WEBVTT - Paul Murray Live | 8 September 0:00:00.240 --> 0:00:06.760 From the Skying Center. This is Paul Murray Live. Thanks 0:00:06.800 --> 0:00:08.799 so much for watching. Welcome to a big Sunday night 0:00:08.840 --> 0:00:11.160 out of a massive week of Paul Murray Lives. We've 0:00:11.160 --> 0:00:14.160 got an awful lot happening in federal politics, state, local, 0:00:14.200 --> 0:00:17.920 the international stuff. But first, so many polls tonight and 0:00:18.000 --> 0:00:20.800 detail you haven't heard anywhere else. Our I'll made grim 0:00:20.920 --> 0:00:24.520 Jim the great passenger of the Australian economy. You see, 0:00:24.520 --> 0:00:28.360 there is a difference between a windsock and the pilot 0:00:28.400 --> 0:00:31.960 of a plane. Which one would you actually give the 0:00:32.000 --> 0:00:34.559 trust over to? Probably not the wind sock, but that 0:00:34.640 --> 0:00:36.960 of course is grim Jim. He's the ones that will 0:00:36.680 --> 0:00:38.560 I feel your pain, a little bit up, a little 0:00:38.600 --> 0:00:43.720 bit down, but always I deserve congratulations. Last week the 0:00:43.840 --> 0:00:47.000 disgraceful display of trying to change the subject for their 0:00:47.040 --> 0:00:53.159 own failure as politicians and members and guardians of our 0:00:53.159 --> 0:00:56.480 own society when he was bashing away at the Reserve Bank. 0:00:56.520 --> 0:00:58.720 Now this worked with Philip Loow, it won't work a 0:00:58.840 --> 0:01:03.560 second time around. Even the former Treasurer and old Grim 0:01:03.600 --> 0:01:06.480 Jim's former boss, Wayne Swan got in on it, and 0:01:06.560 --> 0:01:08.959 quite correctly, the odds referred to that as a coward 0:01:09.120 --> 0:01:13.840 punch to the RBA head. The RBA has been in 0:01:13.880 --> 0:01:16.319 the sights of the government because if there is a 0:01:16.440 --> 0:01:19.520 thirteenth interes straight rise, supposedly that will be the tipping point. 0:01:19.640 --> 0:01:23.640 My belief is politically of cost of living matters. The twelfth, 0:01:23.760 --> 0:01:26.120 the eleventh, the tenth and ninth, the eighth have all 0:01:26.200 --> 0:01:29.240 put the Prime Minister and the Labor Party on very 0:01:29.400 --> 0:01:32.600 serious notice, if not right at the end of the plank. 0:01:33.200 --> 0:01:35.759 But this was the Labor Party trying to change the subject. 0:01:35.920 --> 0:01:37.840 Most of the media following along. 0:01:38.880 --> 0:01:43.520 Are the combination of global economic uncertainty and higher interest 0:01:43.600 --> 0:01:47.680 rates is smashing household budgets and slowing our economy considerably. 0:01:47.880 --> 0:01:51.280 Treasurer's comments were absolutely nothing new. 0:01:51.800 --> 0:01:56.240 The Reserve Bank is putting economic dogma over rational economic 0:01:56.280 --> 0:02:00.600 decision making, hammering households, hammering mums and dads with rates, 0:02:00.800 --> 0:02:04.920 causing a collapse in spending and driving the economy backwards. 0:02:05.720 --> 0:02:09.160 But God love Australia, God love the fellow normal people 0:02:09.160 --> 0:02:11.520 of this joint Because well, I don't know what's going 0:02:11.560 --> 0:02:14.280 to happen in an election. We needed to send a message, 0:02:14.720 --> 0:02:17.079 the message that we have been relentless about and at 0:02:17.080 --> 0:02:19.920 times feeling like a little bit of a loan soldier. 0:02:19.960 --> 0:02:22.320 Over the past two and a bit years, we knew 0:02:22.720 --> 0:02:25.160 about cost of living being major, and we knew that 0:02:25.200 --> 0:02:27.440 inflation was out of control. We knew inflation was out 0:02:27.440 --> 0:02:30.280 of control in part because of the actions of this government. 0:02:30.760 --> 0:02:34.600 Well polar dropped tonight has shown that the majority of 0:02:34.639 --> 0:02:38.840 Australians blame the government and its treasure of Grimjim Chalmers, 0:02:38.880 --> 0:02:42.400 not the Reserve Bank. Have a look. This comes from 0:02:42.440 --> 0:02:48.400 the far right wing annals of the Channel nine newspapers. 