WEBVTT - Why cash is king (with Chris Cuffe)

0:00:10.080 --> 0:00:13.080
<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to The Australian's Money Puzzle podcast. I'm

0:00:13.160 --> 0:00:17.200
<v Speaker 1>James Kirkby. Welcome aboard everybody now today for your Easter

0:00:17.480 --> 0:00:20.880
<v Speaker 1>break listening pleasure, I have a very special guest who

0:00:20.920 --> 0:00:25.599
<v Speaker 1>is Chris Cuff, a legendary fund manager de facto legendary

0:00:25.640 --> 0:00:29.479
<v Speaker 1>fund manager martiad who initially came to fame almost became

0:00:29.480 --> 0:00:32.239
<v Speaker 1>a household name at one stage through his success as

0:00:32.280 --> 0:00:36.000
<v Speaker 1>an investor and manager at what is still the Colonial Group,

0:00:36.560 --> 0:00:39.000
<v Speaker 1>and since then he's had a portfolio of interest. You'll

0:00:39.040 --> 0:00:42.320
<v Speaker 1>see him on a variety of boards. Some boards you

0:00:42.360 --> 0:00:44.640
<v Speaker 1>won't see him on because they're family offices, but you

0:00:44.680 --> 0:00:47.320
<v Speaker 1>would be familiar of course with UNI Super, which is

0:00:47.440 --> 0:00:50.760
<v Speaker 1>I think the fourth biggest industry fund in the country,

0:00:51.120 --> 0:00:52.960
<v Speaker 1>so that is a very big gig as you can imagine.

0:00:52.960 --> 0:00:56.920
<v Speaker 1>He's also on the board of Argyll, the listed investment company,

0:00:57.000 --> 0:00:59.639
<v Speaker 1>the original of the species. You have to mention Don

0:00:59.640 --> 0:01:02.160
<v Speaker 1>Bradman when you mentioned al Go, because he was once

0:01:02.360 --> 0:01:06.640
<v Speaker 1>involved with that. Do you know that his passion Chris's

0:01:06.680 --> 0:01:10.560
<v Speaker 1>passion is philanthropy. I have talked to him before regularly.

0:01:11.120 --> 0:01:14.480
<v Speaker 1>He's got involved in some terribly interesting projects of late

0:01:14.480 --> 0:01:16.639
<v Speaker 1>we're going to talk about that too, and the extent

0:01:16.680 --> 0:01:19.120
<v Speaker 1>to which you may be able to access some of

0:01:19.160 --> 0:01:21.520
<v Speaker 1>this if you wish to. But first I want to

0:01:21.720 --> 0:01:24.600
<v Speaker 1>hear what he has to say. Needless to say, I

0:01:24.640 --> 0:01:26.520
<v Speaker 1>want to hear what he says. You want to hear

0:01:26.520 --> 0:01:29.760
<v Speaker 1>what he says about the markets and the conditions of

0:01:29.800 --> 0:01:32.800
<v Speaker 1>the markets that were currently investing in. How are you, Chris?

0:01:33.880 --> 0:01:36.720
<v Speaker 2>Very well? Thank you, James, straight.

0:01:36.480 --> 0:01:41.360
<v Speaker 1>Up question, Okay, there's always periods of great uncertainty. I'm

0:01:41.360 --> 0:01:44.840
<v Speaker 1>always entertained when people talk about uncertainty and how there's

0:01:44.840 --> 0:01:47.800
<v Speaker 1>never as if there was never uncertainty before. I mean,

0:01:47.840 --> 0:01:51.440
<v Speaker 1>COVID was pretty uncertain, GFC was pretty uncertain. But this

0:01:51.520 --> 0:01:56.560
<v Speaker 1>particular period, instinctively to you, is there reasons for the

0:01:57.400 --> 0:02:00.760
<v Speaker 1>every day investor to change their approach to invest in

0:02:00.840 --> 0:02:05.400
<v Speaker 1>looking at the global trade crisis that we have in

0:02:05.400 --> 0:02:06.200
<v Speaker 1>front of us.

0:02:07.400 --> 0:02:10.560
<v Speaker 2>I don't think there's great reasons to change. I mean,

0:02:10.600 --> 0:02:14.160
<v Speaker 2>I hope for every investor, if they're a true investor,

0:02:14.200 --> 0:02:17.160
<v Speaker 2>they should have a plan and they should have a

0:02:17.200 --> 0:02:20.720
<v Speaker 2>diversified portfolio. People ask me all the time, what do

0:02:20.800 --> 0:02:23.200
<v Speaker 2>you react? How are you reacting in this time? And

0:02:23.240 --> 0:02:25.440
<v Speaker 2>I think I just check down the securities I have

0:02:25.560 --> 0:02:28.680
<v Speaker 2>in my portfolio and make sure it's well diversified, because

0:02:28.720 --> 0:02:31.600
<v Speaker 2>I can't pick day to day or months a month

0:02:31.680 --> 0:02:33.760
<v Speaker 2>what's going to do well and what's not. And we're

0:02:33.760 --> 0:02:37.040
<v Speaker 2>in a period now, you know, sometimes there's no one

0:02:37.280 --> 0:02:42.040
<v Speaker 2>unknowns and now we've got unknown's unknowns, So we sort

0:02:42.040 --> 0:02:44.480
<v Speaker 2>of wake up each day and just sort of work

0:02:44.520 --> 0:02:46.960
<v Speaker 2>off the seat of your pants. But look, it also

0:02:47.080 --> 0:02:50.440
<v Speaker 2>very much depends on whether you're running your portfolio with

0:02:50.520 --> 0:02:53.120
<v Speaker 2>new money coming in, whether you're in draw down phase.

0:02:53.160 --> 0:02:56.120
<v Speaker 2>There'll always be issues around that. But look, right now,

0:02:56.160 --> 0:02:59.000
<v Speaker 2>I think it's a pretty good time to draw breath.

0:03:00.040 --> 0:03:03.280
<v Speaker 2>Probably don't get too anxious about anything, particularly if you've

0:03:03.280 --> 0:03:08.960
<v Speaker 2>got a well diversified portfolio, and really just you know,

0:03:09.280 --> 0:03:11.520
<v Speaker 2>it's a strange time we're in, James. What else can

0:03:11.560 --> 0:03:11.880
<v Speaker 2>we say.

0:03:12.440 --> 0:03:14.959
<v Speaker 1>Would you have a hunch that the worst is over?

0:03:16.440 --> 0:03:19.280
<v Speaker 2>I think the worst is over, as in the initial

0:03:19.400 --> 0:03:23.239
<v Speaker 2>shock of what has happened in America at the leadership

0:03:23.280 --> 0:03:25.840
<v Speaker 2>position and the fact that there are p and O

0:03:25.960 --> 0:03:29.080
<v Speaker 2>guardrails on making those decisions. You know, I would have

0:03:29.080 --> 0:03:31.920
<v Speaker 2>thought it's not legally possible when I first heard it

0:03:31.960 --> 0:03:35.600
<v Speaker 2>that the American President can just you know, issue tariff's

0:03:35.640 --> 0:03:38.080
<v Speaker 2>left right at the center without some type of emergency

0:03:38.120 --> 0:03:40.920
<v Speaker 2>going on. But anyhow, they've done it, so we just

0:03:40.960 --> 0:03:42.600
<v Speaker 2>have to live with that. So I think the shock

0:03:42.640 --> 0:03:45.480
<v Speaker 2>of seeing the magnitude is the big thing. And now

0:03:45.520 --> 0:03:49.480
<v Speaker 2>I think we'll grind for a probably a long period

0:03:49.560 --> 0:03:53.280
<v Speaker 2>of time as we see the effects of maybe the

0:03:53.320 --> 0:03:56.160
<v Speaker 2>base twer for ten percent. You know, it's probably going

0:03:56.240 --> 0:03:58.920
<v Speaker 2>to cause inflation at least in the short term. That's

0:03:59.000 --> 0:04:01.839
<v Speaker 2>probably going to put interest rates on hold at least

0:04:01.880 --> 0:04:04.400
<v Speaker 2>for the short term. And then I think behind the

0:04:04.440 --> 0:04:09.720
<v Speaker 2>scenes in Washington will be concession, slow concessions over time

0:04:10.440 --> 0:04:14.320
<v Speaker 2>as the American people get very hurt by what's happening,

0:04:14.440 --> 0:04:18.640
<v Speaker 2>and I think that will reverberate back to their members,

0:04:18.839 --> 0:04:22.320
<v Speaker 2>their elected officials, and hopefully, you know, get to the

0:04:22.360 --> 0:04:26.040
<v Speaker 2>President and his men. I don't think they anticipated anything

0:04:26.160 --> 0:04:28.400
<v Speaker 2>like what's going on, and I don't think there was

0:04:28.440 --> 0:04:32.640
<v Speaker 2>a grand plan. I think it was a complete mess.

0:04:32.960 --> 0:04:35.560
<v Speaker 1>Can I ask you, when you say stable interest rates,

0:04:35.600 --> 0:04:40.200
<v Speaker 1>you mean global rates right, correct? Australian rates could fall

0:04:40.760 --> 0:04:41.479
<v Speaker 1>in the short term.

0:04:41.560 --> 0:04:44.000
<v Speaker 2>You could definitely mount a case that if we get

0:04:44.040 --> 0:04:50.760
<v Speaker 2>a global recession, growth really going downhill, people losing jobs,

0:04:51.400 --> 0:04:55.560
<v Speaker 2>interest rates will drop, that's definitely on the cards. But

0:04:55.720 --> 0:04:58.440
<v Speaker 2>I think none of this is going to happen immediately.

0:04:58.480 --> 0:05:00.760
<v Speaker 2>There's a lot of time to play up yet to

0:05:00.880 --> 0:05:04.320
<v Speaker 2>see where these things land. I think you'd be a

0:05:04.400 --> 0:05:09.440
<v Speaker 2>brave person to think that the tariffs that America's put

0:05:09.480 --> 0:05:12.440
<v Speaker 2>on China and China put on America again to sit

0:05:12.560 --> 0:05:16.520
<v Speaker 2>as they are, it's just impractical. You just trade between

0:05:16.560 --> 0:05:21.040
<v Speaker 2>the nations will stop, and that just doesn't seem likely

0:05:21.080 --> 0:05:23.440
<v Speaker 2>to me at all. So this posturing going on, we've

0:05:23.440 --> 0:05:25.360
<v Speaker 2>got to wait for that to stop. But we might

0:05:25.440 --> 0:05:30.200
<v Speaker 2>get what they call imported inflation. If it costs Chinese

0:05:30.279 --> 0:05:33.440
<v Speaker 2>the Chinese a lot more to make the goodies that

0:05:33.480 --> 0:05:36.240
<v Speaker 2>we bring into Australia, it's going to cause some inflation.

