WEBVTT - Paul Murray Live | 2 March 0:00:00.600 --> 0:00:06.240 Center. This is Paul Murray Live. Thank you Calem, thank 0:00:06.280 --> 0:00:08.920 you team. Yeah, this time last week it was Bateman's Bay, 0:00:09.000 --> 0:00:11.040 then we went to Vegas and now we're back in 0:00:11.039 --> 0:00:15.800 the man Cave. So unless I am certain, we stay 0:00:15.800 --> 0:00:17.639 here for the next little while. All right, looking forward 0:00:17.680 --> 0:00:19.800 to your company. Great to be back in the man Cave. 0:00:19.840 --> 0:00:22.640 Great to be back in Australia. So all eyes now 0:00:22.640 --> 0:00:25.320 at federal elections Sunday nights on. This program is one 0:00:25.320 --> 0:00:27.120 for the hard course. This is one where we get 0:00:27.240 --> 0:00:29.720 right into the detail. We count the grains of sand 0:00:29.760 --> 0:00:33.040 on the beach and have any move in which direction. 0:00:33.159 --> 0:00:34.600 We'll get to that in a moment or two time. 0:00:34.920 --> 0:00:37.840 I'll tell you what the thinking was behind Donald Trump 0:00:37.920 --> 0:00:41.000 and the way that things went down with Zelenski. We're 0:00:41.000 --> 0:00:42.879 going to talk to something in the United States, just 0:00:42.920 --> 0:00:45.879 in case you are not quite across why Trump has 0:00:45.880 --> 0:00:47.800 the worldview that he does and the people who support 0:00:47.920 --> 0:00:52.280 that particular worldview. And please the Prime minister trying to 0:00:52.280 --> 0:00:54.520 tell us that he's saving on cost of living because 0:00:54.560 --> 0:00:56.920 beer taxes won't go up for the next two years. 0:00:57.200 --> 0:00:59.600 They've gone a plenty in the past three years. Sixty 0:00:59.600 --> 0:01:02.000 five set of a bottle of Bundy rum is tax 0:01:02.280 --> 0:01:06.039 so feel free not to celebrate this particular one. The 0:01:06.080 --> 0:01:08.200 story that's going to be the dominant one in Australia 0:01:08.240 --> 0:01:10.160 outside of politics this week is going to be the 0:01:10.160 --> 0:01:11.959 cyclone that is going to be making its way to 0:01:12.319 --> 0:01:16.560 North Queensland. Now, this is the tropical cyclone Alfred, and 0:01:16.760 --> 0:01:18.200 the latest that we can see when it comes to 0:01:18.240 --> 0:01:20.840 the radar is that it is going to be making 0:01:20.880 --> 0:01:23.839 its way. Probably major effects are going to be felt 0:01:23.840 --> 0:01:25.920 in and around Thursday at its worst, but who knows, 0:01:25.959 --> 0:01:28.319 there's plenty of that happens between now and then. To 0:01:28.360 --> 0:01:30.480 put this into some perspective about how many people are 0:01:30.480 --> 0:01:32.520 going to be effected by all of the effects of 0:01:32.520 --> 0:01:36.199 a tropical cyclone, the Turmble Times puts it at four million, 0:01:36.280 --> 0:01:39.600 basically all Queenslanders who live anywhere near the coast. Here's 0:01:39.600 --> 0:01:41.479 the latest from our mates over It's Gone News weather. 0:01:42.560 --> 0:01:46.959 Tropical Cyclone Alfred generated some monster waves off the Queensland 0:01:47.000 --> 0:01:50.280 coast on Sunday, more than seven meters at Malula Bar. 0:01:50.400 --> 0:01:53.320 Tropical Cyclone Alfred is forecast to remain a Category one 0:01:53.360 --> 0:01:56.480 storm on Monday, remaining some three hundred kilometers off the 0:01:56.560 --> 0:01:57.560 Queensland coast. 0:01:58.200 --> 0:02:02.200 The latest from the Weather Bureau from Tuesday there is 0:02:02.240 --> 0:02:06.040 an increasing risk that Alfred will turn west and track 0:02:06.120 --> 0:02:10.600 back towards the southeast Queensland or northern New South Wales coast, 0:02:11.360 --> 0:02:14.520 with the potential for it to make landfall at a 0:02:14.560 --> 0:02:19.280 category up to Category two system on Thursday. A tropical 0:02:19.280 --> 0:02:21.919 cyclone may be issued as early as Monday. 