you know, private enterprise pays for public 721 00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:53,200 Speaker 1: spending because you've got through by virchu of the taxes 722 00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:55,600 Speaker 1: you collect from private enterprise. If I'm going to get 723 00:39:55,600 --> 00:39:58,439 Speaker 1: treated better by investing in the United States or treated 724 00:39:58,560 --> 00:40:01,759 Speaker 1: better by investing in New Zealand and compared to Australia, 725 00:40:01,800 --> 00:40:04,600 Speaker 1: well that money will always find where where the greatest 726 00:40:04,600 --> 00:40:07,360 Speaker 1: return is, which includes income tax impost. 727 00:40:08,360 --> 00:40:09,600 Speaker 2: So I agree with you. 728 00:40:09,600 --> 00:40:13,280 Speaker 1: I think that it's not a big deal to exempt. 729 00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:15,480 Speaker 1: The amount of money you're saving is not a lot. 730 00:40:16,000 --> 00:40:17,799 Speaker 1: But what you're doing is you're opening up the door 731 00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:22,000 Speaker 1: to capital because capital is so important because the market's 732 00:40:22,040 --> 00:40:26,920 Speaker 1: discussion we're making before capital these days can go anywhere. 733 00:40:27,560 --> 00:40:30,960 Speaker 1: I mean, it's completely slate water for to always find 734 00:40:30,960 --> 00:40:34,960 Speaker 1: his best position and that's about the best return. And 735 00:40:35,800 --> 00:40:38,479 Speaker 1: like once upon a time you couldn't even get money 736 00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:41,279 Speaker 1: out of Australia one stage be an exchange control back 737 00:40:41,280 --> 00:40:44,040 Speaker 1: in the late seventies early eighties, I think it was. 738 00:40:44,719 --> 00:40:48,040 Speaker 1: Now money is just go anywhere, and there's so many 739 00:40:48,080 --> 00:40:52,280 Speaker 1: markets around. There's a market for capital, private capital. 740 00:40:53,239 --> 00:40:56,239 Speaker 2: So look, I think that even even if you just 741 00:40:56,400 --> 00:41:00,279 Speaker 2: said startups. The problem with startups is, you know the 742 00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:04,400 Speaker 2: cost place is zero nothing, so you know, the capital 743 00:41:04,440 --> 00:41:07,320 Speaker 2: gains tax when you sell the startup businesses is nothing. 744 00:41:08,160 --> 00:41:10,640 Speaker 1: He get inflation on nothing, he says nothing. 745 00:41:11,280 --> 00:41:14,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, So look I do think that, you know, I 746 00:41:14,600 --> 00:41:17,000 Speaker 2: think they probably will actually do exact businesses. 747 00:41:17,560 --> 00:41:20,120 Speaker 1: Do you talk to prime ministers and treasurers? 748 00:41:20,320 --> 00:41:20,520 Speaker 2: Oh? 749 00:41:20,600 --> 00:41:21,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, do they talk to you? 750 00:41:21,760 --> 00:41:24,560 Speaker 2: Do they actually say I talked to the treasure from 751 00:41:24,560 --> 00:41:25,080 Speaker 2: time to time? 752 00:41:25,320 --> 00:41:27,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, you've obviously talked a lot of treasures over the years. 753 00:41:28,200 --> 00:41:30,680 Speaker 1: I mean you go back to beyond Keating, I mean 754 00:41:30,719 --> 00:41:33,439 Speaker 1: you probably go to Simon Crane and Frank Frank Crew. 755 00:41:33,800 --> 00:41:34,000 Speaker 3: Yeah. 756 00:41:34,200 --> 00:41:35,720 Speaker 1: I was a kid then, I was in the eighties. 757 00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:37,399 Speaker 2: I wasn't talking to treasurers in those days. 758 00:41:37,520 --> 00:41:40,560 Speaker 1: John Howard is a treasure around that period as a record. 