WEBVTT - Paul Murray Live | 7 October

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<v Speaker 1>From the skying In Center.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Paul Murray Live.

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<v Speaker 3>Thank you, Shari, one impactful and important hour of television.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, I won't lie.

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<v Speaker 3>Many Australians in the past twelve months, there are many

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<v Speaker 3>moments where you just want to look away. You want

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<v Speaker 3>to say it's somebody else's fight, you want to say

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<v Speaker 3>it's the other side of the world. You understand all

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<v Speaker 3>of the complexities, but we are reminded today about why

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<v Speaker 3>things are the way that they are. The questions that

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<v Speaker 3>Charry just showed in the past hour were a wonderful

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<v Speaker 3>reminder about the humanity. That people who were innocents were murdered,

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<v Speaker 3>no question on this day that Israel had to respond.

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<v Speaker 3>Equally important was the conversation that Charry had with a

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<v Speaker 3>person who may well end up one day the Prime

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<v Speaker 3>Minister of Israel, who talks about the failure of the

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<v Speaker 3>Israeli government on this day twelve months ago, it took

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<v Speaker 3>six hours for the ADF to make it too many

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<v Speaker 3>of the places that have been worse affected. There must

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<v Speaker 3>be an inquiry into that. There must be an inquiry

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<v Speaker 3>into the intelligence failures, about who knew what and when,

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<v Speaker 3>and about why the lack of response was what it was.

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<v Speaker 3>October seventh is the day that we mourn those who

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<v Speaker 3>died in the terrorist attack. You can have your thoughts

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<v Speaker 3>about the response to it, the proportionality and all the

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<v Speaker 3>rest of it.

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<v Speaker 2>We'll talk about that later.

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<v Speaker 3>But today will forever be marked as the day that

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<v Speaker 3>the world remembers when innocent people were murdered.

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<v Speaker 2>No question.

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<v Speaker 3>In the past hour, while Sharry has been bringing you

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<v Speaker 3>her program from Israel, there's been some inspiring and deflating

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<v Speaker 3>events that have happened here in Australia this evening. There

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<v Speaker 3>have been thousands of people that have gathered in Sydney

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<v Speaker 3>and in Melbourne principally, but yes in other parts of

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<v Speaker 3>Australia to mourn the dead, to demand that those that

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<v Speaker 3>are still behind enemy lines as hostages are to be

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<v Speaker 3>returned home. Significant leaders, including Peter Dutton, who was given

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<v Speaker 3>a standing ovation by the Jewish community in Sydney when

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<v Speaker 3>he appeared today along with the premiere in New South

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<v Speaker 3>Wales and others have spoken about the importance of this

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<v Speaker 3>day and just like September eleven, it will be forever

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<v Speaker 3>remembered as the day when innocence died.

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<v Speaker 4>We need to make it clear that the killing of

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<v Speaker 4>innocent people on October the seventh Bayhamas is a great crime.

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<v Speaker 5>If we don't take a strong stance now, we risk

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<v Speaker 5>repeating the mistakes of the nineteen thirties. And that is

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<v Speaker 5>why Australians should be inspired by the bravery of generations

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<v Speaker 5>past to stand up for our values today and into

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<v Speaker 5>the future.

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<v Speaker 6>Since October seven, each one of us is on a mission.

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<v Speaker 6>Each one of us has a purpose. You have a

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<v Speaker 6>role in the recovery. We are coming back stronger and

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<v Speaker 6>more united. But Jachad together the.

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<v Speaker 2>Prime Minister, was in Melbourne.

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<v Speaker 3>We don't have tape of his comments, but he was

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<v Speaker 3>walking with Jewish leaders in Melbourne as they were commemorating

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<v Speaker 3>this particular day. I will save my criticism of this

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<v Speaker 3>Prime Minister, who I think has failed on many fronts

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<v Speaker 3>on this particular issue over the past twelve months for

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<v Speaker 3>another day. But that is the message that he is

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<v Speaker 3>sending this evening, And sadly, there is another story to

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<v Speaker 3>tell you, and it principally comes out of Sydney. Hundreds

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<v Speaker 3>of people decided to choose this day to go to

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<v Speaker 3>the Leukember Mosque. They chose this day to celebrate the

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<v Speaker 3>events of twelve months ago. The front page of the

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<v Speaker 3>Daily telegraphed this evening says that it is a day

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<v Speaker 3>of celebration. These were some of the remarks that have

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<v Speaker 3>taken place at that particular event.

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<v Speaker 2>My belief is.

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<v Speaker 3>That, as I have said, there is much nuance and

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<v Speaker 3>complication and difficulty in all of this conversation, and that

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<v Speaker 3>there are thousands of examples of innocence that have died

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<v Speaker 3>in the retaliation of what took place here on October

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<v Speaker 3>the seventh. But very obviously, when your country has been

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<v Speaker 3>attacked in the fashion that it was attacked, any country,

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<v Speaker 3>including our own, would respond. I will not get into

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<v Speaker 3>the complications about the depth and breadth of the response,

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<v Speaker 3>but I stand in absolute unity with those who are

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<v Speaker 3>disgusted that a day like today, the actual anniversary of

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<v Speaker 3>when innocence were killed, is a day to say things

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<v Speaker 3>like this, the seventh of October.

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<v Speaker 7>What it is is an act of resistance, and Francesca

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<v Speaker 7>Albanezi said that the seventh of October does not remove

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<v Speaker 7>the Palestinia right to defend ourself.

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<v Speaker 8>I ask of you to continue all the actions that

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<v Speaker 8>you have started one year ago, and do not stop

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<v Speaker 8>until we see the crumbling of Zionism until we see

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<v Speaker 8>the end of the occupying Israeli forces.

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<v Speaker 3>Many of those speakers, they may well share a rage,

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<v Speaker 3>but it is misplaced on this day. This day forever

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<v Speaker 3>in history is about what happened on October seventh. It

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<v Speaker 3>is not an act of resistance. Again, there are complications,

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<v Speaker 3>there are difficulties. There is no perfect place to have

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<v Speaker 3>this conversation, because if you move a little bit too

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<v Speaker 3>much this way and a little bit too much that way,

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<v Speaker 3>you get screened out by all quarters. I seek not

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<v Speaker 3>to be the person who's going to solve the question

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<v Speaker 3>of the Middle East on a television show in Australia,

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<v Speaker 3>but I am going to speak very clearly about Australia.

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<v Speaker 3>Australia is a place where you can come from anywhere

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<v Speaker 3>in the world. You can have any belief in the world.

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<v Speaker 3>But on a day like today, if you cannot recognize

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<v Speaker 3>that another and fellow Australian is hurting because of what

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<v Speaker 3>happened historically on this day, then you are not living

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<v Speaker 3>up to the opportunities of this country. We've seen protests

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<v Speaker 3>in the past couple of days when people have been

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<v Speaker 3>waving flags that do not explicitly show support for Hesbala,

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<v Speaker 3>but they show the colors, they show words that are

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<v Speaker 3>very similar.

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<v Speaker 2>It's very clever.

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<v Speaker 3>Change by one percent, ten percent, twenty percent to make

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<v Speaker 3>sure that the message is clear, but the messenger won't

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<v Speaker 3>end up with any sort of legal ramifications now tomorrow.

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<v Speaker 3>The Palestinian community, in my view, has every right to

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<v Speaker 3>mourn its innocence. But anyone who wants to use those

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<v Speaker 3>innocence on this day to rub the Jewish community and

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<v Speaker 3>their nose in the death of their innocence is not

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<v Speaker 3>someone who has the best interests of any population at heart.

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<v Speaker 3>I will not stand for a country like Australia being

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<v Speaker 3>divided into countries within countries where certain suburbs lean this

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<v Speaker 3>way and certain suburbs lean that way. Every suburb should

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<v Speaker 3>have maximum empathy for any community and its historic, significant

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<v Speaker 3>or important days. Let's see what happens in the next

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<v Speaker 3>twenty four hours about whose response to what is said,

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<v Speaker 3>Whether the focus is on those that are the innocence

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<v Speaker 3>of October the seventh, or those who choose to use

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<v Speaker 3>this day to claim that they are speaking in support

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<v Speaker 3>and love of them innocence, but the reality is that

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<v Speaker 3>they are showing some of the worst possible traits. We'll

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<v Speaker 3>talk about that in a whole lot more. Charry will

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<v Speaker 3>be in Israel all week. We will talk about what

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<v Speaker 3>matters in this country and when it is protests, and

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<v Speaker 3>when it is matters on the other side of the world.

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<v Speaker 3>We will move those to the top of the tree.

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<v Speaker 3>In the meantime, there was some interesting polling in and

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<v Speaker 3>around all of this where Hezbala today, as you will

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<v Speaker 3>have seen, supported and praised some of the behavior that

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<v Speaker 3>has been happening on our streets in the past few days.

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<v Speaker 3>But interestingly, there was a poll that I want to

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<v Speaker 3>take you back to, which was from June of this year,

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<v Speaker 3>which is what Australians believe about legitimate and illegitimate protest.

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<v Speaker 3>Fifty three percent of people say it's okay to hold

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<v Speaker 3>a rally outside of Parliament. I would think there is

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<v Speaker 3>no problem with this. Forty one percent of people or

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<v Speaker 3>they believe that marching in the streets is okay. Now

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<v Speaker 3>you would have to infer that either the majority of

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<v Speaker 3>people disagree or don't care. But certainly once these start

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<v Speaker 3>to come clearer, I think it becomes clearer that the

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<v Speaker 3>minority number is the support and the vast majority number

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<v Speaker 3>is against this stuff, the carrying out and occupying of universities.

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<v Speaker 3>Just fourteen percent of people accept that behavior as a

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<v Speaker 3>legitimate form of protest. Ten percent believe that it's okay

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<v Speaker 3>to block an MP's intrans to their office, nine percent

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<v Speaker 3>say it's okay to go to someone's house to protest,

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<v Speaker 3>seven percent say blockading a port or rail infrastructure is okay,

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<v Speaker 3>four percent of people say that it's okay to damage property,

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<v Speaker 3>and none of these or undecided is sixteen percent. Well,

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<v Speaker 3>we have some update to that polling which comes today

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<v Speaker 3>via the channel our newspapers. It shows that voters reject

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<v Speaker 3>protests as Gaza war ignites the domestic route.

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<v Speaker 2>You see.

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<v Speaker 3>I believe the extreme majority of Australians are like us.

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<v Speaker 3>Specifically in this case, I'm going to say like me,

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<v Speaker 3>which is, we have maximum empathy and understanding for what's

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<v Speaker 3>happening on other sides of the world, what has happened

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<v Speaker 3>in the past twelve months, the twelve years, the past

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<v Speaker 3>many decades before that. We understand the complexity. But the

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<v Speaker 3>joy of this country is that we do not have

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<v Speaker 3>to live with that complexity. We do not have to

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<v Speaker 3>live with that hatred. People were asked today if they

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<v Speaker 3>agree or disagree with the statement the conflict in the

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<v Speaker 3>Middle East has made Australia a less safe place. It

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<v Speaker 3>has moved from thirty six percent this time last year

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<v Speaker 3>to now forty six percent who believe that this country

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<v Speaker 3>is now less safe. Principally, I would suggest, because of

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<v Speaker 3>what they have seen tonight, that there is a group

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<v Speaker 3>of people amongst us who pretend to speak on the

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<v Speaker 3>behalf of others, but truly speak on the behalf of

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<v Speaker 3>their own dark heart, which is to not pull back,

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<v Speaker 3>to not stop, to not pause, but instead to just

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<v Speaker 3>keep pushing in the direction of which they choose to

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<v Speaker 3>keep animosities going.

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<v Speaker 2>Long question here, but you need to see it.