0:02:22.880 --> 0:02:24.440 We'll give you all the updates twenty four to seven 0:02:24.480 --> 0:02:26.160 on the Weather Channel and make sure that you make 0:02:26.160 --> 0:02:29.079 sky news dot com that are you your homepage. So 0:02:29.440 --> 0:02:31.440 the election has not been called this weekend, so we 0:02:31.520 --> 0:02:34.480 wait another week. The Prime Minister, among other things, was 0:02:34.560 --> 0:02:39.200 the Mardi Gras last night in Sydney and the speculation 0:02:39.320 --> 0:02:41.680 now turns to when will he call the election. 0:02:43.440 --> 0:02:46.960 Going to an election in May is very much a 0:02:47.000 --> 0:02:51.600 live option, despite speculation to the contrary. The dates being 0:02:51.639 --> 0:02:56.679 considered that April twelve, May three and May ten. I 0:02:56.800 --> 0:02:59.160 understand the decision has been made not to go with 0:02:59.240 --> 0:03:01.799 the last possible election date that the PM could call 0:03:01.840 --> 0:03:03.520 it May seventeen. 0:03:04.840 --> 0:03:07.000 But the reality for us is that in an election year 0:03:07.160 --> 0:03:08.959 means all hands on deck, which is why we're here 0:03:09.040 --> 0:03:11.400 tonight and we will be right at the front of 0:03:11.400 --> 0:03:13.919 things between now and when the election is called. Full 0:03:13.960 --> 0:03:17.160 coverage of course throughout the days and here in primetime, 0:03:17.240 --> 0:03:19.560 and then we hit our absolute straps. Between now and 0:03:19.680 --> 0:03:22.919 election day, pub tests planned all over the country, as 0:03:22.960 --> 0:03:26.120 well as plenty of other special features, including this Sunday night. 0:03:26.120 --> 0:03:28.120 I want this to be a destination for you for 0:03:28.160 --> 0:03:30.400 a reset. Each and every week. We might just talk 0:03:30.400 --> 0:03:32.200 about the polls. We'll talk about the tactics. We'll talk 0:03:32.200 --> 0:03:34.280 about what they are they aren't doing, and what we 0:03:34.360 --> 0:03:37.520 might be hearing behind the scenes. Now, as we know, 0:03:37.800 --> 0:03:40.200 the Prime Minister finds a way to announce half a 0:03:40.280 --> 0:03:43.400 billion dollars a day. He's spending is now in the 0:03:43.440 --> 0:03:45.840 tens of billions of dollars for some reason, the press 0:03:45.840 --> 0:03:47.520 gallery I never asked the Liberal Party where the money 0:03:47.600 --> 0:03:49.200 is going to come from. The question should be being 0:03:49.200 --> 0:03:51.360 asked to the Prime Minister as well. But we all 0:03:51.400 --> 0:03:54.040 know that the benefit of the doubt for the establishment 0:03:54.160 --> 0:03:56.880 media is to keep the establishment firmly in place. 0:03:58.280 --> 0:04:01.520 The great benefit of these meeting care urgent care clinics 0:04:01.960 --> 0:04:06.680 is taking pressure of cost of living for families. They're 0:04:06.720 --> 0:04:09.960 also meaning that people can get the care they need 0:04:10.280 --> 0:04:12.640 when they need it, and all they need is the 0:04:12.760 --> 0:04:17.360 Settle Green card here. All they need is their Medicare card, 0:04:17.800 --> 0:04:18.919 not their credit card. 0:04:20.760 --> 0:04:23.880 Of course, this is a debate about what. This is 0:04:23.920 --> 0:04:27.560 a debate against which Remember the opposition just last week 0:04:27.600 --> 0:04:29.440 said that they would match dollar for dollar and an 0:04:29.480 --> 0:04:31.600 extra five hundred million dollars when it comes to Medicare. 0:04:31.920 --> 0:04:34.119 So while the Prime Minister wants to turn that card 0:04:34.160 --> 0:04:38.520 into a prop they both agree on not just keeping 0:04:38.520 --> 0:04:41.520 the current system but improving it. For the Opposition, they 0:04:41.600 --> 0:04:44.000 chose national defense as their focus today, with a plan 0:04:44.040 --> 0:04:46.680 to spend billions of dollars on more planes that theoretically 0:04:46.839 --> 0:04:48.799 would be able to go and find out what Chinese 0:04:48.880 --> 0:04:51.560 warships are doing. But of course it's not as exciting 0:04:51.600 --> 0:04:53.160 for the Prime Minister because he's got to stand in 0:04:53.200 --> 0:04:55.719 front of the brand that Bob Hawk launched, because you know, 0:04:56.120 --> 0:04:57.159 he's the new Hawky. 