1 00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:06,960 Speaker 1: It's Thursday, the eighteenth of December twenty twenty five. Welcome 2 00:00:07,000 --> 00:00:09,319 Speaker 1: to the Fast five Business News by Fear and Greed, 3 00:00:09,400 --> 00:00:11,159 Speaker 1: where we give you the top five business stories you 4 00:00:11,200 --> 00:00:13,440 Speaker 1: need to know in just five minutes. Oh Michael Thompson, 5 00:00:13,480 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 1: and good morning Sean Aylmer. 6 00:00:14,960 --> 00:00:16,680 Speaker 2: Good morning, Michael, Sean. 7 00:00:16,840 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 1: Five stories, five minutes. Let's roll with story number one. 8 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:23,640 Speaker 1: The federal government has forecast higher inflation and slower economic 9 00:00:23,640 --> 00:00:27,040 Speaker 1: growth in its midyear budget update. Also a lower than 10 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:30,840 Speaker 1: forecast deficit. No thanks to a higher tax take. A 11 00:00:30,920 --> 00:00:34,720 Speaker 1: surge in taxes on income companies and superannuation accounts, plus 12 00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:38,640 Speaker 1: some longer term spending restraint has improved the federal budget 13 00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:41,960 Speaker 1: and reduced government debt by almost thirty billion dollars. 14 00:00:42,120 --> 00:00:44,480 Speaker 2: That's right. The deficit this year is expected to come 15 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:47,960 Speaker 2: in around thirty seven million dollars, down five billion dollars 16 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:51,360 Speaker 2: over the next three years. Treasury's forecasting cumulative deficits of 17 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 2: one hundred and forty three billion previously without one hundred 18 00:00:53,960 --> 00:00:56,080 Speaker 2: and fifty two billion dollars. There, you know, each deficit 19 00:00:56,120 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 2: a little bit smaller. That's the good news. The government 20 00:00:58,440 --> 00:01:01,640 Speaker 2: had downgraded the tobacco exercise take by twenty five percent 21 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:04,360 Speaker 2: this year, Alyowing tobacco excise is expected to collect five 22 00:01:04,360 --> 00:01:08,039 Speaker 2: point five billion dollars, the smallest tax take on cigarettes 23 00:01:08,040 --> 00:01:11,560 Speaker 2: in twenty years. It's also forecasting lower debt levels. We 24 00:01:11,560 --> 00:01:13,160 Speaker 2: thought it was going to be over at trillion dollars. 25 00:01:13,240 --> 00:01:15,960 Speaker 2: It's about nine hundred and ninety three billion dollars. 26 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:19,880 Speaker 1: Much of the talk before this budget update was about 27 00:01:19,920 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 1: how much the federal government is contributing to the economy. 28 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:25,880 Speaker 1: The critics say it's spending too much. But government spending 29 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:28,960 Speaker 1: is slightly lower than had been forecast, at twenty six 30 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:30,520 Speaker 1: point nine percent of GDP. 31 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:33,280 Speaker 2: That's right, so it's better, but it is still the 32 00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:37,479 Speaker 2: highest share of the economy the government is since nineteen 33 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 2: eighty six eighty seven, if you take the pandemic out, 34 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 2: and it's forecast to state that sort of level for 35 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:45,840 Speaker 2: twenty for the rest of this decade, about twenty seven 36 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:50,120 Speaker 2: percent of GDP. There are some savings the home battery program, 37 00:01:50,160 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 2: this cust to travel cuts, the use of consultants, more 38 00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:57,960 Speaker 2: spending though SIRO non government school support for cares, not 39 00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:00,360 Speaker 2: saying they're bad things, but the government has done any 40 00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 2: fiscal repair. 41 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:04,800 Speaker 1: And just quickly the economic growth forecasts. 42 00:02:04,680 --> 00:02:07,560 Speaker 2: Growth about the same this year and then downgraded next 43 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:11,160 Speaker 2: year to two and a quarter percent, lifted inflation expectations sharply. 44 00:02:11,160 --> 00:02:14,760 Speaker 2: That's the big one. Unemployment has been revised upwards from 45 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:16,919 Speaker 2: four and a quarter to about four and a half percent. 46 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:18,840 Speaker 2: No change to migration forecasts. 47 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:21,639 Speaker 1: Okay, on to story number two now and the first 48 00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:25,840 Speaker 1: funerals for Bondai Beach massacre victims were held yesterday on 49 00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 1: a very emotional day in which former Treasurer Josh Fridenberg 50 00:02:29,680 --> 00:02:34,360 Speaker 1: said Prime Minister Anthony Albernezi should accept personal responsibility for 51 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:36,880 Speaker 1: the killings and he called for a Royal commission into 52 00:02:36,919 --> 00:02:37,799 Speaker 1: anti Semitism. 53 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:40,840 Speaker 2: That's right. Six funerals were held yesterday. It was a 54 00:02:40,880 --> 00:02:45,400 Speaker 2: somber day, A very angry Josh Fridenberg in Bondi said 55 00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:48,320 Speaker 2: what had happened. He claimed that the Prime Minister had 56 00:02:48,360 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 2: allowed Australia to be radicalized on his watch. I quote him, 57 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:54,320 Speaker 2: it's time for him to accept personal responsibility for the 58 00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:57,960 Speaker 2: death of fifteen innocent people, including a ten year old child. 