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<v Speaker 3>Last year of conflict bloke out between Hamas and ga

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<v Speaker 3>in Israel and the Middle East. They started Hamas fighters

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<v Speaker 3>when they cross the border into Gaza.

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<v Speaker 2>To kill and kidnap civilians.

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<v Speaker 3>Israel than retaliated with strikes and in targets in Gaza,

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<v Speaker 3>followed by ground incursion. The conflict is ongoing. Please tell

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<v Speaker 3>us what Australia should do. Should they allow marchers and

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<v Speaker 3>protests by Australian supporters, Well fifty nine percent of people

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<v Speaker 3>say no, it's not to be played out here. Fifty

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<v Speaker 3>percent of people say that Australia should voice in principal

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<v Speaker 3>support for neither, but if forced to choose, a bigger

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<v Speaker 3>number say Israel over Gaza. Fifteen percent say neither and

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<v Speaker 3>be prepared to accept refugees. Eleven percent say they can

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<v Speaker 3>come from Israel, thirteen percent say from Palestine, twenty four

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<v Speaker 3>percent say both or either. Fifty two percent say no,

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<v Speaker 3>I don't bring this fight here. Second question, political parties

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<v Speaker 3>and leaders have responded in different ways to the Middle

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<v Speaker 3>East conflict it affects Australia and how it affects Australia.

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<v Speaker 3>Of the largest parties, who do you think has responded best?

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<v Speaker 3>Fifty five percent say unsure or none. When support of

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<v Speaker 3>Peter Dutton for Israel or Anthony Albernezi in his position,

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<v Speaker 3>people choose Peter Dutton. You can see the permutations there

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<v Speaker 3>amongst other political groups. The message remains the same twelve

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<v Speaker 3>months on. We know what happened there, we know what

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<v Speaker 3>happened after, and we know what has happened before.

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<v Speaker 2>But when you are here, you.

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<v Speaker 3>Do not bring the endless hatred, the endless Yeah, but

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<v Speaker 3>then this and then that and what about this, and

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<v Speaker 3>what about that. You can have those views, but you

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<v Speaker 3>do not disturb the peace that is in Australia in

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<v Speaker 3>order to have those views registered with violent language or

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<v Speaker 3>outright violence, as we have seen in the past twelve months. Again,

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<v Speaker 3>I finished this bit with where I started. I, like

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<v Speaker 3>most Australians on many days, look the other way, not

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<v Speaker 3>because they don't care, not because they don't understand, but

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<v Speaker 3>for obvious reasons. My focus is always this country first,

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<v Speaker 3>is always making sure that this country doesn't turn into

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<v Speaker 3>other countries, that we maintain absolute stability and absolute steadfast

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<v Speaker 3>sense of values. No matter where you come from or

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<v Speaker 3>what you believe, the fundamental value must be that we

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<v Speaker 3>live in a peaceful and harmonious society that can disagree,

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<v Speaker 3>that can disagree without resorting to violence, verbal threats or intimidation.

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<v Speaker 3>Now that position may not be pure enough for some,

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<v Speaker 3>it may not be angry enough for others, but I

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<v Speaker 3>believe it's where the majority of Australians are. We are

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<v Speaker 3>not ignorant of what is happening, We are not shrugging

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<v Speaker 3>our shoulders, we are not ignoring what is happening, but

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<v Speaker 3>we are focused on making sure sure that none.

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<v Speaker 2>Of that crap happens here.

0:14:04.440 --> 0:14:07.720
<v Speaker 3>Now to the rest of the day and things away

0:14:08.000 --> 0:14:10.000
<v Speaker 3>from other parts of the world. Let's get back to

0:14:10.000 --> 0:14:13.520
<v Speaker 3>what's happening here. Don Farrell is the Special Minister of

0:14:13.559 --> 0:14:15.640
<v Speaker 3>State in this country. Now, if you don't know who,

0:14:15.679 --> 0:14:17.800
<v Speaker 3>Don Farrell is also the Trade Minister, and as the

0:14:17.800 --> 0:14:20.280
<v Speaker 3>Trade Minister, just a little refresher here, he had the

0:14:20.280 --> 0:14:22.520
<v Speaker 3>opportunity to hire somebody to be a trade end boy

0:14:22.600 --> 0:14:26.400
<v Speaker 3>for Australia in San Francisco. He could have chosen the

0:14:26.400 --> 0:14:29.080
<v Speaker 3>woman who had applied for the job. No, no, Instead

0:14:29.080 --> 0:14:31.600
<v Speaker 3>he chose a mate of his from the union movement

0:14:32.520 --> 0:14:34.440
<v Speaker 3>who had to be trained by the person who applied

0:14:34.440 --> 0:14:36.120
<v Speaker 3>for the job because he got the job despite the

0:14:36.120 --> 0:14:38.280
<v Speaker 3>fact that he didn't apply for the job. He of

0:14:38.280 --> 0:14:42.040
<v Speaker 3>course was a friendly one term Labor Senator, which meant

0:14:42.040 --> 0:14:43.680
<v Speaker 3>he got the job, not, as I say, the lady

0:14:43.720 --> 0:14:45.440
<v Speaker 3>who actually was qualified for it.

0:14:45.560 --> 0:14:46.920
<v Speaker 2>So that's a bit of an insight into.

0:14:46.720 --> 0:14:49.240
<v Speaker 3>Some of the decision making in and around this hardcore

0:14:49.360 --> 0:14:53.520
<v Speaker 3>partisan on the behalf of the Labor Party. But Don

0:14:53.520 --> 0:14:57.080
<v Speaker 3>Farrell's job as the Special Minister of State is to

0:14:57.120 --> 0:15:00.560
<v Speaker 3>shepherd through the Parliament the rules of our life actions.

0:15:02.800 --> 0:15:05.280
<v Speaker 3>Now this goes to everything from how we vote, to

0:15:06.040 --> 0:15:08.480
<v Speaker 3>how how to votes are handed out, to who can donate,

0:15:08.760 --> 0:15:10.960
<v Speaker 3>what we know about the donation process.

0:15:11.520 --> 0:15:13.000
<v Speaker 2>And there are things that need to be fixed and

0:15:13.040 --> 0:15:14.960
<v Speaker 2>there are other things that don't need to be changed.

0:15:16.560 --> 0:15:21.960
<v Speaker 3>Now, one thing that apparently a committee of politicians delivering

0:15:22.040 --> 0:15:26.000
<v Speaker 3>the finding that mister Farrell wanted was to cut back

0:15:26.080 --> 0:15:29.360
<v Speaker 3>on things other than political parties being able to spend

0:15:29.360 --> 0:15:32.400
<v Speaker 3>significant amounts of money at a federal election. This would

0:15:32.400 --> 0:15:34.120
<v Speaker 3>mean that the Teals will not be able to have

0:15:34.240 --> 0:15:37.200
<v Speaker 3>the same sorts of money to back in the organization

0:15:37.280 --> 0:15:42.320
<v Speaker 3>for them to be able to finish frankly third in

0:15:42.560 --> 0:15:46.480
<v Speaker 3>many areas, but then with preferences they make their way

0:15:46.480 --> 0:15:48.680
<v Speaker 3>to second and then eventually they end up defeating Liberal

0:15:48.680 --> 0:15:51.720
<v Speaker 3>Party MPs. The reason they claim that we need to

0:15:51.800 --> 0:15:55.360
<v Speaker 3>change it is largely because of the spending of Clive

0:15:55.440 --> 0:15:58.280
<v Speaker 3>Palmer the United Australian Party adds of tens of millions

0:15:58.280 --> 0:16:01.760
<v Speaker 3>of dollars that did not result in him getting members

0:16:01.760 --> 0:16:03.720
<v Speaker 3>to the Lower House. It did result in a Senator

0:16:03.920 --> 0:16:08.040
<v Speaker 3>Ralph Bebbott making his way into the Federal Parliament, and

0:16:08.080 --> 0:16:09.960
<v Speaker 3>the spending of Clyve Palmer and all of those ads

0:16:10.000 --> 0:16:11.800
<v Speaker 3>is used as the giant excuse as to why we

0:16:11.880 --> 0:16:15.640
<v Speaker 3>absolutely have to change the way the rules of elections work,

0:16:16.680 --> 0:16:18.760
<v Speaker 3>which is why, as I say, there was a parliamentary

0:16:19.680 --> 0:16:23.160
<v Speaker 3>committee with a Labor majority that decided that we need

0:16:23.200 --> 0:16:26.280
<v Speaker 3>to introduce caps on the amount of donations that people

0:16:26.320 --> 0:16:28.720
<v Speaker 3>can hand over. We also need to make sure that

0:16:28.760 --> 0:16:32.000
<v Speaker 3>there's a greater transparency about who gives money and when.

0:16:32.080 --> 0:16:34.560
<v Speaker 3>I don't have a problem with that, but as has

0:16:34.560 --> 0:16:37.160
<v Speaker 3>played out in places like Queensland in this election right now,

0:16:37.240 --> 0:16:39.440
<v Speaker 3>where a political party would be able to spend x

0:16:39.480 --> 0:16:43.520
<v Speaker 3>amount in one seat, but a third party organization would

0:16:43.520 --> 0:16:45.480
<v Speaker 3>also be able to spend the same amount.

0:16:46.400 --> 0:16:48.640
<v Speaker 2>So in the case of the unions.

0:16:48.200 --> 0:16:50.920
<v Speaker 3>Despite the fact that in their constitution of the Labour

0:16:50.960 --> 0:16:52.640
<v Speaker 3>Party they are fifty percent of the say they are

0:16:52.680 --> 0:16:55.200
<v Speaker 3>part of the Labour Party under all of these rules

0:16:55.240 --> 0:16:57.840
<v Speaker 3>that play out in places like Victoria and Queensland right now,

0:16:57.880 --> 0:17:02.000
<v Speaker 3>they are independent entities. So if you have ten unions

0:17:02.120 --> 0:17:04.360
<v Speaker 3>or more than ten that are in Queensland, it means

0:17:04.480 --> 0:17:08.359
<v Speaker 3>Labour spends this much one Union, two union, three union.

0:17:08.440 --> 0:17:12.520
<v Speaker 3>You get the point, they can ten times outspend anyone

0:17:12.520 --> 0:17:16.159
<v Speaker 3>else on the ballot. This is a problem but this

0:17:16.320 --> 0:17:20.280
<v Speaker 3>is what Don Farrell is trying to achieve through the parliament. Now,

0:17:20.320 --> 0:17:21.960
<v Speaker 3>if he's able to get this through the Parliament, it

0:17:22.000 --> 0:17:25.399
<v Speaker 3>will only happen because it's the Greens plus minor Party

0:17:25.440 --> 0:17:29.840
<v Speaker 3>people like Jockie Lamby so called independence like people like

0:17:30.000 --> 0:17:34.080
<v Speaker 3>Dormat Dave Pocock. And the expectation was that the funding

0:17:34.119 --> 0:17:37.679
<v Speaker 3>system which has kept the Teals alive would not be

0:17:37.920 --> 0:17:40.240
<v Speaker 3>snuffed out at this upcoming election incided to be twelve

0:17:40.240 --> 0:17:43.800
<v Speaker 3>months after that. Well, the reporting today is that with

0:17:43.920 --> 0:17:46.240
<v Speaker 3>limited numbers of days left for the Senate to sit

0:17:46.280 --> 0:17:48.679
<v Speaker 3>this year and then presumably in an election year, the

0:17:48.720 --> 0:17:50.760
<v Speaker 3>time is running out for them to put that system

0:17:50.840 --> 0:17:53.880
<v Speaker 3>in place. And this may well be very much by design.