0:04:58.480 --> 0:05:00.960 Look, we're committing to an additional three billion dollars of 0:05:01.000 --> 0:05:06.039 expenditure today to secure that fourth squadron, and we will 0:05:06.120 --> 0:05:10.320 negotiate the costs of not only the aircraft but all 0:05:10.320 --> 0:05:13.680 the ancillary capabilities that need to support it once we're 0:05:13.720 --> 0:05:14.200 in government. 0:05:15.240 --> 0:05:17.160 Now it is no surprise that every poll for the 0:05:17.200 --> 0:05:18.880 past few years has told us the number one issue 0:05:18.880 --> 0:05:20.800 in the country is cost of living. The Prime Minister 0:05:20.880 --> 0:05:23.839 wants to pretend that they are doing something about it, 0:05:23.880 --> 0:05:26.120 but they of course promised that they would make everything 0:05:26.200 --> 0:05:29.240 better three years ago. Instead, we all know it's worse. 0:05:29.640 --> 0:05:32.640 Take your pick, be it the stuff you buy at 0:05:32.680 --> 0:05:34.800 the shop, the insurance that you have, or how much 0:05:34.800 --> 0:05:36.719 you are paying off in the tens of thousands of 0:05:36.720 --> 0:05:39.880 dollars extra on your home loan. But don't know, let's 0:05:39.880 --> 0:05:41.760 all talk about medicare as if that is the single 0:05:41.800 --> 0:05:44.920 biggest concern for Australians. It is about changing the subject 0:05:45.320 --> 0:05:47.160 one from where the government is about to get its 0:05:47.200 --> 0:05:49.279 backside handed to it to the one that they think 0:05:49.440 --> 0:05:52.080 they're able to make this election about. It is, of 0:05:52.120 --> 0:05:54.640 course not up to the government what the election is about. 0:05:54.720 --> 0:05:57.880 It's you, and it's also up to the Opposition to 0:05:58.120 --> 0:06:01.480 pull the subject back to where the majority of Australians are. 0:06:02.000 --> 0:06:05.160 I repeat every time the Prime Minister talks about medicare 0:06:05.400 --> 0:06:08.560 you should remember that the federal opposition has promised to 0:06:08.600 --> 0:06:11.440 not just match eight point five billion dollars, but are 0:06:11.440 --> 0:06:15.320 going to spend nine billion dollars. If you doubt, you 0:06:15.360 --> 0:06:17.440 can feel free to go to the Liberal Party website. 0:06:17.440 --> 0:06:20.240 You can read the announcement yourself. It is there, I 0:06:20.279 --> 0:06:22.800 promise it is there. Of all the times for it 0:06:22.880 --> 0:06:25.320 not to work. But you get my point. That is 0:06:25.600 --> 0:06:29.760 the plan, that is the promise. Remember, legislation was passed 0:06:29.760 --> 0:06:33.800 back in the Morrison government about defending and making sure 0:06:33.800 --> 0:06:36.200 Medicare was in place, So all of this pretending that 0:06:36.240 --> 0:06:39.560 Medicare is under threat is literally made up. It is 0:06:39.600 --> 0:06:41.600 an attempt to change the subject. And most of the 0:06:41.640 --> 0:06:44.760 media will follow on. I'll get to the way the 0:06:44.800 --> 0:06:48.120 media treated the excise on alcohol discussion in a moment 0:06:48.200 --> 0:06:52.000 or two time. But Jim Charmers is one who was, 0:06:52.040 --> 0:06:53.560 of course trying to make the most of the talking 0:06:53.600 --> 0:06:56.880 points because his hope would be that the Albanezi government 0:06:56.880 --> 0:06:59.560 goes from a majority to a minority and then he 0:06:59.600 --> 0:07:01.840 would humably at some point take the advice of people 0:07:01.880 --> 0:07:03.840 like nasty Nicky Sava and become the Prime Minister in 0:07:03.880 --> 0:07:05.840 the next three years. So he sings off the song 0:07:05.880 --> 0:07:09.039 sheet that wheneveryone asked a question, somehow make it about 0:07:09.080 --> 0:07:10.600 Peter Dutton and Mediicare. 0:07:12.040 --> 0:07:15.960 Medicare is not safe in Peter Dutton's hands. Medicare is 0:07:15.960 --> 0:07:18.520 not safe from the guy who, when he was Health Minister, 0:07:19.200 --> 0:07:21.280 tried to destroy universal Medicare. 