0:05:36.640 --> 0:05:39.000
<v Speaker 2>But I think these are short term things. To go

0:05:39.120 --> 0:05:41.720
<v Speaker 2>back to your first question, I just wouldn't be in

0:05:41.800 --> 0:05:44.520
<v Speaker 2>a hurry to do anything radical right now and just

0:05:44.640 --> 0:05:45.839
<v Speaker 2>let the dust settle.

0:05:46.720 --> 0:05:50.160
<v Speaker 1>You're on the board of family offices and investment vehicles

0:05:50.200 --> 0:05:54.520
<v Speaker 1>of some very wealthy people and families in Australia, so

0:05:54.640 --> 0:05:58.279
<v Speaker 1>anything that they are doing that would give our everyday

0:05:58.320 --> 0:06:02.480
<v Speaker 1>listeners an insight to sort of the tactical response to this.

0:06:02.680 --> 0:06:05.720
<v Speaker 1>Are they putting more money into gold? Are they lifting

0:06:05.760 --> 0:06:08.240
<v Speaker 1>their cash? Are their bargain hunting? Is there anything you

0:06:08.279 --> 0:06:10.760
<v Speaker 1>can insight you could give us as to how they're behaving.

0:06:11.880 --> 0:06:14.560
<v Speaker 2>Well, certainly the groups I'm involved with, I think it's

0:06:14.720 --> 0:06:18.039
<v Speaker 2>as a generalization, it's fair to say they're just letting

0:06:18.240 --> 0:06:21.440
<v Speaker 2>cash build up right now. And unless you know, there's

0:06:21.480 --> 0:06:25.640
<v Speaker 2>something peculiar about their liabilities or there some external factor,

0:06:25.680 --> 0:06:28.640
<v Speaker 2>but it's really let it build up. Don't have a

0:06:28.720 --> 0:06:32.760
<v Speaker 2>fear of missing out if anything, right now, the fear

0:06:32.880 --> 0:06:36.600
<v Speaker 2>might be the other way around. The people. We are

0:06:36.680 --> 0:06:39.400
<v Speaker 2>all talking about the Australian dollar. I mean it was

0:06:39.440 --> 0:06:42.600
<v Speaker 2>a week ago it was at fifty nine cents. Today

0:06:42.720 --> 0:06:46.599
<v Speaker 2>it's at sixty four cents. So I did see some

0:06:46.680 --> 0:06:51.080
<v Speaker 2>groups put on hedges very quickly, which not everybody can do,

0:06:51.160 --> 0:06:55.240
<v Speaker 2>although there are easily accessible instruments in the market that

0:06:55.640 --> 0:06:58.359
<v Speaker 2>any investor can do for that. And we've seen the

0:06:58.400 --> 0:07:02.440
<v Speaker 2>currency already firm from the US Australian dollar a firm

0:07:02.480 --> 0:07:06.000
<v Speaker 2>from fifty nine to sixty four, and that's a very big,

0:07:06.520 --> 0:07:10.520
<v Speaker 2>very big change. You know, the urgency to do perhaps

0:07:10.600 --> 0:07:14.440
<v Speaker 2>do something about the currencies calm down a little, though.

0:07:14.560 --> 0:07:17.440
<v Speaker 2>Sixty four cents in a long term sense is still

0:07:18.200 --> 0:07:22.200
<v Speaker 2>well below the long term average, which is around seventy cents,

0:07:22.240 --> 0:07:24.800
<v Speaker 2>which it always seems to head back to at some

0:07:24.920 --> 0:07:25.679
<v Speaker 2>stage or another.

0:07:26.000 --> 0:07:28.880
<v Speaker 1>We had people on the show saying, you're better off

0:07:28.920 --> 0:07:32.240
<v Speaker 1>being unheaged because the US is the heart of the machine,

0:07:32.360 --> 0:07:36.240
<v Speaker 1>heart of the markets. When the US markets fall, if

0:07:36.240 --> 0:07:38.640
<v Speaker 1>we all have more exposure to the US than we

0:07:38.680 --> 0:07:40.640
<v Speaker 1>ever had before, which is probably the case for both

0:07:40.680 --> 0:07:42.720
<v Speaker 1>our listeners and a lot of the big super funds,

0:07:43.280 --> 0:07:45.680
<v Speaker 1>that when the US markets fall, the US dollar, the

0:07:45.760 --> 0:07:50.040
<v Speaker 1>currency works your way. It's in your favor because you're

0:07:50.080 --> 0:07:52.920
<v Speaker 1>basically when the Australian dollar is falling as it has

0:07:52.960 --> 0:07:56.560
<v Speaker 1>so far, you're cushioned. You think that might not be

0:07:56.600 --> 0:07:57.960
<v Speaker 1>the case going forward.

0:07:58.680 --> 0:08:01.640
<v Speaker 2>Well, look, I would say my position and those that

0:08:01.720 --> 0:08:06.120
<v Speaker 2>I work with, it's generally when you're buying overseas securities

0:08:07.000 --> 0:08:09.720
<v Speaker 2>that be they manage funds or direct shares or whatever

0:08:10.240 --> 0:08:13.880
<v Speaker 2>is to have it unheitched. So that's default position. But

0:08:14.000 --> 0:08:17.880
<v Speaker 2>we have seen in history where you get very large

0:08:18.560 --> 0:08:23.880
<v Speaker 2>aberrations and look, I remember it's got I remember once

0:08:23.920 --> 0:08:26.760
<v Speaker 2>when the Australian dollar got to forty five cents to

0:08:26.840 --> 0:08:30.240
<v Speaker 2>the US dollar, and I remember, yeah, and I remember

0:08:30.360 --> 0:08:33.800
<v Speaker 2>traveling when the Australian dollar got to one hundred and twenty.

0:08:34.360 --> 0:08:36.680
<v Speaker 2>So you know what the out of bounds, you know,

0:08:36.720 --> 0:08:39.120
<v Speaker 2>if it's got a five in front of it for sure,

0:08:39.720 --> 0:08:43.120
<v Speaker 2>or a nine in front on the other end, they're

0:08:43.160 --> 0:08:48.360
<v Speaker 2>probably times where you could opportunistically probably take advantage of

0:08:48.400 --> 0:08:52.520
<v Speaker 2>that with great likelihood of success, as long as you

0:08:52.520 --> 0:08:53.880
<v Speaker 2>don't pick your time frame.

0:08:55.040 --> 0:08:57.600
<v Speaker 1>Okay, right, And just on the building up the cash,

0:08:57.760 --> 0:09:00.920
<v Speaker 1>can you give people any idea? You know a lot

0:09:00.920 --> 0:09:03.560
<v Speaker 1>of people have serf managed super funds. They're always been

0:09:03.679 --> 0:09:06.319
<v Speaker 1>criticized for having too much cash. And then the big

0:09:06.360 --> 0:09:11.359
<v Speaker 1>super funds have, compared to the smsfs, much lower cash levels.

0:09:11.760 --> 0:09:13.920
<v Speaker 1>With these family companies you have, it's the extent you

0:09:13.920 --> 0:09:16.839
<v Speaker 1>can answer this, what percentage would they generally have in cash?

0:09:16.840 --> 0:09:19.520
<v Speaker 1>What would be a neutral level? And then what might

0:09:19.559 --> 0:09:21.080
<v Speaker 1>they be building up to at the moment.

0:09:22.559 --> 0:09:24.160
<v Speaker 2>Well, first all, to make it clear to the big

0:09:24.200 --> 0:09:27.400
<v Speaker 2>super funds, they always have it. I serve with one

0:09:27.400 --> 0:09:29.040
<v Speaker 2>of them for many years, as I still do. They

0:09:29.040 --> 0:09:33.080
<v Speaker 2>always have let's use the term liquidity rather when they

0:09:33.160 --> 0:09:35.760
<v Speaker 2>must have it. Of course they must have liquidity because

0:09:35.760 --> 0:09:38.440
<v Speaker 2>they've got people coming and going all the time, but

0:09:38.600 --> 0:09:42.079
<v Speaker 2>they have sort of modest cash levels actual cash probably

0:09:42.160 --> 0:09:46.640
<v Speaker 2>compared to many individuals with their own self managed super fund. Look,

0:09:46.720 --> 0:09:49.440
<v Speaker 2>I don't know if there's a common level, James. I

0:09:49.640 --> 0:09:52.720
<v Speaker 2>like to think, in any event, if you had sort

0:09:52.760 --> 0:09:55.960
<v Speaker 2>of ten to twenty percent of cash at most times,

0:09:56.280 --> 0:09:59.000
<v Speaker 2>you know, maybe that's useful to jump on things. Other

0:09:59.040 --> 0:10:01.800
<v Speaker 2>people like to be invested all the time. As long

0:10:01.840 --> 0:10:04.160
<v Speaker 2>as it's liquid, you can get money out and rotate

0:10:04.280 --> 0:10:06.920
<v Speaker 2>to something else. But I don't know if there's one

0:10:07.320 --> 0:10:10.640
<v Speaker 2>one better way than not, but there's Look, there's an

0:10:10.679 --> 0:10:15.160
<v Speaker 2>increasing number of securities that give you, i think, both

0:10:15.200 --> 0:10:20.800
<v Speaker 2>great diversification and some liquidity, so you can take advantage

0:10:20.840 --> 0:10:22.760
<v Speaker 2>of things. But it also, as I said before, it

0:10:22.800 --> 0:10:24.959
<v Speaker 2>depends very much on what stage you're at. If you've

0:10:25.000 --> 0:10:27.120
<v Speaker 2>got your own self managed super fund and you're a

0:10:27.160 --> 0:10:30.720
<v Speaker 2>retiree and you're drawing money off it each year, now,

0:10:30.800 --> 0:10:33.240
<v Speaker 2>so you know it's got to keep shrinking over time,

0:10:33.559 --> 0:10:35.880
<v Speaker 2>you'll probably have a higher amount of cash so you

0:10:35.880 --> 0:10:41.000
<v Speaker 2>don't have to sell down securities in volatile stressed times.

0:10:41.520 --> 0:10:46.360
<v Speaker 1>And these listed securities that give you liquidity and versification.

0:10:46.520 --> 0:10:47.560
<v Speaker 1>Are you thinking of ETFs.