0:02:50.440 --> 0:02:57.080 Fifty one percent of all voters say, in relation to 0:02:57.120 --> 0:02:59.680 the question of who do you think has greatest responsibility 0:02:59.680 --> 0:03:04.440 for ki inflation down? The government fifty one percent. For 0:03:04.560 --> 0:03:08.079 labor voters the majority of them, forty two percent say 0:03:08.240 --> 0:03:12.440 the government. For Coalition voters the majority by a mile, 0:03:12.600 --> 0:03:17.760 sixty three percent say the government. For other voters everything 0:03:17.840 --> 0:03:21.720 from the touchy teals all the way through to One 0:03:21.840 --> 0:03:25.160 Nation and UAP and anything else in between. Forty eight 0:03:25.360 --> 0:03:30.800 percent uncommitted undecided voters again about fifty percent at forty 0:03:30.880 --> 0:03:33.959 nine and the seats that matter the most fifty percent. 0:03:34.920 --> 0:03:38.320 You see one of the ways that we have slowly 0:03:38.360 --> 0:03:40.520 but surely sort of got to where we've got about 0:03:40.560 --> 0:03:42.360 how I do this show each and every night for 0:03:42.400 --> 0:03:46.080 you is, yes, we have to talk about the stuff 0:03:46.120 --> 0:03:50.720 that is obviously larger than news. Yes we have to 0:03:50.760 --> 0:03:53.160 point out some of the things that we think are 0:03:53.200 --> 0:03:56.160 examples of people pulling the wool over your eyes. And 0:03:56.240 --> 0:04:01.880 sometimes we're relentless on a particular topic because it feels 0:04:02.080 --> 0:04:05.960 like the topic that should be the total absolute ram 0:04:06.040 --> 0:04:10.600 ram ram focus. Well, there's an entire industry of people 0:04:10.680 --> 0:04:14.280 who want to protect this government, protect its electoral chances, 0:04:14.320 --> 0:04:16.960 that want to change the subject. Now, obviously to people 0:04:16.960 --> 0:04:19.120 in the government want to change the subject, but it's 0:04:19.160 --> 0:04:21.800 incredible how many people in the media are more than 0:04:21.839 --> 0:04:24.479 happy to try to change the subject because they don't 0:04:24.520 --> 0:04:28.279 experience the cost of living issues that you do. And 0:04:28.360 --> 0:04:30.200 even if they are feeling a little tougher than they 0:04:30.200 --> 0:04:32.080 did a little while ago, you couldn't possibly get rid 0:04:32.120 --> 0:04:33.960 of the greatest government of all time. I mean, after all, 0:04:34.000 --> 0:04:38.960 these were the people who almost sixty percent of Australians, 0:04:39.440 --> 0:04:45.000 according to a poll in the Sorry a Redbridge Pole 0:04:45.080 --> 0:04:49.000 My Apologies, said they couldn't name one thing this government 0:04:49.000 --> 0:04:51.600 has done to make their life better. Almost sixty percent 0:04:51.640 --> 0:04:54.320 of people. Now, let's slow down, let's have a look 0:04:54.360 --> 0:04:56.520 at again more of these numbers, because again, all of 0:04:56.520 --> 0:04:59.120 this will be brushed away. There will be some dramatic 0:04:59.200 --> 0:05:01.520 change of the subject that'll happen between now and when 0:05:01.680 --> 0:05:04.920 the sun comes up. Will be I mean, I couldn't 0:05:04.920 --> 0:05:08.600 believe today. Oh there's an ad attacking Peter Dutton. Who cares? 0:05:09.400 --> 0:05:13.279 Who cares? That's the Labor Party trying to change the subject. 0:05:13.880 --> 0:05:16.880 And just on that nuclear thing. Oh, six hundred billion dollars. 0:05:17.400 --> 0:05:20.160 This mob, according to the CSIRO, want to spend a 0:05:20.240 --> 0:05:24.280 trillion dollars on changing the power system. So just don't 0:05:24.320 --> 0:05:27.599 fall for it. Let the lefties do it, not us. 0:05:27.760 --> 0:05:31.680 All right, we continue when I say us, I'm in 0:05:31.760 --> 0:05:36.080 this program. Now, interesting here again about the cost of 0:05:36.120 --> 0:05:39.520 living low? Keeping cost of living low? You can tell 0:05:39.560 --> 0:05:42.960 I don't know my glasses. The Liberal Party leads the 0:05:43.000 --> 0:05:46.919 Labor Party by seven points. Now, remember what was the 0:05:46.960 --> 0:05:49.840 promise of the last election, I'll vote Labor everything goes down. Well, 0:05:49.839 --> 0:05:52.760 now that's gone. It's how the Libs, who most people believe, 0:05:52.800 --> 0:05:55.559 in that situation. However, there's a significant number of undecided people. 