759 00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:43,719 Speaker 2: That's right. Yeah. But the first treasure I had a 760 00:41:43,719 --> 00:41:45,400 Speaker 2: lot to do with was Porkinty. 761 00:41:46,080 --> 00:41:47,520 Speaker 1: Who are some of the great treasures that you have 762 00:41:47,600 --> 00:41:47,960 Speaker 1: dealt with? 763 00:41:48,440 --> 00:41:49,279 Speaker 2: Or Keening? For sure? 764 00:41:50,239 --> 00:41:51,719 Speaker 1: What is it about Keening that was great? 765 00:41:52,239 --> 00:41:55,359 Speaker 2: He had this incredible scope, you know. 766 00:41:55,320 --> 00:41:58,719 Speaker 4: He's as in range of yeah, and his vision was 767 00:41:59,000 --> 00:42:03,200 Speaker 4: he had this clear vision of what was needed, and 768 00:42:04,040 --> 00:42:06,319 Speaker 4: he kind of he said about doing it. 769 00:42:06,360 --> 00:42:09,719 Speaker 2: You know, he wasn't interested in kind of day to 770 00:42:09,800 --> 00:42:13,879 Speaker 2: day politics as much as I mean, as most of them. 771 00:42:14,040 --> 00:42:18,239 Speaker 2: I think, I kind of I'm struggling to think of 772 00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:21,400 Speaker 2: anyone else in his league, to be honest. 773 00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:24,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, I sort of hold keeping up to him in 774 00:42:24,560 --> 00:42:29,680 Speaker 1: terms of treasures I've known as probably the best, definitely 775 00:42:29,680 --> 00:42:33,759 Speaker 1: one of the most committed in terms of his ideology. 776 00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:38,560 Speaker 1: Relative to the super guarantee, for example, is unbelievable. I mean, 777 00:42:38,560 --> 00:42:41,480 Speaker 1: that's one of the best bits of legislation policy changes 778 00:42:42,600 --> 00:42:45,160 Speaker 1: we've ever seen Australia have relative to the rest of 779 00:42:45,200 --> 00:42:48,520 Speaker 1: the world. Like our superhneration policy on a global basis 780 00:42:49,440 --> 00:42:52,800 Speaker 1: is the top of the tree. Everybody admires it and 781 00:42:52,840 --> 00:42:55,279 Speaker 1: it's a hard thing to set up today. I mean, 782 00:42:55,400 --> 00:42:58,120 Speaker 1: it took a lot of stones to get that in 783 00:42:58,200 --> 00:43:01,480 Speaker 1: place in ninety three, three or four, I can't rememberhen 784 00:43:01,480 --> 00:43:03,960 Speaker 1: it was around the period, and it's an amazing outcome 785 00:43:04,000 --> 00:43:06,120 Speaker 1: because look at the money super refund funds got today. 786 00:43:06,239 --> 00:43:08,520 Speaker 1: Super funds themselves have got today to invest back into 787 00:43:08,520 --> 00:43:10,839 Speaker 1: Australia and they were also overseas. 788 00:43:11,080 --> 00:43:13,480 Speaker 2: You know, it was great. I mean that was fantastic reform. 789 00:43:13,520 --> 00:43:16,400 Speaker 2: And you know the way he dragged Hawk through into 790 00:43:16,440 --> 00:43:19,319 Speaker 2: this reforms of the in the eighties, opening up the 791 00:43:19,360 --> 00:43:22,040 Speaker 2: economy flowed on the dollar, all that stuff. 792 00:43:22,080 --> 00:43:26,200 Speaker 1: I was deregulating the banks lending did regulating lending off 793 00:43:26,200 --> 00:43:29,200 Speaker 1: the back of the Cambon quiry. What about prime ministers? 794 00:43:30,120 --> 00:43:31,600 Speaker 1: Did you have much to do with any PM? No? 795 00:43:31,719 --> 00:43:35,879 Speaker 2: Not really no, I mean I'm not. I've never been 796 00:43:35,880 --> 00:43:40,239 Speaker 2: a political journalist, always been financial, so you know, I've 797 00:43:40,280 --> 00:43:43,319 Speaker 2: met prime ministers, but never really had much to do 798 00:43:43,360 --> 00:43:43,680 Speaker 2: with them. 799 00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:45,920 Speaker 1: And one name I want to ask you about is 800 00:43:45,960 --> 00:43:48,440 Speaker 1: Kerry Packer. Did you ever have much to do with Kerry? 