0:10:49.440 --> 0:10:51.720
<v Speaker 2>It could be an ETF so, but it could be

0:10:51.800 --> 0:10:56.120
<v Speaker 2>there's plenty of ETFs. People often mix up a little

0:10:56.160 --> 0:11:00.400
<v Speaker 2>bit many ETFs. Most ETFs are what they call pass

0:11:00.600 --> 0:11:03.480
<v Speaker 2>as you've said many times on your show, they invest

0:11:03.520 --> 0:11:06.640
<v Speaker 2>in the index of whatever they're exposed to. But there's

0:11:06.679 --> 0:11:11.679
<v Speaker 2>also an increasing number of active ETFs. They're just happen

0:11:11.760 --> 0:11:15.560
<v Speaker 2>to be managed funds, managed by an active manager who's

0:11:15.679 --> 0:11:18.439
<v Speaker 2>trying to do better than the index, and they happen

0:11:18.520 --> 0:11:21.600
<v Speaker 2>to be listed on the stock market. You can get

0:11:21.640 --> 0:11:26.160
<v Speaker 2>in and out at nta net asset value, just like

0:11:26.320 --> 0:11:31.760
<v Speaker 2>you can for normal shares. And I have a preference myself.

0:11:32.240 --> 0:11:36.559
<v Speaker 2>Where a market is what I call thin, like Australia,

0:11:37.080 --> 0:11:40.240
<v Speaker 2>I have a preference to be in actively managed funds

0:11:40.280 --> 0:11:46.200
<v Speaker 2>because but in overseas, I'm very satisfied with ETFs as

0:11:46.200 --> 0:11:51.199
<v Speaker 2>well as active funds, simply because those markets offshore are

0:11:51.320 --> 0:11:55.720
<v Speaker 2>much wider, they're much bigger, they're well diversified. Whereas Australia,

0:11:55.920 --> 0:12:00.200
<v Speaker 2>as most people know, you the heavyweights. You're exposed a

0:12:00.240 --> 0:12:02.760
<v Speaker 2>handful of banks, a few miners, and a couple odds

0:12:02.760 --> 0:12:06.319
<v Speaker 2>and ends on the outside. So I find Australian ETFs

0:12:06.320 --> 0:12:07.920
<v Speaker 2>are a little bit risky for.

0:12:07.920 --> 0:12:12.280
<v Speaker 1>Me, okay, because half the market is banks and miners. Yeah, okay,

0:12:12.640 --> 0:12:15.040
<v Speaker 1>So we can't have you on without asking you the

0:12:15.360 --> 0:12:18.839
<v Speaker 1>conventional thinking. And that may not be what you're thinking,

0:12:18.880 --> 0:12:21.640
<v Speaker 1>of course, but convention I'm thinking is, you know, there's

0:12:21.640 --> 0:12:23.920
<v Speaker 1>a swing, there's a lot of fear in the market.

0:12:24.040 --> 0:12:27.560
<v Speaker 1>You know that's proven, and the vix is elevated, so

0:12:27.679 --> 0:12:31.480
<v Speaker 1>people are going back into like supermarket stocks went up

0:12:31.520 --> 0:12:34.880
<v Speaker 1>during those scary days a few days ago. The bank's

0:12:34.880 --> 0:12:37.920
<v Speaker 1>coming with bank I mean, is just basically unmoved. In

0:12:37.920 --> 0:12:41.520
<v Speaker 1>the middle of all this, gold is going steadily higher

0:12:41.800 --> 0:12:48.280
<v Speaker 1>and people are looking at those conventional, traditional defensive stocks.

0:12:48.400 --> 0:12:50.840
<v Speaker 1>Just now, what do you think of that approach?

0:12:52.000 --> 0:12:56.840
<v Speaker 2>Well, it's an interesting conundrum again listening, I'm a regular

0:12:56.920 --> 0:13:00.240
<v Speaker 2>listener to your show. There's always the issue that if

0:13:00.800 --> 0:13:03.559
<v Speaker 2>you look at the Commonwealth Bank, everybody says it's very

0:13:03.640 --> 0:13:06.520
<v Speaker 2>highly priced, has been for a long time. It's come

0:13:06.600 --> 0:13:09.520
<v Speaker 2>down a bit, but it's still at a healthy price.

0:13:10.040 --> 0:13:12.720
<v Speaker 2>And does that mean you should sell the thing and

0:13:12.800 --> 0:13:16.880
<v Speaker 2>rotate into something else. That's the difficult thing because you've

0:13:16.920 --> 0:13:19.920
<v Speaker 2>already been in the thing as opposed to if you've

0:13:19.960 --> 0:13:23.120
<v Speaker 2>got fresh money. So as you've made the point I

0:13:23.160 --> 0:13:25.000
<v Speaker 2>think last week or the week before, if you've been

0:13:25.000 --> 0:13:27.520
<v Speaker 2>in the Commonwealth Bank since it was say twenty dollars,

0:13:27.840 --> 0:13:32.200
<v Speaker 2>the dividend yield you're getting off that cost base is

0:13:32.240 --> 0:13:35.040
<v Speaker 2>magnificent and you might find it very hard to see

0:13:35.080 --> 0:13:37.720
<v Speaker 2>a reason why you'd want to sell it. And of

0:13:37.840 --> 0:13:41.480
<v Speaker 2>course there's always tax when you sell things. But if

0:13:41.520 --> 0:13:44.280
<v Speaker 2>you said if I was starting myself managed super fun

0:13:44.480 --> 0:13:49.920
<v Speaker 2>today with a fresh pile of cash, what would I do.

0:13:50.320 --> 0:13:54.480
<v Speaker 2>I certainly would be looking at the value of stocks.

0:13:54.800 --> 0:13:59.400
<v Speaker 2>I probably would not be investing big time in the banks,

0:13:59.480 --> 0:14:02.120
<v Speaker 2>just because they've gone up so much. But in my

0:14:02.200 --> 0:14:04.840
<v Speaker 2>starting point, as I've said a few times, I'd be

0:14:04.880 --> 0:14:09.800
<v Speaker 2>thinking of a diversified portfilo across local shares, international shares.

0:14:09.920 --> 0:14:12.959
<v Speaker 2>I always like a bit of private equity. I always

0:14:12.960 --> 0:14:15.640
<v Speaker 2>have plenty of private credit. I really do believe in

0:14:15.679 --> 0:14:19.960
<v Speaker 2>that sector. And there are other weird and wonderful investments

0:14:19.960 --> 0:14:23.440
<v Speaker 2>out there that I like to give me a great

0:14:23.480 --> 0:14:24.640
<v Speaker 2>way to sleep at night.

0:14:25.640 --> 0:14:29.000
<v Speaker 1>Okay, actually I have in front of me a pigraph

0:14:29.440 --> 0:14:34.440
<v Speaker 1>of the accid allocation of your main of your flagship operation.

0:14:34.640 --> 0:14:37.760
<v Speaker 1>Really the aps Foundation. We'll take a break, we'll come back,

0:14:37.800 --> 0:14:40.040
<v Speaker 1>we'll pick up on this theme, but we'll also give

0:14:40.160 --> 0:14:42.320
<v Speaker 1>Chris the opportunity to talk about what he wants to

0:14:42.360 --> 0:14:44.840
<v Speaker 1>talk about more than anting as, which is this land

0:14:44.920 --> 0:14:59.800
<v Speaker 1>to pick fund. Okay, back in a moment. Hello, Welcome

0:14:59.800 --> 0:15:03.000
<v Speaker 1>back to The Australian's Money Puzzle podcast Easter a special

0:15:03.160 --> 0:15:05.920
<v Speaker 1>James Kirby here with Chris Kuff. It's a great time

0:15:05.960 --> 0:15:08.480
<v Speaker 1>to have Chris on, one of the best known fund

0:15:08.520 --> 0:15:12.200
<v Speaker 1>managers in the land. Now, Chris, I've mentioned that the

0:15:12.280 --> 0:15:14.880
<v Speaker 1>investors listening to the show will know UNI Super and

0:15:14.920 --> 0:15:18.600
<v Speaker 1>they'll know Argo et cetera. They listed investment company and

0:15:18.680 --> 0:15:22.520
<v Speaker 1>other operations you're involved in more recently and more recentimes,

0:15:22.520 --> 0:15:25.479
<v Speaker 1>you got a lot of time to philanthropy, active philanthropy,

0:15:25.840 --> 0:15:28.880
<v Speaker 1>and there's two we've talked about the Third Link Fund

0:15:29.040 --> 0:15:32.640
<v Speaker 1>on the before, which is an unlisted fund that you're

0:15:32.680 --> 0:15:36.000
<v Speaker 1>involved with that the retail investor can pay, maybe getting

0:15:36.040 --> 0:15:38.400
<v Speaker 1>them for about twenty thousand I think is the minimum.

0:15:38.440 --> 0:15:42.320
<v Speaker 1>And that's a fund where there is a strong philanthropic

0:15:42.400 --> 0:15:45.080
<v Speaker 1>element to it. And then separately, tell me if this

0:15:45.120 --> 0:15:49.520
<v Speaker 1>is wrong. You were involved with the Australian Philanthropic Services Group,

0:15:49.560 --> 0:15:52.320
<v Speaker 1>and they have a very big fund which is pretty

0:15:52.320 --> 0:15:55.240
<v Speaker 1>close to becoming the biggest fund charitable fund in the country.

0:15:55.800 --> 0:16:00.480
<v Speaker 1>It's called the Australian the APS Fund. And how much

0:16:00.560 --> 0:16:01.560
<v Speaker 1>is under management there?

0:16:01.640 --> 0:16:05.000
<v Speaker 2>Chris Well, okay, if I just run through quickly how

0:16:05.040 --> 0:16:07.760
<v Speaker 2>each works. A Third Link Growth fund, it's been going

0:16:07.840 --> 0:16:12.320
<v Speaker 2>for about sixteen years. It's an Australian equity fund. All

0:16:12.360 --> 0:16:16.440
<v Speaker 2>the fees go to charity. It is a what's called

0:16:16.480 --> 0:16:19.520
<v Speaker 2>a fund of funds. So my job is to choose

0:16:19.680 --> 0:16:24.960
<v Speaker 2>fund managers underneath the fund who are managing Australian equities

0:16:25.160 --> 0:16:28.800
<v Speaker 2>who I think are best in breed. That's my opinion

0:16:28.880 --> 0:16:32.560
<v Speaker 2>of best in breed, and they manage the money. We

0:16:32.640 --> 0:16:35.640
<v Speaker 2>try to get our investors an excellent return. We do

0:16:35.680 --> 0:16:38.320
<v Speaker 2>the best we can. I think the returns on the

0:16:38.400 --> 0:16:41.800
<v Speaker 2>Third Link website it's been slightly better than the Australian

0:16:41.800 --> 0:16:46.040
<v Speaker 2>share market since this inception, and so far we've given

0:16:46.480 --> 0:16:50.680
<v Speaker 2>twenty three million dollars to charity over the sixteen years.