0:07:22.000 --> 0:07:28.080 It didn't happen, did not happen, did not attempt to happen. Remember, 0:07:28.320 --> 0:07:33.200 the entire basis of their campaign is a Frankenstein little 0:07:33.240 --> 0:07:36.120 bit of tape where they literally cut words out of 0:07:36.160 --> 0:07:40.240 it and make up a sentence about support or lack 0:07:40.280 --> 0:07:42.800 thereof in the case that they're trying to build about 0:07:42.800 --> 0:07:46.160 Peter Dutton. But the Redbridge Pole, which is a rolling 0:07:46.200 --> 0:07:49.000 pole of the marginal seats, does give us an idea 0:07:49.000 --> 0:07:52.200 about what is working and what is not. Now, after 0:07:52.240 --> 0:07:56.240 a full week of the opposition not getting out there 0:07:56.280 --> 0:08:00.200 aggressively enough to say we're not just matching with are 0:08:00.240 --> 0:08:02.520 doing better, there has been a little change in the 0:08:02.560 --> 0:08:07.000 priority of Australians when it comes to this upcoming election. Now, 0:08:07.040 --> 0:08:09.520 the cost of living is still the absolute number one 0:08:09.520 --> 0:08:12.840 issue at eighty two percent, but you can see that 0:08:12.920 --> 0:08:15.800 lots of other issues have fallen away, but healthcare, housing, 0:08:15.880 --> 0:08:20.080 climate change, and crime and responsibility and public safety have 0:08:20.280 --> 0:08:23.840 all gone up. So the attempt to change the subject 0:08:24.040 --> 0:08:26.920 is starting to work on the margins which brings me 0:08:26.960 --> 0:08:29.520 to some tough love for the people who I win 0:08:29.680 --> 0:08:35.000 this election. Now Peter Dutton and his team, of course, 0:08:35.720 --> 0:08:38.120 are trying to put together not just an alternative view 0:08:38.160 --> 0:08:39.560 for where they want to take the country, but they 0:08:39.559 --> 0:08:42.640 also have to prosecute and finish the case about how 0:08:42.640 --> 0:08:45.440 bad this government is. I think it's simple because remember 0:08:45.520 --> 0:08:49.000 they promised everything would be better. Everything got worse. So 0:08:49.120 --> 0:08:50.880 now the government turns around and says, oh on, it 0:08:51.000 --> 0:08:53.880 will be really worse under the other guy. Now, yes, 0:08:53.880 --> 0:08:55.720 we're hiring somebody for the next three years, but you 0:08:55.840 --> 0:08:59.000 must pass judgment on a government for the previous three years. 0:09:00.040 --> 0:09:01.760 Has to say. The government's doing all it can to 0:09:01.760 --> 0:09:04.320 make Peter Dutton the issue because they think they'll be 0:09:04.320 --> 0:09:06.800 able to do to Peter Dutton what's got Morrison was 0:09:06.800 --> 0:09:08.000 able to do to Bill Shorten. 0:09:09.200 --> 0:09:12.760 Peter Dutton is such a reckless and risky proposition is 0:09:12.800 --> 0:09:15.440 because when he sees the vision in our society, he 0:09:15.480 --> 0:09:18.960 tries to exacerbate it and make it worse for political purposes. 0:09:19.000 --> 0:09:20.960 What chares did he buy? How much did he buy 0:09:20.960 --> 0:09:21.400 them for? 0:09:21.679 --> 0:09:25.360 Did he have access to privileged, confidential, informational people who. 0:09:25.200 --> 0:09:27.480 Did knows in his heart and doesn't stand up to scrutiny. 0:09:27.480 --> 0:09:29.679 Peter Duttman the Liberals who would make people worse off 0:09:29.679 --> 0:09:30.920 and take Australia backwards peed. 0:09:31.040 --> 0:09:32.560 Dunton and his colleagues had a fair bit to say 0:09:32.600 --> 0:09:36.400 about the Prime Minister buying one house last year. Well 0:09:36.440 --> 0:09:38.440 see what he's got to say about the twenty six 0:09:38.520 --> 0:09:41.400 homes that he's bought and sold over the last couple 0:09:41.440 --> 0:09:43.640 of decades, some of which he hasn't. 0:09:43.360 --> 0:09:47.400 Declared these people. The problem with the Prime Minister buying 0:09:47.400 --> 0:09:49.760 a four point something million dollar house in the middle 0:09:49.760 --> 0:09:53.079 of a cost of living crisis is fairly obvious about 0:09:53.080 --> 0:09:55.880 why Australians had a problem with it. This