0:17:54.880 --> 0:17:58.159
<v Speaker 3>You see, the government is headed towards minority and they

0:17:58.200 --> 0:18:01.600
<v Speaker 3>would not want a bunch of peedoff teals, perhaps a

0:18:01.760 --> 0:18:05.320
<v Speaker 3>reduced number of teals because of those spending changes to

0:18:05.400 --> 0:18:07.919
<v Speaker 3>actually be what ends up happening. So this thing may

0:18:07.960 --> 0:18:09.320
<v Speaker 3>well end up getting delayed.

0:18:10.080 --> 0:18:10.920
<v Speaker 2>Now that's good.

0:18:10.720 --> 0:18:12.960
<v Speaker 3>Because the assumption is that Clyde Palmer will be running

0:18:13.000 --> 0:18:15.800
<v Speaker 3>ads if he chooses too hard against this government as

0:18:15.800 --> 0:18:19.119
<v Speaker 3>opposed to previous stances like in twenty twenty two when

0:18:19.160 --> 0:18:22.000
<v Speaker 3>he ran sort of put them all last. But remember

0:18:22.040 --> 0:18:23.920
<v Speaker 3>back in twenty nineteen when he was running hard against

0:18:23.920 --> 0:18:27.880
<v Speaker 3>Shorten that helped Morrison win. Special Minister of State Don

0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:30.200
<v Speaker 3>Farrell isn't due to introduce the package, which includes real

0:18:30.240 --> 0:18:32.560
<v Speaker 3>time disclosure of donations at more than a thousand dollars,

0:18:32.720 --> 0:18:36.160
<v Speaker 3>until November. A majority of Cross benches demand the legislation

0:18:36.200 --> 0:18:38.199
<v Speaker 3>will be properly scrutinized. That means it goes off to

0:18:38.200 --> 0:18:41.240
<v Speaker 3>a committee, meaning a vote may will be delayed. And

0:18:41.280 --> 0:18:43.360
<v Speaker 3>a couple of people who are speaking about this, includer

0:18:43.400 --> 0:18:44.520
<v Speaker 3>old mate Lydia Thorpe.

0:18:45.359 --> 0:18:47.159
<v Speaker 2>Hopefully our netball injuries are okay.

0:18:49.160 --> 0:18:51.240
<v Speaker 3>Labour has left this vote too late, so it looks

0:18:51.320 --> 0:18:54.440
<v Speaker 3>unlikely that these reforms will pass at the election. I

0:18:54.520 --> 0:18:56.520
<v Speaker 3>remember Lydia Thorpe, despite the fact she was elected as

0:18:56.560 --> 0:18:59.080
<v Speaker 3>a Green, becomes an independent very early in this term.

0:18:59.160 --> 0:19:01.040
<v Speaker 3>She will be around for any three years unless there

0:19:01.040 --> 0:19:03.320
<v Speaker 3>is a double dissolution, so I'm sad to say that's

0:19:03.359 --> 0:19:05.680
<v Speaker 3>the case. She says, it's not clear when the election

0:19:05.760 --> 0:19:07.840
<v Speaker 3>will be called, but an important bill like this notes

0:19:07.880 --> 0:19:10.440
<v Speaker 3>to go through a committee process. At the moment, it's

0:19:10.440 --> 0:19:13.560
<v Speaker 3>impossible to run a successful campaign against the Majors without

0:19:13.840 --> 0:19:18.960
<v Speaker 3>huge spending. But interestingly, perhaps the most telling quote today

0:19:19.000 --> 0:19:22.199
<v Speaker 3>about why the planned changes may well not end up

0:19:22.240 --> 0:19:25.359
<v Speaker 3>happening to keep the Teals happy is MANIEK Ryan, the

0:19:25.400 --> 0:19:28.200
<v Speaker 3>lady who, of course, due in court proceedings we ended

0:19:28.280 --> 0:19:30.199
<v Speaker 3>up finding out to thought of herself as a potential

0:19:30.200 --> 0:19:33.520
<v Speaker 3>prime minister one day. No reform is better than bad reform,

0:19:33.560 --> 0:19:35.199
<v Speaker 3>you see, she would like the current system to go

0:19:35.240 --> 0:19:36.960
<v Speaker 3>on just as long as the rules apply to everyone else,

0:19:37.000 --> 0:19:41.560
<v Speaker 3>not the Teals. Does that say she's confident about winning

0:19:41.560 --> 0:19:43.200
<v Speaker 3>her seat if she had to do it under the

0:19:43.240 --> 0:19:44.280
<v Speaker 3>same rules as everyone else.

0:19:44.320 --> 0:19:44.800
<v Speaker 2>Who knows.

0:19:45.080 --> 0:19:46.760
<v Speaker 3>But we'll all find out together. But I thought you

0:19:46.760 --> 0:19:49.080
<v Speaker 3>should know. They are trying to rewrite the rules of

0:19:49.160 --> 0:19:52.040
<v Speaker 3>how elections work, and the reality is that money is

0:19:52.080 --> 0:19:55.040
<v Speaker 3>part of that picture. On the one hand, it seems

0:19:55.119 --> 0:19:57.120
<v Speaker 3>very logical that everyone's only able to spend the same

0:19:57.160 --> 0:19:58.920
<v Speaker 3>amount of money. But once you throw in the third

0:19:58.920 --> 0:20:01.719
<v Speaker 3>party groups like I say, a Climate two hundred, who

0:20:01.840 --> 0:20:06.280
<v Speaker 3>might be able to simultaneously fund a candidate and then

0:20:06.280 --> 0:20:08.800
<v Speaker 3>set themselves up as being completely independent, well, they of

0:20:08.800 --> 0:20:11.360
<v Speaker 3>course are able to spend two times more than anyone

0:20:11.440 --> 0:20:14.560
<v Speaker 3>else who's on the ballot. Now there are some right

0:20:14.640 --> 0:20:16.800
<v Speaker 3>leaning groups like Advance Australia, but they won't end up

0:20:16.800 --> 0:20:20.280
<v Speaker 3>having the same financial supports something like Climate two hundred,

0:20:20.320 --> 0:20:22.359
<v Speaker 3>let alone the Union advantage.

0:20:23.480 --> 0:20:25.520
<v Speaker 2>So watch this space. It is always the prerogative of.

0:20:25.440 --> 0:20:27.320
<v Speaker 3>Any government to use its numbers in the Senate, but

0:20:27.359 --> 0:20:31.200
<v Speaker 3>in this case, if minor parties are willing to sign

0:20:31.240 --> 0:20:33.439
<v Speaker 3>away their capacity to be able to fight fairly, then

0:20:33.480 --> 0:20:35.400
<v Speaker 3>we have to look deeper inside the deal. Remember when

0:20:35.400 --> 0:20:39.879
<v Speaker 3>this took place in Victoria, there was financial compensation that

0:20:40.000 --> 0:20:42.479
<v Speaker 3>was handed to the minor parties at that time. Now,

0:20:42.480 --> 0:20:45.919
<v Speaker 3>if it was a liberal party who was making taxpayer

0:20:46.000 --> 0:20:49.280
<v Speaker 3>deals to help a bill go through the Parliament, it

0:20:49.280 --> 0:20:51.760
<v Speaker 3>would be an outrage. But if it's labor and it's

0:20:51.760 --> 0:20:55.200
<v Speaker 3>to the advantage of the left, nothing to see here, Well,

0:20:55.200 --> 0:20:57.000
<v Speaker 3>there is plenty to see here and I will keep

0:20:57.000 --> 0:21:01.520
<v Speaker 3>watching cost of living years that number one issue in

0:21:01.520 --> 0:21:04.159
<v Speaker 3>the country, no matter how tragic the days are on

0:21:04.200 --> 0:21:06.760
<v Speaker 3>other parts of the world. Right now, And there's a

0:21:06.760 --> 0:21:08.760
<v Speaker 3>bit of information I want to show you today, which

0:21:08.840 --> 0:21:11.639
<v Speaker 3>was a survey that showed a fifth of Australians and

0:21:11.640 --> 0:21:15.320
<v Speaker 3>our stressed about money every day, one in five.

0:21:16.520 --> 0:21:17.600
<v Speaker 2>This works in two parts.

0:21:17.640 --> 0:21:19.480
<v Speaker 3>It found that forty six percent of people are dealing

0:21:19.480 --> 0:21:21.639
<v Speaker 3>with financial worries at least once a week. One in

0:21:21.720 --> 0:21:24.760
<v Speaker 3>five people said that their savings were now going backwards

0:21:24.760 --> 0:21:28.119
<v Speaker 3>fifteen percent, so that they are now in debt and

0:21:28.160 --> 0:21:31.360
<v Speaker 3>seeing an existing debt grow. Now, of course, the Prime

0:21:31.359 --> 0:21:32.800
<v Speaker 3>Minister would like you to think that it's all about

0:21:32.800 --> 0:21:34.960
<v Speaker 3>the supermarkets, and the supermarkets are the only thing to

0:21:35.440 --> 0:21:38.760
<v Speaker 3>talk about here. Well, again further information from the same survey,

0:21:39.000 --> 0:21:41.400
<v Speaker 3>Australians are now spending a third more on their groceries

0:21:41.440 --> 0:21:43.439
<v Speaker 3>than they were not two years ago when this government

0:21:43.440 --> 0:21:45.600
<v Speaker 3>came to power, but just six months ago, when this

0:21:45.640 --> 0:21:48.359
<v Speaker 3>government says that it was focused on cost of living.

0:21:48.640 --> 0:21:51.479
<v Speaker 3>The media and grocery spend was two hundred bucks in August.

0:21:51.520 --> 0:21:54.399
<v Speaker 3>It was one hundred and fifty in January. When it

0:21:54.400 --> 0:21:56.560
<v Speaker 3>comes to power bills, the media and Electricity bill has

0:21:56.560 --> 0:21:58.960
<v Speaker 3>gone from three hundred to three hundred and fifty, not

0:21:59.040 --> 0:22:01.960
<v Speaker 3>in two years, but in just six months.

0:22:03.680 --> 0:22:04.040
<v Speaker 2>Meantime.

0:22:04.080 --> 0:22:06.600
<v Speaker 3>The Prime Minister and Grim Jim Chalmers, they think that

0:22:06.640 --> 0:22:08.760
<v Speaker 3>by going after shrink flation and pretending that it's the

0:22:08.800 --> 0:22:11.320
<v Speaker 3>supermarkets and every dollar that you spend in the supermarket

0:22:11.400 --> 0:22:14.399
<v Speaker 3>goes to the mustache twirling CEOs.

0:22:13.880 --> 0:22:14.760
<v Speaker 2>Of those companies.

0:22:14.960 --> 0:22:17.760
<v Speaker 3>The reality is again new polling which has come out

0:22:17.800 --> 0:22:21.159
<v Speaker 3>tonight under the cover of everything that is happening in

0:22:21.200 --> 0:22:26.119
<v Speaker 3>and around the recognition and commemoration in and around October seventh.

0:22:26.119 --> 0:22:28.600
<v Speaker 3>But this will make big news tomorrow when Parliament is back.

0:22:29.600 --> 0:22:32.159
<v Speaker 3>Albanizi is in voter sites over the cost of living.

0:22:32.960 --> 0:22:36.400
<v Speaker 3>Let's have a look here. Who do you hold responsible

0:22:36.720 --> 0:22:38.920
<v Speaker 3>for rising costs of living? Thirty six percent of people

0:22:38.960 --> 0:22:43.600
<v Speaker 3>say the federal government. The next biggest number there would

0:22:43.640 --> 0:22:46.280
<v Speaker 3>be that they are unsure. The next biggest number under

0:22:46.280 --> 0:22:50.320
<v Speaker 3>that would be global factors or business. But the government

0:22:50.520 --> 0:22:53.320
<v Speaker 3>is the main focus. Perhaps even more concerning for the

0:22:53.359 --> 0:22:58.240
<v Speaker 3>government inflation can I have many causes and remedies. Who

0:22:58.280 --> 0:23:00.960
<v Speaker 3>do you think has the greatest responsibility in care inflation down?