0:16:50.760 --> 0:16:53.280
<v Speaker 2>It's been a lot of fun. And all those fund

0:16:53.280 --> 0:16:55.480
<v Speaker 2>managers do it for free. I do it for free,

0:16:55.720 --> 0:16:58.280
<v Speaker 2>and our investors I think like the fact that they're

0:16:58.320 --> 0:17:02.080
<v Speaker 2>both making money and their fees they're paying. They've still

0:17:02.120 --> 0:17:04.920
<v Speaker 2>got to pay a fee, but that fee is going

0:17:04.960 --> 0:17:08.840
<v Speaker 2>to charity. So that's the third Link Growth Fund, which

0:17:08.920 --> 0:17:12.560
<v Speaker 2>is a minimum of twenty thousand dollars Australian equity fun

0:17:12.800 --> 0:17:15.480
<v Speaker 2>very specific and it's an active fund, so it's out

0:17:15.520 --> 0:17:19.680
<v Speaker 2>there trying to beat the index. Okay. The second organization

0:17:19.840 --> 0:17:24.680
<v Speaker 2>you mentioned is fairly unique, so it's called Australian Philanthropic Services.

0:17:25.400 --> 0:17:29.440
<v Speaker 2>It's actually a charity I set up about fourteen years

0:17:29.440 --> 0:17:34.800
<v Speaker 2>ago to help people do philanthropy better. And it's a

0:17:34.840 --> 0:17:38.399
<v Speaker 2>big word, but philanthropy is an increasing part of the

0:17:38.400 --> 0:17:45.320
<v Speaker 2>Australian wealth management landscape, particularly with the massive intergenerational wealth

0:17:45.400 --> 0:17:49.160
<v Speaker 2>transfer that's going on in the trillions of dollars. Philanesbury

0:17:49.200 --> 0:17:53.040
<v Speaker 2>is really growing. Anyhow, I decided fourteen years ago it's

0:17:53.040 --> 0:17:57.840
<v Speaker 2>set up an organization where you could really do engage

0:17:57.840 --> 0:18:01.679
<v Speaker 2>in philanthropy with the help of experts and do it

0:18:01.800 --> 0:18:05.480
<v Speaker 2>hopefully in a much better way. So we run products.

0:18:05.520 --> 0:18:07.560
<v Speaker 2>We have a couple of products, so we set up

0:18:07.960 --> 0:18:14.159
<v Speaker 2>and administer what's called ancillary funds and they're just like superannuation.

0:18:14.480 --> 0:18:18.159
<v Speaker 2>Your listeners will know in superannuation there's two types of

0:18:18.200 --> 0:18:21.240
<v Speaker 2>superannuation funds in the market. You can have a self

0:18:21.280 --> 0:18:25.320
<v Speaker 2>managed super fund that's a private super fund, or most

0:18:25.320 --> 0:18:28.119
<v Speaker 2>of the population are in public offer fund whether it's

0:18:28.160 --> 0:18:31.679
<v Speaker 2>an industry fund or whatever. It's exactly the same. In

0:18:31.720 --> 0:18:36.560
<v Speaker 2>the philanthropy industry, we have these vehicles called ancillary funds,

0:18:36.880 --> 0:18:41.320
<v Speaker 2>and you can set up a private ancillary fund just

0:18:41.440 --> 0:18:45.160
<v Speaker 2>like self meaning super very similar structure, or you hit

0:18:45.280 --> 0:18:50.359
<v Speaker 2>your car to an existing public ancillary fund and hold

0:18:50.400 --> 0:18:53.760
<v Speaker 2>an account within that fund. And so we are the

0:18:53.880 --> 0:18:58.800
<v Speaker 2>leading organization in Australia that helps people go into those

0:18:58.920 --> 0:19:02.000
<v Speaker 2>vehicles and help them with their general giving. And between

0:19:02.200 --> 0:19:06.280
<v Speaker 2>those things, those ancillary funds we ad minister about two

0:19:06.359 --> 0:19:10.560
<v Speaker 2>and a half billion dollars and our clients give currently

0:19:10.600 --> 0:19:13.679
<v Speaker 2>around one hundred and sixty million dollars per annum to

0:19:13.880 --> 0:19:18.440
<v Speaker 2>charity out of those funds. So it's been an enormously

0:19:19.440 --> 0:19:23.159
<v Speaker 2>beneficial business to set up again as a charity for

0:19:23.200 --> 0:19:24.480
<v Speaker 2>the Australian public.

0:19:24.680 --> 0:19:27.440
<v Speaker 1>So I'm an investor and I'd like to be involved

0:19:27.480 --> 0:19:31.159
<v Speaker 1>in philanthropy, and I say there's two ways in here.

0:19:31.200 --> 0:19:33.159
<v Speaker 1>There's a third link fund, which is just a straight

0:19:33.160 --> 0:19:37.360
<v Speaker 1>fund that's a twenty grand minimum for the average retail investor.

0:19:37.400 --> 0:19:39.760
<v Speaker 1>Anyone can do it, no strings attached, and that fund

0:19:39.760 --> 0:19:43.480
<v Speaker 1>has done okay, it seems to me you're this bigger fund,

0:19:43.840 --> 0:19:46.840
<v Speaker 1>which unfortunately is higher up the scale to get into

0:19:46.920 --> 0:19:51.600
<v Speaker 1>as doing better. That is, its returns against its benchmarks

0:19:51.640 --> 0:19:53.040
<v Speaker 1>has been better. And we'll talk about that in the

0:19:53.040 --> 0:19:55.560
<v Speaker 1>moment as to why. But in any event, so if

0:19:55.600 --> 0:19:57.760
<v Speaker 1>I wanted to, if I wanted to get involved in this,

0:19:58.359 --> 0:20:00.680
<v Speaker 1>what is the rough bottom minimum in which I can

0:20:00.920 --> 0:20:04.760
<v Speaker 1>part play here in this particular sandpit. How much would

0:20:04.760 --> 0:20:06.239
<v Speaker 1>I need to put in?

0:20:06.400 --> 0:20:09.639
<v Speaker 2>So let's just back off one slight bit here. With

0:20:09.840 --> 0:20:15.760
<v Speaker 2>Australian Philanthropic Services Foundation, the big public ancillary fund I run.

0:20:17.080 --> 0:20:20.040
<v Speaker 2>We don't necessarily call them investors that come in. It's

0:20:20.040 --> 0:20:23.400
<v Speaker 2>more philanthropists. So if you would like to be involved

0:20:23.400 --> 0:20:27.320
<v Speaker 2>with philanthropy, you can open an account in the APS

0:20:27.440 --> 0:20:31.600
<v Speaker 2>Foundation for a minimum of forty thousand dollars. You get

0:20:31.640 --> 0:20:35.000
<v Speaker 2>one hundred percent tax deduction for that forty thousand dollars

0:20:35.359 --> 0:20:37.240
<v Speaker 2>in the year in which you put the money in,

0:20:37.760 --> 0:20:40.240
<v Speaker 2>or indeed you could spread the tax deduction over five

0:20:40.320 --> 0:20:43.280
<v Speaker 2>years if that's better for you. So you put your

0:20:43.320 --> 0:20:46.960
<v Speaker 2>money in the foundation, and you are then attached to

0:20:47.040 --> 0:20:51.520
<v Speaker 2>a big pool of assets and those assets are invested

0:20:51.920 --> 0:20:55.800
<v Speaker 2>tax free. There's no tax payable by the foundation. And

0:20:55.840 --> 0:21:00.640
<v Speaker 2>then each year we write out to our people clients

0:21:00.680 --> 0:21:04.240
<v Speaker 2>in there and say you need to now here's your

0:21:04.320 --> 0:21:07.920
<v Speaker 2>proportionate balance of this big pool. You need to give

0:21:07.920 --> 0:21:11.600
<v Speaker 2>away four percent of that to charity. So you just

0:21:11.720 --> 0:21:14.520
<v Speaker 2>tell us which charity you want to give the money

0:21:14.560 --> 0:21:18.119
<v Speaker 2>to and the way it goes. So the magic that

0:21:18.160 --> 0:21:22.320
<v Speaker 2>it's the very simply stated, it's quite a unique vehicle

0:21:22.359 --> 0:21:26.280
<v Speaker 2>these it's broken the nexus between the timing of the

0:21:26.320 --> 0:21:30.399
<v Speaker 2>tax deduction and the timing of giving to charity. You

0:21:30.480 --> 0:21:33.439
<v Speaker 2>get the tax reduction all up front. The giving to

0:21:33.560 --> 0:21:36.639
<v Speaker 2>charity happens over many years, or you can do it

0:21:36.720 --> 0:21:39.200
<v Speaker 2>quicker if you want, but you can take your time.

0:21:39.520 --> 0:21:42.480
<v Speaker 2>You can because often when you give to get a

0:21:42.560 --> 0:21:45.520
<v Speaker 2>tax deduction for giving to charity. It'd be smart if

0:21:45.560 --> 0:21:48.720
<v Speaker 2>you could time that with events which might cause you

0:21:48.800 --> 0:21:52.840
<v Speaker 2>tax like selling your business or selling your CBA shares,

0:21:53.640 --> 0:21:56.119
<v Speaker 2>or getting a bonus from your employer or something you

0:21:56.240 --> 0:21:58.880
<v Speaker 2>get a taxable of anything. Chee, I wouldn't mind off

0:21:58.920 --> 0:22:01.520
<v Speaker 2>setting that TAXI. You could perhaps put a lump sum

0:22:01.600 --> 0:22:05.080
<v Speaker 2>over in the philanthropic vehicle, and then take your time

0:22:05.160 --> 0:22:07.640
<v Speaker 2>to think about what charities you want to give too.

0:22:07.720 --> 0:22:11.399
<v Speaker 2>Over time, we've seen wonderful growth in this area, and

0:22:11.480 --> 0:22:14.920
<v Speaker 2>it's really changed the dynamics of a lot of families

0:22:14.960 --> 0:22:17.280
<v Speaker 2>as well, because they involve their children in giving.