0:05:55.800 --> 0:05:59.080 That's because they know that the Labor Party. So called 0:05:59.120 --> 0:06:01.080 solutions aren't good enough, but the Liberal Party has not 0:06:01.080 --> 0:06:03.239 put enough solutions on the table. They need to start 0:06:03.279 --> 0:06:06.600 doing it to actually convert people from sort of ah, yeah, 0:06:06.640 --> 0:06:08.679 I'm not all that into it, to actually fully making 0:06:08.680 --> 0:06:11.599 the change and being willing to change the government. Now again, 0:06:12.520 --> 0:06:14.520 all the evidence is this is not a one term government, 0:06:14.760 --> 0:06:16.919 but it could be. It could be if some of 0:06:16.920 --> 0:06:19.400 these other numbers are true. When it comes to overall 0:06:19.440 --> 0:06:22.920 economic management, you can see thirty seven to twenty six, 0:06:23.080 --> 0:06:26.400 eleven point lead for the Liberals right now managing the 0:06:26.440 --> 0:06:30.039 finances of the government again, an eleven point lead of 0:06:30.040 --> 0:06:34.480 a Liberal party over the Labor Party. Things had been 0:06:34.520 --> 0:06:37.240 cracking for a while, They have been crumbling for the 0:06:37.240 --> 0:06:38.960 past a little while, and im plice to say people 0:06:38.960 --> 0:06:41.240 are now willing to tell a polster, and that polster 0:06:41.720 --> 0:06:46.760 presumably will tell a politician. Meantime, of course, all of 0:06:46.760 --> 0:06:48.599 these poles and they've been relentless, and they've been this 0:06:48.680 --> 0:06:52.440 way since well kind of back half of last year 0:06:52.480 --> 0:06:54.640 for now like a full year. The government's been not 0:06:54.680 --> 0:06:56.920 a great place when it comes to the polls. Billions 0:06:56.920 --> 0:07:00.120 of dollars that they have decided to take for me 0:07:00.160 --> 0:07:03.440 Australian Treasury, I e. Your tax dollars to turn around 0:07:03.480 --> 0:07:07.919 and buy campaign slogans going into an election. Well, the 0:07:07.960 --> 0:07:11.400 Prime Minister was at the mcg. He was there on 0:07:11.400 --> 0:07:16.080 Friday night as the Hawks we're playing the Western Bulldogs. 0:07:16.640 --> 0:07:18.600 Now he is despite the fact that he's from Sydney, 0:07:18.600 --> 0:07:22.320 in sort of inner Sydney. He ended up in the 0:07:22.440 --> 0:07:25.480 rooms in the sheds. He is apparently a hardcore Hawks fan. 0:07:26.880 --> 0:07:29.000 But some people are calling them out and world done 0:07:29.040 --> 0:07:30.000 Brownie for doing it. 0:07:31.880 --> 0:07:34.560 Well, because I feel like the Prime Minister this is 0:07:34.560 --> 0:07:37.800 for the good of himself going into the Hawthorn rooms. 0:07:38.040 --> 0:07:39.200 This sickens me. 0:07:39.600 --> 0:07:43.120 Anthony alb He's had a look at the pole all over. 0:07:44.520 --> 0:07:47.720 Peter Dunton is closing and he's in front. There's a gap. 0:07:47.800 --> 0:07:50.120 He feels like I need to look like a common man. 0:07:50.200 --> 0:07:52.040 I'm going to go into the Hawthorn rooms. Give it 0:07:52.080 --> 0:07:54.720 up elbow now AND's buying it now. 0:07:54.760 --> 0:07:56.120 I don't know whether he's taking the pits or not. 0:07:56.160 --> 0:07:59.640 But the reality is this guy's desperate to be associated 0:07:59.640 --> 0:08:01.560 with anything, be more popular. You see, he used to 0:08:01.600 --> 0:08:03.160 think that people wanted to come to him. So I 0:08:03.160 --> 0:08:04.480 think you get a little bit of the gold dust 0:08:04.480 --> 0:08:07.520 off your shoulders. Now he's desperately please, may I have 0:08:07.680 --> 0:08:10.200 some more like oliver Us? Trying to get a bit 0:08:10.240 --> 0:08:13.080 of start us from anyone more popular than him. And 0:08:13.160 --> 0:08:17.480 again same pole. Channel nine newspapers, Channel nine TV network 0:08:17.520 --> 0:08:20.720 have a