is a 0:09:55.880 --> 0:09:59.240 guy who's already setting himself up for a retirement because 0:09:59.440 --> 0:10:02.160 ultimately it doesn't matter what happens to him at the election, 0:10:02.240 --> 0:10:05.240 because he will still retire on hundreds of thousands of dollars, 0:10:05.240 --> 0:10:08.479 not to mention his own property portfolio, which brings him 0:10:08.880 --> 0:10:11.720 a income on top of his Prime minister or salary 0:10:11.720 --> 0:10:13.959 of six hundred thousand dollars a year of one hundred 0:10:13.960 --> 0:10:15.839 and forty thousand dollars. Now it's okay to be a 0:10:15.840 --> 0:10:19.000 property investor in Australia. But they have tried any and 0:10:19.080 --> 0:10:21.480 everything to again change the subject and create some sort 0:10:21.520 --> 0:10:26.079 of dodginess around Peter Dutton. Philip Couri writes about this 0:10:26.760 --> 0:10:31.440 interestingly today in the Weekend Financial Review. None of this 0:10:31.480 --> 0:10:34.160 pesky detail seems to matter, that being that the stories 0:10:34.160 --> 0:10:36.400 are all garbage. The object here is to fill in 0:10:36.400 --> 0:10:38.920 the blanks for voters who have well formed views of Albanzi, 0:10:39.240 --> 0:10:41.920 whether they be ill or otherwise, but are just starting 0:10:41.960 --> 0:10:44.080 to get their heads around Peter Dutton. Remember, of course, 0:10:44.120 --> 0:10:45.880 you make it, Jos to break up with the government 0:10:45.880 --> 0:10:47.880 before you turn your attention to who you want to 0:10:47.880 --> 0:10:50.360 spend the next three years with. The spin from Labor 0:10:50.400 --> 0:10:55.560 is that Dutton falsely affected a working class chic and 0:10:56.040 --> 0:10:59.240 share by buyap and property portfolio exposes that he is 0:10:59.240 --> 0:11:01.840 not really that person. But of course the Prime Minister 0:11:01.920 --> 0:11:03.920 is able to pretend that he's still the boy from 0:11:04.040 --> 0:11:07.240 the Housing Commission joint, when of course he is now 0:11:07.280 --> 0:11:09.400 a man with millions of dollars of assets to his 0:11:09.480 --> 0:11:13.040 name via property, and of course has received massive pay 0:11:13.120 --> 0:11:16.280 rises and of course gets free upgrades even on the travel, 0:11:16.480 --> 0:11:19.600 which he is not doing for the taxpayer. We all 0:11:19.600 --> 0:11:21.640 know which one is the actual silvertar. We know which 0:11:21.679 --> 0:11:23.800 one is actually the social climb, and we already know 0:11:23.800 --> 0:11:26.640 which one is actually the fraud in terms of the 0:11:26.679 --> 0:11:28.600 personality that they have put forward in front of the 0:11:28.600 --> 0:11:33.040 Australian people. But the simple question is this, when does 0:11:33.040 --> 0:11:36.000 the Liberal Party fight back? When does the Liberal Party 0:11:36.040 --> 0:11:40.280 start to run hard at Albanesi? Where are the posters 0:11:40.280 --> 0:11:42.439 that are telling people in each and every electorate how 0:11:42.559 --> 0:11:46.559 much mortgage repayments in that electorate have gone up under Albanesi. 0:11:47.160 --> 0:11:49.920 Where is the social media that is all day every 0:11:49.960 --> 0:11:57.400 day hammering home points. Where is the major speeches. The 0:11:57.440 --> 0:12:00.560 reality is is that this is a very beatable government. 0:12:01.320 --> 0:12:03.679 The polls show that there are plenty of Australians who 0:12:03.679 --> 0:12:06.600 have had it up to here with the government. They 0:12:06.600 --> 0:12:09.400 do not buy that they believe that the country is 0:12:09.440 --> 0:12:12.120 headed in the right direction. Instead it's in the opposite direction. 