0:22:17.840 --> 0:22:20.080
<v Speaker 1>Whereas once upon a time someone might have said, oh,

0:22:20.080 --> 0:22:22.040
<v Speaker 1>we should really give something to charity, and they'd pick

0:22:22.080 --> 0:22:23.720
<v Speaker 1>two or three they like and they'd hand it over

0:22:23.840 --> 0:22:26.560
<v Speaker 1>and it would be tax deductible, but it would be

0:22:26.720 --> 0:22:29.399
<v Speaker 1>unformed as such. What you've done is much more sophisticated

0:22:29.400 --> 0:22:31.879
<v Speaker 1>thing where the person says, okay, let's think long term.

0:22:32.119 --> 0:22:37.320
<v Speaker 1>We go into this fund aps and then the management

0:22:37.440 --> 0:22:41.879
<v Speaker 1>of that fund is you and your colleagues, and it

0:22:42.000 --> 0:22:45.440
<v Speaker 1>goes it has been doing very well, and you're able

0:22:45.480 --> 0:22:49.480
<v Speaker 1>to donate then on an ongoing basis on what you're

0:22:49.520 --> 0:22:52.480
<v Speaker 1>making on your initially depositive you like in that fund,

0:22:52.720 --> 0:22:55.639
<v Speaker 1>and it must be four percent each year. This is

0:22:55.680 --> 0:22:58.520
<v Speaker 1>probably why you need a minimum of forty thousand dicpresum

0:22:59.200 --> 0:23:01.080
<v Speaker 1>because you need to have a four percent is going

0:23:01.119 --> 0:23:03.479
<v Speaker 1>to go out to do it every year anyway, And

0:23:03.520 --> 0:23:06.159
<v Speaker 1>you didn't say you want you stop me calling it

0:23:06.200 --> 0:23:08.760
<v Speaker 1>investors for the simple reason that it's not it's it's

0:23:08.800 --> 0:23:12.560
<v Speaker 1>philanthropic in nature. And that means, Chris, if I've got

0:23:12.600 --> 0:23:15.560
<v Speaker 1>it right, that if listeners, you are interested in this

0:23:15.640 --> 0:23:18.040
<v Speaker 1>and you have the capacity to do so. It's ideal

0:23:18.080 --> 0:23:20.679
<v Speaker 1>of course, when people as you see liquidity event as

0:23:20.680 --> 0:23:22.560
<v Speaker 1>they call it in the trade. If you were about

0:23:22.560 --> 0:23:24.800
<v Speaker 1>to sell a business, if you're about to inherit your

0:23:24.840 --> 0:23:28.720
<v Speaker 1>uncle's house or whatever. But you can't, for instance, use

0:23:28.880 --> 0:23:30.760
<v Speaker 1>you can't take forty grand out of your or one

0:23:30.840 --> 0:23:32.560
<v Speaker 1>hundred and forty grand out of your super and put

0:23:32.560 --> 0:23:35.080
<v Speaker 1>it in Chris, can you, because that crunches up against

0:23:35.280 --> 0:23:38.560
<v Speaker 1>the best interest duty in super? If I've got that right, you.

0:23:38.560 --> 0:23:41.040
<v Speaker 2>Can in a way in the sense of if you're

0:23:41.080 --> 0:23:46.040
<v Speaker 2>able to access your super so you'll pass your preservation age. Yes,

0:23:46.119 --> 0:23:48.520
<v Speaker 2>and you're able to access your super so you can

0:23:48.560 --> 0:23:50.680
<v Speaker 2>freely take your super into your own name. And then

0:23:50.720 --> 0:23:53.000
<v Speaker 2>you might think, I've got enough money now that I'd

0:23:53.040 --> 0:23:56.280
<v Speaker 2>like to put some money. I'd like to get involved

0:23:56.320 --> 0:24:01.160
<v Speaker 2>in philanthropy, particularly while you're alive. This is the most

0:24:01.200 --> 0:24:02.879
<v Speaker 2>important thing in these vehicles.

0:24:03.800 --> 0:24:05.600
<v Speaker 1>You could be alive, but you just have to be retired.

0:24:05.760 --> 0:24:06.919
<v Speaker 1>You couldn't be an accumulation.

0:24:07.480 --> 0:24:11.760
<v Speaker 2>Please, Oh no, it's not something that you can just

0:24:11.840 --> 0:24:13.960
<v Speaker 2>tell you super fund, put some money over here. The

0:24:14.000 --> 0:24:18.040
<v Speaker 2>two are quite very separate, but sort of the type

0:24:18.040 --> 0:24:21.760
<v Speaker 2>of person who might go into this tends to be

0:24:22.240 --> 0:24:27.120
<v Speaker 2>later in life. They tend to be financially secure. They

0:24:27.200 --> 0:24:30.320
<v Speaker 2>want to help society, they want to do it while

0:24:30.320 --> 0:24:34.400
<v Speaker 2>they're alive. Putting money into this sort of holding pattern

0:24:34.480 --> 0:24:37.720
<v Speaker 2>of a fund called an ancillary fund is a great way.

0:24:37.800 --> 0:24:40.879
<v Speaker 2>As we said, they can time their tax deduction, but

0:24:40.920 --> 0:24:44.040
<v Speaker 2>then the giving can go on for many many years later.

0:24:44.359 --> 0:24:48.080
<v Speaker 2>And in fact people often use it upon their passing,

0:24:48.600 --> 0:24:51.560
<v Speaker 2>which there's a thing in the way tax works is

0:24:51.680 --> 0:24:55.120
<v Speaker 2>quite interesting. If you were lucky enough to buy your

0:24:55.160 --> 0:24:58.480
<v Speaker 2>Common Warf Bank shares at five dollars. We always pick

0:24:58.520 --> 0:25:01.159
<v Speaker 2>on the Common Warf Bank as such well run institution,

0:25:01.280 --> 0:25:05.520
<v Speaker 2>I should say. And if on your passing your state

0:25:05.760 --> 0:25:09.879
<v Speaker 2>was then holding those shares, then all things being equal,

0:25:09.960 --> 0:25:13.399
<v Speaker 2>if your a state sold those shares, there would be

0:25:13.600 --> 0:25:18.440
<v Speaker 2>a massive capital gain that the state would have to pay. However,

0:25:18.680 --> 0:25:22.560
<v Speaker 2>if you had donated, if you donate those shares through

0:25:22.640 --> 0:25:28.639
<v Speaker 2>your will to a foundation, say that was in existence already,

0:25:29.320 --> 0:25:32.639
<v Speaker 2>then there's no tax to the state at all, and

0:25:32.680 --> 0:25:36.520
<v Speaker 2>the foundation then will not pay tax because the foundation

0:25:36.760 --> 0:25:40.280
<v Speaker 2>is a tax free vehicle. So it's a magnificent way

0:25:40.400 --> 0:25:44.200
<v Speaker 2>for people who have stored wealth beyond their needs, beyond

0:25:44.280 --> 0:25:47.280
<v Speaker 2>what they want to provide for their children, and still

0:25:47.320 --> 0:25:49.720
<v Speaker 2>don't want to pay tax. I love the idea of

0:25:49.760 --> 0:25:51.800
<v Speaker 2>not paying tax even when I die.

0:25:53.000 --> 0:25:57.159
<v Speaker 1>Yes, no, I imagine many people would aspire to do that, Chris.

0:25:57.480 --> 0:26:00.520
<v Speaker 1>And it's a terrific It's a terrific structure. And it's

0:26:00.560 --> 0:26:02.840
<v Speaker 1>not an accident. Folks that I've I have that have

0:26:03.040 --> 0:26:05.359
<v Speaker 1>had at least once or twice a year brought up

0:26:05.400 --> 0:26:08.720
<v Speaker 1>this because to me, as a with an investor's mind,

0:26:09.080 --> 0:26:11.640
<v Speaker 1>this structure and by the way, to be fair, APS

0:26:11.680 --> 0:26:14.520
<v Speaker 1>is of course not the only operation in this area,

0:26:14.680 --> 0:26:17.480
<v Speaker 1>but it is one of the biggest, and it's a

0:26:17.640 --> 0:26:22.399
<v Speaker 1>very smart way, a kind of professional way to approach

0:26:22.480 --> 0:26:26.040
<v Speaker 1>philanthropy in a more strategic and tax effective manner. Why

0:26:26.359 --> 0:26:28.520
<v Speaker 1>why not do that if you do that in every

0:26:28.520 --> 0:26:32.320
<v Speaker 1>other area of life. Just briefly, Chris, So, the big fund,

0:26:32.440 --> 0:26:35.360
<v Speaker 1>the APS Fund, what was how much did you say

0:26:35.400 --> 0:26:36.360
<v Speaker 1>it has under management?

0:26:36.440 --> 0:26:41.200
<v Speaker 2>Now? Okay, So the APS Foundation, the public ansigtery fund

0:26:41.240 --> 0:26:45.040
<v Speaker 2>we run is around about the four hundred million dollar mark,

0:26:45.160 --> 0:26:47.840
<v Speaker 2>so it's large. I think by the end of this

0:26:47.960 --> 0:26:51.320
<v Speaker 2>decade it'll be a billion dollars probably, So it's a

0:26:51.480 --> 0:26:54.359
<v Speaker 2>large and growing investor.

0:26:54.480 --> 0:26:56.399
<v Speaker 1>So I want to tell the listeners what's in it.

0:26:56.560 --> 0:26:58.200
<v Speaker 1>You know, what you do, so they get a picture

0:26:58.200 --> 0:27:00.040
<v Speaker 1>of what goes on with the money. So the so

0:27:00.160 --> 0:27:02.480
<v Speaker 1>the allocation folks inside this one's really interesting. It's a

0:27:02.520 --> 0:27:04.359
<v Speaker 1>bit like when you can look into the future fund.