0:23:02.320 --> 0:23:04.960
<v Speaker 3>Nine percent of people say the Reserve Bank fifty A

0:23:05.040 --> 0:23:08.040
<v Speaker 3>majority of Australians are correct. It is the federal government

0:23:08.359 --> 0:23:12.159
<v Speaker 3>who have such responsibilities. But as always, they want to

0:23:12.200 --> 0:23:14.679
<v Speaker 3>change the subject. They want to pretend that the solutions

0:23:14.680 --> 0:23:17.800
<v Speaker 3>are bashing big business because they're the real problems, bashing

0:23:17.800 --> 0:23:19.760
<v Speaker 3>the Reserve Bank because they're the real problem. No, it's

0:23:19.800 --> 0:23:22.720
<v Speaker 3>the federal government, the very federal government. The promised, of course,

0:23:22.800 --> 0:23:26.080
<v Speaker 3>to bring cost of living down, remember that was their

0:23:26.160 --> 0:23:26.760
<v Speaker 3>central promise.

0:23:26.800 --> 0:23:27.880
<v Speaker 2>They have failed to do it.

0:23:27.880 --> 0:23:30.360
<v Speaker 3>It got worse in twenty two, much worse in twenty three,

0:23:30.560 --> 0:23:33.080
<v Speaker 3>and it continues to be much worse in twenty four.

0:23:33.800 --> 0:23:37.320
<v Speaker 3>What about this suggestion that comes via taxpayer media today

0:23:37.720 --> 0:23:40.840
<v Speaker 3>as a solution to the long lines of rental properties

0:23:40.840 --> 0:23:43.719
<v Speaker 3>around the country. Now, as I showed you last week,

0:23:44.000 --> 0:23:46.879
<v Speaker 3>the number of new dwellings that are being approved is

0:23:47.280 --> 0:23:50.359
<v Speaker 3>just as smigan compared to the midion people that have

0:23:50.440 --> 0:23:52.080
<v Speaker 3>been brought into the country in the past couple of

0:23:52.119 --> 0:23:54.280
<v Speaker 3>years by this government under immigration, because it makes.

0:23:54.200 --> 0:23:55.520
<v Speaker 2>The federal budget looks good.

0:23:56.160 --> 0:23:59.639
<v Speaker 3>So the ABC's solution, older Australians could rent out spare

0:23:59.720 --> 0:24:03.040
<v Speaker 3>room to help ease the housing crisis. New research suggests

0:24:03.720 --> 0:24:05.680
<v Speaker 3>like continue where you can shove that research and it's

0:24:06.080 --> 0:24:11.040
<v Speaker 3>right where it came from, the idea that you, because

0:24:11.080 --> 0:24:13.760
<v Speaker 3>your kids have moved out, should think about renting out

0:24:14.400 --> 0:24:19.000
<v Speaker 3>their old bedroom to help solve the housing crisis. Please,

0:24:19.560 --> 0:24:22.159
<v Speaker 3>the government should stop importing as many people as it

0:24:22.200 --> 0:24:26.760
<v Speaker 3>currently does. The government should be approving more dwellings to

0:24:26.800 --> 0:24:30.240
<v Speaker 3>be purchased. The government should not be talking about changes

0:24:30.280 --> 0:24:33.080
<v Speaker 3>to negative gearing changes which means people who buy those

0:24:33.119 --> 0:24:36.040
<v Speaker 3>properties for somebody to be able to rent would be

0:24:36.200 --> 0:24:40.439
<v Speaker 3>disincentivized from doing so. The idea that you are the solution,

0:24:40.560 --> 0:24:42.960
<v Speaker 3>therefore the problem, because you choose to live in the

0:24:42.960 --> 0:24:45.199
<v Speaker 3>same house that you brought your kids up in, you know,

0:24:45.240 --> 0:24:47.240
<v Speaker 3>the one that you worked your backside off to pay,

0:24:47.720 --> 0:24:50.359
<v Speaker 3>that you have renovated, that you have cleaned, that you

0:24:50.440 --> 0:24:53.480
<v Speaker 3>have toiled in the garden for decades. What world did

0:24:53.520 --> 0:24:59.000
<v Speaker 3>these people live in, because it is at ours. One

0:24:59.000 --> 0:25:01.360
<v Speaker 3>of the endless frustrations that we have had this year

0:25:01.440 --> 0:25:03.240
<v Speaker 3>was to see a gold medal being given to Dan

0:25:03.320 --> 0:25:06.359
<v Speaker 3>Andrews in part because of his response to public health.

0:25:06.960 --> 0:25:07.680
<v Speaker 2>That was a joke.

0:25:08.200 --> 0:25:10.199
<v Speaker 3>Yet, because of course he's part of the club, and

0:25:10.240 --> 0:25:12.120
<v Speaker 3>the club always finds a way to reward the club,

0:25:12.200 --> 0:25:16.399
<v Speaker 3>he ends up topping the King's Birthday honors just a

0:25:16.440 --> 0:25:21.879
<v Speaker 3>few weeks ago. Of course, it is completely unforgivable his

0:25:22.000 --> 0:25:24.920
<v Speaker 3>decisions in hotel quarantine, which resulted in, as we've told

0:25:24.960 --> 0:25:26.640
<v Speaker 3>you before, more than seven hundred people dying.

0:25:26.720 --> 0:25:28.000
<v Speaker 2>Yet he gets a gold medal.

0:25:29.040 --> 0:25:31.760
<v Speaker 3>The lockdowns, they were punitive, they were too long, you know,

0:25:31.840 --> 0:25:35.919
<v Speaker 3>that and even the Channel one newspapers recognized it last week.

0:25:36.520 --> 0:25:38.120
<v Speaker 2>But of course he won.

0:25:38.920 --> 0:25:41.280
<v Speaker 3>And because he won after locking down the state after

0:25:41.320 --> 0:25:43.639
<v Speaker 3>thirty three people died because the ambulance system didn't work,

0:25:43.680 --> 0:25:45.640
<v Speaker 3>then he's the winner forever and everyone else who's shut

0:25:45.760 --> 0:25:47.879
<v Speaker 3>up well. One of the ways that he was able

0:25:47.920 --> 0:25:51.880
<v Speaker 3>to win was because taxpayer money was being spent on polling,

0:25:52.480 --> 0:25:56.000
<v Speaker 3>the best type of polling, the most expensive type of polling.

0:25:56.480 --> 0:25:58.240
<v Speaker 3>It was to the benefit of the Labor Party, but

0:25:58.359 --> 0:25:59.920
<v Speaker 3>the Victorian government.

0:26:00.119 --> 0:26:01.639
<v Speaker 2>Was using it to advise itself.

0:26:02.240 --> 0:26:04.160
<v Speaker 3>Now, of course the Labour Party and the Victorian government

0:26:04.160 --> 0:26:08.080
<v Speaker 3>are indivisible, as the Corruption Commission has shown. Gray corruption

0:26:08.600 --> 0:26:11.480
<v Speaker 3>means that often the public service is indivisible from people

0:26:11.480 --> 0:26:13.360
<v Speaker 3>who are loyal to the government and the.

0:26:13.320 --> 0:26:14.400
<v Speaker 2>Party of the day.

0:26:15.200 --> 0:26:17.240
<v Speaker 3>Will today via the Australian who is not giving up

0:26:17.280 --> 0:26:19.080
<v Speaker 3>on this, and good on them for not giving up

0:26:19.080 --> 0:26:22.600
<v Speaker 3>on this. Will they give some details about the taxpayer

0:26:22.640 --> 0:26:26.080
<v Speaker 3>funded polling that men Andrews was making decisions to make

0:26:26.119 --> 0:26:30.400
<v Speaker 3>sure that he would win an election rather than the decisions.

0:26:30.000 --> 0:26:33.560
<v Speaker 2>That were right for Victoria.

0:26:33.760 --> 0:26:35.760
<v Speaker 3>In a significant victory for the public's right to know

0:26:35.840 --> 0:26:39.040
<v Speaker 3>Victoria's information. What dog has dismissed attempts by the Department

0:26:39.040 --> 0:26:42.800
<v Speaker 3>of Premier and Cabinet to keep documents secret about work

0:26:42.800 --> 0:26:46.800
<v Speaker 3>that was done by a research company. The newly released

0:26:46.800 --> 0:26:50.879
<v Speaker 3>documents reveal that they were conducting voter focus groups for

0:26:50.960 --> 0:26:54.399
<v Speaker 3>the government, not the Labour Party, the government on health, education,

0:26:54.520 --> 0:26:57.520
<v Speaker 3>roads and transport all the way through twenty twenty two.

0:26:57.760 --> 0:27:00.000
<v Speaker 3>The last of it was done just before the caretaker

0:27:00.040 --> 0:27:03.399
<v Speaker 3>period kicked in just a month before the then state election.

0:27:04.560 --> 0:27:07.159
<v Speaker 3>The Department was keen on testing how emerging cost of

0:27:07.200 --> 0:27:10.000
<v Speaker 3>living crisis was starting to impact on voters, with questions

0:27:10.200 --> 0:27:13.040
<v Speaker 3>like are you aware of prompted or unprompted the state

0:27:13.080 --> 0:27:15.160
<v Speaker 3>government initiatives like two hundred and fifty dollars of power

0:27:15.200 --> 0:27:19.080
<v Speaker 3>saving bonuses, free kindo sick pay guarantees, So basically questions

0:27:19.119 --> 0:27:22.960
<v Speaker 3>that were about politics. It goes on to say that

0:27:23.000 --> 0:27:25.399
<v Speaker 3>on the issue of health, the focus groups with the

0:27:25.520 --> 0:27:29.840
<v Speaker 3>guide the Department was keen on grilling voters about the

0:27:29.840 --> 0:27:34.800
<v Speaker 3>performance of ambulances, hospitals and elective surgery waiting lists. What's

0:27:34.880 --> 0:27:37.360
<v Speaker 3>your sense of ambulance response times at the moment? Now,

0:27:37.400 --> 0:27:40.879
<v Speaker 3>this was because thirty three people had died as a

0:27:40.920 --> 0:27:44.480
<v Speaker 3>result of the collapse in the TRIPLEO system. The polling,

0:27:44.800 --> 0:27:48.399
<v Speaker 3>which was paid for by the taxpayer, was overtly political.

0:27:49.280 --> 0:27:52.840
<v Speaker 3>But because there is no firewall between the public service

0:27:52.840 --> 0:27:56.080
<v Speaker 3>of Victoria and the politics of Victoria, what is referred

0:27:56.080 --> 0:27:58.720
<v Speaker 3>to again as the Great corruption by their Corruption Commission.

0:27:59.000 --> 0:28:05.720
<v Speaker 2>This is what they're talking about now.

0:28:05.760 --> 0:28:07.560
<v Speaker 3>For some reason, of course, we continue on with this

0:28:07.760 --> 0:28:10.040
<v Speaker 3>conversation about the voice, despite the fact that more than

0:28:10.040 --> 0:28:12.040
<v Speaker 3>a year ago Australia made its decision and it was

0:28:12.040 --> 0:28:14.320
<v Speaker 3>hell no, sixty forty hell no.

0:28:14.320 --> 0:28:14.480
<v Speaker 2>Now.

0:28:14.520 --> 0:28:16.879
<v Speaker 3>I don't know why this keeps popping up in newspapers,

0:28:16.920 --> 0:28:19.920
<v Speaker 3>particularly on weekends. They keep sort of doing feature pieces

0:28:20.320 --> 0:28:22.879
<v Speaker 3>about the Yes side and how it's licking its wounds

0:28:22.960 --> 0:28:24.760
<v Speaker 3>or why we were all wrong to make the decisions

0:28:24.760 --> 0:28:25.320
<v Speaker 3>that we did.