0:12:12.720 --> 0:12:16.320 And the reality is that while Dunton is keen to 0:12:16.320 --> 0:12:18.120 say that he's not going to be Aussie Trump because 0:12:18.120 --> 0:12:20.640 the effect on Teal seats and moderate voters would of 0:12:20.679 --> 0:12:23.520 course set their hair on fire, the reality is that 0:12:23.600 --> 0:12:26.600 in terms of some of the polls, albo Is Ossie, 0:12:26.640 --> 0:12:30.080 Joe Biden just thirty four percent of Australians believe this 0:12:30.120 --> 0:12:33.440 government deserves to be re elected. Now that does mean 0:12:33.440 --> 0:12:35.520 that people from the far left and those people in 0:12:35.559 --> 0:12:38.680 the center and on the center right are all of 0:12:38.720 --> 0:12:41.439 one view, which is this mob has to go. Why 0:12:41.679 --> 0:12:44.240 because they promised a better world, they delivered a worse one. 0:12:44.280 --> 0:12:47.400 And now they turn around and expect credit for delivering 0:12:47.400 --> 0:12:51.400 two little too late tax cuts, giving power bill relief 0:12:51.400 --> 0:12:54.600 in exchange for actually changing the two hundred and seventy 0:12:54.600 --> 0:12:59.640 five dollars that was promised, not to mention a disgraceful 0:12:59.640 --> 0:13:02.920 reality that under the boy from Housing Commission, three million 0:13:02.920 --> 0:13:04.840 people are this close to homelessness and three and a 0:13:04.880 --> 0:13:07.079 bit million people don't know where all of their meals 0:13:07.120 --> 0:13:11.040 will come from this week. Apart from the personality, apart 0:13:11.080 --> 0:13:14.760 from the decision making, it is not up to the 0:13:14.840 --> 0:13:17.520 media to define Anthony Abernezi. It is up to his 0:13:17.559 --> 0:13:20.559 political opponents. And I'm sure that there is some wonderful 0:13:20.559 --> 0:13:22.160 plan that will kick in the day that an election 0:13:22.240 --> 0:13:24.160 is called. But the whole game of the Prime Minister 0:13:24.400 --> 0:13:27.280 not calling an election or hinting that one might be 0:13:27.360 --> 0:13:30.840 called this weekend for nothing to happen, is that if 0:13:30.880 --> 0:13:33.199 the Liberal Party is holding its fire for the start 0:13:33.240 --> 0:13:36.040 of an election campaign. They give the Prime Minister days 0:13:36.040 --> 0:13:41.960 and days which become weeks and weeks to announce policies 0:13:42.160 --> 0:13:45.720 that he has no money for, or to invent scare 0:13:45.720 --> 0:13:49.320 campaigns that have no basis in fact, or to release 0:13:49.400 --> 0:13:53.599 the dirt files on the opposition. Now, again, I'm not 0:13:53.640 --> 0:13:56.920 a participant in Australian politics. I am an observer of it. 0:13:57.840 --> 0:13:59.839 But if this government is going to go from a 0:14:00.120 --> 0:14:03.360 majority to a minority, to potentially the Liberal Party being 0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:06.400 able to fight from quite a position back to getting 0:14:06.440 --> 0:14:10.320 anywhere near a minority, they have to start fighting harder, 0:14:10.800 --> 0:14:13.880 more visibly. They have to be releasing more ads, they 0:14:13.920 --> 0:14:15.720 have to have a sharper message when it comes to 0:14:15.840 --> 0:14:18.880 social media, and they cannot afford to take a single 0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:23.080 day off in terms of the fight. Because Australians are 0:14:23.120 --> 0:14:26.720 ready for a change, but we need to make sure 0:14:26.760 --> 0:14:28.600 that the people who are trying to effect that change 0:14:28.640 --> 0:14:30.280 are as hungry as those of us that would like 0:14:30.360 --> 0:14:33.120 to see it. Now, I know there are smart people 0:14:33.120 --> 0:14:35.040 that are hard working that will be very pissed off 0:14:35.040 --> 0:14:37.480 that I'm even saying what I am saying, But what 0:14:37.560 --> 0:14:39.920 I am saying is that I saw what Trump was 0:14:39.960 --> 0:14:43.640 able to do to Biden. He did it not over 0:14:44.000 --> 0:14:46.800 thirty three days, but he did it over thirty three weeks. 