0:27:04.440 --> 0:27:06.879
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's very useful. So how it works is

0:27:06.920 --> 0:27:11.800
<v Speaker 1>twenty two percent in shares local, seventeen percent in shares international,

0:27:12.440 --> 0:27:17.639
<v Speaker 1>a pretty chunky seventeen percent in private equity, then thirteen

0:27:17.680 --> 0:27:20.920
<v Speaker 1>percent in what they call interest bearing securities. The rest

0:27:20.960 --> 0:27:25.440
<v Speaker 1>then is scattered between property, venture capital, and what they

0:27:25.480 --> 0:27:30.400
<v Speaker 1>call miscellaneous growth assets and liquid's been seven percent. Okay now, Chris,

0:27:30.600 --> 0:27:34.199
<v Speaker 1>seventeen percent of this fund is private equity. Can I

0:27:34.320 --> 0:27:35.920
<v Speaker 1>just ask you, a lot of people on the shore

0:27:36.080 --> 0:27:38.480
<v Speaker 1>are every day investors are only getting to know private equity,

0:27:38.520 --> 0:27:39.840
<v Speaker 1>and it's been put in front of them for the

0:27:39.880 --> 0:27:42.439
<v Speaker 1>first time. It's been put in front of them at

0:27:42.480 --> 0:27:46.840
<v Speaker 1>this time for a variety of reasons. This sense that

0:27:46.880 --> 0:27:49.840
<v Speaker 1>the banks are withdrawing. I don't know if that's completely true.

0:27:50.119 --> 0:27:52.639
<v Speaker 1>There's a sense that the hybrid market has been is

0:27:52.680 --> 0:27:55.040
<v Speaker 1>being wound up, and so people are looking for income

0:27:55.200 --> 0:27:57.600
<v Speaker 1>and they're putting private equity funds have been put in

0:27:57.600 --> 0:28:01.200
<v Speaker 1>front of people in a listed form. How do you

0:28:01.240 --> 0:28:05.600
<v Speaker 1>think the uninitiated should approach this very important area that

0:28:05.640 --> 0:28:08.840
<v Speaker 1>takes like seventeen percent of your successful fund, which, by

0:28:08.880 --> 0:28:11.160
<v Speaker 1>the way, folks, is just to give you an idea

0:28:11.200 --> 0:28:14.480
<v Speaker 1>of how it's going. It has a target return, very

0:28:14.640 --> 0:28:17.000
<v Speaker 1>like at the future fund to see inflation plus four

0:28:17.040 --> 0:28:19.760
<v Speaker 1>percent is what it looks for. And for instance, like

0:28:19.840 --> 0:28:23.160
<v Speaker 1>last year the one year did thirteen. But private equity, right,

0:28:23.160 --> 0:28:27.040
<v Speaker 1>we'd all love to be in it in a successful manner.

0:28:27.040 --> 0:28:29.159
<v Speaker 1>But I worry Chris, that kind of lead to the

0:28:29.160 --> 0:28:31.200
<v Speaker 1>party for a lot of everyday investors and they're going

0:28:31.240 --> 0:28:32.520
<v Speaker 1>to go into second red stuff.

0:28:34.280 --> 0:28:36.880
<v Speaker 2>Yes, there's a couple of things you said that James,

0:28:37.000 --> 0:28:39.840
<v Speaker 2>which I'll pick up on. First of all, you said

0:28:39.960 --> 0:28:42.840
<v Speaker 2>it's a bit like a major superannuation fund the way

0:28:42.880 --> 0:28:46.080
<v Speaker 2>we've we sort of have a target return. So for

0:28:46.120 --> 0:28:49.959
<v Speaker 2>this big portfolio, I'm trying to get a return of

0:28:50.440 --> 0:28:55.360
<v Speaker 2>inflation plus four percent per annum measured over rolling seventy

0:28:55.400 --> 0:28:58.240
<v Speaker 2>year periods. You won't get that every year. Some years

0:28:58.280 --> 0:29:00.480
<v Speaker 2>will be negative, some years will be twice as much.

0:29:00.520 --> 0:29:04.120
<v Speaker 2>But I'm trying to do it over rolling seven year periods,

0:29:04.160 --> 0:29:08.600
<v Speaker 2>and so far that's been successful. So if you're trying

0:29:08.600 --> 0:29:11.160
<v Speaker 2>to get inflation plus four percent, you're not going to

0:29:11.200 --> 0:29:14.560
<v Speaker 2>get that by investing in term deposits. You have to

0:29:14.640 --> 0:29:18.719
<v Speaker 2>take a growth approach and you have to have time

0:29:18.800 --> 0:29:21.560
<v Speaker 2>on your side. So this pool of money is a

0:29:21.600 --> 0:29:25.880
<v Speaker 2>growing pool. People have parted with their money already into

0:29:25.960 --> 0:29:28.760
<v Speaker 2>it to get the tax duction and to give to charity.

0:29:28.880 --> 0:29:31.640
<v Speaker 2>They can't take the money back, so we know it's

0:29:31.680 --> 0:29:35.720
<v Speaker 2>a long term growing pool. So that means with a

0:29:35.880 --> 0:29:40.040
<v Speaker 2>rolling a target of rolling seven year periods and very

0:29:40.160 --> 0:29:43.600
<v Speaker 2>patient capital. On the other side, I can be very

0:29:43.680 --> 0:29:47.479
<v Speaker 2>patient in the way I invest. Now you talked about

0:29:47.640 --> 0:29:51.560
<v Speaker 2>private equity. There, I think in the portfolio you'll see

0:29:51.560 --> 0:29:55.560
<v Speaker 2>two segments that are reasonably large. You'll see private credit

0:29:56.280 --> 0:30:01.760
<v Speaker 2>and private equity. Private credit I might mention quickly first

0:30:01.760 --> 0:30:04.040
<v Speaker 2>and then come on to the equity because I know

0:30:04.120 --> 0:30:06.840
<v Speaker 2>you talk about private credit a bit on your show.

0:30:07.800 --> 0:30:11.480
<v Speaker 2>Private credit is a very important sector now. I think

0:30:11.520 --> 0:30:13.840
<v Speaker 2>it's sort of had a bad name at the start

0:30:13.960 --> 0:30:17.800
<v Speaker 2>a bit that. Of course, it really evolved from property

0:30:17.880 --> 0:30:21.600
<v Speaker 2>development and construction, which is risky the best of times,

0:30:21.600 --> 0:30:24.640
<v Speaker 2>but can be very risky when interest rates arising and

0:30:24.920 --> 0:30:27.800
<v Speaker 2>the economy is not doing well. But private credit is

0:30:27.960 --> 0:30:31.840
<v Speaker 2>very wide now across very white array of sectors. There's

0:30:32.000 --> 0:30:35.760
<v Speaker 2>many managers in Australia there as well over one hundred managers.

0:30:35.920 --> 0:30:38.040
<v Speaker 2>And you've got to understand if you looked at the

0:30:38.080 --> 0:30:43.560
<v Speaker 2>banks twenty years ago, two thirds of their borrowing book

0:30:43.600 --> 0:30:46.200
<v Speaker 2>the money they lend were to businesses and one third

0:30:46.320 --> 0:30:50.200
<v Speaker 2>to home owners. These days it's the reverse they like.

0:30:50.480 --> 0:30:52.840
<v Speaker 1>So they really have with drawn Chris, they really.

0:30:52.640 --> 0:30:57.520
<v Speaker 2>Have drawn out of the market and the appet yeah,

0:30:57.760 --> 0:31:01.080
<v Speaker 2>but the appetite for a business to borrow doesn't change.

0:31:01.280 --> 0:31:03.680
<v Speaker 2>They just have to go to a different group and

0:31:03.800 --> 0:31:06.880
<v Speaker 2>probably pay a bit more to be able to access

0:31:06.920 --> 0:31:10.840
<v Speaker 2>the capital they need to expand. So private credit very

0:31:10.840 --> 0:31:15.600
<v Speaker 2>important sector, very important to be to understand what the

0:31:15.640 --> 0:31:19.240
<v Speaker 2>fund is invested in, and the experience of the investment

0:31:19.720 --> 0:31:24.680
<v Speaker 2>team is really vital, and including how many securities they

0:31:24.720 --> 0:31:29.440
<v Speaker 2>have in their portfilo is very vital. These inevitably, some

0:31:29.640 --> 0:31:32.280
<v Speaker 2>loans will go bad, just like they do in banks.

0:31:32.320 --> 0:31:35.440
<v Speaker 2>That's why banks provided for loans, so they do go

0:31:35.600 --> 0:31:37.880
<v Speaker 2>Some of them do go bad, but good. A well

0:31:37.920 --> 0:31:44.000
<v Speaker 2>run private equity fund is a cornerstone in my portfilo always,

0:31:44.640 --> 0:31:47.760
<v Speaker 2>and you can't catch your normally in those things. They're

0:31:47.800 --> 0:31:51.040
<v Speaker 2>not liquid like money in the bank. You know, if

0:31:51.040 --> 0:31:52.960
<v Speaker 2>you want to get your money out of a private

0:31:53.000 --> 0:31:57.040
<v Speaker 2>equity fund, it's at best you could do it quarterly.

0:31:57.520 --> 0:32:00.080
<v Speaker 2>Maybe some of it, maybe not all of it. We

0:32:00.080 --> 0:32:03.360
<v Speaker 2>shouldn't think of it as highly liquid, but it's somewhat liquid.

0:32:04.240 --> 0:32:08.280
<v Speaker 2>The position is very different with private equity, so to

0:32:08.320 --> 0:32:11.400
<v Speaker 2>be clear to those listeners of yours that don't know

0:32:11.560 --> 0:32:15.440
<v Speaker 2>private equity by its nature. Instead of buying shares on

0:32:15.480 --> 0:32:19.240
<v Speaker 2>the stock market, these are shares in companies that don't

0:32:19.280 --> 0:32:22.840
<v Speaker 2>trade on the stock market. And generally speaking I do

0:32:22.920 --> 0:32:27.120
<v Speaker 2>that through managers who specialize in that area. But the

0:32:27.200 --> 0:32:30.000
<v Speaker 2>general way they will go about it is that they

0:32:30.040 --> 0:32:33.440
<v Speaker 2>will launch a fund and they'll lock your money up.

0:32:33.520 --> 0:32:36.440
<v Speaker 2>You commit to it, they'll lock it up for about

0:32:36.480 --> 0:32:39.680
<v Speaker 2>ten years, could be less, and they spend half their

0:32:39.720 --> 0:32:43.000
<v Speaker 2>time investing the money and the other half selling it down.

0:32:43.280 --> 0:32:45.960
<v Speaker 2>But what we do see in the numbers all the

0:32:46.040 --> 0:32:49.960
<v Speaker 2>time is that private equity isn't that good on average.

0:32:50.520 --> 0:32:53.880
<v Speaker 2>You have to be with the top quartile manager to

0:32:54.520 --> 0:32:57.800
<v Speaker 2>make good returns there. And the trouble with that for

0:32:57.880 --> 0:33:01.200
<v Speaker 2>most on the street people, if I call it, is

0:33:01.400 --> 0:33:04.600
<v Speaker 2>that the minimums are too high so they can't get

0:33:04.720 --> 0:33:07.520
<v Speaker 2>in those funds. But the minimums have been coming down.