look the Labour Party since the election. Their 0:08:20.800 --> 0:08:25.000 primary voters down five points. That's huge. That would mean 0:08:25.000 --> 0:08:27.200 that they are going to lose seats, and they would 0:08:27.240 --> 0:08:30.200 lose seats to the Greens. Now, it is important to 0:08:30.240 --> 0:08:32.880 note that the Liberal National Party yes way in front 0:08:32.960 --> 0:08:35.320 best part of what nine points, there's still a couple 0:08:35.360 --> 0:08:37.120 of points short of forty and that's where they can 0:08:37.160 --> 0:08:40.040 actually win an election, which is why we keep talking 0:08:40.080 --> 0:08:44.200 about a minority election so much at the moment. The 0:08:44.280 --> 0:08:46.840 AFR they had another poll as well. This one was 0:08:46.960 --> 0:08:51.720 the Redbridge survey which appeared in the Financial Review. It 0:08:51.880 --> 0:08:55.360 says that it's going to again be a minority situation. 0:08:55.600 --> 0:08:58.480 But interestingly, how many times have we sat here gone 0:08:58.480 --> 0:09:00.880 through the polls together, taken the time to do so 0:09:01.400 --> 0:09:03.440 over many minutes? And the reason I do this is 0:09:03.480 --> 0:09:06.040 we're not just of bouncing through the headlines. We're not 0:09:06.080 --> 0:09:08.040 doing what they do on Twitter. Well, read the headline 0:09:08.040 --> 0:09:10.040 and nothing. We're going to get into the detail. Get 0:09:10.080 --> 0:09:12.199 into it because I know you're interested, you can handle it, 0:09:12.280 --> 0:09:14.360 and I know you like it. Because when we have 0:09:14.400 --> 0:09:17.280 the information, we can win an argument. When you don't 0:09:17.280 --> 0:09:19.360 have the information, when you don't have the data, then 0:09:19.480 --> 0:09:21.840 you're not able to have even a lead to stand 0:09:21.880 --> 0:09:25.400 on sometimes in an argument. Now again, the people who've said, oh, 0:09:25.400 --> 0:09:27.800 this is a one term government, I understand why they say, 0:09:27.840 --> 0:09:30.720 and I understand the hopeful thinking behind it, and wouldn't 0:09:30.720 --> 0:09:34.640 it be amazing. However, the reality of the Liberal Party 0:09:34.679 --> 0:09:37.560 getting to seventy six seats or even get into a 0:09:37.559 --> 0:09:39.840 position where they could start to form a minority government 0:09:39.880 --> 0:09:45.000 is unlikely if the Teals are all re elected. Now again, 0:09:45.120 --> 0:09:47.240 according to this pole, Now, this was a different pole. 0:09:47.920 --> 0:09:50.720 This is not your classic sort of one thousand to 0:09:50.800 --> 0:09:54.800 fifteen hundred people. This was thousands of people and a 0:09:54.800 --> 0:09:58.120 whole bunch of other data like census data, ABS data, 0:09:58.120 --> 0:10:02.120 demographic data, population data, so all those people who moved 0:10:02.120 --> 0:10:05.520 from Victoria to southeast Queensland, all of that is part 0:10:05.559 --> 0:10:08.560 of their analysis. It's really interesting. These sorts of poles 0:10:08.600 --> 0:10:11.160 are used heavily in the United Kingdom and they're pretty 0:10:11.240 --> 0:10:14.320 damn good. So let's have a look here. If an 0:10:14.360 --> 0:10:17.200 election was held now, the Coalition would win the seats 0:10:17.200 --> 0:10:21.560 of Gilmore and Patterson in New South Wales. They would 0:10:21.720 --> 0:10:25.520 win Lingiari that is the seat around Alice Springs in 0:10:25.559 --> 0:10:29.920 the Northern Territory Lions in Tasmania, meaning that they would 0:10:29.920 --> 0:10:34.400 have two of the seats there. They've already got Bass. 0:10:34.840 --> 0:10:37.320 They I think could also push on Braden, but anyway, 0:10:37.920 --> 0:10:42.439 they would also be competitive in the Teal seats of Goldstein. 