0:14:47.640 --> 0:14:50.480 He did it over essentially the best part of two 0:14:50.600 --> 0:14:55.520 of the four years of that presidency. And the Opposition 0:14:55.560 --> 0:14:58.280 has made a case where according to some polls, there 0:14:58.280 --> 0:15:00.520 are plenty of people that are willing to make a change, 0:15:00.680 --> 0:15:03.440 but don't wait for the election to be called. Imagine 0:15:03.480 --> 0:15:06.080 it has already been called, not just when it comes 0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:08.800 to the big ideas, but the big attacks. Because this 0:15:08.840 --> 0:15:10.880 Prime Minister has a glass jaw, he will not be 0:15:10.960 --> 0:15:14.400 able to keep his emotions in check. He still thinks 0:15:14.440 --> 0:15:17.280 that he's fighting against Scott Morrison, and he's the Opposition 0:15:17.360 --> 0:15:20.080 leader who has no responsibility so can continue to tell 0:15:20.120 --> 0:15:22.280 you that everything will be better despite the fact that 0:15:22.320 --> 0:15:26.320 on his watch everything got worse. Not to mention his 0:15:26.440 --> 0:15:29.560 response when it comes to our national security and China 0:15:30.840 --> 0:15:36.400 circumnavigating Australia with warships, it's unacceptable, it is not okay, 0:15:36.680 --> 0:15:40.560 and it is time to go full bore, full bore, 0:15:40.960 --> 0:15:43.760 release every and anything you have, and do it every 0:15:43.800 --> 0:15:46.880 single day. If it's thirty three, if it's forty three 0:15:47.120 --> 0:15:50.320 or it's fifty three days. It does not matter because 0:15:50.360 --> 0:15:52.680 the remember the reality in Australia is that more than 0:15:52.760 --> 0:15:56.680 half of all people will vote two weeks before election day. 0:15:57.080 --> 0:16:00.680 Australians vote early, which means the election camp, if it 0:16:00.720 --> 0:16:03.400 is to officially start in two weeks, well, the full 0:16:03.440 --> 0:16:08.120 thirty three days starts now. So let's get to some 0:16:08.160 --> 0:16:10.440 of the latest polling, which is around tonight what we 0:16:10.480 --> 0:16:12.840 will get into in chapter and verse with our great team, 0:16:12.880 --> 0:16:14.480 and we'll get to them in a moment or two's time, 0:16:14.520 --> 0:16:16.760 of course, cos Samaris from red Bridge and the great 0:16:16.760 --> 0:16:18.640 Michael Kroger, who may well have you a little pushback 0:16:18.720 --> 0:16:21.640 or agree with what I've had to say here. So interestingly, 0:16:21.760 --> 0:16:23.720 a couple of weeks ago the Coalition was in striking 0:16:23.720 --> 0:16:26.440 distance of twenty seats. Now that would actually take them 0:16:26.520 --> 0:16:29.800 very close to, if not a majority government. Well now 0:16:29.960 --> 0:16:34.080 two weeks later, Labour seems to have clawed back some ground. 0:16:34.120 --> 0:16:36.320 What was fifty one forty nine in some seats has 0:16:36.360 --> 0:16:39.359 now flipped the other way to Labour fifty one forty nine. 0:16:39.440 --> 0:16:42.680 And the scenario here is worth paying attention to about 0:16:42.680 --> 0:16:47.360 why the Libs must fight and fight hard now Labour's 0:16:47.360 --> 0:16:50.120 primary vote up one point, Liberal National down to Greens 0:16:50.160 --> 0:16:55.640 hold the line, others they are up. In terms of 0:16:55.640 --> 0:16:58.160 two party preferred, there has been one and a half 0:16:58.240 --> 0:17:01.960 points that have changed in just two weeks now. Whether 0:17:02.000 --> 0:17:03.800 that is the interest rates or not, and there's some 0:17:03.840 --> 0:17:06.360 polling evidence suggests it is not, or it's the Meny 0:17:06.400 --> 0:17:09.480 scare campaign or anything else. Labour would love the idea 0:17:09.600 --> 0:17:13.640 of going into an election at fifty zo point five 0:17:13.680 --> 0:17:16.480 to forty nine point five because most likely the deals 0:17:16.480 --> 0:17:18.639 wouldn't be moving and not enough seats would move for 0:17:18.680 --> 0:17:20.800 the Liberal Party to get even close when it comes 0:17:20.840 --> 0:17:24.080 to a minority government. Again, let's get into this here. 0:17:24.160 --> 0:17:26.919 The Reserve Bank, does it make you more likely or 0:17:27.040 --> 0:17:29.520 less likely or no difference? Sixty five percent of people 0:17:29.600 --> 0:17:33.439 say the interest rate change no difference. The percentage of 0:17:33.440 --> 0:17:35.240 workers who think that the country