0:33:07.840 --> 0:33:10.040
<v Speaker 1>Yes, I've been waiting for someone to I take Olipse

0:33:10.480 --> 0:33:14.400
<v Speaker 1>that on the show and that is it. That is it,

0:33:14.600 --> 0:33:16.800
<v Speaker 1>And I said, led to the party at the start forks,

0:33:16.800 --> 0:33:19.680
<v Speaker 1>but I met. What I meant was that that everyone

0:33:19.720 --> 0:33:21.920
<v Speaker 1>will stand up and they'll give presentations and how terrific

0:33:21.960 --> 0:33:25.280
<v Speaker 1>private equity has been, And of course it has if

0:33:25.320 --> 0:33:27.560
<v Speaker 1>you happen to be, you know, a multi millionaire that

0:33:27.720 --> 0:33:31.520
<v Speaker 1>was with an extremely expensive financial advisory who got you

0:33:31.520 --> 0:33:33.320
<v Speaker 1>in the early days to the best ones. But as

0:33:33.360 --> 0:33:36.960
<v Speaker 1>Chris says, outside that top quarter, different business altogether.

0:33:37.200 --> 0:33:40.320
<v Speaker 2>Very hard. We hope, you know, we were lucky in

0:33:40.360 --> 0:33:43.640
<v Speaker 2>this fund. You hope every now and then, in these

0:33:43.800 --> 0:33:47.760
<v Speaker 2>private companies you own, you might hit a little gold mine.

0:33:48.160 --> 0:33:50.840
<v Speaker 2>You know, you might hit a canber. You might hit

0:33:50.840 --> 0:33:54.320
<v Speaker 2>a canber. If your listeners know it a great Australian

0:33:54.520 --> 0:33:58.800
<v Speaker 2>success story. It's already up two hundred and fifty times

0:33:58.840 --> 0:34:01.080
<v Speaker 2>what we paid for it. I wish we had a

0:34:01.080 --> 0:34:01.560
<v Speaker 2>lot more.

0:34:02.000 --> 0:34:04.360
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, but I bet you there was two hundred and

0:34:04.440 --> 0:34:05.600
<v Speaker 1>forty nine that didn't do.

0:34:05.600 --> 0:34:11.080
<v Speaker 2>It exactly right. Private credit is very liquid and as

0:34:11.160 --> 0:34:13.360
<v Speaker 2>just a repeat again, you really do have to be

0:34:13.520 --> 0:34:18.360
<v Speaker 2>with a well regarded manager, and you know, the style

0:34:18.440 --> 0:34:20.120
<v Speaker 2>of how they invest is very important. And a lot

0:34:20.120 --> 0:34:23.680
<v Speaker 2>of these private equity groups they've got almost too big,

0:34:24.080 --> 0:34:28.000
<v Speaker 2>so they keep investing bigger and bigger amounts. You know.

0:34:28.040 --> 0:34:30.720
<v Speaker 2>That might suit some of them, but I prefer those

0:34:31.360 --> 0:34:33.880
<v Speaker 2>that are more in what I call the mid market,

0:34:34.239 --> 0:34:37.239
<v Speaker 2>where I think you can actually add a lot of

0:34:37.320 --> 0:34:42.280
<v Speaker 2>value and not just value with leverage. Often private credit

0:34:42.840 --> 0:34:47.480
<v Speaker 2>is criticized quite rightly that they often will invest in

0:34:47.520 --> 0:34:51.200
<v Speaker 2>a business that's got good cash flows and they'll leverage

0:34:51.280 --> 0:34:54.800
<v Speaker 2>up the business, which is fine until it's not fine.

0:34:55.200 --> 0:34:58.440
<v Speaker 2>It's not fine when interest rates are eyes interesting.

0:34:58.480 --> 0:34:59.879
<v Speaker 1>All right, folks, we're going to take a short break.

0:35:00.200 --> 0:35:01.600
<v Speaker 1>We are running out of time, but because it was

0:35:01.600 --> 0:35:04.040
<v Speaker 1>an easter, I thought we could go a little bit longer.

0:35:04.160 --> 0:35:06.239
<v Speaker 1>We'll be back with Chris. We're just going to have

0:35:06.280 --> 0:35:08.200
<v Speaker 1>one or two questions which I'd really like to hear

0:35:08.239 --> 0:35:21.080
<v Speaker 1>what he has to say back in the moment. Hello,

0:35:21.200 --> 0:35:24.520
<v Speaker 1>Welcome back to the Money Puzzle podcast. James Kirby here

0:35:24.560 --> 0:35:28.560
<v Speaker 1>with Chris Cuff. All right, now a couple of co questions, Chris,

0:35:28.640 --> 0:35:32.040
<v Speaker 1>just to hear what your instinctive reaction to these, So

0:35:32.200 --> 0:35:37.000
<v Speaker 1>Raymond asks. Basically, he says, we had talked about how

0:35:37.040 --> 0:35:39.800
<v Speaker 1>it was good not to be hedged. It was certainly

0:35:39.800 --> 0:35:42.640
<v Speaker 1>not good not to be hedged during the most recent

0:35:43.000 --> 0:35:47.680
<v Speaker 1>American drop where they had that desperate day where they

0:35:47.719 --> 0:35:50.120
<v Speaker 1>had the worst day since twenty twenty because of the

0:35:50.160 --> 0:35:54.080
<v Speaker 1>weaker Australian dollar. But as he makes the point that

0:35:54.600 --> 0:35:59.360
<v Speaker 1>when things turn around, an on hedged position exposes Australians

0:35:59.360 --> 0:36:03.480
<v Speaker 1>to a strength Australian dollar, even when market sentiment improves

0:36:04.040 --> 0:36:09.000
<v Speaker 1>and you have increasing international equities across the board, both

0:36:09.080 --> 0:36:12.839
<v Speaker 1>private investors and institutional vestors. So he says, hedging isn't perfect,

0:36:13.200 --> 0:36:16.640
<v Speaker 1>but it reduces exposure to currency fluctuations. I imagine you

0:36:16.640 --> 0:36:19.200
<v Speaker 1>don't have anything to disagree with that. We've more or

0:36:19.239 --> 0:36:21.120
<v Speaker 1>less covered that at the start of the show. There,

0:36:21.560 --> 0:36:24.480
<v Speaker 1>all right, Andrew has two really good questions. The first one,

0:36:24.480 --> 0:36:28.160
<v Speaker 1>he says, Chris, is at the beginning of a global

0:36:28.360 --> 0:36:32.000
<v Speaker 1>at the beginning of a global market meltdown, before the

0:36:32.120 --> 0:36:35.960
<v Speaker 1>interest rates have been cut, is it broadly a good

0:36:36.239 --> 0:36:40.239
<v Speaker 1>or bad time to consider bonds or bond dtfs? WHOA Now,

0:36:40.280 --> 0:36:43.000
<v Speaker 1>you see when people like you talk about bonds, you're

0:36:43.040 --> 0:36:46.680
<v Speaker 1>talking about bonds in this sense of buying them one

0:36:46.680 --> 0:36:50.600
<v Speaker 1>by one and selecting them. But for everyday investors, their

0:36:50.640 --> 0:36:55.040
<v Speaker 1>way into bonds really as bond dtfs and bond dtfs

0:36:55.040 --> 0:36:58.000
<v Speaker 1>have not been great really in this market for a

0:36:58.080 --> 0:37:02.399
<v Speaker 1>variety of reasons, for most years of recent years. What's

0:37:02.480 --> 0:37:05.239
<v Speaker 1>your What do you say to everyday investors wh'll see

0:37:05.239 --> 0:37:07.680
<v Speaker 1>I should have bonds on my way in as ETFs?

0:37:08.800 --> 0:37:11.600
<v Speaker 2>Well, I guess the first thing was interesting that Andrews says,

0:37:11.600 --> 0:37:14.520
<v Speaker 2>at the beginning of a global market meltdown, would it

0:37:14.520 --> 0:37:17.160
<v Speaker 2>be good to do this stuff? If someone could ring

0:37:17.200 --> 0:37:22.160
<v Speaker 2>the bell we know when the beginning is story about

0:37:22.520 --> 0:37:25.640
<v Speaker 2>all the mice gathering round and saying if we just

0:37:26.120 --> 0:37:28.799
<v Speaker 2>tie the bell to the cat's neck will know when

0:37:28.840 --> 0:37:32.319
<v Speaker 2>it's coming. Of course, no mouse is going to be

0:37:32.360 --> 0:37:36.040
<v Speaker 2>game to do that, so I look, I'm not a

0:37:36.080 --> 0:37:42.799
<v Speaker 2>fan at all of pulled vehicles for bonds, which include ETFs.

0:37:43.200 --> 0:37:46.880
<v Speaker 2>Now others may think differently. I'm just not a fan

0:37:47.320 --> 0:37:51.799
<v Speaker 2>because I feel in those areas you your health is

0:37:51.920 --> 0:37:54.600
<v Speaker 2>very dependent on the other people in the fund with you.

0:37:55.160 --> 0:37:57.560
<v Speaker 2>If they start to panic and want to come out

0:37:57.560 --> 0:38:01.000
<v Speaker 2>of the farm, there could be unintended cap gains because

0:38:01.080 --> 0:38:03.600
<v Speaker 2>the manager of the fund might have to sell bonds

0:38:04.080 --> 0:38:08.359
<v Speaker 2>and that might realize losses as well as gains. I

0:38:08.440 --> 0:38:11.960
<v Speaker 2>just don't like the idea of holding hands in these things,

0:38:11.960 --> 0:38:15.480
<v Speaker 2>so I always prefer to buy. If I want to

0:38:15.520 --> 0:38:20.080
<v Speaker 2>be in fixed intra securities down in this sort of area,

0:38:20.239 --> 0:38:24.160
<v Speaker 2>I like to buy them individually and own them individually,

0:38:24.480 --> 0:38:28.840
<v Speaker 2>and probably in the main think about holding them until

0:38:28.880 --> 0:38:32.719
<v Speaker 2>they mature, so I don't have to worry about the

0:38:33.200 --> 0:38:35.640
<v Speaker 2>you know, the market value of these things going up

0:38:35.719 --> 0:38:38.680
<v Speaker 2>and down. But of course, so your.