801 00:43:49,080 --> 00:43:51,200 Speaker 2: I only met I met him, I guess, but I 802 00:43:51,239 --> 00:43:52,600 Speaker 2: didn't have much to do with him. 803 00:43:52,600 --> 00:43:54,560 Speaker 1: What do you think of the impact of someone like 804 00:43:54,640 --> 00:43:57,759 Speaker 1: Kerry Packer back in the eighties, nineties, two thousands, but 805 00:43:57,800 --> 00:44:00,879 Speaker 1: probably the eighties and nineties when he was starting rise 806 00:44:00,880 --> 00:44:02,680 Speaker 1: in the nineties when he was eating his peak. 807 00:44:03,280 --> 00:44:06,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, well he obviously as other of nine, he was 808 00:44:06,560 --> 00:44:11,480 Speaker 2: tremendously influential. He changed cricket forever. 809 00:44:12,320 --> 00:44:14,040 Speaker 1: He did it in a good way, yeah, a good way. 810 00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:14,879 Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah. 811 00:44:15,280 --> 00:44:18,360 Speaker 1: Do you think Australian needs more of those characters or 812 00:44:18,400 --> 00:44:20,719 Speaker 1: do we have them? Maybe we have them, do we 813 00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:22,480 Speaker 1: have them now? But your observation now. 814 00:44:22,800 --> 00:44:25,759 Speaker 2: We don't have them to the extent that we did, 815 00:44:25,800 --> 00:44:31,600 Speaker 2: then I think that's fine. You know, really, I don't 816 00:44:31,640 --> 00:44:36,239 Speaker 2: think we need sort of characters like that anymore. I 817 00:44:36,280 --> 00:44:37,000 Speaker 2: think it's fine. 818 00:44:37,120 --> 00:44:41,080 Speaker 1: But I mean by characters, I don't mean necessarily powerful people, 819 00:44:41,080 --> 00:44:45,239 Speaker 1: but just big characters in terms of the landscape. You know, 820 00:44:46,080 --> 00:44:50,000 Speaker 1: people Australians would like to talk about, you know, hate 821 00:44:50,040 --> 00:44:51,239 Speaker 1: them or love them, doesn't matter. 822 00:44:51,440 --> 00:44:55,440 Speaker 2: I'm just I live in Victoria, right and Melbourne, and 823 00:44:55,880 --> 00:45:01,360 Speaker 2: we've just had the death of Neil Danaher So he 824 00:45:01,480 --> 00:45:06,000 Speaker 2: was he's so I think it's very interesting. He's you know, 825 00:45:06,040 --> 00:45:09,840 Speaker 2: it's been almost a week of mourning of a huge, 826 00:45:10,920 --> 00:45:15,120 Speaker 2: big state funeral. I mean, that's the sort of guy. 827 00:45:15,320 --> 00:45:19,920 Speaker 2: That's the sort of person we should be, you know, celebrating. 828 00:45:20,320 --> 00:45:21,080 Speaker 1: He's a big character. 829 00:45:21,200 --> 00:45:23,720 Speaker 2: He's a big character, but he's a good character. 830 00:45:24,080 --> 00:45:24,279 Speaker 3: You know. 831 00:45:24,520 --> 00:45:28,880 Speaker 2: He he acted for everyone, for others rather than himself, 832 00:45:28,920 --> 00:45:31,520 Speaker 2: you know. So you know, the big characters of the 833 00:45:31,560 --> 00:45:34,520 Speaker 2: eighties and that, like Kerry Packer and others we've been 834 00:45:34,560 --> 00:45:38,240 Speaker 2: talking about, they were all about themselves. You know, they 835 00:45:38,320 --> 00:45:42,480 Speaker 2: were not for the rest of us, whereas Neil Danaher was. 836 00:45:42,960 --> 00:45:45,520 Speaker 1: He was selfless, selfless. 