is headed in the 0:17:35.520 --> 0:17:38.600 right direction. Two weeks ago, that was twenty seven. It's 0:17:38.600 --> 0:17:41.160 now up to thirty three. Wrong direction fifty five now 0:17:41.200 --> 0:17:45.959 down to fifty percent. Let's get into the conversation right 0:17:45.960 --> 0:17:48.080 now with Cos Samaras from red Bridge. They're the ones 0:17:48.080 --> 0:17:50.399 who put it all together. Michael Kroger, a legend of 0:17:50.520 --> 0:17:52.920 Liberal party politics, lots to get to and what we 0:17:52.960 --> 0:17:55.119 call the state of the race each and every Sunday 0:17:55.200 --> 0:17:57.080 night one for the hard course. Lads, love you to 0:17:57.119 --> 0:18:00.320 see you both, all right, cause looking at this has 0:18:00.359 --> 0:18:02.240 been a change, and whether the change is just a 0:18:02.240 --> 0:18:04.240 little bit here and a little bit there. It goes 0:18:04.280 --> 0:18:07.560 from the Libs threatening minority government to now the conversation 0:18:07.720 --> 0:18:10.840 simply being about whether labor how deep it goes into 0:18:10.840 --> 0:18:14.560 minority government. Big change in two weeks. Yep. 0:18:14.800 --> 0:18:16.720 One team's on the field and the other one's in 0:18:16.720 --> 0:18:19.240 the locker room. And it's been in the locker room 0:18:19.280 --> 0:18:23.600 for the last three weeks, and whilst watching the other team, 0:18:23.680 --> 0:18:26.920 being the labor team, kick the number of goals one 0:18:26.960 --> 0:18:30.399 after the other, and they've been building momentum. It's the 0:18:30.480 --> 0:18:35.600 interest rate cut, it's the Waler bailout, it's Medicare, it's 0:18:35.600 --> 0:18:40.399 now clinics. And of course you know the coalition today 0:18:40.560 --> 0:18:44.119 rebounds from that by promising more jets, which is fine, 0:18:44.200 --> 0:18:47.879 but that's not what we're picking up in our research, right, 0:18:47.960 --> 0:18:52.040 And so it does appear that the coalition is he's 0:18:52.240 --> 0:18:57.040 very flat footed and he's allowing Albanisi to really build 0:18:57.080 --> 0:18:58.239 some significant momentum here. 0:18:58.560 --> 0:19:01.760 Yeah, Michael, this is what I'm noticing here, right, you 0:19:01.840 --> 0:19:04.639 know what outcome I want. But the reality is I 0:19:04.680 --> 0:19:07.760 think that the Libs are waiting for a date rather 0:19:07.800 --> 0:19:10.000 than get on with it now fight it like it's 0:19:10.000 --> 0:19:14.359 the last week of the campaign. Now. Yeah. 0:19:14.400 --> 0:19:17.679 Well, you know I respect cousin Tony Barry very much, indeed, 0:19:17.680 --> 0:19:19.960 and I'm always very inot to see this stuff, which 0:19:20.040 --> 0:19:23.160 is usually very accurate. So how do I explain what's happened? 0:19:23.440 --> 0:19:27.240 I think it's probably a dead cat bounce off the 0:19:27.240 --> 0:19:30.199 back of the interest rate cuss which everyone was waiting for. 0:19:30.240 --> 0:19:33.199 And don't forget. You know, amongst most people, costs are 0:19:33.200 --> 0:19:36.240 living is the only issue. So anything that helps is 0:19:36.720 --> 0:19:41.200 gridded with great joy. Whether that momentum can be continued, 0:19:41.400 --> 0:19:44.639 I don't think so, But I think you're right. Albanize's 0:19:44.640 --> 0:19:47.320 certainly out of the blocks. There's a long way to go, though, 0:19:47.600 --> 0:19:51.000 and he's already run out of other people's money. He 0:19:51.080 --> 0:19:54.120 seems to be spending billions every week. There's a point 0:19:54.119 --> 0:19:56.440 at which people say, hey, mate, this fast has got 0:19:56.440 --> 0:19:58.480 to end. I mean, he is partly adopting the Daniel 0:19:58.520 --> 0:20:02.119 Andrews strategy of Aden and which is bug of the public. 0:20:02.440 --> 0:20:06.640 Just spend, spend, spend, promise them everything, roads, bridges, rail hospital, 0:20:06.880 --> 0:20:09.800 just promise everything, get over line and leave the debt 0:20:09.840 --> 0:20:12.400 to the next government two or three terms down the track. 0:20:12.640 --> 0:20:14.640