0:10:42.600 --> 0:10:44.440 Now I'm going to say I thought Zoey Daniel was 0:10:44.480 --> 0:10:47.680 not moving, but according to this sort of analysis, that's 0:10:47.679 --> 0:10:51.880 a chance, aren't they chance? And over in Western Australia 0:10:51.880 --> 0:10:56.720 the only teal they're curtain. In more detail, let's imagine 0:10:56.920 --> 0:11:00.959 their data is correct. We have an election seventy six 0:11:01.080 --> 0:11:03.920 seats to form a majority government. Anything less than that 0:11:04.040 --> 0:11:06.679 is the beginning of chaos. The lower the number is 0:11:07.280 --> 0:11:09.960 behind seventy six, the higher the sense of chaos, because 0:11:09.960 --> 0:11:11.679 the number of people you've got to go to on 0:11:11.720 --> 0:11:16.520 the cross benches. The government would go from seventy eight 0:11:16.720 --> 0:11:22.560 seats down two sixty four. The Liberal Party would go 0:11:22.640 --> 0:11:25.840 substantially up to fifty three, but fifty three is still 0:11:25.880 --> 0:11:28.800 a long way away. To give you an idea of 0:11:28.840 --> 0:11:32.000 what might happen here, the Coalition could win two seats 0:11:32.040 --> 0:11:35.840 Taal seats in the inner city, three in the middle suburbs, 0:11:35.880 --> 0:11:39.400 three in the outer suburbs, two in provincial areas, and 0:11:39.480 --> 0:11:44.560 one in rural areas. Now again you can see here 0:11:44.600 --> 0:11:48.400 the Labor may pick up an inner city seat may 0:11:48.920 --> 0:11:50.680 but other than that they lose in all of those 0:11:50.679 --> 0:11:55.000 other areas. This would be a major change. Now, the 0:11:55.000 --> 0:11:58.120 difference between that number of what sixty four seats and 0:11:58.240 --> 0:12:02.320 seventy six seats fifty five three and seventy six seats 0:12:02.440 --> 0:12:06.200 or sixty five seats sixty seven and sort of both 0:12:06.240 --> 0:12:10.000 of them were there As many as fourteen seats are 0:12:10.000 --> 0:12:16.160 considered too close to call. These include Casey, Bruce, McEwen, 0:12:17.040 --> 0:12:23.000 Chisholm and Ryan in Brisbane, Tangy in Perth. Now, those 0:12:23.040 --> 0:12:25.360 would be mostly Labor seats that would end up going 0:12:25.400 --> 0:12:30.040 across to the coalition. However, however, before you start doing 0:12:30.040 --> 0:12:31.679 the numbers in your head, or if they can get 0:12:31.720 --> 0:12:33.760 to the same number as Labor, then well, of course 0:12:34.320 --> 0:12:35.920 the left wing teels are going to back Labor. They're 0:12:35.920 --> 0:12:37.679 not going to back the Libs. The Greens are going 0:12:37.720 --> 0:12:42.680 to back Labor, not the Libs, and presumably once the 0:12:42.679 --> 0:12:44.800 majority of the cross Bench starts to go in one direction, 0:12:45.000 --> 0:12:47.160 that's how you end up with the chaos. Parliament led 0:12:47.240 --> 0:12:50.360 by the Prime Minister is sort of the court Jesta. 0:12:50.400 --> 0:12:53.840 Here Kauper on the North Coast currently a National seat, 0:12:53.920 --> 0:12:57.679 it could disappear and go either or most likely independent, 0:12:57.720 --> 0:12:59.920 some sort of version of in and around that part 0:13:00.040 --> 0:13:03.440 of the world. You could end up with some sort 0:13:03.440 --> 0:13:05.400 of independent candidate there who's not a teal, but it 0:13:05.520 --> 0:13:08.840 feeding in one sort of a roboak shot one. Also, 0:13:08.960 --> 0:13:11.559 we told you Danteen's seat because he's gone hard when 0:13:11.600 --> 0:13:14.320 it comes to immigration. There is a chance that a 0:13:14.400 --> 0:13:16.720 male teal this time, but a teal wearing orange but 0:13:16.800 --> 0:13:19.160 still basically the same thing might be there. So all 0:13:19.160 --> 0:13:24.000 of is fascinating, absolutely fascinating what the details are. And 0:13:24.120 --> 0:13:26.720 just to round it out, despite the fact that these 0:13:26.760 --> 0:13:31.080 people have bullied the head of the Reserve Bank, despite 0:13:31.120 --> 0:13:32.880 the fact that if it was a liberal it would 0:13:32.920 --> 0:13:36.319 be called all sorts of sexist things. But because it's labor, oh, 0:13:36.360 --> 0:13:40.280 they're just rubbish right. Inflation and Australia must be between 0:13:40.280 --> 0:13:42.840 two and three percent. In order for that to be 0:13:42.880 --> 0:13:45.720 the target range four all of the people started an 0:13:45.720 --> 0:13:48.720 eye the economists at both Treasury and the Reserve Banks. 