0:28:26.320 --> 0:28:27.000
<v Speaker 2>One of these was.

0:28:26.960 --> 0:28:29.399
<v Speaker 3>Meghan Davis who popped up and earn a story in

0:28:29.440 --> 0:28:34.280
<v Speaker 3>the Financial Review. Well she says that disinformation and overheated

0:28:34.280 --> 0:28:39.240
<v Speaker 3>partisanship fuelled the defeat. Who cares Australians made a decision.

0:28:39.640 --> 0:28:42.720
<v Speaker 3>They had all of the information and they made the decision.

0:28:43.360 --> 0:28:45.080
<v Speaker 3>If I was in government and I had been elected,

0:28:45.080 --> 0:28:47.160
<v Speaker 3>and I had polling suggesting the referreendum wasn't going to win.

0:28:47.200 --> 0:28:48.560
<v Speaker 2>I would have pulled up stumps.

0:28:48.720 --> 0:28:51.120
<v Speaker 3>She says, I don't think anyone was prepared for how

0:28:51.160 --> 0:28:56.959
<v Speaker 3>devisive and nasty that no campaign would be. No one apparently, please.

0:28:58.280 --> 0:29:00.600
<v Speaker 3>People in the democracy have a right to say no.

0:29:00.960 --> 0:29:02.840
<v Speaker 3>They have a right to say, you know what, we've

0:29:02.880 --> 0:29:07.480
<v Speaker 3>heard your argument and we disagree. It's not disinformation, misinformation

0:29:07.680 --> 0:29:08.240
<v Speaker 3>or lies.

0:29:08.720 --> 0:29:12.920
<v Speaker 2>They just disagreed. Now, I'm sorry to say it.

0:29:12.920 --> 0:29:17.160
<v Speaker 3>For twelve months on why are they still writing about it.

0:29:17.160 --> 0:29:21.840
<v Speaker 3>It wasn't fifty forty nine point nine, it was sixty forty.

0:29:22.640 --> 0:29:25.200
<v Speaker 2>Even Lefty Victoria said no.

0:29:26.200 --> 0:29:29.520
<v Speaker 3>What an insight into how people make their decisions in

0:29:29.560 --> 0:29:31.800
<v Speaker 3>and around the wider media. I don't know why this

0:29:31.880 --> 0:29:34.480
<v Speaker 3>keeps getting run but it does. Let's get to America

0:29:34.560 --> 0:29:37.880
<v Speaker 3>where I think right now, this week, a month out.

0:29:37.960 --> 0:29:39.840
<v Speaker 3>Who knows what happens in the end, but I think

0:29:39.880 --> 0:29:42.680
<v Speaker 3>Trump is leading. I explained in some detail to you

0:29:42.760 --> 0:29:44.720
<v Speaker 3>last night about why I think Trump is leading.

0:29:45.000 --> 0:29:47.400
<v Speaker 2>Well, I can show you one of the data points here.

0:29:47.560 --> 0:29:50.400
<v Speaker 3>The bookies, now again they can be inexact, and they're

0:29:50.440 --> 0:29:52.480
<v Speaker 3>not suggesting there's a runaway right now, but they say

0:29:52.520 --> 0:29:55.840
<v Speaker 3>there's a fifty and a bit chance of Trump winning That,

0:29:55.920 --> 0:29:57.920
<v Speaker 3>of course, is a majority compared to Harris, who has

0:29:57.960 --> 0:29:59.280
<v Speaker 3>been going down over the.

0:29:59.200 --> 0:30:00.280
<v Speaker 2>Past few days.

0:30:00.480 --> 0:30:03.320
<v Speaker 3>The key reason because they believe that Trump is now

0:30:03.360 --> 0:30:06.320
<v Speaker 3>a fifty five percent chance of winning the state of Pennsylvania, where,

0:30:06.360 --> 0:30:08.960
<v Speaker 3>of course he had the rally yesterday, where months earlier

0:30:09.000 --> 0:30:13.760
<v Speaker 3>somebody tried to kill him if the polls were frozen

0:30:13.760 --> 0:30:17.040
<v Speaker 3>in time and turned into an election. According to Real

0:30:17.120 --> 0:30:19.560
<v Speaker 3>Clear Politics, the suggestion is that Trump would win. He

0:30:19.680 --> 0:30:22.560
<v Speaker 3>needs two to seventy at two eighty one versus Harrison

0:30:22.600 --> 0:30:25.360
<v Speaker 3>Waltz at two fifty seven. So how are the left

0:30:25.360 --> 0:30:28.600
<v Speaker 3>he's taking it. Let's first check in with MSNBC.

0:30:31.000 --> 0:30:35.719
<v Speaker 9>What I'm hearing from Democratic and Republican business people and

0:30:35.840 --> 0:30:37.440
<v Speaker 9>a lot of men. And she's got such a big

0:30:37.480 --> 0:30:39.560
<v Speaker 9>problem with man. I think there's an under account of

0:30:39.600 --> 0:30:42.280
<v Speaker 9>the Trump vote. I think that there's a missed misagenation

0:30:42.520 --> 0:30:45.320
<v Speaker 9>in all of this black and white man.

0:30:46.680 --> 0:30:48.360
<v Speaker 3>Oh, of course, when they don't vote for who you

0:30:48.400 --> 0:30:50.320
<v Speaker 3>want to, it has to be racist and more sexist

0:30:50.320 --> 0:30:51.640
<v Speaker 3>and more misogyny.

0:30:51.240 --> 0:30:51.640
<v Speaker 2>Or all three.

0:30:51.680 --> 0:30:54.480
<v Speaker 3>In this case, again, she could win, She could secretly

0:30:54.520 --> 0:30:56.280
<v Speaker 3>be winning, and she could be winning by an even

0:30:56.320 --> 0:31:02.200
<v Speaker 3>bigger margin than oba they know she isn't, which means

0:31:02.280 --> 0:31:05.640
<v Speaker 3>Q more lifty ts and wild claims about what might

0:31:05.680 --> 0:31:08.240
<v Speaker 3>will happen for man who's been president and didn't do

0:31:08.280 --> 0:31:09.760
<v Speaker 3>any of this stuff when he was.

0:31:12.120 --> 0:31:14.720
<v Speaker 10>We are not at a point right now to be

0:31:14.880 --> 0:31:17.880
<v Speaker 10>talking about policy difference. This is not about economic difference,

0:31:18.000 --> 0:31:20.840
<v Speaker 10>because we are not running against a normal human being,

0:31:20.920 --> 0:31:23.640
<v Speaker 10>right We are running against Donald Trump, who is an

0:31:23.680 --> 0:31:26.280
<v Speaker 10>existential threat to humanity.

0:31:26.440 --> 0:31:30.320
<v Speaker 11>And I mean the words that came to mind when

0:31:30.360 --> 0:31:34.440
<v Speaker 11>I've read about this controversy today is the gross luga

0:31:34.600 --> 0:31:39.080
<v Speaker 11>who was a phrase coined by Adolf Hitler in mindcomf

0:31:39.120 --> 0:31:42.720
<v Speaker 11>in nineteen twenty five for a propaganda technique by which

0:31:42.760 --> 0:31:45.760
<v Speaker 11>you tell as big a lie as possible so that

0:31:45.800 --> 0:31:47.080
<v Speaker 11>people will believe bigger.

0:31:47.160 --> 0:31:47.480
<v Speaker 2>I think.

0:31:47.480 --> 0:31:50.520
<v Speaker 11>But Donald Trump does that as a matter of course.

0:31:50.560 --> 0:31:52.880
<v Speaker 11>He's a pathological liar and a sociopath.

0:31:53.000 --> 0:31:55.800
<v Speaker 12>And when he turns around and says jen to you know,

0:31:55.880 --> 0:31:59.200
<v Speaker 12>like the head of this network or other people who

0:31:59.280 --> 0:32:02.880
<v Speaker 12>are critics, that he intends to use sealed team sex

0:32:03.000 --> 0:32:06.320
<v Speaker 12>or the military within which to round up his critics

0:32:06.400 --> 0:32:09.160
<v Speaker 12>or his opponents, he intends.

0:32:08.760 --> 0:32:09.240
<v Speaker 1>To do it.

0:32:09.400 --> 0:32:12.400
<v Speaker 12>And I see that with firsthand experience.

0:32:14.600 --> 0:32:17.560
<v Speaker 3>The best thing if Trump wins will be watching their

0:32:17.560 --> 0:32:19.760
<v Speaker 3>reaction in real time, which, of course they will turn

0:32:19.800 --> 0:32:22.440
<v Speaker 3>into scandal for four years, but at least will be

0:32:22.440 --> 0:32:24.720
<v Speaker 3>fun to watch on election not or maybe it'll be

0:32:24.800 --> 0:32:27.240
<v Speaker 3>us that are crying. We'll all find out together. Quick

0:32:27.240 --> 0:32:29.000
<v Speaker 3>break back with more lots to talk about. No sooks,

0:32:29.000 --> 0:32:30.480
<v Speaker 3>no lefties. Looking forward to this in the moment or

0:32:30.480 --> 0:32:31.800
<v Speaker 3>two's time here on Paul Murray Live.

0:32:36.560 --> 0:32:37.320
<v Speaker 2>Thank you so much.

0:32:37.360 --> 0:32:39.360
<v Speaker 3>I'm sorry to sell you a Papa said, no sooks,

0:32:39.360 --> 0:32:41.280
<v Speaker 3>no lefties. He's not a full on lefty, but he's

0:32:41.360 --> 0:32:44.239
<v Speaker 3>kinder by our standards. I'm wearing the red jacket, he's

0:32:44.280 --> 0:32:44.800
<v Speaker 3>wearing the blue.

0:32:44.800 --> 0:32:50.000
<v Speaker 13>Who knows what's going on? That incredible.

0:32:50.080 --> 0:32:52.080
<v Speaker 3>God love the good people of rem Brand. They are

0:32:52.160 --> 0:32:55.239
<v Speaker 3>wonderful and Elias in particular. God love rem Brand. All right,

0:32:55.280 --> 0:32:59.400
<v Speaker 3>see there we go, get another and the wonderful make

0:32:59.440 --> 0:33:02.040
<v Speaker 3>an event right now as well, of course, because Parliament

0:33:02.120 --> 0:33:05.600
<v Speaker 3>is heading back into full play tomorrow. Matt, I want

0:33:05.600 --> 0:33:09.480
<v Speaker 3>to get your response to what is taking place tonight.

0:33:09.840 --> 0:33:13.400
<v Speaker 3>Where for obvious reasons, there are sacred days for certain communities.

0:33:13.480 --> 0:33:17.520
<v Speaker 3>Now they may not be the days they're automatically jumped

0:33:17.560 --> 0:33:18.880
<v Speaker 3>to people who aren't.

0:33:18.600 --> 0:33:19.360
<v Speaker 2>In those communities.

0:33:19.400 --> 0:33:21.840
<v Speaker 3>But it's pretty obvious what October the seventh is, all right,

0:33:21.960 --> 0:33:24.440
<v Speaker 3>It's pretty obvious that that is a day when Australian

0:33:24.520 --> 0:33:28.400
<v Speaker 3>Jews mourn what took place in Israel. But some of

0:33:28.400 --> 0:33:29.880
<v Speaker 3>the stuff that is being said, and if we can

0:33:29.920 --> 0:33:31.880
<v Speaker 3>bring it back from the editorial guys, the stuff that's

0:33:31.920 --> 0:33:34.880
<v Speaker 3>being said on the steps of the lakember Mosque tonight

0:33:35.440 --> 0:33:39.680
<v Speaker 3>is in my view, intentionally inflammatory. It is intentionally insensitive,

0:33:39.880 --> 0:33:43.920
<v Speaker 3>It is intentionally basically a giant f You now, remember

0:33:44.520 --> 0:33:47.680
<v Speaker 3>when the attacks took place on the streets of same

0:33:47.720 --> 0:33:50.040
<v Speaker 3>said sober people were out and about and saying it

0:33:50.080 --> 0:33:52.600
<v Speaker 3>was a day of victory. Twelve months on, no change

0:33:52.600 --> 0:33:53.640
<v Speaker 3>in the rhetoric roll the.