0:38:38.360 --> 0:38:41.600
<v Speaker 1>First approach is to buy it as for its running yield.

0:38:41.520 --> 0:38:46.080
<v Speaker 2>Yes, that's definitely right. But Australia has a very immature

0:38:46.239 --> 0:38:49.080
<v Speaker 2>market in this sense, so it's very hard to sort

0:38:49.120 --> 0:38:53.520
<v Speaker 2>of do that, particularly for investors with smaller amounts. If

0:38:53.520 --> 0:38:57.280
<v Speaker 2>you're a large investor like UNI Super or Australian Super,

0:38:57.719 --> 0:39:00.720
<v Speaker 2>you can go into the market, buy Australia in bonds

0:39:00.800 --> 0:39:04.680
<v Speaker 2>or international bonds one by one and tuck them away

0:39:04.760 --> 0:39:09.080
<v Speaker 2>and just enjoy receiving the coupon every quarter or six

0:39:09.160 --> 0:39:12.719
<v Speaker 2>months or whatever it is. But for Australia based Australian investors,

0:39:13.040 --> 0:39:16.160
<v Speaker 2>I think the better thing, or easier in my mind

0:39:16.200 --> 0:39:20.719
<v Speaker 2>at least, is probably just lock into some term deposits

0:39:20.719 --> 0:39:22.800
<v Speaker 2>if you really want to be in that area, because

0:39:22.920 --> 0:39:26.640
<v Speaker 2>you'll understand the term deposit. They're not traded on the market,

0:39:26.680 --> 0:39:29.400
<v Speaker 2>you don't see their value going up and down, and

0:39:29.440 --> 0:39:32.560
<v Speaker 2>you're generally forced to keep them until they mature. It's

0:39:32.640 --> 0:39:34.879
<v Speaker 2>very hard. You can break a term deposit, but there's

0:39:34.960 --> 0:39:39.160
<v Speaker 2>usually a break fee, so we don't. Particularly, and particularly

0:39:39.160 --> 0:39:43.440
<v Speaker 2>with the hybrid market disappearing, it's quite hard to find

0:39:43.800 --> 0:39:47.720
<v Speaker 2>securities around that you can just sort of buy and hold.

0:39:47.880 --> 0:39:50.360
<v Speaker 2>There are some, but it's not easy to find.

0:39:50.719 --> 0:39:52.839
<v Speaker 1>That's terrific answer, thank you, And I think folks, that's

0:39:52.880 --> 0:39:54.799
<v Speaker 1>worth's hearing from someone who's actually on the board of

0:39:54.800 --> 0:39:57.160
<v Speaker 1>a big super fund. It really is okay because it's

0:39:57.280 --> 0:40:00.319
<v Speaker 1>because it's that helicopter view. So I think that is

0:40:00.320 --> 0:40:04.000
<v Speaker 1>a very interesting point and it never ends right about

0:40:04.000 --> 0:40:05.840
<v Speaker 1>the whole thing about bonds and should you have bonds?

0:40:05.840 --> 0:40:07.680
<v Speaker 1>But we've had more than one person on the show,

0:40:08.360 --> 0:40:11.400
<v Speaker 1>from financial advisors who are just dealing with their clients

0:40:12.280 --> 0:40:14.879
<v Speaker 1>to people who manage very large amounts of money saying

0:40:14.920 --> 0:40:18.880
<v Speaker 1>that at TDS that is term deposits. You know, government

0:40:18.920 --> 0:40:23.359
<v Speaker 1>guaranteed may serve that purpose more for most people most

0:40:23.360 --> 0:40:23.799
<v Speaker 1>of the time.

0:40:23.880 --> 0:40:24.200
<v Speaker 2>Okay.

0:40:24.320 --> 0:40:27.000
<v Speaker 1>And finally, Andrew asks, when the market has a meltdown,

0:40:27.239 --> 0:40:29.719
<v Speaker 1>isn't that just another way of saying that there is

0:40:29.760 --> 0:40:32.960
<v Speaker 1>now a stack of cash and liquidity waiting to invest

0:40:33.040 --> 0:40:37.799
<v Speaker 1>at a later stage. Yeah, yeah, sure, Andrew. A thing

0:40:37.920 --> 0:40:41.680
<v Speaker 1>is when? Okay, because in two o eight they didn't

0:40:41.680 --> 0:40:45.239
<v Speaker 1>come back for a long time into what they came

0:40:45.280 --> 0:40:46.320
<v Speaker 1>back pretty fast in COVID.

0:40:46.400 --> 0:40:49.600
<v Speaker 2>What do you think of that one, Chris Well, I

0:40:49.680 --> 0:40:54.080
<v Speaker 2>have to smile too when I heard that question earlier,

0:40:54.680 --> 0:40:57.680
<v Speaker 2>because again, we never know when the meltdowns kind of start.

0:40:58.360 --> 0:41:01.359
<v Speaker 2>And people, you know, sun men, I have to say,

0:41:02.120 --> 0:41:05.480
<v Speaker 2>although I've mixed with them for many years that they're

0:41:05.600 --> 0:41:08.759
<v Speaker 2>very good marketers. I say, now's a buying opportunity. But

0:41:08.880 --> 0:41:11.680
<v Speaker 2>of course we don't all just have cash sitting on

0:41:11.719 --> 0:41:14.680
<v Speaker 2>the side waiting. I mean, you can It's like a

0:41:14.760 --> 0:41:18.640
<v Speaker 2>clock that's broken, you know, but it's actually right twice

0:41:18.680 --> 0:41:20.719
<v Speaker 2>a day if you think about it. You know, the

0:41:20.760 --> 0:41:23.840
<v Speaker 2>clock's stall, but it's right twice a day. And sometimes

0:41:23.880 --> 0:41:27.280
<v Speaker 2>people will sit there with a lot of cash waiting

0:41:27.280 --> 0:41:31.000
<v Speaker 2>for something to happen and miss out on the opportunities

0:41:31.120 --> 0:41:34.200
<v Speaker 2>or the good days in the more risky markets, so

0:41:34.320 --> 0:41:38.719
<v Speaker 2>to speak. So I never quite understand the buying opportunity

0:41:38.760 --> 0:41:42.160
<v Speaker 2>type of logic unless you do, you know, have cash,

0:41:42.200 --> 0:41:45.879
<v Speaker 2>and you've got some fantastic way of knowing that this

0:41:46.360 --> 0:41:48.960
<v Speaker 2>you're at the end of the meltdown. Because you know

0:41:49.040 --> 0:41:52.759
<v Speaker 2>that adage about trying to catch a falling knife. It's

0:41:53.040 --> 0:41:57.000
<v Speaker 2>very hard to know when things are going to stop

0:41:57.280 --> 0:42:01.480
<v Speaker 2>going down. And I remember in the glow or financial crisis,

0:42:01.560 --> 0:42:05.840
<v Speaker 2>where things ground on for ages down month after month

0:42:06.200 --> 0:42:09.399
<v Speaker 2>for a long time, and I remember after about three months,

0:42:09.440 --> 0:42:11.399
<v Speaker 2>I thought, I'm smart. Now I'm going to put money

0:42:11.440 --> 0:42:13.720
<v Speaker 2>in the market. And you know, I tried to catch

0:42:13.960 --> 0:42:15.960
<v Speaker 2>what I can now look back at. So it was

0:42:16.040 --> 0:42:18.839
<v Speaker 2>definitely a falling knife and cut a few fingers off

0:42:18.840 --> 0:42:22.120
<v Speaker 2>along the way. So it's not easy. I prefer a

0:42:22.160 --> 0:42:26.320
<v Speaker 2>strategy that says set yourself for an all weather market

0:42:26.880 --> 0:42:30.560
<v Speaker 2>upsow downs. That's you know, sit with a good advisor,

0:42:30.760 --> 0:42:35.640
<v Speaker 2>work out how you want your money placed across different sectors,

0:42:35.840 --> 0:42:39.640
<v Speaker 2>well diversified portfolio, enough cash to live on if you're

0:42:39.680 --> 0:42:43.320
<v Speaker 2>drawing it down, and just gritch your teeth and stay

0:42:43.360 --> 0:42:47.879
<v Speaker 2>away from knee jerk reactions, which we're all prone to do. That's,

0:42:48.120 --> 0:42:50.440
<v Speaker 2>you know, if I had my time again as an

0:42:50.520 --> 0:42:54.080
<v Speaker 2>investment professional, the first thing I should should have studied

0:42:54.080 --> 0:42:59.840
<v Speaker 2>at university is behavioral science, not financial science, because people

0:43:00.239 --> 0:43:04.960
<v Speaker 2>react in the investment markets with emotion first. The best

0:43:05.000 --> 0:43:08.480
<v Speaker 2>investment managers in my career I've seen are often those

0:43:08.520 --> 0:43:12.320
<v Speaker 2>who are slightly on the spectrum. They can be completely emotionless.

0:43:14.120 --> 0:43:17.160
<v Speaker 1>Terrific. I imagine that is exactly true. That they all

0:43:17.239 --> 0:43:20.279
<v Speaker 1>understand the finance. Everyone understands the finance, right, So all

0:43:20.320 --> 0:43:23.600
<v Speaker 1>these people with the qualified they're all qualified. They understand

0:43:23.600 --> 0:43:26.680
<v Speaker 1>the finance. But who understands human emotion? All right, we

0:43:26.840 --> 0:43:29.319
<v Speaker 1>leave it there. That was terrific, Chris, Thank you very much,

0:43:29.360 --> 0:43:29.880
<v Speaker 1>Chris Coff.

0:43:30.040 --> 0:43:32.680
<v Speaker 2>Love it to have you on My pleasure. I love

0:43:32.760 --> 0:43:33.600
<v Speaker 2>being on James.

0:43:33.880 --> 0:43:36.320
<v Speaker 1>Great to have Chris Coff on the show. Folks, Okay,

0:43:36.360 --> 0:43:38.160
<v Speaker 1>have a good break, have a good easter. We will

0:43:38.239 --> 0:43:40.880
<v Speaker 1>be back very quickly. We're not taking a break. We

0:43:41.000 --> 0:43:45.800
<v Speaker 1>motor on. Keep the questions Commons ruling the money puzzle

0:43:45.840 --> 0:43:48.440
<v Speaker 1>at the Australian dot Com dot Au. Today's show was

0:43:48.480 --> 0:43:50.759
<v Speaker 1>produced by Leah Sam mcglue and she's not taking a

0:43:50.760 --> 0:44:02.520
<v Speaker 1>break either. Don't you soon, fo,