837 00:45:45,040 --> 00:45:47,919 Speaker 2: And so that's that's what that's Those are the people 838 00:45:47,960 --> 00:45:50,640 Speaker 2: I think we should celebrate, and I think these days 839 00:45:50,640 --> 00:45:51,960 Speaker 2: we tend more to do that. 840 00:45:52,520 --> 00:45:53,839 Speaker 1: That's funny, that's true. 841 00:45:53,880 --> 00:45:57,399 Speaker 2: We do tend to celebrate people like Neil Danaher now. 842 00:45:58,120 --> 00:46:01,720 Speaker 2: And you know, I think when when I was growing 843 00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:04,640 Speaker 2: up as a young journalist, we didn't really pay much 844 00:46:04,640 --> 00:46:07,640 Speaker 2: attention to the Order of Australia, you know, and who 845 00:46:07,760 --> 00:46:09,520 Speaker 2: got the gongs and all this, But now we do, 846 00:46:09,760 --> 00:46:13,120 Speaker 2: I think, and there's stories about them and lots of 847 00:46:13,440 --> 00:46:18,680 Speaker 2: attention paid to people who deservedly get you know, Order 848 00:46:18,680 --> 00:46:19,640 Speaker 2: of Australian awards. 849 00:46:19,840 --> 00:46:23,200 Speaker 1: Well, and I should congratulate you on your twenty nineteen 850 00:46:24,000 --> 00:46:26,919 Speaker 1: Order in Australia. Yeah, you've got the AMM. 851 00:46:27,280 --> 00:46:29,200 Speaker 2: I like most people, I didn't deserve mine. 852 00:46:29,920 --> 00:46:31,440 Speaker 1: Well I don't know, sure were that And I mean, 853 00:46:31,520 --> 00:46:35,359 Speaker 1: like sometimes you get it just by virtue of being 854 00:46:35,400 --> 00:46:37,960 Speaker 1: able to be the last man standing. You are one 855 00:46:37,960 --> 00:46:40,399 Speaker 1: of the last men standing exactly so, but by the way, 856 00:46:40,400 --> 00:46:42,120 Speaker 1: that takes a lot. That's a big deal because like 857 00:46:42,200 --> 00:46:44,120 Speaker 1: if you want any good at your job, you would 858 00:46:44,160 --> 00:46:47,440 Speaker 1: not be there anymore, like anyhow I mean like, but 859 00:46:47,520 --> 00:46:49,040 Speaker 1: I do want to congratulate, and I also want to 860 00:46:49,080 --> 00:46:51,759 Speaker 1: congratulate you on you know, I don't want to pull 861 00:46:52,080 --> 00:46:52,960 Speaker 1: how many kids you got? 862 00:46:53,480 --> 00:46:54,120 Speaker 2: Three? Three? 863 00:46:54,520 --> 00:46:56,680 Speaker 1: I don't want to pick one out in particularly because 864 00:46:56,680 --> 00:46:58,480 Speaker 1: I don't know the other ship. I know one and 865 00:46:58,520 --> 00:47:00,480 Speaker 1: he's actually been on the show set right there. And 866 00:47:00,560 --> 00:47:04,200 Speaker 1: you know, he's a great model of yourself, and in 867 00:47:04,200 --> 00:47:08,760 Speaker 1: a modern version, he's he's very good, Chris. He's very funny, 868 00:47:09,120 --> 00:47:09,960 Speaker 1: really funny. 869 00:47:10,440 --> 00:47:11,600 Speaker 2: He's a lot funnier than I am. 870 00:47:11,719 --> 00:47:12,879 Speaker 1: He must be proud of him. 871 00:47:12,960 --> 00:47:15,480 Speaker 2: Oh, yeah, he's great. You know. I talk to him 872 00:47:15,680 --> 00:47:17,880 Speaker 2: every day every day. Yeah. 873 00:47:17,960 --> 00:47:19,280 Speaker 1: And does he seek your advice? 874 00:47:19,800 --> 00:47:22,759 Speaker 2: Yeah? And I see his Oh wow. Well he knows 875 00:47:22,880 --> 00:47:26,400 Speaker 2: much more about the modern world of communication that I do. 876 00:47:26,520 --> 00:47:29,000 Speaker 1: Really, he surely does about particularly social media. 877 00:47:29,080 --> 00:47:29,319 Speaker 2: Yeah. 878 00:47:29,360 --> 00:47:31,040 Speaker 1: I mean that's he's very clever on that stuff. 879 00:47:31,040 --> 00:47:39,080 Speaker 2: He's very clever. He's a wonderful father, he's committed, he's great. 