0:33:53.680 --> 0:33:59.360
<v Speaker 7>Tape the seventh of October, what it is is an

0:33:59.400 --> 0:34:02.800
<v Speaker 7>act of resistance, and Francesca Albanezi said that the seventh

0:34:02.840 --> 0:34:07.720
<v Speaker 7>of October does not remove the Palestinia right to defend herself.

0:34:07.960 --> 0:34:15.440
<v Speaker 8>I ask of you to continue all the actions that

0:34:15.520 --> 0:34:21.640
<v Speaker 8>you have started one year ago, and do not stop

0:34:22.560 --> 0:34:26.560
<v Speaker 8>until we see the crumbling of Zionism, until we see

0:34:26.600 --> 0:34:29.279
<v Speaker 8>the end of the occupying as radioforces.

0:34:30.640 --> 0:34:34.120
<v Speaker 2>Matt, what do you think, Look.

0:34:34.280 --> 0:34:38.760
<v Speaker 4>I wish we could just focus on the heartache, the loss,

0:34:39.840 --> 0:34:43.439
<v Speaker 4>the solemn feelings that many Australians are feeling tonight. Many

0:34:43.440 --> 0:34:47.479
<v Speaker 4>Australians losts, lost loved ones, family members, friends, some still

0:34:47.520 --> 0:34:52.080
<v Speaker 4>know people in captivity twelve months on from a shocking event,

0:34:52.880 --> 0:34:54.719
<v Speaker 4>And yeah, you would wish, you wish, especially just a

0:34:54.800 --> 0:34:57.239
<v Speaker 4>year on, just twelve months on, that the focus would

0:34:57.320 --> 0:35:00.920
<v Speaker 4>be on that. So I I'm sort of reluctant to

0:35:00.920 --> 0:35:03.880
<v Speaker 4>want to speak about and iment on those people. I

0:35:03.880 --> 0:35:05.200
<v Speaker 4>don't think they deserve airtime.

0:35:05.239 --> 0:35:06.560
<v Speaker 1>But look, I.

0:35:06.560 --> 0:35:08.760
<v Speaker 4>Don't think they do themselves any favors to their cause.

0:35:09.680 --> 0:35:13.000
<v Speaker 4>I've certainly got sympathy for the plight of innocent Palestinians

0:35:13.000 --> 0:35:15.239
<v Speaker 4>and what's happened since October seven.

0:35:15.280 --> 0:35:16.240
<v Speaker 1>It's hurt a lot of people.

0:35:16.320 --> 0:35:20.319
<v Speaker 4>But they don't help their cause to pre palace time

0:35:20.360 --> 0:35:26.319
<v Speaker 4>whatever their cause is, by producing the heartache of other Australians.

0:35:26.840 --> 0:35:28.760
<v Speaker 4>But I just wish we could come together on days

0:35:28.800 --> 0:35:32.200
<v Speaker 4>like that today. I suppose it's a forlorn wish. There's

0:35:32.320 --> 0:35:33.759
<v Speaker 4>enough to vision the world, why do we need to

0:35:33.840 --> 0:35:35.520
<v Speaker 4>repeat it here in the streets of Australia.

0:35:35.560 --> 0:35:37.480
<v Speaker 3>And also, just like the people who were changing the

0:35:37.480 --> 0:35:40.200
<v Speaker 3>symbols on the flag, so there was a very strategic decision.

0:35:40.239 --> 0:35:41.799
<v Speaker 3>If you do it on the steps of the Moss,

0:35:41.920 --> 0:35:43.640
<v Speaker 3>then it can sort of be interpreted as some sort

0:35:43.640 --> 0:35:46.439
<v Speaker 3>of faux religious ceremony. Therefore, police weren't going to crack

0:35:46.480 --> 0:35:49.440
<v Speaker 3>down more. But let's step out to the other protests

0:35:49.480 --> 0:35:56.480
<v Speaker 3>that have been around where sam two recent examples. Now,

0:35:56.520 --> 0:36:00.200
<v Speaker 3>again I'm not carrying water for molo Unopolis, but he

0:36:00.400 --> 0:36:03.880
<v Speaker 3>was controversial figure who was able to do a speaking

0:36:03.880 --> 0:36:06.719
<v Speaker 3>to her in Sydney Millon in Melbourne, they booked a room,

0:36:06.760 --> 0:36:10.920
<v Speaker 3>they sold tickets, people turned up to protest, yet the

0:36:10.960 --> 0:36:13.880
<v Speaker 3>promoters were sent the bill for the protesters turning up. Now,

0:36:13.920 --> 0:36:15.480
<v Speaker 3>they didn't do anything wrong, so why do they have

0:36:15.520 --> 0:36:18.000
<v Speaker 3>to pay for the protesters. Nigel Faras does the same

0:36:18.000 --> 0:36:21.080
<v Speaker 3>thing in Sydney. He books a venue, sells tickets, but

0:36:21.120 --> 0:36:24.359
<v Speaker 3>the people who turn up to protest his team gets

0:36:24.400 --> 0:36:25.400
<v Speaker 3>sent a bill.

0:36:25.200 --> 0:36:25.920
<v Speaker 2>From the police.

0:36:26.640 --> 0:36:29.279
<v Speaker 3>Why doesn't a bill get sent to the people who

0:36:29.360 --> 0:36:32.080
<v Speaker 3>are running the protests on the very days when the

0:36:32.120 --> 0:36:34.600
<v Speaker 3>police say this is not a good day for a protest.

0:36:34.800 --> 0:36:37.400
<v Speaker 13>Look, it's an absolutely fair question, Paul. I think the

0:36:37.520 --> 0:36:39.800
<v Speaker 13>issue is that no one should be sent the bills

0:36:39.840 --> 0:36:42.280
<v Speaker 13>for the protests. You know, I think in this country,

0:36:42.280 --> 0:36:44.759
<v Speaker 13>whether you agree or disagree with the issue, or want

0:36:44.760 --> 0:36:46.560
<v Speaker 13>to see the protests or not, I think we all

0:36:46.600 --> 0:36:49.600
<v Speaker 13>recommend and recognize that there is a right of everyone

0:36:49.680 --> 0:36:52.280
<v Speaker 13>to get out there and have a protest. Now you agree,

0:36:52.320 --> 0:36:55.600
<v Speaker 13>none for Milo or none for no one, or in

0:36:55.640 --> 0:36:57.480
<v Speaker 13>my view, if it's good enough, then it's good enough

0:36:57.520 --> 0:36:57.680
<v Speaker 13>for ever.

0:36:57.840 --> 0:36:59.560
<v Speaker 2>Well, no, because we're going to end up in the

0:36:59.560 --> 0:37:00.640
<v Speaker 2>same s. I agree.

0:37:00.719 --> 0:37:03.200
<v Speaker 13>You can't have a subjective view where you're billing one

0:37:03.239 --> 0:37:05.800
<v Speaker 13>person and not the other, because then who's going to decide,

0:37:05.840 --> 0:37:08.359
<v Speaker 13>you know. I think in the same way, Matt has

0:37:08.360 --> 0:37:12.160
<v Speaker 13>a right to organize a protest about you know, carbon taxes,

0:37:12.440 --> 0:37:15.120
<v Speaker 13>I have a right to organize an industrial rights you know,

0:37:15.320 --> 0:37:17.840
<v Speaker 13>your rights at work protests, and I think that's fine.

0:37:17.960 --> 0:37:20.600
<v Speaker 13>And the police should be there to keep everyone safe

0:37:20.680 --> 0:37:24.200
<v Speaker 13>and make sure it's an orderly protest and no bills,

0:37:24.680 --> 0:37:27.359
<v Speaker 13>no bills, All right, Now, I've got you go, Matt.

0:37:28.640 --> 0:37:29.120
<v Speaker 1>Well, I've got.

0:37:29.000 --> 0:37:31.279
<v Speaker 4>A quicker turn of I agree with Sam, although I

0:37:31.360 --> 0:37:33.800
<v Speaker 4>think what we should do is start raising more money

0:37:33.800 --> 0:37:36.520
<v Speaker 4>from those protesters they break the law. So some of

0:37:36.520 --> 0:37:39.000
<v Speaker 4>them do actually break the law and stopping people going

0:37:39.000 --> 0:37:41.040
<v Speaker 4>about their business or commit commit vandalism.

0:37:41.400 --> 0:37:43.719
<v Speaker 13>I'd agree with that charge there more money.

0:37:43.480 --> 0:37:45.200
<v Speaker 1>And then you can then that helps offset the cost

0:37:45.239 --> 0:37:45.680
<v Speaker 1>of police.

0:37:45.880 --> 0:37:48.600
<v Speaker 13>And certainly the people that vandalize things and you know

0:37:48.680 --> 0:37:51.799
<v Speaker 13>the climate nutters who you know park in the middle

0:37:51.840 --> 0:37:55.280
<v Speaker 13>of tunnels. Sure, sure those people find them.

0:37:55.480 --> 0:37:58.080
<v Speaker 3>Those costs of disruption flow, but not the cost of

0:37:58.120 --> 0:38:02.520
<v Speaker 3>the policing. Okay, Now Hillary Clinton may well have accidentally surprise, surprise,

0:38:02.600 --> 0:38:04.480
<v Speaker 3>said the quiet bit out loud. Now, as we know,

0:38:04.600 --> 0:38:07.040
<v Speaker 3>this government here in Australia is trying to censor the

0:38:07.080 --> 0:38:09.799
<v Speaker 3>Internet because of misinformation, despite the fact there are many

0:38:09.800 --> 0:38:12.799
<v Speaker 3>other laws about libel and defamation and all the rest

0:38:12.800 --> 0:38:15.080
<v Speaker 3>of it. Well, she said this about why we need

0:38:15.120 --> 0:38:18.239
<v Speaker 3>to crack down more on what he said on social media.

0:38:18.239 --> 0:38:20.960
<v Speaker 3>And now remember, unlike the United States, the United States

0:38:21.000 --> 0:38:23.960
<v Speaker 3>actually has written into their Bill of Rights the freedom

0:38:24.000 --> 0:38:24.920
<v Speaker 3>of speech.

0:38:26.320 --> 0:38:30.759
<v Speaker 14>That if the platforms, whether it's Facebook or Twitter, x

0:38:30.920 --> 0:38:35.360
<v Speaker 14>or Instagram or TikTok, whatever they are, if they don't

0:38:35.400 --> 0:38:40.560
<v Speaker 14>moderate and monitor the content, we lose total control. And

0:38:40.640 --> 0:38:44.880
<v Speaker 14>it's not just the social and psychological effects, it's real harm.

0:38:46.360 --> 0:38:48.719
<v Speaker 2>We lose total control. Matt, what does that mean?

0:38:50.560 --> 0:38:52.440
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I really want to know what the word we

0:38:52.680 --> 0:38:56.120
<v Speaker 4>means in that sentence with a way, I'm not sure

0:38:56.160 --> 0:38:59.160
<v Speaker 4>they are all the American people. It's very concerning, and

0:38:59.160 --> 0:39:03.040
<v Speaker 4>there's an explicit strategy from some agencies with the US

0:39:03.080 --> 0:39:07.959
<v Speaker 4>to try and circumvent their First Amendment by imposing free

0:39:08.040 --> 0:39:11.600
<v Speaker 4>speech restrictions in other countries, which would potentially also then

0:39:11.640 --> 0:39:14.920
<v Speaker 4>bhind the American social media companies for America too.