59 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:00,600 Speaker 2: Senior members of the federal government, yes, I agreed that 60 00:03:00,639 --> 00:03:03,240 Speaker 2: more needed to be done to combat anti Semitism, as 61 00:03:03,240 --> 00:03:06,720 Speaker 2: Didney South Wales State Premier Chris Means. Meanwhile, the younger 62 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:10,960 Speaker 2: suspected shooter, Navid achrem awoke from a coma yesterday. He 63 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:13,679 Speaker 2: was hit with fifty nine charges, including fifteen counts of 64 00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:17,440 Speaker 2: murder in one count of committing a terrorist attack. 65 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:21,680 Speaker 1: Story number three. Treasury Winer States will start a cost 66 00:03:21,720 --> 00:03:25,680 Speaker 1: reduction program and rain in its growth in China and 67 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 1: the United States, which are two of US biggest markets. 68 00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 1: After a sharper than expected slow down in global wine demand. 69 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:33,080 Speaker 1: It's in a bit of trouble. 70 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:37,120 Speaker 2: It sure is Penfolds, the Penfil's owner, Toll Shareholders. It 71 00:03:37,160 --> 00:03:40,360 Speaker 2: expected first half twenty twenty six earnings to be about 72 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:43,840 Speaker 2: thirty per cent below consensus. Chief executive Sam Fisher will 73 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:47,200 Speaker 2: commence a cost reduction program. Now the US earnings in 74 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:50,280 Speaker 2: particular tumbled by about fifty percent. They've already written down 75 00:03:50,640 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 2: a big number on that business. Treasury will take deliberate 76 00:03:53,840 --> 00:03:57,560 Speaker 2: strategic action to protect brand equity by cutting shipments off 77 00:03:57,720 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 2: seven hundred thousand cases of wine across China and the 78 00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 2: US in a bid to stabilize prices. After yesterday's nine 79 00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:06,720 Speaker 2: percent share price tumble, the stocks off fifty six percent 80 00:04:06,800 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 2: this year. Looks like winning the unwanted title of worst 81 00:04:09,720 --> 00:04:12,280 Speaker 2: performing ASEX two hundred company for twenty twenty five. 82 00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:16,480 Speaker 1: Story number four, the competition regulator is suing home meal 83 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:20,800 Speaker 1: delivery company Hello Fresh in federal court for allegedly misleading 84 00:04:20,800 --> 00:04:23,599 Speaker 1: more than one hundred thousand consumers over subscriptions. 85 00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:27,360 Speaker 2: Yes so the ahriblec has launched proceedings against its parent 86 00:04:27,440 --> 00:04:31,479 Speaker 2: company and another group called You Foods Proprietary Limited. The 87 00:04:31,640 --> 00:04:35,239 Speaker 2: HBC started an investigation into Holofresher New Foods in October 88 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:39,280 Speaker 2: last year after a bunch of consumer complaints. Basically, the 89 00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:41,760 Speaker 2: regula is alleged that the two breached the consumer laws 90 00:04:41,760 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 2: by advertising that new customers could easily cancel subscriptions before 91 00:04:44,880 --> 00:04:48,680 Speaker 2: it specified cutoff time. Over one hundred thousand consumers were 92 00:04:48,760 --> 00:04:52,599 Speaker 2: charged for their first order despite canceling their subscription before 93 00:04:52,680 --> 00:04:55,000 Speaker 2: the cutoff. A TABLEC is not happy about that. 94 00:04:55,040 --> 00:04:58,880 Speaker 1: One last one. Story number five, Tesla's share price has 95 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:02,359 Speaker 1: hit a record, surpassing its prior all time high reached 96 00:05:02,360 --> 00:05:04,880 Speaker 1: almost a year ago, and a value to the company 97 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 1: at one point five to four trillion US dollars. 98 00:05:08,520 --> 00:05:11,520 Speaker 2: They searched after CEO Elon Musk said Tesla had been 99 00:05:11,560 --> 00:05:16,039 Speaker 2: test driving or testing driverless vehicles, so not test driving 100 00:05:16,080 --> 00:05:19,240 Speaker 2: at all, testing driverless vehicles in Texas with no occupants 101 00:05:19,279 --> 00:05:21,599 Speaker 2: on board. Well, driverless vehicles wouldn't have occupants, but up 102 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 2: until now they've got to have someone a fail safe 103 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:27,080 Speaker 2: sitting in the driver's seat. Not so, they've been testing 104 00:05:27,279 --> 00:05:31,279 Speaker 2: driverless vehicles that boost sentiment among investors. They reckon the 105 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:33,880 Speaker 2: company could soon make good on its promised to turn 106 00:05:33,960 --> 00:05:36,320 Speaker 2: electric vehicles into robot taxis. 107 00:05:36,960 --> 00:05:39,359 Speaker 1: All right, there we go, the top five business stories 108 00:05:39,400 --> 00:05:42,719 Speaker 1: in five minutes. Thank you Sean, Thank you Michael. It's Thursday, 109 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:45,760 Speaker 1: the eighteenth of December twenty twenty five. Remember to hit 110 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:48,400 Speaker 1: follow on the podcast, and if five minutes isn't enough, 111 00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:50,520 Speaker 1: you're going to find our longer daily show called Fear 112 00:05:50,560 --> 00:05:53,119 Speaker 1: and Greed where ever you listen to podcasts. I'm Michael 113 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 1: Thompson and ives the past five business news by Fear 114 00:05:55,600 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 1: and Greed. Have a great day.