0:13:48.760 --> 0:13:51.160 So that's where the sweet spot is for the Australian economy. 0:13:51.200 --> 0:13:53.360 We are close to four percent and we are three percent, 0:13:54.000 --> 0:13:56.400 which is why interest rates remain as high as they 0:13:56.400 --> 0:14:00.640 do with a chance of going even further above. That's 0:14:00.840 --> 0:14:04.400 what we are facing right now. So again same Polster, 0:14:04.480 --> 0:14:07.680 but this time interpreted by are the News Limited papers 0:14:07.679 --> 0:14:11.040 over the weekend. Number one issue country mile cost of living, 0:14:11.360 --> 0:14:14.360 cost of living at sixty two percent, housing not even 0:14:14.400 --> 0:14:17.240 half of it the economy in general. Once you put 0:14:17.240 --> 0:14:19.320 those two together, well, of course that is the number 0:14:19.320 --> 0:14:22.920 one issue. Then healthcare, crime, climate change, all the money, 0:14:22.960 --> 0:14:26.160 all the attention. Well, if the last election was the 0:14:26.200 --> 0:14:28.000 climate change election, this one's going to be the cost 0:14:28.000 --> 0:14:30.120 of living election. And if it is the cost election, 0:14:30.440 --> 0:14:32.120 there's a very good chance the government is about to 0:14:32.120 --> 0:14:35.640 get a size nine fair in the backside, definitely taking 0:14:35.720 --> 0:14:40.720 them out of a majority. Potentially maybe on a good day, 0:14:41.640 --> 0:14:43.520 something even worse than that. But it is not going 0:14:43.600 --> 0:14:45.840 to be a fun three years with the idiots in 0:14:45.920 --> 0:14:48.680 charge of the asylum. You can decide whether that is 0:14:48.720 --> 0:14:51.240 the cross bench or the major Party that they will 0:14:51.280 --> 0:14:56.280 be propping up most likely with labor huge other issue 0:14:56.480 --> 0:14:59.040 that is playing right now. Many seats in Western Australia. 0:14:59.120 --> 0:15:01.520 Labor Party won four at the last election, a huge 0:15:01.920 --> 0:15:04.440 all four of those could end up tumbling as well 0:15:04.480 --> 0:15:07.800 as the Teal seat over one issue in particular. When 0:15:07.800 --> 0:15:09.560 we were in Wa last week, I had so many 0:15:09.600 --> 0:15:13.760 conversations about the government's decision to turn the tap off 0:15:13.760 --> 0:15:19.200 on the live sheep industry. Now this industry, think about it. 0:15:19.960 --> 0:15:22.600 The people who breed the sheep, take care of the sheep, 0:15:22.720 --> 0:15:27.640 the vets that take care of them, the transporters, the 0:15:27.640 --> 0:15:30.240 people loading them onto the ships, the docks, the checkers, 0:15:30.280 --> 0:15:33.720 all of that. There's so many jobs associated with all 0:15:33.760 --> 0:15:37.760 of this. Yet, because the Labor Party can never walk 0:15:37.800 --> 0:15:40.560 away from an idea if they have an idea, and 0:15:40.600 --> 0:15:44.080 it's a sticking bad idea like the live export ban 0:15:44.960 --> 0:15:50.200 that Julia Gillard put in place the day after animal 0:15:51.160 --> 0:15:55.000 rights footage was aired on the ABC, not about what 0:15:55.040 --> 0:15:57.320 was happening in Australia, but what was happening in Indonesia. 0:15:58.400 --> 0:16:03.240 Remember that entire industry bank turned off the entire north 0:16:03.400 --> 0:16:08.040 of the country outraged. Well, they couldn't possibly repeat that 0:16:08.080 --> 0:16:10.800 because they're afraid of losing those seats in the Northern territory. 0:16:10.920 --> 0:16:13.720 Maths matters right now. But the assumption was, Oh, we're 0:16:13.760 --> 0:16:18.400 so amazing, We're signing the arms of former labor staffers 0:16:18.960 --> 0:16:24.160 to convince people that we're not changing the GST. So wa, 0:16:24.240 --> 0:16:26.240 it only cares about the GST. Well guess what. It 0:16:26.280 --> 0:16:30.360 also cares about this, and there is a huge effort 0:16:30.440 --> 0:16:33.520 as we speak. There are trucks that are leaving Western 0:16:33.520 --> 0:16:36.320 Australia that will make it through South Australia, that'll come 0:16:36.400 --> 0:16:39.200 up through New South Wales and then bang into Canberra. 