0:39:14.920 --> 0:39:16.680
<v Speaker 1>Obviously, that's happening here in Australia.

0:39:16.320 --> 0:39:20.000
<v Speaker 4>With our Misinformation and Disinformation Bill so called misinformation. It's

0:39:20.040 --> 0:39:22.640
<v Speaker 4>also happening in Europe as well. I think it's very

0:39:22.640 --> 0:39:25.680
<v Speaker 4>concerning times. I think Australians to serve to speak freely

0:39:25.719 --> 0:39:28.160
<v Speaker 4>about political issues. And a point that's not made very

0:39:28.200 --> 0:39:30.880
<v Speaker 4>often but is almost equally important Paul, is that I

0:39:31.040 --> 0:39:34.319
<v Speaker 4>have the right to also listen to my fellow Australians,

0:39:34.400 --> 0:39:37.080
<v Speaker 4>because every time you silence someone from speaking, you're also

0:39:37.160 --> 0:39:40.000
<v Speaker 4>restricting the rights of someone else to hear those views.

0:39:40.040 --> 0:39:41.920
<v Speaker 4>I also want to hear from people I disagree with.

0:39:41.960 --> 0:39:47.320
<v Speaker 4>For example, X recently canceled Istraian Conservation Foundation over nuclear energy.

0:39:47.480 --> 0:39:49.640
<v Speaker 1>I didn't agree with that. They're my political opponents.

0:39:49.680 --> 0:39:51.520
<v Speaker 4>I didn't like what they had to say, but I

0:39:51.600 --> 0:39:54.879
<v Speaker 4>have every right to hear what they have to say.

0:39:53.719 --> 0:39:57.680
<v Speaker 4>That is the test of a free, healthy, and functioning

0:39:57.719 --> 0:40:01.360
<v Speaker 4>democratic society. And this move to reintroduce a modern former

0:40:01.400 --> 0:40:06.279
<v Speaker 4>blasphemy and starts censoring particular political views is incredibly retrograde

0:40:06.600 --> 0:40:08.520
<v Speaker 4>and it needs to be stopped in its tracks.

0:40:09.000 --> 0:40:11.240
<v Speaker 2>As a man who'd like Harris to win, Gee's Hillary

0:40:11.280 --> 0:40:12.440
<v Speaker 2>is always helpful, isn't she.

0:40:12.600 --> 0:40:15.759
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so it's always so helpful. And it's not like

0:40:16.000 --> 0:40:18.880
<v Speaker 3>a person who runs one of these social media companies

0:40:19.160 --> 0:40:22.279
<v Speaker 3>hasn't already said that he's pro the other guy in

0:40:22.360 --> 0:40:22.880
<v Speaker 3>the race.

0:40:23.760 --> 0:40:28.040
<v Speaker 13>It's a level of spectacular introspection or lack thereof, that

0:40:28.640 --> 0:40:33.520
<v Speaker 13>makes this person launch her book in the maelstrom of

0:40:34.200 --> 0:40:39.319
<v Speaker 13>a election campaign against the person that beat her what

0:40:39.920 --> 0:40:42.960
<v Speaker 13>eight years ago? It is just the idea, because that's

0:40:43.000 --> 0:40:45.680
<v Speaker 13>what the interview was. It was her advertised for a

0:40:45.719 --> 0:40:50.200
<v Speaker 13>new book, and you know, find write your book, another autobiography.

0:40:49.640 --> 0:40:52.560
<v Speaker 13>I think we're up to about fourth or fifth autobiography.

0:40:52.600 --> 0:40:55.040
<v Speaker 13>I mean Kevin only had two. But you know, write

0:40:55.040 --> 0:40:57.200
<v Speaker 13>your book, good, good, you know, get it out there.

0:40:57.200 --> 0:40:59.440
<v Speaker 13>But do you have to do it now? At the

0:40:59.440 --> 0:41:02.360
<v Speaker 13>point that Democrats are doing their best to get people

0:41:02.480 --> 0:41:08.759
<v Speaker 13>interested and enthused about Kamala Harris and disliking Donald Trump.

0:41:08.760 --> 0:41:11.759
<v Speaker 13>Do you want to remind people that will actually you know,

0:41:11.840 --> 0:41:14.200
<v Speaker 13>this was the last time they ran someone that Trump

0:41:14.280 --> 0:41:14.640
<v Speaker 13>ran again.

0:41:14.680 --> 0:41:16.759
<v Speaker 2>But also perhaps I have a strange view on this, right.

0:41:17.160 --> 0:41:19.680
<v Speaker 3>I think the way to push back against what they

0:41:19.760 --> 0:41:22.920
<v Speaker 3>believe to be conspiracy theories.

0:41:22.800 --> 0:41:25.839
<v Speaker 2>Whatever whatever is maximum transparency. Right.

0:41:26.200 --> 0:41:29.319
<v Speaker 3>But gone are the days when you only had to

0:41:29.600 --> 0:41:32.719
<v Speaker 3>have mates at four TV stations and a couple of

0:41:32.800 --> 0:41:35.400
<v Speaker 3>newspapers to be able to make sure I come on,

0:41:35.520 --> 0:41:38.120
<v Speaker 3>knock this out. The reality is we have technology now

0:41:38.160 --> 0:41:43.120
<v Speaker 3>that means we can all as adults be able to handle.

0:41:42.960 --> 0:41:44.600
<v Speaker 2>Information in real time.

0:41:44.680 --> 0:41:47.799
<v Speaker 3>The hilaries of this world, you know who simultaneously want

0:41:47.840 --> 0:41:50.279
<v Speaker 3>to press the reset button with Russia while pretending they're

0:41:50.280 --> 0:41:51.560
<v Speaker 3>fiddling with Americans.

0:41:52.000 --> 0:41:53.719
<v Speaker 13>So he's not the one I trust with it. This

0:41:53.800 --> 0:41:56.120
<v Speaker 13>is in an area that I know a huge amount about.

0:41:56.400 --> 0:41:59.040
<v Speaker 13>I'll freely that doesn't saw anyone on this shot no

0:41:59.440 --> 0:42:02.480
<v Speaker 13>fair point. I just don't know why we can't have

0:42:02.560 --> 0:42:04.920
<v Speaker 13>more verification of who you are when you go online.

0:42:04.960 --> 0:42:08.200
<v Speaker 13>When we go on this eg free work exactly right,

0:42:08.239 --> 0:42:10.440
<v Speaker 13>when we go on this show, we're all responsible for

0:42:10.480 --> 0:42:11.879
<v Speaker 13>what we say. And if we call someone a name,

0:42:11.880 --> 0:42:13.840
<v Speaker 13>we're able to be sit you go online and you

0:42:13.840 --> 0:42:15.680
<v Speaker 13>can say whatever you want, like there is a reason

0:42:15.719 --> 0:42:21.520
<v Speaker 13>that LinkedIn is a frankly harmonious, responsible place because people

0:42:21.560 --> 0:42:24.040
<v Speaker 13>are boring by Well, yeah, sure it's boring.

0:42:24.280 --> 0:42:26.719
<v Speaker 3>I'm not aware of LinkedIn. I'm happy with my job

0:42:26.760 --> 0:42:28.799
<v Speaker 3>and I don't need to go hunting anytime soon. Break

0:42:28.880 --> 0:42:31.799
<v Speaker 3>Quick Break Mac with more here on Pall Murray Live.

0:42:32.080 --> 0:42:34.120
<v Speaker 3>Sam's happy with his, by the way, Matt's happy with his.

0:42:34.400 --> 0:42:35.520
<v Speaker 1>Just help me out quit.

0:42:35.400 --> 0:42:36.240
<v Speaker 2>Break one and a second.

0:42:41.040 --> 0:42:43.200
<v Speaker 3>Thank you very much for watching our next Our town

0:42:43.280 --> 0:42:44.960
<v Speaker 3>locations up in a couple of weeks and it's going

0:42:45.040 --> 0:42:48.279
<v Speaker 3>to be beautiful lon set than in Tasmania. I can't

0:42:48.280 --> 0:42:50.760
<v Speaker 3>wait to get there, even written down for you Sunday,

0:42:50.800 --> 0:42:53.680
<v Speaker 3>the twentieth of October, a couple of weeks time, the

0:42:53.680 --> 0:42:56.280
<v Speaker 3>weekend before the Queen's Land election, get rid of Stephen Mars,

0:42:56.719 --> 0:42:59.440
<v Speaker 3>two weekends before the American election. Fight fight fight, But

0:42:59.520 --> 0:43:01.680
<v Speaker 3>we will be there our town sky news dot com

0:43:01.680 --> 0:43:03.600
<v Speaker 3>dot are you if you are in lon Cesston, if

0:43:03.640 --> 0:43:06.160
<v Speaker 3>you can get to northern Tasmania, look forward to seeing

0:43:06.160 --> 0:43:08.200
<v Speaker 3>you there. Got so many friends there and I look

0:43:08.239 --> 0:43:10.600
<v Speaker 3>forward to see you. So let's fill the room right

0:43:10.640 --> 0:43:13.080
<v Speaker 3>now ourtown at skyes dot com. That are you, Lonnie

0:43:13.120 --> 0:43:16.080
<v Speaker 3>in a couple of weeks. Time cannot wait. In the meantime,

0:43:16.080 --> 0:43:17.840
<v Speaker 3>I'm hanging out with my mates, Mat Canavan and of

0:43:17.880 --> 0:43:18.880
<v Speaker 3>course Sam Crosby.

0:43:18.960 --> 0:43:20.759
<v Speaker 2>Now let's get into American politics here.

0:43:20.960 --> 0:43:21.120
<v Speaker 1>Now.

0:43:21.160 --> 0:43:23.479
<v Speaker 3>I have shown a little bit of data before about

0:43:23.480 --> 0:43:26.080
<v Speaker 3>why I think Trump is in the lead. Last night

0:43:26.080 --> 0:43:29.520
<v Speaker 3>I got into some granular detail that won't surprise anyone

0:43:29.960 --> 0:43:33.319
<v Speaker 3>about the polling areas of twenty twenty that basically said,

0:43:33.520 --> 0:43:35.680
<v Speaker 3>you know, Biden was winning by this much when he

0:43:35.760 --> 0:43:37.960
<v Speaker 3>actually ended up winning by this much. So when they're

0:43:37.960 --> 0:43:41.680
<v Speaker 3>showing ties, then presumably that's going to be good for Trump.

0:43:41.440 --> 0:43:42.600
<v Speaker 2>Right, But who knows.

0:43:42.719 --> 0:43:44.719
<v Speaker 3>So I'm going to ask you this question every week

0:43:44.760 --> 0:43:48.040
<v Speaker 3>for the next month or so, which is, Matt, why

0:43:48.080 --> 0:43:50.200
<v Speaker 3>do you think Trump is winning? Is there a piece

0:43:50.239 --> 0:43:53.480
<v Speaker 3>of data or just your good old gut that's telling

0:43:53.520 --> 0:43:54.560
<v Speaker 3>you na, he's fine?

0:43:56.640 --> 0:43:58.040
<v Speaker 1>Well, a lot of it is my gun. I've said

0:43:58.040 --> 0:43:59.360
<v Speaker 1>this program many times.