880 00:47:39,800 --> 00:47:40,480 Speaker 2: Love him. 881 00:47:40,680 --> 00:47:43,000 Speaker 1: He probably really answered this, But what is the biggest 882 00:47:43,000 --> 00:47:46,600 Speaker 1: economic policy that Australia should be most proud of over 883 00:47:46,760 --> 00:47:48,160 Speaker 1: that you've seen over the last few. 884 00:47:48,880 --> 00:47:50,879 Speaker 2: I think you've answered it, which is I think superannuation. 885 00:47:51,040 --> 00:47:54,520 Speaker 2: I think is the it's the thing that we've got 886 00:47:54,520 --> 00:47:58,919 Speaker 2: that we've done that's unique in the world. We thought 887 00:47:58,960 --> 00:48:03,160 Speaker 2: up ourselves and did it and did it well. 888 00:48:03,280 --> 00:48:08,360 Speaker 1: I think that's Paul Keating's compulsory submariation and Bill Kelty correct. 889 00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:12,600 Speaker 1: Is Bill Kelty still around his Victoria great actually been 890 00:48:12,680 --> 00:48:15,319 Speaker 1: quite vocal about some of the Labor Party policies of 891 00:48:15,440 --> 00:48:20,640 Speaker 1: late Bill as I recall, he's good. And my final 892 00:48:20,680 --> 00:48:23,760 Speaker 1: question for you, and that's always a tough one, but 893 00:48:23,800 --> 00:48:26,520 Speaker 1: what one thing do you think for Alan Kohola? You're 894 00:48:26,560 --> 00:48:29,759 Speaker 1: most parental for yourself. There are things in life that 895 00:48:30,000 --> 00:48:33,200 Speaker 1: just keep delivering. The more time goes on, the more 896 00:48:33,200 --> 00:48:36,760 Speaker 1: you appreciate them. Seventy five years of pen File's range, 897 00:48:37,400 --> 00:48:42,040 Speaker 1: once tasted, never forgotten. Let's keep going. What's one thing 898 00:48:42,200 --> 00:48:43,200 Speaker 1: it doesn't have to be worked? 899 00:48:43,200 --> 00:48:47,000 Speaker 2: By the way, I'm struggling this. 900 00:48:47,080 --> 00:48:47,879 Speaker 1: Chuse there's so many. 901 00:48:48,520 --> 00:48:53,920 Speaker 2: I suppose. All three of my children are terrific people. 902 00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:59,520 Speaker 2: You know, they're really good people. I love being with them, 903 00:49:00,280 --> 00:49:04,759 Speaker 2: and each of them chose a great partner. I think 904 00:49:04,760 --> 00:49:09,040 Speaker 2: that's the fact that they have ended up with with 905 00:49:09,200 --> 00:49:13,360 Speaker 2: fantastic partners. I think is a really good sign of 906 00:49:13,400 --> 00:49:16,840 Speaker 2: who they are and how they live their lives. And 907 00:49:16,880 --> 00:49:19,480 Speaker 2: so yeah, I think the thing I'm most proud of 908 00:49:19,640 --> 00:49:20,240 Speaker 2: is my children. 909 00:49:20,680 --> 00:49:24,360 Speaker 1: Well that's a pretty good thing to be able to 910 00:49:24,360 --> 00:49:26,240 Speaker 1: talk about. That's as a father. 911 00:49:27,160 --> 00:49:29,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, they all live near me. I see them all 912 00:49:29,440 --> 00:49:32,640 Speaker 2: the time, and I'm proud of each of them. And 913 00:49:33,280 --> 00:49:35,319 Speaker 2: you know, so that's the thing I suppose, you know, 914 00:49:35,680 --> 00:49:38,279 Speaker 2: in terms of my own life, that's the thing. I think. 915 00:49:39,120 --> 00:49:40,360 Speaker 2: It's my best achievement. 916 00:49:40,880 --> 00:49:43,760 Speaker 1: Well, Alankohol, that gets to me. Been a real privilege 917 00:49:43,800 --> 00:49:46,360 Speaker 1: to sit here with you, to talk to you about 918 00:49:46,640 --> 00:49:51,320 Speaker 1: what you've done in your life. I admire intellect and 919 00:49:51,360 --> 00:49:54,759 Speaker 1: what you donate to any of anyone who listens, reads, 920 00:49:54,840 --> 00:49:56,799 Speaker 1: or watches you. What you donate to us in terms 921 00:49:56,800 --> 00:49:59,359 Speaker 1: of what we need to know things for much appreciate it. 922 00:49:59,360 --> 00:50:00,600 Speaker 2: It's been a pleasure. Thanks Bock