0:16:39.520 --> 0:16:43.040 They are planning to do so on Tuesday. To make 0:16:43.040 --> 0:16:45.800 it very clear how pissed off these people are. Tony 0:16:45.840 --> 0:16:48.760 Seabrook we spoke to him ahead of the Bush Summit 0:16:48.840 --> 0:16:52.120 in Port Headland last week. He's on the Pastoralists Association, 0:16:52.200 --> 0:16:55.080 one of the groups behind this, and if he's barking 0:16:55.120 --> 0:16:58.960 mad and annoyed about it, imagine what everyone else is. 0:16:58.960 --> 0:17:00.880 But how articulate it is this bloke. If this bloke 0:17:00.920 --> 0:17:03.680 ever put his hand up to run for anything, I'd 0:17:03.760 --> 0:17:05.359 go and let a box for him. How good is 0:17:05.400 --> 0:17:08.600 this blow? I think they're going to be very, very worried. 0:17:08.640 --> 0:17:10.720 We know the seats, we know where the week spots are. 0:17:10.880 --> 0:17:12.840 There's going to be a huge protest in Canberra on 0:17:12.880 --> 0:17:13.320 the tenth. 0:17:13.440 --> 0:17:15.280 A lot of farmers West Australia going over there, a 0:17:15.280 --> 0:17:16.359 lot of sport maver East. 0:17:16.520 --> 0:17:20.520 We are going to rock therebout well the tenth Tuesday, 0:17:21.000 --> 0:17:23.760 Tuesday in Canberra, there's going to be this huge protest. 0:17:24.200 --> 0:17:25.960 Now we've been talking about this issue for a long time. 0:17:25.960 --> 0:17:28.320 We've been talking Tony for a long time. Will again 0:17:28.880 --> 0:17:31.720 talk to some people in and around the rally as 0:17:31.760 --> 0:17:34.240 it makes its way to Canberra and then after what 0:17:34.400 --> 0:17:39.040 takes place on Tuesday. But this thing is so big 0:17:39.720 --> 0:17:42.879 that even the person who represents the richest seat in 0:17:42.920 --> 0:17:48.080 Western Australia, a place that among others, takes in Coddoslow, 0:17:48.119 --> 0:17:51.320 the beautiful Cotdislow Beach, all of that area that's about 0:17:51.320 --> 0:17:54.920 what an hour above of Fremantle. This used to be 0:17:55.000 --> 0:17:58.760 July Bishop territory. Well, even the teal has turned around 0:17:58.800 --> 0:18:01.800 and changed her mind. She was with the ban the 0:18:02.040 --> 0:18:05.080 live export thing. She knows how full on this could be. 0:18:05.600 --> 0:18:08.080 So even the Teal changed her mind and backs people 0:18:08.200 --> 0:18:11.520 like Tony. So I want you to go to a website, 0:18:11.600 --> 0:18:13.960 Keep the Sheep dot com a you Keep the Sheep 0:18:14.000 --> 0:18:16.840 dot com dot Au. When you get there, you will 0:18:16.840 --> 0:18:20.399 see a petition. Hit the button to take you to 0:18:20.440 --> 0:18:23.680 a petition for you to put your name your details in. 0:18:23.880 --> 0:18:27.040 There are eighty one thousand at least signatures. Let's get 0:18:27.040 --> 0:18:30.720 it to one hundred thousand tonight, Keep the Sheep dot 0:18:30.760 --> 0:18:33.120 com dot au. Do you believe the live sheep industry 0:18:33.440 --> 0:18:37.600 has improved itself from fifteen years ago? Hell? Yeah, I do. 0:18:37.600 --> 0:18:40.720 Do you trust people like Tony about the welfare of 0:18:40.720 --> 0:18:44.119 the animals, Yes I do. Do you care about everyone 0:18:44.240 --> 0:18:48.119 along the production line here? Yes? I do? Then you 0:18:48.160 --> 0:18:50.360 go to Keep the Sheep dot com dot au. Keep 0:18:50.400 --> 0:18:52.440 the Sheep dot com dot au here is part of 0:18:52.440 --> 0:18:56.040 their social media feed. This is an excellent campaign being 0:18:56.119 --> 0:18:59.679 run beautifully. It's rare to see this stuff and it 0:18:59.680 --> 0:19:01.960 doesn't really matter with you're the center left, center right. 0:19:02.119 --> 0:19:04.200 But they are coalescing around it, and this is as 0:19:04.240 --> 0:19:07.280 professional a job as I've ever seen a community group 0:19:07.359 --> 0:19:22.000 be able to pull up when you're pushing back against lefties. 