0:43:59.600 --> 0:44:01.720
<v Speaker 4>I just I think he is a much better match

0:44:01.760 --> 0:44:05.000
<v Speaker 4>for the states that are in play that are important

0:44:05.000 --> 0:44:09.400
<v Speaker 4>in the Midwest and in Arizona and Nevada, it just

0:44:09.680 --> 0:44:13.440
<v Speaker 4>Carmla Harris being a pretty left wing liberal senator from

0:44:13.480 --> 0:44:17.400
<v Speaker 4>San Francisco. It's a hard cell. The other SpecTec just

0:44:17.400 --> 0:44:19.400
<v Speaker 4>more quantitative data. In the last couple of days, The

0:44:19.400 --> 0:44:22.279
<v Speaker 4>New York Times, a very very respected poll, had some

0:44:22.360 --> 0:44:24.839
<v Speaker 4>interesting analysis that when they will if they waited their

0:44:24.880 --> 0:44:28.239
<v Speaker 4>polling based on asking the question who did you vote

0:44:28.280 --> 0:44:30.920
<v Speaker 4>for in the last twenty twenty election, they end up

0:44:30.920 --> 0:44:34.240
<v Speaker 4>with very large margins of victory in the key states

0:44:34.280 --> 0:44:38.640
<v Speaker 4>for Donald Trump, much larger than they're predicting currently. So look,

0:44:39.120 --> 0:44:41.080
<v Speaker 4>I think the main takeaway from all that is you

0:44:41.120 --> 0:44:42.640
<v Speaker 4>can't put much weight in the polls.

0:44:42.680 --> 0:44:44.480
<v Speaker 1>As you've said and described last.

0:44:44.320 --> 0:44:48.960
<v Speaker 4>Night, They've been out by a long margin in recent elections,

0:44:49.000 --> 0:44:51.320
<v Speaker 4>so why would we put too much weight on them today.

0:44:51.360 --> 0:44:54.040
<v Speaker 4>I don't think there's any evidence that have necessarily corrected those

0:44:54.080 --> 0:44:55.360
<v Speaker 4>mistakes this time round.

0:44:55.719 --> 0:44:57.839
<v Speaker 3>And I've got to say, if you want to walk

0:44:57.840 --> 0:44:59.520
<v Speaker 3>away from the polls and you start looking at the

0:45:00.120 --> 0:45:02.680
<v Speaker 3>aggregators or the model makers. Now some of them have

0:45:02.719 --> 0:45:04.480
<v Speaker 3>good pictures for Harris, some of them say that it's

0:45:04.480 --> 0:45:07.239
<v Speaker 3>a little bit closer again in the betting market. So

0:45:07.280 --> 0:45:10.480
<v Speaker 3>I can show you one betting market this way and

0:45:10.520 --> 0:45:12.600
<v Speaker 3>that way. I've chosen polybeit because it's the one we're

0:45:12.600 --> 0:45:14.440
<v Speaker 3>followed all the way through when things are way up

0:45:14.440 --> 0:45:16.520
<v Speaker 3>all way down. Sam is a man who'd like Harris

0:45:16.560 --> 0:45:17.919
<v Speaker 3>to go there. Is there a bit of data that's

0:45:17.920 --> 0:45:19.960
<v Speaker 3>telling you that she's there? Or is it because she's

0:45:20.000 --> 0:45:21.359
<v Speaker 3>going on Howard Stern this week?

0:45:21.840 --> 0:45:27.160
<v Speaker 13>Look similar to Matt, I have such a reservation when

0:45:27.160 --> 0:45:29.080
<v Speaker 13>it comes to data. When you think about how any

0:45:29.120 --> 0:45:29.640
<v Speaker 13>pole is.

0:45:29.560 --> 0:45:33.920
<v Speaker 2>You live twenty nineteen in Australia. No, no, sorry to

0:45:33.920 --> 0:45:34.560
<v Speaker 2>trigger us.

0:45:35.000 --> 0:45:35.799
<v Speaker 13>That's a load blow.

0:45:35.920 --> 0:45:36.640
<v Speaker 2>That was a load blow.

0:45:37.719 --> 0:45:39.360
<v Speaker 13>But when you think about how the data is actually

0:45:39.360 --> 0:45:43.240
<v Speaker 13>collected and how it involves someone picking up the phone.

0:45:43.280 --> 0:45:46.240
<v Speaker 13>Best case scenario, someone picking up a phone calling someone

0:45:46.680 --> 0:45:48.759
<v Speaker 13>again and again and again. It's got a ninety something

0:45:48.800 --> 0:45:52.720
<v Speaker 13>percent rejection rate. You factor that into who the people

0:45:52.760 --> 0:45:55.759
<v Speaker 13>that are actually answering generally old people. So the way

0:45:55.760 --> 0:45:59.000
<v Speaker 13>that pulses get around that it's stay weight people disproportionately.

0:45:59.040 --> 0:46:01.239
<v Speaker 13>So if you get eighteen or twenty year old or

0:46:01.280 --> 0:46:03.279
<v Speaker 13>under thirty year old, you know you might get one

0:46:03.280 --> 0:46:05.720
<v Speaker 13>of those. Your sample might need you'll need a hundred

0:46:05.719 --> 0:46:08.120
<v Speaker 13>of those, so you'll just wait them to a factor

0:46:08.160 --> 0:46:10.839
<v Speaker 13>of twenty is how they skew that out. And they've

0:46:10.840 --> 0:46:12.359
<v Speaker 13>been doing this for years. And when you think the

0:46:12.480 --> 0:46:15.719
<v Speaker 13>number of poles that come in here that are bombarding

0:46:15.800 --> 0:46:20.000
<v Speaker 13>some pensioner in Scranton, Pennsylvania, imagine if you lived in right,

0:46:20.040 --> 0:46:22.400
<v Speaker 13>if you live in one of those tickets. There are

0:46:22.560 --> 0:46:26.360
<v Speaker 13>literally thousands of campaigns, polling companies all calling you to

0:46:26.400 --> 0:46:29.040
<v Speaker 13>ask you what you're doing. You're going to hang up.

0:46:29.120 --> 0:46:31.600
<v Speaker 13>And that's why I don't look.

0:46:31.440 --> 0:46:33.719
<v Speaker 2>At poles, Well, what's given you? What's giving you? Look?

0:46:34.080 --> 0:46:36.400
<v Speaker 13>There are a number of sort of you know, large

0:46:36.520 --> 0:46:41.120
<v Speaker 13>METSA questions. There's a there's a thirteen keys question that

0:46:41.400 --> 0:46:44.040
<v Speaker 13>sort of looks at you know, all right, And he

0:46:44.080 --> 0:46:47.680
<v Speaker 13>said yeah, yeah, and which says Harris by a very

0:46:47.680 --> 0:46:48.760
<v Speaker 13>small number.

0:46:49.640 --> 0:46:50.839
<v Speaker 1>I don't know.

0:46:51.640 --> 0:46:53.760
<v Speaker 13>My heart says Harris.

0:46:54.680 --> 0:46:55.200
<v Speaker 1>My gut.

0:46:57.040 --> 0:46:57.640
<v Speaker 13>Freaking out.

0:46:57.760 --> 0:46:57.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:46:58.360 --> 0:46:59.920
<v Speaker 3>Now, Matt, I want to ask a question which you

0:47:00.080 --> 0:47:03.080
<v Speaker 3>can very well give me. Politicians answer and go somewhere else.

0:47:03.120 --> 0:47:04.640
<v Speaker 3>But you're not a politician who's like that.

0:47:05.360 --> 0:47:07.040
<v Speaker 2>Political parties do.

0:47:07.160 --> 0:47:10.480
<v Speaker 3>They have a bit of insight than the public polling,

0:47:10.600 --> 0:47:12.520
<v Speaker 3>So say like there'll be a news poll that's out

0:47:12.520 --> 0:47:15.200
<v Speaker 3>every month, or there'll be a resolve that's out every.

0:47:14.960 --> 0:47:16.880
<v Speaker 2>Month when it's election time.

0:47:16.960 --> 0:47:21.400
<v Speaker 3>Do political parties have weekly data that we don't see,

0:47:21.600 --> 0:47:23.800
<v Speaker 3>daily data that we don't see.

0:47:24.600 --> 0:47:26.680
<v Speaker 4>Typically have overnight data. I don't know what they do.

0:47:26.719 --> 0:47:28.600
<v Speaker 4>In America, they'd probably do much more and more and

0:47:28.680 --> 0:47:30.319
<v Speaker 4>more than us have a lot more money. But here

0:47:30.360 --> 0:47:33.719
<v Speaker 4>in AUSTRALIAA typically we'll do what's called a track and

0:47:34.239 --> 0:47:36.799
<v Speaker 4>the people are polled every night in typically the key

0:47:36.840 --> 0:47:40.080
<v Speaker 4>seats that you're tracking, and that will be aggregated into

0:47:40.120 --> 0:47:43.600
<v Speaker 4>a track number, and then more irregularly you'll look at

0:47:43.600 --> 0:47:45.799
<v Speaker 4>individual seats on a seat by seat base as are

0:47:45.840 --> 0:47:48.880
<v Speaker 4>very difficult now. I've never found those to be particularly accurate,

0:47:48.920 --> 0:47:51.160
<v Speaker 4>the seat by seat ones, but the track usually gives

0:47:51.160 --> 0:47:52.080
<v Speaker 4>you a pretty good indication.

0:47:52.440 --> 0:47:54.280
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, this is the same inside labor world.

0:47:54.520 --> 0:47:55.080
<v Speaker 1>Exactly right.

0:47:55.400 --> 0:47:58.359
<v Speaker 13>That's right, the seat by seat the sample sizes so

0:47:58.440 --> 0:48:00.680
<v Speaker 13>small that you're dealing with is generally a hundred people,

0:48:01.160 --> 0:48:03.080
<v Speaker 13>you know, don't You don't get much of a read

0:48:03.120 --> 0:48:05.359
<v Speaker 13>off that, but that's right. If you're looking at the

0:48:05.400 --> 0:48:09.000
<v Speaker 13>general trend of the long run, the track, yeah, it

0:48:09.000 --> 0:48:10.439
<v Speaker 13>gets it gets pretty close.

0:48:10.520 --> 0:48:12.560
<v Speaker 3>Fascinating to see, all right, lads, I do appreciate it,

0:48:12.560 --> 0:48:14.279
<v Speaker 3>Thank you very much. We'll see you again next week

0:48:14.280 --> 0:48:16.799
<v Speaker 3>where I'll ask you a different version of the same question.

0:48:17.200 --> 0:48:19.920
<v Speaker 3>When it comes to the United States. Now a reminder

0:48:19.960 --> 0:48:21.560
<v Speaker 3>we're going to be in lawn System. We will be

0:48:21.640 --> 0:48:24.360
<v Speaker 3>there on October the twentieth. It's a couple of Sundays

0:48:24.360 --> 0:48:26.600
<v Speaker 3>away before of course we then turn our teasue to

0:48:26.640 --> 0:48:29.200
<v Speaker 3>queenslande we get back to the United States. But as always,

0:48:29.200 --> 0:48:32.320
<v Speaker 3>the focus is here in Australia. That's what our focus

0:48:32.400 --> 0:48:34.400
<v Speaker 3>is each and every night. When there are bigger stories

0:48:34.440 --> 0:48:35.800
<v Speaker 3>than that, yeah we'll talk about.

0:48:35.600 --> 0:48:36.600
<v Speaker 2>It, we'll focus on it.

0:48:36.640 --> 0:48:38.759
<v Speaker 3>But as always, this show is about trying to be

0:48:38.840 --> 0:48:41.120
<v Speaker 3>where you are. If you would like to join us

0:48:41.160 --> 0:48:42.880
<v Speaker 3>in lon Sestem a couple of weeks time, you know

0:48:42.920 --> 0:48:45.239
<v Speaker 3>the email it is our town. It's GOINGEWS dot com

0:48:45.239 --> 0:48:48.520
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0:48:48.600 --> 0:48:51.560
<v Speaker 3>a reminder that all of the videos, podcasts and other

0:48:51.600 --> 0:48:53.239
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0:48:53.280 --> 0:48:55.879
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