0:19:35.200 --> 0:19:37.920 Keep the Sheep dot com dot Au. Now, Bruce and 0:19:38.040 --> 0:19:40.280 Denise Morcombe are beautiful people. They should have been the 0:19:40.320 --> 0:19:43.280 Australian of the Year. Instead, the committee decided, of course 0:19:43.280 --> 0:19:47.680 to make Jeffrey Rush the Australian. 0:19:47.240 --> 0:19:47.600 Of the Year. 0:19:47.760 --> 0:19:51.240 Well there's un Daniel, as we know, kidnapped, murdered. The 0:19:51.280 --> 0:19:54.080 search was horrific all those years ago. They have turned 0:19:54.520 --> 0:19:59.520 all of that heartache into going around schools providing kids 0:19:59.520 --> 0:20:02.240 with warning from about how to be safe. They also 0:20:03.000 --> 0:20:07.639 want a register publicly available of anyone who is a 0:20:07.720 --> 0:20:12.800 sex offender in Queensland today. The promise of the money, 0:20:13.359 --> 0:20:17.919 the promise of the establishment of it, came from the 0:20:17.920 --> 0:20:19.960 man who we fingers cross hope is the next Premier 0:20:20.000 --> 0:20:22.359 of Queensland, David Cruci Foley. So if you care about 0:20:22.400 --> 0:20:25.960 this issue, you've got a side to pick now. This 0:20:26.080 --> 0:20:28.639 is about ensuring that parents are able to keep their 0:20:28.720 --> 0:20:33.639 children away from dangerous predators. Daniel's Law long overdue on 0:20:33.680 --> 0:20:35.680 its way in Queensland should there be a change of 0:20:35.720 --> 0:20:40.000 government around October now. Also, remember last week I told 0:20:40.040 --> 0:20:43.480 you about the scary number of people who end up 0:20:43.560 --> 0:20:47.400 dying on the regional roads of Australia. Now again being 0:20:47.440 --> 0:20:49.199 incredibly honest with you, I'm not going to pretend that 0:20:49.240 --> 0:20:51.359 I haven't gone a little room on some of these roads. 0:20:52.280 --> 0:20:53.880 I'm not going to pretend that in all my life, 0:20:53.880 --> 0:20:56.440 I've never done something stupid on the road. Done plenty, right, 0:20:56.800 --> 0:20:59.160 But every now and then there is a particular accident, 0:20:59.200 --> 0:21:02.000 or there's a particular bit of detail or anything like that, 0:21:02.119 --> 0:21:05.840 and it reminds you that this is not a toy. 0:21:06.359 --> 0:21:09.200 You can hurt yourself, you can hurt other people. Of course, 0:21:09.400 --> 0:21:12.199 you can kill yourself or other people as well. We 0:21:12.359 --> 0:21:16.360 told you that the shocking data that showed that it's 0:21:16.520 --> 0:21:19.080 very significant. In fact, more than half of all the 0:21:19.080 --> 0:21:20.520 people who die on the roads, they do so in 0:21:20.640 --> 0:21:23.520 regional areas. So people need to slow down, whether we 0:21:23.640 --> 0:21:25.880 like it or not, whether it's annoying because we can't 0:21:25.920 --> 0:21:27.359 get the thing up to top gear and we can't 0:21:27.359 --> 0:21:30.160 hear the room. We all get it right, slow down. 0:21:30.760 --> 0:21:33.040 Bathist is a race run by other people, not by 0:21:33.040 --> 0:21:35.120 those of us trying to get too Bathists, all right, 0:21:35.400 --> 0:21:37.639 which is why, And you said Walsh, today is announced 0:21:37.840 --> 0:21:40.040 the their new way of trying to bring the road 0:21:40.080 --> 0:21:42.000 toll down. Yes, they'll make revenue out of it, No 0:21:42.119 --> 0:21:45.960 question is for average speed cameras. Now these are currently 0:21:46.000 --> 0:21:48.200 focused on trucks. They will now be turned onto cars. 0:21:48.520 --> 0:21:51.320 So imagine there's one town and two hundred k's up. 0:21:51.359 --> 0:21:55.000 The other end of the road is another town, probably 0:21:55.040 --> 0:21:57.040 not two hundred k's but let's imagine liftgo on the 0:21:57.040 --> 0:21:58.480 other side of the Blue Mountains trying to make your 0:21:58.480 --> 0:22:00.960 way to Bathist to go and watch the Bathist races. Well, 0:22:01.160 --> 0:22:03.280 there's an average speed camera there that would be able 0:22:03.280 --> 0:22:05.240 to work out. You go through it at this time, 0:22:05.320 --> 0:22:07.320